Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 8/26/26: Professor Pape Ridicules Bessent's D-Day, MAGA Influencer Caught Working for Pentagon, Beef Controversy w/ Dan Osborn
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey guys, Sagar and Crystal here.
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- 0:27Speaker 3: news media, and we hope to see you at BreakingPoints.com.
- 0:33Speaker 3: Joining us now is a great friend of the show,
- 0:35Speaker 3: Professor Robert Pape of the University of Chicago, a great
- 0:38Speaker 3: friend of our show.
- 0:39Speaker 1: It's great to see you, sir. Thank you for joining us.
- 0:40Speaker 4: Oh, it's so great to be with you this morning.
- 0:42Speaker 1: Absolutely.
- 0:43Speaker 3: So, sir, we know we're going to talk about South Korea,
- 0:46Speaker 3: but we also know that an extensive part of your
- 0:48Speaker 3: work is around economic sanctions. We just did an entire
- 0:51Speaker 3: segment about China's expected response. We could put C1 up
- 0:55Speaker 3: here on the screen so you could give a little
- 0:57Speaker 3: bit more of your analysis. China is saying that they
- 1:00Speaker 3: will hit out at, quote, illegal new U.S. sanctions on
- 1:03Speaker 3: Iran and its trading partners. Considering your expertise and your
- 1:07Speaker 3: decades-long research into the subject, what do you make of
- 1:10Speaker 3: the Secretary Besant's economic D-Day threats here against Iran and
- 1:15Speaker 3: its trading partners?
- 1:17Speaker 5: Yes, what Scott Besson is doing is going through another
- 1:21Speaker 5: route of the escalation trap. He's presenting it as an
- 1:25Speaker 5: alternative to war, but that's not what it is. What
- 1:28Speaker 5: it's really going to lead to is another escalation trap.
- 1:32Speaker 5: And if anything, if he in fact goes forward, it
- 1:35Speaker 5: would be more military war. So for 30 years, I
- 1:39Speaker 5: have studied, as we all know, air power, but also
- 1:42Speaker 5: side by side with that, Economic Blockades and Economic Sanctions,
- 1:47Speaker 5: publishing big articles, fat appendices, all the cases since.
- 1:51Speaker 4: World War I.
- 1:53Speaker 5: And here's what people need to know, that starting in
- 1:58Speaker 5: World War I, the pattern is different before, but starting
- 2:02Speaker 5: in World War I, economic blockades and economic sanctions have never,
- 2:09Speaker 5: never on their own won a major war. They've never
- 2:15Speaker 5: toppled a government on their own in a major war.
- 2:20Speaker 5: And they have never led to capitulation of that government
- 2:23Speaker 5: to the coercer's demands. This is extremely important to know
- 2:29Speaker 5: because in World War I, there was massive British blockade
- 2:33Speaker 5: on Germany. World War II, massive economic sanctions and U.S.
- 2:38Speaker 4: Blockade on Japan.
- 2:41Speaker 5: And in both those cases, that blockade did not stop
- 2:44Speaker 5: a messy ground wars. In fact, they only ended with
- 2:46Speaker 5: messy ground wars and with Japan, the atomic bombs.
- 2:51Speaker 4: If we look at.
- 2:51Speaker 5: Saddam Hussein in the 1990s, we imposed economic sanctions on
- 2:56Speaker 5: Saddam Hussein after we kicked his forces out of Kuwait.
- 3:00Speaker 5: And those stayed on for a dozen years. They dropped
- 3:03Speaker 5: the economy's GDP by 48% each year for 12 solid years.
- 3:10Speaker 5: And did not stop us from having to invade with
- 3:14Speaker 5: 150,000 ground forces. Iran, we've been slapping sanctions on Iran
- 3:19Speaker 5: for decades.
- 3:21Speaker 4: And also Putin.
- 3:22Speaker 5: Look at what happened with Russia after he invaded Ukraine.
- 3:26Speaker 4: Now, what has been the.
- 3:28Speaker 5: We slapped economic sanctions on Russia. What has been the
- 3:31Speaker 5: result in all of these cases? All of these cases, notice,
- 3:35Speaker 5: they don't lead to peace. They don't lead to ceasefire.
- 3:39Speaker 5: They lead to failure, strategic failure, and more war, more escalation.
- 3:47Speaker 5: So Scott Besson is really not doing a good service
- 3:52Speaker 5: to the world. by saying that this is an off-ramp
- 3:56Speaker 5: to escalation. And the one question the media should have
- 4:00Speaker 5: asked at the press conference is, Secretary Besant, can you
- 4:04Speaker 5: name one case since World War I, over the last
- 4:08Speaker 5: hundred plus years, just one case that fits your model?
- 4:13Speaker 4: All we need is one, sir, one case. And you
- 4:16Speaker 4: know what? There's not a case.
- 4:19Speaker 5: And this is something that's important because there's a second
- 4:22Speaker 5: point I want to make, which is you.
- 4:24Speaker 4: Also see the targets lashing back.
- 4:27Speaker 5: It's the sanctions we slapped on Japan that led to
- 4:31Speaker 5: the Pearl Harbor attack. This is not a controversial point
- 4:35Speaker 5: at this point. This is well known. And we run
- 4:39Speaker 5: the risk that if we go forward, what's going to
- 4:42Speaker 5: happen is Iran will lash back then we're going to
- 4:46Speaker 5: spiral back, and that is the escalation trap. These are
- 4:51Speaker 5: not off-ramps to war. They're effectively the Western way of
- 4:56Speaker 5: war because they persuade liberal audiences, done everything you could do,
- 5:01Speaker 5: so force.
- 5:02Speaker 4: Is a last resort.
- 5:04Speaker 5: That's how you get the liberals on board.
- 5:06Speaker 4: For wars, they don't want to fight.
- 5:09Speaker 6: And what examples throughout history do we have of a
- 5:13Speaker 6: country as powerful as China being sanctioned?
- 5:16Speaker 7: And what are the implications for the U.S. ability to
- 5:22Speaker 7: carry through its threats?
- 5:25Speaker 4: Well, we don't have to look that far back.
- 5:26Speaker 5: Just go back a year, because what the tariffs were
- 5:30Speaker 5: on China were effectively economic sanctions. So President Trump used
- 5:35Speaker 5: the word tariffs. But if you peel the onion and
- 5:38Speaker 5: you look under the hood... they're exactly the trade cutoffs
- 5:42Speaker 5: of sanctions. So they're really not much different than sanctions
- 5:45Speaker 5: at all. In fact, they're identical. And what happened? China
- 5:49Speaker 5: responded with cutting off rare earths. And that may sound
- 5:54Speaker 5: a little inside baseball to most people, but it's important
- 5:57Speaker 5: to know that these things we call rare earths are
- 5:59Speaker 5: not just dirt, but they show up in all the
- 6:02Speaker 5: chips that we put in our cars. I drive a RAV4.
- 6:05Speaker 5: You can't produce RAV4s here in Ohio. or in the Midwest,
- 6:10Speaker 5: in the American plants, if China cuts off those rare earths.
- 6:14Speaker 5: So this has much more dramatic consequences. And I'm not
- 6:19Speaker 5: at all surprised. And what I've been saying China would
- 6:22Speaker 5: do is they're just going to bluff it off. They're
- 6:24Speaker 5: just going to ignore this. Now, if Scott Besson goes
- 6:29Speaker 5: forward and truly cuts off China's banks, then I think
- 6:32Speaker 5: China's going to respond. But I don't think China sees
- 6:37Speaker 5: this as a real threat yet. I think it's too
- 6:40Speaker 5: much bluster here. And that's why Scott Besson wouldn't even
- 6:43Speaker 5: mention the word China. Notice, he didn't even say the
- 6:46Speaker 5: word China. And he said, and somebody asked him, why
- 6:50Speaker 5: aren't you being tough? And he said, well, I don't
- 6:52Speaker 5: want to blow up the world financial system.
- 6:55Speaker 4: He literally said those words. So think about it.
- 6:58Speaker 5: Here we've got the Secretary of the Treasury unrolling, rolling
- 7:02Speaker 5: out a plan. And he says, oh, and by the way,
- 7:04Speaker 5: if I execute the plan, we all go down with it.
- 7:09Speaker 4: I don't understand. That's not a plan for victory in
- 7:12Speaker 4: my book. Maybe you can help me understand this. Washington.
- 7:17Speaker 4: This must be what happens in Washington.
- 7:20Speaker 1: No, this is more from a standard episode of Veep, unfortunately.
- 7:24Speaker 3: Professor, we also wanted to ask you about South Korea
- 7:27Speaker 3: and just generally in the broader context of what's happening
- 7:29Speaker 3: in Asia. We can put D1 up here on the screen.
- 7:32Speaker 3: Some pretty shocking new public polling actually coming out.
- 7:35Speaker 1: Of South Korea.
- 7:36Speaker 3: For the first time in modern history, really, you see
- 7:40Speaker 3: that the opinion of the United States among South Koreans
- 7:43Speaker 3: is near an all-time low in 2026, much of it
- 7:47Speaker 3: on the heels now of Trump canceling these military exercises
- 7:51Speaker 3: with the South, trying to court the DPRK in the North,
- 7:56Speaker 3: but also with a lot of our trade relationships and
- 7:59Speaker 3: blustering against South Korea on top of many of the
- 8:03Speaker 3: other incendiary actions taken against their companies here in our nation.
- 8:07Speaker 3: I know that you have previously given some analysis about
- 8:11Speaker 3: when the United States seeks to potentially abandon South Korea,
- 8:14Speaker 3: that they can pursue a nuclear weapons program. How do
- 8:16Speaker 3: you put it in the broader context of the realignment
- 8:18Speaker 3: of U.S. position of power in Asia?
- 8:21Speaker 5: Yes, and I've also been to the Seoul Dialogues. I've
- 8:24Speaker 5: actually been to South Korea with the president and so
- 8:27Speaker 5: forth on the stage. So I know a little bit
- 8:30Speaker 5: about these subjects and it's part of what I study.
- 8:33Speaker 5: So what you are seeing in that chart, it's very interesting.
- 8:36Speaker 5: The actual point where it starts to spike up is
- 8:40Speaker 5: in 2025. And what happened in 2025? Trump's tariffs, which
- 8:45Speaker 5: I told you were sanctioned. So he tariffed South Korea
- 8:49Speaker 5: as well. And this has an enormous impact on the
- 8:52Speaker 5: South Korean economy. And yes, he pulled back a bit
- 8:56Speaker 5: from this, but there's still these pretty serious tariffs there.
- 8:59Speaker 5: And by the way, South Korea is really peeling the
- 9:02Speaker 5: pain from this. So it's no surprise at all that
- 9:06Speaker 5: this is where the spike is. And then in the war,
- 9:09Speaker 5: it's during the Iran war. Now President Trump is asking
- 9:12Speaker 5: for South Korea to essentially give us some of their
- 9:15Speaker 5: destroyers to put at risk because we won't put our
- 9:18Speaker 5: destroyers at risk.
- 9:19Speaker 4: No, no, no.
- 9:20Speaker 5: We just want to, we're going to fight to the
- 9:21Speaker 5: last South Korean destroyer. So notice this is not working
- 9:26Speaker 5: out very well, and the South Korean public is able
- 9:29Speaker 5: to follow this. Now, the bigger picture, though, is what
- 9:33Speaker 5: you see is that we are in a quagmire in
- 9:36Speaker 5: the Middle East, and we're now pulling our aircraft carrier
- 9:39Speaker 5: from Asia that's supposed to be protecting South Korea into
- 9:43Speaker 5: this quagmire, and there's no replacement to go back to Asia.
- 9:47Speaker 5: So what South Korea, what you really have to worry
- 9:50Speaker 5: about as time goes on, is not just this short-term kerfuffle,
- 9:54Speaker 5: but South Korea sees there's no more protection from Big
- 9:58Speaker 5: Brother Uncle Sam. And what does that mean? The last
- 10:00Speaker 5: time they worried about that, they went for nuclear weapons
- 10:03Speaker 5: in the 1970s. And it was only when we absolutely
- 10:07Speaker 5: guaranteed that our ground forces would be there, et cetera,
- 10:11Speaker 5: et cetera, and actually stationed in South Korea. that they
- 10:15Speaker 5: turned off the nuclear program. So this is not a
- 10:19Speaker 5: small issue. It may be a bit under the media
- 10:23Speaker 5: radar right now, but this could be the first nuclear
- 10:27Speaker 5: domino to fall outside of the Middle East. We've seen Iran,
- 10:31Speaker 5: Saudi Arabia, now South Korea.
- 10:35Speaker 6: Well, so racing for nuclear weapons is one way of
- 10:38Speaker 6: trying to create some stability. Another is to actually just
- 10:43Speaker 6: reach a peaceful coexistence with your neighbor. Is there a
- 10:49Speaker 6: prospect for that in the region? Like, could you imagine
- 10:51Speaker 6: a world in which the U.S. kind of withdraws its presence?
- 10:56Speaker 6: I mean, clearly they're already withdrawing their military capacity there.
- 11:00Speaker 6: And that forces the parties there to say, you know what,
- 11:05Speaker 6: we're not going anywhere. Like, we need to reach some
- 11:08Speaker 6: sort of mutual agreement here by which we can live
- 11:12Speaker 6: together peacefully.
- 11:14Speaker 4: I do think that's possible.
- 11:16Speaker 5: So from 2012 to 15, one of the reasons I
- 11:19Speaker 5: went to South Korea is I made eight trips to China,
- 11:23Speaker 5: South Korea, and Taiwan in that three-year period. And I
- 11:26Speaker 5: was meeting with high-level people, including at the level of
- 11:30Speaker 5: the president here, especially the office. I will say I
- 11:34Speaker 5: won't say the individual because if you ever have those conversations,
- 11:36Speaker 5: you don't want to say that. About having a meeting,
- 11:40Speaker 5: an international conference, And the first step of that that
- 11:44Speaker 5: would make sense would be to do it not as
- 11:46Speaker 5: a government set of governments getting together, but the way
- 11:50Speaker 5: this really happens to build that kind of walking to
- 11:53Speaker 5: cooperation is often with academics and civil society, think tanks.
- 11:59Speaker 5: And we got quite close here, I would say, to that.
- 12:03Speaker 5: I think it would be wise to try that again,
- 12:06Speaker 5: but it's difficult right now because the Obama administration was
- 12:10Speaker 5: much more open to cooperative international efforts, you're not seeing
- 12:16Speaker 5: any signs of the Trump administration interested in brokering.
- 12:22Speaker 4: These efforts.
- 12:23Speaker 5: And it's not impossible to do without the United States,
- 12:26Speaker 5: but it's obviously much easier if there's at least a
- 12:30Speaker 5: wink-wink support, that this isn't generally supported from the White House.
- 12:36Speaker 5: What you're seeing is the opposite. You're seeing heavy-handed action.
- 12:39Speaker 5: Scott Besson doesn't talk to, doesn't, there's no effort, month-long
- 12:44Speaker 5: effort to bring the world together for an international coalition
- 12:48Speaker 5: against Iran.
- 12:49Speaker 4: He just up and announces.
- 12:50Speaker 5: That, and it's his way or the highway, you don't
- 12:52Speaker 5: like it, you're either with us or against us. Well,
- 12:55Speaker 5: this is not the way to actually bring people together.
- 12:59Speaker 5: So but I do think it's possible. I do think
- 13:01Speaker 5: it's really possible. And I think it's worth trying.
- 13:04Speaker 3: Connecting to your previous point, Professor, about South Korea, you
- 13:08Speaker 3: mentioned Saudi Arabia and Turkey.
- 13:11Speaker 1: What do you make?
- 13:12Speaker 3: Got very little coverage here in the West. It did
- 13:15Speaker 3: seem to be a monumental new security arrangement. What do
- 13:19Speaker 3: you make of that security arrangement as we continue to
- 13:21Speaker 3: see the emerging security order post-Iran war?
- 13:25Speaker 5: Well, this is what is part and parcel of what
- 13:28Speaker 5: will happen when Iran becomes the fourth center of world power.
- 13:31Speaker 5: So as I've explained, Iran is on the trajectory to
- 13:34Speaker 5: become the fourth center of world power. And as it
- 13:37Speaker 5: gets more and more powerful, as you're seeing, we started
- 13:40Speaker 5: talking about this, I think, back in April, and now
- 13:42Speaker 5: it's becoming more and more a reality. Well, what that
- 13:45Speaker 5: means is Iran will want to extend its influence over
- 13:49Speaker 5: the frontline Gulf states literally like the Soviet Union did
- 13:53Speaker 5: when it occupied Eastern Europe, and it will want to
- 13:56Speaker 5: control the governments. Well, Saudi Arabia, of course, doesn't want
- 13:59Speaker 5: to be controlled by Iran. So what does it do?
- 14:02Speaker 5: It starts to look for international help. That's Pakistan and Turkey.
- 14:07Speaker 5: And then also starts to think seriously, not just on whiteboards,
- 14:11Speaker 5: about nuclear weapons. And that's what you're seeing with Saudi Arabia.
- 14:15Speaker 5: They're responding to the result of Iran on the trajectory
- 14:20Speaker 5: to become the fourth center of world power. And this
- 14:24Speaker 5: will not go unnoticed. It might not be covered much
- 14:27Speaker 5: by the media, but you can bet all the governments
- 14:31Speaker 5: in the Middle East and the governments in Asia are
- 14:34Speaker 5: noticing this. And they are not going to be sort of,
- 14:41Speaker 5: even though the media may not cover Iran as the
- 14:43Speaker 5: rising fourth center of world power, the world is going
- 14:47Speaker 5: to react to that.
- 14:48Speaker 6: So we were talking at the beginning of the program
- 14:51Speaker 6: about the interesting dilemma that Iran finds itself in, which,
- 14:57Speaker 6: to borrow a phrase, is almost like a de-escalation trap.
- 15:01Speaker 6: And what I mean by that is that while they
- 15:04Speaker 6: have fought the U.S. to maybe better than a standstill,
- 15:09Speaker 6: they've wiped out a bunch of American bases, they've shown
- 15:13Speaker 6: that they can withstand the amount of American punishment that
- 15:16Speaker 6: America is able to dish out.
- 15:18Speaker 7: We know that the American.
- 15:20Speaker 6: Capacity, the ammo capacity is minimal at this point, so
- 15:24Speaker 6: they don't have a whole lot more left.
- 15:27Speaker 4: U.S.
- 15:27Speaker 6: Is looking at something like 40 days of oil inventories left.
- 15:32Speaker 6: But Iran, too, is facing a severe economic crisis, which
- 15:39Speaker 6: could lead to a political crisis. And so now there's
- 15:42Speaker 6: a staring game. Who can outlast the other one? And
- 15:47Speaker 6: so there's a concern among some Iranian hardliners saying, if
- 15:52Speaker 6: we are stuck in this stasis— Like, we actually start
- 15:56Speaker 6: falling behind.
- 15:57Speaker 7: So that's why I say maybe it's a de-escalation trap.
- 15:59Speaker 1: They need them to ratchet it back up to get
- 16:03Speaker 1: out of it.
- 16:04Speaker 7: The only way out is through. So where do you
- 16:06Speaker 7: see this kind of stalemate ending?
- 16:09Speaker 5: I don't think it's a stalemate. I understand that's the
- 16:11Speaker 5: common narrative. But Iran has the upper hand, and they're
- 16:15Speaker 5: putting their pedal to the metal by initiating attacks.
- 16:18Speaker 4: So it's not true.
- 16:20Speaker 5: Just because we're not bombing Iran doesn't mean Iran... is
- 16:24Speaker 5: not using attacks. So it's not tit for tat anymore.
- 16:28Speaker 5: There's no tit for tat's been gone. This is just
- 16:31Speaker 5: the wrong framing. What's occurring is Iran is initiating attacks.
- 16:36Speaker 5: They've attacked seven UAE tankers in the Strait of Hormuz
- 16:40Speaker 5: since August 5th. And what they're doing is they're trying
- 16:44Speaker 5: to squeeze America economically in order to have gas prices raised,
- 16:52Speaker 5: in order to wreck the Trump presidency. There's a clear
- 16:55Speaker 5: game plan here by Iran that I think the media
- 16:58Speaker 5: is mostly missing, which is Iran is not sitting back
- 17:03Speaker 5: and is, oh, treading water. Iran is squeezing the oil
- 17:09Speaker 5: more and more in the Persian Gulf and also with
- 17:12Speaker 5: the Houthis against Saudi oil. And what that's doing is
- 17:15Speaker 5: it's causing the price of gas to go up and
- 17:17Speaker 5: also causing real rockiness in our financial markets. Those are
- 17:22Speaker 5: the reasons for that. And I think they want to
- 17:25Speaker 5: do that through the midterms, at least maybe through January,
- 17:28Speaker 5: to basically wreck the Trump presidency and install the Democrats
- 17:34Speaker 5: and force the Democrats to take a position on the
- 17:38Speaker 5: Iran war. So this is Iran playing American politics, not
- 17:44Speaker 5: just simply treading water.
- 17:46Speaker 4: Right.
- 17:46Speaker 3: Makes a lot of sense. Professor, we have another guest
- 17:49Speaker 3: standing by. Otherwise, we'd love to keep talking to you.
- 17:51Speaker 3: Thank you very much for joining us.
- 17:52Speaker 4: Thank you for having me.
- 17:53Speaker 1: Of course. Oh, and Substack. We'll have a link down
- 17:55Speaker 1: in the description.
- 17:59Speaker 7: All right.
- 17:59Speaker 1: Let's get to influencers.
- 18:00Speaker 3: I'm just personally obsessed with this story, kind of about
- 18:03Speaker 3: the way that information works in the modern right and
- 18:06Speaker 3: in the magosphere. influencers and how it's now been revealed
- 18:09Speaker 3: that one of the top ones is actually being paid
- 18:11Speaker 3: by the United States government, is an employee over there.
- 18:15Speaker 3: So let's put this up here on the screen just
- 18:16Speaker 3: to reveal how this entire thing happened. I hate to
- 18:19Speaker 3: cite the bulwark, but, you know, they had the best
- 18:21Speaker 3: write-up on it, so it is what it is. So
- 18:23Speaker 3: they say, a MAGA propaganda circular firing squad. How leaking
- 18:27Speaker 3: to a prominent pro-Trump influencer prompted accusations of entrapment and
- 18:32Speaker 3: a deep state conspiracy. So, Will Sommer, He writes, pro-Trump
- 18:37Speaker 3: internet sleuth, Jessica Pounds, better known as Data Republican to
- 18:42Speaker 3: her 1 million followers on Twitter, made a grim announcement
- 18:45Speaker 3: on Friday. Deep state operatives embedded within the Trump administration
- 18:50Speaker 3: had tried to entrap her into committing treason. She says,
- 18:55Speaker 3: it is not okay when the deep state sets you
- 18:57Speaker 3: up to commit a crime. I have never been more
- 18:59Speaker 3: angry in my entire life. In Pounds' portentous telling, An
- 19:03Speaker 3: unnamed official, soon be to reveal Sarah B. Rogers, who
- 19:07Speaker 3: is the Undersecretary for Public Diplomacy at the State Department,
- 19:11Speaker 3: had offered to leak her government documents about Cuba to
- 19:14Speaker 3: publish as an exclusive. While Pounds was initially enthusiastic, markings
- 19:19Speaker 3: on the documents prompted her to panic that she was
- 19:21Speaker 3: being set up Had she published the documents, Pounds felt,
- 19:25Speaker 3: she would have exposed herself to criminal prosecution. And she
- 19:28Speaker 3: then puts all of this out there in an unhinged conspiracy.
- 19:33Speaker 3: Then eventually what happens, it becomes revealed that Ms. Rogers,
- 19:37Speaker 3: who works as the undersecretary for public diplomacy, had these documents,
- 19:41Speaker 3: which should already be publicly cleared to be released by FOIA,
- 19:44Speaker 3: had it been leaking them to her as an exclusive.
- 19:46Speaker 3: So you and I, Ryan, see this type of BS
- 19:49Speaker 3: all the time. Some public official wants to use you
- 19:53Speaker 3: for propaganda purposes. They say, hey, I've got an exclusive
- 19:56Speaker 3: for you.
- 19:57Speaker 7: It's like 99% of your interactions with public officials.
- 19:59Speaker 3: Literally 99% of your interactions abound to something like this.
- 20:04Speaker 3: And you go, okay, what is it? They give it
- 20:06Speaker 3: to you. 99%. And again, 98.9% of the time, it's bullshit.
- 20:11Speaker 3: And you say, I don't care.
- 20:13Speaker 1: Go ahead and release it publicly.
- 20:15Speaker 3: However, these MAGA influencers, for her, she was going to
- 20:19Speaker 3: release these documents about Cuba, about how bad things were
- 20:22Speaker 3: going on in Cuba. It's pure propaganda, right? And so
- 20:27Speaker 3: what's revealed about this entire thing and why I wanted
- 20:29Speaker 3: to do it was to show both the low human
- 20:32Speaker 3: capital problem that abounds on the modern right but also
- 20:36Speaker 3: a distinction between independent media and independent journalism. Because anybody
- 20:43Speaker 3: who knows anything about journalism would not have thought, wow,
- 20:45Speaker 3: this is an elaborate ploy to entrap me. They would
- 20:48Speaker 3: have said, this is a stupid story, which has no
- 20:51Speaker 3: news value whatsoever. And instead, she's happy to do the latter,
- 20:56Speaker 3: but it's the former which she gets upset about.
- 20:58Speaker 1: It also shows how these.
- 21:00Speaker 3: People who are total anonymous, people who come out of nowhere,
- 21:02Speaker 3: who have no background in journalism, who have no interest
- 21:05Speaker 3: in learning, who abide by rules, which the legacy media,
- 21:11Speaker 3: who I hate, as you know, would never even put
- 21:14Speaker 3: themselves in that depths of depravity, basically by releasing whatever
- 21:18Speaker 3: they want on behalf of the state. That for them,
- 21:21Speaker 3: their lack of professionalism is putting them now in situations
- 21:24Speaker 3: where they have to interact with these public institutions and
- 21:28Speaker 3: totally beclown themselves. And what's so funny about this, and
- 21:31Speaker 3: I'm sure you'll love this in particular, is, let's put
- 21:34Speaker 3: E3 up here on the screen, is it now turns
- 21:37Speaker 3: out that according to the DOD, that she serves, quote,
- 21:41Speaker 3: at the Department of War as a special government employee
- 21:46Speaker 3: and is no longer a credentialed journalist at the Pentagon.
- 21:49Speaker 3: So get this, she previously, remember we covered this extensively,
- 21:53Speaker 3: the two of us, this bullshit Pentagon.
- 21:55Speaker 7: They brought in a whole new press corps.
- 21:57Speaker 1: They brought in a.
- 21:57Speaker 3: New press corps, which is a bunch of MAGA influencers.
- 22:01Speaker 3: They barely hold any press conferences. They kicked all the
- 22:03Speaker 3: real Pentagon journalists out of the building because they refused
- 22:07Speaker 3: to sign something saying that they basically wouldn't do their jobs.
- 22:11Speaker 3: And so now it turns out that she was part
- 22:13Speaker 3: of that press corps, but now literally works as a
- 22:16Speaker 3: special government employee.
- 22:17Speaker 1: Doing what exactly? But I mean, on behalf of us.
- 22:21Speaker 3: And so in this case, you have a government official
- 22:23Speaker 3: trying to leak to another government official, and the whole
- 22:26Speaker 3: thing comes and she's like, you're trying to entrap me
- 22:28Speaker 3: because I'm a government official. You're like, whoa, whoa, whoa,
- 22:31Speaker 3: so you're paying anonymous ex-influencers who publish a bunch of
- 22:36Speaker 3: weird Zionist nonsense?
- 22:38Speaker 1: All the time about deep state conspiracies. You're part of
- 22:41Speaker 1: the deep state.
- 22:42Speaker 3: You're working at the Pentagon this entire time. So I
- 22:45Speaker 3: had to give it coverage to show low human capital,
- 22:49Speaker 3: the bottom feeders in a lot of independent media that
- 22:53Speaker 3: exist right now. Because they have no standards. They have
- 22:56Speaker 3: no journalistic experience. They have no ability to discern general fact,
- 23:01Speaker 3: reach out for comment, do anything normal. And yeah, it's
- 23:04Speaker 3: like the fact that all of this happened just, I think,
- 23:08Speaker 3: demonstrates what you can see in the emerging MAGA ecosystem.
- 23:12Speaker 3: And I didn't pull this element. I probably should have.
- 23:15Speaker 3: Ezra Klein wrote a piece in the New York Times,
- 23:17Speaker 3: which I actually thought was quite prescient. And he said Democrats,
- 23:20Speaker 3: he said Republicans are making the same mistake that Democrats did.
- 23:24Speaker 3: They had a major Twitter problem. As in, ever since
- 23:27Speaker 3: Elon bought Twitter, is that people are literally living in
- 23:29Speaker 3: a parallel universe where they think things are more popular
- 23:32Speaker 3: than not, both rhetorically, politically, from different types of politicians,
- 23:37Speaker 3: or even overestimating their own influence. And that legacy is
- 23:41Speaker 3: bleeding through the Republican elite in the same way that,
- 23:44Speaker 3: let's say, wokeism bled through the Democratic elite during woke one,
- 23:48Speaker 3: which was crazy, although not really over, as you showed
- 23:52Speaker 3: in your Abdul El-Sayed coverage yesterday. But as he said,
- 23:56Speaker 3: that Twitter problem of the small group trying to set
- 23:59Speaker 3: the discussion is bedeviling the right in the exact same way.
- 24:02Speaker 3: And I think this is a good example of that
- 24:04Speaker 3: entire thing.
- 24:05Speaker 7: Yeah, right.
- 24:05Speaker 6: It would be like if... It's like they have their
- 24:08Speaker 6: own blue sky. Like Twitter has become... the kind of
- 24:12Speaker 6: right's blue sky in it. And you can imagine like
- 24:14Speaker 6: the same problems that were created by old Twitter for
- 24:17Speaker 6: Democrats would exist if all Democrats had to rely on
- 24:22Speaker 6: was current blue sky. Like they'd obviously govern like complete lunatics.
- 24:26Speaker 6: And that's what's happening here. But yeah, the Stata Republican,
- 24:28Speaker 6: it's just amazing. I walked in with good faith, ready
- 24:31Speaker 6: to collaborate on Cuba. I had a Cuban official reach
- 24:33Speaker 6: out to me. They're like, what on earth is going
- 24:36Speaker 6: on here?
- 24:37Speaker 7: This is your deep state? I was like, this is
- 24:39Speaker 7: our shallow state.
- 24:40Speaker 3: Yes.
- 24:41Speaker 7: What were they even trying to leak? What is going
- 24:44Speaker 7: on here?
- 24:45Speaker 6: They got shoved a bunch of hard copy documents to leak.
- 24:49Speaker 6: Didn't check them before accepting. Yep, markings that would have
- 24:52Speaker 6: gotten me in big trouble. So she really, really thought
- 24:55Speaker 6: that They hired her to be a propagandist.
- 25:00Speaker 1: At the DOD.
- 25:01Speaker 7: At the DOD. To then set her up.
- 25:04Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 25:05Speaker 7: Because she didn't understand how FOIA works.
- 25:09Speaker 3: See, that's another tell, is that any journalist, literally any,
- 25:12Speaker 3: even one of the most basic things you do in
- 25:14Speaker 3: Washington as a junior reporter is file these annoying FOIA requests.
- 25:19Speaker 3: So you become familiar with what FOIA markings look like.
- 25:22Speaker 6: Like if you had experience on this, you'd be like, well,
- 25:24Speaker 6: wait a minute. I didn't file this FOIA. What journalist
- 25:27Speaker 6: am I screwing over here? Because some journalists went through
- 25:30Speaker 6: the actual work. Or actually, this might have been a
- 25:33Speaker 6: right-wing organization that filed the FOIA.
- 25:35Speaker 7: That's probably what happened. So you go through this work
- 25:38Speaker 7: and you file a FOIA.
- 25:39Speaker 6: And then once it's ready, the entire public has access
- 25:43Speaker 6: to it. But because they paid the money, they did
- 25:47Speaker 6: the labor, like the courtesy at least is that they're
- 25:50Speaker 6: supposed to get the scoop on the FOIA documents.
- 25:53Speaker 7: They're not supposed to call in.
- 25:54Speaker 6: Now, the way it would work differently is if it's
- 25:57Speaker 6: a kind of right-wing kind of organization. activist organization that
- 26:01Speaker 6: filed the FOIA, and then they'd be fine if you
- 26:03Speaker 6: gave it to a propagandist to break.
- 26:05Speaker 7: Ben Smith had a good response in here.
- 26:07Speaker 6: He says, seems like the alternate information space you are
- 26:09Speaker 6: trying to nurture needs some work. It is a skills
- 26:13Speaker 6: and training gap, which has been part of the right
- 26:17Speaker 6: for decades now. I remember Tucker Carlson in the 2000s
- 26:20Speaker 6: giving a speech saying one of the reasons he built
- 26:23Speaker 6: Daily Caller was to confront this skills gap of like
- 26:27Speaker 6: actual journalistic skills gap.
- 26:29Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 26:29Speaker 3: I mean, look, that's a testament. I, you know, that's
- 26:32Speaker 3: where I got my job by first start.
- 26:34Speaker 7: He later said it didn't work.
- 26:35Speaker 4: Right.
- 26:35Speaker 3: Well, he did say it didn't work, but I mean,
- 26:37Speaker 3: I would dispute at least somewhat, because if you look
- 26:40Speaker 3: at the generation, I mean, not just.
- 26:41Speaker 1: Me, I'm not going to toot my own horn. I mean,
- 26:43Speaker 1: there are a lot better journalists that came out of
- 26:45Speaker 1: it than I am.
- 26:46Speaker 3: I eventually just became a talking head moron. But at
- 26:49Speaker 3: least I came from the background of it. And I
- 26:53Speaker 3: have the skepticism to know when people are trying to
- 26:56Speaker 3: use you, when they're, you know, how the basics of
- 27:00Speaker 3: FOIA work.
- 27:01Speaker 1: I mean, these things matter.
- 27:02Speaker 3: And there's nothing wrong, you know, with being if you
- 27:04Speaker 3: want to expound on politics, be my guest. But if
- 27:07Speaker 3: you were going to talk about exposure, you need to
- 27:11Speaker 3: know the very basics of your craft and not look
- 27:14Speaker 3: like a conspiracy theorist. you know, written, like, I mean,
- 27:17Speaker 3: just look at this, like you're literally working for the,
- 27:19Speaker 3: first of all, what does it all say about our
- 27:20Speaker 3: government that they hire somebody like this?
- 27:22Speaker 7: What?
- 27:23Speaker 3: It's like, this is humiliating for you on every level,
- 27:26Speaker 3: both on the government side, the fact that she was
- 27:29Speaker 3: credentialed previously at the Pentagon. So this is the type
- 27:32Speaker 3: of work, you know, that they think is appreciative. And
- 27:35Speaker 3: I think the worst part for me was that the
- 27:38Speaker 3: woman who she accused of trying to set her up,
- 27:41Speaker 3: Sarah Rogers, was like, It's okay.
- 27:43Speaker 1: You should be distrustful of the government. I was like, what?
- 27:45Speaker 6: She's totally debasing herself before this clown.
- 27:48Speaker 1: No, you should say, you're an idiot. It's like, yeah,
- 27:50Speaker 1: you are literally an idiot. So, yeah, that's where things
- 27:54Speaker 1: stand as of right now.
- 27:56Speaker 6: Another former Trump administration lawyer responded, unfortunate misfire from two
- 28:00Speaker 6: of our best.
- 28:02Speaker 7: And that is your problem.
- 28:04Speaker 1: Yeah, and somebody put out.
- 28:05Speaker 7: These are two of your best.
- 28:06Speaker 3: Somebody showed a funny past. Let's put E5 up here
- 28:09Speaker 3: on the screen where... She had put out one of
- 28:11Speaker 3: these long screens. This is kind of her classic. Who
- 28:15Speaker 3: controls the media? This goes way beyond biased journalists.
- 28:19Speaker 5: U.S.
- 28:19Speaker 3: Taxpayers spend billions funding media abroad to promote democracy. Media
- 28:22Speaker 3: is a key soft power tool used to steer public
- 28:24Speaker 3: opinion and culture. Media outlets aren't required to disclose who
- 28:27Speaker 3: funds their training.
- 28:29Speaker 1: This creates a backdoor.
- 28:30Speaker 3: Journalism training programs, funders, can influence media narratives without transparency.
- 28:35Speaker 7: All true.
- 28:36Speaker 1: You and I both know that's all true.
- 28:38Speaker 3: You're literally a government official working for the United States
- 28:42Speaker 3: government and the Pentagon.
- 28:43Speaker 7: Not disclosing it.
- 28:43Speaker 3: And you did not disclose that to your readers while
- 28:46Speaker 3: apparently making a shitload of money off of these X subscriptions.
- 28:50Speaker 3: By some estimates, nearly a million dollars per year, which
- 28:54Speaker 3: I don't even know how you'd square that with ethics.
- 28:58Speaker 3: I guess special government employee status you're allowed to make.
- 29:00Speaker 3: outside income for up to six months but yeah put
- 29:04Speaker 3: it all together the whole thing is.
- 29:06Speaker 7: Great she only has 22 subscriptions how.
- 29:08Speaker 3: I'm not sure i don't know exactly where the number
- 29:10Speaker 3: came from i apologize if that uh number was incorrect
- 29:13Speaker 3: as i said some estimate there was some estimate that
- 29:16Speaker 3: she was making quite a bit of a sum in
- 29:19Speaker 3: some of these so anyway uh look regardless if people
- 29:22Speaker 3: are paying you for your information you're not disclosing uh
- 29:25Speaker 3: where that you know who that who is paying you
- 29:27Speaker 3: i think that's pretty uh pretty egregious As Ben said,
- 29:31Speaker 3: maybe your information system needs some professionalism.
- 29:34Speaker 7: A little cultivating there, yes.
- 29:35Speaker 4: All right.
- 29:36Speaker 1: Dan Osborne standing by. Let's get to it.
- 29:41Speaker 6: We wanted to get to this rather extraordinary and controversial
- 29:44Speaker 6: move when it came to beef imports from President Donald J.
- 29:48Speaker 6: Trump that is rattling the cattle ranching industry. Last week,
- 29:53Speaker 6: let's put up this truth social from Donald Trump announcing
- 29:57Speaker 6: this deal that I said today I concluded a deal
- 29:59Speaker 6: to substantially lower the price of ground beef for working
- 30:03Speaker 6: American families. As everyone knows, under President Biden, beef prices
- 30:07Speaker 6: soared at their fastest rate and the American beef herd
- 30:10Speaker 6: fell to its smallest size in modern history. As we
- 30:13Speaker 6: work to rebuild this herd and help our ranchers for
- 30:16Speaker 6: the next 90 days right through the election, coincidentally. The
- 30:20Speaker 6: United States will allow up to 300,000 metric tons of
- 30:24Speaker 6: product for ground beef to be imported with no out-of-quota tariff.
- 30:30Speaker 6: We have a commitment that this beef will be sold
- 30:33Speaker 6: at 25% below current market prices, which is coincidentally precisely
- 30:37Speaker 6: what the tariff is. This deal will reduce prices for Americans,
- 30:42Speaker 6: not guaranteed at all, while giving space for our great
- 30:46Speaker 6: American beef herd to grow again.
- 30:49Speaker 7: So I watched a couple of.
- 30:51Speaker 6: Cattle kind of Beef industry podcasts in the wake of this.
- 30:57Speaker 6: And that was the line that had them the most confused,
- 31:01Speaker 6: to put it generously, or enraged, that it's going to
- 31:04Speaker 6: give our giving space for our great American beef herd
- 31:08Speaker 6: to grow again. So clearly somebody and the ranchers all
- 31:12Speaker 6: assume that it was JBS, which is a Brazilian beef company,
- 31:18Speaker 6: which is a massive donor company. to the Trump administration
- 31:21Speaker 6: because they have some American subsidiaries that can legally donate
- 31:24Speaker 6: to American politics, that JBS got in his ear. And
- 31:29Speaker 6: somebody gave him a talking point that this will give
- 31:32Speaker 6: them space to grow their herds, you know, like, because
- 31:36Speaker 6: they won't be able to sell any of their own cattle.
- 31:39Speaker 5: Mm-hmm.
- 31:40Speaker 6: And so the cattle will just be out there making
- 31:42Speaker 6: love and making more.
- 31:44Speaker 7: Right. Making more calves. Making more calves.
- 31:46Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 31:46Speaker 1: How does it actually work?
- 31:47Speaker 7: The ranch is like, we're all going to go out
- 31:49Speaker 7: of business. Like, we're all going to quit.
- 31:52Speaker 6: And a bunch of them are saying that they've heard
- 31:54Speaker 6: from so many people who are like, this is the
- 31:56Speaker 6: last straw.
- 31:57Speaker 7: Like, we're out. Like, we don't even see this as
- 32:02Speaker 7: a business that we.
- 32:04Speaker 6: Can be in, that our children can grow into, that
- 32:07Speaker 6: we cannot compete.
- 32:09Speaker 7: What they want.
- 32:11Speaker 6: if they want to grow the herd, is some level
- 32:14Speaker 6: of certainty that going into the future, there will be
- 32:19Speaker 6: a price for their product at which they can sell
- 32:23Speaker 6: it and not lose money. Believe it or not, that's
- 32:26Speaker 6: how they want to operate a business, not getting no money.
- 32:33Speaker 6: And then the herd is just going to magically grow.
- 32:34Speaker 6: They're like, what on earth are you talking about? So
- 32:38Speaker 6: then the question is, where... Where is this beef going
- 32:41Speaker 6: to come from? Trump was asked. Here's, let's roll F1.
- 32:45Speaker 2: Now, the presumption is that it's going to come from
- 32:48Speaker 2: Brazil and Argentina.
- 32:49Speaker 1: That is what all of the cattle industry is assuming.
- 33:11Speaker 6: Argentina can send a decent amount. Brazil has most of it, ironically.
- 33:15Speaker 6: Maybe it won't bother Sager. But the way that Brazil
- 33:20Speaker 6: grows its herd is by chopping down the rainforest.
- 33:22Speaker 7: And turning the rainforest. No, why would that?
- 33:25Speaker 1: Why wouldn't that? Of course that bothers me. No, you
- 33:27Speaker 1: don't have to be a bleeding heart liberal.
- 33:29Speaker 7: I don't know, that's woke lefty environmentalism or something.
- 33:32Speaker 3: What, you got to love the rainforest to be a lib?
- 33:35Speaker 1: I don't think so.
- 33:36Speaker 6: By the way, you go to Florida, the Gulf, and
- 33:38Speaker 6: you see all that disgusting red algae type stuff that's
- 33:41Speaker 6: destroying the tourism industry in the Caribbean and in Mexico
- 33:45Speaker 6: and Florida. A lot of significant amounts of that are
- 33:49Speaker 6: Saharan issues.
- 33:51Speaker 7: Right. Dust.
- 33:51Speaker 5: Right.
- 33:52Speaker 6: So now go go pull out your map like the
- 33:55Speaker 6: Sahara and Brazil are kind of lateral. And it is
- 33:59Speaker 6: only only because of the rainforest that we don't have
- 34:02Speaker 6: a Sahara across there.
- 34:04Speaker 7: Well, if we do, good Lord.
- 34:06Speaker 3: Yeah, I would I would more say this way is
- 34:07Speaker 3: that obviously environmental concern is a major concern, but it's
- 34:10Speaker 3: not the primary concern, I guess, for me, which is
- 34:12Speaker 3: that ultimately is that you can't be a nation, which
- 34:15Speaker 3: is that can't you can't be a real nation. If
- 34:18Speaker 3: you can't sustain yourself at a very basic level. And
- 34:21Speaker 3: that's effectively what has happened with this. What I read
- 34:24Speaker 3: about with cattle is that the herd sizes have been
- 34:26Speaker 3: dramatically decreasing for six consecutive years. This year was the
- 34:30Speaker 3: first year that it actually was going up. And then
- 34:33Speaker 3: what happened is that this undercutting has made it so
- 34:36Speaker 3: that they may not be able to make money, period.
- 34:38Speaker 3: And it will extend the losses for enough of time
- 34:41Speaker 3: on top of fertilizer, diesel and all these other things.
- 34:44Speaker 3: that are influencing many of these ranchers and farmers, which
- 34:46Speaker 3: is what's screwing them, basically simultaneously all at the same time.
- 34:51Speaker 3: All of that is reflected for the small cattle herd
- 34:56Speaker 3: is reflected in the high price. Ultimately, that's what it's about.
- 34:59Speaker 3: That's why beef prices have gone where they are. To
- 35:02Speaker 3: the extent that we need the government intervention, it's to
- 35:05Speaker 3: make it so that American cattle ranchers can grow more
- 35:10Speaker 3: or can have more cattle in a and have more
- 35:13Speaker 3: cattle over a longer period of time in a sustainable
- 35:16Speaker 3: fashion to make it so that we have stability of
- 35:18Speaker 3: price now and in the future. The other problem is that,
- 35:21Speaker 3: like you said, about the cattle and the beef is
- 35:25Speaker 3: not all beef is the same. And look, I got
- 35:27Speaker 3: a lot of problems with America's beef industry. I think it's,
- 35:30Speaker 3: you know, catastrophic the way they're treated, et cetera. And
- 35:33Speaker 3: we could go, it's a balance because if you treat
- 35:36Speaker 3: it better, it would cost a lot more. Fine with me,
- 35:39Speaker 3: but not fine for most people because we're in the
- 35:41Speaker 3: middle of a beef crisis. So the problem, I think,
- 35:45Speaker 3: is reflected, though, in that you talked about environmental. There's
- 35:48Speaker 3: also care standards, whether fed, quality concern. We've seen slashing
- 35:53Speaker 3: and USDA inspection. Are we sure that all of this
- 35:56Speaker 3: is going to cover or is going to qualify for that?
- 35:59Speaker 3: And if you talk to the American cattle rancher, they
- 36:02Speaker 3: often will say, look, you can come after us all
- 36:04Speaker 3: you want. We treat and raise our cattle in a
- 36:07Speaker 3: much better and healthier way, at least for the population
- 36:10Speaker 3: of the United States, than compared to a lot of
- 36:12Speaker 3: these South American producers.
- 36:14Speaker 1: So it's a crisis on every level.
- 36:16Speaker 6: And what the South American producers do when they are
- 36:19Speaker 6: producing these unhealthy cattle is they blast them with antibiotics
- 36:23Speaker 6: that are illegal here and dangerous to human consumption.
- 36:26Speaker 7: We can get into that in a moment.
- 36:27Speaker 6: But we'll be joined by Dan Osborne, a candidate in
- 36:29Speaker 6: Nebraska who's going to be a big issue. It already
- 36:33Speaker 6: is a big issue in the Nebraska race. We can
- 36:35Speaker 6: actually jump to, and this is related to the Nebraska race,
- 36:39Speaker 6: we can jump to F4. The other thing that is
- 36:42Speaker 6: driving prices here is that there's this massive consolidation in
- 36:48Speaker 6: the meatpacker industry. And what the meatpackers have been doing
- 36:52Speaker 6: is they've been strategically shutting down processing facilities around the country.
- 36:58Speaker 6: They did it in Nebraska. And in a town of
- 37:04Speaker 6: like 10,000 people, this processing facility employed over 3,000 people.
- 37:11Speaker 6: And you're talking 10,000 men, women, and children in this town.
- 37:14Speaker 6: So basically the entire town was organized around this processing plant.
- 37:20Speaker 6: And The argument that the Packers make is, well, there's
- 37:24Speaker 6: not enough business coming in. But what actually seems to
- 37:28Speaker 6: be going on is that by shutting down this particular plant,
- 37:32Speaker 6: and as you saw there, we've seen a massive plant
- 37:36Speaker 6: that just shut down in Illinois, another plant shut down
- 37:39Speaker 6: in Pennsylvania.
- 37:41Speaker 7: That means that the.
- 37:44Speaker 6: Ranchers who then need to sell their cattle are They
- 37:50Speaker 6: have fewer options to sell it to, and they have
- 37:52Speaker 6: to travel further, so they're willing to take a lower price.
- 37:57Speaker 6: So that pushes down the price that, again, that the
- 37:59Speaker 6: ranchers can get for the cattle. And then, because there
- 38:04Speaker 6: are only a few of these packers, they can then
- 38:07Speaker 6: set the price when they sell it to the customer.
- 38:11Speaker 7: So they're setting prices.
- 38:13Speaker 6: when they're buying from the farmers and they're setting prices
- 38:15Speaker 6: when they're selling it to us. That's why, as I
- 38:18Speaker 6: said at the beginning, when Trump says that importing this
- 38:21Speaker 6: 300,000 metric tons is going to lower prices, it doesn't
- 38:25Speaker 6: have to if you have a monopolistic, concentrated industry. They
- 38:30Speaker 6: can sell for whatever they want to sell it for. Now,
- 38:34Speaker 6: Trump might make some phone calls and kind of jawbone
- 38:38Speaker 6: it down for 90 days just to get through the midterms.
- 38:43Speaker 6: But that obviously is not a long-term solution. Now, again, now,
- 38:47Speaker 6: Brooke Rollins, the Ag Secretary, has been fighting against this,
- 38:51Speaker 6: as have a lot of Republican senators for a very
- 38:53Speaker 6: long time. And she stopped him from doing this previously.
- 38:58Speaker 6: You can tell from this clip here that she's kind
- 39:00Speaker 6: of been cut out of the question here. So let's
- 39:04Speaker 6: do F2.
- 39:06Speaker 3: What specific countries have been in talks with the U.S.
- 39:09Speaker 4: About stepping up to the courts, aside from Mexico?
- 39:13Speaker 9: I am not privy to talk about that. I think
- 39:15Speaker 9: the conversations are still going on. And that's Ambassador Greer,
- 39:19Speaker 9: who's finalizing what exactly that looks like. And I think
- 39:22Speaker 9: the president's involved in that as well.
- 39:25Speaker 6: Always always good when your ag secretary is not privy
- 39:27Speaker 6: to the negotiations. So then to underscore the politics of this,
- 39:33Speaker 6: she's against this. So the fact that she's clueless on
- 39:36Speaker 6: this suggests who's winning it. We put up F5 Republican
- 39:41Speaker 6: Senator Tim Sheehy from Montana, just absolutely losing his mind
- 39:46Speaker 6: over this.
- 39:47Speaker 7: And this relates to nearby Nebraska.
- 39:50Speaker 6: I've advised President Trump against this course of action for
- 39:52Speaker 6: a year because American ranchers have been struggling against the
- 39:54Speaker 6: Packer monopoly for decades, and this will further harm them,
- 39:58Speaker 6: most of whom are MAGA Republicans.
- 39:59Speaker 7: The president's heart.
- 40:00Speaker 6: Is in the right place on wanting lower prices for
- 40:02Speaker 6: the American people, and beef prices have been impacted by
- 40:05Speaker 6: the Mexican screwworm, which.
- 40:07Speaker 7: came up because we stopped monitoring for the screwworm.
- 40:10Speaker 4: Thanks, Doge.
- 40:11Speaker 6: But the reality is this action will make it more
- 40:14Speaker 6: difficult for American ranchers to rebuild our herd and bring
- 40:16Speaker 6: down prices for the American people. And most importantly, this
- 40:19Speaker 6: will harm our ranching families who feed the nation. Chuck Grassley,
- 40:24Speaker 6: still a senator, despite the loss of his vacuum, Beth, recently,
- 40:30Speaker 6: says after Tyson closure in Illinois last week, I'm concerned
- 40:35Speaker 6: for the cattle markets and now President Trump's decision to
- 40:38Speaker 6: temporarily open up subsidized beef imports. USA cattlemen should always
- 40:42Speaker 6: be put first through America first policies, need to keep
- 40:45Speaker 6: up progress, fighting through worm and expanding domestic herd.
- 40:49Speaker 7: Those are just a couple of.
- 40:52Speaker 6: The reactions from these Midwestern and Western senators who are
- 40:56Speaker 6: just appalled at what this is doing to the industry
- 40:59Speaker 6: and to people who have supported the president for.
- 41:03Speaker 7: A decade now. Exactly.
- 41:05Speaker 1: Let's bring in Dan Osborne and give his reaction.
- 41:08Speaker 6: So, yes, joining us now to discuss is independent Nebraska
- 41:11Speaker 6: Senate candidate Dan Osborne. Dan, thanks for being here. Really
- 41:15Speaker 6: appreciate it.
- 41:16Speaker 1: Good to see you, sir.
- 41:17Speaker 8: Yeah, thank you for having me on.
- 41:19Speaker 6: Yeah, so this is an issue that you have been
- 41:21Speaker 6: focused on throughout your campaign, particularly because of the processing
- 41:25Speaker 6: facility that was shut down in Nebraska.
- 41:28Speaker 7: It was Lexington, Nebraska? Is that the town?
- 41:31Speaker 4: Yeah, correct.
- 41:32Speaker 7: It's about 3,300 jobs.
- 41:33Speaker 6: 3,300 jobs in a town of something like 10,000 people.
- 41:36Speaker 6: First of all, let me start with that. What has
- 41:39Speaker 6: happened to the town? Have you been there since?
- 41:42Speaker 7: How has the town.
- 41:46Speaker 6: Weathering the collapse of its entire industry.
- 41:51Speaker 8: Yeah, it's definitely struggling. I mean, it's not just that
- 41:55Speaker 8: Tyson plant that's affected, right? It's the gas stations, the schools,
- 41:59Speaker 8: the churches, the car dealerships. I mean, you think about
- 42:03Speaker 8: the hotels, the landlords, everything that goes into a town
- 42:07Speaker 8: that size. They are definitely struggling to try to pivot
- 42:12Speaker 8: to a Find some industry to come in there to
- 42:16Speaker 8: help prop it up.
- 42:17Speaker 6: Yeah, and I remember at the time you were arguing
- 42:20Speaker 6: that the federal law, I think the Stockyards and Packers Act,
- 42:24Speaker 6: should come into play because it seemed like the packers
- 42:28Speaker 6: were strategically closing the plant in order to manipulate prices,
- 42:32Speaker 6: which is against law.
- 42:33Speaker 7: Federal law.
- 42:34Speaker 6: Your opponent, Pete Ricketts, said that he looked into that
- 42:36Speaker 6: and decided that it was not a violation of the
- 42:40Speaker 6: law and that it should be treated more like.
- 42:43Speaker 7: A natural disaster.
- 42:45Speaker 6: So what has the federal government done if this was
- 42:49Speaker 6: a natural disaster?
- 42:52Speaker 8: Abandonment, I suppose, would be the word for it. I mean, look, Tyson,
- 42:56Speaker 8: this is what Tyson does, right? They've just paid out
- 42:59Speaker 8: two lawsuits recently of over $ 80 million for price fixing,
- 43:04Speaker 8: strategically working with other packers to shut down plants around
- 43:08Speaker 8: the country so they could dictate to the producer what
- 43:10Speaker 8: they pay for the product all the way to the
- 43:13Speaker 8: grocery store what we pay. And this is just like
- 43:16Speaker 8: a little fine. It's kind of like the New York
- 43:18Speaker 8: Yankees going above the salary cap. It's just a price
- 43:21Speaker 8: of doing business for them. So it's very frustrating. And
- 43:25Speaker 8: they are breaking the law. by not putting that plant
- 43:28Speaker 8: up for sale too. Tyson did the same thing in Norfolk,
- 43:31Speaker 8: Nebraska years ago with a chicken plant. They dumped concrete
- 43:35Speaker 8: down their drain on the way out so a competitor
- 43:37Speaker 8: couldn't buy it.
- 43:38Speaker 3: So, sir, one thing I'm curious about is you and
- 43:41Speaker 3: your opponent both seem to find yourself against this administration's
- 43:45Speaker 3: order on beef. I believe that Senator Ricketts says, yeah,
- 43:49Speaker 3: he says that this is not a long-term solution. Flooding
- 43:52Speaker 3: the market with lower quality beef compromises Nebraska farmers' and ranchers,
- 43:56Speaker 3: they should be enabled to grow herd sizes and meet
- 43:59Speaker 3: consumer demand. So what actually sets you apart from Senator
- 44:01Speaker 3: Ricketts on this issue?
- 44:04Speaker 8: Yeah, I think that it's, I'm not a rubber stamp, right?
- 44:09Speaker 8: That's what, you know, he's rubber stamped everything that's happened
- 44:12Speaker 8: up until this point. You know, as governor, he had
- 44:16Speaker 8: an opportunity to go after the meat packers. And let's
- 44:19Speaker 8: be clear, that's who's going to win in all this, right?
- 44:22Speaker 8: Because what happens with foreign beef is it comes up
- 44:25Speaker 8: across the border.
- 44:26Speaker 7: It goes to the packers.
- 44:27Speaker 8: They take the package off from Brazil or Argentina, whatever.
- 44:30Speaker 8: They repackage it with a sticker that says USDA. And
- 44:34Speaker 8: that's where M-Cool is so important. Mandatory country origin of labeling.
- 44:39Speaker 8: People deserve to know where their product's coming from. And
- 44:42Speaker 8: the ranchers, they deserve a premium for their premium product
- 44:47Speaker 8: that they raise right here in Nebraska.
- 44:49Speaker 7: Nebraska's first in beef.
- 44:51Speaker 8: So, you know, this issue is going to hit our
- 44:53Speaker 8: state pretty hard in an industry that's already been being
- 44:57Speaker 8: hit pretty hard with fires and drought.
- 44:59Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 45:00Speaker 6: And Sagar and I were just talking about this before
- 45:01Speaker 6: the program. From a consumer perspective, I think neither of
- 45:04Speaker 6: us are really interested in this kind of Argentinian beef
- 45:08Speaker 6: that they're trying to force on us. But it's very
- 45:10Speaker 6: difficult to even tell if that's what you're getting.
- 45:13Speaker 1: How do I know?
- 45:14Speaker 7: So we can put up F8 for a second.
- 45:17Speaker 6: So the FDA, you know, has been reducing the number
- 45:20Speaker 6: of inspections, may end some of them entirely.
- 45:26Speaker 7: Meanwhile, you put up F9 here.
- 45:29Speaker 6: Recently, China rejected a massive shipment of frozen Argentinian beef
- 45:36Speaker 6: that was headed over there because they found residue of
- 45:40Speaker 6: an antibiotic that is illegal to use in the United States.
- 45:44Speaker 6: The Chinese don't want it and it can even be
- 45:47Speaker 6: fatal to humans who even in trace amounts. So there's
- 45:53Speaker 6: a good reason that we've made this illegal. But if
- 45:56Speaker 6: you're raising the cattle and slaughtering them in unhealthy, unsanitary circumstances,
- 46:02Speaker 6: then you kind of have to blast them with this
- 46:05Speaker 6: kind of illegal antibiotics and other things that these foreign
- 46:09Speaker 6: importers are using. And then we see F10, and you
- 46:12Speaker 6: can put this up, this is in the state of Florida.
- 46:16Speaker 6: Florida announced a recall earlier in August of something like
- 46:20Speaker 6: 20,000 tons of Argentinian beef that was shipped throughout Florida
- 46:25Speaker 6: and Texas for various problems that it was having. And so, yeah, Dan,
- 46:31Speaker 6: just kind of as consumers, let's say we just bumped
- 46:35Speaker 6: into your bar and we're asking for your expertise in
- 46:38Speaker 6: this area. Like as consumers, if people are watching this
- 46:41Speaker 6: and they want Nebraska beef, but they don't want this
- 46:43Speaker 6: Argentinian stuff that has God knows what in it, how
- 46:48Speaker 6: do you go about figuring that out? That's a great question.
- 46:53Speaker 8: I don't have an answer for that. You know, like
- 46:55Speaker 8: I said, it's going to go through the meat packers.
- 46:58Speaker 8: Hopefully the administration does the right thing. Hopefully our governor here,
- 47:05Speaker 8: who is against this transaction, that they do do some
- 47:11Speaker 8: country of origin labeling here to protect consumers. And this
- 47:15Speaker 8: is right on the tail end of Taylor Farms and
- 47:19Speaker 8: lettuce and jalapenos that we've already been dealing with. So
- 47:24Speaker 8: this is definitely troubling for consumers. And then we're going
- 47:27Speaker 8: to rely on the meat sellers to actually give us
- 47:31Speaker 8: a discount if we are purchasing that beef, which I'll
- 47:35Speaker 8: hold my breath on.
- 47:36Speaker 1: Dan, I'm curious for your perspective. We read a lot
- 47:38Speaker 1: about the American farmer.
- 47:40Speaker 3: We hear about how they're under pressure on diesel, on fertilizer,
- 47:43Speaker 3: and now here in terms of being undercut on beef.
- 47:46Speaker 3: Can you just tell us a little bit about what
- 47:47Speaker 3: you're hearing from some of your potential constituents?
- 47:51Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 47:52Speaker 8: The first person I called is a rancher friend of mine.
- 47:55Speaker 8: And he was like, man, I'll tell you what, this
- 47:57Speaker 8: is really frustrating because this is happening at a time
- 48:00Speaker 8: where ranchers are taking their product to sale barns and
- 48:03Speaker 8: they're selling it And last year they finally made, you know,
- 48:08Speaker 8: a decent amount of money for what their product's worth
- 48:10Speaker 8: comparatively from years prior. So our ranchers are finally starting
- 48:17Speaker 8: to turn profits. And he told me this is absolutely
- 48:22Speaker 8: going to undercut my business at a time where he
- 48:25Speaker 8: had to cut his herd in half from last year
- 48:28Speaker 8: because of the drought that's happening because, you know, They
- 48:33Speaker 8: have to have water, and their feed that they have
- 48:37Speaker 8: isn't growing near as fast as it should be.
- 48:39Speaker 7: And then you add on the fires.
- 48:42Speaker 8: Over a million acres have burned in Nebraska. So this
- 48:46Speaker 8: is a huge problem, but we have to let the
- 48:48Speaker 8: market course correct itself. And again, flooding it with foreign
- 48:51Speaker 8: beef is a massive mistake for our ranchers.
- 48:57Speaker 6: I want to finish by asking about the poll that
- 49:00Speaker 6: was done by your campaign that is now circulating in
- 49:03Speaker 6: the Nebraska press this morning. Kind of shocking, and we
- 49:06Speaker 6: can maybe add this in post. It finds you tied head-to-head, 47% Osborne, 47% Ricketts,
- 49:12Speaker 6: the rest undecided. It shows you with a 67-20. 25%
- 49:20Speaker 6: lead with independent voters. Ricketts is the son of a
- 49:27Speaker 6: billionaire family. I think they, what do they own? The
- 49:29Speaker 6: Cubs or they own Wrigley Field or they own E-Trade
- 49:33Speaker 6: or Ameritrade. Like it enormous amounts of money have kind
- 49:36Speaker 6: of rained down onto the Ricketts family, which he's been
- 49:39Speaker 6: able to use to spend on endless advertising against you.
- 49:45Speaker 6: And so you would expect that at this point in
- 49:48Speaker 6: the campaign, you'd be a little bit behind. Have you,
- 49:50Speaker 6: have you gone up on the air at all yet?
- 49:52Speaker 8: Uh, no, my, my campaign has not gone up on
- 49:55Speaker 8: the air yet. We're getting outspent six to one and, uh,
- 50:00Speaker 8: you know, his ads are all negative. Uh, 99% lies
- 50:06Speaker 8: about me.
- 50:07Speaker 7: That's what he does.
- 50:09Speaker 8: But the poll reflects the sense that I'm feeling on
- 50:13Speaker 8: the ground. There's a lot of energy. There's a lot
- 50:16Speaker 8: of momentum. And we're in the middle of a 93-county
- 50:20Speaker 8: tour going to every single county in Nebraska. We're turning
- 50:24Speaker 8: out people that are concerned for many reasons.
- 50:29Speaker 7: It's always the economy. It's health care. It's our farming.
- 50:33Speaker 8: It's our ag industry that's struggling right now through bad
- 50:38Speaker 8: tariff policy.
- 50:39Speaker 4: Now the war in Iran.
- 50:40Speaker 8: And people are looking for a change. And again, they're
- 50:44Speaker 8: fed up. So he just wrote himself a check for
- 50:48Speaker 8: $ 5. 25 million. He spent $ 3 million on this negative ad
- 50:53Speaker 8: campaign he's running. But Nebraskans aren't dumb. They're fed up.
- 50:57Speaker 8: And I think it's time for a change. And it's
- 50:59Speaker 8: time to give this seat back to the working people
- 51:02Speaker 8: in Nebraska where it belongs.
- 51:04Speaker 1: We watch your campaign with great interest, sir. Thank you
- 51:06Speaker 1: for joining us.
- 51:08Speaker 7: Yeah, thank you guys so much for having me on.
- 51:09Speaker 7: Appreciate you. We got it. Talk to you soon.
- 51:12Speaker 4: Okay.
- 51:15Speaker 7: All right, that was Senator Dan Osborne.
- 51:17Speaker 6: And actually, maybe we can add that little thing if
- 51:20Speaker 6: we were still recording in post.
- 51:21Speaker 7: No, no, he didn't.
- 51:22Speaker 6: We asked him as he was leaving for his thoughts
- 51:25Speaker 6: on Dolly Parton. Had a touching thing. But the thing
- 51:29Speaker 6: about Dolly Parton, it's the only universal thing left in
- 51:33Speaker 6: the United States. I think we have this incredible... Side
- 51:37Speaker 6: by side. Side by side, which we genuinely are never
- 51:41Speaker 6: going to get again in our lives.
- 51:42Speaker 5: So....
- 51:45Speaker 7: You have on the one side, Democratic Socialists of America.
- 51:50Speaker 6: DSA extends our deepest condolences to the family, friends and
- 51:54Speaker 6: fans of Dolly Parton, a hero of the working class
- 51:57Speaker 6: and an inspiration to us all.
- 52:00Speaker 7: And then next to it, Donald J.
- 52:01Speaker 6: Trump, very sad to report that Dolly Parton, one of
- 52:04Speaker 6: the greatest country singers and far beyond ever, has just
- 52:07Speaker 6: passed away. This is a true loss for millions of people.
- 52:10Speaker 6: There's never been anyone like her and never will. In
- 52:13Speaker 6: her honor, I am lowering the American flag throughout the
- 52:15Speaker 6: United States for a one-week period beginning tonight at 6 p.m.
- 52:20Speaker 7: Rest in peace, Dolly. The world loves you.
- 52:23Speaker 6: To have both DSA and Donald Trump memorializing the figure.
- 52:28Speaker 7: So I wanted to finish this with one line.
- 52:31Speaker 6: From a song of Dolly Parton's that has always stuck
- 52:35Speaker 6: with me for how profoundly it captures the experience of
- 52:40Speaker 6: poverty in America. And it gets at her ability to
- 52:45Speaker 6: relate to a country that is so kind of steeped
- 52:48Speaker 6: in it and has such a complicated relationship with it.
- 52:52Speaker 6: And so here's how I described it, then running into
- 52:56Speaker 6: the quote itself. I wrote, and this is from We've
- 52:59Speaker 6: Got People, there's nothing simple about the experience of poverty,
- 53:03Speaker 6: a trauma that manifests in people in many different ways.
- 53:05Speaker 6: It is also that rare experience that people work hard
- 53:08Speaker 6: to obscure in real time. yet almost universally tend to
- 53:12Speaker 6: exaggerate later in life. There's a deep shame in being
- 53:16Speaker 6: poor yet great pride in having been poor, a contradiction
- 53:20Speaker 6: that was best put into words by Dolly Parton in
- 53:22Speaker 6: her song in the good old days when times were bad,
- 53:25Speaker 6: the chorus goes, no amount of money could buy from
- 53:28Speaker 6: me the memories that I have of then no amount
- 53:31Speaker 6: of money could pay me to go back and live
- 53:35Speaker 6: through it again. It, It really gets at the essence
- 53:39Speaker 6: of so much about America and the way that as
- 53:44Speaker 6: we're living, as we're poor, we do everything we can
- 53:48Speaker 6: to pretend that we're not. And then later, when we're
- 53:51Speaker 6: looking back at it, we have deep pride in it.
- 53:53Speaker 6: And many people will even exaggerate how poor they were.
- 53:56Speaker 3: I think what I respect about Dolly was not only
- 53:58Speaker 3: her music, 9 to 5, obviously, like a working anthem,
- 54:02Speaker 3: I think, for a lot of America, but For her,
- 54:05Speaker 3: she embodied this person who both came from her area.
- 54:10Speaker 3: She never abandoned her roots to the community. She donated
- 54:15Speaker 3: millions of dollars to the people directly around her and
- 54:20Speaker 3: kind of always used her platform to enrich or to
- 54:24Speaker 3: at least help. The people who she always felt like
- 54:26Speaker 3: she owed her career to. And to the extent that
- 54:30Speaker 3: that's admirable for rich people in this country, it's ultra
- 54:33Speaker 3: admirable at a time like now where, what has Sam
- 54:36Speaker 3: Altman done for San Francisco?
- 54:38Speaker 1: What have any of these people done?
- 54:40Speaker 3: At least Carnegie had the decency to build us a library,
- 54:43Speaker 3: which is now an Apple store here in Washington, which
- 54:45Speaker 3: makes me cry.
- 54:46Speaker 7: It's crazy. I look at it.
- 54:48Speaker 1: You know, you can go to the J.P.
- 54:50Speaker 3: Morgan Museum in New York City. Can you go to
- 54:53Speaker 3: the Altman exhibit, to the Amadei, to the Jamie Dimon?
- 54:58Speaker 3: You know, it's like none of them. And sure, they
- 55:01Speaker 3: whitewash their money.
- 55:02Speaker 7: And we get the Gates Foundation.
- 55:05Speaker 3: Yeah, the gates on this, which is like, God, who
- 55:08Speaker 3: even knows, you know, in terms of the conspiracy behind
- 55:10Speaker 3: that one. But just more broadly, there's just something so
- 55:13Speaker 3: deeply American and admirable about I came from this place.
- 55:16Speaker 3: I know these people. I'm going to use whatever I
- 55:18Speaker 3: have to actually take care of them, to sing on
- 55:21Speaker 3: behalf of them and to try and use that platform.
- 55:23Speaker 3: And so we shall not see her like again.
- 55:25Speaker 7: In 2020, I took the kids to Dollywood.
- 55:27Speaker 1: Oh, nice.
- 55:28Speaker 7: Spectacular amusement park.
- 55:30Speaker 1: I know people loved it.
- 55:30Speaker 7: It's great.
- 55:31Speaker 6: And in it, they have a complete accurate rendition of
- 55:37Speaker 6: the home that she grew up in.
- 55:39Speaker 4: Wow.
- 55:40Speaker 7: That, to me, is the most memorable part of it.
- 55:42Speaker 6: You could probably just Google and find an image of it.
- 55:47Speaker 6: It's incredible because it's this one-room home. So if she
- 55:52Speaker 6: was 80, you know, 1940s, you know, electrification was barely.
- 55:56Speaker 7: Yeah, I know.
- 55:57Speaker 3: People have no comprehension of what poverty looked like pre-1960s.
- 56:01Speaker 6: This one-room home where there were like eight to ten,
- 56:05Speaker 6: you know, fluctuating members of the family. basically people sleeping,
- 56:10Speaker 6: sitting up, um, spending the entire day outside.
- 56:12Speaker 7: Cause there's just nowhere inside.
- 56:14Speaker 6: Like, um, look, look that place up. That's where she
- 56:17Speaker 6: came from. She never forgot it. And she never forgot
- 56:19Speaker 6: the people and the way that it, uh, the way that.
- 56:22Speaker 4: It shaped her.
- 56:24Speaker 1: RIP Dolly. I won't see another person like you.
- 56:26Speaker 7: No, we won't.
- 56:27Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much for watching. We appreciate it. Uh,
- 56:29Speaker 1: another bro show for everybody tomorrow.
- 56:30Speaker 4: See you then.