Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday BEST BETS | Dingers | MLB HR Derby & WNBA | 7/13/26

Transcript

Monday BEST BETS | Dingers | MLB HR Derby & WNBA | 7/13/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your checks. The black coffee on the felt man, you
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: look like a mess. Three teen Parlette turned the dust
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name still mean something?
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Ne somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby, look
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Now hold on, hold on nothing nice, now hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: hold on me, but it don't get the crowd. Hold on,
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: hold on, stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now what's up? Birdbud?
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports from Monday,
• 1:32
  Speaker 4: July thirteenth.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be a shorter show.
• 1:35
  Speaker 4: I'm going to talk about the home run derby and
• 1:37
  Speaker 4: different ways to approach that'll though I don't really recommend
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: seriously betting it, maybe just putting like pizza money on
• 1:45
  Speaker 4: it or something just for some fun.
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: And there's a little bit of WNBA. I'm not going
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: to give out any.
• 1:50
  Speaker 4: Actual plays for tonight, but I'll talk about that stuff.
• 1:55
  Speaker 4: World Cup presumes tomorrow the actual All Star Game is
• 1:58
  Speaker 4: to rob but I have nothing on the actual All
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: Star Games, so I definitely don't recommend putting money on that.
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: The home run derby is more interesting at least. Anyway,
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: we had a good day on the show yesterday.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Three and one.
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: The Philly Detroit underhit, which was getting a little bit.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: Dicey.
• 2:17
  Speaker 4: It was one nothing at the end of the fifth,
• 2:19
  Speaker 4: so I'm thinking, oh, crap, I should have just gone
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: first five innings because that would have won easily. And
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: then school Balls started losing it in the sixth inning
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: and they put Montero in and he gave up three runs.
• 2:32
  Speaker 4: So then all of a sudden, it's five nothing Philly,
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: and I'm like, this is not good in the sixth inning,
• 2:38
  Speaker 4: but the bullpens didn't give up anything after that. It
• 2:42
  Speaker 4: was just Montero not doing well in that one inning.
• 2:46
  Speaker 4: I honestly, I think maybe they should have left Schooball
• 2:48
  Speaker 4: in a little bit longer. Those pitch count was up
• 2:50
  Speaker 4: into the nineties, but I don't know. I was Montaro
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: has been pretty good though, so I was surprised that
• 2:55
  Speaker 4: he was as bad as he was. But aside from
• 2:58
  Speaker 4: that one bad inning, that game was very low scoring,
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: so that under was a winner. Toronto did not win
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: in the first five innings Gausman.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to tell you, man.
• 3:08
  Speaker 4: He had one nothing lead early in the game, and
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: then he gave up three runs and he had one
• 3:12
  Speaker 4: bad inning basically, and then they were down three to
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: one and they wound up tying it. But when we
• 3:18
  Speaker 4: needed them to be winning at the end of five
• 3:20
  Speaker 4: and they were not. It was three to three. And
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: they lost the full game too, because I was thinking,
• 3:24
  Speaker 4: if they win the full game, I'm gonna be so mad.
• 3:28
  Speaker 4: But that didn't happen. And then WNBA was a sweep.
• 3:31
  Speaker 4: We won both games. Toronto with an outright win that
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: was pretty easy. They were winning like pretty much the
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: whole game. It got close at the end and they
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: still hung on to the win. And then Chicago, I am.
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: Pretty sure it was also a wire to wire cover.
• 3:46
  Speaker 4: They were bad for a couple of stretches in the game,
• 3:50
  Speaker 4: Like they looked good early and then they were losing
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: by halftime, and I was a little bit worried because
• 3:55
  Speaker 4: they were losing by six and Dallas is known as
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: being like a better set and half team, Like they're
• 4:01
  Speaker 4: not that good in the first half, so I was
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: a little bit worried about that.
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: But Chicago definitely played well. They retook the lead.
• 4:07
  Speaker 4: They had like a seven point lead, I think early
• 4:09
  Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter. I'm like, all right, we're gonna
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: get this one right, and uh, they wound up losing,
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: but they covered. I was gonna be really mad if
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: they didn't cut. They were within one point with like
• 4:19
  Speaker 4: a minute to go, and then all of a sudden
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: they're down five and I'm like, come on, man. But
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: they lost by five, so that they were never really
• 4:28
  Speaker 4: in danger of not covering the nine and a half
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: at that point. So two and zero and WNBA yesterday
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: that worked out pretty well. The game that I added
• 4:36
  Speaker 4: on the fly was a win. I'm happy about that.
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: And then, like I said, when you play those games,
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: put ten percent of it on the money line, dude,
• 4:44
  Speaker 4: because that would that hit in the Toronto one, and
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: that gave you some extra money. Even if you lost
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: on the money line on the other one, that's still
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: a win.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: So there you go. Macado. What's up, dirty sock? What's up? Yeah?
• 4:59
  Speaker 4: I mean, and we don't have much to do here.
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: I mean, I'm gonna talk about the home run Derby.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: Here. These are the odds and the home run Derby.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: The home run Derby is like.
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: It's kind of a wide open event, you know, and
• 5:13
  Speaker 4: I use a couple of different things to figure out,
• 5:15
  Speaker 4: like who do I think is the best play in
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: the home run derby? Or there are a couple of
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: different ways you could bet it. I don't know if
• 5:21
  Speaker 4: I'm allowed to even show this DK screen here, but
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: I think the ways that you should bet this are
• 5:27
  Speaker 4: either just identify, like the one guy that you think
• 5:29
  Speaker 4: has the best value basically play that guy, throw a
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: little bit of money on it, or throw a little
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: bit of money on like do like basically what you
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: do in horse racing, because that worked out well for
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: me this season, and bet like just a couple of
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: guys that you think really have the legitimate chances to win,
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: and don't bet on any of the dead money, you
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: know what I mean, because I think some of.
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: These guys have no chance.
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: So you could just throw money on maybe a couple
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: of guys here, and then if one of them wins,
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: you should still win money as long as you put
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: the right amount on it. But I don't recommend putting
• 6:04
  Speaker 4: a lot of money on this because it is a
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: difficult event to predict. Now, what I will say is
• 6:10
  Speaker 4: that you want to look at who the guy's pitcher is.
• 6:15
  Speaker 4: I think that matters, even though last year it didn't matter.
• 6:18
  Speaker 4: Cal Rawley won it last year, and I'm pretty sure
• 6:20
  Speaker 4: he had his father pitching to him or something. But
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: I actually don't like that.
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: Typically.
• 6:25
  Speaker 4: I think the guys that have like a relative pitching
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: to them or whatever, I think that's more just a
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: sentimental thing and I don't think it actually helps them win.
• 6:34
  Speaker 4: Like I think what you want to do is look
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: at the guys that have a pitcher thrown to them.
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: Who's an experienced pitcher that like throws batting practice for
• 6:42
  Speaker 4: their team or whatever, somebody that that dude is like
• 6:45
  Speaker 4: really familiar with doing this with, you know, really familiar.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 6:50
  Speaker 4: I don't even know how to phrase you know what
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: I mean. You want to have a picture that's that
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: that hitter is really familiar with, like actually hitting off
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: of him like batting practice, and perhaps apps have home
• 7:01
  Speaker 4: run derby experience with that guy. That's what I think
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: you want to look for in the home run derby.
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: Kyle Schwarber's plus three ten. He has the best odds
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: to win this thing. I mean, I think he has
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: a decent chance to win. I will say that Junior
• 7:15
  Speaker 4: Caman Arrow is plus four to twenty five. Mrkami is
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: in it as a rookie, and I might not like
• 7:21
  Speaker 4: that that much just because inexperience.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: He's at five to one.
• 7:26
  Speaker 4: Bryce Harper, I'm very experienced at seven to one, although
• 7:29
  Speaker 4: he's old.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: Kaglianoni is also seven to one.
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: Jordan Walker, I believe, also a rookie from Saint Louis
• 7:36
  Speaker 4: eight to one. Ben Rice I think also probably hasn't
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: been in the Home Run Derby before.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: Is he a rookie too?
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: I don't even know, man. I know he's on the Yankees.
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: He's eight and a half to one. And then Red
• 7:46
  Speaker 4: Sox player Wilson Contreras, who I think is a snub
• 7:50
  Speaker 4: from the actual All Star Game, is in the home
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: Run Derby because he has one of the highest home
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: run totals this year.
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: He's at fourteen to one.
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: He might be a little bit undervalue, to be honest,
• 8:01
  Speaker 4: because he's an experienced hitter. I don't know how much
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: home Run Derby experience he has though. But that's why
• 8:07
  Speaker 4: I have this page up on MLB dot com because
• 8:10
  Speaker 4: I went through this and I was like, oh, yeah,
• 8:12
  Speaker 4: so this just lists all the players, who's pitching to
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: them whatever. So we have Junior Caman Arrow, he is
• 8:20
  Speaker 4: going to be pitched to by he's on the Rays
• 8:23
  Speaker 4: and the Rays field coordinator Thomas Francisco is going to
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: be pitching to him.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: I like this.
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: Francisco pitched to a Rosarina two years ago when he
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: was a runner up in twenty twenty three, and he
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: pitched to cam and Arrow last year when he was
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: the runner up to cal Raley last year. So I
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: like that because you got a pitcher that's had his
• 8:46
  Speaker 4: hitters have success in the Home Run Derby, and he
• 8:48
  Speaker 4: pitched to cam and Arrow last year and he almost
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: and cam and Arrow almost won it with him last year.
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: So I really like that.
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: So I think he might be your best play in
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: this home Run Derby because he's been in the Home
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: Run Derby before, he's been successful at it. He's got
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: a pitcher who's pitched to him in the Home Run
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: Derby before. This is a pitcher who's on the race
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: staff who pitches to these guys as well.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Even though he's only been there I think for the
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: last year.
• 9:12
  Speaker 4: Because I'm assuming if you pitched our Rosa Rena back
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: in twenty twenty three.
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: I assume he was with.
• 9:18
  Speaker 4: The Marlins or the Mariners, excusing organization back then, but whatever,
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: I like this man. You got experience, you got experience.
• 9:26
  Speaker 4: Between the two guys, they're both experienced in this event.
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: They have experience together in this event where they were
• 9:32
  Speaker 4: really successful last year.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: I think he's the play, dude.
• 9:36
  Speaker 4: If I was gonna play any of these players, Cavin
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: Arrow at plus four twenty five, I think that's the
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: play that I would make.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, I like him the best. In the home
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: run derby.
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: Here, Ben Rice is being pitched to you by his father,
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: who I guess actually is like a batting practice pitcher,
• 9:56
  Speaker 4: so I guess he is his father. I guess has
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: thrown batting practice to him before, but I'm guessing it
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: hasn't been.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: For a while.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 10:04
  Speaker 4: You know, so you know I don't like it. Even
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: though they're from coact Mass so Ben Rice is another
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: trader like Cam Schlitzler. He's from you know, my area,
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: and now he's on the Yankees. Come on, man, but
• 10:17
  Speaker 4: I still don't really like this.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: You know. It's still like kind of a sentimental thing.
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: So I would not put money on Ben Rice in
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: this thing, Wilson catreres from the Red Sox. He has
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: the Red Red Sox bench coach pitching to him.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that's gonna go well or not.
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: I guess this guy is he has experienced these two
• 10:38
  Speaker 4: guys have experienced together, I guess. So I think this
• 10:41
  Speaker 4: guy has like thrown some batting practice to him before
• 10:45
  Speaker 4: or something like that, So you know, I don't necessarily
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: hate that.
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: Although he's got the worst odds to win this thing.
• 10:51
  Speaker 4: I mean, he's a real long shot, so maybe, you know,
• 10:54
  Speaker 4: as a total long shot, I mean, maybe there is
• 10:57
  Speaker 4: some value there fourteen to one, although I think I
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: don't know, man, I mean, he might not be worth
• 11:02
  Speaker 4: throwing money on if you're just gonna try to throw
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: money on, like the guys that really have the legitimate
• 11:07
  Speaker 4: shot to win, I don't really think he's gonna do it,
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: but I don't know.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, his pitching setup is.
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: A little bit better than some of these other guys,
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: and at least he has experience in the major leagues.
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: I mean, he's been in the leagues for a decade,
• 11:20
  Speaker 4: so that's not horrible. Jack Kaglianone is being thrown to
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: by his father. Dude, this always happens, man, So I
• 11:32
  Speaker 4: don't really love that. And this is gonna be the
• 11:35
  Speaker 4: first time he's in the home run Derby, I'm pretty sure, right,
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: I think that's what this says. So but I guess
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: his father does throw batting practice. I guess that's something
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: that he does do. Like a lot of times these
• 11:48
  Speaker 4: guys' fathers are in baseball in some capacity.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: But I still don't really like this. Plus, if these guys.
• 11:55
  Speaker 4: And their fathers haven't, you know, done this recently, Like
• 11:58
  Speaker 4: you you want to be able to be with the guy,
• 12:00
  Speaker 4: you can get get into a rhythm with him, you
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: know what I mean. So, like, I think that cam
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: and Arrow should be able to because he's constantly, you know,
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: hitting against the pitcher that's gonna throw to him. And
• 12:12
  Speaker 4: they did it last year in the home run Derby.
• 12:14
  Speaker 4: So yeah, you know, but yeah, Kagiliano and I think
• 12:16
  Speaker 4: he's dead money in this thing, to be honest, I
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: think he's inexperienced at it.
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: Got his father thrown to him.
• 12:21
  Speaker 4: I don't like that Jordan Walker, Cardinals bullpen catcher will
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: be throwing to him, which I'm assuming that guy does
• 12:30
  Speaker 4: throw to He probably does throw some of their vatting practice.
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: I guess he apparently has thrown in the home run
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: Derby before too, Albert Poole's in twenty twenty two. What
• 12:42
  Speaker 4: was Pool still in the league in twenty twenty two. No, really,
• 12:48
  Speaker 4: I don't know about that, but whatever I mean. So,
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: I guess this bullpen catcher Kleininger Tehran, I guess has
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: some experience in the home run Derby. So at least
• 13:00
  Speaker 4: there's that Walker, though, I mean, this is his first
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: time in the home run Derby.
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: I don't think i'd put money on him.
• 13:06
  Speaker 4: I mean, he's inexperienced at it, you know, so not
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: really into that. Bryce Harper, He's definitely experienced. He's been
• 13:15
  Speaker 4: in the home run Derby before. He's he won the
• 13:18
  Speaker 4: home run Derby in twenty eighteen with his father pitching
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: to him. It will not be his father here. It's
• 13:23
  Speaker 4: going to be Dodger's third base coach Dino abel although Bright.
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: Wait a minute, though, but Bryce Harper is on Philly, right,
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: isn't he.
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 13:36
  Speaker 4: I don't know what's going on here, dude, I have
• 13:39
  Speaker 4: no idea. So he has a guy from a different
• 13:43
  Speaker 4: team pitching to him. You know, I don't even know
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: if that means they're gonna have like enough chemistry, you know,
• 13:51
  Speaker 4: with each other. I have no idea, but I guess
• 13:54
  Speaker 4: it seems like Abel, I guess through to Kyle Schwarber.
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: Last year. Is that right? It looks like that's what
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: this says.
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: Yeah, Oh no, it looks like this is talking about
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: the All Star Game itself. I don't know what this
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: is even saying that. That confuses me. Although I guess, Abel,
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: I guess is experience of throwing batting practice.
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 14:17
  Speaker 4: I mean, I wouldn't count Bryce Harper out, you know,
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: just because he's extremely experienced, Like, I don't think this
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: is the worst look here. And then Kyle Schwarber, of
• 14:27
  Speaker 4: course has the best odds to win this thing. Philly's
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: assistant hitting coach, Raphael Payna will be throwing to him,
• 14:35
  Speaker 4: which I guess he does throw batting practice to them.
• 14:37
  Speaker 4: They're experienced with hitting against them, so I don't hate that.
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: And then Mr Kami will have.
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: White Sox major league coach, whatever that means, Luis Sierra
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: pitching to him. You know, I mean, obviously he's got
• 14:52
  Speaker 4: a guy that's you know, on the team throwing to him,
• 14:54
  Speaker 4: which isn't too bad. But murkamie like he's a rookie, right,
• 14:57
  Speaker 4: So I don't really I don't if I'm totally into that,
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: even though I know I think he might be. He
• 15:03
  Speaker 4: might get a little bit over hyped in this thing
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: because everybody loves that Murkami's back, everybody loves what he's
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: been doing during the regular season.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: I don't really necessarily love.
• 15:11
  Speaker 4: Him in the sommer on Derby though, So I'm not
• 15:15
  Speaker 4: gonna read what this guy how this guy ranked these hitters.
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: But that's the whole breakdown there, I think. And then, yeah,
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: Wilson Contrero's picture is Jose Florez. Is his name all right? Anyway?
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: I think again, Cam and Arrow is my favorite play
• 15:33
  Speaker 4: in this thing. If you're gonna actually put money on it,
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: that's what I would do.
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: If you want to just throw money on just the
• 15:39
  Speaker 4: guys that I think can actually win this thing, I
• 15:41
  Speaker 4: think it's Cam and Arrow, Schwarber, and Harper. But if
• 15:44
  Speaker 4: you're gonna put money on all three of those, I
• 15:47
  Speaker 4: don't know if that's gonna work out, man, you know.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think if if one of the wins.
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: I guess you'll probably still win money if you do that,
• 15:54
  Speaker 4: but you can't do like, you know, exact as a
• 15:58
  Speaker 4: trifectas and stuff like that. That's all I got on
• 16:01
  Speaker 4: the Home Run Derby, though, I like him and Arrow
• 16:03
  Speaker 4: to win that thing out of all of those options.
• 16:06
  Speaker 4: I think the experience is there, being in sync with
• 16:12
  Speaker 4: your pitcher, all that type of stuff.
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: I think he's got all that.
• 16:14
  Speaker 4: Going for him in the Home Run Derby, all right,
• 16:19
  Speaker 4: and then we have WNBA. There are two games in
• 16:21
  Speaker 4: the WNBA tonight, LA and Atlanta is the first game
• 16:25
  Speaker 4: at seven pm on USA Network seven pm Eastern. I
• 16:29
  Speaker 4: think Atlanta's going to bounce back here. They're coming out
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: of a really ugly loss where I think they were
• 16:35
  Speaker 4: double digit favorites at home on Saturday and they lost
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: to Portland by double digits. So I think they're gonna
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: bounce back here. They've had a bad home stand. They
• 16:44
  Speaker 4: don't want to lose three out of four on this
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: home stand, so I think Atlanta will show up. The
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: question is going to be will they cover though as
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: a favorite? If you look at what happened in this
• 16:53
  Speaker 4: game and this was just complete bs, I mean Portland
• 16:56
  Speaker 4: sixty percent from the field in that game, they hit
• 16:59
  Speaker 4: fourteen reeves hit almost half their threes. Atlanta was twenty
• 17:03
  Speaker 4: percent from three and only hit six of them. I mean,
• 17:05
  Speaker 4: this is a major outlier. I wouldn't read too much
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: into this. Atlanta won the rebound battle. This Atlanta team
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: is a much better defensive team than that showed, so
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: I think they're gonna win and cover this one. That
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: would be my guess here. I'm not gonna make it
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: a play. LA is coming off a win over Chicago
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: in their last game, which you know, I don't think
• 17:24
  Speaker 4: it really puts them in a bad spot. In fact,
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: the spot is actually kind of positive because they're starting
• 17:29
  Speaker 4: a road trip and they have a little bit of
• 17:31
  Speaker 4: extra rest here, one more day of rest than Atlanta does,
• 17:35
  Speaker 4: so starting a road trip usually a focused spot. I'm
• 17:38
  Speaker 4: not gonna recommend a play on this or anything, but
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: I lean to laying the points of Atlanta, though, just
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: because they're staying at home.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: The money seems to agree.
• 17:47
  Speaker 4: The public looks like they're taking the seven and a
• 17:49
  Speaker 4: half with LA, which I don't really understand why eighty
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: percent to take a sixty five percent of the cash
• 17:55
  Speaker 4: on them. I would lay the seven and a half
• 17:57
  Speaker 4: with Atlanta and that one if I was gonna do anything,
• 18:00
  Speaker 4: and then Phoenix and Minnesota is the other game. Minnesota
• 18:03
  Speaker 4: favored by a lot in this game on Peacock and
• 18:06
  Speaker 4: NBC Sports and Vanessa or sorry Lafeza, Nefisa Withever whatever
• 18:13
  Speaker 4: the hell, or name Nefeza Colliers.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: I keep thinking her name is Vanessa. It's not.
• 18:17
  Speaker 4: Nefeza Collier is still not back here, but Minnesota is
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: still favored by that much. Minnesota is coming up a
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: big win over the New York Liberty, a nice quick
• 18:28
  Speaker 4: revenge win. Could be maybe a little bit of a
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: letdown from Minnesota after that. So not the greatest spot
• 18:35
  Speaker 4: for Minnesota here. Phoenix is I think, at least better
• 18:38
  Speaker 4: than their record suggests, which I keep saying a love.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: They keep not playing that well, but they've lost three
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: games in a row.
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: Their last loss was absolutely embarrassing, dude. They lost by
• 18:48
  Speaker 4: almost fifty points to LA and only scored fifty eight.
• 18:52
  Speaker 4: I mean that is unbelievable, or against Las Vegas, excuse me,
• 18:56
  Speaker 4: better than LA. I mean that is just an embarrassing loss, dude.
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: I don't know how you lose one oh six to
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: fifty eight. It's got to be one of the worst
• 19:04
  Speaker 4: losses in WNBA history. So I think after that they're
• 19:08
  Speaker 4: gonna show up and play better for this game against
• 19:11
  Speaker 4: Minnesota and nobody's gonna want them. So I would take
• 19:14
  Speaker 4: the points with Phoenix in this one. And the money
• 19:16
  Speaker 4: looks like it really agrees with that. You're getting thirteen
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: thirteen and a half on that, seventy percent of tickets
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: on Minnesota, ninety percent of the cash on Phoenix. Minnesota
• 19:26
  Speaker 4: does have their star rookie back, which is Miles, but
• 19:30
  Speaker 4: Collier is still not back, and she is their best player,
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: but she hasn't played at all this season so far.
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: But I would take the points with Phoenix in that one,
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: and that is a That's all I got, man, that's
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: the show for today.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: Mister Pinzy.
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: Yes, I would not recommend putting your house on it,
• 19:48
  Speaker 4: throw like twenty bucks on it if you want to
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: do that, But he is my preference in the home
• 19:53
  Speaker 4: run derby. I wasn't right about the derby last year,
• 19:56
  Speaker 4: so who knows cal Raley big dumper and.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: Won it last year. He's not in it this year.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: And I think I'm.
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: Pretty sure Wilson Catreras didn't make the actual All Star Game,
• 20:08
  Speaker 4: but he's in the home run Derby, so I don't
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: know we'll see it. But my Boston Red Sox are
• 20:13
  Speaker 4: on a nine game win streak going into the All
• 20:15
  Speaker 4: Star Breaking. They've been hot going into the All Star
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: Break every season in the last four seasons, two seasons
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: in a row a nine plus game win streak going
• 20:24
  Speaker 4: into the All Star Game.
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: Last year it was ten.
• 20:27
  Speaker 4: Those are the only two times the Red Sox have
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: done that ever, two years in a row they've done it.
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: And the Red Sox just swept a nine game road trip,
• 20:36
  Speaker 4: which the Red Sox have only done once otherwise in
• 20:39
  Speaker 4: team history, which is in nineteen seventy seven. That was
• 20:42
  Speaker 4: the only other time they swept a nine plus game
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: win road trip. So I think I misspoke, but you
• 20:49
  Speaker 4: know what I mean, that's gonna do it. Learn it
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: ton on Twitter and learn it tone on Instagram, like
• 20:54
  Speaker 4: subscribe to the show here. By the way, I listened
• 20:58
  Speaker 4: back yesterday for a little while and there was like
• 20:59
  Speaker 4: this fuzz is going on in the background. I'm like,
• 21:02
  Speaker 4: it can't just be because I decided to put my
• 21:04
  Speaker 4: headphones on, Like I did change a little bit with
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: my scarlet here, but like all I did was like
• 21:10
  Speaker 4: turn the headphone volume up a little bit, so I
• 21:13
  Speaker 4: don't know, man, Yeah, I mean, let me know if
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: that's still happening.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: Hopefully I've fixed that. I'm gonna listen.
• 21:20
  Speaker 4: Back and see and I gotta figure it out of
• 21:22
  Speaker 4: if it's not fixed. But it was fine up until yesterday,
• 21:25
  Speaker 4: so it was obviously something that I changed there. Anyway,
• 21:30
  Speaker 4: my voice is still killing me, so luckily we get
• 21:32
  Speaker 4: some short shows this week, yes, like subscribe to the
• 21:37
  Speaker 4: channel here, listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker. I think
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: we're at five hundred, but I gotta see if I
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: can start doing monetization stuff on the show. I'll be
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: back tomorrow. World Cup will be back in action tomorrow.
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: I'm assuming there's gonna be some WNBA tomorrow, and I'm
• 21:55
  Speaker 4: gonna have nothing on the actual All Star Game, but
• 21:57
  Speaker 4: that is tomorrow as well in Major League base Ball.
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: Uh, what else do I got? I think that's basically
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: it right.
• 22:05
  Speaker 4: Oh, covered in Yuke of course on YouTube, Patreon, dot com,
• 22:09
  Speaker 4: slash and learn, Learn to Toad Loser casts will be
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: back tomorrow night, and we have some obvious loser picks
• 22:16
  Speaker 4: that have come up over the last day or two,
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: So we'll see what happens with that. You know, tune
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: into the show. I mean you already know what one
• 22:24
  Speaker 4: of them is going to be. Somebody's gonna somebody's gonna
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: nominate him, and the New York Giants g Spot podcast
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: should be back at some point, and I believe that
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: is all I got. It's the All Star break Easier
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: show today. We'll see if Junior Camin Arrow can win
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: the home run derby man. But he is my pick
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: plus four twenty five not bad odds on that man.
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: Uh so that's gonna do it. Happy Monday, Peace, But don't.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: You go quiet.
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: Don't you play from the flow. Your name still means
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: something new. Somebody for show to put the glass down?
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: Baby, look at me.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Nic.
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on nothing nice now, hold on, hold on,
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: let me pull you.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: That bites hard, but it don't get the crown.
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: And stay with me now