Latest / Pod Save America / Has Anyone Seen the Democrats?
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- 1:16Speaker 2: How many days left?
- 1:18Speaker 3: So late.
- 1:18Speaker 1: 14, about 14, about 1399, something like that?
- 1:21Speaker 2: We're in the 13s for sure.
- 1:23Speaker 1: How many days?
- 1:25Speaker 2: Are you asking the new China AI or the?
- 1:28Speaker 1: Inauguration day 2029. Seems like that should have just been
- 1:34Speaker 1: something Google gave me the answer to.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Google's broken.
- 1:37Speaker 3: The Google AI. 14, oh.
- 1:39Speaker 2: Gotta use chat GPT for everything.
- 1:42Speaker 1: Yeah, right, you're right.
- 1:43Speaker 2: You're right, I'm being stupid.
- 1:45Speaker 1: There won't be an inauguration day in 2020.
- 1:50Speaker 4: 1454.
- 1:50Speaker 2: 454 days. I thought we were at 1406 when we
- 1:53Speaker 2: talked about this.
- 1:55Speaker 1: Maybe that's till election day.
- 1:56Speaker 3: Oh, that's what it was.
- 1:57Speaker 2: That's till election day.
- 1:58Speaker 1: 1454 till inauguration day.
- 1:59Speaker 2: Nothing much happens between the election and the inauguration as
- 2:02Speaker 2: we've found. This is good content. We should use it
- 2:05Speaker 2: for the show. All right.
- 2:07Speaker 3: I think we're rolling.
- 2:08Speaker 2: Let's do it. Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 2:31Speaker 1: I'm Jon Lovett.
- 2:31Speaker 3: I'm Tommy Detour.
- 2:32Speaker 2: On today's show, Trump is making good on his promise
- 2:34Speaker 2: to go to war with the federal government. From loyalty
- 2:37Speaker 2: screenings to dismantling diversity programs to pausing cancer research, we'll
- 2:41Speaker 2: talk about which moves are more performative and which you
- 2:43Speaker 2: should actually worry about. Democrats are finally beginning to talk
- 2:46Speaker 2: and argue more openly about how to respond to all
- 2:49Speaker 2: this craziness. We'll go through what we think is productive,
- 2:51Speaker 2: what's a waste of time, and how the race for
- 2:53Speaker 2: DNC chair plays into all of it. Some news on
- 2:56Speaker 2: that front. Stay tuned. Then Dara Lind, longtime immigration journalist
- 3:00Speaker 2: and now a senior fellow at the American Immigration Council,
- 3:03Speaker 2: stops by. to talk to Tommy about what's really happening
- 3:06Speaker 2: with deportations and immigration policy and why it matters. But first,
- 3:11Speaker 2: let's talk about the brief skirmish our president got us
- 3:13Speaker 2: into with the Colombian government on Sunday, one of our
- 3:16Speaker 2: biggest allies in South America. Basically, Trump tried to send
- 3:19Speaker 2: a few military planes carrying deported migrants to Colombia. Colombia's
- 3:23Speaker 2: leftist president, Gustavo Petro, said not so fast. His country
- 3:28Speaker 2: would stop accepting these flights until the U.S. could guarantee
- 3:31Speaker 2: a process where the migrants were treated with dignity. Apparently,
- 3:35Speaker 2: this was all in response to Trump's use of military
- 3:38Speaker 2: aircraft for these transfers. Colombia has allowed hundreds of flights
- 3:41Speaker 2: carrying deported migrants on civilian aircraft under the Biden administration.
- 3:46Speaker 2: Trump was not too happy about this, so he announced
- 3:50Speaker 2: that the U.S. would be retaliating with a 25% tariff
- 3:54Speaker 2: on all goods coming into the U.S. from Colombia, which
- 3:56Speaker 2: would rise to 50% in one week. Just a reminder,
- 3:59Speaker 2: we buy a lot of coffee, a lot of flowers,
- 4:02Speaker 2: oil from Colombia. So that would likely mean higher prices
- 4:05Speaker 2: on those things. Petro then threatened retaliatory tariffs of 25
- 4:09Speaker 2: percent on U.S. goods imported to Colombia in a very
- 4:12Speaker 2: long post where he also referred to Trump as a
- 4:15Speaker 2: white slaver, said that he'd rather die than give in
- 4:18Speaker 2: and confessed that although he finds the U.S. a bit boring,
- 4:21Speaker 2: he does like Walt Whitman, Paul Simon and Noam Chomsky.
- 4:24Speaker 3: It's an okay list. It's a good list, yeah.
- 4:26Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 4:26Speaker 2: And then on Sunday evening, he did give in. Yeah.
- 4:30Speaker 2: White House Press Secretary Caroline Leavitt put out a statement
- 4:32Speaker 2: saying Colombia had completely backed down, that the tariffs would
- 4:35Speaker 2: be held, quote, in reserve, and added, quote, today's events
- 4:38Speaker 2: make clear to the world that America is respected again.
- 4:41Speaker 1: Love it or love it.
- 4:42Speaker 2: And included... No, no, no.
- 4:46Speaker 3: Get her on the show. Get her on.
- 4:47Speaker 2: Included a warning to all other countries not to make
- 4:51Speaker 2: the same mistake. I think the Colombians did say we
- 4:54Speaker 2: did get some promises for better conditions for the migrants
- 4:58Speaker 2: coming back.
- 4:59Speaker 1: They got nothing.
- 5:00Speaker 2: They got nothing. What did you guys make of this
- 5:02Speaker 2: as a governing strategy, a foreign policy strategy, and a
- 5:05Speaker 2: political strategy?
- 5:06Speaker 3: I mean, it's like classic Trump, right? He's the arsonist
- 5:09Speaker 3: and the firefighter. Petro's an interesting guy. He joined a
- 5:14Speaker 3: Marxist guerrilla group as a teenager. and then transitioned to politics,
- 5:18Speaker 3: so he's not someone who's scared to fight.
- 5:20Speaker 2: We all did crazy things as kids, you know?
- 5:22Speaker 1: Yeah, we were wild. Wild group this table.
- 5:26Speaker 2: A couple left-wing gorillas right here.
- 5:30Speaker 3: Something in my mentions I sometimes have. I do think
- 5:33Speaker 3: Petro screwed up here. He gave Trump a win. He overreacted.
- 5:35Speaker 3: I think he claims that there was a video.
- 5:38Speaker 2: You don't think he should have named Chomsky?
- 5:40Speaker 3: Well, there was a deportation flight to Brazil... that went
- 5:43Speaker 3: viral on social media where people were handcuffed. And then
- 5:46Speaker 3: there was the news that the U.S. is going to
- 5:47Speaker 3: use military aircraft to fly these deportation flights. And I
- 5:50Speaker 3: think a couple of Latin America experts I talked to
- 5:53Speaker 3: think that Petra decided he could pick a fight here
- 5:56Speaker 3: and it would help him politically. And then when people
- 5:59Speaker 3: in Colombia realized that this might mean economic damage from
- 6:02Speaker 3: tariffs or no visas for them to travel to the U.S.,
- 6:06Speaker 3: they decided that was way worse and he backtracked very,
- 6:08Speaker 3: very quickly. But I do think broadly from Trump, like,
- 6:11Speaker 3: We're going to see a lot of this picking fights
- 6:14Speaker 3: with Democrats or leftists on immigration, bullying small countries to
- 6:19Speaker 3: get little wins, and then acting like that wasn't a
- 6:23Speaker 3: strategy available to every U.S. president ever just to be
- 6:26Speaker 3: a dick to Colombia. But ultimately, I think it's counterproductive
- 6:30Speaker 3: and it raises questions about the U.S. as a long
- 6:32Speaker 3: term ally. The Chinese are already trying to capitalize on it.
- 6:35Speaker 3: So it's just stupid.
- 6:36Speaker 1: Nerd shit from Tommy. Oh, they're going to capitalize it?
- 6:39Speaker 1: This was Trump at his best?
- 6:42Speaker 2: No.
- 6:42Speaker 1: When I saw it unfolding, when I saw it unfolding,
- 6:44Speaker 1: what my honest first thought was, it was like, this
- 6:46Speaker 1: couldn't have been scripted better for Trump if Trump hadn't
- 6:50Speaker 1: paid this guy in Trump coins.
- 6:52Speaker 2: I thought that too. At the White House, they must
- 6:53Speaker 2: have been like, are you fucking kidding me? This is awesome.
- 6:56Speaker 1: Because trade wars, tariffs, a lot of what Trump is promising,
- 7:00Speaker 1: it's much easier to promise as a candidate because in reality,
- 7:03Speaker 1: there are terrible, terrible tariffs trade-offs. And by the way,
- 7:07Speaker 1: there are also terrible trade-offs in having a capricious American
- 7:12Speaker 1: president upending our reputation as a stable and safe ally.
- 7:17Speaker 1: There is incredible value for Americans day to day in
- 7:20Speaker 1: having a president that is seen as a reliable partner.
- 7:24Speaker 1: Because yes, it may mean there are times we have
- 7:26Speaker 1: to compromise and give with your partners, but you're a
- 7:29Speaker 1: trading partner they can count on. You're a country they
- 7:31Speaker 1: can count on. Uh, but he doesn't give a shit
- 7:33Speaker 1: about any of that. So he gets this incredible easy win, right? Like, obviously, like,
- 7:39Speaker 1: you know, I saw people on social media be like,
- 7:41Speaker 1: and you know, our coffee is going to be more expensive,
- 7:43Speaker 1: but like, this is bullying. You can bully a small
- 7:45Speaker 1: country because they need us more than, than we need them.
- 7:48Speaker 1: He knew that from the jump. This guy caves. It's
- 7:50Speaker 1: just another great news cycle for Donald Trump.
- 7:53Speaker 2: I did see some people on social media, various social
- 7:56Speaker 2: media platforms, like cheering on the Colombian president and quoting
- 8:00Speaker 2: from his statement and being like, uh, oh, he's throwing
- 8:04Speaker 2: down with Trump and look at this. I'm here for this.
- 8:06Speaker 2: This is great. And it's like, guys, let's not, this
- 8:09Speaker 2: is not the way to, this is not the way
- 8:10Speaker 2: to respond to this. I do want to talk about
- 8:13Speaker 2: it in the context of like Trump using tariffs as
- 8:18Speaker 2: a threat to get what he wants from other countries, which,
- 8:22Speaker 2: you know, this situation made me realize, oh, this is
- 8:25Speaker 2: why he loves tariffs so much because he, yeah, it's leverage.
- 8:28Speaker 2: And he thinks he's going to, this is how he's
- 8:29Speaker 2: going to get his foreign policy objectives achieved. According to
- 8:32Speaker 2: Trump advisors who spoke to the Wall Street Journal, Trump is, quote,
- 8:35Speaker 2: very serious about hitting Mexico and Canada with 25 percent
- 8:39Speaker 2: tariffs this Saturday, February 1st, even before any negotiations. Just
- 8:43Speaker 2: wants to hit him with the tariffs just to prove
- 8:45Speaker 2: that he's not bluffing. Apparently, the journal also reports that
- 8:48Speaker 2: Mexico and Canada, quote, are quietly expressing confusion and bewilderment
- 8:52Speaker 2: because they aren't even sure what Trump wants. What do
- 8:56Speaker 2: you think's going on there?
- 8:57Speaker 1: Have you ever seen the movie Marathon Man?
- 8:59Speaker 2: No.
- 9:00Speaker 1: In the movie, Marathon Man, an evil Nazi dentist kidnaps
- 9:05Speaker 1: Dustin Hoffman to demand answers. And the movie is chilling
- 9:09Speaker 1: and terrifying because Dustin Hoffman actually genuinely does not have
- 9:12Speaker 1: the answers. He thinks he's part of this plot, but
- 9:15Speaker 1: he's not. And that's what I thought about.
- 9:19Speaker 3: That's what happened to Canada?
- 9:20Speaker 1: Yeah, that's currently what's happening to Canada.
- 9:22Speaker 3: Oh no, Justin Trudeau.
- 9:23Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 9:24Speaker 3: Dustin Hoffman could be Trudeau in a movie. You see it?
- 9:27Speaker 1: Yeah, a little short.
- 9:28Speaker 3: Grow your hair out. Get some lifts.
- 9:30Speaker 2: Look enough like Castro.
- 9:32Speaker 3: The Journal story mentions also that Canada has already pledged
- 9:35Speaker 3: to spend nearly a billion dollars to harden its southern
- 9:38Speaker 3: border with us, which is one of Trump's big demands.
- 9:41Speaker 3: Then Claudia Sheinbaum, the new president of Mexico, has cracked
- 9:44Speaker 3: down on migration through Mexico to our southern border and
- 9:47Speaker 3: done a bunch of high-profile drug seizures. So Trump is
- 9:49Speaker 3: getting what he wants from both of these presidents already,
- 9:52Speaker 3: and I guess, and he's just going to tariff them
- 9:54Speaker 3: as a negotiating position. I guess my reactions to this were, one,
- 9:57Speaker 3: We probably shouldn't underestimate that there's a bunch of people
- 9:59Speaker 3: in the white house that are bullies and assholes and
- 10:03Speaker 3: want to wield power for the sake of just showing
- 10:05Speaker 3: that they can. And that could be what's happening here.
- 10:07Speaker 3: How else would you explain, you know, not telling someone
- 10:10Speaker 3: what you want from them before you punish a sovereign country.
- 10:13Speaker 3: I also think it sounds like Trump is going to
- 10:16Speaker 3: try to renegotiate the USMCA agreement, which was what they
- 10:19Speaker 3: called the renegotiated NAFTA.
- 10:21Speaker 2: Yeah, which is just, you know, renegotiated by a horrible president.
- 10:25Speaker 2: Who let that get renegotiated?
- 10:26Speaker 3: Donald Trump.
- 10:26Speaker 2: Donald Trump.
- 10:27Speaker 3: And I think they're mad about it because they feel like,
- 10:30Speaker 3: I don't think Jared Kushner got that much out of
- 10:31Speaker 3: that deal. And then finally, it's probably not a coincidence
- 10:34Speaker 3: that we're talking about Trump messing with leftist and liberal
- 10:39Speaker 3: governments in Colombia, Mexico, in Canada. In Canada in particular,
- 10:42Speaker 3: Trump is trying to soften up the liberal party as
- 10:45Speaker 3: much as he can because they have an election.
- 10:46Speaker 1: My like serious reaction to all this is like, Yeah,
- 10:49Speaker 1: it's probably be good if the Canadians knew what we wanted.
- 10:52Speaker 1: It would also be good if America knew what we
- 10:54Speaker 1: wanted as well, because the question I have around what
- 10:57Speaker 1: Trump has promised to do, we'll talk about it later.
- 10:58Speaker 1: Like there's a lot of places where Trump has hit
- 11:01Speaker 1: the ground and just sort of like putting in place
- 11:04Speaker 1: big policy changes, but actually hasn't really done that on tariffs.
- 11:07Speaker 1: He's promising an announcement on tariffs as soon as February 1,
- 11:12Speaker 1: and he's threatening big tariffs on China, on Mexico. On Canada,
- 11:16Speaker 1: on Russia.
- 11:16Speaker 2: More sanctions on Russia too.
- 11:18Speaker 1: And then you dig into it and it's like, well,
- 11:21Speaker 1: you want to support American car manufacturing. One problem with
- 11:23Speaker 1: that is a lot of parts that are involved in
- 11:26Speaker 1: manufacturing cars in America come from Canada and come from Mexico.
- 11:30Speaker 1: How will that impact our ability to make cars in
- 11:31Speaker 1: the United States? There are very real implications and the
- 11:34Speaker 1: details really matter and we don't have.
- 11:36Speaker 2: Any of them.
- 11:37Speaker 1: And so the broader question is, whatever he announces on
- 11:41Speaker 1: February 1st, if he announces anything at all, is it
- 11:44Speaker 1: a big show with targeted tariffs, more like what we
- 11:47Speaker 1: saw in the first term, or is he serious? I
- 11:49Speaker 1: just think we don't know.
- 11:50Speaker 2: My reaction is I wonder what's going to happen when
- 11:52Speaker 2: someone calls his bluff, says like, all right, let's do it.
- 11:56Speaker 2: Tariff us and then we're going to do retaliatory tariffs.
- 11:59Speaker 2: And Trump's bet is the political pain that he will
- 12:04Speaker 2: face here from all of us having to pay higher prices,
- 12:08Speaker 2: because that's who'll pay for a trade war, us, will
- 12:11Speaker 2: be not as great as the political pain faced by
- 12:15Speaker 2: the other leaders at home for the higher prices and
- 12:18Speaker 2: the economic damage that they'll have to deal with from
- 12:20Speaker 2: the trade war. And that maybe the political pain here
- 12:24Speaker 2: that he'll face will be short-lived because eventually those other
- 12:27Speaker 2: countries will give in because they're probably smaller countries or
- 12:31Speaker 2: at least have a smaller economy because most countries in
- 12:34Speaker 2: the world do, right?
- 12:35Speaker 3: Or the people just want to see him fight. They
- 12:37Speaker 3: don't necessarily care about the impact.
- 12:38Speaker 1: It's also given to what, right? Like this is just
- 12:41Speaker 1: like tariff, taking off tariffs that aren't in place.
- 12:44Speaker 2: Whatever weird thing he asks for, right? Like who knows
- 12:46Speaker 2: what he's going to ask for, but I think he just,
- 12:48Speaker 2: it's just a show, it's a show of strength. But
- 12:51Speaker 2: I do think like, I think at some point when
- 12:54Speaker 2: you start pushing, you know, all of these allies and
- 12:57Speaker 2: countries around, you start like beating the shit out of
- 13:00Speaker 2: them on tariffs. Like you're going to like Push them
- 13:03Speaker 2: into the arms of China, into the arms of other countries.
- 13:06Speaker 2: At some point, losing a bunch of allies is going
- 13:09Speaker 2: to come back to bite you in the ass. It
- 13:10Speaker 2: is the type of thing for Trump that, yeah, maybe
- 13:12Speaker 2: not short-term. Short-term, everyone would be like, oh, this is funny.
- 13:15Speaker 2: He won a news cycle against Colombia, right? But at
- 13:18Speaker 2: some point, you're going to need those allies.
- 13:19Speaker 3: You're beating up Colombia. You're going to try to annex Panama.
- 13:22Speaker 3: You're going to try to steal Greenland. I mean, people
- 13:24Speaker 3: are going to notice this stuff. They don't love it.
- 13:26Speaker 2: You know who's going to notice it? The Chinese.
- 13:28Speaker 1: And then I just... Long term, my question through all
- 13:30Speaker 1: of this is, how bad do the impacts of what
- 13:33Speaker 1: Trump is doing on America have to be to overcome
- 13:36Speaker 1: the advantages he has in how news is distributed and received, right?
- 13:42Speaker 1: And how much his team will be on his side
- 13:44Speaker 1: to argue that either things aren't happening or they're not
- 13:46Speaker 1: his fault or whatever it may be.
- 13:48Speaker 2: I mean, that's going to be limited by people paying
- 13:50Speaker 2: higher prices, right? If suddenly this gets out of control
- 13:54Speaker 2: with one of these countries and people start paying a
- 13:56Speaker 2: lot more for whatever good uh, has, is, is affected
- 13:59Speaker 2: by the tariff, then that's going to, then, you know,
- 14:02Speaker 2: it doesn't really, it matters less what the, what the
- 14:04Speaker 2: media environment is. Right. And, you know, as we just
- 14:06Speaker 2: found out over the last four years.
- 14:07Speaker 1: And beyond, and beyond tariffs, right? Like, you know, everyone's,
- 14:10Speaker 1: everyone's like, how's this going to help the price of eggs?
- 14:12Speaker 1: They're killing tens of millions of chickens now. That's hard. Like,
- 14:15Speaker 1: like there's a real, there's a genuine, uh, bird flu
- 14:18Speaker 1: crisis unfolding that is going to affect prices. And like
- 14:20Speaker 1: Donald Trump is president, he owns these things.
- 14:22Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 14:22Speaker 2: Well, we also pulled out of the world health organization
- 14:24Speaker 2: and can't even, well, work with the World Health Organization anymore.
- 14:28Speaker 2: So one of the things that we're not going to
- 14:29Speaker 2: get anymore is alerts from around the world about the
- 14:32Speaker 2: developing avian flu pandemic in other countries.
- 14:36Speaker 1: Well, the good news is we're the epicenter.
- 14:39Speaker 2: Well, as it mutates, that's what you get. You get
- 14:41Speaker 2: memos from other countries and you get alerts and we're
- 14:43Speaker 2: not going to get those anymore.
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- 16:23Speaker 2: Trump's also fighting a war at home, mostly against the
- 16:25Speaker 2: government he now leads. He capped off his first week
- 16:27Speaker 2: in office by meeting with hurricane survivors in North Carolina
- 16:29Speaker 2: and inspecting the fire damage in California, a trip where
- 16:32Speaker 2: he floated eliminating FEMA, the Federal Emergency Management Agency. On Saturday,
- 16:37Speaker 2: he held a thank you rally in Las Vegas, where
- 16:39Speaker 2: he congratulated himself and the MAGA faithful on everything they
- 16:42Speaker 2: were accomplishing together, including notably this.
- 16:45Speaker 4: I signed an order that will end all of the
- 16:48Speaker 4: lawless diversity, equity and inclusion nonsense.
- 16:53Speaker 2: All across the.
- 16:53Speaker 4: Government and the private sector. We abolished 60 years of
- 16:58Speaker 4: prejudice and hatred with the signing of one order, all
- 17:02Speaker 4: approved by the United States Supreme Court. We're allowed to
- 17:05Speaker 4: do it because we are now in a merit-based world.
- 17:10Speaker 4: We're a merit-based country.
- 17:12Speaker 2: It just feels so merit-based.
- 17:15Speaker 1: I feel it every day. I just see the press
- 17:16Speaker 1: releases come out of this White House, and I think,
- 17:19Speaker 1: that's the fucking best.
- 17:20Speaker 2: You know?
- 17:21Speaker 3: At the keyboards.
- 17:23Speaker 2: All those billionaires sitting behind him, all merit-based. So that
- 17:26Speaker 2: seems to be a reference to both the Supreme Court
- 17:29Speaker 2: decision banning affirmative action in 2023 in college admissions and
- 17:35Speaker 2: Trump's promise to eradicate diversity, equity, inclusion programs, also known
- 17:39Speaker 2: as DEI, wherever they exist, but especially in the federal government.
- 17:42Speaker 2: On Monday, Trump signed more of these anti-DEI executive orders,
- 17:45Speaker 2: this time targeted at the military. which is now led
- 17:48Speaker 2: by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who squeaked by in a
- 17:51Speaker 2: Senate vote where J.D. Vance had to break the tie
- 17:53Speaker 2: on Friday night. Those EOs included one that looks like
- 17:56Speaker 2: it will ban transgender Americans from serving in the military
- 18:00Speaker 2: based on military readiness. This is according to The New
- 18:03Speaker 2: York Post. Dan and I went through some of the
- 18:05Speaker 2: executive orders from the first week on Friday's show, but
- 18:08Speaker 2: there's some other moves we should mention. On Friday night,
- 18:11Speaker 2: Trump also fired more than a dozen inspectors general. Those
- 18:14Speaker 2: are independent watchdogs whose job it is to root out waste,
- 18:17Speaker 2: fraud and abuse in government agencies. He has frozen most
- 18:21Speaker 2: foreign aid, even aid in the process of being handed out,
- 18:23Speaker 2: with the notable exception of military aid to Israel and Egypt.
- 18:28Speaker 2: He also said of Gaza that we should, quote, clean
- 18:30Speaker 2: out the whole thing and have Gazans move to Egypt
- 18:33Speaker 2: and Jordan. Trump also put a pause on all travel
- 18:35Speaker 2: communication and meetings at the National Institutes of Health. including
- 18:39Speaker 2: grant review panels that greenlight funding for critical research into
- 18:42Speaker 2: cancer and deadly diseases. Though apparently the acting NIH director
- 18:46Speaker 2: sent an email today and a memo trying to clear
- 18:49Speaker 2: things up, said that clinical trials are still ongoing and
- 18:52Speaker 2: that the restrictions don't apply to clinical trial participants or
- 18:55Speaker 2: purchasing supplies for ongoing research. But there's some confusion among
- 19:00Speaker 2: researchers over what that means. So there's a lot of
- 19:02Speaker 2: just mayhem going on at the NIH. Was this incompetence?
- 19:07Speaker 2: Were they trying to put a pause on this? No
- 19:09Speaker 2: one knows, but I guess it was a really rough
- 19:11Speaker 2: week for NIH researchers who were doing everything from, you know,
- 19:14Speaker 2: looking into cancer research and all kinds of other diseases,
- 19:17Speaker 2: and they had to sort of pause everything during this chaos.
- 19:20Speaker 2: And the CDC, as I just mentioned, has also been
- 19:22Speaker 2: ordered to stop working with the World Health Organization, which
- 19:25Speaker 2: we pulled out of thanks to Donald Trump. Trump also
- 19:28Speaker 2: fired or reassigned hundreds of government officials and is making
- 19:32Speaker 2: others take MAGA loyalty tests in order to keep their jobs.
- 19:35Speaker 2: bunch of people who did not pass the loyalty test,
- 19:37Speaker 2: all of the people involved in investigating him for both
- 19:41Speaker 2: January 6th and the classified documents case in the Department
- 19:45Speaker 2: of Justice. They were all fired just today on Monday.
- 19:48Speaker 1: You think it would be that hard to just make
- 19:49Speaker 1: it through one episode of Gutfeld?
- 19:51Speaker 3: Is that the test? Your eyes just pried open like
- 19:54Speaker 3: clockwork orange?
- 19:55Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. Tommy passed the loyalty test through a Jesse
- 19:59Speaker 2: Waters interview.
- 20:00Speaker 1: With that bone structure?
- 20:01Speaker 3: He's a Hegseth guy, this guy.
- 20:04Speaker 5: Get on that team.
- 20:05Speaker 1: You can sneak Tommy in.
- 20:06Speaker 2: Where to begin? What's most alarming to you guys of
- 20:09Speaker 2: all that?
- 20:10Speaker 1: Oh, we're ranking? We're choosing our favorites?
- 20:12Speaker 2: Just something that stuck out at you. When you read
- 20:14Speaker 2: it all, something was like.
- 20:17Speaker 1: So when you look at the... There's a great episode
- 20:19Speaker 1: of Strict Scrutiny about some of these orders that you
- 20:22Speaker 1: should listen to. But what jumped out at me and
- 20:25Speaker 1: what they talked about as well is they're calling it DEI.
- 20:31Speaker 1: It's obviously going much further than that. People have talked
- 20:33Speaker 1: about that. It's going deep into just the rules that
- 20:36Speaker 1: have been in place since Lyndon Johnson died. to protect
- 20:39Speaker 1: basic civil rights. This is going after civil rights rules.
- 20:42Speaker 2: There's an EO that was about federal contracting and making
- 20:45Speaker 2: sure there's no discrimination in federal contracting that was signed
- 20:49Speaker 2: by Lyndon Johnson that was part of the Equal Opportunity
- 20:51Speaker 2: Employment Act.
- 20:52Speaker 1: But what really jumped out is the ways in which
- 20:54Speaker 1: it is empowering government agencies to, and by the way,
- 20:57Speaker 1: private citizens, to go after private companies that may have
- 21:01Speaker 1: DEI policies. Because if you're going to become a federal contractor,
- 21:05Speaker 1: you have to assent to certain statements in these EOs
- 21:10Speaker 1: that could make you liable. And it's going to make
- 21:11Speaker 1: a lot of these companies afraid that their diversity policies
- 21:15Speaker 1: run afoul of this. They're a government contractor. A private
- 21:18Speaker 1: citizen can claim this is an abuse of the federal
- 21:20Speaker 1: contracting system, which they're legally allowed to do. And it's
- 21:22Speaker 1: another example of trying to kind of... It's a part
- 21:25Speaker 1: of an ideological trend, right? It has to do with
- 21:28Speaker 1: the same as like the don't say gay bill in Florida,
- 21:31Speaker 1: which is you empower private citizens to be a watchdog.
- 21:34Speaker 1: And you basically.
- 21:36Speaker 1: Try to intimidate private individuals, private companies for fear of
- 21:41Speaker 1: being sued and dragged into courts. The bounty law in Texas,
- 21:44Speaker 1: there's just other examples of this, and they're implementing that
- 21:46Speaker 1: now in these federal contracting rules.
- 21:48Speaker 2: I think why the Supreme Court affirmative action ruling comes
- 21:50Speaker 2: into play here, too, is that some of these companies
- 21:52Speaker 2: that are now sort of rolling back DEI programs are
- 21:57Speaker 2: and have been concerned for a little while since the
- 22:00Speaker 2: Supreme Court decision, which was about universities and colleges and
- 22:04Speaker 2: admissions process, that maybe their policies run afoul of the
- 22:08Speaker 2: Supreme Court decision. And now Trump doing this only strengthens that.
- 22:13Speaker 3: Did you see the Trump team set up like an
- 22:15Speaker 3: email account where you can snitch on whatever, entities, companies, whatever.
- 22:20Speaker 2: In fact, you're encouraged to.
- 22:21Speaker 3: That are still promoting DEI, but now it's getting mass
- 22:23Speaker 3: spammed with just nonsense and bullshit. Love it. Yeah. That's great.
- 22:27Speaker 3: It's more of that.
- 22:27Speaker 2: DEIA truth at OPM. A is accessibility as well. It's
- 22:32Speaker 2: DEI and.
- 22:33Speaker 3: Sometimes it's DEIA.
- 22:34Speaker 1: Disabled workers catching fucking strays.
- 22:38Speaker 2: Jesus. It's also, it's like you have to, they are now,
- 22:43Speaker 2: a lot of people on the right, including a lot
- 22:44Speaker 2: of people in the Trump administration, you know, they've started
- 22:46Speaker 2: to like, it's a slippery slope on how they're defining
- 22:49Speaker 2: DEI now. Now it's like, oh, the head of the
- 22:52Speaker 2: Coast Guard.
- 22:53Speaker 3: Is a woman?
- 22:53Speaker 2: She's too focused on DEI. Get her out of there.
- 22:56Speaker 1: Well, they hated that California lesbian fire chief until she
- 22:59Speaker 1: started making fun of Mayor Bass, and then they were like,
- 23:00Speaker 1: we're back in.
- 23:01Speaker 2: We're back in.
- 23:02Speaker 1: The lesbian fire chief said something we agree with, so
- 23:04Speaker 1: everybody chill out. The U.S.
- 23:05Speaker 3: Military, though, is a good example of an organization that
- 23:08Speaker 3: needs an effective DEI program, because if you look at,
- 23:11Speaker 3: across the U.S. military, the proportion of black service members,
- 23:14Speaker 3: it well over-represents the total U.S. population, but they are
- 23:19Speaker 3: wildly underrepresented at the general officer level, especially like the three-star,
- 23:23Speaker 3: four-star level. It's extremely white and extremely male at the
- 23:26Speaker 3: very top. And that's because of overt racism in some
- 23:29Speaker 3: cases or just like structural problems or cultural challenges in
- 23:33Speaker 3: other cases and should be fixed and could be fixed.
- 23:35Speaker 3: But like Tom Cotton is mad that an army unit
- 23:38Speaker 3: had to read a Robin DiAngelo book one time and
- 23:41Speaker 3: they are just like throwing out the entire program. And
- 23:44Speaker 3: the result is, We're not allowed to teach people about
- 23:46Speaker 3: the Tuskegee Airmen anymore for like 24 hours. It's just
- 23:49Speaker 3: a stupid overreach. Yeah.
- 23:51Speaker 2: Well, maybe no more Robin DiAngelo books is probably.
- 23:53Speaker 1: It's just like.
- 23:54Speaker 2: It's like, look, this is, but this is.
- 23:56Speaker 1: Throw them at the enemy.
- 23:59Speaker 2: It is clear that in workplaces, in government, that people
- 24:04Speaker 2: of color and women are just, have not been represented
- 24:06Speaker 2: because of historic racism and structural inequality, right? That we
- 24:09Speaker 2: have faced for decades and decades. And then I think
- 24:11Speaker 2: what happened is a lot of these DEI programs, not
- 24:14Speaker 2: only So it focused on making sure that there were
- 24:18Speaker 2: diverse workforces and that we're focusing on diversity in hiring
- 24:22Speaker 2: and pay and promotion, but also these like unconscious bias
- 24:26Speaker 2: training programs, which I think is what rubbed quite a
- 24:29Speaker 2: few people the wrong way who aren't just mega.
- 24:30Speaker 3: For sure. It's just the proportion of time spent on
- 24:33Speaker 3: those programs in the U.S. military compared to everything else
- 24:36Speaker 3: they're doing is zero. And this is just a wild overreach.
- 24:40Speaker 2: And it's very stupid. Well, Chris Ruffo and all those assholes,
- 24:43Speaker 2: they decided to highlight all that stuff. And so they
- 24:45Speaker 2: made people think the DEI is that and not just
- 24:48Speaker 2: trying to have equitable workforces, which we've wanted to have
- 24:51Speaker 2: for a long, long time and have it.
- 24:53Speaker 1: You see this, right? Like they ban DEI, then all
- 24:56Speaker 1: of a sudden the Tuskegee Airmen are out of some training.
- 24:59Speaker 3: Air Force training.
- 25:01Speaker 2: We should explain that a little bit because you just
- 25:03Speaker 2: kind of mentioned it quickly, but it's the Tuskegee Airmen,
- 25:06Speaker 2: because of the just let's eliminate all DEI, there was
- 25:10Speaker 2: a directive sent out that people in the military could
- 25:14Speaker 2: no longer even learn about the Tuskegee Airmen or other
- 25:19Speaker 2: groups of underrepresented people who have done, like, you know,
- 25:23Speaker 2: heroic things in the military.
- 25:25Speaker 3: World War II heroes.
- 25:26Speaker 2: World War II heroes, right? There's also the Women Air
- 25:28Speaker 2: Force Service Pilots, or the WASPs. That video was gone
- 25:32Speaker 2: for a while, too. And then, after like 24 hours,
- 25:36Speaker 2: everyone was like, oh, I guess... I guess that's okay
- 25:39Speaker 2: to teach. I guess we could bring that back.
- 25:41Speaker 1: First of all, when I saw WASPs, I was like,
- 25:42Speaker 1: they've banned teaching about WASPs? I thought those weren't minorities.
- 25:45Speaker 1: I thought this is America. You can't teach about Tommy?
- 25:48Speaker 2: Finally, Tommy's hit hard.
- 25:49Speaker 1: Tommy's taken out of the training video.
- 25:50Speaker 3: Talking about catching strays.
- 25:52Speaker 1: But over and over again, you see these executive orders
- 25:55Speaker 1: are political documents. They are not written to govern. So
- 26:00Speaker 1: they put out this overreaching rule and nobody really knows
- 26:04Speaker 1: exactly how to implement it. They're afraid of getting on
- 26:06Speaker 1: the wrong side. and getting drawn into Trump's evil eye.
- 26:09Speaker 1: You see the, this rule about nobody at the NIH
- 26:11Speaker 1: being allowed to communicate. Like, does that mean we can't
- 26:13Speaker 1: pay our bills? Does that mean we have to stop research?
- 26:15Speaker 2: Like, no, no, no, no, no.
- 26:16Speaker 1: And it's all kind of now, is it intended to
- 26:20Speaker 1: make people feel intimidated on shore? Is it just incompetence?
- 26:24Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter. It shows a lack of care.
- 26:26Speaker 1: It's a fecklessness.
- 26:27Speaker 2: Well, but importantly, I think the effect is that it's
- 26:31Speaker 2: going to make people feel like here's the long-term, it's
- 26:34Speaker 2: a It may be invisible to most Americans in the
- 26:37Speaker 2: short term, but long term, this is going to bite
- 26:39Speaker 2: us in the ass because who's going to want to
- 26:41Speaker 2: work in government now? Who's going to want to work
- 26:42Speaker 2: in the federal government? Women are going to feel like
- 26:46Speaker 2: they're not included. People of color are going to feel
- 26:48Speaker 2: like they're not included. Black people, Latino people, this is
- 26:51Speaker 2: going to go. But also, there are people at every
- 26:54Speaker 2: level of the federal government who are being fired right now,
- 26:56Speaker 2: who are experts in their field, but because they're not
- 26:58Speaker 2: MAGA loyalists, they can't work in the federal government. Who's
- 27:01Speaker 2: going to want to work at the National Institute of Health?
- 27:03Speaker 2: A lot of these people They can go get private
- 27:05Speaker 2: sector jobs, pay them a lot of money. Like, who's
- 27:07Speaker 2: going to work? We're going to hollow out the federal
- 27:09Speaker 2: government now, which a lot of, you know, I realize
- 27:12Speaker 2: a lot of voters think, eh, federal government, what does
- 27:14Speaker 2: it do for me? It's big and bloated and wasteful
- 27:16Speaker 2: and blah, blah, blah. These are people who are, like, funding.
- 27:18Speaker 2: These are people who are doing, like, important research, medical research.
- 27:22Speaker 2: These are people at the lawyers at the Department of Justice.
- 27:24Speaker 2: There was a program where people out of law school
- 27:28Speaker 2: were getting really good law school students in their third
- 27:30Speaker 2: year at law school. They got grants and they had
- 27:33Speaker 2: jobs in the Department of Justice, and they just froze
- 27:35Speaker 2: all of those jobs and all those people are out
- 27:37Speaker 2: of work now.
- 27:38Speaker 1: I saw a doctor talking about this on social media,
- 27:41Speaker 1: and I found it really heartbreaking, which he said— You know,
- 27:48Speaker 1: if you have a member of your family who has
- 27:50Speaker 1: a very serious illness that they may not survive and
- 27:52Speaker 1: you're at the doctor's office and you're saying you have
- 27:54Speaker 1: to try something, you have to try something, isn't there
- 27:55Speaker 1: anything you can do? And it's like the anything you
- 27:58Speaker 1: can do, the last-ditch thing you can try are the
- 28:00Speaker 1: kinds of research that happen at the National Institutes of Health.
- 28:03Speaker 1: And like Trump doesn't care about that. These people don't
- 28:06Speaker 1: care about that. They just want to destroy these institutions.
- 28:07Speaker 1: Like even the trans ban, like I remember when the
- 28:10Speaker 1: first trans ban for military service went out. And at
- 28:13Speaker 1: the time, it just talks about how much things have changed.
- 28:15Speaker 1: Everyone was outraged, in part because it was done so haphazardly.
- 28:18Speaker 1: It was just issued. It wasn't clear how it was
- 28:20Speaker 1: going to be implemented. It wasn't sure what it would
- 28:22Speaker 1: mean for current service members. You look at this document
- 28:25Speaker 1: that they've put out, and it's still not clear what
- 28:28Speaker 1: they're talking about, right? Because they say, oh, the military
- 28:31Speaker 1: will no longer, for readiness, you can't have people who
- 28:33Speaker 1: are in transition. And oh, by the way, you can't
- 28:36Speaker 1: use the pronouns of your choice. But what about service
- 28:39Speaker 1: members who transitioned long ago and have been serving their
- 28:42Speaker 1: country with distinction this entire time? Is it because they
- 28:45Speaker 1: were using the wrong pronouns? What if they use the
- 28:47Speaker 1: pronouns that you demand for them? Are they allowed to stay?
- 28:50Speaker 1: How does this get implemented? They don't care. They don't
- 28:53Speaker 1: care what this does because they don't care about service.
- 28:55Speaker 1: They don't care about these basic values. And so they
- 28:57Speaker 1: throw us all, they throw these soldiers to the wolves
- 29:00Speaker 1: because they're ideologically inconvenient.
- 29:03Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just broad. They're just sweeping everything off the table.
- 29:06Speaker 3: They're freezing all foreign aid except for things that directly
- 29:09Speaker 3: support Israel's security. Well, that means that the Times had
- 29:12Speaker 3: a piece over the weekend about how the State Department
- 29:15Speaker 3: office that funds the cleanup of unexploded bombs all over
- 29:18Speaker 3: the world now has to cease operations. So what happens
- 29:21Speaker 3: usually when you have a cluster munition and 10% of
- 29:24Speaker 3: it doesn't go off, it's called a dud, they just
- 29:26Speaker 3: sit around, and you know who finds them? Little kids.
- 29:28Speaker 3: And they pick them up and they fucking play with
- 29:29Speaker 3: them because they look interesting and they blow off their arm.
- 29:32Speaker 3: And that's who's going to get hurt by these programs.
- 29:34Speaker 3: And it's like, why did we need to pause on
- 29:37Speaker 3: uh the the cleanup of unexploded ordinance like there's no
- 29:39Speaker 3: there's no ideological viewpoint on that.
- 29:42Speaker 2: It's crazy how about everything we're funding overseas for like
- 29:45Speaker 2: helping with disease and and hiv and all this like.
- 29:48Speaker 3: Oh yeah the pep fires just have yeah frozen all
- 29:51Speaker 3: just frozen and like successful republican initiatives.
- 29:53Speaker 2: Ever Who knows? You know, it's early and maybe this
- 29:56Speaker 2: all gets started back up and the pause ends in
- 29:58Speaker 2: like a couple of weeks. But what was this for?
- 30:01Speaker 4: Right.
- 30:01Speaker 2: We're just going to hurt a bunch of people in
- 30:02Speaker 2: the meantime.
- 30:03Speaker 3: No, it was. I forget what it was. Some U.S.
- 30:06Speaker 3: senator found out that like some tiny fraction of money,
- 30:10Speaker 3: like six grand out of like tens of billions of
- 30:13Speaker 3: dollars was used for abortion services. And I think that
- 30:17Speaker 3: led them to just unravel the entire program. It's crazy.
- 30:21Speaker 2: Apparently they just put all the top officials at USAID
- 30:25Speaker 2: on leave. Just got rid of all of them. Like
- 30:28Speaker 2: career people, not even political appointees.
- 30:30Speaker 3: Yeah, it was Jim Risch of Idaho figured out that
- 30:33Speaker 3: something like $ 4, 100 had been spent by the government in
- 30:39Speaker 3: Mozambique on abortions. That money was all refunded, but they
- 30:42Speaker 3: put the entire PEPFAR program in jeopardy.
- 30:46Speaker 2: Yeah, so we were going to pick out the worst,
- 30:47Speaker 2: but it's pretty much all of them. It's pretty bad.
- 30:51Speaker 2: It's pretty bad, the war on the government. It's so
- 30:54Speaker 2: frustrating and infuriating because I do think this is a
- 30:57Speaker 2: hard one to break through to most people, right? Like,
- 31:00Speaker 2: you know, in the what's going to be most effective
- 31:03Speaker 2: to talk about politically pile, right? Like his war on
- 31:07Speaker 2: the federal government, I don't think is going to be
- 31:09Speaker 2: high up there, but it is extremely damaging. And again,
- 31:12Speaker 2: next time there's a pandemic, what's going to happen? What's
- 31:15Speaker 2: going to happen?
- 31:16Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it.
- 31:17Speaker 2: Or some other crisis or some other disaster where we
- 31:19Speaker 2: need the federal government to protect Americans.
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- 33:04Speaker 2: Apparently there is another political party in this country. They're
- 33:07Speaker 2: known as the Democrats. Democrats.
- 33:09Speaker 3: That's right.
- 33:10Speaker 1: I've never heard it said.
- 33:11Speaker 2: Though we haven't heard much from them lately. Politico had
- 33:15Speaker 2: a good piece about how much more low-key the resistance
- 33:18Speaker 2: to Trump is this time around. It noted that almost
- 33:20Speaker 2: none of the top early contenders for the 2028 Democratic
- 33:23Speaker 2: nomination had put out statements about the January 6th pardons
- 33:26Speaker 2: or Elon Musk's salute, whatever it was. Lots of quotes
- 33:31Speaker 2: in the story, mostly from anonymous strategists. Great. About how
- 33:35Speaker 2: Democrats are, quote, rudderless and overlearning their lessons. In general,
- 33:38Speaker 2: there is still a lot of backward looking recriminations about
- 33:41Speaker 2: what we did wrong in last year's election, as evidenced
- 33:44Speaker 2: by this viral clip of Stephen A. Smith on Bill
- 33:46Speaker 2: Maher the other night. Let's listen.
- 33:48Speaker 1: Here's the deal.
- 33:49Speaker 3: The man was impeached twice.
- 33:51Speaker 6: He was convicted on 34 felony counts. And the American
- 33:55Speaker 6: people still said he's closer to normal than.
- 33:58Speaker 3: What we see. Exactly. That's what they're saying.
- 34:01Speaker 1: He's close to the normal.
- 34:02Speaker 4: Why?
- 34:02Speaker 6: Because something that pertains, when you talk about the transgender community,
- 34:06Speaker 6: for example, and you're talking about the issues that pertain
- 34:08Speaker 6: to less than 1% of the population, the Democratic Party
- 34:11Speaker 6: came across as if that was a priority more so
- 34:13Speaker 6: than the other issues. And so he comes into office.
- 34:15Speaker 6: Now you're talking about childbirth, citizenship, and what have you.
- 34:19Speaker 6: He knows that's not going to pass the mustard. But
- 34:21Speaker 6: he knows that he made that promise. So when he
- 34:23Speaker 6: shows up week one on Capitol Hill, he says, this
- 34:26Speaker 6: is what we're going to do through an executive order,
- 34:28Speaker 6: even though it's going to be shot down through the
- 34:30Speaker 6: courts and what have you. He's saying, I kept my promise.
- 34:33Speaker 6: A lot of other things that he's going to point
- 34:35Speaker 6: to that he's going to try to do, I kept
- 34:36Speaker 6: my promise. Then you turn around and you look at
- 34:38Speaker 6: the left and you say, what promises did you keep? Now,
- 34:41Speaker 6: you might know the answer to that. I'm certainly not
- 34:42Speaker 6: questioning your knowledge about that at all. What I'm saying is,
- 34:45Speaker 6: what resonated with the voter? What voter out there can
- 34:48Speaker 6: look at the Democratic Party at this moment in time
- 34:50Speaker 6: and say, there's a voice for us, somebody that speaks
- 34:53Speaker 6: for us, that goes up on Capitol Hill and fights
- 34:55Speaker 6: the fights that we.
- 34:56Speaker 3: Want them fighting on our behalf? They didn't do that.
- 35:00Speaker 6: And that's why they're behind the home. And that man
- 35:02Speaker 6: is back in the White House. And they want to
- 35:04Speaker 6: sit up there and talk. You look at the networks
- 35:05Speaker 6: right now.
- 35:05Speaker 3: They're talking about it.
- 35:06Speaker 2: Look at it.
- 35:06Speaker 1: This is the latest.
- 35:07Speaker 2: Look at him. Here he goes again.
- 35:08Speaker 6: Well, you know what here he goes again means?
- 35:11Speaker 3: He's doing what he said he was going to do.
- 35:13Speaker 6: He promised you he was going to do these things,
- 35:16Speaker 6: and he walked into office week one, and that's exactly
- 35:18Speaker 6: what he's doing. And he's saying, y'all do something about it.
- 35:21Speaker 6: And when you try to do something about it, he's
- 35:23Speaker 6: going to say, look at them now. Now they're concerned
- 35:24Speaker 6: about these issues. Were they talking about that during the campaign?
- 35:27Speaker 3: Hell no. That's really it.
- 35:29Speaker 2: So what did you guys think of Stephen A. 's
- 35:32Speaker 2: argument there? I get.
- 35:33Speaker 3: Why this went viral, I get that it resonates on
- 35:35Speaker 3: an emotional level for some people because we're all mad
- 35:37Speaker 3: at Democrats because we got our asses kicked and we're
- 35:40Speaker 3: mad about the election. We're mad about Joe Biden. But
- 35:42Speaker 3: he's just so wrong on so many different levels. I mean, Republicans,
- 35:46Speaker 3: Democrats didn't make the whole election about trans rights. Republicans
- 35:49Speaker 3: ran tens of millions of dollars of attack ads on
- 35:53Speaker 3: TV attacking Kamala Harris on this issue. That's why it
- 35:56Speaker 3: was salient. And then Stephen A.
- 35:58Speaker 2: Well, because of what she said.
- 36:00Speaker 3: In 2019, not in 2024. And then Stephen A. 's
- 36:04Speaker 3: definition of Trump keeping his promise is putting forward an
- 36:08Speaker 3: executive order on birthright citizenship that he knows will get
- 36:11Speaker 3: struck down in court. That is not how Joe Biden
- 36:13Speaker 3: was judged. Like when Biden put forward a student loan
- 36:16Speaker 3: forgiveness plan and it got struck down by a Republican
- 36:18Speaker 3: Supreme Court, everyone got mad at Joe Biden and said
- 36:21Speaker 3: he was feckless. Like I'm not here to make excuses
- 36:24Speaker 3: for Democrats or Biden or Harris or say the campaign
- 36:26Speaker 3: was good, but it's like it's a 50-50 electorate. There
- 36:29Speaker 3: was an anti-incumbent wave. Trump is not delivering for the
- 36:32Speaker 3: American people in some profound way right now. It's just
- 36:36Speaker 3: all vibes. And like, I get the vibes and the
- 36:38Speaker 3: anger driving them, but it's just like, he's like, he
- 36:41Speaker 3: points to Ro Khanna's like, you might know all the
- 36:43Speaker 3: details of the things Joe Biden promised and did deliver on.
- 36:46Speaker 3: I didn't bother to Google them. And it's just like,
- 36:48Speaker 3: come on, man.
- 36:49Speaker 1: Yeah. I, It's so frustrating, right? Because you see that
- 36:52Speaker 1: clip and you're like, well, let's break it down, right?
- 36:54Speaker 1: Let's explain all the ways that this is wrong, right?
- 36:57Speaker 1: All the ways in which actually Joe Biden delivered on
- 36:59Speaker 1: a lot of his promises. And Donald Trump is going to,
- 37:03Speaker 1: and has all, Donald Trump failed in his first term
- 37:04Speaker 1: on virtually every promise that he made other than cutting
- 37:07Speaker 1: taxes for the richest people. That Joe Biden had more
- 37:10Speaker 1: deportations while he was president than Donald Trump had while
- 37:13Speaker 1: he was president, right? There's a lot of ways to
- 37:15Speaker 1: break it down. What was interesting to me about the
- 37:16Speaker 1: clip is like, you see like a kind of conventional
- 37:19Speaker 1: wisdom kind of taking hold in real time. And you
- 37:23Speaker 1: see like this kind of this, like Bill Maher says, exactly.
- 37:27Speaker 1: And the whole audience applauds. And I've tried to think like,
- 37:31Speaker 1: if Kamala Harris had won, like, what is the list
- 37:34Speaker 1: of big executive orders she could have signed in the
- 37:36Speaker 1: first day that would have had like rapturous applause? It's like,
- 37:38Speaker 1: she's fucking doing it. She's delivering on what she said
- 37:40Speaker 1: she's going to do. It's happening. It's happening. And like,
- 37:43Speaker 1: that's not to say that like, that part of that
- 37:45Speaker 1: is just the failures of incumbency, right?
- 37:47Speaker 2: Like, Well, I was going to say it would feel
- 37:48Speaker 2: different because she would have taken office not after four
- 37:52Speaker 2: years of the other party.
- 37:54Speaker 3: You just unravel what the other guy just did. That's
- 37:56Speaker 3: what all these EOs are.
- 37:57Speaker 2: And there was a little bit of that when Biden won, right?
- 37:59Speaker 3: Yes, tons.
- 37:59Speaker 2: And then remember the first week?
- 38:00Speaker 1: He got back in Paris. Whee!
- 38:03Speaker 3: And boy, did that make a difference.
- 38:05Speaker 2: Yeah, fixed it.
- 38:05Speaker 3: No fires.
- 38:06Speaker 1: But the reason I bring that up is only to say, yes,
- 38:08Speaker 1: it is different when you're trying to run to replace
- 38:11Speaker 1: someone in your own party versus replace someone in the
- 38:12Speaker 1: opposite party. But I think back to 2006, and I
- 38:15Speaker 1: remember all the Democrats campaigning for the house. And they
- 38:18Speaker 1: had their like checklist of the things that they were
- 38:20Speaker 1: going to do if they won and the things that
- 38:21Speaker 1: were going to stop it. They did the anti-corruption measures,
- 38:23Speaker 1: raising the minimum wage. There's a whole list of simple
- 38:26Speaker 1: to understand policies and like forget.
- 38:29Speaker 4: Yes.
- 38:30Speaker 1: Look, we asked, we have asked and answered. We paid
- 38:33Speaker 1: in blood for Joe Biden giving up the bully pulpit.
- 38:35Speaker 3: Like, yes.
- 38:36Speaker 1: Now we're talking about all these Democrats kind of overthinking, like,
- 38:39Speaker 1: how are we going to respond to this? Let's get
- 38:41Speaker 1: out the abacus and like move the, move the, move the,
- 38:43Speaker 1: move the beads around to figure out the perfect response.
- 38:45Speaker 1: And I can't possibly start speaking until I know exactly
- 38:48Speaker 1: what my overall vision is for the future of the country.
- 38:51Speaker 1: And it's like, is that the lesson you draw from
- 38:53Speaker 1: the last four years? Get the fuck out there. Get
- 38:55Speaker 1: out there. Start responding.
- 38:56Speaker 3: Tell the truth.
- 38:57Speaker 1: How about that? You're asked about what you think about
- 38:59Speaker 1: the January 6th pardons. Tell us what you think of them.
- 39:01Speaker 1: You're worried about what's happening at the National Institutes of Health.
- 39:04Speaker 1: Tell us what you're thinking about it. You don't leave
- 39:07Speaker 1: the field and build some playbook for how to respond
- 39:11Speaker 1: and defeat Donald Trump. You get out there and you
- 39:13Speaker 1: start doing it. You see what works, you see what doesn't.
- 39:15Speaker 1: Like that whole piece was just a bunch of people
- 39:17Speaker 1: kind of trying to like, we're going to crack the
- 39:20Speaker 1: code finally at long last. Yeah, the political piece was
- 39:22Speaker 1: just all about how we're going to crack this fucking code.
- 39:24Speaker 1: And it's like, guys, everybody's applauding Stephen A. Smith for this,
- 39:28Speaker 1: rant of basically easy to refute nonsense. Where are we?
- 39:31Speaker 2: Here's what I found frustrating about the Stephen A. Smith
- 39:34Speaker 2: thing is it sort of pulls you in And your
- 39:39Speaker 2: first instinct is to tick off why all the reasons
- 39:41Speaker 2: it's wrong.
- 39:42Speaker 4: Right.
- 39:42Speaker 2: Like you were saying, because you want to defend.
- 39:44Speaker 4: Right.
- 39:44Speaker 2: And then suddenly you find yourself like defending Joe Biden's
- 39:47Speaker 2: record for four years, which, by the way, there was
- 39:49Speaker 2: a lot of good things. We've said this and also
- 39:50Speaker 2: saying things like, guess what? Joe Biden didn't really couldn't
- 39:53Speaker 2: really control inflation.
- 39:54Speaker 4: Right.
- 39:54Speaker 2: That was that was, you know, and also Republicans picked
- 39:58Speaker 2: out a bunch of culture and identity issues that, yes,
- 40:00Speaker 2: Democrats gave them some ammo on. But they get more
- 40:03Speaker 2: attention in this information environment, culture and identity issues than
- 40:07Speaker 2: the fights that we want to pick as Democrats. Right.
- 40:08Speaker 2: So you can explain away why this happened. And yet
- 40:12Speaker 2: that perception is real about the party. And so you
- 40:15Speaker 2: don't want to just be like running against the perception
- 40:18Speaker 2: that's there. And so, like, I don't know. All you
- 40:20Speaker 2: can say to Stephen A. Smith is like, you know what? Yeah,
- 40:23Speaker 2: we want people want Democrats. People don't want excuses. they
- 40:26Speaker 2: want politicians who are going to actually go out there
- 40:28Speaker 2: and fight for them and like, and give a damn
- 40:30Speaker 2: and look like they give a shit and not look
- 40:32Speaker 2: like they are reading, I said this on Friday's pause,
- 40:36Speaker 2: Dan's line, but like reading the fucking stage directions already.
- 40:39Speaker 2: I feel like, I feel like sometimes giving messaging advice
- 40:41Speaker 2: to Democrats is like giving fucking kids matches. You know,
- 40:44Speaker 2: it's like, You say something about like inflation and the
- 40:46Speaker 2: cost of living and suddenly they're all out there being like,
- 40:49Speaker 2: that's not going to do anything to lower the price
- 40:51Speaker 2: of eggs. It's like, come on, make it fucking believable, guys.
- 40:55Speaker 2: It's not believable right now. No one is out there
- 40:57Speaker 2: thinking that Donald Trump was going to lower the price
- 40:59Speaker 2: of eggs or lower the cost of everything after a
- 41:02Speaker 2: fucking week.
- 41:03Speaker 3: I think that what was annoying about some of the
- 41:06Speaker 3: statements you guys talked about was you're right. You don't
- 41:07Speaker 3: have to combine the cost of eggs and January 6th pardons.
- 41:10Speaker 3: It's bad to pardon insurrectionists that beat up cops. What
- 41:14Speaker 3: I think I found so annoying about Stephen A's kind
- 41:16Speaker 3: of the end of his rant is he was criticizing
- 41:20Speaker 3: Democrats for criticizing Trump or trying to block Trump or
- 41:23Speaker 3: being an opposition party. And it's like in 2008, when
- 41:26Speaker 3: Barack Obama won 365 electoral votes, did the Republicans just
- 41:30Speaker 3: like lay down arms and give up? No, they filibustered
- 41:32Speaker 3: every single thing we did. That's the role of an
- 41:34Speaker 3: opposition party. You're going to disagree with the president and
- 41:37Speaker 3: you're going to talk about it. And he's in, he
- 41:39Speaker 3: like makes them sound like they're just out there carping
- 41:41Speaker 3: when the reality is that they're not really actually saying much.
- 41:44Speaker 2: Saying anything, yeah.
- 41:45Speaker 1: Trans issues keep coming up, and then people are like,
- 41:47Speaker 1: it's 1% of the population, it's 1% of the population. Yeah,
- 41:50Speaker 1: it's a tiny group of people that are scared to
- 41:53Speaker 1: go to the bathroom at the airport. And, like, Republicans
- 41:58Speaker 1: have made trans issues the center of our politics. But
- 42:01Speaker 1: I will say, like, you know, John made the point, like, well,
- 42:05Speaker 1: it's based on something she said in 2019. But I
- 42:07Speaker 1: do think it's more than that, and it is a
- 42:09Speaker 1: larger credibility issue, right? Like, if Democrats had more credibility
- 42:13Speaker 1: broadly with the American people on the big issues, the economy,
- 42:17Speaker 1: on like the cost of living, on education, on healthcare,
- 42:21Speaker 1: whatever it is, if Democrats had earned credibility, if they
- 42:23Speaker 1: were seen as fighters, as champions for the people we
- 42:25Speaker 1: need to be fighters and champions for, there would be
- 42:27Speaker 1: more space to say, and you know what? We may
- 42:29Speaker 1: not agree on trans issues. You may not be where
- 42:31Speaker 1: I'm at yet, but I'm going to fight for trans
- 42:33Speaker 1: people every goddamn day.
- 42:34Speaker 2: And this has been the case for decades. This used
- 42:36Speaker 2: to be the case with abortion, right? When abortion was not, when,
- 42:40Speaker 2: when the pro-choice position was not as popular as it
- 42:42Speaker 2: is now. And there were Democrats who would be in,
- 42:45Speaker 2: in red or rural districts. And they'd say to, Sherrod
- 42:48Speaker 2: Brown always would tell stories like this. He would tell
- 42:49Speaker 2: you about guns, right? He has a story in Ohio
- 42:51Speaker 2: where he was talking to these people and they're like,
- 42:54Speaker 2: you know, well, I don't like your position on, on guns, right?
- 42:56Speaker 2: I think, you know, I want to keep my gun,
- 42:58Speaker 2: but I like you because you're for me and you're,
- 43:01Speaker 2: and you've been fighting like hell for me, you know?
- 43:03Speaker 2: And so like, you're, you're absolutely right about that. It's
- 43:05Speaker 2: like right now, It is overthinking every single thing.
- 43:10Speaker 1: And I want to just, and I think like sometimes we,
- 43:12Speaker 1: you know, let's do what we say people should do,
- 43:14Speaker 1: which is like, we're like, let's explain why that's bad, right?
- 43:16Speaker 1: Like we say that all the time. Oh, you sound
- 43:17Speaker 1: like you're reading from a message document. You sound like
- 43:19Speaker 1: you're reading from a message document. Like, why is that
- 43:20Speaker 1: so bad? Well, it's because if people don't believe you
- 43:23Speaker 1: when you are talking about the economy or issues they
- 43:26Speaker 1: really care about, because you sound like you're reading from
- 43:29Speaker 1: a script, you sound like you sound like a normal politician.
- 43:31Speaker 1: They're not going to come along with you when you disagree.
- 43:33Speaker 1: They're not going to trust you when you see things
- 43:36Speaker 1: a different way.
- 43:36Speaker 2: I also think that part of the whole price of
- 43:39Speaker 2: eggs thing is Democrats aren't saying what like we want
- 43:42Speaker 2: Trump to do or what we would do. And, you know,
- 43:45Speaker 2: when they spent four years attacking Joe Biden for all
- 43:47Speaker 2: kinds of bullshit, they would say things that, you know,
- 43:50Speaker 2: I didn't believe like Trump would say, I'm going to
- 43:51Speaker 2: do tariffs and that's going to fix this. I'm going
- 43:53Speaker 2: to drill, drill, drill. If we cannot go around for
- 43:56Speaker 2: the next year just saying that did not lower the
- 43:58Speaker 2: price of eggs, that is not fucking sufficient. And you
- 44:00Speaker 2: know why it's not sufficient? Because people aren't going to
- 44:02Speaker 2: believe it because it's not believable to just go around
- 44:04Speaker 2: saying that all the time. Like have a have a
- 44:06Speaker 2: story you tell about what working people are facing in
- 44:09Speaker 2: this country, what we should do for working people, how
- 44:11Speaker 2: we're going to make sure that everyone who works and
- 44:14Speaker 2: actually like pay their bills and like have a whole
- 44:16Speaker 2: fucking story about it.
- 44:17Speaker 3: It just sounds bitchy. It does. It's like people are
- 44:20Speaker 3: not stupid. He's been president a week. You know, it's
- 44:22Speaker 3: going to take a minute. Like I have a little
- 44:24Speaker 3: more sympathy for Democrats. he just took office. We're probably
- 44:27Speaker 3: not hearing like Pat Ryan has did a bunch of
- 44:30Speaker 3: Twitter threads, talked to playbook over the weekends, Congressman from
- 44:32Speaker 3: New York saying some smart, thoughtful, interesting things, good framing,
- 44:36Speaker 3: good focus, right? People are saying the right thing. There's
- 44:38Speaker 3: just no leader. There's no megaphone. Nobody's getting picked up.
- 44:40Speaker 3: No one's getting hurt. It's just the Trump show all day,
- 44:43Speaker 3: every day.
- 44:43Speaker 2: But there's also not a lot of emotion, you know,
- 44:46Speaker 2: like I've seen Democrats, you know, or you give like
- 44:49Speaker 2: a floor speech in the Senate. That's not going anywhere.
- 44:53Speaker 2: Or you're doing a video where you're talking about why
- 44:55Speaker 2: this is, it's like, It was interesting, even the way
- 44:58Speaker 2: the Politico story was framed, how it's like they didn't...
- 45:00Speaker 2: Democrats didn't do statements on the Elon Musk thing or
- 45:03Speaker 2: the J6 pardons because they connected those both. And I'm like,
- 45:07Speaker 2: those are nothing alike.
- 45:07Speaker 3: It's like one matters and one doesn't. That's what I was...
- 45:09Speaker 3: The Elon Musk thing, it's like, we're going to say
- 45:11Speaker 3: you did a Nazi salute. He's going to say, no,
- 45:13Speaker 3: I didn't. The conversation dies there.
- 45:15Speaker 2: It's like, you're going to win the great debate about
- 45:17Speaker 2: whether he did the Nazi salute or not. And then
- 45:19Speaker 2: what happens? He goes away, he disappears.
- 45:21Speaker 3: Talk about his AFD rally. That's a lot more relevant. Also,
- 45:24Speaker 3: I just saw a Times story. The Trump administration has
- 45:26Speaker 3: instructed organizations in other countries to stop dispersing HIV medications
- 45:30Speaker 3: purchased with USAID, even if the drugs have already been
- 45:32Speaker 3: obtained and are sitting in local clinics. What are we doing?
- 45:37Speaker 2: Atul Gawande, who led the health programs for USAID, he
- 45:42Speaker 2: tweeted this long thread about all the consequences of both
- 45:45Speaker 2: freezing foreign aid from a health perspective and having the
- 45:48Speaker 2: CDC not work with the W with the world health organization.
- 45:51Speaker 2: And that was, that was part of that. This is
- 45:52Speaker 2: just PEPFAR.
- 45:53Speaker 3: PEPFAR saved 25 million lives and we're letting these drugs
- 45:56Speaker 3: just sit on a shelf.
- 45:57Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 45:58Speaker 2: I do want to say like the, the January 6th
- 46:00Speaker 2: pardons though, like not speaking about that is crazy to
- 46:03Speaker 2: me because like, most importantly, they are, dangerous and that
- 46:07Speaker 2: they give right wing extremists a green light to go
- 46:10Speaker 2: commit political violence, even against law enforcement, because, hey, Trump's
- 46:13Speaker 2: got their back.
- 46:14Speaker 4: Right.
- 46:14Speaker 2: But they're also extremely unpopular, even if you just want
- 46:17Speaker 2: to be political about it. They're unpopular. So why wouldn't
- 46:19Speaker 2: you go out to the microphone somewhere and be outraged
- 46:22Speaker 2: about that? And then I know that I'm glad all
- 46:24Speaker 2: the Democrats are signed on to a resolution. condemning the, the, uh, the,
- 46:29Speaker 2: the pardoning for the J six. It's like, it's Monday.
- 46:32Speaker 2: It's a week. It's a week after this happened.
- 46:36Speaker 1: What were you doing guys? And there's an insurrectionist that
- 46:38Speaker 1: was already arrested on gun charges before recorded today. Jokes aside,
- 46:42Speaker 1: there was one killed, uh, by, in a, in a, uh,
- 46:44Speaker 1: in an incident with police resisting, or these are dangerous
- 46:47Speaker 1: people that don't, don't forget politics, forget ideology. Donald Trump released, uh, 1,600 people,
- 46:54Speaker 1: many of whom are very dangerous, and they're out there
- 46:56Speaker 1: being arrested and causing mayhem right now.
- 46:59Speaker 3: The QAnon shaman tweeted, time to go buy some guns.
- 47:02Speaker 2: Well, also, you know, when they had this story this
- 47:04Speaker 2: morning about the resolution, every Senate Democrat had signed on
- 47:07Speaker 2: except John Fetterman, and at first there was a lot
- 47:09Speaker 2: of criticism, and I was like, what the fuck? What's
- 47:11Speaker 2: wrong with him? He's not signing on to this? So
- 47:13Speaker 2: then he signed on, so it was fine, and then
- 47:14Speaker 2: someone asked John Fetterman, I guess just a couple hours ago,
- 47:18Speaker 2: why didn't you sign on at first? He's like, no, no, no. Look,
- 47:20Speaker 2: he was like, I've been against pardons for january 6th
- 47:23Speaker 2: insurrection is forever i've been on record he goes but
- 47:25Speaker 2: i do think what we need is another another performative
- 47:28Speaker 2: more performance art where we pass another resolution that'll really
- 47:30Speaker 2: that'll really get them and it's like yeah.
- 47:33Speaker 3: Okay okay buddy you your life is performance art you
- 47:35Speaker 3: wear shorts and hoodies to like the senate floor to
- 47:38Speaker 3: like send a message come.
- 47:39Speaker 2: On but i do get where it's like i would
- 47:41Speaker 2: rather have democrats have gone to the mic the morning
- 47:45Speaker 2: after it happened with the January 6th thing and like
- 47:47Speaker 2: all of them with, with Capitol police officers, with everyone
- 47:50Speaker 2: else and like shown some real emotion, then I would,
- 47:52Speaker 2: an official resolution that passed.
- 47:54Speaker 3: Well, I just think it's very easy to do both.
- 47:56Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the problem though is it's like really
- 47:58Speaker 1: what you're saying is not, so therefore our strategy should
- 48:00Speaker 1: be to look for opportunities to show emotion. And really
- 48:02Speaker 1: what we're saying, it's like what we want.
- 48:03Speaker 2: And it's reading the stage directions. Just fucking do it.
- 48:05Speaker 4: Well, right.
- 48:06Speaker 1: What we want is somebody who sees this happening, unfolding,
- 48:08Speaker 1: and is like, fuck, I got to get out there.
- 48:10Speaker 1: This is terrible. I'm going to go to the microphones
- 48:12Speaker 1: and bring some people out.
- 48:13Speaker 2: Is that too much to ask?
- 48:13Speaker 1: And you know what? Let's get, hey, get a couple
- 48:15Speaker 1: of Capitol Police officers to stand behind me because this
- 48:17Speaker 1: is so outrageous. I'm furious.
- 48:18Speaker 2: Not everything has to be planned, perfect, thought out. Just
- 48:21Speaker 2: go fucking do stuff, guys. And, you know, forget it.
- 48:25Speaker 2: It's just, ugh.
- 48:27Speaker 3: We probably hammered this point a little.
- 48:29Speaker 2: Okay, we're just.
- 48:30Speaker 1: No, no, no, I'm clapping.
- 48:33Speaker 2: I do think one of the other very funny things
- 48:34Speaker 2: that I just want to bring up before we go
- 48:36Speaker 2: is CNN did a story on this, and they talked
- 48:38Speaker 2: about how this was all in the... They had this
- 48:41Speaker 2: meeting in the Senate Democratic Caucus about how to go
- 48:44Speaker 2: viral in the media environment, all that. And this CNN
- 48:47Speaker 2: story said one of the... They called this a bright
- 48:50Speaker 2: spots the Democrats highlighted, according to a source familiar. was
- 48:54Speaker 2: a viral video from the pandemic of Mark Warner making
- 48:57Speaker 2: a tuna melt in his kitchen that led to the
- 48:59Speaker 2: lawmaker being cheered and jeered by people who questioned his
- 49:02Speaker 2: culinary leanings. That was the bright spot.
- 49:05Speaker 3: That's the Senate.
- 49:06Speaker 2: Going back to 2020 and being like, hey, remember when
- 49:08Speaker 2: Warner had that viral tuna video or grilled cheese tuna
- 49:12Speaker 2: melt video?
- 49:13Speaker 1: It was a warm tuna. That's where we're at. That's
- 49:16Speaker 1: the bright spot. The bright spot is hot kitchen tuna.
- 49:18Speaker 3: Well, it was just such a badly made. tuna sandwich.
- 49:20Speaker 1: It was a microwave, right? Wasn't it a microwave tuna melt?
- 49:23Speaker 3: He did such a bad job making this thing that
- 49:24Speaker 3: people got excited about it.
- 49:26Speaker 2: So all these questions loom especially large in the DNC
- 49:30Speaker 2: chair race. DNC members will vote for the new chair
- 49:33Speaker 2: on Saturday. As you all know, we here at the
- 49:36Speaker 2: show Big Ben Wickler fans and supporters for a long time.
- 49:40Speaker 2: We've talked about him in this pod a million times.
- 49:42Speaker 2: But we wanted to talk to any of the candidates
- 49:45Speaker 2: who wanted to come on. I interviewed Ken Martin and Ben.
- 49:48Speaker 2: Dan interviewed Faz Shakir on Friday's show. I personally think
- 49:53Speaker 2: all three of them would make great DNC chairs. But
- 49:56Speaker 2: maybe unsurprisingly, we were all most impressed with Ben's vision
- 50:00Speaker 2: and his plans. And maybe we're all just hopelessly biased
- 50:03Speaker 2: because we have known him and worked with him now
- 50:05Speaker 2: since basically we've started this podcast. But even putting that aside,
- 50:08Speaker 2: I think Wisconsin was the most Republican-leaning blue wall state
- 50:13Speaker 2: in 2020, the third most Republican-leaning swing state of all
- 50:16Speaker 2: in 2020 after Arizona and Georgia. Everyone was worried about
- 50:19Speaker 2: it in 2024 because it's a very rural, non-college-educated state.
- 50:23Speaker 2: It ended up to the left of the national vote.
- 50:25Speaker 2: That means that Kamala Harris did worse in the national
- 50:27Speaker 2: popular vote than she did in Wisconsin. And the operation
- 50:31Speaker 2: that Ben built was a huge part of that. So
- 50:33Speaker 2: if we were voting members of the DNC, which they
- 50:35Speaker 2: will probably never make us, he would get our vote.
- 50:39Speaker 2: But what do you guys want to add?
- 50:40Speaker 1: Siren. Pod Save America endorsement. Add the siren in post.
- 50:49Speaker 1: First of all, I also like was just based on
- 50:52Speaker 1: our conversation. I also just think all three of them
- 50:54Speaker 1: had very smart things to say in the conversations that
- 50:56Speaker 1: you had with them on Pod Save America. In particular,
- 50:59Speaker 1: I thought Faz talking about what it means for uh,
- 51:03Speaker 1: the democratic party to look, uh, like it's fighting for
- 51:06Speaker 1: people and, and it was very smart. And like, regardless
- 51:09Speaker 1: of who's the DNC chair, I think that is really
- 51:11Speaker 1: important and kind of goes, and it actually fits a
- 51:14Speaker 1: lot with what Ben was talking about as well. And
- 51:15Speaker 1: what we've been talking about, that it's not just about
- 51:17Speaker 1: the right words or the right message. It's about picking
- 51:19Speaker 1: the right fights. It's about breaking through and figuring out
- 51:21Speaker 1: how to do that in this messy and noisy environment.
- 51:23Speaker 1: But like we, we talked about this a long time
- 51:26Speaker 1: that if that, that if we could duplicate Ben Wickler
- 51:30Speaker 1: and put him in all 50 states, we'd be much
- 51:32Speaker 1: better for it. And I think we've felt this personally
- 51:35Speaker 1: just over the years of going to Wisconsin, that Wisconsin
- 51:38Speaker 1: was this warning about what could this omen for what
- 51:41Speaker 1: could happen in the country when a group of radicalized
- 51:43Speaker 1: Republicans tried to do unpopular things and strip away Democratic
- 51:47Speaker 1: accountability for it. And as he said in your interview,
- 51:49Speaker 1: that they've been kind of on the edge of a
- 51:50Speaker 1: cliff this entire time. But what's been exciting having gone
- 51:53Speaker 1: to Wisconsin starting when we first did the show all
- 51:55Speaker 1: these years later is watching them slowly build this operation
- 51:58Speaker 1: and figure out how to respond to that kind of
- 52:00Speaker 1: a threat and do it in a way that's successful.
- 52:02Speaker 1: And like, there are so many lessons from what Ben
- 52:04Speaker 1: has done in Wisconsin that are valuable nationally.
- 52:08Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 52:08Speaker 3: I mean, we're biased. I met Ben in 2006, so
- 52:11Speaker 3: it's like, I had nothing against anyone else in the race,
- 52:13Speaker 3: but I think one thing that we've all noticed about
- 52:16Speaker 3: Ben is he has no off switch. You're getting texts
- 52:19Speaker 3: from him 24, seven, 365 days a year about races,
- 52:23Speaker 3: big and small across Wisconsin. And he was able to
- 52:25Speaker 3: raise money and awareness. and build a state party organization
- 52:29Speaker 3: that was always doing work, always organizing, always building and
- 52:32Speaker 3: trying to get power back. And they started from a
- 52:34Speaker 3: serious deficit in Wisconsin. And that doesn't mean they won
- 52:37Speaker 3: every race, but that's not a fair expectation, but they
- 52:41Speaker 3: didn't sit out any races. And I think like that's
- 52:43Speaker 3: the kind of mindset you want at the DNC. And
- 52:47Speaker 3: it's also just like a vibe and a tenor and
- 52:48Speaker 3: a tone. Like Ben, we went to lots of events
- 52:50Speaker 3: and organizing sessions with him and trainings. He's always preaching
- 52:53Speaker 3: like an inclusive, empowering form of politics. that I think
- 52:57Speaker 3: would help out the party and translate well to the
- 52:59Speaker 3: DNC and make people want to be a part of
- 53:01Speaker 3: the Democratic Party. So I think he'd be great at it.
- 53:04Speaker 3: All right.
- 53:05Speaker 2: Well, and you know what? If you're listening and you're
- 53:07Speaker 2: a DNC member and you're going to be voting and
- 53:11Speaker 2: you like Ben or you think that Ben should be
- 53:14Speaker 2: the chair, then, you know, I think it'd probably help
- 53:16Speaker 2: in this last week to go public and, you know,
- 53:19Speaker 2: make it probably more helpful than us because we're not voting.
- 53:22Speaker 1: Yeah, and probably has turned off a few people. No doubt.
- 53:25Speaker 1: I think hopefully net positive. Hopefully net positive.
- 53:28Speaker 2: But if you're out there listening and you're thinking the
- 53:30Speaker 2: same thing, you know, go with Ben. Go with Ben.
- 53:33Speaker 2: After the break, you're going to hear Tommy's conversation with
- 53:35Speaker 2: Dara Lind of the American Immigration Council. But two quick
- 53:38Speaker 2: things before we do that. Latest episode of Assembly Required.
- 53:41Speaker 2: Stacey Abrams is joined by Strict Scrutiny's Melissa Murray to
- 53:44Speaker 2: dissect the impact of Trump's sweeping executive orders from renaming
- 53:48Speaker 2: Denali to ending birthright citizenship. and what we can all
- 53:51Speaker 2: do to protect our democracy. New episodes of Assembly Required
- 53:55Speaker 2: drop every Thursday. Find them wherever you get your podcasts
- 53:57Speaker 2: or on YouTube. Also, we're out with our first post-election
- 54:01Speaker 2: episode of Polar Coaster, Dan's subscriber-only show. In this episode,
- 54:04Speaker 2: Dan takes a look at the early polling from Trump's
- 54:06Speaker 2: return to office, unpacks the chaos that got us here,
- 54:09Speaker 2: and tackles listeners' questions. To access this exclusive subscriber series,
- 54:13Speaker 2: enjoy ad-free episodes of Pod Save America and more, subscribe
- 54:16Speaker 2: now at cricket.com slash friends or directly on Apple Podcasts.
- 54:20Speaker 2: When we come back, Darland.
- 54:32Speaker 3: Patsy of America is brought to you by Fatty 15.
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- 55:59Speaker 3: slash crooked and use code crooked at checkout. So the
- 56:05Speaker 3: Trump administration has been firing off executive orders left and right.
- 56:08Speaker 3: Many of them seem extremely consequential. Some are glorified press releases.
- 56:13Speaker 3: but many of the more consequential seeming EOs focus on
- 56:17Speaker 3: immigration policy, which is why I am so excited to
- 56:20Speaker 3: have Dara Lind on with me today. She's a senior
- 56:23Speaker 3: fellow at the American Immigration Council, an immigration policy expert,
- 56:27Speaker 3: an excellent journalist. Dara, welcome to the show.
- 56:30Speaker 5: Thank you. It is, I mean, I can't say it's
- 56:33Speaker 5: great to be on, right? But it's like, it's certainly
- 56:37Speaker 5: the kind of moment that people with my expertise are
- 56:40Speaker 5: in demand.
- 56:41Speaker 1: I guess.
- 56:42Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, very much so, because it is quite confusing.
- 56:45Speaker 3: And we're going to talk through some of the complexity
- 56:48Speaker 3: and uncertainty of this moment, especially when it comes to immigration.
- 56:52Speaker 3: So first question is just big picture. I mean, what
- 56:54Speaker 3: do you think are the most important things that Trump
- 56:56Speaker 3: has done so far when it comes to immigration policy?
- 57:00Speaker 5: I think that the most salient thing, and this is
- 57:03Speaker 5: not just the day one executive orders, it's a lot
- 57:06Speaker 5: of stuff that has come out since then. in the
- 57:09Speaker 5: form of like departmental or agency memos, or just in
- 57:12Speaker 5: what people are seeing on the ground, is a really
- 57:15Speaker 5: aggressive ramp up of interior enforcement against people who have
- 57:19Speaker 5: been living in the United States, many of whom were
- 57:23Speaker 5: given some form of protections under the Biden administration. We
- 57:27Speaker 5: know that the Trump administration has changed regulations so that
- 57:34Speaker 5: Anyone who is apprehended anywhere in the U.S. who cannot
- 57:38Speaker 5: prove to an immigration agent's satisfaction that they've been here
- 57:41Speaker 5: for more than two years could be deported without a
- 57:43Speaker 5: court hearing.
- 57:44Speaker 4: Huge change.
- 57:45Speaker 5: We know that they are making an effort to strip
- 57:49Speaker 5: parole protections from people who came under the Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan,
- 57:55Speaker 5: and Venezuelan parole programs, other Biden parole programs, when they
- 57:59Speaker 5: encountered them. Not that We don't know how broad that's
- 58:02Speaker 5: going to be, but that those people will be considered
- 58:04Speaker 5: vulnerable for deportation and that there might be efforts to
- 58:07Speaker 5: take people who are in immigration court, close the immigration
- 58:10Speaker 5: court case, and try to deport them without a court hearing.
- 58:13Speaker 5: And we know that they're stepping up the use of
- 58:17Speaker 5: agents from other agencies, whether that's DEA, ATF, that they're
- 58:21Speaker 5: stepping up the use of military assets, including planes. And
- 58:24Speaker 5: so given that most of the biggest impediments to deporting
- 58:28Speaker 5: 11 million people were not legal, but logistical, that kind
- 58:33Speaker 5: of force multiplier could be a very big difference in
- 58:36Speaker 5: how many people they're ultimately able to deport.
- 58:39Speaker 3: I want to ask you about that logistical point, because
- 58:41Speaker 3: you wrote in this Great Times op-ed after the election,
- 58:44Speaker 3: but before inauguration, that the largest constraint on mass deportation
- 58:49Speaker 3: is logistical and that deporting 1 million people per year
- 58:52Speaker 3: would cost an annual average of $ 88 billion. Can you
- 58:56Speaker 3: kind of unpack those logistics for us And explain whether
- 59:00Speaker 3: you think there's kind of anything in that insight that
- 59:02Speaker 3: opponents of Trump's immigration policy could use to fight it.
- 59:06Speaker 5: Sure, absolutely. So there are essentially four major... steps that
- 59:10Speaker 5: are generally taken to take somebody who is in the U.S.
- 59:13Speaker 5: without authorization and move them to being somebody who's been deported.
- 59:17Speaker 5: The first is arresting them. The second is finding somewhere
- 59:20Speaker 5: to keep them in custody, given that this administration doesn't
- 59:23Speaker 5: particularly like releasing people pending their court hearings or pending
- 59:27Speaker 5: further action. There's the court case itself, which, you know,
- 59:32Speaker 5: they're trying to kind of abridge by using this expedited
- 59:36Speaker 5: removal provision more aggressively, but like, you know, so, so
- 59:40Speaker 5: that's kind of an optional one. And then four, you
- 59:42Speaker 5: have to physically deport them. You have to have the
- 59:44Speaker 5: seat on the plane and you have to have a
- 59:45Speaker 5: country that's willing to accept them. So even if you
- 59:49Speaker 5: look at what they've done over the last week and say, okay,
- 59:51Speaker 5: in general, they're really trying to get rid of this
- 59:54Speaker 5: third stage of the process wherever possible because that still
- 59:56Speaker 5: leaves arrest, detention, and deportation. So the more agents they
- 1:00:01Speaker 5: have on the ground who are not just ICE agents,
- 1:00:04Speaker 5: but other agencies that are being tasked with immigration enforcement,
- 1:00:08Speaker 5: and the more they're able to enlist state and local
- 1:00:10Speaker 5: police to do immigration enforcement, the easier the first one gets.
- 1:00:14Speaker 5: The more they're able to build temporary facilities, especially using
- 1:00:20Speaker 5: military money under the emergency declaration that was one of
- 1:00:23Speaker 5: the day one executive orders, the easier the second of
- 1:00:26Speaker 5: those is. And the more that they can both use
- 1:00:29Speaker 5: military planes and bully other countries, and we saw some
- 1:00:32Speaker 5: of this over the weekend with a standoff, a very
- 1:00:38Speaker 5: brief standoff with the country of Colombia over the use
- 1:00:40Speaker 5: of military flights to deport Colombian nationals. The more they
- 1:00:45Speaker 5: can bully other countries to take back military planes or
- 1:00:48Speaker 5: to take back a lot of ice air flights, the
- 1:00:51Speaker 5: easier the deportation part of that is. So those are
- 1:00:55Speaker 5: kind of where I'm seeing the big variables right now.
- 1:00:58Speaker 5: But ultimately, all of those are still resources. And even
- 1:01:01Speaker 5: if you're tapping the DOD budget for a lot of things,
- 1:01:05Speaker 5: Congress still has to, at a certain point, you're going
- 1:01:10Speaker 5: to either run out of ICE budget or Congress is
- 1:01:12Speaker 5: going to have to appropriate in the future the kind
- 1:01:15Speaker 5: of money that anticipates that you're going to be running
- 1:01:17Speaker 5: a Department of Defense that is also engaged in immigration enforcement.
- 1:01:21Speaker 5: And so While in the short term, they're acting really,
- 1:01:24Speaker 5: really aggressively. How long they can keep this up is
- 1:01:26Speaker 5: going to depend on whether Congress is writing them a
- 1:01:29Speaker 5: blank check or whether they're going to start asking questions
- 1:01:31Speaker 5: about just how much can be spent on it.
- 1:01:35Speaker 3: And just your point four, I think, like we don't
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: have the best relations with Venezuela, for example. There are
- 1:01:42Speaker 3: a lot of folks who have left Venezuela over the
- 1:01:45Speaker 3: past decade or so and made their way north to
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: the United States. What happens if Venezuela just says, no,
- 1:01:51Speaker 3: American C-17s will never set down in our territory? I mean,
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: do we have to get to a point where we're
- 1:01:55Speaker 3: like having to coerce that militarily? Is that what Trump
- 1:01:59Speaker 3: is threatening here?
- 1:02:01Speaker 5: We're not quite to that point yet because immigration law
- 1:02:06Speaker 5: doesn't technically require you to deport somebody to the country
- 1:02:10Speaker 5: where they came from. And this is where the diplomatic
- 1:02:14Speaker 5: aspect of this gets very complicated and very important. In
- 1:02:19Speaker 5: the recent past, under the Trump and Biden administrations, Mexico
- 1:02:22Speaker 5: has agreed to accept some non-Mexicans, whether that's temporarily while
- 1:02:26Speaker 5: they await court hearings in the United States under the
- 1:02:29Speaker 5: Remain in Mexico program, which the Trump administration is now
- 1:02:31Speaker 5: trying to restart, or whether that's actually taking people who
- 1:02:35Speaker 5: are essentially being deported, but deported to Mexico. Whether and
- 1:02:38Speaker 5: how many people they're willing to accept in that is
- 1:02:40Speaker 5: going to be a very important variable because it's so
- 1:02:43Speaker 5: much easier to deport people back to Mexico than it
- 1:02:46Speaker 5: is to fly them Other places, it's just so much
- 1:02:49Speaker 5: cheaper that not only is that going to be a
- 1:02:52Speaker 5: help on the logistical end, but also, as you mentioned,
- 1:02:54Speaker 5: for countries like Venezuela, where it's not really foreseeable that
- 1:02:59Speaker 5: you're going to have some kind of breakthrough where the
- 1:03:02Speaker 5: Maduro government is going to say, yes, this is awesome.
- 1:03:05Speaker 5: We love the US now. Having other places you can
- 1:03:08Speaker 5: return them to starts to become a really important variable.
- 1:03:11Speaker 5: We've already heard rumors that the government of El Salvador
- 1:03:15Speaker 5: is very gung-ho about signing an agreement with the United
- 1:03:18Speaker 5: States that will allow people to be deported to El
- 1:03:20Speaker 5: Salvador who aren't from El Salvador. That sort of thing.
- 1:03:24Speaker 5: You know, the more options that they have, the easier
- 1:03:27Speaker 5: it's going to be for them to get around the
- 1:03:29Speaker 5: recalcitrance of any one country.
- 1:03:31Speaker 3: Of course, Bukele is willing to take whatever number of
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: people Trump wants to send to El Salvador. It seems
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: to me that a lot of what's happened so far is.
- 1:03:40Speaker 3: PR and for show, right? I mean, I think the
- 1:03:43Speaker 3: Trump administration is talking about the number of deportations over
- 1:03:46Speaker 3: the weekend that may or may not be all that
- 1:03:48Speaker 3: much above kind of the average you might have seen
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: in terms of total deportations under the Biden administration. I
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: suspect part of it also is they want to pick
- 1:03:57Speaker 3: fights with like Democrats in liberal cities. I mean, what
- 1:04:01Speaker 3: kind of strategies do you think these progressives can take
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: to push back that doesn't play into this sort of
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: PR effort? but actually is impactful for people in communities
- 1:04:12Speaker 3: that are being harmed.
- 1:04:13Speaker 5: So I tend to think about this as like a,
- 1:04:15Speaker 5: you know, coordinate plane, right? One axis is how likely
- 1:04:20Speaker 5: is this to get a lot of headlines, to generate
- 1:04:22Speaker 5: a lot of B roll, that kind of thing. The
- 1:04:25Speaker 5: other axis is how much does it increase scope? You know, how,
- 1:04:29Speaker 5: like how much does it make it easier for them
- 1:04:30Speaker 5: to harm, to like, to put more people into the
- 1:04:33Speaker 5: process and move them through the process. And you're right.
- 1:04:36Speaker 5: A lot of the things, you know, like, things like
- 1:04:38Speaker 5: putting out a press release every single day can imply
- 1:04:41Speaker 5: that more is being changed than actually is. That said,
- 1:04:45Speaker 5: one of the reasons that we're not really seeing movement
- 1:04:47Speaker 5: on the numbers yet is because some of the authorities
- 1:04:49Speaker 5: they're tapping into haven't really, you know, scaled, like they
- 1:04:52Speaker 5: haven't really been able to make plans for what does
- 1:04:56Speaker 5: an ICE raid look like when everybody's getting put into
- 1:04:59Speaker 5: expedited removal proceedings, that sort of thing. So I think
- 1:05:02Speaker 5: that the biggest reason that picking fights with blue cities
- 1:05:07Speaker 5: is you know, it's, it's a big PR showdown is
- 1:05:11Speaker 5: because in jurisdictions that don't have a lot of local
- 1:05:14Speaker 5: cooperation with federal law enforcement, where like, if they call
- 1:05:18Speaker 5: up the city and say, you got to give us
- 1:05:20Speaker 5: the addresses of everybody, you know, who doesn't have legal
- 1:05:24Speaker 5: immigration status in cities that have laws requiring that information
- 1:05:28Speaker 5: not to be shared, it's a lot harder for them
- 1:05:30Speaker 5: to arrest people to identify who is removable and take
- 1:05:33Speaker 5: them into custody. And so when they have these big
- 1:05:36Speaker 5: raids on blue cities in the past, what we've seen
- 1:05:39Speaker 5: is the numbers of actual arrestees they get out of
- 1:05:42Speaker 5: them are very low. The biggest impact is in terms
- 1:05:44Speaker 5: of freaking people out, getting people to not leave their homes,
- 1:05:47Speaker 5: to not go to school, that sort of thing, which
- 1:05:49Speaker 5: is a real harm. But it does mean that in
- 1:05:53Speaker 5: kind of holding the line on lack of cooperation and
- 1:05:57Speaker 5: lack of information sharing, and certainly not offering like state
- 1:06:03Speaker 5: and local resources to help with immigration enforcement, that the
- 1:06:08Speaker 5: amount of money that's being spent and time that's being
- 1:06:12Speaker 5: spent is going to be greater proportionally than the number
- 1:06:16Speaker 5: of people who they are getting out of it who
- 1:06:18Speaker 5: can then be arrested and deported, which means that those
- 1:06:21Speaker 5: resources are then being taken from other things.
- 1:06:24Speaker 3: Right, right. Because a lot of the cooperation you've seen
- 1:06:26Speaker 3: in the past has been federal officials going to local, state,
- 1:06:29Speaker 3: and county jails, right, and then picking people up there
- 1:06:32Speaker 3: for deportation. One other element of this is Trump is
- 1:06:34Speaker 3: trying to end birthright citizenship. So that would end the
- 1:06:37Speaker 3: practice of giving automatic citizenship to the U.S.-born kids of
- 1:06:41Speaker 3: undocumented immigrant parents or to the kids of foreign workers
- 1:06:45Speaker 3: or students. So I think it's important to note that
- 1:06:47Speaker 3: that latter category is people here legally. When I talk with,
- 1:06:51Speaker 3: you know, smart lawyers about the birthright citizenship EO, they
- 1:06:55Speaker 3: say this is clearly unconstitutional, but if it gets to
- 1:06:58Speaker 3: the Supreme Court, like, God help us. Does that sort
- 1:07:02Speaker 3: of jive with your sense? I mean, I.
- 1:07:06Speaker 5: Have a general rule against engaging in Supreme Court punditry
- 1:07:10Speaker 5: because I do think that to a certain extent, the
- 1:07:13Speaker 5: law is whatever the judges say the law is. And
- 1:07:18Speaker 5: heaven forbid they take that, they actually seize the reins
- 1:07:22Speaker 5: of that power. But I do agree that, I think
- 1:07:26Speaker 5: that the way that this executive order was done, which
- 1:07:29Speaker 5: is just saying, as far as we're concerned, this is
- 1:07:34Speaker 5: not who birthright citizenship applies to. And we're not going
- 1:07:37Speaker 5: to be honoring the citizenship of anyone who was born
- 1:07:41Speaker 5: in the U S under, you know, to these two
- 1:07:43Speaker 5: parents who like have these particular, you know, this lack
- 1:07:46Speaker 5: of status or temporary status after February 19th, that that is,
- 1:07:50Speaker 5: we've already seen one preliminary ruling against it. Um, I
- 1:07:53Speaker 5: would be very surprised if it goes into effect as planned,
- 1:07:58Speaker 5: you know, like, in a few weeks. That's not to
- 1:08:01Speaker 5: say that the Supreme Court won't ultimately rule in favor
- 1:08:04Speaker 5: of the administration on this one, but it is worth
- 1:08:08Speaker 5: noting that there's a pretty explicit century-old Supreme Court precedent
- 1:08:13Speaker 5: that even if the parents of the child cannot become
- 1:08:18Speaker 5: US citizens, the child is still a citizen of the
- 1:08:22Speaker 5: United States. And so they would be... It's not really
- 1:08:28Speaker 5: a reasonable people have disagreed on this for decades kind
- 1:08:32Speaker 5: of situation. It is an effort to innovate the law
- 1:08:36Speaker 5: in a particular direction. And so there's reason to believe
- 1:08:41Speaker 5: that the Supreme Court is going to be a little
- 1:08:44Speaker 5: more skeptical of this than they would be of other
- 1:08:46Speaker 5: Trump administration policies. Yeah.
- 1:08:48Speaker 3: I mean, you mentioned there was this one ruling already
- 1:08:50Speaker 3: from a judge who I believe was a Reagan appointee
- 1:08:52Speaker 3: He said, I've been on the bench for over four decades.
- 1:08:54Speaker 3: I can't remember another case where the question presented is
- 1:08:57Speaker 3: as clear as this one. This is a blatantly unconstitutional.
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: Order.
- 1:09:01Speaker 5: Yeah, he was steamed. And, you know, the other thing
- 1:09:03Speaker 5: about that case is the plaintiffs were extremely ready to
- 1:09:09Speaker 5: file a complaint. And the administration, despite the fact that
- 1:09:12Speaker 5: it was, you know, that it was their government, filed
- 1:09:15Speaker 5: all of three pages in reply that were basically, nah-ah,
- 1:09:19Speaker 5: So like they're not doing, at least so far, they're
- 1:09:22Speaker 5: not doing a tremendously robust job of if they truly
- 1:09:25Speaker 5: believe this is what the law says, they're not doing
- 1:09:28Speaker 5: the most aggressive, like the best job of showing up
- 1:09:32Speaker 5: in court and saying that.
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: Got it.
- 1:09:33Speaker 3: Got it. Congress is also getting in on the act here.
- 1:09:36Speaker 3: So they just passed a piece of legislation called the
- 1:09:38Speaker 3: Lake and Riley Act passed on a bipartisan basis. The
- 1:09:41Speaker 3: bill got 64 yes votes in the Senate, 263 yes
- 1:09:43Speaker 3: votes in the House, including 46 Democrats in the House.
- 1:09:47Speaker 3: Can you give us just like a quick overview of
- 1:09:49Speaker 3: what the Lake and Riley Act does?
- 1:09:51Speaker 4: Sure.
- 1:09:51Speaker 5: So there are two fairly separate parts of the law
- 1:09:57Speaker 5: that are, one of which is kind of, it expands
- 1:10:01Speaker 5: immigration enforcement in a way that's that Congress often acts
- 1:10:05Speaker 5: to expand immigration enforcement, and one of which is totally
- 1:10:07Speaker 5: unprecedented and could unfold in very unpredictable ways. The first
- 1:10:13Speaker 5: is that the Lake and Riley Act requires that the
- 1:10:16Speaker 5: federal government expeditiously take into custody anybody who is arrested
- 1:10:21Speaker 5: or charged with or convicted of a certain set of crimes,
- 1:10:25Speaker 5: including theft charges. Now, by saying you don't have to
- 1:10:30Speaker 5: be convicted, you can just be like, accused essentially certainly
- 1:10:34Speaker 5: does raise due process concerns. There are also prioritization concerns.
- 1:10:37Speaker 5: Like if you're saying that somebody that, that there's somebody
- 1:10:41Speaker 5: in custody in rural Georgia and you have to get
- 1:10:44Speaker 5: in your patrol car and go immediately to go get
- 1:10:47Speaker 5: that person, there are other enforcement actions you could be
- 1:10:50Speaker 5: engaging in. But the other part of Lake and Riley
- 1:10:53Speaker 5: says that states can sue the federal government to force
- 1:10:57Speaker 5: the federal government to deport somebody. who they've chosen not
- 1:11:00Speaker 5: to execute a final order of deportation against to detain somebody,
- 1:11:03Speaker 5: or to stop visas for a category of visa or
- 1:11:09Speaker 5: a country if they believe the country is being recalcitrant
- 1:11:13Speaker 5: in accepting deportees. Because there is on the books, the
- 1:11:17Speaker 5: federal government has the power to take sanctions. And so
- 1:11:19Speaker 5: if the federal government isn't taking these sanctions, the thing
- 1:11:23Speaker 5: we're all thinking about is, okay, so what is stopping
- 1:11:25Speaker 5: Ken Paxton? from suing the federal government to force it
- 1:11:30Speaker 5: to stop issuing H-1B visas to China because China doesn't
- 1:11:35Speaker 5: take quite as many deportees as the US might like.
- 1:11:39Speaker 5: That's kind of a real wild card and we don't
- 1:11:44Speaker 5: know how it's going to play out yet, but it
- 1:11:47Speaker 5: certainly adds an interesting wrinkle to the dispute that we
- 1:11:50Speaker 5: know is going on within the Trump administration over H-1B
- 1:11:53Speaker 5: and high-skilled visas generally. Because if the Trump administration goes
- 1:11:56Speaker 5: in a more dovish direction than, say, the Bannon wing
- 1:12:00Speaker 5: would like, they now have this legal tool that they
- 1:12:03Speaker 5: can use to try to stop them. Yeah.
- 1:12:06Speaker 3: And just to dig in on those two sort of pieces.
- 1:12:08Speaker 3: I mean, look, I'm not a lawyer, but I thought
- 1:12:10Speaker 3: that undocumented people had due process rights under the Fifth
- 1:12:13Speaker 3: and the Fourteenth Amendment. This bill says if you're just
- 1:12:16Speaker 3: accused of basically petty shoplifting, you can be deported. I mean,
- 1:12:21Speaker 3: that does not seem like due process to me. Am
- 1:12:23Speaker 3: I wrong?
- 1:12:24Speaker 5: The fundamental thing you have to remember about immigration law
- 1:12:27Speaker 5: is that deportation is not a criminal penalty. It is
- 1:12:29Speaker 5: a civil penalty and it's one you incur potentially simply
- 1:12:33Speaker 5: by being in the U S without authorization. You don't
- 1:12:35Speaker 5: have to have committed any other, any crime or anything
- 1:12:38Speaker 5: else in order to be deportable. So what this does
- 1:12:41Speaker 5: is say this person's already deportable by getting arrested. They're
- 1:12:45Speaker 5: now an enforcement priority, which is not something that you
- 1:12:49Speaker 5: really have a due process claim against. Now, if you're
- 1:12:52Speaker 5: not in fact removable, well, You can try to get
- 1:12:55Speaker 5: yourself out of ICE custody. And yes, of course, there
- 1:12:57Speaker 5: are due process concerns in the sense of you're saying
- 1:13:01Speaker 5: this person's a priority because you're classifying them as a criminal.
- 1:13:08Speaker 5: But they're not concerns that are legally actionable.
- 1:13:11Speaker 3: God, that's terrible. Part two, I mean, so like the
- 1:13:15Speaker 3: attorney general in Oklahoma can tell Marco Rubio, the secretary
- 1:13:19Speaker 3: of state, that he's no longer allowed to issue visas
- 1:13:22Speaker 3: to a random country because- I don't know, it helps
- 1:13:25Speaker 3: this attorney general in Oklahoma politically to demand that the
- 1:13:28Speaker 3: federal government, even the Trump government, be tougher on immigrants.
- 1:13:31Speaker 3: That seems completely unworkable.
- 1:13:34Speaker 5: It absolutely could be unworkable. This was originally part of
- 1:13:38Speaker 5: the bill when it was introduced under the last Congress,
- 1:13:41Speaker 5: which is to say under the Biden administration, which might
- 1:13:43Speaker 5: go some way in indicating why it was added to
- 1:13:46Speaker 5: the bill to begin with. I think that the assumption
- 1:13:50Speaker 5: to a certain extent is that you know, state AGs
- 1:13:54Speaker 5: are going to not necessarily want to embarrass members of
- 1:13:57Speaker 5: their own party. But I think the other part of
- 1:13:59Speaker 5: the assumption is that judges are not necessarily going to
- 1:14:03Speaker 5: be super eager to weigh in on this stuff. Judges
- 1:14:06Speaker 5: tend to have a pretty narrow construal of like this
- 1:14:10Speaker 5: sort of their ability to weigh in on this sort
- 1:14:13Speaker 5: of thing. And so that would, you know, I think
- 1:14:16Speaker 5: that there's a certain kind of adults in the room
- 1:14:19Speaker 5: understanding that this, that that would prevent it from being
- 1:14:21Speaker 5: entire to entirely disruptive. I don't know that that's merited,
- 1:14:25Speaker 5: but I think we'll see what combination of kind of
- 1:14:27Speaker 5: political pressures and, you know, just, and, and judicial professional
- 1:14:33Speaker 5: pressures exist to check this.
- 1:14:34Speaker 3: You're going to get to liberal attorney generals in blue states,
- 1:14:38Speaker 3: just suing the state department over nothing for fun. I
- 1:14:41Speaker 3: also saw the, I said the bill would cost 26
- 1:14:43Speaker 3: billion to implement in the first year. So back to your,
- 1:14:46Speaker 3: resourcing and logistics question. It seems wildly difficult to do
- 1:14:51Speaker 3: this without, I guess, an appropriation of new money.
- 1:14:53Speaker 5: Well, so the way that usually ICE has operated over
- 1:14:57Speaker 5: the last several years is they keep spending the money,
- 1:15:00Speaker 5: which is usually faster than they're budgeted to spend it.
- 1:15:03Speaker 5: And then they write Congress letters of increasing alarm of
- 1:15:06Speaker 5: tone saying, if you don't give us more money before
- 1:15:10Speaker 5: the end of the fiscal year in a supplemental, we're
- 1:15:12Speaker 5: going to have to start releasing criminals. And usually Congress says, fine, fine,
- 1:15:16Speaker 5: here's the money you asked for in the supplemental.
- 1:15:20Speaker 3: Okay, so you mentioned also, you know, temporary protected status.
- 1:15:23Speaker 3: On the way out the door, President Biden granted an
- 1:15:25Speaker 3: extension of temporary protected status or TPS to nearly a
- 1:15:30Speaker 3: million immigrants from Venezuela, El Salvador, Ukraine and Sudan, which
- 1:15:34Speaker 3: should protect them from deportation through I think the fall
- 1:15:37Speaker 3: of 2026. I know the Trump administration is not a
- 1:15:40Speaker 3: big fan of TPS or lots of you know, pathways
- 1:15:44Speaker 3: of legal immigration, can they just rescind that extension? Or like,
- 1:15:47Speaker 3: what do you think happens to TPS?
- 1:15:49Speaker 5: This is where we get into some really uncharted territory,
- 1:15:54Speaker 5: both legally and policy wise, because the Trump administration said
- 1:15:57Speaker 5: in one of its executive orders that it is going
- 1:15:59Speaker 5: to review grants of TPS given under Biden. So we
- 1:16:05Speaker 5: don't know whether that means they're going to say that
- 1:16:08Speaker 5: some of these, you know, 11th hour TPS grants are
- 1:16:12Speaker 5: shouldn't have been issued to begin with and try to
- 1:16:14Speaker 5: argue that they shouldn't be forced to honor them or not.
- 1:16:17Speaker 5: That's something that's not clear. We don't know what happens
- 1:16:20Speaker 5: to people who have applications for TPS who, you know,
- 1:16:25Speaker 5: if you were paroled in under the CHNV, Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan,
- 1:16:29Speaker 5: Venezuelan parole program, but you were here as a Venezuelan
- 1:16:33Speaker 5: when the Venezuela TPS extension was issued and you've applied,
- 1:16:37Speaker 5: What is that, you know, can you be removed once
- 1:16:40Speaker 5: your parole expires, even though you have this pending application?
- 1:16:44Speaker 5: Are they going to try to do that? There are
- 1:16:46Speaker 5: so many open questions about this. And it's really, it's
- 1:16:51Speaker 5: concerning because frankly, a lot of these are folks who
- 1:16:54Speaker 5: are not the most tapped in to, you know, they're
- 1:16:59Speaker 5: like to high information news sources anyway. And so, The
- 1:17:04Speaker 5: uncertainty that they're facing and the potential legal complexity of
- 1:17:07Speaker 5: what they're facing is really difficult to predict. But we
- 1:17:11Speaker 5: absolutely could be seeing a pretty aggressive clawback front on TPS.
- 1:17:16Speaker 5: And it's just going to depend on what they decide
- 1:17:20Speaker 5: to announce from here and how much effort they're willing
- 1:17:23Speaker 5: to spend on the USCIS side in sending individualized, no
- 1:17:27Speaker 5: thank you, you don't have status anymore, notifications and defending
- 1:17:31Speaker 5: it in court.
- 1:17:33Speaker 3: Man, I mean, just to underscore how cruel it would
- 1:17:36Speaker 3: be to start sending people back to Sudan, which has
- 1:17:39Speaker 3: been in the middle of a horrific civil war for
- 1:17:42Speaker 3: well over a year now. There's accusations of genocide against
- 1:17:47Speaker 3: the rebel forces and even some of the Sudanese armed forces.
- 1:17:50Speaker 3: I think half the country is at risk of starvation,
- 1:17:54Speaker 3: millions of people being displaced. I mean, the idea that
- 1:17:56Speaker 3: you would just put someone on a plane back to
- 1:17:59Speaker 3: Khartoum right now is just like unthinkable from a moral level.
- 1:18:03Speaker 5: Yeah, and this is, I mean, it's worth underscoring, even
- 1:18:05Speaker 5: though we've been discussing it, that there is a difference
- 1:18:07Speaker 5: between saying that somebody is legally vulnerable to deportation and
- 1:18:11Speaker 5: actually taking the effort to deport them. And with TPS,
- 1:18:15Speaker 5: you know, it is, there is a certain extent to
- 1:18:19Speaker 5: which the Trump administration has made it pretty clear that
- 1:18:21Speaker 5: people who arrived under Biden are in their crosshairs. But
- 1:18:26Speaker 5: in general, it is not necessarily true that somebody who
- 1:18:30Speaker 5: had legal status And is going to have it sunset
- 1:18:33Speaker 5: is going to become a target, but even just putting
- 1:18:36Speaker 5: them in that pool make puts them more risk and
- 1:18:38Speaker 5: it also makes it harder for them to plan their
- 1:18:41Speaker 5: lives with TPS in particular because so many of these
- 1:18:44Speaker 5: people have had, you know, so many of these countries
- 1:18:46Speaker 5: have had TPS for years and decades. These are people
- 1:18:50Speaker 5: who have been making their lives in 18 to 24
- 1:18:52Speaker 5: month increments to begin with. And now you're giving even
- 1:18:55Speaker 5: that assurance away from them. So it's a fairly profound
- 1:18:59Speaker 5: change for the circumstances in which these people are living.
- 1:19:02Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely. Do you think, is it now kind of
- 1:19:05Speaker 3: all about enforcement and, you know, the kind of memos
- 1:19:08Speaker 3: to agencies about how to implement these policies? Are you
- 1:19:11Speaker 3: expecting more executive orders and major policy changes? We just
- 1:19:15Speaker 3: don't know.
- 1:19:16Speaker 5: We absolutely do not know. When Russ Vogt got caught
- 1:19:20Speaker 5: on a hot mic last year, well, it wasn't a
- 1:19:23Speaker 5: hot mic. It was essentially a sting operation. The now, again,
- 1:19:28Speaker 5: head of OMB who was running Project 2025, he said
- 1:19:31Speaker 5: that there were a lot of things that they were
- 1:19:34Speaker 5: working on that were very close hold, that they weren't
- 1:19:36Speaker 5: putting in Project 2025. A lot of memos and policy
- 1:19:40Speaker 5: guidance that they were pre-drafting. And so we just don't
- 1:19:43Speaker 5: know what the volume of those is. We've continued to
- 1:19:47Speaker 5: see things going out that almost certainly were developed before
- 1:19:52Speaker 5: inauguration because it would just be a tremendous amount of
- 1:19:55Speaker 5: effort to get them done after that. But we don't
- 1:19:59Speaker 5: know how much there is. And it is, you know,
- 1:20:02Speaker 5: there are some things in the executive orders that kind
- 1:20:05Speaker 5: of hint at future action. There is, for example, one
- 1:20:08Speaker 5: executive order that says that within 90 days, there should
- 1:20:12Speaker 5: be a review of whether the Insurrection Act is necessary
- 1:20:14Speaker 5: to invoke. So that is something that they've actually flagged
- 1:20:17Speaker 5: could be coming. But for the most part, the MO
- 1:20:20Speaker 5: of this administration is and was during the, you know,
- 1:20:24Speaker 5: the end of the first term, defined places in federal
- 1:20:27Speaker 5: law that can be used to ramp up immigration enforcement
- 1:20:31Speaker 5: that have kind of lain dormant for decades. So we
- 1:20:33Speaker 5: don't know how many of those other places they've found.
- 1:20:36Speaker 3: The one thing I just haven't heard much about is
- 1:20:38Speaker 3: any kind of increased penalties or scrutiny of employers versus individuals.
- 1:20:43Speaker 3: I mean, for a long time, that was kind of
- 1:20:47Speaker 3: the approach of a lot of immigration policy, right? Which
- 1:20:49Speaker 3: is to make it really hard for people to work
- 1:20:51Speaker 3: by punishing their employers if they hired undocumented people. But
- 1:20:54Speaker 3: I don't feel like I'm hearing much about that.
- 1:20:57Speaker 5: The primary way that they... would be going about this,
- 1:21:02Speaker 5: would be just engaging in enforcement. And usually when there
- 1:21:06Speaker 5: are large-scale workplace raids, those are associated with some form of,
- 1:21:11Speaker 5: you know, prosecution or sanction or something against the employer
- 1:21:15Speaker 5: who they're raiding. You know, that's a kind of stochastic thing, right?
- 1:21:21Speaker 5: You're not, like, you're not auditing an entire sector. And
- 1:21:24Speaker 5: so the extent to which it's going to really shape
- 1:21:26Speaker 5: employer behavior is unclear. But yeah, the... The biggest tool,
- 1:21:31Speaker 5: the biggest thing that kind of hasn't been done on
- 1:21:33Speaker 5: employer sanctions is legislative. It's mandatory nationwide e-verify. And that
- 1:21:39Speaker 5: has not been as much of a priority of this
- 1:21:41Speaker 5: generation of immigration restrictionism as it was like a decade ago,
- 1:21:45Speaker 5: in part because there are employers who would, who are
- 1:21:49Speaker 5: willing to stay quiet even as it becomes harder for
- 1:21:53Speaker 5: them to hire people legally. But if you try to
- 1:21:56Speaker 5: go after their workforce, or if you try to prevent
- 1:21:59Speaker 5: them from hiring anyone who doesn't have authorization, then they'll
- 1:22:01Speaker 5: get mad at you. So I think it's still to
- 1:22:05Speaker 5: be seen. It's certainly not a rhetorical priority for them
- 1:22:11Speaker 5: unless you start talking about the economic benefits of immigration,
- 1:22:15Speaker 5: in which case they start talking about how exploitative employers are.
- 1:22:18Speaker 5: But there hasn't been a whole lot of effort to
- 1:22:20Speaker 5: make it you know, for example, Department of Labor priority
- 1:22:23Speaker 5: to go after employers for exploiting unauthorized labor.
- 1:22:26Speaker 3: Got it. I mean, just finally on the politics, I mean,
- 1:22:29Speaker 3: curious how you think or why you think the politics
- 1:22:33Speaker 3: on immigration policy changed so much over, I don't know,
- 1:22:35Speaker 3: let's say the past decade or so. I don't know
- 1:22:37Speaker 3: if it was just generally more migration, Biden's policies, like
- 1:22:42Speaker 3: the relentless busing from states like Texas to blue states.
- 1:22:46Speaker 3: I mean, what's your big picture sense of that?
- 1:22:50Speaker 5: I think that You know, for one thing, the thermostatic
- 1:22:55Speaker 5: effect of public opinion swinging in favor of immigrants under
- 1:23:00Speaker 5: Trump and then swinging against under Biden is really, really
- 1:23:03Speaker 5: hard to, it's hard to overstate. And it's also hard
- 1:23:06Speaker 5: to disentangle anything else from that kind of basic, oh,
- 1:23:10Speaker 5: the government is doing some things I don't like. I'm
- 1:23:13Speaker 5: going to make this more salient. in general, immigration isn't
- 1:23:16Speaker 5: salient for a whole lot of people. And so it's
- 1:23:20Speaker 5: very easy to swing them from one direction to the
- 1:23:23Speaker 5: other based on opposition to who's in office, based on
- 1:23:27Speaker 5: seeing B-roll of people coming in, that sort of thing.
- 1:23:31Speaker 5: I think it's kind of not clear whether what we're
- 1:23:38Speaker 5: seeing is an increase in the number of people who
- 1:23:40Speaker 5: are really, really activated against unauthorized immigration or against immigration generally,
- 1:23:46Speaker 5: or whether what we're seeing is the culmination of the
- 1:23:49Speaker 5: fact that this is the signature policy issue of the
- 1:23:52Speaker 5: man who's been the standard bearer of the Republican Party
- 1:23:54Speaker 5: for a decade. And so anyone who's affiliated with the
- 1:23:57Speaker 5: Republican Party has decided that this is a more important
- 1:23:59Speaker 5: issue to them. But I think the other side of
- 1:24:02Speaker 5: this is, a lot of people who were in solidly
- 1:24:06Speaker 5: blue jurisdictions saw strains on state and local governments responding
- 1:24:11Speaker 5: to recent arrivals. And so we're forced, or, you know,
- 1:24:14Speaker 5: I think, I think we're like put in a space
- 1:24:16Speaker 5: where they were considering that actually there was a certain
- 1:24:18Speaker 5: amount of zero sum trade-off between investing in people who
- 1:24:22Speaker 5: are already here and investing in new arrivals and that
- 1:24:26Speaker 5: the Biden administration by kind of not doing a whole
- 1:24:30Speaker 5: lot to ensure that new arrivals were coming in an
- 1:24:33Speaker 5: undisruptive way didn't necessarily help with this. But you know,
- 1:24:37Speaker 5: whether that was something that's going to like really change
- 1:24:40Speaker 5: a whole lot of people's opinions permanently, or whether it
- 1:24:42Speaker 5: was a reaction to a moment under an administration that
- 1:24:45Speaker 5: is no longer in office is something that remains to
- 1:24:47Speaker 5: be seen.
- 1:24:48Speaker 3: Yeah, very good point. Well, Dara, thank you so much
- 1:24:51Speaker 3: for coming on the show. Final, final question. You got
- 1:24:53Speaker 3: the band back together. With your old crew from the weeds,
- 1:24:56Speaker 3: with Ezra Klein and Matthew Iglesias the other day on
- 1:24:58Speaker 3: Ezra's podcast, is there any chance of a comeback tour
- 1:25:02Speaker 3: where you hit a few kind of the nerdiest cities?
- 1:25:04Speaker 3: You know, we could sell out some stadiums.
- 1:25:07Speaker 5: I am entirely on board with this. If and only
- 1:25:11Speaker 5: if we can at least start talking to a venue
- 1:25:15Speaker 5: in Stockholm. Because if I have to talk about Swedish
- 1:25:18Speaker 5: administrative data one more time without being in Sweden to
- 1:25:20Speaker 5: do it, it's going to be very upsetting.
- 1:25:23Speaker 3: I'm not even sure what you're referencing, and I love that.
- 1:25:25Speaker 3: We're going to leave it there. That is perfect. Dara,
- 1:25:28Speaker 3: thank you so much for coming on the show. I
- 1:25:29Speaker 3: appreciate it. Thank you.
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:25:36Speaker 2: That's our show for today. Thanks to Dara Lynn for
- 1:25:38Speaker 2: coming by, and Dan and I will be back with
- 1:25:40Speaker 2: a new show on Friday. Bye, everyone. If you want
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