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Construcción Plural - Programa 1170 · Construcción Plural - Radio Trend Topic

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Political and current theses in its twentieth season, with the leadership of Fernando Mauri
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and a team of prestigious analysts listen to him on Radio Trein Topic. Our
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President was born in Argentina, Dr Rabiero Mirey was the President hello. To
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all there is no stabilization plan, not good, but the delay to change.
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There' s a problem of currency arrears here. It is impossible to
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achieve the zero deficit in the twenty- four thousand. Ah well. It
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' s very little speck. Raya is a lot of equator, but you
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' re not liberal. There were taxes on the province. No, but
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I add one plus three hundred and sixty- five times and it gives me
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three hundred and hundred us not power of that. If there is no video
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and there is not you who invited me to I am federo day tuco noodle
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cotuco want to know how the economy will grow, it will go up as
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fart of buso, but there is no anchor. No, not good,
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because there' s no comprehensive plan. But you should set the path.
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This is not a liberal government because it did not release the drug. Not
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because there is appreciation to change. I have a changing appreciation, but freedom
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faces little state how about, my friends, very but very good afternoon,
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a new start of the week in plural construction with quiet markets. Then about
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one thousand four hundred forty- five, earns just five ten mangoes risk country
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going down almost a point. It' s 1, 500 without a point
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one percent. It' s at 1, 500 forty- one points between
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the risks. Countries measure points, the dollar semiden weights obviously, the country
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radio is the over- rate paid over the two three percent paid by US
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Treasury bonds. Here we will then be talking about paying seventeen, eighteen,
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nineteen percent crazy so that Argentina will take loans and be able to pay next
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- coming Delan debt, which is set at thirty- five billion dollars.
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Nothing less is reported to Pablo Moyano for extortion. And this also has to
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do with the topic of cranes, which I think is one of the three
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axes that pose a little bit the newspapers today in the analogue and old of
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the daily tapas issues of profit and the theme of Camala. Harris, as
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Baden' s successor in the candidacy in which we too among so many were
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the only ones, let us intuit and advance. Well, they denounce Pablo
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Moyano for distortion so much the protest that he left the streets of cavas,
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full of operational garbage in like Rio de Rabia. Let' s hope this
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is no more. Auge the journalistic madness that gives rating is not one more
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ball. And if there' s anything true about a guy doubting, a
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guy told him I' m a loan to a military officer and the police
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are looking for the missing kid. There has been talk of operatives there,
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in southern provinces, in Chubut, until I don' t know if he
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' s out there in Santa Cruzbueno, let' s hope he has something
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valid. All this. Caputo the Minister, the Great, the Junior,
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who is fashionable this one visited the rural. We' d like to turn
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our attention down, but first we need to get through the prosecutor. There
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' s nothing about that. Mauricio mal cris Saco, issues that have nothing
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to do with our agenda. Although it is interesting the stage of wandanada entrada
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de Janeiro and about something similar to this of the cats, I will ask
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you now, in our first invite a little bit, Mauricio Magri met with
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governors intent to define the details of his public reappearance and the future of the
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pro While talking about an interblock no longer pro libertarian, but pro and libertarians
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or with fights like that of Oscar Sau, who is a man given in
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many turns lugo with macrin Boca, who was also in the macrism of three
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or four former legislators who were of the official bloc of the libertarians of the
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freedom of advance. It could now be integrated into macrism to give more muscle
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to Congressional macrism. Well, we' ll see, I' ve got
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it online. So to a Carlos Faras, if I' m not mistaken,
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don Carlos good afternoon, how is Carlos obvious, no yes, Carros
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is mutated. The man. There, there, there, there, there,
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there, there, well, how' s it going? Good afternoon.
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Okay. Thanks for being there. As usual. Breaking news even the
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nation raised this. Javier Miley invited Yuhito González to the Colón Theatre. I
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don' t do it, you guys expert on Yushito, but on Columbus.
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What do you know that you sound Sidu to the musical temple, What
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do you know about this. Let' s say no. It' s
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not good to see. First is the opera Carmen. I went to see
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her just Sunday afternoon. That opera would invite that opera. He' s
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inviting Yuito Ro to give my law' s assistance to the little town in
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a park. Yeah, no, but actually, at the time, it
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was with fate. This isn' t like Luna Par with the book didn
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' t have his place invited. No. No. No. No.
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No. No. That' s why I remember that he went to the
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colón with pity in electoral ban, so that generated an electoral news, although
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we were already whole. Yeah, well. I remember it then to the
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listeners, especially not so much to Carlos, who are more in all are
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more than me than in the act of Luna Par, where I don'
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t know for two months I presented a book and was invited to Luisito González,
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because I had crossed it in some channel or something like that. No.
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Yes, indeed, yes, well, but an admirer of Carlos Menel
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doesn' t, yes, not of the alfano and company in the nineties
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fly everywhere. Now more seriously, don' t believe it. Those who
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listen to us follow us or they will listen to us later on the audios,
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on Speeder, on YouTube, that you become a show of tricks and
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that Mauri and Farafory Mauri and have become real and I don' t know
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what in the gray. I say what about this, because I remember the
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visit to Italy. You remember the Meloni, they had to go very well.
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But already the Trolts, who are so much talked about this group Liberal
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Facha in networks implied almost an affair between Milay Meloni and there have been colleagues
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who have consulted journalists of Taliano and say here in Italy nothing about all this
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was talked about. I say what I' m going to, Carlos invents
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a little bit of the art of the leader' s seduction. This one
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' s called the lion. This is the President and then that' s
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why we also have to be in this thing that he' s a winner,
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he' s a selector, he' s part of the character,
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like this, that shows us the papacy, as a theoretical show, he
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' s a tall guy when he' s moderately low. I' m
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telling you, I' m telling you this, right, how you take
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the first look at all this stuff I' m talking about. Referring beyond
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the personal taste of the President, yes, I think it' s part
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of the scenery of power. It' s not a little ninety what you
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call the joke, but it' s the truth. Let' s say
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a sushito. He had some relationship with Carlos Menem on the one hand,
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on the other, he' s the killer so to speak in some way
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equal to the seducer. It seems to me to be part of that issue.
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I insist beyond the good vibe he may have with her or any other
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woman. I think it' s part of the winner' s theme.
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Not to mention this thing that mennon cultivated beyond insisting on his ability to seduce
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that somehow generated in the most popular sector. The subject of looking at what
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the Turk rises, which is ugly, but looks like blond r and sky
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eyes with Millay. It might seem like you' re being brought up and
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you' ll be faced with this for the next few hours or days,
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and your trolls are starting to play with this, whether they' re qualified
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or not, because you don' t know where that rumor comes from either.
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It was apparently thrown by someone from a chimento program right on TV but
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if I know it nourishes the average serious nation or as part of a certain
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sought- after effect now what is pointed beyond everything and what we talked about
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before starting record programs is the cater phenomenon, because I say they will kill
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me. But I' m telling the other girl what she' s called
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the most fake to see silversmith or pharaturesco, also because I don' t
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tell them that. It' s not about I don' t know a
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writer or a teacher or an architect. He' s not talking about a
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woman who moves the world of show very relaxed and chuchito. Well, nothing,
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let' s not even say no, so to see this goes again
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the young woman is generation. If you do everything is fine or if it
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' s part of the scene, the power scene or the stage and power
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would be. And if a writer is boring and an architect, a young
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professional, what is boring is better bujarle something fraduresco. I don' t
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know what else, if more patient to sell, yes, it has to
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do a little bit. With that I do not insist beyond the personal taste
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of the President to generate a scenery of winning seduction. So let' s
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also say the subject of rumors generated from Georgia Miloni, which is that or
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which are situations. Let' s say not that at that highest level of
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world power you don' t play in that totally good way. We pass
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from love, romance, press operations, power obiographies. As you say the
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differences. I have it right now at two and a half o' clock
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in the afternoon two and ten, on the screen of the most internal official
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nation, differences between Milla and Villarruel The gulation of the rural at the beginning
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of Sunday rare things will be found. It was rural. Official openings are
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when they' re closing. They' re not those Argentine people. It
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' s not almost that general. It doesn' t officially open when it
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closes, not when it' s ending. Yes, exactly. Yeah,
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yeah, yeah, and obviously I don' t know if there' s
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gonna be this President' s speech. Oh, yeah, no, no.
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By the way, it' s the central act. The President has
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a speech. It would be the first, the first event of moral society
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where my law would exist as President. So let' s say a whole
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thing. I would assume that yes, not because of the good vibe that
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the sector has been demonstrating with the government plan. I think he said it
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yesterday even that good vibe does publish just about. He was out there talking
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about a show. But well, when the tax expires, country will not
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be renewed and that can be lowered, even in being something in September,
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but I say of retention, something perhaps that should not be lowered. But
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I say, in terms of what the field expects, there is no announcement
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at all, not even the horizon of low retentions. Caputo in the rural
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visit pointed to the fiscal as the mate motivation to not be able to do
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what they wanted. But they can' t lower retentions. I mean,
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it still keeps falling in love or the good view of the field to management.
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Millay because someone was telling me, but, well, maybe I wasn
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' t thinking. They told me to see, there' s doubt.
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Require to see. First they prefer my law compared. Let' s say
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mass. Obviously, even if it' s not philosophically more. On the
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one hand, second, it is clear that they had a good first impact
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on the issue of return, because still competition obviously allowed them to improve incomes.
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Not since now. I' d tell you that. No. First,
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the claims will not be removed quickly or wrongly by balancing the same doubts
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that exist about how much tax can be lowered to country beyond the beginning of
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the tax on the earned. That' s it, on the one hand.
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On the other hand, I' d say there are at least two
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three signs concerning a field that looks cautiously at Miley. First, the issue
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that profitability did not improve so much that in any case, obviously there was
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much better harvest than last year' s, which was absolutely disastrous with some
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prices, in some cases slightly improved, and that allowed for greater profitability,
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but let' s also say with significant cost increases, with which there is
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the first is burning. The second issue has to do with one beyond the
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attention is, an expectation of evaluation that short- term does not seem and
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that has caused a greater grain settlement to be retained than last year, when
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we say the field was already, let' s say, distrustful of mass
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policy. And the third detail we have just heard about in the last few
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hours, which is that there are several consecutive months in which the sale of
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intermonthly agricultural machinery falls compared to the previous month at the best moment, in
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the best months of the countryside, which are April, May and June.
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All this, what it is indicating, let us say, is that there
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is not all the confidence that was supposed, that there should have been at
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this stage with a government with the economic policy that leads to my law good
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and equal. The last thing, it does eventually lead to me. Villa
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Ruel comes long. It comes from that he wasn' t hit for something,
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like he reacts to something. Some talk about villains closeness with Macri even
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a trip in Euken and so on, but I say that did not give
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him the Ministry of Defense and the area of Security, as had been mentioned.
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I don' t know the quote break. It' s coming from
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the break. It comes a long time ago, almost before as some say,
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with Alberto and Cristina, casually before assuming practically no yes, yes in
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the resquemons they started at least on the night of the first round. First,
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because Villaruel began to have his own campaign graphic identity, separated from Millay
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' s, one with own posters, etcetera. History, something of victory
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exactly, with exactly other colors, even good, in a paranoid environment like
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that of the Miley brothers. So let' s say, he didn'
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t like it the night of the first round, where the winner is spends
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let' s remember and then there were some questions about him. Villaruel herself
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asked me to bring her down online because she was the only one getting out
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of the media. He has tried to convey optimism and did not receive that
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line. Then, well, what we' re going to say about the
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issue that he doesn' t have spaces in the executive is like referral.
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Indeed, a very reserved conversation between Victoria Villaruel and Mauricio mcxió. There was
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really rumor, yes, no, no, uncle existed and it was say
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in the cunning macriep Maurillo. He played let' s say he always played
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more than one card and in this case it was about the theme of good
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what happens so my law, beyond philosophical coincidence. Finally, let' s
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say it vulgarly. A firecracker is a star and then you have to resort
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to the vice president figure and it seems to me that there I have criticized
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mon reassurance that you were known by the Millays and, of course, let
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' s say, we finished lowering the Persia. And this is the situation
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with a visorbell that we add is creating a party of its own that is
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now called you, that is trying to seek national recognition and that could,
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obviously, if it presents itself, even if it takes few votes, it
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could be a headache. I don' t think he does, but he
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' s clearly a threat anyway. Yes to see and what I said reiliterally
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the weakest government in institutional terms of Congress, below, without governors, etcetera,
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etcetera. How much instability or uncertainty. And so few months away,
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because I repeat that they fought in the third year of government that it brings,
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let' s say the terms of weakness of my law, this subject,
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of this tension, President, and it says I don' t know
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how you say one makes it difficult for some things to give, but it
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can be given, it may touch that I have to untie you villain.
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It' s past the base law not perfectly good. In what way I
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have to unmatch about maybe it' s a non- middle rule. I
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don' t know about political reform or whatever and they vote for you with
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a hard time happening to you. Let' s propose what happens. I
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say that' s there, not being the cobos or something like that.
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This is the danger, not entirely, with at least this composition of Congress
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that lasts until December 10 next year, there may be several situations at the
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limit where he has to untie, that is, with which he is always
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a threat. No point, one, point two. She stopped some military
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statements, which we say is absolutely unusual for them to be dealt with in
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the contradiction enclosure, seeing the voice of the executive of his own party.
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Obviously, the third issue is that she wants to somehow also politically charge that
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when certain negotiations had to be established for the basic law to be tested it
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is beyond the final vote. She finally intervened in addition to that in December,
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when she assumed, she obtained a majority of thirty- nine votes to
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impose the House authorities, which is also very important, because if not in
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the Union for the Homeland, she could manage the box and administratively the House,
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which was a great headache. Then I' d tell you. At
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that point, it seems to me that she tries to manage herself with the
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autonomy that gives her her constitutional office, but it gives me the impression that
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we are going to see long periods of tension there spinning. I get the
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impression that bizarruel tries to make differences that are normal that often do not happen
19:02
to some pretendential formula where they complement each other. To give an example,
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she who was in fact not yet so in Catamarca, she is the federal
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one that travels to the interior and Javier the one who has how many days
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that has passed you told me out there twenty percent of the time the trip
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to undertake it old France, are twelve official trips, I think I say
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my law, the big the outside and she the one that covers the interior
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instead of complementing it. It seems like a process of differentiation, but I
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say to what extent the tensions can reach, for example, this bet of
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macria, that more than bet that things can go wrong, gave the laying
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of villarreo of differentiation. Now I have no doubt that if my law most
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likely really had problems and fell she has already acted, already worked to take
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power, no, to be quick. I quit along with Jabo and yes,
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yes, the issue there is how close you see not the issue of
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politics. That' s another one. So, I say in terms of
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Villaruels, I don' t say in terms of actors. Or, well,
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Milake fell, you' re done, I say in terms of her.
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No. Of course, it' s totally as if I told you
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if he' d become stubborn on the 20th of December of two thousand one.
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Well, that' s where he was going in the end, but
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he got stubborn or he was still the President and signing decrees. Don'
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t look at that detail. Let' s just say everybody' s supposed
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to be pushing you. Yeah, well, but let' s say the
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pressures don' t always work, so if someone says good, it goes
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to my law because of some institutional crisis. But you really have to shuffle
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and turn around. You can' t stay villagüel because we don' t
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know what he' s doing either and he asks to say how he would
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be beautiful in power. Well, if the changel packs villa voluel it'
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s the president, let' s not say. So, from that point
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of view, I' d tell you that I think she' s always
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gonna be, let' s say looking from the bank to see what'
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s up. Yes and macri to this, because here appears that third in
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discord, not beyond Kumelen and the meeting and so on. That must be
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general, too. Obviously, I' ll break up with the Millay brothers
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or even totally, especially that he' s with Karina, maybe not so
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much with the President but good. Yeah, yeah, there' s a
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question. I would tell you Karina and Santiago Caputo, perhaps as the most
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resistant, conceptually to Machris, not conceptually to Macri. I think they'
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re playing good cop and bad cop. No Karini, Santiago bad cop and
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my good cop law calling him Macri. He asks who the sports official should
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be or finally accepts the agreement for the evolution of money to the federal capital.
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Or the other day in the report, I think it was Confantino who
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said good. One has to be just the one who planted the first seed
21:53
on the big changes in Argentina. It was him referring to Macri. I
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think he' s gonna play good cop and bad cop. Let' s
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even say today in the newspapers let it be clear that there could be a
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coalition that includes the Federal capital And is that, indeed, the candidate of
22:17
that federalist coalition to national senator in the Federal Capital, if Mauricio Macrino himself
22:22
does not. My intuition is that if Matre isn' t in need,
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I don' t see him as a candidate, that is, except that
22:30
he has to play, if not and least in an agreement where he has
22:33
apart, he has the city all to win. I don' t see
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him macri going down that place. Well, correct, no, no,
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no, no, see, you saw that first it' s clear that
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he has to go out to be president of the pro because he' s
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outside. Not for total college. There, yes, he had to move
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OK for that and now one thing. It' s clear that he'
22:56
s coming out of the protocol. Now he doesn' t guarantee anything,
22:57
because it' s clear that tomorrow, Patricia, let' s say obviously,
23:03
what she' s doing is seducing pro troops in all the provinces to
23:07
arm her own and add her to freedom advances. Then it comes out or
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it' s not another issue, but that' s what he' s
23:15
accomplishing and it seems to me that Macrie assumed that, anyway, Patricia isn
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' t a candidate. There are two issues here. The first is you
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have to win something again to be in an argument two thousand twenty- seven.
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Not this is a detail, Patricia not Macris. And there is another
23:37
detail that is the following, the order of freedom advances in the districts,
23:42
in the twenty- four districts is we go with our own list, with
23:48
our own candidates and then the others want to join us. This is obviously
23:52
a powerhouse for federal capital from it. But in addition, that is very
23:56
unserious and especially in the provinces. I tell you freedom advances with what it
24:00
has cost you to do something in the provinces of the legislative presidential race.
24:07
I' m saying that would be a top shot, obviously, but then
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no one can believe it' s good. Everybody back up and we give
24:11
you the third and fourth place on the list or the fifth. I mean,
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it' s okay, but okay, but what I want to say
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is, yeah, the best Néstor Kischner style is yes, yeah, I
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' ll nudge you and we' ll start. He' s in business.
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All right, all right, so losing so much, I' m
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on my own list. If you want, come, no, I won
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' t, no, I' ll call you on the phone for you
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but see. But what I do. I pick up another thing a little
24:37
bit. What you say is, for example, there may be an agreement
24:40
in capital that territory pro where the first candidate proposes or whatever it is and
24:44
in province, for example, we put adorni aspart probably xpert and so on,
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so that each one has a different color. Let us say the agreement
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in the two most important territories. So, well, the two territories here
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of gba. Okay. But see, there' s another question that'
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s back here. Maybe. We' re talking about political calculus. If
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things, obviously they can be, they can be or not. Lex'
25:11
s governors together, because of the change, are afraid because if Miley'
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s doing well, they' ll say boat to fara in district x and
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good can drag. Let' s say it' s a detail. They
25:25
fear that if they have a list of their own and are left out of
25:30
the governors, if a list of their own boat freedom fear power, they
25:34
remain third parties, I do not say by Peronism losing is the second and
25:41
what matters more the governor' s candidate or the president' s candidate in
25:45
a positive economic circumstance, if so. Of course, no one knows this
25:47
height of the game how Argentina will be in a year. It' s
25:49
not gonna be good. Those I remember are going to be very districtal and
25:53
very provincial. Not good. I' m not so clear. I'
25:59
m not so clear. I' m not so clear because I notice that
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if you and I are or together for the change, we would rather go
26:11
and negotiate more BC let' s say not leave this to everyone' s
26:15
freedom because if not, the lion eats you no because it has more of
26:21
those ugly ones that has recourse, has a hand carving and we' re
26:22
talking about very small politics, but a lot and detailed. But Pullaro of
26:25
the UCR or Nacho Torres of the pro let us put them in agreement.
26:30
Maybe, but they' re gonna try to lead it. I don'
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t think they say good, serious. So, I' ll put you
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the third candidate' s accord and Nacho Torres in chugu say the same thing.
26:37
If it' s okay, it' s going to accompany you with
26:40
freedom, it' s going from behind. I don' t see it,
26:41
yeah, it doesn' t go that way, no, but sure,
26:48
but give it to explain, no, no, I don' t
26:49
say back with the subject. It is Pullaro is the candidate of Puyo that
26:53
you prefer, for if you were santafecino and it seems good to you that
26:57
you are only but well, of course well, but so much, of
27:02
course, they have presumptive, they have things so that God, to the
27:07
governor, has weight also not Ovio Dinga caal Canta. Not sure. Then
27:08
I say he is the candidate of cocking or the candidate of my law,
27:11
the candidate of my law and Juan de los Palotes. But it' s
27:15
like voting my law and election. Let' s say effect, beyond agreements.
27:18
Indeed, it is nationalized. Well, it' s not a simple
27:22
calculation. So let' s just say that I open up alternatives to things
27:27
that unnecessarily mean actors are right about how they see it. Don' t
27:33
give up total. Now what was not given is another scenario because it was
27:37
the man President. No, but I say what didn' t happen last
27:40
year in the provinces, that freedom progresses took out five two eight percent of
27:45
the legislation, candidate of deputies and even governors of my law. Yes,
27:49
with my law, President, you' d move. We' re thinking
27:55
that I take his picture and he' s doing well. Not that I
27:56
' m going for it, but let' s think it' s going
27:59
well. Yes nothing this time to pose the president' s list, which
28:03
didn' t work out when it was posing the candidate' s list.
28:07
In principle, not in what vision you have. First, it' s
28:11
the President, which already has a plus. He' s not just a
28:12
candidate we don' t know how to finish. The second issue is a
28:17
President who, if successful, obviously has a superplus from now on with everything
28:22
involved in handling the manicure. Let' s say resources in districts, machinery,
28:33
official advertising, etcetera, etcetera, and then also keep in mind that
28:40
they don' t have. Let' s say great figures in the districts,
28:47
not if a character is going to go back. Let' s say
28:51
low projection. Now the governors don' t have one either. In general,
28:56
let' s say big family. Sure then say good is Puyaro'
29:03
s candidate or he' s Milay' s candidate. It' s not
29:07
that I save federal capital because they go to Llamarcri it' s not that
29:11
province of Buenos Aires. Obviously, important chips are going to be played.
29:15
I' d tell you that after that, in general it seems that everyone
29:18
is going to watch a national film and the names, except or you with
29:23
exceptions, are not going to be of many pesos. I don' t
29:27
think so, because first it' s the hardest thing to change. We
29:41
' re not going to see We' re going to start at the beginning.
29:42
He gave the first thing would be a step. Yeah, it did
29:45
or it didn' t. I would say to you that it most likely
29:45
did happen, among other things, because the prologue proloquies the prologue there is
29:53
going to be a part of the pro that wants it better said, the
29:57
varicalism, wants it Union for the homeland. It' s not pure.
30:00
I hope to see what Cristina says. Then it seems to me that forming
30:04
a majority is going to be difficult. More likely is option two, that
30:07
this is making changes to the step that is not going to be simple either.
30:14
I insist because you need a special majority, you need a Chamber of
30:18
Deputies, you need a hundred and thirty votes in favour. So, from
30:22
that point of day, changes, for example, as I read out there
30:26
that it was netative that your departure plagues because you don' t want to.
30:29
That' s clear exactly in Uruguay You go to a primary school.
30:33
The party you have has competition that doesn' t have it. That'
30:38
s first, second, the fact that well let' s say there'
30:45
s a discussion about the mandatory vote that at the time dick gave up,
30:52
was approved mandatory at the time when Cristina Kishin' s government knows there by
30:56
two thousand nine or two thousand ten, because it says well, the Constitution
31:02
says that the vote is mandatory. This is a national election. There'
31:03
s going to be a constitutional discussion about the mandatory nature of the vote.
31:07
There is no mandatory vote in Uruguay. Let' s just say if you
31:12
' re interested in a low school and boots and if you don' t
31:15
forgive me. There is no legacy of voting in all elections. We pass
31:18
it in Uruguay, not only the passes are paradises. There that is optional,
31:22
but a certain mandatory national. Sure. The third detail is one thing
31:30
that exists in the Province of Santa Fe that could be put on. Let
31:33
' s say to discussion that if in a town of Santa Fe it has
31:41
a primary, pardon, if it has an election of renewal, of legislative
31:45
council, of medium term, as in the province of Buenos Aires, if
31:52
in a certain locality no party goes to primary that day of the election,
31:56
in that locality the primary is not held directly. So, I say that
32:04
well, it may be a topic. There may also be unique lists in
32:06
the different games, so why would you go out to primary school? That
32:07
could be an argument. Then there' s some other, some other detail.
32:12
But I would tell you a very important element is that if this goes
32:15
hand in hand with a historical change that would be the move from the current
32:22
ballot to the single paper ballot system, because that significantly reduces the cost of
32:31
the parties, because up to here you have to print out the first part
32:36
of the state, but then you have to print out the logistics, etcetera,
32:39
etcetera. What the beginning would come out, that might come out.
32:45
Let' s see yet because surely if he goes out with reform in the
32:49
Senate and he would have to return to deputies, but suppose he has some
32:52
chance, indeed, to get out. It is an important element, because
32:55
if you and I are of the same party and we have to print the
33:00
ballots, most likely we will come to an arrangement, because the intern even
33:04
when she organizes it, that everything comes out very expensive, not then she
33:08
puts this one on paper. Well, at least we got a problem off
33:09
our hands. We can go to a more cheerful elementary school of twenty things,
33:15
stealing ballots and so on, stealing the game from him in the dark
33:19
room. Yeah, he' s a totally good barbarian. We are already
33:22
talking here, closing almost with Carlos Fara, two short feet, Carlos who
33:24
will wait for us in a minute. John Paul reads it two. As
33:28
you passed, Macrie said if you want something two thousand twenty- seven you
33:36
see that Macrie ancestry and game wants to have it you think that Macrie wants
33:42
to play electively, wants to do something good again, something president, I
33:45
guess in two thousand twenty- seven when passing and has in a hidden place
33:52
of his heart, I think he does. I am not saying that I
33:53
have it as an alternative one, but I do not think that I would
34:00
not neglect the possibility if, indeed, there is an opportunity. I don
34:02
' t think he has a chance, but we don' t have to
34:05
rule it out either. Well, and the last then step would be in
34:08
July, sort of June. Sort of, August. No, the steps
34:13
are this far. Well, that' s a good question, because so
34:15
far it' s August and October. And then some reforms that is being
34:20
proposed, for example, the deputy Carlos la Carrizo, who responds to Lustó
34:24
in the Chamber of Deputies, is proposing to reduce the time between space and
34:30
the general, so that you are September and October, not August and October.
34:35
Well, well, what would it be for something under your eyes,
34:38
what will it be for you to talk about when we pass it goes well,
34:44
if it is successful, drag the president with so much of his legislators.
34:45
What would it be for you to watch if there was a successful photo
34:50
moment. Let' s give him the moment of passage. We are not
34:52
going to complicate the final national later on as the government succeeds at that moment
34:58
here less than a year seen, let us say to see. I think
35:02
you should have a very low inflation to begin with. Let' s not
35:07
say this one. He says well, I don' t tell you the
35:10
zero fraction, but he actually walks at least. Let' s say no
35:15
more than one to two percent per month, a little what happened in the
35:17
first months of convertibility. No, yes, and what else. Because I
35:23
say if in the middle there is still the recession slowly increase the problem of
35:29
employment. I' m not saying that it' s going to blow up
35:30
or that it' s going to go over the double digits or something that
35:35
' s in a digit like unemployment, but I' m saying what else,
35:37
because I' m just asking no. No, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no. No, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no. No, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
35:37
No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no. No, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:37
no, no, no, no. Two per tempt, you'
35:38
ve already got the thing won. No. No, no? No,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
35:40
no, no, no, no, no. No. That' s
35:42
why I was telling you to start with, I should have at least that
35:45
not good. And to go on and on should happen something like this that
35:51
I describe to you that it is. You saw everyone say the economy.
35:53
Next year will probably bounce five points. No. Yeah, yeah, you
35:59
' re gonna vote, it means it' s gonna be great, it
36:01
' s not gonna bounce, let' s say no. Now you saw
36:04
that if you' re dead of heat with forty, when the temperature goes
36:09
by twenty- nine, that it' s still a lot that if I
36:14
was, if I loosened you a little bit, because you' re not
36:17
going to make those five percent ener in a climate of some optimism and then
36:23
say well, let' s give my law a right not that it made
36:28
it great, but well, under inflation people who lost their jobs, etcetera.
36:29
But you' re bouncing and let' s keep watching. And if
36:35
this didn' t happen that if inflation stagnates four or five with some evolution
36:38
through the middle, it didn' t care about Molarch coming four five,
36:42
of course, and the rebot and the and the rebound is minimal, you
36:45
don' t see. It' s imperceptible that clear. That' s
36:49
the thing, let' s say, because first of all inflation wouldn'
36:53
t be nice You beat it down I' m starving But you beat it
36:57
down I mean, you wouldn' t have a big hit. Suppose you
36:59
give man lower it this three is going to reach the third or fourth month
37:02
in three. Let' s say that' s the loss of novelty,
37:06
not that it loses impact. From now on, but the most complicated thing
37:09
is that with inflation of three, economists say it' s less. Let
37:13
' s just say it narrows the rebound possibilities for next year, which,
37:17
in fact, could happen to you. Let' s just say you do
37:22
lower inflation, but not so much so that it' s just smaller why
37:24
you' re a girl the possibility of bouncing in what way. I say
37:28
because the point is that inflation you lower it, but it does not mean
37:38
a recovery of income. They' re two different things. Let' s
37:43
say no, yes, what' s going on now. What' s
37:46
happening now, let' s say, is that the income recovery is very
37:52
low, I don' t say null, but it' s very low,
37:55
so the possibility, the speed of recovery is slower and then you have
38:00
yes, a stronger recovery. Suppose in the fourth quarter of next year and
38:05
you say yes, but in most of the year I was having a hard
38:07
time. Well, then there, obviously, starts to generate a climate.
38:12
Let' s say complicated in that sense. Well, very clearly, Carlos,
38:15
a big hug, thank you very much, please, a pleasure as
38:20
always thank you Carlos fara here in plural construction. We continue to analyze politics
38:22
a little bit, perhaps a little more overturned the international one. We went
38:25
from Carlos' authorized voice to our collaborator, the columnist. John Paul has
38:30
invited. Loré Juan Pablo, good afternoon, Fernando Saluteo, how it goes,
38:34
what it is, Fernando, how you are. All right, all
38:37
right. Thank you for watching us or, please, for living. I
38:44
don' t think you' ve been surprised. There' s the hard
38:45
one not a little sung. No. I think it' s a surprise
38:50
that the resignation is that it complicates the issue or in what sense. What,
39:00
because it' s not the same to have a rival who' s
39:02
in the corner and doesn' t have mediono cauts, as was the case
39:06
of dancing and starting now a new fight with a lady with whom he has
39:12
bad relations in general and has bad reputation, and that should upset him enough.
39:16
How he faces a relationship of electoral competition with a woman who, moreover,
39:23
is minded and strong, who is not going to shrink, let'
39:30
s say not at all. In fact, the first thing he did was
39:34
to raise eighty- one million dollars and start attacking him back, that is,
39:37
to find someone who wasn' t in the plan. There was no
39:42
electoral plan for that and how it should react transparently. This could just be
39:50
not the ego of there being a sanitary cordon about Trump. Let' s
39:53
say if you show too much bement with this subject of always certain political correctness,
39:58
it' s probably, it' s just that what' s justified
40:01
to women and so on, it' s probably. But all that'
40:02
s in we' ll see, because we' ll have to see good.
40:05
This is how great politics has on the basis of surpassing algorithms. This
40:12
isn' t fixed with algorithms, this is fixed with political heads. And
40:15
this is what the algorithmists have not yet discovered. How artificial intelligence is done
40:24
does not solve this problem. Don' t do Jazz and you think we
40:30
' re going to be in a situation of some parity in principle, or
40:35
which Harris Camera doesn' t have everything like that I mean, yes,
40:37
it' s true that you have the least chance, clearly to win.
40:39
I think it' s another picture, Fernando, and that photo isn'
40:45
t revealed yet. There' s the feeling that I have good, it
40:50
' s a new photo that' s not revealed. It' s like
40:52
if you say good I' m going to play a game against Boca and
40:55
after you play us against Boca, you have to play against Real Madrid.
40:57
Sure, sure, it' s not in the pictures. Sure. Sure.
41:04
On the Sunday of elections in Venezuela, serious polls seem to pose a
41:08
rounding sixty- twenty, something like this for the opposition Maduro has already made
41:13
a threat. Once again lula the striking deal between very prominent quotation marks countered
41:16
him, like he gave me the sansopheo that he said mature. Finally,
41:22
we are inexorably at the end of the chavista and mature management in power.
41:28
Good Sunday. What I interpreted to him is that what he' s telling
41:36
you is that in the same way that you win, you lose, too,
41:39
and that this is the game of democracy. And my hypothesis is that
41:45
it has to be the score. It has to be very broad so that
41:50
they don' t totally flimsy do this. The polls say sixty- twenty.
41:54
That' s why I repeat. That' s why good. If
41:57
the score is that way, they are likely to be negotiating how they go
42:04
not the election and there are negotiations, they say under the strings with this
42:17
issue well, and which country we will see there in that case, which
42:22
Venezuela we will see devastated, let' s say very hard scratches appealing to
42:30
international cooperation, to the monetary fund to all that needs to be operated and
42:36
reconstruction is nothing more than that well, but it has skims and the first
42:40
ones to look at resources are the American oil tankers. I am sure you
42:44
have seen this debate all the time. I am not a chauvinist of nationalist
42:47
Magoogo where Millay was mounted after worse Villaruel vis-à- vis France and
42:55
French purity and I think he gets into the problem where he did not know.
42:59
This is the incredible thing because the selected one decided not to interfere in
43:05
any political issues and they put the selected one in the political question. I
43:09
believe that everything is part of the same scenario, which is political error,
43:15
political error sold as a success. This is so. That is a political
43:22
mistake where one looks at the side of the Vice President on the side of
43:25
the President' s sister and the President' s brother. He is also
43:29
the President' s brother because he also spoke about these on television on the
43:34
neuda program with anti- next infantine. This is very clear. When you
43:37
watch that show, it says we are in the hands of very special,
43:42
very special people. Unhappy would tell me some around, but well, yes,
43:47
one can choose. I try not to choose words, because that'
43:52
s what the President is for. Well, I didn' t say a
43:57
guarangada, not a tough grade, but in a wad nothing as usual to
43:59
him. No, well, what' s a lair? No, no,
44:04
I said crazy and you told me you didn' t try to say
44:07
western words. I say the words doubt. I said John Paul said John
44:10
Paul says that he says it words bad, because I believe that in the
44:15
whole relationship there has to be respect and the first one runs that first that
44:22
he has to respect it is the one that is highest total. Why we
44:27
see a president I don' t know cenificates a little bit being so rude
44:31
or talking like he talks, but I don' t know how to take
44:34
care of him, because, I mean, we know, Cristina Fernández,
44:37
they have a lot further with those illegal tapes that wanted to circle Mahul is
44:38
also very poorly spoken. But I say but we never saw this in public.
44:40
This has to do with the times of the post truth of networks,
44:44
which is tanchero, this human being game. It has to do with that
44:47
they want to cross the Jordan without water, cross it with water, they
44:54
require some other things from the knowledge of politics and they don' t have
44:57
it. This is the truth, then what they do. They pass through
45:00
everything and aggression. Finally, it is the same, because aggression always returns
45:09
you, yes, yes, and this leads you to success at the level
45:15
of President, has now arrived in the management. They are also carried by
45:17
these same modes and forms. I don' t know. I hope so.
45:22
In fact, you still are that, for example, in American politics,
45:25
after what you did with trump Man, you take it all later,
45:32
because the boundaries, when you attack, you put them out there there is
45:37
a lot of care. Everyone' s afraid he' ll be thrown out
45:42
of work, thrown out by the Ministry, or chased. There' s
45:45
an authoritarian vein in aggression. Aggression is not an act of harmony. Let
45:52
' s say aggression is a total violent act. Yeah, how are we
46:00
gonna update something we talked about, but I say how. To see it
46:04
seems that we had a cancille was absent the same carina as graphing this going
46:09
the other day the Embassy of France rushing to authorize Villa Bruel, how it
46:14
would qualify the performance of the chancellor and the Chancellery and of the international relations
46:17
that seem intervened and taken by Cami Karina Milay under the Millaye Administration. Well,
46:22
that' s all part of the fact that they' ve decided that
46:30
foreign policy is one- man policy and represents it to the President, it
46:34
' s not represented by the Chancellery. So they listen to the chancellery'
46:36
s omiles. You can see that the President travels with his sister and a
46:42
team of two or three people and that' s the end of it.
46:44
The Chancellery is like the FIP. It is an administrative organ of the State.
46:49
It has nothing to do with foreign policy. And Mondino' s role
46:55
is an administrative organ of the state. It has more to do with foreign
47:00
policy, because in fact, the chancellor was proposed by possi and pose is
47:05
outside the government. He sees a short life. I don' t know
47:12
if it cuts in the long run. I think Mile' s comfortable with
47:14
this because he' s going everywhere. He makes individual trips, personal of
47:17
which no one knows what he is talking about and of Head of State then
47:22
explains that there is artificial intelligence that touches that it and all the condillonaires then
47:27
this is the Argentina that voted fifty- six percent. Let' s see
47:31
how long there is doubt as to how long the President' s popularity lasts
47:37
so that the best of the cases is mita and mita, half favor and
47:38
half against. I think it' s going to slow down because countries don
47:43
' t buy these things for long they buy them to replace another, which
47:50
was what happened and no one the product of Alberto Fernández and Quicinedismo. Totally
47:59
good to have data on the art of my law before the trip to Paris,
48:02
which I think they travel on Thursday or something like that. He has
48:06
been abroad for forty- four days before this last trip to Paris. There
48:09
is no mention that it is twenty percent of that time of his term.
48:13
Twelve trips abroad, more millionaires of Head of State, pass abroad, which
48:19
is that analysis is done this some time will also be paid costs. That
48:22
' s why they analyze you about John Paul and I think so. I
48:24
think results have to come in. The point is that they are not yet
48:29
being demanded by society and politics, nor do they have international, internal or
48:37
knowledgeable internal actors who raise these things. In other words, the foreign affairs
48:42
committees of both the Chamber of Deputies and the Chamber of Senators, where they
48:45
do not have a majority, would have to begin to pronounce themselves in order
48:52
to ask the authorities, among others, to the General Secretariat of the Presidency,
48:57
because the whole apparatus for the promotion of foreign trade, of the cantivirda,
49:01
was brought to the presidency' s attention, so I wanted to tell
49:07
the presidencies an actor and it never happened. But, well, some explanation
49:08
of where you have it. But since foreign policy is impersonal or bipersonal,
49:14
because the President takes it with the General Secretariat of the Presidency, Well they
49:20
decided that. This is what Parliament should intervene and it does not intervene.
49:25
Foreign policy is between an impersonal, by my law and my staff, by
49:30
the brothers Miley. Let' s just say exactly, I know there'
49:34
s no trip that you don' t meet together on. Well, John
49:37
Paul Augustus and thank you, as always uh no, thank you, thank
49:42
you. See you later, please, Juan, to read this good one.
49:46
There is no need for God to explain emations specializing in international relations.
49:50
Have you been ambassador to Argentina, to Brazil, Spain, etcetera, etcetera,
49:54
etcetera? Well, let' s see how we keep going You'
49:58
re gonna go to the pause in a minute with Juan there. Then we
49:59
think we' re saying goodbye or we can put a Rockman one on.
50:04
We' re not Juan there to put a Rockman one after the batch.
50:07
Well prepare it calmly. I' ll give you time to see. Then
50:13
let' s do the following. I tell John coordinates I take two or
50:16
three minutes. I say good- bye so much and Rock remembers you and
50:20
I don' t agree anymore. Well, then I' m going to
50:22
comment on these three or four little minutes that I keep to see. Let
50:25
' s hear the first part of Rockman between tomorrow and the day after.
50:28
A second morning we' ll be pleased with Parary Wolfenso. As always we
50:31
run along in North America and this one we will be with Alejandro, Peru
50:36
and on Thursday conu road Ticornia. We see why typorne didn' t just
50:38
say he' s got a Thursday problem. So let' s see,
50:39
we do san rock. But between tomorrow and the day after, the idea
50:43
is peyru and casti camilo Ticornea. Apart from how I say Rockman, eventually
50:49
cambine audio. Well, we' ll see you update some information and news
50:52
signals in these two three minutes that I stole. To finish, they'
50:57
re looking for Loan Peña in Chubut. I was right. I already gave
50:59
him good and Santa Cruz and says the nation had read more out there,
51:01
among so many hasty journalistic managements, there is not coming a virtual spring week
51:07
in Buenos Aires. Well, spring' s with little jovinita pine for a
51:10
while and thirteen nine or it' s going to go up to temperature.
51:12
He hasn' t gone to the polar again, but from there the weather
51:16
is barbaric. Nothing to see. Lucas Langori, a mouthball player, is
51:20
approaching the North American League and if channel 26 chronic sports news TVU. Justice
51:29
looks at the security cameras in Santa Cruz. He' s got a counter,
51:34
an accountant to see you. It says it takes more than forty days,
51:37
not forty days, fifty- two minutes. Well, he' s
51:44
gone missing. You' ve been here more than 40 days. This poor
51:47
boy disappeared and the family cé 50 and Villarrul is still on his own schedule.
51:52
Villa Rubert that very law and it' s all broken. Yes,
51:53
and for months I' d say how well we talked to Carlos for the
51:57
start of the program to twenty- four. What hides more one hundred and
52:00
wants to tell more the threatened asks to speak it gives forty days of questions,
52:05
all with logan that I return for people after a bit of the America
52:08
Cup and other piles of garbage. The subject I told you about Moyano,
52:10
accused of extortion and the subject of transfund cranes. The Blue one thousand forty,
52:16
one thousand four forty- five quiet journey falls one percent, the rich
52:20
Countries of one thousand five hundred forty- one. He counted on lik and
52:22
rose just one thousand threeci thirty- eight pesos. The month comes down little
52:27
one thousand three hundred twenty- nine. Tragedy near the I maluines. I
52:30
' ve already seen this on Spanish portals. If one of an illegal fisherman
52:34
died three of his 27 crew members, because well, there are ten Spaniards
52:39
in front of them and that' s how it got there and that'
52:50
s how it got well. I leave you with a very short pausita la
52:52
tanta and we hit Alexandr Rosman and see you tomorrow at 4 p m,
52:58
in the continuity of the construction week. Thank you the friend Juan most outstanding,
53:02
fan of fact, Almagro and Silvia Carvajal for the pre- production Bybye
53:23
Soi fan of beef in Argentine meat and will find the best tips, tricks
53:31
and recipes to prepare the best meat in the world and enjoy it with family
53:37
and friends. We remind you that you can find us on social networks,
53:43
on our website, where we extend our journalistic work. We found ourselves on
53:47
Twitter, under Nick Arroba, on Instagram. Fer M two thousand twenty-
53:52
two. Ferm de Pharmaury two thousand twenty- two and as always where we
53:58
upload audios of the program column analysis specialists, our website handles approaches blog Buenos
54:10
Días, dro Mantual Column Weekly economy. Today I wanted to refer to a
54:20
more compensive and medium- term vision and the Argentine economic and social project to
54:28
locate where we stand and what the prospects are. I think it is a
54:32
valuable exercise in terms of those who critically analyze the reality that economic, there
54:40
is social there is a prior to the present moment, we could say the
54:49
previous cycle of Fernández' s constitutional government, six months of the Anarcho capitalist
54:55
government of Milay and the prospects for the future, of course, framing them
55:01
in a hypothectic political sphere, because we do not know what can happen in
55:06
that aspect and look back. It is very interesting to make an analysis of
55:12
what was supposed to be the current year, before assuming Mileyo, that is,
55:16
what predictions had been founded and serious about the economic evolution in Argentina with
55:23
precedence to the December ten of the two thousand twenty- three, which passed
55:30
some aspects in the two thousand twenty- three and in others in the two
55:32
thousand twenty- two. The most interesting daclo and of all that is worth
55:37
observing carefully in the prediction given by the International Monetary Fund in November last year
55:45
about what was going to happen in the Argentine economy that year. The publication
55:52
of the FEMRI, which is made for all the countries of the world a
55:58
few months before the end of the year, indicated that in the two thousand
56:01
twenty- four of the economy of our country would grow by about two and
56:07
a half percent, that is, well above the year two thousand twenty-
56:13
four, they would not dare substantial changes in the economic evolution and a positive
56:19
evolution of two and a half percent was almost certain, because the Monetary Fund
56:24
said that it was based on its very particular studies and society from the World
56:34
Bank also made an approximate proximity to that of the Fund in terms of estimation
56:37
of growth this year and one believed its most relevant technicians in that aspect,
56:45
that there were episodes in the Argentine economic evolution that twisted the estimated evolution and
56:53
edictation inflationary index, pardon and says of economic growth. This is very interesting
56:58
because what happened on December 10, especially three days later, with the phenomenal
57:04
evaluation decreed the Milay government of one hundred and eighteen percent, was not an
57:09
option that was marked as inevitable in a study of the category from which the
57:15
World Bank produces the fund for those two institutions. Ladies and gentlemen, at
57:23
international level there was no reason for such a sudden fever in the consumer price
57:30
index, which was the opening of a completely different scenario for the two thousand
57:37
twenty- four. Clearly then there was no need for that inflationary blow as
57:45
a result of a very abrupt devaluation, and what happened that year was a
57:52
new vision totally different from that seriously planned two months earlier. What happened that
57:59
year or that is happening these six months a phenomenon accepted by all, by
58:06
statistics and by the economic and social reality, where there is a strong increase
58:10
of prices from the beginning of the government of migly December of two thousand twenty
58:17
- three, that gradually slows down as the transfer of the new value of
58:22
the dollar to the whole of the Argentine economy takes place. The last monthly
58:28
data, which is the four- sixth inflationary increase for the month of June,
58:35
represents a total increase of the semester and of the month of December last
58:40
year, very close to the value of the evaluation, that is, in
58:45
just seven months it eliminated almost all the inflationary impact of last year produced by
58:55
the phenomenal evaluation, but on the real economy it is impact played a tremendous
59:02
role. It was an expected fall in the output of both State institutions and
59:09
the national government, expected to be three and a half percent for the whole
59:15
year. The month of June. The provisional acts would indicate that the economy
59:22
fell about four and a half percent in that period January June, but that,
59:30
in fact, marks a better behavior than the real because there are like
59:36
two points that improve the respective index product of the difference of the growth of
59:44
the sector grouped four last year to this fruit of the disappearance of the drought.
59:49
In fact, all the productive activity, less agriculture, carló in the
59:52
semester about 7%