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152: The New Weather Cycle That’s Never Happened Before with Gary Lezak · CattleUSA Daily

• 0:00
  Welcome to another episode of the Cattle USA Daily podcast.
• 0:03
  Today we were welcoming back Gary Lezak to the podcast where
• 0:07
  we are talking all things weather and what is going on
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  right now in the LRC. Where at in a cycle are we?
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  And then Gary is also talking about a really cool thing that
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  is happening coming soon in October and that is the fact
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  that the LRC is resetting. What does that mean?
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  Gary breaks all of it down for us.
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  Today we also touch on hurricane season.
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  We touched on some other things that are happening in the
• 0:32
  weather and how the Saharan dust is impacting hurricane season.
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  Well, we break it all down in today's podcast episode with
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  Gary. But before we dive into today's
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  episode, I would love it if you guys could take one second to
• 0:43
  like subscribe, rate and review this episode.
• 0:46
  We really appreciate it here at the team.
• 0:48
  And without further ado, let's hop into this episode with Gary.
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  Welcome to the Cattle USA Daily Podcast, your go to source for
• 0:58
  the latest livestock markets, industry insights and the
• 1:01
  updates shaping agriculture today.
• 1:04
  I'm your host, Lauren Moylan, a passionate advocate for
• 1:06
  agriculture, here to keep you informed and connected.
• 1:10
  Now let's dive into today's episode.
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  Gary, welcome back to the podcast.
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  It has been entirely too long. I mean, don't get me wrong, I
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  enjoyed my vacation, but I missed seeing you.
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  I know it's been 2 weeks I haven't seen you and I hope you
• 1:28
  had a great time up in Canada. That had to been a great trip.
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  I saw some pictures and so on a scale of 1 to 10, what was it
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  for you? OK, so Canada and Banff in and
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  of itself, probably a solid 8 or 9.
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  It was really great the entire trip.
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  Probably a solid like 7 because Glacier was a little bit
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  disappointing because of the smoke, but Banff?
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  Banff was still beautiful Banff. Was still interesting, the smoke
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  when those fires, it's three years in a row the weather
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  patterns have been producing fires more in Canada than the
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  United States. So I like the Rocky Mountains.
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  I live here in Golden, Co. We haven't had a hint of a fire
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  near us at all for the whole three years I've been here.
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  So they've been shifted up into Canada.
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  All the do some analysis, but it's probably all part of the
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  LRC. So we'll see.
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  But I'm glad you had a great vacation.
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  I was in Lake Tahoe, I call that the eighth wonder of the world.
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  So it was amazing. I got to see my little nephew
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  and my family. And so we did that, and now I'm
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  going to Kansas City for the Eagles game Sunday that.
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  Will be so much fun and it looks like the weather is going to be
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  pretty good for you, right? It looks pretty good that the
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  goal over there has been saving close to 80.
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  It's going to be close to 90, so it's going to be 10° warmer.
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  Oh, there's a slight chance of a thunderstorm.
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  But here's the bad part. If there's any thunderstorm,
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  it's not good because lightning causes delays at football games.
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  So please not that day. It can split around the stadium.
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  Like everywhere else can. Get water.
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  Just don't let the don't let it be anywhere near the stadium.
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  Not that day anyway, but we'll see how it sets up.
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  But I am going there with a friend going to the game and and
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  yeah, so, but that's what I'm doing.
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  Everything else is great. The weather patterns right on
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  schedule. We have a very big special just
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  to start it off if anybody wants to just for the the September,
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  well, the new LRC, we'll talk about the LRC in a second.
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  Well, the new LRC begins to set up in early October.
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  It's probably going to start evolving right now, but we're
• 3:29
  still in the same pattern. We have a special, so it's 50%
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• 3:38
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  everyone going to get that spend a year reading our reports.
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  I do a video every week, sometimes twice a week and you
• 3:53
  will learn that you're in on this big secret that we have
• 3:56
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• 4:00
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• 4:06
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  and spend a year with us, you'll go, my gosh, and you'll start
• 4:14
  using the information for your farm for other any weather
• 4:20
  sensitive concepts you have in your life or, or in business.
• 4:24
  But, but that's the special we got right now.
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  But Lauren, do you have any questions?
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  The weather pattern is cycling. It's still the same pattern that
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  set up last October, now in September.
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  Yeah. I want to hear all about the new
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  pattern setting up and the fact that like talking about what you
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  just said, like the we're still cycling in the old pattern, but
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  we're getting ready for a new pattern to set up, like break
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  all of that down and kind of what some highlights that you're
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  seeing right now. So if you're new to the LRC and
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  or still learning about it, every year around October 5th,
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  6th or 7th, somewhere around there, we would call day one of
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  every year's pattern and every year's pattern is unique.
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  Unique means unlike ever before. You're unique Lauren.
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  And let me tell you everybody, Lauren is unique.
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  She is a one-of-a-kind. There's no one like Lauren.
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  You are the only Lauren in the world that is you and you're
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  unique. I mean, you know that you're
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  different than everybody else, right?
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  Yeah, Oh yeah. I wear it with pride and like a
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  badge of honor. Jeez, isn't it great to be
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  unique? It is great.
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  You know, whether you want to take it positively or
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  negatively, it's it's great in my mind.
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  So I love it. You're blessed to be here on
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  this earth. It's absolutely fascinating.
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  And so one of you listening out there or watching you are unique
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  and it is incredible. And all we have is right now in
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  this world today at this moment, we never know what's going to
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  happen. So enjoy now realize how
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  beautiful you are as a person and you are unique.
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  The the weather pattern is also unique every year.
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  The pattern we're in now has never ever, ever happened
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  before. And just like Lauren has never
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  happened before, the weather pattern has never happened
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  before. It's so I don't know why I'm
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  taking this human analogy, but somewhat surprisingly, it's
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  working. So the pattern set up last year
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  and before this segment, I was showing you a little bit,
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  October 11th last year, we were in the first cycle, probably the
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  end of the first week of the 1st cycle.
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  And it really is similar to what just cycled through around
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  September the 7th. And right now as we go through
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  September 11th, 9/11, 24 year history of that big day and all
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  the way through September, we are still in the same pattern
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  that set up last fall. It's likely gradually beginning
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  to evolve and by October 5th we will have a brand new pattern.
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  But the next seven days are right on schedule.
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  So this big warm up, this heat building in is not shocking.
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  You know, it's it's it's fascinating in many respects.
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  But then after we get past this little hot stall and was still a
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  few thunderstorms, gosh, Kansas has been getting hit in the last
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  week. The what what's going to happen
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  is the pattern is going to go into what we called at the
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  beginning of winter, a wet phase.
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  The wet phase, or even though it's been raining in Kansas,
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  much of the Corn Belt has not been getting rain in the last
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  two weeks. So it's drying out.
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  That's good news for Harvest in some respects.
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  But keep in mind we've been predicting the last week of
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  September, the 1st week of October will get very wet, OK.
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  So we'll see because the new patterns evolving, maybe it will
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  flip and not quite do that. But I am expecting and
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  predicting that it's going to get what those that two to three
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  weeks stretch towards the end of September in the first part of
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  October. And that's not showing up on the
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  models yet, but I believe it will.
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  You just know that that's coming.
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  Can you explain what's special about the beginning of October?
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  Why is that when the cycle starts over and a new cycle
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  begins? I don't know 100% for sure.
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  All right, we have a hypothesis in that area.
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  It's probably not a coincidence, but on September 22nd, summer
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  will end and fall will begin, and that's a whole other topic.
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  I'm going to get on a tangent here.
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  Here's the tangent. Logical Summer is supposedly
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  June, July, and August. So on September 1st, it's now
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  fall according to meteorological fall.
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  I am a meteorologist and I don't believe in that, all right?
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  I believe in astronomical fall, which starts September 22nd.
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  So on that day, on that day, the sunsets at the North Pole.
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  On the first day of spring, the sun rises at the North Pole.
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  There's only one sunrise and there's only 1 sunset at both
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  poles every year. And so September 22nd is the day
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  the sunsets It's dark. 12 days later.
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  We have twilight here in the United States in most areas for
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  about an hour and then it gets dark.
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  At the North Pole it's twilight for like almost 2 weeks, a dozen
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  days. And right around October 5th or
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  6th is when it goes dark. And that is a coincidence or
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  not, but that's when the LRC begins.
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  So I believe there's an astronomical reason for the LRC
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  to start around October 5th, 6th or 7th.
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  There may be some, you know, there's solar cycles, there's
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  there's 89 year drought cycle you may have heard about that
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  was supposed to come back this past year did not as I expected.
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  And we anticipated it may have already happened a couple years
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  ago, believe it or not. And there are these other cycles
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  that happen in the atmosphere, but that's how it starts.
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  October 5th century, 7th, probably related to the sun
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  setting of the North Pole and energy spreading over the
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  Northern hemisphere. And the pattern gets stuck.
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  And by November 30th, we'll know what the news cycle is.
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  This year was a 38 to 44 day cycle, right on 41 days.
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  And it's like a river Vera up there.
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  We're able to predict the weather.
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  As I said, you're all in on a secret.
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  So what does this mean for you? That means we're still in the
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  same pattern. We're going to get wide at the
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  end of the month. We know it because that part of
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  the pattern is going to cycle back through and then something
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  brand new will happen one month from now, so.
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  Exciting. It's such a fun time around
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  here. I love it.
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  What other what other highlights are we seeing in the weather
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  right now? Anything else that we need to
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  hit on today, Gary, that is happening in the worldwide world
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  of the weather? Well, just the fact that the jet
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  streams getting stronger and that the storm sensors are going
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  to start getting stronger and so that will line up with the
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  stormier part of the pattern at the end of the month.
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  Probably some severe thunderstorms that could be some
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  hail and tornado risks later this month we'll be looking at
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  as the jet stream gets stronger. But that's about all.
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  You know, we have to watch this fascinating thing happen, but
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  all of you sometimes it get a little complex here, but I'm
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  going to try to simplify it in the next few weeks.
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  In that report. I just wrote one on that
• 11:39
  weather2020.substack.com report. I did a video trying to explain
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  it. So you'll learn a lot more in
• 11:46
  the next year if you if you do join.
• 11:48
  And then also hurricane season has been quiet.
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  We're not perfect, You know, I am not happy about.
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  I am happy because it's quiet, because that means we don't have
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  any disasters so far. But there's a reason why it's
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  been so quiet. Like, I don't want to make
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  excuses. Our forecast was for an active
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  season. It looks like we're going to
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  fail after three straight years of being the best number one.
• 12:13
  It might be 3 out of four. It'll just show that we're not
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  perfect. But it's not back to the drawing
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  board. The systems we predicted are
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  happening. It's just been so quiet.
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  And we think the biggest reason is probably this, The dust and
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  sand that comes across from the Sahara desert.
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  Oh, it happens every year on gays.
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  But this year was stronger and and more dusty year than usual.
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  And it might be the reason why nothing has been developing in
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  this past 30 days. And peak hurricane season just
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  happened on September the 10th. So we're still in that peak.
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  We're going to probably have a threat or two in the Carolinas
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  or Florida or the Gulf of Mexico as we go into late September.
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  So September 20th or so, the Sahara dust might weaken a
• 13:04
  little bit and we could still have a disaster on our hands.
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  We predicted 17 to 23 named storms.
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  There have only been 6. So if there are 6 more, that
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  would be a lot from this point. So we might only end up with 12
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  or 13 and I will have over overshot that forecast.
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  Good to know, good to know. That's crazy how one thing
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  happening on the other side of the world can affect something
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  so major as tropical storms and hurricane season for us.
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  Like that's the correlation, causation, all of that
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  overlapping is. It's mind boggling.
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  I know it really is. And then, you know, it's amazing
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  this Saharan dust ends up in the Amazon rainforest in South
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  America from South from from Africa's Saharan desert.
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  So, so it spreads across and has an impact on a lot of things.
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  But what it does if you're wondering when there's a lot of
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  that sand and dust in the air, it causes just it to be a
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  slightly cooler and as a result the cumulus cause don't grow and
• 14:08
  then you don't get hurricanes. Testing interesting.
• 14:11
  That's crazy how that all works. Well, Gary, thank you as always
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  for your time today and welcome back.
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  It's good to be back. It's good to be back in the
• 14:20
  groove. Great to start.
• 14:21
  Out our Wednesday like this. I'm so happy that we're starting
• 14:25
  to get back into the routine, back into the groove of being
• 14:28
  after being gone and all the things.
• 14:29
  So this has been wonderful to all of our listeners.
• 14:32
  The first link down below is going to be that sub stack link
• 14:35
  for you guys. So make sure you go check out
• 14:37
  that sub stock sub stack that Gary has.
• 14:40
  If you feel like you have gained anything from this podcast over
• 14:43
  the past six months of Gary and I talking every single week
• 14:46
  about the LRC and the weather and everything like that.
• 14:49
  Just think of how much more you're going to get from a sub
• 14:51
  stock report every week where Gary just dives in with way more
• 14:54
  detail, way more education and makes it so that our brains that
• 14:58
  aren't meteorologist can really understand what's going on.
• 15:01
  So make sure you check out that link that's down below.
• 15:04
  And Gary, thank you for your time as always.
• 15:06
  And to all of our listeners, we will see you all tomorrow on
• 15:09
  another episode. Have a good one y'all.