Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NFL Best Bets Sunday 11/23/25

Transcript

NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NFL Best Bets Sunday 11/23/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hack Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins archape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what day it is anymore. But
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: until I die.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: At least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up? Everybody? Sewed back with you?
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: This is Toad's LITL Sports Best Bets for Sunday, November
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: twenty third. Thanks everybody for hanging out last night for
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: the NFL Show.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: I gave a two NFL plays one.
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: I'm not loving the market read on, but we're going
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: with it anyway. Hopefully it's gonna get it done. My
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: camera's not working. Everything's awesome, I'm not working. Nothing's working.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: If you want to see my rant about yesterday's terrific
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: card that I gave out yesterday, can go watch the
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: NFL Show because I talked about it there. Don't really
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: have time to do anything here, Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: for hanging out. I'm gonna try to make this fast
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: and it's gonna be impossible because we're in the early
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: part of the college basketball season where we have a
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: college basketball slate that's way too big for a Sunday
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: when I'm trying to focus on NFL, I'm gonna give
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: out six college basketball plays because I again two Sundays
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: in a row. The board is big, and I see
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: some situations, so I'm just gonna do it. ESPN does
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: have a big game up in this Charleston, South Carolina Tournament,
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: whatever it is, between Clemson and Georgia at one pm.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: Clemson is gonna have somewhat of a home crowd there
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: because it is in Charleston, although Georgia not really that
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: far away either, probably will have some fans traveling, although.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: The site does favor Clemson a little bit.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: Clemson got the win yesterday barely against West Virginia. Not
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: totally impressed if against a West Virginia team. It's still
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: kind of improving, though I think Clemson is kind of
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: on the downswing right now. Georgia, I think is probably
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: the best of all these teams, and Georgia had a
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: scary yesterday against Xavier.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Xavier is not very good this year.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: Georgia was a ten and a half point favorite in
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: this one, so I think due to the nature of that,
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: the fact that it was really more of an escape
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: for Georgia whereas Clemson West Virginia closer matchup, I would
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: lean to Georgia in this one. Clemson is up to
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: a two and a half point favored. It looks like
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: the money might be coming back on Georgia. Sixty percent
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: of tickets, eighty one percent of the cash there on Georgia.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Those are my thoughts on that game. Don't have a
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: whole lot else. I went two and zero in the
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: agreements with Mark Lawrence. Kansas lost. They got killed? Or
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: are you talking about? Kansas was one of my plays.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed Rutgers didn't cover. I thought they did. They
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: didn't cover. They lost by like thirty somewhere around thirty.
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: I guess maybe they didn't cover.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it seems like bullshit. I mean that there was
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: a reason why I didn't want to touch that one.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: But the ones I gave out were all horrific losers,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: including Kansas. So I don't know what we're talking about here. Yeah,
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: losing by thirty three, All right, Arkansas. Pine Bluff is
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: going to Miami, Ohio. Now, Miami Ohio just had an
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: escape against Mercyhurst. Miami Ohio was a big favorite in
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: this one. Mercyhurst not very good.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: They're pretty new to Division one here. Oh, Kansas State.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I didn't love that. I mean I didn't.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: I wasn't in total agreement on that, Like it was
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: a very very mild agreement on that. And Kansas State
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: was they almost got killed in that game, Like they
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: had a big lead early and then they got I'm
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: pretty sure they got crushed in the rest of the game.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: So I'm surprised they even covered that. Was.
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: I did not love that one by any means. I
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: would not have had my money on that game whatsoever.
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: No way, I mean Utah need of the game, has
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: the way better team. I almost kind of lean to
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Utah in that one. I don't think I had that
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: in any of my pick'm pools or anything like. That
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: game wasn't available, so so no, I didn't.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Really agree with that.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but yeah, Miami Ohio, they're coming off of escape
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: against Mercyhurst. After that, the team is usually gonna put
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: in a better performance, although you're asking them to cover
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: a big, really big number here against Arkansas Pine Bluff
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: because they suck. Arkansas Pine Bluff literally has played every
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: game on the road so far, which I know it
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: means they're fairly battle tested, but they're bad. It's gonna
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: take its toll at some point. I would lay the
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: points with Miami Ohio if I was gonna play this one.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: They're up to twenty two and a half.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: They're one of the better MAC teams in basketball, and
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: again Pine Bluff is awful.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio seems to be in a focused spot there,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: So that's what I would do.
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: Uh, Binghamton and Gnesius in this buffalo battle here, people
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: are gonna see the Canese just beat Maryland Eastern Shore
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: and Binghamton actually lost to them yesterday, which is real ugly.
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: Maryland Eestern Shore not as good as either of these teams.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: In fact, yeah, I think they're the worst of all
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: these teams that are in this thing.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore is.
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: Although yeah, I mean that's that's bearing out in the
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: with the the line here, because I believe Canesius is
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: hosting this and they're only getting one and a half
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: on the line up from Pickham so osbegers are telling
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: you Maryland Eestern Shore is worse than Binghamton even though
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: they beat them, And this is actually telling you maybe
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: Binghamton's even the better team. Because Canesis is basically just
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: not getting any I mean, you probably have to give
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: them a little bit of something for home course, and
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: that's basically what the line is here. So the osbager's
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: telling you Binghamton's actually slightly better as well. Both of
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: these teams suck, But because we have that common opponent there,
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: you know what I like to do. I mean, it's
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: just it's simple. It's not something I'm gonna base an
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: entire handicap off of. But I don't really have any
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: else to go on in this game, not a play.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: But because Binghamton lost to Maryland Eistern Shore, Kenesius beat them.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: The public, if they look at this game at all,
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: they would probably want to lean to Canesius for that reason.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: I would fade that I would take Binghamton. I think
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: Binghamton is the better of those two teams. That's really
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: all I have to say about that. We do have
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: prairie View A and M in North Florida, and this
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: Pensacola battle here, prairie View was correct.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: That was a lean I gave out yesterday. They did cover.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: They almost went outright against Tennessee Martin. But now because
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: of that, because that was like almost a double digit
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: upset from this very bad Prairie View team. U. T.
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: Martin was in a bad spot. U. T. Martin had
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: played pretty close, played like they played pretty competitively against
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: Florida State the game before that, so they were in
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: a bad spot there. Now, I think Prairie View they
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: almost pulled off the upset. They looked too good and
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: doing so. In North Florida yesterday they lost to Southern Miss.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think Southern Miss is probably the best
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: of all these teams that were talking about here. Southern
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Miss is a nine and a half point favorite there,
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: So yeah, North Florida technically covered that, but Prairie Review's
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: performance I think took more out of them, took more
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: effort to do that as a huge underdog. So I
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: would be fading Prairie View in this one if I
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: was gonna play it, even though they're actually up to
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: a two and a half point favorite, which makes no sense.
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: Like you're telling me Prairie View is better than North Florida.
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: I don't think they are. I don't buy that. I
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: don't know what does Ken Bom say about that.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: I doubt it.
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: North Florida is bad, Yeah, he does actually have that
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: he has prairie View better than them by about twenty
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: ranking spots, but I'm used to Prairie View being an
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: absolute bottom dweller, so I don't know. I would still
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: take the points with North Florida though in that spot
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: for prairie View a really bad team, it's a pretty
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: bad spot. So those are my thoughts on that one.
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: West Georgia Georgia Tech. Of course, West Georgia you gotta
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna step it up for a game against
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: a bigger brother in the state of Georgia. West Georgia
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: did look somewhat decent against UCLA on the road earlier
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: in the season, so they're fairly battle tested and they
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: haven't looked too bad even though they's somewhat new to
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: Division one. Georgia Tech is coming off barely getting by
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Georgia Southern, though, so in another game that was a
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: big brother, little brother situation, the little brother almost handed
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: it to Georgia Tech, and I think it was a
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: bad spot for Georgia Tech because they were coming off
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: their first loss of the season. They had played really
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: close with Georgia, so I'm pretty sure I at least
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: leaned to Georgia Southern coming off of that, because first
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: loss can be a hangover, but also when you step
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: up your game and you almost beat your big brother
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: in Georgia as a big underdog there, that was gonna
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: be a hangover spot for Georgia Tech. So it's explainable
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: why they didn't play well soon in a way, that
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: should be a bounced back spot now for Georgia Tech
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: because they played horribly and almost lost to Georgia Southern.
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: But again the problem I would have with that is
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: they do have bigger games up next. They got to
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: Paul which is at least a big East team than
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Mississippi State. But also again West Georgia is probably gonna
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: step it up for this because they are a little brother.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: So that's the issue that I have there with it,
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: that one conflicting you know, situations in that one not
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: a play. Georgia Tech is up from seventeen to seventeen
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: and a half, money seemingly coming in early on Georgia Tech.
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: I don't really disagree with it. I mean it should
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: be a spot where Georgia Tech does show focus, and
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: when you get the better team in a focused spot
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: sometimes that is better.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: Although it is a low total here too, So all right,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: what else did I want to talk about here?
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: We do have this tournament going on in Portland, Oregon,
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: in Northern Colorado and cal State State Fullerton. These teams
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: both won yesterday. Northern Colorado beat the host Portland. Although
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Portland is not that good, Northern Colorado is the better
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: of those two teams, so that was not an upset.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Cal State Fullerton pulled off an upset against Saint Thomas.
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: Man the Tommy's pretty good. That was actually an eleven
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: and a half point upset from cal State Fullerton. There
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: a Saint Thomas not a great shooting game for them,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: So I would fade Fullerton in this one because they're
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: coming off a big upset there. So I know, I
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: know it's a tournament, and I believe this is the
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: final of the tournament or something like that, so teams
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: tend to not like teams might not have as much
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: of a letdown when it's a tournament like that, although
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: I do use that situation in like March madness, when
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: I think a team's only goal was to like pull
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: off that one big upset and if they get it done,
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: then I think they have nothing left in the tank
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: after that. But in a case like this where it's
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: kind of a small tournament where it's like one, two rounds, whatever,
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: I think the team will still show up again. Although
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: I would still slightly lean against Fullerton in this one.
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: Northern Colorado is the better team. They're out from nine
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: to nine and a half based on the results from
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: the previous round. People might not realize that if they're
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: looking at this, so I think Northern Colorado is the
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: right side. They're they're the better team. I lay it
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: with them. We have Longwood going to Columbia, Longwood coming
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: off that really ugly home upset to Maryland eestern Shore,
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: which was part of my handicap in fading Maryland eestern
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: Shore going up to Buffalo, even though we barely got
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: that one right. Longwood coming off of that, I think
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be good for them to just get out
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: of there go on the road. They did at least
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: play on the road against Pitt earlier, and they didn't
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: do too bad in that game, losing by eighteen to
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: an acc team, and that's not too bad.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: So they at least do have a road game out
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: of the way.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: They're coming off just a horrendous loss at home to
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: a much inferior team, So I expect more focus out
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: of Longwood. I know Colombia is undefeated at home, whatever,
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: but I think they're overrated right now. They really haven't
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: been tested yet, except they did lose to Yukon, which
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: is not a surprise.
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Columbia.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: Kind of like last year where Columbia had a really
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: early schedule early in the season and they had all
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: these wins and it was like, oh my god, Colombia,
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: They're a top the IVY. I'm like, yeah, good luck
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: with that, and we were just terrible once it got
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: into IVY League play. You're getting four points with long
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: would I would take the points with long Wood in
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: that one if I was gonna play it. CBS Sports
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: at two pm in West Virginia in one of these
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: Greenbrier Tournament things, we have Virginia and Butler.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is an interesting one. Virginia is coming.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Off beating Northwestern in their last game, a decent win.
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: I think it was right around where the spread was
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: too is where that final landed. Butler coming off a
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: win over an SEC team South Carolina, though they're a
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: bad SEC team.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: This is a good game.
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think in this game, both teams probably
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: show up. I would just probably default to the better team,
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: which is Virginia.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: But the problem is the line's out of control.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: It's already from three and a half to seven and
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: a half, fifty percent of tickets around Butler ninety one
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: percent of the ticket excuse yeah, fifty tickets Butler ninety
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on Virginia. Money is coming
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: out of Virginia, and it's spike the line man through
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: a key number. So if you like Virginia, I mean
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: you've definitely missed the boat on it. I don't love
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: the game either way. I think Virginia wins, but at
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: seven and a half, I don't think you can really
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: lay it.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: The total is.
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: Interesting because it's at one fifty seven, and this is
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: a pacing collision of sorts where Virginia likes to play slow,
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: Butler is gonna want to try to speed the game up,
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: and the totals kind of right in the middle of
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: those things. But also laying points for the slow down
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: team like Virginia, not something I really love to do,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: makes it a little bit more difficult for them to
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: get over that number, although if they're gonna be the
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: better team, I still think they probably win and cover
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: if you force my hand, but I don't want anything
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: to do with it. Columbia's five and zero against the spread,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: which probably means they're gonna regress at some point because
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: teams can't sustain an ATS record like that, and plus
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: Columbia's face almost entirely terrible teams. And then well, I
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: guess that could go both ways because of course, when
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: they played Yukon, you know Yukon is just gonna be
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: massively overvalued, so the line was just probably gigantic with Yukon,
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: and we know Yukon like someplace slow, so they don't
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: cover these big spreads. I might be talking about that
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: in a minute, but yes, either way, looking at the situation,
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: I think Longwood is the correct side in that game. Yeah,
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: you're taking Longwood. That's pretty gay, bro.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: All Right.
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: We do have this thing going on in Jacksonville, Southern
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: Illinois playing Delaware.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what this is.
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: It's one of these other tournaments I just call out
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: all these tournaments.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: Delaware might be in a.
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: Decent spot because they finally got their first win against
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: Saint Peter's that will at least give them some confidence
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: coming into this one. Southern Illinois had to do a
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: bunch more travel recently. They're coming off that game where
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: we gave out a winner on the show against Southern
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: Illinois on North Dakota State after we lost against Southern
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: Illinois in the previous game with Nevada. But Southern Illinois,
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: you know, they had to go way out there to
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: Nevada up to North Dakota. Now they're coming all the
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: way down to Florida. The travel spot I think is
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: worse for Southern Illinois. So I do think the spot's
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: a little bit better for Delaware, although the line initially
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: moved on Southern Illinois.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Five to seven and a half.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: I would probably take it with Delaware, but really not
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: a strong opinion on that. All Right, first play, I'm
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: gonna be fading a lot of teams that I think
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: are in bad spots here, man best bets, trying to
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: make this more of a lightning round type of thing.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: Let's go, We're gonna take the points with Robert Morris.
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, well, you just saw what one of my
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: next plays is gonna be. Robert Morris plus three and
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: a half against Monmouth. The key of this is just
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: that I don't like the spot for Monmouth, and I know,
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: looking at the records, it does look way too easy
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: to take Robert Morris. So usually I wouldn't want to
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: do this because you got a three and two team
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: that was in the tournament last year. If people remember
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: that Robert Morris won the Horizon and they lost to
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: Alabama in the tournament, although they played decently in that game,
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: Monmouth at one of three, like, well, why is Monmouth
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: laying points? Yes, I realize the oddsmakers are telling you
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: Monmouth is the better team. I realize that the line
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: is in conflict with the records. Usually that's something I
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: look at where it's a misleading line. It almost looks
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: too easy to take Robert Morris. But I think it's
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: correct in this game, just because the spot for Monmouth
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: I think sucks.
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: Monmouth, they are playing their first home Division One game.
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: I get it, they did already play a non Division
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: One opponent at home. But the stretch that they've been on, man,
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: they just had to play at Seaton Hall and at Syracuse.
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: And the crux of this is that they pretty much
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: took Syracuse to the limit in this game, Man, as
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: twenty one and a half point underdogs against a Big
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: East team that's undefeated right now, and the name Syracuse
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: is just huge, even though Syracuse is down right now.
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: And yes, I do worry a little bit about the
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: fact that Syracuse outshot Monmouth significantly in the field goal
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: percentage and the three point percentage was really high for
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: Syracuse as well, but.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Mostly in the field goal percentage.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: I do worry about that, Like, why did Syracuse almost
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: lose the game if they had that much of an
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: edge with the field goal percentage? But I just don't care, man,
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: because Syracuse was running away with the game, and then
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: I think they just took their foot off the gas.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: They stopped too early because they thought the game was over,
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: and Monmouth made a huge run late. So you got
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: a max effort on a Monmouth in this game to
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: try to win this game, and they got back to
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: within two points with thirty six seconds left and then
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: fell short. Pretty brutal way to lose for Monmouth. Man,
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: putting in that effort to come all the way back
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: takes a lot out of you to do that, especially
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: against a far superior team. So I think this is
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: a flat spot for Mondmo. And then after they played
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Robert Morris, they do have to go play some tournament here,
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: which is the La Fayette Classics, so they're only going
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: to Pennsylvania. But still it is some tournament, and sometimes
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: you do tend to get more up for that than
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: some random early season game.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: But the fact that they're off that Syracuse game looks
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: pretty brutal to me.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: Robert Morris, I know they're coming off a game where
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: they lost as an underdog as well. They didn't even
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: cover though against Saint Bonaventure, losing by fourteen is an
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: eleven and a half point favorite.
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: They were close in the.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: Middle of the second half in this game, but the
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: game was pretty out of reach and they didn't make
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: a late run like that, so you know, a little
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: bit less of an effort there. And Saint Bonaventure, even
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: though they're undefeated, they also just don't have that weight
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: behind their name that Syracuse does, So I think this
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: sets up better for Robert Morris in this one. Robert
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: Morris is fairly road battle tested as well. They played Iowa,
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: Drake and St. Bonaventure all on the road to Monmouth.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: Has got to be worse than all three.
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Of those teams.
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: So this is the easiest road game for Robert Morris
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: so far, so it's a step down in class for them.
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's against me on this Monmouth
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: down from four and a half to three and a half,
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: but eighty five percent of the tickets on Robert Morris
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: at seventy eight percent of the cash on Monmouth, I'm
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: not totally surprised that the public might be taking the
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: Robert Morris side. But again, this is a fade of
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: Monmouth coming up that Syracuse game. That's pretty much the
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: way that I do things. That's it is simple, but
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: that's the way that I do it. The total is
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: not very high one hundred and forty nine, so it
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: looks a little bit better to take points in a
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: situation like that. All right, next up, you already saw it,
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: but we have a Western Michigan.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: On the money line.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: You can lay like one point on this too, but
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: I recommend the money line, especially when you can find
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: a decent price like this at minus one point fifteen
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: anything with a team it's like a one one and
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: a half two point favorite. The professionals will tell you
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: it's better to lay the money line, especially you might
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: be able to find a better price on the money
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: line than usual in some cases as well, specifically with
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: college basketball, it's actually more advantageous. But at a price
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: like this, it's really close to just a minus one ten.
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: Pick them.
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: I'm definitely doing it, And this is all about fading
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: Mount Saint Mary's.
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: Mount Saint Mary's, they're coming off a couple of big games, man.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, they played Cincinnati decently and then went on
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: the road to Maryland and they took Maryland to overtime.
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: Man in Maryland, I know Sab got this one right
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: on the show. I agreed with him, but I held
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: off of this game because I was worried about Maryland
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: being in the injured player theory spot because they lost
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: their best player to injury. So I thought Maryland was
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: gonna step up their game for the first game without him.
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: But I think they took Mount Saint Mary's pretty easily anyway,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: and Maryland was in a bad spot. They were coming
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: off beating Marquette on the road, which is a huge upset,
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: and they had UNLV and Gonzaga coming up after that game,
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: so it was a Sandwich spot. It was a bad
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: spot for Maryland other than the fact that they did
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: have the injured player coming into play. That could have
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: been the one thing that could have motivated them. But
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: Mount Saint Mary's went all out in this game. As
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: seventeen and a half point underdogs, they had chances to
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: win this game. I mean, they were losing by double
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: digits or only in the second half, and then they
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: came all the way back and took the lead later
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: in the second half, had the lead multiple times late
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: in the second half, blew it wound up going to overtime,
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: and then still fell short.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: That's crazy, dude.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, that was a huge deal for Mount Saint
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: Mary's almost pulling off the upset at Maryland. I don't
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: know what they're gonna have left in the tank here.
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: My guess is not much. And what was I gonna
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: say here?
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Where we were we looking here? Oh?
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they're having to go to Western Michigan, so I
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: know Mount Saint Mary's is road tested, so at least
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: there is that. But still coming off that game, that's
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: bad enough. But up next they also have to play
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: Ohio State in two days, so that's a quick turnaround.
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Time.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: That's a huge game too. Against Ohio State. This is
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: a sandwich spot. This is a big time sandwich spot. Yeah,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna be able to get it
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: done here against Western Michigan. Western Michigan just played Ohio
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: State on the road and they got annihilated. So I
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: think it'll be good for Western Michigan to just be
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: back on their home floor.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: They did win the last game at home.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: Sometimes I like to play teams returning home in college basketball.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: That had a really bad game the last time at home.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: But even so, Western Michigan both of their wins have
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: come at home against Division on one teams. They did
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: actually lose to a non Division one team at home.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: I don't even know who that was, Northwood Minnesota. Really
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: bad game for Western Michigan in that one, which I
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: believe I took Western Michigan coming off of that horrible
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: loss going into that game against Campbell, and I think
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: we got to push on that one. But anyway, Western Michigan,
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: they're coming off an ugly blowout lost to Ohio State,
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: stepping down in class here, horrible spot for Mount Saint Mary's.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: I think Western Michigan get gets the job done in
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: this one. I think they win other off from a
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: pick them to one, so it looks like some of
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in on them. I like that one
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: more than the Robert Morris one, if that wasn't obvious.
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: If you want me to weigh these things, all right,
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: let's keep going. Okay, West Virginia and Xavier playing in
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: that Charleston thing as well. Now that's the opposite of
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: the other game that I talked about between Clemson and Georgia,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: because these are the two teams that lost. This is
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: the loser, Brad. But Xavier, They're just not that good
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: of a team right now. Man, I don't trust Richard
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: Patino right now, as you know, why would I?
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Inside I want to kill myself.
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: I don't trust either Patino, but Xavier. They just almost
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: pulled off the upset against Georgia. That was a much
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: bigger effort to almost win as a double digit underdog.
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: West Virginia came close and covered against Clemson as well,
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: but that was a game with a closer spread. So
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: Xavier is coming out of a much bigger effort. I
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: would say, so I would go with West Virginia here.
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: They are the better team you would have to lay
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: six and a half, although at least it's not seven.
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: From five to six and a half in the market
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: here seventy five percent of tickets ninety four percent of
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: the cash on West Virginia. That is the way that
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: I would go in that one if I was gonna
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: play it, which I will not. Duke is hosting some
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: tournament and they have a game where they're like a
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: forty plus point favorite against Howard. I need if you
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: want to do something with that game, you're basically the lottery.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: I would say Duke is a slow ish.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: Team though, so I mean, and you know you're not
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: gonna get any value on Duke, So I guess the
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: move would be to take the points with Howard. But
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: Duke could really just name the score if they wanted
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: to in that one. So I'm I would be worried
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: a next step going into this four pm slate, I
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: am gonna give up yet another play.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the points with.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: Lamar plus six and a half. Lamar kind of under
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: the radar there. I think they're one of the better
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: teams in the Sutland Conference. Here this is mostly about
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: fading Montana, though I do not like to spot for Montana.
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: Montana is sitting at four and two looks appealing, you know,
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: to the public eye, either three and zero at home.
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: I get it, they've been pretty good at home, but
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, who have they beaten at home? Two of
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: their wins were against non Division one teams, So their
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: only Division one win was that game against cal Pauly
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: where they barely covered on the on those final free
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: throws and I was pissed off about it. And now
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: I know we're not on the right side of the
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: number seven here, but I think Lama better than Cal
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: Pauli at least that's what the number is telling you.
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: But the point of this is that Montana just went
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: to Texas A and M.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: This is a huge game from Montana, seventeen and a
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: half point underdogs. And you know, I laid the points
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: with Texas A and M coming out of this game
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: because I thought they would rebound. No pun intended off
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: of this game. But the other half of that is
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: that Montana played really, really well against an SEC team
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: in one of their biggest games on the schedule on
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: the road, and they played pretty well man against Texas
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: A and M.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: They came fairly close. They just didn't go away.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: They were getting blown out in the game, and I
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: think A and M took their foot off the gas
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: and Montana made a really late surge got back to
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: within three with twenty two seconds left. So Montana put
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: in a full effort. Man, it's a huge underdog. Didn't
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: go away. Now they're having to come back home. It's
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for Montana here, dude. Off of that game,
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: they got to Oakland next in two days. I'm not
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: sure they're really going to.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Look ahead to that.
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: But still, I don't know how much focus they're really
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: going to pay to this Lamar team. As far as
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: lam are, they haven't played as many games this year,
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: but they played decently on the road against TCU, so
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: that's a decent sign that they're battle tested to some extent.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: And they haven't played since Monday.
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: Although I know you don't want to have that many
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: days off when you're winning games, but they only won
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: one game.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: It was an easy win against you on Monroe. I
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for this one.
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: I know it's a weird travel spot having to go
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: up to Montana, but for a team from Texas, I
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: guess it's a little bit less bad than maybe from
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: teams that are further east in the country. So and
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: it's a terrible spot from Montana again, So we're gonna
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: take the points in this one. Montana's down from six
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: with juice to straight six. I think I have a
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: straight six, and the total dropped a little bit to
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty and a half. It's not a
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: huge total, so taking the points somewhat makes more sense
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: than this one. As far as Montana, they're pretty high
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: in kemp Bump's luck Index, like sixty one, although I
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: know they're pretty attle tested as well, but you know,
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, the luck index is something I do like
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: to fade more often than I don't.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Lamar is lower in his luck index. They've still played
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: a decently tough schedule.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: I know Montana does play faster, so they will try
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: to speed Lamar up.
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: But it's at.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Least at least it's easier for the lesser team to
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: slow the game down than it is for the lesser
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: team to speed it up. Like the lesser team could
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: just hold onto the ball on offense, so it's easier
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: to slow the pace down. So maybe they'll be able
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: to do that a little bit and hang within that number.
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: That's what we're going with in that one big sky.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: Yes.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: Plus I think cal Paly plays really really fast, right,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: so Montana and you know, cal Pauly, they both kind
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: of wanted to do that. Cal Pauly was probably trying
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: to speed it up even more than Montana wanted them to.
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: Lamar is gonna be the complete opposite of that, So
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: slowing the game down might be a little bit better
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: for covering a spread as an underdog like that. Duke
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: for four of their five games have gone under six
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: and zero against the spread. Yeah, which I think the
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers wind up adjusting to that because you know, like
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: like basically those trends tend to not continue at some
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: point because the oddsmakers have to keep adjusting because they
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: keep losing on that particular thing. Which does mean it's
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: kind of weird. The Duke has been undervalued in the
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: market so far. They've played a couple of difficult opponents though,
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: so like not games where Duke would be like unbelievably overvalued,
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: although they've been covering as the huge favor too. But
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: I still if I was gonna do what I would
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: fade them, but I just don't have much to say
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: about that game at all. East Tennessee State is hosting
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: some tournament here in Johnson City, Tennessee.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: Don't really have a whole lot to say about this.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: They're up against you all, Monroe, who just lost to
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: Morehead State. East Tennessee stated, I think just beat Morehead,
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah they did so. The public if they see that,
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: they'll be on East Tennessee. But they're probably not wrong
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: in this case. East Tennessee definitely the better team. I
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: don't even know where they are here, I can find
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: what am I looking for?
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: Not Morehead? Who are they playing against? Again? It's some
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah Monroe. Monroe is terrible.
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, East Tennessee State's up to a seventeen and a
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: half point favorite. I mean I probably wouldn't lay it,
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: though I would probably take the points with you all Monroe.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, we all know.
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: East Tennessee State is the better team. But at that price,
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: probably makes sense to fade, you know, a little bit
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: of the perception there.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: But do I want to do it?
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: No, Saint Thomas and Portland in that Portland tournament, I'd
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: probably lean to Saint Thomas to bounce back. They are
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: the better team, even though I know they're in a
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: an actual road game here because Portland is the host,
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: Saint Thomas up from four to four and a half.
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with Saint Thomas to bounce back
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: from that loss in the first round of the tournament there,
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: although I think Portland also did lose. Oh no, they
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: were an underdog right to Northern Colorado. Yeah, slight underdog,
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: but still Saint Thomas loss is like a double digit favorite,
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: so I expect a better before Roman's a bounce back
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: from them. U Team Martin and Southern Miss playing in
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: that Pensacola then UT Martin of course had the horrible
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: game as I mentioned against Prairie View, and that was
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: because UT Martin was off of playing a really tough
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: game against Florida State, coming to within fourteen of them.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: So they had a bad game against Prairie View. They
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: made it into the next round here, so I expect
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: utem Martin to bounce back from that. Like that was
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: a bad performance against Prairie View and they still escaped.
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: I think they'll be more focused here. Southern Miss had
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: an easier win against North Florida. I like martin In
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: this one U team Martin. They're actually laying points up
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: from Pickham to two, so the odzecers are actually telling
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: you there the better team here too, So I would
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: go with that.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with ut Martin.
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: Not a play though, South Carolina and Northwestern in West
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: Virginia on CBS Sports and that Greenbrier thing. This is
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: the loser bracket, I believe. Yeah, both these teams lost.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: South Carolina losing a Butler is a bit uglier than
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: a Northwestern losing to Virginia. Virginia will punish you physically.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Both teams coming.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Up their first loss of the season, so I talk
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: about how that can be a hangover effect when you
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: lose your first game of the season. So that's a
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: wash between these two teams. Northwestern is the better team.
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: They're laying six. I would probably take the points, though
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: I know Northwestern is probably gonna try to speed the
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: game up. But Northwestern had a tougher game against Virginia.
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: Virginia is better than Butler, So that's basically how I
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: would handicap that one. Don't want to do anything with it, though,
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: all right, I know I'm skipping some of these just
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: because you know, I'm not totally interested in some of
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: these games. Here, we do have some Cayman Islands action
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: here MacNeice and George Washington.
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a whole lot to say about this.
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: So the McNeice might still be riding that name recognition
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: from the last couple of years, especially last year, where
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: you know they're Equick manager whatever his name, A mere
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: Con whatever his name was was, you know that viral
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: sensation during the tournament. But MacNeice is not the same
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: team right now. Man Will Wade left to go to
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: NC State. I think he took some of his guys
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: with him. I think he took a mere Con with
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: them too. So even though yeah, he left the program
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: in a good situation, MacNeice is not as good as
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: they were last year, so they might be a little
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: bit overvalued. George Washington is undefeated so far. They're not
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: a bad team. They haven't been totally battle tested yet.
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: Although I think.
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be the favorite in this game. They are,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: They're a five and a half point favorite. Money looks
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: like it is coming in on that side as well.
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: I'll agree. I'll lean to George.
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: Washington in that one, laying the points. Don't want to
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: touch the game though at all. Virgin Islands actually continues
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: with Yale and Charleston in the winners bracket. Yale barely
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: got by green Bay, unfortunately for roster. Because I laid
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: Yale in that game. That sounds gay, but yes, so Yale.
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: I think they're coming up more of an escape against
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: green Bay, whereas Charleston beat who did they beat Boston
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: College or something?
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: No, you mass, I knew it was a mass school.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: Yale's coming up the worst performance, so I expect Yale
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: to bounce back here. I think Yale is the better
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: team as well. Yeah, Yale's down from seven to six
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: and a half. It looks like the money's coming in
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: against Yale though sixty percent of tickets on them eighty
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash coming in on Charleston. I mean,
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: maybe Yale kind of riding that wave from the last
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: couple of years, or Yale made the tournament a couple
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: of times.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: But I would still look to lay the points with Yale.
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: In my opinion in that one, because they're coming off
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: such a worse performance. But don't have a whole lot
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: else to say about that. Yeah, Z the scone bounce
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: scone Bones at Yale. The scone Bones were at every
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: school man, including mine. Don't ask me how I know.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: All right, Youngstown and UNC Greensboro are playing in Jacksonville.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: This is kind of an ugly one. I think Youngstown
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: might actually be the better team. Now you wu and see,
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: Greensboro looks like they're down this year. Of course, they
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: haven't even won a game yet. They played a couple
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: of difficult opponents Kansas State and NC State, but they
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: didn't even come close in those games. They were non competitive.
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: Don't have a whole lot really to say about this.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: I just call out all these early season tournaments here.
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: I would.
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Probably go with Youngstown in this one, man, if I
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: was gonna play, They're already up from three and a
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: half to five and a half. But they are the
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: better team, so it might be warranted. So that's the
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: way that I would go. Mister Burns, Yeah, was he
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: in the Skull and Bones?
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Probably next up? This is the one that I was
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: alluding to.
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: We're gonna take thirty six and a half with Bryant
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: against Yukon. I know, but Yukon they're a slow paced team, man,
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: so they're not as U conducive to covering a large
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: number like that when they play really slow like that.
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: I know Bryant wants to.
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: Speed the game up and Yukon's probably gonna slow them down,
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: which might frustrate Bryant, but even so, you're asking a
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: slow paced team to cover a massive number like this. Really,
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: all you need is Bryant to play close for some
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: decent stretch of the game here, and that should get
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: it done. But Yukon's did a terrible spot here, dude,
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: massive sandwich. They beat BYU and held off BYU's ferocious comeback.
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: Then they took their first loss of the season coming
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: off of that, both of these opponents being top ten
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: ranked teams, by the way, now losing to Arizona, which
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: was a loss for US on the show, Yukon taking
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: that loss in Stores, Connecticut, by the way, So Yukon
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: is playing at the what is it the Gimbals Center
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: or whatever Gimbel, which is Yukon's actual home marine if
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: you don't know about the dynamics with Yukon, that's like
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: where the students show up because it's on campus. So
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: those are the most rambunctious crowds like the craziest crowd.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: So that's the biggest home advantage that Yukon has. They
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: took that loss, and I talk about how that loss
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: can hang you over into the next game when you
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: take that first loss. So that's what we have going
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: on here. And after this, Yukon has to turn around
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: and play Illinois and then Kansas right after this, so
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: I don't think you're gonna get a full effort out
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: of Yukon here, and they know they could just kind
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: of sleep walk through this game and just win. So
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: that's what I expect here. By the way, this game
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: is not on Yukon's campus. This game is in Hertford
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: at the Civic Center Hatford, so those games are less
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: of a home crowd for Yukon. I know I talked
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: about how the TD Garden crowd was wild for Yukon
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: during the tournament last year, but if you look at
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: what happened with Yukon when they played at the TD
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: Garden against BYU, Yukon didn't cover in that game, So
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean they should have though they
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: were blowing BYU out, so whatever. But I will tell
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: you that Yukon playing in the Hertford Civic Center here
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: the player the students are less like like a lot
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: of the students won't make that trip from campus to Hartford.
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: Like the traffic is terrible.
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: It takes a while to get up there, even though
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: it's not really that long of a trip. So Hertford
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: those games, the audience is more like the Yukon alumni
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: that live in the Hertford. They're all these rich bastards,
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: so that's not as good of a crowd. Okay, like
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: the rich alumni, the old people not as crazy as.
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: The drunk students, you know what I mean.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: You want the drunk students to have your biggest home advantage,
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: and that the on campus arena they have is a
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: lot smaller too, so they pack it and it's much
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: more intimidating. This being a much more intimidating to opponents,
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: this being a bigger arena.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: It's just kind of, you know whatever.
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: And Bryant's used to a situation like this because Brian
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: did play in the tournament last year, so they're used
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: to arenas of this size and whatever. Terrible spot for
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: Yukon though, Brian, I know they haven't looked good so far,
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: but I mean they're decently battle tested.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: They played Georgia Tech.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: On the road.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: I know they got annihilated in that game.
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: That was a win on the show, by the way,
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: but that was because Georgia Tech, I believe, was coming
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: off that horrendous game against Maryland Eastern Shore. I want
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: to say, so it was a good bounce back spot
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: for Georgia Tech. And Brian did play better on the
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: road against Virginia Tech in their last game. I know
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: they're coming up that game against Virginia Tech where they
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: did cover as a big underdog, but the game was
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: never in doubt as far as the winner.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: It just wasn't close.
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: By the end of it. So I do expect Bryan
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: to at least show up and try to get this.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: And by the way, this being in Hartford, that's not
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: that far from Bryant either, because Bryant is in Rhode Island,
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: so they're not that far away from home in this
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: one either.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: So they might have some fans show up for this
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: one too, because it's a big deal for them.
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: They get to play Yukon. It's a big game, so
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna show up. They'll have some fans
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: show up for it. Bryant fans. You know, Bryan's students
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: are actually probably like they're more likely to be incentivised
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: to make this trip. Let's just say, because this is
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: a bigger deal to them, So we'll take the points
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: with Bryant in that one Yukon only one and four
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: against the spread. I don't even look at it, man,
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: I just don't pay attention to what these teams are
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: against the spread. Maybe I should, but I'm looking entirely
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: at situation. The Whalers, Yeah, I mean the Whalers are
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: now the Carolina Hurricanes. The Whalers were solid, solid branding there, though.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: We need to bring them back and bring back the
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: Danbury Trashers.
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: I have a They were a UAHL.
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: Team owned by the Mafia, a mafia sanitation company. There's
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: a great documentary about it on Netflix. It's one of
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: the untold series.
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: I think I loved it. They were Yeah, that's dude.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: It was awesome having that team and they only lasted
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: like a season. But I do have one of their
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: jerseys because it's based all right, trying to finish this off.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: We have Tulane in Boston College in Charleston, South Carolina.
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: Boston College is coming off of a real ugly performance,
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: so they shot terribly in a loss to Davidson.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: I think BC was probably favored.
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they were a bit barely, but coming out of
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: such a horrible shooting game, you gotta think BC they're
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: gonna bounce back from that. So I kind of expect
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: to bounce back from BC. Tulane lost to Utah State
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: in a much higher scoring game, which makes Tulane look
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: better in their last game, which was also in this tournament. Here,
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: although you could argue that Tulane's gonna get up for
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: this because it is against an ACC team in BC,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: so I could see it going both ways, although I
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: lean to BC in this one. In the bounce back
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: spot here, they are the better team. Although they're down
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: from three to two and a half, sixty percent of
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on them, so
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: even though the number dropped a little bit, it was
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: like the money is on BC. I do not disagree
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: the thing I questioned yesterday, I'm like, why are random
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: teams playing in Make them Illinois?
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: It's because or McComb.
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: However you pronounce this, because Western Illinois must be that
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: must be where Western Illinois is so they're the host here.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: They're hosting North Dakota.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: Don't really know what else to say about that game,
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: but it's happening. Western Illinois up from a pick them
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: to a one point favorite, so some of the money
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: coming in on them at home. Western Illinois pretty bad
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: team though, although both these teams are pretty bad, both.
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: Teams enough ugly losses. I don't really know what else
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: to say about it.
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: Man, As you can see, there are gonna be almost
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: no people in the crowd for this thing in this
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: very small arena.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: For the leather necks. Why why are they the leather neck? Like?
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: What the hell is a leatherneck exactly? And why is
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: their logo like a bulldog though? I don't know, although
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: the leather might refer to as caller who knows? We
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: still have more plays.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: Let's do it.
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: We're gonna lay the points with Marshall minus twelve and
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: a half against mercy Hurst, who I already mentioned a
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: little while ago. Mercyhurst is coming off a huge game, man,
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: where they took Miami Ohio to the limit.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: That's a big game. Mercyhurst is a big underdog.
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio is a pretty decent knack team, and they're
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: not that far geographically from Mercyhurst, who are in Erie, Pennsylvania.
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: So these teams are kind of, you know, in the
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: Lake Erie region at least. Let's just say Mercyhurst is
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: fifteen and a half point underdogs. Pretty much gave Miami
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: Ohio all they could handle. Man, it was really close.
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: The game was in reach the whole way. It was
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: within one point in the final minute of the game.
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: So Mercy Hurst they came back in the game too,
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: to make the game not even close, but almost win
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: the game. Huge performance from mercy Hurst and Mercy Hearst
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: is not as good as they looked in that game either.
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: I think Miami Ohio probably took them a bit lightly.
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: Now coming up that huge performance, now they got to
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: turn around and face Marshall at Marshall's campus, I don't
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: like it. I know Marshall's fairly good. They're one of
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: the better Sun Belt teams probably, and Mercy Hurst.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: Is you know.
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could argue they'll try to get up
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: for this against a decent Sun Belt team, but I
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: think Mercyhurst pretty much shot their wat against Miami Ohio.
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: Marshall's coming off just an easy effort staying at home
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: against they played Arkansas Pine Bluff. I mean whatever, that's
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: a complete dorm out of a team, and after seeing
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: what Mercy Hears did, I kind of expect Marshall will
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: show up for this one, so I think Marshall will
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: run them out of the building. Marshall also plays fast,
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: mercy Hurst does not, although Miami Ohio they do play
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: somewhat fast as well, although I think Marshall is going
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: to try to speed it up even more, which is
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: not what Mercyhurst wants. So and also having to play
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: two faster paced teams in a row, that's gonna take
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: its toll as well. In Mercyhurst, we're laying it with Marshall.
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: They're out from twelve and a half to thirteen here,
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: but they are significantly better team as well, and again
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: laying points with the faster paced team, and like a
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: pacing mismatch like this, that's also the better team at home,
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: not necessarily a terrible idea either.
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're doing, Marshall minus the points. Dirty sock.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: What's up man?
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: I do go early today because I got to get
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: out of here fairly soon. Thanks for hanging out man.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: And then finally one more play, although I will actually
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: I'll mention now we do have more Cayman Islands action
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: between Murray State and Middle Tennessee, I mean Middle Tennessee.
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're very good. They did just have
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: a decently competitive game against Michigan where I think they
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: covered at Michigan only losing by twenty five. Now they
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: got to go to the Cayman Island off of that
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: doesn't look like the greatest spot for them. They're playing
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: Murray State. Murray State has the better name recognition, but
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: there's a reason for it. I think Murray State is better.
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: I mean it's where John Morant went man Murray State
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: up from six to eight. Here with it looks like
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: public coming into Middle Tennessee for some reason, although well
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: this is not a public game though, so this is
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: actually probably actually professional money coming in a Middle Tennessee.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: But I don't really agree with it.
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: Eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: cash in Middle Tennessee coming off that Michigan game and
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: having to go to the Cayman Islands Murray State being
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: the better team. I know it's through the key number,
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: but I would lean towards laying it with Murray State
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: in that one, and then we have Akron in Evansville
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: playing in the Virgin Islands. Evansville coming off a nice
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: upset of Oregon State, so they might be in a
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: bad spot because they're coming off an upset and they're
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: not as good as Akron and Akron coming off a
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: decent win over Iona. But Evansville probably in a bit
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: of a bad spot here, even though I know the
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: thing is this is gonna be the final I think
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: of the came A Island Tournament or whatever it is,
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: so both teams should still show up for this, but
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: I think it does set up better for the the
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: better team to just win the game and probably cover,
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: and that is Akron. Although Akron dropped from thirteen and
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: a half to twelve and a half here, so I
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: don't know. I would still probably lay it though. Just
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: my thoughts on that one. John Moran was he playing
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: last night. I didn't realize that he was that he
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: was back. I thought I thought he was effectively just
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: I thought he was injured and that the team was
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: trying to trade him and they just weren't gonna play
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: him because he's such a he's so bad for team chemistry. Yeah,
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna flash the guns around, man, John Morant, dude.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, obviously I'm fine with guns, but somebody who's
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: gonna treat them like John Moran?
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: Does you know? Maybe? Uh, I don't know. They shouldn't
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: be doing that. Let's just put it that way. Moran
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: didn't play. I didn't think, so.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know what we're talking about here. Yeah, John
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: Morant not a fan. Obviously. I kind of liked him
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: when he was in college because he was fun to watch.
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: And then I don't know, he's he's not a good dude.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: Let's just put it that way, all right. And then
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: final play. I mentioned this yesterday, man, because I was like,
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: when's Winthrop's next game.
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade them. Yeah, we're gonna fade them Jackson State.
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go back with Jackson State and this one
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: plus the points, there are a bunch of reasons to
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: do this. And this is at Jackson State, so we're
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: getting a home underdog here. Actually they're up to an
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: eleven point underdog now, so guess what, that's even better.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: I was ready to do it at nine and a half,
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: but we'll put it in on the show at eleven.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: How about that. That's even better getting eleven points. Give
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: it to me. I know Jackson State's not good, obviously
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: they're not as good as Winthrop. But there are many
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: reasons to do this. You're getting a bunch of points
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: at home. I know the totals high in this one.
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: Jackson State wants to play fast. I think Winthrop plays
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: somewhat fast as well. Oh they played White fast, so
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: but that's not bad for Jackson's State. I mean, both
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: teams are gonna play fast, so neither team is really
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: gonna be out of their element. But the thing is Winthrop,
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: as I already pointed out, they just took Arkansas right
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: to the limit. Man, Winthrop went on the road twenty
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: three and a half point underdogs, and they almost beat Arkansas.
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: They had to comeback in the game. They overtook Arkansas,
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: they had a five.
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: Point lead with two minutes left, and then they never
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: scored again and they lost in the final seconds of
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: the game on a Pringle layup. Man, I guess he
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: popped and he couldn't stop at that point. Winthrop losing
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: that game in brutal fashion. I mean that was a
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: huge step up game for them. Now they gonna turn
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: around to face Jackson State. I mean, do you think
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: they're really gonna be able to get back up after
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: that and cover as a huge road favorite.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: I don't really think so.
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: In two days they got to turn around and go
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: to Nebraska and play a Big ten team too. So
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: this is a major sandwich spot between two power conference teams.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: Terrible spot.
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: But let's make it even better.
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: Jackson State they just played Arkansas as well and they
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: got obliterated. So people are gonna look at this and think,
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: if Winthrop could almost beat Arkansas outright and Jackson State
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: lost by like fifty four points to Arkansas, why would
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: you ever want to take Jackson State here?
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: Though? Look at the line.
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: This was also at Arkansas, and Arkansas was only six
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: points heavier of a favorite in this game than they
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: were against Winthrop. So the oddsmakers are telling you, based
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: on these the odds in these two games against Arkansas
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: that jack that Winthrop should only be six points better,
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: which means that they should be what like maybe a
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: four point favorite in this game.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: And now it's eleven. Why is it eleven?
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if there are injuries or
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: what's going on, but there's no way this line should
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: be eleven in my opinion, especially not in this spot.
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: But again, it's gonna be this transitive thing where Jackson
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: State played way worse against the same opponent. But for
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: Jackson State, I talked about how they do things. Man,
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: they did the same thing last year. They get massively
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: battle tested early in the season. And they had road
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: games against Illinois, Louisville, Auburn, Arkansas. I know they weren't
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: really competitive in any of them, but that is a gauntlet.
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: And they played Louisiana Tech, who's not terrible either. Louisiana
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: Tech might also be better than Winthrop by the way,
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: Actually no, they're not. I thought they might be, but
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: Winthrop is actually decent this year. Yeah, Louisiana Tack's like
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: eighty rankings spots lower and kemp BOM's rankings.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: But still this is gonna be.
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: Only the second non power conference team that Jackson State
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: is playing, so they're stepping down in class again here.
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: They did play better against Louisian Attack. They only lost
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: by seventeen on the road at Louisianattack.
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: That's not too bad. I know, they didn't cover. They
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: were eight and a half point underdogs. But yeah, I
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: mean this should be a step down in class for them.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: It should be easier.
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: And this is the first home game of the season
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: for Jackson State, so you gotta think they're gonna have
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: people showing up for this one, man, because they also
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: go back out on the.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: Road for four road games in a row after this.
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: Because this is a huge deal. This is gonna be
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: their only game on the home floor for quite some time,
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: so home opener.
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be big for them. Yeah, for
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: all those reasons. Jackson State plus the points is the
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: call in that one.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: I like it.
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: We're gonna do it. Hot pringles, I don't even know
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: if I've had them. I like spicy stuff though. I
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: gotta try those out. I've tried a bunch of different pringles.
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: They do some weird things.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: Man. They got like peppermint chocolate ones for Christmas. I
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: gotta try the spicy ones. Though. You're gonna take Jackson State,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: they better do it, man.
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna be really pissed if we have another horrible
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: day here, all right, and then we do have more
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: Charleston action here with Utah State and Davidson. Davidson has
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: more of a home you know, biased in this game
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: because they're in the Carolina's Utah State pretty far away.
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: Davidson coming off a much uglier performance where they you know,
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: they beat BC in a low scoring game. But then again,
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: I mean that was a less I mean, that's just
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: not that impressive. Utah State I think had the better well,
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know, they had the better looking game against
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: Julan out. I guess Davidson beating BC is I guess
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: more impressive than maybe it looked on the scoreboard.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know what I would want to do to
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: handicap this. The money's coming into David's and I guess
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't disagree with it. Let's just say Utah down
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: from nine to eight, sixty two percent of the tickets
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: on Utah State, and then fifty percent of the cash
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: on David since the money kind of coming out.
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: Of David's in there.
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: But you're gonna, yeah, fade me on every play just
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: so somebody wins on everyone.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the that's the way to do it, I guess, although.
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: I mean I have I have been winning. You know
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: long term, so I don't know. Fading me maybe not
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: the greatest idea. Oh god, all right, we gotta get
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: this show done, man, I gotta put out all my
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: fucking videos, all right, buy it down to nine and
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: a half. Try we'll middle it together at the ten.
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: All right, let's go to hockey. I have one hockey
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: play here. Not a huge hockey slate today, but kind
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: of bigger than I thought it would be.
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: Carolina is gonna be at Buffalo. Carolina. They What am
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: I looking at here? Where did I go? Oh?
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: Carolina's coming off a win over Winnipeg. Win Winnipeg.
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: There you go.
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: That's a big game. Nice win over Winnipeg. Now they're
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: gonna play Buffalo. Looks like it could be a bit
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: of a letdown spot for Carolina. They do have the
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: Rangers up next and then Winnipeg again, those are probably
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: bigger games than this Buffalo game is to them. Buffalo
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: should step up for this, but they're coming off of
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: a nine to three win over Chicago the other day. Yeah,
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: Buffalo is staying at home. I know it's Carolina, so
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: they should be focused. But I don't love playing teams
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: that are coming off massive blowout wins like that, So
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is a complete stay away from me.
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: I would probably slightly lean towards Buffalo, but I don't
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: want to do it.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: You know, it was I mean, anytime you have a
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: nine to three win, it's misleading.
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: But they did outplay Chicago in.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: The game statistically, so at least that was the case,
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: so it's at least not misleading in that way. Okay,
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: Carolina sixty two ticket seventy five percent of the cash
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: on them, though, but they are a fairly public road
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: favorite of a pretty heavy variety. Down from one minus
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: one ninety to minus one eighty six, slightly towards Buffalo
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: as the home underdog there.
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: Minnesota at Winnipeg.
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, Minnesota is coming off a win over Pittsburgh
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: after beating Carolina and Vegas both in overtime and shootouts,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: and Anaheim before that, so they're on a nice run
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: of wins here and then they beat Pittsburgh. But remember
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was coming back from Sweden, so they were in
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: a bad spot there. Minnesota shut them out. So a
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: lot of times I will not want to play on
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: a team that is coming off a shutout win, especially
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: with this run that Minnesota has been on a bunch
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: of big wins in a row, although they did lose
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: to win a at home in late October, and this
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: is a big divisional matchup, so I'm not saying they're
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook Winnipeg. And maybe they have a little bit
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: of a revenge in mind, so I expect Minnesota will
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: at least still try to show up. So the question
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: is how tired and how overvalued might they be here.
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg did just lose to Carolina on Friday, so it's
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: kind of a difficult spot for them coming off a
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: big game against Carolina.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: Difficult handicap in this one.
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in on Winnipeg sixty five percent of tickets,
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: ninety eight percent of the cash on them up for
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty to minus one thirty.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: I oh man.
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: I mean Winnipeg is in the like they're in the
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: better rest spot, let's just say, because they haven't played
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: as difficult games recently. But I mean I kind of
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: want to lean towards the underdog in that game a
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: little bit with Minnesota because I think they will still
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: show up. But I also kind of hate that the
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: run that they've been out, although at least the five
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: to nothing to win was at least an easier effort.
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: So let's just put it that way. Yeah, Yeah, we're
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: gonna We're gonna middle it bet against each other.
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: No, like Z doesn't actually disagree with me, man, he's
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: just he's he's being funny.
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: Or maybe he does disagree with me. I don't know,
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: but he is. He's not saying that though, he is
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: being funny.
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: Seattle at the Islanders, my recent nemesis, the Islanders, who
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: I got back against in their last game. Seattle just
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: beat Pittsburgh on the road yesterday. So they're in a
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: back to back, third game in four days, fourth game
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: in six days, all in different cities, and they gotta
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: play Dallas and Edmondton next. So it's not a great
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: spot for Seattle really, even though the Islanders have been hot.
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: So you gotta think maybe Seattle will still try to
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: show up for the Islanders. But it's a pretty difficult
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: spot there. But the Islanders are also on a back
• 56:45
  Speaker 2: to back, although they're at least staying at home. We
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: faded them on the show yesterday. We got the win,
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: although two to one. It was two to nothing pretty
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: late for Saint Louis. Though we got the win fading
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: the Islanders yesterday. They were in a return home spot
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: where they were on the road for a long time, man.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: For basically two weeks.
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: It was a terrible spot for them returning home from
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: the road trip, very very successful road trip. Now they
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: are in that spot where when you do badly in
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: that first game back home, you do tend to bounce
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: back in the next game. But they're playing a back
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: to back third game in four days, also a fourth
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: game in six days, although both teams are doing that here.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: But they've had a jam schedule, man, as I talked
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: about yesterday. They've played since the thirteenth. This is their
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: seventh game, so they're on a seventh game in eleven days,
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: and almost all of them in different cities. So very
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: difficult spot for the Islanders. It's not a good spot
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: for either team. Islanders that minus won sixty seven the
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: money coming in on them those sixty six percent of
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty five percent of the cash on Seattle or
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: excuse me on the Islanders. Excusing money coming into the Islanders.
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean, I guess I would
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: lean to the Islanders because it is still that second
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: game back home. Both teams are fairly heavily taxed recently.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: But I don't love it. Colorado's going to Chicago, Colorado.
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've been excellent this year. There's no doubt
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: about that. They're probably the best team in hockey. They're
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: coming off a win yesterday over Nashville. Nashville was returning
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: over from Sweden as well, as that wasn't a good spot.
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: So both teams were turning over.
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: From Sweden got shut out. So that's great. Yeah, you're
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: just being funny.
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, people fade and troll. Mark Lawrence, I would hate that.
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: I would start getting pissed off. Like, if people keep
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: doing that, you know what I mean, it gets really annoying.
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean Colorado's coming off shut out. Whin
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: They're going to Chicago. Chicago's coming off that embarrassing nine
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: to three loss. So something about it tells me that
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: Chicago bounces back.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: The Avalanche also played yesterday and they're traveling from Nashville
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: to Chicago. Chicago didn't play yesterday, so there was a
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: little bit of a rest advantage for Chicago.
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: Colorado's got sixty two percent tickets there's yeah, and seventy
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on them, though, up from
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: minus two ten to minus two thirty five. I would
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: still probably take Chicago as a huge underdog though at
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: home the plus one puck line or whatever, make your
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: own plus one puck line or plus one and a
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: half even if I was gonna do that, but I'm
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: not gonna do it. The Avs puck line, yeah, I
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: mean I didn't really have that much of an opinion
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: on that one.
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: It was a plus money. Yeah, they covered, winning three
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: to nothing. So yeah, my Boston.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Bruins are at San Jose. Man slow to load.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: Bruins coming off a nice overtime win two nights ago
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: against the La Kings that was a win for us
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: on the show. After that, I mean, they might lack
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: focus a little bit, Man, because they're coming off games
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: against Carolina, Anaheim, LA. The two games on the road
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: trip have been tough Anaheim in LA. Although you could
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: argue they're gonna try to get ahead on the road
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: trip again because they're one and one on the road
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: trip right now. Maybe after San Jose they gotta fly
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: all the way back east to face the Islanders, though,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: which I think is a game that matters a little
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: bit more than.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: San Jose does.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: San Jose is not exactly in a great spot though,
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: is they just had wins in overtime and shootout against
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: Utah in LA and then they had a close call
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: against Ottawa yesterday, So they're on a back to back
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: with the Bruins having not played yesterday.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: So the money looks like it's on the Bruins.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: Up for minus one twenty eight to minus one twenty nine,
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: probably because they have the rest advantage fifty five percent
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: taket sixty four percent of the cash coming in on
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: the Bruins.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: I don't really love it, though, man.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: I think the Bruins might not have focus in the
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: game here against San Jose, So I don't know. I
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: slightly leaned against the Bruins in that one and towards
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: taking the home under dog. But the Osbegers are telling
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: you still to not buy San Jose's record that looks
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: like it's a decent record, that they're not as good
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: as that looks. And then finally my actual play, we
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: are gonna have Vancouver on the money line. I know
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: it's at minus one forty, but I like the spot here.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: They are the better team, even though you would. I mean,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: the records kind of tell you that as well. Calgary,
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: they're just really not a good team, man, maybe not even.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: As good as the record looks.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: But Calgary's coming off beating Dallas in a shootout yesterday,
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: and that was a third game or no, that wasn't
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: a third game of four days, my mistake. That was
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: a third game in five days, I guess. But still
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: they return home. They got the win over Dallas. Now
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: they have to go right back out on the road
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: again with no time off. And I know Vancouver's kind
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: of a big deal for Calgary because Vancouver just has
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: that like bigger name recognition. But even so, coming off
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: that win over Dallas with no time off, having to travel,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: I'm just not sure I see it, man.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: And for Vancouver.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: I looking at Vancouver, they let me see, they just
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: lost to that same Dallas team. But they have multiple
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: days off and they're staying at home. And in that
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: Dallas game, they were in a return home spot. So
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: I talk about how that's difficult a lot of times
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: when you return home, even though Dallas is a team,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: you try to focus on the return on from the
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: road trip. Spot's a difficult spot, man, and they took
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: the loss, and a lot of times when that happens,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: you play a lot better in the next game. This
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: is the final game of the two game homestand so
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be motivated to try to bounce
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: back split that road trip. People might see Calgary as
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: the underdog and the fact that Calgary did just beat Dallas,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: who just beat Vancouver, and think that there's some value
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: taking Calgary as the underdog.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: I don't think so, though.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: Vancouver is still the better of the two teams, even
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: though I don't think either team.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: Is that good. Calgary is just bad.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: Vancouver sixty take it seventy nine percent of the cash
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: and then they drop for minus one fifty five to
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: minus one forties.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: You can get a cheaper.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: Price on them, but almost like the cash is coming
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: in that way. Vancouver is the only hockey play of
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: the day. Now we do have to go to NBA.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: Let me get some more water first, and then I
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: gotta finish this, get all my videos out, and then leave. Man,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: So hold on a second and I will give you
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: three NBA plays. There is way too much going on here.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: We gotta do the final market read up. Hang on
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: a minute, we gotta do the final market read here too.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: I'll be back all right, all right, let's get into
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: NBA here.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: Oh my god, I don't know recently, like my next
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 2: starts hurting, my voice starts killing me on the show.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: I have no idea, dude.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, Boston's not good. So does that consider to
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: be good? Do you consider Boston to be good?
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, the puck line, yes, was plus money? All right, NBA. Oops,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: I just h I closed it, man, That's not what
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: I wanted to do. All right, NBA. Let's get into it, man.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: We got several NBA games today, starting with Miami in Philadelphia,
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: the only afternoon game. This one is not a play
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: for me from Miami coming off a blowout win over Chicago. Man,
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: when you have a blowout win like that, one forty
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: three to one oh seven, that.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Makes you look I think, too good.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: So this could be a spot where maybe Miami comes
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: up a little bit flat off of that. Philadelphia has
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: been really difficult to handicap because if it so many
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: guys in and out of the lineup, they're coming on
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: an overtime winn against Milwaukee. Tho, though we know that
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: was Milwaukee without Yiannis, but meeting Milwaukee is still.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: A pretty good win. But as far as off Philadelphia, you.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: Got to pay attention to what's happening with their lineup.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: So I think Paul George is like back and playing
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: pretty much every game now, so I believe he's playing here.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: It looks like Embiid might be out and edgecomb is
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: a game time.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: Decision, so you do have to look at that.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: The rookie edge Comb out of Baylor, he's been pretty good,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: so I mean that that is something to note at
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: least whether he's playing or not.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: But Philly has more time off.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: I mean the last playing on Thursday Miami, his last
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: win was more impressive, I think, just because it was
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: such a massive blowout. So I'll land to the Sixers
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: in this game, but I don't really have a strong
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: opinion on it. The money seems to agree. They're a
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: one point favorite. Fifty two percent of the cash on them,
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of the tickets on the Heat. The
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: Heat do have out of bio back, by the way,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: so something to note there. Hero is not back yet.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: Charlotte at Atlanta this is a I mean, this is
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: a game. I just I don't even know what to
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: even say about it. Charlotte, they're on a back to
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: back and having to travel now from Charlotte to Atlanta.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: I know it's not a huge travel spot to go
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: from Charlotte to Atlanta, but still they are on a
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: back to back.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: So just something to note.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: But they did get blown out at home against the Clippers,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: swiming away.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: Maybe going out of the road is a good.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: Thing for Atlanta. There's still without their star player, Trey Young.
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: Atlanta coming off a win. They're also on a back
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: to back, though they played in New Orleans yesterday and
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: they're actually returning home from a two game road trip.
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: Been playing a third game in four and a's all
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: in different cities where they went to San Antonio lost,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: played fairly decently.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: In the game, and then they beat New Orleans.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: Easily yesterday, and now coming back home from that, I
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: think the spot is a little bit worse for Atlanta here,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: although I know I think I did I lose with Charlotte.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: I did lose with Charlotte in one of these games.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: I think it was against Miami. Returning home from a
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: road trip. I don't know, but I kind of lean
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: to the Hornets in this one. The money seems to agree. Actually,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: Hawks up from seven to seven and a half.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: For some reason. Seventy six seventy seventy sex. Oh, that's
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: a lot of sex.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: Seventy six percent of tickets, eighty three percent of the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: cash on the Hornets.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: Money is coming in on the Hornets.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: It looks like although I'm surprised that they have a
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: public ticket percentage right now, but I would take the
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: points if I was gonna play it, but I'm not
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: doing it. Toronto beat the Nets on a oh god,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: eleven eleven. Well, eleven eleven is actually a positive thing, right,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: a six.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: Game win streak.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: Well, first, I'm gonna talk about Orlando Boston and here's
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: a play, just because I know how the Boston Celtics operate,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: and I told you they were gonna lose in that
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: zigzag spot. But now I'm gonna tell you the Celtics
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: are gonna show up and cover in this game against
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: Orlando Celtics. At minus four and a half, here, we're
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: gonna lay it with the Celtics. They've gone up a
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: little bit from four to four and a half, eighty
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: eight percent to take us ninety six percent of the cash,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: and that looks like the money is coming in on the.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: Celtics side for now.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: As far as Orlando, I mean, people are gonna look
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: at this maybe and think it looks easy to take
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: the points with Orlando, even though the Celtics did just
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: beat them in the most recent game they played against them.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: They're one to one against each other so far. I
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: don't think there's really revenge motive at this point, because
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: Orlando did already get their playoff revenge against the Celtics
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: by beating them in the first matchup this year. But
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: people are gonna look at this and see Oh ten
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: and seven Orlando eight and eight Boston.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: You know, getting points with Orlando looks tempting. But Orlando's
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: on a back to back.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: They got that win against US yesterday against the Knicks,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: and the Knicks they were definitely in position to maybe
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: win that game for quite a bit until the Knicks
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: They had a stretcher.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: They didn't score for like three or four minutes I think,
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: and Orlando went on an eleven zero run and that's
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: what killed our play on the Knicks yesterday. I'm pissed
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: about it. But now Orlando's coming up that huge win
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: over the Knicks. They've now beaten the Knicks twice in
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: a row. They've won three games in a row against
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: Golden State Clippers, New York playing Houston really tough the
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: game before that. Now went to back to back. They
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: gotta go up to Boston, and I know they did
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: lose their last game at home to Boston. I get it,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: although Boston did beat them when the Celtics were in
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: a more focused spot. The Celtics beat Orlando in Orlando
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: by thirteen points, So I think that's a better indicator
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: here because then on the zig zag spot, of course,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: the zig zag meant that Orlando was going to adjust.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: They did then won by four.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: But now you know they're going out on the road here,
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: I think this is going to be the spot where
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: the Celtics are going to be the adjusted team. Now
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: it's a bad spot for Orlando and traveling, you know,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: all the way up the East Coast with no time off,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: while the Celtics they're.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: Just staying at home.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: They didn't play yesterday, and they had multiple days off
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: before Friday as well, and they're coming off an ugly
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: loss to the Brooklyn Nets. Man, Celtics were losing by
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: a good margin in that game too. They had a
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: bad game against Brooklyn. But I told you that was
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: a zigzag spot because the Celtics had blown out Brooklyn
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: in Brooklyn on Tuesday. So the quick turnaround playing the
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: same team again. I told you the Celtics don't do
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: well on a spot like that. I know this team, man,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: Like I said last year, they're like my lover. Maybe
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: I should have given it out as a play. I didn't, Jeffrey,
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: I think maybe one on that or had it in
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: a parlay at least so though the parlay lost because
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: of Washington. But the Celtics had a terrible game against Brooklyn. Dude,
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: Celtics losing by losing as a double digit favorite in
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: that game. This is a bounce back spot. Now, this
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: is what the Celtics do under Joe Mizzoula. After they
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: take an ugly loss like that, they bounce back, usually
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: quite well.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: Staying at home as well. They're gonna show up.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: I know they have Detroit coming up, but I think
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be focused on this after that ugly game.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: Orlando's still a solid team. The Celtics are gonna want
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: to come out and beat them, I think, uh so again,
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: I know they have Detroit in a few days on
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: an ESPN game, but this game is still I think
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: a nice bounce.
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: Back spot for them.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: The spot sets up a lot better for the Celtics,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: so we're gonna lay it with the Celtics in that one.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know if there were really any injury concerns.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: Although Banchero is of course out for Orlando sugs. Looks
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: like he's a game time decision. Not really anything else
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: to see here. As far as Benchero, he actually played
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: in the other two games against Boston, so that's something
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: to note as well. So yeah, I mean, just something
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: of note. The Celtics probably laying a little bit more
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: of a price here just because Benchero is now not
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: there Orlando and he was there for those two games.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: So but that is a disadvantage for Orlando at this point.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: We have Clippers at Calves Clippers. Let's see the Clippers
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: running back to back. They're playing a third game in
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: four days, all in different cities. That's difficult to do, man.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: So even though they should step it up to face Cleveland,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: they're in a very difficult spot here, a very difficult
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: tribe travel spot, a spot with no rest Cleveland staying
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: at home with a day off. So the rest spot
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: is a lot better for Cleveland, although the game that
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: they just had against Indiana means more than you might
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: think because Indiana stinks this year. But that was a
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: playoff revenge game for Cleveland because Indiana eliminated them last year,
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: so they wanted that game.
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: Cleveland got it done. I still think the spot is
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: way worse for the Clippers, though.
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: The travel spot is just awful. Though the money's coming
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: in on the Clippers. I don't really agree with it though.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: The only thing you'd really say negative about the spot
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: for the Calves is that it would it might be
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: a let down spot because that was play off revenge,
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: but it was still Indiana, man, so I don't really
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: think so, I don't know. Eighty percent takes ninety five
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Clippers Calves up from
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: seven and a half to eight and a half. Yeah,
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: I would probably lean to laying it with the Calves.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: Brooklyn at Toronto. You would think that I would want
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: to fade Brooklyn here because they're off that big upset
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: win over Boston, which is true, but they might show
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: up for Toronto as well. I mean, they did lose
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: to Toronto at home not that long ago, so Toronto
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: might take Brooklyn a little bit easily. But Brooklyn, I mean, well,
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: wait what am I wait?
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: What am I even say? Yeah?
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: So yeah, Toronto might take Brooklyn a little bit easily.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: So maybe Toronto will overlook Brooklyn a little bit. But Brooklyn,
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, they do have New York up next tomorrow.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: That's a big game, man. I mean that's their city
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: rival basically in the Knicks. So I think they then,
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: and they kind of want to get back at the
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: Knicks because the Knicks embarrassed them the last time they
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: played them. So I think that game actually means more
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: than the Toronto games. Yes, it is kind of a
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: bad spot for Brooklyn for sure, but I don't like
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: the spot for Toronto either. Really, because Toronto has to
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: play Cleveland tomorrow. That's really kind of the crux of it.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 2: Toronto might overlook Brooklyn. That's as I was alluding to it,
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: because they did already beat Brooklyn on the road. They
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: got Cleveland next. I can't quite get there with this.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: I'll lean to Toronto I will lean to laying it with Toronto,
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: but I don't think I can quite get there with it.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: You have to lay a big, big price with a
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: team that might not have full focus. Raptors down from
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: fourteen to twelve and a half here, seventy three percent
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the nets. Weirdly fifty percent of the
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: cash on the Raptors. I'll agree with the Raptors, but
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: it's not one of my plays on my card. All right,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: the Jazz I might Portland and Oklahoma City. Yeah, I
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: mean here's one. You're probably not gonna expect this one,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: but we're gonna do it. We're gonna lay the points
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: with the Thunder minus fifteen and a half here.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: I know it's a public side. I don't usually like
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: doing that.
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: Ninety two percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 2: cash on them for now, although the initial line move
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: was on the Thunder up to fifteen and a half
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: with juice, there's a there's one key reason why I
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: like this. But Portland. They're coming out of a win
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: over Golden.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: State the other night.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: They played two really tough games since Wednesday, and they
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: are They've had a pretty pack schedule. Man I mean
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: they played US sixteenth, eighteenth, nineteen, twenty first, and now
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: the twenty third. So they're playing a what is that
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: a five games in eight days? That's not easy. Winning
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: at Golden State in their last game going out to
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 2: the Pacific Coast.
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: Uh, that was a win for US on the show.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: And they played an overtime game where they covered for
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: US against Chicago too on Wednesday. So two big performances
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: from them.
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: Now they're going from the Pacific I was having to
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: fly back with one day off into okac I'm not
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: sure that they're gonna be able to do it, man.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: I mean sure they're gonna try to focus because it's
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: the Thunder. But the thunder they're coming up just an
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: easy travels Like they went to Utah, they got the win, whatever,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: it was an easy game for them coming back home.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's really bad for them.
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: And yes, you could argue, oh, they're gonna look ahead
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: to Minnesota on Wednesday on ESPN. I don't think so.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: And here's the reason. Oklahoma City sixteen and one. Yeah,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: well was what was that one loss? You might remember
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: what that one loss was. It was to the Portland Trailblazers.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: That's the only team that beat the Thunder this year.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: You think the Thunder we're gonna remember that.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: I do.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: When you only have one loss on the season, you're
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: gonna remember who did it to you.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: That was Portland in Portland.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: So I think OKAC is gonna want to come in
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: here and just basically just blow them out of the building.
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see like an easy win from
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: the Thunder here, and I do think they cover the
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: number here. Thunder, of course, they're excellent at home. That
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: was the case last year. It's the case this year too.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 2: I know Portland hasn't been terrible on the road four
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: and five, but Thunder, I mean obviously undefeated at home
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: seven and zero if you look going back through last year.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: They also they cover at a crazy rate at home too,
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: So I like that aspect of this too, Like how
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: many games are they covered at home this year? I
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: know they didn't cover the first couple, but since they
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: got into a groove they covered against Washington, New Orleans,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: Golden State Lakers, blew those teams completely out of the building.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Sacramento.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: I think they've covered like five straight games at home
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: after they failed to cover the first two, so they're
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: around a five and oh ats record at home as well.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: I believe.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: Winning those games by like an average like twenty something
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: points too. So we're gonna lay it with the thunder
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: in that one. You're gonna do it the chalk, all right, Yes, correct,
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: I'm a noticer man. You know that, all right? And
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: then we have san Antonio at Phoenix. This game, this
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: game is difficult for me to figure out. San Antonio
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: coming off a win over Atlanta, a couple of days off,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: going out on the road.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: Now, now, the couple days off could.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: Hurt their winning momentum a little bit because you don't
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: really want to have days off when you're winning. But
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: they're starting a road trip. I think probably the momentum
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: will carry it. So I think it's a decent spot
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: for san Antonio starting the road trip with momentum.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: For Phoenix.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: They're coming off a win over Minnesota, which is a
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: bigger deal, I think, And I think maybe that was playoff.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: Was that playoff for revenge orm? I thinking of two
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: years ago? I don't know, but that's still a good win.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: I told you to Minnesota. They still have not beaten
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: any team with the winning record this season. That's insane,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: and it continued because Phoenix just beat them. Now Phoenix
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: has San Antonio, but it's San Antonio without Wemba Wemby
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: and up next to Phoenix has to play Houston tomorrow,
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: So it is possible Phoenix actually overlooks San Antonio and
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: they beat San Antonio already once, which I think might
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: have been was that the Mexico City game.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: No, it was in Phoenix, but Phoenix did already.
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: Beat them once, and that was with Wemby in the lineup,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: and now without him, I could see Phoenix not taking.
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: The Spurs seriously here.
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: So I do lean to the Spurs here, although they
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: look like a public road underdog, which looks awful. Phoenix
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: is up from a pick them to a three point
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: favorite eighty two percent of tickets, only seventy nine percent
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Spurs market. Reid is all
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: over the Suns here, but I just don't really agree
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: with it, so it's not a play, but.
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: We'll just see what happens. And then Jeffrey was correct.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: My last play is Utah plus the points against the Lakers.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: Lakers very public eighty eight percent of tickets and cash.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: The line did drop from ten and a half. I
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: didn't see anything better than nine and a half. But
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: this is not football, so ten is not key.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: Lakers.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: They just beat Utah at home, man, so this is
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: a zigzag spot. That was a return home spot for
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: the Lakers too, so it wasn't exactly a good spot,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: and they blew Utah out kind of anyway, they win.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: They won by fourteen and put up one hundred and
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: forty points against them. So I think now going to
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: Utah for this weird single game travel spot, I think
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: they just won't have as much focus on Utah in
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: this one man, having to go into elevation and play
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: that team that you just beat pretty easily. It's a
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: zigzag spot, so Utah is gonna be the team to
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: have the adjustments to make. But not only that, but
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: we also have to look at the number right. So
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: LA was a thirteen half point favorite at home, so
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: this line is about right. I think at somewhere in
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: the ten ballparks, there's no real you know, the line's
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: not skewed excessively one way or the other. You pretty
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: much always get line value fading the Lakers. But the
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: other thing is the Lakers have had multiple days off.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: They last played on Tuesday, and when you're winning games,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: that's not a good thing.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: So that could disrupt their momentum.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: When the Lakers have won three games in a row,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: now they have their momentum stopped.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: I don't like that either.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: They got to play this one weird, single road game
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: here against a team they just beat, and then when
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: they come back home they got to face the Clippers.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: And I know the Clippers are struggling, that's still that's
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: big La versus La, which, by the way, that also
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: does kind of set up at least somewhat of a
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: look ahead I think for the Clippers today as well,
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: because I think the Clippers I meant, I already talked
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: about them, right, Yeah, they're playing against the Calves, so
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: that makes me lean to the Calves slightly.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: More than the Clippers.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: Aren't going to overlook the Calves though, But anyway, could
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: be a look ahead for the Lakers though, because the Clippers,
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: it's a more meaningful game, I think, and they have
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: Dallas up after them. That's still a big game too.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: Even though Dallas is struggling, that's still the Luca. That's
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: the Luca battle. You know, even though they've already played
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: each other since the trade, this is the first time
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: they're playing each other this year.
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like it for Utah man.
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: As far as a Utah's side of things, Utah, they're
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: coming off a blowout loss to Oklahoma City. They're staying
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: at home. I think it's a fine situation for them there.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: It's only a two game home stance. They're gonna put
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: it in an effort. Especially, they're gonna have, you know,
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: the the zig zag working in their favorable they'll have
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: adjustments that they made against you know, to counter what
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: happened in the last game against the Lakers.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like it.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: We've done well with the Jazz at home this year.
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 2: I think for the most part, they've been fairly decent
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 2: at home, at least with covering the numbers. That's not
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: bad either. I know LA is really good on the
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: road though, seven and two, so but you're asking them
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: to cover a big number in a bad spot.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: Utah.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: Four of their five wins have come at home, so
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 2: Utah is definitely better at home than on the road,
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: and some of those have been my place. So Utah
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: plus the points, thank you sir, well, I'm probably not driving.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: I don't drive into Boston. There's nowhere to park. Boston
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: is disgusting for driving, There's no way I'm doing that.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: Public transportation is terrible, though I'm not I'm not gonna
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: do the Clams today either.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's not something I like to do
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: in cold weather really either. The Bears.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: I completely disagree with the Bears, absolutely not. Bears are
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: the most fraudulent team that I've ever seen. No, especially
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: if Aaron Rodgers is not playing, then you gotta take
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: the Steelers plus the points. But I'm gonna do the
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: final market read here anyway. But even if he is
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: still playing, I don't buy the Bears at all. I
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: talked about a go watch on my show last night,
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: but the Steelers are probably gonna be in my pick
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: five because I don't have too many great opinions on
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: these games today, So once again my plays for the day, though,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: Raiders minus three and a half. I don't think we're
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: gonna get the three on this and the market Reid
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: is looking against it now with the cash coming in
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: on the Browns, but I don't care. There's a lot
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: of history good that the Browns are going up against
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: plus a bad situation Ameron Arizona plus the two and
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: a half, which I don't think we'll get three on
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: that at all, but the money is agreeing on that one.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: I like the that's a perception mismatch game there. Then
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: once again, the rest of the plays college basketball Robert
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: Morris plus the points, Western Michigan money line, Lamar plus
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: the points, Bryant plus the points, Marshall minus the points,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: Jackson State plus the points NHL we got Vancouver money
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: line NBA.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: Dude, this is so much Instagram. I gotta do real quick.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: Boston minus the points in NBA, My Celtics laying the
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: points with OKC and Utah plus the points. Those are
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: all the plays. Final market read here, which most of
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: these will probably be what I wind up picking. The
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: market Reid is saying Steelers plus the points. I definitely
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: agree with that. Jets plus the points. I mean, I
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: have a weak agreement on that one. Giants plus the points.
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: That one worries me a bit more because I do
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: think the Lions are gonna be in Dan campbell angry mood,
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: but they do still have a major look ahead to
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: the Thanksgiving game, so I guess I'll still agree with
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: the Giants plus the points, but I don't love it
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: at all. Bengals plus the points is the market read
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: on that one. I don't disagree. Titans plus the points.
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: I like quite a bit.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: That one almost made my card, So that's probably gonna
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: be the other one in my pick five. Just so
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: people know, I already took Houston because that was one
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 2: of my plays. Obviously, I will have the Raiders and
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: Arizona because those are my plays, and my other two
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: probably Steelers and Titans, Vikings Packers. The money is coming
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: in on the Packers laying it for now. I mean
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: that one is more difficult for me to figure out. Man,
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: I kind of lean against it, as I said last night, Packers,
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: they just have not been good as a favorite in
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: this price range, and they do still have the Thanksgiving
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: a look ahead as well for themselves as well, so
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: I might disagree with that one a little bit. The
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: money is coming into the Chiefs now, which that helps
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: me out in that game because I kind of liked
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: the Chiefs in that game as far as how that
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: game sets up, So probably will lean to the Chiefs
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: in that one against my Colds. And then I already
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: mentioned the Cardinals. The Browns are getting the cash right
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: now in that game, but I like the Raiders. As
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: you know, money is heavily on the Saints the game
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: against the Falcons, even though the Falcons are in the
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: injured player spot. It's like Kirk Cousins is dad or something.
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: I won't disagree with the Saints in that one though,
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: money coming in on the Cowboys.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: I like that one too. That one. There's a chance
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: that one makes my pick six instead of the Stealers.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: To be honest, I like the Cowboys in that one
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 2: against the Eagles. And then I like the Buccaneers plus
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: the points against the Rams in the night gaming, though
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: the market is kind of saying differently.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: But we'll see how that shapes up.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: And then I still like the Niners tomorrow night, but
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: we'll see how that shapes up. I'll talk about that
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: game to more tomorrow. That's gonna do it. And learn
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 2: a tone on Twitter, learn a tone on Instagram, like
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: subscribe to the channel here, give me good comments all
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: the things listen. Give me a good review on Apple
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: and Spotify. That helps me out too. Covered in yuke
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: My yuke channel here on YouTube and Patreon dot com,
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: slash and learn to toad and you can get to Spotify,
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: yuke feed and.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: What else. Oh, you can request stuff from me. That's it.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: You're actually gonna try to middle that. I don't know
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: if I would do that, man, It's it's such a
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: slim margin and there's no key. If it was through
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: a key number, it would kind of make sense, but
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: there's no key number in basketball. In that rage, you
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: know what I'm doing in that game? You want to
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: take the Blackhawks today? Yeah, that one, That one is
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: not making my card.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you that.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to jump in front of that
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: avalanche there.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: You might.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: You might get swallowed up by the avalanche. The snow
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: will just cover you and kill you.
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: Man. I don't know. I do lightly agree with other Blackhawks, like.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: At a huge underdog price, but still, Oh, you're doing
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: it for ten bucks hour?
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: All right, man, hopefully it middles for you. That's gonna
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: do it.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: Man, We'll be back tomorrow, I guess for whatever is
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: going on tomorrow besides Monday night football sho Monday's usually
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: pretty light, so hopefully it is give me a little
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: bit of rest here. Got to get the show up
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: in the Instagram stuff done. That's gonna do it. My
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: NFL ones are already up. Peace out for now, guys.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out.