Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4230 October Surprise SHOCKS Midterms as Another Democrat SWITCHES to GOP!!!

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Ep. 4230 October Surprise SHOCKS Midterms as Another Democrat SWITCHES to GOP!!! · Turley Talks

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[SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
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[SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Two weeks until election day in an October surprise, just shell-shocked one of the Democrats major campaigns and that's just the beginning.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Another prominent Democrat, just switched parties and is endorsing the Republican ticket, all the while in person early voting is showing that Texas Republicans got no intention of allowing the Lone Star State to turn blue.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Make sure to stick them in the very end of this video because we got all the latest developments in political earthquakes.
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[SPEAKER_01]: that are already shaping this up to be a midterm for the ages.
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[SPEAKER_01]: All right, let's dive right in here, gang Amy Acton is the Democrat running against Vivek Ramoswami in the Ohio Gubernatorial election and just hours ago her worst nightmare came true in absolute bombshell just dropped in the middle of that race.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm a star, not Arthur, and I'm Amy Afton's mother.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I work to children and family service association, building one of the first two sexual abuse programs in America.
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[SPEAKER_00]: I love my daughter, but when I saw her lying about her opponent, it's not easy for a mother to say this, but Amy has a serious problem.
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[SPEAKER_00]: She is a liar, and she lies the better past.
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[SPEAKER_00]: She says she grew up living in a tent, not a baddest room.
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[SPEAKER_00]: She's lied her entire life.
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[SPEAKER_00]: My daughter needs help, and she can't help you if she needs help herself.
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[SPEAKER_00]: people can change, but first they have to tell the truth and my daughter still isn't doing that.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Don't vote for people who lie.
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[SPEAKER_00]: Don't let her become your governor.
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[SPEAKER_00]: If you think she'll make your life better, you're fooling yourself.
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[SPEAKER_00]: It will only get worse.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Now I certainly don't root for airing family drama publicly for sure.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That said, that was one heck of an October surprise for Ohio Democrats.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's certainly the last thing they needed.
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[SPEAKER_01]: This ad dropped as the polls are all shifting VVX way.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The latest active vote poll has vexed up by three, 51 to 48.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We're also seeing it in the Senate race where John Houston is beginning to pull away from the Democrat-shared Brown and the latest polling.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So obviously this ad.
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[SPEAKER_01]: is coming at the worst possible time for Democrats in Ohio.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We've been keeping a very close eye on early voting in Ohio and the Republicans have been coming out in droves.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Democrats just are not competing like they have in the past and banking massive margins in the early vote, which is does it does not vote well for election day, whether Republicans historically
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[SPEAKER_01]: the Democrats in person early voting has officially begun particularly in Texas and Florida, which started yesterday.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We've got in person early voting in Arizona and Nevada, remember Arizona and Nevada are key states to keep an eye on because about 80% of their votes are cast early.
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[SPEAKER_01]: As of yesterday on the third day of in-person early voting in Nevada, the Republicans are crushing it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We're in the lead, 46% to 34%.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Republicans have taken the lead in Clark County as well as Washow County and to make it even better.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It looks like independence or breaking towards Republicans.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We're actually seeing that in the congressional generic ballot, or as Mucin is about the latest generic ballot pollster that sees the Democrats with a minimal lead of just four points nationally.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's not going to do it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They had double that back in 2018 when they won 40 seats.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That was a plus eight Democrat electorate.
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[SPEAKER_01]: According to our Mucin independence,
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[SPEAKER_01]: have shifted 23 points to the right in the last 10 days.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In fact, the Republican vote really has been surging in Nevada, in particular, Republicans now lead Nevada early voting overall by 12 points in Arizona.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In Maricopa County, the Republicans are within
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[SPEAKER_01]: a single point, which is a disaster for the Democrats because Republicans really, really, really dominate election day voting in Arizona.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But the key indicator, of course, is Texas.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Yesterday was Texas's first day of in-person early voting.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They don't have maillons.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So, yesterday was the first day to see if Tala Rico has any
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[SPEAKER_01]: possible chance of winning the Lone star state and the answer is a resounding no, not not even close at least at this point.
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[SPEAKER_01]: If yesterday was determinative, you could stick a fork in this campaign.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The key with a Democrat winning statewide in Texas, which no Democrat has done in over 30 years, is two things have to happen.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's not just one.
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[SPEAKER_01]: There has to be two things.
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[SPEAKER_01]: There has to be a massive and I mean massive overperformance in blue counties like Endalus and Travis.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And at the same time,
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[SPEAKER_01]: There would have to be a massive, and again, I mean massive underperformance in the 250 plus deep red counties.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So you need both those dynamics for the Democrat to have a chance.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And as of yesterday, their first day of in person voting.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Travis County, we're Austin is very reliably blue county that had a relatively lackluster turnout.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They're below their 2024 first state turnout and at the same time rules like Montgomery County that voted for Trump by 40 points, they came out in mass.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They blew past Travis and turnout.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They were at 85% turnout when compared with 2024.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Similarly, in Northern Dallas, which tends to be more Trumpy, it's a little more Republican.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In the five biggest precincts there, turnout was anywhere from below 66% of the 2024 turnout and a high of over 90% of a 2024 turnout.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Again, this is the more Republican side of Dallas.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But for the heavy Democrat side, the Southern Dallas precincts that are very black, very Democrat, voted for Kamala by like 50 points, their turnout was in the 40s.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Their turnout was in the 40s, as of 4 p.m. yesterday, every major red county was outpacing Dallas and Travis and turnout as compared to 2018.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In many of the counties at Trump won by double digits, they're on track to actually match 2024 presidential turnout.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's that stunning, and Texas is that red.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So the two dynamics that Tallahureka needs to turn Texas blue are actually operating in the reverse direction.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In Florida, the Republicans have opened up a four point lead in the early voting.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, the Democrats are behind in the early voting.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It's over.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They're not going to beat the Republicans in the election day.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Turn out.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So that's a very good sign.
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[SPEAKER_01]: In Georgia, the key metric for Democrats there is the black vote should be up around
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[SPEAKER_01]: 40% that's the only way they can dilute the white vote that votes overwhelmingly Republican and right now in Georgia, the black vote is down to about 28%.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But as if it could not possibly get worse now we're getting a number of Democrat defactions.
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[SPEAKER_01]: That's right.
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[SPEAKER_01]: More and more Democrats are starting to switch parties wait until you see this.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The Abdul Elves Sayed's senatorial campaign in Michigan is frankly imploding, and it's largely due to more and more Democrats jumping shit.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The latest disagonal county sheriff William Fetterspiel, a lifelong Democrat, who's now officially switched parties and is supporting Republican Mike Rogers for the U.S. Senate.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Now, Fetterspiel isn't some newcomer looking for attention.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's spent nearly
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[SPEAKER_01]: four decades in law enforcement and one five terms as a Democrat.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Now he's backing the Republicans in Michigan saying that the party he once called home has moved too far to the left.
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[SPEAKER_02]: The party leaders, I think, are happy that I'm gone because they said they prefer to have a real Democrat.
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[SPEAKER_02]: And quite honestly, you know, my pro-life views, my views on
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[SPEAKER_02]: people serving their full sentences.
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[SPEAKER_02]: I don't believe people should be released early from prison.
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[SPEAKER_02]: If they've been convicted by a jury of their peers, I believe they should do the time if they're willing to do the crime.
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[SPEAKER_02]: So, you know, I'll do, I'll say, at his state of publicly that he would like to let people free from prison.
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[SPEAKER_02]: early, early sentence releases.
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[SPEAKER_02]: Well, I want to talk about the victims here, where every time they released people early, they create more victims.
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[SPEAKER_02]: And I have constituency of nearly 200,000 people.
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[SPEAKER_02]: And outside of the realm of the local party, I would say 95% of the people I have seen in public in the last weeks since I made this decision have been very positive and supportive of me.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Note the last comedy made there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Here's a sheriff that's been elected by a community of 200,000.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They had no problem electing a Democrat five times in a row, but there are 100% with him on this party switch.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They too find the Democrat party overrun by the DSA, like El Siaid, to be
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[SPEAKER_01]: odious and vile and they want nothing to do with it.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And this has been the drum beat of the Mike Rogers campaign these last several weeks.
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[SPEAKER_01]: The sheriff's party switch follows on the heels of longtime Democrat operative, Julian Epstein, who also just switched parties.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's not some random backbench or he served as chief counsel to the House Judiciary Committee.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He worked to elect Hillary Clinton
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[SPEAKER_01]: Eps, Julian Epstein is establishment, Democrat royalty, and he just announced in an op-end in the New York post he's done.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's out.
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[SPEAKER_01]: He's supporting Mike Rogers against the radical Islamic Marxist L.C.E.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Rogers has been very effective exploiting the polarization that L.C.E.E.
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[SPEAKER_01]: is inflicting on the Democrat party.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Remember, radically what candidates like L.C.E.E.
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[SPEAKER_01]: tend to split the left.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So 50% are all forum, but the other 50% the Bill Mar-Wing of the Democrat Party, they want nothing to do with them.
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[SPEAKER_01]: They'd rather vote for Rogers or sit it out entirely.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Now, just to put this in context, no Republican is one in the Michigan Senate in over 30 years since 1994.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So this is a very tall order for mic Rogers, especially given the fact that we are going to be seeing a plus Democrat electorate, plus four, plus five point Democrat electorate out there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So it's going to be very hard.
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[SPEAKER_01]: for microaggressive pools.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Also, the gubernatorial election is not going his way.
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[SPEAKER_01]: It looks like the Democrat is going to win rather easily there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And so there's, you're going to have to have some a lot of split ticketing, which is very possible.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Again, in with a candidate that's so polarizing, like Elsa yet.
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[SPEAKER_01]: But all of this is to say that if the Democrats are struggling and then otherwise, reliable state like Michigan,
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[SPEAKER_01]: All the while the Republicans are crushing it in the early voting in Ohio and Arizona, Nevada and Texas and Georgia and Florida, there is at this point no sign of the major blue wave on the horizon.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Quite the opposite in fact.
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[SPEAKER_01]: So as always, this is no time to get complacent.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, we've got, we've got to get out there.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We got to vote.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We got to get everyone.
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[SPEAKER_01]: We know to vote straight down ticket Republican.
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[SPEAKER_01]: And if we do that,
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[SPEAKER_01]: This will indeed be a midterms for the ages.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Before you go, let me say this.
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[SPEAKER_01]: Patriots around the country are winning right now, but you won't see it on the evening news.
15:36
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