Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Economic D-Day | U.S. Treasury Pump vs Crypto Marketš„
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right, guys, so as you can see there, if
- 0:02Speaker 1: you had a chance to check in on that, first
- 0:04Speaker 1: of all, sorry for the technical difficulties on what they
- 0:07Speaker 1: were running into with the live stream coming in from
- 0:10Speaker 1: Scott Besson.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Of course, Besson.
- 0:13Speaker 1: Appeared to be a little bit shaken by the questions,
- 0:17Speaker 1: but more importantly, by his presentation.
- 0:18Speaker 2: Sometimes he is that way.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I've noticed that when he gets upset, and that is
- 0:23Speaker 1: the case right now, and that is economic sanctions coming
- 0:26Speaker 1: in on a heavy way To the IRCG, of course,
- 0:30Speaker 1: you have Donald Trump coming out there.
- 0:32Speaker 2: Iran is completely collapsing.
- 0:34Speaker 1: And of course, this was most likely a foreshadow to
- 0:37Speaker 1: what Besson is going to be announcing. Now, there are
- 0:40Speaker 1: some key things here. And I think that the banking
- 0:43Speaker 1: industry may be one of the areas where they put
- 0:45Speaker 1: a lot of pressure on.
- 0:46Speaker 2: There were several people that were in the.
- 0:49Speaker 1: Meeting there that were asking essentially what countries would be
- 0:52Speaker 1: lined up on this. There's a handful of countries that
- 0:56Speaker 1: really do have significant banking relations with Iran, China being.
- 1:00Speaker 2: One of the leaders out there, Russia, of course, the UAE.
- 1:03Speaker 1: And he mentioned that the UAE was actually one that
- 1:07Speaker 1: is already responding to this. So that may be something
- 1:10Speaker 1: that starts to play into this. You've got two major banks,
- 1:13Speaker 1: which is Bank Mali and also Sadarat. These are Iranian
- 1:17Speaker 1: banks that are utilized really globally to help transact a
- 1:21Speaker 1: lot of their economic structure.
- 1:23Speaker 2: And of course, Turkey is also involved.
- 1:25Speaker 1: Germany is involved, Iraq, Venezuela, most likely they have control there, Syria,
- 1:30Speaker 1: and then.
- 1:31Speaker 2: Armenia and Oman. Oman has already been targeted.
- 1:35Speaker 1: I shouldn't say targeted, but I should say addressed by
- 1:38Speaker 1: the Trump administration.
- 1:40Speaker 2: So there's a.
- 1:40Speaker 1: Lot going on right now behind the scenes. They did indicate, though,
- 1:45Speaker 1: that this is something that most likely would be coming
- 1:48Speaker 1: down the pipe. Now, they also asked the question of
- 1:52Speaker 1: how they were going to deal with what's happening in
- 1:54Speaker 1: the bond market. And of course, Besant set up a
- 1:58Speaker 1: very good statement, and that is they haven't bought a
- 2:01Speaker 1: bond yet.
- 2:02Speaker 2: And September 9th is the key date in which this
- 2:04Speaker 2: would occur.
- 2:05Speaker 1: So this would potentially unleash a $ 1 trillion war chest
- 2:11Speaker 1: to try to rescue the bond market.
- 2:12Speaker 2: That would be 250x.
- 2:14Speaker 1: If they deployed that, it doesn't mean they would deploy
- 2:16Speaker 1: $ 1 trillion.
- 2:17Speaker 2: It could mean a couple hundred million.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Who knows where the stopgap would be because the bond
- 2:22Speaker 1: market itself not necessarily responding to what even the secretary
- 2:27Speaker 1: is talking about here right now. So it's still wide
- 2:31Speaker 1: open in terms of the impact on the market in general.
- 2:33Speaker 1: I think the bigger point that we'll need to watch
- 2:36Speaker 1: is what is going to be happening with oil. Let
- 2:39Speaker 1: me go to the oil chart right here, because this
- 2:40Speaker 1: is on a five-minute chart. Since the meeting just a
- 2:44Speaker 1: few minutes ago, oil was trading at around $ 85. It's
- 2:46Speaker 1: down to $ 84. 80 right now. Does this mean that we
- 2:51Speaker 1: could see pressures starting to mount in the oil-related stocks.
- 2:56Speaker 1: And of course, this will get into just oil in
- 2:58Speaker 1: general as it starts to near. There's some very interesting
- 3:02Speaker 1: timing here because you look at what's happening with the midterms,
- 3:07Speaker 1: what's going on with Iran, which apparently had been pretty
- 3:09Speaker 1: much at a standstill. I think that is what initiated
- 3:12Speaker 1: this initial economic outcast project coming out of the Treasury
- 3:18Speaker 1: to try to deal with what's actually happening in Iran
- 3:22Speaker 1: right now. And of course, that is all pushing market
- 3:25Speaker 1: in general. I don't know if the bond market will
- 3:28Speaker 1: have much of an impact in terms of whether or
- 3:31Speaker 1: not the economic sanctions could actually have an impact around
- 3:34Speaker 1: what we will see not only in the United States economy,
- 3:37Speaker 1: maybe in some of these other countries out there. Now,
- 3:39Speaker 1: I want to go to a clip real quick because
- 3:41Speaker 1: this will get into a little bit more detail. And
- 3:44Speaker 1: the first clip I want to play is the one
- 3:46Speaker 1: that is, it's got Mark Cudmore, and it's in reference
- 3:49Speaker 1: to how will Besant and Warsh kind of work this out.
- 3:53Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 3:55Speaker 3: I don't expect Warsh to deliver much of relevance. So,
- 3:59Speaker 3: you know, yes, Fed chairs have gone off script to
- 4:02Speaker 3: kind of make policy measures, but that would be completely
- 4:05Speaker 3: antithetical to what, you know, Kevin Warsh said he plans
- 4:08Speaker 3: to do. So it'd be very strange if he mentions yields.
- 4:12Speaker 3: that'll have a big impact, but it'll also show a
- 4:14Speaker 3: little bit of panic and kind of going, oh my God,
- 4:17Speaker 3: even Warsh is giving up with the idea and not
- 4:18Speaker 3: controlling the kind of market. Like supposedly the narrative right
- 4:22Speaker 3: now is Warsh is saying, let the market do it
- 4:24Speaker 3: at once. And Besant's going, no, no, no, no, we've
- 4:26Speaker 3: got to control the market. And now if Warsh goes, oh, actually, sorry,
- 4:29Speaker 3: we do have to control the market, that would be
- 4:31Speaker 3: a big impact in markets, but I'm not expecting it.
- 4:35Speaker 2: All right.
- 4:35Speaker 1: So you can kind of see Besant Obviously, this was
- 4:38Speaker 1: being announced. I'm sure the Fed was fully briefed on this.
- 4:42Speaker 1: You've got the situation right now with the Fed that's
- 4:45Speaker 1: going to be speaking later this week. How they address
- 4:48Speaker 1: this right here may actually start to give some direction
- 4:52Speaker 1: in terms of how the Fed is going to react. Remember,
- 4:54Speaker 1: Bitcoin has been continuing to move just on the U.S. Treasury,
- 4:59Speaker 1: signaling that they might do this buyback. And of course,
- 5:02Speaker 1: that's the question right now. It's hovering around 78,000 right
- 5:05Speaker 1: now as we're recording. but actually closing in on 80,000
- 5:09Speaker 1: earlier this morning. So still a lot of activity in
- 5:12Speaker 1: the markets. Now, some other things that are very interesting
- 5:15Speaker 1: because you could be looking at a new entry on
- 5:17Speaker 1: a cycle. And this is something that Matt Hogan is
- 5:20Speaker 1: talking about. And the thing that makes this rally interesting
- 5:23Speaker 1: to me is that most of the buyers are playing
- 5:26Speaker 1: the cycle. That is, they're thinking about a three-plus year investment,
- 5:30Speaker 1: not a three-day trade. And I'm kind of curious, are
- 5:32Speaker 1: you guys looking at the cycle right now with this
- 5:35Speaker 1: most recent pump? both in Bitcoin and some of the altcoins,
- 5:39Speaker 1: is this something, whether you're buying gold, could be any
- 5:41Speaker 1: of those assets, is this something that you're looking at
- 5:44Speaker 1: long term?
- 5:45Speaker 2: And has this marked the bottom for you?
- 5:48Speaker 1: And do you think that we are in a position
- 5:50Speaker 1: for the beginning of a bull run? Just let me know,
- 5:52Speaker 1: bull run down in the comments to kind of get
- 5:55Speaker 1: a feed on where you guys are heading. Balsunis came
- 5:58Speaker 1: in and simply said Bitcoin ETFs just took about $ 2.
- 6:01Speaker 2: Billion last week. This is their best week.
- 6:04Speaker 1: Since the good old days of October, 2025, and the
- 6:08Speaker 1: price is up from 64 to 77. So clear signals
- 6:12Speaker 1: here that the market sees what's happening at least right
- 6:16Speaker 1: now in the market.
- 6:17Speaker 2: As a good thing.
- 6:18Speaker 1: Now, how does it react to what Besant's remarks were
- 6:21Speaker 1: around the kind of sanctions that would be pushed?
- 6:24Speaker 2: Now, granted, this is Iran, we get that.
- 6:27Speaker 1: I think there are a certain layer of countries that
- 6:32Speaker 1: could get impacted on this that could actually start to
- 6:35Speaker 1: have a trickle effect. And even Besant said it himself
- 6:39Speaker 1: is that they're giving them a little bit of runway
- 6:41Speaker 1: to get things corrected in reference to how these sanctions
- 6:44Speaker 1: are going to be implemented. So this may have some
- 6:46Speaker 1: spillover effect into the market. So be on the lookout
- 6:49Speaker 1: for that. On the other hand, you've got no Bitcoin
- 6:53Speaker 1: being purchased right now by MicroStrategy, basically piling $ 1. 9 billion
- 6:59Speaker 1: into its dollar reserve instead.
- 7:00Speaker 2: So This was a.
- 7:02Speaker 1: Bit concerning compared to what we have also seen coming
- 7:06Speaker 1: out of the markets on the Ethereum side of things.
- 7:08Speaker 2: And I'll play that in a second. But I want
- 7:10Speaker 2: to go to a.
- 7:10Speaker 1: Clip here because this is where Tom Lee kind of
- 7:13Speaker 1: leads up with what BMNP is doing versus Stretch.
- 7:19Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 7:20Speaker 4: Um, one lesson that we've learned, at least what I
- 7:23Speaker 4: think we've done, we've learned with strategy and sailor is
- 7:25Speaker 4: that he got really aggressive with the total size of stretch.
- 7:30Speaker 4: I think the preferred makes a lot of sense for
- 7:32Speaker 4: us to issue the yield. Um, at nine and a
- 7:35Speaker 4: half percent is about 30 million a year in dividends,
- 7:40Speaker 4: 35 million a year in dividends. Um, And our annual
- 7:44Speaker 4: staking rewards are going to be close to $ 300 million
- 7:47Speaker 4: at the current price of ETH. So to us, we
- 7:49Speaker 4: can easily afford to have that. We're buying a three-year
- 7:52Speaker 4: call option using BM & P because we're not using
- 7:56Speaker 4: our equity, but we're buying the ETH. That's the equivalent
- 7:59Speaker 4: of a call option, and it's costing us 9.5% a year.
- 8:03Speaker 4: So it's a really cheap call option to acquire ETH.
- 8:08Speaker 4: If someone did that with Bitcoin, it's the same concept.
- 8:10Speaker 4: But one difference, of course, is that because the ETH
- 8:13Speaker 4: we own is generating a yield, if ETH prices triple,
- 8:17Speaker 4: the yield will exceed the dividend requirements of the underlying preferred.
- 8:23Speaker 4: So to us, it's kind of like a really attractive
- 8:26Speaker 4: way to increase the Ethereum per common share. All right.
- 8:31Speaker 1: So a few things that he's hitting on there with
- 8:35Speaker 1: Tom Lee is that They're driving so much profitability on
- 8:39Speaker 1: the yield side that we could see some different tactics
- 8:42Speaker 1: coming out.
- 8:43Speaker 2: Of BM & R.
- 8:44Speaker 1: And I just wonder, when you look at where Ethereum
- 8:47Speaker 1: is right now, and many people would say, well, I
- 8:49Speaker 1: might play the BM & R trade or I would
- 8:51Speaker 1: play maybe the ETH trade right here. And we are
- 8:55Speaker 1: at an inflection point on Ethereum. And remember, the market
- 8:58Speaker 1: is somewhat running on yields right now. If you kind
- 9:01Speaker 1: of consider what's happening with Ethereum, do we see a
- 9:04Speaker 1: breakout on this? If you look at that along with
- 9:06Speaker 1: some other assets that, of course, performed well, I think
- 9:09Speaker 1: the key here will be how much in terms of
- 9:12Speaker 1: the Treasury do they deploy to deal with.
- 9:15Speaker 2: The bond issue.
- 9:16Speaker 1: Bitmine ended up buying another $ 32, 000 in ETH last week.
- 9:20Speaker 1: This is bringing its total holdings to $ 5.
- 9:23Speaker 2: 85 million in ETH alone.
- 9:26Speaker 1: That is huge, guys, in terms of Ethereum. And Tom
- 9:29Speaker 1: went further into this because he's now indicating that maybe
- 9:34Speaker 1: more than 5% is in the cards.
- 9:35Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 9:36Speaker 4: The Clarity Act passed. I think we would have probably
- 9:41Speaker 4: accelerated our timeline to get to 5%. But now with
- 9:44Speaker 4: the Clarity Act, which isn't really entirely negative for crypto,
- 9:47Speaker 4: but it does push out some things that people were
- 9:51Speaker 4: hoping would take place. If that's in September, you know,
- 9:54Speaker 4: we'd probably rethink in September the pace of our Ethereum buys.
- 9:59Speaker 4: And as for like, should we be more than 5%,
- 10:02Speaker 4: I think it's today, given the re sort of casting
- 10:09Speaker 4: of the foundation's role, these new entities that have been
- 10:12Speaker 4: stood up are really doing a lot of the work
- 10:16Speaker 4: Improving privacy or really bringing enterprise engagement. And if that's
- 10:21Speaker 4: the case, then I think for us to own more
- 10:23Speaker 4: than 5% would make a lot of sense. But again,
- 10:28Speaker 4: I think that's probably something we're going to rethink in 2027.
- 10:30Speaker 4: Something to consider or is that just completely off the table?
- 10:33Speaker 4: From a cash management perspective, it's not necessary. At 5%,
- 10:38Speaker 4: if we're at 5% and then we're still stacking ETH
- 10:42Speaker 4: through yield, there is maybe a scenario where we're just
- 10:45Speaker 4: going to not... not want to go over 5% so
- 10:49Speaker 4: we would sell the rewards that we're receiving.
- 10:51Speaker 2: That's a possibility. All right.
- 10:55Speaker 1: So this would be a big deal if we start
- 10:57Speaker 1: to see an issue where the Ethereum bull market could
- 11:02Speaker 1: be an absolutely huge.
- 11:04Speaker 2: Scenario that plays out for BM & R investors.
- 11:07Speaker 1: And Lee goes on in another clip I'll show you
- 11:09Speaker 1: in a second where he kind of gets into that,
- 11:11Speaker 1: but he talks further into the issue around the narrative.
- 11:15Speaker 1: Because this is something that I think, of course, sets
- 11:17Speaker 1: into how sentiment plays out in the market. And that
- 11:20Speaker 1: is built on narratives, how these different assets kind of
- 11:23Speaker 1: play off of that. And he stated that this is
- 11:25Speaker 1: essentially going to disappear, meaning the narrative, when the bull
- 11:29Speaker 1: market starts.
- 11:29Speaker 2: And if that is where we are right now, well,
- 11:33Speaker 2: take a look.
- 11:35Speaker 4: If you truly believe that you want to be long Ethereum,
- 11:40Speaker 4: but you don't want to own ETH, then what do
- 11:45Speaker 4: you want to be? Do you want to become a
- 11:47Speaker 4: servicing company? Do you want to be trying to maximize MEV?
- 11:53Speaker 4: Do you want to try to consolidate all the nodes
- 11:56Speaker 4: or the validators? What would you try to do? Would
- 12:00Speaker 4: you try to buy up all of the Ethereum development
- 12:05Speaker 4: talent out there? You wouldn't end up with anything because
- 12:10Speaker 4: at the end of the day, and I'm going to
- 12:15Speaker 4: guarantee this, that narrative is going to disappear the minute
- 12:19Speaker 4: the crypto bull market starts and Ethereum starts going up.
- 12:22Speaker 4: I think this is all bear market conversation, in my opinion.
- 12:26Speaker 2: All right.
- 12:28Speaker 1: So you can kind of see that's the point is
- 12:31Speaker 1: we are maybe at an inflection point, I think, in
- 12:34Speaker 1: the market. And that is The potential here for us
- 12:38Speaker 1: to see a big correction, there's a lot of things
- 12:40Speaker 1: working right now. You look at the macro element that
- 12:42Speaker 1: has now just been injected into what Scott Besant said,
- 12:46Speaker 1: and the pressures this may roll over into a lot
- 12:49Speaker 1: of other countries and banks that could affect economic conditions
- 12:53Speaker 1: even here in the US. We just don't know yet
- 12:55Speaker 1: how that is gonna actually play out. And again, this
- 12:57Speaker 1: is the Trump administration, so sometimes there's a lot of
- 13:00Speaker 1: talk and no actual function behind it, and.
- 13:04Speaker 2: A lot of promises.
- 13:06Speaker 1: But Lee went in to say something I thought was
- 13:09Speaker 1: kind of striking, and that is in reference to BM
- 13:11Speaker 1: & R. Because this is one exposure that some investors
- 13:14Speaker 1: out there, if they don't necessarily want exposure to ETH.
- 13:17Speaker 2: Might take.
- 13:18Speaker 1: And here's what he said about those kinds of gains.
- 13:21Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 13:23Speaker 4: So, you know, should ETH flip Bitcoin? I think it's
- 13:27Speaker 4: a very plausible argument. So, you know, that's, you know, 15,000 ETH, roughly.
- 13:33Speaker 4: So in rough terms, that's a 10x for Bitmine shareholders
- 13:37Speaker 4: from here. So it's 180 a share. But shouldn't Bitcoin
- 13:42Speaker 4: go up a lot? And shouldn't the TAM of tokenization
- 13:46Speaker 4: and AI mean Ethereum's network value should be much, much higher?
- 13:50Speaker 4: I think so. So then where does ETH cap? 50,000
- 13:53Speaker 4: or 100,000 or 200,000? I mean, the returns to our
- 13:57Speaker 4: shareholders are going to be legendary.
- 14:01Speaker 1: All right, guys, legendary would be the understatement if ETH
- 14:05Speaker 1: goes to 100K or 200K, what he's talking about there.
- 14:09Speaker 1: You look at some other assets out there in the
- 14:12Speaker 1: market right now, what else could take advantage of where
- 14:15Speaker 1: this might be heading at this point in time? If
- 14:18Speaker 1: you think about what Hogan is talking about with Bitwise,
- 14:21Speaker 1: you look at the structure of how this market somehow
- 14:24Speaker 1: corrected Right before Clarity showing that crypto maybe doesn't necessarily
- 14:30Speaker 1: need Clarity or does it?
- 14:31Speaker 2: That's a big question.
- 14:32Speaker 1: Well, Solana would be one of the other assets that
- 14:35Speaker 1: you'd have to take a close look at. Now, Solana is,
- 14:38Speaker 1: I won't say Solana, but specific entities around it, meaning Phantom,
- 14:43Speaker 1: is now ending its SWE support on September 24. This
- 14:46Speaker 1: is 20 months after it added SWE's TBL. of course,
- 14:49Speaker 1: dropped dramatically. And this is an issue, I think, that
- 14:52Speaker 1: starts to focus on Solana because they are getting some
- 14:55Speaker 1: other market competition that is starting to put a little pressure.
- 15:00Speaker 1: The next step for Sol, most likely, and Phantom is
- 15:03Speaker 1: probably going to end up being perps. I think all
- 15:05Speaker 1: of this is going to be good for Solana in general.
- 15:08Speaker 1: Does it outperform Ethereum? It's very possible that it could. It,
- 15:12Speaker 1: of course, starting to head up to around $ 100. Let
- 15:14Speaker 1: me go to the Sol chart real quick. $ 95 holding
- 15:17Speaker 1: right now. I'm on the Let me go over here
- 15:20Speaker 1: to the daily just to give you guys kind of
- 15:22Speaker 1: a look at something because one thing that we have
- 15:25Speaker 1: seen with Solana has been these really four green candles
- 15:28Speaker 1: really starting to set the basis on this. The real
- 15:32Speaker 1: question is can Solana break the $ 100 mark? And if
- 15:35Speaker 1: it does, if we do start to see that kind
- 15:37Speaker 1: of indicator, maybe Sol is coiling up in a similar
- 15:42Speaker 1: way to what ETH is doing.
- 15:44Speaker 2: All right, so let's take.
- 15:45Speaker 1: A look at some other things because the other issues that,
- 15:47Speaker 1: of course, play into all of this is what's happening
- 15:50Speaker 1: with clarity. And clarity gets an absolute dump this morning.
- 15:54Speaker 1: We start to see a drop of what was at
- 15:57Speaker 1: around 25%, now falling dramatically. It had fallen all the
- 16:01Speaker 1: way to 14%, slightly up over this morning.
- 16:06Speaker 2: That is just today. So is there something brewing right now?
- 16:10Speaker 1: Because remember, a lot of this conversation is still being
- 16:12Speaker 1: negotiated in And this is in the wake of what
- 16:16Speaker 1: Chair Seelig said last week with the CFTC, which was simply,
- 16:20Speaker 1: if Congress doesn't get this done, we're going to do
- 16:23Speaker 1: the job for them. This was a huge statement, I think,
- 16:26Speaker 1: in general to Congress. But more importantly, I think it
- 16:27Speaker 1: was a huge statement to crypto. Now, this is kind
- 16:32Speaker 1: of an interesting take by Arthur Hayes, because there are
- 16:35Speaker 1: a lot of people that are looking at Clarity now
- 16:38Speaker 1: and maybe in certain ways saying, I don't think it's
- 16:41Speaker 1: going to matter as much, at least at what we're
- 16:43Speaker 1: hearing now from the bureaucrats of lawmaking.
- 16:47Speaker 2: Take a look at what Arthur Hayes said.
- 16:49Speaker 5: The Clarity Act for crypto. How significant is it?
- 16:52Speaker 2: Unsignificant. Doesn't matter.
- 16:54Speaker 6: Who cares? Regulation that gives you some sort of moat
- 16:58Speaker 6: so you can attempt to block your customers from doing
- 17:00Speaker 6: things because you spent more money on lawyers than they did.
- 17:02Speaker 2: I get it 100%.
- 17:04Speaker 6: That's not the type of investing that I do in crypto.
- 17:07Speaker 2: I'd rather just buy a stock.
- 17:08Speaker 6: I think the Clarity Act is a terrible thing for
- 17:10Speaker 6: US crypto, for actual creativity, for actual builders building things
- 17:14Speaker 6: that are useful, that have product market fit. Bitcoin didn't
- 17:18Speaker 6: need the Clarity Act from 2009 until the present. It
- 17:21Speaker 6: doesn't need it until the future.
- 17:22Speaker 5: It'll undoubtedly boost Ethereum. Stablecoins around Ethereum. Genius.
- 17:28Speaker 6: Maybe, I.
- 17:30Speaker 5: Don't know. The American government and market unquestionably boosted AI.
- 17:38Speaker 5: Their finger is on the button. They're telling money to
- 17:41Speaker 5: come into AI.
- 17:42Speaker 6: Did the Department of Defense or the U.S. Treasury buy
- 17:45Speaker 6: any equity stake in Circle? Because they were buying equity
- 17:48Speaker 6: stakes in rare earth miners. They're buying equity stakes in
- 17:50Speaker 6: Intel and IBM and all these other companies. Where is
- 17:54Speaker 6: the government bailout for crypto equities?
- 17:57Speaker 5: If Donald Trump is watching right now, what's your message
- 18:00Speaker 5: to him regarding the Clarity Act?
- 18:02Speaker 3: Veto.
- 18:05Speaker 1: All right, so a couple of points there to kind
- 18:06Speaker 1: of hit at. One is remember that the U.S. government,
- 18:10Speaker 1: in essence, has bought into this in reality. If you
- 18:13Speaker 1: just think of World Liberty Fi, you also look at Tether,
- 18:16Speaker 1: what's happening now. Remember Cantor Fitzgerald, 5% of Tether right now,
- 18:20Speaker 1: holding a ridiculous amount of treasuries in there as well.
- 18:23Speaker 1: So there is already significant buy-in, I think, from the U.S.
- 18:27Speaker 6: Government.
- 18:27Speaker 1: And of course, all of this boils down to how
- 18:30Speaker 1: does this trace out out of Iran because Iran is
- 18:33Speaker 1: one of the macro linchpins that really could start to
- 18:37Speaker 1: set the market on fire. Timing here is very critical.
- 18:40Speaker 1: The key things to watch to see if this is
- 18:43Speaker 1: a bottom is the economic destruction that may take place
- 18:49Speaker 1: in the coming days or weeks. Now, either this sanction
- 18:52Speaker 1: move by Besant is going to be a nothing burger
- 18:56Speaker 1: or it's going to have some real impact based on
- 18:59Speaker 1: some of these major countries. And many of them, including Germany,
- 19:02Speaker 1: is involved in this. Turkey's involved in this. There's a
- 19:05Speaker 1: handful of countries that could have some severe issues around
- 19:09Speaker 1: not only the U.S. economic framework of being able to
- 19:14Speaker 1: essentially do business with us, but this could start to
- 19:16Speaker 1: create a little bit of a cascade. And that's the concern,
- 19:19Speaker 1: I think, that maybe is going to roll out of this. Now,
- 19:22Speaker 1: we'll see how the market responds to what Besson's words were.
- 19:26Speaker 1: And I think the bigger thing is how does Besson
- 19:30Speaker 1: and the White House respond to the responses they're getting
- 19:34Speaker 1: from overseas now, especially many of these countries who essentially
- 19:37Speaker 1: are going to have to shut down what's happening with
- 19:41Speaker 1: Iran and the IRCG. And there is a lot of
- 19:44Speaker 1: things happening this week. It's going to be a busy
- 19:46Speaker 1: week here on the network. So make sure if you
- 19:48Speaker 1: guys have not subscribed, do that. as well. And of course,
- 19:52Speaker 1: drop some comments down below. I know there were some
- 19:54Speaker 1: of you guys asking about whether or not the market
- 19:57Speaker 1: has bottomed just yet. I think there's two factors that
- 20:00Speaker 1: play into this. The look of what we're seeing, if
- 20:03Speaker 1: you just go into Bitcoin overall on the daily, And
- 20:07Speaker 1: you can kind of see some of the things that
- 20:09Speaker 1: we've been talking.
- 20:09Speaker 2: About for a while.
- 20:11Speaker 1: We've had a couple of traders here that have started
- 20:14Speaker 1: to look at this upswing really from the last time
- 20:16Speaker 1: that we saw Bitcoin at around 60K.
- 20:19Speaker 2: You have to look at this market.
- 20:21Speaker 1: And the length in which we're starting to see activity
- 20:24Speaker 1: on an economic forefront. And if there is a downside,
- 20:29Speaker 1: meaning if you just think if we're on the other
- 20:31Speaker 1: side of the hill for what could happen in Iran,
- 20:34Speaker 1: meaning getting out of here, and or at least some
- 20:37Speaker 1: way getting a deal with them, whether it comes through
- 20:40Speaker 1: this economic outcast project or not, it only means one thing,
- 20:45Speaker 1: and that is a potential upside into the market. Economic pressure,
- 20:50Speaker 1: I think the Fed statement later this week will most
- 20:52Speaker 1: likely give you a little bit of indicator as to
- 20:55Speaker 1: how this market could be playing out. So two things
- 20:58Speaker 1: are going to happen. Either you're going to get more
- 21:00Speaker 1: macroeconomic impact, meaning something crazy, is going to happen. Could
- 21:04Speaker 1: we see a black swan event start to, but that
- 21:07Speaker 1: would be the only thing I think that would push
- 21:09Speaker 1: us below a 60 K Bitcoin. Other than that, it
- 21:13Speaker 1: looks as though this market has bottomed. And that is
- 21:16Speaker 1: the key thing to watch for right now.
- 21:18Speaker 2: So a lot of things happening.
- 21:20Speaker 1: Uh, we've got several interviews this week that hopefully will
- 21:22Speaker 1: outline maybe where this is going from here.
- 21:26Speaker 2: So make sure and stay tuned. We'll see you guys soon.