Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / AnitaB.org CEO on Keeping Women Working During Pandemic
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside
- 0:04Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring
- 0:06Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along
- 0:11Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast
- 0:15Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and
- 0:18Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Now, I want to
- 0:23Speaker 1: bring in Phil Orlando. You probably know him, the chief
- 0:26Speaker 1: equity market strategist and head of client portfolio management that
- 0:30Speaker 1: federated hermes Um. Phil, you have a couple of decades
- 0:34Speaker 1: at least of experience in these markets, and I wonder
- 0:38Speaker 1: what you think about where we are right now, because
- 0:40Speaker 1: it feels frothy, it feels um toppy, but so many
- 0:45Speaker 1: people are still incredibly bullish this equity market. Well, um,
- 0:50Speaker 1: first of all, thank you very much for having me on.
- 0:52Speaker 1: It's four decades of experience, so I've got plenty of
- 0:56Speaker 1: gray here and I've seen obviously more than a couple
- 0:59Speaker 1: of cycles. Um. Interesting question, because we were down about
- 1:04Speaker 1: four percent or so from the middle of February into
- 1:09Speaker 1: I guess it was last Friday, and the concern was
- 1:12Speaker 1: that the federal reserves, accommodative policies were leading to inflationary pressures. Uh.
- 1:20Speaker 1: It really hasn't manifested itself in the core CPI and PC,
- 1:25Speaker 1: but it's absolutely manifested itself in a lot of the
- 1:28Speaker 1: nominal metrics. We look at agricultural commodities like corn, wheat
- 1:33Speaker 1: and soybeans, crude oil, copper, lumber, these prices have gone
- 1:38Speaker 1: vertical over the last you know, eight or nine months
- 1:42Speaker 1: as we've come out of you know, the deepest recession
- 1:46Speaker 1: in history. And and it's it's our feeling. And I
- 1:49Speaker 1: think a lot of folks believe that over time this
- 1:52Speaker 1: will filter into the core numbers, and they are in
- 1:55Speaker 1: fact starting to move up. So I think investors took
- 1:58Speaker 1: you know, four percent of chips off the table over
- 2:01Speaker 1: the last fortnight or so. And then the question was
- 2:04Speaker 1: what's going to happen next? Well, the numbers, the data
- 2:07Speaker 1: is coming in pretty good. And we just saw the
- 2:10Speaker 1: I s M number for February, UH, strongest number in
- 2:14Speaker 1: three years. UH. Last week, the personal income and spending
- 2:19Speaker 1: numbers were very strong. The adorable goods and cap goods
- 2:22Speaker 1: numbers were very strong. So that the the recession in
- 2:27Speaker 1: our mind ended last mayor June that that we're in
- 2:31Speaker 1: this powerful recovery that if anything, is going to be
- 2:36Speaker 1: enhanced with the sugar high associated with the next iteration
- 2:41Speaker 1: of fiscal stimulus that that President Biden is looking to
- 2:45Speaker 1: put on top of this. So as I look out
- 2:47Speaker 1: over the balance of this year, we think that we're
- 2:50Speaker 1: we're you know, GDP is probably going to be you know,
- 2:53Speaker 1: five or six percent or perhaps higher. Sp things pretty good,
- 3:00Speaker 1: I mean, Bloomberg Bloomberg Intelligence. UM says, I think seven
- 3:05Speaker 1: point four percent in Q four that's what annual GDP
- 3:08Speaker 1: is gonna look like. UM, the highest since Night three.
- 3:11Speaker 1: And the concern, of course, Phil, is that this brings
- 3:14Speaker 1: with it the inflation that we're starting to see you
- 3:16Speaker 1: point out in commodities, and that brings UH and about
- 3:20Speaker 1: face by central banks by the Fed to raise rates.
- 3:23Speaker 1: And our most read story of the day, UM quotes
- 3:27Speaker 1: a guy called Sam Cecilia who runs a pension fund
- 3:31Speaker 1: in Melbourne, Australia. He says that's wrong. He says in
- 3:34Speaker 1: deflationary forces are bigger in his opinion, and he says
- 3:37Speaker 1: in five to ten years time, people are gonna look
- 3:40Speaker 1: back and say we should have bought stocks at twenty
- 3:42Speaker 1: times earnings. What do you think, Well, I agree that
- 3:45Speaker 1: we should have bought stocks at twenty times earnings. Last
- 3:47Speaker 1: March was an awesome by point. You've got treasury yields
- 3:51Speaker 1: which are still very low. I'm a big seed model guy,
- 3:55Speaker 1: So the reality is that you should be willing to
- 3:58Speaker 1: pay twenty to twenty five times earnings given how low
- 4:02Speaker 1: interest rates are. But but you're the gentleman that you're
- 4:06Speaker 1: just quoting made a very interesting point that that I
- 4:09Speaker 1: would like to circle back to. Even though you've got
- 4:12Speaker 1: these nascent nominal inflation concerns bubbling, you know, out there
- 4:17Speaker 1: on the horizon, the Federal Reserve is not going to
- 4:21Speaker 1: address that at any point over the course of this
- 4:24Speaker 1: calendar year. And and for a reason for that, in
- 4:27Speaker 1: our view, is just a matter of practicality. J. Powell's
- 4:31Speaker 1: term as the Federal Reserve chairman expires January of next year,
- 4:36Speaker 1: and he would very much, in my opinion, like to
- 4:39Speaker 1: get reappointed. There is zero chance. But he's going to
- 4:43Speaker 1: scale back quee or begin to come off a zero
- 4:46Speaker 1: bound funds rate, which potentially would would harm his chances
- 4:51Speaker 1: of being reappointed by by President Biden. So so this issue.
- 4:56Speaker 1: Are we're gonna scale back queie and we're gonna start
- 4:58Speaker 1: to raise interest rates? Might be a twenty two or
- 5:01Speaker 1: twenty three issue, but it's certainly not a twenty one issue.
- 5:05Speaker 1: Al Right, Phil, you have been bullish for a long time.
- 5:08Speaker 1: You have been right for a long time. What's your
- 5:11Speaker 1: biggest concern in the marketplace here for your bullish call? Well, uh,
- 5:17Speaker 1: you know, one of the one of the key reasons
- 5:19Speaker 1: for a bullishness is the fact that we thought we
- 5:22Speaker 1: would get a series of vaccines that would be efficacious,
- 5:26Speaker 1: and that the rollout, you know, at roughly a million
- 5:29Speaker 1: a day, would get us to critical mass and herd
- 5:33Speaker 1: immunity by the middle of this year. We thought that
- 5:36Speaker 1: by the time we got to the fourth of July
- 5:38Speaker 1: Independence Day, we'd be on the other side of this
- 5:41Speaker 1: thing and could start to begin to normalize the economy.
- 5:44Speaker 1: But suppose that's wrong, all right, Supposed we stumble on
- 5:48Speaker 1: the rollout, Suppose these variances that we're seeing out of
- 5:52Speaker 1: South Africa or the UK render less efficacy with the
- 5:57Speaker 1: with the vaccines that are out there, and and then
- 5:59Speaker 1: that throws our thesis into uh into disarray. So we'd
- 6:04Speaker 1: like to believe that we're on the right path here.
- 6:06Speaker 1: But but certainly the healthcare related issues are the things
- 6:11Speaker 1: that probably keep the awakeed night more than anything. Hey, Phili,
- 6:14Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. We appreciate it.
- 6:16Speaker 1: As always again, you've been consistently bullish UH, and you've
- 6:19Speaker 1: been consistently right, and the folks that invested Federator Hermes
- 6:23Speaker 1: reaping the benefits. The Phil Phil Orlando, chief equity market
- 6:26Speaker 1: strategist and head of Client Portfolio manager Management at Federated
- 6:30Speaker 1: Hermes based in Pittsburgh, p A. When you go to Pittsburgh,
- 6:34Speaker 1: the first stop as to sell side analysts, you've got
- 6:36Speaker 1: to stop in and see the folks that Federated. They're
- 6:38Speaker 1: big across asset classes. They see market trends on a
- 6:42Speaker 1: global scale, and we appreciate having them come on. I
- 6:49Speaker 1: want to continue our focus right now on UH. On
- 6:55Speaker 1: what's going on UM from a Bloomberg opinion perspective, in
- 7:00Speaker 1: terms of President Biden's UM UH sort of melding of
- 7:05Speaker 1: the polarized America. You know from here in Germany, UM,
- 7:10Speaker 1: it seems pretty bad and it didn't seem like we'd
- 7:15Speaker 1: had a real improvement UM. After the after the inauguration.
- 7:20Speaker 1: Let's bring in Jonathan Bernstein, who's a politics columns to
- 7:23Speaker 1: talk about what's going on in terms of the healing
- 7:26Speaker 1: of America. Jonathan, how how do you see, um, you know,
- 7:29Speaker 1: the state of US health right now? Well? Yeah, I
- 7:34Speaker 1: have a situation where the out party, the Republican Party,
- 7:38Speaker 1: is not accepting a lot of people in the republic wary,
- 7:42Speaker 1: not accepting the results of the election, and that the
- 7:45Speaker 1: former president Donald Trump is still you know, claiming without
- 7:50Speaker 1: any evidence that the election was stolen. So that's a
- 7:53Speaker 1: you know, that's something that we have not had for
- 7:56Speaker 1: a long time, and it's dangerous, you know, the the
- 7:58Speaker 1: idea of a democracy requiring past that at this point.
- 8:03Speaker 1: I mean, I know that was the case, and there
- 8:05Speaker 1: was this horrible act of violence, um insurrection at Congress,
- 8:10Speaker 1: but I really haven't heard many people mention it in
- 8:13Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks. Aren't we have we moved
- 8:15Speaker 1: on from that point? Well, you weren't listening them to
- 8:19Speaker 1: the big conservative meeting over the weekend the Spas where
- 8:25Speaker 1: where Donald Trump gave a speech, and where most of
- 8:28Speaker 1: the speeches, you know, kept talking about this mythical election
- 8:31Speaker 1: fraud and all that kind of thing. So, you know,
- 8:33Speaker 1: and you need the party for democracy to work, you
- 8:38Speaker 1: need both parties to accept that elections happen and the
- 8:41Speaker 1: winner takes office and the loser loses. And you know,
- 8:45Speaker 1: in the long term, as we're looking at, you know,
- 8:47Speaker 1: the health of American democracy, it's a real big deal
- 8:50Speaker 1: that Republicans, a big chunk of Republicans are not accepting
- 8:54Speaker 1: election results. Now, you know, day to day, does that
- 8:57Speaker 1: matter on Capitol Hill? Well, you know, Joe Biden is president. Um,
- 9:03Speaker 1: but in terms of the sort of health of American democracy,
- 9:06Speaker 1: that's a huge problem going forward, Jonathan. Are there any
- 9:09Speaker 1: undecided voters in America anymore? Yes, but there sure are
- 9:15Speaker 1: a lot fewer, you know. Um, if you look at,
- 9:18Speaker 1: for example, Joe Biden's approval ratings and disapproval ratings UM.
- 9:22Speaker 1: So far, his approval ratings are basically normal for recent presidents.
- 9:26Speaker 1: He's around fifty approval UM. That's much better than Trump
- 9:31Speaker 1: was originally. Uh, it's a little behind where Barack Obama was.
- 9:36Speaker 1: He was unusually popular. But the other presidents, from saying
- 9:39Speaker 1: Nixon on it's it's basically they were all in the
- 9:42Speaker 1: mid fifties give or take at this point. But his
- 9:46Speaker 1: disapproval rating UM is thirty eight percent, which is other
- 9:51Speaker 1: than Trump would have been the record high. And you know,
- 9:55Speaker 1: if you look back in the mid century, UM, mid
- 9:58Speaker 1: twentieth century presidents beginning of the polar era, most of
- 10:02Speaker 1: them started off with disapproval ratings under ten percent. Have
- 10:06Speaker 1: all of them under ten percent, Eisenhower, Kennedy, Um, you know,
- 10:11Speaker 1: in that era, Lennon Johnson, they were under ten percent disapproval.
- 10:16Speaker 1: When new presidents came in, most people who didn't you know,
- 10:20Speaker 1: who weren't their supporters, said let's give him a chance.
- 10:22Speaker 1: We don't have an opinion yet about how they're doing nowadays.
- 10:26Speaker 1: That's not true. Um. All the recent presidents have started
- 10:31Speaker 1: with higher disapproval ratings. But Biden's at you know, thirty
- 10:34Speaker 1: eight percent now is much higher than where Reagan or
- 10:41Speaker 1: Quarter or the Bushes were early on. I'm tempted to think,
- 10:45Speaker 1: you know, we just had this obviously incredible period of partisanship. UM.
- 10:52Speaker 1: The former president Donald Trump as well as his opponent, UM,
- 10:57Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton, unbelievable polar rising figures, both very well, I guess,
- 11:03Speaker 1: kind of partisan. Although I don't really think of Trump,
- 11:06Speaker 1: I wouldn't have thought of him at the time as
- 11:07Speaker 1: a traditional Republican. But it's tempting to think of that
- 11:10Speaker 1: that that happened because of those two are because of Trump.
- 11:14Speaker 1: But um, you see it happening everywhere, Jonathan. Um. You
- 11:17Speaker 1: see this polarization in the UK around Brexit, you see
- 11:21Speaker 1: it in Eastern Europe around these authoritarian leaders. I mean,
- 11:26Speaker 1: is this a global problem because of I'm tempted to
- 11:29Speaker 1: say Facebook, rather than a problem of America because of Trump. Well,
- 11:34Speaker 1: I would say in the United States it goes back
- 11:38Speaker 1: a lot earlier than Trump. So you know, if you
- 11:40Speaker 1: look at UM during the Clinton administration and all, you
- 11:45Speaker 1: have this sort of strong um, especially on the Republican
- 11:50Speaker 1: side of this refusal to accept that, oh yeah, we
- 11:52Speaker 1: lost an election, and so Republicans, you know, what is there?
- 11:57Speaker 1: What is their legislative program? It's to get more difficult
- 12:01Speaker 1: for Democrats to vote and for them to set up
- 12:04Speaker 1: elections to help um their own party. Um, it's harder
- 12:10Speaker 1: to say globally whether it's all the same phenomenon. I'm
- 12:12Speaker 1: just saying, you see it happening everywhere, so it can't
- 12:14Speaker 1: be just an American thing, right, or do you blame
- 12:17Speaker 1: the Republican Party for you know, it's hard to tell
- 12:20Speaker 1: whether that's whether there's something you know of the modern era,
- 12:24Speaker 1: whether it's communications or something else that makes it more likely. UM.
- 12:27Speaker 1: You know, traditionally the United States had a very weak
- 12:32Speaker 1: parties and didn't have strong partisanship. That changed in the
- 12:36Speaker 1: nineteen nineties, and so it's it's a more recent phenomenon
- 12:41Speaker 1: in the United States, whereas in some place like Britain
- 12:45Speaker 1: you always had sort of strong you didn't have that
- 12:48Speaker 1: kind of weak parties. UM, week non ideological parties the
- 12:53Speaker 1: United States used to have. All Right, So you're coming
- 12:58Speaker 1: out of the Sea Pack UH gathering over the weekend.
- 13:02Speaker 1: President Trump came away as the leading contender via poll.
- 13:07Speaker 1: Is this still Trump's party going forward? You know, it's
- 13:11Speaker 1: hard to tell exactly what will happen. UM. You can't
- 13:15Speaker 1: really predict much off of the Sea pack straw polls.
- 13:17Speaker 1: They've been wrong many many times before. UM. In a sense,
- 13:22Speaker 1: Republicans still really like Trump, but whether they prefer Trump
- 13:27Speaker 1: to other candidates is a little unclear. A lot of
- 13:30Speaker 1: the seepack UM participants said, well, we don't act. About
- 13:33Speaker 1: a third of them said, well, we don't really want
- 13:35Speaker 1: him to run again. Um, what what I would say
- 13:38Speaker 1: is that the attitudes of the party, the anti democratic,
- 13:42Speaker 1: um maybe authoritarian strain of the Republican Party which preceded Trump,
- 13:49Speaker 1: got stronger as a result of Trump and is very
- 13:51Speaker 1: strong today. So even if it's not Trump, it's harder
- 13:54Speaker 1: to see somebody like uh, you know, John McCain or
- 13:57Speaker 1: Mitt Romney becoming the nominee that time, although we're still
- 14:01Speaker 1: three years away, so you know, a long time that
- 14:04Speaker 1: things could change. Hey, Jonathan, thanks so much for joining us.
- 14:07Speaker 1: We appreciate it as always. Jonathan Bernstein, Bloomberg News Opinion Calumnists. Uh,
- 14:12Speaker 1: just giving us the latest lay of the land of
- 14:14Speaker 1: the political estaplishment. But again, it'll be interesting to see
- 14:17Speaker 1: the data that Jonathan cited in his column shows that
- 14:20Speaker 1: the you know, the polling gate we look at the
- 14:23Speaker 1: favorables and the unfavorables, really you know, crystallizing what we
- 14:27Speaker 1: all kind of know, which is the polarization. The political
- 14:30Speaker 1: polarization in this country appears as strong as it's ever been.
- 14:35Speaker 1: And as Johnasons suggested about to see how it plays
- 14:37Speaker 1: out over the next um, you know, four years until
- 14:40Speaker 1: we get to the next presidential election cycle. But fascinated
- 14:43Speaker 1: here Jonathan's opinions. I want to get to the blowout
- 14:51Speaker 1: I s M numbers that we saw across the Bloomberg today.
- 14:54Speaker 1: You can, well, if you're in the US, just type
- 14:56Speaker 1: ECO go. I'll give you a hint. Anywhere else in
- 14:59Speaker 1: the world, if you type w E C O week
- 15:01Speaker 1: O go, you can pick from an assortment of really
- 15:04Speaker 1: fun flags and if you click on it, yeah yeah,
- 15:07Speaker 1: week I'll go. Click on the American flag obviously the
- 15:10Speaker 1: stars and stripes there, and you can see UM I
- 15:14Speaker 1: s M coming out new orders, sixty four point eight
- 15:19Speaker 1: prices paid eighty six manufacturing, which is the number we
- 15:22Speaker 1: look the most closely at sixty eight. The survey was
- 15:25Speaker 1: for fifty eight point nine, so a blowout number. Let's
- 15:28Speaker 1: bring in Timothy Furies, the chairman of the Manufacturing Business
- 15:32Speaker 1: Survey um AT I s M. Thanks so much for
- 15:35Speaker 1: joining us. Why were these numbers so strong? What happened? Yeah,
- 15:40Speaker 1: thanks pauling that. So this is our nine straight month
- 15:43Speaker 1: manufacting expansion, which is leading the you As economy out
- 15:46Speaker 1: of the post pandemic decline. So we had five of
- 15:50Speaker 1: six industry sectors, which are our biggest industry sectors, recording
- 15:53Speaker 1: indexes on their own over sixt So that's the primary
- 15:57Speaker 1: point here is that we had strong industry sectors really
- 16:00Speaker 1: eating us out this month, really good order levels, as
- 16:03Speaker 1: you mentioned, all the supporting sub indexes that support the
- 16:06Speaker 1: new order number were very strong. Backlog being notable at
- 16:09Speaker 1: sixty four highest number and about fifteen years. We had
- 16:13Speaker 1: really good production output with the employment growing also, which
- 16:16Speaker 1: is a good sign. We've had some difficulty unemployment side
- 16:19Speaker 1: for a couple of months, and we continued to have
- 16:21Speaker 1: headwinds on the input side with the fire deliveries and
- 16:23Speaker 1: the inventories, so and that probably won't get resolved until
- 16:27Speaker 1: the vaccine is widespread deployed. So really good month exceeded
- 16:30Speaker 1: my exportations. As you mentioned, the economists we're thinking at
- 16:33Speaker 1: the eight point nine really strong number. All right, So yeah, Tim,
- 16:38Speaker 1: just great numbers. And is you know you've explained to
- 16:41Speaker 1: us in months past it's really been the manufacturing sector
- 16:44Speaker 1: that's leading this economy out of you know, those that
- 16:47Speaker 1: shock we experienced early part of last year. Is there
- 16:50Speaker 1: a risk here that the price for input prices could
- 16:55Speaker 1: be problematic with some of these manufacturers maybe inflationary. Well,
- 16:59Speaker 1: it's point I mean, it could slow things, but there's
- 17:01Speaker 1: no signs of it at this point. On the general
- 17:04Speaker 1: comments side, I'm receiving no comments that they're not able
- 17:07Speaker 1: to push prices through their customers are normally. I would
- 17:10Speaker 1: start to get that if they get headwinds. I think
- 17:11Speaker 1: we're probably a couple of months away from that. You know,
- 17:14Speaker 1: standard costs were set going into January. Variants are now
- 17:18Speaker 1: being seen at the company cost level. Will be pressure
- 17:21Speaker 1: on the sales guys to try to push those prices
- 17:23Speaker 1: increases through. We'll see what happens, but at this point,
- 17:26Speaker 1: you know, looks really strong. I don't see anything that's
- 17:28Speaker 1: gonna stop us continuing to expand at some pretty high levels.
- 17:32Speaker 1: What do you think about the UM commodity inflation that
- 17:37Speaker 1: we've seen. I mean, you're in a unique position to
- 17:39Speaker 1: answer this question because you've had management roles at U,
- 17:43Speaker 1: TEX and UM. You were the chief of curement officer
- 17:47Speaker 1: for Tousan Trump. So what does this mean to you?
- 17:50Speaker 1: The jump in metals price, not just metals, but raw materials,
- 17:53Speaker 1: soft eggs, I mean everything. Yeah, the biggest foundations here
- 17:58Speaker 1: are basic chemicals, steal aluminium and plastic pellets. I mean
- 18:01Speaker 1: that that tends to get into almost any manufactured product.
- 18:04Speaker 1: And as a as a buyer, boy, I'm struggling like
- 18:07Speaker 1: crazy right now because I'm seeing price increases. But generally
- 18:10Speaker 1: what happens when you have input price growth, you also
- 18:12Speaker 1: have margin expansion and the revenue expansion at the company level.
- 18:16Speaker 1: So it may not be good for supply people, but
- 18:18Speaker 1: it's generally good for the economy. I mean, I like
- 18:20Speaker 1: to see prices go up when I'm sitting here, you know,
- 18:23Speaker 1: looking at the analysis for the manufacturing side, but I
- 18:26Speaker 1: don't see it's flowing anything yet anyway. And I think
- 18:29Speaker 1: when we did our economic forecast where twenty one we
- 18:31Speaker 1: predicted that we see about a three growth and input
- 18:34Speaker 1: costs and we're probably on track to that. To you know,
- 18:37Speaker 1: one topic that we don't talk that much about anymore,
- 18:40Speaker 1: which was topic A for much of last year, it's
- 18:43Speaker 1: just kind of trade tensions, supply chain disruptions, tariffs. Are
- 18:48Speaker 1: the folks you talk to in the manufacturing in the heartland,
- 18:51Speaker 1: what are they saying about China and just broader supply
- 18:55Speaker 1: chain issues. Well, right now it's about getting product that
- 18:58Speaker 1: the porch are still jammed up, so they've been jammed
- 19:00Speaker 1: up up until the lunar New Year. We thought they
- 19:02Speaker 1: might relax in the next few weeks, but most likely
- 19:06Speaker 1: that's going to continue to be a problem right into
- 19:08Speaker 1: the summertime. Transportation issues are really an extreme issue, primarily
- 19:13Speaker 1: because we have so many part shortages that people are
- 19:15Speaker 1: having to shift happen the trucks. I think of our
- 19:19Speaker 1: supplier delivery comments were transportation related, so and that's been
- 19:24Speaker 1: growing a month a month the prior month, prior months
- 19:27Speaker 1: from that. So there's a lot of disconnections here in
- 19:30Speaker 1: the supply chain. Manufacturing people know how to manage that.
- 19:33Speaker 1: They have their handsful right now, probably more so than
- 19:36Speaker 1: any recent economic growth that I can recall. But we're
- 19:40Speaker 1: making good gains. I think the biggest issue here is
- 19:42Speaker 1: really labor at the supplier facilities handless companies, and we
- 19:46Speaker 1: saw some movement here and in the February time front.
- 19:49Speaker 1: Hey Tim, thanks so much for joining us again. We
- 19:51Speaker 1: always appreciate getting these monthly updates. Temp Fury, chairman of
- 19:54Speaker 1: the Manufacturing Business Survey, the Institute for Supply Managements, and
- 19:58Speaker 1: really blowouts wrong numbers coming out of Industrial America and
- 20:02Speaker 1: is to mention we've had some pretty consistent performance there,
- 20:05Speaker 1: and again that's a thirty percent of the economy. Uh
- 20:07Speaker 1: so you flipped to the other sevent that services. That's folks,
- 20:11Speaker 1: that's getting people back to work in a lot of
- 20:13Speaker 1: those leisure industries. The expectation is that's part of that
- 20:16Speaker 1: whole reopening trade that we're all looking forward to later
- 20:20Speaker 1: this year. Now, I want to talk about UM because
- 20:28Speaker 1: it is International Women's Day coming up. I think it's
- 20:31Speaker 1: on the on the eighth, and because UM we're celebrating
- 20:35Speaker 1: women I think I believe all month here on Bloomberg Radio.
- 20:38Speaker 1: Want to bring in Brenda Darden Wilkerson. She's president and
- 20:41Speaker 1: CEO of anita be dot org, which UM, I guess
- 20:47Speaker 1: strives to drive diversity, UM equality and inclusion across the
- 20:51Speaker 1: tech industry. So tell us a little bit Brenda. Well,
- 20:55Speaker 1: first of all, welcome to the program. Thanks thanks for
- 20:57Speaker 1: joining us. Tell us a little bit about what Need
- 21:00Speaker 1: to Be does and also why the tech industry. I
- 21:04Speaker 1: was wondered this, why is it so sort of notoriously
- 21:07Speaker 1: bad for gender issues? Well, thanks so much for having
- 21:14Speaker 1: me again. Um So why the tech industry? Well, first
- 21:17Speaker 1: of all, the tech industry, we have to admit touches
- 21:20Speaker 1: every aspect of every life globally. And that's why we
- 21:24Speaker 1: exist to work within the ecosystem to make sure that
- 21:27Speaker 1: the table where tech is created is as the birth
- 21:31Speaker 1: as the people that it served. Now, why is it
- 21:33Speaker 1: so notoriously in the status and it's it's all about history.
- 21:38Speaker 1: It's all about pattern matching. Um. The history of tech
- 21:42Speaker 1: started off largely with women and men, but there was
- 21:46Speaker 1: this point in time when the narrative switched to only
- 21:51Speaker 1: focus on what the men have done and not on
- 21:53Speaker 1: what the women have done. And what we've been trying
- 21:55Speaker 1: to work against is that very narrative from the beginning.
- 21:59Speaker 1: And so that's what we do. You know, our our
- 22:01Speaker 1: organization exists to make sure that the plate the people
- 22:05Speaker 1: who create tech mirror the societies for whom they created.
- 22:11Speaker 1: Has there been progress? What has been the progress say
- 22:14Speaker 1: over the last five years brenda as relates to the
- 22:16Speaker 1: tech industry, So yes, there's progress. You know, we are
- 22:20Speaker 1: definitely glass testol around this this whole opportunity. Now. Of course,
- 22:25Speaker 1: our namesake, Anita Board, who started the organization some thirty
- 22:29Speaker 1: years ago, had a goal which was fifty fifty. We
- 22:33Speaker 1: obviously didn't make that and we actually actually did a
- 22:37Speaker 1: little backsliding before we've gone forward. But yes, there are
- 22:40Speaker 1: some strides being made. We have a Top Companies program,
- 22:43Speaker 1: which is the only program that focuses on the equity
- 22:47Speaker 1: around women in tech in great companies who are doing
- 22:51Speaker 1: that work. And what we've seen is those companies who
- 22:54Speaker 1: are willing to put in the work, who are willing
- 22:55Speaker 1: to do those things that we know work. I mean,
- 22:58Speaker 1: we don't have to guess, we know what works. UM
- 23:00Speaker 1: saw a great strides last year. We saw them move
- 23:03Speaker 1: five percentage points versus the overall industry that normally hovers
- 23:07Speaker 1: around just less than a percentage point. You know, I
- 23:11Speaker 1: wonder how much the problem is in the link to
- 23:14Speaker 1: finance in terms of successes Brenda, because you know, I've
- 23:18Speaker 1: always thought of the tech industry as one where anyone,
- 23:20Speaker 1: no matter what you look like or who you are,
- 23:23Speaker 1: you can get into it because you're doing it usually
- 23:26Speaker 1: from a computer and your mom's basement, right, so, um,
- 23:29Speaker 1: no one sees you. But then, of course, when you
- 23:32Speaker 1: come up with this idea, even if it's only with
- 23:34Speaker 1: a couple of friends in the garage, you need some
- 23:37Speaker 1: Wall Street banker guys to back you before you can grow.
- 23:40Speaker 1: It is that why you've seen, uh, this inequality some
- 23:46Speaker 1: of it, right, it's part of it. Yes, there's this thing,
- 23:49Speaker 1: this insidious thing called pattern matching, where you know, in
- 23:53Speaker 1: order to get backing, you've got to have this warm intro.
- 23:56Speaker 1: And normally this warm intro comes from people that are
- 23:59Speaker 1: in your network. And unfortunately a lot of people who
- 24:02Speaker 1: have the money to invest um that our vcs um
- 24:06Speaker 1: they all look alike and they don't do people that
- 24:08Speaker 1: are in their network are the ones that end up
- 24:09Speaker 1: getting the money. Um, it's actually a loss for them.
- 24:12Speaker 1: Because we know that diverse teams, the diverse leadership the
- 24:16Speaker 1: verse boards produced a better bottom line than those that
- 24:20Speaker 1: are not. So what we're hoping is to be able
- 24:22Speaker 1: to continue to beat that drum and help people understand
- 24:26Speaker 1: that this is really in there. Um, it's in their
- 24:29Speaker 1: favor to think about diversity and not only think about it,
- 24:32Speaker 1: but to implement it. How is the pandemic kind of
- 24:36Speaker 1: impacted women? We know that's been very difficult in terms
- 24:39Speaker 1: of childcare and so on and so forth. Give us
- 24:41Speaker 1: your thoughts on kind of what you've seen. Well, yeah,
- 24:44Speaker 1: I mean, we know the losses for women across the
- 24:47Speaker 1: board have been larger than that for men. We know
- 24:50Speaker 1: that the job loss that the last the last month
- 24:52Speaker 1: of last year, all of those jobs were lost by women. UM.
- 24:56Speaker 1: Of course, intact we've seen you know a little different
- 24:59Speaker 1: sort of UM impact because women are able to work
- 25:03Speaker 1: at home and and and um be able to do
- 25:07Speaker 1: their work UM in a way that allows them to continue.
- 25:10Speaker 1: But the pressure has come. I mean, we're one year
- 25:13Speaker 1: into this and we've seen that the pressure has come
- 25:15Speaker 1: on women because they're doing triple duty. They were already
- 25:18Speaker 1: doing double duty. Right now it's a triple duty if
- 25:21Speaker 1: the kids are at home, UM, and they're teaching the
- 25:24Speaker 1: kids at home, if they have older parents that they
- 25:26Speaker 1: used to have support for. It's bringing pressure. And what's
- 25:29Speaker 1: caught What what it's going to ultimately cause if we
- 25:32Speaker 1: aren't careful, is a brain drain of these amazingly talented
- 25:37Speaker 1: and experienced women who have to take a step back
- 25:40Speaker 1: because of these additional pressures. Just quickly want to mention
- 25:44Speaker 1: Grace Hopper, which is well, she is a famous UM
- 25:50Speaker 1: I guess, I guess the original coder right from World
- 25:53Speaker 1: War Two, from from from from the from the Navy.
- 25:57Speaker 1: And it's something also that you do every year sort
- 25:59Speaker 1: of deadicated while in Grace Hopper's name. Yes, absolutely. We
- 26:04Speaker 1: have the largest Women in Tech conference UH in the world.
- 26:08Speaker 1: We have one in the US, and we have the
- 26:10Speaker 1: largest in Asia UM and we do dedicated not only
- 26:13Speaker 1: in her name, but in the name of lots of
- 26:15Speaker 1: other amazing women who really were the foundation of tech.
- 26:19Speaker 1: They have a lot to do with a lot of
- 26:21Speaker 1: the strength in tech that we enjoy today. Hey, Brenda,
- 26:25Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us to really appreciate it.
- 26:27Speaker 1: Brenda Dartin Wilkinson, President and CEO of Anita be dot
- 26:32Speaker 1: Or