Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 307 - 6/26/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 307 - 6/26/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 3 O seven of the all Systems Go
• 0:24
  sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I am your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Thirsty Thursday, our work week is coming to an end.
• 0:41
  We got a big day today and of course we got Friday and then
• 0:43
  the weekend is upon us and before you know it, we're going
• 0:46
  to flip the page. Looks like next Monday is the
• 0:50
  30th and then after that, welcome to July.
• 0:53
  So that's really one officially kind of summer feels like it's
• 0:56
  kicking off and oh by the way, 4th of July, a week from
• 1:00
  tomorrow. So I don't know, we guys got
• 1:01
  going for plans. We're trying to decide between
• 1:05
  party at my friend's house or maybe go up to the the in laws
• 1:09
  new house in New Hampshire to do a cookout or maybe go back home
• 1:13
  and see my, my, my parents. So we got a lot of options here
• 1:16
  and we're going to have to figure it out.
• 1:17
  But I will tell you the 4th of July parties, they change as you
• 1:20
  get older. You know, used to be jello
• 1:22
  shots, getting hammered on a boat or backyard or something.
• 1:27
  But now when you're getting older, people got wives, they
• 1:29
  got kids. It's a whole kind of different
• 1:31
  scene. But we're going to make the most
• 1:32
  of it anyway. And I actually do have to double
• 1:34
  check on the Nathan's hot dog eating contest because it's
• 1:38
  always one of my favorite things to bet on.
• 1:40
  And I actually just dialed up the DraftKings odds and we don't
• 1:43
  have the winner odds. Obviously Joey Chestnut, if you
• 1:46
  haven't heard, he is back in the contest.
• 1:48
  So we don't have the odds overall and Who Will Win.
• 1:50
  But we do have some specials up and you have to go to the quote
• 1:54
  UN quote novelty tab in the DraftKings app.
• 1:56
  But I am looking right now, our guy Joey Chestnut over or under
• 2:00
  71 1/2 hot dogs and wouldn't you know it over is juiced up -125 S
• 2:07
  something to keep an eye on as we wait for those odds to drop.
• 2:10
  But anyway, guys, on a big Thursday here, it is a kind of a
• 2:13
  smaller than usual slate. We really just have Major League
• 2:16
  Baseball 9 games overall. So I do have a three pack of
• 2:19
  plays for you and we do have an early game here, which is why I
• 2:22
  wanted to get the pot out a little bit quicker so you guys
• 2:25
  can hear the cap, the breakdown, decide whether you want a tail
• 2:28
  fade or do whatever you like, but a three pack overall.
• 2:31
  So as always, the goal is to go 2 and one and eek out a winning
• 2:34
  day. Now looking back toward
• 2:36
  yesterday, guys, a good day in baseball, 2 and 1 + 0.38 units,
• 2:41
  the Cubbies getting it done on the road.
• 2:43
  Roland, what did they win? 8 to?
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  Nothing. So that was a nice little,
• 2:46
  little winner there. And we also had a big win by the
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  New York Mets. Remember, Mets have really,
• 2:51
  really struggled. But we trusted the market saw
• 2:53
  that steam move in their favor with some system matches.
• 2:56
  So they came through. Only loser was the Diamondbacks.
• 2:59
  Wouldn't you know it? I, I got to be honest with you
• 3:01
  guys, even though we beat the closing line on Arizona, I feel
• 3:04
  like I'm losing betting against the White Sox overall this year.
• 3:07
  And probably my buddy da Rouche can back that up.
• 3:10
  So it was another good baseball day.
• 3:11
  But you know what guys, I should just only bet baseball and
• 3:14
  nothing else because it was an O and two NBA Draft prop night.
• 3:19
  You may have had Vijay Edgecomb earlier -200 from last week, but
• 3:23
  officially from last night. The one that really annoyed me
• 3:25
  was Jeremiah Fears, because if you remember, we got Jeremiah
• 3:29
  Fears under 6 1/2 at -150 like opened up my DraftKings app
• 3:34
  right before the odds closed in the the draft got going and
• 3:37
  Fierce was down to 6 1/2 or sorry, 6 1/2 down to 5 1/2 under
• 3:42
  -125. So we literally beat the closing
• 3:44
  line by a full draft position. Wouldn't you know it, he goes
• 3:48
  7th. And that was kind of screwed up
• 3:50
  because Ace Bailey went to the Jazz even though he didn't want
• 3:53
  to go there and Danny Ainge drafted him anyway.
• 3:55
  So it was kind of annoying. And then unfortunately, Ryan
• 3:57
  Kalc Brenner, he actually closed, I want to say -185 I
• 4:01
  think we got a -175 to be a first round pick.
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  He was not selected in the first round.
• 4:06
  So what are you going to do? I guess maybe the moral of the
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  story is let's just stick to baseball and keep grinding MLB
• 4:12
  because it's been decent to us this year, I must say.
• 4:16
  But anyway, without further ado, 3 pack overall of MLB.
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  I will also mention if you are free tonight, if you're
• 4:23
  listening to SiriusXM, I will be doing my weekly Thursday night,
• 4:26
  8:00 PM Eastern Time hit with Patrick Maher and Dustin
• 4:29
  Swedelson, 2 of my buddies on Vison Live tonight on SiriusXM.
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  So I look forward to that. And we, we talk betting, but we
• 4:36
  talk life. We talk all kinds of different
• 4:37
  topics. So who knows what we'll get into
• 4:39
  here for tonight. But anyway, guys don't want to
• 4:42
  waste any more time because we do have some day games here to
• 4:45
  talk about. So let's dive right in.
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  First play on the board for me. Let's go to an early match up, a
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  1:10 PM Eastern Time. First pitch out in Cleveland
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  where the Guardians are hosting the Toronto Blue Jays.
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  Now setting the stage for this match up.
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  This is the rubber match of a three-game set.
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  We have the we have the Blue Jays who are 42 and 37.
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  They took the opener 5:50. Remember, we played them that
• 5:07
  day, came through as a -135 Rd. favorite.
• 5:11
  Then the Guardians bounced back yesterday.
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  Guardians, now 40 and 38 on the year, bounced back with a 5 to 4
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  win in extra innings yesterday and came through as a -, 125
• 5:20
  home favorite. So in this early afternoon
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  series finale pitching match up here, we got the Jays going with
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  the righty Kevin Gozman, who's five and six with a 4.6 O ERA.
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  Meanwhile, the Guards are going to go with the feller righty
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  Tanner Bybee four and seven 3.86 ERA.
• 5:37
  And I must admit I I've been calling this guy Tanner BB for
• 5:41
  I, I got to say over 2 years at this point and I heard I maybe
• 5:45
  someone on Sports Center MLB Network, it's Tanner Bybee.
• 5:49
  So I apologize Tanner Bybee. But anyway, what do we see
• 5:52
  across the market for this one? Well, this game opened
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  Cleveland, a very, very short -115 home favorite Toronto
• 5:59
  around a -, 1 O 5 Rd. dog. And even though this isn't a
• 6:02
  pick em opener, it's notable to me that this line is just so
• 6:05
  short. So hey, what are the what are
• 6:07
  the wise guys say here super short number?
• 6:10
  You know, does it become closer to a pick em or hop the fence
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  and go dog to favorite? Or do the wise guys say, hey,
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  this number on the the home favorite is a little bit short.
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  Let's hit it and move it. What looks like the second or
• 6:21
  the latter part of that equation has come through because all
• 6:23
  movement has come down on the guardians.
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  Give me the guards here, guys. Would it would be very nice to
• 6:29
  start our day off with a winner here on Cleveland.
• 6:32
  Guardians have gone from -115 now up to -130 -, 135 so big,
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  big steam move in their favor. Couple system matches here.
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  Actually have five matches lit up on Cleveland.
• 6:44
  Here are some of the best ones. Home favorites who made the
• 6:47
  playoffs the previous year also receiving line movement in their
• 6:50
  favor. Those teams are 170 and 7968
• 6:54
  percent, 8% ROI this year. Home favorites off a win with a
• 6:58
  winning record who made the playoffs the previous year.
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  Those teams are 111 and 5666% with a 4% ROI.
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  And then fact we have a non division favorite, always a good
• 7:09
  sign. Lack of familiarity benefiting
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  quote UN quote the better team but non division home favorites
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  off a win with steam $0.05 or more in their direction.
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  Those teams are 113 and 6165% with a 3% ROI.
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  In particular, Cleveland 12 and five this year as a home
• 7:26
  favorite. That's a 71% win rate, 17% ROI.
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  That makes Cleveland the 8th best home chalk team this year
• 7:33
  in baseball. Guardians do have some
• 7:36
  correlative betting value, so we've seen this line move in
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  their favor -115 up to -135 but also the total.
• 7:43
  I believe it opened 8 1/2 or 8. It's down to 7 1/2.
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  So not only is the line moving toward the favorite and the
• 7:48
  totals dropping, but you also have that correlative betting
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  favorite low total with the fair amount of expected runs scored
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  more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
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  Cleveland is 20 and 16 at home, Toronto 17 and 21 on the road.
• 8:02
  So I want to back Cleveland at home, bet against Toronto in the
• 8:04
  spot, but in particular, if we dig deeper into this pitching
• 8:08
  matchup, I think this might be the reason why you're seeing
• 8:10
  this line move toward Cleveland and why sharps like the
• 8:12
  Guardians today. Tanner Bybee has a 2.5 O ERA at
• 8:17
  home versus 4.78 on the road. So he's been better at home.
• 8:21
  He's at home today. But here's where it gets
• 8:22
  interesting. If you look at his breakdown day
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  games versus night games, again, there's a one at 1:10 PM Eastern
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  Time. First pitch Tanner Bybee in day
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  games 2 and O 2.12 ERA. Now listen to this.
• 8:36
  Kevin Gozman in the month of June has a 7.65 ERA.
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  He's giving up seventeen runs and 20 innings Pitch.
• 8:44
  But listen to this in day games, he's one and four with a 6.12
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  ERA. So Bybee's been good at home and
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  good in the day. Gozman's been bad in June and
• 8:54
  bad in the day. So maybe that's hopefully a sign
• 8:57
  here that Cleveland can come through.
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  Bybee can pitch well and the Cleveland bats can get to
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  Gozman. Little cherry on top.
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  I popped open the Juice Reel app and went to the sharp mush
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  indicator. Noticed a 22% sharp mush edge
• 9:11
  here on Cleveland. So it tells me the bigger
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  sharper betters who have downloaded Juice Reel and sync
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  their apps are going with the Guardians.
• 9:18
  I'll also mention for those of you who are looking at the Juice
• 9:21
  Reel app, there's been a redesign so if you click the
• 9:24
  game it's going to give you drop downs for money line instead of
• 9:27
  just showing you the whole breakdown.
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  It'll say money line spread in total, click the word, analyze
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  under money line, and then I'll drop down and show you the sharp
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  mush edge. So I just wanted to mention that
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  Long story short, guys, early match up here.
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  Big move toward Cleveland. Good day, you know, day versus
• 9:43
  night or home versus Rd. splits. I got the Guardians at -130 at
• 9:47
  FanDuel. Shop around.
• 9:49
  Looks like your best price might be around -135 at this point.
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  Next one for you, 3:45 PM Eastern Time.
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  First pitch, let's go out to San Francisco where the Giants are
• 9:59
  hosting the Miami Marlins. Now believe it or not, the
• 10:02
  Marlins, who are only 33 and 45 on the year, they've won the
• 10:05
  first two games of this three-game set.
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  They won the opener 4:00 to 2:00 as a + 150 Rd. dog.
• 10:11
  They won again yesterday 8 to 5 and extras as a + 185 Rd. dog.
• 10:15
  So in this late afternoon series finale, the Fish are going to go
• 10:18
  with the righty Jansen Junk who's 2 and O 2.6 O ERA.
• 10:23
  Giants, meanwhile, are going to go with the righty Hayden
• 10:25
  Birdsong 3 and one 3.25 ERA. Now what have we seen across the
• 10:29
  market for this one? Well, this game opened with the
• 10:32
  Giants listed around a -, 165 home favorite Miami around a +
• 10:37
  150 Rd. dog. And the public isn't saying hey
• 10:40
  or sorry. The sharps aren't saying hey.
• 10:42
  Miami's taking two or three big juicy plus plus money price.
• 10:46
  Let's hit Miami. No, it's going the other way.
• 10:48
  Looks like sharps like San Francisco to avoid the sweep and
• 10:51
  get a win here and stay tuned. I got a really good system match
• 10:53
  for that spot, avoiding the sweep.
• 10:55
  But we have seen this line move up toward the Giants -165 up to
• 11:00
  -185 some books even high as -190 I got -175 at Bet MGM
• 11:06
  earlier today. You can, I believe, get a -, 185
• 11:10
  at Bet MGM now. But again, shop around.
• 11:12
  Some books are closer to -190 But in addition to the move, I
• 11:16
  like the bet splits on the Giants at DraftKings. 80% of
• 11:20
  bets, 92% of dollars. At circa 73% of bets, 99% of
• 11:26
  dollars. So we got the line going to San
• 11:28
  Fran and we got low bets, higher dollars towards San Fran.
• 11:31
  Couple system matches here. If we look at Thursday home
• 11:34
  favorites, it's got to be on on Thursday home favorites -175 or
• 11:39
  more. They are 17 and 577 percent, 11%
• 11:43
  ROI this year. The Giants, by the way, are the
• 11:46
  6th best bounce back team in baseball.
• 11:49
  They're 21 and 14 following a loss, 60% nine percent ROI.
• 11:54
  And here's the stat I wanted to mention to you guys.
• 11:57
  But if you're a home favorite looking to avoid the sweep in
• 11:59
  the final game of a three-game series since 2017, big sample
• 12:04
  size here. Those teams are 211 and one O
• 12:06
  667 percent 12% ROI. So it goes to show you over a
• 12:11
  long period of time, what is that 8 going on what 7-8 nine
• 12:16
  seasons at this point, I guess it's 8 we've seen basically the
• 12:20
  home favorite looking to avoid the sweep win 2 out of three
• 12:22
  times. So that hopefully matches here
• 12:24
  or does match hopefully comes through on the G men.
• 12:28
  Giants do have some good correlative betting favorite low
• 12:30
  total total in this one is 7 1/2 or 8 with a big favorite here.
• 12:35
  So fair amount of expected runs scored.
• 12:37
  Hopefully coming from quote UN quote that better team, the
• 12:39
  giants. Giants have the more explosive
• 12:42
  bats. Rafael Devers I know is only
• 12:44
  hitting like AI don't know less than 100 or something since he
• 12:47
  joined the the Giants. The Red Sox haven't fared very
• 12:51
  well either since he left. But anyway, they do overall have
• 12:55
  the better bats. San Fran 78 homers, 339 runs
• 12:59
  scored. Miami has 66 homers, 318 runs
• 13:02
  scored. And Hayden Birdsong, he's been
• 13:05
  pretty good at home this year, 2 and O 2.73 ERA.
• 13:09
  Hope that continues tonight or this later this afternoon.
• 13:12
  And the Giants, by the way, are 25 and 16 at home.
• 13:15
  Marlins are only 16 and 21 on the road.
• 13:18
  And oh by the way, 13% sharp mush edge in favor of the
• 13:22
  giants, 13% more of the sharper winning players who have
• 13:25
  downloaded Juice Reel are going with the G men.
• 13:29
  So add it all up here guys. I know it's a bigger price, but
• 13:31
  as always, Betras first bet to win.
• 13:34
  I'm going with San Fran with this line move the system
• 13:36
  matches. Hopefully birdsong can pitch
• 13:38
  well for us and get a get a winner.
• 13:41
  Hopefully with that avoid the sweep system.
• 13:43
  So give me the G men. I got a -175 Looks like your
• 13:46
  best price is now -185 Last bed of the night, 7:10 PM Eastern
• 13:52
  Time, first pitch. Let's go right back to New York
• 13:55
  City, where the Mets are hosting the Atlanta Braves.
• 13:58
  Now. The Braves have taken two of the
• 14:00
  first three games in the series. Braves are 37 and 42 on the
• 14:03
  year. They won the opener, 3:00 to
• 14:05
  2:00 as a -150 Rd. favorite. They won again, seven to four in
• 14:09
  the second game as a -135 Rd. favorite.
• 14:13
  Then the Mets came through for us last night. 47 and 34 in the
• 14:16
  year. I was watching that game.
• 14:18
  It was on MLB Network and Jeff McNeil, who is usually a second
• 14:21
  baseman. It was the first inning, Ozuna
• 14:24
  crushed a bomb to deep left center and I was like, oh, here
• 14:28
  we go down to nothing. McNeil robbed it, jumped over
• 14:32
  the fence, timed it perfectly, made a great catch.
• 14:35
  So that was a good start. If you watch that game, go to
• 14:38
  good omen with McNeil robbing the Homer to start the game.
• 14:41
  But anyway, that bounced back the Mets 7 to 3 yesterday,
• 14:44
  coming through as a -140 home favorite.
• 14:47
  So for tonight's series finale, the Braves are going to go with
• 14:50
  the righty Grant Holmes. He's four and six with a 3.71
• 14:54
  ERA. Mets, meanwhile, going to go
• 14:56
  with fellow righty Griffin Caning.
• 14:58
  He is 7 and three with a 3.91 ERA.
• 15:01
  Now, what are we seeing across the market for this one?
• 15:04
  Well, it's not a huge line move, but looks like it's sneaky sharp
• 15:07
  toward the Mets. I'm going Mets tonight, guys.
• 15:09
  This game open at roughly a pick em -1 O 5, both sides -110 both
• 15:13
  sides. And basically we're seeing the
• 15:16
  move only really going toward the Mets.
• 15:19
  So the Mets are up to -110 -, 112 -, 115.
• 15:24
  Again, it's not a 2030 cent move, but it's really just
• 15:27
  leaned in favor of the Mets. It's never really dropped toward
• 15:29
  Atlanta. So is the first indication that
• 15:32
  it looks to me like the Mets are the side tonight.
• 15:34
  But also if you look at Circa out in Vegas, really sharp bet
• 15:39
  split on the Mets. They're only getting 45% of
• 15:41
  money line bets, but 91% of money line dollars.
• 15:45
  So combining that tiny little move toward the Mets with that
• 15:48
  really sharp discrepancy tells me out in Vegas, you got a lot
• 15:51
  of wise guy money going with the Mets.
• 15:53
  And then we layer in six system matches on New York, NY.
• 15:57
  Here's some of the top ones. Home favorites made the playoffs
• 16:00
  the previous year, receiving line movement in their
• 16:02
  direction. That system also matched on who
• 16:06
  was it, Cleveland earlier today, but that system is 170 and 7968
• 16:12
  percent, 8% ROI. Home favorites made the playoffs
• 16:15
  the previous year playing an opponent who made the playoffs
• 16:18
  the previous year. Remember, this is the system.
• 16:20
  It's been matching I think every game this series, but it's
• 16:23
  basically 2 good teams. Stakes are high, rivalry the
• 16:26
  cream. The cream usually rises to the
• 16:28
  top. The better team.
• 16:30
  That system is 83 and 40 this year. 68 percent, 14% ROI.
• 16:35
  The Mets are the second best home favorite team in baseball,
• 16:38
  26 and 974 percent, 16% ROI. New York has the better bats.
• 16:45
  Soto came through last night with a couple homers, but
• 16:48
  they've hit 107 home runs, 360 runs scored.
• 16:51
  Atlanta, 82 homers, 332 runs scored.
• 16:55
  And oh, by the way, Griffin Canning, who was kind of looked
• 16:58
  like AI don't know, not a very good pitcher with the Angels.
• 17:01
  Well, he's been pretty good with the Mets.
• 17:03
  The Mets overall are 11 and four in his 15 starts this year.
• 17:07
  Meanwhile, if you look at Holmes, he has a three-point O 8
• 17:12
  ERA at home, pretty good, but a 4.58 ERA on the road.
• 17:16
  So you got it all up here, guys. I wouldn't call this a massive
• 17:19
  line move play because again, the Mets have only crept up
• 17:21
  about $0.05, but the line has gone in their favor.
• 17:24
  We do have a ton of system matches and we have some good
• 17:27
  bet splits at Circa and then, oh, by the way, little cherry on
• 17:30
  top, if we look out at Juice Reel Pop, open the sharp mush
• 17:34
  indicator, 19% sharp mush edge on the Mets.
• 17:38
  So it's always nice when you can cap a game and then, you know,
• 17:41
  open the sharp mush and CEO other sharp wise guy winning
• 17:44
  batters are with you. It's always a good sign.
• 17:47
  So give me the Mets, baby. I got them at -112 at FanDuel,
• 17:52
  so Cleveland, San Fran and the Mets.
• 17:54
  Can we find a way to get 2 out of 3 eek out of winning day?
• 17:56
  As always, that is the goal. So that about does it for
• 18:01
  episode 3 O seven of the all systems go sports betting
• 18:03
  podcast powered by rhythm. As always, this is the part of
• 18:07
  the pod where we wrap things up and I start first by saying
• 18:09
  thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 18:11
  out of your day, out of your busy lives.
• 18:13
  I know you guys got a lot going on, but the fact that we've
• 18:16
  built this community and we grind together every day making
• 18:19
  sharp, data-driven bets, it makes me very, very proud of
• 18:23
  this podcast. So if you do enjoy the pod, if
• 18:25
  it's become, you know, a part of your handicapping routine where
• 18:28
  the tail fade or pick and choose or just sit back and listen to
• 18:31
  the breakdowns, all that is great.
• 18:34
  But if you want to help me grow the pod, could you please give
• 18:37
  it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 18:41
  Or maybe you leave a nice comment under the review section
• 18:44
  or click the follow button. That way you get alerted as soon
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  as it drops. Each day you'll get a pop up
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  notification on your smartphone or you can also recommend the
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  pod to a friend. Word of mouth.
• 18:53
  There's always a good way to get someone interested in something
• 18:57
  Next. If you enjoy this style of
• 18:58
  betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting, not
• 19:02
  betting based on our biases or our emotions.
• 19:04
  That's a quick way to to start losing a lot and stay losing a
• 19:08
  lot. But betting based on what the
• 19:09
  market is telling us where the money's flowing.
• 19:12
  Taking a contrarian approach, looking at bet split system,
• 19:14
  matches, flat betting. This style of betting has
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  appealed to you. Maybe a lights gone off in your
• 19:20
  head and saying hey, I'm not going to win every time because
• 19:23
  betting is hard and no one wins every time.
• 19:24
  But this is a pretty good system to play.
• 19:27
  Just looking for the matches each day.
• 19:30
  If this style has appealed to you, you want to learn more, you
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  want to let me know you appreciate the pod.
• 19:34
  Or maybe you have a friend or buddy or colleague or Co worker
• 19:38
  or family member who maybe wants to get into betting but doesn't
• 19:42
  know how to start. Or maybe they bet a little bit
• 19:45
  and they lose a lot. Well, you know what you should
• 19:46
  do? You should go to Amazon.com and
• 19:49
  then type in the Everything Guide to Sports betting.
• 19:52
  That's the first book I ever wrote and it really gives the
• 19:54
  blueprint, the data-driven blueprint on how to attack the
• 19:57
  sports betting market. But it's got everything I've
• 19:59
  learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
• 20:02
  they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
• 20:04
  action, how to place the bet in person or online, how to shop
• 20:08
  for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, how
• 20:10
  to go contrarian chapters on all the major sports.
• 20:13
  It's all included. And the everything guide to
• 20:15
  sports betting. And then while you're at it,
• 20:18
  while you're picking up the everything guide on Amazon, then
• 20:20
  go to that, you know, search bar at the top, that toolbar and
• 20:23
  then type in within Amazon the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
• 20:28
  That's my new book. It comes out August 12th.
• 20:30
  Cannot wait if you guys to check it out.
• 20:32
  I'm very proud of it. I've been working on it for over
• 20:34
  three years at this point and I can't believe it.
• 20:36
  It's now just about a month away, which is crazy, but if you
• 20:40
  want to pre-order a copy, you'd make me very happy and you would
• 20:43
  make my publisher Triumph books very happy.
• 20:45
  So pick up the everything guide, pre-order the NFL sharp betting
• 20:49
  playbook, bring them to the sports book.
• 20:50
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you beer or ginger ale
• 20:53
  or I'll sweat some games together.
• 20:54
  How's that sound Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real
• 20:58
  yet? Roll.
• 20:58
  If you haven't, go do it right now.
• 21:01
  You can do 7A free trials of both Rhythm fantastic for their
• 21:04
  AI backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 21:07
  Now it's basically baseball and WNBA as we wait until football
• 21:11
  returns, but then also Juice reel.
• 21:13
  Juice Reel has so many great features.
• 21:16
  I mentioned the sharp mush indicators for.
• 21:18
  I always check that out as the final step when I'm betting a
• 21:21
  game. But if you do enjoy this
• 21:23
  podcast, remember it's free. It cost you nothing to listen if
• 21:26
  you made a little bit of money. If you appreciate the insights
• 21:29
  and you want to let me know you appreciate the insights, please
• 21:32
  would you consider signing up for the official All Systems Go
• 21:36
  Best Bet picks exclusively and only found on the Juice Reel
• 21:39
  app. It costs $4.99 a week, 5 bucks
• 21:44
  basically for a week's worth of plays.
• 21:45
  I bet every day. So it's kind of the tip chart
• 21:49
  again, pods free. I'm holding out the hat, passing
• 21:51
  the hat. If you want to support the pod,
• 21:53
  drop in a $5.00 bill. And it's not just charity.
• 21:56
  You're letting me know you appreciate the pod, but then
• 21:58
  also you're getting something out of it.
• 22:00
  Usually I'm betting these games way way before the pod.
• 22:03
  So if you get them immediately when I bet them in my book,
• 22:05
  whatever the book may be, and then it synced up the juice
• 22:08
  Reel, it goes right to Juice Reel.
• 22:09
  You're going to get it as soon as I bet it.
• 22:11
  So hopefully you're going to beat some closing lines and get
• 22:13
  some better numbers. Like again, earlier today I got
• 22:15
  San Fran -175, now they're -185 I got Cleveland -130 now they're
• 22:20
  -135 So obviously you want to save some juice on the money
• 22:24
  line, but could really be beneficial hopefully with spread
• 22:28
  sports and when football returns with totals as well.
• 22:30
  But also you're getting at the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the
• 22:33
  arbitrage plays, sharp mush indicators, shop for the best
• 22:36
  line future sync up your sports books.
• 22:38
  It's all included. Excuse me, when you downloaded
• 22:41
  Juice Reel. So download rhythm and Juice
• 22:42
  reel give a five star review in the App Store.
• 22:45
  Lastly, do you have a live odds page?
• 22:48
  You need a live odds page. It is so important because you
• 22:51
  got to track the market. This is a data-driven podcast
• 22:54
  and you need access to data and you got to see it, you know,
• 22:56
  changing, moving, shifting before your eyes, jumping on
• 22:59
  good numbers. But if you need a live odds
• 23:02
  page, I would highly recommend giving odds logic a shot.
• 23:05
  Odds logic is great because it gives you all the games, the
• 23:08
  start times, the live scoring, the live line in game wagering
• 23:12
  once the game goes on. But really it's for tracking the
• 23:14
  market. Once a team gets steamed, the
• 23:17
  odds get lit up in red so you can see as soon as a line
• 23:20
  changes when teams getting hit and then you jump on a book that
• 23:22
  hasn't moved yet. You also get the opening column,
• 23:25
  the current column. You can pull up the line
• 23:26
  history, see which direction the lines going, as well as getting
• 23:30
  access to all the major books, not just the ones you bet at,
• 23:33
  but the global ones that really can be the first to move, like
• 23:35
  Pinnacle or Circa or Chris Bookmaker bet online books like
• 23:39
  that. So give Odds Logic a shot.
• 23:42
  Go to the specific link for a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
• 23:45
  first month of service. It is oddslogic.com/josh 123
• 23:51
  again, Odds logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
• 23:57
  Episode 3 O 7 on a Thirsty Thursday of the ASG pod powered
• 24:01
  by Rhythm. As always, I'm gonna leave you
• 24:02
  with two final things, whether whether I see you at the Borgata
• 24:06
  in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New
• 24:08
  Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the
• 24:11
  Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
• 24:15
  in my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
• 24:17
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
• 24:20
  down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the
• 24:22
  lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
• 24:25
  Or Sweat and Sharp can train plays jumping in the stadium
• 24:27
  swimming pool. When you cash a big ticket at
• 24:29
  Circa, whatever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 24:32
  I still can't believe lost both of those NBA draft props.
• 24:36
  Really. Jeremiah fears going 7th when we
• 24:38
  get, you know, CLV on the 6 1/2 under down to 5 1/2.
• 24:41
  Anyway, let's just stick to baseball.
• 24:43
  How about that? Show me a couple baseball
• 24:45
  winners last night, guys, The Cubs and the Mets.
• 24:48
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 24:50
  We'll post about the book and sweat some more baseball games
• 24:52
  together. As always, Guys 2 and 3, three
• 24:55
  and two, O and five, five and one.
• 24:58
  You know, somewhere in the middle.
• 24:59
  One and four, four and one. Any combination you can come up
• 25:02
  with whether we had a great day the previous day, a terrible
• 25:05
  day, hot, cold. Guess what?
• 25:07
  We got to keep grinding, keep staying true to the model.
• 25:09
  When we're hot, whenever as good as we think.
• 25:11
  When we're cold, we're never as bad as we think.
• 25:13
  And always remember this is a difficult market to consistently
• 25:16
  win because we got to compete with the supercomputer setting
• 25:19
  really sharp lines that are hard to beat.
• 25:21
  We got to overcome the juice. We got to overcome luck,
• 25:23
  randomness, the human element, all that kind of stuff.
• 25:26
  But I can tell you one thing, if we stick to this model and
• 25:28
  blueprint, we're going to be winning betters long term.
• 25:31
  And you might have picked up on the model by now, but if not, it
• 25:34
  goes something like this against the public, with the house, with
• 25:38
  the pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays, get
• 25:40
  that closing line value again. If we can stay true to that,
• 25:44
  we're going to be grinding our way to a profit.
• 25:46
  So hope everyone has a great thirsty Thursday.
• 25:48
  Let's try to get 2 out of 3 baseball games and I will see
• 25:51
  you guys tonight, 8:00 Eastern Time on SiriusXM for VSON live
• 25:56
  tonight with my buddies Dustin and Patrick.
• 25:59
  But good luck everyone enjoy your Thursday night.
• 26:01
  We'll be right back at it tomorrow for a big Friday
• 26:03
  edition. That'll be episode 3 O eight of
• 26:05
  the all systems go sports betting podcast powered by
• 26:08
  rhythm. Good luck, everybody.
• 26:10
  Let's get some winners on the diamond.