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Transcript

Don’t Miss These Catalysts!🚀Next Crypto Explosion Starts Here🔥 · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Raging bull market could be brewing today. We'll break it
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: down for you. Don't want to miss it. It's going
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: to be a good one. Let's just jump right into it.
• 0:05
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  Speaker 1: you by using linked down below. All right, let's get
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: into it today. And this is getting into some interesting points.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: And what I'm going to try to do for you
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: today is outline all the bullish scenarios that could play
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: into a recovery of what we're seeing right now. And
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: it's going to start with the biggest thing of all,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: and that is a government shutdown. Now, if the government
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: shutdown gets redirected, because remember poly market is all over
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the place right now, it doesn't know what's going to happen,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: which is kind of the peak of uncertainty in itself,
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: is that even the gamblers out there that are trying
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: to understand where this is going do not completely get
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: what's going on in DC.
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: So I want to go to a couple of clips.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: This, of course is mister Tom Emmer, and he breaks
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: down a couple of points of how this might be
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: able to end on Tuesday.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Take a look, what's your timeline on it? If you
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: had to make an estimate.
• 1:24
  Speaker 3: I'm not the one making the but you understand this.
• 1:27
  Speaker 4: I'm telling you that.
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: I sadly, I think their next inflection point is next Tuesday. Literally,
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: if they try to reopen the government beforehand, the very
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: people that they're afraid of in their party will absolutely
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: destroy them and may not show up Tuesdays. So they
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: keep the government closed through Tuesday, harm American people, just
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: to make a stay the miss all right.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: So what he's getting at is this is a critical
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: time for the Democrats of being able to look as
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: though they've kind of defended the position.
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: And he goes on in the same.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: Clip to kind of break down that maybe there's a
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: window here for the Dems to actually come out looking good.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: Take a look, well, well this.
• 2:05
  Speaker 4: What healthcare costs do go up, and they will in
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: certain parts of the country. There's no question that that's
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: directionally where this is going to go. Do you think
• 2:12
  Speaker 4: Democrats will get any credit when this is all over
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: for raising the red flag on that.
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: They can try to claim the high ground on that,
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: but remember their argument about healthcare is completely false. Republicans
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: are going to move us forward and we've got to
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: reform the system, but you got to open up the
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: government first before you can get to that.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: All right, So one of the things Emma was getting to.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Obviously the Dems could be in a position where they
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: showed that they fought.
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: For the American voters.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: Now, one thing that plays into this is how does
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: this get corrected quickly? And what I'm talking about is
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: the health premiums. If we get the Republicans where we
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: get the government reopened and they come in with a plan,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: if they're looming with a plan right now that could
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: immediately address this, that would be another catalyst going forward.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: Here's Mike Johnson talking about that.
• 3:00
  Speaker 5: So if the government reopened tonight, would Republicans have a
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: plan to address the Obamacare subjects?
• 3:06
  Speaker 6: Yes, Yes, Yes, a good We have proposals too, Yeah,
• 3:11
  Speaker 6: we could have that ready immediately. Yes, we have ideas
• 3:15
  Speaker 6: on the table.
• 3:16
  Speaker 5: Are you saying that there is a Republican plan and
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: you're just not talking about it.
• 3:19
  Speaker 6: No, I'm saying there's lots of discussion about it, but
• 3:22
  Speaker 6: we don't relay it on a conference call with hundreds
• 3:24
  Speaker 6: of people listening.
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: Then why not have that out there to talk about
• 3:28
  Speaker 5: in the public so the people can hear that debate happening.
• 3:31
  Speaker 5: I mean, you could have committees and session right now
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: they will, Klin, I'm talking about this.
• 3:35
  Speaker 7: We've been working on it since day one of this Congress.
• 3:39
  Speaker 7: We worked on it in the years prior, and we've
• 3:41
  Speaker 7: already demonstrated this is not talking points for us. We've
• 3:44
  Speaker 7: demonstrated it. We put it into the one big, beautiful building,
• 3:47
  Speaker 7: all right.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: So there he was kind of defending the position. If
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: in fact that is true and the Republicans have something
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: looming that could be played into this, that could be
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: another catalyst going forward. Now, there are some other scenarios
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: that are playing into this, and that is the broader market,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: the kind of pressure that the American consumer is getting.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: Will it showed up in the Chipotle stock of all places.
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: Take a look. Now, let's get to our churn of
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: the day. Look at this one.
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: Chipotle shares taking a real big hit after luring a
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: sales outlook as consumers, they cut back on dining as
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: they're feeling the pressure from inflation.
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: This has been a.
• 4:20
  Speaker 8: Problem for a while. I've been fighting it. I was
• 4:23
  Speaker 8: looking for anything to be positive last night, anything at all.
• 4:27
  Speaker 8: There was not anything to be positive. I'm not sure
• 4:30
  Speaker 8: this leadership team is the right leadership team, and I
• 4:33
  Speaker 8: do not want to be emotional about it, but I
• 4:34
  Speaker 8: truly believe it. I sold out of it. I apologize
• 4:37
  Speaker 8: to anyone who followed me into it. Actually, I'm quite
• 4:40
  Speaker 8: tempted in Starbucks, to be honest with you.
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: I think there's an obvious problem here that we're kind
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: of not touching on, which is the government shutdown.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: All right, so that analyst completely missed it there. I
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: think Chipotlee, this is something we've been talking about on
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: this channel right here for a while, and that is
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: that these corrected sales. The first place you would start
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: to see the ouch point occur was going to be
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: in the restaurant industry, and the big dog of the
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: restaurant industry has always been Chipotle.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: Well, on one hand, you have young.
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: Americans now can no longer afford to buy Chipotle. But
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: on the other hand, you get the S and P
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: five hundred adding eighteen trillion in six months.
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: What does that tell you, guys?
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: It tells you that assets are the only way you
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: beat inflation. Whether it's digital assets, stocks and gold, anything
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: an asset that has good liquidity. This is the angle
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: for you. That's why you can come to this channel
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: and watch it. Let's get into a couple other points
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: right quick. I want to get into the potential of
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: the tariff agreements that could be done by November thirtieth.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: Look at that list at Argentina, India, Brazil, Mexico, China.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: Even at forty six percent, that one is the big
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: one right there, guys. If China has some sort of
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: even partial deal, that itself would be a fairly good catalyst.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: But the problem is that you don't know, because it's Trump.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: You don't know if there's going to be something that
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: comes out of left field again and wax the market
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: one more time and creates this crazy volatility. One thing
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: that would solidify that is if they pull the powers
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: from the president, and the powers from the President have
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: already passed through on this Senate resolution. Right here, we
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: had four Republicans siding with the Democrats. Now, I don't
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: think this happens, but if it were to happen, that
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: would be at least some sort of consistency that would
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: brew around tariffs. I think the markets would look at
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: that in a positive way, at least from a market standpoint.
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: The only thing is, I don't think the House will
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: even get close to passing that. One other thing, Trump says,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: tariff's checks are probably coming for millions of Americans and soon.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: This is another indicator, of course, that if we're doing
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: this much wealth transfer, the situation that is occurring with
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: these tariffs now to the point that the US government
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: is going to rebate the American people that is I
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: don't know if that would be a catalyst, but it
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: would change things dramatically. One other thing that could change
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: things is the liquidity programs and the balance sheets were
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: the FED and if you look at quantitative tightening, which
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: is ending on December first, the real question is when
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: would easing go into effect. When we saw easing kind
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: of kick in back in twenty twenty three. One of
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: the key things that occurred was back in March of
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, and the key element was what we
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: had seen with Silicon National Bank. And this was the
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: zone right here that I'm kind of pointing to on
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: the chart, and look at this. This is the uptrend
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: right here. That's the bitcoin chart right now. So granted,
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: it doesn't mean that that would happen on all risk assets,
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: but at the point is is easing will start to
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: change things around other things that could happen during this time.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: Where we get easing is where the FED will start
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: buying bonds in the first quarter of twenty twenty six,
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: is one analyst talking about that, relaunching the balance sheet
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: explosion and then net purchase of about thirty five billion
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: in Treasury bonds per month. That's what would happen here
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: in terms of an easing cycle. So again, more catalysts
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: that play into a potential. All right, One other catalyst
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: I want to get to this is a clip on
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Paul Atkins, who is waiting on shutdown for crypto retirement
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: accounts to possibly restructure and maybe even banning accredited investor requirements.
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Take a look as.
• 8:10
  Speaker 9: Far as the retirement investments go, we're working with the
• 8:13
  Speaker 9: Department of Labor, and of course all this is affected
• 8:16
  Speaker 9: by the shutdowns, so we haven't really been able to
• 8:18
  Speaker 9: make much progress. And then on the individual elective investment side,
• 8:24
  Speaker 9: we will be looking at the credited investors' standard. Is
• 8:29
  Speaker 9: that still something that we should have or modify?
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: All right, so you see the number of catalysts are
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: piling up.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: Here right guys.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: By the way, if you like this, make sure and
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: hit the like button. Let us know drop some comments
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: down below. It always does help these videos get out there.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: The other thing that starts to leverage in is of
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: course the Clarity Act. And the Clarity Act I think
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: is maybe going to be the biggest element that could
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: really put this market back on its edge in terms
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: of in a positive way. Some say the committee could
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: move as as soon as tomorrow, Others say final preparations
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: mean it could slide into next week. I'm still kind
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: of twisted on this as to whether or not we
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: see this in twenty twenty five or we see coming
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: back in twenty twenty sex. I think it all boils
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: down to the shutdown. That's the delay issue and mechanism
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: that needs to occur for this to actually take place.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: The Clarity Act would move markets in a big way.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Other things that would move market, of course, is we've
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: got the Fusaka upgrade occurring, and this is scheduled for
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: now for December third. And if you look at some
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: of the improvements right here, mainly what you're looking at
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: is the capacity through put and then of course the
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: fact that we're talking about less costs. All of this
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: blending into the last upgrade we had with Ethereum which
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: helped the market was Pactro. This I think is going
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: to do the same thing. The last catalyst area is
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: this nothing stops these categories that are growing. Of course,
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: we've talked about tokenized assets. This is going to explode.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: You're going to also see AI and the interjection of
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: agentic payments X four h two. We did a whole
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: video on that. If you guys didn't watch it, go
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: back and watch it. It is a big, big deal
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: that is going to shift how AI is going to
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: be used on crypto. Then, of course you've got to
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: look at the global market overview, and this of course
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: is stable coins all continuing to grow, and that is
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: good for crypto in general. Last point I'll get to
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: is even avalanche. Now we get into countries that are
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: all leveraging in. This is Japan now with look at this,
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: six six point five trillion of their credit card processes
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: are now pushing into the avalanche ecosystem.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: So just deployed. All of this is good news, guys.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: So the point being we've got a lot in the works,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: all of these things are in the air, is the problem.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: And that's why I think you're seeing such uncertainty in
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: the market. If we start seeing some of these things land,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: We're not going to get them all, so don't assume
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: that we will, but some of these will be key.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Starting with the government shutdown. I think that is the
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: one catalyst that will start a cast event, potentially starting
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: to correct a market. All right, If you guys are
• 11:04
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• 11:07
  Speaker 1: And also on the Diamond Circle, we always leave a
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: link down below. It's absolutely free to join and follow
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: me out there on X at Paul Baron. We'll catch
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: you next time right here on the Paul Baron Show.