Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / NFL Week 1 & CFB Week 2 Lookahead, MLB Sharp Action, Parlay & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: NFL week one right in front of us. Games tomorrow, Thursday, Sunday.
- 0:05Speaker 1: College football underway. Baseball in full swing. The wild card
- 0:09Speaker 1: race is sexy. Let's get to it. I'm Lawrence Presman.
- 0:13Speaker 1: You're watching the best betting show ever. Joe Ranieri, Art
- 0:16Speaker 1: the Caesar. We're here to make you money. Guys, let's
- 0:21Speaker 1: start right off the bat with how did the books
- 0:23Speaker 1: do last night? We had a push or maybe a
- 0:26Speaker 1: win with Florida State. And baseball, Art DeCesar?
- 0:32Speaker 2: Well, yeah, you look at a game like that and
- 0:34Speaker 2: three is going to be your worst outcome. You know,
- 0:37Speaker 2: when things were sitting three and a half, three, so
- 0:40Speaker 2: obviously the three and a half wins, you push. And
- 0:43Speaker 2: then even when there were spots where the thing dipped
- 0:46Speaker 2: or people bought half a point, SMU winning by three
- 0:48Speaker 2: is the worst result for a sports book.
- 0:51Speaker 3: Oh, hell yeah, especially there were three and a halves
- 0:53Speaker 3: out there for a while.
- 0:56Speaker 2: Everybody wins.
- 0:57Speaker 3: Everybody.
- 0:58Speaker 4: Yeah, that's not a good situation, which is fine. It's
- 1:01Speaker 4: also not a great situation for Norvell either, who between
- 1:05Speaker 4: him and Shiano, one of them is losing their job
- 1:08Speaker 4: sooner rather than later. It's either going to be Rutgers
- 1:11Speaker 4: or Florida State in that market.
- 1:12Speaker 3: That's for sure.
- 1:14Speaker 1: Well, I got to tell you, I mean, we need
- 1:15Speaker 1: to take away to a degree. Florida State is awful.
- 1:20Speaker 1: I mean, awful. Their offense was anemic. They were basically
- 1:26Speaker 1: running a run, not option. Just run. That was their play.
- 1:31Speaker 1: It was like, we're going to run a run option,
- 1:34Speaker 1: but we're going to hold off on the option. It
- 1:39Speaker 1: was ugly, and I understand SMU coming in 19th in
- 1:43Speaker 1: the country, but They might end up 40th when all's
- 1:48Speaker 1: said and done. Florida State looks just horrible. I had them.
- 1:53Speaker 1: I pushed for my clients. We had them in our
- 1:55Speaker 1: college football pick-em contest. We started four and three. But yeah,
- 2:01Speaker 1: that was, so what's the takeaway here, guys? Are we
- 2:04Speaker 1: looking to bet against Florida State? I also thought SMU
- 2:08Speaker 1: didn't look very good either, just for the record. And
- 2:11Speaker 1: it feels like Florida State might go under all year.
- 2:16Speaker 4: Listen, they run the ball very well, but that's all
- 2:19Speaker 4: they do. They're passing games. They went 2 of 15
- 2:22Speaker 4: on third down. 2 of 15 they went. At home,
- 2:26Speaker 4: what are they going to do against Alabama next game?
- 2:29Speaker 3: Yeah, not good.
- 2:30Speaker 4: SMU is good. The problem with Jennings is the same
- 2:32Speaker 4: problem he had last year. Very talented, athletic, but there
- 2:37Speaker 4: are going to be moments in games where you're going, dude,
- 2:40Speaker 4: what in the hell were you looking at? And exactly
- 2:43Speaker 4: what he did a year ago. But that kid can ball,
- 2:45Speaker 4: make no mistake about it. They are going to score
- 2:47Speaker 4: some points this year.
- 2:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they won that game despite, what, four
- 2:52Speaker 2: turnovers on the road?
- 2:54Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 2:54Speaker 2: And it was a wonky game. I mean, what was it,
- 2:56Speaker 2: like a three-hour delay? I mean... Yeah. Listen, for SMU
- 3:00Speaker 2: to get out of there with a win, and they
- 3:02Speaker 2: should win that game, good for them. But you're right.
- 3:05Speaker 2: Jennings is... His turnovers are a problem. Oof.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Lots of show to watch, guys. Hit the Like button.
- 3:12Speaker 1: Subscribe to our channel. Make sure to comment. We will
- 3:14Speaker 1: be reading the mailbag section every day. We'll go... Through
- 3:18Speaker 1: it tomorrow, what we're going to do today, we got
- 3:20Speaker 1: some sharp bets coming your way. Obviously, our parlay of
- 3:23Speaker 1: the day. a little focus on baseball, our predictive markets.
- 3:28Speaker 1: We're going to give you guys a quick look ahead
- 3:30Speaker 1: at week two in college football and NFL week one.
- 3:34Speaker 1: Each of us are going to give you our best
- 3:37Speaker 1: total that we see now. So one total each later
- 3:41Speaker 1: on in the show, Joe will end with his MLB rundown. Okay,
- 3:45Speaker 1: our chart bets today, a full slate of baseball. We're
- 3:48Speaker 1: right in the thick of things. The wildcard race is
- 3:52Speaker 1: really grooving. I mean, AL East, you got Toronto one back,
- 3:56Speaker 1: Texas one and a half. As predicted by the press,
- 4:00Speaker 1: Baltimore and Minnesota falling out, and we've got a wildcard
- 4:04Speaker 1: race between San Diego and Arizona in the NL. So
- 4:09Speaker 1: fill us in on where the bets are going.
- 4:11Speaker 2: By the way, brutal loss by your Blue Jays last night.
- 4:14Speaker 3: Oh, yeah.
- 4:16Speaker 2: Cease was awful. They come back, and then they blow
- 4:18Speaker 2: it in the night. That's a tough way to lose.
- 4:20Speaker 2: Two sides they like in baseball today for sharp sides.
- 4:23Speaker 2: They're on the Marlins again, even though it was not
- 4:26Speaker 2: good for them yesterday because they got blown out by
- 4:28Speaker 2: the Mets, and they're on the Guardians. So those are
- 4:30Speaker 2: your two sharp MLB sides.
- 4:33Speaker 1: Boo to the Guardians. I'd like to see them lose,
- 4:36Speaker 1: but I understand, and they're coming off of a loss
- 4:39Speaker 1: themselves and haven't been playing decent baseball of late. Joe,
- 4:43Speaker 1: let's get to our parlay of the day. You want
- 4:46Speaker 1: to go first, dude?
- 4:47Speaker 3: Sure.
- 4:48Speaker 4: Major League Baseball. Welcome back, Corbin Burns. I'll take the Royals.
- 4:54Speaker 1: Art, I'm going to take Toronto, dude. I know it's
- 4:56Speaker 1: a huge number. I get it. Minus 175, but we're
- 5:00Speaker 1: doing it in a parlay. I wouldn't take it. If
- 5:03Speaker 1: I were to bet Toronto, I would bet them on.
- 5:07Speaker 3: The run line.
- 5:07Speaker 1: But yeah, Toronto minus 175 for me.
- 5:12Speaker 2: Yeah, in a parlay, it makes a lot of sense.
- 5:14Speaker 2: I'm going to go with the Red Sox at home.
- 5:16Speaker 3: There we go.
- 5:17Speaker 1: Boston against L.A. That is our parlay of the day. Joe,
- 5:22Speaker 1: predictive markets. Listen, let's talk a little bit of Bitcoin.
- 5:25Speaker 1: I want to go to the AL East. And maybe
- 5:28Speaker 1: if you found anything in the NFL, we could talk there, too.
- 5:30Speaker 1: I'll leave it to you. And I also want to
- 5:33Speaker 1: give everybody an update after this segment on how my
- 5:38Speaker 1: tournament went in Montreal, my poker tournament. So let's get
- 5:42Speaker 1: into the predictive markets, brother. Bitcoin has come down a little. Last,
- 5:46Speaker 1: I looked, 78.5.
- 5:46Speaker 3: Yep.
- 5:47Speaker 1: Go ahead, Preston. Yeah, so 78.5. Basically hovering right where
- 5:55Speaker 1: it is. I actually think we're going to see movement
- 5:57Speaker 1: to the positive right now. So I like Bitcoin to
- 6:01Speaker 1: go up. in value by 5 p.m. Eastern today. My
- 6:06Speaker 1: guess is it's going to be around $ 78, 750. I would
- 6:13Speaker 1: take the over in that.
- 6:16Speaker 3: How much do you think it's going to be?
- 6:17Speaker 1: $ 78, 750. So the yes is $ 0.
- 6:18Speaker 3: 39.
- 6:18Speaker 1: That's not a bad price, actually. Yeah, and right now
- 6:21Speaker 1: it is $ 78, 600. And it has gone down, but we
- 6:31Speaker 1: are seeing a positive momentum in the last hour.
- 6:36Speaker 3: I like it. Especially at that price, Brad. It's what,
- 6:39Speaker 3: 39 cents? I'm in.
- 6:40Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 6:42Speaker 1: OK, well, there you go. And as you can see,
- 6:45Speaker 1: we are getting a little positive momentum. OK, what else
- 6:48Speaker 1: in the what else in the predictors, guys?
- 6:50Speaker 4: Well, I mean, shoot, we got we got a lot
- 6:53Speaker 4: of picks here coming up between college football and the
- 6:56Speaker 4: NFL week one. But let's get back to. Let's get
- 7:01Speaker 4: back to what we think we're after week one of
- 7:03Speaker 4: the college football season here. Do we have any indication
- 7:08Speaker 4: as far as who might actually win a national championship
- 7:11Speaker 4: this year? Anybody feeling better about one team or the other, Art?
- 7:16Speaker 2: Well, I think the two teams that and a lot
- 7:18Speaker 2: of people, first of all, everyone thought Miami would be
- 7:19Speaker 2: a playoff team and LSU right on the fringe with
- 7:22Speaker 2: their odds. I think they were like plus 130 to
- 7:25Speaker 2: make the playoffs. It's got to be those two that
- 7:27Speaker 2: are the high risers. You know, the other teams played nobody,
- 7:30Speaker 2: so you'd have to look at LSU and Miami, and
- 7:33Speaker 2: then you'd have to look at Mensah in the Heisman conversation,
- 7:35Speaker 2: because now he's the favorite.
- 7:38Speaker 4: Nobody, Prez, has gained more in value than LSU. It's
- 7:42Speaker 4: over the top.
- 7:43Speaker 1: It's over the top. 51-10 against a team like Clemson?
- 7:47Speaker 1: Obviously not a team. looking to win the Natty, but
- 7:50Speaker 1: a team that has pedigree. Unbelievable victory by LSU. What
- 7:57Speaker 1: do you think, guys? They came in 11. They're coming
- 8:00Speaker 1: out what?
- 8:02Speaker 4: Oh, they're top five in a lot of the way
- 8:05Speaker 4: they're priced is you would have thought they actually won something.
- 8:09Speaker 4: And they went from the playoff qualifier to they're up
- 8:11Speaker 4: over 60 cents just to make the postseason.
- 8:14Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just crazy.
- 8:17Speaker 1: Conversely, I was disappointed in Oregon. They were minus a
- 8:21Speaker 1: big number against Boise State. They were at home. They
- 8:24Speaker 1: went down early. They were lucky to get the win.
- 8:27Speaker 1: They came in ranked two. I think they fall out
- 8:29Speaker 1: of the top five.
- 8:31Speaker 4: They did lose a little, but right now your favorites
- 8:34Speaker 4: are Ohio State at 13 cents, Notre Dame at 12,
- 8:38Speaker 4: Indiana at 11, LSU is now in that conversation, Oregon,
- 8:43Speaker 4: and then there's Miami and Texas. And Georgia keeps dropping.
- 8:47Speaker 4: For what reason, I have no idea.
- 8:49Speaker 1: I mean, I got to believe that this is the
- 8:51Speaker 1: right time to. I mean, the win that, Alice, you
- 8:55Speaker 1: put down is a statement. It is. Yep. It would
- 8:59Speaker 1: be hard not to back them right now. Obviously, we're
- 9:03Speaker 1: overreacting and everyone needs to calm down a little bit.
- 9:08Speaker 3: Well, now's the time to your point, Prez.
- 9:10Speaker 4: If you're impressed with LSU and you think that $ 50
- 9:13Speaker 4: million bought them the best team in the country, just
- 9:16Speaker 4: lock it in at 11 cents and forget you have
- 9:18Speaker 4: the ticket.
- 9:19Speaker 1: Well, we're back with Texas. I mean, look at what
- 9:21Speaker 1: they did against State, right?
- 9:23Speaker 3: 59-7?
- 9:24Speaker 1: I mean, come on. Arch looked amazing. You know, this
- 9:28Speaker 1: team came in ranked in number five. They're not losing ground.
- 9:34Speaker 1: I think they find themselves... I think they are in
- 9:37Speaker 1: the top three and LSU is in the top five.
- 9:40Speaker 4: Well, this week is going to be interesting because Ohio
- 9:43Speaker 4: State plays Texas. So depending on what you think, I
- 9:46Speaker 4: might want to jump in there now.
- 9:47Speaker 2: Texas' schedule is brutal.
- 9:51Speaker 4: So if Texas wins this game, now might be a
- 9:53Speaker 4: time to lock it in at 10 cents.
- 9:56Speaker 3: That is for sure. And Miami, I'm sorry.
- 10:00Speaker 4: At 10 cents, guys, that path to the ACC championship
- 10:05Speaker 4: to the playoffs is it's the easiest by far of anybody.
- 10:11Speaker 3: In the top 10. That's for sure.
- 10:14Speaker 1: Yep, so there we go. Anything else predictive market-wise?
- 10:18Speaker 3: That's good. Now we're up to date.
- 10:20Speaker 4: But all of that, again, the two big games, OU
- 10:22Speaker 4: Michigan and Ohio State and Texas, now would be a
- 10:27Speaker 4: good time if you want to jump in on one
- 10:30Speaker 4: of those four teams because Michigan obviously plummeted down the
- 10:35Speaker 4: board here. I think they're two cents now. It's a
- 10:38Speaker 4: long season. They won the game, don't forget. It's a
- 10:41Speaker 4: long season.
- 10:42Speaker 1: I will tell you this, Joe. It's interesting, the Michigan loss,
- 10:48Speaker 1: because the timing... I mean, the Michigan win, but loss, like, whatever.
- 10:52Speaker 1: You know what I'm talking about. The timing was excellent
- 10:55Speaker 1: for Michigan. A nice wake-up call right off the bat.
- 10:58Speaker 1: They could put this game behind them. Again, don't overreact, everybody.
- 11:04Speaker 1: All of these teams have these horrible games. They got theirs...
- 11:08Speaker 1: Out of the way. With that said, I'm not buying
- 11:10Speaker 1: this Michigan team at all, especially a quarterback. I think
- 11:14Speaker 1: this team is going to struggle. So, yeah, Michigan is
- 11:19Speaker 1: a hell no to me.
- 11:20Speaker 3: Love it.
- 11:22Speaker 1: And speaking of which, we're going to talk about that
- 11:24Speaker 1: game a little later in the College Football Week 2
- 11:28Speaker 1: segment coming up your way. Guys, before we get into it,
- 11:30Speaker 1: let's take care of business. Let me give you guys
- 11:33Speaker 1: a quick synopsis of my poker tournament. I was in
- 11:36Speaker 1: Montreal over the last week. I played in the largest
- 11:40Speaker 1: poker tournament in the history of Canada. I understand that
- 11:43Speaker 1: doesn't seem like a lot of people, but it ended
- 11:47Speaker 1: up being a $ 13 million prize pool, $ 1. 5 million up top.
- 11:52Speaker 1: I ended up cashing in the tournament. 2,800 people played.
- 11:55Speaker 3: I came 250th.
- 11:59Speaker 1: I made slightly more than double my money. With that said,
- 12:03Speaker 1: I made a horrible, horrible play. I had queens, the gentleman,
- 12:09Speaker 1: and aces. I raised preflop, and he called. And that
- 12:16Speaker 1: call cost me my tournament, because I would assume he
- 12:21Speaker 1: would raise with aces preflop. He called. The flop came three, four, seven,
- 12:27Speaker 1: two diamonds. I bet again. He just called. I was like, jacks.
- 12:35Speaker 1: Turn comes a nine. I shove. He calls with aces.
- 12:41Speaker 1: The way he played aces was so horrible. And yet
- 12:46Speaker 1: he is still in the tournament. And I made a
- 12:49Speaker 1: five and a half hour drive home, miserable and mad
- 12:52Speaker 1: at myself. Because frankly, I was out of position. And
- 12:59Speaker 1: for all you poker players out there, never bet out
- 13:06Speaker 1: of position on the flop, ever. Unless you are the
- 13:12Speaker 1: original opener. Always check to the razor. 100% of the time,
- 13:20Speaker 1: check to the razor. Had I have checked there, he
- 13:24Speaker 1: would have bet, I would have called, and it might
- 13:28Speaker 1: be shut down till the end. But because I made
- 13:31Speaker 1: the bet, I ended up getting myself stuck. So the
- 13:36Speaker 1: message there is never, like, don't be out of position
- 13:42Speaker 1: and always check to the original razor on the flop.
- 13:46Speaker 1: I screwed it up. I made a huge mistake. And
- 13:50Speaker 1: now I'm out. Let's move on. So $ 5 customer appreciation day,
- 13:56Speaker 1: Tuesdays over at wagertalk.com. I have an NFL total up.
- 14:01Speaker 1: It is only $ 5. And to give you guys perspective,
- 14:06Speaker 1: my totals are ridiculous. Absolutely freaking ridiculous. I am 66%
- 14:14Speaker 1: in totals this calendar year. That's right. The entire calendar year,
- 14:21Speaker 1: I have won 66% of my totals. I am on
- 14:25Speaker 1: a 53 and 20 run in totals. This is my
- 14:30Speaker 1: favorite total. I put it up this morning. It's only $ 5.
- 14:34Speaker 1: Head over to WagerTalk.
- 14:36Speaker 3: Grab it.
- 14:36Speaker 1: Let's do this together. Art, what do you have going
- 14:39Speaker 1: for the clients?
- 14:41Speaker 2: Yeah, listen, had a nice day yesterday. Won my first
- 14:43Speaker 2: five MLB play. Also had a free winner up there
- 14:45Speaker 2: for the people, which was a MLB winner and got
- 14:48Speaker 2: a lot going on on a $ 5 Tuesday. Like Prez,
- 14:51Speaker 2: I also have an NFL total up for week one,
- 14:53Speaker 2: so you can get that for $ 5. Got a couple
- 14:55Speaker 2: of baseball plays for a nice busy day. And, you know,
- 14:58Speaker 2: just go check out my page and see everything that's
- 15:00Speaker 2: going on, wt.buzz.com.
- 15:05Speaker 3: There you go, Joe. Boom. One, one, and one.
- 15:08Speaker 4: One college football, one major league baseball, one NFL. Five, five,
- 15:13Speaker 4: and five, guys. Head over to WT.buzz forward slash JR
- 15:19Speaker 4: for a $ 5 Tuesday customer appreciation, which, by the way,
- 15:23Speaker 4: is across the board. Not just a wager, talk, picks
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- 15:30Speaker 4: It's a great way to jump in and partner up
- 15:32Speaker 4: with some of your favorite handicappers as we get ready
- 15:35Speaker 4: for week one of the NFL season.
- 15:37Speaker 3: Kind of crazy.
- 15:39Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm excited about it, guys. Remember, we have a
- 15:42Speaker 1: contest day coming as well. The three of us are
- 15:45Speaker 1: in college football. Pick them seven. uh nfl pick them
- 15:49Speaker 1: five and our survivor uh pick as well i mean
- 15:54Speaker 1: for me guys i'll tell you right off the bat
- 15:56Speaker 1: personally in my personal survivor i am looking to take
- 15:59Speaker 1: jacksonville so if anyone wants to talk me out of
- 16:02Speaker 1: that please put it up in the comment section college
- 16:05Speaker 1: football week two uh art i'll go to you first.
- 16:13Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, we ran down a bunch of
- 16:15Speaker 2: games yesterday. We had five, six, maybe even seven games
- 16:17Speaker 2: that moved. Got three more that I just kind of
- 16:19Speaker 2: want to note that have already moved here since the
- 16:22Speaker 2: openers on Sunday. Texas State, who was like a one,
- 16:24Speaker 2: one-and-a-half-point home dog, they're now a one, one-and-a-half-point home favorite.
- 16:29Speaker 2: Arizona took some money at five-and-a-half. I'm sorry, at eight-and-a-half.
- 16:32Speaker 2: And Kansas, which is a Friday game, also took some
- 16:35Speaker 2: money at six-and-a-half. Interesting.
- 16:39Speaker 3: There you go. Yeah, the lines are a-movin'.
- 16:43Speaker 1: I'm going to give out what I think is a
- 16:48Speaker 1: look ahead pick for week two in college football. And
- 16:53Speaker 1: we were talking about Michigan. And I got to tell you, man,
- 16:56Speaker 1: I think Oklahoma goes in there and lays the smack down.
- 16:59Speaker 1: Line is five and a half. Michigan is not a
- 17:01Speaker 1: good team. They really struggled offensively against a mediocre team
- 17:06Speaker 1: at best. I mean, they basically put up nothing. Until
- 17:11Speaker 1: one second left in the game, and then they got
- 17:13Speaker 1: what is called a Hail Mary for a reason. Oklahoma
- 17:16Speaker 1: just annihilated UTEP. They can score. There is no way
- 17:20Speaker 1: Michigan keeps up with this team. Zero chance. I think
- 17:24Speaker 1: Michigan is going to struggle to put up points on Oklahoma.
- 17:26Speaker 1: I think Oklahoma is going to have no issue putting
- 17:29Speaker 1: up 28-plus points. on Michigan. I hate that this game
- 17:34Speaker 1: is in Michigan, but we're getting five and a half,
- 17:38Speaker 1: and I think Oklahoma wins this game by more than ten.
- 17:41Speaker 1: So I like the Sooners here, guys.
- 17:46Speaker 3: The look-ahead line was not six.
- 17:50Speaker 4: It was four at most, and because of the way
- 17:54Speaker 4: they lost, it's now five.
- 17:56Speaker 1: And a half to six.
- 17:56Speaker 3: And Oklahoma won.
- 17:57Speaker 1: And Oklahoma won.
- 18:00Speaker 4: I mean, it's... It's that week two craziness, right? So
- 18:06Speaker 4: why are they now a six point? What changed between
- 18:09Speaker 4: what it was two weeks ago and this? Because they
- 18:12Speaker 4: won on a Hail Mary and should have lost the game? Okay,
- 18:15Speaker 4: but is OU against a legit? That defense is legit
- 18:19Speaker 4: at Michigan. UTEP is not a legit defense. So what
- 18:23Speaker 4: do we really know about Oklahoma?
- 18:25Speaker 3: I don't know. Either way, I'm looking at the under.
- 18:30Speaker 2: Yeah, and you've seen the under come down. I believe
- 18:31Speaker 2: it was 44, you're now 43. Now 43 and a half. Yeah,
- 18:35Speaker 2: I mean, listen, obviously you want to be a contrarian
- 18:39Speaker 2: and say, well, now it's the time to take Michigan
- 18:41Speaker 2: because I'm going to get all these points. I'm at home.
- 18:43Speaker 2: They played this game last year, and it was close
- 18:46Speaker 2: until the fourth quarter. Oklahoma kind of pulled away in
- 18:49Speaker 2: that game, but it's all about Michigan's quarterback. I mean,
- 18:53Speaker 2: if he's going to perform that way against Western Michigan–
- 18:56Speaker 2: What's he going to do against maybe one of the
- 18:57Speaker 2: best defenses in the country? It's going to be tough
- 19:01Speaker 2: sledding for Michigan.
- 19:03Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's really, to me, I think the total
- 19:08Speaker 1: really suggests Oklahoma. And I know that you're supposed to
- 19:11Speaker 1: look at a dog with the under, but, man, I
- 19:14Speaker 1: think the line makers are telling us that Michigan is
- 19:16Speaker 1: going to struggle to get to 14, 17 points.
- 19:20Speaker 4: No, it's either going to be a complete eye-opener for
- 19:23Speaker 4: them in Whittingham or... they are as terrible as they
- 19:28Speaker 4: looked against Western Michigan, at which point they're going to
- 19:31Speaker 4: get blown out. I don't know that there's going to
- 19:33Speaker 4: be anything in between there. It either wakes them up,
- 19:36Speaker 4: snaps them out, and they're paying to get 15 mil
- 19:39Speaker 4: to beat a quarterback in Michigan.
- 19:43Speaker 1: I want to talk about Oregon and Oklahoma State. Oregon,
- 19:48Speaker 1: as we spoke about, didn't look great in the first week.
- 19:51Speaker 1: But Oklahoma State looked goddamn awful. I was on the
- 19:54Speaker 1: over in that game and I lost. They were completely
- 19:57Speaker 1: out of sync.
- 19:59Speaker 4: Terrible.
- 19:59Speaker 1: They just couldn't get going. They did not look good
- 20:02Speaker 1: on either side of the ball. Minus 22 and a
- 20:05Speaker 1: half and a total of 57 and a half. Any
- 20:10Speaker 1: early thoughts, Art, on this game?
- 20:15Speaker 2: Well, I mean, listen, everyone's down on Oregon, but the
- 20:17Speaker 2: one thing I'll say about Oregon, they actually did play
- 20:20Speaker 2: a real team.
- 20:22Speaker 1: And they played well the second half of that game.
- 20:24Speaker 1: They got their act together.
- 20:26Speaker 2: Boise State isn't UTEP. You know, Boise State has a
- 20:29Speaker 2: real quarterback, Mattis Maddox, who's been around, and Boise State
- 20:34Speaker 2: scores points. So, you know, I want to pump the
- 20:36Speaker 2: brakes a little bit on, you know, the panic button
- 20:38Speaker 2: with Oregon, but The panic button maybe is on Oklahoma
- 20:41Speaker 2: State because a lot of people love them coming in
- 20:43Speaker 2: the year. A lot of people thought they were going
- 20:44Speaker 2: to really cruise by Tulsa as a two-touchdown favorite. Now
- 20:49Speaker 2: they've got to play Oregon, who's probably now they've woken
- 20:52Speaker 2: up and obviously woke up in the second half. It's
- 20:54Speaker 2: a big number to lay because it's basically the Boise
- 20:56Speaker 2: State number, but I don't know. I would look maybe
- 20:59Speaker 2: at a total here or something else. I don't know
- 21:02Speaker 2: if I want to lay three touchdowns again with Oregon.
- 21:06Speaker 4: This was the game last year that got Gundy pretty
- 21:09Speaker 4: much canned because they lost 86 to nothing, I think,
- 21:13Speaker 4: in Eugene. So different time, though, obviously, different coach, different
- 21:18Speaker 4: everything here. But listen, the reality is, is Oklahoma State
- 21:23Speaker 4: is going to be much better offensively this week.
- 21:26Speaker 3: Than they were a year ago.
- 21:27Speaker 4: They're not a great defensive team, but to tell you
- 21:30Speaker 4: the truth, I don't think Oregon is either. I would
- 21:33Speaker 4: only look for points. I don't see a whole lot
- 21:35Speaker 4: of stopping going on here. Oregon, at home, couldn't stop
- 21:40Speaker 4: Boise State. So, you know, I think this could be
- 21:44Speaker 4: a wild shootout here altogether. They will be better.
- 21:48Speaker 1: Speaking of a shootout, and this will be the last
- 21:50Speaker 1: game before we get into our NFL Week 1 total bets.
- 21:55Speaker 1: lot tech put up 80. That's right. 80 points, 80 points,
- 22:04Speaker 1: 80 fricking points. How many do they put up against LSU?
- 22:10Speaker 1: LSU is minus 35 and a half and a total
- 22:14Speaker 1: of 56. They are suggesting that lot tech puts up
- 22:19Speaker 1: very little in this game. Uh, LSU just slaughtered Cleveland,
- 22:24Speaker 1: covered this number by a touchdown. I mean, Clemson. Surely,
- 22:30Speaker 1: regardless of La Tech putting up 80, Clemson is still
- 22:33Speaker 1: a better team. Art, what do we do in this game?
- 22:38Speaker 2: Well, we talked about this game yesterday, Prez, how LSU
- 22:40Speaker 2: was like a 32.5 point opener.
- 22:42Speaker 3: No, no, no.
- 22:43Speaker 2: But it's even gone up higher. It was 34.5 yesterday,
- 22:44Speaker 2: now 35.5. Yeah, now 35, 35.5. So you're seeing the love.
- 22:50Speaker 2: For LSU, I mean, obviously Louisiana Tech putting up 80
- 22:52Speaker 2: points is ridiculous. They won't come close to that this week.
- 22:55Speaker 2: You know, probably a team total under on Louisiana Tech
- 22:59Speaker 2: would be the way to look.
- 23:01Speaker 1: Joe?
- 23:03Speaker 3: You're not, that's not going to continue. It's fade. Like, fade,
- 23:07Speaker 3: go the other way. I mean, that was just, you're
- 23:10Speaker 3: not scoring at that kind of rate again this week. So, yeah,
- 23:14Speaker 3: I'm with Art. I'm looking at the under.
- 23:16Speaker 1: Okay. Guys, hit the like button, please. Subscribe to our channel.
- 23:21Speaker 3: Comment.
- 23:22Speaker 1: What do you want to hear? What do you want
- 23:23Speaker 1: to see? Let us know your thoughts on college football
- 23:27Speaker 1: week two. Guys, let's get into our best total. It's
- 23:31Speaker 1: not necessarily our best because it is Tuesday. But a
- 23:35Speaker 1: total that we are eyeing, circling, and looking at betting
- 23:39Speaker 1: for week one in the NFL. Art, you go first.
- 23:43Speaker 3: Hmm.
- 23:44Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to the Charger-Cardinal game, and this is
- 23:47Speaker 2: going to be very, and I like the over in
- 23:48Speaker 2: the game, 46.5, 47. You're going to be very reliant
- 23:52Speaker 2: here on can Arizona get between 14 and 17 points.
- 23:56Speaker 2: For me, it feels like a 31-17 game. I know
- 23:58Speaker 2: Arizona's awful, maybe the worst team in the league with
- 24:01Speaker 2: the Dolphins, but they have some weapons, you know, Wilson
- 24:04Speaker 2: and Harrison and the rookie love, and Brissette is a
- 24:06Speaker 2: real quarterback. He's not a top quarterback, but he's been around,
- 24:10Speaker 2: and obviously they have one of the best tight ends.
- 24:12Speaker 2: So I think a team is going to be behind.
- 24:14Speaker 2: A team is going to be throwing in Arizona. And
- 24:16Speaker 2: I think they can get to that 14 and 17
- 24:18Speaker 2: where you're going to have the Chargers getting into maybe
- 24:21Speaker 2: the low 30s. So I like the over in the game.
- 24:24Speaker 3: Joe?
- 24:26Speaker 4: I'm going to go down under to the 49ers and
- 24:30Speaker 4: the Rams, and they all look like a mess. Every
- 24:35Speaker 4: report that I've seen, every quote, they are going through
- 24:40Speaker 4: it here. Now, don't forget, the Rams left early because
- 24:43Speaker 4: they wanted to spend.
- 24:44Speaker 3: A week there.
- 24:45Speaker 1: No, the 49ers left early.
- 24:47Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 24:48Speaker 3: That's right. 49ers left early. The Rams got there later.
- 24:52Speaker 4: So I don't know who's got the better leg up there,
- 24:56Speaker 4: but either way, division rivals early a million miles away
- 25:01Speaker 4: around the world. There is no way I am expecting
- 25:04Speaker 4: a wild shootout here. I think under 48.
- 25:07Speaker 3: 48 and a half, somewhere in that ballpark.
- 25:12Speaker 1: Okay it is you can get a 49 if you
- 25:15Speaker 1: like better under in that game okay well you know
- 25:20Speaker 1: i'm looking at the over in the tampa bay cincinnati
- 25:22Speaker 1: get guys and i'll tell you right off the bat
- 25:24Speaker 1: i think cincinnati is a really strong team coming in
- 25:27Speaker 1: i think they win the division i think they have
- 25:29Speaker 1: a chance to go to the super bowl we've spoken
- 25:31Speaker 1: about this i think the offense comes in flying uh
- 25:36Speaker 1: Jamar Chase already announced he wants to break the touchdown record.
- 25:39Speaker 1: Joe Burrow is talking about putting up some big, big numbers.
- 25:44Speaker 1: They've got an incredible wide receiver core. I think they've
- 25:47Speaker 1: fixed their O-line. Not fixed, but improved it. And I
- 25:51Speaker 1: don't think they've improved their defense. I think teams are
- 25:53Speaker 1: going to have no problem putting up numbers against them,
- 25:55Speaker 1: especially teams like Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is coming in
- 25:58Speaker 1: with about 800 wide receivers, a decent tight end core,
- 26:02Speaker 1: a good running game. Baker Mayfield has got a chip
- 26:05Speaker 1: on his shoulder. He's playing for a contract. I think
- 26:07Speaker 1: they put up points. And I don't believe the Tampa
- 26:10Speaker 1: Bay's defense is a top three unit. With that said,
- 26:14Speaker 1: I don't believe any unit. in the league is going
- 26:17Speaker 1: to keep Cincinnati down. This number is 50. I think
- 26:21Speaker 1: one of these teams puts up 31. I would not
- 26:24Speaker 1: be surprised if this is a 31-24, 31-27 type game.
- 26:29Speaker 1: That gets us close to 60. This is likely a
- 26:32Speaker 1: client bet. I like the over in the Cincinnati-Tampa Bay game.
- 26:38Speaker 2: Okay.
- 26:40Speaker 1: MLB rundown, boys. I leave it in your hands.
- 26:43Speaker 4: Ooh, Art, we got some fun ones here today. It'll
- 26:48Speaker 4: be back to, I believe, New York Mets at Miami
- 26:52Speaker 4: to start it off with. Not good for Miami to
- 26:55Speaker 4: open things up here. What do we think we're going
- 26:58Speaker 4: to get from them here in a bounce-back spot today?
- 27:00Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a bounce-back spot, and we also mentioned the
- 27:03Speaker 2: Sharps are already on. Miami here.
- 27:06Speaker 3: Yeah, they are. Guardians and the Orioles.
- 27:08Speaker 4: Bybee versus Young at Camden. Eight and a half is
- 27:12Speaker 4: the total. I don't know if we can trust either
- 27:14Speaker 4: of these offenses here.
- 27:15Speaker 3: What do you think?
- 27:18Speaker 2: Trucks are on the Guardians, but yeah, I can see
- 27:19Speaker 2: where you're leaning towards and over here.
- 27:21Speaker 3: Yep. Astros and the Phillies. Wisniewski against Painter. I don't know.
- 27:25Speaker 4: Painter has actually been pretty decent the last couple of starts.
- 27:28Speaker 4: Minus 140 for the Phillies here.
- 27:30Speaker 3: Art, what do you think?
- 27:31Speaker 2: He has. I normally don't want to lay a price
- 27:33Speaker 2: with Painter because it's just he's been a good fade
- 27:35Speaker 2: all year. But listen, the Astros are still battling as well,
- 27:38Speaker 2: and they've been actually pretty good here on the road.
- 27:40Speaker 2: They actually have a winning road record.
- 27:42Speaker 4: Kramer versus Anderson. Tigers at home taking on the Twins.
- 27:47Speaker 4: I might look towards an over here at Comerica Art.
- 27:50Speaker 3: What do you think?
- 27:51Speaker 2: Yeah, these two have played over games. And listen, the
- 27:54Speaker 2: Twins are falling fast. They're really losing their grip on
- 27:57Speaker 2: a chance to get a wild card spot here.
- 28:00Speaker 4: Angels send and read Detmers to the mound. Red Sox,
- 28:03Speaker 4: Sandoval wasn't great for Sandoval last time out, but Detmers
- 28:06Speaker 4: has been the best pitcher since the All-Star break.
- 28:09Speaker 3: Do I smell a run and a half here? What
- 28:10Speaker 3: are we thinking?
- 28:12Speaker 2: Yeah, you could look that way. Listen, I put the
- 28:13Speaker 2: Red Sox in the parlay today because I just I
- 28:16Speaker 2: know I'm going against Detmers, but. I just like the
- 28:18Speaker 2: Red Sox at home. They found their way there.
- 28:20Speaker 4: So we've got one Aaron Judge back for the Yankees tonight.
- 28:25Speaker 4: Schlittler on the mound, taking on the Rockies. And Hughes
- 28:29Speaker 4: likely means an under. They'll score all two runs.
- 28:33Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mean, you know, Schlittler's what, like a
- 28:36Speaker 2: minus 350 favorite? Obviously, you can't go that way. You'd
- 28:38Speaker 2: have to go Rockies team total order. And I'll tell
- 28:41Speaker 2: you right now, having done this for years in the
- 28:43Speaker 2: back room, I guarantee you, They'll be betting that judge
- 28:46Speaker 2: home run prop tonight.
- 28:47Speaker 3: Oh, you can count on it there.
- 28:48Speaker 4: Braves and Rays, a possible look ahead to a World
- 28:52Speaker 4: Series matchup. Tough series for the Braves against Philly, but
- 28:56Speaker 4: now they're at home taking on the Rays.
- 28:58Speaker 3: Peralta against Smith Short.
- 29:01Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 29:02Speaker 3: Are we getting runs here, Art?
- 29:05Speaker 2: Probably with Peralta on the mound. And listen, the Braves
- 29:07Speaker 2: got to, you know, like you said, it was not
- 29:09Speaker 2: a great series against Philadelphia. They got to come home
- 29:11Speaker 2: and get some home cooking here.
- 29:13Speaker 4: Royals at the Diamondbacks. Waka, my man on the mound,
- 29:17Speaker 4: which means a first five under for me. Corbin Burns back.
- 29:21Speaker 3: Wow. Remember him?
- 29:22Speaker 4: Yeah, he's probably throwing 40 pitches and then will be
- 29:26Speaker 4: pulled from the game.
- 29:27Speaker 3: I don't know. Give me Waka and give me the
- 29:29Speaker 3: Royals at home here, Art.
- 29:31Speaker 2: Yeah, and to think that, you know, Arizona's going to
- 29:33Speaker 2: pitch Burns when, you know, these are all huge games
- 29:37Speaker 2: for Arizona. So it shows you how desperate they are.
- 29:40Speaker 1: Are.
- 29:40Speaker 4: Cubs and Brewers. Brewers taking care of business. They got
- 29:43Speaker 4: Miz on the mound tonight.
- 29:44Speaker 3: What do you think?
- 29:46Speaker 2: Yeah, it's gotta be Brewers or nothing.
- 29:48Speaker 4: Cubs are a $ 2 underdog. Pirates and White Sox here.
- 29:52Speaker 4: Bubba Chandler versus Burke. Do we like the White Sox
- 29:55Speaker 4: at home?
- 29:57Speaker 2: Yeah, I... That pirate team annoys me.
- 30:01Speaker 3: They are.
- 30:01Speaker 2: Every time I think, all right, they're going to make
- 30:04Speaker 2: a little move here, they're dead in the water. Listen,
- 30:07Speaker 2: give the White Sox credit. They've been great all year.
- 30:09Speaker 4: Bryce Miller at home taking on Bradford Mariners and Rangers.
- 30:13Speaker 4: I would look to the Rangers early in this one.
- 30:17Speaker 4: Bryce Miller's a gas can here, Art.
- 30:19Speaker 3: What do you think? It is at T-Mobile, though, in Seattle.
- 30:23Speaker 1: It is.
- 30:24Speaker 2: I said it a week ago that Seattle team's a rat,
- 30:27Speaker 2: but the Rangers are also a rat, but If I'm
- 30:29Speaker 2: going to get plus money, I'm going to take the
- 30:31Speaker 2: plus money.
- 30:32Speaker 3: Padres at home.
- 30:33Speaker 4: Casey Mize getting lit up like a Christmas tree in
- 30:36Speaker 4: the National League.
- 30:36Speaker 3: Taking on the Nats. What do we think here?
- 30:40Speaker 2: Padres got to keep winning because Arizona's right there with them.
- 30:43Speaker 2: So it's got to be a slight lean here to
- 30:45Speaker 2: the Padres. Even though the Nats have been good.
- 30:47Speaker 4: On the road.
- 30:48Speaker 3: Yep.
- 30:48Speaker 1: Yep.
- 30:49Speaker 4: Runs could very well be coming in that game there.
- 30:51Speaker 4: Scooble as a $ 3. 30 favorite over the Reds and Lodolo.
- 30:55Speaker 4: You run into the window?
- 30:57Speaker 2: No, and listen, you know Yankees, which Slitler and Scooble
- 31:02Speaker 2: and the Dodgers are going to be the biggest two-teamer
- 31:04Speaker 2: of the day.
- 31:05Speaker 3: And that is your Major League Baseball rundown, Prez. There
- 31:09Speaker 3: you go.
- 31:10Speaker 1: I was fully not paying any attention.
- 31:13Speaker 3: Good.
- 31:15Speaker 2: Hey, Prez, it's like when you talk poker. We all
- 31:18Speaker 2: zone out.
- 31:20Speaker 1: That's okay. I have no doubt. Guys, I'm taping the
- 31:24Speaker 1: NFL presidential address today. It'll be up later tonight. Picks
- 31:28Speaker 1: on every single game. Check it out. It'll be about
- 31:30Speaker 1: 20 minutes long. Fun show. Joe Ranieri, Art DeCesar, thanks
- 31:35Speaker 1: for doing this. Tomorrow, we got Ralph Michaels, the pen,
- 31:38Speaker 1: with us. We're going to do a bunch more betting
- 31:41Speaker 1: stuff for you like we do every day. Hit the
- 31:43Speaker 1: like button. Subscribe. Make sure to comment. Lots of love, everyone.
- 31:47Speaker 1: We'll see you tomorrow.