Latest / In the Loop AI / DeepSeek Traded Its Way To A 2x. Can You Do It Yourself?
Transcript
- 0:03Ejaaz: It's official. AI models can make you rich.
- 0:06Ejaaz: Over the weekend, two AI models doubled their money going from $10,000 to $20,000.
- 0:14Ejaaz: But the best part about this is that all their trades were public and available
- 0:18Ejaaz: for you to review, analyze, and maybe even trade yourself.
- 0:22Ejaaz: In this episode, we're going to unpack which model makes you the most money,
- 0:27Ejaaz: how an AI can make you money?
- 0:30Ejaaz: Is it just luck or is it skill? And most importantly, how can you do this yourself?
- 0:34Josh: So we have six models, $60,000. And in the last two weeks, two of these models
- 0:38Josh: have 2X'd their returns.
- 0:40Josh: It has been an unbelievable amount of success from this experiment.
- 0:43Josh: Some have not done so well, but the ones that did are exceptionally interesting
- 0:46Josh: because we can actually emulate the trades. All of the trades are public.
- 0:50Josh: The thought processes are public.
- 0:51Josh: You can look at the wallets, analyze the trades, and actually recreate this
- 0:55Josh: for yourself, not only by copy trading, but also trying to create your own replica
- 0:59Josh: model to try to emulate those returns.
- 1:02Josh: Now, there are risks. There are two big winners, but there are also two big
- 1:05Josh: losers being Gemini and ChatGPT.
- 1:07Josh: So there's this really interesting dichotomy split between how agents approach
- 1:11Josh: trades and the success that they actually see from these trades,
- 1:14Josh: which we're going to get into in this episode.
- 1:15Josh: But Ijaz, I want to talk about the top chart, the DeepSeek chart,
- 1:19Josh: who is at, what is that number? $22,000?
- 1:23Josh: Oh, yeah. That's a lot of money. So walk me through exactly how they made it
- 1:28Josh: to this point, please, and how I can make 100% returns on my investment.
- 1:31Ejaaz: So the model you just pointed out, DeepSeek, is currently sitting on $22,300,
- 1:36Ejaaz: which represents more than 100% return on the initial 10K that it was trading.
- 1:42Ejaaz: You want to know the craziest part about this, Josh?
- 1:45Ejaaz: When I woke up this morning or when I rather when I went to bed last night,
- 1:48Ejaaz: it was number two and Quen was the winner.
- 1:52Ejaaz: So it just goes to show how quickly these things move and how quickly these models perform.
- 1:58Ejaaz: If we look at the overall standings before we dig into the winners and the losers,
- 2:03Ejaaz: I just want to give like a review as to like how these models are performing in general.
- 2:07Ejaaz: DeepSeek is right at the top with 122% return. That is in just over a week,
- 2:13Ejaaz: which is just kind of insane for any kind of hedge fund that is out there to look at and see perform.
- 2:19Ejaaz: And you've got a range of different models that are also performing pretty high up there.
- 2:22Ejaaz: Quen is at 90%. And then right at the bottom, as you mentioned,
- 2:25Ejaaz: you've got Gemini and GPT, which are down 60%, which is like a horrendous return.
- 2:31Ejaaz: But bringing it back to DeepSeek in particular, I found it really interesting,
- 2:36Ejaaz: Josh, to kind of unpack how this model trades and why it's been so successful.
- 2:42Ejaaz: And to start off, I want to show you something called the model chat,
- 2:45Ejaaz: which basically is like this model having a chat GPT conversation with itself.
- 2:51Ejaaz: In this conversation, you'll see on the chat log, it's evaluating its trades.
- 2:56Ejaaz: It's reviewing its current profit and loss.
- 3:00Ejaaz: It's checking the market data that it gets Fed, like, you know,
- 3:04Ejaaz: Bitcoin is at this price, this asset is that price, Trump made an announcement
- 3:08Ejaaz: on so-and-so, and evaluating whether it should affect the positions and trades that it holds right now.
- 3:15Ejaaz: I think this is like really important to kind of like walk through a few of these examples here.
- 3:19Ejaaz: So one which it posted just today is, despite all my positions currently being in on the red,
- 3:27Ejaaz: technical indicators like RSI, which is like a trading indicator,
- 3:30Ejaaz: shows me that my existing trades aren't invalidated just yet.
- 3:34Ejaaz: So I'm still holding out for my initial profit targets.
- 3:38Ejaaz: So it's a really strategic sense of like thinking, should I hold my positions
- 3:42Ejaaz: for long? Does it make sense to cut at this point?
- 3:45Ejaaz: Just a really fascinating insight. Josh, do you have any takes on this?
- 3:49Josh: The chain of thought thing is fascinating to me because it's a peek inside the brain.
- 3:52Josh: It's a way to evaluate how these models think. It's a way to allocate EQ points
- 3:57Josh: to each type of model because they all think about these things very differently.
- 4:01Josh: One of the things that I'm actually not sure is true is that I don't think these
- 4:05Josh: models are given access to news feeds and public sentiment.
- 4:09Josh: I think this is mostly just fed price and market data.
- 4:12Josh: Learning that, it creates much more of a simple problem in terms of the data
- 4:16Josh: ingestion that needs to happen in order for them to make decisions.
- 4:18Josh: And it allows it to be a little more precise about how we evaluate these, which is a good thing.
- 4:22Josh: One of the things that I really loved, particularly on the other side,
- 4:25Josh: which we'll get into, is how they self-reflect on the decisions that they make.
- 4:28Josh: Because one of the things, it's not just this pragmatic decision-making tree,
- 4:32Josh: there is reflection involved.
- 4:34Josh: And I remember, Ijez, you showed me a funny one about ChatGPT and how it's like,
- 4:37Josh: all of my positions are down now, I'm doing bad. I should probably try to figure out how to do better.
- 4:42Josh: And it's fascinating to see into the brain, the chain of thought of how these
- 4:47Josh: things work. and see the differences.
- 4:50Josh: So I haven't had a chance to look through a lot of these logs,
- 4:53Josh: but I just, I know you have.
- 4:54Josh: Is there any specific differences that you notice between the top and the bottom specifically?
- 5:00Josh: Because in the first episode, and for people who haven't watched it last week,
- 5:02Josh: our biggest episode ever. Thank you for the support. Thank you for watching.
- 5:04Josh: Go check it out if you haven't.
- 5:06Josh: But in that episode, we mentioned the fact that ChatGPT was the early loser
- 5:09Josh: and we kind of projected it to continue to be the biggest loser.
- 5:12Josh: Because ChatGPT is this very thoughtful, very sycophantic, very wanting to please.
- 5:18Josh: And the reality is that markets are a lot more hardcore than that.
- 5:20Josh: So I think we were probably right in our guess about this, but I love that we
- 5:25Josh: have the concrete evidence now.
- 5:26Josh: So have you noticed any differences in how they handle each other differently?
- 5:30Ejaaz: I have. So DeepSeek, probably unsurprisingly, as it was created by,
- 5:35Ejaaz: this model was created by a hedge fund, trades like a hedge fund trader or an analyst.
- 5:41Ejaaz: So let's look at a few different things to kind of prove that.
- 5:43Ejaaz: Looking at the chat log that it's having with itself.
- 5:46Ejaaz: One thing that is strikingly obvious in this entire discussion with itself is
- 5:51Ejaaz: that it's constantly evaluating its stop loss,
- 5:55Ejaaz: which is like when its trade thesis gets invalidated and when it shut off the
- 5:59Ejaaz: trade, with the current price that that asset is at.
- 6:03Ejaaz: If you compare it to the bottom model, which I'm going to show you in a second,
- 6:06Ejaaz: which is ChatGPT, GPT-5, it almost never does that.
- 6:10Ejaaz: It just reflects on the current P&L that its trade has versus like looking at it more analytically.
- 6:17Ejaaz: The second component for the top model, which is DeepSeek, which has made the
- 6:20Ejaaz: most money, is if you look at its completed trades, Josh, you'll notice one
- 6:26Ejaaz: thing in common, which is DeepSeek is constantly making trades.
- 6:30Ejaaz: It's actually the model that has made its second highest number of trades in
- 6:35Ejaaz: this entire experiment so far. It's constantly opening positions.
- 6:38Ejaaz: It's constantly closing positions. It's constantly reevaluating where it is
- 6:42Ejaaz: in the market and what it needs to do.
- 6:44Ejaaz: And you'll notice right at the top here in the most recent trade that it's closed,
- 6:48Ejaaz: it booked just over $7,000, which has put it up in its first place.
- 6:53Ejaaz: So again, it's trading more like a quantitative analyst, which is taking wins
- 6:57Ejaaz: when it can and taking losses that are incredibly small.
- 7:01Ejaaz: Like notice this, right? Like normally we don't highlight the losses of a model.
- 7:05Ejaaz: If you notice, all its red numbers are tiny compared to the profit numbers that
- 7:11Ejaaz: it makes when it is right.
- 7:12Ejaaz: So really, really strategic in its positioning.
- 7:15Ejaaz: Now, if you compare that to the worst model, which is GPT-5,
- 7:21Ejaaz: you'll notice a few things.
- 7:24Ejaaz: Mainly, there's a bunch of green and red that you can see, mainly red.
- 7:29Ejaaz: In its green positions where it's completed a trade, Josh, you'll notice something
- 7:34Ejaaz: pretty different, which is the numbers are pretty small. Look at this.
- 7:37Ejaaz: It's only booking tiny profits with each of its different trades,
- 7:41Ejaaz: which tells me that it's not taking enough risk and it's closing the trades
- 7:46Ejaaz: way too early for its thesis.
- 7:49Ejaaz: So it's trading more like a cautious trader, like a lot of people that I know, actually.
- 7:54Ejaaz: And then if you look at the model chat where it's talking to itself,
- 7:57Ejaaz: you mentioned earlier...
- 7:59Ejaaz: Here's an example. It goes, I'm still in the red with a minus 61% total return,
- 8:06Ejaaz: but my ETH and XRP positions are showing gains, suggesting a slight upward momentum
- 8:10Ejaaz: in those altcoins, despite the overall market downturn.
- 8:13Ejaaz: So I'm holding strong and waiting for those profit targets to hit.
- 8:16Ejaaz: And so you might think, huh, that's not too crazy. That sounds like a sensible strategy.
- 8:21Ejaaz: If you look at its profit targets, Josh, it's like super small from where the
- 8:27Ejaaz: price currently is, which means that even if it does hit those profit targets,
- 8:31Ejaaz: it only ends up booking like 50 bucks.
- 8:33Ejaaz: So overall, the reason why this model is underperformed is it hasn't taken enough
- 8:37Ejaaz: risk whilst the winning models have taken either too much risk or just enough
- 8:42Ejaaz: risk to put them ahead of the game.
- 8:44Josh: There's a lot of notes in there that I think humans can take on just the stay
- 8:47Josh: of psychology around trading markets.
- 8:49Josh: And I'm sure if you kind of follow these models long enough,
- 8:52Josh: you'll start to understand the patterns that perhaps you as a human should follow
- 8:55Josh: and learn something from deep seek versus open ai being very conservative
- 8:58Josh: but now that we've kind of laid out the foundation the framework of how this works there
- 9:01Josh: there are two big questions that i'm really interested in answering one of
- 9:04Josh: these is should i use this model to trade for me the other one is how can i
- 9:08Josh: use this model to trade for me because listen i like a little bit of risk i
- 9:11Josh: can deal with the downside in exchange for like a nice upside and it looks like
- 9:15Josh: the odds are about split between all of these so the first question i think
- 9:18Josh: i want to ask you just maybe i'll get your take first is like, is this a benchmark?
- 9:23Josh: Is this real signal? Or is this kind of just a reality TV show?
- 9:28Josh: Is this esports for AI models?
- 9:31Josh: Is this just a fun way to kind of throw our intelligence at this lottery machine
- 9:35Josh: that everyone loves to watch and see if it could beat us in the hope that one
- 9:39Josh: day an AI will beat the system enough to give us an edge and actually make us
- 9:43Josh: money personally as portfolio owners so what what do you think about
- 9:48Ejaaz: That okay I'm gonna give you the same response Josh,
- 9:52Ejaaz: And then I'm going to give you the optimist's approach. Oh, yeah.
- 9:56Josh: Bring it on. Let's hear it.
- 9:57Ejaaz: The sane response to this is this experiment is way too tiny to make any kind
- 10:04Ejaaz: of major financial decision on.
- 10:06Ejaaz: And you would be stupid to risk putting your money with an AI model to trade for you.
- 10:12Ejaaz: Incredibly stupid. Why? Well, this is one experiment. It's six models.
- 10:18Ejaaz: Have you replicated those models? Like, what if you had 10 of the same models
- 10:23Ejaaz: trading the same amount of money? Would they make the same trades? Probably not.
- 10:26Ejaaz: And actually, the founder of this experiment highlights this problem that you
- 10:30Ejaaz: speak about, which is, is this just skill versus noise?
- 10:33Ejaaz: And the point he makes in this tweet is like, of course it is, right?
- 10:36Ejaaz: Because this is such a limited data set. And he goes on to explain that they're
- 10:40Ejaaz: going to be doing experiments which involve like more of these models doing
- 10:43Ejaaz: the same kind of thing. So you can get statistical significance.
- 10:46Ejaaz: So the logic answer is, yes, it's insane. But the optimist take,
- 10:50Ejaaz: Josh, and I have to give the optimist take, is...
- 10:55Ejaaz: This is giving us, or rather giving the public unparalleled access to data to
- 11:00Ejaaz: which they never would have gotten access to in the first place,
- 11:03Ejaaz: which is they can take this training data and not take it too seriously,
- 11:08Ejaaz: but use it to teach themselves what maybe not to do or what maybe not to trade
- 11:12Ejaaz: with. How about you? Do you have a different take?
- 11:15Josh: There's a couple of different perspectives I have on this because there's the
- 11:18Josh: fun speculative side of things, the gambling, the investing,
- 11:21Josh: whatever you want to call it.
- 11:22Josh: And then there's the actual technical benchmarking part of this that we spoke
- 11:25Josh: about briefly in the last episode, which one of the things I was really excited
- 11:29Josh: about when this came out was the idea of having a real-world benchmark that
- 11:32Josh: operated in dynamic conditions that cannot be gamified.
- 11:36Josh: So a lot of these benchmarks, this is the way you evaluate AI models,
- 11:38Josh: they are done based on a fixed problem set.
- 11:41Josh: And a lot of times when you're training an AI model, these big labs can do tricks
- 11:44Josh: to gamify these benchmarks. with this case and using real world data and real
- 11:49Josh: world markets, you can actually put them into the real world.
- 11:52Josh: And there's no way to gamify these benchmarks because if there was,
- 11:54Josh: everyone would be rich and you'd be able to predict markets.
- 11:57Josh: To that point, though, there is a lot of problems with using this as a benchmark
- 12:01Josh: because, I mean, one is the fixed data set, like he mentioned,
- 12:04Josh: is that this has only been around for one to two weeks. We need a lot more data to confirm this.
- 12:08Josh: The second is that this isn't really a very holistic approach to investing and
- 12:12Josh: to gambling because it really doesn't have all of the data required to make good decisions.
- 12:17Josh: It's only analyzing the price action and the volumes and whatever technical
- 12:21Josh: specs you can see on a single page without understanding the context around
- 12:26Josh: the moves. So let's say that Bitcoin's encryption got hacked.
- 12:29Josh: It would have, and Bitcoin falls 50%, it has no idea why Bitcoin is going down
- 12:33Josh: 50%. And because of that, it's a huge disadvantage that it doesn't know how to trade.
- 12:37Josh: Now, granted, these are unlocks. These are things that will change.
- 12:40Josh: And I assume the natural progression of this will lead towards more of a steady state benchmark.
- 12:44Josh: But it is a very tricky thing because markets are so unpredictable.
- 12:48Josh: So is this a viable benchmark? I don't know.
- 12:51Josh: Probably I'm leaning towards no because market conditions change a lot.
- 12:54Josh: It's not quite there with the capabilities.
- 12:56Josh: The other part of me is so stoked about this because the same way we love watching
- 13:01Josh: esports or we love watching, a big thing on Twitch right now is gamblers.
- 13:05Josh: You guys, I don't know if you've seen these in real life. People will sit there
- 13:07Josh: and play, like they'll gamble blackjack on a live stream and people will just
- 13:11Josh: watch them play virtual. Yeah, those types of services.
- 13:14Josh: This in very much feels like an early prototype for a new type of fun form of
- 13:21Josh: entertainment, which could be something where it's just, it's high stakes trading.
- 13:24Josh: Imagine if this was done with $10 million per wallet and you got to watch these
- 13:28Josh: AIs trade and there was real money on the line.
- 13:30Josh: This feels sort of like a form of,
- 13:33Josh: almost e-sport entertainment where I could see competing labs builds,
- 13:36Josh: competing AI models to trade markets, and winners are given access to certain prizes.
- 13:41Josh: In terms of trading for myself, which is the last point I'm going to make on
- 13:43Josh: this, I am not very excited to take on these risks.
- 13:47Josh: For the same reason, I'm not really excited to bet on sports.
- 13:49Josh: And I imagine my opinions vary a lot from others, but this is very much a gamble.
- 13:53Josh: There's no way you can skew this in which it is not a gamble.
- 13:56Josh: The interesting part is there's a near perfect data split between them.
- 13:59Josh: There's two big winners, two big losers. The rest are kind of sitting around the median.
- 14:02Ejaaz: Okay, but I'm going to push back on you a bit here, Josh.
- 14:06Ejaaz: The earlier point you made was it doesn't have access to all the necessary data
- 14:11Ejaaz: that it might need to make more informed trades.
- 14:13Ejaaz: And I would argue, well, isn't the whole point of the benchmark, can you make money?
- 14:19Ejaaz: And the fact that two of these models have made over 100% returns in less than
- 14:25Ejaaz: a week or just over a week is proof that it can make money to some extent.
- 14:29Ejaaz: The second point I'll make is.
- 14:32Ejaaz: We throw around the term like gambling, which is actually what I would say the
- 14:36Ejaaz: majority of these models in this experiment are doing.
- 14:39Ejaaz: But they are one or two models that are actually way more strategic and trade
- 14:43Ejaaz: much, much better than the average trader that you trade against, if that makes sense.
- 14:48Ejaaz: So if we take DeepSeek, which is the number one model, if you look at its trades,
- 14:52Ejaaz: at an initial glance, you might see that it's using 25x leverage and be like, that is so ridiculous.
- 14:59Ejaaz: I'm not even going to pay attention to this, right? But if you dig into the
- 15:03Ejaaz: position that it holds under 25X leverage, you'll notice that it's actually not at 25X.
- 15:09Ejaaz: It's using only a small amount of its capital to do a very specific trade over
- 15:13Ejaaz: like a five to 10 minute period, which automatically makes it a much more strategic
- 15:18Ejaaz: technical trader than the average trader than that is just gambling their money away.
- 15:24Ejaaz: But the point you made around it being fair distribution, and this is my last
- 15:28Ejaaz: counterpoint to you, Josh, you pointed out that it seems to be very even distribution, right?
- 15:33Ejaaz: You've got two at the top, two at the bottom, and two right bang in the middle, right?
- 15:37Ejaaz: I wonder whether actually GPT and Gemini are actually the best traders,
- 15:44Ejaaz: even though they're at the bottom, if you just inversely traded them.
- 15:48Ejaaz: It's it's it's it's zero sum. And it's the point that the founder of the experiment
- 15:52Ejaaz: makes right here where he goes markets are zero sum.
- 15:54Ejaaz: If you find a strategy that consistently loses money, it's just as good as finding
- 15:58Ejaaz: one that makes money. Just do the opposite.
- 16:01Josh: Yeah, absolutely. And it'll take time to for these to play out because I imagine
- 16:04Josh: there is they are kind of tuned for a specific type of trading.
- 16:08Josh: So in the case a few weeks ago, there was a huge liquidation event in crypto.
- 16:11Josh: Things go down. Well, in a down market, some might trade way better than others.
- 16:15Josh: And the point you made about leverage, it got me thinking it was really interesting. like
- 16:19Josh: because I don't use 20x leverage and I imagine most people
- 16:22Josh: don't but with AIs they they're able to hold a
- 16:24Josh: lot more in their memory and it reminded me of the the
- 16:27Josh: AlphaGo case Google where an AI
- 16:30Josh: model played a professional at AlphaGo and there was one move that was way outside
- 16:34Josh: of the expected data set move 37 which was the famous move and it turned out
- 16:39Josh: that that was a move that no human could have ever seen but it resulted in the
- 16:43Josh: AI winning the game and it kind of broke open the rule set and expectations
- 16:48Josh: around the game of AlphaGo.
- 16:49Josh: And I wonder if we'll get some sort of breakthrough with that around AI trading,
- 16:54Josh: where we have this very fixed set of outcomes that we do and strategies that we do.
- 16:58Josh: But AIs might actually just destroy a lot of these barriers that we,
- 17:02Josh: or perceived barriers that we have in exchange for these like really weird strategies,
- 17:05Josh: like 20x longing everything.
- 17:07Josh: So I don't know, there's a lot to talk about when it comes to this.
- 17:10Josh: But another of the big questions that I want to answer, because this was something
- 17:13Josh: I was interested in, is how can I use these for myself? Let's say I am a degenerate gambler.
- 17:17Josh: I want to make two acts in a week or at least give myself a chance to do it.
- 17:21Josh: I want to know, how can I use these models to trade for myself?
- 17:23Josh: What do I need to do to get involved in this?
- 17:26Ejaaz: Yeah, it has been the number one question and feedback that we got on our previous
- 17:30Ejaaz: episode from our listeners is, I've got it up on a tweet here.
- 17:33Ejaaz: How do I profit from this trading? How do I do this for myself?
- 17:37Ejaaz: I have one simple answer for you, which is the platform that these AI models
- 17:43Ejaaz: are trading their tens of thousands of dollars on And Josh is public.
- 17:48Ejaaz: It's open. It's available for anyone to log onto right now and see what trades
- 17:53Ejaaz: each of these models open up when they close it and what their inevitable strategy is.
- 17:58Ejaaz: I'm going to give you an example here with the number one model,
- 18:02Ejaaz: DeepSeek, which has doubled its money in just over a week.
- 18:06Ejaaz: The platform that these models are trading on is called Hyperliquid. It's a blockchain.
- 18:11Ejaaz: Blockchains are known for being transparent and open. The fact that you can
- 18:13Ejaaz: kind of see all the things that these models are doing.
- 18:16Ejaaz: And if I just scroll down over here, you'll notice a few things.
- 18:19Ejaaz: Number one, these are all the positions that this model currently has open.
- 18:24Ejaaz: This isn't made up, this isn't on someone's word and you have to trust them.
- 18:29Ejaaz: This is all verifiable using a blockchain.
- 18:31Ejaaz: So the whole point of a blockchain is that you are able to verify what is real
- 18:35Ejaaz: and what is not real without having to trust someone on this.
- 18:38Ejaaz: You can look into its holdings and you can see how much that it currently holds,
- 18:42Ejaaz: like in terms of like money or in terms of like dollars.
- 18:44Ejaaz: You can also look at the trades that it's completed as well.
- 18:48Ejaaz: So the point I'm making is you can't currently go onto DeepSeek and say.
- 18:54Ejaaz: Hey, can I give you $10,000 and you go make me money like I've just heard about on this video?
- 19:00Ejaaz: It won't be able to work. But what you can do is you can go onto a site like
- 19:05Ejaaz: this and look at the trades that they're making yourself.
- 19:08Ejaaz: And again, this is not financial advice, potentially copy those trades or make
- 19:12Ejaaz: those trades yourself in order to trade like how these models are.
- 19:16Ejaaz: Now, the last point I'll make is the founder of this experiment has all the
- 19:21Ejaaz: intention to allow you and me to trade with these models directly.
- 19:27Ejaaz: That is, you can speak to the model, give it your money, and it can do that.
- 19:30Ejaaz: And to your point, Josh, it's up to you whether you want to do it from an entertainment
- 19:33Ejaaz: basis where it's just all gambling or whether you actually want to invest serious money into this.
- 19:36Ejaaz: That will come in later iterations, probably around a couple of months from now.
- 19:42Josh: So there's kind of two ways to copy trade. There's one you could actually copy trade.
- 19:45Josh: Or another way to get into it is if you're feeling a little more ambitious,
- 19:48Josh: you can actually generate one of these yourself. You can create like a mini alpha arena bot.
- 19:53Josh: The way to do that is pretty simple. I was kind of curious. I was like,
- 19:56Josh: what does it take to actually build one of these things?
- 19:57Josh: You choose your fighter. So you pick a model that you want. And then you kind
- 20:01Josh: of pipe market data in from Hyperliquid that you showed.
- 20:03Josh: So Hyperliquid has this endpoint, not to get too technical, but you can kind
- 20:06Josh: of feed the model this data.
- 20:08Josh: And then the difficult part, the tricky part, and the thing that we haven't
- 20:11Josh: been able to talk about because we don't actually know, is the system prompts
- 20:15Josh: behind the recursive loop that happens as these models receive this data.
- 20:19Josh: So the way it works is you choose a model, you give it feedback,
- 20:22Josh: or you give it data, and then you write a prompt for the model to run in between
- 20:26Josh: each iteration of receiving new data.
- 20:28Josh: What that prompt says is how it makes a decision. The problem is that is all of the value.
- 20:34Josh: All of the value sits within that prompt. And the prompt is just written in
- 20:36Josh: plain English. Like we always say, the hottest language in the world is English.
- 20:39Josh: So there is some string of words that you as a developer or just a novice can
- 20:43Josh: write into this to generate you more money than other people.
- 20:46Josh: So I encourage people who are feeling a little ambitious to actually try this
- 20:48Josh: out, to write a prompt yourself and see if you can get a bot to try and kind of trade like this.
- 20:53Josh: And if we ever do get the system prompts from this, we will certainly share
- 20:55Josh: because it'll be fascinating to see the behind the scenes and what happens to
- 21:00Josh: produce those outputs that we were reading a little bit earlier in the show.
- 21:02Josh: So that's kind of how you can get involved if you're interested.
- 21:05Josh: Copy trade, maybe inverse copy trade. I think if I were to do this,
- 21:08Josh: I'd probably go to ChatGPT's trading history, sit there refreshing,
- 21:11Josh: and then just hit the opposite of whatever they decide to do.
- 21:13Josh: That seems pretty consistent.
- 21:15Josh: But yeah, that is how this whole thing works. It's pretty fascinating.
- 21:18Josh: It's been amazing how the internet has kind of gotten behind this and it has spread like wildfire.
- 21:23Ejaaz: The thing is, I don't think they'll ever make the system prompt for this or
- 21:28Ejaaz: any other successful trading AI publicly available.
- 21:32Ejaaz: The reason is that's the secret sauce. And why would you let everyone have access
- 21:36Ejaaz: to it when you can use it yourself and make a ton of money? And that's what D.D.
- 21:41Ejaaz: Das demonstrates in this tweet. He says, I've heard six people tell me they're
- 21:45Ejaaz: doing this using Vibe coding apps to algorithmically trade on the stock or crypto market.
- 21:50Ejaaz: But the thing to remember is this is a dangerous game to play.
- 21:54Ejaaz: Algo trading is the last thing I expect AI to democratize.
- 21:57Ejaaz: The point being, if you have a successful algo, you're probably not going to
- 22:01Ejaaz: democratize access to it. Full stop.
- 22:03Ejaaz: That being said, I do think you can't stop AI trading.
- 22:07Ejaaz: Entering the investment and financial scene. I think it's going to make people
- 22:12Ejaaz: way more financially literate than they already are.
- 22:14Ejaaz: Look how ChatGPT has made so many people proficient in other things that they
- 22:18Ejaaz: had previously no idea about.
- 22:20Ejaaz: So I think AI is inevitably going to be integrated. It's going to make markets way more efficient.
- 22:23Ejaaz: It's going to give you access to knowledge that can make you do trades that
- 22:26Ejaaz: you otherwise wouldn't have known of five minutes prior to that.
- 22:30Ejaaz: But will it make you a super trading god?
- 22:32Ejaaz: No. I think that it'll evolve the trading scene, though.
- 22:36Ejaaz: I think the hedge funds that are successful today will look very different to
- 22:39Ejaaz: the hedge funds that are successful in an AGI or AI world where AI is available
- 22:44Ejaaz: pretty much everywhere.
- 22:46Josh: Yeah, AI needs to be integrated into all these trading strategies.
- 22:48Josh: So to me, it's no brainer that it will be.
- 22:50Josh: The extent of that integration is kind of what is up for debate and what we'll
- 22:54Josh: see in this answering the big question.
- 22:56Josh: Is this a benchmark or is this just a reality show?
- 22:59Josh: And is this just a toy or is this real technology baked into this?
- 23:02Josh: It seems as if AI will slowly creep its way in.
- 23:04Josh: I'm looking forward to tracking this. It ends next week, so we'll probably add
- 23:08Josh: some follow-ups on this first trading competition, the result to how it turns out.
- 23:11Josh: But that is a part two in our little saga of this crazy weird thing that's happening
- 23:15Josh: in AI crypto trading world.
- 23:16Josh: I hope you enjoyed this episode. You enjoyed the last one a lot.
- 23:19Josh: It was amazing. So thank you for watching, sharing with your friends, liking and commenting.
- 23:22Josh: It really goes a long way. It's been amazing to see the growth and support from
- 23:26Josh: everybody watching. So thank you for that.
- 23:28Josh: More of this to come. We have a couple more episodes slated for this week that
- 23:31Josh: are pretty exciting about autonomy and robotics and just a whole bunch of interesting
- 23:35Josh: things. So stick around for that.
- 23:36Josh: We'll be back in the next one. And I just, I think that's it.
- 23:39Josh: Any final parting words?
- 23:40Ejaaz: That's it. Let us know what you want to hear more of as well.
- 23:43Ejaaz: If you're loving this trading stuff and you have some other ideas,
- 23:45Ejaaz: let us know in the comments.
- 23:47Josh: Absolutely. All right. Well, that's been another episode of Limitless. Thank you for tuning in.