Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | The Cup | MLB & WNBA & World Cup Final | 7/19/26

Transcript

Sunday BEST BETS | The Cup | MLB & WNBA & World Cup Final | 7/19/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your checks.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: The black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 3: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet? Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 4: No, hold on, hold on, nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: Nice not now.
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: Hold on, Hold on.
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: Me, but it don't get the crowd.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: Stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: Toad Steel Sports Sunday, July nineteenth. We got the World
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: Cup Final to talk about here yesterday one and two
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: on the show. Do not listen to me, as I
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: told you July August. Baseball is always terrible for me,
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: Like I should just skip the months entirely. I'm trying
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: to win money here. I don't know what to tell you.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: Lozardo was actually good yesterday. That game still had a
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: chance to go over with Philly scoring some runs late
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: still didn't happen, and Max Meyer wasn't really that good.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: Miami's bullpen really also hurt that big time that still
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: had a chance to go under. Even though the first
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: few innings a bunch of runs came home, there was
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: still a chance to hit the under in that Marlins game.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: Like the middle of the game, no runs scored, and
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: then the Marlins bullpen had to implode late. So that's
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: just great. We did win in the WNBA with the
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: Washington Mystics. They covered probably should have won the game outright.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: I think they covered wire to wire. I'm pretty sure.
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: I don't think there was any point where they weren't
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: covering in that game. I think they should have won outright.
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: They won the rebound battle. There were a few outliers
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: I think three pointers, free throws that kind of screwed
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: them in the game. They had the lead in the
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: fourth quarter, they could have won and it did not happen.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: That would have helped because I always recommend putting money
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: on the underdog money line. What can you do? I
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: wouldn't listen to what I have to say today. I'm
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: gonna have a bunch of baseball plays here today and
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: it's probably gonna go terribly yet again, I mean, I
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: skipped that under in the Marlins game two days ago
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: and that was a winner, and then, of course yesterday's wasn't. Today,
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a bunch of first five plays. I
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: don't know what I'm doing, man, And there are a
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: few other games on the board that I like and
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: I haven't put them on my card. I don't know.
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm picking all the wrong games here. I don't
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: know what else to tell you, Baseball, we can get
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: into this. I guess White Sox, Toronto and Peacock is
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: the first game up at twelve fifteen Eastern. These teams
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: will split the series of arm I'm pretty sure, so
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: this is gonna be for the series win. On the surface,
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: it looks like a good pitching matchup, and that is
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: kind of what I'm looking at in this one. I
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: almost put this one on my card. Here. White Sox
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: only us two relief pitchers. Yesterday Toronto used three. I
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: think these bullpens could get the job done here. Potentially.
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: The White Sox are eighteenth in bullpen is pretty good,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: though it's less than four. Toronto they're eleventh and bullpen.
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen's been decent as well, maybe better than decent.
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: Toronto's offense has not been good to twenty sixth. White
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Sox offense is tenth tied with the Rays, so they've
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: been a capable offense. But again, I go back to
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: this pitching matchup here, and that's what it looks like
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: to me. It looks like a good pitching matchup. Sean
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: Burke is pitching for the White Sox. He might be
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: their best starter. I mean, he's been really good, especially recently,
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: but his overall numbers are good. Three point four to
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: one ERA, one point one to seven WHIP, he's been
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: really good on the road, two point eight to nine
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: roady RA. He's been excellent. And his two starts this
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: month twenty strikeouts and no walks in thirteen innings, allowing
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: two runs one run in each start, going six innings
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: or more in each. White Sox have won five straight
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: starts of his Yeah, I'd say that's pretty good, and
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: seven of his last eight and the only lost in
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: there was against the Dodgers. And he's allowed two or
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: fewer on runs in five starts in a row. One
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: of them was against the Yankees, one was against the A's,
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: two of them were against Cleveland though. But yeah, he's
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: pitching well and he has good numbers against Toronto as
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: well in thirty two at bats two nineteen average allowed
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: six forty nine ops. I think Burke should continue what
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: he's doing. I mean, he's in really good form right now.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: He's got good numbers here against Toronto, so that looks good.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: Trey Is Savage is pitching for Toronto. He's kind of
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: the reason why I'm holding off on the under here
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: because if you couldn't tell I like the under in
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: this game, you Savage. I mean he's good a three
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: point seven two ERA one point one six whip. He's
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: been a little bit worse at home though, four point
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: one five ray at home. And my worry with him
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: is the walks. I mean, he went into San Diego
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: last time out, he walks seven guys in one and
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: two thirds innings. That is kind of a red flag
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: to me, dude, I don't know what else to say
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: about it. I think this game should go under. I
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: think he Savage is good, but he's the main reason
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: why I'm staying away from it. Like this walk number
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: is just crazy bad. He's had a few really really
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: bad performances with his command recently, so I don't know
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: what else to say about it. Although generally I think
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: he is good. He's got a really low hit rate.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is way too high, though that's this
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: one issue. Really, his strikeout rate is okay, and he's
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: never been seen before by the White Sox, so I
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: do talk about how a young talented pitcher does have
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: an advantage against the lineup that hasn't seen him before,
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: so he should have that unfamiliarity edge for Burke for
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: his overall numbers. By the way, Burke does have a
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: low hit rate, reasonably low walk rate, and a high
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate, so that all looks good. I still think
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: the under is probably the way to play this seventy
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: four percent of tickets ninety three percent of the cash
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: on the over eight, though I could see the argument
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: for the first five as well. Though I think both
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: bullpens are decent and not he might be able to
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: keep them in and go full game under. With this,
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't disagree with the White Sox either. They're getting
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: the money sixty two percent ticket, seventy three percent of
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: the cash on the White Sox at about minus one twenty,
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: maybe a little bit less than that. I think Burke,
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: just the way he's been pitching, he's in way better
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: form than you, Savage right now, so I think he
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: does have the upper hand here and we have actual
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: numbers to look at with him in the matchup in
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: they're good, maybe a first five playing on the White
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: Sox is. I do still think their bullpen is the
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: lesser of the two, so White Sox first five makes sense.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: But I almost put the under in this game on
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: my card, and a first five under again does make
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: some sense as well, But for that one, I think
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: full game under would be my lean, and it almost
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: made the cut for me. Yankees and Dodgers are playing
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: a double header because the game got rained out yesterday.
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: I believe, even though it's not announced, I am assuming
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: the first game is just gonna be the same pitching
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: matchup it was supposed to be yesterday, which was Emmett
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: She against Ryan Weathers, which you can go watch my
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: show yesterday. I handicapped it. I would say the same
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: things again here, just these teams were off yesterday, so
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: that's just gonna rest the bullpens and maybe hurt the
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: offense is a little bit more coming into game one.
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: I didn't really have a strong opinion on it though,
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: because She and the Weathers are both decent pitchers. Think
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: they're both better than people think they are. The total
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: in this game is not high, but I kind of
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: lean over in that game, even though I know the
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: bullpens are good, the bullpen's are rested. Yankees are the
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: number three bullpen right now, but then the number one
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: bullpeny Ra. Dodgers are ranked sixth in bullpen. They're not
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: quite as good, but they're good. Dodgers on the number
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: one offense, Yankees are number six. Yankees offense has been
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: struggling recently, though, Like I said yesterday, the fact that
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: the Yankees couldn't even do anything at home against Sasaki
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: the other day is probably not a great sign. Still,
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: though I don't know. This game seems more like an
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: over to me than anything else, though, but I would
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: not actually play a plus it is a low total.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: Where is this game the totals actually, well, no, it's not.
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: It's a eight and a half. Never mind ESPN was
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: shown seven and a half. But yeah, they eight and
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: a half. That leads me to believe it is probably
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: gonna be that same pitching matchup that plus, the starters
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: are announced for the night game already because they're playing
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: in the Peacock night game tonight, I think for the
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: second of the double header. I think they were already
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: scheduled to be in that, so they're just continuing to
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: do that. So they're gonna have a noontime game basically,
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: and then and then a late game. And I'm going
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: to have a play in the late game. By the way,
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: you probably already can guess what it is. But in
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: this first game, Money is hitting the over a little bit,
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: and it's slightly on the Dodgers. Dodgers, it looks like
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: they're basically a pickham price, but the Dodgers are also public.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: I got nothing on him. You can go again watch
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: yesterday's show to see how I handicap that matchup. But
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: I just don't. Yeah, I don't have a good read
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: on that game won there. Next game up, I will
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: have a play on Mets Philadelphia, and this is going
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: to be for the series here. And this is the
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: last game that I got right in baseball was the
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: Mets in Game one of this series. I thought it
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: was a good situation, good pitching matchup, and we're gonna
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: take the Mets again here. Mets on the money line
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: is gonna move My play here, we'll go full game
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: with it again. I think they have a bullpen edge
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: against the Phillies here. I believe the Phillies did bounce
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: back with a win yesterday. Oh yeah, they did. Because
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: we were on the over in that game and it
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: did not happen. The Mets could not do anything. Philly
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: only used three relief pitchers yesterday. The Mets only used two, though,
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: and one of them was long relief man Sanga. So
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: the Mets bullpen, I mean they've they've been struggling more recently.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: They're still ranked ninth though they're a decent bullpen. The
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: Phillies are ranked nineteenth, not as good as the Mets.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: So I think we can leave the Mets bullpen in
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: this equation. Mets offense, I know they're not good at
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: twenty eighth, Philly twenty fourth, all struggling this year. Philly
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: is better at home, but they're gonna have to deal
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: with Nolan McLain here man, And this is the main
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: reason why we're gonna do it. We're going with Nolan
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: the main brain McLane. I don't know that's an acatine
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: hunger for us reference. Maybe he's good at trivia. I
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: don't know. I like McClain though. Man, he's good. A
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: three point five two ERA one point one two whip.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: Not John McClain from die Hard. I was talking to
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: my dad about die Hard yesterday. I don't even remember
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: how it came up. But mclan's been good. He's been
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: even better on the road two point five to five
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: Roady Ray, so we get the better of his home
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: road splits here. He's been good recently, two three starts
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: in a row along two or fewer earned runs, going
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: six innings in each of them. That's pretty good. He's
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: got a low hit rate on the season. His walk
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: rates reasonably low as well. Strikeout rate is high, so
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: he's fooling hitters. He's been good. He did face Philly,
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: I think earlier in the season. Where was that. I'm
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: pretty sure he did, right O, No, I guess he did.
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: I thought he did. I guess I'm wrong he didn't.
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: He has some numbers against Philly, though, and they're pretty good.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: On twenty nine at bats, they have no extra base
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: hits against him, one seventy two average, three ninety eight ohps,
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: six to two strike out walk ratio. So yeah, I
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: think McClain could do well here. He's a talented young
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: pitcher and there's a reason why the Mets are favored. Man, Like,
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: the public is gonna come in on this, even though
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: McClain is good. The public is not going to lay
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: a favorite price with the Mets. Like, how could the
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: Mets be favored when they have a way worse record
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: than Philadelphia. They've been one of the biggest disappointments of
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: the season. Oddsmakers is still telling you that they're supposed
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: to win this game. They have the better pitcher on
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: the mound. They're not as bad of a team as
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: people think they are. Philadelphia is going with Alan Ron
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: Hell on the mound. Who Alan run Hell. He's a
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: converted reliever. Basically, I don't expect a whole lot here
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: from him. Four point one to nine ERA, one point
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: four whip. He does have a zero ERA at home,
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: but again, I just don't even think he's gonna go
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: that deep into this game. He's only made it five
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: innings once this season. He's only made five appearances if
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Philly has lost all five of those games. Every game
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: has appeared and he's lost, and his worst one was
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: against the Mets, by the way, on the road. He
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: went four innings, gave up four runs, well debatably his worst.
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: I guess the most runs he gave up was against
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: the Mets. So the Mets have seen him fairly recently,
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: and the Mets have done okay against him. They have
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: fourteen at bats. I know it's not a big sample,
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: but they have a two eighty six average, eight H
• 13:31
  Speaker 2: four ohps against him, three to two strike out walk ratio.
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: I don't think the Mets are gonna be thrown off
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: by him, and it's likely that Philly is probably gonna
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: be the first team to have to dip into their bullpen.
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: So I like how it sets up for the Mets here.
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure the market agrees with me on this
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: as well. Uh yes, big time Philly. Sixty two percent
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: of the tickets on them. Public seems to like, Oh
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: I get Philly as an underdog. Oh all right again,
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: I'm I am going completely against that. It looks really
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: weird like that the oddsmakers are telling you something, although
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: I think it's To me, it just seems obvious. Like
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: my first instinct I looked at this game, I'm like, oh, yeah,
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: this is a good pitching matchup for the Mets here
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: ninety four percent of the cash on the Mets that'll
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: be playing number one. We'll take the Mets on the
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: money line in that one at about minus one thirty.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: I know we have to get a little bit juicy
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: on a couple of these favorites today, but that's the
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: way I'm doing it. I have three plays in a
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: row here, by the way, so a lot of games
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: that I like early here Tampa Bay and Boston. We're
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: gonna give out a play in this one too. This
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: is gonna be a total and we're gonna go under
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: four in the first five in this one. I like
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: to started pitching in this one. Man. I don't really
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: like the bullpens in this one, and people might not
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: want to do this, but the bullpens. Remember these teams
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: played a doubleheader two days ago, so the bullpens are
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: not really fully rested here, and Tampa Bay went to
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: their bullpen pretty early yesterday. It was a crazy game,
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: by the way, if nobody saw that kind of a
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: back and forth game. Tampa Bay was winning six to
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: three and the Red Sox finally won a game where
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: they were losing by three or more. The Red Sox
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: had not won a game when they were down three
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: or more all season until they did it yesterday. They
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: overcame a three run deposit four runs in the seventh
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: inning and won the game, and the bullpen held. Red
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: Sox used Chapman two games in a row, though, so
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: I think I want to take the bullpens out. Even
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: though the Red Sox are good bullpen, they're fairly well
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: rested still too, even though they used a lot of
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: guys on Friday, they used three guys yesterday, but Chapman
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: highly likely to be unavailable in the game today. Tampa
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: Bay used five relief pitchers, so their bullpen doesn't look
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: great right now either. Seymour was out of the game
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: fairly early yesterday, even though he wasn't really that bad.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: But the Red Sox have the better bullpen overall their
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: number two. They have the second best ERA, tied with
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: tie with Atlanta. Tampa Bay. They're at seventh in bullpen whip,
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: but their ERA is not that good, so I don't
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: think Tampa is quite that good in the bullpen, although
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to go full game under on this,
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: I would still agree with that. I just think the
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: first five looks a little better here, especially giving the
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: bullpen rest scenario here Boston, they've been moving up offensively.
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: They're twentieth now, so they've been hitting better recently. They
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: have some guys that are coming around offensively, especially Caleb Durban,
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: so that's decent for them. Tampa Bay tenth in offense,
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: tied with the White Sox. So we know the Red
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: Sox pitching has been pretty much the best in baseball.
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, they have a bunch of injuries and they're
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: still pitching well, although Sandoval wasn't good yesterday, but he
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: gave up some kind of cheap hits yesterday too. Man
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: and to me, it feels like the energy is back
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: for the Red Sox. By the way, they've won twelve
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: games in a row now. Red Sox, by the way,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: they are on the verge of a sweep, So keep
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: that in mind. I talk about this all the time.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: When you're looking at a team to avoid a sweep,
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: which is the case with Tampa Bay here, they're usually
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: little extra motivated, so sometimes you don't what you do
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: want to look towards the team trying to avoid the sweep.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: The Red Sox might not look ahead though, and they
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: obviously have a lot of momentum right now, but I
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: believe the Red Sox play Baltimore next may not be
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: that much of a look ahead there. Tampa Bay kind
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: of a more important series, but both divisional series. Of course,
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: where else was I going with this? I lost my
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: train of thought. I don't remember where else. Oh yeah,
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox feels like the energy is back in
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: Fenway Park, man. I don't know if you have been
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: watching the last couple of games, though. The new phenomenon
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: is there. The Red Sox tarps off phenomenon is happening
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: now where all the dudes in the stands throughout the
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: entire stadium are now taking their shirts off later in
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: the game and swinging them around like arable towels. So
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: you got an entire stadium of shirtless dudes at Fenway now.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: Hopefully it keeps happening, man, because I think it's awesome.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'll go to some games and I'll join. I
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: wouldn't be the time I've been shirtless in Venway Park.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: Shane McClanahan is pitching for Tampa Bay here. I think
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: he's gonna pitch well, and he's been good, and I
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: don't believe the Red Sox have faced him this year,
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: so I don't think the Red Sox have really seen
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: him recently at all, because if you remember McClanahan, he's
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: coming back from missing a lot of time with injury
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: and stuff. He's been good this year two point eight
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: three RA, one point one to three Whip. He is
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: not as good on the road though, three point seven
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: to seven Roadie Ray, but he still has good numbers
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: either way. He's given up no runs in his last
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: two starts combined at Kansas City and then against the Yankees,
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: and had no walks over that span either, with nine strikeouts,
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: so he's obviously in good form right now. And overall
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: he's got a low hit rate, his walk rates reasonably
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: low as well. Strike got rated is decent. I mean,
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: numbers across the board look good. And the Red Sox
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: they only have five guys who have seen him fifteen
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: at bats, they have done absolutely nothing against him. Red
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: Sox are zero for fifteen against him with eight strikeouts
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: in one walk, so they have had no success against
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: him at this point. I mean, he's not gonna completely
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: silence them, but I think he's gonna be good enough
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: to get us this first five under here, and we're
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: also gonna back Sonny Gray on the other side. Gray
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: has been awesome as well for the Red Sox two
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: point five four ERA one point one whip. He's been
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: better than you could have hoped for man even though
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: he's up there in age, he doesn't really throw that
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: hard at this point, he's getting the job done. He's
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: been better at home to two point one eight home
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: he ra, so we have the better of his home
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: road splits. He's been good recently as well. He's allowed
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: one or fewer and runs and four straight starts also
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: including one against the Yankees in there. He looks good.
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: He's got a pretty low hit rate, pretty low walk
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: rate as well. Strike out rate is not too high,
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: but he's not a huge strikeout pitcher, but it's not
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: like it's that low either. And against Tampa Bay, pretty
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: good numbers here in thirty six at bats two twenty
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: two average, seven h six oh ps allowed not too bad,
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: nine strikeouts five is not really that good, but everything
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: else looks pretty good there. So we'll take the first
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: five under in this one. Money not agreeing with me,
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: though oddsmakers are kind of telling you something. I mean,
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: the full game not a high total at eight, although
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: this game, to me, it looks like the total should
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: be lower than that. To me, I don't know, man
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: money is coming in on the over, so I guess
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: that worries me a little bit. Fifty four percent of
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: tickets on the under, seventy four percent of the cash
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: on the over. This really reads as an under to
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: me though, and of course those numbers are for the
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: full game market. We're taking this in the first five
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: under the four, which is a decent number to get
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: in the first five. You know, I don't really love
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: the three and a halfs, but a four looks pretty
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: good to me on that, so that's what we'll do.
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: Wouldn't disagree with the full game either, and I would
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: slightly lean towards Tampa as well to avoid the sweet
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: you're getting them as an underdog here. The Red Sox
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: are right about minus one twenty something. Although I've been
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: saying throughout the series there's a reason why the Red
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: Sox are favored even though they have the worst record,
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: Like it looks almost too easy to play Tampa Bay
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: as an underdog. But now that the Red Sox have
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: won all of the games of the series, so far.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay probably has a slight pitching edge here too,
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: if you'll get the matchup numbers with mcclanahand I think
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: I would probably rather back him than Gray, although I
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: think if you take Tampa you should probably do it
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: in the first five though, because I still don't really
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: like their bullpen. Red Sox will still have a bullpen
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: advantage here, so I think Tampa in the first five
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: would be the lean on the side there. Eighty three
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: percent of ticket sixty three percent of the cash on
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox, so the money is agreeing with Tampa
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: and fading the Red Sox here, even though you would
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: think the public might still slightly be leaning towards Tampa Bay,
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: but they're not. But anyway, under first five is the
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: way I'm going with that one. Next game up is
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: also going to be a play, and we're gonna take
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: Texas in the first five against Atlanta here. I think
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: we have a starting pitching advantage in this one too,
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: and that is where I'm gonna go with this. These
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: teams have split this series. After Atlanta won the first
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: game in a blowout behind Chris Sale, Texas bounts back
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: with a win yesterday a surprisingly high scoring game seven
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: to six. I don't trust texas bullpen enough. They used
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: four guys yesterday. Generally I like their bullpen, but Atlanta
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpen here. Although Atlanta did use like
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: everybody out of the bullpen yesterday. They use six guys
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: out of the bullpen. They had some young guy on
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: the mound yesterday, Murphy, so they went to the bullpen early. Still,
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: I don't really want to back Texas' bullpen in the spot.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: They haven't been pitching well recently. They're at fourteenth, even
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: though I think Texas's bullpen is better than that, But
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: right now, I don't really want to back them. Atlanta
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: is number one in bullpen still, so I'm just gonna
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: take the bullpen's out. Atlanta is the better offense as well.
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: They're twelfth right now. Texas is sixteenth. But this is
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: about the starting pitching matchup. For the most part, We're
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: going to back Nathan Yavaldi here, who I think is
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: the better of these two starters. I mean, Evaldis had
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: the better career. He was excellent last year. He's got
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: a four point zero four e RA, but I think
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: that's a little bit higher than it should be. He's
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: got a one point one to eight whip, so that
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: indicates his RA should be a little lower than that.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: He actually is a better ERA on the road, even
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: though his opponent batting average is better at home. He's
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: gotten kind of unlucky at home with the amount of
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: home runs he's allowed to make no sense because Texas
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: is a pitcher friendly ballpark, but still whatever. He's got
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: a three point six y nine roady RA, so he's
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: a better on the road, and he's been in really
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: good form recently. He's had nine or more strikeouts and
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: four starts in a row. That's good. He's allowed a
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: few runs in some of them, but even so, I
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: mean he's obviously fooling hitters right now, so that reads
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: pretty well to me. He's got a reasonably low hit rate,
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: walk rate is definitely low, strikeout rate is high, so
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: his command numbers have pretty much been good all season.
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: And I don't really understand his high home run rate
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: because he's not a fly ball pitcher. He has an
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: even ground ball flyball out rate, so I don't really understand.
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: I think it's the home runs I think are a
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: little bit fluky, and he's been good against the Braves
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: in the past he has sixty four at bats against him.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: He's really held them down. One eighty eight average, allowed
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: four ninety six ops, fourteen to five strike out walk ratio.
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: That ratio is not great, but his ratio in general
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: is good. And he's got good numbers here against Atlanta,
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: and I think he can outduel Grant Homes. So I
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: don't think is that good. And people might look at
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: this as, oh, Holmes has the better ERA, and that
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: means he's the better pitcher. Yeah. No, he's got a
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: three point six to one array, but his whip is
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: way higher than he have all these one point three
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: two that's not good. That indicses the ERA should be
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: higher than it is. He's a little bit worse at
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: home three point nine to eight home era. The last
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: year he was better at home. He was good in
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: his last two starts, including one at Pittsburgh, so that
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: does look good. That's a decent sign. But he's really
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: not going that deep into most of these starts. Although
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: I know we're only going with the first five here
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: just because I don't really trust Texas bullpen, but I'm
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: still willing to fade Homes here even though he has
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: a low hit rate, his walk rate is too high.
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: Though strike out rate is not really anything impressive, he
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: doesn't really strike guys out, But that walk rate, that's bad, dude.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: Like his command numbers are way worse than the of
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: all these way higher walk rate for homes, lower strikeout rate.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: You can't walk that many guys and continue to get
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: away with it. And against Texas he hasn't been good.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: Only twenty two at bats. I know it's a small sample,
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: but Texas has has had his number. They have a
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: four to oh nine average against him, twelve seventy three
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: oh ps, six strikeouts, no walks. So I say we
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: do it. We'll play Texas in the first five. On
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: the money line, you do have to pay more for it,
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: because if you want to go full game, you're gonna
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: be looking at about minus one twenty something, and with
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: this first five you gotta pay a little bit more
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: juice than the minus one thirties. Obviously, the oddsmakers know
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: the biggest advantage Texas has here is the starting pitching.
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: That's what I'm gonna go with here. If you want
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: to go full game, I'm not gonna disagree with you
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: on Texas full game. I just think this is isolating
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: the best part of this matchup here. Fifty three percent
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: of tickets are on Atlanta, eighty eight percent of the
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: cash in Texas. The public will play Atlanta here, man.
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: They they don't think Atlanta is gonna lose the series,
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: and they're probably looking at this thing. How do I
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: get Atlanta as an underdog here? Right? With a starting
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: pitcher that has the better era, it looks so easy
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: to play Atlanta as an underdog here, man. So that
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: is not what we're gonna do. We're gonna take the
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: Rangers in the first five on the money line, and
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: the money seems to agree with me on that. By
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: the way, mister Pinsey, what's up logan airport mice? Are
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: you sure they're not rats? Maybe it's both. I don't
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: know where what where are the mice? Where in the airport?
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Are you? Are you? Are you interminal E? The international?
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: Are you flying internationally? Because that's where all the uh
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: there's there's like an immigrant encampment in interminal E. It's
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: completely ridiculous, uh because the mayor set it up that way.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: It's a complete joke. Anyway, Fifty three percent of tickets
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: around Atlanta eighty eight percent of the cash on Texas,
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: so we're agreeing with the market there. The money is
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: backing the over in that game, by the way, over
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: eight and a half or whatever that's worth. But I
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: am not really focusing on the total in that one.
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: As you know, Pittsburgh and Cleveland, they played a double
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: header yesterday because of air quality the day before that,
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: and they split the double header, with Pittsburgh winning game
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: one and Cleveland won Game two. I don't exactly know
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: what happened with Ashcraft. Ashcraft didn't pitch in Game two,
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: so I told you I liked Yeah Jones still pitching
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: Game one. He pitched. Well, it looks like I told
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: you I liked Pittsburgh in the first five in Game two,
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: and they actually were winning at the end of the
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: first five. The bullpen completely blew it. But Ashcraft didn't
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: pitch in the game, so I don't know what's going
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: on with him. He might be hurt because he's not
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: pitching today. So I have no idea, but this will
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: be for the series. Whoever wins this is going to
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: win the series, unless maybe Ashcraft got pushed back to
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: tomorrow's game I have no idea what's going on. I
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: don't like Pittsburgh's bullpen. They use everybody out of the
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: bullpen because it was a double header yesterday, so their
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: bullpen's not in good shape either. I would not want
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: to back Pittsburgh's bullpen here. They use seven guys yesterday.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is the better of the two bullpens, but they
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: also use a lot of guys because it was a
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: double header, they use seven as well, So I would
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: avoid both bullpens in whatever you do with this game,
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: or fade them. Cleveland is thirteenth and bullpen, though they're
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: pretty good out of the bullpen. Pittsburgh is not. They're
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: twenty fourth. They're not a good bullpen. Pittsburgh is the
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: way better offense though they're ranked second, although they're not
• 28:41
  Speaker 2: really as good on the road. Cleveland is twenty ninth offensive.
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: He's still really really struggling, and it's not gonna get
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: easier for them because they got a faceball Skiens in
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: this one. Skiens, we know he's good three point five
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: seven e R one point zero to whip. His era
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: probably should be lower than that. He's been a little
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: bit more beatable on the road, though four point four
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: to six roady I rail, though his opponent batting average
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: is still really low on the road, so I think
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: he's gotten a little bit unlucky to have a roady
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: array like that. But he's Paul skeens Man. I mean
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: he's pitching well. Again. I don't expect him to be
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: bad here. Obviously he gets a pretty weak lineup that
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: he gets to face here. He's got a low hit rate,
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: low walk rate, high strikeout rate, as you could expect. Cleveland, though,
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: they've actually hit him well. Believe it or not. They
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: have fourteen at bats against him across five hitters. I
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: know it's a small sample, but they have a two
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: to eighty six average against him nine oh five ohps
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: three to one strike out walk ratio. I don't know
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: how they've done it, but Cleveland's hitters have actually done
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: damage against skeens Do I think he's actually gonna pitch
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: poorly here? No, I don't, but it's Paul skeens Man,
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: So you know you're gonna have to pay a price
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: if you want to back Skians. Cleveland looked like they
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: were gonna go with Tanner Biby here, but they've switched
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: their announced pitcher here, they switched to Joey Cantillo. I'm
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: not really sure why. I don't know if Biaby is
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: hurt or whatever, but it looks like it will be
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: Cantillo in this one. I think Cleveland will be more
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: backable in this game. If Biby was pitching, I would
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: definitely prefer Biby over Cantio. I think Biaby is better,
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: so I don't know what happened there. Cantillo, he's okay,
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: but he walks way too many guys. Three point five
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: six e ray pretty good, but his one point four
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: whip that is not good. That indicate is ERA should
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: be higher than that. He's been better at home three
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: point four to three home. The ra Pona batting average
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: way lower at home as well. He looks like he's
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: pitching well recently because he's allowed two or fewer earned
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: runs in his last six starts straight, but his walk
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: rate is still way too high. Dude, He's walked a
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: ton of guys recently, so he's got some issues. He
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: does have a low hit ray, but his walk rate
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: again is way too high. His strikeout rate is good,
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: so he can fool hit ors. It's just that he's really,
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: really wild. He's got to find a way to fix that.
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: Against Pittsburgh. I only have two hitters to have faced them,
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: and they're zero for four between Low and Ozoona with
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: one strikeout. I don't know if there's a whole lot
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: to take away from that.
• 31:08
  Speaker 3: Although.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: You know, I mean, I think maybe there is the
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: possibility that you could try to back Cleveland here. You know,
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: you're gonna have to pay too much of a price
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: for Pittsburgh. It looks pretty easy to play Paul Skins
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: here man at about minus one twenty or so, and
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: they're public eighty five percent of the tickets, although they
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: do have ninety four percent of the cash on them.
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, on the surface, yeah, Skeens is the better pitcher.
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: But you might be able to back Cleveland here and
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: do it full game as an underdog, because I think
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: you will have a bullpen edge at least if you
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: want to back Cleveland here, even though I said, don't
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: back the bullpens. But if you back Cleveland, you're fading
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: the lesser of the two bullpens in Pittsburgh. So maybe
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: there is a little bit of value trying to grab
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: Cleveland as a full game underdog there. I think if
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: you play Pittsburgh, you gotta do it in the first five.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: But if you do that, you know you're gonna pay
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: more of a price for it, because if you isolate
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: Paul Skeens and just play them that way, yeah, the
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: books are gonna make you pay for that. So do
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: what you want with that info.
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: Though.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: I think Skeens, yeah, is obviously he's better than Cantello though,
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: but you know, there might be a little bit of value.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Maybe look towards Cleveland there. I mean, maybe there's a
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: possibility even under as well that the total seven. So
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: obviously it's supposed to be low scoring. Again, I think
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: I would like Cleveland and or the under better if
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: it was Biby instead of canti although Kntello is unfamiliar
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: to Pittsburgh, so he might have a little bit of
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: an advantage there. But he is so wild, dude, I
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: you know, I just don't know if he's trustworthy, trustworthy enough.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: The money is backing the over in that game too,
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: I don't think I would do that. I think I
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: would lean under slightly in that one. And when I
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: first looked at it and I thought it was gonna
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: be Biby. My first thought was under in that game Florida. Oh,
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: all right, but there's a mouse problem there. It's a
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: it's a pretty shitty airport. Man. What could I say?
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know which terminal you're in, but yeah, if
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: you're going to Florida, you're probably in B or C. Right, Yeah,
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, It's yeah, it's it's not great,
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: all right. Baltimore and Houston. I first looked at this
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: and I was thinking, Houston is the way to look here.
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, Houston's on the verge of getting swept. They've
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: had two close losses in the series. They're not that
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: bad of a team. Baltimore is not that good of
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: a team. And you know, I like looking at these
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: home teams to avoid the sweep, like home favorites, to
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: avoid the sweep. That's the way that you want to
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: look more often than not, because they're gonna be extra
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: motivated they're at home. So and I think Houston has
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: a better starting pitcher on the mound. Problem is when
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: you look at what he's done recently, it gets a
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: little dicey, man. I also don't love Houston's bullpen. They
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: used five guys out of the bullpen yesterday, I would
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: not want to deal with Houston's bullpen. Baltimore used five
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: guys as well, so I don't really love their bullpen either.
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is ranked higher in the bullpen though they are
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: where are they at? They're ranked tenth in bullpen. Houston
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: is twentieth. Again, I mean, Houston is not as bad
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: as they looked early in the season. Baltimore is not
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: as good as where they're ranked, but I think Baltimore
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: is the better bullpen here. Houston is probably the better
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: offense their fifteenth Baltimore seventeenth. Both teams are kind of
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: middle of the pack here. Baltimore's gonna go with Kyle
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: Bradish here. He's got a three point six one ERA,
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: but his one point three to five whip is not
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: very good. That indicates that his ERA should be higher
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: than it is. He's not as good on the road either.
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: His opponent batting average is like a is one hundred
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: points higher than it is at home, so on the
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: road his opponent batting average is way worse. His ERA
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: is a little bit worse at four point oh six,
• 34:54
  Speaker 2: so he's not as good on the road. He's been
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: pitching fairly well recently, though three or fewer earned runs
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: a lot of five starts in a row. One of
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: them he didn't go that deep, but the rest of
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: them he's pitched pretty well in most of his recent starts.
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: He does have a low hit rate. His walk rate
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: is way too high though, and his strikeout rate is
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: pretty decent. But yeah, he walks way too many guys, dude.
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: So again, that's the case with a lot of pictures.
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: That is the case with him against Houston. He's been
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good though. In fifty five at bats, one sixty
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: four average allowed, really good, four ninety eight ops allowed,
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: fifteen to three strikeout walk ratio bradish. I mean, he
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: looks like he's in good form right now. I know
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is a big time concern, but he
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: matches up well here and Hunter Brown is going for Houston.
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: Brown is still trying to bounce back from injury right now.
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: He's a good picture man, He's got good stuff, but
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: he also has had some major walk issues this year.
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: He's got a three point five to seventy array but
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: a one point three to nine whip, so he's got
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: problems with that whip as well, and it is the walks.
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: He's been better at home three point five four home
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: he era only slight, but his walks have been a
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: big time issue. Nine walks over his last ten innings. Uh,
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: in his two starts this month. Yeah, that's not good. Obviously,
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: he's got a low hit rate, so he's still hard
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: to hit. His walk rate is enormous. He's got to
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: figure that out, dude. And his strikeout rate is still
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: pretty high, which does tell me that he is still
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: fooling batters. So his stuff is still there. He just
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: needs to get his command fixed again. And you know,
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: I mean it's been weird for him because he missed
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: like almost three months, came back in June. He's made
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: five starts since then, and you know, I mean again,
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: his walk rate has just been a major issue the
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: whole time. He's got to figure that out. But generally
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: he's good, and he's good against Baltimore generally. In forty
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: nine at bats one eighty four average allowed six forty
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: oh ps, but again too many walks, nine strikeouts, six walks.
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: So you know, I kind of lead Houston here. I
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: do think like at his peak, Brown is definitely the
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: better of these pitchers. Oh and Baltimore just switched their pitcher,
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: so that's gonna change things. Houston is being faded in
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: the market though. They're around minus one twenty here or
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: so sixty eight percent of tickets only sixty three percent
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them though, so the money is
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: fading Houston. But I like Houston in this one. I
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: had to try to avoid the sweep. I wouldn't back
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: their bullpen though I think Houston first five is the
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: better way to play this. I was thinking maybe the
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: under made some sense too, but again, I mean, the
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: walk issues are major concern with Brown. Uh, seventy percent
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: of tickets, sixty nine percent of the cash on the over,
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: so the money is somewhat indicating towards the under eight
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: and a half there. But now we have to rehandicap
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: this because Baltimore changed their starting pitcher to Brandon Young.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: Young He's got similar issues though three point four to
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: two era but a one point three to five whip.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: He's a little bit worse on the road three point
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: eighty nine roady ra He's been reasonably good recent though,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: I mean, again, his walk rate is a problem. I
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: feel like I'm just repeating myself. He's not allowing many runs,
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: but he's walking way too many guys. His hit rate
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: is not excellent. I mean it's right around one per inning,
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: which is pretty mediocre. His walk rate is too high.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: His strike cut rate is not really that high. So
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: again he's the guy that walks too many guys. Against Houston,
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: his numbers are not as good thirty nine at bats,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: two fifty six average, eight eighty two ops allowed five
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: to two strike out walk ratio. So I think the
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: way to play that game, I would say, is to
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: play Houston in the first five. I think that is
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: really that would be my only look in that game
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: at that point would be to go Houston first five. There,
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: although you're gonna have to pay a little bit more
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: of a price for that if you do it that way.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: Miami and Milwaukee. Miami is trying to avoid a sweep.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee won the game yesterday. It was much higher scoring
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: than I expected it to be. I'm not happy about it.
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: I like Miami in this one. Miami is gonna be
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: motivated to try to avoid the sweep. Peer they have
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: a better starting pitcher on the mound in this one.
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: So I you like Miami here. Maybe first five again, though,
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: because their bullpen may not be as good as Milwaukee's. Now, Milwaukee,
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: they might have a look ahead here. Milwaukee, I think,
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: does have a big series up next to me. Oh no,
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: they don't. They're playing the Mats. Never mind. Although it
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: is Freddy Peralta pitching tomorrow again against his former teams,
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: so it is the battle of Freddy Tomorrow, five nights
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: at Freddy's. I don't know that game is in Milwaukee though,
• 39:28
  Speaker 2: so it's not in New York anyway. Yes, I do
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: lean to Miami in this game, probably in the first five.
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: Miami did use four of their relief pitchers yesterday Milwaukee
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: used three. But they did use Migill their closer two
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: games in a row, so he's probably not available here.
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: Miami's ranking fifth in bullpen, Milwaukee eighth, but I think
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee is the slightly better bullpen. They got a better
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: bullpen e ra. Both bullpen's pretty capable, though. Miami's seventh offensively,
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: but again I don't think they're that good. I think
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: their numbers are skewed a little bit. Some really offensive
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: parks that they that they played him fairly recently. Brewers
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: are not that far behind at ninth. I think you
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: could argue the Brewers are the better offense though, but
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: I like to starting pitching for Miami. I like Juri Perez.
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: He's got a three point seven eighty RA and one
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: point one four whip, so Perez, I mean, his issues
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: are usually that he's too wild, and that hasn't been
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: really that much the case this year. His whip is
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: not that high. He's not as good on the road though,
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: four point four to three Roady Ray. But he's pitching well, dude.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: He's allowed one or fewer earned runs in every start
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: going all the way back to mid May. He was
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: injured for a bit. He missed like a month between
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: May and June. Since he's come back, he's allowed one
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: or fewer earned runs in every start. He's gotten a
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: little bit better in his recent starts. Pitched really well
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: on the road against the A's, got taken out of
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: a perfect game seven innings into that one. They should
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: have let him go for it man. Good sign that
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: he did that in the ballpark and he wasn't really
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: a hungover in the next game. He took a loss
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: in the next game against Cleveland, but it wasn't really
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: his fault. He pitched well, he got no run support
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: behind him in that one. He's got a low hit rate.
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: His walk rate is still too high, though his strike
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: out rate is also high, so he does fool hitters,
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: which is good. He's got good stuff, but he is
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: still wild. But I still I like him though, like
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: his his unhit ability, like he's like, don't cease right,
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: Like this guy walks way too many guys. But he's
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: so unhittable that he still doesn't really have that many issues.
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: And he's been really good against Milwaukee in thirty four
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: at bats one eighteen average, allowed three nineteen oh ps
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: thirteen to one strike out walk race here. That is good.
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: He's basically dominated Milwaukee, so I think he could do
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: well here. Milwaukee's going with Robert Gasser, who I think
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: is very unpredictable. He's got a five point two four ERA,
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: which is not good, but his whip isn't really that
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: bad one point two seven, so that indicates his he
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: are should be better than it is. He's been good
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: at home three point four to eight Homie race, so
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: I don't necessarily want to fade him here. At home,
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: he was pitching well a few starts in a row,
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: and then he got hammered by Pittsburgh last time out,
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: but that was Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh where they they do
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: hit well at home, so I'm not really gonna knock
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: him completely for that one. If you look at his
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: overall numbers, his hit rate is alright, his walk rate
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: is not too high, strikeout rate is decent as well,
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: so he's not really that bad. And against the Marlins,
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: they just don't have much experience against him. Auto Lopez
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: is the only guy who's faced him. He's one for
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: two with a two run single, no strikeouts, no walks,
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: But there's really not a whole lot to take away
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: from that. Gasser at least does have some unfamiliarity here
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: against Miami, so he might have a little bit of
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: an advantage there, which means, you know, you could maybe
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: look towards the first five under in this game as well.
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: The money is backing the under in this one as well,
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: under the eight, so fifty two percent tickets seventy three
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under, so the money
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: seems to agree with that in the full game. But again,
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: the bullpen's got kind of used yesterday, so I'm thinking
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: maybe first five under makes more sense. But I like Miami.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: I think if I was gonna play this game, I
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: would play Miami in the first five. Milwaukee's favored I
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: like minus one thirty, and they're not gonna be favored
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: by as much in the first five. But you're gonna
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: still get Miami as an underdog, probably in the first five.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: And the money agrees with this. Sixty six percent of tickets,
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: only fifty four percent of the cash on Milwaukee, so
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in against Milwaukee. Public is leaning towards Milwaukee. Yeah,
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, I still think you'll get Miami as an
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: underdog in the first five. That's what I would do
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: because I don't think they have the better bullpen, but
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be motivated to try to avoid
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: the sweep. And I think Perez is better than Gasser,
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: and he's got some dominant numbers against Milwaukee. So I
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: would take Miami in the first five. In that one,
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: uh San Diego and Kansas City. San Diego is trying
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: to avoid the sweet peer. Believe it or not, Kansas
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: City won both games and won yesterday six to one.
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: San Diego gonna be extra motivated to try to avoid
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: the sweet peer. But they're a pitching setup in this
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: one is probably not ideal for that. Even though they
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: do have the better bullpen, they use three guys out
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: of the bullpen yesterday Kansas City US four. Kansas City
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: not a good bullpen at all. San Diego's ranked twelfth.
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: I think they're better than that. Kansas City's ranked dead
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: last and bullpenal though they have the second worst ERA
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: to the A's, but they're dead last and whip. They're
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: a very bad bullpen. Ki's City is slightly better offensively
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: at eighteenth, well more than slightly, because San Diego's dead
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: last at thirtieth. We have a high total here though,
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: because it's one of these new Kaufman Stadium games here
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: and the starting pitching is definitely not elite. Herman Marquez
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: is pitching for San Diego. You would think he would
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: have gotten a little bit better because he used to
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: pitch for Colorado and we know how that goes. Pitching
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: in San Diego should be a lot better, but that
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: has not been the case for him. Five point one
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: eighty RA one point four to nine whip really bad.
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: Some I don't know how this is the case, but
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: he's been way better on the road. I don't know
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: how he's been so bad at home in that picture
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: friendly park, but whatever. He's got a two point seven
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: to five roady Ray, so he's been way better on
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: the road. I don't know why that is. I can't
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: figure it out. I don't think he's good in general,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: though he's got a kind of high hit rate. His
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: walk rate is definitely too high, strike out rate is low.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: There's really nothing alike about Marquez here other than the
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: fact that he's been good on the road. But he's
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: also not good against Kansas City in fifty seven at
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: bats two eighty one average, eight seventy two ops, fourteen
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: to four strikeout walk ratio. So I don't expect him
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: to pitch well here. Kansas City's going with Noah Cameron.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: He's the better of the two pitchers. He's got more upside,
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: but he's having some issues this year. Four point eight
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: to ninety ray, one point four to two whip. That
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: is not good. He's been worse at home to five
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: point zero seven homey. I ram, that's not good. He's
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: been bad and most of his recent starts really so yeah,
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: this isn't really good. His walk rate is high. I mean,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man. I liked Cameron last year. I
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: thought he was a decent pitcher, but things don't look
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: good right now. He's been too hittable as well. He's
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: got a high hit rate this season. His walk rate
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: is okay, his strike out rate is okay, but his
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: problem has actually been that he's been too hittable. Although
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: his walk rate hasn't been that great recently either. His
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: numbers against San Diego are not particularly good. In twenty
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: two at bats to seventy three average allowed, eight thirty
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: three ops. It's a weak lineup, but San Diego does
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: have the ability to get to a Cameron here. So
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: I think the only way he could really look at
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: that game is to go over the total. It's a
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: high total, it's ten, one of these new Kansas City totals.
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I think that is the way
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: to go. Oddsmakers are kind of telling you it's gonna
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: be a high scoring game. Money seems to really agree
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: with that. Sixty three percent of tickets on the under,
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: ninety two percent of the cash on the over, so
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: the money is backing the over. That's what I would
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: do if I was gonna play that one. The money
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: is also back in Kansas City at about minus one
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: thirty fifty one percent of tickets on San Diego eighty
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash in Kansas City. I wouldn't
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: do it. If you're gonna back Kansas City at all,
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: I think you have to go only first five, but
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: you're gonna have to pay more for that, because everybody
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: knows their bullpen is an absolute disaster. Cameron is probably
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: the better of the two starters there, so that's what
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: you'd be backing. But I also don't even want to
• 47:33
  Speaker 2: do that. I mean, neither pitcher looks like they set
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: up that well. San Diego's trying to avoid a sweep,
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: so they will be more motivated. Although I will say
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: that it looks too It almost looks too easy to
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: play San Diego though, which might be why the public
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: is coming in on them, right because they're the team
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: with the better record. Public is not gonna want to
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: play Kansas City as a favorite, you know. So yeah,
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: without like a name pitcher on the mound either. All right,
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: those are my thoughts on that one. Minnesota at the Cubs,
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: this is a split series right now. The Cubs bounce
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: back with a win yesterday, so whoever wins this game
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: will win the series. Cubs are the better team generally.
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: The Cubs only used three relief pitchers yes today. They
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: do have a better bullpen, even though they struggled recently.
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: Minnesota only is one guy out of the bullpen, but
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: they're not a good bullpen. Minnesota's ranked twenty ninth out
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: of thirty, although their era is not as bad as
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: the A's but still who maybe should be ranked worse
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: than there, but there's still a bad bullpen. Cubs have
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: struggled recently though. There's sixteenth in the bullpen now, which
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: I thought there were a decent bullpen, but recently the
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: vet issues. Maybe they'll turn it back around. Though the
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: Cubs are fourth offensively, so that's good for them. Minnesota eighth.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: So looks like we do a this series. Coming into
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: it looked like it was gonna be kind of a
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: high scoring series. Hasn't really panned out that way though,
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: and I don't think that's gonna be the case this game,
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: where we have by far the lowest we've seen in
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: this series. It's around seven and a half, partially because
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: of the starting pitchers, but I think also it means
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: the wind is blowing in the wind has a huge
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: effect in at Wrigley because they're close to the lake
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: Lake Michigan. I've been Northern Chicago there, so I think
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: the total there is indicating that the wind is gonna
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: be blowing in Minnesota is gonna be going with Zebulon
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: in this game. He's got a four point five to
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: seventy array one point two to whip is not that
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: bad though, Zebi Matthews, I think I think he's better
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: than people think he is. I think he's got some
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: talent here. However, he's not been good on the road.
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: Six point one seven Roady Ray. That is not really
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: something I want to back. He's been a little bit
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: questionable his last couple of starts. His walk rate hasn't
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: been that good. He's alloted four runs in each of
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: the last two. I'd be willing to give him a
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: pass for a bad start in the Bronx, but he
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: wasn't really good against Anaheim back at home either. Not
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: a great sign there. But overall, his numbers are not
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: that bad. His hit rate is okay, his walk rate
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: is low, strike out rate is low. Though, I mean,
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: it's not that good. I thought Matthews is a better
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: strike up pitcher than that, but he might still pitch
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: well here because the Cubs haven't faced him before, so
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: he has a little bit of an unfamiliarity edge here.
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: And I still think he's kind of a talented pitcher,
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: So I think he's a bit of a wildcard. I
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: don't know what we're gonna get out of him. Chowta
• 50:22
  Speaker 2: Yimnaga is pitching for the Cubs. I'm gonna keep saying
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: like I've liked what we've seen out of him since
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: he's been in the majors, and I think he's better
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: than his RA looks right now. Four point one seventy RA,
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: one point one to two whip is good. He doesn't
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: put a lot of guys on base, dude. It's just
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: his home run rate has been really extreme this year,
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: and I just don't really know why exactly that's been
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: the case. He's been not as good at home though,
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: four point five Homie Ray. I think maybe some of
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: those wind blowing out Wrigley games have kind of hurt
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: him a little bit. He was good last time out Instancinnati,
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: but he was kind of shaky in some of his
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: recent starts. And not pitching against good offences either, so
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: that's not great. Minnesota is gonna be a little bit
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: more difficult to handle than some of these recent offenses.
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: In he's face, he does have a low hit rate
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: though in a low walk rate, and his strikeout rate
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: is reasonably high, so his numbers across the board really
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: don't look bad. It's just the home run rate. Again,
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: I think he's getting a little unlucky. Although he is
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: a fly ball pitcher, but I still think he's getting unlucky, dude.
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, usually you don't have an era that high
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: when your whip is that low. Minnesota, though they haven't
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: seen much of him eighteen at bats, but they haven't
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: been able to hit him when they have seen him
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: two seventy eight average, one thousand ops. So I would
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: not play the under in this one, even though when
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: I first looked at this game it looked like that
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: might be a possibility. The total seven and a half,
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: we know it's some of it is because of the
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: wind effect eighty three percent of tickets eighty nine percent
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over. Still, if it's if
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: it's a low, low total, the osmakers are telling you
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: they think it's gonna be a low scoring game, but
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: there's not a lot of leeway there given what we
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: just saw with the matchup numbers there. I don't know, man,
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think maybe the game might sneak over,
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: especially these bullpens. I mean, Minnesotas is really bad, so
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: I think that gives you room for the thing to
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: go over as well. If you're gonna play under, I
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: would go first five only, but you're gonna be looking
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: at a three and a half probably. I don't think
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: I would want to do that either. The money is
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: looking like it's indicating on Minnesota ninety percent of tickets,
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of the cash on the Cubs. Part
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: of it is because of the price on the Cubs.
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: They're like minus one seventy. That is a bit of
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: a price to lay man. I mean, we all know
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: the Cubs are the better team. I Minaga is kind
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: of a name pitcher, so you're paying for that name.
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: You're paying for the name of the team and the
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: pitcher there. So I do think Zebi Matts is probably
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit undervalue there in the market, which I
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: think explains why it looks like a lot of the
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: money is back in Minnesota. I think it's about the
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: price there. If you want to play in Minnesota. There's
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: no way that I recommend doing it full game though.
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, their bullpen is just a disaster, So I
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: think you should do it first five only if you
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: play in Minnesota, you'll be able to grab the run
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: line on them in the first five and probably get
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: it at a decent price. All right. Cincinnati and Colorado Cincinnati.
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: One of my favorite pitchers is on the mound for Cincinnati. Man,
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: so that looks good right away for Cincinnati to me.
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: I think these teams will split the series so far. Yeah.
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: So Colorado ended a three game losing streak with a
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: win yesterday, so maybe that'll give them some new momentum here.
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: Then won ten to three yesterday in a bounceback spot
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: after a bad return home game. Cincinnati is the better
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: team though they have the better starting pitcher on the mound,
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: which is part of the reason why their favored the
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: way they are. But also Cincinnati might actually be undervalued
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: on this line though, because we know how Colorado gets
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: priced right, Like Colorado is always priced, their price is
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: the worst team in baseball, so Cincinnati might actually be
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: a little bit cheap on this line, given that they
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: have a really good starting pitcher going. Cincinnati used four
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers. I would not back either bullpen here Colorado's
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: three yesterday. These are bad bullpens. Colorado's is worse at
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: twenty seventh Cincinnati twenty fifth. Neither bullpen is good. Colorado's
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: fourth offensively tied at the Cubs, so their offense has
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: been doing well. I don't think they're that good, but
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: they're pretty good, and they definitely do some damage at home.
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they're gonna do that much damage
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: in this game though. Cincinnati twenty first offensively, so they
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: haven't been that good offensively. But Cincinnati's got Hunter Green
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: on the mom man, and I was considering trying to
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: back him here. His numbers don't look good six point
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: nine to seventy RA one point four to five win.
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: But I think while his numbers are bad, I think
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: you actually can get value on him. Like I think
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: that's part of the reason why Cincinnati is not a
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: heavier favorite here because Green, dude, he's their best pitcher
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: besides Chase Burns. Right. Like Green, you might even be
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: able to debate that he's better than Burns. I just
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: think he's way under the radar right now because he's
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: coming back from injury. He's only made two starts so
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: far this season, one bad, and unfortunately we tried to
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: back him in that when he didn't pitch well. He
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: pitched really well in his rehab stuff in the miners though,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: so I was kind of surprised he was so bad
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: in his first start, But of course a game late,
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: he was excellent in his most recent start, so I
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: think he is back. So I think Green is absolutely backable,
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: and right now, given his numbers again one point four
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: or five whips, six point nine to seventy ar raight,
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: I think you can get some value maybe looking towards
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: him right now, but I don't really want to do
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: it in this stadium though, in this game, I'm just
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: gonna kind of stay away from it. But again, like
• 55:34
  Speaker 2: I said, he was he got rocked against Baltimore in
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: his first start back. I don't know why that happened,
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: because he bounced right back and he absolutely shredded the
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: Cubs in his last outing, and he's basically going as full.
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: He's making full starts already, and he had a ton
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: of strikeouts against the Cubs and against Baltimore, so obviously
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: his stuff is there. You know, he's striking out a
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: ton of guys. I don't know if he's vomiting on
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: the mound again yet or not, but he's obviously he's ready, dude.
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, his strikeout rate is really high, so yeah,
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: I think he's ready to go here. His numbers against
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: Colorado are good ISHU, although not as good as you
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: would think. In twenty four at bats, fourteen strikeouts, two walks.
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: That's good. That's a lot of strikeouts, a two point
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: fifty average seven to twenty four ohps. Not as good
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: as you would think, but still I think he has
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: the upper hand here. Is he a flyball pitcher? I
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: think he is, yes, So that's a little bit of
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: a concern in course field. Yeah, he's kind of an
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: extreme flyball pitcher. But he didn't allow that many home
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: runs really last year. Well I don't know, because he
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: didn't throw that many innings last year, so I don't know,
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: So that is one concern pitching in course field.
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: Though.
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: He is a fly ball pitcher, so if Colorado is
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: able to connect, they might be able to get some
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: home runs here. But Green is very, very good, so
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: I think he has the upper hand here, but Colorado
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: is going with one of their least bad pitchers, Ryan Feltner.
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: He's not that bad. A four point five to five
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: Yarra one point two to nine whip believe it or not.
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: He's actually been better in course field this year in
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: a bigger sample size four point one to four Homie Ira,
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: and he has not allowed a lot of hits at home,
• 57:12
  Speaker 2: so Feldner has actually been pretty good at home. He
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: wasn't good in his last start on the road against
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: San Francisco, but I know that's not good because that's
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly park. But San Francisco was facing him
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: two starts in a row, so maybe they just adjusted
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: and hit him better after they didn't do much against
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: him the first time. He had four good starts in
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: a row leading into that one, though, and some of
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: the good ones were in course field. He's got a
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: low hit rate. His walk rate is a little bit
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: too high, so that's a little bit of a concern.
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: He doesn't strike guys out either, so that is a
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: little bit of a concern as well. But Feldner generally
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: has pitched okay and he does not have bad numbers
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: against Cincinnati either in forty three at bats two fifty
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: six average, six eighty two o ps. Straight out walk
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: ratio is not good though, six', five but he's all,
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: right ALTHOUGH i Think green is clearly the better picture
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: here of, Though so my first instinct was kind of
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: a look Towards, cincinnati but actually the price has gone.
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: Up cincinnati is already all the way up to minus one,
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: sixties SO i, think you, know maybe the odds makers
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: were in my head or, something, man because they were
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: like in the minus one, forties AND i was, like,
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: man that is cheap Against colorado With Hunter green on the.
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: Mound but somebody heard me or read my mind or,
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: something Because cincinnati's already up to minus one sixty, something
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: so not as much value now looking At cincinnati. There
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: AND i wouldn't really want to back their bullpen, Either
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: SO i think if you Play, cincinnati you gotta lay
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: a half run in the first five and hope they're
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: leading at the end of, five which they certainly could.
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: Be but Also feldner does have pretty good numbers against,
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: them SO i wouldn't really want to do. That seventy
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: eight percent of, tickets ninety percent of the casual On.
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati the price again is just too. High they look
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: like they're, public although the money looks like it is
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: On cincinnati as, well BUT i wouldn't do it at
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: that higher price no. Way the money is also backing
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: the over pretty strongly over. Eleven i'm not so sure about.
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: THAT i, mean if you're gonna go, over you gotta
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: make it full. Game take advantage of the bullpens in that.
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: Game they. Stink BUT i think the first five might
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: actually be worth an underlook in that. Game given what
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: that starting pitching matchup looks, like you might have a
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: lower scoring game early in that. Game so first five
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: UNDER i think makes some sense in that. One all,
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: Right i'm gonna be right. Back i'm gonna talk about
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: the rest of. THESE i do have a play in
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: the game two Of Yankees Yankees. DODGERS i, Said yankees
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: Matts No Yankees, dodgers which is the night game ON.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: NBC i will give out a play in that. ONE
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: i think people probably already know what it. Is, anyway
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: it's kind of obvious if you know WHAT i. Do
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: i'll be right. Back. Yep, INSIDE i want to kill.
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: Myself we were on own seven run over the last
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: two days after, tonight it was just complete. Bullshit so
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: that's That's i'm gonna start off this show Horrible sunday
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: one and. FIVE i don't even know what to tell
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: you about. THAT i just don't want to do this.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: ANYMORE i have never seen anything like. This man with
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: the slump, continuing two straight, losses not a good day at.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: All own four that have not had a good. Season
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: man With, wickens the slump That i'm, on and the slump,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: Continues i've reached into. Pink, Actually i'm going to burn
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: My bruins. Hat. MAN i don't know what is going
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: on with The. Bruins march? Eight is that what it?
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: IS i don't even know It's march. NINTH i think
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: who even? Knows, MAN i don't know.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 3: What day is.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: ANYMORE i don't even know what data is. Anymore, man
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: back with you after the worst day THAT i could possibly,
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: Have back with you AS i always am UNTIL i,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: die at least oh and. Two yesterday and yesterday it
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: did not go well for. Me own five the worst
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: month That i've ever had in my eighteen years doing.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: THIS i don't know what to even tell you about this.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: Anymore to the slump, Series the slump, discontinuous the slump.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: Continues somebody fucking kill, me. PLEASE i don't even know
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: WHAT i should do at this point other than potentially ended.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: All all, Right next game up Is washington and The.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: A's this has been kind of a ridiculous. Series The
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: a's lost in the return home spot bad. Spot they
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: got killed twenty three to, four and then what do they?
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: Do they bounced back and they won fifteen to one.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and you, KNOW i always tell you the second
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: game back home after a really bad performance usually is
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: a bounce. Back AND i thought they had the better
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: picture on the mound. Yesterday it Was gin AGAINST. Lttel
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: i'm pretty sure is what it. Was SO i did
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: like The a's in the first five in that, game
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: And i'm pretty sure that was a. Winner, unfortunately not
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: on my. Card. Now The a's broke a long losing streak.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: Too they LOST i don't, know ten games in a,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: row maybe more than. That and you KNOW i talk
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: about this when a team breaks a really long losing
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: streak a lot of times that will give them some
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: new momentum moving, forward like you finally got that monkey
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: off your. Back you ended that losing. MOMENTUM a lot
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: of times that, team you, know it's like they can
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: kind of cut loose after that and they have new
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: momentum and a lot of times they win the next,
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: game is What i'm. Saying so that's a positive spot
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: for The a's for that, reason these teams probably both
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: show up because they're both trying to avoid the sweep.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: Here the bullpens are both. Bad The a's use three
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: guys out of the bullpen, Yesterday washington only these. Two
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: they're not good. Bullpens The a's are debatably the worst
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: bullpen in. Baseball they're twenty, sixth but their era is.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: Horrible they're not. Good washington's ranked twenty. Eighth they're also
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: not good out of the. Bullpen washington has the third
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: ranked offense right, now The a's. Fourteenth though The a's
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: broke out of their slump, YESTERDAY i Think kurts might be.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Hurt i'm not sure or he had the day off.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: Yesterday i'm not sure what the deal was, there BUT
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: i don't think he played. Yesterday, HOWEVER i know The
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: a's have the new momentum, here but this starting pitching
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: matchup is a huge advantage For. Washington washington Has Foster
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: griffin on the. Mound he's been insanely, good two point
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: seven to seventy one point to. WHIP i have no
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: idea how that's even. POSSIBLE a guy who's, thirty who
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: basically never pitched in the majors is doing. THIS i
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: don't get, it, Man BUT i don't think IT'S i
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: don't think it's misleading in any. Way like he looks.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: Good he's basically. Good home home and road doesn't even. Matter.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: NOW i know this is gonna be a difficult park
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: to pitching because it's The a's. Ballpark it's very home run.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: Conducive And, griffin we do have one problem, here which
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: is that he pitched in The All Star, game and
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: That i'm pretty certain that was his First All star appearance,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: ever since he's barely pitched in the major. Before SO
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: i talk about that when a guy makes The All
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: Star game for the first. Time although it didn't Affect lozardo,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: yesterday but it's a big deal when you make The
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: All Star game for the first, time you get to
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: pitch in, it Which griffin. Did that might throw him
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: off a little, bit. Man SO i have a little
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: bit of a concern with. That the good thing, is
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: though he pitched on schedule, though so The All Star
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: game fell right in schedule with when he was, starting
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: and he's on schedule again now after, that so that
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: might actually help him continue being on. Schedule so there
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: might be some positive, there But i'm worried that it
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: might be a negative. Too Although griffin's been pitching, really really,
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: Well So i'm not gonna come in here and say
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: that he's not gonna pitch. WELL i, mean he's been.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: Excellent he's allowed one or fewer earned runs in every
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: start since the beginning Of. JUNE i, mean that's pretty.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous he's got a low hit, rate low walk, rate
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is reasonably high as. Well all these numbers look. Good,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i don't really want to fade him, here and
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: The a's haven't seen. Him only him has ever faced.
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: Him he's zero for two with those, strikeouts no, Walks
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: So griffin has an unfamiliarity edge. TOO i don't really
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: want to fade, him AND i don't want to Back
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: Jacob lopez for The. A's, also we do have to
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: see Is griffin a fly ball? Pitcher is the other
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: question in a stadium like, this and he's not really
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: that extreme of a fly ball, pitcher SO i don't
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: think that's that much of a. Concern although he has
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: a lot of seventeen home runs this, year which isn't.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: NOTHING i, mean that's not that, good so maybe the
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: home run ball could be a little bit of a.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: Problem from, Here Jacob lopez has just been awful for
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: The a's. ZONE i don't even know if they're actually
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: gonna throw him in this game or if they're gonna
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: put an opener in front of, Him so somebody keep in.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: Mind he might not start the, game But i'm guessing
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: he will pitch in the. Game he might have an
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: opener in front of. Him he's got a six point
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: eight three ray one point seventy to nine whip that
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: is really. Bad he's been bad at home eight point
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: three to one Homey ray obviously not. Good he's he's
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: pitching in short stints where which is WHY i said
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: he might not start this. GAME i don't. Know he's
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: had a few relief appearances. Here so IF i was
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: gonna play this, GAME i would Pick griffin must, start
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: but not not choose a starter for the a's because you,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: know they might pitch whoever. Here whatever they, do it's
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: not gonna be, good you know WHAT i, Mean it's
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: not gonna be one of their better. STARTERS i would not.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: Imagine so, YEAH i think THE a is whatever they
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: do they're pitching is fatable. Here, lopez though he's actually
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: been good Against. Washington believe it or. Not they have
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: fifteen at bats against. Him six of their hitters the
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: face and it's a small, sample but they have only
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: one hit off, him and it's a single By. Lyle six,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one, walk oh sixty seven average one ninety two.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: Ops Maybe lopez can do okay. HERE i MEAN i
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: would not bank on. IT i IF i was gonna
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: play this, GAME i THINK i would have to Play.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: WASHINGTON i don't want to do, it you. KNOW i,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: mean obviously you're having to lay a price to do,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: that because obviously everybody knows they have a huge starting
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: pitching edge. Here AND i would only do it first,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: five and that makes matters even worse Because washington's like
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: minus one forty on the full. Game if you're gonna
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: go first, five you're gonna have to lay a half
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: run With washington because you're gonna pay him more of
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: a price for. It everyone knows their biggest advantage here
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: is the starting. Pitching their bullpen is not. GOOD i
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: wouldn't want to back either bullpen. Here the money seems
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: like it is kind of Backing washington seventy eight percent
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: of the tickets but ninety two percent of the cash on. Them,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: however you, know you saw WHAT i said about. It
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: The a's do have a good momentum spot. Here at
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: Least lopez has actually pitched well Against. Washington at the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 2: very least money is backing the over pretty strongly at
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: ten and a. Half, though if you play the, over
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: you should do it full game take advantage of the
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: bullpen's being. Awful first five is a different. QUESTION i,
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: mean first five maybe could be an under type of.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: SCENARIO i would not really want to Trust lopez, Though
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: and you Know, griffin you know they be coming off
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: of That All star. Game maybe he is thrown off
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: a little. Bit so there are probably more indicators towards
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: an over than anything else in that. Game BUT i, think,
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: yeah first, Five washington is probably the best look in that.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: Game BUT i really really don't want to do, that all,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: Right detroit And. Anaheim anaheim is trying to avoid a
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: sweep at, home so they fall into that. Category they
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: got shut out yesterday two seven and, Nothing SO i
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: like playing on a team when they got when they
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: just got shut out at, home and if they're trying
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: to avoid a, sweep that looks like a lot of.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: Positives as far as the situation For, anaheim the problem
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: is they have a big starting pitching disadvantage. Here you're
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: gonna get a good price with The. Anaheim there's probably
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: value looking Towards anaheim, here given that they're gonna be,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: motivated and maybe you could argue the starting pitcher is
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: not as bad as maybe he. Looks BUT i really
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 2: don't want to Fade mize. Here mize has been good For.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: Detroit detroit also has the better. Bullpen they only these
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: three guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday Detroit Schoolball i'm
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: pretty sure pitched, Yesterday so that was part of the
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: reason Why anaheim didn't. Score anaheim used two guys out
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: of the. Bullpen they're not a good. Bullpen they're twenty,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: Third detroit is. Seventeenth three ra is like well below.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: Four now though this is a pretty Decent detroit. Bullpen
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: they've been good. Recently detroit nineteenth. Offensively anaheim is twenty
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: third though right, now So detroit has been the better
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: offense as. Well they're not as good on the Road
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: detroit as a, team But anaheim also doesn't hit well at,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: home and they're having to go up Against Casey. Mize
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: LIKE i, Said myz having a good season two point
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: seven to ninety ray one whip that is. Good he's
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse on the road three point one
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: to ONE roadi, ray but he's still. Good struggled a
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: bit last time out Against, philly but generally he's been quite.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: Good he's allowed he's allowed more than three or in
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: runs only twice all. Season he's got a low hit,
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: rate low walk, rates strike got raided is right around
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: one per. Inning all those numbers are pretty solid Against
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: anaheim also solid and sixty seven at bats one sixty four,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: average five forty, ops eighteen to four strike out walk.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: Ratio SO i do not want to Fade myze, here
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: even Though anaheim does fall into that sweep avoiding. Category
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: anaheim is going With Ryan, johnson and he's really, young
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: AND i think he might have some talent here and
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: might not be as bad as his numbers look because
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: he's been a roller. Coaster he's had some good performances
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: and some really bad. Ones he's got a six point
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: seven five v one point five. WHIP i, know none
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: of that is. Good he is a little bit better
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: at home six. Era he's still not, good but better at.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: Home the walks were an issue in his last, start
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: but generally that hasn't really been his main issue. Here
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: he's got a somewhat high hit, rate which isn't. Good
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: his walk rate is not, great but it's not really
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: that bad. EITHER a strike out rate is, low, though
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: SO i don't. KNOW i mean that's not a great sign,
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: though that he's not really striking out a whole lot of.
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: Guys SO i still don't. KNOW i still don't know
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: what to think About. Johnson that sounded. Wrong dingler has
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: actually faced him before and he's over one with a.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: Strikeout nobody else In detroit's lineup has faced. HIM i,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: mean this is a stayaway game for me. Obviously, AGAIN
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: i think the motivation Favors. Anaheim you're probably getting a
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: decent price on. Them you're getting. Them detroit's like minus
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: one sixty almost on the money line, here and they're
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: public eighty eight percent of, tickets ninety three percent of
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: the cash on. Them BUT i think, MAYBE i, MEAN
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: i don't THINK i could say THAT i would really do,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: it but maybe there's some value look at Towards, anaheim
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: maybe in the first five or something on the run
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: line or, whatever getting them on a plus half run or.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: WHATEVER i would not Back anaheim's bullpen though at. ALL
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: i don't think you could do. It the money is
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: back in the over nine and a, half so oddsmakers
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: are telling you they think it's gonna be a higher
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: scoring game. HERE i don't know about.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 3: That.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: Man the first five looks like it actually could trend under,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: maybe OR i don't know if trend is the right,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: word But mys pitches really well Against, anaheim And johnson
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: at least has some unfamiliarity. THERE i could see the
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: first five maybe being a possible underlook for the money
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: is definitely back in the. Over, yeah it's a game
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: THAT i would not. Touch San francisco At seattle is
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: ON Espn. Unlimited these teams have split the series so,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: far so whoever wins this game will win the. Series
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: seattle bounced back from a shutout loss in the first,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: game which was a return home spot bad. Spot they
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: bounced back and they got the win yesterday by. One
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: seattle used four relief pitchers. YESTERDAY i think they're the better.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: Bullpen San francisco also used. Four San francisco struggled out
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: of the bullpen this. Year their twenty second mid four's.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: Era that's not. Great seattle's, fifteenth but their eras in
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: the mid. Threes not a Bad seattle. BULLPEN i would
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: classify them as good in my, Opinion seattle's twenty. Seventh,
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: Offensively they've really struggled. Offensively Cal raley has not been
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: able to turn it. On he's dealt with some, injuries but,
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: STILL i don't. KNOW i don't know what's going on
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: with that offense right. Now they do play in a
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly, park but their offense should be better than
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: what they've. Shown and who are, they, Oh San. Francisco San, Francisco,
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: yeah they're ranked, Thirteenth but, AGAIN i don't really think
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: much of their. Offense so you, KNOW i, mean this
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: series generally kind of should be a bit lower scoring
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: just in, GENERAL i mean it has. Been we've had
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: seven runs in each of the first two games, here
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: so it's been right around that what the total has
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: been in the first two. Games San francisco is going
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: With Robbie. RAY i Think seattle has an advantage in
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching. HERE i don't really Think Robbie ray
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: is that. Good his numbers are all right three point
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: three eighty, array one point two to. Seven whip suggests
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: as the race should be a bit higher than it.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: Is he's not as good on the road four point
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: five to Three rodio. Rail this is a picture friendly ballpark.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: Here ray has had some issues with walks, recently Though
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: he's had three or more walks and three of his
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: last four. Starts that's not a good. Sign most of
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: his recent starts have been at, home, too SO i don't.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: Know he pitched okay in course field a couple of starts,
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: ago but, YEAH i don't, know, MAN i don't really
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: fully trust. Him he does have a low hit, rate
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: which is, good but his walk rate is really, high
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: so that's not. Good he walks a ton of. Guys
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: his strike up rate is pretty, mediocre SO i don't,
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: know or maybe worse than, THAT i don't know his
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: walk rate is his main, issue though he walks way
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 2: too many. Guys, however he has been good Against seattle
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 2: in the. Past they have sixty three at bats against,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: him one forty three, average four nineteen, ohps sixteen to
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: six strike up walk, ratio which is not a great.
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: Ratio But ray generally does have good numbers Against. Seattle
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: BUT i Think gilbert is the better pitcher. Here Logan
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: gilbert is pitching for The. Mariners he's been pretty. Strong
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: three point three to two R, ray point nine to
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: nine whip that is. Good homy ra doesn't look good
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: at four point one, one BUT i keep telling you
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: he's better than that because he ra at home was
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: six like two weeks ago and it's already gone down
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: to four point one, one WHICH i kept telling you
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: his homy ra being that high made no. Sense he
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: usually pitches well at. Home it's a pitcher friendly, park
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: and his overall numbers none of them were really that.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: Bad it was just getting unlucky via the home run
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: ball at. Home but he's been much better at home.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: Recently he's been good in. General last, Time money wasn't
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 2: that good At Tampa. Bay kind of a difficult assignment. There,
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: though but he's generally pitching pretty well right. Now he's
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: got a low hit, rate low walk, rate high strike out.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: Rate all those numbers are. Good he is flyball, heavy
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: but again that's The mariners stadium should knock down a
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: lot of those fly. Balls SO i don't really know
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: why he's allowed that many home runs at home numbers
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: Against San. Francisco they really haven't even seen that much of.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: Him they only have four hitters who have faced, him
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: because he's been in The American league his entire. CAREER
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: i think the entire thing With, seattle If i'm not,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: mistaken they have twenty seven at bats across those four
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: hitters against, him one to eighty five average eleven an
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: eight thirty four ohps is. High maybe that's a little
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: fluky because really the only real damage has come from
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: a domis he hits him well three for five with
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: two on the, runs on a, double on a, walk
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: four to two strike out walk ratio by the way
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: overall From San francisco Against, Gilbert BUT i Think gilbert
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: should pitch well, Here, LIKE i think that's a little bit.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: Fluky he's unfamiliar to half of their, lineup so, YEAH
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 2: i mean this game does read as an under to.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: Me the totals at, seven so you don't have a
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: lot of leeway with. That BUT i think the under
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: makes sense maybe in the first five so you can
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: Avoid San francisco's. BULLPEN i don't know if you really
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: necessarily need to completely avoid, them BECAUSE i think you
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: have two starters that might do well enough. Here, YEAH
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: i mean the under is getting the money fifty seven
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets ninety three percent of the cash on the.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 2: UNDER i still think maybe the first five under is
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: the better look in the game other than the full game.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: Under you're looking at three and a half if you do, it,
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: though and the money is Backing San francisco eighty eight
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets On, seattle fifty seven percent of the
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: cous On San. FRANCISCO i think it's about the. PRICE i,
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: Mean seattle is about minus one ninety something. Year that
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: is a really heavy price to lay On. Seattle SO
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: i think that's why the money's coming in On San.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 2: Francisco it's just a matter of. Price Maybe ray can
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: keep this game. CLOSE i Think gilbert is definitely the
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 2: better pitcher of, them And seattle has the better, bullpen
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: SO i would think That seattle should get out of
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: that game with a, win BUT i don't, know, MAN
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: i think the under is the better way to look
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: at that game. Though Maybe first Five Saint louis At.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: Arizona these teams have split the series so far as,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: well With arizona bouncing back with a win yesterday after
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: they lost by one in the first game of the
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: series in a return home and let down spot after
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: what they did to The dodgers over the weekend sweeping.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: Them SO i, mean this, game both team's probably gonna
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: show up. Here arizona used a lot of guys out
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: of the bullpen. Yesterday they use, five which is not,
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: great ALTHOUGH i think they're the better. Bullpen Saint louis
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: did only use three out of their, bullpen But arizona's
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: ranked fourth in bullpen whip right now in the era
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: is below four, now so you, know MAYBE i gotta
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: start actually Upgrading arizona's bullpen a little bit. More in my,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: mind maybe we should classify them as at least. Good
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: Saint louis does not classify that. Way they are twenty.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: First they're not, horrible but they're not a great. Bullpen
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: So arizona should have a bullpen, edge but they're a
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: little bit unrested. Offensively arizona not good twenty, Fifth they've really.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: Struggled Saint louis not that much better at twenty. Second
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: Saint louis is going With Andre paynante in this. One
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: he's been, okay a three point nine to SIX, era
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 2: one point two six. Whip he's good on the, road
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: a two point three to three ROADYRA i don't really
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: know why he's so much worse at home in a
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: more pitcher friendly. STADIUM i have no clue why that's the.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: Case wasn't really good at home last time out Against,
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: milwaukee wasn't good two starts before that at home Against.
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 2: Miami but his recent bad starts have all come at,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: home like he's been better on the. ROAD i don't
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 2: know what the deal is with. That his hit rate is.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Okay his walk rate isn't too bad. Either strike out
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: rate is definitely. Low though he doesn't strike guys, out
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: he gets a lot of guys to hit into ground.
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: Balls that's what he. Does numbers Against arizona are not,
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: good though in forty four at bats three forty one,
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: average eight point fifteen ops none of that is, good
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: and he will have to go up Against Eduardo, rodriguez
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: who's having a really good. Season even though he's late
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: in his career and he's Had Tommy john surgery and.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: Whatever his stuff is definitely. Diminished but he keeps pitching. Well.
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: Dude in the advanced analytics guys keep saying he's gonna
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: regress because he doesn't strike guys out. Anymore but he's
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: got a two point two ninety, array one point one seven.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: Whip that's. Good he's been good at home one point
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: eight to nine homie. Already that is really. Good he
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: did pitch in The All Star, game AND i thought
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: he must have been named to The All Star team before,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: this because he's an old. Dude he's had some decent
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: seasons in his. Career But i'm. WRONG i looked it
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 2: up and this is his first time being named to
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: The All star. Team that's. Crazy so that might be
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: a negative for, him you know, again first time you
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: get to you get named to The All star team
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: and you get to pitch in the. Game that might
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: throw him off a little. BIT i don't know that
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: you know who, Knows although he'll be basically on schedule,
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: here but STILL i don't. Know it could be a
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: little bit of a negative and the advanced analytics guys
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: are just waiting for him to regress because if you
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: look at his overall, numbers doesn't strike guys out really at,
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: all but his walk rate's not too bad and his
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: hit rate is pretty. Low SO i don't, know, DUDE
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: i don't know how he's doing what he's doing because
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: he's also a fly ball, pitcher but he's just getting
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: guys to hit into a lot of weak. Contact and
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: he's allowed two or fewer on runs and every start
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: going all the way back into mid early to Mid,
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: june and he's allowed no more than four and runs
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: in any start on the entire. Season so he's been.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: Consistent and he does have good numbers Against Saint louis
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 2: and twenty two at bats one thirty six, average allowed
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: three seventy six. Ops you. KNOW i, mean the coming
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: out of The All Star game is a little bit
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: of a, concern BUT i think this. Game probably the
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: way to play this is to take the first five under.
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: Us the full game total is not low though it's at,
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: nine and the money's back in the over sixty one
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the, under fifty six percent of
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: the cash on the. Overs the money kind of in
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: againting towards the over, There but first five under looks
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: right to. ME i, MEAN i might worry about E
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: rod a little bit, there but both guys have good
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers. Here both pitchers actually are in the better
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: of their home road splits, Too SO i think first
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: five under makes some sense. Here sixty one percent are
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: already at the PERCENTAGES, yah sixty nine percent of the
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: tickets are On, arizona by the, way and fifty six
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash On Saint. Louis arizona's about minus
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: won twenty something here on the money, Line so the
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: money is Playing Saint louis there and Backing, pyonte who
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: has been the lesser of the two pitchers this, season
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: which is also kind of an indicator towards the. Under
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: that also kind of means that because the money's Backing
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: ray in That San Francisco seattle, game that also kind
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: of indicates towards the under as, well because if the
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: money's back in the lesser of the two, pitchers that
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: kind of is an, indicator like it's not really fading
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 2: the better pitcher you know WHAT i. Mean SO i
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: think that's kind of an indicator that maybe the money
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: thinks that it's going to be a lower scoring game
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: when they're grabbing the underdog like, that and, that you,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: know that's that would be an indicator that maybe that
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: money thinks it's going to be an under because the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: underdog has a better chance to cover if it's going
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: to be a, close low scoring, game kind of Like
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 2: washington last night in THE. Wnba the WINNER i gave
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: out in THE wnba last, night that was indeed a
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 2: low scoring, game all, Right unlike The Indiana New york,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: game which was ridiculously high scoring in the fourth, quarter
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: especially LIKE i was thinking that game was gonna go
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: under the way it was looking in the fourth, quarter
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: and it skyrocketed. Over SO i was, like this is.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: Crazy it was a blowout of for the fever by
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: the end of. It SO i think it was just
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: teams stopped playing. Deepfense, ANYWAY nbc At Peacock game, Two Yankees,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: dodgers here's your last play of the. Day it's gonna be.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: Sorry that's The texas plane first five under the four
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: and a half at plus. MONEY i was surprised that
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: you could get four and a half in the first
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: five with a starting pitching matchup like this at plus.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: Money AND i think it's because both of these teams
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: have really had really good offenses, Too yankees not so
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: much recently though so and in this, series the one
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: game that we've seen so far was low scoring and
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: it was not a new an elite pitching matchup like this. Is,
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: now if you want to go full, game you could
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 2: because both bullpens are good and Generally i'd be going
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: full game on this, too but it's a game. Two
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: so that's the ISSUE i have with this is we
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: don't know what the bullpen used to just gonna look
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 2: like in game, one so the bullpens are maybe a
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: little bit of a concern. Here So i'm just gonna
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: focus on the starting pitching to just have a shutdown
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings. Here that's What i'm gonna look.
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: At the total has dropped the. Bit the total is
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: now eight or seven and a, half SO i don't
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: think you're gonna be able to find this number. ANYMORE
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: i don't even know HOW i found this, number so you,
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: KNOW i apologize for. That let me, see let me
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: see what the number. Is hopefully you can still get
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: like a four on, this but if you want to
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: go under full, game the full game is eight and a. Half,
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: actually still no. This you can still get this number
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: out there right now AT fd some of the books
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: don't have it listed right. Now wait a, Minute wait a, minute,
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: nope hold, on scratch. This scratch. THAT i might have
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: to pull the down because this is not gonna be
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: the Starting wait what hold? On, NO i THINK i
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: Think i'm right. Right oh, no the first? Game all,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: right hold, On i'm gonna move. This, yeah the first
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 2: game is now gonna be this starting pitching. Matchup game
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: two in the series is now going to be the
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: pitching the matchup that was gonna be, Yesterday i'm pretty.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: Sure SO i think the night game is now going
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: to Be weather's In shean Or sheen and. Weathers that's
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: why the number was like. This, okay that makes more.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: Sense i'm gonna change. This this is actually gonna Be
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: we're gonna play the first. Game. Now so you you
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: heard WHAT i said about Whether shean and If weather's
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: In shean or the second. Game now my lean in
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: that game would be over in the night game because you,
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: KNOW i don't think that's that elite of a starting pitching,
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: matchup ALTHOUGH i do think those pitchers are better than
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: people think they. Are but hold, on let me update.
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: This this is gonna be game, one and this is
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: gonna be a full game under. Now i'm pretty sure
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i LIKE i actually like this lot because the
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: bullpens are gonna come in. Rested but see if we
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 2: can get an under eight on this let me say.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: So scratch. That hold on a, Second i'm looking right.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: NOW i apologize because you never know what's gonna happen
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: with these starting, pitchers you, know which is WHY i
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: when you're looking at games like, THAT i would recommend
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: waiting until you, know like what the the deal. Is
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: at least let me see first game. Here, yeah is
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: going to be this really good starting pitching. Matchup that
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: explains why the total is what it. Is you can
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 2: still get an under eight on. This the books haven't
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: really caught up, yet so that's What i'm gonna. RECOMMEND
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: i see it right now at D k actually has
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: it At i'll give you the price right now at
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: under eight minus one. Eighteen let's do, it. MAN i
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: would still take this under seven and a half, Too
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: but this is gonna be the play. Now it's gonna
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 2: Be Yankees Dodgers game one now under eight at minus one.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: Eighteen this number is gonna go, down. Dude it's definitely
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: gonna head towards seven and a. Half AND i like.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: THIS i, MEAN i know people know this is gonna
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: be an elite starting pitching matchup, here but the total
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: can only go solo in a game like this because
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: these are two really good. Offenses we know, this Right,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: like we have number one The dodgers and number Six
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: yankees in offense. Here yankees are also number three in,
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 2: bullpen and they have the best bullpen e Ray dodgers
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: not that far behind at. Six their bullpen's been solid as.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: Well and given that that yesterday was a day of,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: rest you know that MEANS i like the under more
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: because the bats might have cooled off a little. Bit
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: yankees' bats have kind of been cool, anyway even though
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: this season have been good at home and The dodgers
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: have been good on the. Road BUT i think the
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: bats might be a little cool. Here and obviously we're
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: gonna back some elite starting pitching, here so that's really
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: the main reason for doing this. Here maybe it looks too,
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: easy but getting it a number of eight, HERE i
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: mean even seven and a, HALF i think it's. Good but,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: EIGHT i think it's really good for this. Game AND
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: i like both bullpens, Too LIKE i, said But Yoshinoba
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: yamamoto is pitching for The. Dodgers, here we know he's
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: good two point eight five vra point nine to one.
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: Whip he's actually even better on the road two point
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: two to eight. Road era got lit up last time
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: out for six runs Against, arizona only on five, hits
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: but he was. Wild he walked four, Guys but that
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: to me looks like an, outlier Like i'm not gonna
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 2: put that much weight into. That, generally he pitches really.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: Well that was the only time all. Season, sorry it
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: was only the second time all season that he allowed
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: more than three or in runs in a. Start he's
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: got a really low hit, rate low walk right strike
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: out rate is pretty good as. Well we know he's,
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: good and his matchup numbers look pretty good as. Well
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: and forty two at bats against The yankees two thirty eight,
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: average six fifty four ohps. ALLOWED i Think yamamotos should
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: pitch well, here and we Got Cam schlittler on the other,
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: side So i'm backing him as.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 3: Well.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: Here we know he's good two point zero five vrra
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: point nine to four whip really really. Good he's not
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: as good at home for whatever. Reason it is more
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: of a hit or friendly. Park but he does have
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: kind of extreme splits here three point five ninety r
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: right at. Home that's still pretty. Good he's still a
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: good pitcher. Man, NOW i believe he was named to
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: The All Star. Team he didn't pitch in The All Star,
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: game BUT i think he was on the team. Obviously
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: that was his first time being named to The All star.
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: Team because he's pretty much a rookie, Here i'm not
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: gonna put much weight into. That, LIKE i think he's
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: an elite level, pitcher SO i don't think he's gonna
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: pitch poorly. Here he's got a low hit, rate low walk,
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: rate high strikeout. Rate everything looks good from, him, obviously
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: and The dodgers have never faced him. BEFORE i know.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: It it's all. Order The dodgers ear an elite, offense
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: But i'm gonna take an elite pitcher over an elite offense,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: man AND i think that's what he is and with the,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 2: unfamiliarity that should give him an extra boost, here because
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: usually that's the case with a really good young. Pitcher
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: if the opposing offense hasn't seen him, before that's usually
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: an advantage to that young. Pitcher so we will go
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: under In game one now Of Yankees. Dodgers the money
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: looks like it's coming in on the over in this,
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: one and The dodgers are actually favored in this. Game
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 2: BUT i think the market is just like the market
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: has not adjusted yet do BECAUSE i think the market
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 2: is still like that was the price with the that's
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: The Shean weathers. Price i'm pretty sure like The yankees
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: are not gonna be an underdog in this. Game With
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: schlitler on the MOD i would not. THINK i think
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be close to like A pickham. Price Probably
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: yankees maybe slightly, favored heavier more heavily than. That SO
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: i don't think what we're seeing in the market is
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: really accurate for what's gonna happen in that, game although
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: The dodgers are actually the favorite of both. Games SO
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: i don't, Know, man Maybe i'm wrong about. That maybe
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: there's some value looking towards The yankees too in that.
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: One but, Uh dodgers Won game one of the, series
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: by the, way two days, ago for what that's. Worth
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: but this game just has underwritten all over it to.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 2: Me so that's What i'm doing game one. Now but
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: specify the starting pitchers and then you don't have to
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: worry about, it you, know like if you had Taken
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: game two when those are the listed, starters it just won't,
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: count you know WHAT i. Mean you just get your
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: money back because those aren't gonna be the pitchers in
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: game two. Anymore and you could take that money that
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: you just got back and just throw it On game, one,
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: now you know WHAT i. Mean so specify the pitchers
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: in that one, obviously BUT i don't specify anything. Else. Then,
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah i'm saying you should specify the, pitchers WHICH i
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: think you're gonna do in every one of the GAMES
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: i gave out, today which is. Typical all, right let's
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: finish this. Off we HAVE. WNBA i don't really love
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: THE wnba board. HERE i don't have a play. HERE
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: i think IF i was gonna give out any it
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: might be on this first game in the afternoon ON
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: ABC la And. Dallas dallas has not played for a
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: while because they had that postponed game against The, Liberty
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: And i'm, like, well why is? That it made no.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: Sense The liberty still didn't even win, yesterday even though
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: they had a huge rest edge Against indiana, Yesterday indiana
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: was on a back to. Back indiana still won the game.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: Yesterday BUT i think this spot is a negative For
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: dallas because they won five games in a row and
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: then they were supposed to Play New york On. Thursday
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: they didn't do. IT i think it Was New york's
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: like plane malfunctioned or. SOMETHING i don't know what the deal.
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 2: Was dallas was already at, home so that game got,
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: postponed BUT i got postponed to. Tomorrow so Now dallas
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: is in a spot where they're gonna have to play
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: it back to back today and. Tomorrow although at least for,
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: them they play after noon today and then have to
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: play at night game. Tomorrow but they might look ahead
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: To New, york, Dude like they were supposed to play
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: that game On, thursday that was gonna be a big
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: game Against New, york and now they play it. Tomorrow
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 2: they might look, ahead, Dude and the fact that they
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: have extra days off. Here they literally haven't played since Last.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: Sunday now haven't played for a.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 3: Week you.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: KNOW i talk about. This if you're on a wind
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: streak and you have a week, off it's like a
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: buy in. FOOTBALL i think it disrupts your. Momentum SO
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: i think that's a negative For dallas. Here plus they
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: got the look. Ahead they're Playing la. Here they did
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: already Beat la on the road earlier this year by,
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: eight so they might kind of Look la. Here la
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 2: hasn't really been playing. WELL i don't Think plumb is
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: back yet For, la BUT i gotta make sure of that.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: Here la might be a better spot for. Them although
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: they're definitely not at a rest advantage. Here they played
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: two days ago On, friday SO i have a little
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: bit of a concern That la is really unrested, Here
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: but that's gonna be factored into the. Line dallas having
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: an extra rest edge, here that's gonna be factored into the. Line,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i think the extra rest is actually a negative
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: For dallas. Here AS i hear some more on revving
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: their engine, Outside i'm so fucking sick of. That shit
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: should be, banned, Dude these people should be in. JAIL
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: i don't. CARE la has lost every game on the
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: road trip so, far SO i think they're going to
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: show up for. This it's been a difficult road. Trip
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: they want to get a win on the. Road but you,
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: Know i'm a little bit worried about how unrested they.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: Are So i'm not gonna come in and play this.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: Game BUT i would PLAY la IF i was gonna play.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 2: It you're gonna get nine and a half or even
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: ten WITH la, Here SO i think that probably Means
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 2: plumb is still not. Back h sixty eight percent of,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 2: tickets seventy four percent of the cash ON. La they
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: look a little bit, public WHICH i don't think that's
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: gonna be the. CASE i don't think the public is
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: coming in and PLAYING la in THE wnba. Here, dallas
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 2: though they're good at, home they're definitely a good. Team
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: they're a very improved team right. Now so we will,
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 2: see And i'm gonna look real quick at the injury,
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 2: report but, Yeah plumb is still not. Back so, yeah
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: BUT i would lean to taking the points WITH. La
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: AND i think that's the strongest OPINION i have here
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: on the. BOARD i don't really love the other Games
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: chicago And atlanta ON cbs And Paramount. Plus, Here atlanta's
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: the better, Team they're gonna be favored. HERE i think
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 2: they're better than the record. Looks. Probably they're coming out
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: of a win Over toronto a couple of days, ago
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: kind of an easy. Win they went To, toronto and
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 2: now they're coming back home only from a single game
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: road trip, though WHICH i don't think is a. Negative
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: but maybe they look ahead To. Dallas but they have
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: ten days off before they Play. DALLAS i don't know
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: what's going, on if there's another break in THE. Wnba
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 2: if this is just a weird scheduling quirk where they
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: have ten days, OFF i have no idea what that.
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: Is but given that they have that much time, off
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: maybe they won't look ahead and maybe they will just
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: show up for. This they did already Beat chicago once this.
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: Year the one time they, played they won In chicago by,
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 2: Seven so that makes it possible they might overlook, them,
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: because oh, yeah if we beat The chicago team on
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: the road, already we should be able to beat them at.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: Home chicago is coming off a win Over, la decent.
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: Win they've won two games in a. Row they're starting
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: a road. Trip they should be. FOCUSED i, Mean atlanta's
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: a decent team starting a road, trip usually a focused
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: spot For. Chicago i'll have a slight lean To chicago,
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: here but the money's disagreeing with. Me atlanta's laying a
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: ton of. Points they're minus eleven and a half, here
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: fifty three percent of ticket seventy seven percent of the
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 2: cash On atlanta's the money indicating On. Atlanta and we
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: got high totals in both of these two, games by the,
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: Way dallas And, LA i mean that does look like
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 2: a high scoring, game but the money's coming in on
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 2: the under In dallas AND. La but those teams kind
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 2: of profile as high as over. TEAMS la just doesn't play.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: Defense DALLAS i think plays more of a fast tempo,
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: anyway which is why that totals in the one. Eighties
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 2: chicago And. Atlanta, YEAH i don't really have a good
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: read on, this but money's Backing. ATLANTA i would slightly
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: lean towards taking the points To, chicago but no good
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: read on that at all for. Me and Then Connecticut
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: phoenix has the strongest market read on. It and this
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: could be a. Zigzag this is a night game ON
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: espn And Disney plus these two teams are playing each
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 2: other twice in a. Row phoenix has lost five, straight.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: Dude but if you look at these, games they lost To,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: Indiana vegas And minnesota in the middle of. That so
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: those are good, teams you, Know so no real shame
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 2: in losing to those. TEAMS i Think i'm gonna say it,
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 2: Again phoenix is not really as bad as the record.
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 2: Looks and they just lost at home To, connecticut and
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: now they get a chance to zigzag this thing and
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: Beat connecticut this time to split the home stand and
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: they're favored by pretty much the same amount that they
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: were In game. One three and a half or. SO
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: i think this is a spot where you can come
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: in and zig zag. It maybe this is actually the
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 2: strongest lean in THE. WNBA i Like phoenix in this.
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: ONE i would lean towards laying the points with them. Here,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: again they just lost by double digits at home To.
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: Connecticut that was not, good AND i gave on a
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 2: lien On connecticut in that. Game i'm pretty sure it
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: was a return home spot For. Phoenix they were coming
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: up of a big game Against minnesota where they played really.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 2: Close it was not a good spot For. Phoenix it
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: was a hangover. Spot you'll go what happened in that?
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 2: Game connecticut shot fifty two percent from the. Field that
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: is not going to happen. Again although there weren't really
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 2: many other outliers, here and it is a concern That
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: connecticut won the rebound. BATTLE i guess Maybe Britney grinder
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: is still racking up rebounds there Because britney is probably a.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: Dude but, Whatever phoenix did lose the turnover, battle which
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: they might fix that in this game fix you, know
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: THE mistiqi, like you can fix mental, mistakes you know
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: WHAT i? Mean although what With washington who way back?
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they still lost the turnover baut, yesterday BUT i
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: was right that it wasn't as bad as it was
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: in the previous. Matchup, anyway the one big outlier here
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 2: Is connecticut shot really well in the first game here Against.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: PHOENIX i think it'll flip around. AGAIN i am worried
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: about the rebound battle and stuff like, that BUT i
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: Think phoenix is the right side. Here they're the better.
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 2: Team they've lost a bunch of games in, rowd connecticuts
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: won a couple games in a. Row, now it's such
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: that these teams have really similar. Records Now phoenix is
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: only a half game Above. CONNECTICUT i Know phoenix has
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: been bad at home this, year but they're the better.
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 2: Team they're in the better. CONFERENCE i would lay the.
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: Points LIKE i, SAID i think that's the only way
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 2: you could really look at this game is to take
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: the better team at home to zigzag and bounce back
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: after they lost the first. Game you're looking at three
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: and a half or four here, now which isn't too
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 2: far off from what it was in the first. Game
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of tickets On. Connecticut the public doesn't
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: Want phoenix, here eighty nine percent of the cash On.
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: PHOENIX i would lay it With. PHOENIX i don't really
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: want to actually do, it but that would be my lean.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 2: There and then we have The World Cup Final spain And.
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: Argentina Man spain plus one point thirty here on the
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: three way, line So spain is. Favored the game is
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: going to be In New. JERSEY i don't really know
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: where these teams played LAST i don't think it really.
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: MATTERS i, mean we know this is. It these teams
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: are gonna show, Up argentina or the returning. Champs there's
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: some weird stuff going. On where people are talking about
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: how When lem And, yaml who's the best player For.
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 2: Spain he's really, young he's, nineteen, which by the, way
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: worries me About spain's. Experience like when you Have argentina
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: with their best player being messy having as un of,
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: Experience spain's best player being very, inexperienced that would worry
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: me For. Spain argentina has an experience edge, here and
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: of course they're the returning, Champs they're used to doing.
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: THIS i don't want them to. Win i'm sick Of.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: Argentina i'm sick of you, know they're just full Blown
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 2: israel support In, israel backing them and. Whatever they're like
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: The israel Of South. America i'm done with that. Shit
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: i'm rooting For spain. HERE i don't know if they're
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: gonna be able to get it. Done they are, favored
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: they're considered to be the better. Team, again they're plus
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: one thirty on the three. Away if you want to
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: play them to advance or to, WIN i should say
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 2: they're probably about minus one. SIXTY i Think argentina is
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: the public side, though so if you look at the
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: public action On Action, Network argentina is a little bit,
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: public So spain might be the anti public, play WHICH
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: i didn't expect. That, like if this Was spain Against,
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: ENGLAND i think the public would be all Over spain
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: Because spain just Beat, france, dude so that Made spain look,
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: really really, good the fact that they Beat. France But
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: i'll tell you it was not. Misleading spain was really.
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: Good spain's defense is really. Good their offense is pretty
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: solid as, well but their defense and their possession game is.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 2: Excellent not a misleading win Over. France they won that game.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: Legitimately BUT i thought that after they did, that the
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: public would be On spain after that BECAUSE i thought
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: it was, like, oh the winner Of Spain france is
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: gonna be the winner of this whole. Thing BUT i
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 2: actually don't think, so because if you remember My World cup,
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: Bracket france was the most public, pick But argentina was
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: the second most public. Pick some of it was Because
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: argentina had an easy path through their region and, whatever
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 2: which is, true but you, know some of, IT i
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: Think argentina is just a public. Pick so AGAIN i
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 2: Think england would be much less picked, here and if
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: that was the, case Maybe i'd be looking For england.
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: Here i'm not gonna make a play on this. Game
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: AND i was right about yesterday being high. Scoring by the,
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 2: way the third place, game there was no defense in that.
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: Game it Makes france probably look bad. Though the fact
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 2: that they fell behind four nothing To england in that
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: game yesterday almost came back and lost six to four.
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous there was just no defense in that. Game these
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: teams just didn't. Care that's why that's. Old it was
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: so high in that. Game this game is a championship.
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: Game you could look to an under this one the
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: two and a. Half you'll probably have to pay a
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 2: bit of juice for, it BUT i do think an
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: under is worth a look. HERE i think it's gonna
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: be a, tight low scoring, match, Dude that's WHAT i think.
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: Here that's for the first ninety. MINUTES A championship games
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: usually go under because teams don't want to make. Mistakes
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: they focus on. DEEPFENSE i think an undermakes sense in this.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 2: One i'm gonna, MAN i, MEAN i THINK i slightly Lean,
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: ARGENTINA i Mean spain coming up that win Over france.
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: There the inexperience really really worries. Me and you, Know
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 2: argentina kind of look bad again Against, england like it
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: looks like they keep, escaping you know WHAT i. Mean
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: but the public is Playing argentina, here SO i don't love. That,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: Really if you're gonna Play, ARGENTINA i would just play
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: them to. WIN i would not play them on the
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: three way line like plus two hundred or whatever in
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: the ninety OR i think they're plus two. SEVENTY i
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 2: think the draw is actually plus two hundred on the
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: three way, line so the oddsmakers think there's a decent
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: chance of a low scoring, draw WHICH i wouldn't disagree,
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: with BUT i would. Play if you're gonna Play, ARGENTINA
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: i would just take them to win The World, cup
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: you know WHAT i. Mean you'd get them at like
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: plus one thirty something, Probably BUT i think the public
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: is going to be doing, that like a matchup like
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 2: this public SIDE messi Returning Champs. ARGENTINA i do think
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 2: the public is going to be playing, like oh my,
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 2: god give Me argentina plus one thirty, something you know
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 2: WHAT i. MEAN i think the public is gonna be
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: leaning that. Way AND i lost my train of thought
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: WHAT i was going to, Say by the, way weird
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: weird event where Lemin yamal when he was a, Baby
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: spain's best, Player Lamina mal he's nineteen. Now when he
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: was a, baby his parents won some sort of prize
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: where they got to do a photo op With messi
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: When messi was like a young famous, player which was,
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: LIKE i don't even know If messi was like in
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 2: his early twenties at the. TIME i think it's really really, bizarre,
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: Dude it is really. Bizarre like it makes me really
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: think there's somebody to everything being, Rigged like how could
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 2: that be? Possible and now those are the two best
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: players on these two teams here facing off in The
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: World cup. Final, really really there's something going on. Here,
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: Man it's just. BIZARRE i don't know. What, YEAH i
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: just don't even know what to tell you about. That but,
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 2: anyway that was my breakdown as far as HOW i
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: break this game. Down i'm done with The World. Cup
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: we escaped with a win in The World, cup even
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i was five and one at one. Point we
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 2: finished seven and. Five but we still want a little
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: bit of money on The World. Cup So, gerald what's?
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: Up thanks for hanging, out all, right that's gonna do. It,
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: Yeah so those are my opinions There, AGAIN i would
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: slightly lean to Taking argentina as a dog to, win
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 2: like on the two advance, LINE i mean to win
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: the cup. Line that's ALL i got on that, really
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: and undermakes sense in the first ninety as, well all,
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: right and the plays they were heavy on baseball. Today
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: the players are going to Be game one Now Dodgers
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: yankees under the eight pitching matchup is. Elite in that,
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 2: one we're gonna be on The mets money Line boston
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: And tampa Or Tampa bay And boston first five under
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: the total of four DECENT i think it's a decent number.
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: There and then we're also on a first five money
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 2: line with The Texas. RANGERS i think they have the
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 2: starting pitching edge. There so that's gonna do. It learn
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: it tone On twitter and learn it ton On. Instagram
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: like subscribe to the channel. Here we're at five. Hundreds
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: you can join with a membership if you want, to
• 1:45:34
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• 1:45:37
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• 1:45:39
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• 1:45:43
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• 1:45:51
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• 1:46:04
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• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: for the upcoming seasons and. Whatever, AGAIN i gotta figure
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: out WHAT i want to make for membership. Content, Man
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 2: MAYBE i start putting some of my bracket specials or
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: something under the membership. STUFF i don't know. YET i
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 2: haven't really figured it. Out if people are entertained by
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 2: that and interested in. That, really this is where like
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 2: people should be paying me for the money making. Stuff
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: we're still making money here on the, show, MAN i,
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: mean this is still a good. Run in the last
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: one of five, days we're still hitting like sixty percent
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  Speaker 2: over that. Span, YEAH i mean THAT'S i told you
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 2: there was gonna be some regression there and we're in
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: the middle of it right. Now but it's been pretty.
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: Good so that's gonna do. It let's get back on
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: the winning side in baseball, here because we were, really
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 2: really good at the beginning of the baseball season up
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 2: until really like Late. June let's get back on the
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: right track, here. MAN i don't, know for whatever, reason
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: dog days of SUMMER i start doing bat aut in.
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 2: Baseball but that's gonna do. It, Peace.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 3: But don't you go.
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: Quiet don't you fade from the. Floor your name still
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: mean something to somebody for. Show put the glass, down,
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: baby look at.
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 3: Me, now.
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 4: Hold, on hold, on letting.
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 3: Nice, now.
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 4: Hold, on hold, on let me fo. You that bites,
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 4: hard but it don't get the. Crown hold, on hold
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 4: on
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 3: And stay with me now