Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 81 - 7/23/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 81 - 7/23/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:20
Hello and welcome to episode 81 of the All Systems Go sports
0:26
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:29
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:35
Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
0:38
guys. Another day to focus all of our
0:40
attention on Major League Baseball.
0:42
That's right. We got a big slate today.
0:44
No day games, which I'm fine with.
0:46
All night games here, a 15 game slate.
0:48
And we're going to talk a lot of MLB today.
0:50
It's going to be all MLB wall to wall.
0:52
So if you're a baseball better, this is the podcast for you.
0:55
We have a six pack of sweats across the market.
0:58
I could probably add a couple more, but I never try to go
1:01
above 6 bets. I try not to even go above 5
1:04
just because the more bets you put in, the more risk you
1:06
assume. Obviously you think, hey, I can
1:08
have a huge night, but also things could go against you.
1:10
You can have a bad night. So it's never a bad idea to
1:13
limit your bets to the games where you feel like you have the
1:15
largest edge. But today's one of those days
1:18
where a lot of good system matches popped up for me, so I'm
1:20
excited to share a six pack of sweats for you today with our
1:24
goal of going four and two and eking out.
1:26
Another winning night. Another winning night, because
1:28
last night we got after it. 3 and 1 + 1.4 units had a couple
1:33
huge hits or three overall. But in particular, I love seeing
1:37
the Twins come through for us guys because that's a sort of
1:39
game where if you don't know about reverse line movement, now
1:43
you know, and reverse line movement is RLM.
1:45
It's when the betting line moves away from the popular side
1:48
toward the unpopular side. And that was a textbook example
1:51
because the Philadelphia Phillies, who are a great team,
1:54
best record in baseball, yet they open -30 -. 130 got all the
1:58
way down to -110 Why was the line going away from Philly if
2:02
they were getting like 80% of bets?
2:04
Well, it's because smart money went in favor of Minnesota.
2:07
We followed that smart money and the Twinkies had a huge win for
2:10
us last night. Remember, Twins also hit lefties
2:12
got to Suarez a bit, which was nice.
2:15
Also, how about the Detroit Tigers getting it done with
2:19
Tarek Scubal on the bump? Eight to two win.
2:21
That was a pick em opener. Basically a - 1 O 5 - 110
2:24
opener. We saw big movement toward
2:26
Detroit -135 beat the closing line, some books for -140 so
2:31
it's great to see the Tigers come through for us.
2:33
And then it was a bit of a sweat, but the Rangers luckily
2:36
got a winner on the in Arlington, TX for us last night
2:40
because Texas Rangers. I, I was worrisome a little bit
2:43
because it felt like the obvious bet and the line didn't move too
2:46
much, but I had a bunch of good system match.
2:48
I said, hey, let's play. Texas kind of got lucky with
2:51
that one because Texas Rangers were down three to two going
2:54
into the bottom of the ninth. Paul the Young hit a Homer to
2:57
give the White Sox, the terrible White Sox a three to two win.
2:59
And I'm like shaking my head, are we really going to lose
3:02
against the White Sox, who are the worst team on the road by
3:05
far? But luckily Jonah Heim had a big
3:07
hit in the 9th to tie it. Wyatt Lankford with a big hit in
3:10
the 10th to win it. So we got the got the Rangers.
3:13
Only loser was the Brewers. Ironically, that was the game I
3:16
probably liked the most last night, but they couldn't get
3:18
anything going into the Cubs and they lost.
3:20
What was it, 3 to one? That just goes to show you flat
3:23
betting. Even though the Brewers were my
3:25
favorite bet, all bets are equal.
3:27
You're always risking one unit, you're always looking to flat
3:30
bet and not put more on this, less on that.
3:32
I know there's another option called Kelly Criterion where you
3:35
weight your bets, but to me, flat betting, it's going to make
3:38
your life very easy, very simple.
3:39
And imagine if we put like 3 units on Milwaukee and a half
3:42
unit on all the others. We would have gone three in one
3:45
but had a losing night because we didn't flat bet.
3:47
But we did flat bet, which is what we always recommend, a good
3:50
three in one night plus 1.44 units.
3:53
So as I mentioned, all baseball, which is fine by me, it's the
3:57
calm before the storm. There's no WNBA, the Olympics
3:59
are about to start and we are still a little bit away, a ways
4:02
away from NFL, even though it's kind of getting closer every
4:05
day. So if you're a baseball batter,
4:07
what's funny is you know this is again the slowest time of the
4:10
year in betting. But for me, it's one of my
4:12
favorite times of the year. Obviously nothing touches NFL
4:14
that's the best, but I like just baseball every day.
4:17
I don't know what it is. I used to play baseball.
4:19
I love baseball. I love betting baseball.
4:21
So if you're like me, if you're a seam head, hey, this is
4:25
actually a good time of year to be betting on sports.
4:27
Anyway, let's dive right in because I got a six pack.
4:29
Let's stop wasting time. Let's talk about our sweats here
4:32
for tonight. So first one on the board, 6:45
4:35
PM Eastern Time, first pitch. Let's go to the nation's capital
4:38
where we have the San Diego Padres visiting the Washington
4:41
Nationals. Now Padres come in 52 and 50.
4:45
They just took two out of three against Cleveland post All Star
4:48
break. Meanwhile, the Washington
4:50
Nationals 47 and 53, they just swept, which was a bit
4:54
surprising, swept the Cincinnati Reds three-game series at home.
4:58
So pitching match up here for tonight.
5:00
We have Randy Vasquez, the righty going for the fathers.
5:03
He's two and five with a 4.57 ERA.
5:06
He'll be opposed by the lefty DJ Hers who's one and three with a
5:10
5.17 ERA. What have we seen across the
5:13
market here? Well, smart money is coming in
5:15
on dad. Let's go fathers.
5:17
I'm going San Diego here, guys. This game open with Washington
5:20
listed around a -, 120 home favorite, about a plus one O 5 +
5:24
110 with San Diego. Now we're seeing this line
5:27
basically get down to a pick em. We're seeing minus one O 5 -,
5:30
110 both sides. I'm even seeing a couple shops
5:33
that are maybe flipping hopping the fence going to San Diego as
5:36
a very short favorite. So what this tells me is
5:39
basically we got smart money hitting San Diego.
5:42
If you look at the bet splits, good split here for San Diego as
5:45
well. They're getting 59% of money
5:46
line bets, but 69% of money line dollars.
5:51
So it tells me we got a nice low bets, higher dollars bet split,
5:54
slight public support, but also heavy sharp action.
5:57
And right now it's basically a pick em.
5:58
But if it does, you know, continue to go towards San
6:01
Diego, which is my my hope here because that'll just be further.
6:04
Obviously the line will get more expensive.
6:05
If you haven't bet it yet, we're still around a pick em price.
6:08
But if it becomes a true favorite for San Diego right
6:11
now, it's basically a pick em. You're going to match short Rd.
6:13
favorites -130 or less system match, non division Rd. favorite
6:17
off a win. Both had the day off.
6:19
Take the favorite. So again, we're out of pick em.
6:21
But it's very clear that all line movement is going towards
6:24
San Diego. So I want to be with San Diego
6:26
now. I want to bank on San Diego's
6:28
offense. They got the better bats here.
6:29
They're hitting 260 with 111 homers, 457 runs scored.
6:35
The Nationals are hitting 240 with 84 homers, 420 runs scored.
6:40
San Diego's been pretty good on the road, 26 and 22.
6:43
Washington just 23 and 24 at home.
6:45
And if you dig a little bit deeper into these pitchers,
6:48
Vasquez, he's got a 4.57 ERA overall, but he's been better in
6:52
July, 2 starts, 3.18 ERA. The Padres are five and three in
6:57
his last eight starts, and he's given up two earned runs or less
7:00
and four straight starts. So hopefully, Vasquez peeking at
7:04
the right time for us tonight. Meanwhile, DJ hers the Nats are
7:07
O and three in his last three starts and he had a 4.5 O ERA
7:11
and two July starts. So you add it all up here, guys,
7:14
we open with Washington, a short favorite.
7:16
We're down to a pick em. Who knows may even hop the fence
7:18
go to San Diego favored. But even not even if it, you
7:22
know, stays a pick em or a slight dog San Diego really from
7:25
opener to current, it's been all Padres movement.
7:27
So I'm going with the fathers here guys, shop around.
7:30
I was able to get San Diego at around a -, 1 O 5.
7:34
Keep on cruising. Next one up for you, let's go
7:37
right back to the well, let's stick to our contrarian reverse
7:40
line move philosophy. I'm going right back to the
7:42
Minnesota Twinkies, guys. That's right, I'm going Twins.
7:45
I'm going to tell you about the gamblers fallacy here in a
7:47
second. But anyway, had a huge win last
7:49
night with the Twinkies as we start off the pod recapping that
7:52
game. Big winner there.
7:54
What was it? Seven to two, as I mentioned at
7:56
home, and we're seeing pretty much the same thing here
7:58
tonight. Publix on Philly lines dipping a
8:01
bit to Minnesota. Now if you look at the pitching
8:03
match up here, I get why Philly is -140 Zach Wheeler's on the
8:08
bump. Great pitcher, 10 and 42.7 OERA
8:12
pitcher for the Twins, Simeon Woods Richardson.
8:15
He's three and one with a 3.51 ERA.
8:17
But once again, what is the market telling us?
8:20
Philadelphia actually open this game as high as a -, 155 -, 160
8:26
Rd. favorite. Now they're down to -145 I even
8:29
see one book -140 Now why is that notable?
8:33
Because the public is all over the Philadelphia, Philadelphia
8:37
Phillies. Phillies are getting 84% of bets
8:40
public saying, hey, give me an easy winner today.
8:42
Take Philly with Zach Wheeler on the bump.
8:44
I get it, He's been good and Philly's have been good this
8:47
year. So it makes total sense, right?
8:49
But let me ask you this. If 84% of bets are on Philly and
8:53
they open -160 why is lying down to -145 -, 140?
8:58
If they're getting 8086% of bets or 84% open -160 shouldn't they
9:03
be up to -170 -, 180? No, the lines going the other
9:06
way. So I'm going to follow this
9:08
reverse line movement. I like the Minnesota Twins here.
9:10
I'm going to take a shot on hopefully a dog to bark.
9:13
So shop around. I got the Twins at plus 125.
9:16
But a couple things like about Minnesota aside from the biggest
9:19
reason would be the data play public Philly line going to
9:22
Twins. They're the top contrarian play
9:24
of the day. Only getting 16% of bets and
9:27
gamblers fallacy. So gambler's fallacy is a term
9:30
you might hear me talk about every now and again, but it
9:32
basically is. I always give this example.
9:35
You go to the roulette table and it lands on black five times in
9:38
a row. Most people would say I'm going
9:41
to bet the house on red for the next spin because if it's been
9:43
black black five times, it's got to be red the next time, right?
9:47
Not exactly. It might just be black again.
9:50
It might be sixth straight, seventh straight again.
9:52
In the end if you do 1000 spins it's going to be close to 5050.
9:56
But whole point being gambler's fallacy is hey a bad team lost
10:00
they got to bounce back and win today or a bad team won
10:02
yesterday they got to lose today.
10:04
But you never want to bet on what you think, expect, want or
10:07
hope will happen. Bet on what the markets telling
10:09
you. So gambler's fallacy would be
10:11
hammer Philly today and who knows they may win.
10:13
I hope not. I'm on Minnesota but you never
10:15
want to bet because of the gambler's fallacy.
10:17
Anyway. Dig a little deeper here.
10:20
Wheeler's been great. 1.77 ERA at home, 4.17 on the road.
10:25
He's on the road today also. Simeon Woods Richardson.
10:29
The Twins did you know, are 12 and four in woods Richardson 16
10:33
starts, three and O the last three.
10:35
Also last 10 games Minnesota has had a better team ERA 3.62
10:41
versus 5.48 better bullpen 3.61 versus 3.94.
10:46
Twins have been good at home, 28 and 20 at home and they have the
10:50
fresher bullpen. Last night we had Ober who would
10:52
pitch great for US 7 innings and then you had two innings pitch
10:55
from Sands Philly Suarez only went 5.1 and then to bring in
10:59
three more relievers so you have a more rested pen.
11:02
We have a good sharp day to play.
11:04
I'm going to see if maybe the Twins can do it for us again
11:07
tonight guys, I'm going Twinkies at plus 125.
11:11
Keep on cruising. Next one up for you.
11:12
I'm looking for some revenge tonight.
11:14
That's right the Milwaukee Brewers let me down last night.
11:17
Let's see if they can get us some revenge here for tonight.
11:19
So anyway, Milwaukee, as you remember, 3 to one loss
11:23
yesterday couldn't come through for the team.
11:25
However, looking at tonight, looks like the betting market
11:28
and smart money is on Milwaukee. So that's where I want to be.
11:32
So anyway, looking at the match up here, the Cubs 49 and 53, you
11:36
look at the Brewers coming in 57 and 43 pitching match up.
11:40
We have the Brewers going with Rady Collin Ray.
11:43
I used to call him Rhea. His last name is spelled Rea and
11:46
I realized hey, it's Ray, not Rhea.
11:48
Anyway, he's 9:00 and 3:00, 3.77 ERA.
11:51
Cubs, meanwhile, are going to go with Rady Jamison tie on seven
11:54
and four, 3.1 O ERA with this move or this match up here is
11:59
all about the movement for me because the Cubs opened as
12:03
around a -, 120 -, 125 home favorite and now we're basically
12:07
down to a pick em minus one O 5 -, 110 both sides.
12:10
We've been seeing a couple shops that are maybe hinting at a
12:13
Milwaukee slight favorite like -110 -, 112.
12:17
So either way, lines going away from Chicago toward Milwaukee
12:21
tells me we got smart money here on the Brewers.
12:23
A dog to pick them or maybe even a dog to fave line move.
12:26
Brewers are getting 60% of bets, 70% of dollars.
12:30
So good low bets, higher dollars, bet split.
12:33
Hopefully Minnesota's offense or Milwaukee's offense I should say
12:36
wakes up tonight because they couldn't do anything last night.
12:38
But they are on the year the better offense hitting 254 with
12:42
483 runs scored. Chicago's hitting 233 with 422
12:47
runs scored. Also one thing I'm banking on,
12:51
Brewers clean up against bad teams.
12:53
Didn't do it last night, but against teams with a below 500
12:56
record, Milwaukee is 28 and 1664% with an 8% ROI.
13:01
If Milwaukee flips, got a little more dog to fave and they become
13:05
the favorite, then they'll match a few other systems because
13:08
they're right on the edge. Right now is a pick and play,
13:10
but short Rd. favorites -130 or less favorite off a loss versus
13:14
opponent off a win. Those systems are both around
13:15
61% or 55% and 60%. So again, had a good night last
13:21
night. Only team that let us down was
13:22
Brewers. You brew crew owe us tonight,
13:25
let's go Milwaukee. I was able to get the brew crew
13:28
at around -1 O 5. Keep on cruising and ain't
13:32
broke. Don't fix it.
13:32
Play going right back to Arlington, TX.
13:35
Let's go Texas Rangers. So Rangers coming in 48 and 52
13:40
second game here at the series against the White Sox had that
13:43
BIG43 win last night thanks to Wyatt Lankford in the match up
13:46
tonight, White Sox who are 27 and 75, they're going to go with
13:50
the lefty Garrett Crochet six and six, three-point O2 ERA.
13:54
Meanwhile, the Rangers are going to go with ready John Gray four
13:57
and four 3.96 ERA. What have we seen across the
14:00
market? Well, good sharp movement in
14:03
favor of the Rangers. Rangers open this game, very
14:05
short favorite around -120 we're now seeing the Rangers get up to
14:09
-135 -, 140, so about a 15 or 20 cent steam move in their favor.
14:15
Now the Rangers are getting around 75% of bets.
14:17
So public support, but also not just public smart money moving
14:22
this line in their favor, causing that adjustment.
14:24
Now, one system that I love favorites getting $0.10 of steam
14:27
or more against teams who missed the playoffs the previous year.
14:31
So your favorite, you're expected to win, you got the
14:33
movement in your direction telling us smart money is on
14:35
your side and you're playing a bad team.
14:37
That system is 172 and one O 762% this year.
14:42
Also fading the White Sox. We had to sweat it last night.
14:44
I was like, are we really going to again?
14:46
I couldn't believe it. I was like at one point it's
14:47
like, man, the young had to get that Homer and we're going to
14:50
lose 3:00 to 2:00 or 4:00 to 3:00 or whatever.
14:52
The three to two I think luckily didn't happen, but anyway,
14:56
you've been making a lot of money betting against the White
14:58
Sox this year. Fading CHW is 75 and 2774
15:03
percent, 16% ROI. Rangers have the better bats,
15:07
hitting 2:38 with 105 homers, 426 runs scored.
15:12
Chicago's hitting two 1988 homers, 319 runs scored.
15:17
Mentioned this yesterday, but White Sox bat on the road 10 and
15:19
41 worse than baseball. Rangers 26 and 23 at home.
15:24
We also have non division favorite value with Texas and a
15:27
favorite low total told this one is really dropped.
15:30
It opened at 8 at some shops down to seven and a half and now
15:33
it's down to seven at some shops.
15:34
So that's a good sign. Lines moving to the favorite
15:37
totals falling more likely that these runs come from the better
15:40
team. Also crochet has been good 2.31
15:44
ERA at home, 4.17 on the road and Gray 4.19 on the road 3.78
15:51
at home. So Crochet's been worse on the
15:54
road. Gray's been better at home.
15:56
Gray's at home tonight. Crochet's on the road.
15:58
But either way, guys, all about the line move to me -120 ish
16:02
again. Now all the way up to -140 I'm
16:04
going to go Texas Rangers, I bet them a little bit earlier today.
16:07
Always check my Twitter account at Josh under score Insights,
16:10
because I put out the sharp report for visa.com around noon
16:13
each every day. But I'm on the Rangers at -135
16:17
next one for you, A late evolving play.
16:20
Let's go to Kansas City. Kansas City Royals are hosting
16:23
the Arizona Diamondbacks and we saw last night a big win there
16:27
from Kansas City, KS. City's bats got going.
16:30
They posted a big win. 3:50 for tonight.
16:34
We're seeing some good movement right back to Kansas City.
16:37
So I'm gonna go Kansas City here.
16:38
Guys. This game opened Arizona around
16:41
a -, 115 road favorite. Now it's flipped to Kansas City
16:45
-110 -, 115. So a classic dog to fave line
16:49
move. We opened KC as a dog.
16:51
Now Casey is a favorite. I want to be with that dog to
16:54
fave line move Now going into this matchup, we have Jordan
16:57
Montgomery coming off the injured list.
16:59
The pitch for the Snakes. He's six and five with a 6.44
17:03
ERA. He'll be opposed by Alec Marsh,
17:05
who's seven and six with a 4.52 ERA.
17:08
But I really buried the leader I let off with it all about dog to
17:11
fave line move in favor of Kansas City.
17:14
Couple other reasons why I like Kansas City here.
17:17
Let's look at these pictures a little bit more.
17:19
Montgomery just hasn't had a good year.
17:21
It was great last year, but I think he got screwed up because
17:24
Boris kind of screwed him, Made him wait, didn't get a good
17:27
spring training, switch teams behind the 8 ball.
17:30
But anyway, before he got hurt in June, he had an area of 7.59.
17:34
Now he's off the injured list. Is he on a pitch count?
17:37
Also, if you look at Kansas City, they happen to really hit
17:40
southpaws. They're hitting 261 against
17:42
lefties. That's the 6th best average
17:45
against lefties this year. Recent performance, Arizona six
17:49
and four, 242 their batting average 3.54 ERA.
17:53
But Kansas City's eight and two, their last ten with A2292
17:57
batting average, 2.66 ERA. So last 10, Kansas City's been
18:02
better with the bats and on the mound.
18:04
Also, if you look at Marsh, 3.97 ERA at home, 5.11 on the road.
18:10
He's at home tonight. Interleague favorite.
18:12
Now that we have the dog to fave move with Kansas City as well as
18:17
if you look at some of the best teams here when they are laying
18:20
chalk. So I always kind of look at,
18:21
hey, when you're favored, do you come through?
18:23
Well, guess what? Kansas City Royals are the
18:25
second best chalk team in baseball.
18:27
They're 30 and 12 with a 20% ROI.
18:30
When they're favored, they're 35 and 18 at home and Arizona's
18:34
only 25 and 26 on the road. So this is a game where I
18:38
noticed the line ticked down a little bit early away from
18:41
Arizona and I just had my my eye on it.
18:44
Like sometimes I have games overnight, early morning where
18:46
it's like very clear, hey, this is the side.
18:49
There are other games that kind of show themselves later in the
18:51
day. This is one of those games that
18:53
showed them showed itself later in the day.
18:55
So I'm going to follow this movement.
18:56
I'm going Kansas City guys, shop around.
18:58
I got Kansas City at -110 last bite of the night.
19:03
Let's go out West to Oakland. Houston Astros visiting the
19:07
Oakland A's now coming in here. Houston is, let me flip it.
19:11
Let me start with the Athletics. They're 40 and 62.
19:14
Had a big win yesterday for nothing.
19:16
They beat Houston. That was a surprise.
19:18
They're a + 135 home dog rematch tonight, the Stroh's who are 52
19:22
and 48. They're going to go with ready
19:24
Jake Bloss, who's O&O with a 4.7 O ERA.
19:28
Meanwhile, the A's are going to go with fellow ready Osvaldo
19:31
Bido. What a great name one and one
19:33
3.44 ERA. But I hope he gets lit up
19:35
tonight. No offense, Bido.
19:37
Anyway, I'm going to go with the Astros in this one.
19:40
Notice the Astros open around a -, 125 road favorite.
19:43
Now they've been bet up to around -135 some books were, you
19:46
know, inching closer to -140 so we got a $0.10 move in favor of
19:50
Houston. Houston has a good bet split.
19:53
They're getting 74% of bets, but 84% of dollars.
19:57
Telling us not only the public, but smart money, heavy smart
20:00
money is in their favor and they're matching quite a few
20:03
systems. A big one here would be favored
20:05
off a loss. First opponent off a win.
20:07
That's three, 31 and two, 1661% with a 3% ROI.
20:12
You are also, I guess you're slightly out of that sweet spot,
20:17
Rd. favorite -130 or less because you're around -135 but I
20:21
have other systems here. Rd. favorite off a loss, good
20:24
favorite off a loss versus a bad team winning team, favorite off
20:27
a loss. These are all kind of variations
20:29
of the same system, but they're all lighting up here on Houston.
20:33
Also, I'm going to bank on the Astros bats hopefully coming to
20:35
life tonight. They're hitting 261 with 468
20:38
runs scored. Athletics hitting 2:30 with 420
20:42
runs scored. Houston, even though they lost
20:44
last night, six and two against Oakland.
20:46
Let's hope to get back to their winning ways.
20:49
In the last 10 games, both teams are six and four, but Houston's
20:52
pitching has been much better over that 10 game sample 2.73
20:56
ERA versus 4.97 for Oakland and also the Astros.
21:01
We got two righties tonight. Astros are hitting 261 against
21:04
righties, second best in baseball.
21:06
Athletics are hitting 228 against righties.
21:09
That's 26th in baseball. So you add it all up, $0.10 team
21:13
move to the road favorite Houston with some good system
21:16
matches. I think it's kind of a short
21:17
price on Houston tonight. I'm going to go Stroh's.
21:20
Shop around. I got Houston at -135 S,
21:24
Houston, Kansas City, Texas, Milwaukee, Minnesota.
21:28
Boy, that would be a nice hit plus 125 and San Diego six pack.
21:33
Can we get four of them? That is the goal tonight.
21:36
So that about does it everybody another pod here in the books,
21:39
episode 81 of the all systems go pod.
21:41
But this is the part of the pod we like to wrap things up, give
21:45
you some things to think about. But then first ask you a favor.
21:48
Can I ask you a favor out there? Can you please, please, please,
21:51
please do me a huge favor and give this podcast a 5 star
21:56
review. If you're listening on Spotify
21:58
or iTunes or any other platform and it gives you the option to
22:01
rate the pod five stars, that would really make my day.
22:04
Help me to grow this pod organically.
22:06
You can recommend it to a friend.
22:08
If there's an option to follow, that's great too.
22:10
So you get alerted as soon as it drops.
22:12
But seriously, a 5 star review would really make my day.
22:14
If you've already given it a 5 star review, I appreciate you.
22:18
I appreciate you. Thank you.
22:19
Secondly, have you signed up for Rhythm or Juice Reel yet?
22:23
I say it every day, but I'm not doing it just as a used car
22:25
salesman. I'm telling you because it helps
22:27
me win. I want to help you win.
22:29
Rhythm is a little bit slow right now because WNBA is over,
22:33
but you still have golf going or not over but the Olympic break,
22:36
All Star break, but you still have golf going on.
22:39
And you can also get ready for NFL and college football because
22:41
we're starting to see some AI backed models and predictions
22:44
light up for football. So you can start to do a little
22:46
bit of research and then of course, Juice Reel great app
22:50
here to sinker sports books to the app, track your performance,
22:53
learn about yourself as a better and of course, looking at the
22:56
Robo Jackson best bet picks each day that come out at noon.
23:00
Arbitrage opportunities, sharp mush plays all available to you
23:03
with a juice reel membership. So I made it very easy for you
23:06
guys. I always keep the link for the
23:08
seven day free trial of juice reel and rhythm right in the bio
23:11
description of the pod. You can also find the rhythm dot
23:14
link, which is a pin tweet at the top of my profile on Twitter
23:17
at Josh under score insights, but go sign up for both because
23:20
they're great resources and great tools to add to your
23:23
toolbox when you're betting on sports.
23:25
Of course, if you enjoy these breakdowns because hey, we're
23:29
not making it up. We're going off what the markets
23:31
telling us and we're looking for inefficiencies, sharp moves
23:34
system matches. If this style of betting has
23:37
appealed to you and you want to learn more about how to be the
23:40
best data-driven, sharp sports better you can be, well, guess
23:44
what? Make my day and make your day by
23:47
go purchasing my book. It's called the Everything Guide
23:50
to Sports Betting. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
23:53
the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:55
Buy a copy for you or for a friend.
23:57
It would make my day, guys, seriously.
23:59
But it's not just a charity. It's not just to make me happy.
24:02
You're going to get something out of it.
24:03
You're going to get something to hold in your hands, right in the
24:05
margins. Highlight things something to
24:07
reference. It's got everything I've learned
24:09
in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
24:12
to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
24:14
place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
24:18
how to set up a bankroll management plan, all included in
24:21
the everything guide to sports betting.
24:22
So go buy one and when I see at the book, I'll sign my book and
24:26
I'll buy you a beer or a ginger ale or whatever you like.
24:29
But that about doesn't everybody other pod here in the books.
24:32
Let's see if we can have another winning day on the on the
24:35
diamonds. But whether I see you at the
24:37
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
24:41
in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
24:44
at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
24:47
Springfield and my neck of the woods in Boston or in
24:50
Massachusetts, I should say. Or of course, out in the desert
24:53
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends
24:55
his number runners with lowest use possible is found the South
24:58
Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
25:01
stadium swim pool. When you walk off with our
25:04
Rangers winner in the 10th at a circa wherever it may be, you're
25:07
going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a
25:09
Rangers ticket, a Twins RLM of the of the century ticket, a
25:14
Tigers ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
25:16
you. We're going to post about the
25:17
book sweat sharp contrarian plays all night long.
25:21
So wish you the best luck. Everyone have a great Tuesday.
25:24
And of course I'll leave you with this as I do at the end of
25:26
every pod. Stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
25:30
against the public. Place yourself on the side of
25:31
the house. Always be with the smart money,
25:34
never against it. Will smart money win every time?
25:36
Of course not. Again, we can do our best to
25:39
break down the market, but sometimes the team on the field
25:41
or the court or the ice, they don't come through for us.
25:44
But here's the thing, anything can happen in a one off.
25:46
But if we consistently long term, always bet with our head
25:50
and not our heart, against the public, with the house, with the
25:53
pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
25:56
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
25:59
So enjoy the sweats, everyone. Let's see if we can get four out
26:02
of six bets tonight. Let's eek out a winning night.
26:05
I'll wish you the best of luck and see you guys tomorrow for
26:07
episode 82 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered
26:12
by Rhythm. Good luck everybody.
26:14
Have a great Tuesday night.