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Best of LinkedIn: Defense Tech CW 14/ 15 · Best of LinkedIn: Digital Transformation & Tech

• 0:00
  Speaker 0: provided by Thomas Allgaier and Frennus, based on the most relevant posts on LinkedIn about defense tech in CW-IV & XV.
• 0:08
  Speaker 0: Frenness is a BDB market research company that supports ICT providers with a structured Defense Market Entry Framework designed to move them from European defense opportunity landscape to qualified ministry conversations.
• 0:21
  Speaker 0: within six to eight weeks you can find more info.
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  Speaker 1: All right, so let's just get right into this week's deep dive.
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah
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  Speaker 0: Let's do it.
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  Speaker 0: So I want you to imagine like spending decades and pouring billions of dollars in engineering This ultimate impenetrable rhinosuit.
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  Speaker 1: Okay, a rhino suit.
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  Speaker 1: I'm with you
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  Speaker 0: right.
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  Speaker 0: so it's incredibly heavy.
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  Speaker 0: It's built with exquisite precision and its practically invincible against well another charging Rhino.
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  Speaker 0: sure You step out on the battlefield your feelings secure but the threat waiting for you isn't Another rhino?
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  Speaker 0: Its A million angry Hornets.
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  Speaker 0: Wow
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  Speaker 1: yeah.
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  Speaker 1: And you cannot fight a swarm With a thicker suit exactly.
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  Speaker 1: i mean no matter how advanced that armor is sheer volume and Agility.
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  Speaker 1: it's eventually going to find The gaps
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  Speaker 0: and That stark reality Right there Is Completely upending the defense industry right now.
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  Speaker 0: It really is.
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  Speaker 0: we're looking at the major shifts being discussed by defense professionals on LinkedIn specifically over calendar weeks, fourteen and fifteen And that consensus is just undeniable.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah Defense tech is undergoing this fundamental doctrinal shift like the era of focusing entirely On those platform centric exquisite pieces of hardware.
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  Speaker 0: The Rhino suits?
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  Speaker 1: Exactly, the rhino suits.
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  Speaker 1: that's giving way to scalable software-led capabilities.
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  Speaker 1: and today we're gonna unpack the operational reality of this shift
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  Speaker 0: Right like how companies are actually moving from initial innovation real world deployment in these highly contested environments.
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  Speaker 1: And you know, to understand the speed of this market transition we really need to look at the underlying economics first right?
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  Speaker 1: The fundamental math of warfare has just completely flipped.
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  Speaker 1: Dr Jonas Singer shared a breakdown that captures this perfectly.
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  Speaker 0: Oh he saw that post.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah and his conclusion was blunt.
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  Speaker 1: He basically said the traditional main battle tank is becoming a liability
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  Speaker 0: Which is wild to think about.
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  Speaker 1: It Is But we're seeing this proven daily.
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  Speaker 1: I mean a three million euro tank can now be systematically dismantled by a five hundred euro FPV drone.
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  Speaker 0: Just want to pause on that math for you the listener because it is the entire context for this deep dive.
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  Speaker 0: Three million euros destroyed by five hundred euros, it's
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  Speaker 1: staggering.
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  Speaker 0: That has a cost asymmetry.
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  Speaker 0: It just totally breaks traditional defense budgets.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah,
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  Speaker 0: I mean for a century military survivability doctrine was essentially linear.
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  Speaker 1: Right, like just put more steel?
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  Speaker 1: More reactive armor?
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  Speaker 0: More physical mass between the human and threat
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  Speaker 1: Exactly!
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  Speaker 1: And then well them.
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  Speaker 1: the doctrine evolved into stealth right Like preventing enemy from seeing you in first place Sure.
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  Speaker 1: But Singer noted this critical flaw in relying on those legacy platforms today.
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  Speaker 1: They concentrate immense value to a single relatively slow moving target
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  Speaker 0: In.
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  Speaker 0: drones by their very nature are designed.
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  Speaker 0: hunt concentration
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  Speaker 1: Exactly, survivability no longer comes from armor thickness or you know radar absorbent paint.
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  Speaker 1: It comes from dispersion speed and cost efficiency.
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  Speaker 1: if a system is expensive visible and slow it's just a high value.
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  Speaker 1: target mass basically beats sophistication.
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  Speaker 1: now
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  Speaker 0: in the scale of that masses almost difficult to comprehend.
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  Speaker 0: But Jan Hendrik Bolans highlighted this staggering data point that I couldn't believe.
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  Speaker 1: Oh, about the interception rates?
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  Speaker 1: Yes
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  Speaker 0: he noted that Ukraine intercepted a record thirty-three thousand drones in a single month.
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  Speaker 1: Thirty three thousand
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  Speaker 0: and one month.
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  Speaker 0: Yeah!
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  Speaker 1: That completely shatters previous operational records And The threat spectrum there.
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  Speaker 1: it covers everything from those massive Shahid loitering munitions to you know tiny commercial off-the-shelf reconnaissance quadcopters.
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  Speaker 0: Right, and you simply cannot sustain a defense against thirty-three thousand targets by firing legacy surface air missiles?
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  Speaker 1: Oh absolutely not!
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  Speaker 0: Because those missiles can cost hundreds of thousands sometimes millions dollars each.
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  Speaker 0: the economic curve would bankrupt a nation let
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  Speaker 1: alone the physical supply chains.
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  Speaker 1: I mean those would run dry in a matter of days
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  Speaker 0: exactly which leads directly to the solution shared by Tim Desider.
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  Speaker 0: he pointed to Ukraine's Stree-Iral Interceptor.
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  Speaker 1: Oh, yeah.
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  Speaker 1: The one produced by WIY drones with backing from quantum systems?
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  Speaker 1: That's
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  Speaker 0: the one!
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  Speaker 1: Yeah this represents the physical manifestation of the new doctrine...the strela is a purpose-built drone against drone system
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  Speaker 0: and it's fast
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  Speaker 1: superfast.
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  Speaker 1: its heating speeds are four hundred kilometers per hour.
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  Speaker 1: in testing
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  Speaker 0: see that speed is crucial.
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  Speaker 0: we aren't talking about uh hovering a camera over a trench anymore right?
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  Speaker 1: no
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  Speaker 0: at four hundred kilometres per hour.
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  Speaker 0: This effectively an automated scalable missile that operates at an absolute fraction of the cost.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, Ukraine is essentially building a layered drone against drone architecture.
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  Speaker 0: Going back to our analogy they realize they don't need a thicker rhino suit.
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  Speaker 0: They need faster cheaper automated flyswatter.
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  Speaker 1: I love that!
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  Speaker 1: A robotic flieswatter.
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  Speaker 1: It's densification of air defense.
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  Speaker 1: it fills that massive gap between localize electronic warfare, traditional kinetic gun systems and those highly expensive middle defense layers.
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  Speaker 1: So
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  Speaker 0: okay if mass software iteration at low cost are beating slow exquisite hardware how were the traditional defense primes surviving?
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  Speaker 0: Because their entire business model has historically been built around selling massive incredibly expensive systems on like ten to twenty year procurement cycles.
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  Speaker 1: Well, they're being forced to adapt and their doing it by shifting rapidly toward software-defined agility.
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  Speaker 1: Okay A prime example of this emerged in posts from Oliver Waghorn Andre Thompson And Richard Cross regarding BAE systems.
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  Speaker 0: Oh the BATS system Right!
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  Speaker 1: They highlighted BAE's rapid development of BATs which is The BAE Systems Anti Threat System.
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  Speaker 0: It's wild seeing a legacy Prime.
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  Speaker 0: Yeah Act like startup.
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  Speaker 0: I mean, they moved from concept work in October to preparing for live fire trials by early summer.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah that kind of compressed timeline is almost unheard-of For a company of that massive size.
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  Speaker 1: But how do
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  Speaker 0: they do it?
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  Speaker 1: It's the architecture of bats That allows for that speed...it combines smart software electronic warfare
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  Speaker 0: Which means jamming or hijacking the drones radio and GPS signals.
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  Speaker 0: right
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  Speaker 1: Exactly.
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  Speaker 1: It combines that with hard kill capabilities, meaning the physical destruction of the drone all into a single system.
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  Speaker 1: and because the core of this system is software defined they can iterate rapidly without constantly re-engineering the physical hardware.
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  Speaker 0: That makes total sense for new product development.
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  Speaker 0: Yeah.
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  Speaker 0: But Amir Stevenson highlighted a different approach from Lockheed Martin's five G LMAL team that I think genuinely shifts the paradigm.
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  Speaker 1: Oh you're talking about net cents.
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  Speaker 0: Yes, that sense.
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  Speaker 0: So instead of spending five years trying to build test and deploy a brand new network of physical radar towers.
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  Speaker 0: they looked at the environment and realized The infrastructure already exists right?
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  Speaker 0: They're turning commercial five g cellular networks into a real-time AI powered drone detection layer
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  Speaker 1: using existing civilian infrastructure At a military scale.
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  Speaker 1: it's brilliant
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  Speaker 0: exactly For the listener, think about how FiveG works.
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  Speaker 0: Our cities are blanketed in this dense invisible web of radio waves transmitting data to our phones.
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  Speaker 0: when a physical object like an enemy drone flies through that web it creates tiny disruptions almost like dropping a pebble into a still pond and watching the ripples.
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  Speaker 0: Oh!
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  Speaker 1: That's great way to picture it.
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  Speaker 0: And NetSense uses artificial intelligence to analyze those micro-disruptions.
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  Speaker 1: So the AI recognizes the specific ripple signature of a drone.
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  Speaker 0: Exactly, pinpointing its location without requiring a single new piece of hardware.
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  Speaker 1: and it's passive sensing which makes it incredibly difficult for an adversary to detect or jam.
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  Speaker 0: Right unlike traditional active radar Which just broadcasts its position to everyone
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  Speaker 1: right?
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  Speaker 1: And because it relies on software in AI processing rather than Hardware deployment It moves at what the market calls Silicon Valley speed.
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  Speaker 0: You know, I'm glad you brought up Silicon Valley Speed.
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  Speaker 0: Yeah because i really think we need to scrutinize that mentality a bit
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  Speaker 1: okay fair enough
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  Speaker 0: Jody L posted about Andrewle's Fury drone.
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  Speaker 0: this is a highly advanced autonomous aircraft.
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  Speaker 0: it pulls nine Gs It hits Mach .-Nine five delivering fighter jet performance without the hundred million dollar price tag.
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  Speaker 1: its an incredible piece of
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  Speaker 0: tech and she noted he just hit serial production at their arsenal one facility four months ahead Which, as an engineering feat is remarkable.
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  Speaker 0: But my concern is this... If we constantly compress these decision and production cycles aren't we inviting catastrophic risk?
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  Speaker 1: Uh yeah that's a valid point.
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  Speaker 0: I mean we are not delivering food delivery app update here.
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  Speaker 0: We're mass producing lethal autonomous hardware.
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  Speaker 0: if you quote-unquote move fast And break things in defense people die.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah!
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  Speaker 1: That tension exactly what keeps commanders awake at night.
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  Speaker 1: Antonio Bras Montero actually addressed this directly in his analysis.
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  Speaker 0: Who would he say?
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  Speaker 1: Well, he acknowledged that the compression of decision cycles is like... ...the defining feature of modern operational environment.
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  Speaker 1: However He warned speed alone does not win conflicts.
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  Speaker 1: As timelines compress The margin for error narrows drastically.
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  Speaker 1: The risk shifts from acting too slowly to act prematurely based on insufficient understanding
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  Speaker 0: Which makes sense.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, sound judgment under intense pressure remains the critical element that software just cannot fully replicate.
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  Speaker 1: yet.
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  Speaker 0: But how do you actually engineer a system to support Sound Judgment when the operator has to process information at Mach zero point nine five?
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  Speaker 1: You have to focus relentlessly on The human machine interface.
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  Speaker 1: Alexander whip shared an incredible insight on this after returning from A defense innovation trip to Kiev.
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  Speaker 1: Okay He summarized his core finding in a single phrase.
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  Speaker 1: He said, bad UX is giving your enemy a kill switch.
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  Speaker 0: Wow!
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  Speaker 0: Bad user experience as literal killswitch That refriends the entire concept of software design.
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  Speaker 0: Right.
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  Speaker 1: he illustrated this with story from Victory Drones.
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  Speaker 0: What happened there?
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  Speaker 1: So A company engineered new interceptor drone that on paper was flawless.
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  Speaker 1: It matched its main competitor On every technical specification Every capability metric And it even cost less to produce
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  Speaker 0: Sounds like winner.
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  Speaker 1: You'd think so, but when they actually put it in the hands of operators.
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  Speaker 1: It required three to ten times more training
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  Speaker 0: just because of the UX
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  Speaker 1: exactly.
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  Speaker 1: They completely neglected the user interface.
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  Speaker 0: So let's put the listener and those shoes for a second.
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  Speaker 0: you're an operator In a contested zone your adrenaline is spiking artillery Is hitting nearby?
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  Speaker 0: Your hands are probably shaking from the cold And you have what thirty seconds to intercepting incoming through
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  Speaker 1: lucky
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  Speaker 0: Right.
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  Speaker 0: And if your software requires you to navigate through three sub-menus and toggle a series of poorly labeled digital switches just to arm the drone...
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  Speaker 1: Your cognitive load max is out!
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  Speaker 1: Exactly, ...and that cognitive overload will get YOU AND YOUR UNIT CHILD.
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  Speaker 1: Every extra step of complexity every clunky menu every unintuitive alert that you fail to design out of your product is a vulnerability you hand directly to your adversary.
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  Speaker 0: It's terrifying.
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  Speaker 1: It is!
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  Speaker 1: Balancing rapid software iteration with intuitive military grade usability, Is arguably the hardest challenge in this sector right now
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  Speaker 0: Which logically leads us to reality of market structure.
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  Speaker 0: If a single company cannot realistically master the physical aerospace engineering, the electronic warfare integration... ...the AI data processing and flawless UX under fire.
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  Speaker 1: All at breakneck speed!
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  Speaker 1: Right
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  Speaker 0: they have to modularize.
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  Speaker 0: No one can build the perfect Rhino suit alone And They Can't Build The Perfect Hornet Swatter Alone.
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  Speaker 0: Either
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  Speaker 1: NO THEY CAN'T.
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  Speaker 0: This necessitates massive shift toward integrated ecosystems & deep partnerships
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Exactly.
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  Speaker 1: The market no longer rewards standalone gadgets, integration value is the primary currency.
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  Speaker 1: now.
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  Speaker 1: Christian Emmaus, Louis Gamara and Raven Decker highlighted a perfect example of this trilateral collaboration in the counter UAF space.
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  Speaker 0: Oh...the axon partnership.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah So you have Axon integrating their D-drone software, which provides the airspace security and anomaly detection.
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  Speaker 0: Right!
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  Speaker 0: And then Origin Robotics steps in bringing their Blaze Autonomous Interceptor drone as a physical kinetic effecter...
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  Speaker 1: ...and finally Drone Shield layers over top providing advanced detections, sensor fusion & command control capabilities to just tie it all together.
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  Speaker 1: Exactly they are leveraging application programming interfaces APIs and glass hardware instantaneously.
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  Speaker 0: It's a modular stack, but you know while the counter drone space is moving really fast I think that true test of this ecosystem approach happening in maritime autonomy.
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  Speaker 1: Oh for sure.
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  Speaker 0: Claudia Faraday and John JH from Odin Dynamics provided pretty sobering look at this domain.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah!
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  Speaker 1: Jon highlighted that the Maritime Capability Gap is an immediate operational crisis.
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  Speaker 0: Right now adversaries like Iran are actively laying mines in critical shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz.
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  Speaker 0: Meanwhile... The US Navy currently has only four dedicated mine countermeasures hulls left in service.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, and just to clarify for the listener a traditional Mine Countermeasures Hall is a massive slow-moving ship designed specifically to find and neutralize explosive sea mines.
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  Speaker 1: right so having only four Dedicated vessels left to cover global maritime choke points Is a severe vulnerability?
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  Speaker 1: So
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  Speaker 0: what is the solution if building new massive ships takes a decade?
• 13:39
  Speaker 0: Because we don't have a decade.
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  Speaker 1: We don't.
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  Speaker 1: and Faraday pointed out that the technical foundation to solve this already exists in the startup ecosystem.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, we have highly advanced uncrewed surface vessels And more importantly biomedic swarms.
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  Speaker 0: Biomimetic technology is fascinating to me.
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  Speaker 0: That's
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  Speaker 1: so cool!
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  Speaker 1: It
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  Speaker 0: essentially means mimicking nature, right?
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  Speaker 1: Exactly instead of sending a loud easily detectable mechanical submarine to sweep a minefield.
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  Speaker 1: you deploy a swarm of small autonomous underwater drones
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  Speaker 0: and they move like a school of fish.
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  Speaker 1: yes They move communicate and navigate fluidly Because they mimic biological movement, They don't trigger the acoustic sensors on modern sea mines.
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  Speaker 0: That's brilliant!
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  Speaker 1: It is...they can map threat environment passively and safely.
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  Speaker 0: So the technology there?
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  Speaker 0: The constraint isn't physics it's bureaucracy.
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  Speaker 1: Oh always a bureaucracy
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  Speaker 0: Right?
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  Speaker 0: These maritime start-ups are caught in what industry calls valley of death.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah..the Valley Of Death Is essentially bureaucratic purgatory that exists between successful prototype And an actual scaled military contract.
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  Speaker 0: Like, a startup might get a small innovation grant to prove their biomimetic swarm works.
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  Speaker 1: Right!
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  Speaker 1: And the military says this is fantastic.
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  Speaker 1: we will definitely buy it in our next major budget cycle three-five years from now.
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  Speaker 0: But venture backed startups do not have five year's of runway.
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  Speaker 0: They bleed out cash and go bankrupt while waiting for procurement office to finalize paperwork.
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  Speaker 1: Exactly!
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  Speaker 1: Kadri Tamai highlighted that exact dynamic.
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  Speaker 0: What did she find?
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: Speaking at defense events in Greece or Latvia She noted that the technical excellence in these local tech ecosystems is undeniable.
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  Speaker 1: The talent is absolutely there!
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  Speaker 0: But, There IS a massive adoption problem!
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  Speaker 0: Yes
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  Speaker 1: startups are permanently stuck in the pilot phase unable to transition into scaled production.
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  Speaker 0: We clearly need coordinated demand signals To pull this.
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  Speaker 0: innovations out of the lab
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  Speaker 1: We do.
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  Speaker 1: And thankfully, we are actually seeing structural solutions emerging.
• 15:34
  Speaker 0: Oh good!
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: European leadership has finally realized that funding innovation without funding manufacturing capacity is useless.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Hennevere Kuhnen and Viktor Sabaldashov detailed the new EU Agile program on LinkedIn which directly attacks this bottleneck.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: Right.
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  Speaker 0: AGLI is a hundred-and-fifteen million euro pilot program.
• 15:54
  Speaker 0: But the dollar amount isn't really the headline here, is it?
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: No.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: It's the mechanics of The Grant.
• 15:58
  Speaker 0: It offers a hundred percent funding for up to thirty projects allows companies to claim their expenses retroactively and most importantly guarantees four-month turnaround time for the Funding Decision.
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  Speaker 1: Four months' light speed for defense procurement...it
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  Speaker 0: really does!
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  Speaker 1: ...it gives those startups immediate capital bridge they need to survive the Valley Of Death.
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  Speaker 0: And For the Companies that actually make it across Manuel Schmidt outlined the EDIP program.
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: Ah, they European Defense Industry Program?
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: Yes
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  Speaker 0: this mechanism unlocks one point.
• 16:27
  Speaker 0: five billion euros aimed specifically at industrial scaling.
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: That's massive!
• 16:33
  Speaker 0: It is.
• 16:33
  Speaker 0: it funds cross-border coordination and rapid production capacity for critical components ensuring that when a system works The supply chain can actually mass produce.
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  Speaker 1: You know, it feels like we're watching the pieces finally lock into place.
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  Speaker 1: The capital is flowing differently...the procurement terms are modernizing and the softer-defined platforms are ready to scale.
• 16:53
  Speaker 0: Yeah!
• 16:53
  Speaker 0: We were looking at a highly automated AI driven continuously updated defense architecture
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  Speaker 1: which actually brings us to the most unsettling question of this entire transition.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Oh, yeah!
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: If we succeed if AI software integrations and decentralized sensors become the central nervous system of our defense then the next major threat will not be physical.
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  Speaker 0: you're talking about the integrity of the data itself.
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  Speaker 0: precisely...if we rely entirely on a digital picture painted by AI in sensors The physical bomb becomes secondary.
• 17:24
  Speaker 0: The primary threat is someone feeding a hallucination into the AI to make an operator launch a strike at an empty field, or worse their own troops.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Tetiana Cedrenko shared a post from EUDIS hackathon in Poland that really signals this shift.
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  Speaker 0: What happened there?
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: For the first time, The Hackathon introduced a cognitive warfare challenge.
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: Cognitive
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  Speaker 0: Warfare?
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah!
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  Speaker 1: As we remove the human eye from the loop and rely on screens processing millions of data points how do we protect?
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  Speaker 1: So Duranko's team focused on building an automated tagging system for foreign information manipulation.
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  Speaker 0: Because if your screen tells you the hornet swarm is just a flock of birds, yeah You won't even deploy the fly swatter.
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  Speaker 1: Exactly when warfare is entirely mediated through software reality itself becomes contested terrain.
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  Speaker 1: Data poisoning and sensor hacking become the primary vectors of attack.
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  Speaker 1: If your adversary can manipulate the software interface to make you second-guess your own situational awareness, they've won without firing a single shot!
• 18:27
  Speaker 0: It all comes full circle.
• 18:28
  Speaker 0: back to Whipp's point about cognitive load It
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: really does.
• 18:31
  Speaker 0: If the sensors feed you bad data under extreme pressure, all that Silicon Valley speed just helps make a fatal mistake faster.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah
• 18:39
  Speaker 0: The technology solves the problem of the Rhino suit but it opens up an entirely new dimension to vulnerability in mind.
• 18:46
  Speaker 0: if you enjoyed this episode New episodes drop every two weeks.
• 18:49
  Speaker 0: Also check out our other editions on ICT and Tech Insights HealthTech Cloud Digital Products & Services Artificial Intelligence And Sustainability In Green ICT.
• 18:59
  Speaker 0: Thank you for joining us on this deep dive.
• 19:01
  Speaker 0: Make sure to subscribe wherever you get your audio!
• 19:04
  Speaker 0: And as we step back into our day, remember the era of impenetrable armor is over and operating in age at the swarm.
• 19:11
  Speaker 0: The winners won't be those with the heaviest steel but who can process reality, adapt their software or deploy the flyswatter faster than a threat evolves.
• 19:20
  Speaker 0: See ya next time.