Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Best Bets Wednesday 11/5/25
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:05Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:08Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:11Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:15Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
- 0:20Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
- 0:25Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Oh four,
- 0:28Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
- 0:33Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
- 0:37Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm I'm going to burn my
- 0:41Speaker 1: browins hat man. I don't know what is going on
- 0:43Speaker 1: with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
- 0:46Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
- 0:50Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
- 0:53Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
- 0:55Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
- 0:59Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
- 1:03Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
- 1:07Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
- 1:11Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
- 1:13Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
- 1:17Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:25Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody? It's
- 1:34Speaker 1: towed back with you for better off dead? Wednesday? I
- 1:39Speaker 1: never remember what date is, man, Everything's a blura Wednesday, Uh, October?
- 1:45Speaker 1: No November fifth? Yeah, oh well, we got to remember
- 1:48Speaker 1: the fifth of November. It's Guy Fox Day. Babies, you
- 1:52Speaker 1: can I don't know. I can't say. I can't say
- 1:56Speaker 1: anything about that day. Go watch V for Debta today
- 2:00Speaker 1: or whatever. I'm watching the Beetlejuice sequel on Netflix before
- 2:05Speaker 1: it's gone from Netflix, so that's what I'm doing, which
- 2:09Speaker 1: I actually haven't seen it yet, so I'm like more
- 2:12Speaker 1: than halfway through it. It's it's good, I think, dude.
- 2:17Speaker 1: There's a lot of unriginality now in Hollywood, which kind
- 2:20Speaker 1: of angers me. But some some of these, some of
- 2:23Speaker 1: these movies can still hit. It feels like everything's a sequel,
- 2:26Speaker 1: everything's a remake. A lot of these things are unnecessary,
- 2:30Speaker 1: but that one, I mean, not that bad. Some of
- 2:34Speaker 1: it's pretty funny. Michael Keaton is still exactly what you
- 2:38Speaker 1: expect as Beetlejuice. I mean, he's the main guy. So yeah,
- 2:43Speaker 1: we did well on the show yesterday. Three and one.
- 2:46Speaker 1: The play that I added late Philadelphia Flyers. We gotta
- 2:50Speaker 1: win on that one. A nice underdog win. They're winning
- 2:53Speaker 1: the game three to nothing and then they blew the
- 2:55Speaker 1: entire lead and they were actually losing four to three.
- 2:58Speaker 1: They tied it and then they want up win over time.
- 3:02Speaker 1: I mean, any game that goes that way and you
- 3:05Speaker 1: have an underdog, especially at that price plus one thirty
- 3:08Speaker 1: eight or whatever, I'm pretty sure it's the right side.
- 3:10Speaker 1: You can go look at the stats. I think they
- 3:12Speaker 1: had more shots, although it seemed like they didn't really
- 3:14Speaker 1: win the other statistics, but you give yourself a good
- 3:17Speaker 1: chance of winning as an underdog like that, I think
- 3:20Speaker 1: it's the right side. So we got the win on that.
- 3:22Speaker 1: Carolina Hurricanes was easy. They won easily against the Rangers.
- 3:26Speaker 1: I think it might have been three to nothing or something.
- 3:28Speaker 1: I didn't check what the final was, but I'm pretty
- 3:31Speaker 1: sure they were just running away with it or skating
- 3:33Speaker 1: away with it. We lost on the New York Islanders,
- 3:36Speaker 1: but at least that means the Bruins won. I think
- 3:40Speaker 1: the Islanders slightly outstated the Bruins in that game. It
- 3:44Speaker 1: was kind of a close game back and forth. Islanders
- 3:48Speaker 1: had some chances to win. Well. I gave out Islanders
- 3:50Speaker 1: in regulation it went into overtime. So if you playing
- 3:55Speaker 1: in regulation, as soon as it goes into overtime as
- 3:57Speaker 1: a loss anyway, So what can you do but the Bruins.
- 3:59Speaker 1: At that point, I'm like, go Bruins because then I
- 4:02Speaker 1: don't feel as bad because it's like the full game.
- 4:05Speaker 1: Bets would lose as well, so it didn't matter like
- 4:08Speaker 1: how I gave it out, and I'm a fan of
- 4:10Speaker 1: the Bruins, so I'm like, okay at that point, just
- 4:12Speaker 1: let the Bruins win, which they did, so that was
- 4:15Speaker 1: a loser on the show Can't Win Them All Man,
- 4:18Speaker 1: And then easy win on the NBA game last night
- 4:20Speaker 1: the Toronto Raptors. NBA continues to be quite good for
- 4:25Speaker 1: me for the most part, as expected because it is
- 4:29Speaker 1: my best betting sport. But easy and win with Toronto yesterday,
- 4:32Speaker 1: so that was good. Just I think they won by
- 4:35Speaker 1: about eighteen points. It was pretty much never in doubt,
- 4:38Speaker 1: dirty sock. What's up, man, thanks for hanging out. You're
- 4:43Speaker 1: in California. Wait oh yeah, dude, California. I forgot about that.
- 4:47Speaker 1: California is the worst of everything. Dude. They're like basically
- 4:52Speaker 1: a communist state. Well, I mean they were leftist, progressive state.
- 4:55Speaker 1: But you expect the progressive states to at least have betting,
- 4:58Speaker 1: like Massachusetts New York does. Like a lot of the
- 5:02Speaker 1: states that don't allow it are the more conservative states.
- 5:04Speaker 1: But California is the worst of everything, and they don't
- 5:07Speaker 1: allow betting either. It's insane. You could go you could
- 5:12Speaker 1: do some offshore betting though, or depending on where you
- 5:16Speaker 1: were in California, you could have driven to Las Vegas.
- 5:19Speaker 1: That's what people do in California. If they're in southern California,
- 5:22Speaker 1: they drive like a couple hours to Las Vegas to
- 5:25Speaker 1: make bets for a little bit, or just wherever you
- 5:30Speaker 1: are in California, if you just if you can just
- 5:32Speaker 1: cross the border into Nevada, then you can make bets.
- 5:35Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. I don't know how close you were
- 5:37Speaker 1: to the border. No, yeah, California has nothing. The best
- 5:42Speaker 1: states as far as betting are like the most books
- 5:46Speaker 1: that you can get are Colorado has a ton? Illinois
- 5:50Speaker 1: I believe has a lot. You're in Colorado, right, so
- 5:54Speaker 1: you have probably the best. You have probably the most
- 5:57Speaker 1: books available. I think probably they're what like about a
- 6:00Speaker 1: dozen in Colorado. Maybe I don't know. I haven't done
- 6:04Speaker 1: I don't think I've done any betting in Colorado. I've
- 6:06Speaker 1: been to Colorado, but I don't think I was doing
- 6:08Speaker 1: any betting when I was there. Yeah, you're in San France.
- 6:13Speaker 1: You could you could take take a quick flight to Reno.
- 6:17Speaker 1: You can get from San Franzo Reno on a plane
- 6:19Speaker 1: in like under an hour. I've done it before. Well,
- 6:22Speaker 1: I've done the reverse. I went from Reno to San
- 6:24Speaker 1: Francisco on the way back from the Libertarian convention, and
- 6:30Speaker 1: then San Francisco decided to change my flight from one
- 6:34Speaker 1: end because San Francisco's airport is like a five pointed
- 6:37Speaker 1: star basically not six. That would be a lot worse. No,
- 6:42Speaker 1: But like my gate was because I had to fly
- 6:45Speaker 1: I was flying a red Eye back to Boston, and
- 6:47Speaker 1: there was like, uh, my gate was like down one end.
- 6:51Speaker 1: Like well, the gate where I landed was like right
- 6:53Speaker 1: near where my gate was supposed to be for the
- 6:56Speaker 1: red Eye flight. So I was like, okay, cool, Like
- 6:57Speaker 1: I'm in the same terminal. My red eye flight is
- 6:59Speaker 1: down the into this one. Then with like twenty minutes ago,
- 7:03Speaker 1: they changed my gate to the very end of one
- 7:05Speaker 1: of the other points in the star. So I'm like
- 7:07Speaker 1: running through the San Francisco Airport. I made it, but
- 7:11Speaker 1: then my flight wound up being delayed anyway, although I
- 7:13Speaker 1: would have made it anyway, but man, that's annoying running
- 7:17Speaker 1: through the San Francisco Airport. I was booking it. Man,
- 7:21Speaker 1: I only had a backpack because I travel light. But
- 7:23Speaker 1: I was able to make it like the longest possible
- 7:26Speaker 1: distance through the San Francisco Airport or whatever terminal that was.
- 7:30Speaker 1: I was able to do it in probably seven minutes
- 7:33Speaker 1: or so. So at least there was that that wasn't
- 7:35Speaker 1: too bad. Jeffrey, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out.
- 7:41Speaker 1: We can get into today. I mean, there were a
- 7:42Speaker 1: few things that I kind of threw out to mention yesterday, well,
- 7:47Speaker 1: just about college basketball in general. So Duke, you know,
- 7:52Speaker 1: it was the big game yesterday. Duke did win and
- 7:54Speaker 1: cover yesterday, and Texas was kind of in that game,
- 7:57Speaker 1: like they were only down five with I think several
- 8:00Speaker 1: minutes left in the game, but they fell short in
- 8:02Speaker 1: the end. I think they lost by fifteen or so.
- 8:04Speaker 1: One thing that I completely forgot, though, is that Texas
- 8:07Speaker 1: has Sean Miller as their coach now. He came over
- 8:12Speaker 1: from Xavier. He used to be the coach at Arizona,
- 8:15Speaker 1: if people remember that way back in the day. I
- 8:17Speaker 1: believe he was the one at Arizona who sweat through
- 8:20Speaker 1: his shirt. By the way, let me know how my
- 8:22Speaker 1: audio is because I took my dynamite stick out again.
- 8:25Speaker 1: The dynamite stick is really just overkill, so I took
- 8:28Speaker 1: that out and I cranked the game up on my
- 8:30Speaker 1: scarlet against Let me know if this is all right,
- 8:33Speaker 1: But yeah, Sean Miller is the coach at Texas now
- 8:36Speaker 1: because they decided to get rid of don't even remember
- 8:39Speaker 1: who their coach was last year. But Miller. I mean,
- 8:42Speaker 1: he brought over some of his guys from Xavier, so
- 8:44Speaker 1: they're gonna probably change their style a little bit. But
- 8:47Speaker 1: Texas wasn't really totally out of the realm of playing
- 8:51Speaker 1: kind of a similar style anyway. It also seemed like
- 8:53Speaker 1: Texas was like always playing Xavier in the tournament like
- 8:57Speaker 1: they played in the playing game. I think last year
- 8:59Speaker 1: and the year before that they met up in the tournament,
- 9:02Speaker 1: so that was interesting. So I forgot about that, and
- 9:05Speaker 1: I also forgot Drake after last year. They brought up
- 9:09Speaker 1: Ben McCollum from Double Double A from Division two and
- 9:13Speaker 1: he brought all his guys up and they actually did
- 9:14Speaker 1: really well just because they had so much chemistry. I
- 9:17Speaker 1: think that Drake team basically was like a one year thing.
- 9:19Speaker 1: They're gone. McCollum. I don't know if he took any
- 9:22Speaker 1: of his players still with them, but he actually went
- 9:24Speaker 1: to Iowa, so that's somebody keep him mind. McCollum. I
- 9:27Speaker 1: didn't realize what was going on with that. I think
- 9:28Speaker 1: Drake will probably continue to play like a slow down
- 9:31Speaker 1: style of game though, But McCollum went to Iowa, which
- 9:34Speaker 1: is very weird because Iowa, under like McCaffrey, Iowa was
- 9:38Speaker 1: playing like really really fast. That's what they were known for,
- 9:42Speaker 1: extremely fast tempo. And it's gonna be a complete change
- 9:45Speaker 1: with Iowa with McCollum there, because he's gonna slow the
- 9:48Speaker 1: pace way down. It's gonna it's gonna be pretty interesting.
- 9:51Speaker 1: So just things I was gonna point out that I
- 9:53Speaker 1: completely forgot about. You're in Delaware, okay, but yeah, you're
- 9:59Speaker 1: from the Philly air I believe Jeffriesly four and three
- 10:02Speaker 1: in the NBA, I will say the Bulls. I don't
- 10:06Speaker 1: know what number you got on the Bulls, but the
- 10:10Speaker 1: only point where the Bulls are ever even leading in
- 10:12Speaker 1: that game was was literally the final score. Like Philadelphia
- 10:16Speaker 1: completely blew that game. Philadelphia was up I think double
- 10:20Speaker 1: digits by the end of the I think they were
- 10:21Speaker 1: up eighteen at the end of the first quarter, and
- 10:24Speaker 1: they were up nineteen at halftime. Philadelphia, there's no way
- 10:27Speaker 1: they should have lost that game. It almost seemed like
- 10:29Speaker 1: it was rigged. Mister Pinsey, what's up man? Thank you,
- 10:33Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out again. Yeah, yesterday it was good
- 10:36Speaker 1: three and one. I mean, obviously, I'm happy about that.
- 10:39Speaker 1: Trying to get back on track here. Every day is
- 10:41Speaker 1: a different animal. Though. We'll get to today in a second.
- 10:44Speaker 1: I don't want to take too long to get into it.
- 10:46Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out two college basketball players today, so
- 10:49Speaker 1: we're gonna get into college basketball for the first time.
- 10:51Speaker 1: I have one NBA play. I do not like the
- 10:54Speaker 1: hockey board. It's a small board. And college football, there's
- 10:58Speaker 1: more maction and it's just it is ugly, man. So
- 11:02Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do anything with that. Restore Christendom, what's up?
- 11:05Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, and Beid is a problem. Yeah,
- 11:11Speaker 1: I mean one point five, so you actually got the
- 11:14Speaker 1: win on that because it went off at two and
- 11:15Speaker 1: a half. But yeah, like I said, I recommended against
- 11:20Speaker 1: the Bulls yesterday. It was not a play for me,
- 11:22Speaker 1: but Bulls and Packers. I do like the Packers. That
- 11:27Speaker 1: might wind up being a play for me. As I
- 11:30Speaker 1: sort of have alluded to over a few recent shows.
- 11:33Speaker 1: I agree with the Packers. I did not agree with
- 11:35Speaker 1: the Bulls yesterday. All Right, college basketball, I mean, we
- 11:39Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot that I really want to
- 11:41Speaker 1: talk about here, Although what I will say is we
- 11:43Speaker 1: start getting into situations where now you have some games
- 11:47Speaker 1: where you have a team that already has a game
- 11:48Speaker 1: under their belt versus a team that's coming in cold.
- 11:51Speaker 1: And I can kind of see that going both ways,
- 11:53Speaker 1: because a lot of times when a team has already
- 11:55Speaker 1: played a game, they kind of get that pressure off
- 11:57Speaker 1: and now they're used to it, especially if they won
- 12:00Speaker 1: and it was like not a seriously important game now,
- 12:03Speaker 1: they kind of have like momentum a little bit if
- 12:05Speaker 1: it was just like an easy win or something like that.
- 12:07Speaker 1: So sometimes the team that already has a game under
- 12:11Speaker 1: their belt and it was an easy win, sometimes that's
- 12:13Speaker 1: a positive. But I don't necessarily want to fade teams
- 12:16Speaker 1: that are like in their home opener or anything like
- 12:18Speaker 1: that either. So some different situations, but those don't really
- 12:21Speaker 1: factor into the situations that I'm gonna be looking at today.
- 12:25Speaker 1: We do have one ranked team playing today, which is Creighton,
- 12:28Speaker 1: ranked twenty third in the country against celt Dakota. I
- 12:31Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot to say about that game.
- 12:33Speaker 1: Creighton is up to a twenty nine point favorite, So
- 12:36Speaker 1: I mean, Creighton, they've been a force in the Big
- 12:39Speaker 1: East for a while now, they're one of the better
- 12:41Speaker 1: teams in the Big East. Still, they haven't played yet,
- 12:43Speaker 1: but they do have Gonzaga coming up next lethough they
- 12:46Speaker 1: have almost a week between now and then, so I
- 12:49Speaker 1: don't know if they're really gonna look ahead to Gonzaga
- 12:51Speaker 1: or not. It is possible that they do. Celt Dakota,
- 12:57Speaker 1: I believe, did already play but they lost. But yeah,
- 13:00Speaker 1: they played against Utah Tech in just a game nobody
- 13:04Speaker 1: gave a shit about. So soelth Dakota does at least
- 13:06Speaker 1: have a game under their belt. It was a close game.
- 13:08Speaker 1: I think it was a game of a close line
- 13:09Speaker 1: though too, so I don't know. I just figured I
- 13:12Speaker 1: would briefly mention that game. I'm also gonna mention Eastern
- 13:16Speaker 1: Washington and Loyal and Merrymount. I'm not going to make
- 13:18Speaker 1: a play on this, but I think it's a little
- 13:20Speaker 1: bit interesting. Eastern Washington looks like they played UCLA really close.
- 13:25Speaker 1: They just went to UCLA two days ago. I think, yeah,
- 13:28Speaker 1: on Monday, number twelve in the country Ucla, Eastern Washington
- 13:33Speaker 1: came within six points of UCLA. So it looks like
- 13:36Speaker 1: a spot where maybe you want to fade Eastern Washington
- 13:40Speaker 1: coming off of that. And they do actually play another
- 13:42Speaker 1: bigger conference team next. They have Colorado up on Saturday,
- 13:46Speaker 1: so that's going to be another big game for them.
- 13:48Speaker 1: So this does kind of look like a sandwich spot
- 13:50Speaker 1: where they have to go to Loyal and Marymount. And
- 13:52Speaker 1: if you're a team that's somewhat unfamiliar with playing in
- 13:55Speaker 1: Loyal and Mary Matt that's a bit more difficult to do.
- 13:58Speaker 1: Eastern Washington's in the Big Sky, so I don't know
- 14:01Speaker 1: that they usually go and play at Loyal and Marymount
- 14:04Speaker 1: who's in the WCC. So kind of a weird spot
- 14:09Speaker 1: for for Eastern Washington here. Loyal and Marymunt put up
- 14:13Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty seven points in their first game,
- 14:15Speaker 1: so that might make them look a little bit too good,
- 14:17Speaker 1: although that was against a non Division one team Lincoln California.
- 14:21Speaker 1: Whatever the hell that is Eastern Washington. Though, if you
- 14:25Speaker 1: dig into this box score a little bit, this game
- 14:27Speaker 1: was not close, like, even though it looks like it was,
- 14:31Speaker 1: they obviously covered. UCLA was a twenty nine and a
- 14:33Speaker 1: half point favorite, So it looks like Eastern Washington really
- 14:37Speaker 1: good performance. Looks like you might want to fade them.
- 14:39Speaker 1: By the way, I hate the ESPN now defaults to
- 14:41Speaker 1: the win probability chart. It's like, what the fuck? Like,
- 14:44Speaker 1: there's nothing to see here. Yeah, UCLA was like a
- 14:47Speaker 1: above a ninety percent favorite to win the game the
- 14:49Speaker 1: entire time. No, I want to see the game flow there.
- 14:52Speaker 1: It is so Eastern Washington was close early, but then
- 14:55Speaker 1: they just they were losing by a lot due they
- 14:58Speaker 1: were losing by almost twenty points later, the game, they
- 15:00Speaker 1: were down double digits, so the fact that they cut
- 15:03Speaker 1: it to six late was like pretty cosmetic. They were
- 15:06Speaker 1: still down double digits in the final minute, so it's
- 15:08Speaker 1: not like they were really that close to winning against UCLA,
- 15:11Speaker 1: but it was still a big game. They still didn't
- 15:14Speaker 1: go away. So I would lead to loyal and merrymount
- 15:17Speaker 1: in this game, and the money has certainly shown up
- 15:19Speaker 1: on them. They're already up from a seven point favorite
- 15:21Speaker 1: to an eight and a half point favorite. Seven is
- 15:24Speaker 1: a key number in basketball because teams stop intentionally fouling
- 15:27Speaker 1: at that point. I would still lean that way. I
- 15:31Speaker 1: would lay the points. Probably even an eight and a half,
- 15:33Speaker 1: I would still do it. If I was gonna play
- 15:35Speaker 1: that game. That one's not gonna make my card, although
- 15:37Speaker 1: I am gonna have two other plays. I don't know
- 15:41Speaker 1: if there's really anything else that I wanted to talk
- 15:43Speaker 1: about as far as today, I don't think there are
- 15:46Speaker 1: any of the ranked teams playing today. With the Indiana
- 15:48Speaker 1: I mean, they're they're playing today. They're a solid program.
- 15:52Speaker 1: Usually they're just not ranked right now, but they have
- 15:54Speaker 1: a very weak opponent in Alabama A and M. So whatever,
- 15:59Speaker 1: I don't think there's anything else totally in dressing except
- 16:02Speaker 1: for the games. Then I'm about to give up plays
- 16:04Speaker 1: on King of the Court. I don't even know, do
- 16:08Speaker 1: I know what that I'm not even sure what that is.
- 16:10Speaker 1: It's something to do with basketball, but hell yeah, you
- 16:12Speaker 1: get bonus bets. Hell yeah. Just don't let draft Kings.
- 16:18Speaker 1: Don't let them start limiting. Don't let them limit you, man,
- 16:20Speaker 1: because with winning betters, they might do that. Second in
- 16:26Speaker 1: the first week, tie, tie for first the second week.
- 16:29Speaker 1: I don't even really know what that is really like,
- 16:31Speaker 1: if I use Draft Kings, I'm just using it for
- 16:34Speaker 1: you know, making bets basically just single one off bets,
- 16:37Speaker 1: like I've used some of their like free bets and
- 16:40Speaker 1: stuff obviously, But other than that, the magic with Baine, yeah,
- 16:44Speaker 1: they picked up Baane, dude, I think the Orlando magic.
- 16:47Speaker 1: It's just that they completely changed. They're trying to change
- 16:51Speaker 1: their entire their entire personality. I don't think it's Bane specifically,
- 16:56Speaker 1: but like you go from a team that's a physical
- 16:58Speaker 1: defensive team with some really like physical guards, like big guards,
- 17:03Speaker 1: and then you go no, or big guards slash forwards,
- 17:06Speaker 1: and then you go, no, we're gonna start playing up
- 17:08Speaker 1: tempo now, like that's a dumb idea. I don't know
- 17:10Speaker 1: why they're doing that, although I think they're starting to
- 17:12Speaker 1: play a little bit better. By the way, with Orlando.
- 17:15Speaker 1: I did also forget to mention they were playing Atlanta
- 17:18Speaker 1: last time. I'm pretty sure I forgot to mention that Atlanta.
- 17:20Speaker 1: I believe was in an injured player spot because Trey
- 17:23Speaker 1: Young got hurt. I mean, what else is new. It
- 17:25Speaker 1: seems like he's hurt a lot, but I didn't even
- 17:28Speaker 1: realize that was the case when I looked at that
- 17:30Speaker 1: game yesterday. So Trey Young is out, So just something
- 17:32Speaker 1: to keep in mind. I think he's gonna miss a
- 17:35Speaker 1: bit of time. Oh okay, yeah, you picked the player
- 17:39Speaker 1: on Tuesday that as the most points plus rebounds plus assists. Gotcha?
- 17:45Speaker 1: But who is the Bucks coach? Now? Do they? They
- 17:47Speaker 1: got rid of Doc Rivers, right, I don't know. I
- 17:50Speaker 1: have no idea. Well, yeah, I mean the back to
- 17:52Speaker 1: back was definitely part of the handicap, even though it
- 17:55Speaker 1: was they the books tried to factor them into the line,
- 17:58Speaker 1: although I said it wasn't enough. Like everything about that
- 18:00Speaker 1: spot was just like it's set up really well for
- 18:03Speaker 1: Toronto in my opinion, So I had to make that
- 18:06Speaker 1: a play live. Been in college basketball totals, it seems like, yeah,
- 18:11Speaker 1: the books early on, especially with the new college of
- 18:14Speaker 1: basketball landscape, the books seem to yeah, be struggling to
- 18:20Speaker 1: kind of catch up to it. Willy Green? U wait,
- 18:26Speaker 1: is that is that the new Bucks coach? I don't
- 18:27Speaker 1: I don't even know who that is, to be honest,
- 18:29Speaker 1: I don't even know who the Bucks coach is right now?
- 18:31Speaker 1: Is that who that is? And they're calling to fire him?
- 18:33Speaker 1: The Bucks are off to The Bucks are off to
- 18:35Speaker 1: a good start, though, well, yeah, the Thunder of the
- 18:39Speaker 1: best team in the league. They're really deep, there's no
- 18:41Speaker 1: question about that. Like, they have some injuries right now
- 18:43Speaker 1: and it still doesn't even matter Thunder. Yeah. Oh, Willy
- 18:47Speaker 1: Green is the Pelicans coach? Yeah, I would not fire
- 18:49Speaker 1: him right now. They finally got to win the Pelicans.
- 18:52Speaker 1: They had a really, really brutal schedule to start the season,
- 18:55Speaker 1: and Zion Williams keeps Zion Williamson keeps getting hurt, so
- 18:58Speaker 1: it's like, what can you do. Williamson was actually out,
- 19:01Speaker 1: That's another thing I forgot to mention. Williamson was out
- 19:04Speaker 1: in the first Williamson was out in the first win
- 19:07Speaker 1: that the Pelicans got, so it was actually an injured
- 19:09Speaker 1: player spot for the Pelicans there, so something I also, dude,
- 19:12Speaker 1: I can't keep track of all these NBA injuries, Like
- 19:15Speaker 1: so many guys are in and out of the lineup,
- 19:17Speaker 1: and sometimes you don't notice it in the line because,
- 19:19Speaker 1: like the Pelicans are just always a big underdog, so
- 19:22Speaker 1: it went kind of unnoticed. But they won that game.
- 19:26Speaker 1: So uh, A white girl went missing from Willie Green's house.
- 19:32Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to look that up. I am. I'm
- 19:34Speaker 1: a true crime afficionado. Actually I've never heard of that
- 19:37Speaker 1: case though, but probably because the media doesn't want you
- 19:42Speaker 1: to know about that in Philly. That is pretty interesting,
- 19:46Speaker 1: miss dude. I like missing missing person's cases are like
- 19:49Speaker 1: kind of they're my favorite thing. I know that sounds
- 19:52Speaker 1: like morbid or whatever, but I like mystery and I
- 19:54Speaker 1: like trying to like see if I can like grasp
- 19:58Speaker 1: it in my mind and try to like figure it
- 20:00Speaker 1: out and solve it in my mind. I don't know,
- 20:01Speaker 1: it's just the way my mind works. So yeah, I
- 20:04Speaker 1: mean I like that stuff and just other like unsolved cases,
- 20:08Speaker 1: that's kind of my thing. I'm interested in it all. Right,
- 20:11Speaker 1: let's go to the College of Basketball plays here. This
- 20:13Speaker 1: is this is already the best bets segment. Fuck it,
- 20:18Speaker 1: one of these. You're gonna think I'm out of my mind,
- 20:21Speaker 1: possibly this first one up. But I've done I mean,
- 20:24Speaker 1: sometimes in these early season games, I do lay gigantic favorites,
- 20:29Speaker 1: and that's what I'm gonna do here. Georgia minus thirty
- 20:31Speaker 1: one and a half. And I believe Georgia might have
- 20:34Speaker 1: been one of the teams that I did actually lay
- 20:35Speaker 1: a huge number with last year, and I think it
- 20:38Speaker 1: maybe was a winner. And I don't remember. I think
- 20:40Speaker 1: I had Georgia, maybe Florida. I don't know one of
- 20:43Speaker 1: those teams I laid like a huge number with early
- 20:46Speaker 1: in the season because the spot was good. I like
- 20:48Speaker 1: this one, even though I know if you look at
- 20:50Speaker 1: it it's a low total. I get it one hundred
- 20:52Speaker 1: and forty one and a half, so that makes it
- 20:54Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult. Holy shit, Georgia is already
- 20:56Speaker 1: thirty three and a half. I mean, find the best
- 20:59Speaker 1: number that you can on this, man, It was literally
- 21:01Speaker 1: thirty one and a half like a half hour ago.
- 21:04Speaker 1: Georgia is already flying up in the market from thirty
- 21:07Speaker 1: to thirty three and a half. These college basketball lines,
- 21:10Speaker 1: they get out of control real fast. Man. You gotta
- 21:13Speaker 1: try to jump in and get this value. The total
- 21:17Speaker 1: is low, yes, which sometimes is gonna make it more
- 21:19Speaker 1: difficult for a team to cover a number like this.
- 21:22Speaker 1: I know that Georgia, if they're winning by a huge margin,
- 21:25Speaker 1: there is the risks that they're gonna just pack it
- 21:26Speaker 1: in and give up some garbage time shit. But Maryland
- 21:30Speaker 1: Eastern Shore, I mean, they're in a horrible spot. They're
- 21:33Speaker 1: also a terrible team, and they're terrible offensively. They're like
- 21:36Speaker 1: one of the twenty worst teams in Division one. They're awful.
- 21:41Speaker 1: And part of the reason why the total is so
- 21:42Speaker 1: low is because Maryland Eastern Shore is excuse me, a
- 21:46Speaker 1: slow paced team and they can't score. And Georgia is
- 21:51Speaker 1: kind of a mid mid paced team, which ken Bum,
- 21:55Speaker 1: you can't really read into these numbers too much right now,
- 21:57Speaker 1: But ken Bum does have Maryland or actually the eleventh
- 22:02Speaker 1: worst team or twelfth worst team in all of Division one,
- 22:05Speaker 1: and he has them as the third worst offense at
- 22:08Speaker 1: all of Division one so far, and they're a bottom
- 22:10Speaker 1: twenty tempo team as well, so they're slow, and they
- 22:14Speaker 1: don't score and that's pretty bad. And their defense is
- 22:17Speaker 1: also not good, although defense is their strength relatively for Georgia.
- 22:24Speaker 1: Ken Bom has them at thirty six in the country.
- 22:26Speaker 1: He has them to one hundred and forty second in
- 22:28Speaker 1: tempo right now, and he has them in the top
- 22:29Speaker 1: forty in both offense and defense. But again, very very
- 22:33Speaker 1: small sample size, so ken Bum's numbers you can't really
- 22:35Speaker 1: read into very much this early. I believe he does
- 22:40Speaker 1: not have Georgia winning quite by this amount. I think
- 22:42Speaker 1: he has them winning by about twenty nine or thirty,
- 22:45Speaker 1: which go pay pay for ken Bomb, though I don't
- 22:47Speaker 1: want to give out all of his numbers that you
- 22:49Speaker 1: have to pay for. Here the numbers here on this
- 22:51Speaker 1: main screen you could see for free. But yeah, I
- 22:55Speaker 1: recommend buying ken Bum. I mean, it's very inexpensive. It's
- 22:59Speaker 1: like a one it's a yearly cost of like thirty
- 23:01Speaker 1: bucks or something. I think it used to be like
- 23:04Speaker 1: less than twenty two, but whatever. But yeah, Georgia, I
- 23:09Speaker 1: mean I think that even though they're kind of a
- 23:11Speaker 1: mid tempo team that's sort of in the top half
- 23:13Speaker 1: tempo wise, they're a team that could speed this thing up,
- 23:16Speaker 1: So that's not gonna be good for Maryland Eastern Shore
- 23:19Speaker 1: because they do not want to play at a fast pace,
- 23:21Speaker 1: and usually the better team can control the tempo, especially
- 23:25Speaker 1: at home, which is what Georgia is here. Maryland Eastern
- 23:29Speaker 1: Shore just played Georgia Tech, and Georgia Tech is a
- 23:33Speaker 1: slower tempo team at two hundred and eighty fourth th
- 23:36Speaker 1: tempo at least early on in the season. But they
- 23:38Speaker 1: are definitely a slower team than Georgia And because of
- 23:42Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore almost pulling off that ridiculous upset, which
- 23:47Speaker 1: would have been kind of unimaginable, I think they were
- 23:49Speaker 1: about a twenty eight and a half point underdog there.
- 23:51Speaker 1: I think you gotta fade them here, man, I think
- 23:53Speaker 1: they're gonna get run out of the building in this one.
- 23:55Speaker 1: I mean they went to Georgia tack as twenty eight
- 23:58Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs, played this just absurdly low
- 24:02Speaker 1: scoring game that I talked about yesterday, took Georgia Tech
- 24:05Speaker 1: into overtime, so they had to play an extra period
- 24:08Speaker 1: as well. Two days ago almost pulled off this basically
- 24:11Speaker 1: unimaginable upset, and now they have to go from that
- 24:15Speaker 1: to facing Georgia, which is a step up in class.
- 24:18Speaker 1: Georgia obviously better than Georgia Tech. Georgia is also in
- 24:22Speaker 1: a better conference as well, So although I know this
- 24:25Speaker 1: is a new season and whatever, so these teams aren't
- 24:27Speaker 1: really ballots est yet, but I think this has Hangover
- 24:30Speaker 1: spot written all over it. Man, it's just a question
- 24:33Speaker 1: of whether or not Georgia is gonna take their foot
- 24:35Speaker 1: off the gas because this is such a complete mismatch.
- 24:38Speaker 1: Georgia should be able to get this thing done. Georgia
- 24:42Speaker 1: has already played a game as well, so they're not
- 24:44Speaker 1: coming in cold. They had an easy win over Bellerman
- 24:47Speaker 1: in their first game, and they actually did win by
- 24:50Speaker 1: enough in this game too. They were a twenty three
- 24:52Speaker 1: and a half point favorite in this one and they won.
- 24:54Speaker 1: They scored over one hundred points, so that's a good
- 24:56Speaker 1: sign because they think Bellerman usually kind of gets into
- 24:59Speaker 1: like slower tempo games if I'm not mistaken, at least
- 25:03Speaker 1: from last year. And Georgia's still score over one hundred
- 25:06Speaker 1: against them and won by whatever the hell that is
- 25:09Speaker 1: what is at forty five points, so they were able
- 25:11Speaker 1: to cover this number by a decent margin here, So
- 25:14Speaker 1: that's a decent sign as well. Yeah, we're gonna lay
- 25:17Speaker 1: it with Georgia. This is at Athens, Marylandson is sure
- 25:20Speaker 1: they have this back to back road slate here in Georgia.
- 25:24Speaker 1: You know that the game they got up for was
- 25:26Speaker 1: the Georgia Tech game. I mean, there's no question about it.
- 25:29Speaker 1: It was the more winnable of the two games at
- 25:31Speaker 1: the very least, and they somehow were almost able to
- 25:33Speaker 1: do it. And when a team like that that's really
- 25:36Speaker 1: really awful almost pulls off an upset that would almost
- 25:39Speaker 1: be unheard of and then they have to play again,
- 25:41Speaker 1: it is a terrible spot for them. Lay the points
- 25:43Speaker 1: with Georgia. Hopefully you can get a decent number on
- 25:46Speaker 1: this because that number is getting out of control. And
- 25:49Speaker 1: the other play I'm gonna give out in college basketball
- 25:51Speaker 1: is you see Davis minus three. Although ken Baum actually,
- 25:55Speaker 1: as you see, Davis ranked significantly lower than their opponent
- 25:59Speaker 1: here on North dakot To State. But I just think
- 26:01Speaker 1: this is a spot playing ken Bomb. I mean again,
- 26:05Speaker 1: his numbers mean a little bit less early in the season.
- 26:07Speaker 1: I think he actually has you see Davis losing this
- 26:10Speaker 1: game outright, So hopefully, because sometimes I don't like to
- 26:13Speaker 1: buck Ken bomb Man like to this extent where I'm
- 26:16Speaker 1: going against him by multiple points. But the money's coming in,
- 26:19Speaker 1: and you see Davis here, they're already up from one
- 26:22Speaker 1: and a half to three. The numbers kind of going
- 26:24Speaker 1: through the three. They have sixty percent of the tickets
- 26:26Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on them, So I
- 26:28Speaker 1: think the real money is also bucking Ken bom here
- 26:32Speaker 1: and going with you see Davis, I like this one
- 26:35Speaker 1: on North Dakota State's coming off. I believe pulling off
- 26:39Speaker 1: an upset. Let me see, why did I like that? Dude?
- 26:43Speaker 1: I looked at this like a little while ago. No,
- 26:45Speaker 1: they almost pulled off an upset at Oregon State. My mistake.
- 26:48Speaker 1: So yes, they are already on the Pacific Coast. But
- 26:50Speaker 1: this is kind of similar to Maryland Eastern Shore where
- 26:53Speaker 1: North Dakota State they were playing Oregon State. Now, Oregon
- 26:56Speaker 1: States still considered to be like one of the big boys,
- 26:59Speaker 1: one of the big comp teams, even though they're in
- 27:01Speaker 1: the WCC now in basketball, but they were a former
- 27:04Speaker 1: Pac twelve team, So I think that's still a big
- 27:06Speaker 1: deal for North Dakota State to go and play Oregon
- 27:09Speaker 1: State and they almost pulled off the upset. They were
- 27:12Speaker 1: nine and a half point underdogs in Corvallas, and they
- 27:15Speaker 1: almost pulled off the upset. Big performance from North Dakota State,
- 27:18Speaker 1: and it looks like they lost on like a late
- 27:21Speaker 1: layup right at the end of the game. Yeah, with
- 27:22Speaker 1: two seconds left, So they almost took this game in overtime.
- 27:26Speaker 1: I think North Dakota State is going to be in
- 27:28Speaker 1: a bad spot coming off of this. Man Now they
- 27:29Speaker 1: have to go face you see Davis, which Davis might
- 27:33Speaker 1: be a team that is kind of flying under the
- 27:35Speaker 1: radar a little bit. You see, Davis did already get
- 27:38Speaker 1: a game out of the way. They played a non
- 27:40Speaker 1: Division one team men Low, whoever the hell that is.
- 27:44Speaker 1: I'm assuming some California team. You see Davis is able
- 27:47Speaker 1: to get an easy win in that game, so they
- 27:49Speaker 1: have a little bit of momentum coming into this game.
- 27:51Speaker 1: This game will be at home, so it's also kind
- 27:54Speaker 1: of an unfamiliar spot these early season games. Remember, these
- 27:57Speaker 1: teams have to play road games in these states that
- 28:00Speaker 1: they're not used to. That's also usually a little bit
- 28:03Speaker 1: extra benefit to the home team in cases like that.
- 28:07Speaker 1: So yeah, we'll lay the points that you see Davis
- 28:09Speaker 1: in this one. I don't like how it sets up
- 28:11Speaker 1: for North Dakota State, coming off what I think was
- 28:13Speaker 1: their big game to open the season. I think they
- 28:15Speaker 1: could be in a bit of a hangover spot here.
- 28:17Speaker 1: You see Davis minus three. Those are That's how we're
- 28:21Speaker 1: starting out of college basketball slate here for the season.
- 28:26Speaker 1: All right, NHL don't love these games today, man, I don't.
- 28:30Speaker 1: I'll try to run through these games. Utah at Toronto.
- 28:34Speaker 1: Utah is on a back to back. Utah one in
- 28:38Speaker 1: overtime yesterday. I mentioned, I think I mentioned I leaned
- 28:41Speaker 1: to Utah yesterday. They got the win to kick off
- 28:44Speaker 1: the road trip, went into overtime against Buffalo. But they're
- 28:47Speaker 1: on a back to back. They're playing a third game
- 28:49Speaker 1: in four day's all in different cities, so not exactly
- 28:52Speaker 1: an easy spot for them. They're gonna be in a
- 28:55Speaker 1: little bit of a fatigue mode. You assume they're gonna
- 28:58Speaker 1: use van a check and net this time of a
- 29:00Speaker 1: Milka van check has actually been okay for them, So
- 29:03Speaker 1: I don't think that's really a big downgrade for Utah.
- 29:07Speaker 1: Toronto is the more rested team, though Toronto's coming in
- 29:11Speaker 1: here with a record only a little bit above five hundred.
- 29:14Speaker 1: I think Toronto is actually probably better than the record looks.
- 29:17Speaker 1: Toronto's got a little bit of momentum here after beating
- 29:20Speaker 1: both Pennsylvania teams Philly and Pittsburgh. Toronto's now staying at home,
- 29:24Speaker 1: and they actually do have one day off, so the
- 29:27Speaker 1: rest spot does set up better for them. I don't
- 29:28Speaker 1: know if they're gonna use stilars in net again or not.
- 29:31Speaker 1: I don't think it matters a great deal for Toronto
- 29:34Speaker 1: here spot Uh. To me, it almost sets up a
- 29:38Speaker 1: little bit better for Toronto. Although you could argue that
- 29:41Speaker 1: Utah got a scare yesterday because they almost lost to Buffalo,
- 29:46Speaker 1: which Buffalo is not a great team, But I don't
- 29:48Speaker 1: know about that, man. I think Toronto's a little bit
- 29:50Speaker 1: under the radar. There's a reason why Toronto's favored even
- 29:52Speaker 1: though they have a lesser record than Utah. Right now,
- 29:55Speaker 1: the osmakers are telling telling you that Utah is actually
- 30:01Speaker 1: not as good as Toronto, although the line has dropped
- 30:03Speaker 1: from minus one sixty to minus one fifty on Toronto,
- 30:06Speaker 1: so the money's actually coming in in Utah. And I
- 30:08Speaker 1: don't necessarily agree with that. Sixty percent of the tickets
- 30:11Speaker 1: on Toronto fifty five percent of the cash coming back
- 30:13Speaker 1: in on Utah. I have a very slight opinion on
- 30:17Speaker 1: Toronto in this game, but certainly don't love it at all,
- 30:21Speaker 1: and I would not want to really buck what the
- 30:23Speaker 1: market is doing, so I'm staying away Saint Louis at Washington.
- 30:27Speaker 1: This is the closest that I would be to a
- 30:29Speaker 1: play here, and I actually disagree with the market in
- 30:31Speaker 1: this one too, So I don't love disagreeing with the
- 30:33Speaker 1: market man, but I actually leed to Washington in this game.
- 30:37Speaker 1: Market is seemingly disagreeing at least now, although it's early,
- 30:40Speaker 1: and again in hockey, because there's not a lot of
- 30:42Speaker 1: public action in hockey, especially with all these other sports
- 30:46Speaker 1: going on. You got to take these numbers with a
- 30:48Speaker 1: little bit of a grain of salt because usually, yes,
- 30:51Speaker 1: I'm looking for a big disparity between the cash and
- 30:53Speaker 1: the tickets, because where the cash is is usually indicative
- 30:56Speaker 1: of where the bigger bets are. But I think most
- 31:01Speaker 1: of the like percentages that you see here is all
- 31:04Speaker 1: professional money almost for hockey, because the public just doesn't
- 31:07Speaker 1: get that much involved. So you got to kind of
- 31:11Speaker 1: weigh it and like figure out, like what's actually going on, like,
- 31:13Speaker 1: how do you read this market here? Although disparity like this,
- 31:16Speaker 1: you gotta think it is still actually an indicator that
- 31:18Speaker 1: the actual money is coming in on Saint Louis. And
- 31:21Speaker 1: we see Washington drop for minus one fifty seven of
- 31:24Speaker 1: minus one forty eight on the money line, So it
- 31:26Speaker 1: looks like there is actual money on Saint Louis, sixty
- 31:29Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on them, seventy percent of
- 31:31Speaker 1: tickets on Washington, and not surprised that the public is
- 31:34Speaker 1: on Washington because of what they did last year. And
- 31:36Speaker 1: Saint Louis has a bad record right now. So in
- 31:38Speaker 1: a way, yeah, you could argue what I argued in
- 31:41Speaker 1: Saint Louis's last game. You could argue that Saint Louis
- 31:43Speaker 1: is not as bad as the record looks. I would
- 31:45Speaker 1: agree with that argument, but I don't like the spot
- 31:48Speaker 1: for Saint Louis here. They got that win for us
- 31:51Speaker 1: against Edmonton last time out, man, so they pulled that off.
- 31:54Speaker 1: They had to come back in the game, they were
- 31:56Speaker 1: down two to nothing, they came back, that won the game,
- 31:58Speaker 1: big win over Edmondon and Man and now they have
- 32:00Speaker 1: to fly out to Washington. I think it could be
- 32:04Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown spider for Saint Louis,
- 32:07Speaker 1: although you could argue that because they ended that long
- 32:09Speaker 1: lost streak. Remember, I'm the streak buster, Streek breaker, baby,
- 32:13Speaker 1: and I'm gonna try to do it in the NBA
- 32:15Speaker 1: today too. Streek breaker for me and for Saint Louis.
- 32:18Speaker 1: And sometimes when you do break along law streak like that,
- 32:21Speaker 1: it will actually give you momentum moving forward. So that
- 32:24Speaker 1: is at least some positive for Saint Louis. Here and
- 32:27Speaker 1: starting a road trip, usually you are focused. They'll probably
- 32:31Speaker 1: try to be focused on Washington because it is Washington.
- 32:33Speaker 1: They're known as a pretty good team. They play Buffalo tomorrow,
- 32:36Speaker 1: but you got to think if they're gonna show up
- 32:38Speaker 1: with more effort for one of these games, it's probably
- 32:41Speaker 1: gonna be the Washington one. The problem is will they
- 32:43Speaker 1: get tired by the end of it, because two huge
- 32:46Speaker 1: effort games in a row not that easy to do
- 32:49Speaker 1: against teams that are both better than Saint Louis. Says.
- 32:54Speaker 1: Washington's coming off kind of an ugly loss, and they've
- 32:56Speaker 1: had a bunch of days off. They last played on Saturday,
- 32:59Speaker 1: and they're also trying to bust their own loss. Streek
- 33:01Speaker 1: They've lost four games in a row, with the worst
- 33:04Speaker 1: being their last game, losing in a shootout to Buffalo.
- 33:09Speaker 1: To me, it does look like kind of a bounce
- 33:11Speaker 1: back spot here to Washington, they've had a lot of
- 33:12Speaker 1: days off, and when you're losing like that, having days
- 33:15Speaker 1: off might actually help you fix some things and work
- 33:18Speaker 1: on some things and bust that losing momentum a little bit.
- 33:21Speaker 1: So I don't agree with the market in this one.
- 33:22Speaker 1: I like Washington in this game, but I'm not gonna
- 33:26Speaker 1: make it a play al though I was actually kind
- 33:27Speaker 1: of tempted to do it, but I held myself back
- 33:31Speaker 1: on that one. Columbus is at Calgary in this game.
- 33:35Speaker 1: The money is indicating on Calgary. They're up for minus
- 33:38Speaker 1: one h two to minus one fourteen, eighty four percent
- 33:40Speaker 1: of the cash on them, seventy seven percent of the
- 33:42Speaker 1: tickets on Columbus. Public is not gonna want anything to
- 33:46Speaker 1: do with Calgary. I mean, they're one of the worst
- 33:47Speaker 1: teams in the NHL this year. I'm pretty sure the
- 33:49Speaker 1: record's bad as far as how this sets up, but
- 33:53Speaker 1: I don't know because Columbus just lost a four game
- 33:55Speaker 1: win streak, and I talk about this sometimes when you
- 33:57Speaker 1: lose a win streak, it does hang you over into
- 34:00Speaker 1: the next game. And they do have games that are
- 34:03Speaker 1: probably bigger games coming up against Vancouver and Edmonton, which
- 34:08Speaker 1: Calgary is a team that is gonna get overlooked quite
- 34:10Speaker 1: a bit. So Columbus I might agree with the market
- 34:13Speaker 1: in this one because I don't really love the spot
- 34:15Speaker 1: that they're in, having their winning momentum stop there. They
- 34:18Speaker 1: haven't played since Sunday, so they do have a little
- 34:20Speaker 1: bit of rest here. But don't really love the spot
- 34:23Speaker 1: by the way it sets up for Columbus, and I
- 34:25Speaker 1: think Columbus could be a little bit overvalued right now.
- 34:27Speaker 1: They're above five hundred right now, there's still a team
- 34:30Speaker 1: that I don't think their goaltending is very good. They
- 34:32Speaker 1: could definitely score, but it's kind of like last year.
- 34:35Speaker 1: I think they're also bad defensively and not very good
- 34:38Speaker 1: in the goaltending department. But Columbus is certainly a team
- 34:42Speaker 1: that could beat anybody in the league at any given point.
- 34:44Speaker 1: I mean, it is the NHL, after all. Columbus almost
- 34:48Speaker 1: made the playoffs last year, and it wouldn't shock me
- 34:50Speaker 1: if they did make the playoffs this year. But that's
- 34:53Speaker 1: kind of where they're at. I think they're a mediocre team.
- 34:56Speaker 1: Calgary's bad. But Calgary did just end a lost street
- 35:00Speaker 1: theys as they beat Philadelphia last time out on a Sunday,
- 35:04Speaker 1: so that can maybe stop there losing momentum. The problem
- 35:07Speaker 1: I have with Calgary is they were turning over from
- 35:09Speaker 1: a road trip and they went to Eastern Canada and
- 35:11Speaker 1: then down to Nashville. It wasn't a long road trip,
- 35:14Speaker 1: but they've still been a waste since Tuesday, so it
- 35:17Speaker 1: was a four game road trips. They had some rest
- 35:19Speaker 1: in the mix in there, but still it is still
- 35:23Speaker 1: a road trip or turn spot, and one of over
- 35:25Speaker 1: a week. So I don't want to play Calgary either, man,
- 35:28Speaker 1: you know me. I mean, there's almost never a situation
- 35:31Speaker 1: where gonna be on a team it's a turning home
- 35:33Speaker 1: from a road trip like that. I'll probably either fade
- 35:36Speaker 1: the more pass on the game. Even though the spot
- 35:38Speaker 1: doesn't look great for Columbus here, you could argue the
- 35:41Speaker 1: spot's worse for Calgary here, even though they may have
- 35:44Speaker 1: ended their losing momentum. The returnover from a road trip
- 35:47Speaker 1: is not an easy thing to do. A lot of
- 35:50Speaker 1: times you wind up being distracted because you have stuff
- 35:52Speaker 1: that needs to get done at home. As I always
- 35:54Speaker 1: talk about, that's a real thing. I mean, these guys
- 35:56Speaker 1: have families and whatever. Columbus maybe not a team that's
- 36:00Speaker 1: gonna completely draw their attention, although with Calgary, I mean,
- 36:04Speaker 1: they can't really overlook anybody with the way they've been playing.
- 36:06Speaker 1: But I'm just gonna stay away the market. Reda saying Calgary.
- 36:09Speaker 1: I would actually probably slightly disagree with that one too,
- 36:13Speaker 1: just because I think the return home spot is just
- 36:15Speaker 1: so bad. But yeah, I don't want to do anything
- 36:18Speaker 1: with that game. Blackhawks are playing the Canucks Chicago at Vancouver.
- 36:23Speaker 1: Chicago was hot for a little while, but they've cooled
- 36:25Speaker 1: off again. They're on a three game losing streak. They're
- 36:28Speaker 1: playing a fourth game in the middle of this long
- 36:30Speaker 1: road trip here. They've had one day off. You could
- 36:34Speaker 1: argue that maybe they're in a little bit of bounce
- 36:35Speaker 1: back mode. They're gonna have night back in net here.
- 36:37Speaker 1: Who is they're better goalie because they use soder Bloom
- 36:40Speaker 1: in their last game. They should be focused on this.
- 36:43Speaker 1: I mean it is Vancouver. Vancouver tends to be a
- 36:46Speaker 1: team you get up for him. They're coming off a
- 36:48Speaker 1: game against Seattle. That's kind of an ugly loss, even
- 36:50Speaker 1: though Seattle has been off to a decent start. They're
- 36:53Speaker 1: a pretty mediocre team. I think Chicago only is Calgary next.
- 36:57Speaker 1: They're not a good team. Although Chicago they've definitely cooled off.
- 37:01Speaker 1: They've fallen to like a five hundred record. Vancouver is
- 37:04Speaker 1: also at five hundred. Vancouver's are turning over from a
- 37:07Speaker 1: road trip, though so not a long road trip. They've
- 37:10Speaker 1: been off. They've been away since last Thursday. It was
- 37:12Speaker 1: a three game road trip, took them to Saint Louis,
- 37:15Speaker 1: Minnesota in Nashville. They actually won two of the three games,
- 37:19Speaker 1: both in overtime. Now they're coming back home. I do
- 37:23Speaker 1: think the spot is a bit worse for Vancouver here
- 37:25Speaker 1: because again it is still a return home spot, not
- 37:28Speaker 1: from the longest road trip. But maybe they do overlook
- 37:30Speaker 1: Chicago a little bit here. That is possible because Chicago
- 37:34Speaker 1: just hasn't been that good recently. The money is coming
- 37:36Speaker 1: into Chicago. I do agree with that one. Vancouver down
- 37:40Speaker 1: for minus one seventy seven of minus one sixty two
- 37:43Speaker 1: on the money line, fifty four percent of the tickets
- 37:45Speaker 1: on Vancouver, eighty seven percent of the cash on Chicago.
- 37:49Speaker 1: I mean, you could get a little ballsy and maybe
- 37:53Speaker 1: maybe take a flyer on the Blackhawks on the money
- 37:56Speaker 1: line in this one. I don't mind that idea. I
- 37:58Speaker 1: would lean with the market and that one. That's the
- 38:01Speaker 1: first of these games where I actually where I actually
- 38:03Speaker 1: am in alignment with the market, which usually I don't know.
- 38:07Speaker 1: I don't know if that's a good sign or not
- 38:08Speaker 1: for me, But maybe that means Chicago's one of the
- 38:12Speaker 1: stronger plays today because I agree with the market on
- 38:15Speaker 1: that one. So when all those things line up, I
- 38:17Speaker 1: could see that the situation is not that great for Vancouver.
- 38:20Speaker 1: So yeah, Chicago, Or if you want to do one
- 38:22Speaker 1: of those split bets where you make your own like
- 38:24Speaker 1: plus one puck line, that seems okay as well. I
- 38:28Speaker 1: think they have a decent shot at winning that game.
- 38:30Speaker 1: Chicago does, and then San Jose at Seattle is the
- 38:33Speaker 1: last game on the board. Oh man, don't love that one.
- 38:38Speaker 1: San Jose ugly team. They're coming off a couple of
- 38:42Speaker 1: big overtime games. They're actually coming off a few huge
- 38:45Speaker 1: games in a row. They beat New Jersey, they beat
- 38:49Speaker 1: Colorado in overtime, then they went into overtime with Detroit
- 38:53Speaker 1: on Sunday and they lost in a shootout. Now they
- 38:55Speaker 1: have to go up to Seattle for a single game
- 38:58Speaker 1: road trip and then they come back home. They pay Winnipeg, Florida.
- 39:02Speaker 1: They could overlook Seattle potentially in the spot. Man, I
- 39:05Speaker 1: still don't know that Seattle really like draws that much
- 39:07Speaker 1: attention from teams, So I do think it's a pretty
- 39:10Speaker 1: bad spot for San Jose. A couple of days off
- 39:13Speaker 1: as well. I don't know if that's really gonna help
- 39:16Speaker 1: them or not. Seattle just busted a two game loss
- 39:19Speaker 1: street by beating Chicago and they're staying at home, so
- 39:22Speaker 1: they do have a little bit of momentum here. Don't
- 39:24Speaker 1: know if there's really any anything to look ahead to,
- 39:27Speaker 1: or that they're really gonna be, you know, in a
- 39:29Speaker 1: letdown spot or anything like that. Off the Chicago game.
- 39:31Speaker 1: This spot to me sets up better for Seattle. So
- 39:33Speaker 1: I'm gonna disagree with the market again. In this game,
- 39:37Speaker 1: San Jose is eighty three percent of the cash on them,
- 39:39Speaker 1: fifty percent of the tickets on Seattle. Seattle's dropped for
- 39:42Speaker 1: minus one seventy to minus one fifty nine on the
- 39:45Speaker 1: money line, So again I disagree with the market. Don't
- 39:49Speaker 1: really understand what's going on here with the market slightly
- 39:52Speaker 1: to Seattle for me in that one money line a
- 39:54Speaker 1: little bit pricey, So maybe a Seattle and Regulation play
- 39:58Speaker 1: on that one. But all those Santos seems to go
- 40:00Speaker 1: into overtime quite a bit, so that's a little bit risky.
- 40:05Speaker 1: Of course, I'm not giving out a play on that,
- 40:06Speaker 1: but that's just that's an opinion. Let's go to the
- 40:10Speaker 1: NBA A. First up, we have Philadelphia against Cleveland, and
- 40:13Speaker 1: this is one of those misleading lines right away because
- 40:16Speaker 1: you have Philadelphia at five and two and they've actually
- 40:19Speaker 1: been good on the road at three and one. Cleveland
- 40:21Speaker 1: is only four and three to start the season. Yet
- 40:24Speaker 1: Cleveland's up to a ten point favorite year. So the
- 40:27Speaker 1: public's gonna look at this and even though they probably
- 40:29Speaker 1: realize Cleveland's the better team, still, they're probably gonna think
- 40:33Speaker 1: this number is really really high, and they're gonna have
- 40:35Speaker 1: a tendency to want to take the underdog that has
- 40:38Speaker 1: the better record. So I would I would disagree with that.
- 40:41Speaker 1: I would probably lay the points of the Calves in
- 40:43Speaker 1: this one. Sixers. They haven't faced that difficult of a
- 40:46Speaker 1: schedule really, and I think they're not really as good
- 40:49Speaker 1: as they look. Uh, sixty three percent of the tickets
- 40:52Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on the sixers, So
- 40:54Speaker 1: they're like a public road underdog here, which is usually
- 40:57Speaker 1: not what you want. If you're laying the points of
- 40:59Speaker 1: the calves, know that you're at least putting your money
- 41:02Speaker 1: on a good team in this case, so that's not
- 41:05Speaker 1: a bad thing. Philadelphia is, of course on a back
- 41:07Speaker 1: to back, so that's gonna probably push the line up
- 41:11Speaker 1: on Cleveland a little bit. They're actually playing a fourth
- 41:13Speaker 1: game in six days, all in different cities, coming off
- 41:17Speaker 1: that close call against Chicago where Philadelphia blew the game
- 41:20Speaker 1: when it looked like they were gonna beat Chicago all
- 41:23Speaker 1: the way yesterday, they had to lead the entire way
- 41:25Speaker 1: except for the final score, where they gave up a
- 41:28Speaker 1: game winning three pointer I think with like a couple
- 41:30Speaker 1: seconds left. So yeah, Philadelphia should have won that game,
- 41:34Speaker 1: and now they have to turn around and play again
- 41:36Speaker 1: right away. Yes, they should be focused on Cleveland. But
- 41:40Speaker 1: who's the best team Philadelphia has even played this year?
- 41:43Speaker 1: I mean, you could argue that it's the Celtics, even
- 41:46Speaker 1: though the Celtics obviously are not a completely intact team here,
- 41:50Speaker 1: but maybe you could argue it's the Bulls yesterday, which
- 41:54Speaker 1: would kind of put in Philadelphia in a bit of
- 41:56Speaker 1: a hangover spot issue, even though I know, yeah, you're
- 41:59Speaker 1: gonna try to focus for Cleveland, but I don't think
- 42:02Speaker 1: Philadelphia has been really that tested yet. Cleveland, I think,
- 42:05Speaker 1: is actually facing the more difficult schedules so far. I mean,
- 42:07Speaker 1: they faced Boston as well, they faced Detroit, Milwaukee, New York.
- 42:11Speaker 1: Those are that's a pretty difficult schedule, a fairly difficult schedule.
- 42:15Speaker 1: They beat Atlanta in their last game. Atlanta is an
- 42:18Speaker 1: okay team as well, and I think that was before
- 42:20Speaker 1: Trey Young got hurt. Cleveland has multiple days off as well.
- 42:24Speaker 1: They haven't played since Sunday. After breaking that loss or
- 42:27Speaker 1: go the win over Atlanta, he got to think Cleveland
- 42:30Speaker 1: is going to show up for this game against Philly too,
- 42:32Speaker 1: Because Cleveland only plays Washington next. That Washington game looks
- 42:35Speaker 1: like it might be a bit of a sandwich spot
- 42:37Speaker 1: with Cleveland up the day after that. But yeah, I
- 42:39Speaker 1: would lean to Cleveland laying the points in this one.
- 42:42Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play it, but that's the heartbreaker and
- 42:46Speaker 1: streak breaker. Yeah, there should be a sauce. It could
- 42:49Speaker 1: be a song. But now all I'm thinking about is
- 42:52Speaker 1: another Seinfeld reference with the Steinbreker. Hey, Heykurd, So what's
- 42:56Speaker 1: the name of that song? You remember that song that's
- 42:58Speaker 1: up there, heartbreaker, bovem Kurn, you know whatever. He messes
- 43:04Speaker 1: up the lyrics, like whatever it is. That's uh, dude,
- 43:07Speaker 1: I love that episode. Side, dude, I love so many
- 43:09Speaker 1: Signfeld episodes. That's the episode where George has Jerry's carpenter
- 43:16Speaker 1: build like this whole like area under his desk where
- 43:19Speaker 1: he can hide under his desk and nap, and he
- 43:22Speaker 1: has all of his stop under his desk. And George
- 43:24Speaker 1: is hiding under his desk while all that's going on,
- 43:27Speaker 1: and he can't make noise, can't get found by the kids,
- 43:29Speaker 1: doesn't want Steinburning to realize he's slacking off on the job.
- 43:34Speaker 1: That episode is, dude, I love that episode. And meanwhile, yeah,
- 43:39Speaker 1: Jerry has issues with that same carpenter or contract or
- 43:42Speaker 1: whatever he is because the contractor is completely indecisive and
- 43:46Speaker 1: he doesn't know what to do. And then he remodels
- 43:48Speaker 1: Jerry's kitchen and he makes it just totally awful and
- 43:52Speaker 1: like basically like walls off like the kitchen area from
- 43:55Speaker 1: the rest of the like living space. Oh man, Yeah,
- 43:59Speaker 1: that episode's good, but that's kind of an under the
- 44:01Speaker 1: radar episode. Yeahoo with the money at San Jose, so
- 44:06Speaker 1: showing what the pregame screen is also showing. I just
- 44:08Speaker 1: don't agree with the situation and that one nets Pacers
- 44:12Speaker 1: is gonna actually be my play, So I'm gonna skip
- 44:15Speaker 1: that for a second. Some of these other games, I
- 44:18Speaker 1: mean Boston just really briefly, I mean, Boston is a
- 44:22Speaker 1: huge favorite against Washington eleven and a half. What I
- 44:24Speaker 1: would say is that the Celtics just lost as a
- 44:26Speaker 1: double digit favorite at home to Utah, So you gotta
- 44:30Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a bounce back spot where the
- 44:31Speaker 1: Celtics will show up. So I would actually lean to
- 44:34Speaker 1: the Celtics here, But the money's coming in against them.
- 44:36Speaker 1: They're down from twelve to eleven and a half, sixty
- 44:39Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, only fifty three percent of the
- 44:41Speaker 1: cash on them. I don't love what I see in
- 44:44Speaker 1: the market there. I don't really necessarily agree with that.
- 44:47Speaker 1: I just don't necessarily see the Celtics playing really poorly
- 44:51Speaker 1: in back to back games. The Celtics. One thing they
- 44:53Speaker 1: were known for, Like throughout the Joe Missoula era, here,
- 44:56Speaker 1: one thing the Celtics do well is bounce back from
- 45:00Speaker 1: a really disgusting, ugly loss. The Celtics are good at
- 45:03Speaker 1: making adjustments and playing better in the next game, so
- 45:06Speaker 1: that is something to keep in mind. A Utah is
- 45:09Speaker 1: at Detroit, Detroit's a huge favorite as well. The money's
- 45:12Speaker 1: coming in on Utah, with Detroit up to a nine
- 45:14Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, fifty four percent of the
- 45:16Speaker 1: tickets and eighty percent of the cash. Though on Utah,
- 45:20Speaker 1: I mean, the Oswegers are telling you that Utah is
- 45:22Speaker 1: still not a very good team. There's still kind of
- 45:24Speaker 1: a bottom tier team here. With the fact that this
- 45:27Speaker 1: big of an underdog Utah just beat Boston, so that's
- 45:31Speaker 1: I would probably lay the points with Detroit in this one.
- 45:33Speaker 1: Utah is playing a third game in four days, fourth
- 45:35Speaker 1: game in six days, all of them in different cities,
- 45:39Speaker 1: coming off of an upset of Boston in Boston, a
- 45:42Speaker 1: double digit upset, you got to think it's somewhat of
- 45:45Speaker 1: a hangover spot. So I was actually pretty tempted to
- 45:47Speaker 1: play Detroit in this game. Detroit came back from that
- 45:52Speaker 1: win over Dallas in Mexico City, and they came back
- 45:54Speaker 1: and actually still played well at Memphis, although you could
- 45:59Speaker 1: argue this is now I have a return home spot
- 46:01Speaker 1: because they've been away since before Saturday when they had
- 46:04Speaker 1: to go down to Mexico City, So a little bit
- 46:06Speaker 1: of a return home spot. So I do have a
- 46:08Speaker 1: little bit of a hesitation there where maybe they have
- 46:10Speaker 1: to get back to home life. Whatever. Well, they really
- 46:12Speaker 1: overlook Utah though, when their next opponent up is Brooklyn,
- 46:17Speaker 1: I'm gonna say probably not. So I disagree with the
- 46:19Speaker 1: market in that one as well. I'm disagreeing with the
- 46:21Speaker 1: market a lot today. Man, We'll see how those opinions go.
- 46:25Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Detroit, though. I just
- 46:27Speaker 1: don't see how you could be on Utah again after
- 46:31Speaker 1: they pulled off that upside over Boston. Sixers coach, what
- 46:36Speaker 1: did you do? What did you do last night? I
- 46:37Speaker 1: mean the Sixers fucked up in a lot of ways.
- 46:40Speaker 1: I think last night. We have an ESPN doubleheader tonight
- 46:43Speaker 1: in the Indie NBA as well. These games are good
- 46:46Speaker 1: games on Minnesota at the Knicks is the first game
- 46:48Speaker 1: on ESPN Minnesota. They're just kind of rolling into this
- 46:53Speaker 1: game off of a couple of easy wins over Charlotte
- 46:56Speaker 1: and Brooklyn, so I don't think they're in a bad spot.
- 46:58Speaker 1: I think they will show up for this game. This
- 47:01Speaker 1: is also an interesting one because this is the This
- 47:05Speaker 1: is another rematch between the two teams that traded, right,
- 47:08Speaker 1: because this is Karl Anthony Towns versus Julius Randall. They
- 47:12Speaker 1: got traded, although that was a while ago. Now, that
- 47:14Speaker 1: was before last year, so these teams played after that
- 47:17Speaker 1: like last year, so I think it's a little bit
- 47:19Speaker 1: less of a thing, but it is still those teams
- 47:21Speaker 1: playing against each other, so it's a bit of a
- 47:24Speaker 1: rivalry issh just because of that trade. The Knicks are
- 47:27Speaker 1: coming off of an easy win as well over Washington,
- 47:29Speaker 1: which I thought might be a letdown spot They were
- 47:31Speaker 1: going to back to back after beating Chicago, and they
- 47:35Speaker 1: still did not suffer a letdown. They got to win
- 47:37Speaker 1: over this very bad Washington team. So both teams should
- 47:40Speaker 1: show up focus for this game, and when that's the case,
- 47:43Speaker 1: I usually tend to lean towards the team and I
- 47:45Speaker 1: think is the better team. When you expect both teams
- 47:48Speaker 1: to show up and play well, and that would be
- 47:50Speaker 1: the Knicks, although the Knicks have actually dropped a little
- 47:52Speaker 1: bit from four and a half to three and a
- 47:53Speaker 1: half with juice, but it looks like they're getting the
- 47:56Speaker 1: cash percentage sixty two percent of the tickets, ninety percent
- 47:59Speaker 1: of the cash on the Yeah. And again, in a
- 48:01Speaker 1: game like that where I think the public's gonna look
- 48:03Speaker 1: at it and think it's kind of a close matchup,
- 48:05Speaker 1: both teams are four and three, the public might have
- 48:07Speaker 1: a tendency to want to take the points, thinking, oh,
- 48:10Speaker 1: it's a close game, let's take whatever points we can get.
- 48:13Speaker 1: I would lean against that a little bit, and I
- 48:15Speaker 1: would probably lay it with the Knicks. The Knicks are
- 48:17Speaker 1: four and oh at home, they've been way better at home,
- 48:20Speaker 1: Like they've had a huge home road dichotomy, although Minnesota
- 48:23Speaker 1: has actually been really good on the road to at
- 48:25Speaker 1: three and one, but the Knicks. Literally all of the
- 48:28Speaker 1: Knicks losses are on the road and all of their
- 48:30Speaker 1: wins are at home, so they've had a pretty extreme dichotomy.
- 48:35Speaker 1: Houston is at Memphis. Also a pretty good game here,
- 48:39Speaker 1: Houston coming off beating Dallas. That was a pretty big win.
- 48:43Speaker 1: I mean, they beat Boston and then they beat Dallas,
- 48:45Speaker 1: right after that, it is still like an in state
- 48:48Speaker 1: type of rivalry game. Even though you could argue that well,
- 48:51Speaker 1: Houston was a big favorite and they didn't cover. Yeah,
- 48:54Speaker 1: that's also true. But I think it is a big
- 48:55Speaker 1: win over Dallas. Now they got Memphis in here, and
- 48:58Speaker 1: up next they do have San Antonio. So it actually
- 49:00Speaker 1: makes this game kind of a Texas sandwich. It's like
- 49:03Speaker 1: a barbecue brisket sandwich here. So what is possible They
- 49:07Speaker 1: kind of overlooked this roller coaster of a Memphis team
- 49:10Speaker 1: who's below five hundred here. Memphis, they just don't have
- 49:13Speaker 1: any continuity, man, because John Morant keeps like fucking with
- 49:16Speaker 1: their with their team chemistry. I mean, he's not a
- 49:20Speaker 1: good player for team chemistry. He did play in their
- 49:23Speaker 1: last game, he was suspended, he came back whatever. I
- 49:26Speaker 1: think they didn't play well in that game they lost
- 49:29Speaker 1: to Detroit. Although Detroit's a decent team. But Memphis, I
- 49:32Speaker 1: do think they're a little bit better than the record
- 49:34Speaker 1: looks though, when they're actually playing the way that they
- 49:37Speaker 1: have the ability to play. When Moran doesn't like fucking
- 49:40Speaker 1: with their chemistry, Memphis three game lost streak here, man,
- 49:47Speaker 1: I would probably look to take the points with Memphis
- 49:50Speaker 1: in this one. I think it is a bit of
- 49:51Speaker 1: a Texas sandwich for Houston. Might be a spot where
- 49:53Speaker 1: maybe they overlook Memphis. Memphis I believe got Morant back
- 49:57Speaker 1: from his from his suspension in the last games. That
- 50:02Speaker 1: was the game where they had to get the chemistry
- 50:03Speaker 1: back again or whatever, and they didn't play well, So
- 50:06Speaker 1: I think they might bounce back from that and play
- 50:07Speaker 1: a little bit better here. Although they are playing a
- 50:09Speaker 1: third game in four days, they're playing a fourth game
- 50:12Speaker 1: in six days, and actually a fifth game in eight
- 50:14Speaker 1: days in a six game in ten days, with the
- 50:17Speaker 1: first couple of them being on the road. But they
- 50:19Speaker 1: are back home for the first time, back home for
- 50:21Speaker 1: two games in a row for the first time since
- 50:23Speaker 1: the beginning of the season. So I would probably lean
- 50:25Speaker 1: towards taking the points with the Grizzlies in this one,
- 50:29Speaker 1: and the market seems to agree with that. The number
- 50:31Speaker 1: is actually up from six and a half to seven
- 50:33Speaker 1: and a half. With the Rockets being a pretty big
- 50:36Speaker 1: road favorite, sixty eight percent of the tickets on them,
- 50:39Speaker 1: but sixty two percent of the cash coming back in
- 50:41Speaker 1: on the Grizzlies. It seems like a big line on Houston.
- 50:45Speaker 1: Looking at the injury situation, there isn't a whole lot.
- 50:48Speaker 1: I mean, zachied I don't think Edie has played yet
- 50:51Speaker 1: this season. If I'm not mistaken, I could be wrong
- 50:53Speaker 1: about that, but I don't know, man, So yeah, I
- 50:57Speaker 1: don't believe he's played yet, right correct, He has not
- 51:00Speaker 1: played yet. He hasn't played since the playoffs last year.
- 51:03Speaker 1: So Eadie hasn't been there all season. So that's not
- 51:07Speaker 1: gonna really be a factor in this game, other than
- 51:09Speaker 1: the fact that it's already factored into the line. So yeah,
- 51:13Speaker 1: something to keep in mind there. So I don't think
- 51:15Speaker 1: the line is that big. Because of that, I think
- 51:18Speaker 1: Grizzlies might be getting a little bit undervalued. There is
- 51:22Speaker 1: Brooklyn tanking. No, I mean Brooklyn was in that game
- 51:26Speaker 1: against the Sixers where I gave up Brooklyn as a play.
- 51:29Speaker 1: In that game, Brooklyn was like right there in that
- 51:32Speaker 1: game until the fourth quarter, Like into the fourth quarter,
- 51:34Speaker 1: Brooklyn was within like three or four points in that game.
- 51:38Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. No, I don't think they're tanking. They're
- 51:41Speaker 1: just bad. I mean, tanking. Tanking is not a thing
- 51:47Speaker 1: early in the season, and these guys, they're professional athletes.
- 51:50Speaker 1: They're not gonna go out there and just intentionally lose
- 51:52Speaker 1: a game, like seven games into the season, there's no
- 51:55Speaker 1: way like you still have pride, especially when you're a
- 51:57Speaker 1: team that doesn't even have a win yet. I mean,
- 51:59Speaker 1: that's it's pretty embarrassing. But I'm gonna talk about that
- 52:01Speaker 1: when I talk about the Brooklyn game, which you probably
- 52:05Speaker 1: know what my play is in that game already based
- 52:08Speaker 1: on what I just said there. But no, and the
- 52:11Speaker 1: NBA has the draft lottery too, so tanking is not
- 52:14Speaker 1: as much of a thing in the NBA as it
- 52:15Speaker 1: is in football, especially because football has so few games
- 52:19Speaker 1: you can really just tank your way to a better
- 52:22Speaker 1: draft pick in football. It's not as much of a
- 52:26Speaker 1: thing in the NBA, man, And the lottery kind of
- 52:28Speaker 1: mitigates it a little bit because you're not guaranteed to
- 52:30Speaker 1: get that first pick. All right. We have one of
- 52:35Speaker 1: the other games I haven't talked about yet. My excuse me,
- 52:38Speaker 1: New Orleans is that Dallas. I'm gonna try to I
- 52:40Speaker 1: guess I'm gonna hit every one of these games. We
- 52:42Speaker 1: only have college football left, so that's not too bad.
- 52:46Speaker 1: Dallas coming off that game where they played fairly well
- 52:48Speaker 1: against Houston. They covered. I believe Jeffrey gotta win on
- 52:51Speaker 1: that one. I kind of disagreed with it, but Houston
- 52:54Speaker 1: never really was able to build that margin to get there.
- 52:58Speaker 1: Dallas was able to cover. It was a big game
- 53:00Speaker 1: for them. Now they come home and they play this
- 53:02Speaker 1: New Orleans team. It's off to a very bad start
- 53:04Speaker 1: and I think Zion is out. So I think Zion's
- 53:08Speaker 1: out for about a week. So they're playing New Orleans
- 53:10Speaker 1: without their best player or two. Dallas has somewhat bigger
- 53:14Speaker 1: games coming up next. The question is Dallas at two
- 53:16Speaker 1: and five, are they gonna overlook anybody? I don't know,
- 53:19Speaker 1: but they are coming off. They're coming off a couple
- 53:21Speaker 1: of big games, really and actually returning over from a
- 53:23Speaker 1: road trip because they went to Mexico City to play Detroit,
- 53:26Speaker 1: then they went to Houston. Now they're back home. Although
- 53:31Speaker 1: Houston to Dallas not a huge trip, although I think
- 53:33Speaker 1: it's about what like a five hour drive maybe probably
- 53:36Speaker 1: because Texas is big. New Orleans. They at least broke
- 53:41Speaker 1: their losing momentum. They finally got that monkey off their back.
- 53:43Speaker 1: They gotta win against Charlotte, which was the weakest opponent
- 53:47Speaker 1: they faced all season, New Orleans has faced a gauntlet
- 53:50Speaker 1: so far, so I don't think New Orleans is as
- 53:53Speaker 1: bad as their record looks. Yes, it is a back
- 53:56Speaker 1: to back for them, though, and they're playing a third
- 53:57Speaker 1: game in four and as fourth game and six actually
- 54:00Speaker 1: and fifth and eight all in different cities, and it
- 54:04Speaker 1: was like a sixth and ten days as well, so
- 54:06Speaker 1: that's a pretty jammed schedule for New Orleans, so that's
- 54:10Speaker 1: not great. They got the win in the injured player
- 54:12Speaker 1: spot with Zion with the first game that he was
- 54:15Speaker 1: out again, so they could maybe potentially take a step
- 54:17Speaker 1: back in this game because he's not there anymore. They're
- 54:22Speaker 1: on the back to back, which isn't that grade either.
- 54:25Speaker 1: Dallas is a seven and a half point favorite here.
- 54:27Speaker 1: I don't really see any percentages yet here on this
- 54:29Speaker 1: we we don't so hard to gauge what the market
- 54:31Speaker 1: is actually doing in this game. I mean, my first
- 54:35Speaker 1: look at this was that Dallas would being a little
- 54:37Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot after the Houston game and
- 54:40Speaker 1: maybe not take New Orleans without Zion totally seriously, but
- 54:45Speaker 1: the spot for New Orleans is bad as well, So
- 54:48Speaker 1: I don't know. I just don't love this game, so
- 54:50Speaker 1: I don't know what I would want to do with
- 54:51Speaker 1: this game. And the MAVs have injuries as well. Anthony
- 54:55Speaker 1: Davis is still out looks like until their next game,
- 54:58Speaker 1: and also Derek Lively. But the Pelicans are without Zion,
- 55:02Speaker 1: so the Pelicans can't really take advantage of Dallas also
- 55:05Speaker 1: being without their big men. So both teams are without
- 55:08Speaker 1: their big men in that one. Yahoo, Yeah, I just
- 55:14Speaker 1: don't give a shit with Yah. Who is showing to
- 55:15Speaker 1: be honest? I mean, whatever their numbers are, I don't
- 55:18Speaker 1: think they're correct. I don't know if they're just looking
- 55:21Speaker 1: at one book or what the fuck they're doing, But yeah,
- 55:23Speaker 1: I don't think so. I disagree with that. I like
- 55:26Speaker 1: the Knicks in that game. A lot of injuries in
- 55:31Speaker 1: this game, true Pelicans MAVs big men are out all
- 55:34Speaker 1: over the place in that one. Miami at Denver. Miami
- 55:39Speaker 1: off to a decent start playing with their new like
- 55:41Speaker 1: up tempo style. They did just pull off a win
- 55:44Speaker 1: at the LA Clippers. Miami. They're on a difficult road
- 55:48Speaker 1: trip here, man. Since Thursday, They've had to play at
- 55:50Speaker 1: San Antonio, at the Lakers, at the Clippers. Both of
- 55:53Speaker 1: those games on a back to back now they're playing
- 55:55Speaker 1: a third game in four and as all in different
- 55:57Speaker 1: cities and having to go into elevation come out of
- 56:00Speaker 1: I believe what was an upset win. Yeah, the Clippers
- 56:03Speaker 1: were seven and a half point favorite. Don't like the
- 56:05Speaker 1: spot from Miami here. Man in Miami over the last
- 56:09Speaker 1: few years of Miami has actually been pretty bad against
- 56:11Speaker 1: Denver as well. So of course, going back to I
- 56:16Speaker 1: believe Miami lost to Denver in the finals a couple
- 56:18Speaker 1: of years back, a few years back, which I don't
- 56:20Speaker 1: want to remember because that was the season that the
- 56:24Speaker 1: Celtics wound up losing to Miami and getting knocked out
- 56:27Speaker 1: of the playoffs. And I think Jason Tatum, what else
- 56:29Speaker 1: is new, got hurt in that game seven as well.
- 56:32Speaker 1: He's always getting hurt during their playoff runs. They did
- 56:37Speaker 1: get a championship the one year that he didn't get hurt,
- 56:39Speaker 1: so there was that. But Celtics things can be a
- 56:42Speaker 1: lot different with the Celtics. Man, it seems to always
- 56:44Speaker 1: be the case, like Len Bias dies, Reggie Lewis dies
- 56:49Speaker 1: on the court because he's a cocaine addict, both of
- 56:52Speaker 1: them because they were cocaine addicts. I'm pretty sure and
- 56:55Speaker 1: then they lose Jason Tatum repeatedly to these severe injuries.
- 57:01Speaker 1: Between those two things, Rick Patino came in and traded
- 57:03Speaker 1: away Chauncey Billups. I mean, Celtics could have had had
- 57:07Speaker 1: some more championships than they do. Man. I mean, they
- 57:10Speaker 1: do have a lot, so I'm not complaining. I think
- 57:12Speaker 1: they have the most in NBA history, but a lot
- 57:13Speaker 1: of that was because Bill Russell that era they won
- 57:16Speaker 1: eleven and thirteen years so I was not alive back then. Miami.
- 57:23Speaker 1: I mean the Celtics in my lifetime, the Celtics have
- 57:25Speaker 1: been just kind of a loser team because I was
- 57:27Speaker 1: born on the tail end of them being really good
- 57:30Speaker 1: in the eighties, so I didn't really witness much of that.
- 57:33Speaker 1: Like I remember Larry Bird like just at the end
- 57:35Speaker 1: of his career and telling me to fuck off when
- 57:37Speaker 1: I tried to get his autograph and whatever after he
- 57:40Speaker 1: was coaching Indiana at that point. But anyway, Miami, they
- 57:43Speaker 1: haven't been good against Denver recently, so Denver does have
- 57:48Speaker 1: some recent history that have been good against Miami. So
- 57:51Speaker 1: I don't like how this sets up for Miami. Really.
- 57:55Speaker 1: Denver's coming off a win where they just won didn't
- 57:57Speaker 1: cover at home against Sacramento. Whatever. I don't really think
- 58:01Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Miami here because Miami is playing fairly well.
- 58:04Speaker 1: So I'll lean to Denver in this one, laying the points.
- 58:07Speaker 1: Miami looks like they're setting up as a public underdog
- 58:10Speaker 1: as well, which is usually not what you want to
- 58:12Speaker 1: look for. Sixty Well, you want to look for it
- 58:14Speaker 1: and go against it. Sixty two percent of the tickets,
- 58:17Speaker 1: only fifty one percent of the cash on Miami. Denver
- 58:19Speaker 1: is up from nine to nine and a half. I
- 58:21Speaker 1: would lay it with Denver if I was gonna play it.
- 58:23Speaker 1: I like Denver in that one. Uh. The second of
- 58:25Speaker 1: the ESPN game is a pretty good one with san
- 58:28Speaker 1: Antonio at LA at the Lakers. It's gonna be Wemba
- 58:32Speaker 1: against uh Luca here. Pretty sure Lebron is still out
- 58:36Speaker 1: and we have no idea when Lebron is coming back,
- 58:39Speaker 1: if ever, so just to keep that in mind. As
- 58:43Speaker 1: far as the injuries Fox, I don't think he's even
- 58:47Speaker 1: played this year after san Antonio they traded for him
- 58:50Speaker 1: last year. He's definitely an offensive He's a player that's
- 58:54Speaker 1: gonna approve san Antonio's offense when he might actually weaken
- 58:57Speaker 1: their defense. So the fact that he's out probably helped
- 59:01Speaker 1: San Antonio's defense. But I don't think he's played this year,
- 59:04Speaker 1: so it doesn't really matter. Austin Reeves has listed his
- 59:08Speaker 1: game time decision for the Lakers. That's kind of the
- 59:10Speaker 1: biggest thing going on with them. I expect him to play, though,
- 59:14Speaker 1: I mean it's a big game. If he can play,
- 59:16Speaker 1: he'll play. San Antonio coming into this off their first loss,
- 59:19Speaker 1: so I could actually see this going both ways, and
- 59:23Speaker 1: I called it on the show. I got stubborn and
- 59:27Speaker 1: I said, I already leaned to Phoenix to cover that one.
- 59:30Speaker 1: But I got stubborn, and I said, you know what,
- 59:32Speaker 1: that is gonna be san Antonio's first loss, and I
- 59:35Speaker 1: was right. It was also the first game where Wemba
- 59:37Speaker 1: was not the leading scorer for San Antonio. They played
- 59:42Speaker 1: a bad game at Phoenix. Man, they've had a couple
- 59:44Speaker 1: of days to try to bounce back from that. You
- 59:47Speaker 1: gotta think they were looking ahead to this big game
- 59:49Speaker 1: against the Lakers. So I do think they're in kind
- 59:52Speaker 1: of a bounce back spot him one way, because that
- 59:54Speaker 1: game was really ugly against Phoenix. And I'll show you
- 59:57Speaker 1: the box scoreing him, and if Phoenix just had absurd
- 1:00:00Speaker 1: shooting percentages in that game, like massive outlier, so I
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: would start looking back looking towards San Antonio for those reasons.
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: The only issue I really have is is that gonna
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: hang them over into the next game, because sometimes when
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: you lose that first game, like I say, it hangs
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: you over a little bit into the next game. So
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: that would worry me slightly. LA off to a good start. Obviously,
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: they're six and two LA. I mean they faced Honestly,
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: they face somewhat of a week schedule, I would say
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: so far are their best opponents. They face their Golden
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: State and Minnesota twice, although they did beat Minnesota twice
- 1:00:37Speaker 1: coming into this game. They're playing a third game in
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: four days, and they had kind of an odd trip
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: to Portland in between the two, which seemed like a
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: bad spot. But Portland had beaten them in LA not
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: that long before that, so I think they actually did
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: just show up with some focus there. They got the
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: win in that one. Both teams are gonna show up
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: for this. LA is still playing a third game in
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: four days, fourth game in six days. On they've been
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: zig zagging all over the place kind of. And they're
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: actually playing a fifth game in eight days and actually
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: a seventh game in eleven days, so the Lakers actually
- 1:01:07Speaker 1: have the more packed schedule here. So the rest scenario
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: actually sets up better for san Antonio. The Lakers are
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: not that good defensively, They're pretty middle of the pack defensively.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: Luca not really known for his defense man. He's more
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: of an offensive player. San Antonio, when by I mean
- 1:01:24Speaker 1: Wemba already is the favorite to be the Defensive Player
- 1:01:26Speaker 1: of the Year and he's one of the favorites for MVP.
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: San Antonio has the better defense man. So if you
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: buy into that aspect of this, san Antonio is the
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: better deepense getting points here. And the money has come
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: in towards the under maybe expecting this to be more
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: of a defensive game, which I think is somewhat correlated
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: to san Antonio. And what else was I gonna say
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: about this? Oh? Yeah, the money seems like it's coming
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: in on the Spurs. Fifty eight percent of the tickets
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: and seventy six percent of the cash on the Spurs.
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: The money is kind of coming in on the Spurs. There,
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: I agree with it. I'll lean to the Spurs in
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: this one. I think they have a better rest scenario here.
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: I think maybe they will bounce back off of that
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: game against Phoenix, which oh yeah, I said I was
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: gonna show that looking at the box scoring that game Phoenix,
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: I mean, this is ridiculous. Phoenix shot fifty eight point
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: two percent from the field, and if that wasn't crazy enough,
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: they shot fifty seven point six percent from three. That's
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: just out of control. There's no possible way that you
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: see a team repeat a performance like that, even though
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: I know it's LA at this time, but there's no
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: way any team is gonna do that like on a
- 1:02:33Speaker 1: night to night basis. That's just absurd. And San Antonio
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: was really bad from three in the game twenty four
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: point four percent, So some massive outliers in this one.
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: And Phoenix lost the turnover battle, which usually that's not
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: a good sign for San Antonio that they won the
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: turnover battle and still lost. But again, the tale of
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: this game was that Phoenix just couldn't miss, and that's
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: just not gonna happen again with LA here, especially against
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: the San Antonio team that's known for being a better
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: defensive teams. So yeah, I somewhat like san Antonio. In
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: that game, you like Denver, Miami keeps scoring because they
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: keep pushing the pace, which I think Denver might actually
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: try to maybe slow them down a bit. Yeah, I
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: think Denver is able to win that game and take
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: care of business. You need them to cover a number
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: in that one though, But yeah, money also coming in
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: on the under in that Spurs Lakers game, by the way,
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: for what it's worth, which I think is somewhat correlated
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: to san Antonio. Like I said, Oklahoma City is at Portland.
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: Interesting line in this game where it's lined pretty competitively,
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: like maybe maybe this will be the streak buster, maybe
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: Oklahoma City will take their first loss. Oklahoma City has
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: actually faced a pretty easy schedule so far the season.
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: I mean the best team they faced was Houston, I
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: would say in the first game of the season. Since then,
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: their most difficult game was I guess the game they're
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: coming off of though, at the Clippers. But they were
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: able to handle bit business beat the Clippers in LA.
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: That was yesterday, and now they have to go to
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: Portland on a back to back, third game in four days.
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: They don't only have a big game up next against Sacramento.
- 1:04:10Speaker 1: The way Sacramento hasn't been playing well, but it's possible
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: Oklahoma City gets caught here. Man, Portland is actually a
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: little bit under the radar, and they've been pretty good
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: at home. I believe Portland. Oh, they're only two and
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: two at home, but for me, like the last couple
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: of years, Portland has been pretty decent at home. Portland
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: is coming off facing some pretty difficult games though, against
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: Denver and then they played the Lakers a couple of
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: days ago and lost against the Lakers. But they do
- 1:04:34Speaker 1: have an extra day of rest. They're staying at home,
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: and they actually had a couple of days of rest
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: between the Denver and LA games, so they're the more
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: rested team staying at home. And Portland has actually faced
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: the more difficult schedule. They faced LA twice, the Lakers,
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: I mean, they also did face the Clippers, they faced Denver,
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: they faced Minnesota, Golden State. Portland actually the more battle
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: tested team, So I lean to Portland to this game. Man.
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: The number is plummeted though, from seven to four, So
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: you gotta think maybe there's some injury on the side
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: of the Thunder here. Well, I know the thunder has
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: some injuries that aren't really like their main It's not
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: like SGA or anything like that. But for some reason,
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: this line is tanked to four fifty two percent of
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: the tickets ninety four percent of the cash on the Blazers.
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: I do agree with the Blazers in this one. It
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: is possible Oklahoma City takes their first loss here Dort
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: I know is a game time decision. It is possible
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: they rest Dort here man, he's one of their better defenders,
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: so that's you know, of course that's gonna have to
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: downgrade Oklahoma City a little bit. He's not worth three
- 1:05:35Speaker 1: points though, but I think he might not play in
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: this game because it is a back to back. I
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: think so they might just rest him here. Let me see,
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: it is a back to back, right, I'm pretty sure
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: it is. Yeah, So it is a spot where maybe
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: it looks like Oklahoma City might just start resting players.
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: So maybe that's why the line is where it is.
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: And then Jalen Williams has been out for a bit,
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: so he's out as well. That also kind of hurts
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: the Thunder a little bit. He's a key role player
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: there and he's not coming back for a bit. So
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: I guess yeah, there's that, and then guys not listening
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: on the injury report might actually be getting rested in
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: this game. So I think those are some of the
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: reasons why the line is where it is. But I
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: kind of lead to Portland in that one, and then
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: Golden State at Sacramento. Golden State will be without Curry tonight.
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: Curry is sick, but I also think the Warriors are
- 1:06:28Speaker 1: on a back to back, so I think they're just saying, well,
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: he's sick, it makes sense to just rest him in
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: this game. Because he is sick. I think if the
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: Warriors thought it was important, they'd try to get Curry
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: out there and play. But I think they're gonna just
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: kinda They're gonna rest a little bit in this game,
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: I would say, So Curry is definitely out for this one.
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: Warriors are public because the public probably just doesn't even
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: realize that and they're like, Oh, the Warriors are the
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: better team than the Kings. Why are the Kings a
- 1:06:54Speaker 1: three point favorite? Well, part of it is obviously because
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: Curry's not playing. Sixty two percent of the tickets on
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: the Warriors seventy two of the cash so on the Kings,
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with the Kings here. Warriors
- 1:07:06Speaker 1: are on a back to back, although they only beat
- 1:07:09Speaker 1: Phoenix yesterday, but they do have Denver up next, so
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: I do think the Warriors, again, we know the rest
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: and Curry here looks like a spot where maybe the
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: Warriors are gonna take a little bit of a take
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: their foot off the gas a little bit. And I
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: think Horford has listed as day to day as well,
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: so he might not play in this game as well.
- 1:07:27Speaker 1: So Golden State just to me, it looks like Golden
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: State's just not really taking this game seriously. Sacramento is
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: only two and five. Sacramento's coming off that close game
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: against Denver though, and they're returning over from a road trip.
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: They've been away for more than a week. So I
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: don't like the spot for Sacramento either here. I mean, yeah,
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: they're not gonna overlook Golden State. They're gonna try to
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: get up and play. And this is kind of their
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: closest rival too in Northern California, so they're not gonna,
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: I don't think, be distracted really and overlook Golden State.
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: But it is still a difficult spot to return over,
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: return over from a road they just played in Denver.
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: They're able to beat Milwaukee on the over the weekend,
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: which was a win for me on the show. They
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: played fairly close against Denver and what was a loss
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: for me on the show. The spot doesn't set up
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: well to me for Sacramento, man, so I can't get
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: there with the Kings in this one. The line is
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: a little bit high on the Kings as well, just
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: because of the rest sent era that the Warriors remember
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: that return home spot for the Kings. Don't love it
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: at all. Gotta stay away from that. My one play
- 1:08:29Speaker 1: is gonna be on the Brooklyn Nets, the non tanking
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: Brooklyn Nets at plus six and a half. I would
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: wait on this because I think you're gonna be able
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: to get seven on this. The money looks like it's
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: headed towards seven. So actually, let me see if it's
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: seven yet. If you can get seven at some point today,
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: like just by looking at it during the day, I'm gonna,
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna score this at seven if you
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: can let me sing. I don't see it yet. I
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: see six and a half's across the board right now,
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: but I think it looks like seven might show up here.
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: We'll see Pacers are very public, eighty five percent of tickets,
- 1:09:05Speaker 1: only fifty percent of the cash. Win is a one
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: win team without their best player ever this public. It's crazy, dude,
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: that how much the public hates this Brooklyn Net team.
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: And yeah, the Nets might be the worst team in
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: the league, but I think this is a spot where
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: the Pacers might get caught. The money is indicating on
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: the Nets, of course, with only fifty percent of the
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: cash evenly split, so the money is disagreeing with the
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: very public eighty five Pacer team here eighty five percent
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, And I think this is
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: a very bad spot for the Pacers. And they're still
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: without most of the guys that have been heard. I
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: think they got topping back, but they're still without Nemhart
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: and Mathern in this game. Yeah, they're both missing this game.
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: They're both listed as out until the eighth. A couple
- 1:09:46Speaker 1: other guys might be out in this game as well.
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: So obviously in Halliburton obviously is out for basically the season.
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: So you know you're not getting a fully intact Pacer
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: team here. And look at what the Pacers did in
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: their last couple of games. They beat Golden State, and
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: then they played really hard against Milwaukee that was still
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: a big game for them. Milwaukee had that game circled on.
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: Milwaukee wanted to get the revenge against Indiana for knocking
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: them out of the playoffs. But Indiana performed really well
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: in that game as a home underdog. The game I
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: think was close pretty much the whole way. Let me say,
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: although it looks like on the win probability, maybe not. Yeah,
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: actually maybe not. Milwaukee had built a decent lead at
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: some points, but really their biggest lead was like, yeah,
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: it was eleven in the fourth quarter, and Indiana not
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: only didn't go away, but they cut it to one
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: possession again in the last minute. So Indiana refused to
- 1:10:37Speaker 1: go away in that game. Now they get this awful
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: Brooklyn team and Indiana up next. They got the Denver
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: Nuggets man and then Golden State. So I think they're
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: just gonna not totally be focused for this game and
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot. Indiana pretty much knows they're not
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: really doing anything this year with how injured they are.
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be seeing them get up. I mean,
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: you want to talk about tanking, I mean, at what
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: point does India maybe start looking like they're in tank mode.
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: I mean, it's not gonna happen early in the season, man,
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: in the NBA. These guys are still playing for pride.
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: But I think Indiana put much more effort into that
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: Milwaukee game, and they're gonna be a little bit more
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: focused for this upcoming road trip here. I think it's
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: a decent spot for Brooklyn to actually maybe get their
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: first win. Brooklyn's coming off a couple of horrible losses
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: where they lost by double digits. I mean they were
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: against good teams though, Philadelphia and Minnesota. The good thing
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: for them is they have one day off and they
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: get to just get away from home for a game.
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: So I think they might actually show up more focus
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: here on the on the road, just get out of home,
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: just not you know, not listen to whatever's going on
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: at home, not listening to the distractions you know at home.
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: Of course, the media is probably comparing them to the Knicks.
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: Why does Brooklyn suck? Like? Why are the Knicks the
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: way better team? Although it's kind of always been that way, right,
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: Like the Knicks have always been the team that is
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: the New York team, and Brooklyn are kind of like
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: the bastard child. Brooklyn used to be in New Jersey,
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: of course, and then they moved to Brooklyn, and they
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: were I believe, an expansion team at some point, so
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: they came along after the Knicks were already a thing.
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: But yeah, Brooklyn, I mean they've played competitively in some
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: of their games this year. They lost by eleven at
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: San Antonio, that's not that bad. They actually played Cleveland
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: within seven, Atlanta to within five, so I mean they've
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: been close in some of their games. This is just
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: a horrible spot for Indiana, and Indiana's gonna be one
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: of the weakest opponents they've faced all season. And I
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: know they opened their season with a just a horrible
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: loss to Charlotte, which was the weakest team they've played
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: they've played all season. But since then, Brooklyn has actually
- 1:12:42Speaker 1: faced all good teams since then, Like every team they
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: faced since then is a potential playoff team. So they're
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: actually stepping down in class to face Indiana here. So yeah,
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: take the points with Brooklyn waight a round. See if
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: you get the seven on that, Portland plus three and
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: a half, Yeah, I mean it's I like Portland in
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: the game. I think it's just a bad spot for
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: for Oklahoma City in that one. I think Oklahoma City
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: it might be one of those games of Oklahoma City
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: just I mean you you just don't you can have
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: full focus on every single game. Then it might be
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: one where Oklahoma City just doesn't have it in that one.
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: But it's a little bit of a short line. Although
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: it also looks way too easy to lay the points
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: with the Thunder as well. You gotta look at the
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: box score for the Thunder from last night, like, well,
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: which one of those games on a back to back,
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: which one of those games do you think the Thunder
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: would pay more attention to? Right, Like, you have to
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: say that it's the Clippers, like they're gonna put more
- 1:13:40Speaker 1: weight into that Clipper game. Looking at the box scorer
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: last night, you are right though they did rest guys,
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: but Dork got hurt as well, so he was out
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: of the game. They have two Jalen Williams this so
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: that was the other Jalen Williams the worst one. But
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: it actually looks like, I don't know, man, Oklahoma City, Yeah,
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: I mean there roster to me seems a little bit
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: thinner than it usually is right now, But You're right
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: they did. I guess somewhat rest their starters in this game,
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: kind of because it was a blowout, though I would
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: say Dork got hurt. But then Sga played twenty nine
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: minutes he usually plays in the thirties, home runs still
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: played thirty. You got twenties in the twenties out of Hartenstein.
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean they're not like totally overworked after
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: that game. But I still think they put more focus
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: into that game. I do not agree that the Pacers
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: should be laying more, obviously because I'm taking the points.
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: I actually think this line is too high the Pacers.
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: It's a bad spot for them, and they're they're not
- 1:14:39Speaker 1: a good team, man, Like, what can I say the Pacers.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: They're just a decimated team injury wise. I mean, there
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: were one win team. They're just not very good right now,
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: all right, college football. I mean that's and also the
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: public perception. The public is all over the Pacers in
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: that game for that exact reason, Like they think that
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: the line looks way too short, But I'm telling you
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: right now, it's not. I think Brooklyn wins the game outright.
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: Quizn the toad, That's right, Quiznos Quiznos still exists in
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: a few places. Man, Quizno's. They kind of screwed with
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: their business model. They were actually good, man, they had
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: they had a decent product, toasted subs. It's not bad,
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: it's a good idea. The subs are pretty tasty, tasty
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: and toasting. They should come back in more locations. Man,
- 1:15:28Speaker 1: They just they screwed up as far as how they
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: ran the business. College Football maction before I get out
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: here in the hour long, hour and a half long show,
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: the first game up is just horrendous, Like, who the
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: fuck is gonna watch this game at seven pm on
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: ESPN U Kent State at Ball State. You have two
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: of these two teams are two of the worst teams
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: in FBS. Dude, Kent State is legitimately like one of
- 1:15:52Speaker 1: the worst, like probably five teams in FBS. And yes
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: they have two wins, but one of them was against
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: U Mass who, as we saw last night, is absolutely
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: the worst team in FBS. They're gonna go back down
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: to FCSU Mass. This transition to FBS has been absolutely
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: nightmarish for them. So that was one of Kent State's wins.
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: And then their other win was last week against Bowling Green.
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: Kent State did get that win with the realist Clark
- 1:16:18Speaker 1: getting a punt return or kit return touchdown or whatever
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: to somehow scrape by FCS Merrimack. So Kent State's only real, legitimate,
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: legitimate win was last week against Bowling Green. So I
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: think they might be in a letdown spot after that.
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: I mean, this Kent State team, they can't score. I mean,
- 1:16:36Speaker 1: they're not a good team, and that was a ridiculous upset.
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: They were a double digit underdog. I'm pretty sure. Oh no, wait,
- 1:16:42Speaker 1: I'm wrong. Actually it was at Kent State and Bowling
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: Green was only a seven and a half point favorite.
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: I thought they were an underdog in this game, man.
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: But still it could be a letdown spot. I mean,
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: Bowling Green still outgained Kent State by close to one
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: hundred yards. There were no turnovers, so I don't even
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: really know how Kent State won. That game seems last
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: played on Saturday, the twenty fifth, so there's no rest
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: advantage one way or the other. Really here, Kent State,
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: I think they're in a little bit of a They're
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: in a little bit of a letdown spot. In and
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: the Kent State at three and five they're actually worse
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: than their record looks, believe it or not, so I
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: would start leaning towards ball State in this one. Although
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: Ball State is also a pretty bad team, but they're
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: coming off a loss of the event extra rest to
- 1:17:26Speaker 1: kind of pick themselves up after that loss to on
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois is not great, but they at
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: least run the ball decently and play decent defense. Ball
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: State could bounce back from that. They get to host,
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: you know, a primetime game, so they'll probably be up
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: for it. I mean, they don't really have a whole
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: lot left to play for. I guess you could argue technically,
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: these both teams are actually still potentially trying to become
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: Bowl eligible here, although I don't really see that happening
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: for either team, but it's possible we will see. I mean,
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: it is actually pretty possible the ball State wins their
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: next two games and then it starts looking more likely.
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: But I just don't see them winning their last year
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: road games. But still that is a little bit of
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: a motivational angles still for both teams here. That's actually
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: in play. Ball State's offense is also quite bad for
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: the most part. They're I mean They've had decent rushing
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: beforress I guess in some of their games, and their
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: quarterback is kind of a dual threat quarterback, but they're
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: still pretty bad offense. There's I think there's still better
- 1:18:26Speaker 1: than Kent State is though, so I actually think this
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: line is short. Like ball State, They're up from a
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: two point favorite to a three point favorite. But I
- 1:18:35Speaker 1: think even though the records are the same, I think
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: ball State is better than Kent So maybe the line
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: is still indicating that because maybe Ball State, I mean,
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: they obviously don't have a strong home field advantage, so
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: maybe they due only get about two points for home fields.
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you that the better team, But
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: I think Kent State is bad enough that maybe Ball
- 1:18:54Speaker 1: State should actually been laying a little bit more than
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: that sixty percent of the tickets at sixty percent of
- 1:18:59Speaker 1: the can on the Kent State side here though, but
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: I just don't agree with that. I think ball State,
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: in a better spot, demounts back Kent State in a
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot. I think ball State is
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: the better team still Kent State, I mean, I think
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: there's still pretty much as bad as they were last
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: year when they were like a one like a one
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: win team or whatever. So Jeffrey enjoyed Chipotle. Man, thank you, sir.
- 1:19:24Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have any plays on either of these,
- 1:19:27Speaker 1: either of these college football games. I do lean to
- 1:19:29Speaker 1: both home favorites in these games. They'll just to let
- 1:19:32Speaker 1: you know. But thanks for hanging out, man. I know
- 1:19:34Speaker 1: it's a long show here. I try to get a
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: lot of information packed into these. As far as the
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: total and Kent State Ball State, it actually went up
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: to forty seven and a half. But I actually kind
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: of lean to the under just because both offenses stink.
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: I know that the defenses are not that good either,
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: so that might help the offenses. Maybe I'm totally wrong
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: about it. Fifty five percent take it, sixty five percent
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on the over, so the
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: money seems to be disagreeing with it a little bit.
- 1:20:00Speaker 1: But yeah, I just think it's gonna be an ugly game,
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: so we'll see about that. But both teams, I mean,
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: the argument for the over. You could see that the
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: argument is that both teams are coming off playing better defenses.
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: So Kent State played Bowl and green Ball State played
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: Northern Illinois. Those two teams are better depfenses than these
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: two teams that they're gonna be phasing each other this time,
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: so they're both stepping down in class as far as
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: the deep fenses are concerned. And then the other game
- 1:20:27Speaker 1: a little bit better is basically offense versus defense, but
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: I actually like the offense in this one. Northern Illinois
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: against Toledo. Toledo is actually up from a fourteen to
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: a fourteen a half point favorite, And the public is
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: looking at this probably and thinking, well, how is a
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: four and four Toledo team that much of a favorite
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: really against anybody? Northern Illinois two and six. Well, Northern
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: Illinois is not a very good team. They play decent deepfense.
- 1:20:51Speaker 1: Like I said, they do run the football. Toledo is
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: gonna be a team that can move the ball through
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: the air more. Toledo can throw the ball a lot
- 1:20:58Speaker 1: better than Northern Illinois, and Northern Illinois really just runs
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: the football. But that also means that if Northern Illinois
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: falls behind, they don't really have the ability to come back,
- 1:21:07Speaker 1: even though their defense is okay, they just can't throw
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: the football. Toledo is better than their four and four
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: record looks though, So yeah, Northern Illinois public sixty percent
- 1:21:17Speaker 1: of tickets, sixty one percent of the cash now, but
- 1:21:20Speaker 1: I think the Republic underdog. I would lay the points
- 1:21:22Speaker 1: with Toledo, even though the total is very low at
- 1:21:25Speaker 1: forty two and a half, and it looks like the
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: money's coming in towards the under in that one and Toledo.
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: You gotta dik Toledo is correlated with the over in
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: this game, though, just because if they're gonna cover a
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: big number like that as the better offensive team, excuse me,
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: you probably got to expect some points being scored in
- 1:21:44Speaker 1: the game on Northern Illinois. I think both of these
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: teams last played on Saturday the twenty fifth as well,
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: so the rest is about the same. Northern Illinois finally
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: won an FPS game, man, so maybe that gets the
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: monkey off their back because they're all only win was
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: against holy Cross, which is an FCS team, and they
- 1:22:02Speaker 1: barely beat holy Cross. I actually gave out Northern Illinois
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: a play way back on September fifth, and they actually
- 1:22:09Speaker 1: covered against Maryland, so we got the win in that one.
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: But Northern Illinois bad, dude. I mean, the best team
- 1:22:15Speaker 1: they faced all season was Mississippi State and they pretty
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: much got blown out in that game at Mississippi State.
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: I know San Diego State has been playing well recently
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: and they actually had a six to three loss to them,
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: But this Northern Illinois team, and they've been bad pretty
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: much all season. They got the win against Ball State.
- 1:22:34Speaker 1: Ball State also a pretty bad team, and Northern Illinois
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: really did not do a whole lot offensively in that game.
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: They still got the win, So you could argue that
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: kind of gets that monkey off their back, gives them
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum moving forward. I don't think
- 1:22:46Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook to Ledo because Northern Illinois pretty much
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: knows they're not gonna be Bowl eligible. I don't think,
- 1:22:50Speaker 1: although who knows, because they get to play UMass and
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: Kent State in the remaining schedule and Western Michigan home.
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: So if they could somehow pull up an upset Toledo,
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: they could actually become Bowl eligible, which would be really insane.
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: If they were able to do that. I don't think
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: it's gonna happen, obviously. I think they're not gonna beat Toledo,
- 1:23:09Speaker 1: but that might actually focus Northern Illinois a little bit more.
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: Toledo the one bad thing about Toledo is they've been
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: all over the place where well sort of, they just
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: had to fly out to the West coast and they
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: actually caught Washington State in what I thought was a
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: bad spot for Washington State, and Toledo still didn't play
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: well and did not win the game. Obviously, they lost
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: twenty eight to six. Olho, I think Toledo actually played
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: better than the score looked. They were pretty close in yardage.
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: Washington State only outyarded them by like twenty something yards,
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: so it was actually close Washington. Toledo actually won the
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: turnover battle too, So I don't know how Toledo lost
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: that game twenty eight to seven. But that was a
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: big game for Toledo though, because they got to play
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: one of the bigger conference teams and they only did
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: that one other time this year and actually played pretty
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: well against Kentucky. So I mean, I can see a
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: couple of arguments. I can see arguments in both ways
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: in this game. You could argue that it's a bad
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: travel spot because Toledo has to fly back from the
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: Pacific coast, but at least they have more time off
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: here because they last played on Saturday, the twenty fifth,
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: so that can help with their travel here. They're still
- 1:24:16Speaker 1: going to show up because they're still trying to become
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: Bowl eligible at the very least. Although I think they
- 1:24:21Speaker 1: definitely had aspirations of winning the MAC. Although its a
- 1:24:24Speaker 1: two loss MAC team, I think that is still possible.
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: Even though I think a couple of the MAC teams
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: are undefeated right now, they're not technically out of it yet.
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: They get to host this game in ESPN too, although
- 1:24:34Speaker 1: they're pretty much used to doing that at this point,
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: but it'll be their first midweek game get that they
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: get to host, so they should be focused for it,
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: I think, and I still think they're better than their
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: record looks man. I mean, they had some weird upset
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: losses to Western Michigan, I don't know how that happened,
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: and to Bowling Green and Games. I think they were
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: favored in both games on the road, so Toledo. Yeah,
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: they were a double digit favored in both of those losses.
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: So Toledo, they probably should be six and two right now. Like,
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: I just don't know how they lost both those games.
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: They actually could easily be a one loss team. Actually,
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: the way that they caught Washington State, they were actually
- 1:25:11Speaker 1: a road favorite at Washington State as well, so three
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: of Toledo's four losses, they were actually favored in those games.
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: So Toledo is better than the record looks. So that's
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: why I kind of lean towards Toledo here. But you
- 1:25:22Speaker 1: could argue the travel spot's a little bit bad. So yeah,
- 1:25:26Speaker 1: I mean some conflicting factors there. I don't want to
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: play it at all, but that's gonna do it. Man.
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: Thanks guys for hanging out my place today one more time.
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: We're laying an ass load of points here. And by
- 1:25:36Speaker 1: the way, college basketball already started in middle Tennessee had
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: some weird early game against some Division two team. Don't
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: even know if it's televised, but yeah, college basketball, we're
- 1:25:45Speaker 1: jumping into the fray. We're gonna lay the points with Georgia.
- 1:25:48Speaker 1: I found it at thirty one and a half. Hopefully
- 1:25:50Speaker 1: you can find a decent number on it. You see
- 1:25:52Speaker 1: Davis minus three is the other one, and then Brooklyn
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: nets plus the points. I said, wait on this one
- 1:25:58Speaker 1: to see if you can get the seven. Because the
- 1:26:00Speaker 1: public's pouring in an Indian I think it actually might
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: hit the seven. Seeing six and a half with juice
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: at some spots right now, so I would wait because
- 1:26:08Speaker 1: if you get six and a half or six, it's
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: not really that big of a deal. So hopefully we
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: can get a seven on that. That's gonna do it.
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: I appreciate it, guys, Thanks for hanging out again. Let's
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: keep winning. Let's kick off college of basketball right because
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: the way I finished in college basketball it was horrendous.
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: I was really bad in March. I apologize. Last two years,
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: I was really good in college basketball, especially during the
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: conference play section of the regular season. I tend to
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: do really well. I tend to pick some good spots
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: in the early season as well, so I don't know
- 1:26:37Speaker 1: what happened during tournament time. Whatever. I was really bad
- 1:26:40Speaker 1: man in March. So I apologize for that. But let's
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: get it done. Learn a tone on Twitter, learn it
- 1:26:47Speaker 1: tone on Instagram. Like subscribe to the channel here, leave
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: me some good comments. Let's boost this channel. Get it going.
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: Cover better off dead still might change the name, try
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: to get more eyes on it. Even though I like
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: the kneon green here? What else did I want to say?
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: I don't even remember. Man, Oh, I'm on the audio.
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: Give me a good review on audio app on Spotify.
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: That helps me. It helps me out as well, and
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: listening over there helps me out as well. Covered in
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: yuke on YouTube is my yuke channel, and then patreon
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: dot com slash learn to toad. You can support me
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: there and you get some bonus yuke content. Uh. You
- 1:27:18Speaker 1: can request at the highest level uh through dming maybe,
- 1:27:22Speaker 1: which Charles has done a couple of times. He's requesting
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: another one. I gotta look into it, Charles, if you're
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: out there, I'm looking into it. It might take me
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: a while because I don't really know the song. So
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: when I don't really know the song at all, it's
- 1:27:34Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to listen to it a bunch of times,
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: and it'll take me a lot longer to do it.
- 1:27:38Speaker 1: I have to look at the chords and see if
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: it is doable too, So we'll see and then yeah, Patreon,
- 1:27:44Speaker 1: you also get a Spotify feed with the yuke stuff.
- 1:27:46Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys. Let's
- 1:27:49Speaker 1: have another winning day here. Happy Wednesday, Happy hump Day.
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: I'm I'm happy about college basketball being back. Man, it's exciting.
- 1:27:57Speaker 1: Having some plays at college basketball also starts getting exciting.
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: So let's get it done. Peace for now, and I'll
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: be back tomorrow as usual and see if my Thursday
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: night NFL dominance can return. I don't. I actually don't
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: even remember who's playing in that game, so we'll see.
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: But peace for now,