Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 4/22/26: Fed Chair Nominee Grilled, Data Center Revolt, CIA Officers Die In Mexico, VA Redistricting
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.
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- 0:34Speaker 3: The battle for the Federal Reserve played out in the
- 0:36Speaker 3: Senate yesterday, but the morning started with Donald Trump himself
- 0:40Speaker 3: on CNBC commenting in an interview with Joe Kernan extensively
- 0:45Speaker 3: on the war with Ron. We covered that earlier in
- 0:47Speaker 3: the show, but he also talked about oil prices. Let's
- 0:50Speaker 3: go ahead rule this clip see one.
- 0:53Speaker 4: And they said, Wow, that's going to be bad. I said, yeah,
- 0:55Speaker 4: it's going to hurt the market and it's going to
- 0:58Speaker 4: drive up the price of oil whatever it is. But
- 1:01Speaker 4: that's peanuts compared to what would happen if we let
- 1:03Speaker 4: this happen, And I told them forty seven years other
- 1:06Speaker 4: presidents wanted to do it, they never had the guts.
- 1:08Speaker 3: Okay, so that'll hit a lot of Americans, I'm sure
- 1:12Speaker 3: as callous at best. But interestingly, Donald Trump himself has
- 1:16Speaker 3: been agitating for the FED to cut rates for a
- 1:19Speaker 3: long time. But now he promised Americans he was going
- 1:22Speaker 3: to bring down inflation, he was going to be the
- 1:25Speaker 3: anti Biden, and now with prices going up, his pick
- 1:28Speaker 3: for FED chair was in front of the Senate yesterday,
- 1:32Speaker 3: and obviously Trump trying to squeeze in his FED chair
- 1:37Speaker 3: is an effort to get the rates cut. The war
- 1:40Speaker 3: in Iran completely changes the calculus on whether or not
- 1:45Speaker 3: that's a good idea. So, Elizabeth Warren, this is Kevin Worsh.
- 1:49Speaker 3: If you haven't been following the situation surrounding Worsh, we closely.
- 1:57Speaker 5: Other than if you said yes to this yeah, well,
- 2:00Speaker 5: actually never mind, we don't need to know anything else
- 2:01Speaker 5: about it. He said yes to this job under these
- 2:05Speaker 5: circumstances and conditions, we don't need to know anything else.
- 2:08Speaker 3: I mean, he's like a fellow at the Hoover Institution,
- 2:13Speaker 3: Stanford Grad School. He's a pretty it's to me at least,
- 2:16Speaker 3: he seems like he's a pretty conventional Republican pick for
- 2:20Speaker 3: the FED, except for.
- 2:21Speaker 6: The fact that he said yes to this.
- 2:23Speaker 3: Well there's that, and he was trying to play that
- 2:26Speaker 3: he was. He was a member of the Board of
- 2:27Speaker 3: Governors over at the Reserve System from two thousand and
- 2:30Speaker 3: six until twenty eleven. He was the Fed's rep to
- 2:33Speaker 3: the Group to the G twenty and their emissary to
- 2:37Speaker 3: the Emerging in Advanced Economies in Asia. So he's had
- 2:40Speaker 3: all kinds of these official titles employment.
- 2:44Speaker 6: I'm impressed.
- 2:45Speaker 3: He was a Special Assistant to the President for econ
- 2:47Speaker 3: policy in the Bush administration. So two thousand and two
- 2:51Speaker 3: that went fine, doesn't do two thousand and six. And
- 2:53Speaker 3: then he was doing M and A at Morgan Stanley
- 2:57Speaker 3: and then vice President Executive director over at Morgan's.
- 2:59Speaker 5: Day how the Bush administration economic policy, and that was good.
- 3:03Speaker 6: I was fine.
- 3:04Speaker 3: Everything was crap o good. And as far as I'm aware,
- 3:07Speaker 3: Donald Trump is a fan of the work of the
- 3:09Speaker 3: Bush administration on the country, so he is. He was
- 3:13Speaker 3: obviously getting grilled.
- 3:14Speaker 6: Now.
- 3:14Speaker 3: Trump started this investigation into corruption at the FED over
- 3:18Speaker 3: this massive, this massive renovation that's going on next to
- 3:25Speaker 3: the White House. Actually I was there that day he
- 3:27Speaker 3: toured the FED renovation with Powell and Tim Scott. Yeah,
- 3:31Speaker 3: I was a new media pool. There's like eight of
- 3:34Speaker 3: us in the this like scorching hot, and Trump and
- 3:38Speaker 3: Powell are standing next to each other. Tim Scott's third wheeling,
- 3:41Speaker 3: and you could have cut the tension with a knife.
- 3:43Speaker 3: It was deeply uncomfortable. And at the time I asked Trump, well,
- 3:47Speaker 3: why aren't you just if you're saying that all of
- 3:49Speaker 3: these these interest rates are hurting American families so badly,
- 3:52Speaker 3: and you're threatening to fire him at one point, why
- 3:55Speaker 3: not just do it now? And Trump said, well, I
- 3:56Speaker 3: don't think it's come to that. This was playing out.
- 4:01Speaker 3: Democrats are having a field day with us, of course,
- 4:03Speaker 3: as you can imagine yesterday. So let's go ahead and roll.
- 4:06Speaker 3: Elizabeth Warren laying into Kevin Walsh. See two.
- 4:10Speaker 7: Bunk has made clear that he does not want an
- 4:13Speaker 7: independent FED. In fact, he has said, and I quote,
- 4:16Speaker 7: anybody that disagrees with me will never be FED chairman.
- 4:21Speaker 7: And he's made clear that you are his sock puppets,
- 4:24Speaker 7: saying last week that interest rates will drop. Quote when
- 4:27Speaker 7: Kevin gets in Yeah, I think they do. Not when
- 4:31Speaker 7: economic conditions change will get lower rates. Not when the
- 4:35Speaker 7: economy needs it. Nope, he said, When my die Kevin
- 4:39Speaker 7: Walsh is in there, we'll get the interest rates that
- 4:42Speaker 7: I Donald Trump wants.
- 4:44Speaker 8: So independence takes courage.
- 4:46Speaker 7: Let's check out your independence and your courage. We'll start easy,
- 4:50Speaker 7: mister Walsh, did Donald Trump lose the twenty twenty election?
- 4:56Speaker 8: We try to keep politics if I'm confirmed out of
- 4:58Speaker 8: the fund.
- 4:59Speaker 7: I'm just asking a fact one question I need to know.
- 5:01Speaker 7: I need to measure your independence and your courage.
- 5:05Speaker 8: Senator, I believe that this body certified that election many
- 5:08Speaker 8: years ago.
- 5:09Speaker 7: That's not the question I'm asking. I'm asking did Donald
- 5:12Speaker 7: Trump lose in twenty twenty?
- 5:13Speaker 8: Man, I'm suggesting you in your huge inflation problem, and
- 5:19Speaker 8: you certified the election. So let me ask another. Out
- 5:22Speaker 8: of monetary policies and army, you.
- 5:24Speaker 7: Have one hundred million dollars in undisclosed assets. And what
- 5:28Speaker 7: I'm asking is, are any of those with this outfit
- 5:32Speaker 7: that invests in companies affiliated with President Trumper's family, companies
- 5:39Speaker 7: that have facilitated money laundering Chinese control companies or financing
- 5:44Speaker 7: vehicles set up by Jeffrey Epstein's.
- 5:46Speaker 8: Yes or no question, Senator, I have worked tirelessly with
- 5:49Speaker 8: the ethics officials at the Office of Government, and you
- 5:52Speaker 8: have not and have a greed, Senator, to sell all
- 5:58Speaker 8: of my assets.
- 6:00Speaker 7: Mister to tell us if you have investments, for example,
- 6:07Speaker 7: in vehicles set up to advance Jeffrey Epstein, is that
- 6:11Speaker 7: what you're telling us?
- 6:11Speaker 8: You just won't tell us. Center. What I'm telling you
- 6:15Speaker 8: is that those assets that you represent at Juggernaut will
- 6:18Speaker 8: be sold if I'm confirmed before let me follow us
- 6:21Speaker 8: and sign the oath of all.
- 6:23Speaker 3: So that was a pretty representative flavor of how the
- 6:25Speaker 3: hearing went yesterday. Now CNN on that one hundred million
- 6:28Speaker 3: dollars in assets reports among the key questions yesterday quote
- 6:33Speaker 3: why Worsh failed to disclose any details about more than
- 6:35Speaker 3: one hundred million dollars in assets. Worsh declined several times
- 6:38Speaker 3: to say what those assets were, naming only the private
- 6:41Speaker 3: funds in which they were held. He also said that
- 6:43Speaker 3: he would follow government ethics guidelines and convert his assets
- 6:47Speaker 3: into something quote vanilla resembling cash within the required time frame.
- 6:52Speaker 3: After his confirmation what do you think?
- 6:55Speaker 6: It seems okay?
- 6:55Speaker 3: Right, it seems fine. It's it's always were when people
- 6:58Speaker 3: don't disclose things.
- 7:00Speaker 5: Yeah, you should disclose it. Am I missing something because
- 7:02Speaker 5: that seems okay? If if, if he actually is is
- 7:06Speaker 5: going to sell them now, I think.
- 7:07Speaker 3: The fair question as to why you wouldn't maybe.
- 7:09Speaker 5: The fear would be like, he's not going to disclose it.
- 7:12Speaker 5: He's going to promise to sell it, and he doesn't.
- 7:13Speaker 3: Sell it, and then doesn't disclose that he doesn't sell it.
- 7:16Speaker 3: I guess if you're.
- 7:17Speaker 5: Worth a hundred million bucks, Yeah, there's a lot of money.
- 7:22Speaker 3: That's what happens when you're rich. You can just be like,
- 7:23Speaker 3: oh that one hundred million, don't worry about it. Well,
- 7:27Speaker 3: he got more question.
- 7:28Speaker 6: Hundred million doesn't buy what he used to though.
- 7:30Speaker 3: That's so true, your Senator Smith, laying into Kevin worsh
- 7:36Speaker 3: as well.
- 7:36Speaker 9: C Three the roaring economy is roaring like never before.
- 7:41Speaker 8: So do you agree with that statement?
- 7:43Speaker 9: Is that how you see the economy that is roaring
- 7:45Speaker 9: like never roaring before?
- 7:48Speaker 8: So so, Senator, if I can clarify two things. One,
- 7:51Speaker 8: there's a difference between the change in prices and inflation.
- 7:54Speaker 8: The change in prices happen in a market economy. When
- 7:57Speaker 8: inflation moves up, that's because the FED had something to
- 8:00Speaker 8: do with it. Now, on the state of the economy,
- 8:03Speaker 8: I would say that the broad contours of the economy
- 8:05Speaker 8: are improving. The potential of the economy, the real results
- 8:09Speaker 8: of the economy are improving, but I think it can
- 8:12Speaker 8: improve more, and I think in the years ahead, I
- 8:14Speaker 8: think the economy's potential is strengthening.
- 8:17Speaker 9: So you know, the reality is that the economic data,
- 8:21Speaker 9: understanding what you're saying about economic data being not imperfect,
- 8:24Speaker 9: that there was almost zero job growth in twenty twenty five,
- 8:28Speaker 9: and so that looks to me like not a roaring economy.
- 8:31Speaker 9: It looks like a weak economy.
- 8:33Speaker 3: And finally, take a look at this line of questioning
- 8:35Speaker 3: from Senator Raphael Warnock, Democrat of Georgia.
- 8:38Speaker 10: You currently serve as a lecturer at Stanford University. If
- 8:44Speaker 10: you were to assign, if Professor Walsh where to assign
- 8:48Speaker 10: a letter grade to the American economy today for the
- 8:52Speaker 10: average working family, what grade would you assign?
- 8:56Speaker 8: A senator was good to meet with you in your office.
- 9:01Speaker 8: You know, in modern academic institutions they give everybody as
- 9:05Speaker 8: so it's not a fair comparison, especially at elite universities.
- 9:11Speaker 8: I know everyone gets perfect rates.
- 9:13Speaker 10: Well, what grade would you give the economy?
- 9:17Speaker 6: Well, if I.
- 9:18Speaker 8: Gave a student anything other than A, the dean would
- 9:20Speaker 8: summon me to his office because I would have hurt
- 9:22Speaker 8: his self image.
- 9:23Speaker 10: Well, Well, the Americans that I talked to, particularly in
- 9:27Speaker 10: the state of Georgia, who haven't had the benefit of
- 9:33Speaker 10: attending some of these elite institutions, are trying to make
- 9:38Speaker 10: their lives work. They're sitting around their kitchen tables trying
- 9:43Speaker 10: to figure out how to put their kids through school.
- 9:48Speaker 10: And regardless of how the markets are doing, consumer confidence
- 9:52Speaker 10: is at a record low. So that's their grade on
- 9:56Speaker 10: the economy.
- 9:57Speaker 3: So actually, consumer confidence at a record low. The board
- 10:00Speaker 3: Republicans Democrats. That happened before the war in Iran Ryan,
- 10:04Speaker 3: which is a reflection on a very different presidency, or
- 10:09Speaker 3: how Americans are interpreting this presidency very differently than they
- 10:13Speaker 3: were the Trump the first Trump presidency. And I wonder,
- 10:16Speaker 3: I mean the question of where the rates should go
- 10:20Speaker 3: now that Trump is saying, oh, it's fine that oil
- 10:23Speaker 3: and gas prices.
- 10:24Speaker 6: Will be up.
- 10:24Speaker 3: Everyone should have done this. They wanted to do this war.
- 10:27Speaker 3: Nobody had the courage to do it until I did.
- 10:28Speaker 3: It is now a very very different question than it
- 10:32Speaker 3: was even before.
- 10:33Speaker 5: Yes sending in a Trump hack to the Fed right
- 10:39Speaker 5: after he blows up the economy. It's just such sad
- 10:45Speaker 5: timing for us as people, because.
- 10:48Speaker 3: Well, you're a lower the rates guy, aren't you?
- 10:50Speaker 5: In general? But if you have run away inflation like
- 10:57Speaker 5: and what I think, you know, I had read a
- 10:59Speaker 5: lot about inflation in the seventies and in the eighties
- 11:01Speaker 5: and the political implications that it had and how hard
- 11:04Speaker 5: it was on families. Experiencing it yourself, I think is different.
- 11:08Speaker 5: And I think that's probably true for you know, everybody
- 11:11Speaker 5: out there, like we didn't. We haven't had significant inflation
- 11:16Speaker 5: since the eighties, right, We've had pretty a rare case
- 11:21Speaker 5: of a long stretch of pretty stable prices and then
- 11:26Speaker 5: with COVID.
- 11:27Speaker 3: Not like sudden inflation.
- 11:29Speaker 5: Then you have boom, all of a sudden, like stuff
- 11:32Speaker 5: is like going crazy and continuing to climb, like it's
- 11:35Speaker 5: not climbing like it was in twenty one and twenty two,
- 11:38Speaker 5: but it's still getting worse. And now what Trump has
- 11:41Speaker 5: done is he's thrown in you know, fertilizer prices going
- 11:45Speaker 5: through the roof. It's going to be food shortages. We're
- 11:48Speaker 5: going to have a lot of countries gonn have food rationing.
- 11:51Speaker 5: Will we will ration it by just making it, you know,
- 11:54Speaker 5: out of reach for a lot of people. But prices
- 11:58Speaker 5: of food are going to go way up. Prices of
- 12:01Speaker 5: all goods that require energy, which is all goods, are
- 12:04Speaker 5: going to go up. And the cost of heating your home,
- 12:08Speaker 5: cooling your home, putting gas in the car gonna go
- 12:11Speaker 5: way up. Meanwhile, we're building out all of these AI
- 12:14Speaker 5: data centers that are that are also driving up prices.
- 12:17Speaker 3: Which we're going to get to.
- 12:18Speaker 5: I'm a low interest rate person in a normal world,
- 12:21Speaker 5: but if you have runaway prices, inflation is eats away
- 12:28Speaker 5: at people's you know, ability to make it, make it
- 12:32Speaker 5: from week to week.
- 12:34Speaker 6: Uh.
- 12:35Speaker 5: And if you keep rates low in that that environment,
- 12:39Speaker 5: in some ways it helps the situation because you can
- 12:42Speaker 5: make you you can reduce housing prices, maybe reduce rent,
- 12:45Speaker 5: but you drive up the price of everything else. And well,
- 12:51Speaker 5: your low interest rates kind of juice assets and which
- 12:55Speaker 5: is housing prices, but they reduce mortgage rates so you
- 12:59Speaker 5: can and so the price goes up but they become
- 13:02Speaker 5: more affordable as complicated, but then the price for everything
- 13:06Speaker 5: else goes up. So there are there are occasions where
- 13:09Speaker 5: you do actually need higher.
- 13:11Speaker 6: Rates to get inflation under control.
- 13:14Speaker 5: I think it would be nice to have somebody who
- 13:16Speaker 5: was like thinking about these things seriously, and I don't
- 13:20Speaker 5: think that's what Trump wants. Trump wants somebody's just going
- 13:23Speaker 5: to lower rates as much as possible into the election.
- 13:26Speaker 3: And we should mention a Republican Senator Tom Tillis, who
- 13:28Speaker 3: is retiring, used his time during yesterday's hearing to say
- 13:34Speaker 3: he wants Trump to drop the FED investigation and then
- 13:38Speaker 3: he will vote to confirm worsh And that could be
- 13:41Speaker 3: a real I mean, that could be a real problem
- 13:43Speaker 3: for the administration going forward. And tell Us has been
- 13:46Speaker 3: a thorn in their side on this issue for many
- 13:49Speaker 3: months now, so it's possible. This investigation into Powell, which
- 13:54Speaker 3: let's just say, I mean, the renovation obviously looks lavish.
- 13:59Speaker 3: I really don't think there's a question about that, but
- 14:01Speaker 3: that it's raises to the level of anything other than
- 14:05Speaker 3: or that this is anything other than warfare is a
- 14:08Speaker 3: little bit absurd.
- 14:09Speaker 5: Also, how do we care the FED literally prints money
- 14:13Speaker 5: if they want to print a billion dollars and build
- 14:15Speaker 5: themselves a nice building, Yes.
- 14:17Speaker 3: It's MMT in a building they believe in MMT. Now,
- 14:23Speaker 3: if they're.
- 14:23Speaker 5: Using tax dollars, that's one thing they're not like, they're
- 14:26Speaker 5: just printing money giving it to DC contractors. A lot
- 14:31Speaker 5: of things that get upset about in this world, that
- 14:33Speaker 5: that one. I've never been like really upset about the
- 14:36Speaker 5: FED printing money and.
- 14:37Speaker 6: Building seves a nice office.
- 14:39Speaker 5: And yeah, you're a money printer, you get to build
- 14:42Speaker 5: yourself a nice office.
- 14:43Speaker 4: Now.
- 14:43Speaker 3: Worst probably found a lot more sympathy with the public
- 14:45Speaker 3: con senators when he was talking yesterday about mission creep
- 14:47Speaker 3: at the FED, wanting to end mission creep at the FED.
- 14:49Speaker 3: Obviously there was a lot of I think there's there's truth.
- 14:52Speaker 3: So some of the allegations that the FED under Powell
- 14:54Speaker 3: has been dabbling in cultural politics over the last decade,
- 14:58Speaker 3: a lot of that has has since gone away, is
- 15:00Speaker 3: my understanding. So he probably did what he needed with
- 15:03Speaker 3: most Republican senators till it seems to like him, he's
- 15:06Speaker 3: just holding up the vote over whether or not the
- 15:09Speaker 3: investigation stays open goes away. Futures as of right now
- 15:13Speaker 3: have risen after the ceasefire extension. But midterms coming up
- 15:18Speaker 3: in just a number of months. So Donald Trump gets
- 15:22Speaker 3: into office promising to decrease inflation. Now all of these
- 15:26Speaker 3: down ballot Republicans Trump's not on the ballot obviously in November,
- 15:30Speaker 3: are going to have to face the music. Let's talk
- 15:34Speaker 3: about data centers. Got to talk about data centers. Always
- 15:38Speaker 3: should be talking about data centers for rocking many many
- 15:42Speaker 3: places in the country, local politics, rocking all kinds of different.
- 15:48Speaker 3: I mean, let's just put this element up on the screen.
- 15:51Speaker 3: This is D one. This is a tearsheet from the
- 15:53Speaker 3: Free Press, which had a wonderful piece of reporting. We
- 15:57Speaker 3: got to give credit where it's due, a wonderful piece
- 15:59Speaker 3: of report into what happens when the headline is what
- 16:03Speaker 3: happens when a data center comes to town. This is
- 16:06Speaker 3: about a rural Ohio county where there's this eight hundred
- 16:10Speaker 3: acre data center being planned that would produce get this drine,
- 16:15Speaker 3: the massive total of fifty permanent jobs.
- 16:19Speaker 5: I think it's like all of these two yeah, yep.
- 16:22Speaker 3: Of course typical where they'll have about I think it's
- 16:25Speaker 3: like twenty are twelve hundred construction jobs for the first
- 16:29Speaker 3: phase and quote at least fifty permanent jobs. Once construction
- 16:33Speaker 3: is complete, it will generate hundreds of thousands of dollars
- 16:35Speaker 3: and greatly needed tax revenue. And one local man said
- 16:39Speaker 3: he hasn't seen this. He's the county commissioner, told the
- 16:42Speaker 3: Free Press, he hasn't seen this sort of local investment.
- 16:44Speaker 3: Quote in my lifetime. It is a very poor county.
- 16:48Speaker 3: But the piece reports not all the neighbors feel that way.
- 16:51Speaker 3: After announcing plans for the data center in January, dozens
- 16:54Speaker 3: crowded into the local courthouse. They're wondering how much water
- 16:56Speaker 3: the data center will use while their power bills go up.
- 16:59Speaker 3: What about the noise? We played a video last week
- 17:02Speaker 3: on the show about someone recording just from their back
- 17:06Speaker 3: deck the noise from a nearby data center absolutely insane.
- 17:12Speaker 3: According to Google's own assessments. The Free Pass reports each
- 17:15Speaker 3: individual data center consumes anywhere from ten thousand to more
- 17:18Speaker 3: than one billion gallons of water. But the reality is
- 17:22Speaker 3: that nobody really knows what that number will what those
- 17:25Speaker 3: numbers will look like for Franklin Furnace. So this is
- 17:28Speaker 3: a Google data center, it would involve a seventy five
- 17:32Speaker 3: percent tax abatement, and they're again looking for eight hundred
- 17:36Speaker 3: acres of land right by the river. You can see
- 17:39Speaker 3: how this would get on people's bad side very quickly.
- 17:42Speaker 3: Just in Wisconsin recently, think it was Whitefish Bay, there
- 17:46Speaker 3: was a referendum where voters came in and rejected It
- 17:49Speaker 3: was one of the first big referendums in the country
- 17:51Speaker 3: where you saw local voters rejecting future data center data
- 17:56Speaker 3: centers in a big, big vote. You know, breaking points.
- 17:59Speaker 3: We've been this for a long time. Dave Weigel has
- 18:01Speaker 3: been covering this at Semaphore, but you know, we can
- 18:05Speaker 3: actually throw up on the screen here at New York Times.
- 18:08Speaker 3: This is going to be D three New York Times
- 18:11Speaker 3: tear sheet. Job cuts driven by AI are rising on
- 18:15Speaker 3: Wall Street. It's coming not just for rural Ohio Ryan,
- 18:18Speaker 3: but rapidly in some of the white collar sectors as well.
- 18:23Speaker 3: Let's move to D four. These are just two headlines
- 18:25Speaker 3: from yesterday. AI Meta to start capturing employee mouse movements
- 18:31Speaker 3: keystrokes for AI training data. So big data centers going
- 18:37Speaker 3: up all over the country, job cuts even on Wall
- 18:40Speaker 3: Street mouse tracking to train AI at Meta. Everybody's happy,
- 18:45Speaker 3: everyone's loving it.
- 18:47Speaker 5: And so if you're in this rural area where they
- 18:50Speaker 5: want to take eight hundred of your acres along the
- 18:53Speaker 5: river to install a wirring like water gozzling, energy guzzling
- 19:01Speaker 5: at a.
- 19:01Speaker 3: Center with tax breaks that you don't get.
- 19:04Speaker 5: Tax brikes that you don't get for a couple bucks
- 19:07Speaker 5: for a couple.
- 19:07Speaker 6: Jobs, and tax revenue what on earth? And maybe some time? Okay, so.
- 19:14Speaker 5: What on earth would be the argument for doing that?
- 19:17Speaker 5: The best argument, I guess could be, Yes, tax revenue
- 19:20Speaker 5: you get and you put that into schools, and okay,
- 19:24Speaker 5: so that if you actually believed that that was gonna
- 19:29Speaker 5: come forward, then okay, that that's at least an argument
- 19:33Speaker 5: for it. When I would say like that that this
- 19:35Speaker 5: is the this is this is the place where the
- 19:38Speaker 5: public has their has their leverage to strike some sort
- 19:42Speaker 5: of grand bargain with AI where it's like, Okay, you
- 19:47Speaker 5: want this and you need this from us, what do
- 19:50Speaker 5: we get? Pitch us on how AI is going to
- 19:56Speaker 5: bring us a better world?
- 19:59Speaker 7: Right?
- 20:00Speaker 5: And I and you like groc being able to take
- 20:05Speaker 5: the clothes off of a twelve year old, isn't it?
- 20:07Speaker 3: Or to prosecute wars in the Middle East, which is
- 20:13Speaker 3: the other.
- 20:13Speaker 5: Thing that's not it either like, what is this, What
- 20:16Speaker 5: is the society that you're going to create that is
- 20:20Speaker 5: better than the one we have now in order for
- 20:23Speaker 5: us to agree to do this with you, because you
- 20:27Speaker 5: can't do it without the land that people control. So
- 20:31Speaker 5: that's the And so there is this big movement that
- 20:35Speaker 5: is fighting back against these data centers, and it really
- 20:39Speaker 5: does seem to be the only thing that humanity has
- 20:41Speaker 5: against the creep of these robots.
- 20:43Speaker 3: It's one of the things I love about the story
- 20:45Speaker 3: is that it focuses on the history of this particular
- 20:49Speaker 3: place in Appalachian, Ohio and how they have had the
- 20:51Speaker 3: rug pulled out from under them during the last decade
- 20:55Speaker 3: or in Tecae, the last century of industrialization where you
- 20:58Speaker 3: had these plants. That it's a chemical plant, so sun
- 21:02Speaker 3: Cooke Energy. At one point quote the plant makes up
- 21:05Speaker 3: material called coke critical for steel production. But a decade
- 21:08Speaker 3: ago the plant was fined by the EPA for violating
- 21:10Speaker 3: the Clear Clean Air Act, and McDavid claims one of
- 21:12Speaker 3: the people in the story, residue from the plant still
- 21:15Speaker 3: rains down on the houses and cars in the neighborhoods nearby,
- 21:19Speaker 3: and just over and over again. How you get economic
- 21:22Speaker 3: opportunity rug pulls out. Rug is pulled out from under
- 21:25Speaker 3: you because the opportunity goes away, the jobs go overseas.
- 21:28Speaker 3: I think there was a printing business in this area
- 21:31Speaker 3: as well. At one point the story is fantastic, and
- 21:34Speaker 3: then you get people who open plants like the sun
- 21:39Speaker 3: Cooke one, and it has like just dirt raining down
- 21:42Speaker 3: on you and you're promised over and over again, this
- 21:45Speaker 3: is going to be a great investment. This is exactly
- 21:47Speaker 3: what the community needs, and now they're asking for it
- 21:50Speaker 3: again with something that's not even tangible. Right. It's one
- 21:54Speaker 3: thing when you're like, okay, we are making this, we
- 21:56Speaker 3: are making that. I can see it. I get it.
- 21:59Speaker 6: Right.
- 21:59Speaker 3: Now you have what thirty five percent of the S
- 22:02Speaker 3: and P five hundred is these mag seven companies. Feels
- 22:04Speaker 3: like a total bubble and nobody even other than people
- 22:08Speaker 3: who are you know, using propped up by golf money,
- 22:10Speaker 3: propped up by golf money. That's another good point. And
- 22:13Speaker 3: there was a study that came a horrifying study that
- 22:15Speaker 3: came out the other day where it showed I'm I
- 22:19Speaker 3: stually just going to pull it up because it's it's
- 22:21Speaker 3: worth mentioning. This is from a Google Deep Mind researcher.
- 22:25Speaker 3: It's called the abstraction fallacy. Why AI can stimulate, can
- 22:29Speaker 3: stimulate but not instantiate consciousness. Oh wait, that's the wrong.
- 22:34Speaker 3: Say that's another good study. But there was a study
- 22:36Speaker 3: that came out the other day that a huge proportion
- 22:39Speaker 3: of LM use is actually personal, something like sixty percent.
- 22:43Speaker 3: It's not work based. So people are using AI for
- 22:47Speaker 3: like conversational needs in their personal lives. AI therapy, conversation
- 22:53Speaker 3: and that sort of thing.
- 22:54Speaker 6: How to fix the water heater, how to fix.
- 22:56Speaker 3: The wrong I don't know. I think it was actually
- 22:57Speaker 3: like not even just not eve those types of questions, yeah,
- 22:59Speaker 3: but like actual personal questions.
- 23:01Speaker 5: So anyway, how do I tell this person I'm not
- 23:02Speaker 5: going to the happy hour?
- 23:04Speaker 3: Right? Yes? Questions like that that seemed really personal, right,
- 23:09Speaker 3: happy How you're buyding on skipping?
- 23:11Speaker 6: They know to them all.
- 23:11Speaker 3: So but anyway I need chat GPT's help with that.
- 23:15Speaker 3: And yeah, the consciousness study too important one because the
- 23:18Speaker 3: Google Deep Mind researcher was arguing that llms can ever
- 23:21Speaker 3: be conscious, not in ten years or one hundred years.
- 23:24Speaker 3: And it's like this is what this is the waters
- 23:26Speaker 3: that we're swimming right now, people are being expected to
- 23:28Speaker 3: give tax break to these massive companies that want to
- 23:32Speaker 3: push these technologies on you without producing juice that feels
- 23:36Speaker 3: like it's worth the squeeze.
- 23:37Speaker 5: Yeah, but yeah, Asoff clearly sees a lane there. There
- 23:42Speaker 5: are some efforts in the Georgia legislature to crack down
- 23:44Speaker 5: on the data center build out. Those efforts have been stopped,
- 23:48Speaker 5: and so Asoff clearly, who is running for reelection and
- 23:52Speaker 5: is talked about as a presidential contender, assuming he wins here,
- 23:57Speaker 5: he says he's investing.
- 23:58Speaker 6: He's he sent a letter to the Georgia.
- 24:01Speaker 5: Power plant Company or utility, which is now run by
- 24:04Speaker 5: a Democrat right after that big win as asking them
- 24:08Speaker 5: to investigate precisely how it is that AI data data
- 24:11Speaker 5: centers are impacting rising power bills.
- 24:14Speaker 6: And the reporting out.
- 24:15Speaker 5: Of this is that that he sees he sees a
- 24:18Speaker 5: wide open lane now in Georgia. Then he's he's going
- 24:21Speaker 5: to be the guy who's going to take this mantle
- 24:23Speaker 5: and say these data centers suck.
- 24:26Speaker 6: And if he can drive down.
- 24:29Speaker 5: The Republican margins in rural Georgia by being the guy
- 24:34Speaker 5: who is willing to say that, he's going to lock
- 24:37Speaker 5: he's got a lock on Atlanta already, and he's very
- 24:39Speaker 5: good at not trying not to be a Democrat, Like
- 24:44Speaker 5: I don't know if you saw his speech the other
- 24:45Speaker 5: day where he was going after Situszans United and corruption
- 24:49Speaker 5: and in politics, and he repeatedly said both sides are
- 24:56Speaker 5: infected by this.
- 24:57Speaker 3: Which is a big problem though a lot of centristand
- 25:00Speaker 3: yes who are trying to be populist they can't quite
- 25:04Speaker 3: like even in their act, they can't quite get it right.
- 25:06Speaker 5: You have to be able to use all identity is
- 25:08Speaker 5: that Democrats good, Republicans bad. Right, So any admission both
- 25:13Speaker 5: sides are bad at something, so well, how could you
- 25:15Speaker 5: possibly say that?
- 25:15Speaker 3: And this is where Trump succeeded and where Bernie succeeded. Yeah,
- 25:20Speaker 3: the other person who's trying to take this lane among
- 25:22Speaker 3: Republicans is run to Santas. So if Ruanda Santis runs
- 25:25Speaker 3: in twenty twenty eight, it actually makes me think he's
- 25:27Speaker 3: more likely to run in twenty twenty eight that he's
- 25:29Speaker 3: trying to own or pave actually this path of being
- 25:33Speaker 3: an anti data center Republican lawmaker sort of pushing back
- 25:36Speaker 3: on some of this stuff in Florida so quietly making
- 25:41Speaker 3: that his thing, possibly if he wanted to blow that
- 25:45Speaker 3: up into a campaign attack against other Republicans, potentially a JD.
- 25:48Speaker 3: Vance who's very close to some of these tech oligarchs
- 25:52Speaker 3: or has been throughout his career. You know, should this issue.
- 25:56Speaker 3: I mean, the polling on this has shifted dramatically over
- 25:58Speaker 3: the last year. We've report on some of that here.
- 26:01Speaker 3: So the tech companies, you know, at the very least,
- 26:04Speaker 3: need to do a better job of selling this to
- 26:06Speaker 3: the public. That much is abundantly obvious. So Republicans now
- 26:11Speaker 3: in the midterms have to own that. Trump on what
- 26:14Speaker 3: day two of his presidency, did his major press conference
- 26:18Speaker 3: with all of these AI oligarchs behind him, promising to
- 26:22Speaker 3: support their data center builds outs with the support of
- 26:25Speaker 3: the federal government. And every Republican now has to face
- 26:29Speaker 3: that part of the GOP agenda on the ballot.
- 26:32Speaker 5: It's good because this is our this is our chance,
- 26:34Speaker 5: this is all we got against these guys.
- 26:37Speaker 3: Now, let's go ahead and turn to Mexico.
- 26:40Speaker 6: Ryan, two CIA agents.
- 26:44Speaker 5: We're in a car accident in Mexico, which conveniently ended
- 26:48Speaker 5: with all of the evidence going up in flames. You
- 26:51Speaker 5: can put up E one here the Washington Post and
- 26:55Speaker 5: others reporting that this that this car accident involving two
- 26:59Speaker 5: Americans was in fact it was in fact connected to
- 27:02Speaker 5: the CIA, that these were CIA officers dying in Mexico.
- 27:07Speaker 5: The last time at a high profile American official died
- 27:13Speaker 5: in Mexico would be the Dea agent in the nineteen eighties,
- 27:18Speaker 5: which sparked a massive cartel war as well as what
- 27:22Speaker 5: an HBO or Netflix series. Anybody who's seen seen Narcos
- 27:26Speaker 5: knows this knows the story of that one. So joining
- 27:29Speaker 5: us to try to unpack what the heck is going
- 27:32Speaker 5: on here, Wanda vid Rojas want to me, thank you
- 27:35Speaker 5: so much for being.
- 27:36Speaker 6: Here, Thanks for having me back on guys, Yeah.
- 27:38Speaker 5: You got it. What happened here? Like, where did this happen?
- 27:42Speaker 5: And what do we know about the circumstances?
- 27:45Speaker 11: It's uh, I mean, yeah, we don't exactly know. This
- 27:48Speaker 11: is the official story. So in the border state of
- 27:52Speaker 11: Chihuahua in Mexico's norths the borders with Texas and New Mexico,
- 27:58Speaker 11: on the way back from account or a narcotics operation,
- 28:01Speaker 11: there was a car accident and the Chihuabua state authorities
- 28:07Speaker 11: claimed that around two am this convoy around six vehicles.
- 28:13Speaker 11: It was dark, apparently presumably, and the vehicle carrying the
- 28:19Speaker 11: two CIA agents along with two Mexican officials crashed and
- 28:25Speaker 11: the four of them died. I mean, I will say
- 28:28Speaker 11: it's possible. I mean, you know that late at night,
- 28:31Speaker 11: you're in a rural area, mountainous. I mean, it's I mean,
- 28:35Speaker 11: it's kind of strange that there aren't really more details
- 28:38Speaker 11: and kind of odd that all four of them died.
- 28:41Speaker 11: I mean hard to say. What do we know about
- 28:44Speaker 11: the operation?
- 28:45Speaker 7: Right?
- 28:45Speaker 6: What kind of operation is going on here?
- 28:48Speaker 11: Yeah, the official story is that these two CIA officers
- 28:53Speaker 11: were training Mexican officials on how to use drones to
- 28:57Speaker 11: destroy methamphetamine labs in rural areas of Chihuahua. That's the
- 29:04Speaker 11: official story. And I will say that that's fairly normal
- 29:08Speaker 11: in Mexico. That you know, US officials provide intelligence support
- 29:13Speaker 11: training to their Mexican counterparts has been going on for
- 29:16Speaker 11: decades under the current president, previous presidents. What's odd is that,
- 29:21Speaker 11: you know, typically that would be you know, the purview
- 29:24Speaker 11: of like the CIA, even the FBI. All the collaboration
- 29:27Speaker 11: with the FBI typically isn't It isn't in person although
- 29:31Speaker 11: you know, we had cash Beteau with Ryan Wetting the
- 29:34Speaker 11: snow King, and we could talk about that case as well.
- 29:38Speaker 11: But what's odd here is that hm CIA officers counter
- 29:41Speaker 11: narcotics isn't actually the purview of the CIA. That's more
- 29:45Speaker 11: like regime change and supporting you know, wars abroad. But
- 29:49Speaker 11: the reason for that is because last year Trump designated
- 29:53Speaker 11: Mexican cartels, along with the host of all other kinds
- 29:56Speaker 11: of like drug trafficking organizations in the Hemisphere, as foreign
- 29:59Speaker 11: terror to organizations, and that gives the CIA leeway, now,
- 30:03Speaker 11: you know, to treat these you know, cartels as national
- 30:08Speaker 11: security threats terrorists and drastically expanded operations in Mexico and
- 30:14Speaker 11: other countries in the Hemisphere, which has definitely happened.
- 30:17Speaker 3: And one you covered OMLO closely. My understanding is that
- 30:21Speaker 3: AMLO had put safeguards in place essentially to take to
- 30:27Speaker 3: shore up Mexican sovereignty when it came to potential CIA
- 30:31Speaker 3: DEA operations and you had what is it AI in
- 30:35Speaker 3: Shihuahua doing this big drug bust. I'm reading from another
- 30:39Speaker 3: great reporter, Joan Grillo right now, who says that the
- 30:45Speaker 3: let me just make sure you have the right part
- 30:46Speaker 3: of this. Officials initially gave mixed and confusing explanations as
- 30:49Speaker 3: to what the agents were doing. US Ambassador to Mexico
- 30:52Speaker 3: Ronald Johnson, himself a former CIA agent, broke the news
- 30:55Speaker 3: by reporting, quote the tragic loss of two US embassy personnel,
- 30:59Speaker 3: others claiming that the agents were doing training to the
- 31:02Speaker 3: point that you made AI picked them up en route,
- 31:04Speaker 3: but didn't go. They did not go on the operation,
- 31:07Speaker 3: which is obviously a huge point in question. Right now,
- 31:10Speaker 3: Claudia Shinbaum is claiming she didn't know about the op
- 31:13Speaker 3: or the role of US agents, according to Yowan over
- 31:15Speaker 3: at Crashout, which everyone should subscribe to, and that it
- 31:18Speaker 3: should be investigated. Chihuahua is ruled by the opposition party
- 31:22Speaker 3: in this case, So how is this playing politically for
- 31:25Speaker 3: Shinebaum and with the Mexican public. It's it's such a
- 31:30Speaker 3: sensitive question about the country, it's sovereignty itself.
- 31:34Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, And it was funny.
- 31:35Speaker 11: I was talking to Yoan yesterday and what he was
- 31:38Speaker 11: telling me is that, you know, we probably wouldn't have
- 31:40Speaker 11: found out about this at all if just Ron Johnson,
- 31:44Speaker 11: who actually I know personally, by the way, wouldn't you know,
- 31:48Speaker 11: just blurreted out that, oh, hey, we had you know,
- 31:50Speaker 11: two of our guys killed. He like tweeted this out
- 31:53Speaker 11: on Sunday. You know, at the time, he didn't specify
- 31:55Speaker 11: that they were CIA. You know, later this came out.
- 31:58Speaker 11: But still it's kind of curious that he felt compelled
- 32:01Speaker 11: to just you know, blurt this out. As far as
- 32:04Speaker 11: how this is playing in Mexico, I mean, there's a
- 32:08Speaker 11: lot of spinning going on. And again, I mean I
- 32:10Speaker 11: don't want to speculate too much. I think that would
- 32:13Speaker 11: be irresponsible. But yeah, Shinbaum, she says that they're going
- 32:19Speaker 11: to get to the bottom of whether the two officers
- 32:22Speaker 11: were there illegally. Any sort of foreign official, especially security official,
- 32:28Speaker 11: needs to be authorized by the national government to be
- 32:31Speaker 11: able to conduct, like, do youaning, you know, any sort
- 32:36Speaker 11: of assistance or support with officials inside of Mexico, including
- 32:42Speaker 11: state officials. Chihuahua actually signed a security agreement with Texas
- 32:47Speaker 11: in twenty twenty two, and this was authorized by the
- 32:52Speaker 11: national government.
- 32:53Speaker 6: But yeah, the fact that.
- 32:55Speaker 11: She says that, you know, she didn't know, the Mexican
- 32:58Speaker 11: government didn't know a lot of people within the governing
- 33:01Speaker 11: party are basically saying that the Chihuahua State government, who's
- 33:06Speaker 11: run by the right wing Bond Party, like they invited
- 33:09Speaker 11: these officials without permission, and that would be a huge scandal.
- 33:12Speaker 11: If these guys were there on tourist visas, I wouldn't
- 33:16Speaker 11: put it past Madukampos, the opposition governor. But you know,
- 33:21Speaker 11: it's also possible that they had permission. Hard to say,
- 33:25Speaker 11: I mean either way, I think the bottom line of
- 33:29Speaker 11: this story is that, yeah, we kind of have boots
- 33:31Speaker 11: on the ground now in Mexico and whatever exactly happened here,
- 33:36Speaker 11: I mean, you know, you can just connect the dots.
- 33:40Speaker 11: What if, like, you know, next time it's confirmed the
- 33:44Speaker 11: you know, CIA officers were killed by one of the cartels,
- 33:48Speaker 11: like you'll have Lindsay Graham and the other Hawks advocating
- 33:52Speaker 11: for us to go into Mexico unless maybe we're still
- 33:56Speaker 11: in around.
- 33:57Speaker 5: And last question, like so, let's it's hard to figure
- 34:00Speaker 5: out whether or not, Okay, the opposition governor allowed them
- 34:04Speaker 5: in or Shine Bamb knew about it and doesn't want
- 34:07Speaker 5: to say. How do their policies towards the cartels and
- 34:11Speaker 5: towards American cooperation differ? The Shinebamb versus her her kind
- 34:15Speaker 5: of right wing opposition in that area.
- 34:17Speaker 11: Good question, the great question, and a hard question. And
- 34:21Speaker 11: you know, this is a sad thing. I'm basically convinced. Unfortunately,
- 34:25Speaker 11: I hate to say this, but I'm probably going to
- 34:28Speaker 11: be on the show again in the future when we're
- 34:30Speaker 11: discussing military operations in Mexico, because that's just kind of
- 34:34Speaker 11: trump Ism and Trump himself work. What's sad is that
- 34:39Speaker 11: both the Trump administration and the Shineman administration have like
- 34:46Speaker 11: objectively really good accomplishments on this front. I mean, first
- 34:51Speaker 11: of all, you know, it's increasingly this is Trump's most
- 34:55Speaker 11: loansome achievement. You know, border crossings through the southern border
- 35:00Speaker 11: or at like a fifty year low. But in addition
- 35:03Speaker 11: to that, fentanyl flows have dropped like fifty percent, and
- 35:06Speaker 11: ventinal seizures south of the border are at record highs.
- 35:11Speaker 11: Scheinbaum is going really really hard against the cartels, but
- 35:14Speaker 11: she's doing it in a smart way. Independent analysis like
- 35:19Speaker 11: the economists have shown that under her first year, homicides
- 35:23Speaker 11: have dropped at least fifteen percent, and that's historic since
- 35:27Speaker 11: the drug war in Mexico began in two thousand and six,
- 35:30Speaker 11: no other administration had managed to have homicides drop in
- 35:34Speaker 11: its first year. She has this superstar security minister oh
- 35:39Speaker 11: Marhara Garzia Harfuch, who himself was the victim of an
- 35:44Speaker 11: attempted assassination by the CJNG. You know, was it two
- 35:49Speaker 11: months ago? And Menschell, the head of the CJNG, was
- 35:53Speaker 11: killed in this huge operation. And what's interesting about that
- 35:56Speaker 11: is that, yeah, you know, we saw a lot online
- 35:58Speaker 11: about subsequent violence, but actually only lasted around like two days.
- 36:02Speaker 11: They surprisingly were very capably able to contain subsequent retaliation
- 36:08Speaker 11: pretty quickly.
- 36:09Speaker 7: You know.
- 36:10Speaker 11: It's not to say that, you know, everything's perfect all
- 36:12Speaker 11: the time everywhere in Mexico. It is a complex situation,
- 36:16Speaker 11: especially in different states, but there's definitely achievements that both
- 36:20Speaker 11: governments can point to and can law in terms of
- 36:23Speaker 11: their cooperation. Marco Rubio has done this, but unfortunately a
- 36:27Speaker 11: lot in MAGA and you know in Trump as well,
- 36:30Speaker 11: they don't really seem to talk about this very recognize
- 36:34Speaker 11: or realize it so well.
- 36:36Speaker 3: And what the what Claudia Shinebam wants to avoid is
- 36:38Speaker 3: we can put E two up on the screen. This
- 36:41Speaker 3: is a drop site headline. Rare survivors of Pacific boat
- 36:44Speaker 3: strikes allege US forces kidnapped and tortured them. Everyone should
- 36:49Speaker 3: go read this piece, and Ryan, you may have more
- 36:51Speaker 3: to say about it, but it is really fascinating reporting
- 36:55Speaker 3: and for leaders in Latin America, but they don't want
- 36:59Speaker 3: to look like as they're cooperating with a brutal American
- 37:03Speaker 3: regime that's also encroaching on their sovereignty. So Wandavid Rojas,
- 37:07Speaker 3: thank you as always for jumping on the show. We
- 37:11Speaker 3: were excited to have you on to help us understand
- 37:14Speaker 3: what on earth could possibly have been going on in
- 37:16Speaker 3: Chihuahua over the last several days.
- 37:18Speaker 8: Appreciate it anytime, guys.
- 37:23Speaker 5: Voters in Virginia went to the polls to decide whether
- 37:26Speaker 5: or not they were going to radically jerrymander the state.
- 37:30Speaker 5: We can put up f one here, they said, yes.
- 37:33Speaker 6: Let's do it. By a very narrow margin.
- 37:36Speaker 5: Democrats basically out voted Republicans.
- 37:40Speaker 6: What is it? What are we at? Forty fifty one
- 37:42Speaker 6: forty nine something.
- 37:43Speaker 3: It's really close.
- 37:44Speaker 6: We're going to end up being very close.
- 37:46Speaker 3: As of right now, it's fifty one point five to
- 37:48Speaker 3: forty eight point five.
- 37:49Speaker 5: And it's going to take a congressional delegation that is
- 37:52Speaker 5: currently six Democrats and five Republicans, which is about as
- 37:58Speaker 5: fair as you can get in a state that went
- 38:00Speaker 5: by like what six seven points to Kamala Harris, and
- 38:04Speaker 5: it's going to take it to ten, likely going to
- 38:08Speaker 5: take it to ten Democrats, one Republican. Oh boy, what
- 38:12Speaker 5: a wipeout. Put up F two here. This is one
- 38:17Speaker 5: of the hilarious. It's a good tweet this person, this
- 38:22Speaker 5: Cameron Corduroy. I've read a name because it's you have
- 38:26Speaker 5: a good tweet like this, a banger. You get your name,
- 38:29Speaker 5: Red says welcome to the new rural subjects of the
- 38:33Speaker 5: Arlingtonian Protectorate. All voters will be required to provide at
- 38:37Speaker 5: least two sets of pronouns pronouns to vote in upcoming elections.
- 38:42Speaker 5: And it's showing this this wild district that's drawn where
- 38:47Speaker 5: you have deep, deep blue Arlington voters who will then
- 38:52Speaker 5: overwhelmed this like deep stretch of rural Virginia that rolls
- 38:58Speaker 5: through the suburbs, out out the highways there and then
- 39:02Speaker 5: deep into actual rural Virginia where.
- 39:05Speaker 6: There are many fewer people.
- 39:07Speaker 3: And many fewer Democrats. It looks like a lobster. If
- 39:10Speaker 3: you're listening to this, it looks like a lobster. The
- 39:11Speaker 3: tale is the Arlington area and then the claws are
- 39:16Speaker 3: like rural central western Virginia like Gapalaysia.
- 39:19Speaker 6: The original terms.
- 39:20Speaker 5: As nerds in DC know, Jerrymander comes from a district
- 39:25Speaker 5: that was drawn in like the seventeen hundreds to look
- 39:27Speaker 5: like a salamander. Incredible, it looked like a salamander. And
- 39:30Speaker 5: that's where Jerrymander. I don't I don't know where they
- 39:32Speaker 5: got the Jerry.
- 39:32Speaker 3: Called it Jerry lobster.
- 39:34Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 39:34Speaker 5: But so this one looks this one actually looks almost
- 39:37Speaker 5: rational compared to some.
- 39:40Speaker 3: Some of the Maryland ones are wild.
- 39:42Speaker 6: Yeah. And so there was so.
- 39:47Speaker 5: Much delightful back and forth over this, whether it was
- 39:52Speaker 5: Republicans complaining about it after having launched the war.
- 39:58Speaker 3: So let's I think it's unclear who technically launched the
- 40:01Speaker 3: war in the big picture, but this cycle Republican cycles.
- 40:04Speaker 3: This started with Texas cycle.
- 40:07Speaker 6: Right.
- 40:07Speaker 5: The jerrymandering fight goes literally back to like eighteenth century.
- 40:13Speaker 3: We can't keep blaming the Whigs, right.
- 40:15Speaker 5: No, Whigs weren't even around yet. But the actual mid
- 40:22Speaker 5: psych doing it mid cycle rather than every ten years.
- 40:24Speaker 5: That was Republicans doing it in Texas. But let's read
- 40:29Speaker 5: Hakeem Jefferies, who's feeling his outs. He's never felt so
- 40:32Speaker 5: good and put up f F three. So this this
- 40:36Speaker 5: is from the Democratic leaders expecting to turn this into
- 40:40Speaker 5: becoming Democratic speaker.
- 40:42Speaker 6: He says.
- 40:42Speaker 5: Last July, Donald Trump demanded that Texas drew five draw
- 40:46Speaker 5: five new Republican seats in the middle of a decade,
- 40:48Speaker 5: igniting a chain reaction of corrupt MAGA state legislators attempting
- 40:53Speaker 5: to rig the mid term elections. While many expected Democrats
- 40:56Speaker 5: to roll over and play dead guilty, sure I did
- 41:00Speaker 5: the opposite. Democrats did not step back. We fought back
- 41:04Speaker 5: when they go low, we hit back hard. We won
- 41:07Speaker 5: Prop fifty in California reclaimed, which which redrew California to
- 41:12Speaker 5: give a give Democrats a bunch of new seats, reclaimed
- 41:14Speaker 5: a seat in Utah. True, they're gonna get another Democratic
- 41:18Speaker 5: seat there.
- 41:18Speaker 6: Pushed back extremists in Ohio.
- 41:20Speaker 5: They did block the Ohio stuff and halted toxic GP
- 41:23Speaker 5: efforts in Indiana, New Hampshire, Nebraska, and Kansas. You know,
- 41:27Speaker 5: a lot of the credit for halting those efforts actually
- 41:29Speaker 5: goes to Republican lawmakers who didn't want those their own
- 41:32Speaker 5: seats to kind of redrawn, and some of them just
- 41:35Speaker 5: on principle didn't want to see it happen and actually
- 41:38Speaker 5: faced in Nebraska like significant threats of violence from Republican legislators,
- 41:45Speaker 5: faced threats of violence from Republicans and stood up to.
- 41:48Speaker 6: Them to block this. He goes on. This war is
- 41:51Speaker 6: not over. This one. I want your take on.
- 41:53Speaker 5: Next week, Ron de Santrance is hauling the Florida Legislature
- 41:56Speaker 5: back into a special session to redraw maps because Republicans
- 42:00Speaker 5: know they are on the verge of an epic defeat
- 42:02Speaker 5: in November. Desantras is clearly more interested in illegal jerrymandering
- 42:06Speaker 5: than lowering the high cost of living blah blah. If
- 42:09Speaker 5: Republicans proceed with this illegal scheme, they will only create
- 42:13Speaker 5: more prime pick up opportunities for Democrats, just as they
- 42:16Speaker 5: did with Trump's dummy mander in Texas.
- 42:19Speaker 3: That's from Hakim Jeffries. He's a dummy mander.
- 42:21Speaker 6: Bro thought he ate he did eat. We will aggressively
- 42:24Speaker 6: target for defeat.
- 42:26Speaker 5: Mario Diaz, Billart, Maria Elvira Salazar, Carlos Jimenez, Kat Kamnak
- 42:31Speaker 5: Anna Paulina, Luna Laurel Lee, Corey Mills, and Brian Mast No,
- 42:36Speaker 5: not Corey Mills. We are prepared to take them all on,
- 42:39Speaker 5: and we are prepared to win maximum warfare everywhere, all
- 42:42Speaker 5: the time.
- 42:43Speaker 6: So the one reason he's eating.
- 42:44Speaker 5: Here is is it it was a dummy mander in
- 42:48Speaker 5: Texas in the sense that they misunderstood the depth of
- 42:54Speaker 5: the support they had among Hispanic voters.
- 42:55Speaker 6: In Texas.
- 42:57Speaker 5: They drew a bunch of districts that require them to
- 42:59Speaker 5: have levels that are close to twenty twenty.
- 43:01Speaker 6: Four to keep them to keep those seats.
- 43:04Speaker 5: So the way you do a jerrymander, you have a
- 43:07Speaker 5: seat that's like seventy thirty, right, so you take it
- 43:10Speaker 5: down to like fifty five forty five, So you're going
- 43:14Speaker 5: to win that one. And then you take the Republicans
- 43:17Speaker 5: or the Democrats, whoever's doing it, and you move them
- 43:19Speaker 5: into a district that previously the other party held, move
- 43:23Speaker 5: those voters over and now you win both. That's why
- 43:26Speaker 5: they call it. That's the goal. If you move these
- 43:31Speaker 5: voters over here and they don't vote for you, and
- 43:35Speaker 5: the voters that you had over here are these let's
- 43:38Speaker 5: say they're Hispanic voters or the others who voted for
- 43:40Speaker 5: Trump but now hate Trump and they flip. Now you
- 43:44Speaker 5: lose both these seats.
- 43:47Speaker 6: That is a legit dummy mander. So now it would
- 43:51Speaker 6: be legal.
- 43:52Speaker 5: The Florida Constitution is probably going to save DeSantis because
- 43:55Speaker 5: it's very clear in the constitution it says you can't
- 43:58Speaker 5: jerrymander for purposes.
- 44:00Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 44:01Speaker 6: Straight, it's like very crystal clear. Maybe they'll do it anyway.
- 44:05Speaker 6: So what they're arguing here is.
- 44:06Speaker 5: If you take these cats that we just listed down
- 44:10Speaker 5: to fifty five percent, they're in trouble. We're going to overperform.
- 44:14Speaker 5: We're going to beat them. So go ahead, make our
- 44:17Speaker 5: day you feel unlucky.
- 44:19Speaker 3: So, which is also what Republicans are saying about, like
- 44:22Speaker 3: Corey Mills, right, but no, they want to keep that seat.
- 44:27Speaker 6: So I've seen it.
- 44:28Speaker 5: There were a decent number of Republicans who were like, look,
- 44:31Speaker 5: I told you that doing this Texas thing was a
- 44:34Speaker 5: bad idea. It's wrong in principle, but also the politics
- 44:39Speaker 5: is wrong. Trump has now once again started a needless
- 44:43Speaker 5: war and he's losing it. Yeah, Like it's one thing
- 44:45Speaker 5: to start a war for no reason and win it.
- 44:48Speaker 6: And went a little political gain. He's starting wars and losing.
- 44:52Speaker 3: It became a proxy for who's willing to use their
- 44:55Speaker 3: raw political power when the other side has seeming to
- 45:00Speaker 3: voters discarded with the principle. And that's understandable. I mean,
- 45:05Speaker 3: it's completely understandable. And now you have Republicans waxing sanctimonious
- 45:09Speaker 3: about how jerrymandering is antidemocratic and unprincipled. Barack Obama like
- 45:16Speaker 3: congratulated Virginia Democrats on taking a step to uphold democracy,
- 45:20Speaker 3: which is just hilarious when you look at districts like
- 45:24Speaker 3: the Arlingtonian what was it Arlington stand whoever? The great
- 45:28Speaker 3: tweeter put up? That was a great one. But it's California, Texas.
- 45:35Speaker 3: Now Florida. Jakim Jeffrey's using the quote illegal jerrymandering term
- 45:40Speaker 3: is interesting because he's defending the jerrymandering in Virginia. Florida
- 45:44Speaker 3: actually has a lot in its constitution that you can't jerrymander.
- 45:48Speaker 3: So whatever they do in Florida, they're going to have
- 45:50Speaker 3: to be really careful about for obvious reasons. Now this
- 45:53Speaker 3: could my understanding is it's possible it could go down
- 45:56Speaker 3: at the Virginia State Supreme Court shortly, but that it's
- 46:00Speaker 3: unlikely it gets rejected by the Virginia State Supreme Court,
- 46:03Speaker 3: and that Democrats have picked up probably what five seats
- 46:06Speaker 3: and then ten in California. Republicans picked up somewhere around
- 46:08Speaker 3: like seven to ten in Texas. So just absolutely duking
- 46:12Speaker 3: it out for control of the House going forward. But
- 46:16Speaker 3: I think that's what it's really become, is just this
- 46:18Speaker 3: proxy for failing the Michelle Obama test. When they go low,
- 46:24Speaker 3: we go hi. We all now, like the base as Americans,
- 46:28Speaker 3: we all want political parties, not you and I, but
- 46:31Speaker 3: everyone wants the political party to fail that test. To say,
- 46:33Speaker 3: when you go low, we punch back harder is and
- 46:36Speaker 3: that what Hakim Jeffrey said. It's funny to hear, like
- 46:40Speaker 3: to read that post in Hakim Jeffrey's voice, which is
- 46:42Speaker 3: just like impotent. But speaking of which, Ryan, we should
- 46:47Speaker 3: get this from the President pro Temporary of the Senate
- 46:50Speaker 3: of Virginia. We got to put this post up on
- 46:52Speaker 3: the screen. F four.
- 46:53Speaker 6: She's been on fire.
- 46:54Speaker 3: El Louise Lucas. I have the utmost respect for Senator
- 46:58Speaker 3: Kine and Senator Warner, but we do not need quote
- 47:01Speaker 3: coaching on redistricting coming from a cock chair in the corner.
- 47:06Speaker 3: How about you all to stay focused on the fasts
- 47:08Speaker 3: in the White House and let us handle redistricting in Virginia.
- 47:11Speaker 3: Oh to one. And if you look at Louise Lucas's
- 47:15Speaker 3: Twitter profile picture, she's an elderly woman, so it's even
- 47:20Speaker 3: funnier to hear her talking about the cock chair.
- 47:23Speaker 6: It's incredible. No, it's crazy, well done. She like you
- 47:28Speaker 6: should just scroll through her whole Twitter feed.
- 47:30Speaker 3: Is it good?
- 47:31Speaker 5: The whole thing is good. At one point I can't
- 47:33Speaker 5: find it, but she said something like, hey, look when
- 47:38Speaker 5: when Republicans jerry mannered all of the black voters into
- 47:42Speaker 5: one district, they said, we should be grateful gifting us,
- 47:45Speaker 5: you know, this representative district. She's like, we're now we're
- 47:48Speaker 5: putting all of you into one district, so thank us
- 47:52Speaker 5: for it.
- 47:52Speaker 6: You're gonna love it, see how you like it.
- 47:55Speaker 3: The other thing is, you know, you never have a
- 47:57Speaker 3: push for unilateral disarmament just an arm it's a we're
- 48:01Speaker 3: in a jerrymandering arms race. To Louise's point, we're in
- 48:05Speaker 3: a jerrymandering arms race, not.
- 48:07Speaker 6: Just in That wasn't her. I think it was though
- 48:08Speaker 6: I can't find it.
- 48:09Speaker 3: Either way, not just in Virginia but across the country,
- 48:12Speaker 3: and Ryan insisted that we put up at five. This
- 48:17Speaker 3: is a classic post on X from twenty nineteen. Brian,
- 48:22Speaker 3: why don't you go ahead and tell us what we're
- 48:23Speaker 3: seeing here?
- 48:24Speaker 5: Oh, the old reaping and sewing. That's right, it's incredible.
- 48:27Speaker 3: The quote is haha fuck yeah, yes.
- 48:30Speaker 6: Republicans in Virginia.
- 48:31Speaker 3: Oh so yeah, yeah, the tweet is me sewing ha
- 48:35Speaker 3: ha fuck yeah, yes, me reaping. Well, this fucking sucks.
- 48:39Speaker 3: What the fuck? Yeah, shout out to the golden sir,
- 48:44Speaker 3: Creaman but calm, not so great? Yeah never, but that's
- 48:50Speaker 3: the reaping and the sewing will continue until morale improves.
- 48:53Speaker 3: And morale does not seem pois to improve.
- 48:55Speaker 5: No, no, indeed, I have one other little nugget of
- 48:59Speaker 5: news to get out for people before we move on
- 49:01Speaker 5: from this one. So in if you've been following Philadelphia's
- 49:06Speaker 5: congressional race, it's an it's an open contest. We had
- 49:10Speaker 5: Chris Rap on the program, he before, before.
- 49:14Speaker 6: He before we had him on.
- 49:16Speaker 5: Since we had him on, he's picked up like endorsements
- 49:19Speaker 5: from like everybody, from like Jamie raskin justice Democrats like
- 49:24Speaker 5: so the like real progressive kind of consolidation behind him.
- 49:28Speaker 5: He's a he's the breaking Points mentum. He's endorsed by
- 49:34Speaker 5: Phillies d s A Chapter, and he's running up against
- 49:39Speaker 5: Sharif Street, who is more of the kind of establishment pick,
- 49:48Speaker 5: kind of a legacy dynasty guy with a lot of
- 49:52Speaker 5: a lot of ethical challenges, you could say. And Alice Stanford,
- 49:57Speaker 5: who is one of who was a leading candidate who
- 50:00Speaker 5: is has gotten more than a million dollars in support
- 50:03Speaker 5: from this super pac called three fourteen Action, which I
- 50:07Speaker 5: previously reported back in twenty twenty four. APAC was using
- 50:11Speaker 5: it as a shell to funnel money into some congressional campaigns.
- 50:16Speaker 5: It claims that it supports scientists and doctors, and it
- 50:20Speaker 5: does often supportces and doctors, but usually to the tune
- 50:22Speaker 5: of tens of thousands or maybe low six figures. It's
- 50:26Speaker 5: extremely rare that three fourteen Action has more than a
- 50:30Speaker 5: million dollars unless they're working with APAC. APAC is not
- 50:35Speaker 5: publicly endorsing anyone in this race because they're so toxic,
- 50:39Speaker 5: but people have suspected because of that three fourteen Action
- 50:42Speaker 5: support that Stanford is getting APAC money, and they also
- 50:46Speaker 5: then were like, oh, She's totally getting APAC money. When
- 50:48Speaker 5: she was asked why it is that she is unwilling
- 50:52Speaker 5: to say that Israel is committing a genocide in Gaza,
- 50:57Speaker 5: and she said that using the G word is similar
- 51:03Speaker 5: to using the N word, and people are like, I'm sorry, what.
- 51:08Speaker 6: So she was actually should what?
- 51:11Speaker 5: So she was asked again about this last week and
- 51:15Speaker 5: she said, there are a lot of Israelis who get
- 51:19Speaker 5: very hurt feelings when you accuse them of having of
- 51:23Speaker 5: committing genocide. So this is like her campaign line that
- 51:27Speaker 5: she's not going to say that Israel's committing and genocide
- 51:29Speaker 5: because it could hurt the feelings of the people carrying
- 51:32Speaker 5: out the genocide. So we do have some news on that.
- 51:35Speaker 5: Finally went through her went through her FEC report and
- 51:41Speaker 5: found nearly thirty thousand dollars. I think we're going to
- 51:44Speaker 5: find more if we keep looking, nearly thirty thousand dollars
- 51:47Speaker 5: of contributions that flowed through Democracy Engine. Democracy Engine is
- 51:53Speaker 5: the payment processing platform that APAC uses, and so that's
- 51:59Speaker 5: how you can now confirm al Stanford is getting a
- 52:03Speaker 5: pack money. So what they do is they'll send out
- 52:06Speaker 5: an emails to their major donors and say privately, here
- 52:10Speaker 5: are the candidates that we are supporting, please make a
- 52:13Speaker 5: contribution through this democracy Engine portal, and then sometimes on
- 52:19Speaker 5: the FEC report it shows up as having been funneled
- 52:23Speaker 5: through its Democracy Engine portal. And so thankfully in her
- 52:28Speaker 5: latest report we can see a little over twenty seven
- 52:32Speaker 5: thousand dollars having run through a democracy engine and from
- 52:36Speaker 5: candidates who are who have in the past given huge
- 52:42Speaker 5: amounts of money to Apack and to a pack super.
- 52:46Speaker 5: So case closed, it's done. She's getting a PAC money,
- 52:51Speaker 5: she said in her recent town hall where she was
- 52:55Speaker 5: where she's made this comment about Israeli's hurt feelings that
- 52:58Speaker 5: she's not getting any APAC money. So that's a lie.
- 53:01Speaker 5: She is getting a PAC money.
- 53:03Speaker 3: Good stuff for him.
- 53:04Speaker 5: Yeah, well, so we'll so this is it's going to
- 53:07Speaker 5: be an interesting race and we'll see if Philly elphin
- 53:09Speaker 5: Choir actually shocked shocked the world by endorsing Chris Rap
- 53:13Speaker 5: that's because that's like that's they're not known interests, like
- 53:17Speaker 5: a kind of progressive leaning.
- 53:19Speaker 6: But anyway, we'll see how that race goes.
- 53:21Speaker 3: Well, that doesn't for us. On today's edition, of Breaking Points.
- 53:24Speaker 3: Thank you so much. If you want a premium subscription,
- 53:27Speaker 3: breakingpoints dot com is where you can go to support
- 53:29Speaker 3: our independent journalism, help us keep going, and you get well. Actually,
- 53:35Speaker 3: Ryan has declared the Friday show is totally free, so
- 53:37Speaker 3: but you do get the show every morning in your
- 53:38Speaker 3: inbox in full, which is really how it's meant to be.
- 53:41Speaker 6: If you pay, you also get it free.
- 53:43Speaker 3: There you go. Uh yes, Ryan. Also, we wanted to
- 53:47Speaker 3: mention if you find yourself in the area or you
- 53:51Speaker 3: want to travel Michael Parenti, his memorial is coming up.
- 53:55Speaker 3: You can go to event create dot com. That is
- 53:58Speaker 3: where it's in Berkeley.
- 54:00Speaker 6: Yes, it's in Berkeley.
- 54:01Speaker 5: Do we have the precise details? April twenty fifth.
- 54:06Speaker 3: Unitarian Universalist Church of Berkeley.
- 54:08Speaker 5: Yes, so check that out two to three pm at
- 54:14Speaker 5: the Unitarian Universal Church Saturday, April twenty fifth. If you're
- 54:18Speaker 5: in the Bay area, a memorial for Michael Parenti.
- 54:22Speaker 3: All right, we'll see you.