Latest / In the Loop AI / The Rumored OpenAI Device: Is it Really a Pen?
Transcript
- 0:00Josh: For the last three years, AI has been this disembodied superpower.
- 0:03Josh: It lives in tabs, it lives in chat windows, you summon it, you type to it,
- 0:07Josh: sometimes you even speak to it, it comes and then it vanishes.
- 0:10Josh: It's powerful, but it is trapped behind this glass.
- 0:13Josh: And then last week, we have one of the most exciting rumors to pop up in this
- 0:16Josh: world, which is around OpenAI and their new hardware device offering.
- 0:20Josh: OpenAI, they partnered with Johnny Ive, who has created devices including,
- 0:23Josh: but not limited to, the iPhone, the iPod, the MacBook, basically any hardware
- 0:28Josh: device that you've used.
- 0:30Josh: Uh johnny ive has designed it if it's come from apple and what's
- 0:33Josh: fascinating about this is the rumor isn't telling us
- 0:36Josh: that they're going to be choosing glasses everyone's choosing
- 0:39Josh: glasses meta has them google's working on them apple's working
- 0:42Josh: on them but this form factor this time is different and we're going to answer
- 0:46Josh: the question as to why on this episode and what makes this device so important
- 0:49Josh: and different in a world where everyone's seemingly failing right ijaz like
- 0:53Josh: if i think about all the other companies who have tried to build an ai first
- 0:57Josh: hardware device they've all been failing miserably. We talked about the Meta Ray-Ban displays.
- 1:01Josh: We can't even get our hands on them. The demos are clunky. It doesn't work.
- 1:04Josh: We have companies like Humane and Rabi.
- 1:06Josh: And we have another one this week called Pickle.
- 1:09Josh: And none of them seem to work. So OpenAI is going in a different direction.
- 1:12Josh: And I kind of want to talk about why they're making this decision to go one
- 1:16Josh: way when everyone else is going the other.
- 1:18Ejaaz: I think the toll of wasted money on kind of defunct AI hardware products is
- 1:24Ejaaz: now surpassing about $10 billion.
- 1:27Ejaaz: It's a mixture of like VC funded crap. And then you've got even the big boys
- 1:32Ejaaz: like Meta releasing sunglasses, which then suck.
- 1:36Ejaaz: It's pretty insane to think, Josh, that it's been less than a year since OpenAI
- 1:41Ejaaz: announced their kind of like entry into consumer hardware.
- 1:46Ejaaz: For folks who don't know, So OpenAI basically acquired Johnny Ives hardware startup called I.O.
- 1:54Ejaaz: For six and a half billion dollars repeatedly, a mixture of cash and equity
- 1:59Ejaaz: at the time, which was their largest acquisition to date, I still think.
- 2:04Ejaaz: And there was a lot of speculation and rumors around what that device might
- 2:08Ejaaz: be that they're building.
- 2:10Ejaaz: And we actually put out an episode early last year, I think it was during May,
- 2:14Ejaaz: actually, where you and I speculated about what that form factor might look like.
- 2:18Ejaaz: And I remember we settled on two devices, Josh, it was the glasses,
- 2:23Ejaaz: where they would have like microphones that could like listen to you,
- 2:26Ejaaz: but also kind of like speakers that could blare audio back to you.
- 2:30Ejaaz: Obviously, the lenses would act as with like a camera that can kind of see what
- 2:34Ejaaz: you do. It's kind of like this multimodal type of device.
- 2:36Ejaaz: And then the alternative was kind of like this puck-shaped disc that could like
- 2:41Ejaaz: sit on your desk or sit in your pocket that might have eyes and visions.
- 2:45Ejaaz: We were wrong on both accounts.
- 2:48Ejaaz: If this leak that we're showing on our screen right now is true.
- 2:52Ejaaz: So the tweet goes, additional details about OpenAI's device.
- 2:56Ejaaz: And it goes on to kind of describe this iPod shuffle type device,
- 3:01Ejaaz: which takes the form of a pen device, which will have a sort of camera.
- 3:06Ejaaz: Microphone, but kind of like ambient presence in your pocket where you can kind
- 3:11Ejaaz: of like take out, you can write,
- 3:13Ejaaz: the device will kind of detect the kind of motion of your hand and understand
- 3:17Ejaaz: and transcribe those words that are written into your chat GPT interface.
- 3:22Ejaaz: So there's like this weird link between real life ambient presence and chat
- 3:27Ejaaz: GPT, which you and I are familiar with today.
- 3:30Josh: So per that episode last year, we may have been wrong on some things,
- 3:33Josh: but I don't think we were wrong on all of them and i
- 3:36Josh: still feel pretty good about the direction that we're heading in so this
- 3:39Josh: says pen shaped device integrates ai lightweight highly portable about the size
- 3:44Josh: of an ipod shuffle can be carried in a pocket worn around the neck it'll include
- 3:48Josh: a microphone and a camera and it'll be able to convert handwritten notes directly
- 3:52Josh: to text and instantly upload them to chat gpt so if we the the.
- 3:56Ejaaz: Ipod shuffle by the way for anyone who
- 3:59Ejaaz: who is not a dinosaur that could get an idea of what this looked like.
- 4:03Josh: So I wanted to include this picture because I think it's important to help understand the form factor.
- 4:08Josh: I think when a lot of people think about this, and when we first thought about
- 4:11Josh: it, it was more of a rounded shape just because if you're designing these things
- 4:14Josh: from first principles, that kind of made sense to put on a desk, right?
- 4:17Josh: Like if you're designing one of these devices, you want it to see, you want it to hear.
- 4:21Josh: What materials does that look like? What shape does it have to take?
- 4:24Josh: How do the cameras have to interact with the materials?
- 4:26Josh: We kind of concluded on this like little round puck
- 4:29Josh: shape it appears as if the shape is wrong but the sensors are still
- 4:32Josh: correct it still has the ability to see it still has the
- 4:34Josh: ability to hear and it still will likely be this always on thing it will just
- 4:39Josh: come in a form that's maybe a little more wearable as jewelry or fits easier
- 4:43Josh: into your pocket that's what it seems like this is and i took the ipod shuffle
- 4:47Josh: first generation because ijaz if you notice on that image it actually has a
- 4:51Josh: little string around it to put around your neck and to wear it.
- 4:55Josh: So this has actually been done before in the very first generation of the iPod.
- 5:00Josh: What happens if you take this very portable device and you just add the new
- 5:04Josh: 21st century technology that wasn't available when this thing first came out?
- 5:07Josh: You get something that can see, that can hear, that can speak back to you.
- 5:11Josh: And it creates this really interesting thing. Now we have some renderings of
- 5:14Josh: what people suspect this will look like.
- 5:16Josh: Ejaz, how do you imagine this actually plays out when we get it?
- 5:20Ejaaz: Well, it's really interesting. The number one term that's used to describe this
- 5:24Ejaaz: new advice since the news came out is pen.
- 5:27Ejaaz: And so the code name for this device, by the way, is Gumdrop.
- 5:31Ejaaz: The concepts people have drawn up is literally a pen.
- 5:34Ejaaz: And it kind of looks like, Josh, I don't know whether you ever bought one of these junk tech things.
- 5:39Ejaaz: But do you remember the pens that had a USB-C?
- 5:42Ejaaz: Sorry, USB-C. A USB stick within them?
- 5:45Ejaaz: They were like really chunky pens and you could write and then you could unscrew
- 5:48Ejaaz: the cap and suddenly, wow hey you've got like a memory stick here this kind
- 5:52Ejaaz: of looks like that and i and i hope it's it's not something like that but i
- 5:56Ejaaz: i get what they're going for and and here's my take um
- 6:00Ejaaz: One, I kind of weirdly like that it's not another screen.
- 6:05Ejaaz: I'm tired of like having like a laptop and then a cell phone and then you had like the Apple iWatch.
- 6:11Ejaaz: There's too many screens involved here. I like that they've gone with a potentially
- 6:14Ejaaz: kind of a non-impactful device that I can just kind of put down and not acknowledge,
- 6:21Ejaaz: but is still so aware of everything.
- 6:23Ejaaz: It's consuming maybe audio that I'm ingesting or it's seeing what I'm seeing.
- 6:28Ejaaz: I quite like the hands-off approach.
- 6:31Ejaaz: Number two, I like that it's mini.
- 6:34Ejaaz: It's funny. You mentioned that the pen could potentially be on a piece of string
- 6:40Ejaaz: like we're showing on the screen here with the iPod Shuffle.
- 6:43Ejaaz: It's giving me a friend.com vibes, Josh. Do you remember that device where it's like a pendant?
- 6:48Josh: I do it a little round circle. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 6:50Ejaaz: Exactly. Well, it's like a pendant that goes around your neck.
- 6:53Ejaaz: I'm kind of hoping it's not going to look like that. it's going to look like
- 6:56Ejaaz: a weird kind of jade totem crystal type thing.
- 6:59Ejaaz: But I appreciate that it's going to be non-impactful.
- 7:03Ejaaz: And then my other thought about this is I like that it is ingesting types of
- 7:09Ejaaz: data, which I'm not usually focused on. Okay, so what do I mean by that?
- 7:14Ejaaz: Humans to date have been the processes of information, right?
- 7:18Ejaaz: So we ingest all of this audio and visual stuff, We process it in our brain,
- 7:22Ejaaz: and then we stuff it into a laptop or a mobile phone. It comes in the form of text.
- 7:27Ejaaz: It comes in the form of TikToks that we film or whatever, but it's pre-processed in our human brains.
- 7:33Ejaaz: What's different with this device is it'll do the processing for us because
- 7:37Ejaaz: we've built this kind of like AI model already. And that's what's super exciting for me.
- 7:41Josh: Yeah. If we look at that pen again, I feel like I can say with almost 100% conviction
- 7:46Josh: that it will not actually be a pen.
- 7:49Josh: A pen, like if I put myself in Johnny's shoes, a pen is such a horrible form
- 7:53Josh: factor. There's so many different types of pens.
- 7:54Josh: There's fountain pens. There's the like different tips for pens.
- 7:57Josh: There's different inks for pens. There's this huge preference stack that people
- 8:00Josh: have and feel very strongly about because they've been writing with pens their whole life.
- 8:03Josh: And trying to cater to those people without creating a huge amount of SKUs that
- 8:08Josh: satisfy the preferences of each one of these people seems very complicated.
- 8:12Josh: How do you choose the quality of the ink?
- 8:13Josh: How do you replace the ink when it goes out? It just adds too much complexity
- 8:17Josh: to a device that should not be that complex.
- 8:19Josh: But I think the form factor is probably some hybrid between the pen and the
- 8:23Josh: iPod shuffle, like a pendant type thing.
- 8:25Josh: It makes sense. And then we have to talk about like the bet,
- 8:28Josh: like why are they doing this EJS? And you started touching on parts of that.
- 8:31Josh: But the idea is that currently the phone is it's intentional computing right now.
- 8:35Josh: You have to go seek these things out or perhaps they come to you,
- 8:38Josh: but they come to you in a noisy way.
- 8:39Josh: Where you go to your phone to send a text message, you go to do a Google search,
- 8:42Josh: you go to check social media or check whatever algorithm is going to keep you hooked on this device.
- 8:49Josh: These AI hardware devices, particularly this one without a screen,
- 8:52Josh: it aims for this ambient computing.
- 8:54Josh: It's something that's always there. It's always listening. It's always seeing.
- 8:57Josh: And it's not only waiting to help, but it's proactively seeking ways in which it can help.
- 9:03Josh: And we've seen this previously through a feature that OpenAI actually released
- 9:07Josh: in the past called Pulse, where if you remember Pulse, what it does overnight
- 9:11Josh: is it'll take all the queries that you had from the previous day.
- 9:14Josh: It'll do some extra research. It'll kind of figure out what you're most likely
- 9:17Josh: to be curious about the following day.
- 9:19Josh: And then you wake up in the morning and it'll have all the answers and all of
- 9:22Josh: these unique facts and things that you didn't know you wanted presented to you first thing.
- 9:27Josh: And it's this really valuable resource in the first step that they're taking
- 9:30Josh: towards becoming this predictive ambient AI that knows what you want before you even ask for it.
- 9:37Josh: Now, a second thing is happening that is confirming these suspicions.
- 9:39Josh: And it's the company shakeup that's actually happening within OpenAI right now.
- 9:43Josh: There are recent reports that happened earlier this week, and it talked about
- 9:47Josh: the shakeup that they're doing towards creating a better voice team.
- 9:51Ejaaz: Yeah, and I think this is the perfect time for a device like this to come out
- 9:55Ejaaz: because AI models aren't just LLMs anymore.
- 9:59Ejaaz: They ingest video and produce video. They ingest audio and produce audio to
- 10:04Ejaaz: a really good quality output.
- 10:06Ejaaz: I think Google's Gemini is probably the best or the leader here,
- 10:10Ejaaz: right? They've got VO3 on the video side.
- 10:12Ejaaz: They have translation AIs and they have one of the best LLMs there is out there.
- 10:16Ejaaz: And it all kind of combines and melds into this one product,
- 10:19Ejaaz: into this one model, which can kind of spit out any type of medium for you, right?
- 10:24Ejaaz: If you had a device that now ingests all of those different types of data that
- 10:28Ejaaz: is around you, you'll probably end up having a richer AI experience.
- 10:32Ejaaz: So I think that's what OpenAI is really going for. It's not like this fancy
- 10:35Ejaaz: device that kind of like does a crazy magic tricks for you. It's kind of like
- 10:39Ejaaz: an advanced sensor that can speak to you and hear and see the things that you guys see.
- 10:44Ejaaz: And actually, on that note, a bit of evidence that broke out this week is that
- 10:50Ejaaz: OpenAI is working on a new voice model.
- 10:53Ejaaz: And this was leaked by the information where basically, if you've ever used
- 10:57Ejaaz: ChatGPT or if you're, I don't know if you need to be a pro user to get this.
- 11:00Ejaaz: I think anyone can actually use it.
- 11:02Ejaaz: But there's a smart voice mode where you can basically talk to ChatGPT and it
- 11:06Ejaaz: is really, really good. In fact, there's like zero hesitation between me stopping
- 11:10Ejaaz: talking and then someone responding for me.
- 11:13Ejaaz: But then if I interrupt, it kind of there's this awkward interjection where
- 11:16Ejaaz: it kind of like stops and starts.
- 11:18Ejaaz: This new voice model is basically going to be like superior as if you're speaking
- 11:22Ejaaz: to a natural human in normal human tones. But also it'll be perfected for the
- 11:28Ejaaz: device that they're building and releasing later this year.
- 11:31Josh: Yeah. So why is 2026 the year of AI hardware? I guess to summarize,
- 11:36Josh: there's these three converging forces.
- 11:38Josh: There's, like you mentioned earlier, AI becoming multimodal.
- 11:40Josh: It has voice, vision, context.
- 11:42Josh: And the hardware part suddenly makes sense.
- 11:45Josh: Then there's people who are just tired of screens.
- 11:48Josh: Everyone is just kind of sick at scrolling. I don't know if they're sick,
- 11:51Josh: but they're getting sick by scrolling Instagram, TikTok, Twitter, the whole thing.
- 11:54Josh: It's just screens are very invasive. And there's very few passive ambient technologies
- 11:59Josh: that don't ask for your attention.
- 12:01Josh: Instead, they deliver you value. And then three is the distribution plus platform power.
- 12:05Josh: I mean, the next battle of who owns the AI interface isn't just the model, it's the entire stack.
- 12:11Josh: It's the, is it used on your mobile apps? Is it used, how do you inject yourself
- 12:16Josh: into more of these people's lives?
- 12:17Josh: And I think the distribution and platform power is something that OpenAI has
- 12:20Josh: a huge advantage when it comes to.
- 12:22Ejaaz: Josh, how much do you think this, if you had to guess, this device would cost? Yeah.
- 12:28Josh: I suspect it'll be under $200. And my hope is that it'll be under $100.
- 12:33Josh: And the reasoning is because OpenAI, I mean, by the time they release this,
- 12:37Josh: they might have one and a half billion weekly active users.
- 12:40Josh: It's this astronomically large user base.
- 12:43Josh: And OpenAI, if no one knows this, they haven't exactly produced hardware in the past.
- 12:47Josh: They don't have the distribution. They don't have the supply chain that a company
- 12:51Josh: like Apple has, where they can create tens to hundreds of millions of iPhones every single year.
- 12:56Josh: So the way you get around this is to dumb down the device to a point in which
- 13:00Josh: you can manufacture it at scale in a cost-effective way without needing to create any sort of,
- 13:07Josh: very eccentric frontier technology that is required for production.
- 13:12Josh: Like with glasses, it's very cutting edge. It's very difficult because it's a hardware problem.
- 13:16Josh: With OpenAI's device, I suspect they will make the hardware be basically trivial.
- 13:21Josh: I mean, you just need a few sensors. You need a camera, you need a gyroscope, you need a microphone.
- 13:25Josh: And the hope is that it will actually be underwhelming to a lot of people.
- 13:28Josh: When you see the final form, it's probably going to look pretty dumb.
- 13:30Josh: It's not going to be this crazy, beautiful, fancy device.
- 13:33Josh: It's just going to be a device that is going to be supercharged by the software
- 13:37Josh: stack instead of cutting-edge manufacturing techniques on the hardware.
- 13:40Ejaaz: Well also glasses are super
- 13:43Ejaaz: imposing on the average user right you're going over the most
- 13:46Ejaaz: sensitive uh organ of their of their entire body which is like their eyes which
- 13:51Ejaaz: they use every day right it's very personal whereas the hardware device that
- 13:54Ejaaz: open air is working on appears hidden yet present if that if that makes sense
- 14:00Ejaaz: yeah the other point I'll make is it definitely makes sense for it to be cheaper.
- 14:05Ejaaz: I see this as kind of like how Amazon priced Alexa or Google priced,
- 14:11Ejaaz: I've forgotten what their hardware device is actually,
- 14:14Ejaaz: but the point is you want to get this out to as many users as you can and if
- 14:17Ejaaz: you want to do that you probably need to price it really attractively.
- 14:20Ejaaz: You're not going to price this like an expensive iPhone, at least in the first
- 14:25Ejaaz: wave of getting this device.
- 14:26Ejaaz: You want to get it into as many people hands as possible because the feedback
- 14:30Ejaaz: loop for OpenAI is they, in return,
- 14:33Ejaaz: all this amazing data, which they can then make a crazy model for the future. So it makes sense.
- 14:39Ejaaz: But Josh, it hasn't prevented people from releasing more smart glasses.
- 14:45Josh: Nobody learns, man. I swear. And nobody looks at the previous failures and says,
- 14:51Josh: oh, maybe I shouldn't try that.
- 14:53Josh: They're just doing the same thing over and over again. And every single time it fails miserably.
- 14:57Josh: And not to ruin the plot here, but there's a
- 15:00Josh: new glasses company that was announced this week called pickle
- 15:03Josh: one the first soul computer they're calling
- 15:06Josh: it don't ask me what a soul computer what's a soul computer josh
- 15:10Josh: i have no clue dude they're just trying to market this
- 15:13Josh: thing and the marketing video was quite good i mean the glasses if you
- 15:16Josh: ask me they look beautiful on screen we're looking at these kind of futuristic silver
- 15:19Josh: glasses with clear lenses and the demo looked awesome it was this like really
- 15:24Josh: cool overlay into the real world and it showed you these like like rideshare
- 15:29Josh: instructions and navigation and it's everything that we dream an augmented reality
- 15:33Josh: device will be the unfortunate reality was is that this demo,
- 15:38Josh: wasn't even a demo it was just kind of this computer graphic imaging to make
- 15:43Josh: it look like a demo to sell the vision of something that doesn't exist and this
- 15:47Josh: came in the form of this kind of expose if you will you just if you want to
- 15:52Josh: share the details that came from within this and why in particular,
- 15:55Josh: this is still an impossibility.
- 15:57Ejaaz: Yeah, so basically this guy called Matthew Dowd, who has been kind of like the
- 16:02Ejaaz: most vocal opponent to this Pickle 1 announcement, which got everyone excited,
- 16:08Ejaaz: basically pointed out some simple things, which is like, huh,
- 16:12Ejaaz: in theory, if you wanted to create a pair of glasses that look like this,
- 16:15Ejaaz: you would need to get the costs of these components down
- 16:19Ejaaz: Five to 10x from what it is currently today. So he kind of basically pushed
- 16:24Ejaaz: back, he found some inaccuracies on the website versus what the founder was
- 16:28Ejaaz: also pitching in his demo video as well, and vocally on X.
- 16:32Ejaaz: So he these kind of discrepancies plus his expertise in hardware basically pointed
- 16:36Ejaaz: out that this pickle device is probably not real.
- 16:39Ejaaz: And it points towards a team that hasn't really figured out how they're going
- 16:43Ejaaz: to build these glasses. And this kind of like, reflects a lot of the conversation
- 16:47Ejaaz: you and I have had on AI hardware glasses, Josh, which is in concept,
- 16:51Ejaaz: in theory, it sounds great.
- 16:53Ejaaz: And Meta has probably been the only company that's got the closest to putting
- 16:58Ejaaz: out something that is actually real.
- 17:00Ejaaz: Although we saw that transpire really badly in real time on stage when they
- 17:05Ejaaz: demoed the product and three out of five of their demos completely flopped.
- 17:09Ejaaz: And the ones that did work also kind of sucked.
- 17:12Ejaaz: So it's not really useful for you and we don't think it's
- 17:15Ejaaz: practical or i don't think it's practical right now to be able to build something
- 17:18Ejaaz: like this now has this random dude in south korea uh calling his product pickle
- 17:24Ejaaz: pulled it out the bag maybe um he's kind of quoted to use a snapdragon processor
- 17:30Ejaaz: which is a qualcomm based chip uh maybe he's figured something out um
- 17:35Ejaaz: From the visual side of things, Josh, I don't know about you,
- 17:38Ejaaz: but I don't really like the look of this.
- 17:40Ejaaz: It's giving a Google Glass version one, which is funny because Google Glass
- 17:44Ejaaz: is supposedly going to be releasing their V2 sometime this quarter as well.
- 17:48Ejaaz: Excited to see what this is.
- 17:49Ejaaz: Now, to kind of like put my other hat on this, Josh, like, listen,
- 17:52Ejaaz: I'm not going to buy Pickle. I've been burned already with the Vets for Brakepads display.
- 17:57Ejaaz: But why do you think so many companies are focused on building glasses.
- 18:03Ejaaz: Like, it seems kind of weird that you have like, what, four,
- 18:07Ejaaz: five major companies and some startups focusing solely on the visual aspect
- 18:11Ejaaz: on these glasses form factor.
- 18:13Ejaaz: We even speculated that that's the most likely probable device.
- 18:16Ejaaz: And then you have OpenAI kind of going with this pendant approach.
- 18:19Ejaaz: Like, do you think both companies or both approaches are wrong or one is more right than the other?
- 18:23Josh: I actually think both approaches are right. I think the timing is wrong.
- 18:28Josh: And I actually, I shared one of the posts that I shared because it made sense
- 18:31Josh: when you build hardware, there's, you can win on two merits, right?
- 18:36Josh: You have either manufacturing innovation or software novelty.
- 18:40Josh: And if you don't have one of those two things, your competitors become Apple,
- 18:44Josh: Google, Meta, OpenAI, who's trying to build this manufacturing innovation themselves.
- 18:50Josh: So Pickle is unfortunately coming with neither of those things.
- 18:53Josh: It has no breakthrough manufacturing techniques? Or does it have any software
- 18:57Josh: novelty that creates this.
- 18:58Josh: Amazingly magical experience. So therefore, they're competing directly with
- 19:02Josh: Meta, directly with Apple on supply chains that they very much have a monopoly
- 19:06Josh: on when it comes to the cutting edge, when it comes to these two nanometer chips
- 19:10Josh: that are so small, and they're the only things that are possible for glasses.
- 19:13Josh: The problem is that they just don't have that.
- 19:16Josh: OpenAI, on the other hand, is taking the opposite approach. They are taking
- 19:19Josh: the non-elegant or perhaps non-complex hardware approach in hopes that they
- 19:24Josh: will have unbelievable software novelty.
- 19:26Josh: They'll give you this tiny little device. It's not going to look that flashy,
- 19:30Josh: but the idea is that the software behind it will be so impressive that it will
- 19:33Josh: stand out amongst the pack.
- 19:35Josh: It's very clear to me, and I think everyone, that glasses are a form factor
- 19:38Josh: of the future, and they have a very promising future.
- 19:41Josh: It's just the technology to manufacture them at scale, at a quality that is
- 19:45Josh: acceptable to the average user, is not there, nor will it be there really soon.
- 19:49Josh: It's very difficult technology.
- 19:51Josh: There's a lot of complex problems to solve, and it's very expensive to solve
- 19:53Josh: them. So I don't feel good about it.
- 19:56Ejaaz: It's funny. I think my major takeaway from this discussion with you is the only
- 20:01Ejaaz: thing that's certain is the uncertainty of the next few years and what these
- 20:05Ejaaz: devices are going to look like.
- 20:06Ejaaz: We are just going to be in uncharted territory, and it's going to take a few
- 20:10Ejaaz: different versions of these devices to kind of nail it.
- 20:13Ejaaz: Because let's be frank, AI models aren't at their end form right now, right?
- 20:18Ejaaz: We're going from LLMs to these kind of weird voice.
- 20:21Ejaaz: And now, oh, wait, it's spitting out video and Nano Banana from Google can edit
- 20:25Ejaaz: images. And we've got to combine and package all of these multimodal types of
- 20:30Ejaaz: things into a singular experience. And that's going to be aided by some kind of a device.
- 20:34Ejaaz: Now, we can speculate all we want about whether it's going to be glasses or
- 20:37Ejaaz: whether it's going to be some kind of puck device or a pendant.
- 20:41Ejaaz: We don't know. And I'm just excited that these companies are investing billions
- 20:45Ejaaz: of dollars to try and figure this problem out, because I think it's going to
- 20:48Ejaaz: be the cell phone moment.
- 20:50Ejaaz: I think it's going to be the PC moment and I cannot wait to live through all three of those, right?
- 20:54Ejaaz: It's going to be kind of technology supercharged. But listen,
- 20:58Ejaaz: I do have one request, Josh. What's that? As long as it doesn't look like this.
- 21:03Ejaaz: As long as it doesn't look like some kind of pin device that I slap on my shirt
- 21:08Ejaaz: and that I have to hold my hand out. Do you remember the humane pin?
- 21:12Josh: Yeah, to quote Marques Brownlee, the worst product I've ever reviewed.
- 21:16Josh: To me, the form factor here actually isn't the problem. And I think we do have
- 21:21Josh: a pretty clear view of what the form of these things is going to look like.
- 21:24Josh: We will have glasses. We will have this pendant shaped thing. We will have a TV.
- 21:29Josh: We will have a desktop device, a countertop device. The reality is, is it's distributed.
- 21:34Josh: It becomes a suite of devices. The wild card, the thing that is most exciting
- 21:38Josh: is how these devices actually deliver value to us.
- 21:42Josh: Like if we look at the Humane Pin, the reason why it was so bad isn't because
- 21:46Josh: the idea was bad. It was because the actual execution was so poor.
- 21:50Josh: It's that the hardware was kind of clunky.
- 21:53Josh: The software didn't actually deliver any real value. It took so much longer
- 21:56Josh: than your iPhone to generate the value that you wanted to extract from it.
- 21:59Josh: But if it actually delivered on the promises it made, I would have had one on my shirt right now.
- 22:04Josh: It would have been the best device there is. So the problem is it's a combination
- 22:08Josh: of both things. And we see it here again with the Rabbit R1.
- 22:11Josh: Oh my gosh, I almost forgot about this. Throwback.
- 22:14Ejaaz: Yeah, this was a device that was released in 2024 and kind of like projected
- 22:18Ejaaz: a lot of the concepts that we are talking about and discussing right now,
- 22:23Ejaaz: but in a really mundane and kind of like analog way.
- 22:29Ejaaz: It flopped. It ended up not becoming a thing. or I think maybe they're releasing
- 22:32Ejaaz: version two, but I get your point, Josh.
- 22:37Ejaaz: I think, I guess the way I think about it is
- 22:41Ejaaz: The end form is going to be chips in our brain.
- 22:46Ejaaz: And I know that sounds probably insane to a lot of you listening to this,
- 22:49Ejaaz: but it makes sense that like the human brain becomes the kind of end goal for
- 22:55Ejaaz: what a computer will be, right?
- 22:56Ejaaz: Instead of relying on glasses and mechanical hardware, we just use our own eyes
- 23:01Ejaaz: or an artificial brain that works with our brain.
- 23:03Ejaaz: So kind of like a human robot or human computer hybrid.
- 23:07Ejaaz: And so any kind of device that acts as a sensor to input and augment any kind
- 23:14Ejaaz: of information that we ingest that isn't just words, it could be audio,
- 23:19Ejaaz: it could be video, it could be any other form factor, makes sense.
- 23:23Ejaaz: And so I don't know whether it'll be a suite of these things.
- 23:26Ejaaz: It probably will be a suite of devices, I guess.
- 23:28Ejaaz: Maybe OpenAI becomes the sole supplier to all of these, or maybe we just buy
- 23:32Ejaaz: a bunch of devices from all different kinds of things.
- 23:34Ejaaz: I don't see the latter playing out because to your earlier point,
- 23:38Ejaaz: you kind of want the distribution and the platform if you want to own that kind
- 23:42Ejaaz: of cohesive experience.
- 23:44Ejaaz: So, you know, maybe this is the first of many devices from OpenAI.
- 23:47Josh: Yeah, it requires like a fundamental rethinking of the word device.
- 23:52Josh: Like if I could imagine what the future of this looks like, it actually becomes
- 23:56Josh: inverted where the device is the AI.
- 23:58Josh: It's the intelligence. and the intelligence is this modular thing that manifests
- 24:02Josh: itself through a suite of devices that's always around you.
- 24:06Josh: When you wear this pendant around your neck,
- 24:09Josh: it has the same exact context window as the TV on your screen,
- 24:12Josh: which is connected to the small desktop thing on your desk, which is connected
- 24:16Josh: to the display in your kitchen that is your like heads up display.
- 24:20Josh: It's all one universal thing.
- 24:22Josh: And the actual product becomes the hardware.
- 24:25Josh: It becomes your preference stack within that AI.
- 24:28Josh: So it really understands you deeply. And I think that is the way that we remove
- 24:32Josh: ourselves from the screens is by just putting this intelligence all around us.
- 24:36Josh: That's why it's considered ambient.
- 24:38Josh: It's because it's always there. It's always around us. And this OpenAI device
- 24:41Josh: is the first iteration of what that could look like, physically manifested as a product.
- 24:47Josh: So that's kind of it. That's where we're at. I'm hoping that they're going to
- 24:51Josh: release this thing or tease this thing sometime this year.
- 24:54Josh: It's moving slow, but progress is being made. And we were finally starting to
- 24:57Josh: get some leaks, which means it's at least going into tooling.
- 25:00Josh: They're figuring out where they want to manufacture it.
- 25:02Josh: Things are happening here. And I'm really excited for them to happen in a big way. Thank you.
- 25:06Ejaaz: Yeah, I think optimistically, we're going to see what this device release might
- 25:11Ejaaz: look like, I think in Q3 or Q4 of this year, which would be crazy.
- 25:16Ejaaz: They're already engaged in manufacturing contracts with Foxconn in Vietnam.
- 25:20Ejaaz: And rumors say that they also might be building a manufacturing plant in the US as well.
- 25:26Ejaaz: The reason why it was delayed in the first place, fun fact, was because it was in China.
- 25:29Ejaaz: And as you know, America doesn't really get along with China of right now,
- 25:32Ejaaz: especially in this AI race. So it's important to have everything onshore.
- 25:36Ejaaz: But yeah, that is it. I cannot wait to get my hands on one of these devices, Josh.
- 25:40Ejaaz: We have been speculating about this stuff for six months now.
- 25:45Ejaaz: And it would be nice to get a device in our hands that we can kind of like play
- 25:48Ejaaz: around with and maybe even bring onto the show and augment this entire experience for you guys.
- 25:55Josh: That is it. I have two hopes for this year.
- 25:59Josh: One of them is that we get to see what this open AI device is.
- 26:02Josh: The second one is that we get a good pair of glasses. My God.
- 26:05Josh: Can someone please make a good pair of glasses?
- 26:07Ejaaz: Google Glass 2. I don't care who makes it. I'm holding out. I don't care who makes it.
- 26:10Josh: Make it good. Make it so that I can put it on my face. I want so badly to wear
- 26:14Josh: glasses, but every product sucks.
- 26:16Josh: So whatever we've got to do, figure it out, deploy those. Those are the two
- 26:19Josh: things I will be stoked in the world of AI hardware.
- 26:21Josh: If we get glasses and this ambient device from OpenAI.
- 26:25Josh: But that's the hardware update. That's what's going on. Now you know about as
- 26:28Josh: much as we do, about as much as everybody except for Sam and Johnny,
- 26:31Josh: who are in the lab, hopefully cooking up something remarkable.
- 26:34Josh: And we'll just, we'll stay up to date with all these things as always.
- 26:38Josh: And see you guys in the next episode.
- 26:40Ejaaz: Don't forget to like and subscribe, turn on the notifications,
- 26:44Ejaaz: subscribe to our newsletter, all of those things, please.
- 26:46Ejaaz: Lots more information coming to you pretty soon. See you folks.