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Episode 83 - 7/25/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:16
Hello and welcome to episode 83 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week is winding down,
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the weekend is upon us and we continue to grind it out on the
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diamond with Major League Baseball.
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Now today is a little bit of a smaller than usual slate on the
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board today. Only eight games with quite a
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few day games, but I did find 2 bets that caught my eye.
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So both are kind of around pick on prices.
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So if we can hit a couple of these would be nice in terms of
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the payback here because we're not laying big juice, but a
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couple sharp line moves in Major League Baseball for tonight that
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I'm excited to share with you. And then I got an e-mail this
1:03
morning from Bet MGM, my friends at Bet MGM, and they sent to me
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an updated breakdown of college football win totals.
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So I know we haven't talked any college football throughout the
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offseason here, but I was actually looking at the calendar
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and did you guys know we are about almost exactly one month
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away? I believe the first games are on
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August 24th. So even, you know, less than a
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month away from college football starting up here.
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So we'll sweat college football obviously week to week
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throughout the season. But I wanted to discuss with you
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guys 3 college football win totals that caught my eye.
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These are plays that I made today based on breaking down the
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percentage of bets in dollars as well as line movement and juice
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movement and also looking into returning starters.
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So I have 3 Culture Ball win totals.
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And again, it's using the same exact blueprint that we do with
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UFC with fighting, which I get ready cuz hopefully tomorrow
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morning I'll get that e-mail, another e-mail from Bet MGM and
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John Ewing. We'll have some UFC plays for
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this weekend, but it's the same thought process looking at bets
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in dollars, line movement, juice movement, and then applying some
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other factors here at play. So if you were looking to talk
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some college football today or you're looking for me to talk
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college football, guess what? It's your lucky day because I
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have 3 college football win totals and I'm going to give you
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guys a blueprint or maybe a kind of just a rehash here of how to
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identify sharp money using bet split data.
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But I buried the lead. How about a pretty good night
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last night, guys? 3 and 1 + 1.64 units had a
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couple huge hits across the market, including the Arizona
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Diamondbacks getting a little plus money with the D backs.
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Remember we noticed Arizona go from around like plus 120 to
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plus 110. Even though everyone is betting
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Kansas City, Arizona comes through with a big eight to six
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win for the team. So you always love it when you
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can cash a plus money bet. The Guardians were able to eke
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out a win for us. They're down 1, nothing early,
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but they eked out a 2 to one win.
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Thank you to Tanner Beebe and I think it was Josh Naylor late in
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the game with the game-winning hit.
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But the one that really got me going was Texas and the White
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Sox, the Rangers and the White Sox, the over 8.
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Now this one, if you guys remember from yesterday's pod,
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we identified that total because it was eight juiced up over -115
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-, 120. Some shops even touched and and
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briefly touched or came down or stayed at 8 1/2.
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It was notable because only 45% of bets are on the over, but it
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was taking into account 61% of dollars.
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Now, I'll fully admit we got a little bit lucky on that one
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because if you look at the final score, it was 1:50 Texas.
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So it's like, hey, over 812 runs scored.
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Boom. That was an easy one, right?
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But if you noticed, the Texas Rangers actually scored eight
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runs in the bottom of the eighth inning.
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So they really needed all those runs to cash that over, or not
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quite all of them, but at least a few of them.
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But I want to give a shout out to a couple guys in particular,
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Robbie Grossman hitting a Homer in the eighth, Smith with a SAC
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fly. Garcia had a RBI as well.
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And then low, was it Josh low? There's all these lows.
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Was it the raise lows or this one is, is it Nick, Nick Lowe?
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But he was or Nathaniel Lowe came through with a huge Homer
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late. So it was nice to see some late
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runs push us through and get that over.
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So either way, guys, only loss was the Nats.
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That one wasn't even close to end up losing 12 to three.
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But that's all right. That's all.
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We flat bet. And while you mentioned going
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into it, we got 4 bets. Can we get three of them what we
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did? So three in 1 + 1.64 units.
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Let's even keep it rolling into today for episode 83 of the All
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Systems Gopod. Without further ado, let's talk
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some Major League Baseball and then we're going to have some
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fun with some college football win totals.
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So for tonight's slate, again, only eight games overall, lot of
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day games. So there's only a few games to
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choose from. I'll be honest, not a ton caught
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my eye today. There's a possible lean earlier
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that I ended up not playing, But there's two games tonight that I
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do like because they match our blueprint.
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Sharp line move, good bet split, good system matches.
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So first one here, let's look at a big match up tonight in the
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Big Apple where the Atlanta Braves are visiting the New York
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Mets. So coming into this one, the
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Braves are 54 and 46, but they're not playing very well
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right now. They lost four straight.
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They just got swept in A2 game series against the Reds.
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They lost yesterday's series finale 9:00 to 4:00 as a -, 125
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home favorite. On the flip side, the Mets are
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going the other direction. Mets are playing pretty well, 53
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and 48. Their five games above 500.
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They've won four, their last five.
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They just swept the Yankees in A2 game series.
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They rolled 12 to three yesterday as a + 145 road dog.
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So pitch match up here. For tonight, we have the Braves
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going with lefty Chris Sale 13 and three, 2.7 OERA.
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As a Red Sox fan, that really pisses me off because Chris
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Sales been hurt for so many years even though he kept making
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30 million a year. And then as soon as he leaves
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Boston, he's got great numbers again.
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Wouldn't who would have guessed that?
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Anyway, the Mets are we're going to rebuttal with ready Luis
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Severino, who's seven and three with a 3.58 ERA.
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So what are you seeing across the market here?
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Well, Long story short, Atlanta Open as a very short favorite
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around -120 on the road. And now this game is down to a
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pick em. It's minus one O 5 or -110 both
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sides depending on a book you're looking at.
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What's really notable to me, it's not just this big line move
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dog to pick em. So not quite dog to fave.
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Maybe it'll flip dog to fave if the Mets, you know, creep up
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closer to -115 But not only do you have the line going away
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from Atlanta and toward the Mets, which is notable, tells us
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smart money here is going Mets, so I'm going Mets.
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I got the Mets at minus one O 5. But the really important factor
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here is incorporating the BET split because the public is
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right down the middle. They don't know what to do.
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They probably want to lean Braves because they're kind of a
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World Series contender. Yet the Mets are playing well,
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they're at home. It's a coin flip.
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They don't know what to do. So the bet splits on the money
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line for this game, this NLE showdown are right down the
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middle 5050. And what's one thing I've taught
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you guys or hopefully you've learned from me listening to,
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you know, 80 plus pods at this point and thousands of pods
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before this pod when I used to do other podcasts, it's that you
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always want to look out for a 5050 line move.
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So what does that mean? That means when the tickets are
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right down the middle 5050, theoretically, you think to
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yourself, hey, in a vacuum that you know, bets are split,
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there's no reason to see a line move there.
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It's very unexpected 5050 that the line should move right?
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Because in a vacuum, the actions equal, there's no reason for the
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odds makers to adjust it one way or the other.
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But when you see a 5050 bet split and yet the line moves
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bigly toward one team, that tells you that even though the
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tickets might be, you know, down the middle, even those tickets
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are not all created equal. So I always give the example.
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Let's say there's ten tickets on a game.
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That's obviously an incredibly low amount, but maybe five on
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team A5 on team B. So that'll be a 5050 split.
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Theoretically, it's even, right? But what if five of those bets
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on Team A are $5 bets and the five bets on Team B are $1000
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bets? You know, that's going to tell
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us something, that the bigger, sharper wagers are on Team B in
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that situation. And Team B in this spot seems to
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be the New York Mets as the lines going in their favor,
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despite the fact that the tickets are even down the
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middle. So we had a 5050 dog to pick a
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line move in favor of the Mets. Now, I'm going to bank on the
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Mets few things #1 their offense, they're hitting 251 on
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the year, 132 homers, 493 runs scored.
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Atlanta is only hitting 241 with 115 homers and 422 runs scored
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and also recent performance. Mets are playing well as I
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mentioned, they're seven and three over their last ten games.
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They're hitting 265 on the year with a 3.68 or sorry, 265 their
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last 10 games with a 3.68 ERA. Braves last 10.
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They're three and seven. They've had some injuries as
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well. I think Ozzy Alby's just got
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hurt. They're only hitting 221 with a
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4.6 O ERA. Also, I know Sales had a good
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year, but did you know the New York Mets are fifth best in
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baseball batting average against lefties?
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They're hitting 264 against southpaws, again, 5th best in
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baseball. Hopefully they get to Sale
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tonight. And by the way, Severino, he's
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been pitching pretty well for the Mets, especially at home.
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At home, he's four and one with a 2.82 ERA.
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So you add it all up here, guys. I'm sure like me, you guys look
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at line moves and you probably said, man, something's going on
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with the Mets open getting plus 110.
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Now they're minus one O 5 -, 110.
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We got a dog to pick them. Sharp line move, 5050 bet split.
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Let's go with the Mets here, guys.
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Shop around. I got New York at minus one O 5.
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Keep on cruisin. Last late game of the night
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here, Oakland A's against the Los Angeles Angels.
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It's a 9:38 PM Eastern Time. First pitch going into it.
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The Athletics are 41 and 63. Did just take two out of three
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though against the Astros. Couldn't get the sweep.
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They lost yesterday 8:00 to 1:00 as a + 125 home dog.
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You know, all the Angels 45 and 57 just swept the Mariners,
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though that was surprising at Seattle sweeping that series.
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They won yesterday's series finale 2 to one as a + 145 road
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dog. So for tonight's series opener
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between these AL West opponents, the Athletics are going to go
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with Rady Ross Stripling. He's one and nine with a 5.82
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ERA. More on him later.
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The angels, by the way, are going with Kenny Rosenberg,
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who's O&O with a 6.3 O ERA. So what do we see across the
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market here? Well, this looks like a sharp
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line move in favor of the Halos. I'm going Halos guys, this game
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open at a pick em minus one O 5 -, 110 both sides right down the
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middle. And the public, believe it or
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not, is saying give me Oakland. You know they've been scoring a
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lot of runs recently. They've been playing pretty well
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since the break. Public saying let's go A's,
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right? However, despite nearly 60% of
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bets on the A's, the line is going toward the angels.
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So angels are only getting 40%. Yet the angels go from a pick
10:44
all the way up to -110 -, 115. I see a couple shops, maybe even
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closer to -120 but either way, it's pretty clear here.
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Pick em and always mention this as well.
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But game opens at a pick. Look at where the line moves.
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Because maybe it's the case that wise guys who set their own
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numbers based on their power ratings, maybe they have a pick
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em game as well. So therefore there's no edge.
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But there's probably a good chance that some wise guys maybe
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have one team favorite over the other and they say, hey, pick
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them, might as well hit this team because that's an
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actionable edge or an advantage over the book.
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So open at a pick and now it's shot up in favor of the Angels.
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So I'm going Angels guys. I was able to get the Angels at
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-110 Now the Angels are matching quite a few betting systems
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here. One would be favorites getting
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$0.10 of steam or more playing an opponent who missed the
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playoffs the previous year. They're 176 and 108 sixty 2%
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this season. And then when two bad teams face
11:36
off, both below 500, just take the favorite.
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Very, very simple. But it's two O 3 and one 3959%
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this year. Oakland, by the way, is just 15
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and 36 on the road. That's the third worst Rd.
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record in baseball. And mention stripling.
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He is coming off the injured list now.
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Don't call the DL. It's the IL now.
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But he had an elbow injury and before he went on the injured
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list, he pitched in May. He made five starts.
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He had an area of 7.17, so maybe he probably wanted a need of
12:06
that break. Maybe the reason why his ERA was
12:08
so high is because his elbow was hurting him.
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But either way, this guy was not pitching well before the injury.
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Now he's coming back after a month off with an injury.
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Is he on a pitch count? This is a guy that I want to bet
12:18
against. I want to bet against stripling.
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Now, if you look at the A's in particular against lefties,
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because Rosenberg, the lefty here tonight is on the bump,
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they're only hitting 234 against southpaws.
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That's 23rd in baseball. So it's not like, you know, the
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Mets here who are fifth against lefties going up against Chris
12:35
Sale. And then also Rosenberg, he's
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only made two starts this year, but he just pitched against
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Oakland, aforementioned A's, and he gave up one run in four
12:44
innings. So didn't pitch that well or
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didn't pitch that poorly. But you add it all up here,
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guys, you know the Braves, the Braves Mets game.
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We opened, you know, Mets as a dog and now it's a pick em sharp
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move to the Mets. This one wasn't a pick em
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opener. Now it's shot up toward the Los
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Angeles Angels at -110 -, 115. So I'm going with a sharp line
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move. Give me the Angels.
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Got the Halos at -110. Now over to some college
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football. That's right, college football.
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I know you guys love betting college football again.
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I can't wait for the fall to roll around because once you get
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football back, it gets crazy, it gets busy.
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But we wouldn't have it any other way of sports better.
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There's nothing like sweating a football game, especially if
13:25
you're on the spread and trying to cover.
13:26
But anyway, I noticed, as I mentioned setting the pot up at
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the outset, that we have some new data here from Bet MGM, from
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my friends at Bet MGM who give us bets and dollars on games, on
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win totals, on futures. And I found one today or found
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three actually, that really, really caught my eye.
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So I'm going to tell you what they are.
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Now, win totals to me are a really kind of undervalued bet
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sometimes because on the one hand, you got to have the
13:53
liquidity in your bankroll to be able to stomach, you know,
13:57
putting money aside for six months or more.
14:00
But it gives you a rooting interest throughout the year.
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The exercise of betting a win total is going to help you.
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It can't hurt you because you're going to spend some time
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researching these teams. So at least you're going to get
14:09
yourself acclimated to some information on these clubs.
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But to me, it's all about the rooting interest throughout the
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season. It gives you something to root
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for and to monitor. And hopefully, you know, you get
14:18
paid off late in the year. Like, remember, we bet Connor
14:20
Bedard. I don't know if my maybe this
14:23
previous pod, but I bet Bedard. You know, I think it was -120
14:26
Rookie of the Year took a long time to cash.
14:28
When that cash came through back to my account, you know, six
14:31
months later, I was happy about it.
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So let's look at 3 college football win totals.
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And now you got to remember, guys, at this point, if you're
14:39
listening to the pod, I hope you guys know these aren't opinions.
14:41
This is not me thinking, wanting or hoping something's going to
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happen. This is literally looking at the
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market and digesting and dissecting where the smart
14:51
money's going, where the Beck first dollar discrepancy is, and
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where inevitably we should place our money to ensure that we're
14:57
with the sharps, which is where we always want to be.
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So first one that jumped out to me is the Illinois Fighting
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Illini. Now Illinois, their win total is
15:08
5 1/2 and I'm going to go under 5 1/2 wins at -135 So here's my
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breakdown and why I came to that, that judgement.
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Illinois went five and seven last year.
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They're at the bottom of the Big 10 W standings.
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Big reason why they struggled is their defense was really bad.
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Illinois gave up 353 points last year.
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That was the third most in the Big 10.
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Now, one thing to look at with win totals, especially in
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college, is returning starters. The more returning starters, the
15:36
better it is for you. The fewer returning starters,
15:38
the worse it is for you. A lot, a lot about continuity.
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So Illinois is only returning 10 total starters, 5 on offense, 5
15:46
on defense. That ranks 53rd in terms of
15:49
college football power 5 conference teams.
15:52
So among the big schools, this is they're really not returning
15:56
many guys. So that's kind of a detriment.
15:58
That's a negative. Brett Bielema, not a huge fan of
16:01
him. He's entering his fourth year as
16:03
the head coach of the Illini. His record is 18 and 19.
16:07
Illinois is picked to finish 15th in the newly minted 18 team
16:11
Big 10 Conference. So the fact that the Big 10 is
16:14
now, you know, bring in more schools and difficult schools to
16:17
play, that's also a negative and a reason to bet against
16:20
Illinois. But throw that all aside, what's
16:23
the data telling us? This is why I really like the
16:25
Illini. Under 5 1/2 wins.
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Their win total in this entering the offseason was 5 1/2 and the
16:31
under was juiced up to -115. Now, over the course of the
16:36
offseason, the under 5 1/2 went from under -115 to under -135.
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So that's a 20 cent adjustment toward the under.
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Now take a step back and ask yourself this.
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If the oddsmakers are making you pay -115 to bet the under 5 1/2
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for the Illini at the outset, why are they now making you pay
16:56
20 more cents to bet the under? Well, the price is increased
16:59
because smart money's come in on the under, thereby limiting the
17:02
risk. They're trying to make you pay a
17:04
higher price to sweat the sharp side.
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So not only do you have a under juice move under 5 1/2 -, 115 to
17:11
-135, but this is where it gets good.
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The bet discrepancy is massive on this one.
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The under 5 1/2 wins is only getting 9% of bets. 9 Ted
17:22
Williams number 99 #9 #9 Beatles fans, 99 Percent, yet it
17:30
accounts for 57% of the money. Now, I'll tell you guys right
17:34
off the bat, right off the bat here, I look through every
17:37
single conference are all the power conferences and of, of
17:42
every bet, you know, over under. This is the biggest discrepancy
17:45
that I saw of any team. Only 9% of bets, but 57% of
17:50
dollars. So that tells me something very
17:52
important. It tells me that people are
17:54
betting the under, are laying big money on this under.
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That's a 48% low bets higher dollars sharp discrepancy.
18:02
So again, this is a team that is not returning many starters now
18:06
has to play in a much more difficult conference.
18:09
The juice movement is is leaning downward and we have a huge low
18:13
bets higher dollars bet split on the under.
18:15
So you add it all up, Illinois under 5 1/2 wins.
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I got that at -135 Now, a couple overs, Kentucky Wildcats,
18:26
Kentucky went there. The play here is over 6 1/2 wins
18:30
for Kentucky. Now, Kentucky last year went
18:32
seven and six. They finished middle of the pack
18:34
in the SEC East. Now, the Wildcats, one thing I
18:37
don't like is they do have a new quarterback.
18:40
Now, typically, if you're going to bet a win total over, you
18:42
want to bet on a returning quarterback.
18:45
But I'll get to this in a second here.
18:47
The guy they're bringing in is Brock Vandergriff.
18:50
Pretty cool name. Good, good quarterback name.
18:53
He's a 5 star recruit. He's a transfer from Georgia.
18:56
So Brock Vandergriff is now the new quarterback at Kentucky.
19:01
However, aside from a new quarterback, Kentucky is
19:04
returning a ton of starters. They are returning 15 starters
19:08
from last year's team, including six on offense, 9 on defense.
19:12
That ranks Kentucky 7th overall among Power Five schools in
19:16
terms of returning starters. So of all the Power Five
19:19
schools, Kentucky's top ten and returning starters.
19:22
So they're bringing back a lot of good players from last year
19:25
and importantly, the offensive line, they are bringing back
19:28
four of their five starting offensive lineman.
19:31
Now let's get to the betting market.
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Kentucky's win total open the offseason at 6 1/2.
19:37
Remember, they went seven and six last year.
19:39
The under, however, at the outset was under -150 so 6 1/2
19:44
under -150. So that told us early that, hey,
19:48
maybe the smart money was on the under for them to take a step
19:51
back. But over the course of the
19:53
summer, the offseason here, we've seen a big adjustment that
19:56
over 6 1/2 is now -135 So we went from the over six and half
20:02
wins at plus 125 to now over six and half wins at -135 So that is
20:08
what I like to call a. Under to over, juice, move,
20:12
flip. Again, they opened Kentucky
20:14
juicing up the under 6 1/2. Now they're juicing up the over
20:18
6 1/2. To add in a little bets in
20:21
dollars here, 86% bets, 94% money is on the over.
20:26
So it's both a pro and Joe combination and some low bets,
20:29
higher dollars. But again, when you open the
20:30
offseason -1 what did I mention -150 to the under, now it's -135
20:37
to the over. That is a huge adjustment.
20:40
Under to over tells me a lot of big money came in on Kentucky to
20:43
have a pretty good year. So we're leaning on Brock
20:46
Vandergriff. This is someone we can monitor
20:48
and root for and watch all season long.
20:51
But what's notable to me is that a lot of starters, a ton of
20:54
starters are coming back for Kentucky.
20:55
They won seven games last year. Can you do the same thing this
20:58
year and win seven games? That will cash are over 6 1/2.
21:01
So on Kentucky, over 6 1/2 wins, at -135 last win total for you,
21:07
another over Iowa State, Iowa State over 7 1/2 wins.
21:12
Iowa State came in or finished the year last year seven and
21:15
six. So they're going to need to win
21:16
one more game last year or this year compared to last year.
21:20
They did finish tied for fourth in the Big 12.
21:21
They pretty good in conference play there, six and three.
21:24
Now, Iowa was led by their stout defense.
21:27
They only gave up 296 points last year.
21:30
That was the 3rd fewest in the conference.
21:32
Now mention the importance of the quarterback.
21:34
One reason to like Iowa State to get better this year is that
21:38
they're returning sophomore quarterback Rocco Becht and he
21:42
had a really good year last year.
21:44
He was a red shirt freshman. He had a 62.9% completion
21:47
percentage through for over 3000 yards with 23 touchdowns, 8
21:52
interceptions. So he went from a red shirt
21:55
freshman now to a sophomore. He started all last year.
21:59
Hopefully makes the leap and continues to get better.
22:00
But the fact that they're bringing back their QB who's
22:03
young and had a good rookie year, that's a good sign that
22:06
hopefully this team will continue to improve.
22:08
But it's not just the QB. There are a lot of returning
22:12
starters for the Cyclones. They're bringing back 18
22:15
starters from last year's team, nine on offense, 9 on defense.
22:19
That is a ton. And I was actually reading about
22:21
how they were pretty young team that a lot of freshmen
22:23
sophomores. So they're kind of growing up
22:25
together and a lot of them are returning.
22:28
I mean, again, you got 11 on both sides.
22:29
You're returning 18. That means you know, you've only
22:32
lost what you know, three on each side.
22:35
Now, in terms of the ranking, Iowa State in terms of Power
22:38
Five schools, third overall in terms of the most returning
22:42
players. So this is a continuity play.
22:45
Returning quarterback, 18 returning starters.
22:48
But then we get to the data. Iowa State open the offseason
22:52
with a 7 1/2 win total, but the under was juiced to -150 so
22:56
there's liability under. Since that time, just like the
22:59
Kentucky win total, the juice flipped from under -150 to over
23:05
-120. So another under to over juice
23:08
move here. Again, they're making you pay a
23:10
high price to bet the under. Now they're making you lay juice
23:13
to bet the over. Tells me we got smart money on
23:16
the over. The over. 7 1/2 went from plus
23:18
125 to -120. I love that juice flip.
23:22
And then also bet splits. 89% bets, 96% money on that over.
23:27
So both the heavy combination of pro and Joe action with that big
23:30
juice juice adjustment. But again, returning your good
23:33
QB. A lot of starters are coming
23:35
back. I forgot the name of the coach
23:38
there. He wears he wears that baseball
23:40
cap that's really, really bent in the middle.
23:42
Dent as a Campbell, I think his name is.
23:44
Anyway, he's been there quite a bit, created a good program.
23:47
But this is a team returning a lot of players that hopefully
23:50
will play well and continue to grow together.
23:52
So I'm going to go Iowa State Cyclones over 7 1/2 wins at -120
23:58
So our three win totals, if you want to sweat them with me.
24:01
Illinois under 5 1/2 at -135, Kentucky over 6 1/2 at -135 and
24:08
Iowa State over 7 1/2 at -120 And again, you can play around
24:12
with the juice because shop around.
24:14
There might be some books that are offering a better price on
24:16
that. But Iowa State, Kentucky,
24:18
Illinois, those are the win totals and I'll be sweating this
24:20
year, 2024-2025 season in college football.
24:25
Now that about does it for episode 83 of the All Systems Go
24:28
Sports Betting podcast. This is the part of the pod
24:31
where number one, I thank you for listening and tuning in
24:34
because it means so much to me that you guys take the time out
24:35
of your day to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat
24:38
sharp line moves with me. But now I'm also going to ask
24:41
something of you. I'm going to thank you and then
24:42
ask you for a favor. Can you please give this podcast
24:46
a 5 star review? That's right.
24:48
If you're listening on iTunes or Spotify or any other platform
24:51
and there's an option to rate the pod, give me 5 stars.
24:54
That would really mean a lot to me guys would help us to gain
24:57
more credibility, rise up the charts, rise up the rankings
25:01
really would mean a lot if you could give it five stars.
25:03
If there's an option to give a review, a nice review wouldn't
25:06
hurt either. And of course, if there's an
25:08
option to follow that way you get alerted when a pod drops,
25:11
that'll be great as well. But seriously, thank you.
25:13
Thank you Means a lot to me that five star review.
25:16
Secondly, have you signed up for your juice reel or your and or
25:20
your rhythm 7 day free trial? Well, if you haven't yet, I want
25:23
you to do that right now. All you have to do is click the
25:26
custom links that are located in the bio description of this
25:29
podcast. You can also find the custom
25:31
sign up links on my Twitter page at Josh under score insights.
25:35
But as I was like to mention, Rhythm is fantastic for their AI
25:39
backed recommendations and models for both game pics and
25:43
props. So right now there's golf
25:46
obviously, that you can lean on with the AI caddy and betting
25:48
top 20 fives or top 20 top 10s. Also, pretty soon we'll have
25:53
WNBA returning and we're going to get football coming back as
25:56
well. So stay tuned for a big football
25:58
year. Really with props.
26:00
I can't wait to see what kind of props they got for us because I
26:02
was kind of becoming a prop better in the NFL at the toward
26:05
the tail end of last year. But anyway, sign up for Rhythm
26:08
and then go sign up for Juice Reel.
26:10
Juice Reel is another great tool to add to your digital toolbox.
26:13
It's a great app where you can sync up your sports books to
26:16
Juice Reel. You bet at FanDuel, DraftKings
26:18
bet MGMESPN bet Caesars wherever once you've synced it up to
26:22
Juice Reel. As soon as you bet it at your
26:24
book, it'll then immediately go to Juice Reel and keep a running
26:27
basically report card of your performance.
26:29
You can learn about yourself as a better as well as providing
26:33
arbitrage bets. Robo Jackson best bet pics that
26:36
come out at noon each day and all the sharp mush opportunities
26:40
as well. Great for shopping for the best
26:41
line too. So Juice Reel and Rhythm go sign
26:44
up for that 7 day free trial by clicking the custom links
26:47
located in the bio description of these podcasts.
26:50
Lastly, if you enjoy these breakdowns and you had a good
26:53
night last night, you stacked 1.64 units.
26:56
Well, you know what you can do? You can continue to learn and
26:59
become an even sharper data-driven sports better by
27:02
buying my book. That's right, spend a little
27:04
money, hopefully to make some more money or if you just want
27:07
to support the team or if you want to learn more.
27:08
If you have a friend of yours who has no idea what they're
27:11
doing and always loses but wants to become a sharper better, go
27:15
buy them a book and specifically my book, the everything guide to
27:18
sports betting. So just go to Amazon.com, type
27:21
in the everything guide to sports betting, pick up a copy
27:23
again for you or for a friend, support the team.
27:26
But it's got everything I've learned in the betting world
27:29
since I've worked here since 2011.
27:31
I'm, I'm, I'm a veteran at this point, I'm AI don't know I'm a
27:34
14 year veteran. But anyway, how lines are set,
27:38
how and why they move, how to read line move and how to locate
27:40
sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
27:43
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all
27:46
included in the everything guide to sports betting.
27:48
So go buy a copy and make me happy.
27:51
And once you do bring it to the book, I'll sign it for you.
27:53
I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale or your drink of choice or
27:56
nice or nice. I don't know, nice water.
27:59
But that about does it guys. Episode 83 of the All Systems Go
28:02
Pod Powered by Rhythm. Now in the books it's the part
28:05
of the pod where I say goodbye and wish us the best of luck for
28:08
tonight. So whether I see you at the
28:10
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
28:13
of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
28:17
at the Encore in Boston or Plainridge Park Casino or MGM
28:20
Springfield. And my neck of the woods in
28:22
Massachusetts are out in the desert where the true grinders
28:24
get down or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the
28:27
lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
28:29
Got to love that minus one O 5 juice.
28:31
Or, of course, hanging at the adult Disney World for sports
28:34
betters known as Circa, jumping in the stadium swim pool when he
28:37
cashed a big ticket. Wherever it may be.
28:39
You're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me some
28:41
nice winning tickets from last night.
28:43
Nice. Show me AD backs plus money kit.
28:46
Show me a Guardians winner and show me a Texas White Sox over
28:50
eight. Man, we got lucky with those big
28:52
that big barrage of runs in the eighth inning.
28:55
They don't ask how, they ask how many.
28:57
Flash me one of those tickets. D backs, Guardians Rangers over.
29:00
Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
29:02
you. We're going to post about the
29:03
book sweatshop and Shirin plays all night long.
29:06
So wish you the best of luck. Everyone have a fantastic
29:09
thirsty Thursday. We back at it tomorrow for a big
29:12
Friday and which hopefully I'll have a UFC biting play for you.
29:16
Can we can we run our win streak in the UFC to 7th straight?
29:20
That's the goal. So stay tuned for a big pod to
29:22
finish up the week tomorrow. But my parting words as always,
29:25
stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
29:28
yourself on the side of the house.
29:29
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
29:32
Will smart money win every time? Of course not, nothing wins
29:35
every time, but if we can consistently stay true to the
29:38
model, bet with our head and not our heart, against the public,
29:41
with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get
29:45
some CLV. If we can do that, we're going
29:47
to be successful sports bettors. So enjoy the sweats tonight,
29:49
guys. Only two of them Can we find a
29:51
way to go two and oh, that's the goal.
29:53
Put in those college ball win totals and let's see if we can
29:56
have another winning night here for tonight.
29:58
With that being said, I'll see you guys tomorrow for episode 84
30:02
of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
30:05
Rhythm. Enjoy your Thursday night
30:07
everybody, Good luck.