Latest / What's Your Problem? / How a Bad Boss Kickstarted Silicon Valley... from Business History
Transcript
- 0:15Speaker 1: Hey, it's Jacob. As you may know, I also host
- 0:23Speaker 1: a show called Business History. And a lot of the
- 0:26Speaker 1: time when we're making episodes of Business History, I think
- 0:29Speaker 1: people who listen to What's Your Problem would like this
- 0:31Speaker 1: episode of Business History. So starting today, we are going
- 0:35Speaker 1: to run some of those episodes in this feed, in
- 0:38Speaker 1: the What's Your Problem feed. If you already subscribe to
- 0:41Speaker 1: Business History, thank you. Welcome to Skip These. And if
- 0:44Speaker 1: you don't already subscribe, I hope you like them. Hope
- 0:47Speaker 1: you like these episodes. We're going to start with one
- 0:49Speaker 1: that is about really the origin of Silicon Valley, how
- 0:54Speaker 1: Silicon Valley came to be. I hope you like it.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Imagine you're just starting out. in your field. And one
- 1:12Speaker 1: day out of the blue, you get a call from
- 1:14Speaker 1: this guy who basically invented the field, this guy who
- 1:17Speaker 1: is a giant in the field. And he says, I
- 1:20Speaker 1: want you to come work for me. Dream come true.
- 1:22Speaker 1: So of course, you go, you work for him. But
- 1:25Speaker 1: he turns out to be an absolute nightmare. This is
- 1:30Speaker 1: what happened to young Robert Noyce in 1956. And I'm
- 1:35Speaker 1: going to argue on the show today that this chain
- 1:37Speaker 1: of events is is actually what led to the creation
- 1:40Speaker 1: of Silicon Valley. One bad boss, Silicon Valley. One bad boss,
- 1:45Speaker 1: a couple geniuses, the right mix of technology and historical facts,
- 1:50Speaker 1: Silicon Valley.
- 1:52Speaker 2: Let's do it.
- 1:52Speaker 1: So, Robert Noyce, the guy who got the call, he
- 1:57Speaker 1: was a golden boy. He was a real corn-fed Iowa
- 2:01Speaker 1: American golden boy. He grew up in Iowa in the
- 2:04Speaker 1: 1930s and 40s, went off to Grinnell College in his hometown.
- 2:09Speaker 1: When he was there, he sang in the choir, he
- 2:12Speaker 1: was a champion diver, and he played the leading man
- 2:15Speaker 1: in a local radio soap opera.
- 2:18Speaker 2: Heartthrob.
- 2:18Speaker 1: Heartthrob. A few decades later, the great Tom Wolfe wrote
- 2:22Speaker 1: a profile of Noyce in Esquire. Yeah, why don't you
- 2:24Speaker 1: give us a little hint, Robert?
- 2:25Speaker 2: Let me read this. While he looked at you, he
- 2:28Speaker 2: never blinked and never swallowed. He absorbed everything you said
- 2:32Speaker 2: and then answered very lovely in a soft baritone voice,
- 2:35Speaker 2: And often with a smile that showed off his terrific
- 2:38Speaker 2: set of teeth. He also had a good dentist. Look
- 2:40Speaker 2: at that.
- 2:40Speaker 1: Yeah, Wolf said it was like he had a halo
- 2:43Speaker 1: floating on his head. And, kind of annoyingly, he was
- 2:48Speaker 1: a genius. Yeah. Got into transistors before anybody really knew
- 2:51Speaker 1: what transistors were. Went off to MIT. Got a PhD.
- 2:56Speaker 1: And then he got a job at this little electronics
- 2:59Speaker 1: company in Philadelphia. And... He got bored. Suddenly, he's in
- 3:03Speaker 1: his 20s. He's a golden boy. He's working at this
- 3:05Speaker 1: kind of second-tier place, and it's just not going that well.
- 3:10Speaker 1: And then one day, Noyce is at his office, and
- 3:13Speaker 1: the phone rings, and he picks up the phone, and
- 3:17Speaker 1: hears this voice on the other end. The voice says,
- 3:19Speaker 1: Shockily here. Noyce later said this was like picking up
- 3:23Speaker 1: the phone and talking to God. Three months later, Noyce
- 3:29Speaker 1: moved to Mountain View, California to work.
- 3:31Speaker 2: Middle of nowhere.
- 3:32Speaker 1: At the time.
- 3:33Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 3:33Speaker 1: Turns out God, William Shockley, is a horrible boss, a
- 3:38Speaker 1: paranoid micromanager. Cruel, really. Cruel. And the fact that he
- 3:45Speaker 1: was such an asshole wound up having profound consequences for
- 3:49Speaker 1: the world. I'm Jacob Goldstein.
- 3:51Speaker 2: And I'm Robert Smith. And this is Business History, a
- 3:53Speaker 2: show about the history of business. Today on the show,
- 3:56Speaker 2: the invention of Silicon Valley, a place that is an
- 3:59Speaker 2: actual place, But it's more a state of mind, a
- 4:02Speaker 2: culture where restlessness is a virtue and quitting your job
- 4:07Speaker 2: is heroic.
- 4:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Silicon Valley, it's this agglomeration, right? It
- 4:13Speaker 1: is the most important agglomeration in the history of agglomeration, perhaps.
- 4:17Speaker 1: It has created the most important technologies of the 21st
- 4:21Speaker 1: century and truly the most valuable companies in the history
- 4:24Speaker 1: of the world.
- 4:25Speaker 2: And it started with an asshole, William Shockley, and a
- 4:28Speaker 2: golden boy, Robert Noyce.
- 4:30Speaker 1: So let's start with Shockley. He really comes first in
- 4:33Speaker 1: the story. Shockley was roughly a generation older than Noyce.
- 4:38Speaker 1: He grew up in Palo Alto in California in the
- 4:40Speaker 1: 19-teens and 20s when it was, you know, a little
- 4:43Speaker 1: college town surrounded by farms and orchards.
- 4:46Speaker 2: Yeah, think Grapes of Wrath, East of Eden, right? These
- 4:49Speaker 2: classic books about farm workers. That's what Silicon Valley was
- 4:52Speaker 2: at the time. Yeah, yeah.
- 4:53Speaker 1: Right over the hill from Salinas, right? Not far. Shockley
- 4:57Speaker 1: was a difficult child. He bit his mother a lot.
- 5:00Speaker 1: He bit multiple babysitters. He didn't go to school. He
- 5:04Speaker 1: was homeschooled until he was eight. His parents were high achievers.
- 5:09Speaker 1: His dad had a Ph.D. from MIT. His mom graduated
- 5:12Speaker 1: from Stanford. Was one of the first people to solo
- 5:14Speaker 1: climb Mount Whitney. I believe the highest mountain in the
- 5:17Speaker 1: continental United States. And, you know, Shockley eventually went to
- 5:21Speaker 1: school and turned out to be a brilliant student. Got
- 5:24Speaker 1: a Ph.D. from MIT. And in 1936, he went off
- 5:29Speaker 1: to work at Bell Labs in New Jersey.
- 5:32Speaker 2: We haven't really talked about Bell Labs yet on the show,
- 5:35Speaker 2: and we should do a whole episode about it because
- 5:36Speaker 2: it was really critical for all the development of the
- 5:38Speaker 2: technologies of the 20th century. It was set up as
- 5:41Speaker 2: AT & T' s research lab in the early part of
- 5:44Speaker 2: the century. And AT & T, of course, had a
- 5:46Speaker 2: monopoly on the phone system. So, you know, they had
- 5:49Speaker 2: a ton of extra money. But more than that, bringing
- 5:52Speaker 2: all these geniuses together to work on technology was wasn't
- 5:56Speaker 2: just about phones. It was about any hard problem that
- 5:58Speaker 2: they could think of. They developed the first solar panels, right?
- 6:02Speaker 2: The first cell phone system, the quartz clock. They found
- 6:07Speaker 2: evidence of the Big Bang. The creation of the universe
- 6:12Speaker 2: was discovered by the phone company, which is amazing. And
- 6:16Speaker 2: the main part of this was this idea that if
- 6:20Speaker 2: geniuses just interact, they will come up with solutions that
- 6:23Speaker 2: they could not come up with alone. And if you
- 6:26Speaker 2: want to picture it, one of the Bell Labs, there
- 6:28Speaker 2: were several of them, one in lower Manhattan, a couple
- 6:30Speaker 2: in New Jersey. One of the Bell Labs is the
- 6:32Speaker 2: building they use for the show Severance.
- 6:35Speaker 1: Is that true?
- 6:36Speaker 2: That giant hall, you know, the outside shots of it,
- 6:40Speaker 2: that's what Bell Labs look like.
- 6:41Speaker 1: I didn't know that. So Shockley is hired and, you know,
- 6:45Speaker 1: there is all of this incredible creative work going on,
- 6:47Speaker 1: but Shockley is hired, frankly, to work on A more
- 6:51Speaker 1: practical problem for AT & T. A more phone company-centric problem.
- 6:56Speaker 1: And that is this. Vacuum tubes. Vacuum tubes were these
- 7:02Speaker 1: little glass tubes, kind of like an elongated light bulb.
- 7:04Speaker 2: The size of your thumb, maybe a little taller.
- 7:06Speaker 1: Okay. And the fundamental thing they did was amplify electric signals.
- 7:12Speaker 2: Which is a huge problem in technology at the time, right?
- 7:17Speaker 2: If you speak into a microphone or, say, a telephone headset...
- 7:21Speaker 2: The electricity your voice generates is tiny. The signal is
- 7:24Speaker 2: very small. How do you get that into wires that
- 7:27Speaker 2: go across the United States? You have to amplify it
- 7:29Speaker 2: along the way. And they use these little tubes to
- 7:32Speaker 2: do it. Now, the problem is these tubes are fragile,
- 7:35Speaker 2: like they are glass tubes, and they used a tremendous
- 7:38Speaker 2: amount of energy. They would heat up. In fact, you
- 7:40Speaker 2: had to like let them heat up before you could
- 7:42Speaker 2: even turn on the tube radio at the time or
- 7:44Speaker 2: the tube amplifier.
- 7:45Speaker 1: You're really speaking as a man who is familiar with
- 7:48Speaker 1: vacuum tube technology, Robert.
- 7:50Speaker 2: I have spent some time with old radios where you
- 7:52Speaker 2: have the vacuum tubes and, of course, the audio professionals
- 7:55Speaker 2: who say, Those were the golden days.
- 7:57Speaker 1: You are that audio professional.
- 7:59Speaker 2: I love a vacuum tube, but go on.
- 8:01Speaker 1: So, okay, so it's the 30s. Long-distance calling is growing fast,
- 8:06Speaker 1: but the vacuum tubes, for the reasons you're describing, are
- 8:09Speaker 1: a nightmare. And also, by the way, they burn out, right?
- 8:12Speaker 1: They are like incandescent light bulbs. It's very hard to
- 8:15Speaker 1: scale a company on this technology that's expensive and unreliable,
- 8:20Speaker 1: and you have to keep sending people out to put
- 8:22Speaker 1: in new vacuum tubes, right? Right. So Shockley is put
- 8:24Speaker 1: in charge of this team that's trying to find a
- 8:28Speaker 1: better replacement for the vacuum tube.
- 8:30Speaker 2: Something that is solid state that doesn't break. Yeah, yeah,
- 8:33Speaker 2: that doesn't break, that's cheaper, that scales.
- 8:35Speaker 1: So, you know, Shockley at a fundamental level is thinking
- 8:38Speaker 1: about electricity and specifically how electrons move through materials. And,
- 8:42Speaker 1: of course, there is this spectrum where on one end
- 8:44Speaker 1: of the spectrum you have insulators like glass and rubber
- 8:48Speaker 1: where electrons don't flow easily through them. On the other
- 8:51Speaker 1: end of the spectrum you have conductors like copper and
- 8:54Speaker 1: Where electrons flow right through them.
- 8:56Speaker 2: If only there was something in between, you know, not
- 8:58Speaker 2: an insulator, not a conductor, sort of a quasi-conductor?
- 9:12Speaker 1: And people were starting to understand that you could maybe
- 9:16Speaker 1: control them so that their behavior would change under different settings.
- 9:20Speaker 1: And that if you could do that, if you could
- 9:22Speaker 1: get it to switch from basically an insulator to basically
- 9:25Speaker 1: a conductor, you could use that as a way to
- 9:29Speaker 1: amplify an electric signal.
- 9:31Speaker 2: You could put a tiny electrical signal in there and
- 9:33Speaker 2: it would be boosted by like a hundred times is
- 9:36Speaker 2: the way it works. Yes.
- 9:37Speaker 1: And the dream is it would be, you know, a cheaper,
- 9:39Speaker 1: more reliable version of the vacuum tube. So Shockley's working
- 9:43Speaker 1: on this in the late 30s. And then Hitler invades Poland.
- 9:48Speaker 1: Damn it. World War II comes along, and Shockley and
- 9:51Speaker 1: every other high-powered nerd in America gets reassigned to go
- 9:55Speaker 1: work on the war effort. Side note, I feel like
- 9:58Speaker 1: we should do a show or a series sometime of, like,
- 10:01Speaker 1: how the nerds beat the Nazis. I feel like there's
- 10:04Speaker 1: a lot there.
- 10:04Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah.
- 10:05Speaker 1: I mean, one obvious one is the first sort of
- 10:07Speaker 1: modern style computer was built as part of the war effort.
- 10:11Speaker 2: Using vacuum tubes.
- 10:11Speaker 1: Using like 18,000 vacuum tubes in a room that was
- 10:15Speaker 1: like 1,500 square feet, right?
- 10:16Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 10:17Speaker 1: Bigger than, you know, your apartment. You know, a million
- 10:20Speaker 1: times weaker than an iPhone or whatever. But yes, that
- 10:22Speaker 1: was a computer. It was used to calculate the trajectories
- 10:25Speaker 1: of artillery, which I love. Shockley, for his part, was
- 10:30Speaker 1: working on tactics for Navy convoys to fight subs, which
- 10:35Speaker 1: is dear to my heart because my own grandfather was
- 10:38Speaker 1: on a Navy convoy in the North Atlantic fighting Nazi subs. Okay,
- 10:42Speaker 1: so the nerds beat the Nazis.
- 10:44Speaker 2: Good news.
- 10:44Speaker 1: Thank you, nerds. And then Shockley goes back to work.
- 10:48Speaker 1: trying to figure out a replacement for the vacuum tube.
- 10:51Speaker 1: And it is hard to get it to work, right?
- 10:53Speaker 1: It's classic leap from theory to practice is quite hard.
- 10:57Speaker 1: They can't get it to work. They can't get it
- 10:58Speaker 1: to work. But then finally, in November of 1947, two
- 11:05Speaker 1: researchers on Shockley's team, they start to figure it out.
- 11:08Speaker 1: They have what comes to be called the miracle month.
- 11:12Speaker 1: And the next month in December, they get this slab
- 11:15Speaker 1: of germanium with a little bit of, like, jerry-rigged foil
- 11:19Speaker 1: on it to work, to amplify an electrical signal by
- 11:23Speaker 1: a factor of 100. And they call it the transistor.
- 11:28Speaker 2: And Shockley, William Shockley, is not throwing them a party,
- 11:33Speaker 2: is not entirely psyched. Here, let me read his quote.
- 11:37Speaker 2: My elation with the group's success was tempered by not
- 11:40Speaker 2: being one of the inventors. I experienced some frustration... that
- 11:45Speaker 2: my personal efforts started more than eight years before had
- 11:49Speaker 2: not resulted in a significant inventive contribution of my own.
- 11:54Speaker 1: Not a lovable guy, Shockley. Not a team player, right? He,
- 11:58Speaker 1: in fact, goes to the lawyers at Bell Labs and
- 12:02Speaker 1: is like, you guys should put my name on the patent.
- 12:04Speaker 1: I know I didn't actually do the work, but come on,
- 12:06Speaker 1: it's my team. I've been working on it. The lawyers
- 12:08Speaker 1: don't actually agree to do this. They don't do it.
- 12:11Speaker 1: And so Shockley goes off in secret And starts working
- 12:16Speaker 1: on a better way to make a semiconductor, basically. Take
- 12:19Speaker 1: this work and improve upon it. And remember, he is
- 12:21Speaker 1: a genius, right? He is a very talented engineer. And
- 12:25Speaker 1: so he succeeds.
- 12:26Speaker 2: Obviously, we're making fun of Shockley a little bit. But this, like,
- 12:30Speaker 2: monomaniacal resentment that he had, and had his entire life,
- 12:35Speaker 2: leads to all of these breakthroughs.
- 12:37Speaker 1: Yes, well, not only does it lead to these breakthroughs, right?
- 12:40Speaker 1: So he's acting like a jerk at Bell Labs. He's
- 12:42Speaker 1: acting completely... contrary to the ethos of the place, right?
- 12:46Speaker 1: Which is supposed to be everybody comes together. And so
- 12:49Speaker 1: once he does this, nobody wants to work with him anymore.
- 12:52Speaker 1: He gets passed over. And so he decides, and here's
- 12:56Speaker 1: the quote, he decides, the hell with that. I'll go
- 12:59Speaker 1: set up my own business. I'll make a million dollars
- 13:01Speaker 1: that way. So in 1954, Shockley leaves Bell Labs, leaves
- 13:07Speaker 1: New Jersey, moves home to Palo Alto, California.
- 13:10Speaker 2: Still remember, Kind of the middle of nowhere.
- 13:12Speaker 1: Kind of the middle of nowhere. Still known for its
- 13:15Speaker 1: annual prune festival. Although, to be fair, I mean, Hewlett
- 13:19Speaker 1: Packard was there by this time. It's a legit company.
- 13:21Speaker 1: Stanford was growing. They had just set up their industrial park.
- 13:24Speaker 1: But yes, far from the center of the technological action, right?
- 13:28Speaker 1: Bell Labs was the center of the tech world. MIT
- 13:31Speaker 1: was the center of the tech world. The East Coast
- 13:32Speaker 1: was where all the action was, not California. Shockley is
- 13:36Speaker 1: moving to Palo Alto because it's home. And two years
- 13:39Speaker 1: after he moves home, he starts a company that he
- 13:41Speaker 1: calls Shockley Semiconductor with the idea of making transistors ubiquitous.
- 13:48Speaker 1: And he writes in his journal something I actually find
- 13:50Speaker 1: kind of poignant. He writes, idea of setting world on fire,
- 13:55Speaker 1: father proud.
- 13:56Speaker 2: We're already seeing the very beginnings of the Silicon Valley ethos, right?
- 14:01Speaker 2: The person who doesn't really get along with others, the resentment,
- 14:03Speaker 2: you know, the focus, right? But also this other thing
- 14:07Speaker 2: that like, I can change the world, the universe.
- 14:10Speaker 1: Yes, yes. He is a very smart engineer with a
- 14:14Speaker 1: lot of ambition and some tragic flaws, right? And all
- 14:18Speaker 1: of those are important in the story and classic Silicon
- 14:21Speaker 1: Valley traits. So Shockley gets there. He is, in fact,
- 14:25Speaker 1: a visionary. He sees the future and he is right, right?
- 14:28Speaker 1: He sees that semiconductors, the transistor, is going to be
- 14:31Speaker 1: useful in a lot of ways, not just for the
- 14:33Speaker 1: phone company, right? Like transistor radio's are starting to be
- 14:37Speaker 1: a thing around this time. Hearing aids. It's clearly going
- 14:40Speaker 1: to be really important for military applications.
- 14:43Speaker 2: Because until this time, anything electronic had to stay in
- 14:46Speaker 2: one place. So he's seeing this world where you can
- 14:50Speaker 2: move electronics. Yes.
- 14:51Speaker 1: And they won't break.
- 14:52Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Miniaturization, right? Things getting smaller. This is a huge theme
- 14:56Speaker 1: that is going to be key to the whole 20th century.
- 14:58Speaker 2: And I remember in the 1970s, getting a transistor radio,
- 15:00Speaker 2: it was so important that they had it in the name.
- 15:03Speaker 2: You got a transistor radio that Because people were still like,
- 15:07Speaker 2: I can't believe a radio can be held in my hand.
- 15:10Speaker 1: Robert Smith, am I right that you actually bought a
- 15:13Speaker 1: transistor radio a year ago or something?
- 15:16Speaker 2: I bought 10 of them for my students. Just so
- 15:18Speaker 2: they could see what it was like. They could move
- 15:20Speaker 2: the dial. And yes, you could still buy them on Amazon.
- 15:22Speaker 1: Does it have the pull-out antenna?
- 15:24Speaker 2: It does have the pull-out antenna.
- 15:26Speaker 1: We had one at home. We used to listen to
- 15:27Speaker 1: the baseball game. We used to listen to the Padres
- 15:30Speaker 1: games on a transistor radio.
- 15:31Speaker 2: I still have one in my shower. I listen to
- 15:33Speaker 2: it every morning.
- 15:34Speaker 1: I love that. So Shockley has this vision. He is
- 15:37Speaker 1: right about the future of the world. He is a
- 15:39Speaker 1: genius who has been central to the invention of the transistor.
- 15:44Speaker 1: He started his company, and now he needs a team.
- 15:46Speaker 1: And so he calls his, you know, engineers from Bell Labs.
- 15:49Speaker 1: He's like, hey, let's do this. They're like, no, I
- 15:52Speaker 1: know you. There's no way I'm leaving the center of
- 15:54Speaker 1: the world to move out to the middle of nowhere
- 15:57Speaker 1: to work for you.
- 15:58Speaker 2: So he has to find people who don't know him.
- 16:00Speaker 1: Who don't know him, but who know of him. That's
- 16:03Speaker 1: the sweet spot for him. This is how he finds
- 16:06Speaker 1: Robert Noyce, this golden boy engineer we talked about at
- 16:09Speaker 1: the beginning of the show, right? Noyce had actually gotten
- 16:12Speaker 1: a hold of an early transistor when he was in college,
- 16:15Speaker 1: before anybody really, you know, knew what they were. He
- 16:18Speaker 1: was really excited about it. And by the time Noyce
- 16:21Speaker 1: gets this call, he's working at this second tier electronics
- 16:25Speaker 1: company in Philadelphia. And suddenly out of the blue, William Shockley,
- 16:29Speaker 1: the great genius, calls him on the phone. And as
- 16:32Speaker 1: Noyce said later, It was like he whistled and I came.
- 16:36Speaker 1: Shockley is a good spotter of talent. He hires like
- 16:39Speaker 1: a dozen, by all accounts, extremely talented engineers, young guys
- 16:43Speaker 1: in their 20s. Another key we're going to talk more
- 16:46Speaker 1: about is Gordon Moore of Moore's Law. And so they
- 16:50Speaker 1: get out to California. And at first, it's great. Noyce
- 16:56Speaker 1: and Moore and these other young engineers are living the dream, right?
- 17:00Speaker 1: Working hard. for this guy who founded their field, who
- 17:03Speaker 1: helped discover the transistor. And he's got this former apricot
- 17:08Speaker 1: shed in Mountain View that's the headquarters.
- 17:12Speaker 2: Which is probably worth $ 10 million. Yeah.
- 17:14Speaker 1: Shockley really is talented, right? He has this breakthrough idea
- 17:19Speaker 1: right at the beginning of the company, which is this.
- 17:22Speaker 1: The transistors that he'd been working on at Bell Labs
- 17:25Speaker 1: were made of germanium. But germanium is hard to work with.
- 17:28Speaker 1: It's brittle. stops working at high temperatures. And so he
- 17:33Speaker 1: decides to use silicon, of course, another semiconductor.
- 17:36Speaker 2: It would have been weird if it were Germanium Valley, right?
- 17:39Speaker 1: I like Germanium Valley. They call themselves germies or something.
- 17:43Speaker 1: Silicon's cheaper. It's easier to work with. But, you know,
- 17:47Speaker 1: it's hard to get things to work. It's hard to
- 17:48Speaker 1: produce them economically at scale. It's hard to make hardware.
- 17:51Speaker 1: But it's a problem they think they can solve, which
- 17:53Speaker 1: is the sweet spot, right? If you're a young, ambitious engineer,
- 17:57Speaker 1: it's where you want to be. They all know it's
- 17:58Speaker 1: going to be big. this very ambitious thing they're trying. And,
- 18:02Speaker 1: you know, every morning at 8 a.m., the team shows
- 18:05Speaker 1: up at the headquarters in the former apricot shed. And
- 18:10Speaker 1: Shockley conducts what Tom Wolfe, the journalist, calls the arcane
- 18:15Speaker 1: symphony of, you know, getting all these engineers to work together.
- 18:19Speaker 1: And Shockley apparently had this incredible intuition for engineering and
- 18:24Speaker 1: for physics. One of the engineers who worked with him said,
- 18:28Speaker 1: His intuition for experiments was so good, it was like
- 18:31Speaker 1: he could see individual electrons. He just saw what was
- 18:36Speaker 1: going to happen. Isn't that great? Isn't that beautiful?
- 18:38Speaker 2: If only he could have seen individual human beings, he
- 18:42Speaker 2: would have been much better off. Yes, yes.
- 18:45Speaker 1: A classic kind of problem. And soon, this sort of
- 18:48Speaker 1: monstrous side of Shockley starts to show itself. He gets paranoid.
- 18:54Speaker 1: There's this moment when a secretary cuts her hand on
- 18:57Speaker 1: a doorway. There's like a little pin or something sticking
- 18:59Speaker 1: out of the doorway. And Shockley becomes convinced that an
- 19:03Speaker 1: employee is trying to sabotage the team, demands that everybody
- 19:07Speaker 1: take a lie detector test, which they refuse to do.
- 19:12Speaker 1: He doesn't get over it, stays paranoid, winds up splitting
- 19:15Speaker 1: the engineers into different teams and not telling one team
- 19:18Speaker 1: what the other is doing, hiding information, which is like
- 19:22Speaker 1: as far as you can get from the dream, from
- 19:24Speaker 1: the Arcane Symphony, from Bell Labs, right?
- 19:26Speaker 2: And at this point, it's starting to sound like mental illness. Yeah.
- 19:30Speaker 1: It really is. Yeah. Something is wrong with William Shockley, right?
- 19:35Speaker 1: And around this time, in 1956, he actually wins the
- 19:39Speaker 1: Nobel Prize, shares the prize for his work on semiconductors,
- 19:44Speaker 1: on transistors, and it only makes him worse. He has
- 19:48Speaker 1: this paranoid idea that there were people who were trying
- 19:51Speaker 1: to keep him from getting the prize he writes to
- 19:54Speaker 1: the Nobel Committee saying like tell me the names of
- 19:57Speaker 1: my enemies.
- 19:58Speaker 2: After he won the prize.
- 19:59Speaker 1: He's won the prize. Like, take the win, William Shockley.
- 20:03Speaker 2: Unbelievable.
- 20:04Speaker 1: And then he does one more thing. And, you know,
- 20:06Speaker 1: you can get away with a lot if you're managing
- 20:08Speaker 1: a team of engineers. But there is one thing, if
- 20:11Speaker 1: they're ambitious and talented, that you cannot get away with.
- 20:15Speaker 1: And that is becoming less ambitious, scaling back the vision.
- 20:20Speaker 1: And that is what he does around this time. He
- 20:21Speaker 1: decides that rather than making a silicon transistor that can
- 20:26Speaker 1: be used for anything, but that's quite hard to make
- 20:29Speaker 1: that they haven't really figured out yet. Instead of doing that,
- 20:31Speaker 1: he decides that they're going to make something that has
- 20:33Speaker 1: a clear, defined, limited use case. And that is a
- 20:38Speaker 1: semiconductor that can do mechanical switching in telephone exchanges.
- 20:43Speaker 2: Oh, he wants to revolutionize the phone company?
- 20:45Speaker 1: Yeah, like Come on, man, right? Like, we came out
- 20:49Speaker 1: here to the apricot warehouse to change the world.
- 20:52Speaker 2: And you want to make calls clearer. Okay.
- 20:54Speaker 1: So this is, like, the last straw for a lot
- 20:57Speaker 1: of the young, talented engineers. But remember, this is not
- 21:01Speaker 1: an era where if you're, like, a young, talented engineer
- 21:03Speaker 1: on the forefront of technology, you can just quit and
- 21:06Speaker 1: go do your own thing, right? Like, that doesn't exist yet.
- 21:09Speaker 1: You know, sure, Shockley started a company, but he was, like,
- 21:11Speaker 1: this very senior guy. He invented the industry. He was
- 21:13Speaker 1: about to win the Nobel Prize. And crucially, right, There's
- 21:17Speaker 1: no money for them. Nobody's going to give them money.
- 21:21Speaker 1: There's no venture capital industry. That is not a thing.
- 21:24Speaker 1: So one of these young engineers, a guy named Eugene Kleiner, thinks,
- 21:29Speaker 1: who can I call? He thinks, I'll call my dad's
- 21:31Speaker 1: stockbroker back in New York.
- 21:32Speaker 2: That guy knows money.
- 21:33Speaker 1: That guy knows about money. And he calls him. And
- 21:37Speaker 1: the broker puts him in touch with another guy at
- 21:39Speaker 1: the firm, this 30-year-old Harvard MBA named Arthur Rock.
- 21:44Speaker 2: Knowing 30-year-old MBAs, it was almost like they were pushing
- 21:46Speaker 2: him off on the young guy. Like, you understand this stuff.
- 21:50Speaker 2: Let the young guy handle it. Yeah, I mean, Rock
- 21:52Speaker 2: did like.
- 21:52Speaker 1: You know, kind of more interesting, more risky ventures. And
- 21:55Speaker 1: so Rock and another banker, they fly out to San
- 21:58Speaker 1: Francisco and they meet with Kleiner and Moore and a
- 22:03Speaker 1: few other disgruntled young engineers from Shockley Semiconductor. And Rock
- 22:09Speaker 1: is talking to them and he's like, well, these guys
- 22:11Speaker 1: are smart and I believe that transistors... are going to
- 22:14Speaker 1: be a thing. And he's like, look, you guys are smart.
- 22:17Speaker 1: You've got the pocket protectors and the thin ties. You
- 22:19Speaker 1: see the future. I'm like, I don't want to say
- 22:23Speaker 1: you're a bunch of nerds, but like, is there somebody
- 22:26Speaker 1: you work with who's like, got some charisma, who walks
- 22:29Speaker 1: into a room and people want to follow him? And
- 22:32Speaker 1: they're like, yes, yes. As a matter of fact, our buddy,
- 22:35Speaker 1: the former Soap opera starred diving champion. With the perfect teeth.
- 22:41Speaker 1: With the perfect teeth. He's just chilling back in Palo
- 22:43Speaker 1: Alto right now.
- 22:45Speaker 2: They thought of Noyce.
- 22:45Speaker 1: They thought of Noyce.
- 22:47Speaker 2: Noyce.
- 22:48Speaker 1: So they go back and they convince Noyce to go
- 22:53Speaker 1: talk to Arthur Rock, essentially to join them. And I
- 22:55Speaker 1: believe it's the very next day. Noyce goes with these
- 22:59Speaker 1: seven other engineers and Rock sees Noyce and he's like, yes,
- 23:03Speaker 1: this is the guy we need.
- 23:05Speaker 2: I love that the money guys are already like, I
- 23:07Speaker 2: need someone who looks like a president of a company.
- 23:10Speaker 1: And is a genius, right? Not trivially. And Rock agrees
- 23:13Speaker 1: to work with them. And these eight make a pact
- 23:15Speaker 1: that if they get the money, if they can, they're
- 23:17Speaker 1: going to leave Shockley Semiconductor. And I want to make
- 23:22Speaker 1: the case in a slightly overdetermined, but I think fundamentally
- 23:25Speaker 1: accurate way, that this moment when these eight engineers and
- 23:30Speaker 1: this banker make this agreement. This is the moment when
- 23:35Speaker 1: Silicon Valley is born.
- 23:37Speaker 2: Not when the first company has started, the Shockley Semiconductors.
- 23:41Speaker 2: It's when there's a revolution and they leave to start
- 23:45Speaker 2: a second company. And that really is the spirit of
- 23:48Speaker 2: Silicon Valley. That's why they're all located in the same place,
- 23:52Speaker 2: because they can do this. That's the promise.
- 23:54Speaker 1: Yes, you can do it even if you have no
- 23:57Speaker 1: intellectual property. No money, no customers, right? Just guts and
- 24:03Speaker 1: a dream and some amount of raw talent and a
- 24:05Speaker 1: banker who is willing to help you find the money.
- 24:07Speaker 2: That's a key part, right? So you have money and
- 24:10Speaker 2: ambition and talent. And like that is Silicon Valley.
- 24:14Speaker 1: Yes.
- 24:15Speaker 2: Love it.
- 24:15Speaker 1: Yeah. In fact, these eight guys, they become legends in
- 24:19Speaker 1: Silicon Valley and they become known as the traitorous eight
- 24:24Speaker 1: because they're, you know, being traitors to Shockley, to Shockley Semiconductor.
- 24:27Speaker 1: And I want to just dwell for a sec on
- 24:29Speaker 1: that word traitorous, right? Because it is a word that
- 24:32Speaker 1: has a very negative connotation as a general matter. A
- 24:35Speaker 1: traitor is a bad person.
- 24:36Speaker 2: Yes.
- 24:36Speaker 1: But in the context of Silicon Valley, it is heroic.
- 24:39Speaker 1: These guys are leaving this company because it has a
- 24:42Speaker 1: bad boss who lacks vision. They're being traded for the
- 24:45Speaker 1: greater good to start this company. And that is the core.
- 24:48Speaker 2: They're pirates.
- 24:49Speaker 1: They're pirates. Very good.
- 24:51Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 24:52Speaker 1: Now, at this moment, I believe 1957- This whole thing
- 24:56Speaker 1: that we're talking about is not a thing, right? There
- 24:59Speaker 1: is not this spirit of doing this. This is not
- 25:01Speaker 1: a known thing. There is not an ecosystem of capital
- 25:04Speaker 1: ready to support them. And so Rock, the banker, he
- 25:08Speaker 1: starts calling around, seeing if there's some company, basically, that
- 25:11Speaker 1: wants to support these guys. And everybody says no, because
- 25:15Speaker 1: why would they say yes, right? They're like, if we
- 25:18Speaker 1: wanted to make semiconductors, we'd just hire a bunch of engineers. Like,
- 25:21Speaker 1: why would we give it to some random guys? But
- 25:24Speaker 1: after a few months... Somebody tells Rock he should call
- 25:28Speaker 1: this guy named Sherman Fairchild. Great name. Interesting guy. Son
- 25:35Speaker 1: of one of the founders of IBM.
- 25:38Speaker 2: Nepo baby.
- 25:38Speaker 1: Nepo baby, but also talented and successful on his own.
- 25:43Speaker 1: I guess not on his own. That's the Nepo part.
- 25:45Speaker 1: But a talented and successful guy. He got into photography
- 25:48Speaker 1: early in his life. started this company Fairchild Camera that
- 25:52Speaker 1: wound up making a lot of the like aerial cameras
- 25:55Speaker 1: used in World War II. Also loves to take a risk,
- 25:59Speaker 1: never got married, loves to spend money, built himself this
- 26:02Speaker 1: glass house in Manhattan, goes out to the clubs every night.
- 26:05Speaker 1: So really the perfect guy to fund the Trader Sate.
- 26:10Speaker 1: So he ends up agreeing to put up $ 1. 5 million.
- 26:14Speaker 1: Went a lot farther back then. But, you know, it's
- 26:17Speaker 1: not like a start-up like we would know it today,
- 26:19Speaker 1: because people didn't make those deals. Instead, what he's creating
- 26:22Speaker 1: is this semi-autonomous division of Fairchild Camera. The trader estate
- 26:28Speaker 1: will get some equity, but Fairchild will have an option
- 26:33Speaker 1: to buy the project, the company, outright for $ 3 million
- 26:37Speaker 1: if it succeeds. So they agree to the deal. This
- 26:41Speaker 1: is going to be the deal. Now the trader estate
- 26:43Speaker 1: are ready to leave Shockley. Now they've got their exit.
- 26:47Speaker 1: And on September 8th, 1957, Gordon Moore broke the news
- 26:52Speaker 1: to Shockley. And it's interesting because Shockley was clearly paranoid,
- 26:57Speaker 1: and yet he didn't see this coming. He was shocked.
- 27:01Speaker 1: He staggered out of the room. He felt completely betrayed.
- 27:04Speaker 1: And the company, Shockley Semiconductor, it never recovered. It never
- 27:08Speaker 1: recovered from these guys leaving. Kind of staggered on for
- 27:10Speaker 1: a while, never did anything great. And Shockley himself became
- 27:15Speaker 1: a professor of engineering at Stanford And then his story
- 27:18Speaker 1: gets kind of more grim, like he gets obsessed with
- 27:21Speaker 1: race and IQ and eugenics. It gets kind of bleak.
- 27:25Speaker 1: And frankly, that's enough, I think, about Shockley. That's the
- 27:28Speaker 1: end of Shockley in our story today.
- 27:30Speaker 2: Because the people we care about are the pirates. The
- 27:32Speaker 2: eight engineers who left to start something new in 1957
- 27:36Speaker 2: are heroes of the Traitorous Eight. And we'll hear more
- 27:39Speaker 2: about them after the break.
- 28:07Speaker 1: And we're back. Trader Estate have just left Shockley Semiconductor.
- 28:11Speaker 1: And on October 1st, 1957, they found Fairchild Semiconductor, a
- 28:18Speaker 1: semi-autonomous division of Fairchild Camera and Instrument. Three days after
- 28:23Speaker 1: they started the company, the Soviets sent Sputnik into orbit.
- 28:29Speaker 2: Amazing. An amazing confluence of events. Amazing, right?
- 28:33Speaker 1: I mean, the U.S. is completely surprised by this, right?
- 28:35Speaker 1: This is the first satellite to orbit the Earth ever.
- 28:38Speaker 1: And it's terrifying for the Americans, right? I mean, you know,
- 28:42Speaker 1: America is afraid of the spread of communism. It has
- 28:45Speaker 1: gone from the Soviet Union to Eastern Europe to North Korea.
- 28:49Speaker 2: To the skies above your home.
- 28:51Speaker 1: Literally, it is now flying over your head, right?
- 28:54Speaker 2: And they think we need a lot more electronics that
- 28:57Speaker 2: are portable and we can put on planes and rockets
- 29:00Speaker 2: and satellites of our own. Yes.
- 29:02Speaker 1: And to be clear, this is extraordinarily lucky timing for...
- 29:08Speaker 1: Noyce and Moore and the rest of the trade restate, right?
- 29:10Speaker 1: Like their geniuses, there's a good chance they would have
- 29:12Speaker 1: succeeded anyway. But a useful lesson, it is great to
- 29:16Speaker 1: have lucky timing in business.
- 29:18Speaker 2: And a desperate customer, which was the U.S. government.
- 29:21Speaker 1: Yeah, right. There is now suddenly this space race. This
- 29:24Speaker 1: is a thing now. The Soviets are winning the race.
- 29:27Speaker 1: The U.S. has to catch up. And so, you know,
- 29:29Speaker 1: it's like Sputnik went up and billions of dollars in
- 29:32Speaker 1: government funding rained down on Fairchild Semiconductor and labs around America.
- 29:38Speaker 1: Because you can't fit many vacuum tubes in a satellite,
- 29:43Speaker 1: in the nose of a rocket, in, you know, a
- 29:47Speaker 1: fighter jet. You know what you can fit a lot of? Transistors.
- 29:51Speaker 1: So now there is essentially unlimited demand from the government
- 29:56Speaker 1: for Fairchild to build transistors.
- 29:58Speaker 2: But they still have to make it work. It is
- 30:01Speaker 2: not easy to do. It is a very hard technical
- 30:04Speaker 2: problem because it's not just you put some silicon on
- 30:08Speaker 2: and put some wires on it. Even a speck of
- 30:11Speaker 2: dust on one of these early transistors could short it out,
- 30:15Speaker 2: could create a problem. Right.
- 30:16Speaker 1: And it's, you know, we think of breakthroughs as binary.
- 30:19Speaker 1: It's like, oh, they figured out how to make a
- 30:21Speaker 1: silicon chip, done. But production and scale and efficiency are
- 30:26Speaker 1: these endless problems, right? And they are extremely inefficient. They
- 30:30Speaker 1: have an extremely high failure rate. And so they're trying,
- 30:34Speaker 1: trying every day, how can we make this better? How
- 30:36Speaker 1: can we make it faster? How can we have fewer
- 30:38Speaker 1: of them fail? And to that end, one of the
- 30:43Speaker 1: engineers at Fairchild had this idea, and that is, okay,
- 30:47Speaker 1: so the fundamental problem is the silicon is super finicky
- 30:50Speaker 1: and fragile. What if we protect it by leaving a
- 30:54Speaker 1: layer of silicon oxide on top of the chip, and then...
- 30:59Speaker 1: We just put little tiny windows in that silicon oxide
- 31:02Speaker 1: layer wherever you need to access the silicon directly.
- 31:06Speaker 2: It's like painting a house.
- 31:08Speaker 1: Sure, right, where the paint is protecting the house and
- 31:10Speaker 1: then there's like a window. Is that the metaphor? Okay,
- 31:12Speaker 1: I buy it. So he takes this idea to Noyce.
- 31:15Speaker 1: And Noyce loves the idea. Noyce has his own metaphor.
- 31:18Speaker 1: He says it's like wrapping the silicon in a cocoon,
- 31:21Speaker 1: which I like. And he takes the idea to Fairchild's
- 31:24Speaker 1: patent lawyer. And the patent lawyer, being a good patent lawyer, says...
- 31:29Speaker 1: I love it. Let's patent the hell out of it.
- 31:32Speaker 1: Don't just tell me this one use. Spend a few
- 31:35Speaker 1: days and think of all the possible uses that we
- 31:38Speaker 1: can make of this little idea so that we can
- 31:41Speaker 1: build as big a patent moat as possible. So Noyce
- 31:44Speaker 1: starts thinking about it, starts talking to Moore, you know,
- 31:47Speaker 1: doing stuff on the chalkboard. And he's like, OK, the
- 31:49Speaker 1: problem isn't just that the silicon is finicky, right? Like,
- 31:52Speaker 1: These little transistors, they're complicated. And on every one, we've
- 31:56Speaker 1: got to put like little wires. We actually have to
- 31:58Speaker 1: solder by hand wires into every chip. Yeah, because you
- 32:01Speaker 1: have to get the signal in there and then you
- 32:03Speaker 1: have to pull the amplified signal out. And just imagine
- 32:05Speaker 1: just hundreds of little tiny wires, right? And they think, well,
- 32:10Speaker 1: wait a minute. What if we can sort of etch
- 32:13Speaker 1: this cocoon a little bit?
- 32:15Speaker 2: And essentially... Print the wire on top of the silicon
- 32:20Speaker 2: oxide on top of the silicon. So basically the wires
- 32:23Speaker 2: are in the little thing.
- 32:25Speaker 1: Yes, yes. And now that he's got this, he goes
- 32:28Speaker 1: even bigger, right? He thinks about an even bigger problem
- 32:32Speaker 1: that he and the industry are facing, and that is
- 32:34Speaker 1: the uses of transistors are multiplying and getting more complex, right?
- 32:39Speaker 1: People are starting to build computers with transistors instead of
- 32:43Speaker 1: vacuum tubes, and they have all these little components, right?
- 32:47Speaker 1: These complex circuits with not just transistors, but capacitors and resistors.
- 32:53Speaker 1: And there can be thousands of connections among the components.
- 32:57Speaker 1: And people are wiring them all together by hand for
- 33:01Speaker 1: every computer, right? Which is a total nightmare for manufacturing,
- 33:04Speaker 1: extremely hard to scale. And so Noyce is thinking about
- 33:07Speaker 1: this transistor in a cocoon. And he's like, wait, it
- 33:10Speaker 1: doesn't just have to be a transistor and the wire. Like,
- 33:15Speaker 1: We could use this idea to put all kinds of
- 33:17Speaker 1: things on one piece of silicon, right? Like we could
- 33:20Speaker 1: put an entire circuit, all the components on this one
- 33:24Speaker 1: piece of silicon. This idea is the integrated circuit. This
- 33:31Speaker 1: is Robert Noyce inventing the chip.
- 33:34Speaker 2: Love it.
- 33:36Speaker 1: He's not the only one. He's not the only one.
- 33:37Speaker 1: You know, when there is a technological frontier and a
- 33:40Speaker 1: ton of money and lots of smart people working, one
- 33:41Speaker 1: of the great things about competition and the world, is
- 33:45Speaker 1: lots of people are right at the edge thinking similar thoughts.
- 33:48Speaker 1: So as Noyce is doing this, in fact, slightly earlier,
- 33:51Speaker 1: a thousand miles away, another engineer, a guy named Jack
- 33:54Speaker 1: Kilby at Texas Instruments, is also inventing the chip.
- 33:58Speaker 2: Texas Instruments, famous for their calculators. In the 1970s, that
- 34:01Speaker 2: to me was high tech, a Texas Instrument calculator.
- 34:04Speaker 1: Yes, yes. Also a chip pioneer. And in fact, Kilby
- 34:09Speaker 1: came up with the idea just before Noyce, maybe Noyce's
- 34:12Speaker 1: idea is a little more elegant. There's, of course, a
- 34:14Speaker 1: patent case, Kilby v. Noyce. But in the end, the
- 34:18Speaker 1: important thing about this moment in history and this story
- 34:20Speaker 1: is the government is going to pay for all the
- 34:23Speaker 1: chips everybody can make. There's enough to go around. And
- 34:27Speaker 1: Fairchild and Texas Instruments agree to share the intellectual property.
- 34:30Speaker 2: Amazing. They decide not to destroy each other. Right.
- 34:33Speaker 1: Like in the Cold War. So Fairchild and Texas Instruments
- 34:37Speaker 1: are making chips. They're selling them to the government for
- 34:40Speaker 1: ballistic missiles, for Apollo rockets. coming along. And, you know,
- 34:46Speaker 1: think of this moment, right? This is like peak nerd
- 34:50Speaker 1: in a short sleeve buttoned down with the like heavy
- 34:52Speaker 1: rimmed glasses doing the space race, right? This is peak
- 34:56Speaker 1: military industrial complex. And I think of the chip as
- 35:00Speaker 1: the little hyphen between military and industrial. It's like the
- 35:03Speaker 1: center of the military industrial complex.
- 35:05Speaker 2: Very Tom Wolfe of you.
- 35:07Speaker 1: So all this government demand is driving more scale. It's
- 35:13Speaker 1: pushing more Fairchild and Texas Instruments to come up with
- 35:17Speaker 1: more efficiencies, right? And one key thing they're doing is
- 35:22Speaker 1: they're figuring out how to put more and more transistors
- 35:26Speaker 1: and other components on each piece of silicon, on each chip,
- 35:30Speaker 1: so that it gets more powerful and cheaper. And they're
- 35:34Speaker 1: pretty good at doing this. They're pretty good at doing this, right?
- 35:36Speaker 1: We know this. The price falls from $ 1, 000 in the
- 35:40Speaker 1: late 50s to $ 25 by 1963. And this moment, the mid-60s,
- 35:49Speaker 1: is when we come to what I'm going to call
- 35:51Speaker 1: the most unlikely great moment in business history that we
- 35:56Speaker 1: have yet encountered in the young life of our show.
- 35:58Speaker 2: All right, bring it.
- 35:59Speaker 1: That is the moment in 1965 when the editors of
- 36:02Speaker 1: an electronics trade magazine ask Gordon Moore, one of our
- 36:06Speaker 1: Traders 8, to write an article. This is the great moment,
- 36:10Speaker 1: writing an article for a trade magazine. This electronics trade
- 36:14Speaker 1: magazine is called, wait for it, Electronics.
- 36:17Speaker 2: I love when they have a simple title.
- 36:19Speaker 1: Business History, a show about the history of business. And
- 36:21Speaker 1: Electronics Magazine asks Moore to predict where the integrated circuit
- 36:25Speaker 1: business is going to be in 10 years.
- 36:27Speaker 2: Could be a puff article. But he actually thinks about it.
- 36:30Speaker 1: He thinks about it. He sees that Fairchild and Texas
- 36:33Speaker 1: Instruments are have gotten much better at making integrated circuits
- 36:37Speaker 1: that they can put more and more components on each
- 36:39Speaker 1: little piece of silicon. And he does the math. He
- 36:42Speaker 1: actually makes a little graph and he sees that the
- 36:46Speaker 1: number of components on each ship has been basically doubling
- 36:49Speaker 1: every year. And at the point he's writing this article,
- 36:53Speaker 1: there's somewhere around 60 components. So he figures that's likely
- 36:56Speaker 1: to continue. And he just extrapolates. He does the math.
- 37:00Speaker 1: He extrapolates out his graph, actually makes a little dotted
- 37:02Speaker 1: line 10 years out into the future. And he says, OK,
- 37:04Speaker 1: we're making 60 or so components on a chip today.
- 37:08Speaker 1: In 10 years, it'll be 65,000 components on a chip.
- 37:13Speaker 1: The magic of doubling, the magic of compounding.
- 37:16Speaker 2: I feel like this is the point in business history
- 37:18Speaker 2: where we see what happens when you have exponential growth.
- 37:21Speaker 2: Thomas Edison made the light bulb better, of course. Everyone
- 37:24Speaker 2: made inventions better, but not doubling every year or two years.
- 37:28Speaker 1: No, this is the central fact about the chip, right?
- 37:34Speaker 1: And Moore knows it, crucially, right? Crucially, a huge testament
- 37:37Speaker 1: to him and his vision. Here, read this paragraph from
- 37:40Speaker 1: this article. He knows what this is going to mean.
- 37:42Speaker 2: Integrated circuits will lead to such wonders as home computers,
- 37:47Speaker 2: or at least terminals connected to a central computer, automatic
- 37:50Speaker 2: controls for automobiles, and personal portable communications equipment.
- 37:56Speaker 1: Wild science fiction-like claims. 1965.
- 38:01Speaker 2: He's writing this.
- 38:02Speaker 1: And he's right.
- 38:03Speaker 2: He's 100% correct.
- 38:04Speaker 1: So this is the birth of Moore's Law, which Moore
- 38:07Speaker 1: himself did not call Moore's Law, which is not a law,
- 38:11Speaker 1: but which basically was right, right? In 1975, 10 years later,
- 38:17Speaker 1: the year he was predicting out to, he went and
- 38:19Speaker 1: looked at how things were going. He was pretty close
- 38:21Speaker 1: to right. He realized that progress was slowing down a little.
- 38:24Speaker 1: He figured doubling two years or so, one of his
- 38:27Speaker 1: colleagues was like, no, it's more like 18 months. And
- 38:29Speaker 1: so Moore's law was adapted, right? That's what it became.
- 38:33Speaker 1: It became the number of essentially transistors eventually on a
- 38:37Speaker 1: chip Doubles 18 months. In fact, the rate of increase
- 38:39Speaker 1: has started to slow in the past decade or so.
- 38:41Speaker 2: It's reaching the limit of physics itself.
- 38:44Speaker 1: Right. There's like, you're at like weird quantum things are
- 38:46Speaker 1: happening with the atoms, right? Jensen Wong from NVIDIA basically
- 38:49Speaker 1: said Moore's law is dead. Maybe, maybe not. But the
- 38:53Speaker 1: key thing here is this doubling and doubling and doubling
- 38:57Speaker 1: over many decades that Moore predicted from, you know, 60
- 39:00Speaker 1: or so components on a chip to billions of Of
- 39:05Speaker 1: transistors on today's chips. Like, this was, I think clearly, right,
- 39:10Speaker 1: certainly the most important business trend of the last hundred years.
- 39:14Speaker 1: It enabled, obviously, the computing revolution, cell phones, the internet, AI. Like,
- 39:18Speaker 1: these key drivers of our world come out of Moore's Law.
- 39:22Speaker 2: And if you understood Moore's Law, then you could predict...
- 39:27Speaker 2: what something could do in 18 months, in three years,
- 39:30Speaker 2: in five years, in 10 years. You could start to
- 39:33Speaker 2: invent things that literally were not possible today, knowing that
- 39:37Speaker 2: the chips will be there when you finish in a
- 39:40Speaker 2: year or two.
- 39:41Speaker 1: Yeah. You see smart entrepreneurs catching onto this and doing this. Like,
- 39:45Speaker 1: I mean, the example that comes to my mind is Netflix, right?
- 39:48Speaker 1: Which started out as DVDs by mail, which was a
- 39:52Speaker 1: great service, but they did not call themselves DVDs by mail,
- 39:56Speaker 1: even though when they started Most people didn't have broadband.
- 39:59Speaker 1: Streaming video was not a thing. But they knew that
- 40:01Speaker 1: because of Moore's Law, it was going to be a thing.
- 40:04Speaker 1: They knew that would happen, and they planned around it,
- 40:08Speaker 1: and it happened. And Gordon Moore basically.
- 40:11Speaker 2: Saw it coming.
- 40:12Speaker 1: But, interestingly, around the time he wrote that famous piece,
- 40:16Speaker 1: around 1965, Moore and Noyce, our golden boy, were starting
- 40:22Speaker 1: to get restless again. You know, they like to shake
- 40:25Speaker 1: it up, these guys. They're fundamentally kind of nerd pirates.
- 40:28Speaker 1: And they are about to make one more big move
- 40:32Speaker 1: after the break. That was the break.
- 40:58Speaker 2: And now we're back. The story of Silicon Valley.
- 41:02Speaker 1: So Sherman Fairchild at Fairchild Camera and Instrument, remember our
- 41:08Speaker 1: investor in Fairchild, he had exercised his option to buy
- 41:13Speaker 1: Fairchild Semiconductor outright in 1959.
- 41:16Speaker 2: Very shrewd man.
- 41:17Speaker 1: Shrewd man. Noyce and Moore and the others kept working there.
- 41:21Speaker 1: You know, they got some money. They kept working there,
- 41:23Speaker 1: kept figuring out how to put more components on a chip.
- 41:25Speaker 1: selling all they could make to NASA and the military.
- 41:29Speaker 1: But Noyce and Moore start to get this feeling that
- 41:32Speaker 1: would really become a classic feeling among Silicon Valley founders
- 41:36Speaker 1: who have sold their companies, right? They got a bunch
- 41:39Speaker 1: of money.
- 41:40Speaker 2: Great.
- 41:41Speaker 1: They weren't really in it for the money, right? What
- 41:43Speaker 1: they wanted was to be doing big, important work. They
- 41:46Speaker 1: wanted that feeling of, you know, being free out there
- 41:49Speaker 1: on the technological frontier like nerd cowboy.
- 41:52Speaker 2: Yeah, inventing the chip is great. Putting more things on
- 41:55Speaker 2: the chip is great. But then it's just scale. It's
- 41:58Speaker 2: going from 100 components to 1,000 components to 65,000 components.
- 42:01Speaker 1: And even that might be fun if you're, like, doing
- 42:04Speaker 1: it on your own, right? Yeah. The problem for them
- 42:06Speaker 1: was they weren't, right? They were no longer pirates, like
- 42:10Speaker 1: you said.
- 42:10Speaker 2: They were.
- 42:11Speaker 1: middle managers at a division of Fairchild Camera, right?
- 42:15Speaker 2: They were going to be the next Bell Labs.
- 42:17Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah. No, now they're working for a company that
- 42:19Speaker 1: makes movie cameras and stamp machines. And they're like, hey, listen...
- 42:24Speaker 1: We're going to give stock options to the engineers. And
- 42:26Speaker 1: the company in New York is like, no, you're not. Why? Yeah, why?
- 42:30Speaker 1: And they're like, okay, but at least we're going to
- 42:32Speaker 1: take our profit and put it back into development, right?
- 42:35Speaker 1: Because things are going so fast. Why?
- 42:37Speaker 2: Your business, you produce money for the investors.
- 42:39Speaker 1: Yeah, like the point is to make money for the shareholders.
- 42:41Speaker 1: Just be quiet and keep making chips.
- 42:44Speaker 2: It's so funny, still a 1950s view of what a
- 42:46Speaker 2: business was.
- 42:47Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right. This very kind of man in the
- 42:50Speaker 1: gray flannel suit corporation.
- 42:51Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 42:52Speaker 1: And so Noyce and Moore don't like this. In 1968,
- 42:56Speaker 1: they go back to Arthur Rock, the banker who had
- 43:01Speaker 1: helped them get set up with Fairchild about a decade earlier.
- 43:05Speaker 1: And crucially, the world is really different now, in large
- 43:10Speaker 1: part because of the work that these guys have done, right? Rock,
- 43:14Speaker 1: over this time, had gotten into this idea of connecting
- 43:16Speaker 1: East Coast capital with these, you know, new companies out
- 43:20Speaker 1: on the West Coast. And he'd kind of built on
- 43:23Speaker 1: this old tradition that like old money East Coast families had,
- 43:26Speaker 1: where like with a little bit of the money on
- 43:29Speaker 1: the side, they would sort of play around with what
- 43:31Speaker 1: they called adventure capital.
- 43:34Speaker 2: Adventure capital, yes.
- 43:35Speaker 1: Right. It's just a little too, can you just tighten
- 43:38Speaker 1: that up a little bit? Just a little bit.
- 43:39Speaker 2: Right.
- 43:40Speaker 1: So, you know, around this time, Rock and a few
- 43:44Speaker 1: other finance types are creating venture capital, right? This is happening.
- 43:49Speaker 1: It's going from being a rich man's hobby to into
- 43:51Speaker 1: a more formal part of the financial system. And so remember,
- 43:55Speaker 1: the first time Noyce and Moore went to rock, it
- 43:58Speaker 1: took him months to find the money. And in part, well,
- 44:03Speaker 1: obviously in part because Noyce and Moore are way more
- 44:05Speaker 1: legit now and they've made the success at Fairchild, but
- 44:07Speaker 1: also because finance and capital allocation has developed and venture
- 44:10Speaker 1: capital is becoming a thing. Instead of two months this time,
- 44:14Speaker 1: he raises the money in two days.
- 44:16Speaker 2: And remember, this is 1968, right? So the entire... culture
- 44:22Speaker 2: of the United States has sort of shifted to the
- 44:24Speaker 2: West Coast, not just in terms of technology, but in
- 44:26Speaker 2: terms of music and fashion and lifestyle, right? And there's
- 44:31Speaker 2: this excitement out there, finally. It's not just farm fields.
- 44:34Speaker 2: It's people doing amazing, weird stuff. And I picture these,
- 44:38Speaker 2: you know, stuffy, rich people on the East Coast going, hmm,
- 44:42Speaker 2: how do we get a little bit involved in what
- 44:44Speaker 2: the kids are doing out there on the coast?
- 44:46Speaker 1: So that's why they raised the money in two days
- 44:48Speaker 1: this time. And, you know, the core idea is still
- 44:50Speaker 1: this breakthrough that they've had at Fairchild, right? It is
- 44:53Speaker 1: the integrated circuit. It is integrated electronics. They know this
- 44:58Speaker 1: is going to be huge. And so they're founding their company.
- 45:01Speaker 1: It's 1968. And they're like, what if we call it
- 45:04Speaker 1: integrated electronics?
- 45:05Speaker 2: Very nice. Very little nerdy.
- 45:07Speaker 1: A little long.
- 45:08Speaker 2: Do it.
- 45:09Speaker 1: Intel.
- 45:10Speaker 2: Intel. Beautiful.
- 45:12Speaker 1: So they create Intel, right? They create Intel. And now,
- 45:15Speaker 1: crucially this time, there's no East Coast camera company that
- 45:18Speaker 1: can tell Noyce and Moore what to do. Now they
- 45:20Speaker 1: can build this engineer's paradise they've been dreaming of. And
- 45:24Speaker 1: they do. They build a company where all the engineers
- 45:27Speaker 1: get stock options, where it's very non-hierarchical, right? No reserved
- 45:30Speaker 1: parking spaces, no fancy offices for the boss. Everybody has
- 45:33Speaker 1: the same The plain gray aluminum desks. And remind you,
- 45:38Speaker 1: this is 55 years ago and all the pieces are
- 45:41Speaker 1: in place.
- 45:41Speaker 2: Yes. All the things that we think of now as
- 45:43Speaker 2: cutting edge Silicon Valley culture, the people going out there
- 45:46Speaker 2: now to do AI, right? Yeah. 55 years ago, that's
- 45:49Speaker 2: when this got solidified. Yes.
- 45:51Speaker 1: And it worked, right? They were like, let's build this company.
- 45:54Speaker 1: Let's make it centered on engineers and let's have everybody
- 45:57Speaker 1: come in every day and try and invent the future.
- 46:00Speaker 1: And they succeed, right? Very quickly, they... have a new
- 46:04Speaker 1: technological breakthrough that propels them ahead, and Intel remains the
- 46:09Speaker 1: dominant chipmaker in the world for decades to come. And interestingly,
- 46:14Speaker 1: it's not just Noyce and Moore. Other members of that
- 46:18Speaker 1: original traitorous eight also continue to be these kind of
- 46:23Speaker 1: restless pirate types. People actually talk about Fair Children, companies
- 46:28Speaker 1: that came out of Fair Childs. One of them started AMD,
- 46:31Speaker 1: which today is also one of the biggest chip companies
- 46:34Speaker 1: in the world.
- 46:35Speaker 2: And they didn't just start companies. They also, because they
- 46:38Speaker 2: made money, became the money people themselves.
- 46:41Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah. Eugene Kleiner, the guy who called his dad
- 46:43Speaker 1: stockbroker when they were originally looking for money, he started
- 46:48Speaker 1: a venture capital fund called Kleiner Perkins, which you've probably
- 46:52Speaker 1: heard of, because it funded companies like Netscape and Google
- 46:56Speaker 1: and Slack.
- 46:57Speaker 2: Meaning.
- 46:58Speaker 1: that, you know, these original guys, they didn't just start
- 47:01Speaker 1: this company. They didn't just create the model. They actually
- 47:03Speaker 1: brought the money to fund generations of people who were restless,
- 47:08Speaker 1: who wanted to go out on their own and try
- 47:11Speaker 1: a new thing.
- 47:11Speaker 2: Yeah, if you were a golden boy in the last
- 47:15Speaker 2: 55 years, you did not have to work in Philadelphia
- 47:18Speaker 2: for an electronics firm. You didn't have to wait for
- 47:20Speaker 2: the phone call from anyone, even God, because you knew
- 47:24Speaker 2: there was a place that respected your genius and ambition
- 47:28Speaker 2: and restlessness, right? And that would overlook whatever personal flaws
- 47:32Speaker 2: you might have. There was a place that was on
- 47:35Speaker 2: the edge of everything, and it was called Silicon Valley,
- 47:39Speaker 2: and you could just go there and make your fortune.
- 47:42Speaker 1: Next week on Business History. One more guy from Fairchild
- 47:47Speaker 1: was the head of sales, starts his own VC firm,
- 47:51Speaker 1: and his very first investment was He's in a company
- 47:54Speaker 1: full of stoners that's doing business out of an abandoned
- 47:57Speaker 1: roller rink.
- 47:58Speaker 2: It's like the apricot shed of the 70s.
- 48:01Speaker 1: That company is Atari. And it's the story of the
- 48:04Speaker 1: birth of the video game industry.
- 48:06Speaker 2: Our producer is Gabriel Hunter Chang. Our engineer is Sarah Bruguier.
- 48:09Speaker 2: And our showrunner is Ryan Dilley.
- 48:11Speaker 1: I'm Jacob Goldstein.
- 48:12Speaker 2: And I'm Robert Smith. We'll be back next week with
- 48:14Speaker 2: another episode of Business History.
- 48:17Speaker 1: A show about the history.
- 48:19Speaker 2: Wait for it. Of business.