Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 08/03/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 08/03/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, fall systems going clear left?
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: What is going on? Ship at Nation YouTube station?
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: Back with my guy Bellman, like I am each and
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: every Monday to break down the seven game slate on DraftKings.
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: You've got coors Field, We've got trade deadline, we got
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: trades flying all over the board. Still two hours left
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: before the trade deadline. So uh, this is definitely gonna
• 0:58
  Speaker 3: feel like an NBA slate. You are gonna definitely want
• 1:01
  Speaker 3: to be around and be able to edit your teams
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: leading up to lock here because we do have I mean,
• 1:07
  Speaker 3: I don't know about how many selling teams we have
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: on here. Obviously the Angels are off here and some
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: of the other teams, but a lot of these teams
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: could be involved in trades, like the Brewers. Still, Cardinals
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: might be doing some stuff. Still, the Cubs are very
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: active right now, so a lot of these teams are
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: very active. And yeah, two hours left, so you do
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: have to monitor that. But Beatman, I'll bring you in man,
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: happy Monday, looking forward to breaking down the show with you.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: How are we doing today?
• 1:35
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I always love Trade Deadline. It brings me back
• 1:38
  Speaker 4: to like my younger days watching it live on EASTBN.
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: I miss those day. It's not gonna lie like you
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: get the news faster now, but it's I don't know,
• 1:47
  Speaker 4: there's something different about it obviously, and times change as always,
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: you know, you get older, so and so on and
• 1:53
  Speaker 4: so forth. But man, it's always exciting. And a couple hours,
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: as you mentioned, so we'll probably get some moves on
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: the show already, some kind of moves. Yeah. I know, Milwaukee,
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: as we talked about before, upgraded their rotation and their pans.
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: Is nice to see Cleveland finally got a power back
• 2:12
  Speaker 4: from the right side, so I'm hoping Cleveland makes another
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: move too. So exciting times right now, and we got
• 2:17
  Speaker 4: a slate to break down a massive course late. You
• 2:22
  Speaker 4: talk about slates like we've had, you know, recently where
• 2:26
  Speaker 4: you have a bunch of spots. This one is very concentrated.
• 2:30
  Speaker 4: You've got, you know, the best offense, you know, one
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: of the bets offenses on the slate against arguably the
• 2:36
  Speaker 4: worst picture in corps. So really good spot for Tampa. Okey,
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: all the moves made the deadline. I think guy like
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: Tampa getting Liam Hix the most, like they needed a
• 2:47
  Speaker 4: boost to their lineup. He's good. I like that race team, man.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that helps a lot.
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: I mean, you're talking about rolling out random alphabet no
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: name catcher right every day the best teams in baseball,
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: which it is shocking to me still looking at this roster.
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: I mean, they got a bunch of platoon guys. We're
• 3:08
  Speaker 3: gonna talk about it again. There's a bunch of pinch
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: hit guys every time they're on a slate. But that's
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: good for real life baseball. That's bad for DFS obviously,
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, gms don't care
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: or don't give a shit about dfs and fantasy points.
• 3:22
  Speaker 3: They care about winning money and making money for the franchise, right,
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: So yeah, Tampa obviously gonna be the talking point of
• 3:29
  Speaker 3: the slate. You sho by projected ownership on the slate,
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: and the top eight guys all come from Tampa. The
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: ninth would be Junior kevinaher. The only reason he's not
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: all the way up there is because he's sixty eight
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: hundred at third base, which is usually a position people
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: like to save money. And it is righty righty there,
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: so obviously we'll talk about it.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: From the pitching seems pretty concentrated.
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: I mean, for me, seems like Cam Schlitler's in like
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: pretty much a tier of his own, like majority of
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: my teams are going to have him on it, and
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: I don't think his ownership is gonna get out of
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: hand because he is eleven to five. People do want
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: to play the Rays who have been priced up in
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: coors Field, so it's gonna be kind of a combination
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: of Schlitler sprote is definitely gonna be the high stone
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: guy on a slate at AK against a strikeout happy
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: Pirates team who over the last month has just been
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: striking out a ton both versus righty's and lefties. So
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: that'll be a talking point at with Brandon sprot to
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: a k Bubba Chandler is gonna get some love, Matthew
• 4:31
  Speaker 3: Boyd might get a little love, which is a little
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: shocking to me against the Dodgers there. So we'll do
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: our best to break it all down here and talk
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: about it. Say hi to a couple of people in
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: Chad here, guy, Sean Sully in here, Benny Gang Green,
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: my guy Nick who's now playing baseball. Welcome to the
• 4:47
  Speaker 3: dark side, Nick. Love to have you over here, Nate,
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: and uh yeah, I appreciate everyone to hit that like button.
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: Hit that subscribe button helps us a ton here, Matt,
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go ahead and add the stone two point
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: zero here onto the screen. When we're gonna go and
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: break down pitching here, let's just break down. Actually, let's
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: go eight K and above and then go eight K
• 5:09
  Speaker 3: and to below because there is some guys down below
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: AK that we can talk about as well, and there's
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: some guys obviously up above AK to talk about too.
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: So Brandon's Brandon's broke down at AK. Production off the chart.
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: Ownership is going to be off the chart. I ran
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: the dry run got about seventy percent of Brandon Sproute
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: paired with the rays, which makes sense right, feels like
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: a pretty clear cut way to play this slate. That's
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: what everyone's gonna do. That's what the optimizer are gonna
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: spit out. So talk about him at eight K. He
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: can get wild at times, have some command issues, but
• 5:38
  Speaker 3: overall he's been a pretty solid pitcher, and the Pirates
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: do have a lot of strikeouts there. That's hence the
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: ownership going to him and then Cam Schlittler all the
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: way up to the top of eleven five. Does he
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: feel like he's a little overpriced here, but the Cardinal
• 5:50
  Speaker 3: has just been absolutely abysmal over the last month. They
• 5:53
  Speaker 3: just can't haven't been hitting right now. The Yankees look
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: very good on offense here tonight, so he should have run.
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: Schlittler is just a fastball guy or like a hard thrower,
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: right pounds the zone.
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: If he's got it, he's got it right.
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: So he has by far the most upside I would
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: say of anyone on the slates, you do have to
• 6:13
  Speaker 3: pay for it. So are you gonna prioritize Cam Schlitzler?
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: Are you gonna play that Chalky brand sprout? Are you
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: gonna mess with guys like Logan web Robleski looks pretty
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: good to me on the other side of that Matthew
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: Boyd game, And then talk about Matthew Boyd as well,
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: get some ownership against the Dodgers here, which on a
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: seven game slate, I don't I don't love picking on
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: one of the best offenses in baseball.
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: Talk to me. Yeah, So to answer your last question,
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: which is almost sided rhetorical, but I'm gonna answer it
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: because it's kind of a big decision point on the
• 6:40
  Speaker 4: slate for me. I think I'm gonna get different at
• 6:43
  Speaker 4: picture tonight, just because I don't love the options obviously.
• 6:47
  Speaker 4: You know Schlittler is an ace for sure. You know
• 6:51
  Speaker 4: a top DFS pitcher, you're just paying for it on
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: this slate. Eleven to five is a hefty tag here
• 6:58
  Speaker 4: when there's expensive bats. So I expect Schlitler to pitch
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: really well, but I'm not gonna be surprised if he's
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: puts up twenty two Fantasy points, which is good, but
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: at eleven five is it worth allocating that much salary?
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: And then Brandon Sprokee, who I understand why he's getting
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: ownership because simply put, we're just not working with a
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: lot to night. The options are limited, You're not going
• 7:25
  Speaker 4: to have too many guys you feel comfortable with. His
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: price tag feels cheap for a strikeout upside, but I
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: think his floor is low against the Pittsburgh lineup that
• 7:36
  Speaker 4: we know has power at least against right handed pitch,
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: and now they've kind of gone in the hole for
• 7:44
  Speaker 4: the past month, I guess since the All Star break
• 7:47
  Speaker 4: haven't been nearly as good. But it's not like Sport
• 7:50
  Speaker 4: is a guy you feel great about to throw a
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: clean outing ever, so I think he comes to his flaws,
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: but I understand why he's getting ownership just because there
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: is no picture on this slate other than Schlitler, who's
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: eleven to five, who you just feel warm and fuzzy about. Robleski.
• 8:07
  Speaker 4: I've been a fan of his this year, coming off
• 8:09
  Speaker 4: a bad outing. He seems fairly priced, so I like him.
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: I'm not super excited about playing him here. I would
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: definitely play him over Matt Boyd. I can't play Boyd
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: against the Dodgers, like, even though I'd rather use a
• 8:25
  Speaker 4: lefty against them, I'm personally not uting Boyd against the
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: Dodgers here. There's a cheaper picture another lefty on the
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: hill of the Night, but like way more boy way cheaper.
• 8:37
  Speaker 4: I think outscore as Boyd, So I'm out on Boyd.
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: I could get talked into Robleski. Logan Webb is tough
• 8:45
  Speaker 4: for me, obviously, we always prefer him at home, and
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: Texas has been feisty against right handed pitching. You got
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: Corey Seger back now. But as far as just arm
• 8:56
  Speaker 4: talent on this slate, I think he's for me at
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: least like the second best pitcher overall behind Schlitler. Like
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: if we were doing a fantasy draft at the beginning
• 9:08
  Speaker 4: of the year, he would go second behind Splitler, not
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: that that's anything for tonight, but to just speak to
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: his talent level. So struggling a little bit with Webb.
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: I don't love him here, but could I play him
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: at low ownership over guys that are in better spots
• 9:23
  Speaker 4: that are less talented. I think so. So that's kind
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: of my decision points right now. How do you see it?
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like a lot of what you said.
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: Dalton Varshall traded to the Astros, which is a big
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: get for them. Obviously we know they struggle with left
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: handed bats in that lineup behind Jordan right.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: So that does help.
• 9:43
  Speaker 3: And it looks like it was straight up for arraghetti
• 9:45
  Speaker 3: for Dalton Varshall. That feels pretty interesting there, and those
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: two teams are facing off here, so maybe a little
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: little pregame work in the old clubhouse there. So shout
• 9:55
  Speaker 3: out to the Astros there, which we'll talk about them
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: when we get to hitting.
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: They look really good to meet tonight here.
• 10:01
  Speaker 3: But pitching, I am kind of prioritizing Cam Slitler just
• 10:04
  Speaker 3: because of the way the slate Cam Schlitzler can go
• 10:07
  Speaker 3: out and post a score that you need right or
• 10:11
  Speaker 3: that nobody else can really come close to. Obviously, that
• 10:13
  Speaker 3: can go both ways, but he looked absolutely locked in
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis is scuffling at the plate right now. I
• 10:19
  Speaker 3: know it's not the best strikeout match up there, but
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: I mean, if Slittler's on his game, I don't really
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: think the matchup matters too much. He obviously throws very
• 10:26
  Speaker 3: hard pounds his own He's got good stuff. So for me,
• 10:29
  Speaker 3: if I can get to Schlitler, I want to get
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: to him.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: That might mean sacrificing a junior Camen Arrow out of
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: a race stack, which feels gross, but you can do that.
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: I like some other offenses on the slate as well
• 10:41
  Speaker 3: outside of Coors Field there, so I do think prioritizing
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: Cam Schlittler is the way I want to approach to slate.
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: I also have a lot of interests in Justin Robleski
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: at nine K.
• 10:52
  Speaker 3: Got pretty decent pitching conditions there in Wrigley Field here
• 10:56
  Speaker 3: tonight temperature is in the upper sixties.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: It's not like it's ninety degrees anymore in the hard
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: of summer here. You got some slight wind blown in
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: as well. Robleski's a good arm. I think he's a
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: quality arm.
• 11:08
  Speaker 3: Cubs do have some bets to kind of scare me
• 11:10
  Speaker 3: off there a little bit, but at nine K at
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: pretty low ownership, nobody's really going to click that name.
• 11:16
  Speaker 3: I think he's my second favorite pitcher up here. Brandon Sprot,
• 11:19
  Speaker 3: I think is fine play on paper. I get the
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: reasoning there five and a half k prop it is
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: juice to the under. But you look at the strikeouts
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: in this matchup here, Pirate's fifth most strike ups against
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: right hand and pitching over the last month. If Sprot
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: can kind of control his his issues right and have
• 11:38
  Speaker 3: his command, I think he can post a score. And
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: I mean that he's projected higher than web Robleski and
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: Matthew Boyd, and he's cheaper than all three of them, right,
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: So that's why the ownership's going there. It's hard to
• 11:50
  Speaker 3: get away. But if you play Brandon Sprot, just go
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: do a different team besides the Rays and naturally and
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: you're just different right there, right, Like, just don't play
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: coors Field, don't play the Rays, which are getting I'm
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: in one hundred percent of projected dry run builds, and
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: it doesn't matter what sports ownership is there. It does
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: feel gross though, playing Brandis brot into this kind of ownership.
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: I liked playing brandisprote a lot this year, earlier in
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: the season when nobody was really playing him, and he's
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: kind of more of a pivot. Now he's the focal
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: point of everybody's roster. I just know how this stuff goes.
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: We've been playing DFS a long time, Matt, Right, this
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: just feels like when everybody just wants to slam this
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: guy in because it's the numbers play, it's the k props,
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: it's the strike up, matchup everything.
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: I just know this goes south, and he is. It's
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: not like he's cheap.
• 12:34
  Speaker 3: I mean, there's a bunch of guys you can play
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: below eight K on this slate and they have probably
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: similar range of outcomes right in this slate. I mean,
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: Sprot's not safe by any means. So he would be
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: my third favorite guy up here. I'm not messing with
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: Logan Webb at ninety five hundred against Texas who've got
• 12:49
  Speaker 3: Corey seger back.
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: I just I like Logan web more at home.
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: He's kind of a turbo ground baller, right, I just
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: sinker baller guy, Like I don't love it again Texas
• 13:00
  Speaker 3: at ninety five hundred. So up up top it's Schlitler
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: Robleski far and away my two favorite guys, and then
• 13:06
  Speaker 3: Brandon Sprote just by de facto of the slate. And
• 13:10
  Speaker 3: if I'm playing him, I'm gonna look to get a
• 13:12
  Speaker 3: little different. Maybe I go to Houston offense or Yankees
• 13:16
  Speaker 3: offense to get a little different than five stack in
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: the Rays in Coors Field with their almost seven applied
• 13:21
  Speaker 3: run total there down below eight k. I think there
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: is some guys we can play here. Michael King looks
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: kind of interesting to me. He ranks really good in
• 13:29
  Speaker 3: our pitcher rankings.
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: I like him. Ian Seymour, a lefty against the Rockies,
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: he is pitching a course field. He does have always
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: pitch count concerns there, just like every Tampa Bay Rays.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: But I mean the price point, the price is right right,
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: sixty nine hundred in that kind of strikeout matchup there,
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's the worst play.
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: I think Bubble Chandler is kind of interesting at sixty
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: six hundred against the Brewers.
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: There, who have kind of been scuffling as of late
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: a little bit.
• 13:54
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Those are kind of three guys that I think are
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: pretty interesting down below as well.
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: What talked to me here?
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: Maybe can can you get to a Brandon fop at
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: seventy two hundred in that matchup pitching out there against
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: San Diego? Talk to me here on the lower tier,
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: I know all of them probably can be played, all
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: of them, You can avoid all of them altogether.
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: Like it's just a really weird pitching slate.
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: Personally, I'm gonna kind of just spread out my exposures
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: down here and just hope that that I kind of
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: find the right guy. But if I had to pick one,
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: Michael King would be my favorite, followed probably by Ian Seymour,
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: but talk to me.
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: Yeah, for me, it's Seymour. I love the price tag.
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: Obviously I hate being in Coors, But if I'm gonna
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: pick on Rockies in Coords, it's gonna be with a
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: left e. Seymour's been good. He's in good form right now.
• 14:45
  Speaker 4: You have the pitch coow concerns and obviously the spot turns,
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: so I think his floor is low, but I think
• 14:49
  Speaker 4: his ceiling is high. For this tag. Ownership isn't gonna
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: really be there. He's cheap, and I don't like pitching
• 14:56
  Speaker 4: on this slate and he's low owned, So like you know,
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: talking about Sproke going back to him for instance, like
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: there's a lot of states recent slates, non recent states,
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: tomorrow's slate, yesterday's slate, whatever, where Sprot would be very
• 15:12
  Speaker 4: low owned because there just be better pictures on the
• 15:14
  Speaker 4: slate today aren't better pictures. So I don't think Seymour
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: is some great play, but he's not getting ownership when
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: a guy like Sprot is gonna be really really popular.
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: I think their range of outcomes are much more similar
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: than the field does. And you're playing one thousand more
• 15:33
  Speaker 4: for stroke now, I think you obviously feel safer about Sproke,
• 15:37
  Speaker 4: you know, not in cores, and I think his floor
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: is probably lower, but I don't even know about that.
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: His floor can be pretty low on any given day.
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm in Seymour here. I like him. I
• 15:49
  Speaker 4: think you can play him with anyone, someone who's not
• 15:53
  Speaker 4: crazy extensive to just get all the extensive bats, or
• 15:56
  Speaker 4: if you want to play Schlitler, he's an easy guy
• 15:58
  Speaker 4: to play with him still get expensive back. So I
• 16:02
  Speaker 4: think I'm in on Seymour night, and mostly because I
• 16:06
  Speaker 4: just don't love the option, like any of the other options.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that.
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: Like I said, I mean, I think Michael King, Seymour,
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: Bubba Chandler kind of the three main guys I'd look
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: at down here, pair with those three guys up top,
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: and I'm looking at kind of six guys in my
• 16:22
  Speaker 3: main pitching pool.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 16:24
  Speaker 3: You guys got you could spread out. I'm not messing
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: with Cale Contrel. I saw some talks about that. I mean,
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: he's he's a no for me, but I think you
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: could do obviously worse. He is six K and on
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: a weak pitching slate. Not messing with the Lorenzen mcgreevy's
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: due for some regression. Not playing him in Yankee Stadium
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: getst a bunch of lefties. I don't think that's interesting.
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: Javier's looked atrocious, Bieber's looked atrocious. So not messing with
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: those two guys. So yeah, I mean Brandon, Fat, Seymour, Chandler, King, Sproute, Robski, Schlitler,
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: those are kind of the seven main guys that I
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: see pitching overall, with a heavy assists on Cam Schlittler
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: as kind of my priority, followed by Robuski. Let's jump
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: over here, Matt any any any closing takes from you
• 17:08
  Speaker 3: from a from a pitching.
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: Oh, it's pretty good, pretty ugly all the way around.
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: So if you have a strong take on anyone, play
• 17:15
  Speaker 4: that guy or play the ownership game. Just a pretty
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: ugly pitching slate which I don't love. But everyone's playing
• 17:23
  Speaker 4: with the same field.
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: Yeah, everyone's got the same deck of cards and H.
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, hopefully you, hopefully you beat H beat everyone else's
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: hands right with the two that you're dealt.
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: So well, we'll play that game.
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: Let's talk offense with his week at pitching is I
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: think offense is a little better here. Obviously we're you
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: got the Rais right, everyone knows the Rays are on paper.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: The best spot ownership is gonna follow, like I said
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: off the top of the show here. But another really
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: good spot in my opinion here is the Yankees. We
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: just talked about Jojo Romero getting traded away from the Cardos.
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: That's a lefty gone out of their pen. They traded
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: some other guys away, and I think the Yankees are
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: probably my favorite stack on the slate when you consider
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: their ownership. Looking at it, I mean it's close between
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: them and the Astros, but seeing pretty low ownership against
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: Michael McGreevy, who's due for big time regression, especially against
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: the left side, and he's gonna.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: Face eight lefties in Yankee Stadium.
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: When the Yankees got their ace going on the mound,
• 18:22
  Speaker 3: I mean, I think this is this is a slam
• 18:25
  Speaker 3: the chips in for me here with with the Yankees.
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: I love all the lefties here. It's eighty eighty degrees
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: to start the game here. Some win kind of blowing
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: across the field, but more so out towards that short
• 18:35
  Speaker 3: porch in right field, which we love for that left
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: handed power. Talk to me here, Yankees looked amazing, especially
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: with the limited lefties if any lefties available in that
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: Saint Louis polepen, which is one of the league worst.
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's bottom bottom six in the league
• 18:53
  Speaker 3: in terms of x FIP.
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: All things point to a Yankees. A Yankee steamroll here.
• 18:59
  Speaker 4: Yeah. I also so, I really really like the Yankees tonight.
• 19:01
  Speaker 4: I got no argument with anything you said. McGreevey's a
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: picture I picked on all year. I was mad I
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: stacked the Cubs lastly he was on because I've done
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: him almost every start he's pitched, and I didn't last
• 19:14
  Speaker 4: time I had Fomo, Cubs went off, So now I
• 19:17
  Speaker 4: don't want to have that Fomo again. So the Yankees
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: are righty top my list. Man, it's hard to say
• 19:23
  Speaker 4: any stack on paper looks better than the race, because
• 19:26
  Speaker 4: they don't. But considering ownership, yeah, the Yankees are right
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: up there as my favorite stack, and I could see
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: prioritizing them in any size field because you're gonna get
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: a massive ownership discount. They're not even going to be
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: the second highest team on the slate behind the Rays.
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm right with excuse me, I'm right there
• 19:46
  Speaker 4: with you. I like the Yanks a lot tonight.
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there. I'm not messing with the Cardinals.
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: I just I know it's not even like Schlitler's gonna
• 19:54
  Speaker 3: be mega, mega chalk by any means because of his
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: salary there. So I mean, yeah, you can throw the
• 19:59
  Speaker 3: word leverage in there, but I just I don't think
• 20:02
  Speaker 3: I'm signing up to play the Cardinals.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you wanted to mess with a Weatherhill.
• 20:05
  Speaker 3: Who's back in there, a Burlison Walker, if he can
• 20:08
  Speaker 3: figure out how to hit after the home run derby,
• 20:10
  Speaker 3: maybe that's but weather Holt and Burlison would kind of
• 20:13
  Speaker 3: be the guys. Maybe Herrera as a controller and catcher
• 20:16
  Speaker 3: with some power, but Yankees a good bullpen, good starting pitcher,
• 20:20
  Speaker 3: the best arm on the slate. I just don't think
• 20:22
  Speaker 3: there's a need to mess with the Cardinals. It is
• 20:24
  Speaker 3: baseball at the end of the day. Anything can happen.
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: Large field tournaments, things like that one hundred and fifty
• 20:29
  Speaker 3: maxers you're gonna have, You're gonna see people exposed to
• 20:31
  Speaker 3: the Cardinals. It's just I don't think it's the best
• 20:35
  Speaker 3: way to approach the slate person myself. Next game on
• 20:39
  Speaker 3: the slate, Brewers and the Pirates two offenses that aren't
• 20:42
  Speaker 3: gonna get played on the slate, two pitchers, one pitcher
• 20:45
  Speaker 3: for sure, and Brandon spilt that's gonna get played. So
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: if you had to pick a side, I mean picking
• 20:49
  Speaker 3: off some of these lefties, I think it isn't the
• 20:51
  Speaker 3: lefty power here from the Pirates. I don't think it's
• 20:54
  Speaker 3: the worst play in the world. Brandon sprot can get wild,
• 20:57
  Speaker 3: like I talked about. I mean, he does have a
• 20:58
  Speaker 3: twelve percent walk rate to to both sides of the plate.
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: He does give up some power to both sides so Valdez, Reynolds,
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: Brendan Lau, Gonzalez, all these guys can can hit for
• 21:09
  Speaker 3: some power, especially over the last thirty days. Against right
• 21:11
  Speaker 3: hand and pitching. You do get leverage against the highest
• 21:13
  Speaker 3: on pitcher, like I talked about on the slate. Still
• 21:16
  Speaker 3: not a great game for stacking. I think both of
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: these teams find a way in terms of stacks on
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: the slate just because of how the slate shakes up
• 21:25
  Speaker 3: and only having seven games. But these are two teams
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: that I don't love from a stacking perspective. Probably actually
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: lean Pirates over my Brewers here, which I know, surprise surprise,
• 21:35
  Speaker 3: Chat's gonna go crazy. Might have to check my pulse,
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: but yeah, that's kind of how I see it.
• 21:40
  Speaker 4: Don't believe you. We just don't believe you, no matter
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: what you said, Well you love the Bruice, just play it.
• 21:45
  Speaker 4: I mean, I'm more with you here. I guess like
• 21:50
  Speaker 4: I do think I might like Brewers more than you,
• 21:53
  Speaker 4: which sounds weird to say, just because I don't think
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: Chandler's very good. Now. The problem is always the Bruises.
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: They don't have a home, and you're gonna need that
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: on this slate. So I guess for me, I don't
• 22:05
  Speaker 4: using the Brewers is like one offs or men stacks
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: because they have good hitters throughout their lineup, and Chandler
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: are not very good with the Pirates. Their lineup isn't
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: nearly as good, but you get leverage. So I think
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: both of these teams are like mid tier stacks. It's
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: just hard to prioritize them, like you mentioned with so
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: many other like really good stacks.
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: For the board.
• 22:24
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you want the Lefties against Chandler. It's
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: just you don't know if you're gonna get a pitch
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: to hit. I mean, he just throws super hard, has
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: no idea where the pitch is gonna go. So I mean, yeah,
• 22:33
  Speaker 3: Jake Bowers looks great, Bryce Trag looks great, Garrett Mitchell
• 22:36
  Speaker 3: looks good. I mean the power Lefties for the Brewers,
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: of what power they do have, but I mean fifty
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: three hundred for Trag, forty nine hundred for Yelich, four
• 22:45
  Speaker 3: Bowers would be by far Bowers, Mitchell, Lara kind of
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: those cheap lefties at the back half would be more
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: of my preference. But as like a full stack, which
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: I prefer if I'm playing the Brewers to full stack
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: them outside of like a Bowers one off or a
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: terrain About one off, I prefer to full stack to
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: Brewers because to your point, right, they don't hit a
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: lot of home runs, and they get there with Steele's
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: and small ball and occasional hit a home run here
• 23:08
  Speaker 3: or there.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: So in that regard, I'd rather just full stack.
• 23:11
  Speaker 3: The Pirates gets the highest one pitcher on the slate,
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: who also is susceptible to some power and can have
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: command issues as well. So that's kind of how I
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: see the game overall. Next, put on the slate Giants
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: in the Rangers. I think you could mess with some Giants,
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: but into ownership, I don't love it here losing Louis Arayaz,
• 23:32
  Speaker 3: who's kind of always put the ball in play, usually
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: is on base more times than not.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: For the Giants, they don't have him in there.
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: You're gonna get some cheap guys in this lineup for sure,
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: like a Drew Gilbert and that. But I mean, cal
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: Quantro is not great by any means. He's actually pretty
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: bad in my opinion. Texas bullpen has not been that
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: great either, So you could see a scenario here where
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: the Giants have a path, but I hate this ballpark
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: compared to other spots in the slate. I just I
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: can't prioritize this game, and Giants are getting ownership just
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: because of cal Quantrill.
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: Everybody stacks to gets them.
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: I don't think it's the worst play in the world,
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: but I'd actually probably rather prefer the Brewers and the
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: Pirates to the Giants in that last game than this
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: game and the ballpark added in what do you see?
• 24:21
  Speaker 4: This is one I'm definitely torn on because Quantrille is
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: the guy that I stacked against all I mean, he won.
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: He's one of my favorite pitchers aacans He's just that bad.
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: He's one of the worst pitchers in baseball. But I'm
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: not excited about the Giant lineup. I don't like this ballpark.
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: You mentioned they lost a rise. You can't play both
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: their first base guys, so I do feel like like
• 24:46
  Speaker 4: I can't do it. You mentioned him in asking me
• 24:49
  Speaker 4: went over pictures. If they're never a slate to play Quantrill,
• 24:52
  Speaker 4: I couldn't hate anyone who played him tonight. I can't
• 24:54
  Speaker 4: believe I'm even uttering those words, but yeah, that's the
• 24:58
  Speaker 4: picking that we're dealing. With We've got some really good
• 25:01
  Speaker 4: offices on this slate, and I think getting different a
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: picture is worth a lot tonight. So yeah, as much
• 25:07
  Speaker 4: as I want to like San Francisco because it's squadtrill
• 25:09
  Speaker 4: into ownership, with this lineup on this slate, it's a
• 25:12
  Speaker 4: tough sell for me. And I'm not interested in Texas
• 25:16
  Speaker 4: against Logan Web.
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah, no interest picking on on a ground bowler in
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: this globe life one of the worst parks in baseball
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: for hitting. I mean, if you want to ride the
• 25:27
  Speaker 3: hot Ham and Jock jams right, I don't know what
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: Ham which you had to do. Jock said, screw you Ham,
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: your your dusty ass. I'm gonna show you I can
• 25:35
  Speaker 3: still hit home runs here. So I mean that dude's
• 25:37
  Speaker 3: been raking three D two ice over the last month.
• 25:40
  Speaker 3: No strikeouts really to be had. Him and Langford, I
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: think are two okay plays. But I don't really love
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: picking on a Logan Web. You do have a pretty
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: bad bullpen behind Logan Web fifth worst and baseball in
• 25:51
  Speaker 3: terms of X FIT. It's just I think Logan Web
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: does 't off that you're gonna see the platoon guys.
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: He usually goes six or seven innings.
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: So then you got the you got the back end
• 26:01
  Speaker 3: of that bullpen, which most teams have at least serviceable
• 26:04
  Speaker 3: arms there, and you got fresh arms coming out.
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: So I don't love it.
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: And yeah, the Giants, I mean Devers are Eldridge one off,
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: I mean something like that I think is interesting.
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: It just it sucks you have Noah Rayahs.
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: You can't play both these guys at first base, like
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: you alluded to, they're getting ownership. I just I don't
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: know I could see a path where they get there,
• 26:25
  Speaker 3: just because Cal Quantrill is horrible.
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: But everyone knows that.
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: And that's kind of if people are looking for value,
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: I think this is the team they're going to go
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: to to fit in with the Rays and their Yankees
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: power bats. Is some of these Giants guys, I think
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: personally because you look at it. I mean, their highest
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: priced guy is Rafael Devers at forty two hundred dollars, right,
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: So that's kind of You're gonna see a lot of
• 26:46
  Speaker 3: builds with Tampa Bay Rays, Brandon Sproute and some value guys.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: From the Giants.
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: I think next fun on the slate here Dodgers Cubs,
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: Matthew Boyd Robleski Robleski had a lot of interesting not
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: so much in Matthew Boyd.
• 26:59
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: Not the best hitting environment in Wrigley, but it's not
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: horrible by any means, and it's still the Dodgers. You got, Kiki,
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: Do you love me?
• 27:08
  Speaker 3: Right? Shout out to g Riisen He would love that.
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: He'd be saying that for sure. Against the lefty third
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: base outfield eligibile eligible thirty five hundred. I mean you're
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: probably looking at two at bats from him. He probably
• 27:20
  Speaker 3: gets pinch hit for. But Andy pie has has some
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: a bunch of power against lefties. Tommy edmund O'tani obviously
• 27:27
  Speaker 3: is incredible. Freeman is still good lefty lefty Mookie Betts.
• 27:30
  Speaker 3: I think he could get pretty contrarian here with with
• 27:34
  Speaker 3: some uh, with some Dodgers here, obviously school ball in
• 27:37
  Speaker 3: the locker room. I think school ball slated to start
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: tomorrow as well, so maybe some more bus for the
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: Dodgers if they needed anymore, any any interest from best
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: offensive baseball against a fairly chalky Matthew Boyd or how
• 27:52
  Speaker 3: do you see it?
• 27:54
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you can definitely play some Dodgers here.
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: I mean, you don't love the offensive conditions, but it's
• 28:00
  Speaker 4: the Dodgers low owned against a pitcher who's fine. I mean,
• 28:06
  Speaker 4: Matthew Boyd isn't a guess can, but certainly not a
• 28:10
  Speaker 4: guy I'm afraid to use bats against, especially when we're
• 28:12
  Speaker 4: talking low owned Dodgers. Now, they're defensive and they're clearly
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: then the best spot on the slate. But it's a
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: small slate. Yeah, I could definitely buy some Dodgers here.
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: I mean again, I think you're just playing into the
• 28:26
  Speaker 4: fact that the Dodgers are really, really good and they're
• 28:29
  Speaker 4: going to be low owned. That's it. But that's probably
• 28:33
  Speaker 4: all you need because on any slate, like man just
• 28:39
  Speaker 4: that even their lineup, their upside is higher than Tampa's tonight.
• 28:43
  Speaker 4: But their lineup is just so much better than Tampa's, Like,
• 28:49
  Speaker 4: even in this spot, I think their upside is higher
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: just because their home run upside is always going to
• 28:54
  Speaker 4: be the highest. So yeah, I could buy the Dodgers here. Yeah.
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: I mean, you look at Matthew Boyd, right, He's he's
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: below average against righties, he's above average with ground balls
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: and strikeouts to the left side. The issue is is
• 29:06
  Speaker 3: his two lefties is gonna face his Otani and Freeman
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: Kyle Tucker, which obviously, I mean, Kyle Tucker has felt
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: falling off the face of the earth this season, but
• 29:14
  Speaker 3: he's still at the core a good baseball player.
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: And then you're gonna see.
• 29:19
  Speaker 3: Six right handed hitters with some power, right so, I mean,
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: you look at him, Matthew Boyd gives up a ton
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: of fly balls to the right side. So those guys
• 29:27
  Speaker 3: you're looking at, TiO Hernandez, Mookie bats pahz Edmund, all
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: of those guys hit the ball in the air.
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be unowned. And then you look at the
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: Cubs bullpen.
• 29:34
  Speaker 3: They did obviously make some trades, but I would assume
• 29:39
  Speaker 3: some of those guys are not available tonight, especially the
• 29:42
  Speaker 3: relievers that they picked up today from like the Angels.
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: In that Cubs bullpen kind of middle of the roads.
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: That's why they're adding to it at the deadline here,
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: because they're gonna try and gun for the Brewers in
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: the division here and make a run at the NL
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: here to see if we can't chase the coattails of
• 29:57
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers in the playoffs. I think the Dodgers are
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: pretty interesting on paper. No Cubs interest for me, really.
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: Suzuki you can always pick a power guy like him,
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: Carson Kelly at thirty four hundred with some power at catcher,
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: which usually I like to include ketcher in a stack,
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: but if I'm not, it's either punting all the way
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: down to the bottom or kind of living in that
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: three k range with a guy who has some power,
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: and Carson Kelly fits fits that script a little bit there.
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: But yeah, Dodgers I think are super interesting. I put
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: them behind the Yankees and probably the Astros as well
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: in this next game that we're going to talk about here, but.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: I think they're right there.
• 30:37
  Speaker 4: Behind the Raid.
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: I mean they're kind of fourth for me, behind the
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: Rays as kind of the top four teams in the slates.
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: I mean, they're they're gonna be on ound on a
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: seven game slate with full letting at bats, So it
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: does check out to me. Next spot Astro's Blue Jays.
• 30:52
  Speaker 3: I like the spot a lots. Bieber I had one
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: good start since his return from the ile stint and
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: his injuries and has looked atrocious since. I mean what
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: he has six walks in one inning last last week.
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: He's horrible to the left side. The issue is is
• 31:10
  Speaker 3: Jordon could get walked like three times here and then
• 31:13
  Speaker 3: Parade's walker. I mean, the Astros have been against right
• 31:16
  Speaker 3: handed pitching, the best team in baseball over the last month.
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: They lead the league in ops.
• 31:21
  Speaker 3: I didn't see they were nine and one in the
• 31:23
  Speaker 3: last ten going into yesterday. I didn't didn't follow it
• 31:27
  Speaker 3: all the way through if they won yesterday. But they're
• 31:30
  Speaker 3: red hot right now. They look pretty damn good to
• 31:32
  Speaker 3: me on paper. Ownership is not going to be there
• 31:34
  Speaker 3: because obviously that Corse field in a seven games slate,
• 31:37
  Speaker 3: Toronto does have a good bullpen. There is a war
• 31:39
  Speaker 3: worry there. But if they could jump on him early,
• 31:42
  Speaker 3: I mean, I think you could, you could see a
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: path to success here for this game. And I don't
• 31:48
  Speaker 3: think the Toronto side is that bad either. I mean,
• 31:51
  Speaker 3: I don't think Javier is a good pitcher at the
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: current States. Issue is I just don't love picking out
• 31:57
  Speaker 3: individual Blue Jays bats here, so it's probably just a
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: full stack or nothing for me.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: But Okamoto has been great.
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: At four K at third base, Springer's starting to hit
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: a swing a better bat. He's still forty two vlads
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: outside of Toronto, so maybe he can find a home run.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: But talk to me, here, how do you see this game?
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: It looks really good on paper to.
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: Me, Yeah, I also agree with you, Like, man, I
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: want to believe Bieber still is talented because he's Cleveland Legends,
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: is good for the for Cleveland forever. But man, he
• 32:26
  Speaker 4: just doesn't have it anymore. I got burned yesterday by
• 32:30
  Speaker 4: the Blue Jays and by going with a team against
• 32:33
  Speaker 4: the has been ace the Cardinals against Max Scherzer. So
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: that's my only hesitancy with this game. But on Payper,
• 32:41
  Speaker 4: I'm right there with you. Both. These teams look really
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: really good. Contrarian stacks off the Rays, you get a
• 32:47
  Speaker 4: Blue Jays lineup that I was gonna say cheaper, but
• 32:50
  Speaker 4: if our show is already bru cheap himself, so probably cheaper.
• 32:54
  Speaker 4: The guy who's replacing is like two K, they're gonna
• 32:57
  Speaker 4: be cheap. I wonder if if Arso is in the
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: Astros lineup tonight, you know, considering they play, that'll be
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: interesting to see Houston looks against Bieber. The walk thing
• 33:06
  Speaker 4: I'm a little bit worried about. And yeah, like there's
• 33:11
  Speaker 4: jord On, who you're paying Boohoo box for just walk
• 33:15
  Speaker 4: a bunch of times, which is not what you're looking
• 33:16
  Speaker 4: for maybe, but his upside is obviously really high here,
• 33:19
  Speaker 4: like maybe paying your walks to lead off the game
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: and Bieber has to throw over strikes or whatever the
• 33:25
  Speaker 4: case may be. I could I could get in on
• 33:27
  Speaker 4: both offenses here for sure.
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there.
• 33:31
  Speaker 3: I do lean the Houston side over over the Toronto
• 33:33
  Speaker 3: side to looking at it, but I think this game
• 33:37
  Speaker 3: could could shoot out on both sides, and I wouldn't
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: be shocked to see this game outside outscore cours overalls
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: as a whole. So this is kind of my first
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: game going to which isn't gonna be super contrarian, but
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: I mean, Tampa Bay is just soaking up so much
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: ownership that nothing else really matters on the slate. So
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: I put Houston up there with the Yankees is kind
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: of my one A, one B as pivots off the
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: Rays when I'm looking at things. And I do have
• 34:00
  Speaker 3: Toronto ahead of teams like the Brewers, like the Pirates,
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: like the Giants, probably even like the higher than the
• 34:07
  Speaker 3: Dodgers as well, just because.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: Their salaries are much more.
• 34:11
  Speaker 3: And I talked about wanting to prioritize Slitler up at
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: the top and then maybe I can get to Robeski
• 34:17
  Speaker 3: and just say screw everyone punting pitching. I'll just play
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: two spind up pitching and five stack Toronto or something
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: like that, right, so gets you on a different roster
• 34:25
  Speaker 3: construction than what the field is doing. So in those
• 34:28
  Speaker 3: type of builds, I think definitely the Toronto side, but
• 34:32
  Speaker 3: even the Houston side too, I think can allow you
• 34:35
  Speaker 3: to do that overall, which I think is super interesting
• 34:38
  Speaker 3: on a slate like this when it feels.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: Very cut and dry. Let's talk about it here.
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: Let's talk about Tampa Bay facing one of the most
• 34:44
  Speaker 3: attackable pitchers in all of baseball, still trotting out there
• 34:48
  Speaker 3: making starts for the Rockies.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: We know Corus Field doesn't boost home runs.
• 34:52
  Speaker 3: It boosts a lot of singles, doubles, extra base hits,
• 34:56
  Speaker 3: stuff like that, and that fits right into the raised
• 34:59
  Speaker 3: deck of cards.
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: The issue I have when a team.
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: Like Tampa Bay, right, who throws pinch hitters left and right?
• 35:06
  Speaker 3: I mean, okay, so if they jump on Lorenz and Early,
• 35:09
  Speaker 3: I mean you're probably gonna see a left he come
• 35:12
  Speaker 3: out of that pen there for the Rockies, and you're
• 35:14
  Speaker 3: looking at pinch hits for a lot of these guys.
• 35:18
  Speaker 3: I mean Victor Mesa, if he starts, he's a pinchhit guy, Palacios,
• 35:22
  Speaker 3: Chandler Simpson. I don't know if Liam Hicks is going
• 35:24
  Speaker 3: to be in the line up there tonight. I just
• 35:28
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of pinch hit risk with the Tampa
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: Bay Rays. They are going to be by far and
• 35:32
  Speaker 3: away the highest down. They look like the best stack
• 35:34
  Speaker 3: on paper. I think I'd actually prioritize playing Junior Kem
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: n Arrow in my race decks, because, as crazy as
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: that sounds, I think he goes overlooked to an extent
• 35:46
  Speaker 3: compared to a guy like Yandi Diaz. I think that
• 35:49
  Speaker 3: you can say a thousand dollars and play him at third.
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: Obviously you can play them both. But talk to me here,
• 35:54
  Speaker 3: how do you see coors Field. I don't have as
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: much interest in the Rockies, but I do think obviously
• 36:01
  Speaker 3: the Rays very very good spot overall on paper. Is
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: it's just the ownership, right, That's kind of the argument
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: you're making against him, and then the pinch hit But
• 36:10
  Speaker 3: how do you see it?
• 36:12
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm right there with you. The pinch hit risky,
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: I guess, is real. But the counterpoint to what you
• 36:17
  Speaker 4: said is like if they do jump on the Reds
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: in early, like, are they gonna pinch hit if they're
• 36:22
  Speaker 4: up six seven runs? Maybe they might. They might not, though,
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: but in order for that to even be a question,
• 36:29
  Speaker 4: you would need them to get up big. So it's
• 36:30
  Speaker 4: definitely a question here. And yeah, I like the camin
• 36:35
  Speaker 4: Aro call because he's so expensive. It's just hard to
• 36:37
  Speaker 4: spend seven K on any hit or ever. So that's
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: why ownership is not gonna be crazy high. And I'm
• 36:44
  Speaker 4: sure the cheap guys with pinchhip risk are gonna be owned.
• 36:47
  Speaker 4: So I think you know, building your raised acts with
• 36:51
  Speaker 4: expensive guys make sense. It always stinks for them. You
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: can't play Diez, Roonda and Cameron Aro, but you can
• 36:57
  Speaker 4: only stack five guys anyways, and then to give the lineup.
• 36:59
  Speaker 4: So the Rays, yeah, it's just an ownership thing, Like
• 37:02
  Speaker 4: they're gonna be really highly owned tonight, but they deserve it.
• 37:07
  Speaker 4: They're for me, by far, the most likely team to
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: be the top stack. So while we still take the
• 37:14
  Speaker 4: field over them, you got to get the field right.
• 37:17
  Speaker 4: You can't just take the field. You've got to get
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: whoever it is in the field that outscores them, right,
• 37:21
  Speaker 4: And that's a tough proposition, even though we've talked about
• 37:24
  Speaker 4: other teams we like. But it's also a tough proposition
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: to get to the top of tournaments with a Ray
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: stack because so many people are gonna play them. You
• 37:32
  Speaker 4: need to be perple with your race stack and then
• 37:34
  Speaker 4: perk with the guys you play around them. So it's
• 37:38
  Speaker 4: classic DFS right here. I think you can build really
• 37:41
  Speaker 4: good lineups with Tampa and without Tampa. It's just a
• 37:44
  Speaker 4: matter of how you want to play it.
• 37:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Bernardino is the only lefty reliever for
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: the Rockies that I'm seeing. He is rested. The whole
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: Rockies Bullpen is rested. So you're probably looking at in
• 37:58
  Speaker 3: a perfect scenario if you're the Rockies, probably looking at
• 38:00
  Speaker 3: five innings out of Lorenzo and then piece mailing platoon
• 38:04
  Speaker 3: advantages left right and kind of however you set it up.
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: And to Kenny's point in the chat, I mean, the
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: Rays don't give a shit. They'll pinch it even if
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: they are up half the time six seven runs. It's
• 38:16
  Speaker 3: just how they do it. I don't know, it's just
• 38:18
  Speaker 3: it's good, Like I said, for real life, sucks for DFS,
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: and I do have worried, but on paper they are
• 38:24
  Speaker 3: far and away the best overall stack. I do think
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: I prefer the Yankees and the Astros to them. Personally myself,
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: definitely the Yankees for sure, I'm prioritizing over the Rays.
• 38:34
  Speaker 3: When you add it in, you add the ownership discount,
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: the less pinch hit risk, and bad bullpen for the Cardinals. There, Rockies,
• 38:45
  Speaker 3: I'm with you. I don't have much interest in the Rockies.
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: I mean, Hunter Goodman looks like an elite one off
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: spend up sixty two a catcher feels very very gross
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: to click. But I mean this dude has incredible upside,
• 38:59
  Speaker 3: some of the most upside on the slate.
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: I mean he's had multiple double.
• 39:03
  Speaker 3: Home run he had a triple home run game or
• 39:06
  Speaker 3: three home runs earlier this season. Outside of that, I
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: mean cole Kerrig maybe something like that, you are going
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: to get the Rockies.
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: Lower owned Rays just have a good bullpen.
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: They're fine already pulling pulling Seymour, So that that's that's
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: kind of the Worries. So I do have teams like
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: the Astros, the Dodgers, probably even the Yankees for sure,
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: over teams like the like the Rockies next spot, last
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: spot on slates, Brandon Fought Michael King, two pitchers I
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: had some interest in here. Arizona has not been great
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: as of late. Padres. You always have a soft spot
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: for your Padres. They have started, Uh, they have started
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: to hit a little better and have kind of come around,
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: which you would expect looking at at least some of
• 39:50
  Speaker 3: these players on the roster right on paper, I mean
• 39:55
  Speaker 3: you could get to them.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: I just I mean, I don't know, I don't love it.
• 39:59
  Speaker 3: They have been pretty solid though over the last thirty days,
• 40:02
  Speaker 3: especially against right handed pitching ty Franz, Machado, Jackson, Merrill,
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: Renheathold decided to figure out how to hit when when
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: he left Milwaukee, so that's been nice. He's got a
• 40:12
  Speaker 3: favorable price point. Tatista is always live for a stolen
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: base or two. How do you see it. I'm have
• 40:18
  Speaker 3: to assume you're gonna have some interest in the Padres,
• 40:20
  Speaker 3: like you always do. But uh, these are both your boys,
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: These are your babies right here. No, these are two famous,
• 40:27
  Speaker 3: these are two favorites right here.
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: I can't believe you're giving me prap about the Padres
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: and not the d Backs. That's the only surprise here.
• 40:34
  Speaker 4: But I feel like you're getting there. It just you
• 40:37
  Speaker 4: went hard on Padres for me, and you're right. I
• 40:39
  Speaker 4: like both these teams a lot. I don't love them tonight,
• 40:42
  Speaker 4: Like you know, fought the pitcher who you know, seemingly
• 40:48
  Speaker 4: we wanted to pick on a lot, you know, when
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: he first came, when he first appeared this year, because
• 40:54
  Speaker 4: that's what we're used to. But he's pretty decent, and
• 40:56
  Speaker 4: I'm more with you that I think you could use
• 40:58
  Speaker 4: fun this slate. It's risk he Padre's lineup always has
• 41:02
  Speaker 4: upside and they go against right handed pitching. As you mentioned,
• 41:05
  Speaker 4: it's just hard for me to like prioritize the Padres
• 41:07
  Speaker 4: stack here. You do get a ballpark great for them,
• 41:10
  Speaker 4: you know, it's interesting, and then Arizona tougher sell. You know,
• 41:17
  Speaker 4: King is a better pitcher than Fat and you've got
• 41:20
  Speaker 4: that lethal San Diego bullpen. You know, Arizona, it's right
• 41:27
  Speaker 4: handed pitching. It's just pretty underwhelming. And I don't like
• 41:30
  Speaker 4: King as much as you on the slate, but I
• 41:32
  Speaker 4: won't stack at Arizona the Padres. If I was playing
• 41:35
  Speaker 4: enough lant ups, I could get there, but I were
• 41:36
  Speaker 4: playing one lineup. I think this game as a whole
• 41:39
  Speaker 4: would just mostly be a pass for me.
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's exactly how I see it. Mm me.
• 41:43
  Speaker 3: Sure, you can do anything you want, and you could
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: see a path right Michael King King at wild right,
• 41:49
  Speaker 3: so you're you're looking at kind of more of a
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: full stack. There. Issue is is Padres have a really
• 41:54
  Speaker 3: good bullpen. Arizona's bullpen has actually been better, and they're
• 41:57
  Speaker 3: pretty rested as well. So I'm just kind of hoping
• 42:00
  Speaker 3: this game is kind of like a five to four
• 42:02
  Speaker 3: game something like that, and it's not needed on dfs.
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: It's kind of how I see it.
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: You can always play the expensive one offs, or not
• 42:08
  Speaker 3: the expensive but the upside one offs like Machado at Tatis,
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: Corbyn Carroll if if he's in there, kenl Marte, those
• 42:16
  Speaker 3: kind of guys you can always play on any slate,
• 42:18
  Speaker 3: but I'm not prioritizing him on this slate. Matt takes
• 42:21
  Speaker 3: us to the end of show here your favorite or
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: your let's go your top three pictures, your top three
• 42:26
  Speaker 3: stacks in a home run call if you have them.
• 42:30
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go a little off the board of Pitcher.
• 42:33
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna go Seymour, I am gonna go I think
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: you gotta say Schlitler just because he's by far this
• 42:41
  Speaker 4: on the slate, and then I'm gonna go Roblesky. I
• 42:44
  Speaker 4: like him to bounce back here top stacks. We both
• 42:49
  Speaker 4: like the Yankees a lot, the Yankee the Rays, and
• 42:53
  Speaker 4: then I like both sides of the Astros Blue Jays.
• 43:00
  Speaker 4: I know you like Houston more, so I'll say, I'll
• 43:01
  Speaker 4: say Toronto.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: I like that.
• 43:05
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go ahead and go h I'll go Cam Schlitzler,
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: I'll go justin Robleski, and then I will go it's
• 43:13
  Speaker 3: kind of my cheaper guy.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: I will go.
• 43:17
  Speaker 3: Torn between Michael King and Seymour, so I'll just say
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: in both. But those are kind of the main guys
• 43:22
  Speaker 3: I'm looking at. Obviously, Sprout on paper looks amazing, but
• 43:25
  Speaker 3: uh I just if there's one spot I think being
• 43:28
  Speaker 3: a little under on if I was picking between the
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: Rays and and Brandon Sprout, I'd probably prick Brandon Sprout
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: personally myself, just with the downside I could see, and
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: he is still one of the most expensive pitchers on
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: the slate that we're dealing with here my offense, I'm
• 43:45
  Speaker 3: going Yankees number one, Astros number two.
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: I'll go Dodgers three.
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: Obviously, Rays look amazing and they're great, but teams outside
• 43:52
  Speaker 3: of that, those are kind of the three main teams
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: I'm looking at there my home run call, I'm going
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: to go to the Blue Jays. Actually, I'm gonna go
• 44:01
  Speaker 3: to third base. I'm gonna go to Okamoto. It is
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: kind of where I'm looking at. I think four k
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: for him in the in the heart of that line
• 44:10
  Speaker 3: is a pretty nice price point there, and hopefully he
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: can take Javier Deep there. And yeah, even even if
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: those relievers come in for the Astros, they suck too,
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: so hopefully can take one of them there.
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: Matt, it was a blast breaking down the show with you.
• 44:23
  Speaker 3: We'll have the content all up. I know you'll have
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: your cores up. We'll be in the discord. Seven games
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: on the docket. Do pay attention. We got about an
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: hour and fifteen minutes or so left before the trade deadline.
• 44:33
  Speaker 3: That'd be hilarious if we do see don't Varshals suit
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: up on the other side of that game after getting traded.
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: He's already in town.
• 44:39
  Speaker 3: I won't be shocked to see that, but probably not
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: because I doubt he.
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: Has uniforms and things like that ready.
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: But hey, crazier shit has happened that that game is
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: still a couple hours away from game time there so
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: but it'll be interesting to see. But Matt, appreciate it,
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: like I said, appreciate it. One in the chat hit
• 44:56
  Speaker 3: that like what hit? The subscribe button helps out a
• 44:57
  Speaker 3: ton if you're not a member. Ship nineteen is the
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: code see there on the screen. Check us out football
• 45:02
  Speaker 3: right around the corner. Can't wait for that. I know
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: you're plumped. Hopefully we're doing some shows for that right
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: around the corner, like I said, and uh yeah, good
• 45:10
  Speaker 3: luck tonight.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: In those contexts, have to see those ship nation logos
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: at the top. We're right of here.