Latest / Best of Business / Gavin Grey: UK correspondent on UK inflation figures holding steady at 2 percent
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talks B Follow
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- 0:16Speaker 2: To catch up with UK correspondent Gavin Gray, who joins
- 0:19Speaker 2: us outside Westminster this evening.
- 0:21Speaker 3: Kyodo, Hi there, Jack, Yes I did, and indeed a
- 0:26Speaker 3: very busy day ahead as well.
- 0:28Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of laws on the statutes there, very
- 0:31Speaker 2: exciting day. We'll get to that in a couple of minutes,
- 0:33Speaker 2: and some of the big changes that Kia Starma's government
- 0:35Speaker 2: are trying to push through. But as New Zealand gets
- 0:39Speaker 2: its latest inflation data, the UK's inflation rate is making
- 0:43Speaker 2: us all feel just a little bit envious. So the
- 0:46Speaker 2: inflation rate in the UK right now unchanged at two percent,
- 0:49Speaker 2: which of course is dead on target. So what is
- 0:51Speaker 2: this going to mean for interest rates?
- 0:54Speaker 3: Yeah, very big question. Lots of pressure I think now
- 0:57Speaker 3: on the Bank of England to bring those interest rates
- 0:59Speaker 3: down there at a sixteen year high of five and
- 1:02Speaker 3: a quarter percent. They were used pretty much as a
- 1:05Speaker 3: tool keeping interest rates, raising interest rates to control inflation.
- 1:09Speaker 3: The inflation, which had been double digit back down to
- 1:12Speaker 3: two percent. Staying at two percent. However, I think actually
- 1:15Speaker 3: analysts were slightly disappointed. They thought it was going to
- 1:18Speaker 3: drop a little further, particularly in one or two of
- 1:20Speaker 3: the service sectors and other measurements of inflation. So I
- 1:24Speaker 3: think they're slightly disappointed about that. Apparently what kept inflation
- 1:29Speaker 3: at the two percent was, although most things are dropped,
- 1:32Speaker 3: believe it or not, hotel stay had increased in prisis,
- 1:35Speaker 3: so anyone coming to visit might need to bear that
- 1:38Speaker 3: in mind. Tomorrow we get the employment figures and then
- 1:41Speaker 3: at the first of August that decision from the Bank
- 1:42Speaker 3: of England where many people with mortgages will be hoping
- 1:46Speaker 3: those rates are coming.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Down, so so to talk us through that again, so
- 1:50Speaker 2: the Bank of England's going to be making your decision
- 1:52Speaker 2: thee And to be totally clear, here in New Zealand
- 1:56Speaker 2: we get quarterly inflation data, so we only get an
- 1:59Speaker 2: update every three months. In the UK, Just how regularly
- 2:04Speaker 2: do you get your inflation data? Do you get your
- 2:06Speaker 2: inflation data every month?
- 2:07Speaker 3: Given yes, that's right, always roughly at the same sort
- 2:12Speaker 3: of time in the month, and the inflation with the
- 2:15Speaker 3: employment figures they're now trying to bring out on the
- 2:17Speaker 3: first of every month, and it's the Bank of England
- 2:20Speaker 3: setting those interest rates that most people look forward to,
- 2:23Speaker 3: and as I said, they're coming out at the first of.
- 2:27Speaker 2: Organ and so Gavin, how do people generally structure their
- 2:31Speaker 2: mortgages in the UK? Here in New Zealand? I think
- 2:34Speaker 2: most people look to structure their mortgages over fixed term periods,
- 2:38Speaker 2: which means that even once the Central Bank decides to
- 2:41Speaker 2: cut or increase rate, there is a bit of a
- 2:44Speaker 2: lag until people switch from whatever fixed term they are
- 2:48Speaker 2: on now and to the fixed term under a new
- 2:51Speaker 2: interest rate. Certainly that is the case for the majority
- 2:53Speaker 2: of people's family homes, for example, How do people in
- 2:56Speaker 2: the UK generally structure their home lines?
- 3:00Speaker 3: There are so many different offers now, Jack is quite extraordinary.
- 3:04Speaker 3: When I got my first mortgage, it was very strictly
- 3:07Speaker 3: limited really to just about a dozen different things you
- 3:10Speaker 3: could go for. There are a lot now. I think
- 3:12Speaker 3: what's become very popular are yes, those fixed knowing what
- 3:15Speaker 3: you're going to be paying, but at the moment, of course,
- 3:18Speaker 3: because interest rates are high, you're going to be paying
- 3:20Speaker 3: a lot of money. So a lot of people coming
- 3:22Speaker 3: off the fixed going to the variable and also early
- 3:25Speaker 3: payback without penalty.
- 3:27Speaker 2: That's very popular, right, Yeah, So you talked to us
- 3:31Speaker 2: about some of the laws that this new government of
- 3:33Speaker 2: Kia Stamers is prioritizing and looking to pass thirty five
- 3:38Speaker 2: new laws proposed, including a crackdown on shoplifting.
- 3:44Speaker 3: Yes, that's right. So the king Speech is due to
- 3:46Speaker 3: take place in a couple of hours unveiling some thirty
- 3:49Speaker 3: five pieces of legislation and shoplifting is due to be
- 3:52Speaker 3: up there. And basically the previous government in twenty fourteen
- 3:57Speaker 3: past the law that meant low value thefts worth under
- 4:00Speaker 3: four hundred Australian dollars were subject to much less serious punishment. Indeed,
- 4:04Speaker 3: the police really weren't that interested unless it was a
- 4:07Speaker 3: larger theft that this government looking to overhaul that completely
- 4:11Speaker 3: change that with a new crime Bill and also to
- 4:14Speaker 3: make life much easier for the police to investigate and
- 4:17Speaker 3: work with retailers to sort these offenses out. It's going
- 4:20Speaker 3: to prove very popular. Do you know shoplifting cost retailers
- 4:24Speaker 3: three point eight billion New Zealand dollars in the last
- 4:27Speaker 3: year and of course who's paying for that? Well, the
- 4:29Speaker 3: answer is all the other responsible and paying public who
- 4:34Speaker 3: buy from that particular shop.
- 4:36Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, exactly. And Gavin sniffer dogs in Ecuador have
- 4:40Speaker 2: found more than six tons of cocaine hidden in a
- 4:44Speaker 2: banana shipment distant for Germany.
- 4:48Speaker 3: Can you believe it? Five thousand, six hundred and thirty
- 4:51Speaker 3: parcels jack filled with a white substance later tested positive
- 4:55Speaker 3: for cocaine. The shipment was destined, as you say, for Germany.
- 4:59Speaker 3: We're not quite short which port, but this is a
- 5:01Speaker 3: massive boost to those trying to crack down but also
- 5:04Speaker 3: I think an indication on the sheer scale of the trade.
- 5:08Speaker 3: Had the six and a quarter tons of cocaine ridged destination,
- 5:11Speaker 3: it would have been worth bordering on getting up to
- 5:15Speaker 3: half a billion New Zealand dollars. Quite extraordinary. Five people
- 5:19Speaker 3: arrested following the discovery, and it was in a deep
- 5:23Speaker 3: water southwest of the Ecuador's largest city, a deep water port,
- 5:28Speaker 3: that these parcels were found hidden beneath these crates of
- 5:32Speaker 3: bananas that were destined for legitimate exports. So quite a
- 5:35Speaker 3: major achievement there, and plenty of people now looking at
- 5:39Speaker 3: Ecuador from Europe as a place to perhaps concentrate those
- 5:42Speaker 3: police investigative results.
- 5:44Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's very interesting. Thank you so much, Gavin,
- 5:47Speaker 2: really appreciate it. That is UK correspondent Gavin grat.
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