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Episode 242 - 3/25/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to. Episode 242.
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  Of the all. Systems Go sports betting
• 0:25
  podcast. Powered by rhythm, I'm your
• 0:28
  host. Josh.
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  Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Tuesday, another day. Here in the arena, guys, and
• 0:40
  it's been a while since we're able to pull.
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  Up chairs to the virtual bar and sweat some sharp.
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  Data-driven contrarian breakdowns because.
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  You know what? Every even though I love.
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  Sports betting. It's the passion of my life,
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  it's my career, it's what I love.
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  To do most every now and again. You know, you get together with
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  the fam who you haven't seen in quite a.
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  While you celebrate the wedding. Of a cousin.
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  You go down to Maryland. To see the whole crew.
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  And even though your your sports bets aren't doing great because
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  March Madness, don't get me started.
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  Not quite the March Madness start I was looking.
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  For once again we got favorites doing very well, which again is
• 1:12
  not good because the public loves favorites.
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  Favorites are now. 28 and 20. Four against the spread 54.
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  Percent in the NCAA. Tournament, it's been pretty
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  much. No Cinderella's all chalk.
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  Favorites, so not great for us contrarian vetters.
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  Looking at chart. Moves toward dogs.
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  But you know what? I didn't let my lackluster
• 1:28
  performance in the NCAA. Tournament get me down because.
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  You know what sports. Betting is my life, but there
• 1:34
  are bigger. Things in life.
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  I must say. Getting together with the.
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  Fam once again went to. Annapolis, MD.
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  I have. Never been to Annapolis, MD.
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  Before, but it was just so much fun.
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  Really, really low key. Kind of awesome, Sneaky cool.
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  Little city, of course. Annapolis, MD.
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  Home of Navy. So there's a lot of.
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  You know, Bill Belichick and his dad, Steve Belichick, who was
• 1:56
  the, you know, the great coach of Navy.
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  But we were staying at the Graduate Hotel.
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  Had the entire Applebaum family, the Silver family.
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  Shout out to my cousin Carly for tying.
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  The knot with Michael, who is a fantastic guy, and I.
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  Couldn't be more happy to. To marry my cousin we.
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  Party with the crew also want to give a shout.
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  Out to David and. Lori, my great cousins.
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  Who listen to pretty much. Every single.
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  Podcast, which means the world to me, so.
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  I had a blast. Partying with with the family.
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  Annapolis was awesome. They got a little downtown.
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  You go down toward the water. It's got a lot of history, had a
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  super great. Time and what was.
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  Funny is there was one game in particular.
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  It was the. Grand Canyon in Maryland.
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  You got to remember, you know, all my cousins are from
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  Maryland, OR. Majority of them.
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  They're all big Terps fans. So I.
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  Actually had a sharp play on Grand Canyon if if you remember.
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  Plus. 11 1/2 down to 10 1/2. 10 Everyone's like.
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  Oh, what do you? What do you, what do you like?
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  You know, because my. A lot of my family.
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  Was like, oh, Josh is in sports betting.
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  I was like, oh, Grand Canyon. That's my plan.
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  And they're like, really? You're going to bet against the
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  Terps. Remember, I'm with all Terps
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  fans. So what happens?
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  I play the the sharp. Play Grand Canyon and Maryland
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  absolutely destroys them. So I said to my to my cousins
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  Alex and Eric, who actually performed in the band at the
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  wedding, which is just absolutely incredible.
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  I told him, you know what? Next time we.
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  Have a cousin? That gets married and Maryland's
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  in the tournament. It's going to be a blind tale,
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  Maryland and the Terps. And they had that come back even
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  though they didn't. Cover I had that come.
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  Back into Colorado State and move forward so.
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  Either way guys, it was a great weekend for myself.
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  And you know. What when you're a few days away
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  from sports betting and you're not able to track all the games,
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  you kind of you kind of feel like you're you're excited to
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  get back. Into the swing of things, so
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  hope. Everyone had.
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  A great weekend, I know I did. And again, shout out to the
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  newlyweds Carly and Michael. Love you guys.
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  But anyway. Enough about me, enough about.
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  My my experience. With a kick ass wedding.
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  And Annapolis, MD, let's. Get back to doing what we love.
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  To do. Which is betting on.
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  Sports taking sharp contrarian plays.
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  Data-driven sharp plays here. Hopefully we can stack a winning
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  day. So you might say to yourself,
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  what are we gonna do? Today, there's no March Madness.
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  You don't have the Sweet 16. Kicking off for a couple more
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  days on Thursday. But guess what?
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  We still have college. Hoops to bet on?
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  We got four games tonight, we got the CBI.
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  In the NIT, I have two plays. In the NIT we.
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  Have we've seen some interesting trends here when it comes?
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  To the NIT in particular. In terms of the total.
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  So what do you think? Over or under one in particular.
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  Is doing very well historically. And again this year.
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  And then? We have an NBA play for you.
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  As I continue to to. Sweat the Celtics over 50. 8 1/2
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  win total. Got one win.
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  Closer last. Night we flew back to.
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  Boston last night. And I was able to watch the
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  Celtics. Beat the Beat the Sacramento.
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  Kings with my dad, which is pretty fun because we don't get
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  to sweat too many games. Together, but I do have a play
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  for you A. Late night game.
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  Which is a TNT game here tonight in the NBA.
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  Once again, I'm looking for some points in this one.
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  So 3 pack overall, 2 college basketball NIT games.
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  It's one side, 1 total. And one total in the.
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  NBA and then I also want to mention.
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  It is a Tuesday, so once again we have our rhythm.
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  Live stream, 4:00 PM. Eastern Time tonight, can't wait
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  to to host that we're. Going to talk some games.
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  For tonight, we're going to talk.
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  Some early Sweet 16. March Madness sharp line moves.
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  So, as always, if you'd like to. TuneIn.
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  That'll be on Twitter. Streamed live, you can just
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  follow me at Josh under score. Insights and we will break down
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  all of the. Rhythm edges for for tonight.
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  And going to Sweet 16. Well, that being said, let's get
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  back to doing what we love to do.
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  Reading the market, picking up on context.
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  Clues taking a contrarian approach.
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  And trying to be with the sharp money as always, so.
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  We'll start off with. Some college basketball first
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  game that caught my eye tonight. And remember, no.
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  March Madness, but we kind of got the the other angle here.
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  The NIT. The National Invitational.
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  Tournament and I got 2 plays for you, so let's start with the
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  first one. 7:00 tonight, Chattanooga.
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  Against Bradley, so little background.
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  Here this is the NIT. Quarterfinals.
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  Chattanooga comes in 26 and 9 on the year.
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  Just took down Dayton 87 to 82. In the second round, they easily
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  went out right as a. 2 1/2. Point home, dog, remember.
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  When it comes to NIT, these are true home games so.
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  We'll talk about that here in a second.
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  Meanwhile. Bradley, 28 and 8.
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  Just beat George Mason. 75 to. 67 in the second.
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  Round they won out right as a. 5 1/2 point.
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  Road Dog. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, I have a.
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  Play on the total. Little bit of a lean on the side
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  I lean a little bit toward. Chattanooga and the points here.
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  Because we saw this game open. Bradley as high as a. 4 1/2.
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  Point home favorite again, true. Home favorite homecourt,
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  however, the. Public is all over.
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  Bradley Bradley's getting nearly 2/3 of bets at.
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  DraftKings, but Bradley opened as high as -4 1/2.
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  Immediately got down to four. And now they're down to 3 1/2.
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  So even though 2/3 of tickets, the majority of bets are on
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  Bradley. We're seeing this line drop and
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  move toward Chattanooga, so that tells.
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  Me, we got some sneaky. Sharp Money reverse line
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  movement on the Mocks. Tennessee.
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  Chattanooga. Mocks so.
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  One angle you got to think about when it comes to NIT.
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  As well is that? Even though the public you know
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  is dying to. Sweat college basketball
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  tonight. And really, they may not be, you
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  know. They might be overlooking the
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  NIT or the CBI. But line moves are really
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  important, especially when it comes.
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  To the NIT. If you.
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  Look at teams just getting. Line movement in their favor.
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  So in this case. Chattanooga would match.
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  They went from. Plus 4 1/2 + 4 now down to plus
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  3 1/2. If you go with the line, move.
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  In the NIT, those teams. Getting line movement in their
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  favor are 10 and seven. Against the spread this
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  postseason. 59%. And that's not an aberration.
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  If you actually go back. Since 2021.
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  NIT teams with line. Moving in their favor are 50 and
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  31 against the spread. That's a. 62% win rate.
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  So that would match with the market movement today.
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  Again, public Bradley Line to Chattanooga.
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  But. Also with what we've seen
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  historically with line moves basically being.
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  Kind of highly predictive here. When it comes to the NIT.
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  And I also think there's kind of like a.
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  A stigma like Go. NIT it's a meaningless.
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  Tournament. Who cares?
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  No, these are real games. With real lines that we can.
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  Bet on SO. We're going to try to find an
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  edge. Any way that we can.
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  Now. Chattanooga does have some
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  angles. Here to hopefully keep.
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  Pace or backdoor cover? They have the better offensive
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  efficiency, 50th in the country. Versus 91st for Bradley?
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  They also have slightly better free throw shooting. 77% versus
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  75%. And they do take better care of
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  the ball. They rank 40. 5th in turnover
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  percentage the. Braves The Bradley Braves rank.
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  193rd so lean. For me on Chattanooga.
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  But I really like this over. I played this over guys.
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  This total opened as low as 1. 49 1/2 it's been bet up.
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  To 152 1/2 you may find a 151 1/2.
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  Out there and actually reached as high as. 150. 3 1/2.
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  Earlier today. So from the opener to current,
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  you know what it looks. Like 150. 3 1/2.
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  Was your high watermark and it has come.
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  Down a little bit here. Remember 140.
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  Nine and a half one. 50 was your opener.
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  So from open to current, it's really been all.
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  Heavy steam toward the over and the bet splits also look pretty.
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  Good on the over at. DraftKings, the over is getting.
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  57% of bets but 90% of dollars. That is a huge.
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  Huge low bets, higher dollars bet split.
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  Basically, public is. Kind of down the middle.
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  Very, very, very tiny. Tiny, slightly toward the over.
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  But all. Those big dollar wagers there
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  are on the over. Tells me again we got sharp
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  action wise guy money. Expecting a higher scoring game
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  here. And then here's the.
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  Angle that I tease when we. Open the pod.
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  NIT overs overs in the NIT 16 and eight this year. 67%, So
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  maybe that's the fact that I don't know.
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  They don't play as much defense. Maybe there's friendly?
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  Whistles with a lot of free. Throws, I don't.
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  Know the exact angle why you're seeing these overs.
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  Maybe it's also. The lack of, you know, neutral
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  sight. These are true, you know, home
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  games for at least. One of the teams.
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  Maybe that partly contributes to these higher scoring.
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  Games, but then. Also if you dig deeper.
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  There's a lot of angles to hopefully.
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  Root for an over here tonight 1 is that both these teams shoot
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  pretty well. They have an effective field
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  goal. Percentage of around 57%, which
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  ranks. Pretty highly overall in
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  college. Hoops.
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  They also can shoot the three, I mean if you're.
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  Playing it over every time you can get a three instead of a
• 10:01
  layup. That's always a good.
• 10:02
  Thing you're getting that extra point so.
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  Chattanooga actually ranks 38th in the country in three-point
• 10:07
  percentage. Bradley, believe it or not, is.
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  Second in the country, second best. 3 point shooting team in
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  the country at 40%. I also.
• 10:15
  Noticed our friends at Juice Reel had a. 50%.
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  Big, big 150. Percent sharp mush.
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  Indicator here on the over, basically 50% more of the
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  sharper winning. Wagers who have downloaded.
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  Juice Reel and have synced up their sports books.
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  Are playing this over? As opposed to basically 50% of.
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  More of the losing. Batters who are leaning more
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  toward the under. So it's a pretty hard.
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  Lean to me on Chattanooga. Like if you're making.
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  Me pick a side, Chattanooga looks pretty sharp.
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  Public Bradley Line dropping toward Chattanooga.
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  But what I really like here is this total so I.
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  Played the over. A little bit earlier today.
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  Over 152 1/2 you can definitely find a 152.
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  You may even be able to find a. Over 150.
• 10:53
  One an apple. Let's hope that.
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  This thing flies. Over regardless of what number
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  you got so. I'll be rooting for the mocks,
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  what I really like tonight. Is this over?
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  So official play here on the. ASG pod is Tennessee.
• 11:04
  Chattanooga and Bradley over. 152 1/2 or again you might find
• 11:09
  a better #152 or 151. And a half.
• 11:12
  Either way, let's get both teams.
• 11:14
  How about in the 80s? That would be nice.
• 11:16
  Next one for you. North Texas and Oklahoma.
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  State this is a nine. O'clock match up tonight the
• 11:21
  most heavily back. Game of the Night North.
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  Texas comes in 26. And eight, just edge the.
• 11:26
  Arkansas State squad. 6560. Three in the second round didn't
• 11:30
  cover though, as a four and a half point home favorite.
• 11:33
  Meanwhile, Oklahoma. State 17 and 17 on the year.
• 11:36
  They just upset. SMU 85 to 80.
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  Three in the second round. They won that game outright as
• 11:42
  an 8 1/2 point. Road Dog.
• 11:45
  So what are we seeing across the market here?
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  Well, this game opened with Oklahoma State around A1 or 1
• 11:52
  1/2 point home. Favorite again?
• 11:53
  True home homecourt advantage here.
• 11:55
  And the public says, yeah, North Texas, you got a way better.
• 11:58
  Record Oklahoma State playing pretty well in the.
• 12:00
  NIT they're at home, they're. Kind of a bigger name school
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  Publix all over. Oklahoma State.
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  So the Cowboys. Right now at DraftKings.
• 12:06
  Are getting nearly 70. Percent of spread bets.
• 12:10
  However. You open minus one 1 1/2 for
• 12:12
  getting 70%. You're at home.
• 12:13
  We would assume you're probably up to. -2 by now minus.
• 12:16
  Three, you know. Adjustment here with a heavily.
• 12:19
  Bet popular side. Moving.
• 12:21
  Basically going. Up making it more expensive.
• 12:23
  To play the popular side. Because odds makers would,
• 12:26
  theoretically. Have a lot of liability.
• 12:27
  On that popular side, therefore. They want to move the.
• 12:30
  Number toward the. Popular side and then.
• 12:32
  Also at the same time. Kind of.
• 12:33
  Make people more intrigued. To play the dog, to mitigate
• 12:36
  their risk. So because they need basically
• 12:37
  North Texas money, because, you know, you're so lopsided toward
• 12:40
  the Cowboys here. That's what you would.
• 12:42
  Think would happen? However, that's not what's
• 12:44
  happened. You have.
• 12:46
  Oklahoma State opening -1 A lot of books are still at -1
• 12:49
  Oklahoma State -1 1/2. A lot of books still at -1 1/2.
• 12:52
  Basically, we're seeing a pretty sharp.
• 12:54
  Line freeze here. So everyone's playing Oklahoma
• 12:56
  State, but the line is pretty much staying 1 or 1 1/2.
• 13:00
  That tells me that the odds makers.
• 13:02
  And you know the? Bookmakers are really more
• 13:04
  concerned about the wise guys. Going contrary and playing North
• 13:07
  Texas than they are. This endless stream of five.
• 13:10
  Dollar $10 bets. That are on Oklahoma State
• 13:12
  because again in a vacuum heavy betting.
• 13:14
  Oklahoma. State they should move up.
• 13:16
  You know, 1/2. Full.
• 13:17
  Point, point and 1/2. Yet we have not.
• 13:19
  Seen that? If you dig.
• 13:21
  A little bit deeper here. North Texas has some.
• 13:22
  Really good bet splits. They're only getting a
• 13:24
  DraftKings. 30% of spread bets, but 50% of the money.
• 13:29
  So not only is. This a 9:00.
• 13:30
  Game heavily back game and if you even.
• 13:32
  Just take away the line freeze. And there's even.
• 13:34
  Some reverse line movement books.
• 13:36
  That were at -1 1/2 Oklahoma State down to -1 even.
• 13:39
  Though the Cowboys are the the popular play even if you just go
• 13:42
  off of. You throw away the line
• 13:44
  movement. Just a 9:00 most heavily back
• 13:46
  Game of the night, everyone playing Oklahoma State.
• 13:48
  Therefore I want to be. Against the masses and with
• 13:50
  North North. Texas that.
• 13:52
  Gives me some excitement to go contrarian and play the mean
• 13:55
  green, but it's again, it's also that that sharp money move
• 13:58
  there. Line freeze even again some.
• 14:00
  RLM toward North Texas now. If you dig a little deeper here,
• 14:03
  Ken Palm has. Oklahoma State winning by one
• 14:05
  point. Again, think of it this way to.
• 14:07
  Oklahoma State is a home. True home favorite here.
• 14:10
  Typically, you're going to get two to three points for
• 14:12
  homecourt. Advantage.
• 14:13
  That means if they're only -1 or 1 1/2 at home.
• 14:16
  Basically neutral site. North Texas should probably be.
• 14:18
  Favored in this game, but. With Ken Palm only having.
• 14:21
  Oklahoma State by one makes it really important to find the
• 14:25
  hook. With North North North Texas.
• 14:27
  So I played North Texas. Plus 1 1/2.
• 14:29
  Again, a lot of books are at 1:00.
• 14:31
  So make sure you shop for the line and find that hook because
• 14:33
  you would hate to, you know? Get plus one and they lose by 1
• 14:36
  and you. Push.
• 14:37
  We really want that hook so we can protect ourselves.
• 14:39
  One point game, we win. But also I noticed if you look
• 14:43
  at. Rhythm, which is really
• 14:45
  interesting. Rhythm actually has North Texas
• 14:47
  favored in this game. So always joke about the Ken.
• 14:49
  Palm sound the alarm when Ken Palm has a team.
• 14:51
  Favored. Yet the betting market has them
• 14:53
  as a dog. Well, this is almost a.
• 14:55
  Rhythm. Sound the alarm.
• 14:57
  Play because. Rhythm actually has North Texas
• 14:59
  -1.1. So that gives me more confidence
• 15:02
  here to go. North Texas.
• 15:04
  Plus 1 1/2. In the betting market.
• 15:06
  Also notice a 13% sharp mush indicator here on the mean
• 15:10
  green, So 13% more of the sharper winning betters in the
• 15:13
  app are on North Texas versus the.
• 15:15
  Losing betters who are leaning toward Oklahoma State.
• 15:18
  Now north. Texas, we know they played.
• 15:20
  Great defense. They play a lot of lower scoring
• 15:22
  games. They have the better offensive
• 15:24
  efficiency. One O 7th in the country versus
• 15:27
  139th. They have the better defensive
• 15:29
  efficiency, 48th versus 84th. North Texas also has the better.
• 15:33
  Effective field goal percentage. So it's not just the defense,
• 15:35
  but 52. Percent versus 49%.
• 15:38
  They shoot the three better. 36% versus 33%.
• 15:42
  And better free throw. Shooting this is huge in a close
• 15:44
  game, especially with such a. Short spread here.
• 15:47
  But. You have the mean Green shooting
• 15:49
  78. Percent from the free throw line
• 15:51
  versus only 72. Percent for Oklahoma State.
• 15:55
  Add it all up here guys, it's a play for me.
• 15:56
  Where? I got to go contrarian with the
• 15:58
  Sharp line freezer RL and. Play and go North Texas again,
• 16:02
  everyone on OK. State you can still get.
• 16:04
  Plus 1 1/2. With a line freeze.
• 16:06
  On the mean green with a really. Good sharp mush indicator.
• 16:09
  And a great Ken Palm. Or not a Ken Palm, but a rhythm.
• 16:12
  Sound the alarm again. Rhythm's got them winning, we're
• 16:15
  getting a point half in the betting market, so I'm going
• 16:17
  mean green. Ten 9:00 tonight plus. 1 1/2.
• 16:22
  Now one more play for you. One more hoops.
• 16:25
  Play. Let's go to the.
• 16:26
  Professional NBA and let's look. Toward a match up here, Oklahoma
• 16:31
  City Thunder and the Sacramento. Kings, this is a.
• 16:33
  Late night game tonight. 10:00 it is on.
• 16:36
  TNT so. Should be very heavily bet.
• 16:39
  In terms of the side we have. Seen this line?
• 16:41
  Move toward OK C. So little background OK C. 59
• 16:45
  and 12 on the year, they're 28 and seven on the road.
• 16:48
  They've already cashed their. Over 56.
• 16:49
  And half win total. The Kings 35 and 36 on the year.
• 16:53
  They just played the Celtics. I watched them last night and
• 16:56
  they lost 113 and 95. South in terms.
• 16:59
  Of the. Side we have seen this line go
• 17:01
  toward the Thunder. They open as well as -10 You've
• 17:03
  now been bet up or sorry -9 up to -10 But what I am interested
• 17:08
  in. Is hopefully a high.
• 17:10
  Scoring game here and it. Looks really sharp.
• 17:11
  It looks really fishy. You might have some
• 17:13
  apprehension. If you look at the previous box
• 17:15
  scores because. Last game, the Clippers played
• 17:18
  the Thunder Thunder. Beat them one O.
• 17:20
  Three to one O 1. So that was a 2O four total.
• 17:23
  And then again. Kings played the Celtics last
• 17:25
  night. It was one. 13 and 95 another
• 17:27
  low total game. However, this total opened at
• 17:30
  2:00. 30. So right off the bat, that tells
• 17:32
  you something. Both these teams flew.
• 17:34
  Way under their last game this total.
• 17:36
  Didn't open at 2:15. It opened at 2:30.
• 17:39
  So right off the bat before the. You know the the sharps and the
• 17:42
  the public had any any say in this game.
• 17:44
  The odds makers are telling you, hey, 2:30 is a relatively.
• 17:47
  High total, we're expecting points in this one.
• 17:50
  We've only seen this thing go. Up.
• 17:52
  So it opened 230, you're now up to two 32232 1/2.
• 17:56
  I was able to find. Over 231 1/2 at ESPN bet so.
• 18:00
  Shop around, that's the number. I got it's.
• 18:02
  Still available right now if. You want to get down on it.
• 18:05
  But we've seen the total go up. It's got a really good bet split
• 18:08
  to the. Over Currently 69.
• 18:09
  Percent of bets, but 90%? Of the money is on the.
• 18:13
  Over here, that is. A plus. 21% smart money.
• 18:16
  Discrepancy toward a higher scoring game.
• 18:19
  I got a bunch of. System matches on this over.
• 18:21
  If you look at non. Division Game.
• 18:24
  In which the over. Stays the same arises.
• 18:26
  That's 257 and two O 9 this year, 50. 5 percent, 5% ROI.
• 18:31
  And if the overrides at least 1/2.
• 18:33
  Point. That's a 54.
• 18:35
  Percent system this year. With a 4% ROI.
• 18:37
  It doesn't hurt that. Both these teams are over.
• 18:40
  Teams Sacramento on the years. 38 and 32 to the over 54.
• 18:43
  Percent OK C is 40. And 32 to the over. 56%.
• 18:48
  Dig a little. Deeper OK C number.
• 18:51
  Eight in terms of pace. So they're quick, they get up
• 18:53
  and down the court, more possessions, more opportunities
• 18:55
  to score. They're also #4.
• 18:57
  Offensive efficiency. It's.
• 18:59
  One of the best offensive clubs. All you know, just.
• 19:01
  Overall, Sacramento #8. An offensive efficiency and
• 19:05
  they're 23rd and. Defensive efficiency, so.
• 19:07
  Sacramento Kings can score. But they also give up a lot of
• 19:10
  points, which is a good sign for an over I mentioned.
• 19:14
  That this was fishy because both these teams went.
• 19:15
  Way under their last game yet. This one opens high and got bet
• 19:18
  up even higher. It also by the way, you know,
• 19:22
  typically I'm an under guy. That's why the NBA is difficult.
• 19:24
  Actually overs have been better in the NBA overall this season.
• 19:27
  Overs are 5. 56 and 5:10. Doesn't seem amazing. 52.2%.
• 19:33
  But you're losing big here. If you're around a, you.
• 19:36
  Know 47.8. Percent system toward the under.
• 19:39
  But here's. What gives you a little?
• 19:40
  More confidence, hopefully. For a higher scoring game.
• 19:42
  The Kings and the Thunder. Played two games this year.
• 19:45
  First one the Thunder won. 1. 30 to one O 9.
• 19:48
  So that'll be 2:30. 9 total points, next one.
• 19:52
  It was a one. 44 to 110 game. So.
• 19:55
  Total of 254. We got it all up here, guys.
• 19:58
  We have a TNT game tonight. We have a big line.
• 20:01
  Move here toward the over you can still get.
• 20:02
  Over 2. 31 and half at. ESPN bet there's a 13.
• 20:06
  Percent sharp mush. Indicator on the over.
• 20:08
  So sharps. Who have the app with?
• 20:11
  Juice Real are playing this over, which is always a good.
• 20:13
  Sign we got good betting system matches good offense.
• 20:16
  Not great defense. I'm hoping for, I don't know.
• 20:19
  A-125 to. 110 game. How about that?
• 20:23
  That would cash are over 231 and a half. 232 by the way.
• 20:27
  I did notice rhythm kind of right on the number.
• 20:29
  They have a final. Predicted total of. 231 point.
• 20:32
  Seven. So you're kind of right on that.
• 20:34
  Edge, but this seems to me like. Kind of a fishy.
• 20:36
  Overplay again I. Always like it when.
• 20:38
  You know, last game you know, but you go way under both teams,
• 20:41
  yet this one opens high and gets bet up.
• 20:42
  Just seems fishy, doesn't make. Sense.
• 20:44
  Let's embrace the fishy side. That doesn't make sense.
• 20:46
  I'm. Rooting for points Thunder.
• 20:48
  Kings, let's get a high scoring game again.
• 20:51
  A lot. Of 232 1/2's. 230 twos out
• 20:53
  there. I got over 230. 1 1/2 and.
• 20:55
  It's still available. At ESPN bet.
• 20:58
  So North Texas. Plus 1 1/2.
• 21:00
  Bradley, Chattanooga. Over over 151 1/2 or one. 52 and
• 21:05
  then also we have the OK C game over again.
• 21:07
  I got 231 1/2. So we have 3 pack of hoops.
• 21:10
  Pro in college. Let's try to go 2 in one eek out
• 21:13
  a winning day. So that about does it for
• 21:15
  episode 242 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 21:19
  powered by Rhythm. It's great to be back.
• 21:21
  I missed you guys last couple days, but as always we.
• 21:25
  Keep grinding no matter what. But anyway, if you enjoy the
• 21:29
  pod, this is part of the pod. We wrap things up and I I.
• 21:31
  First, start by thanking you. Thank you for taking the.
• 21:33
  Time out of your. Day out of your busy lives.
• 21:35
  To pull up a chair to the virtual bar, sweat sharp.
• 21:37
  Contrarian data-driven breakdowns.
• 21:39
  With me it means a ton and if you do enjoy the pod and you
• 21:42
  want to help me grow the pod, let me know you appreciate.
• 21:46
  The hard work that I. Put in.
• 21:47
  Then please do one very basic. Easy thing.
• 21:50
  Give this podcast a five star review.
• 21:52
  If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, go to Rate and
• 21:55
  Review. Give it five stars, you.
• 21:56
  Want to leave a nice comment that's always great if.
• 21:59
  You want to click the. Follow button that way you get.
• 22:00
  Alert as soon as it drops each day.
• 22:02
  That'll be awesome. And if you.
• 22:03
  Want to recommend it to? A friend.
• 22:05
  Even better next if you enjoy this style of betting.
• 22:08
  Breakdown. Data-driven sharp contrarian
• 22:10
  betting. Well, guess what?
• 22:12
  I have a couple books you should check.
• 22:13
  Out first one if you go to. Amazon.com and Type.
• 22:16
  In the. Everything guide to sports
• 22:18
  betting. It's the first book I ever
• 22:20
  wrote. It's basically a crash.
• 22:21
  Course and. If you're especially if you're
• 22:22
  brand new to betting or somewhat, you know, intermediate
• 22:25
  really sets the rules of the road.
• 22:27
  How to read line movement? How to go contrarian?
• 22:29
  How to find sharp action? How to set up a bankroll
• 22:31
  management plan? Chapters on all the major
• 22:33
  sports. It's all included in the.
• 22:35
  Everything guide to sports betting if.
• 22:36
  You want to support the team and grab a copy from Amazon what I
• 22:39
  would. Really really really, really,
• 22:41
  really love for you to do. Is pre-order a copy?
• 22:45
  Of my new book. It's called the.
• 22:46
  NFL sharp betting playbook. It comes out August 12th.
• 22:49
  I cannot wait for. You guys to read it?
• 22:51
  Because I'm very proud of it. I've been working on it.
• 22:52
  For quite a while it's I'm getting some, some sneak peeks
• 22:55
  right now it's it's looking pretty damn good.
• 22:57
  So I'm very excited to get it out there to the masses.
• 23:01
  But if you want to pre-order a copy.
• 23:02
  From Amazon.com. Again, type in the NFL.
• 23:05
  Sharp. Betting playbook that would
• 23:07
  really, really mean the world to me and guess what, when you
• 23:10
  bring the everything. Out of sports betting or your
• 23:11
  pre-order? Copy of the NFL Sharp betting
• 23:13
  playbook to the book. I'll sign them for.
• 23:15
  You I'll buy a beer. Or ginger ale.
• 23:18
  Or a couple. Of I don't know.
• 23:19
  A couple. Of, you know, espresso.
• 23:21
  Martinis, whatever, whatever you your drink of choice is next.
• 23:26
  If you. Haven't done it yet, you got to
• 23:29
  download. Rhythm and juice.
• 23:30
  Real My two favorite sports. Betting apps.
• 23:32
  All you got to do is go to. Wherever you get your apps.
• 23:34
  Of course, Google Play or. ITunes and you just want to type
• 23:38
  in rhythm 1st and download rhythm again.
• 23:41
  They do a great job powering this pod.
• 23:43
  Done great with their their bracket recommendations.
• 23:45
  Their AI driven bracket I probably should have just.
• 23:47
  Tailed the rhythm. AI driven.
• 23:50
  Driven. Bracket.
• 23:51
  I noticed my guy James Santoro out in Vegas crushing it with
• 23:53
  his bracket. But Rhythm is great for their AI
• 23:55
  backed models and. Predictions for.
• 23:57
  Game bets and player props. Before you know, we got.
• 24:00
  MLB, I believe Major League. Baseball.
• 24:02
  What does it start starts just a couple days from now.
• 24:05
  So pretty soon we'll talk MLB every day on the pod.
• 24:07
  Cannot wait. For that but download.
• 24:09
  Rhythm and then after. You do that go download juice
• 24:11
  reel. Juice Reel is another favorite
• 24:14
  sports. Betting app of mine where you
• 24:15
  can follow the all systems go best.
• 24:17
  Bet picks for $4. And $0.99.
• 24:20
  A week support the pod it's. Free if you enjoy it.
• 24:22
  Consider it a tip jar. You can go.
• 24:24
  Grab the the plays everyday. And get some.
• 24:27
  Hopefully some CLV. Plays because I post the sports
• 24:30
  betting plays to the pod a little bit earlier in the day.
• 24:32
  Usually try to pick off some good numbers so you can just go.
• 24:35
  To the social tab or. Click the tweet that I put out
• 24:38
  late afternoon every day we. Also get the Robo Jackson best
• 24:40
  bet picks the sharp motion indicators the arbitrage plays.
• 24:44
  The shop for the. Best line features all
• 24:45
  available. In the Juice Reel app.
• 24:48
  So download Juice Reel, download Rhythm.
• 24:49
  While you're at it, give them a 5 star.
• 24:51
  View in the App Store next. If you need a live.
• 24:54
  Odds page. And you know you need one.
• 24:56
  If you think you don't believe me, you do.
• 24:58
  You got to know. Every game on the board, what's
• 25:00
  available to you. What the line opened at, How it
• 25:03
  moved? All the books listed in front of
• 25:05
  you so you can shop. For the best sign, get the best
• 25:07
  number you. Have to have a live.
• 25:08
  Odds page if you don't have one again, sports betting is.
• 25:11
  Is even. Harder than it already is.
• 25:13
  But if you need a. Live odds.
• 25:14
  Page or you have one. And maybe you're saying to
• 25:17
  yourself, hey, it's really. Expensive.
• 25:18
  Is there a cheaper? Better option?
• 25:20
  Yes, there is. I'd love for you guys to give
• 25:23
  Odds Logic a shot. All you got to do is go to odds
• 25:26
  logic dot. Com slash Josh. 123.
• 25:29
  Make sure you go to. Oddslogic.com.
• 25:31
  And add the slash Josh. 123 and odds logic.
• 25:35
  You will then get. With the slash.
• 25:36
  Josh, 123. A7 day free trial and 50% off
• 25:40
  your first. Month it's usually 99.
• 25:41
  Bucks a month instead. It'll be, you know, half that,
• 25:44
  basically a little less than 50 bucks a month.
• 25:46
  You might say to yourself, yeah, that's still expensive, but
• 25:48
  remember there are live odds pages that are 203 hundred, 506
• 25:52
  hundred. Bucks a month.
• 25:54
  To me odds logic is the best and most.
• 25:56
  Best value play. Which is what you're always
• 25:58
  looking looking for if you are a sports better.
• 26:00
  So go to Odds. Logic.com/josh. 123.
• 26:04
  So that about does it for episode 2. 42 of the ASG.
• 26:07
  Pod powered by rhythm. It's great to be back.
• 26:09
  I miss you guys. But you know what?
• 26:11
  Sports betting is, as I told you, it's my passion, it's my
• 26:14
  life, it's my career. But even if you're not having
• 26:17
  the greatest March Madness. Like like my disappointing start
• 26:20
  with some of my my plays coming up short.
• 26:23
  You feel pretty good about life. When you have to hang out with
• 26:26
  the fam, the apple bombs, the silvers and the whole crew.
• 26:29
  Just gives you that warm. Feeling inside bet.
• 26:31
  Being back with people you love. We.
• 26:33
  Haven't seen in forever. But either way.
• 26:35
  Guys, let's wrap it up. I'll leave you with a couple
• 26:37
  things. One whether I see.
• 26:39
  You at the Borgata? In Atlantic City Twin.
• 26:41
  River in Rhode Island the. Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
• 26:43
  Foxwoods. Or Mohegan Sun down in
• 26:44
  Connecticut. At the Encore in Boston or Plain
• 26:47
  Ridge Park. Casino or MGM?
• 26:48
  Springfield or the Nash? In my neck of the woods around
• 26:51
  Nashville, New Hampshire or of. Course out in the desert where
• 26:53
  the true grinders get down or Billy Walters sends his number
• 26:56
  runners. With lowest juice possible sound
• 26:58
  at the South point or. Sweat and sharp and train.
• 27:00
  Plays jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool when you catch a
• 27:03
  big ticket at Circa. Wherever it may be, you're going
• 27:05
  to walk up. To me and you're going to show
• 27:06
  me a beautiful. Pre-ordered copy of the.
• 27:09
  NFL sharp betting playbook and I I'm.
• 27:11
  Signing it for you and. We're going to sweat.
• 27:12
  Some games together really, really mean a ton to me, guys.
• 27:15
  I appreciate you. Lastly, of course, big big
• 27:19
  winning day. Big losing day.
• 27:20
  Up, down, treading water, hot. Cold doesn't matter.
• 27:23
  We continue to grind and we go. Sport to sport.
• 27:26
  Because pretty soon we're going to have MLB in our life every
• 27:28
  day, which is fantastic. But as always, we're.
• 27:31
  Going to stick to the. Model stick to the.
• 27:32
  Blueprint continue to grind the process, which as you know by
• 27:36
  now, or maybe you don't, maybe you're new to.
• 27:38
  The pod Welcome aboard. If you don't know by now, here's
• 27:41
  here's Use basically the. The Cliffs Notes version of it
• 27:44
  against the. Public with the pros.
• 27:46
  Flat bet Avoid parlays. With the house, as always.
• 27:49
  Get that COV if. We can do that.
• 27:51
  We can find the games that fit our model.
• 27:53
  Again, the sharp plays that don't have too many red.
• 27:56
  Flags and are checking off all the boxes.
• 27:58
  We look for sharp bets with our. Head and not our heart.
• 28:00
  If we can do that. Long term.
• 28:02
  We're going to be successful. Sports betters, so have a great
• 28:05
  Tuesday night everybody and again I look forward to seeing
• 28:07
  you guys at. 4:00 PM Eastern Time.
• 28:09
  For the Rhythm College Hoops live stream.
• 28:12
  And then again, we'll be. Right back at it tomorrow for
• 28:14
  episode 2. 43 of the all. Systems Go sports betting
• 28:17
  podcast. Powered by rhythm.
• 28:19
  Good luck. Everybody and enjoy the hoops.