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NBA + NHL + NFL Best Bets Sunday 11/2/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Oh four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Arch eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: Doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. To the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinues,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: It's so back with you? Better off dead Sunday whatever
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: it is.
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: What day is it? November two?
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: Uh?
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Two losing days in a row. Yesterday was not good.
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: It started out all right. We got the win with Florida.
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'll probably argue that they should have had
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: an outright win in that game, Florida plus seven.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: It was all.
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: Downhill from there, and it should have been better since
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: in college football I did really well and like my
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: pick six entry, picked seven entry, my like pick him entry,
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: everything was really good man for me in college football.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: And yet the other side.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: That I had in college football was not a winner,
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: and I think it should have been.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: And then yeah, the total fuck that.
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'll never do totals again because that one was
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: not a winner.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Obviously.
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: Florida, by the way, they got screwed by the refs
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: multiple times. I Mean, everybody's talking about that long pass
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: from Lagway that wound up being I think overturned after
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: it was initially called the reception, I mean the receiver.
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: There was nobody near him, so it's just a matter
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: of whether or not he caught it, and the ruling
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: wound up being that it hit the ground, and I
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: don't think it did. He was kind of on the
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: ground as he caught it, but I think it bounced
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: off his forearm, like I think it was a catch.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, you guys could go see that. I don't
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: think there was enough evidence to overturn it. So that
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: hurt Florida and then yeah, I mean the refs again,
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: they just kind of screwed Florida in the end and
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: Florida covered did not win out right of course, and
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: yeah Georgia, I mean people were like, well, Georgia should
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: have covered because all gunners Stockton had to do was
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: run it in at the end for a touchdown. But
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: he wasn't gonna do that because he's actually smart and
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: he knew that if he went down with it, they
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: could just then run out the clock, and that's what
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: they did because he could have gone into the end
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: zone for a touchdown and then I would have been
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: livid about that, but yeah, Florida.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think that was the correct side.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: I think Florida did deserve to cover that Arkansas should
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: have covered.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: Arkansas was winning their game.
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: By fourteen in the fourth quarter, so I was like, hell, yeah,
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: we're gonna start off two and zero.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: This is nice here.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know what the hell even happened in that game,
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: and they wound up losing the game outright by two. Dude,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: you look at the stats. I don't understand how it
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: even happened. I wasn't watching the game. They had I
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: think somewhere around one hundred more yards of offense, and
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: they didn't even lose the turnover battle either, and they
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: had more yards per play, yet somehow they.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Wound up losing the game. It makes no sense.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: So I don't think I had that game wrong at all,
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: So that really pisses me off.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: I did have the total wrong.
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: In South Carolina and Oh Miss, I mean, it looked
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: like it was going okay early, Like the teams both
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: looked like they were running pretty quickly offensively, and I
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: wasn't too worried about it yet at halftime because second
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: half tends to be higher scoring than the first half,
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: and I think it was it was at twenty what
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: was it twenty four at the half, I think so.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's still definitely a decent chance there. Even
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: going into the fourth quarter. We needed I think twenty
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: two points in the fourth quarter, which of course that's
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: a little bit difficult because you need somebody to get
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: like a two point conversion or something a little bit
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: weird to happen there. But the fourth quarter just became
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: a complete slow down. I think there were only like
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: maybe ten points scoring in the fourth quarter.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: That was just bad.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: Hockey absolutely should have had Ottawa correct, man. I'm really
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: really pissed about it. I gotta look at the stats again.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: I think it was pretty close statistically, but we had
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: two underdogs that both went into overtime and they both lost.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, you can't really ask for that much when
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: you have an underdog that plays well enough that the
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: game goes into overtime and they both fall wrong. The
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: stats that I had on Montembeau in that game, the
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: Ottawa game against Montreal, I thought that was a solid
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: way to look in that game. I'm pretty sure he
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: did play in the game yesterday. Ottawa was down two
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: to nothing, they tied the game, they took the lead,
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: they were winning three to two. Late in the game,
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: they gave up a tying goal with like two minutes left,
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: and then they lost in an overtime. Horrendous, absolutely horrendous.
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: And then Seattle they were down I think one nothing
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: and then two to one and whatever, and their game
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: was just kind of back and forth. I don't think
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: they ever had the lead in theirs. They had it
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: tied though, and they went into overtime and they lost
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: as well. That one, I don't think I actually deserve
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: to win, though if you look at the stats, Rangers
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: did actually dominate it, So you know, I mean, I'll
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: I'll take the loss on that one. I'm really really
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: pissed about the Audawa one. And then I was correct
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: in the NBA with a bounce back, and I mean,
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: what else is new? My NBA tends to be pretty good.
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: Sacramento King's outright win against the Milwaukee Box So that
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: was good, but it was not enough to have a
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: good day.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey, what's up? Hell?
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks for hanging out. Yeah, that was the banger,
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: dirty sock. What's up, Pinzy, what's up? Thanks for hanging
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: out the Arkansas game. Yeah, what the fuck was that?
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: And then I had all these other games right by
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: the way, my including Vanderbilt by the Texas excuse me,
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: in my pick five at pick six, the number on.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: That was two and a half. So I was like, yes,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: I think.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: The only one I got wrong. Those are money pools
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: that I'm in. The only one I got wrong in
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: those pools I think was Arkansas. So I did really
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: well in those. Oh no, Arkansas, and I had North
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: one of them. I had North excuse Texas State earlier
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: in the week, so I took one other loss in
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: that one.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: Yeah, whatever. I did pretty well in those pick thems though,
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: And that game was bullshit too, by the way.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: That Texas was winning that game thirty four to ten
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter, and then Vandy wound up only
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: losing by three, and part of it was because they
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: got a two point conversion call where the receiver reached
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: out to try to get it over the goal line.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: He never got it over the goal line, and they
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: still said it was good. So that should have been
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: a failed two point conversion. That was ridiculous. So I
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: think there was something rigged going on in that game too.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Just a lot of bullshit, man, a lot of fucking bullshit.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say about our college
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: football there. But I'm still pissed because, like a lot
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: of my strong leans were correct, Like Utah was a
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: very easy blowout win. I had that in some of
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: my pick'ms I think I had was one of the
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: other ones I was really strong on. I don't know,
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember. I mean my lean to SMU
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: was correct. They outright had an outright win over Miami.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: There were a bunch in there. I was like, holy shit,
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: I'm getting like all these games, right, I don't know, man, Anyway, Dodgers, yeah,
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: I mean you been on You've been on the Dodgers Live.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they kind of had the momentum at
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: that point.
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: Hopefully you got a decent number on that, SOB I
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: hope it's still alive after that. I hope he took
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: my advice and hedged some of it back, because I
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: personally I did think the Dodgers were gonna win that game. Uh.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: It was one of the craziest games I've ever seen.
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: Though, Like it was unbelievable how that game went with
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers. You know, they get home run to tie
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: the game from their number nine man Rojas, which that
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, that was kind of crazy. Though that wasn't
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: really the most shocking part because the bullpens are just
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: not really that good for either of those teams. So
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: even though that was Hoffman, who was one of the
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: Blue jays better relievers, I mean, it wasn't that shocked
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: by that, but that was still crazy. Then Rojas got
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: involved in that other play where Toronto, of course, I
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: think the bottom of the ninth, right, they had bases loaded,
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: I think with one out in the bottom of the ninth,
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: and the Dodgers were rolling with who did they have pitching.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: At that Snell was still was still Snell at that point,
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: I don't remember. There were a lot of weird things
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: going on. Man.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: Toronto took Bichette out of the game to pinch run
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: I think in that inning, I think when Snell was
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: still in the game, and that was just after bischett
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: got a one out single, and I was like, well,
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: why would you take Bischette out when there's like a
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: high likelihood of this game going.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Into extra innings.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: You're gonna take your clean up hitter out of the game,
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: like one of your best hitters out of the game,
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: and pinch running makes less sense because Snell was on
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: the mound at that point.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: He's a lefty, so it's like, what do you think
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: you're gonna do. You're gonna steal.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Second against the left. You're not gonna do that, So
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: that made no sense. They wound up still, I think
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: loading the bases, and then Snell got taken out, and
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: then they put in.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: They put in somebody.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: Else after Snell before Yamamoto, Right, if I'm not mistaken,
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: who else did they or did they bring in Yamamoto
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: at that point? No, maybe it was Yamamoto because I
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: think yama Yamamoto won the MVP, right, I assume he did.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: I mean I.
• 10:22
  Speaker 2: Think he had at least two wins in the series.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: I think Yamamoto pitched in so many crucial games. He
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: pitched in the last two games Man, and had a.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Complete game roller in the series.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Jeffrey, I think I was not wrong about Yamamoto,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: and Yamamoto can handle the pressure, dude. Like I said,
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure you were thinking of Sasaki, who almost
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: blew the game the prior night. That guy can't handle
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: the pressure. Yamamoto, he seems like he can. But yeah,
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: then of course with the bases loaded Toronto. I mean,
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: I don't want to go into this two in detail
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: though they aren't that many games today.
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: You had rows almost bobble the ground or whatever.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: With the infield was in because they think they were
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: trying to I don't know, like they were trying.
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: To set up the force out at every base whatever.
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: Uh So Rojas grabbed and he had to throw it
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: home and it was a close play at home where
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: they reviewed it.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: I think it was the right call.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: He was out, but it was close because Rojas had
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: bobbled it. Then yeah, then they got out of that inning. Yeah,
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: just insane, dude. And I think the Dodgers had one
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: inning where they loaded the bases. I think in the
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: top of the tenth the Dodgers loaded the bases with
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: one out and they didn't score, and they I think
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: hit it to a force out at home as well.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: Then Will Smith, not the actor, hit the home run
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: that was the game winning home run, and then Yamamoto
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: was able to finish the game off.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: And I think there was some weird.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: Situation again, I think, oh it was the bunt right
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: uh Toronto, they got a leadoff double either or no,
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: it was it a lead off or a one out
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: double whatever it was against Yamamot. I think in the
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: bottom of the eleventh, down one and they decided to bunt.
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: That was a little bit odd that they decided to
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: do that, and I think that's and the bunt failed
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: as well, and they got the out at first or
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: whatever it was.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: So that I was I.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: Was handicapping NFL and getting ready to do my NFL
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: show at that point, so I had it on over
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: here and I was trying to pay attention to everything.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean that was about it.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say about it, but yeah,
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: you finished with Utah which wait, which Utah Hockey or NBA.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I don't even know.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on anymore under in the
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: Utah game, thinking they were playing the Ducks. I have
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: no idea. I don't know what happened in that game.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: I wasn't paying any attention to it. A nine leg parlay, yeah,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is why I recommend against parlays, because
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: one miss takes the entire thing down. Although if you
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: want to put like a little bit of money on
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: it for fun, maybe try to win a lot.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, do it.
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: But long term, it's not like a long term winning strategy.
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: Virginia Tech did not cover. I who are they playing?
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember who they were playing? Uh oh
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: that was against? Was that against Louisville? I don't I
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: don't remember, man, I don't remember what. No, because I
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: don't remember, I apologize. I don't have it all straight
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: in my head. Plus one thirty two on the Dodgers.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: All right, that was pretty solid. Then that was a
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: good price. I was thinking it would have been worse
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: than that because the Dodgers once they tied it. I mean,
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers were the favorite to win. But I think
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: probably when you did it, it was it's because they're
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: the road team at that point, and I think probably
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: uh Toronto had like they hadn't batted yet in the
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: bottom of the inning or something, so that kind of
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: makes sense.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: Smoltz said that.
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: They said that they that that was the right call,
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: basically to pinch run. I disagree with them. I mean,
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: I think it came back to haunt them. I think
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: because that part of the order came up again one
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: more time. I'm pretty sure, so yeah, I mean, I
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: don't think it was the right move, would not take
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: out one of my best hitters, and it didn't wound
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: up not doing anything right because the pinch runner that
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: they put in was the one who got thrown.
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: Out at home anyway, forced out at home anyway.
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: Although I guess you could argue it was close and
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: with Bishett it would have been less close at the plate, whatever, Yeah,
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: I don't think that made sense, especially with the lefty
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: on the mound, because when you pinch run like that,
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: it's like and Dave Roberts is the manager of the
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: Dodgers here. Dave Roberts knows about this because he was
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: the pinch runner in that famous Red Sox ALCS game
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: where Yeah, he pinched ran and he famously stole second.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Did it against uh?
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: I think it was against Mariano rivera right Against a righty,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: it's a lot harder to steal second against a lefty
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: because the left he's looking right at you, so you
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: basically can't do it. And that was a snell in
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: the game last night. Otani was not very good, that
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: is true. They should have started Glass though. In the
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: game he came, he was He gave up a run,
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: but he was definitely better. He was pretty much fine
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: in the game.
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: He should have started.
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: He was the only reason they didn't start him was
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: because they used him for three pitches in the prior game,
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: and yeah, that meant he had to have warmed up
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: and whatever.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: We kind of knew they were.
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: Gonna use him last night anyway, so he should have
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: been the starter. I think it was his turn to
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: go in the rotation. They moved Otani up, so I
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: think that's part of the reason why he sucked. Dude,
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: Otani hasn't pitched before the like late this year. He
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: hadn't pitched in like two years, and he's he was
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: just not used to pitching an environment like that and
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: on short rests.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: So I think that was a mistake.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: Ended on a replay, No, I disagree with that that
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: that call was correct.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: He was out at the plate. It was very close.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: But I saw every replay I was watching, and I
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: saw every replay angle that it was really.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: Really close, but he was out. It was It was
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: the correct call.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: The only angle that made it look like he might
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: not have been out was the one from up above,
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: but that's only because he was sliding in and his
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: foot was above the plate and not down on the
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: plate yet. Oh yeah, and Pie's had that, yeah, ridiculous
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: play in the outfield to make sure that the game
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: went into extra innings.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: I mean when that ball came off the bat, to me,
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: it looked like it should be like kind of a
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: routine fly ball.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: And then I'm like, what is going on here?
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: Like why even a deep like flyout like that is
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: pretty routine. But then I'm like, oh, like one of
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: one of the outfielders isn't calling.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: For it, and he basically just ran over.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's the center the center fielder, it's basically
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: his ball. Like that's sort of the unwritten rule that
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: the center fielder it's his ball, like unless he gets
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: called off pretty much or whatever. So nobody called, nobody
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: called for it, so it's the center fielder's ball and
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: kick Hernandez didn't get out of the way, and yeah,
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: and he just got run over. I mean, that was crazy,
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: really really good catch by Pis who he was only
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: in the game because he was I think he was
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: a pinch runner earlier in like an inning or so
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: earlier in the game, or or no, they put him
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: in the field, I guess, or maybe both.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: I forget they put Pis in for his fielding because
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: he had him been hitting well. But he hit well
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: during the regu season like he hit. He's the guy
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: that can hit home runs, but he didn't hit well
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs. All right, let's get into today. I
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: don't want this video to go too long. I'm only
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: gonna add two more plays. One in hockey, one in Bay,
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: one in a baseball No baseball is over, one in basketball.
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: Let's do this, all right, Tampa Bay and Utah. There's
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: some afternoon hockey at three thirty pm Eastern.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: Utah is a small favorite, up from minus one h
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: two to minus one oh seven, sixty percent of the tickets,
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: sixty eight percent of the cash on them.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: I don't have a lot to say about the side
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: in this game.
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: I would actually need to the over in this game,
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: and I'm not gonna give it out as a play.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: I'm just I'm gonna sit and see if I'm right
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: about these overs. And I gotta get some more confidence
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: with my with my totals, man, because I'm way more
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: of a side guy, obviously. I'm entirely sides pretty much hockey.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: I did fairly well with the overs last year, but
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: it was still a little bit sketchy. But we have
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: sixty nine percent of the tickets ninety three percent of
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over in this one.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: Total.
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: Is just sitting at six looking at what the setup
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: is in this game.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay.
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: I don't believe they played yesterday. They beat Dallas in
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: overtime on Thursday, so they're coming up a pretty big game.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: So it looks a little bit like like kind of
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot for me, even though I know Utah
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: is like they have a good record right now, but
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: I think you're always going to pay more attention to
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Dallas and Tampa Bay's next opponent of Colorado then Vegas,
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: than Washington.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: So even though Utah.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: Is eight and three, it seems to me like Utah
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: is actually kind of the spot that maybe Tampa would
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: overlook a little bit. So I guess, yeah, I do have,
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: I guess a slight opinion. Then you agreement with market.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: I would agree with the Utah side as well, slightly,
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: I guess for that reason.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: But Tampa is starting a road trip. So a lot
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: of times you just start a road trip, you are
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: I just worry about the letdown spot a little bit there,
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: which I think maybe will detract from their off focus
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit. Utah. Wait, wait, wait, Jeffrey, what are
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: you talking about. Yeah, Utah didn't play yesterday. I don't
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: know what we're even talking about. Utah hasn't played since Tuesday.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: But they lost to Edmonton and that ended a long
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: wind streak for them. They had seven wins in a
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: row prior to that loss. So when a team loses
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: a wind streak like that, a lot of times that
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: will hang them over a little bit. And they're returning
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: home from a road trip, which they have been on
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: since the twenty third, so they've been away from home.
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: For a while. I don't love how this sets up
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: man for Utah either.
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: I think maybe Utah is still in a slightly better spot.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: But this is why I lean to the over more
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: than the side here.
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: Utah. I'm still not really sold on their two goaltenders either.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: I think they're a little bit worse than the record looks,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: so I will.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: Say that, but I think they could have a hangover
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: after that Edmonton game the return home spot. Sometimes you
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: are distracted and they have to go right back out
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: on the road.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: I had to start a road trip on Tuesday.
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: So these single game home stands are just really weird
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: when they're sandwiched in between two road trips. A lot
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: of times that's not a good spot for the home team.
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: So for those reasons, I actually think the over is
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: the better way to play that game. Oh shit, my mistake, dude.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: How did I forget about college?
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah? All right? Oh thank you?
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Yes, okay, yes, yes, yes, I'm an idiot. Yes, Utah
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: in college. Yeah, I had that game on over here
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: while I was doing the NFL show.
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: Yes, correct. Oh my god, how did I forget about that? Yes?
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: Oh you thin, like by the Ducks? You meant Oregon?
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: Oh my god, no it was Uta. Yeah, Utah and
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati they're both in the Big twelve. Yeah yeah, Utah
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: blew them out.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah. That was that was an easy That was an
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: easy one.
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: Man. That was one of those ones where the oddsmakers
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: were telling you something completely different than the rankings makers.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I've ever seen a team that's
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: the lower ranked of the two teams.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: Being like a ten point favorite. Yeah. Yeah.
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: The only thing I was really worried about was will
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: Utah cover that or not? And I should have used
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: them as survivor I guess because I got knocked out
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: a survivor after Kansas, you know.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: Kept me alive.
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: Fucking Auburn basically didn't even score and cost me my
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: Survivor entry. I thought it was the right call. I
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: thought Auburn was the right side to cover in that
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: game too against Kentucky. After Kentucky played a couple of
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: big games in a row, I liked Auburn and that
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: one Auburn was the better team. I don't know what
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: happened in that game, man, and Auburn, like, if you
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: look at the remaining schedule, that was the spot to
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: use them in Survivor bullshit?
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Correct? Yeah? Oh yeah. The losses.
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm never gonna forget losing on the Ray Rice
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: fourth and twenty nine play playing the Charge in when
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: the Ravens were in a Steeler sandwich. Yeah, and the
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: Chargers had the lead by ten in the fourth quarter.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't want to remember that.
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: Columbus at the New York Islanders, the Islanders down for
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty seven of minus one thirty six on
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: the money line, fifty three percent of the tickets eighty
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: two percent of the catch on them, so the money's
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: indicating on the Islanders. I actually lead to the over
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: in this game as well, more so than the side
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: high total in this one, though at six and a half.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: I think I was wrong about the over.
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: Opinion that I had yesterday, which I think was in Uh, well,
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: I think I had won in Detroit, or excuse me,
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: in San Jose and uh whoever the hell they were playing.
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: Whoever San Jose beat yesterday that game, and I was
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: right about the San Jose side, I think yesterday as well.
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: I think it was against the Aves. And then I
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: I think I had one other overleen that I was
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: not correct about yesterday, but I gotta pay attention to
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: it because I gotta see if my if I'm spot
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: on with these overs and not for the most part,
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: But I like the old in this one. Columbus in
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: the Islanders, I mean Columbus, they play a lot of overs.
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: Generally because that's just the style that they play, and.
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: They don't have particularly good goaltending eighty two percent of tickets,
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent of the cash on the over in
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: this one. I think both teams are just not a
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: particularly good spots here. Columbus off to a seven and
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: four start, so I could see somewhat of the argument
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: for the Islanders as well, just being that Columbus is
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: not as good as their record makes it look like
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: they are, and I would agree with that sentiment. I
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: think they're kind of a they're like a like mediocre team. Basically,
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: I would say they're coming off four wins in a row.
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: They did just beat Saint Louis, but they did it yesterday,
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: so they are on a back to back.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: They're starting a road trip with.
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: Momentum here at least, but still on a back to
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: back with travel. It's not exactly the easiest spot for them.
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: They're growing up against the Islanders. Like I said, Islanders,
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: They're sitting at five hundred to five to five and one.
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: Islanders did not play yesterday, but they were returning over
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: from a road trip. They beat Washington on Friday to
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: finish the road trip, so they could be in a
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: letdown spot. That was a big win beating Washington. Washington
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: was one of the top teams in the conference last year.
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: The Islanders played actually back to back days too. They
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: went on the back end of the back to back
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: then they only had one day off, so they're actually
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four days and actually a
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: fourth game in six days as well, all in different cities,
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: and on top of that, returning home from a road
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: trip makes it a bit of a difficult spot. Man
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: could be a bit distracted there. So I definitely do
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: not like the Islanders here. I actually I somewhat disagree
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: with the side actually in this one, with the Islander side,
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: with what the money is saying there. That return home spot,
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: I think kind of negates the fact that you know
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: that Columbus based on the record. Yeah, I mean the
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: record makes a look better than they are, but the spot,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: I think it is worse for the Islanders.
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: Columbus is at least starting a road trip.
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Part of it is probably because Columbus is on the
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: back to back though, so I don't like that either obviously,
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: But that's again why I like the over in this one.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: I think the over in this.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: Game probably makes even more sense than the one in
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: the other game, even though the other game has a
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: somewhat lower total and more of the cash on the over,
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: but I like the over in both of those games.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: That would be my preferred way of playing those. Calgary
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: at Philadelphia, I don't think I have a whole lot
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: to say about this one. I mean, these two teams
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: are not very good. Philadelphia is not as good as
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: the record looks. They did lose yesterday to Toronto, so
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: I had the correct call in that one, and that
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: one was not a play of mind. So wasn't that
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: just great? The market was really heavily indicating on Toronto.
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is on a back to back now after that
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: that ended a win streak for them as well, so
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's the greatest spot for Philadelphia here.
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: It's also a third game in four days as well,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: so I don't like that aspect of it either. They
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: might overlook Calgary as well because they're really bad, and
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia does have Montreal next, which is gonna be a
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: bit of a bigger game, an.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: In conference game.
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: Calgary is at least trying to salvage something on the
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: road trip they played yesterday too, and they're having to
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: travel from Nashville to Philadelphia, and they're also playing third
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: game in four days, fourth game in six days. And
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: actually a fifth game in eight days, all in different cities,
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: So I don't love that either. Really, So I don't
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: love the spot for either team again really so, I
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: mean this game again looks like it could be. Yeah,
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: it could potentially be another over game here. And again
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, you got two teams with bad gold ending
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: in this one, so there is that the tickets ninety
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash coming in on the over here.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: It'll be interesting also because I think if.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Vloodaarr is playing for Philadelphia, though I don't know if
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: he is, who do they have a net yesterday?
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: They had Vladaar yesterday, so I probably.
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: Won't be him, but that would be weird because I
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: think it would be Volodiaar playing against this former team. Yeah,
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: I mean on the money line, Philadelphia down for minus
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: one forty one thirty three seventy three percent of tickets
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the cash on Philly, so the
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: money somewhat on the flyers side. I don't really I
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: don't really have a strong opinion on the side at
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: all in this one. Again, I think the over might
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: be worth looking at in that game as well.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: Don't like the situation that sets up for either team.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: My one play is gonna be in New Jersey Anaheim,
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: and then we do have Detroit and San Jose. Or no, wait,
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: my one play is gonna be Detroit and San Jose.
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: I'm so stupid, dude. Yeah, Detroit and San Jose is
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: where my one play is. New Jersey Anaheim. I do
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: not have a play. I was kind of considering it,
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna do it New Jersey. They're finishing
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: a road trip here, and they're only one and two
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: on the road trip, so I could see maybe them
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: being focused here to try and wind up with a
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: split on the road trip. But they did just meet
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: the Kings yesterday, so that's a pretty big win.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be playing a back to back here.
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth game
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: in six days, all in different cities. Although this leg
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: here is just from La to Anaheim, which is a
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: pretty short trip, but still it's still a different arena
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: in a different city technically, so the spot isn't that
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: great as far as on New Jersey not being rested,
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: although I'm assuming Alan is gonna be back in net
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: for them, and he's been their better goalie this year
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: because Markstrom played yesterday, so it will probably be alan
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: so that's not terrible for New Jersey, although I still
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: don't love the spot. And then New Jersey when they
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: come back home, they do face Montreal after they come
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: back home, and that is probably a bigger deal than
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: facing Anaheim because it is a game against a good
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: team in the Eastern Conference. Anaheim is off to a
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: six and three start though, six three and one, so
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: will New Jersey completely overlook them?
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, I still don't think people buy that Anaheim
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: is as good as their record looks. And even I
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: don't buy that, I don't think they are. Anaem's coming
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: up a couple of big wins themselves though. They did
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: just beat Florida in a shootout on Tuesday, and then
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: they came back home and on Friday they beat Detroit,
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: so a couple of.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: Big wins for Anaheim too.
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think they're gonna be unfocused against
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: New Jersey though, I mean, I think it's another big
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: game for them.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, the spot I think is a little bit
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: better for Anaheim, but I just can't get there with it.
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: Slightly in to Anaheim in this one for me, but
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I worry about it maybe being a
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: little bit of a not really a letdown spot necessarily,
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: but a spot where maybe Anaheim just can't keep up
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: that effort that many games in a row. I mean,
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: they did have the day off, whereas New Jersey I
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: believe did not. Right.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: New Jersey played yesterday in LA.
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so there was a little bit of a rest
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: advantage on the side of Anaheim. I don't know who
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: anaim' is gonna have a goalie here in net. I
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: should say New Jersey down for my just one twenty
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: seven to Mins win eighteen on the money line, fifty
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: three percent of tickets, fifty nine percent of the cash
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: on New Jerseys the money slightly into getting on New
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Jersey right now, but the money line did drop on them,
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: so some I'm going to consider there. And the money's
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: also coming in on the under in that game for
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: whatever reason. Don't really understand that one. But again, I'm
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: not really a totals guy, so whatever. All Right, my
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: one play, I'm gonna start calling it the the whole
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: show is the best bet segment. Whatever, all Right, the
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: one play I'm gonna go. We're gonna go to these
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: regulation bets now, even though I can't really track them
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: correctly on Action Network unless I link it with every
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: single book that has these things. But we're gonna go
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: with Detroit to win in regulation, which is the sixty
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: minute line. They set it up like a soccer bet,
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: basically like a three way line.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: So that's what that is.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: I found it at minus one fifteen out there. I
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: don't know, there might be a better number out there,
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: but it's gonna be somewhere around that. You're basically you're
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: getting them at a price that makes way more sense
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: to play them. Although of course, if they don't win regulation,
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: if they win in overtime, you're gonna lose the bets.
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: That's the one thing. So if you want to do
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: something a little bit differently, and you want to do
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: one of my split bets where you put like two
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: thirds of it on the on the money line, which
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: is like minus one eighty right now, and and a
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: third of it on the minus one and one and
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: a half puck line, you could do that as well,
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: and then if Detroit does win by one in overtime,
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: you'll push on that.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Basically, but I'm gonna do the regulation bet.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: I think if you do that up puck line thing,
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: you'll get about the same price creating your own minus
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: one puck line. So I'm gonna do it with this
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: this way instead, though, because this way you're either gonna
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: win or you're gonna lose in regulation, and that's just
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: the way that it is. So this way at least,
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: you know, I mean, well, this way, yeah, you get
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: the price down.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: I mean that's the whole deal.
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: Though. Of course, with the other way, if you do
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: the puck line and they go into overtime, you don't
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: immediately lose the bet. So that's the advantage of playing
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: it the other way, all right. I like Detroit here though, man.
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna get this one done. They're up
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: for minus one seventy five to minus one eighty four
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: on the money line. I know they're gonna be a
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: somewhat public side against the Sharks, but I think the
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: spot for the Sharks.
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: Is just bad, dude.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: At sixty four percent of the tickets eighty nine percent
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: of the cash coming in on Detroit, so the money
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: is agreeing with this one on Detroit.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: Detroit.
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: I believe they have a little bit of rest right now.
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, they are certainly the better team as well.
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: They haven't played since Friday, and they're sitting there in
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: the middle of excusely, they're in the middle of a
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: road trip here, and yes, they do a Vegas up next,
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: but I don't think they're gonna be on focus here
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: because they do just lose to Anaheim the last timeout.
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: And yeah, you could argue that. The thing that I
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: argue a lot is when a team as a winning
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: a win streak and they lose it, sometimes that'll hang
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: them over.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: But in this case, I don't really think so.
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, a loss to Anaheim is pretty ugly, man,
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: So I expect Detroit to kind of bounce back from
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: that here, and they have a day off to kind
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: of figure shit out. They're staying in the same time zone,
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: they're going up to Northern California here. I think they're
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: gonna show up for this. I just think the spot
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: is way way worse for San Jose here. San Jose
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: is sitting at four to six to two, and I
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: think they're definitely worse than that. They're coming off wins
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: on Thursday against new and then they won yesterday in
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: overtime against Colorado, And I told you that I liked
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: San Jose in that game, at least on the puck line,
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: because Colorado was in a bad spot having just beaten
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: New Jersey and Vegas, so I liked the spot better
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: for San Jose. San Jose, I thought, was still not
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: in a great spot off the win over New Jersey,
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: so I kind of like the over which I was
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: wrong about in the game against Colorado. San Jose though,
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: now they're coming up two huge wins, they're on the
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: back to back. Yes they're staying at home, but I
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: don't like how this sets up at all. Man, They're
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: not the better team quite obviously. It'll probably be in
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: a Delkovic back in net for them again, and he
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: is probably actually their preferred goalie here. But I don't
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: think either one of their goalies is good. I think
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: they're both fatable. They're a fatable team, obviously, so that's
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: what we're gonna do here. I think it's a bad
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: team and a bad spot. And sometimes it's as simple
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: as that. I mean, I'm not gonna just play against
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: a bad team always, right, I mean, you saw him
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: NFL card today.
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: I'm on a lot of bad teams.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: But in a case like this, it's a spot where
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: it sets up better for the better team. I think
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: the better team could take care of business. We'll be
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: on Detroit to win in regulation. I'm sorry, there it
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: is again. Or if you want to do the split bet,
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: like the puck line thing, you can do that as well.
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: I think that's fine as well. Yeah, put sixty million
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: dollars on it. No, that's the that's the six million. No,
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: that's the the sixty minute line is what it's called,
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: because it's it's just whatever it is in regulation. So
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: you get, like a soccer bet, you get three options
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: you can play. You can play either team to have
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: the like, you can play either team to win in regulation.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Or you can also.
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: Play like the draw option on the sixty minute line,
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: which means it's going to go into overtime.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: And of course that is the least likely of those
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: three options. So I believe it is.
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, actually, I'm not even sure. Is the underdog's
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: so bad in this one that they actually have less
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: of a chance.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: Let me say, I'll look real quick, because I did
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: have it up. No, it's gonna take me too long.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: To find it.
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I forget how the three way line works out, really,
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: but I really just pay attention to the favorite because
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: that's really the only time you look at a three
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: way line, or at least for me in hockey, is
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: when I when I want to get the line on
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: the favorite down. All right, let's talk about NBA and
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: then I'll reiterate my NFL plays and then I'll get
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: out of here. NBA, we have eight games. I mean,
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: some of these games I'm just not gonna really go
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: into a lot of detail with. I mean, New Orleans
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: has no wins. The thunder I have no losses. The
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: Thunderer up from an eleven a half to twelve and
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: a half, is a huge favorite here in this afternoon game.
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: This game, I don't find terribly interesting tickets. Fifty nine
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: percent of the couch on the Pelicans. I don't really
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: see much of a situation in this. Don't really have
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: much of an opinion at all. It looked like the
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: money early on was coming in on the thunder side,
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: but you would think the thunder would be a public side,
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: although it looks like right now they're not really so
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, I would not really want
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: to have money on the Pelicans of this one though,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: Let's just put it that way.
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: Even though normally.
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: For me, I would be looking towards a winless team
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: against an unbeaten team, but I just don't think so.
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia at Brooklyn, this one was close to being a
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: play for me. Actually, I like Brooklyn in this game.
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia just took their first loss of the season to
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: my Boston Celtics, and the Celtics were blowing them out
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: of the building and almost blew it again. So the
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: Celtics almost had two blown games against Philadelphia. This one
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: even more ridiculous because the Celtics are winning this game
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: by more than twenty points, I think in the middle
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: of the game, and they almost blew it. Celtics still
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: got away with it and won the game. First loss
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: of the season for Philly. You know, I talk about
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: this sometimes when a team takes the first loss, it
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: can definitely hang them over and that's always a big
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: game when you play the Celtics. Now they got to
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: face this lowly Brooklyn team, and coming up next they
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: got to face undefeated Chicago and then they got Cleveland
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: after that. So I think it's a sandwich spot looks
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: pretty bad to me for Philadelphia. I would only play
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn here.
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: My only issue here so.
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: Well, Brooklyn, I mean they're owing five. That's not really
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: an issue for me. I mean I would still take
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: the points with an H and five team. Brooklyn has
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: more rest. They've been off since Wednesday, so that's I
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: think good. That'll maybe stop they're losing momentum a little
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: bit here, get them ready, to get them prepared for
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: this game. So I actually like that. The fact that
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: they have a lot of days off here. Philadelphia played
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: on a Friday against Boston, so they're not on the
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: back to back, but there's more rest for Brooklyn. My
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: only issue with this is you're no longer getting the
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: seven and a half, which is what it was on
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: the Sixers.
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: It's down to five.
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: Now, and that's because Joel Embiid is not playing in
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: It's a it's it's a scheduled day of rest for
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Embiid basically because his knee.
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: Is so fucked so he's not gonna play. But does
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: that make it an injured player theory spot? I don't know, man,
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. It's tempting to still say
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: I want to play the nets here though, because you
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: can still get plus five on them. I know it's
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: certainly not as good as seven or seven and a half.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: Eighty seven percent of the tickets are on the sixers,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of the cash coming inder the nets though,
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: so the money is saying what I'm saying, to take
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: the nets. I'm tempted to add this play. To be honest,
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: the only thing that's really keeping me back is the
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: Embiid thing, because it's like, is the embid thing being
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: factory into the line too much? Is really the question?
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, they shave two and a half points off
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: of the line for Embiid being rested, but it's not
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: really an injured player spot though, because it's like this
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: is just one of those NBA things where it's like
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: a day of rest for the guys. So is the
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: team really gonna step up their player or are they
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: gonna still just fall into that sandwich spot anyway? I mean,
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: maybe they will. I mean Embiid hasn't been playing a
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: lot of minutes really. If you look at what he
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: did in the Celtic game, he played like twenty something minutes.
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: He played well, I mean he's been he's put up
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: good numbers in a couple of these games.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: Man, this is tough.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: I kind of want to do it, should I you
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: think that's good for the Sixers? I don't know, man, Pacers, Wizards. Yeah,
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: I told you that I leaned to Orlando in that
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: game against the Wizards, Yesterda. It wasn't It wasn't a
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: strong opinion. But three and one is good obviously. Yeah,
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: my Celtics got destroyed by Houston. I should have given
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: that out. Should have given that out as a play
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: NBA teasers, I do not recommend users in anything besides NFL,
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: and only long NFL users.
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: There's just no value in doing it.
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: Like in the NBA, you're getting games where games are
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: you know, going to the two hundreds for the for points.
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: So like a six point teaser is worth so much
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: less in the NBA.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: Like I don't I don't agree with teasing in the
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: NBA at all. Uh, the points are just worth way less,
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean? This spot is just so
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: bad for the Sixers here. I think made that huge
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: comeback against the Celtics just to fall short.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what, I'm gonna do it.
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: It's gonna it's gonna give me more Instagram videos to
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: have to do as well, which I don't love.
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: But let's do it. I'm gonna do it.
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: Yeah, anyway, whatever and bead in or out, fuck it,
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: don't care. What's the best number we can get on this. Yeah,
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: you can get five and a half on this.
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: It looks like.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I'm doing it right now. I'm adding it
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: to the list. We're gonna do the Brooklyn Nets plus
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: five and a half here, fuck it, Sunday Sunday, NBA.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: Baby, let's do it.
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: We'll take the Brooklyn Nets. They've been down by double
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: digits of the fourth quarter of every game. Yeah, so
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: that's that's a good sign, especially when when you're playing
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: against them when they're a favorite as well. So yeah,
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: I like it, and beat in or out. I like
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: it either way. Man, It's just you're getting a bit
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: of a worse number on it here, but still, I mean, yeah,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: I like it. I think it's a bad spot. I
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: think it's a sandwich spot. As far as the rest
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: of these games, I mean, I'm not going to really
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: talk about every single one of these games.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the Hornets right now.
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: For what it's worth fifty four percent of the cash,
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the tickets evenly split between.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: The Jazz and the Hornets.
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: Both these teams are coming off of good like excuse me.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: Both these teams are in a good spot to focus,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: I think, because they're both coming off bad games where
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: the I think they both got blown out in their
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: last game.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: So the under actually might make sense of this game.
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: And the money is actually coming in that way five
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets and sixty one percent of the
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, So I would actually lean under
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: in Jazz Hornets. And you're also looking at two teams
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: that are not really prolific offensively at the very least
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: Atlanta at Cleveland. This is a bigger game, two decent teams.
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on Cleveland up from five and
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: a half to six here, seventy three percent of the tickets,
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: eighty eight percent of the cash coming in on Cleveland.
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: So the money's coming in on the Cleveland side. And
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna agree with it because I think
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: this is a spot where I think both teams are
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: gonna show up, and I think you just want to
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: lean to the better team here Atlanta's coming off a
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: blowout win over Indiana, which looks a little bit less
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: good right now because Indiana has so many injuries right now,
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: although it is still the team that won the Eastern
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Conference last year. But is it gonna be a look,
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, excusely gonna be Is it gonna be a
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: letdown spot for Atlanta when they're playing Cleveland here?
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: I don't think so.
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think they're gonna focus on the team,
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: one of the teams that's one of the best in
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: the East, even though they're only three and three right now.
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's had a pretty difficult schedule so far too, so
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: they're pretty battle tested. But Cleveland's coming off losing to
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: Toronto by double digits on Friday. That was pretty ugly, man.
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: I think maybe they were just hung over from that
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: loss to Boston. I talked about that when I talked
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: about that Cleveland Toronto game. I think this is definitely
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot. It's the next game back home
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: as well, although they weren't gone for that long. But
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: a lot of times that second game back home after
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: you do badly the first time is a much more
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: positive spot. So I'm not gonna disagree with the market
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: in that one. I think Cleveland wins and covers in
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: that one. That would be my opinion there. Memphis at
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: Toronto I think are actually both in bad spots. Memphis
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: coming off that game where they blew it unfortunately, because
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: I was on Memphis in Luca's return, Memphis almost was
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: able to get the win against La and they blew
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: a second half lete in that game.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: Fuck that.
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: So Memphis is coming off that they're having to travel
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: up to Toronto for a single game road trip, so
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: it looks like a bad spot hangover spot from Memphis.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: The problem is Toronto, I think is in a let
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: down spot because they're coming off beating the Cleveland Calves
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: in Cleveland and coming back home from that, so I
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: think it's a major letdown spot for Toronto here. So
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: both teams to me are in pretty bad spots here.
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: So you know me, when I see that, I tend to.
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: Want to go over. And the money is kind of
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: saying that.
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: Although the total in literally dropped from two forty two
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: to two thirty eight and a half eighty percent of
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: the tickets ninety six percent of the cash on the over,
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: so the money is still kind of saying over as
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: far as the cash percent is is concerned, I'm not
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: gonna give out any of these totals. I'm just gonna
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna watch and like see if my read is
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: good on these totals. UH, So we will potentially be
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: looking towards an over in that game. Although yes, correct,
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: oh you're right Moran to suspend it, so that actually
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: is probably why the total dropped, thank you, Jeffrey. Yet
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: that's actually probably why the total moved to uh to
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: account for the Morant suspension. So I actually that actually
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: makes me feel better about the over here because I
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: just don't see either of these teams playing it playing
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: a the deepfense here for one thing. Especially Memphis doesn't
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: really play good deepfense. I know Moran is gonna is
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: their top scorer and he's out, but yeah, he got
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: suspended for a game.
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think.
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else I was gonna say about it,
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I think the over kind of makes sense
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: still with him being out, because you're getting a little
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: bit more value on that total with him being out,
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: because I think it may be over.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Adjusted a little bit.
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: I think he'll still see scoring in this game with
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: both teams in bad spots. I think the deepfense just
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: won't be really up to par here. You like Memphis,
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: I agree with Memphis. I disagree with Yahoo. I would
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: stop looking at Yahoo entirely. The money here is telling
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: me that it is on Memphis. Raptors up from four
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: and a half to five here, fifty six percent of
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them, fifty four percent of the cash
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: taking the points with the Grizzlies. I don't disagree with
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: you on the Grizzlies. I think the Raptors are in
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: the worst spot because being in Cleveland on the road,
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, that just puts you in a major letdown spot. Man,
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: it's a tough spot for the Grizzlies too, So I
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: actually prefer the over in this game. But I do
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: agree with the Grizzlies side. And I think the thing
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: that would kind of put me over the top for
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: the Grizzlies is the Morant suspension, because you know that's
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: the reason why the Raptors are up to a five
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: point favorite here. I think the line has probably over
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: adjusted a little bit because Morant is out, so you're
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: gonna get a little bit more value on the Grizzlies,
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: and he's a head case dude. So with him out,
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: you know, you're gonna get a better effort out of
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: the Grizzlies most likely, you know, just because he's out
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: of that kind of plays against my over a little
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: bit there. Although they're gonna that means probably they're gonna
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: focus on both sides of the ball. But so that
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: might mean the focus defensively a little bit more. But yeah,
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: with Moran out, I think the team will step it
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: up a little bit and you get a little bit
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: more value on them. And because he's a head case,
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: they might actually just play better with him not there.
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: Bulls and Knicks is gonna be the one play that
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: I have today, Spurs at Phoenix. Do we potentially have
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: the Spurs first loss here? That was a question that
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: somebody asked me yesterday in the chat here. It might
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: have been JC, I don't remember. I said the Spurs
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: are gonna either lose this game or lose at the
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: Lakers in the next game. It could be this game.
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean to taking the points with the Suns here.
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: Spurs are down from six and a half to five
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: and a half. Here, eighty percent of the tickets on
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: the Spurs eighty seven percent of the cash on the Suns,
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: so the market is in strong agreement with the Suns
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: on this one. I know the Spurs are five and
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: a hoo WEMBA looks really good. They face a pretty
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: easy schedule so far. I mean, I think their best
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: win so far is either the one at I guess
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: it's against Dallas. That was their best win. They just
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: annihilated Dallas. But first game, you know, Dallas is having
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: growing pains. They have Cooper Flag there. Now you know
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: they're still trying to get used to that new line
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: up there, so I think you could explain why that happened.
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: And then San Antonio did get a win over Miami,
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: which is a pretty good win as well at home,
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: though now they're going out on the road. They got
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: to face Phoenix, so they do have LA and then Houston.
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: I think those are both bigger games for San Antonio. Man,
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: the Lakers obviously a huge game, and then Houston is
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: good as well, and they're an in state rival, so
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: I think they might kind of look past this Phoenix team.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: It's just not playing well.
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: And I know I've been saying that Phoenix sucks but Phoenix,
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: Phoenix did just beat Utah in a blowout, and I
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: don't think Phoenix is gonna be overconfident after that, because
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: when you beat a team that's not very good and
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: you end a long lost streak like that, I think
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: that's just gonna give you some newfound momentum to carry forward.
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: So I actually do like Phoenix in this game. And
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: Phoenix has faced some more difficult schedule too. I mean
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: the face of the Clippers Denver on the road that
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: was a revenge game against Utah actually because they lost
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: at Utah which was one of my wins on the show,
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: in a bad spot. And then they lost to Memphis
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: as well in a close game. So Phoenix maybe not
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: quite as bad as the record would look either, and
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: san Antonio is probably a little bit less good. And
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: then the record because even though I do think they're
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: pretty good Suns plus the points is my opinion, in
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: that one, that was that was their second that was
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: their second win. I would not I would not fade
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: the Spurs in the Laker game. This this is the
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: spot to fade. I'm telling you right now, this is
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: the spot to fade the Spurs. If you want to,
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: you wanna if you want to, you know, you want
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: to get to get stubborn toad out here. I'll call
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: it right now. This is gonna be the spurs first loss.
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: They're gonna lose outright to the Suns.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: I think it's a look ahead spot.
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna see a better performance out of
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: the Spurs against the Lakers, although the Lakers are gonna
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: be favored against them, which again is why I don't
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: think that you should lay points.
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: To the Lakers against the Spurs.
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: I think this is the spot to play against the
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: Spurs where they're being overvalued in the market. And then
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: you have Miami against the Lakers here. This is a
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: pretty big game for both teams. This game is gonna
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: be the last game on the slate here. Miami coming
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: off that loss to San Antonio, now they got to
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: face the Lakers.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: Go gotta go up to the Pacific Coast for a
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: Lake game.
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: This is the first time they're playing on the Pacific
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: Coast this year. So yeah, it's a bit of a
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: difficult spot for Miami having to do that. The Lakers,
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: I think are probably in a little bit of a
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: better position here, though I know that they do have
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: to play San Antonio on Wednesday, but they actually have
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: to face Portland in between the two, So that's a
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: spot where you might want to look towards Portland, man,
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: except for the fact that Portland did just beat LA
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: in LA, so it is gonna be a little bit
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: of a revenge spot for LA.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: But that looks like a weird sandwich spot on a
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: back to back.
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: They have to go play in Portland tomorrow and then
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: come back home. That is a weird scheduling spot for
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: the Lakers, man, very very strange spot, which again because
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: of that travel there, while San Antonio is not going
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: to be playing, that San Antonio Lakers game is gonna
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: set up better for San Antonio. I think the Lakers
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: coming that went over Memphis where they probably shouldn't have
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: won the game. I thought it was a letdown spot.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: If they beat Minnesota, now they get Miami here. They're
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: coming back going from a road trip though, but it
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: was a short road trip and they want to have
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: only been a waste since Wednesday, So I actually don't
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: love the spot here for the Lakers either. The money's
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: actually coming back in on the heat. Lakers down for
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: five and a half to five here, sixty percent of
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them, sixty six percent of the cash
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: coming back in on the heat. So the money is saying,
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: take the points is the heat. I'm not so sure
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: about that, man, because I think the spot to fade
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: the Lakers was that last game against Memphis, and they
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: still got away with the win in that one. That
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: was Luca's return, remember, so it was the reverse injured
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: player spot, and usually the second game that your star
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: players back, you know you're back in the swing of
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: things and you actually play better. So I'm not really
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: sure about the Miami side in this one. I slightly
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: leaned in the other direction in.
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: That game, but that's my opinion there. You like Miami
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: and that one, Yeah, I I don't.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: I don't really certainly not even close to my favorite.
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: You have a Nix minus two Pelicans plus seventeen and
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: a half ough man. I mean again, this is I
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: just don't like teasers in the NBA at all. I mean,
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: you're not getting through any real like key numbers or
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: anything like that. I like the Knicks as you're about
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: to see, but I'm just playing it as a straight
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: straight bet here. Yeah, I mean again, the value I
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: just don't think is there for teasers, like it's a
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: six point teaser or whatever, or in your case, what
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: is that a five point teaser? I mean, points are
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: just worth so much less in the NBA because so
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: many points get scored. Oklahoma City is also known for
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: just absolute destruction of teams at home, So that does
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: worry me, Like if Oklahoma City, I mean, the only
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: thing that helps out that Pelicans play is that Oklahoma
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: City might just try to get in and get out
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: and not really care. But they do blow out a
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: lot of teams at home. Of course, as you know,
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: you knew this was coming. I'm gonna lay the points
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: with the knicks. They're down from eight to seven and
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: a half with reduced juice. I saw sevens out there
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: and multiple books, so seven is a key number. I
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: would much prefer laying seven to seven and a half here,
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: So I would say find that I actually saw six
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: and a half at minus one fifteen at a couple
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: of books too. The seven was I think at Caesar's
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: in mass but I think a couple of books actually
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: had the seven fifty.
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Four percent of the.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: Tickets on the bulls eighty six percent of the cash
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: coming in on the Knicks.
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: You look at this spread and then you look at
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: the team's records.
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: How the hell are the five and oh Bulls a
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: seven point underdog against the two and three New York Knicks. Well,
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: we're about to find out why that's the case. First
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: of all, the osmakers are telling you the Knicks are
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: the better team, So that's something you have to take
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: notice of, man, when you see records that just don't
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: jive with the.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: Spread at all.
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: The Knicks are undefeated at home, by the way, Their
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: only two wins are at home, and they actually won
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: both of those by more than seven points points, so
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: we'll see that in a minute too, So that's good.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: Yes, the Bulls are one and zero on the road,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: but they've only played one road game so far.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: So part of the reason why the Bulls are five
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: and oh they've played basically all home games that they've
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: actually not faced a very difficult schedule, except for the
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: fact that they played the Knicks on Friday. That was
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: a loss for me, I know, but I'm going right
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: back to the well again, and I know the Knicks
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: were laying like one and a half on the road
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: in that game. So if you give each team, maybe
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: two for home court, which is being generous.
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: Maybe this line should.
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: Be like five and a half. So this lines is
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: a little high, I guess, but I still like it.
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: I still think we got to do it. First of all,
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: because Chicago beat New York.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: In that game.
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: This is a revenge spot now for the Knicks, although
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: I think that it's kind of like a zigzag spot,
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: which I think is probably the books have adjusted it
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: a little bit towards the Knicks because they know about
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: these zigzag spots at this point. They know about that phenomenon,
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: so you're not getting a ton of live value here,
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: But is really the key numbers. I think as long
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: as you get basically on the right side of seven,
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: I still like this. The Knicks are gonna be the
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: team with the adjustments to make, man, because they lost
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: that game to Chicago.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: So if you're Chicago, it's like, well, what do you
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: have to change?
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: You have nothing to change, right because you just beat
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: the Knicks, so you have nothing to really do. Now
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: you gotta go face the Knicks again. They're gonna have
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: all the adjustments to make. The only other road game
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: the Bulls played was at Orlando, and yeah, they won
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: by a huge margin. But Orlando, I mean they were
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: still trying to get used to their new up tempo offense.
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: Like Orlando was really struggling early on, and they're starting
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: to get a little bit better maybe now, But so
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna put too much stock into that win
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: at Orlando. This is gonna be a difficult spot. Only
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: the second road game for them. The Knicks have faced
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: a much more difficult schedule. I mean they face Cleveland, Boston, Miami, Milwaukee, Chicago,
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: like they've literally had no let up, Like they faced
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: one of the most difficult schedules so far, and their
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: last three games were all on the road and they
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: lost to all of them. So the schedules, there's a
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: big discrepancy in how strong the schedules are. The Knicks
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: have been way more battle tested, and they're gonna be
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: the team I think in the bounce back Spider. Yes,
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: they're returning over from a road trip. I get it,
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: like sometimes that can lead to a distraction, But do
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: you really think they're gonna be distracted facing the five
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: and zero bulls who literally just beat them on Friday.
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: I highly doubt it. I don't think that distraction is
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: gonna come into play. I think the Knicks are gonna
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: show up. And this score was misleading too, which I
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: was complaining about because the Knicks did have that leader
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: early and then they fell apart kind of. But the
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: Knicks got close again later in the game. They had
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: chances to overtake the Bulls here. But if you look
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: at what happened in this game the Bulls, this is
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: a bit of an outlier, men. The Bulls shot out
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: of their minds in this game. Fifty three point six
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: percent from the field, forty five point nine percent from three.
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: That's ridiculous.
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: I know the Knicks are not good at defending the three,
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: so I know that's, you know, maybe a little bit
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: less ridiculous, but that's still an outlier percentage, man. So
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: I think you have some things that indicate there's gonna
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: be some regression here.
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: And the Knicks had basically.
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: A normal shooting night for their part. And the other
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: thing that makes us a bit of an outlier was
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: the Bulls. They were at home and they were basically
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: getting all the calls.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: The Bulls had thirty.
• 57:17
  Speaker 2: Five free throw attempts and the Knicks only had twenty three,
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: so there was a huge free throw variance At this game.
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: There were fouls kind of all going one way for
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: the Bulls, so that made the result more skewed as well,
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: so some misleading aspects of that result as well. Nicks
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: minus the points will be the play there.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: I like it.
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: Nicks money line at minus two fifty, yeah, I mean,
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: if you want.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: To do it.
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: I mean that seems like a pretty high money line.
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: I know a lot of the professionals will take money
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: lines that are in that range and parlay them with
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: another money line, But you know me, I don't love parlays.
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: I just don't think you get good enough value on them,
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: and they are too independent results. So I don't hate
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: the idea of the money line if you want to
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: put that much money at risk.
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, you like this Knicks play.
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I think it's like that rare,
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: but I think it's a It's a good play.
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: It's one of those early season plays.
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: Where the records just don't tell you the right story, right,
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: Like you only find plays like this early in the season, really,
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: And on top of that, it is a zigzag spot,
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: so but there are but there are other zigzag spots.
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: There No one thing you don't One thing you do
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: not want to do.
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna take all my money up, plus I
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: would get penalized for it, dude, No, I'm not gonna
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: take a penalty on that. I already I took a
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: little bit of it out just to get me by
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: and already got penalized a little bit. One thing that
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: you don't want to do is put too much money
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: on anything. Like, even if you feel super strong about something,
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: you got to exercise discipline because any bet could lose, right,
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: there's still a huge element of luck involved here, So
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: you don't want to put more than Like I would
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: say that, like your max bet should be about like
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: five units, which should be like five percent of your
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: entire bank roll. You should never go more than that
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: on anything, and that should be like your strongest. Like
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: for me, the way that I was doing it is
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: I was putting like three percent on literally every single play,
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: just because I didn't really weigh in my place stronger
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: than the others, even like kind of should maybe, But I.
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: Don't do the stock market. No, I mean I was
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: in it for a while.
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: Actually, well I'm still I mean I'm technically still in it,
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: but I don't like I don't watch it and trade
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: stocks or anything like that. Like I have, like I
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: have more of those like stocks where you're in like
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: these like stocks that are like these you know, they
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: give you like this kind of.
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: Like wide like very portfolio.
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: Like I have a guy that like manages it for
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: me basically, so you know, Uh so I am in
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: the market in that way.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: Like so I don't know what's going on with it.
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: It's it's basically a retirement fun but it's uh, there's
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: a decent amount in there, but yeah, like a pretty
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: good amount really, but I can't access it for a
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: long time. So that's it's kind of the problem with it.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: So I'm not really playing the stock market right now.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: I was for a while, but I was mostly in
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: like gold and shit like that.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: All right, So that's gonna do it. Man. So those
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: plays are hockey.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: We have the Red Wings on the sixty minute line
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: to win in regulation, we got Brooklyn Nets plus the
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: points in NBA, Nicks minus the points in NBA. And
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: then if you saw my NFL show last night, thanks
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: for hanging out for that. You can go watch my
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: analysis there or pay attention on Instagram or I'll post
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: these eventually soon because the games are gonna start in
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: two hours. Carolina Panthers plus the points. We'll look and
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: see if we can get better than thirteen.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: But I don't think so.
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: Minnesota Vikings plus the points and New Orleans Saints plus
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: the points. You gotta love it, baby, I can go
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: see my analysis on that. I think they're all sandwich spots.
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: So pinzy.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: Thank you, sir, I appreciate it. Thanks for coming back.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: I'm not driving people away.
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: There you go.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: Stock market, yeah, it is also a casino. I just
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: don't don't. It's just not really my thing.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: Playing the sports market is my thing. Dirty sock, peace out, man,
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: If you're leaving, I'm gonna do Actually, I gotta bring
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: this back up. I'm gonna do my final market read,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: which I usually do in the NFL, because I was
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: hesitant on some of these plays.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: So taking a look at the market one more time.
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: Here Bears against Bengals. The Bears are still getting a
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: higher cash percentage there. And I had said that I
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: didn't love how the situational set up was for the Bears,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: but I don't really have a strong opinion situationally. There
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: so I guess for picking purposes, probably it's gonna be
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: the Bears because it does look like a strong market
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: read there. Forty nine ers Giants looked that way last night,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: but now it looks like the forty nine ers are
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: just kind of turning into.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: This public road favorite here.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: So I would probably slightly lean to the Giants and
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: that one plus the Points don't want to deal with
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: that though Falcons Patriots. I would still say, I think
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: there is some value taking the points of the Falcons
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: after how horrific they looked. But I mean, it's certainly
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: not a play because I'm not jumping in front of
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: a train like the Patriots here. But the Patriots are
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: a public favorite z with not a huge cash variants
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: on them, So silly in that way, sillyin to taking
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: the points.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: Of the Steelers.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: The Colts look like a public road favorite there in
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: a spot where maybe they get caught, Packers are still
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: getting more of the cash here. There's no way we're
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: gonna get the fourteen on it, unfortunately, but that's just
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: the way that it is. Man So, but they're a
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: very public team, and again the situation I think is
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: very strong, So obviously Panthers Lions very very public as well,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: even though they have slightly more of the cash on them.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: I don't buy that either.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: Vikings, by the way, it looks like can you get
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: ten on this now? It looks like there's nine and
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: a half out there on this one. I didn't recommend
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: waiting because I didn't think that you'd be able to
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: get ten, But maybe I'm actually wrong.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: Let me see.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: Uh No, it looks like the best you can get
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: is nine and a half, so we can call it
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: nine nine and a half.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: There's not much of a difference there.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: I don't think it will get to the ten, but
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: maybe only a couple hours left. But you can wait
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: for a little bit longer and see if it happens.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: But I don't think so.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: We'll score it at nine or nine and a half
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: on the show here. But yes, I like the Vikings. Obviously,
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: the money is still indicating on the Texans as a
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: reverse line move against a public Bronco side, so I
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: do like the Texans in that one. I also lean
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: to the under, and the total went up to that
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: key number forty one, so I kind of like the
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: under in that game too, with both teams putting up
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: kind of ridiculous offense last week. Although the Texans actually
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: didn't score, they didn't convert their offense into scoring. So
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but the Broncos have just been putting
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: up way too high point totals recently. This game is
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: two deepfenses that are better than the offenses. But I
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: like the Texans side there. Maybe look towards the money
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: line with the Texans that you won't have to lay
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: three at least on the Texans. Still lean towards the
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: Titans plus the points. Chargers very very public with less
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them. I'm still gonna lean to
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: the Raiders plus the points. Although this game, I mean,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: I think both teams were almost in the exact same
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: spot situationally, which is very very strange. Sixty eight percent
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: of tickets are on the Jags and the money fifty
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash coming back in on the Raiders.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: Still lean to the Raiders.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: There, we still were looking at a very public Rams side,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: even though slightly more of the cash and on them.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: I'm still not buying into that we're gonna be fading
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: the Rams in that one. As one of my plays
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: the Bills, I said that I leaned to the Bills
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: because I think the fact that it's a playoff revenge
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: is kind of putting them over the top here. But
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: now I'm gonna have to kind of wait and see
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: what this market looks like. This is gonna be the
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: toughest one to decide. I think I don't know what
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: the market is gonna look like by the time the
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: game kicks off, because now the Bills are looking like
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: a public home underdog, and that's never really what you want.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: Looks like more of the ticket percentage than the cash
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: percentage on the Bills now, so I kind of worry
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: about that.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: Man. I was leaning to the Bills.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: I kind of still do for now, but this one
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: it's given me hesitation, man, because those public home underdogs
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: are really rare and you almost never want to be
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: on them.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: And then in the night game, I do lean to taking.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: The points with Washington, even though it is a reverse
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: injured player spot, which by the way, so is the Vikings,
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: and so are the Vikings, and so are the Falcons.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: Those teams are all in reverse injured player spots. But
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: I actually lean to all of those sides because they're
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: all coming off horrendous losses. So I don't think they're
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: gonna be in a situation where it's like, oh, we
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: can just take it easy now that our starter is back.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna be the case. So I
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: do like Washington plus the points here against the Seahawks. Seahawks,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: I just don't think we're in a very good spot.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: You can watch my analysis on that from last night
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: and then Monday. I mean, the money still looks like
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: it's kind of coming in on the Cowboys. I somewhat
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: disagree with that, but we'll see what happens when it
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: gets to that point. And then, of course, the Saints
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: are starting Tyler Shots today, so I don't think that's
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: really like an injured player theory spot. I think that's
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: just more of a quarterback shake up. And he did
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: play last week somewhat as well, so he's not coming
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: into that game totally cold. So those are all the thoughts.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm gonna be back a night
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: or not. Oh that's all right, man, Yes, a dog
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: day afternoon. Yes, Carolina at plus thirteen at even money,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: all right, Yeah, I don't mind that better better number
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: on it. He likes the Cardinals and the Falcons. Mark Lawrence, Yeah,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: I have tendative agreement on both of those right now.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: They're not my favorites. Though. You're gonna put more on
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: the Knicks, all right, do it?
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: Hopefully the Knicks win, man, Even though I as a
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: Celtics fan, I hate the Knicks, but they seem to
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: be a team that I'm betting on quite a bit
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: over the last couple of years. So yeah, but that's
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. I don't know what I'm gonna do tonight, man,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: because college basketball starts tomorrow, and it is one of
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: those things where it is a it is just an event.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: There are so many college basketball games tomorrow. But I
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: usually don't have any plays on the first day because
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: I just I like to see how the season starts
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: to like get the situations like set up for me
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: to start jumping in. So I usually don't have any
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: plays on the first day, even though it's a massive card.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: So I think what I'm gonna do is do more
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: of like a college basketball preview. Maybe come back tonight
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: and do that, and if I do have any actual
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: plays that I see, I'll talk about them. I don't
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: think I'm going to maybe I'll talk about some of
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: the bigger games, but I'm gonna kind of do that
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: tomorrow on the morning show too, so we'll see what happens. Yeah,
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: you're from Philly, right, so yeah you like Temple. Yeah,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to think about Temple. I don't
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: know what to think about any basketball team, man, So
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: my preview is gonna be me not knowing what I'm
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: talking about. I don't know the personnel well for these teams,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: so I'm basically when I do the preview, I'm just
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking at odds and looking at Joe Lenardi's
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: the most recent bracketology to see kind of how he
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: thinks the landscape is gonna be, which, of course that
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: early bracketology never winds up being that close really, but
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: there are definitely some things you can glean by, Like
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: we'll look at like the top twenty five, like which
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: teams are ranked top twenty five. Usually that kind of
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: comes back, like at the end of the season. Those
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: teams that were top twenty five at the beginning of
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: the season, they were that way for a reason because
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: it's that's their talent level being assessed. And sometimes they'll
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: have been injured during the regular season and whatever. So
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: a lot of times those teams rise back up at
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: the end. But although that kind of got me caught
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: this year because that was the reason why I wanted
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: to fade Florida in the brackets last year, and they
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: probably should have lost to Yukon.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: But whatever. Villanova not a Philly team.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're considered to be the big team in
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: the city, right, So, like I talk about the little
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: brother big brother situation, and I talk about Villanova as
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 2: the big brother in the Philadelphia era where basically every
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: other Philly team like really really gets up to play Villanova,
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: and a lot of them play against Villanova early in
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: the season. So those are actually spots where that is
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: like a motivating factor for the lesser team. All right,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: that's gonna do it for now. Let me get this
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: video up and I'll see what I'll do. I'll probably
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: be back tonight for some mishmash college basketball show.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: Let's get some wins today. Thanks for hanging out, guys.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: Learn to tone on Instagram, Learn it tone on Twitter,
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: you know, like, subscribe to the channel here, give me
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: good comments, et cetera. Listen on audio, Spotify, Apple give
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: me a good review over there.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: Covered in yuke on YouTube is my yuke channel.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: And then we got the Spotify feed up for patreons
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: patreon dot com, slash and learn to Toe. There's a
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: yuke Spotify, v and yuke request which Charles has given
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: me a couple and that's gonna do. A Vino is
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: twenty miles outside of Philly, gotcha. I don't know where
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: exactly all the schools are, so okay, Yeah, it's still
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: considered to be like the big brother school in the
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: area to those teams that are actually in the.
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: City and whatever.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: But I guess the fact that they're outside of the
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: city makes those little brother schools want to play them
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: even harder. I guess all right, that's gonna do it
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: for now. Thanks guys, I appreciate it. Let's get some
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: wins here. I know how ugly these dogs are today.
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: Piece for now,