Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 08/18/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: As roll all system's going clear over lifting.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 3: Cheven Nation YouTube station back an hour later today and
- 0:46Speaker 3: tomorrow to accommodate our regular live schedules over here. Gee, Risen,
- 0:52Speaker 3: but excited to talk this nine game slate on DraftKings.
- 0:56Speaker 3: We got the Dodgers in Coors Field. That's the focus
- 0:59Speaker 3: of the whole entire slate. They went off for fourteen
- 1:02Speaker 3: hits eleven runs last night. I don't know if that
- 1:05Speaker 3: is gonna be the same, like, if that's gonna be
- 1:08Speaker 3: needed based on their salaries. We'll do our best to
- 1:10Speaker 3: talk all the way through it. Pitching pretty gross overall
- 1:14Speaker 3: offense not the best either. This slate kind of feels
- 1:18Speaker 3: feels like an uncomfortable one, right. We got Kevin Gosman
- 1:22Speaker 3: Chalk Knight, so we'll see how that plays out. All
- 1:25Speaker 3: things on this slate for us ahead of us to
- 1:27Speaker 3: break it down here, Gee rising, But happy Tuesday, brother,
- 1:30Speaker 3: I'll bring you in.
- 1:31Speaker 1: What's going on?
- 1:31Speaker 4: Man? Hey? Yeah, them daytime jobs suck, don't they? I
- 1:35Speaker 4: mean these are more much more fun, you know, when
- 1:38Speaker 4: you get to play around with the you know, the
- 1:40Speaker 4: fun job, that's for sure.
- 1:42Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean I.
- 1:44Speaker 4: Got a ugly as pitching slate here today. When I
- 1:47Speaker 4: was just going through, I kept thinking, all right, all right,
- 1:50Speaker 4: is there anybody here that I really like to play today?
- 1:53Speaker 1: You know, not really?
- 1:54Speaker 4: I mean you look at Harrison, you really like to
- 1:56Speaker 4: want you know, like Kyle Harrison, he's been he's been great.
- 2:00Speaker 4: I was a matter of fact, hoping that the Brewers
- 2:02Speaker 4: would have choked him up for scooball if that would
- 2:04Speaker 4: have happened. But obviously you know that wasn't gonna work out.
- 2:07Speaker 4: But but Harrison's you know, been up and down, up
- 2:09Speaker 4: and down, up and down. You don't know what you're
- 2:11Speaker 4: getting out of them. And then you start going down
- 2:13Speaker 4: the list and you're like Bryce Miller, that dude's been
- 2:15Speaker 4: asked like the last month. Gossman likes Chalky in a
- 2:19Speaker 4: fucking windy Wriggley field game. You're like, uh sware As
- 2:22Speaker 4: hasn't been striking anybody out and they get a low
- 2:24Speaker 4: strikeout team in the Arizona.
- 2:26Speaker 1: You just keep going down.
- 2:27Speaker 4: You're like, what the fuck are we looking at Nate's
- 2:29Speaker 4: But either way we uh As, we say we got
- 2:33Speaker 4: to play with what's in front of us. So those
- 2:35Speaker 4: are the cards were dealt we'll figure it out. There's
- 2:38Speaker 4: a couple guys I think are in decent spots, but
- 2:41Speaker 4: it's definitely some thin pickings. I think it's one of
- 2:43Speaker 4: them slates and the as we always talk about, where
- 2:45Speaker 4: the masses they're gonna go, you know, in pretty much
- 2:49Speaker 4: it's pretty cut and dry what we're gonna be looking
- 2:51Speaker 4: at today. A lot of the slates we've been doing recently,
- 2:54Speaker 4: it was like a lot of different options. I mean, obviously,
- 2:56Speaker 4: with a Corse Field game and the Dodgers, we all
- 2:58Speaker 4: know what's going on there. That's not too hard to
- 3:01Speaker 4: figure out. And then with this pitching slate, with it
- 3:03Speaker 4: kind of being ugly, there's only maybe four or five
- 3:06Speaker 4: dudes that are very even viable, So it's like, you know,
- 3:09Speaker 4: so obviously it's gonna be pretty condensed pitching pool. That's
- 3:12Speaker 4: why I think Gossman's getting so much love, especially because
- 3:14Speaker 4: he's only nine K. But who wants to fuck with
- 3:17Speaker 4: the White Sox right now and all them lefties? But
- 3:19Speaker 4: either way, Nates, I don't know, man, maybe we just
- 3:22Speaker 4: need to get the whiskey bottle out, or you know,
- 3:24Speaker 4: get us some of them you know, live resin pre
- 3:28Speaker 4: rolls that they got you know that are you know
- 3:30Speaker 4: the good ones that are like ten bucks apiece? You know,
- 3:32Speaker 4: you get you one of them with a nice glass
- 3:34Speaker 4: tip on it. And maybe we're gonna have to watch
- 3:36Speaker 4: some baseball with some glassy eyes tonight because this could
- 3:40Speaker 4: get ugly.
- 3:41Speaker 3: Yeah, that's usually me anyway. So nothing, nothing new. I'm
- 3:46Speaker 3: sure you're you're more of the same as well, but
- 3:49Speaker 3: uh yeah, should be uh should be a kind of
- 3:51Speaker 3: interesting slate overall here.
- 3:53Speaker 1: Well, like I said, we'll do our best to break
- 3:54Speaker 1: it down here. We got some guys in the chat.
- 3:57Speaker 3: Here, we got go collecting here, Mike of w Bob
- 4:01Speaker 3: welcome in, ny Steegele, Jake Swales, what's up?
- 4:05Speaker 1: Brother als? Mister r K. Klein.
- 4:08Speaker 3: Everyone hit that like button, hit that subscribe button? Helps
- 4:11Speaker 3: us out a ton Yeah, you alluded to it here.
- 4:15Speaker 3: We'll go ahead and pull up our stone over here.
- 4:20Speaker 3: Let me add this to the stage. So we got
- 4:22Speaker 3: the stone two point zero up here, ge Risen, I
- 4:24Speaker 3: got just the just the pitchers sort of by projector
- 4:30Speaker 3: or by salary.
- 4:31Speaker 1: Overall, we'll go a k and above.
- 4:33Speaker 3: You got Tyler Molly at Ak gets a pretty decent matchup.
- 4:36Speaker 3: He's been really good over the last couple of stretches.
- 4:39Speaker 3: Uh start starts a really good one for his debut
- 4:44Speaker 3: with the Braves. I think last time we were actually
- 4:47Speaker 3: on the show together, were we were touting Miley pretty hard,
- 4:49Speaker 3: saying he was our favorite guy. Went out and absolutely
- 4:52Speaker 3: dropped his balls on the opponent. So that was good
- 4:55Speaker 3: to see. A k he's gonna be he's gonna get
- 4:58Speaker 3: some ownership. He he's definitely gonna get some love. Nothing
- 5:02Speaker 3: too crazy overall, kind of right around that ten to
- 5:05Speaker 3: twelve percent projected ownership wise, So I think he's an
- 5:08Speaker 3: excellent play on this slate. Robbery Ray against the Mets,
- 5:11Speaker 3: pretty much any pitcher against the Mets at this point,
- 5:14Speaker 3: I'm just I'm not a believer in the Mets. Robbie
- 5:17Speaker 3: Ray is gonna be sub ten percent owned as well.
- 5:20Speaker 3: And then you got the three guys up at the top,
- 5:22Speaker 3: Kyle Harrison, Kevin Gosman, ranger Swarez Suarez has the pinch
- 5:26Speaker 3: count concerns. He is also a lefty against the Diamondbacks,
- 5:30Speaker 3: who against left handed pitching don't strike out. They're actually
- 5:32Speaker 3: a really good offense as well. Kevin Gosman has the
- 5:35Speaker 3: win blown out at Wrigley against the team who against
- 5:37Speaker 3: right handed pitching, hits the ball really well. And Gosman
- 5:40Speaker 3: just hasn't been the same guy all season, really And
- 5:44Speaker 3: then you got Kyle Harrison, who looks like the cash
- 5:46Speaker 3: game sp one good arm in tournaments as well. And
- 5:51Speaker 3: I mean in terms of the projected dry run, I'm
- 5:53Speaker 3: getting more Ranger Swarz than Kyle Harrison because of that
- 5:56Speaker 3: thirteen hundred dollars salary savings. I think at tournaments, I
- 5:59Speaker 3: love Rison and Molly. Those are kind of my two
- 6:02Speaker 3: favorite guys up here. But talk to me, how do
- 6:04Speaker 3: you see this top tier range for you?
- 6:09Speaker 1: It's fugly. It is fugly. But we'll start at ak
- 6:13Speaker 1: with Molly. I mean, he's my favorite. I'll just start
- 6:15Speaker 1: out the jump. He's my favorite one.
- 6:17Speaker 4: I mean, especially recent form, Like when it gets later
- 6:20Speaker 4: in the season like this, I kind of do put
- 6:21Speaker 4: more into the last thirty days then I do in
- 6:25Speaker 4: like the beginning part of the year. This is the time
- 6:27Speaker 4: of the year, you know, arms start wearing out and
- 6:29Speaker 4: so forth. Disinterest if they're not necessarily in a kind
- 6:33Speaker 4: of race or whatever else. So I think that does
- 6:36Speaker 4: come into play. And Molly has been really good in
- 6:39Speaker 4: recent times, so definitely like him.
- 6:42Speaker 1: He's my favorite, especially at a K. No interest in
- 6:46Speaker 1: Thornton Robbie Ray.
- 6:48Speaker 4: I guess I'd have interest in it only because it's
- 6:50Speaker 4: the Mets, right, Like, I think there's only probably a
- 6:52Speaker 4: handful of teams. If I saw Ray across from that,
- 6:55Speaker 4: I'd even consider using them. The Mets are one of them.
- 6:58Speaker 4: I mean, we just Mets have been struggling, though they
- 7:00Speaker 4: have been better here in recent times. I'll give him that,
- 7:03Speaker 4: but brought up some of the younger prospects, So I mean,
- 7:06Speaker 4: Rais and play, I just don't love it. But with
- 7:09Speaker 4: what we're working with today, I don't think we have
- 7:11Speaker 4: really much to even really consider. Rangers swore us for me,
- 7:16Speaker 4: I'd be completely out, man. I'm sorry, Like, I just
- 7:19Speaker 4: can't do it. His pitch count's been really low. You'd
- 7:21Speaker 4: be lucky to get eighty pitches. He gets a team
- 7:24Speaker 4: that literally strikes out the least them out against Leftyes,
- 7:26Speaker 4: so that's really tough. So I mean, I just I
- 7:30Speaker 4: don't know, man, I just don't see really any upside
- 7:32Speaker 4: for him, unless you're trying to eat some innings up
- 7:34Speaker 4: which I didn't really check and see what his outprop is.
- 7:37Speaker 4: But for me, you know, it's just like man, I
- 7:39Speaker 4: just I don't see it. I think I'd just rather
- 7:41Speaker 4: play Gossman, who I really don't like either. Who's got
- 7:45Speaker 4: a White Sox match up. I mean, the White Sox
- 7:47Speaker 4: have been really good, especially the lefty power. We know,
- 7:49Speaker 4: the White Sox have Mr. Kami actually been killing right East.
- 7:53Speaker 4: Gossman does not looked good and his last start he
- 7:56Speaker 4: got beat up a little bit, gave up six ironed runs,
- 7:58Speaker 4: but he did have seven k so kind of offset
- 8:02Speaker 4: that a little bit. But still Gossman, you know, being
- 8:05Speaker 4: a chalky pitcher and you know, had some recent form
- 8:07Speaker 4: that just hasn't been good. It just kind of gives
- 8:10Speaker 4: me a reason to fade it. Excuse me. Miller on
- 8:13Speaker 4: the other side, moving up for ninety five hundred, he's
- 8:18Speaker 4: been bad last you know, a few starts too, so
- 8:20Speaker 4: he's another one that's been struggling.
- 8:22Speaker 1: And then you get him against the.
- 8:23Speaker 4: Brewers team, which which I don't really like normally. You know,
- 8:26Speaker 4: I always say, if I'm looking at the Brewers, the
- 8:28Speaker 4: first thing I want to look at our ground ball
- 8:32Speaker 4: percentages the last thirty days. The ground ball percentages for
- 8:36Speaker 4: Bryce Miller have not been there at all. I mean,
- 8:38Speaker 4: he's got thirty percent to the left side, thirty nine
- 8:40Speaker 4: percent to the right side, so nothing good. So that
- 8:43Speaker 4: really already tells me I'm already liking the Brewers, so
- 8:47Speaker 4: I'm not interested in Miller, so I scratch him off.
- 8:49Speaker 3: Now.
- 8:50Speaker 4: Harrison, on the other side, by default, he does have
- 8:52Speaker 4: the highest strikeout upside on the slate. I mean, he's
- 8:56Speaker 4: got a match up with Seattle. You're just looking at
- 9:00Speaker 4: you know, what kind of strikeouts they have here looking
- 9:02Speaker 4: in their lineup. I mean, you got top of the lineup,
- 9:04Speaker 4: they have really the highest ones Canzone who's got a
- 9:07Speaker 4: twenty two and a half percent. Everybody else is in
- 9:10Speaker 4: the high teens. You got Kyle Riley, which man, what
- 9:13Speaker 4: a fall off him last year.
- 9:14Speaker 1: Holy shit.
- 9:16Speaker 4: But anyway, thirty six percent strikeout percentage has not been good.
- 9:21Speaker 4: And then he bought a couple other guys here at
- 9:23Speaker 4: the bottom he has some strikeouts. So I mean, you're
- 9:25Speaker 4: really looking at the bottom half of the lineup for Harrison.
- 9:28Speaker 4: But Harrison, you know, is just like a freaking roller
- 9:31Speaker 4: coaster ride. You know, you go back and you look
- 9:33Speaker 4: at his game log for strikeouts three ten, two three, nine,
- 9:37Speaker 4: seven three, it's like you're either getting ten or nine
- 9:40Speaker 4: or you're getting three. It's like shit man like. But
- 9:43Speaker 4: when he's good, he's on. I mean, he's got the
- 9:45Speaker 4: highest upside for sure. So but you know, in tournaments,
- 9:49Speaker 4: I don't think he's necessary. I don't think i'd go
- 9:51Speaker 4: overly owned on him. I think there's just a few
- 9:54Speaker 4: other guys maybe down below that, you know, maybe we
- 9:56Speaker 4: could play just to eat up some innings. And you know,
- 9:59Speaker 4: I'm kind of shoe for fifteen points today. Like, if
- 10:01Speaker 4: I can get fifteen points out of a pitcher, I
- 10:03Speaker 4: think I'm gonna be kind of happy, because I don't
- 10:06Speaker 4: really think I think there's kind of slate and aids
- 10:08Speaker 4: that literally with the condensed pitcher pool that I think
- 10:11Speaker 4: we're gonna see if any if if more than half
- 10:13Speaker 4: of them fail. I think you could literally see somebody
- 10:16Speaker 4: win a tournament with like less than a ten spot,
- 10:19Speaker 4: like you know, a touchdown or something from a pitcher
- 10:22Speaker 4: and still win a tournament. So I don't feel like
- 10:24Speaker 4: you're gonna lose anything by pitching today. So that's why
- 10:27Speaker 4: I kind of feel like with the Dodgers on the slate,
- 10:30Speaker 4: I think they're gonna be a little bit more popular
- 10:32Speaker 4: than I think people are gonna know that, are you
- 10:34Speaker 4: know some of these you know people are predicting in
- 10:37Speaker 4: the optoh that everybody are predicting. I really think the
- 10:39Speaker 4: Dodgers are going to get some play because there's a
- 10:41Speaker 4: lot of low end pitching today that I think is
- 10:43Speaker 4: pretty decent. But man, it's pretty ugly. So if I
- 10:46Speaker 4: had to rank at the top, Molly for me, I
- 10:49Speaker 4: think is my favorite, and I give it a pretty
- 10:51Speaker 4: good little gap because I think Molly's just been really
- 10:54Speaker 4: good here in recent time. Now he gets you know,
- 10:56Speaker 4: he's at a new team. I just think he's got
- 10:59Speaker 4: everything working for him. And then I think i'd go Harrison.
- 11:02Speaker 4: And then after that, I man, I hate to say it,
- 11:05Speaker 4: but I think I go Robbie Ray so against the Mets.
- 11:08Speaker 4: But it's ugly, man, it's really ugly. After that, I
- 11:11Speaker 4: like a couple guys down below, a little bit more
- 11:14Speaker 4: on Robbie Ray, but my top two guys here with
- 11:18Speaker 4: Molly and Harrison.
- 11:19Speaker 1: As you said, I think is a pretty good play.
- 11:22Speaker 4: But I don't think that would be the if I
- 11:24Speaker 4: was making one or two teams, you know, I might
- 11:26Speaker 4: keep Harrison in one, and then maybe as we get
- 11:29Speaker 4: down low, like I like, maybe even a little Eric
- 11:31Speaker 4: Lauer if you wanted to go that route, or if
- 11:34Speaker 4: you you know, it's a couple of guys down below,
- 11:36Speaker 4: I think you can play. But yeah, man, it's ugly
- 11:39Speaker 4: at pitching today, that's for sure.
- 11:41Speaker 1: Yeah, it's definitely gross. I see three guys up top.
- 11:44Speaker 3: Really it's two guys, Tyler Molly Harrison are my two
- 11:48Speaker 3: guys that I want to play above Ak. I think
- 11:51Speaker 3: Harrison's gonna go on your own because the dry run
- 11:53Speaker 3: would say so, right, the dry run projected dry run
- 11:56Speaker 3: productions optimizers are prioritizing Dodgers' bats, probably for a good reason.
- 12:01Speaker 3: But I mean, if Harrison goes out there and puts
- 12:04Speaker 3: up thirty, I don't think there's another arm on this
- 12:06Speaker 3: slate that can come close to that. Now, it's not
- 12:09Speaker 3: to say he's gonna go out there and get thirty.
- 12:10Speaker 3: I'm just saying from a aspect of right position eligibility wise,
- 12:17Speaker 3: if one pitcher gets thirty the rest get seventeen, well
- 12:21Speaker 3: that's a pretty big gap that. Yeah, you can't afford
- 12:24Speaker 3: a five man Dodger stacked very easily with a ten
- 12:26Speaker 3: k Pitcher in Kyle Harrison. That's why to spend down
- 12:29Speaker 3: arms and people want to kind of focus around Kevin Gosman,
- 12:33Speaker 3: Ranger Suarez, and then some of the cheaper arms that
- 12:35Speaker 3: we're going to talk about.
- 12:37Speaker 1: That's kind of the reasoning for that.
- 12:39Speaker 3: So I do think Kyle Harrison's really interesting in tournaments,
- 12:42Speaker 3: same thing with Tyler Maley. Robbie Ray would be the
- 12:45Speaker 3: only other guy I have interested in. I'm not messing
- 12:47Speaker 3: with Bryce Miller, not messing with Gosman or Suarez with
- 12:50Speaker 3: that pitch count concern. Don't want to mess on with
- 12:53Speaker 3: Zach Thornton against the Padres. Padres has been really really
- 12:57Speaker 3: solid as of late there, So for me, it's really
- 13:00Speaker 3: those two guys up top. Robbie Ray would be a
- 13:02Speaker 3: distant third if going there, but ideally I want one
- 13:05Speaker 3: or both of those, Harrison and Mali, and then some
- 13:08Speaker 3: of these cheaper guys that we're going to talk about.
- 13:10Speaker 3: I want to bring up a couple guys down here,
- 13:13Speaker 3: Jack Perkins, Jackson, Kent, Kristin Xavier.
- 13:17Speaker 1: As gross as that seems, but it is the right hand.
- 13:19Speaker 3: It is an insert opposing picture against the Angels. George Clawson,
- 13:23Speaker 3: I think has a little bit of interest, And then
- 13:25Speaker 3: you mentioned Eric Lauer as well. I do think you
- 13:29Speaker 3: can play two of these guys down here. I think
- 13:31Speaker 3: you're gonna see a lot of builds where you do
- 13:33Speaker 3: have two cheaper self eight K pitchers and a five
- 13:36Speaker 3: man dodger stack.
- 13:37Speaker 1: That's just kind of the way the slate shaking up.
- 13:39Speaker 3: So any interest in guys like Javier quandtrail Kent classon lower,
- 13:45Speaker 3: I don't mind some Jack Perkins against those royals.
- 13:50Speaker 1: Talk to me here, how do you see this one? Yeah?
- 13:54Speaker 4: I mean it's ugly down below, that's for sure. But yeah,
- 13:57Speaker 4: I mean when you're looking down below, you know, for one,
- 14:02Speaker 4: I would have to be pretty hard pressed to play Javier.
- 14:06Speaker 4: I mean, even though he did look pretty good against
- 14:08Speaker 4: him not too long ago against the Angels. That being
- 14:11Speaker 4: I think he went he came in like as a
- 14:13Speaker 4: after the starter and went five innings, ended up with
- 14:16Speaker 4: seven k's, ended up pitching pretty well. He had like
- 14:19Speaker 4: twenty seven points. So I think everybody's looking at that
- 14:22Speaker 4: and you know, getting all excited, But dude, this guy sucks.
- 14:25Speaker 3: Man.
- 14:25Speaker 4: Javier is not very good. I just I just can't
- 14:29Speaker 4: do it.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Man.
- 14:29Speaker 4: I think I'd rather go on the other side of that.
- 14:32Speaker 4: Even though I do see some people out there in
- 14:35Speaker 4: the industry that.
- 14:36Speaker 1: Do like some Javier I just I do not.
- 14:39Speaker 4: I think Quantrille is interesting just for the fact that
- 14:42Speaker 4: he's been pretty good. He's been eating up innings. I mean,
- 14:44Speaker 4: his strikeouts haven't been that bad. He had six start
- 14:48Speaker 4: before he had he didn't have any which was terrible.
- 14:50Speaker 4: They have four and seven, so I mean the last
- 14:53Speaker 4: three out of four starts, he's been pretty decent. So
- 14:56Speaker 4: seventeen point sixteen, twenty six points. So I mean what
- 14:59Speaker 4: I'm looking for here today against a Washington team, you know,
- 15:04Speaker 4: you just got to get get by some a little
- 15:07Speaker 4: bit of that power that they got up there. But
- 15:09Speaker 4: other than that, I mean, we were sitting at a
- 15:11Speaker 4: game total of seven and a half, so I think
- 15:14Speaker 4: that's interesting. So I mean, in that game, you gotta
- 15:16Speaker 4: remember that's Kyle Crontrel against Jackson Kent and we got
- 15:20Speaker 4: a game total sitting at seven and a half. So
- 15:23Speaker 4: you know, that Washington lineup looks a little thin when
- 15:28Speaker 4: you got you know, Brady House and Lyle and Cruz
- 15:31Speaker 4: sitting there in the middle of that lineup.
- 15:33Speaker 1: So it's just not what it used to be. But
- 15:36Speaker 1: see C. J.
- 15:37Speaker 4: Abrams really the only worry I think he's got their kent.
- 15:40Speaker 4: On the other side of that, I think he's interesting
- 15:43Speaker 4: as well. Kid that's got a you know, decent, decent
- 15:48Speaker 4: prospect here, so I think somebody you could definitely look at.
- 15:51Speaker 4: I mean, he's got a fairly decent ground ball rate,
- 15:54Speaker 4: so they definitely like guys that have ground ball rates.
- 15:58Speaker 4: You're gonna see guys here in this lineup here for
- 16:00Speaker 4: Texas that do have some strikeouts in this lineup that
- 16:03Speaker 4: I think he can get to. So I definitely think
- 16:06Speaker 4: that's interesting. I was a little surprised to see his
- 16:08Speaker 4: k prop only at four and a half. I mean
- 16:11Speaker 4: you're looking at lank for twenty five Seeger thirty two,
- 16:13Speaker 4: Burger twenty seven. I mean they got one guy, nemo
- 16:17Speaker 4: As at nineteen point four percent. Everybody else after that
- 16:20Speaker 4: the lowest after that for strikeout percentage is great, about
- 16:24Speaker 4: twenty four percent.
- 16:25Speaker 1: You got one, two, three.
- 16:26Speaker 4: Guys are going to be in that line up potentially
- 16:29Speaker 4: that are over thirty percent. So there's definitely some strikeouts
- 16:33Speaker 4: to be had here for the kids. So well, to
- 16:36Speaker 4: see how long of a leash he has, but I
- 16:39Speaker 4: think he's got to be in play too, And I
- 16:41Speaker 4: actually like both sides of that game. For pitching Perkins
- 16:45Speaker 4: against Kansas City, I think that's kind of a kind
- 16:49Speaker 4: of a reach for me. I mean, I won't say
- 16:51Speaker 4: I like the Royals, but I do like some Bobby Witt.
- 16:54Speaker 4: I think I'd rather play that side. But I guess
- 16:56Speaker 4: if I was playing a deep portfolio today, maybe fifty
- 17:00Speaker 4: or more teams, I'd probably have a little piece of that,
- 17:03Speaker 4: just because he's cheap. He's a pivot off some of
- 17:06Speaker 4: these other guys that are gonna get some play. But
- 17:08Speaker 4: Eric lawer' is another guy'd be willing to play. Lawer
- 17:11Speaker 4: hasn't been hasn't been bad, two out of three starts,
- 17:14Speaker 4: twenty four points. We know he got his ass kicked
- 17:17Speaker 4: against the Cubs minus seven. I think I played him
- 17:20Speaker 4: that day, but either way, then he had a decent
- 17:23Speaker 4: game against Seattle twenty four points. So at that salary,
- 17:26Speaker 4: definitely looking at that. As you mentioned earlier before we
- 17:28Speaker 4: came on to slate that Rocky boop, that Rocky lineup
- 17:32Speaker 4: is a little bit thinner without mister Goodman, So you know,
- 17:38Speaker 4: I think i'd leave Eric lower and play.
- 17:40Speaker 1: And I actually like Eric Lawer more than I do
- 17:43Speaker 1: Robbie Ray. And I actually like Kent and Quantrille more
- 17:47Speaker 1: than I liked Robbie Ray.
- 17:48Speaker 4: So I think those are the guys that I'd be
- 17:51Speaker 4: interested in playing hobbyer.
- 17:54Speaker 1: I think i'd pass on.
- 17:55Speaker 4: I think that's just a guy'd rather I mean, if
- 17:57Speaker 4: he's gonna get any kind of ownership, I just like
- 18:00Speaker 4: everybody else play him.
- 18:01Speaker 1: If he beat me, beat me. I think this guy's
- 18:03Speaker 1: just terrible.
- 18:04Speaker 3: Man.
- 18:04Speaker 4: I can't play, just stomach to play a guy that
- 18:07Speaker 4: I just usually love to stack against. As a matter
- 18:10Speaker 4: of fact, I do like a few of the angels
- 18:12Speaker 4: here today, So I just I'd rather not play.
- 18:15Speaker 1: Some hobbyer today.
- 18:17Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I like a lot of that. I think
- 18:20Speaker 3: Eric Lawers really interesting. The only game in his last
- 18:23Speaker 3: four starts that was an outlier or a bad start
- 18:27Speaker 3: for his price point was against the Cubs. It was
- 18:29Speaker 3: super hot and humid, the wind was blowing out in
- 18:31Speaker 3: that game as well, and the Cubs were locked in
- 18:33Speaker 3: at the plate. So I think Eric lower is super
- 18:36Speaker 3: interesting on this slate especially. I think playing Eric Lawer
- 18:40Speaker 3: without the Dodgers' bats, I think is an interesting way
- 18:42Speaker 3: to go and pivoting to a different.
- 18:45Speaker 1: Team outside the Dodgers.
- 18:47Speaker 3: There, you like the Dodgers too, so he should have
- 18:50Speaker 3: a good opportunity at getting a win as well, which
- 18:54Speaker 3: four points goes a long way when you're talking value
- 18:56Speaker 3: pitching on this slate.
- 18:58Speaker 1: So I think Eric Lawer is really interesting.
- 19:00Speaker 3: And you look at his outprop sixteen and a half
- 19:02Speaker 3: equal kind of over equal juice to the over and
- 19:05Speaker 3: the under there, So that's the second best outprop on
- 19:08Speaker 3: the slate. And the dude is six k with the
- 19:12Speaker 3: Dodgers in course field and no Hunter Goodman in that lineup,
- 19:15Speaker 3: which absolutely murders left handed pitching there.
- 19:17Speaker 1: So I think Eric lower is super super interesting.
- 19:20Speaker 3: I expect his ownership to climb leading up the lock,
- 19:23Speaker 3: but nothing should be too crazy out of hand.
- 19:25Speaker 1: He would be my favorite down here. I think overall
- 19:28Speaker 1: Jackson Kent would be number two.
- 19:32Speaker 3: Texas has been fairly fairly decent, but against left handed pitching,
- 19:36Speaker 3: this Texas lineup is just striking out a ton I mean,
- 19:39Speaker 3: Danny Jansen, tons of case, Evan Carter walking strikeout, even
- 19:43Speaker 3: Corey Seeger left he left you. This year has been
- 19:45Speaker 3: a walking strikeout. Cody Freeman huge strikeouts Berger Langford. I mean,
- 19:50Speaker 3: this whole lineup strikes out a ton against left handed pitching.
- 19:52Speaker 3: So Jackson Kent I think is super interesting on this slate.
- 19:57Speaker 3: He'd be my second favorite guy down here. Think Cal
- 20:00Speaker 3: Quantrell is playable. Washington traded a bunch of pieces away
- 20:03Speaker 3: at the deadline. They've actually been striking out more as
- 20:07Speaker 3: of late as well. We know this park sucks for hitting,
- 20:10Speaker 3: so it's a good ballpark to pitch in here. You
- 20:13Speaker 3: look at the Nats over the last thirty days, they're
- 20:15Speaker 3: sitting about a twenty two percent strikeout right. The two
- 20:18Speaker 3: main bats in there are are Brady House and Dylan Cruz,
- 20:20Speaker 3: So Quantrell is not a high upside play. I definitely
- 20:23Speaker 3: prefer the other guys. I probably actually even prefer a
- 20:27Speaker 3: George Clawson a little closs and pickle action in Houston
- 20:32Speaker 3: against that line up there. If Klawson can keep his
- 20:34Speaker 3: command in check, I think he can pitch a good
- 20:38Speaker 3: game out here. He had one wall class time, which
- 20:40Speaker 3: helped him, So I do think at sixty five hundred,
- 20:44Speaker 3: I have in some interest in him as well. So
- 20:46Speaker 3: ranking this lower tier overall, I'm gonna go lower number one.
- 20:50Speaker 3: I'll go Kent number two, Claws in three, I'll go
- 20:54Speaker 3: Jack Perkins.
- 20:55Speaker 1: Four. I have a little bit more interested in Jack Perkins.
- 20:57Speaker 3: The wind is blown in in Kansas City there outside
- 20:59Speaker 3: of Bobby with Cagliano and Jensen, I'm not afraid of
- 21:02Speaker 3: that lineup. So if he can navigate those top three,
- 21:06Speaker 3: I'm really not too afraid of that lineup. I think
- 21:08Speaker 3: he can post a pretty solid score at sixty three hundred,
- 21:12Speaker 3: and then the fourth guy would be a cal Quantrell there.
- 21:16Speaker 3: I'm not really messing with Javier either, sixty five hundred.
- 21:19Speaker 3: I just don't see a reason to play him when
- 21:21Speaker 3: the other guys we talk about, like a Lower, a Perkins,
- 21:23Speaker 3: a class and even a Kent for that matter, are
- 21:25Speaker 3: almost a thousand dollars, if not more than a thousand
- 21:27Speaker 3: dollars cheaper than Javier. And I mean, yeah, he could
- 21:32Speaker 3: do it against the Angels, but I just I'd probably
- 21:34Speaker 3: actually rather stack the Angels against him, just bet on.
- 21:38Speaker 3: He hasn't been good, and we know how bad that
- 21:40Speaker 3: Houston bullpen is behind him as well.
- 21:42Speaker 1: So that's kind of hot.
- 21:43Speaker 3: The four guys I see down here, Kent, Closson, Perkins
- 21:46Speaker 3: lower being the main four with cal quantroll if you
- 21:50Speaker 3: absolutely need it, any any additional pitcher takes from you.
- 21:54Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, I was just thinking here, you know,
- 21:56Speaker 4: when I was talking about Javier and you know I
- 21:59Speaker 4: saw you know, I think somebody mentioned something about Hobby
- 22:02Speaker 4: having a good time out everybody does well against the Angels. Well,
- 22:06Speaker 4: I was just thinking, like he came in as a
- 22:07Speaker 4: as a after the opener, right, So I went back
- 22:10Speaker 4: and I just pulled it up right now, and you
- 22:12Speaker 4: go to that game log and seven to twenty seven,
- 22:15Speaker 4: which is when he pitched against the Angels. It's all
- 22:18Speaker 4: right handed bats. Everybody in that lineup's al righty, pretty
- 22:21Speaker 4: much exceptional. So to me, I mean, just looking at
- 22:25Speaker 4: what we're looking at today with it's a totally different lineup.
- 22:28Speaker 4: I mean he's got one, two, three. You know, there's
- 22:31Speaker 4: four lefties in that lineup. He didn't see any of
- 22:33Speaker 4: them before, so I mean it's a it's a different
- 22:36Speaker 4: thing like he came in and against because they started
- 22:39Speaker 4: a lefty he had alrighty's he was sitting there staring
- 22:42Speaker 4: at so that was a much better match up at
- 22:44Speaker 4: that point in time. And why they didn't do that
- 22:46Speaker 4: here and this one here doesn't it baffles me. They
- 22:48Speaker 4: should have had an opener come in unless one wasn't available,
- 22:52Speaker 4: But yeah, I just I don't quite understand why they
- 22:55Speaker 4: wouldn't have an opener come in and give him more
- 22:57Speaker 4: of a right handed heavy lineup.
- 22:58Speaker 1: But that's what basically what he was looking at.
- 23:00Speaker 4: So I'm not gonna get overly excited about them seven
- 23:03Speaker 4: strikeouts in that matchup because he was looking at alrightyes,
- 23:06Speaker 4: in that one, So I just wanted to bring that up.
- 23:09Speaker 1: Needs I do think that matters.
- 23:11Speaker 3: No, it definitely matters for sure. So yeah, I think
- 23:14Speaker 3: we broke it down pretty good. We'll give our synopsis
- 23:18Speaker 3: at the end of the show as well of kind
- 23:19Speaker 3: of the top three or four pitchers along with stacks
- 23:23Speaker 3: and some home run calls. So let's go ahead and
- 23:26Speaker 3: jump over and talk hitting here. Obviously, the hitting on
- 23:30Speaker 3: the slate is going to be headlined by coors Field,
- 23:33Speaker 3: mainly from the Dodger side of it, but the first
- 23:37Speaker 3: game on the main slate here, we are going up
- 23:39Speaker 3: to Fenway, Boston Diamondbacks, Ranger Suarez, good enough, real life
- 23:45Speaker 3: arm that don't really love stacking against him, Boston Red
- 23:49Speaker 3: Sox Bullpen as it stands right now from the last
- 23:52Speaker 3: two months in terms of X Fit sitting second best
- 23:56Speaker 3: in baseball. So I just I don't think d backs
- 24:01Speaker 3: are the best plays here. I know they don't strike
- 24:04Speaker 3: out much, but maybe if you wanted to get to
- 24:06Speaker 3: like a Moreno, A Corbyn Carroll, something like that.
- 24:09Speaker 1: Pert Almo has been been pretty solid. I think that's fine.
- 24:13Speaker 3: Don't love that, but I do think the Red Sox
- 24:15Speaker 3: lefties here are super interesting overall. Meryl Kelly, I'm still
- 24:18Speaker 3: not a believer in Meryl Kelly. I know he's had
- 24:21Speaker 3: a good starter or two. I just I'm not a
- 24:24Speaker 3: believer in this guy. He has looked better than he
- 24:27Speaker 3: started the year, but against lefties he's still below seventeen
- 24:30Speaker 3: percent strikeouts, still walks a bunch of guys, gives up
- 24:33Speaker 3: a bunch of power, and I think the Red Sox.
- 24:37Speaker 3: The Red Sox did it yesterday, I think they can
- 24:38Speaker 3: do it again. Mickey Gaspers super cheap catcher in there,
- 24:41Speaker 3: Wheeler A braw Duran would be the main guys I'm
- 24:44Speaker 3: looking at, and then Rafaela Contreras added into stacks. Adley's
- 24:48Speaker 3: been horrendous since he's since he's put a Red Sox
- 24:51Speaker 3: uniform on, but he's still a better player than what
- 24:54Speaker 3: he's showing. I think the Red Sox are pretty interesting
- 24:57Speaker 3: here overall, looking at the Diamondbacks bullpen over the last
- 25:00Speaker 3: two months, kind of sitting middle of the road, seventeenth
- 25:03Speaker 3: four point two four x FIP. Talk to me here,
- 25:06Speaker 3: Any any interest in this one from a from a
- 25:08Speaker 3: hitting standpoint.
- 25:10Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't have any interest in the Dbacks against
- 25:14Speaker 4: Wrez That's just not something I want to do attack
- 25:17Speaker 4: a ground ball pitcher like him. But the Red Sox, Yeah,
- 25:19Speaker 4: you mentioned the lefties, they're they're definitely played Merrill Kelly
- 25:23Speaker 4: the last thirty days is I mean, he's been walking
- 25:25Speaker 4: a ton of lefties. His woba's at three ninety one
- 25:29Speaker 4: the last thirty days, one ninety seven ISO eighty one
- 25:32Speaker 4: played appearance so far in the last thirty days. He's
- 25:35Speaker 4: been getting bailed up actually by righties. He just hasn't
- 25:38Speaker 4: been good. His groundball percentage has been fair. He got
- 25:41Speaker 4: forty nine percent fifty two percent to both sides, so
- 25:44Speaker 4: he does have a groundball lean. But I mean I'm
- 25:46Speaker 4: looking at some of these Red Sox here that like
- 25:49Speaker 4: Willer or Brayhew. I mean, he's got a thirty nine
- 25:51Speaker 4: percent fly ball percentage. He's one of my favorite bets
- 25:54Speaker 4: today on the slate. I think he is a great play.
- 25:57Speaker 4: You mentioned Rutchman, so guard to be at top of
- 25:59Speaker 4: that lineup, Duran, I think those would be some of
- 26:03Speaker 4: the plays I look at. But like you said, Contreras
- 26:06Speaker 4: in the middle of that lineup's got twenty eight percent
- 26:08Speaker 4: fly ball percentage, so I think I definitely want to
- 26:12Speaker 4: text and Merril Kelly hasn't been good.
- 26:14Speaker 1: He's got walk issue.
- 26:15Speaker 4: He's going to put guys on base, and like I said,
- 26:18Speaker 4: last thirty days been getting smacked by lefties. I wouldn't
- 26:21Speaker 4: put the Red Sox, you know, in my top three,
- 26:24Speaker 4: maybe like maybe around my top five or so, maybe
- 26:26Speaker 4: five or six. I'd probably have him come in at
- 26:29Speaker 4: But yeah, they're definitely interesting. I think Willaert Bray, who
- 26:32Speaker 4: is a great one off play. I definitely like him,
- 26:35Speaker 4: even if you don't like the Red Sox. I think
- 26:36Speaker 4: i'd try to get him in my lineup tonight.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I definitely like that as well.
- 26:41Speaker 3: I definitely want the lefties to start for Boston for sure,
- 26:45Speaker 3: But like I said, Contreras and Rafaela are always playaball
- 26:49Speaker 3: even Durbin at thirty six hundred at third base, which
- 26:52Speaker 3: is a pretty weak position. I think that makes a
- 26:54Speaker 3: lot of sense there next spot here Mets and the Padres.
- 26:59Speaker 3: Zach Thornton on the Padre is gonna go right hand
- 27:01Speaker 3: heavy obviously against the lefty, and zach Thornton he's a
- 27:05Speaker 3: solid enough real life pitcher, real life arm I still
- 27:09Speaker 3: do think this Padres offense has some upside where we're
- 27:11Speaker 3: trying to look for offense really outside of the Dodgers
- 27:14Speaker 3: obviously on the slate, and nothing's gonna look remotely close
- 27:17Speaker 3: to what the Dodgers looks like.
- 27:20Speaker 1: Not a great place to hit here.
- 27:21Speaker 3: It is almost ninety degrees in Citi Field, there is
- 27:24Speaker 3: some slight wind blown in but I don't hate some
- 27:27Speaker 3: of these Padres hitters overall, especially against the over the
- 27:31Speaker 3: last month against lefties. Hayes is a big pinch hit risk,
- 27:34Speaker 3: but I think he's a decent enough value. Tatis would
- 27:38Speaker 3: be the main guy here, and I think he's another
- 27:41Speaker 3: pretty pretty good spend up in the outfield as a
- 27:44Speaker 3: pivot off of some of those Dodger Dodgers guys like
- 27:47Speaker 3: a TiO Hernandez, a Paz right, he's two undred dollars
- 27:51Speaker 3: cheaper than Pajes, a little bit more, eight hundred dollars
- 27:55Speaker 3: more than a guy like TiO Hernandez gonna be a
- 27:57Speaker 3: fraction of the ownership. So I think Tatis and he's
- 28:00Speaker 3: been running a ton too. Ty Franz has been really good,
- 28:02Speaker 3: especially against lefties. I think the top half of this
- 28:05Speaker 3: Padres lineup. I don't really want to mess with the
- 28:07Speaker 3: back half, but Franz, Machado, ren Heath has been pretty
- 28:11Speaker 3: solid for them, Tatis and then even Jackson Merrill lefty
- 28:14Speaker 3: lefty has been pretty good. Probably don't get to a
- 28:17Speaker 3: full stack just because I hate this ballpark. But again,
- 28:19Speaker 3: we're looking for teams on a slate like this that
- 28:23Speaker 3: could potentially have the upside to get there in tournaments
- 28:26Speaker 3: that it isn't the Dodgers, right, So talk talk to
- 28:29Speaker 3: me here.
- 28:30Speaker 1: What do you see. I don't like any part of
- 28:34Speaker 1: this game. I don't really want no part of it.
- 28:36Speaker 4: I don't normally play the Padre so I mean, I'm
- 28:40Speaker 4: not really looking to even play anything in this stadium.
- 28:44Speaker 1: I just generally don't. Now.
- 28:46Speaker 4: My brain sits there though, and says, man, you gotta
- 28:49Speaker 4: if you like Robbie Ray, and you got a handful
- 28:51Speaker 4: of teams, I would probably still, no matter who it is,
- 28:54Speaker 4: stack one against him, just because he's flipping Robbie Ray.
- 28:58Speaker 4: You know, like you just never know what you're gonna
- 28:59Speaker 4: end up getting. And I think what I do, like
- 29:02Speaker 4: if you're kind of looking at something for the Mets,
- 29:04Speaker 4: and the Mets are really patient. They all got some
- 29:06Speaker 4: decent walk percentages. And Robbie Ray's been really bad with
- 29:10Speaker 4: his control here in recent times, so I mean he
- 29:13Speaker 4: could end up putting some guys on base and then
- 29:16Speaker 4: you know, giving up a big hit or two. But
- 29:18Speaker 4: I mean Ray's been pretty good with his ground balls here,
- 29:20Speaker 4: especially to the left side.
- 29:22Speaker 1: I know he's going to see about what seven righties, So.
- 29:25Speaker 4: I mean, I just he hasn't been really getting pounded
- 29:29Speaker 4: by by righty's here in recent time. I mean, his
- 29:32Speaker 4: barrel percentage is only at six percent. I mean, he
- 29:36Speaker 4: just hasn't really been getting beat up. I mean that's
- 29:38Speaker 4: kind of why I do like him against the Mets.
- 29:41Speaker 4: But man, I think if you're just gonna get any
- 29:43Speaker 4: kind of ownership, if you know you're thinking Robbie Ray's
- 29:45Speaker 4: gonna get some ownership in the teams even possibly. I
- 29:48Speaker 4: think I just play a Mets deck just because, you know,
- 29:51Speaker 4: like make me feel better if he gets beat up,
- 29:53Speaker 4: at least I can think at least I got a
- 29:55Speaker 4: shot with one team, because he is just that kind
- 29:57Speaker 4: of guy, Like, you know, he's either gonna get his
- 29:59Speaker 4: butt kicked or not. I mean, it's just the Mets,
- 30:02Speaker 4: you know, or I probably I probably like it even more.
- 30:05Speaker 4: But I just wanted to bring that up, I mean,
- 30:06Speaker 4: because I do think it's a decent spot to maybe
- 30:09Speaker 4: not get a lot of leverage. But you know, if
- 30:11Speaker 4: he's gonna get played, you know why not. I don't
- 30:14Speaker 4: think anybody's gonna go to any Mets today, and I
- 30:16Speaker 4: think they'd be really low owned. If he coulds start
- 30:19Speaker 4: walking some guys, it could get ugly quick, man.
- 30:21Speaker 1: That's that's all I'm saying.
- 30:24Speaker 3: Yeah, the issue for me is number one, nobody's really
- 30:26Speaker 3: playing Robbie Ray. That's kind of why I brought him
- 30:28Speaker 3: up in terms of pitching. And number two, it's a
- 30:31Speaker 3: really rested Padres bullpen. Just their long relief guy was
- 30:35Speaker 3: the only one that's really throwing any significant amount of
- 30:38Speaker 3: pitches in the last three days. And we know how
- 30:40Speaker 3: good that bullpen is. But what I will say with
- 30:43Speaker 3: the Mets is Francisco Lindor, I think is a really
- 30:45Speaker 3: really good pivot off of a guy like Mookie Bets
- 30:48Speaker 3: at a fraction of the ownership. I mean, you're talking
- 30:51Speaker 3: like thirty percent ownership for Mookie and you're talking like
- 30:54Speaker 3: five percent ownership for Francisco Lindor. And I mean you're
- 30:58Speaker 3: giving me six to one odds that Mookie's automatically guaranteed
- 31:01Speaker 3: to outscore Francisco Lindor on this slate. Little things like
- 31:05Speaker 3: that is how you can get different in terms of
- 31:07Speaker 3: ross construction. When the Dodgers have implied to score a
- 31:11Speaker 3: touchdown in Coors Field against the second worst bullpen in
- 31:13Speaker 3: baseball as well. So little things like that is what
- 31:18Speaker 3: I like to look at. Everyone's naturally just going to
- 31:20Speaker 3: insert Mookie Betts in their Dodger stacks because he's reasonably
- 31:24Speaker 3: priced compared to majority of the other Dodgers hits in
- 31:26Speaker 3: the heart of that lineup. It's just an easy click,
- 31:28Speaker 3: right if they're not spending sixty to two hundred dollars
- 31:31Speaker 3: for a guy like Bobby Witt, I think Lindor and
- 31:34Speaker 3: he can do it on the ground as well. So
- 31:37Speaker 3: I prefer this game more as kind of two man
- 31:39Speaker 3: ministack one offs things like that. But I definitely have
- 31:42Speaker 3: a little bit of interest at least in the Padres,
- 31:44Speaker 3: just because I don't think anyone's playing them, and they've
- 31:47Speaker 3: been actually pretty solid and kind.
- 31:49Speaker 1: Of coming in the forum over the last month.
- 31:51Speaker 3: So first time I jump on the Padres all year
- 31:55Speaker 3: probably gonna be bad news. But again, I'm looking for
- 31:58Speaker 3: some offense outside of the Yavias Dodgers. Right, So next
- 32:02Speaker 3: team on the slate here, gee, Risen, We're going to
- 32:05Speaker 3: Kansas City. We're going to Kaufman Stadium, about ninety degrees
- 32:08Speaker 3: in Kansas City. You got some wind blown in about
- 32:11Speaker 3: eight to ten mile an hour wind blown in, so
- 32:13Speaker 3: not gonna play as hit or friendly as it typically
- 32:16Speaker 3: would if the win's going the other way. It's still
- 32:19Speaker 3: a four k unproven arm pretty much kind of a
- 32:24Speaker 3: bullpen game here from the A's Bobby Witt looks really good. Actually, well,
- 32:29Speaker 3: is Basso coming in as an opener ahead of what's
- 32:35Speaker 3: going on? Do we have this wrong here? Is he
- 32:38Speaker 3: coming in as an open opener ahead of Perkins? Or
- 32:41Speaker 3: did you see that?
- 32:42Speaker 1: Sorry?
- 32:42Speaker 3: I was catching up as I was in the car leader.
- 32:47Speaker 3: I see Perkins as the starter. Yeah, I don't know
- 32:50Speaker 3: what's going on here. We'll get the team. We'll get
- 32:53Speaker 3: the team to update this. I was like, this doesn't
- 32:56Speaker 3: seem right, but anyways, Perkins is going to go for
- 32:59Speaker 3: the for the A's sorry about that. He's a righty,
- 33:03Speaker 3: strikes out a lot of lefties, doesn't strike out as
- 33:06Speaker 3: many righties.
- 33:07Speaker 1: Gives up some power to really both sides of the
- 33:08Speaker 1: plate here.
- 33:09Speaker 3: So the issue is the Roys just don't have a
- 33:12Speaker 3: lot of power outside of Kagalan, own Jensen and Bobby Witt.
- 33:15Speaker 3: Like I said, those three guys look good. A little
- 33:17Speaker 3: rap around stack eight two three looks pretty good for me.
- 33:21Speaker 3: You can throw in Salvey Perez too if you wanted to.
- 33:24Speaker 3: Michael Massey is a cheap second baseman. They did get
- 33:27Speaker 3: Vin p back in this lineup, which does help. I
- 33:30Speaker 3: just I don't love the Royals here.
- 33:33Speaker 1: Overall. The A's bullpen is not good. I get it.
- 33:35Speaker 3: Jack Perkins has been up and down. I just signed
- 33:37Speaker 3: more on on Jack Perkins here than the Royals. But
- 33:40Speaker 3: I want fault anyone for going to this team. They're
- 33:43Speaker 3: gonna be unknowned, just like every offense is really outside
- 33:45Speaker 3: of the Dodgers. The second highest own team though on
- 33:49Speaker 3: the slate, is gonna be on the other side here,
- 33:50Speaker 3: the A's. The current form of this A's lineup is
- 33:54Speaker 3: gonna be chalky on the slate because of their salaries
- 33:57Speaker 3: and they're guaranteed nining up. We know Kansas City's bullpen
- 34:01Speaker 3: is worst bullpen in baseball over the last two months
- 34:04Speaker 3: four point nine to four x FIP. They got a
- 34:07Speaker 3: guy and Mason Black who's going to go out there
- 34:08Speaker 3: to start? It's gonna be kind of a bullpen game here.
- 34:11Speaker 3: What wins out?
- 34:11Speaker 1: Do you riseing? Shitty pitching or a shitty offense?
- 34:15Speaker 3: You talk to me here, how do you see this one?
- 34:20Speaker 1: Yeah?
- 34:20Speaker 4: Usually usually the offense prevails when you got a softball pitcher.
- 34:25Speaker 4: But I mean, I'm just sitting here looking this way.
- 34:26Speaker 4: He got a game total nine. You know you got
- 34:29Speaker 4: Perkins coming in. I mean he has been getting beat
- 34:31Speaker 4: up by lefties, especially in the last thirty days. I
- 34:34Speaker 4: mean he's ISO three forty five well before thirty nine.
- 34:39Speaker 4: Flyball percentages at thirty eight percent fairly high. So I
- 34:44Speaker 4: mean it's definitely concerning. But you know, then you go
- 34:46Speaker 4: over across the board. He got kagal On to pass
- 34:48Speaker 4: Quentino Massey Jensen. You know, it's just like I'm not
- 34:53Speaker 4: overwhelmed with the power there. I do like Bobby Witt,
- 34:56Speaker 4: I think I'd like it more as a mini sac.
- 34:58Speaker 4: I kind of got him in the same bucket, like
- 35:00Speaker 4: how I kind of felt, uh with the with the
- 35:03Speaker 4: Red Sox that we just talked about. So yeah, I
- 35:07Speaker 4: think for me, the A's on the other side of that.
- 35:11Speaker 4: I mean, I don't I don't have them all that high.
- 35:14Speaker 4: I just I don't have them high up as everybody else.
- 35:17Speaker 4: I understand that, uh that they're fairly cheap. I just
- 35:22Speaker 4: I don't love it. I I don't even have the
- 35:23Speaker 4: A's ranked up really that high today, so I'd pass
- 35:28Speaker 4: on the A's. Actually, you got the Royals sitting at
- 35:31Speaker 4: a pretty decent favor here today. I think I'd just
- 35:34Speaker 4: rather play some Royals than than uh than go to
- 35:37Speaker 4: the A's. But I could see why filling in some
- 35:39Speaker 4: decent spots here, like in the middle of the infield
- 35:42Speaker 4: and some of the infield spots with you know batters
- 35:45Speaker 4: like uh, you know Bolta, Geeloff Wilson at the top
- 35:49Speaker 4: of that lineup Jonah him so and I could see it.
- 35:53Speaker 4: I just don't love it. I'm not going there, But
- 35:56Speaker 4: I do like a couple of the Royals bats. I
- 35:57Speaker 4: just don't like the full stack.
- 36:00Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd actually, probably, to be honest, rather full stack
- 36:03Speaker 3: the Royals outside of a Bobby Witt one off or
- 36:06Speaker 3: like a kagalan On one off, just because they strike
- 36:09Speaker 3: out a ton, right, So you're really just hoping that
- 36:13Speaker 3: Perkins doesn't have his command, and then he throws hittable
- 36:17Speaker 3: strikes too, especially to the righty's that with.
- 36:20Speaker 1: Some guys on base. So that's kind of what you're
- 36:22Speaker 1: looking at there.
- 36:23Speaker 3: So I do think Royals are probably best outside of
- 36:26Speaker 3: maybe the one or two guys like I said, CAGs
- 36:28Speaker 3: or or or or Wit as a one off. I
- 36:31Speaker 3: don't really even think Carter Jensen is that great of
- 36:33Speaker 3: a one off play. I know catchers a onesie position there,
- 36:37Speaker 3: but for forty seven dollars hitting eighth. Don't love spading
- 36:42Speaker 3: forty seven hundred dollars for a guy hitting eighth as
- 36:45Speaker 3: a one off at home, but you will get him
- 36:48Speaker 3: super super low owned compared to some of the Dodgers
- 36:52Speaker 3: catchers and some of those other guys.
- 36:55Speaker 1: But yeah, I probably prefer more as A as a
- 36:57Speaker 1: full stack.
- 36:58Speaker 3: I don't really love the A side of the game,
- 37:00Speaker 3: to be honest, I don't really like anyone from from
- 37:02Speaker 3: the A side. I don't get the love why projections
- 37:05Speaker 3: are kind of slamming this team in there. Yeah, I
- 37:10Speaker 3: just I don't see it. Maybe I'm missing something there.
- 37:13Speaker 3: They've just been horrible. This lineup is A is a
- 37:16Speaker 3: triple A lineup right now, Larry Butler, I guess Jonah
- 37:20Speaker 3: him sure, something like that. I mean McNeil's been red
- 37:23Speaker 3: hot right now. I don't know what's going on with him.
- 37:25Speaker 3: He's finally hitting power. Usually this guy's just a slap hitter.
- 37:28Speaker 3: He's been hitting for some power, so I guess so.
- 37:30Speaker 3: But at ownership give me the royal side of it overall,
- 37:35Speaker 3: but another game that I just don't love overall. It
- 37:38Speaker 3: is going to change in the next spot, though. The
- 37:39Speaker 3: Braves heading into Minnesota faces Debbie Matthews. Tyler Marley, one
- 37:43Speaker 3: of our favorite pitchers overall on the slate. Takes me
- 37:47Speaker 3: off the Twins. I do like the Braves a ton
- 37:50Speaker 3: here though against ZBBI. Zebbi has home run issues. The
- 37:54Speaker 3: Braves have a ton of power. They disappointed last night.
- 37:56Speaker 3: We know the Twins bullpen is not good either. Behind
- 37:58Speaker 3: Zebbie Matthews, give me some Drake Baldwin looks really good.
- 38:02Speaker 3: Matt Olsen, Mike Yoshtremsky look really really good. Austin Riley
- 38:06Speaker 3: has some power if he doesn't strike out. So that's
- 38:08Speaker 3: a boomer bust guy at third base, which is a
- 38:10Speaker 3: pretty weak position. Max mounts he is going to soak
- 38:12Speaker 3: up all the ownership at that position. Ronald Leacunya back
- 38:15Speaker 3: in this LB's I like this spot, Michael Harris even,
- 38:18Speaker 3: I like this lineup one through nine. I'm in on
- 38:22Speaker 3: the Braves here tonight. Braves are up there next to
- 38:24Speaker 3: kind of the Red Sox for me, behind the Dodgers obviously,
- 38:27Speaker 3: but talk to me here, what do you see in
- 38:29Speaker 3: this one in Minnesota here?
- 38:32Speaker 4: I actually like the Braves more than the Red Sox,
- 38:35Speaker 4: especially the lefties against Zebi Matthews. Matthews has not been
- 38:38Speaker 4: good as walk per se been walking. He's got control issues.
- 38:42Speaker 4: His last thirty days been getting smoked by lefties. Ten
- 38:45Speaker 4: and a half percent barrel persented on the year, a
- 38:47Speaker 4: thirteen percent barrel percentage, ten percent to the right side
- 38:51Speaker 4: his ground balls have been a little bit better in
- 38:53Speaker 4: recent times. But yeah, I mean, Zebbie Matthews is not
- 38:58Speaker 4: very good at all for me. I'm looking to get
- 39:02Speaker 4: some of these lefties here. I mean, I'm looking even
- 39:04Speaker 4: though with Matthews is like I said, he does have
- 39:07Speaker 4: some groundball lean but I do like the fly ball
- 39:09Speaker 4: percentages we're looking at here with these lefties for the
- 39:13Speaker 4: for the Braize like Baldwin at thirty percent, Olsen thirty
- 39:17Speaker 4: three percent, I'll best thirty eight percent, Yastrimsky thirty percent,
- 39:20Speaker 4: Riley thirty three. So I mean, you only got a
- 39:23Speaker 4: couple bets that will call ground ball. Buttes Michael Harris
- 39:27Speaker 4: is considered more of a ground ball bat. He's got
- 39:30Speaker 4: a forty six percent ground ball percentage against righties, which
- 39:34Speaker 4: actually is the highest on the team. He's got a
- 39:36Speaker 4: very low twenty four percent flyball percentage, which is the
- 39:40Speaker 4: second lowest on in that lineup. So not saying to
- 39:43Speaker 4: avoid Harris, I'm just saying that it just doesn't line up.
- 39:47Speaker 4: I don't like to play ground ball pitchers against With
- 39:50Speaker 4: ground ball hitters, you know, you end up pretty much
- 39:52Speaker 4: with a ground ball. So either way, I do like
- 39:55Speaker 4: the Braves I think all of them. Will Olsen be
- 39:57Speaker 4: one of my favorite bets. He's just been hot as
- 39:59Speaker 4: can be. The home run leaders I think, I mean
- 40:03Speaker 4: just the power up and down that lineup is something
- 40:05Speaker 4: I like. I mean, what we're looking for to keep
- 40:07Speaker 4: up with the Dodgers. I think the Braves can do
- 40:09Speaker 4: so against Twins. You got that ninth inning at bat
- 40:13Speaker 4: that we like as well. So yeah, give me, give
- 40:16Speaker 4: me some of these Braves. They're almost sitting there with
- 40:19Speaker 4: a pretty close to a five run total, so yeah,
- 40:22Speaker 4: I'll tack.
- 40:23Speaker 1: I'll attack this Twins team here today.
- 40:26Speaker 3: Yeah, the Braves bullpen's pretty taxed too. Jeff Hoffman. I
- 40:30Speaker 3: know he hasn't been as good this year as he
- 40:31Speaker 3: was last year, but he's probably.
- 40:33Speaker 1: Gonna be unavailable.
- 40:34Speaker 3: He's through twenty pitches yesterday, seventeen on Saturday. Gomez through
- 40:38Speaker 3: nineteen pitches yesterday, Adams through eighteen pitches yesterday, So I
- 40:42Speaker 3: mean they're pretty taxed. Three or four of their arms
- 40:46Speaker 3: are twenty six pitches are higher in the last three days,
- 40:49Speaker 3: and it's already not a good bullpen. So yeah, I
- 40:51Speaker 3: love the Braves a ton on the slate, and if
- 40:54Speaker 3: they burned me to burn me, but I'm looking for
- 40:56Speaker 3: some offense. Obviously, everyone's gonna love the Dodgers, we got
- 41:00Speaker 3: to look for some other spots as well outside of them.
- 41:03Speaker 3: Bryce Miller heading into Miller Park to face my Brewers
- 41:07Speaker 3: Kyle Harrison on the other side.
- 41:10Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to just leverage with.
- 41:13Speaker 3: A guy like Jay Rod or a Rose Orrena, I
- 41:15Speaker 3: want fault anyone for doing that. But I'm not signing
- 41:19Speaker 3: up to play any Mariners against Harrison and the Brewers bullpen,
- 41:22Speaker 3: who's really good as well.
- 41:24Speaker 1: Brewers, I think have some upside on the slate.
- 41:28Speaker 3: Again, We're looking for teams outside of the Dodgers that
- 41:31Speaker 3: can kind of tried match in. Bryce Miller over the
- 41:34Speaker 3: last month has been absolutely atrocious. Two to seventy four
- 41:37Speaker 3: ice oat to both sides of play forty fly ball rate.
- 41:41Speaker 3: I mean, I think this is a spot you could
- 41:44Speaker 3: play some Brewers. I don't want to tout it too much.
- 41:46Speaker 3: I know that the Mariners bullpen is really good. I
- 41:51Speaker 3: don't want to be called a clown for talking about
- 41:53Speaker 3: Milwaukee on this slate, but I think it's a full stack.
- 41:55Speaker 3: They do have some merit on the slate overall, but
- 41:58Speaker 3: talk to me here, g Risen, do you see this
- 42:00Speaker 3: one in amfam.
- 42:02Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't mind the Brewers in this one. I mean,
- 42:05Speaker 4: as I said, I mean his ground ball Bryce Miller.
- 42:07Speaker 4: As I said at the top of the show, his
- 42:09Speaker 4: ground balls have been very low in recent times, and
- 42:11Speaker 4: I just don't like to play the Brewers against ground
- 42:14Speaker 4: ball type pitchers. And Bryce Miller definitely does not qualify
- 42:17Speaker 4: as that, especially in the last thirty days. He hasn't
- 42:20Speaker 4: been looked very good in his last handful of starts.
- 42:23Speaker 4: I mean, he's just his K percentages are down, so
- 42:27Speaker 4: I mean he's gonna be relying on a lot of
- 42:30Speaker 4: bat and balls and play, and I think that's not
- 42:33Speaker 4: going to do very well for him against this Brewers
- 42:36Speaker 4: team who seems to be pretty good around pushing the
- 42:39Speaker 4: runners around them bases, stealing bags and so forth. So
- 42:43Speaker 4: I think they're interesting. I just don't love it.
- 42:45Speaker 1: I don't have it up.
- 42:46Speaker 4: If I'm playing three teams, I'm not really going there.
- 42:48Speaker 4: But I will say anytime the Brewers are against the
- 42:50Speaker 4: pitcher that isn't throwing a lot of ground balls, especially
- 42:53Speaker 4: a righty, I think that's something that anytime I'd be
- 42:57Speaker 4: interested in and Bryce Miller has not been very good,
- 43:00Speaker 4: but it's not the Bryce Miller that's sitting up at
- 43:02Speaker 4: the top of the pitcher salary today. I mean, Bryce
- 43:07Speaker 4: Miller has been has been pretty bad recent time.
- 43:09Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I'll.
- 43:10Speaker 4: Take one of the better teams in baseball that's in
- 43:12Speaker 4: a race fighting the Dodgers for home field, and you know,
- 43:16Speaker 4: this is a game they definitely need to win, get.
- 43:18Speaker 1: It taken care of.
- 43:19Speaker 4: And but the only thing that worries me is the
- 43:21Speaker 4: game total. Sitting at seven and a half. I mean,
- 43:23Speaker 4: when I'm sitting at looking at a you know, high
- 43:26Speaker 4: end of eleven and a half, half, we got a
- 43:29Speaker 4: three nines. You know, it's kind of hard to want
- 43:31Speaker 4: to pick an offense out of a game with the
- 43:33Speaker 4: seven and a half totals. So for me, that's why,
- 43:36Speaker 4: that's why I'd be out.
- 43:37Speaker 3: No, for sure, there's much better spots, but a terrang
- 43:40Speaker 3: of Boers, yell Ach Lara, So some of those lefties
- 43:44Speaker 3: I think makes some sense. Definitely not on top my board,
- 43:48Speaker 3: but I'll be overweight on them like I am every
- 43:50Speaker 3: time in Miami. Me set because it's not gonna take
- 43:53Speaker 3: much because every team outside of the Dodgers and the
- 43:56Speaker 3: A's is gonna be on own on this nine game slate.
- 44:00Speaker 3: Next spot Globe Life, Jackson Kent, Cal Quantrill, Nationals.
- 44:05Speaker 1: I mean C J.
- 44:06Speaker 3: Abrams spend all the way up to be contrarian at shortstop,
- 44:10Speaker 3: I will call it, or Ortiz. I think he's still
- 44:15Speaker 3: under price for his upside that he displays. He is
- 44:17Speaker 3: going against Cal Quantrell, who's susceptible to the left side.
- 44:20Speaker 3: I think the Nationals have a spot on the slate,
- 44:23Speaker 3: but I prefer more as kind of like a two
- 44:25Speaker 3: or three man, like an Abrams Ortiz lyle, something like that.
- 44:29Speaker 1: I don't love this park. I hate it.
- 44:30Speaker 3: Actually, Texas pretty solid bullpen as well. NAT's not the
- 44:34Speaker 3: best bullpen. Jackson Kent kind of an unknown, unproven guy still.
- 44:39Speaker 3: But yeah, from an offensive perspective, I don't love this
- 44:41Speaker 3: game really from either side. If I had to pick
- 44:43Speaker 3: a side, to be more on the Rangers as kind
- 44:45Speaker 3: of or the Nationals in my opinion as kind of
- 44:49Speaker 3: mini stacks mainly those lefties if anything.
- 44:51Speaker 1: But what do you see here in this one?
- 44:55Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 44:55Speaker 4: I mean, if I was to play any I don't
- 44:57Speaker 4: like either side, I wouldn't play either side. But I mean,
- 44:59Speaker 4: I guess I i'd go after Jackson Katt. The young
- 45:01Speaker 4: kid hasn't looked all that great. I mean, if you
- 45:04Speaker 4: want to go there, But I mean I prefer to
- 45:06Speaker 4: play the Rangers against righty, so so I can get
- 45:10Speaker 4: some Corey Seeger some of them and get the power
- 45:12Speaker 4: side of that of that lineup.
- 45:15Speaker 1: I mean, maybe you.
- 45:16Speaker 4: Could play like a Jake Berger if you wanted to
- 45:19Speaker 4: go there. Foscu has been decent against lefties. Usually he's
- 45:22Speaker 4: at the top of the lineup. I don't know where
- 45:23Speaker 4: he's gonna fit, but i'd maybe go there. Who had
- 45:30Speaker 4: a little frogging throat there for a second. But other
- 45:33Speaker 4: than that Nate's I don't love it. I don't even
- 45:35Speaker 4: like the Nats. I mean, that lineup so watered down.
- 45:38Speaker 4: Maybe Abrams, like you said, but I mean they can
- 45:40Speaker 4: just they're just gonna pitch around him. I think they'd
- 45:42Speaker 4: be pretty smart too. But yeah, I don't love I
- 45:44Speaker 4: don't love the either side of this one.
- 45:47Speaker 3: Yeah, that's why I think ortiz lyle a little stack
- 45:50Speaker 3: behind Abrams. They're probably gonna have guys on base right
- 45:54Speaker 3: in front of them, right, especially if they pitch around Abrams.
- 45:57Speaker 3: He can steal second, So I think those three guys
- 46:00Speaker 3: are are definitely have some interest. Don't really love the
- 46:03Speaker 3: Rangers side during I think is interesting. Outside of that,
- 46:07Speaker 3: I just don't really don't really love it. Jake Berger
- 46:09Speaker 3: always hits left, He's pretty pretty solid, but first base,
- 46:12Speaker 3: there's big opportunity costs at that position as well. That's
- 46:15Speaker 3: kind of the issue I have with Ortiz as well.
- 46:16Speaker 3: But it does flip the script because everyone's going to
- 46:19Speaker 3: be paying up for Freeman O'tani matt Olsen spending down
- 46:23Speaker 3: in that position and spending up elsewhere when other people
- 46:26Speaker 3: are punting it off. I think makes some sense there,
- 46:29Speaker 3: but I didn't want to mention that. I do like
- 46:31Speaker 3: this game next that we're going to talk about here.
- 46:33Speaker 3: Wins blown out at Wrigley, and nobody's really going to
- 46:36Speaker 3: play this game from an ownership standpoint because we have
- 46:39Speaker 3: the Dodgers in Coors Field. If this was a different slate,
- 46:42Speaker 3: I think it'd be much different. I like both sides
- 46:44Speaker 3: of this game. I'm not a Kevin Gosman guy. I
- 46:46Speaker 3: definitely would rather pick on Fetti Wop, who's going to
- 46:49Speaker 3: be the long relief guy for the White Sox with
- 46:51Speaker 3: the Cubs team.
- 46:52Speaker 1: Pca looks like one of the best players in my
- 46:54Speaker 1: opinion on the slate.
- 46:55Speaker 3: I know he's sixty six hundred, but he's I mean,
- 46:59Speaker 3: he's still five hundred dollars cheaper than shoe hey Toni
- 47:01Speaker 3: with similar upside. Otani doesn't swipe any bases. Pca runs
- 47:05Speaker 3: every time he's on base, so he does have that. Obviously,
- 47:09Speaker 3: you would much rather have shoe hey Toni. But it's
- 47:11Speaker 3: seventy one hundred. That's a pretty big price point. I know,
- 47:14Speaker 3: sixty six hundreds still expensive. Yeah, he's gonna see the
- 47:18Speaker 3: lefty to start the game there, which does hurt guys
- 47:22Speaker 3: like Bush and Pca.
- 47:23Speaker 1: To start the game.
- 47:24Speaker 3: But Fetti WAPs super super attackable from both sides of play,
- 47:27Speaker 3: and especially from the left side. You got a super
- 47:29Speaker 3: cheap page Ramire switch hitter in there, Ian Happ who's buried.
- 47:32Speaker 3: You got a cheap Conforto who's gonna see a bunch
- 47:34Speaker 3: of at bats against Fetti and probably misses the opener
- 47:38Speaker 3: as well. So I think the Cubs are are super
- 47:40Speaker 3: interesting on the slate and nobody's really going to them.
- 47:43Speaker 3: The White Socks don't have the best bullpen either. I
- 47:46Speaker 3: like this game on both sides. I think Murakami is
- 47:49Speaker 3: a great spend up at first base as well, right there,
- 47:52Speaker 3: Cheaper than six hundred seven hundred dollars, cheaper than Freddie Freeman,
- 47:55Speaker 3: Ben Attendee, Colson Montgomery.
- 47:57Speaker 1: I like both sides.
- 47:58Speaker 3: This is probably my favorite overall game outide of course
- 48:00Speaker 3: field to target some offenses from that is going overlooked
- 48:04Speaker 3: on the slate.
- 48:04Speaker 4: Talk to me here, though, Yeah, I like both sides.
- 48:10Speaker 4: I mean, man, from when I'm hearing aids this shit,
- 48:13Speaker 4: this series has been nasty so far. I heard there
- 48:15Speaker 4: was some big ass brawls out there and the bleachers,
- 48:17Speaker 4: White Sox and Cubbies fans going at it. I know
- 48:21Speaker 4: they were talking shit. I know that. I'm pretty sure
- 48:24Speaker 4: the bench is empty too, so they've been just getting
- 48:26Speaker 4: nasty with each other over there. Those two teams from
- 48:30Speaker 4: Chicago PCA. I mean, dude hits a walk off, it's
- 48:33Speaker 4: Homer's first time out. I mean, this dude's seeing beach
- 48:36Speaker 4: balls right now, playing some great baseball. So yeah, I
- 48:39Speaker 4: think the Cubs are interesting. Fettiwap, as you said, coming
- 48:42Speaker 4: in for the White Sox, I mean he hasn't been
- 48:47Speaker 4: I mean that guy has just been an old veteran.
- 48:50Speaker 4: It's like that guy don't go away. He's like a
- 48:51Speaker 4: fart in the shower, just doesn't seem to go away.
- 48:54Speaker 4: But man, his last thirty days, he's been getting beat
- 48:57Speaker 4: up pretty hard from both sides of the plate. Thirteen
- 49:00Speaker 4: percent barrel percentage to the left side, right side, ten percent.
- 49:03Speaker 4: His fly ball percentages are high almost forty thirty nine
- 49:06Speaker 4: percent to the left side, thirty six percent to the
- 49:09Speaker 4: right side. So man, I mean he's not really missing
- 49:13Speaker 4: any bats, so especially the right side. He's at sixteen percent.
- 49:17Speaker 4: So I mean, Suzuki be somebody I'm looking at PCA.
- 49:20Speaker 4: I'm always looking at.
- 49:21Speaker 1: You know, we always like Bush.
- 49:23Speaker 4: You know, Bush definitely likes to take it long, so
- 49:27Speaker 4: you know, we definitely like some Cubbies.
- 49:29Speaker 1: I'm thinking Cubbies for me.
- 49:31Speaker 4: And now, as far as the White Sox go, man,
- 49:33Speaker 4: I think the White Sox are definitely interesting because if
- 49:36Speaker 4: Gosman's going to get some ownership. I like the power side.
- 49:39Speaker 4: Murakami's ben attendee. I do think it's a little bit
- 49:44Speaker 4: of a pinchit risk Montgomery, So I do like this
- 49:47Speaker 4: White Sox team. As I mentioned, I mean Gosman's been
- 49:51Speaker 4: bad against lefties. His last thirty days fifty six plate appearance,
- 49:54Speaker 4: He's got a fourteen percent K percentage, which is which
- 49:58Speaker 4: is down quite a bit from where he's been during
- 50:00Speaker 4: the rest of the year. He hasn't really been getting
- 50:02Speaker 4: barreled up. But I mean, if we're looking for reasons
- 50:05Speaker 4: to pick on a chalky type pitcher, I think with
- 50:08Speaker 4: the three point fifty nine wOBA, his ground ball percentages
- 50:11Speaker 4: have been a little lower to the right side so
- 50:14Speaker 4: far this year, like low thirty percent, So I'm not
- 50:17Speaker 4: really worried about Gosman's ground ball so he does have
- 50:20Speaker 4: a little bit more ground balls to the left side.
- 50:22Speaker 4: Just looking at some of these guys from the White
- 50:25Speaker 4: Sox fly ball percentage, Murrikami forty three percent, that's high,
- 50:29Speaker 4: Vargas thirty eight, thirty seven point eight been attend to
- 50:32Speaker 4: thirty three, Colson Montgomery thirty eight percent, So they definitely
- 50:36Speaker 4: got some fly ball hitters on this White Sox team.
- 50:39Speaker 4: I think this series has been like a playoff series there, dude,
- 50:42Speaker 4: there's some high emotion going there, so I do like it.
- 50:45Speaker 4: I think both sides. I think you're gonna see some
- 50:46Speaker 4: offense today I think you're gonna see some teams that
- 50:48Speaker 4: are gonna take some chances, they're gonna steal some bags.
- 50:52Speaker 1: Of course, the White Sox.
- 50:53Speaker 4: Sitting up in first place, I mean, it's it's got
- 50:56Speaker 4: all the drammings for that game. It'd probably be a
- 50:58Speaker 4: really fun game to watch.
- 51:00Speaker 1: Too bad.
- 51:00Speaker 4: I gotta go bowl in the night last week of
- 51:02Speaker 4: the Summer League, so I have to kick some mass
- 51:04Speaker 4: here to night in aids. But either way, I think
- 51:08Speaker 4: I think for sure both sides of this game. But
- 51:12Speaker 4: I do like the Cubbies a little bit more.
- 51:16Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely prefer the cub side, but I think
- 51:19Speaker 3: the White Sox are super interesting as well. Gosman just
- 51:22Speaker 3: hasn't been the same against lefties over the last month.
- 51:26Speaker 3: He's gonna see a lot of the good lefties are
- 51:29Speaker 3: pretty solid lefty hitters that have hit right hand and
- 51:31Speaker 3: pitching really well all year. And then the Cubs bullpen
- 51:34Speaker 3: is super, super fatigued. I mean they used four arms yesterday,
- 51:38Speaker 3: three of them throwing twenty two, twenty two and twenty
- 51:40Speaker 3: four pitches. On Sunday they used five arms, So in
- 51:44Speaker 3: the last two days they used nine arms out of
- 51:47Speaker 3: that bullpen, and they sit already like fourteenth worst in
- 51:51Speaker 3: the league in terms of x FIP right around at
- 51:54Speaker 3: four point three, So I do think that helps. Add
- 51:58Speaker 3: if they can get gone been out of there fairly early,
- 52:01Speaker 3: you could see this game turning into the softball game.
- 52:04Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm with you, I definitely prefer the cub
- 52:05Speaker 1: side overall.
- 52:07Speaker 3: I do think Mr Comedy, Coaston, Montgomery, Ben Attendi, some
- 52:10Speaker 3: of those those lefties that from from the White Sox
- 52:13Speaker 3: don't break the bank, and they have a ton of
- 52:16Speaker 3: power as well, especially against right handed pitching.
- 52:19Speaker 2: Next on Roberts saying here about bad weather something, Yeah,
- 52:25Speaker 2: I'm not worried about it. We'll probably get a delay,
- 52:28Speaker 2: the storms will move through and they should play. I
- 52:31Speaker 2: don't foresee like a postponement or anything like that. We're
- 52:34Speaker 2: not using the pitchers in that game anyways, so I
- 52:36Speaker 2: don't care. I'm not a I'm not playing Kevin Gosman.
- 52:40Speaker 3: If you you guys are playing Gosman, I would monitor
- 52:42Speaker 3: hear that, just because if the game doesn't start into delay,
- 52:45Speaker 3: there's probably a pretty early in game delay that you
- 52:48Speaker 3: have to worry about. But again, I'm not playing him,
- 52:51Speaker 3: so I'm not too worried about it, and I see that,
- 52:54Speaker 3: I think they're gonna get the full nine innings in
- 52:58Speaker 3: after they probably late started there.
- 53:00Speaker 1: So that's kind of how I'm approaching it.
- 53:02Speaker 3: Didn't really pay too much attention to the weather overall
- 53:05Speaker 3: from a bat side of things, because I'm, like I said,
- 53:08Speaker 3: off the pitchers there next.
- 53:10Speaker 1: Spot Angels Astros classing Xavier.
- 53:14Speaker 3: This is a game that wouldn't shock me if it's
- 53:17Speaker 3: seven to ten or if it's three to one. Gee Risen, Angels.
- 53:22Speaker 3: Bullpen's horrible, Astros Bullpen's not great. These pitchers have not been.
- 53:27Speaker 3: I mean, they've shown signs of upside, they've also shown
- 53:30Speaker 3: plenty of downside. Talk to me here, you you hate
- 53:33Speaker 3: this Angel's lineup. People are just playing Xavier because it's
- 53:36Speaker 3: a right handed pitcher against the Angels. But I mean,
- 53:39Speaker 3: Meckler leading off at thirty two hundred, Mike Trout, who's
- 53:42Speaker 3: been really good, fifty two hundred, he's going to be
- 53:45Speaker 3: three percent owned because again the Dodgers. Everyone's going to
- 53:48Speaker 3: prioritize the Dodgers at those price points. It's a lot
- 53:51Speaker 3: easier to click Kyle Tucker for one hundred dollars cheaper
- 53:54Speaker 3: than Mike Trout right, it's a lot a lot easier
- 53:56Speaker 3: to click to Orrnandez for forty six hundred, then a
- 53:59Speaker 3: Mike out something like that zach Netto, same thing. It's
- 54:02Speaker 3: a lot easier click Mookie Betts for two hundred dollars
- 54:04Speaker 3: more than zach Netto. I think this game is interesting.
- 54:08Speaker 3: Probably prefer the Astros if stacking aside, just because I'd
- 54:12Speaker 3: rather pick on that Angels bullpen in classon overall, just
- 54:16Speaker 3: because he could walk himself right out of this game
- 54:18Speaker 3: super early, and then you got a lot of at
- 54:21Speaker 3: bats against a really horrible bullpen. But how do you
- 54:25Speaker 3: see this one overall? From offense? It's hard for me
- 54:27Speaker 3: to kind of get a great read on this one.
- 54:29Speaker 1: Obviously.
- 54:30Speaker 3: Jordon looks elite on this slate at sixty five hundred,
- 54:33Speaker 3: another guy up in that top echelon of like, I
- 54:36Speaker 3: probably prefer a PCA, But PCA and Jordon, neither of
- 54:40Speaker 3: them are gonna get played over Otani, So talk to me,
- 54:43Speaker 3: how do you see this?
- 54:46Speaker 4: I actually like the Astros quite a bit. I'll put
- 54:49Speaker 4: him around the same around the same as I'll probably
- 54:51Speaker 4: don't like him as much as I like the Braves
- 54:53Speaker 4: in Red Sox, But I'll put him pretty close to
- 54:55Speaker 4: the same tier. I mean, Clawson's has not been very good.
- 54:59Speaker 4: It's strike up percentage against lefties last thirty days been
- 55:02Speaker 4: ten percent. I mean he's been walking fourteen percent. He
- 55:06Speaker 4: does have some ground ball leans, so but man, he's
- 55:09Speaker 4: been not been very good here in recent times. So,
- 55:12Speaker 4: I mean, just looking at here, Jordan Overrez sitting with
- 55:15Speaker 4: that forty percent fly ball rate is pretty good. Varsho
- 55:19Speaker 4: sitting at thirty percent, Pard He's even at thirty one.
- 55:22Speaker 1: I don't mind that.
- 55:23Speaker 4: But I mean I'm also picking on this bullpen after classing.
- 55:26Speaker 4: I mean, I don't expect Clawson to go too deep.
- 55:29Speaker 4: So I think with the Astro sitting here, I mean,
- 55:33Speaker 4: got a game total at nine, they're a pretty heavy favorite.
- 55:36Speaker 4: Got a team total sitting at five point two. I
- 55:39Speaker 4: think the Astros are definitely interesting. Jordan would be a
- 55:42Speaker 4: guy that I definitely would like to pivot off of Otani.
- 55:45Speaker 1: You know, if you want to pivot Otani, put in Jordon.
- 55:47Speaker 4: I think that's definitely somewhere you could go, something you
- 55:51Speaker 4: could do. I don't mind that at all. I mean, Jordan,
- 55:54Speaker 4: I'm about to win the damn triple Crown. The way
- 55:56Speaker 4: he's been going, So don't mind that. I think Astros
- 56:00Speaker 4: for me, though, I'm gonna put them up there fairly high.
- 56:03Speaker 4: Is one of my favorite stacks, and I don't think
- 56:05Speaker 4: they're gonna get the ownership they probably should. And it's
- 56:08Speaker 4: more or less me attacking a crappy pitcher and then
- 56:11Speaker 4: going after a bullpen. Now, Christian Javier is another guy
- 56:14Speaker 4: that I'd normally love to attack. The dude gives up
- 56:17Speaker 4: a ton of fly balls. He's not getting the ball
- 56:19Speaker 4: on the ground. His K percentages the lefties are just
- 56:22Speaker 4: god awful. So I mean, if I do believe that,
- 56:25Speaker 4: I mean, I think I should take some shots here.
- 56:27Speaker 1: On some Angels.
- 56:28Speaker 4: I don't love the lefty power that I'm getting from
- 56:31Speaker 4: the Angels, but you know you're throwing Mike Trout, who's
- 56:34Speaker 4: got a pretty good flyball rate. Dude's been, you know,
- 56:37Speaker 4: smashing some baseball's recent time. I don't love a full
- 56:41Speaker 4: Angel stack, but I think both sides of this game
- 56:43Speaker 4: would definitely be in play for me.
- 56:45Speaker 1: I really like.
- 56:45Speaker 4: The Astros, but I wouldn't discount the Angels because Javier
- 56:48Speaker 4: has just been bad.
- 56:49Speaker 1: Man. That dude's not good at all.
- 56:51Speaker 4: I mean Yeah, like I said, he had them seven
- 56:54Speaker 4: strikeouts in that five innings after he came in after
- 56:56Speaker 4: that starter, and like I said, it was alright, he's
- 57:00Speaker 4: on that lineup. He's gonna see a handful of lefties today.
- 57:03Speaker 4: I just don't like.
- 57:04Speaker 1: Him as much.
- 57:04Speaker 4: But I don't love the power that them Angels are bringing,
- 57:08Speaker 4: so I just have it a little further down. But Astros, man,
- 57:11Speaker 4: they're really interesting because I love picking on that Angel bullpen.
- 57:14Speaker 1: It sucks.
- 57:16Speaker 3: Yeah, there is four lefties I think in that Angels pen,
- 57:19Speaker 3: so guys like Taylor Trammel don't and Varshall are probably
- 57:23Speaker 3: going to get the hook. But again, with so many
- 57:26Speaker 3: Ridis in this lineup, I just I don't know if
- 57:29Speaker 3: they naturally just automatically go to one of those lefty
- 57:32Speaker 3: relievers out of that pen. It's really kind of hard telling.
- 57:35Speaker 3: You'll probably obviously see at least one of them, so
- 57:38Speaker 3: varshow and Trammel. Do you have some pinch hit wrists there?
- 57:40Speaker 3: But pre des Peina Alvarez, I mean probably rather full
- 57:45Speaker 3: stack the Astros and just say I'm going in on it,
- 57:47Speaker 3: and I don't really want to pick out individual bats
- 57:50Speaker 3: because it's probably either a ground ball or a walk
- 57:53Speaker 3: from classing, and then you can really pile on runs
- 57:56Speaker 3: quickly if he starts giving free passes and then has
- 57:59Speaker 3: to come over the heart of the late.
- 58:00Speaker 1: So that's kind of how I prefer to play it.
- 58:02Speaker 3: Overall, is probably the full full, full five man of
- 58:07Speaker 3: the Astros outside of Alvarez.
- 58:10Speaker 1: And then on the Angel side.
- 58:11Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you. I think they're they're interesting as well.
- 58:14Speaker 3: I just don't think this game gets any ownership either.
- 58:17Speaker 3: And we've seen this game kind of go go nuclear.
- 58:20Speaker 3: I not this same game matchup here, but this park
- 58:25Speaker 3: has yielded runs over the course of the year in
- 58:28Speaker 3: specific instances because of how bad that Astros bullpen is.
- 58:31Speaker 1: They have gotten better though with their health.
- 58:34Speaker 3: But you're not gonna see that, Josh haters in that
- 58:36Speaker 3: of the world unless get unless this game is super
- 58:39Speaker 3: close or anything, and your stack's not winning at that point.
- 58:42Speaker 1: Anyways.
- 58:44Speaker 3: All right, let's talk about the most important game on
- 58:46Speaker 3: the slate here coors Field. It's Dodgers and then drop
- 58:49Speaker 3: off a Cliff and everybody else in terms of the
- 58:51Speaker 3: best offensive plays on the slate. Issue is is the
- 58:54Speaker 3: Dodgers are super expensive. The guys you want to play
- 58:57Speaker 3: I mean Tony seventy one, Freeman sixty one. It's very
- 59:00Speaker 3: hard to play the Dodgers and play Kyle Harrison. That's
- 59:03Speaker 3: why you see most people settle in for Kevin Gosman
- 59:06Speaker 3: for cheaper, or settle in for those sub eight K
- 59:09Speaker 3: pitchers that we talked about here. You see probably see
- 59:13Speaker 3: a bunch of Eric Glower Dodgers teams, even though Eric
- 59:16Speaker 3: Blower is not projected to be super high owned right now.
- 59:19Speaker 3: I do think the more people start building and they
- 59:22Speaker 3: just click him in there with their Dodgers with no
- 59:24Speaker 3: Hunter Goodman. Now in that Rockies lineup hard to argue
- 59:29Speaker 3: against the Dodgers. They look really good here Feltoner's not good.
- 59:33Speaker 3: The Rockies bullpen is absolutely horrendous behind them. They used
- 59:37Speaker 3: some arms last night as well when the Dodgers put
- 59:39Speaker 3: up fourteen hits.
- 59:41Speaker 1: How do you see this one?
- 59:42Speaker 3: Are you five man stacking the Dodgers or you prefer
- 59:45Speaker 3: more as mini stacks at these salaries and just look
- 59:48Speaker 3: at a different offense points per dollar wise to kind
- 59:51Speaker 3: of outscore them. How do you see this? How are
- 59:53Speaker 3: you approaching it? In any Rockies interest on the other
- 59:55Speaker 3: side against Eric Flower.
- 59:59Speaker 4: Oh Man if you're playing some Dodgers, I think you
- 1:00:01Speaker 4: just got to be different with the way you build
- 1:00:04Speaker 4: your lineup. I mean, maybe play the Dodgers without showhy,
- 1:00:08Speaker 4: you know, I think that would be something to be,
- 1:00:11Speaker 4: you know, a different way to be because the Dodgers
- 1:00:13Speaker 4: are going to be fairly popular, and rightfully so. Ryan
- 1:00:15Speaker 4: Feltner sucks, man. I mean, this guy has just not
- 1:00:18Speaker 4: been good at all. I mean he's just been walking
- 1:00:22Speaker 4: a lot of guys here recent times. He's got his
- 1:00:24Speaker 4: last thirty days, I mean the whole season, he's just
- 1:00:27Speaker 4: been walking a lot of guys. But his last thirty
- 1:00:29Speaker 4: days he's had a fifteen percent walk percentage for lefty.
- 1:00:33Speaker 4: So I mean, we already know they got a ton
- 1:00:36Speaker 4: of lefty power here for the Dodgers. He's been getting
- 1:00:39Speaker 4: buried up by both sides of the plate.
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: His wOBA four to oh one to.
- 1:00:43Speaker 4: The left side the last thirty days five hundred to
- 1:00:45Speaker 4: the right side. Dude's has been getting smashed, so fly
- 1:00:48Speaker 4: ball rates are high both ways. I mean, all the
- 1:00:51Speaker 4: signs point to the Dodgers kicking some ass here. We
- 1:00:54Speaker 4: know it's the best hitting conditions, the best park, but
- 1:00:58Speaker 4: I think you're gonna have to be a little different.
- 1:01:00Speaker 4: Maybe throw a Tommy Edmund or maybe throw a Tiascar
- 1:01:03Speaker 4: in your lineup. I think, you know, that might be
- 1:01:06Speaker 4: a way to go. You're gonna have to be fairly
- 1:01:08Speaker 4: perfect on your Dodgers stack if you think you're gonna
- 1:01:11Speaker 4: take down the tournament tonight. So if you're playing five
- 1:01:14Speaker 4: teams and I think you like the Dodgers, you know,
- 1:01:17Speaker 4: maybe this is a scenario where four out of the
- 1:01:19Speaker 4: five teams you play some Dodgers and just try to
- 1:01:21Speaker 4: be a little bit different with the way you stack
- 1:01:23Speaker 4: them up. So I think that's what I would prefer.
- 1:01:26Speaker 4: Pitching seems fairly cheap here today. I mean, it was
- 1:01:29Speaker 4: not anything we thought could beat us. You know, maybe
- 1:01:32Speaker 4: we were a little fearful of some Kyle Harrison. But
- 1:01:34Speaker 4: I think at all points signs point to the Dodgers
- 1:01:37Speaker 4: being pretty heavily owned. You're gonna have to nail them all, right,
- 1:01:40Speaker 4: You're gonna have to get all five or four right,
- 1:01:42Speaker 4: whatever site you play on, So you know, but I mean,
- 1:01:46Speaker 4: it is the Rockies, you know, I do think here,
- 1:01:50Speaker 4: you know, it seems like Knad's like when the Rockies.
- 1:01:52Speaker 4: Nobody's given the Rockies any love. They lose the game
- 1:01:56Speaker 4: twelve to six, six, you know, and they hit two bombs, right,
- 1:02:00Speaker 4: Nobody's looking at the Rockies.
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: They're like, you know, Rockies suck, they lose, they suck.
- 1:02:04Speaker 4: But I mean, without Goodman, it does water down that
- 1:02:08Speaker 4: lineup a little bit. But I mean Cole Krrig isn't
- 1:02:12Speaker 4: a bad play up there at the top of that lineup.
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: I don't mind him at all.
- 1:02:16Speaker 4: Jordan Beck's another guy that hits lefties fairly well, so
- 1:02:20Speaker 4: I wouldn't put the Rockies out of it. I just
- 1:02:23Speaker 4: do like Eric Lauer a little bit more. He's been
- 1:02:25Speaker 4: pitching fairly decent since he's landed over there with the Dodgers,
- 1:02:29Speaker 4: so I think, you know, he's I'd rather play him,
- 1:02:32Speaker 4: But I wouldn't fault you if you do like some
- 1:02:34Speaker 4: Rockies to get a little bit different. But man, Dodgers,
- 1:02:37Speaker 4: for me, I mean it's fairly easy. I mean you
- 1:02:39Speaker 4: just stack them up, stack them every which way, all
- 1:02:42Speaker 4: the different ways, and I can't fault you. I could
- 1:02:46Speaker 4: see a pretty decent number for me. There's just more
- 1:02:48Speaker 4: scenarios for the Dodgers to go off than any other
- 1:02:50Speaker 4: team by far, So for me, I think i'd be
- 1:02:53Speaker 4: pretty overweight on the Dodgers, but I think I'd be
- 1:02:55Speaker 4: sure to throw in some bottom pieces that lineup.
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: There, I think the Rockies wrap around like a seven,
- 1:03:03Speaker 3: like a Jordan Beck, Tovar, McCarthy, Castro carreg something like
- 1:03:07Speaker 3: that makes some sense.
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: McCarthy actually hits lefties pretty well.
- 1:03:10Speaker 3: Lower is actually susceptible to power from both sides, but
- 1:03:13Speaker 3: especially against lefty. So McCarthy has been pretty solid in cores.
- 1:03:18Speaker 3: I think he's interesting. Tovar down at the nine hole
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: at shortstop, nobody's gonna click that name, Castro Carrig like
- 1:03:24Speaker 3: you mentioned, and then Jordan back right, he's pretty big
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: pinch hit risk, but again he's dirt cheap thirty one.
- 1:03:32Speaker 3: Who knows if if they really pinch hit. A bunch
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: of these guys playing the Dodgers right when they're probably
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: gonna get their lunch either way. So yeah, I think
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: we broke it down well. G Rozan, your top three pitchers,
- 1:03:41Speaker 3: your top three stats in a home run coffe you have.
- 1:03:43Speaker 4: Them, Oh Maley for me, Harrison, and then I'll go
- 1:03:52Speaker 4: I'm gonna go lower. I'm gonna go lower there, and
- 1:03:56Speaker 4: then for me my stacks Dodgers obviously. I'm gonna go
- 1:04:00Speaker 4: Red Sox, Braves, Astros for me, and then my home
- 1:04:07Speaker 4: run call that I'm looking at here today. I had
- 1:04:10Speaker 4: a couple of them I thought were interesting, but.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: I'm going Matt Olson. I think Matt Olson hits a
- 1:04:16Speaker 1: bomb awesome. I like that from pitching for me.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: I'm gonna go Kyle Harrison number one, Tyler Mally number two,
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: and then I'll go Jackson Kent number three down there
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: at sixty eight hundred in terms of offense, Dodgers obviously
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: number one for me. I'll put the Braves number two,
- 1:04:36Speaker 3: and then I'll throw the Cubs number three.
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: I like the Cubs there.
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: I like both sides of that Chicago series there across
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: town rivals there. I know there's some weather risk there,
- 1:04:45Speaker 3: but I think the game should play humans and wins
- 1:04:48Speaker 3: blown out.
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: I like that park overall.
- 1:04:51Speaker 3: Give me the Cubs facing Fetti Watt for the majority
- 1:04:54Speaker 3: of that game. My home run call I am gonna
- 1:04:56Speaker 3: go to the Cubs game feels like cheating. I'm gonna
- 1:05:00Speaker 3: take PCA sixty six hundred. I know it's expensive. I
- 1:05:03Speaker 3: know that, but I'll go ahead and give another cheap
- 1:05:07Speaker 3: one that I did bet before I got back to Wisconsin.
- 1:05:10Speaker 3: On my way home from the other side of that game,
- 1:05:12Speaker 3: the cleanup hitter Andrew Ben attendee thirty five hundred, so
- 1:05:17Speaker 3: two Chicago hitters coming from that game in regularly hopefully
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: hit some home runs in that one for g Rosen,
- 1:05:24Speaker 3: I'm Aid's good luck tonight in those contests. Hope to
- 1:05:26Speaker 3: see those Ship of Nation logos at the top. We'll
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: see guys tomorrow.
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: Peace,