Latest / Tiger Territory: A Detroit Tigers Podcast / Third Base Choices
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: And welcome to another episode of Tiger Territory, part of
- 0:08Speaker 1: the Foul Territory Network, a Detroit Tiger's podcast. I'm Karen
- 0:12Speaker 1: Steckley with me as always as a man who is
- 0:14Speaker 1: so secure he pre checks TSA. He is Cody Stavenhagen.
- 0:19Speaker 2: How you doing doing well? If you don't have TSA
- 0:22Speaker 2: pre check, what are you doing? Come on, it's worth it.
- 0:25Speaker 2: If you fly more than like twice a year, it's
- 0:28Speaker 2: worth it.
- 0:29Speaker 1: I finally relented and got it myself. I will next podcast,
- 0:32Speaker 1: I will give a give a review because by the
- 0:35Speaker 1: time people listen to this, I would have taken a
- 0:39Speaker 1: trip to.
- 0:39Speaker 3: Buffalo, New York. So we'll see. We'll see.
- 0:42Speaker 1: As holiday weekend seems like a good way to experiment
- 0:45Speaker 1: whether it's really worth.
- 0:46Speaker 2: It, right, So that's definitely true, So we'll see.
- 0:49Speaker 3: We'll see.
- 0:50Speaker 1: Uh well, thank everybody for listening having us as a
- 0:53Speaker 1: part of your you know, holidays, activities.
- 0:57Speaker 3: Goings and comings and all that stuff.
- 1:00Speaker 1: Unfortunately, the Tigers haven't necessarily cooperated with giving us something
- 1:06Speaker 1: interesting to talk about, but that's okay. We as always,
- 1:08Speaker 1: as always, there's always more to go back. I mean,
- 1:11Speaker 1: I don't know how other people's minds were Cody, but
- 1:13Speaker 1: mine is like, oh man, I really kind of wish
- 1:16Speaker 1: I would have brought that point up, or how.
- 1:18Speaker 3: Would I forget this thing? You know?
- 1:21Speaker 1: And actually one of them comes from a listener, so like,
- 1:26Speaker 1: I gotta give credit. Let me pull it up real quick.
- 1:28Speaker 1: We talked last week and I thought, actually it was
- 1:30Speaker 1: a really good discussion about like the starting rotation like
- 1:35Speaker 1: taking form and then kind of zeroed in on Jackson,
- 1:38Speaker 1: Job and and and you're through your sourcing and reporting
- 1:43Speaker 1: like you know, pretty adamant as things stand right now,
- 1:46Speaker 1: like Job's gonna be like part of it, you know,
- 1:49Speaker 1: And I want to.
- 1:50Speaker 3: Give credit here.
- 1:51Speaker 1: Patrick McCulloch said, like, okay, but you gotta, you know,
- 1:57Speaker 1: look at the innings pitch from Jackson, and we have
- 2:01Speaker 1: talked about that a little bit, but we didn't talk
- 2:04Speaker 1: about in the context of, well, what are we even
- 2:06Speaker 1: doing here if he's not going to be on the
- 2:08Speaker 1: team exiting Lakeland. So thank you, Patrick gives us a
- 2:12Speaker 1: little bit more to you know, reign here to kind
- 2:16Speaker 1: of talk about it. So we'll over fresher Jackson, Joe
- 2:20Speaker 1: and twenty twenty two through seventy seven point one innings
- 2:24Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, sixty four, and then last season this
- 2:29Speaker 1: is all levels obviously last season ninety one point two.
- 2:35Speaker 1: So he's a young guy. He you know, this is
- 2:43Speaker 1: something that we look at and in addition to you know,
- 2:46Speaker 1: pitchcown and and then you know, this also kind of
- 2:49Speaker 1: goes into our discussion that we had a little bit
- 2:52Speaker 1: about like arms and the state of them and in
- 2:56Speaker 1: baseball in general. But the context of Jackson Job needs
- 3:02Speaker 1: to be part of this rotation, with the fact that
- 3:06Speaker 1: that is signing him up for a significant upgrade and workload. Cody,
- 3:12Speaker 1: I guess I'll ask you how much of that is
- 3:15Speaker 1: part of your calculus and how much of it should
- 3:18Speaker 1: be part of the Tigers calculus in terms of how
- 3:21Speaker 1: they handled this prize prospect that they got.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Yeah, I think kind of the suggestion here is that
- 3:27Speaker 2: would it not be better to keep Job in the
- 3:29Speaker 2: minors for a little bit, See if you can finagle
- 3:32Speaker 2: the service time and then you don't have to worry
- 3:34Speaker 2: about him running into an innings limitation late in the season.
- 3:38Speaker 2: That's certainly a five. I think that's certainly something that
- 3:41Speaker 2: Tigers have to consider. My mind immediately goes to Paul
- 3:45Speaker 2: schemes who did not begin the season on the opening
- 3:48Speaker 2: day roster, and then through a lot of innings and
- 3:51Speaker 2: toward late August early September, the Pirates were faced with
- 3:54Speaker 2: kind of a know when situation. They weren't eligible to
- 3:59Speaker 2: receive the draft pick that would be awarded if Schemes
- 4:03Speaker 2: were to win Rookie of the Year because they didn't
- 4:05Speaker 2: put him on the opening day roster. And then so
- 4:08Speaker 2: it's like, do you still just shut him down. If
- 4:12Speaker 2: you shut him down, maybe he's not gonna win Rookie
- 4:15Speaker 2: of the Year. That kind of sucks, but you don't
- 4:16Speaker 2: get anything out of him winning Rookie of the Year. So, like,
- 4:19Speaker 2: I think worrying about innings limitations personally is putting the
- 4:24Speaker 2: card in front of the horse a little bit. I
- 4:25Speaker 2: think that's a bridge you cross when you get there.
- 4:28Speaker 2: To use yet another analogy, like if Joba is healthy
- 4:32Speaker 2: and he is throwing well and you begin to have
- 4:34Speaker 2: to worry about in innings limitation, that means a lot
- 4:37Speaker 2: of things have gone right, and that means he's going
- 4:40Speaker 2: to be eligible to win Rookie of the Year. Probably
- 4:42Speaker 2: that means he your team could receive a draft pick
- 4:46Speaker 2: award through MLB's new rules, and we've seen the Tigers
- 4:52Speaker 2: manage these things pretty well in the past. It's easily
- 4:54Speaker 2: possible to build in an extra day for him. I'd
- 4:57Speaker 2: imagine if Job is on the opening day roster, that's
- 4:59Speaker 2: some thing they'd be pretty cognizant about from the start,
- 5:02Speaker 2: getting him an extra day of rest or two here
- 5:05Speaker 2: and there. They will have to monitors innings all season.
- 5:09Speaker 2: Another thought that comes to mind. One of the takeaways
- 5:12Speaker 2: from the study MLB released last week was like, starters
- 5:17Speaker 2: are not being adequately prepared in the minor leagues. There
- 5:19Speaker 2: was for so long this thought that like protecting arms
- 5:23Speaker 2: meant having them not throw a lot, and now we're
- 5:25Speaker 2: starting to see, like, well, guys are only throwing three
- 5:28Speaker 2: four innings in the minor leagues, how do you expect
- 5:30Speaker 2: them to then go six seven innings in the major leagues.
- 5:33Speaker 2: Jackson Job is going to be a pretty good case
- 5:35Speaker 2: study for this, because for the most part, the Tigers
- 5:37Speaker 2: have taken it very easy with him, especially early in seasons,
- 5:41Speaker 2: not giving him, not giving him a lot of leash,
- 5:45Speaker 2: a lot of rope in terms of going multiple times
- 5:47Speaker 2: through the order in the minors, and that's why his
- 5:49Speaker 2: innings totals. In addition, some injuries have been so low
- 5:53Speaker 2: you would think he's probably not going to throw more
- 5:55Speaker 2: than one hundred and twenty maybe one hundred and thirty innings.
- 5:58Speaker 2: But if you get one hundred and twenty one hundred
- 6:00Speaker 2: and thirty innings of Jackson drop in the major leagues
- 6:02Speaker 2: this year, that means a lot of things have gone right.
- 6:05Speaker 2: And I think that's uhould be happy to them worry
- 6:08Speaker 2: about that.
- 6:09Speaker 1: In September, do you think that schemes at the announcement
- 6:15Speaker 1: of him winning rook of the Year, the fact that
- 6:18Speaker 1: the Pirates were getting draft pick composite compensation is why
- 6:21Speaker 1: he just didn't have that much of an enthusiastic look
- 6:24Speaker 1: on his face. Is that did we crack the code
- 6:26Speaker 1: on that?
- 6:26Speaker 2: You know, I don't think he emotes much in general,
- 6:30Speaker 2: you know, I mean.
- 6:32Speaker 1: Yeah, it was like he's like, oh, man, if only
- 6:35Speaker 1: if only they gotten that pick, it.
- 6:37Speaker 2: Would stop smiling. The team is not getting a draft it.
- 6:42Speaker 1: Would have been a team award, but another but yeah,
- 6:46Speaker 1: the other school thought is that, like, if you view
- 6:50Speaker 1: these pictures, as uh it sounds, it's a little harsh,
- 6:57Speaker 1: but in a certain way, somewhat like depreciate assets, you know,
- 7:01Speaker 1: if you believe there's only so many innings in an arm,
- 7:03Speaker 1: only so many pitches. The other way of thinking about
- 7:07Speaker 1: it is like team's good, he's good enough, We're gonna
- 7:11Speaker 1: waste more time, you know, waste more bullets, I guess
- 7:15Speaker 1: in the minor leagues, as opposed to having him impact
- 7:18Speaker 1: our major league team. It's a classic case of being
- 7:22Speaker 1: able to talk your way into either scenario.
- 7:25Speaker 3: I do. I do think that.
- 7:28Speaker 1: It should if this was the twenty twenty two Tigers,
- 7:31Speaker 1: the twenty twenty three Tigers, hell, the twenty twenty four Tigers, like,
- 7:35Speaker 1: you know, going into the season, you're probably like, looking
- 7:38Speaker 1: at it's probably the best move to kind of work
- 7:42Speaker 1: him up through Triple A and have him again, you know,
- 7:46Speaker 1: work on all these little pitching jargons.
- 7:49Speaker 3: That they like to throw out there.
- 7:51Speaker 1: But now again, I do believe that the stakes are higher,
- 7:55Speaker 1: and the indications are that they believe that too. Considering
- 7:58Speaker 1: when division, like you know, aj Hinch sain win the
- 8:01Speaker 1: division and then the fact that they brought him up
- 8:04Speaker 1: last year carry him into the postseason. It all lends
- 8:07Speaker 1: itself to this facet. I do, however, want to predict
- 8:13Speaker 1: sometimes around here this time of year, we like to
- 8:16Speaker 1: predict storylines from spring training. One of them will be
- 8:20Speaker 1: I don't want to talk about it from AJ. I
- 8:23Speaker 1: don't want to give an innings limit, you know, to Jackson,
- 8:26Speaker 1: because I don't want him thinking about it while he's
- 8:28Speaker 1: out there on the mount that's.
- 8:30Speaker 3: One hundred p sect that he said. AJ.
- 8:32Speaker 1: I know you're listening, and I know you're smiling because
- 8:34Speaker 1: you've already got that in the chamber first or second.
- 8:38Speaker 2: Day of spring training. He's gonna break that one out.
- 8:41Speaker 1: So uh so, I mean, the bottom line is too code,
- 8:46Speaker 1: and I'm glad you brought up. This is a good
- 8:47Speaker 1: problem to have. This is a good problem to have
- 8:49Speaker 1: for the healthy organization and the talent that is jackson job.
- 8:53Speaker 1: And uh you know has it's been a while since
- 8:56Speaker 1: we had to do a Marcelo Meyer update. So that's
- 8:59Speaker 1: how see how excited everybody is about Joe. I mean,
- 9:02Speaker 1: that's it right there.
- 9:05Speaker 2: You're not wrong, You're not wrong at all.
- 9:08Speaker 3: So we're gonna do this moving forward. This is what
- 9:12Speaker 3: we call it teas here.
- 9:13Speaker 1: We're gonna do this, like you know, probably at the
- 9:15Speaker 1: start of the new year, but we'll kind of look
- 9:17Speaker 1: at some off season moves and how like the state
- 9:20Speaker 1: of the teams that would be like the Tigers like
- 9:22Speaker 1: chief competition in the American League. So we're not gonna
- 9:25Speaker 1: do like a whole deep dive, but it is kind
- 9:27Speaker 1: of topical that, you know, last time we talked, we
- 9:32Speaker 1: were assuming that Bregman had one less suitor.
- 9:37Speaker 3: Now it's like ninety.
- 9:41Speaker 1: Percent sure that's Alex Bregman has one less suitor because
- 9:46Speaker 1: the Astros after you know, getting the stiff arm, brief
- 9:51Speaker 1: stiff arm if you believe the reporting coming from our
- 9:54Speaker 1: colleague Katie wou over there at Cardinals territory, not you know,
- 10:01Speaker 1: it's a no for now, but not no forever. He's
- 10:04Speaker 1: didn't want to wait around, so they went and signed
- 10:06Speaker 1: Christian Walker what was it three years, uh, three years six,
- 10:11Speaker 1: and he's gonna play first base, and they're gonna put
- 10:14Speaker 1: Pardes at third base. So live moving parts there as
- 10:19Speaker 1: it pertains to the Tigers. Now there's for sure one
- 10:23Speaker 1: less suitor for Alex Bregman. And I do wonder how
- 10:28Speaker 1: Boris is gonna play this out because there's so now
- 10:34Speaker 1: there's no like going.
- 10:35Speaker 3: Back home element like that. One is officially done.
- 10:38Speaker 1: It was probably done from the get go, but now
- 10:41Speaker 1: like there's no possibility your ex has moved on. So
- 10:44Speaker 1: so you can only look forward. If you're Alex, so
- 10:48Speaker 1: is he looking at a bidding war for his services
- 10:53Speaker 1: or is he looking at situation, because it would be
- 11:00Speaker 1: it will be very I'll be very curious whether an
- 11:03Speaker 1: actual bidding war takes place or if the contracts are
- 11:07Speaker 1: more or less gonna be in the same realm, and
- 11:10Speaker 1: he kind of kind of like rookie will be doing
- 11:14Speaker 1: like he gets to kind of choose his situation more
- 11:17Speaker 1: so than his contract because the contract will kind of
- 11:20Speaker 1: speak for itself. Here, take clauses and options, and you know,
- 11:23Speaker 1: blah blah blah, because each one that we think Boston,
- 11:30Speaker 1: New York's right, both of them kind of in there
- 11:33Speaker 1: and in Detroit, like each one of them kind of present,
- 11:37Speaker 1: I would say, like a viable option for what would
- 11:41Speaker 1: be the more or less the last act of his career.
- 11:44Speaker 1: So do you have a read on what this like
- 11:48Speaker 1: market could be. What you think is like a likely
- 11:52Speaker 1: way for it to play out, not necessarily where he's
- 11:54Speaker 1: gonna sign, but sort of like the actions that lead
- 11:57Speaker 1: to him agreeing to a contract.
- 12:00Speaker 2: I don't know that I have a great read. I
- 12:02Speaker 2: know that if I were Scott Boris, I think I
- 12:04Speaker 2: would be beginning to get a little bit nervous because
- 12:09Speaker 2: this market has cooled pretty quickly. Maybe that's expected around
- 12:14Speaker 2: the holidays or whatever, But it seems like if anyone
- 12:17Speaker 2: we're willing to pay the two hundred million, it probably
- 12:21Speaker 2: would have happened by now. I think it seems like
- 12:24Speaker 2: no one wants to give Bregman that money. Were the
- 12:26Speaker 2: years probably that would require that level of money. So
- 12:33Speaker 2: I don't know that there's going to be a bidding
- 12:34Speaker 2: war between the Yankees and the Red Sox. I think
- 12:39Speaker 2: the Red Sox make a ton of sense. If I
- 12:41Speaker 2: had to guess where he goes, I'd probably be my
- 12:43Speaker 2: prediction right now. But it's some of the I don't
- 12:47Speaker 2: even want to call it reporting rumors that are out there,
- 12:50Speaker 2: is like Kora likes him more than the front office
- 12:52Speaker 2: likes and stuff like that. I would be glad to
- 12:56Speaker 2: fire boss and have Bregman bang doubles off the Green
- 12:58Speaker 2: Monster all day long. Like if that, you know, and
- 13:01Speaker 2: Ronado looms out there in theory, he would be okay
- 13:04Speaker 2: going to the Yankees or the Red Sox. So what
- 13:08Speaker 2: if you know, if you're bored, you're like, all right, well,
- 13:10Speaker 2: Bregman's going to go to the Yankees. We're going to
- 13:12Speaker 2: get them to pay up. Or if they trade for
- 13:13Speaker 2: Arnato and then it's like, what if the Red Sox
- 13:16Speaker 2: are lukewarm on him? Then, man, the Tigers, what if
- 13:20Speaker 2: they can slide in with a nice discount deal, you know,
- 13:25Speaker 2: knock the years down, knock the money down a little bit.
- 13:27Speaker 2: That could be a great scenario for Detroit. In some
- 13:30Speaker 2: ways things are shaping up, maybe to the Tigers liking.
- 13:34Speaker 2: But we're gonna see what the next step is here.
- 13:37Speaker 2: And I think it all depends is why these other
- 13:39Speaker 2: teams going to be willing to kind of go all
- 13:42Speaker 2: in for Alex Bregman. I don't know this for a fact.
- 13:47Speaker 2: I guess the sense the Tigers aren't going to do
- 13:49Speaker 2: that unless kind of that next shoe drops and it
- 13:53Speaker 2: could there could another team get in on this, Like
- 13:56Speaker 2: what are what are the Seattle Mariners doing right now?
- 13:59Speaker 2: Why are they not are in this discussion? Is a
- 14:02Speaker 2: question I have. It's gonna be a super fascinating thing
- 14:07Speaker 2: to see how this market shakes up and right now,
- 14:10Speaker 2: especially how quiet it is. I wonder if this is
- 14:12Speaker 2: going to turn into a longer process than we might
- 14:16Speaker 2: have envisioned, even around the time of winter meetings.
- 14:20Speaker 3: Is there.
- 14:22Speaker 1: Is it on the board that Bregman decides to do
- 14:27Speaker 1: one of those Korea type contracts or Bellinger type contracts
- 14:31Speaker 1: where it's three years. Years don't really matter because it's
- 14:36Speaker 1: all about the opt out clauses. Like you know, you
- 14:38Speaker 1: you throw out some fugeze year number and some fighesy
- 14:42Speaker 1: salary numbers that's a word, yeah, and then you just
- 14:46Speaker 1: and then and then you just like basically like we
- 14:48Speaker 1: we all understand what's going on here, Like we watch you,
- 14:52Speaker 1: we would love to keep you, but we also know
- 14:55Speaker 1: what you're looking for. Like like because remember Korea signed
- 15:00Speaker 1: and before it's twenty twenty two, he signed three years,
- 15:02Speaker 1: one hundred and five, all right, and had opt outs
- 15:05Speaker 1: after the first and second seasons. So again blamer Astro
- 15:09Speaker 1: talk of the town free agent. That's what he ends
- 15:12Speaker 1: up signing. Of course, like he's done the opt out
- 15:15Speaker 1: and then he had the Giants thing we all know,
- 15:18Speaker 1: so like, is that in play for Bregmant? Is that
- 15:23Speaker 1: something that we that maybe like if you're gonna say,
- 15:25Speaker 1: like the tigers pounce pun the tiger's pounce, Like is
- 15:30Speaker 1: that the pounce?
- 15:31Speaker 3: Is that the pounce?
- 15:31Speaker 2: But not necessarily I'm sure they would love that. Yeah,
- 15:34Speaker 2: I'm sure that's probably kind of what they're hoping for.
- 15:36Speaker 2: I don't if you're pregnant, like if someone offers you,
- 15:40Speaker 2: I don't know, six one sixty five or something like that, like,
- 15:45Speaker 2: is that really not good enough for you? Man? Maybe
- 15:47Speaker 2: even get up to one to eighty, Like, I think
- 15:50Speaker 2: I would take that rather than risk something. He's coming
- 15:57Speaker 2: off a good year. It's not like he has to
- 15:59Speaker 2: recoup any value. The Karaia thing happened because I don't know,
- 16:05Speaker 2: because other teams got desperate and signed Hobby Bias before
- 16:08Speaker 2: the lockout, and then the market just kind of crashed. Like,
- 16:11Speaker 2: I don't maybe the market for Bregmant isn't as strong
- 16:14Speaker 2: as we once thought it was going to be. Where
- 16:16Speaker 2: is it like intense that teams were going to bid
- 16:18Speaker 2: up the value and stuff like that. But I think
- 16:21Speaker 2: there's still interest and he's still going to get a
- 16:23Speaker 2: large payday versus the risk of signing one of these
- 16:28Speaker 2: deals with some opt outs and you re enter free
- 16:30Speaker 2: agency and you're another year older. And let's say you'd
- 16:35Speaker 2: take one of these three year deals with an opt
- 16:37Speaker 2: out and you go to Camerica Park and you don't
- 16:40Speaker 2: hit for any bower, Like, are you really as much
- 16:43Speaker 2: as I think you'd be a great fit for the Tigers,
- 16:45Speaker 2: Like there's some risk factor involved there. I think if
- 16:49Speaker 2: I were advising Brettman, I was like, dude, we're going
- 16:51Speaker 2: to get you paid. It might take a little bit longer.
- 16:53Speaker 2: Maybe you're not going to get two hundred million, but
- 16:55Speaker 2: we're going to get you a nice contract. I mean,
- 17:00Speaker 2: And I think I don't think he's like, when the
- 17:03Speaker 2: market is crashed, it's become a little bit of a
- 17:05Speaker 2: bad look for Boris. I would have to think he's
- 17:07Speaker 2: trying to avoid that happening with his bigger clients this year,
- 17:11Speaker 2: and so far he's off to a very good start.
- 17:13Speaker 2: But we got a couple more big boys still on
- 17:16Speaker 2: the board here.
- 17:16Speaker 3: Yeah. I don't know. I don't know.
- 17:18Speaker 1: If the Soto contract gets to UH gets everybody forget
- 17:21Speaker 1: about any sort of market crashing, I don't know.
- 17:23Speaker 3: That that'd be.
- 17:24Speaker 1: That'd be something for like two years from now for
- 17:26Speaker 1: us to revisit UH. But part of the desire for
- 17:33Speaker 1: the Tigers to bring in Bregman is because like if
- 17:37Speaker 1: you look at if I do this every now and then,
- 17:39Speaker 1: I just go and look at last year's roster, which
- 17:41Speaker 1: for the most part is this year's roster, and you'd think.
- 17:47Speaker 3: Not, I can't say that I would have guaranteed.
- 17:51Speaker 1: Some sort of running the playoffs, you know, with what
- 17:54Speaker 1: they were trying out there, and and that's a credit
- 17:58Speaker 1: to everybody involved. It's a credit age staff, you know,
- 18:02Speaker 1: Scott making, you know, pushing the right buttons, blah blah blah.
- 18:05Speaker 3: But you still feel like.
- 18:06Speaker 1: There's room to upgrade this roster, and Reregman slides in
- 18:09Speaker 1: there at a very natural spot because the American League,
- 18:13Speaker 1: we've talked about this, although it is not top heavy,
- 18:17Speaker 1: there's still a lot of what we could call contenders,
- 18:22Speaker 1: and I know, like a top ten list in Major
- 18:24Speaker 1: League Baseball really doesn't matter like at all. But Buster
- 18:28Speaker 1: only put out his top ten this week. I think
- 18:31Speaker 1: it was Thursday, maybe Friday, and I was like, I
- 18:35Speaker 1: wonder if Tigers on here, No, they you know who?
- 18:41Speaker 3: You know who was on there? The Yankees, how outrageous,
- 18:43Speaker 3: not just kidding. Who was on there?
- 18:46Speaker 1: Was the Guardians, and I don't have it from you.
- 18:48Speaker 1: I think they were like six. And then at number
- 18:51Speaker 1: ten was the Kansas City Royals, who, like, I don't
- 18:58Speaker 1: think anyone in Kansas City scared Detroit. I don't think
- 19:01Speaker 1: anyone's in Detroit is scared of Kansas City, right, I
- 19:03Speaker 1: think that's like a good way.
- 19:04Speaker 3: To put it.
- 19:05Speaker 1: And they but they notched out like the Red Sox
- 19:09Speaker 1: and the and the Tigers for that ten spot, and
- 19:12Speaker 1: it just got me thinking, like this is why you like,
- 19:17Speaker 1: there's like a longing for a Bregmant type move, because
- 19:21Speaker 1: like there's as cool as everything last year was, it's
- 19:25Speaker 1: still last year. I'm pulling it up right now. As
- 19:27Speaker 1: I taught Cleveland was seven. I was read the top
- 19:29Speaker 1: ten right now. So number one Dodgers on two Philadelphia,
- 19:34Speaker 1: which is kind of funny given like it just feels
- 19:37Speaker 1: like something volatile with like some of the moves they
- 19:39Speaker 1: may or may not make, and you know, day's always
- 19:41Speaker 1: a wild card, right Atlanta, Number three New York. So
- 19:46Speaker 1: that's that's three National League teams. That's what I mean
- 19:49Speaker 1: about like the American League, the Yankees, four, Padres, five Mets, six,
- 19:55Speaker 1: Guardians seven, Orioles eight Mariners nine, and man.
- 20:04Speaker 3: It might be surprising, that's what he said.
- 20:06Speaker 1: But basically I think he's anticipating them kind of taking
- 20:10Speaker 1: over the West, so therefore, like he's going to put
- 20:13Speaker 1: them there, which.
- 20:14Speaker 2: Texas strangers a rasuer, I'm telling you guys.
- 20:19Speaker 1: And then, like I say, Kansas City is ted. So
- 20:24Speaker 1: what do you make of that list?
- 20:27Speaker 2: That the Mariners very much surprised me, But otherwise I
- 20:30Speaker 2: think that's a fine list. In relation to the Tigers,
- 20:34Speaker 2: they're not on there. They're not on a lot of
- 20:36Speaker 2: other power I think as I'm like fourteenth on some
- 20:39Speaker 2: power rankings, they're not on there because they're not good
- 20:41Speaker 2: enough right now. To take all this a step further,
- 20:44Speaker 2: as Kieran goes and checks on the pets, the Tigers,
- 20:47Speaker 2: like Fangrafts just came out with their zips projections for
- 20:51Speaker 2: the Tigers. I look forward to this day every year
- 20:53Speaker 2: just because it's very interesting, and I've been saying for
- 20:57Speaker 2: a while these projections are going to come out and
- 21:00Speaker 2: the Tigers are going to be like seventy eight, seventy nine,
- 21:03Speaker 2: eighty something like that wins, And sure enough, Dan Simborski rights,
- 21:10Speaker 2: this team really needs to add another impact that there
- 21:13Speaker 2: a variety of spots in the lineup they can target,
- 21:15Speaker 2: and players like Alex Bregmant and Taos Fergrnandez remain on
- 21:18Speaker 2: the board. Personally, I don't like Hernandez as a fit
- 21:21Speaker 2: for Detroit, but obviously Bregman. Yeah. It goes on to
- 21:25Speaker 2: say that the Tigers are projected to be about a
- 21:28Speaker 2: five hundred team. A five hundred team with some upside
- 21:31Speaker 2: is a team to take seriously in the Al Central,
- 21:34Speaker 2: and there's still the theoretical possibility the Tigers do more
- 21:37Speaker 2: this winter. I agree with all that five hundred. You
- 21:40Speaker 2: look at these projections, you could argue it maybe is
- 21:42Speaker 2: undervaluing Riley Green a little bit. Maybe it's undervaluing Colt
- 21:46Speaker 2: Keith a little bit. I would argue it could still
- 21:49Speaker 2: be overvaluing Tray Sweeney. And it very much likes the
- 21:52Speaker 2: team's pitching staff, but there can always be volatility in pitching.
- 21:57Speaker 2: When I look at this, it really brings things into
- 21:59Speaker 2: folk because if the Tigers add one more impact that
- 22:02Speaker 2: they're a lot better. If they had a five win player,
- 22:05Speaker 2: they could go from being picked to win eighty games
- 22:08Speaker 2: to eighty four eighty five games, and that can make
- 22:11Speaker 2: a big difference. You can look at this and even
- 22:15Speaker 2: continue to make the case for adding another established starter
- 22:18Speaker 2: to really just kind of bulk up and strengthen this rotation.
- 22:23Speaker 2: These projections are really interesting and I hope you will
- 22:26Speaker 2: go check it out. At Fangrafts, they do projections kind
- 22:30Speaker 2: of like jayse Young predicted he'll be a two war player.
- 22:33Speaker 2: There's some other very interesting things in here, but I
- 22:37Speaker 2: just keep coming back to like they're not in the
- 22:39Speaker 2: top ten because there is not a top ten roster
- 22:41Speaker 2: right now. They could easily be a top ten roster
- 22:44Speaker 2: with one and a half serious additions and this oboseason
- 22:50Speaker 2: not over, but you know, kind of the budget editions
- 22:54Speaker 2: aren't going to get you there.
- 22:58Speaker 3: That's a good way to put it, because it like.
- 23:01Speaker 1: Because that's like it's kind of like two statements that's
- 23:06Speaker 1: that's say different things, but they're also the same. So
- 23:08Speaker 1: it's like the Tigers are close. If you just look
- 23:11Speaker 1: at how far they got last year, you say, yes,
- 23:13Speaker 1: the Tigers are close, and that almost lends itself to
- 23:17Speaker 1: running it back. Keep doing what you're doing, and in
- 23:21Speaker 1: a way you could say it's not like the most
- 23:23Speaker 1: wrong approach to have, but you say, like the Tigers
- 23:27Speaker 1: are close to they get one more bat, they can
- 23:30Speaker 1: go here. Then then then we're talking about something completely different,
- 23:35Speaker 1: you know what I mean?
- 23:35Speaker 3: So like like I I.
- 23:37Speaker 1: Liked, I liked, I like Stavas like that the Tigers
- 23:39Speaker 1: are close, Yes they are close, But which version of
- 23:42Speaker 1: that statement are you are you saying?
- 23:44Speaker 3: And that's why and we have to spend a whole
- 23:45Speaker 3: lot of time on it. But that's why I was like, look.
- 23:50Speaker 1: If if Cody Bellinger is essentially free and you're not
- 23:58Speaker 1: getting anywhere with some of these other options, I know,
- 24:00Speaker 1: he's not the most natural fit. Like they the Yankees
- 24:05Speaker 1: got him, and they got cash. They got him for
- 24:08Speaker 1: like a less than one more player, So like like
- 24:11Speaker 1: like at a certain point, like a pitcher too, Like
- 24:14Speaker 1: you could have done every team could have done that trade.
- 24:16Speaker 1: What'll we say about a tiny's contract. Every team could
- 24:19Speaker 1: have done that contract. Every team could have made a
- 24:21Speaker 1: Bellinger trade, Like you got you got an arm that
- 24:25Speaker 1: you know that is worth less than one win above replacement,
- 24:30Speaker 1: and you can get this guy who is going to
- 24:32Speaker 1: give you a higher output offensively, you know, or a
- 24:35Speaker 1: higher output and it be offensively like Carboner insurance anybody
- 24:42Speaker 1: give yourself the ability to be a little bit more
- 24:44Speaker 1: optionality with some of your pieces in the lineup, and
- 24:47Speaker 1: and and just like get you, get you another lefty
- 24:50Speaker 1: power hitter. Like I know it's not like seamless, but
- 24:54Speaker 1: to me, it still kind of makes you better, Like
- 24:56Speaker 1: like that kind of thing.
- 24:56Speaker 3: I said, don't want to spend a whole lot of
- 24:58Speaker 3: time in it. But when I see like.
- 25:00Speaker 1: Aid returns, I'm like, come on, man, like you could
- 25:04Speaker 1: have done that, like you know.
- 25:06Speaker 3: You know what I mean.
- 25:07Speaker 1: It's like I got upset when I'm on like eBay
- 25:08Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh, I don't wanna.
- 25:10Speaker 3: It's all much.
- 25:11Speaker 1: I'm willing to pay for it. And then I see
- 25:12Speaker 1: it went like one dollar more. I was like I
- 25:14Speaker 1: could have paid that.
- 25:15Speaker 3: You know.
- 25:16Speaker 1: That's how I feel about some of some of these trades.
- 25:18Speaker 1: But so die Tribe over on that the bigger. The
- 25:23Speaker 1: bigger thing when it comes to, you know, upgrading the
- 25:25Speaker 1: roster and the Bregmant conversation is how do the Tigers
- 25:31Speaker 1: view Jace Young? Because I I always kind of felt like,
- 25:39Speaker 1: you know, they like him, they see him for the
- 25:42Speaker 1: prospect that he is. You're not really banking on Jace Young.
- 25:47Speaker 1: You're you're certainly not keeping it like, uh, you know,
- 25:52Speaker 1: keeping you from upgrading that position. He's not like a
- 25:54Speaker 1: Torkalsen type like presence, you know, like the number one
- 25:59Speaker 1: over pick, the face of the rebuild, you know, that.
- 26:01Speaker 2: Kind of thing.
- 26:04Speaker 1: But at the same time, like if they're gonna do
- 26:08Speaker 1: next to nothing at third base, then I have to
- 26:12Speaker 1: kind of re evaluate how I think they look at
- 26:15Speaker 1: Jase Young, who you know, he only had seventy nine
- 26:17Speaker 1: at bats two forty one. He was on base three
- 26:21Speaker 1: sixty two. You know, I got his like minor league numbers.
- 26:25Speaker 1: He's a three seventy seven on base in Triple A,
- 26:27Speaker 1: which is where he spent the majority of last season. Obviously, uh,
- 26:33Speaker 1: seems to be a below average slightly below average fielder.
- 26:38Speaker 1: And I didn't see butcher, but that word has been
- 26:42Speaker 1: thrown around me views on this podcast before. I just
- 26:45Speaker 1: felt like this, like if this was if there was
- 26:47Speaker 1: one of your first round picks that you weren't gonna
- 26:49Speaker 1: be worried about like superseding, it would have been Jace Young.
- 26:54Speaker 1: But if they're gonna like go around Jase Young to
- 26:57Speaker 1: improve the roster, and then it's like maybe they like
- 26:59Speaker 1: him more than I thought.
- 26:59Speaker 2: I don't know. I think that's still one of the
- 27:02Speaker 2: great mysteries. You know. I tried to get a sense
- 27:05Speaker 2: of that at winter meetings Tectical Scott and aj about it,
- 27:08Speaker 2: and I don't know that anything they said really like
- 27:12Speaker 2: informed my view of how much they do or don't
- 27:14Speaker 2: like him. You know, they said kind of gave the
- 27:17Speaker 2: rundown of him as a player, like he has some
- 27:19Speaker 2: things to improve, blah blah blah. You know, we know
- 27:21Speaker 2: he can hit things of that nature. I do think
- 27:26Speaker 2: it's a little bit of a mystery because we were
- 27:28Speaker 2: coming up the season kind of you didn't play it
- 27:30Speaker 2: all in the playoffs. You're kind of starting to get
- 27:33Speaker 2: this perception that, like, they don't have a lot of
- 27:35Speaker 2: confidence in them. But then you step back and even
- 27:39Speaker 2: in his first taste of big league action, he was
- 27:41Speaker 2: getting on base. There's a guy who really has hit
- 27:44Speaker 2: pretty consistently throughout his minor league career at every level.
- 27:51Speaker 2: We know this team loves its young hitters, Like there's
- 27:53Speaker 2: still some things that Jays Young brings to the table
- 27:56Speaker 2: that you probably wouldn't just want to pass up. And
- 27:59Speaker 2: I think now that sounds like Cole Keith's going to
- 28:01Speaker 2: get some time at first, Like maybe that opens some
- 28:04Speaker 2: time for Jase at second. And I tend to think
- 28:06Speaker 2: that's still a better fit for him. But a lot
- 28:10Speaker 2: of their decisions could indeed revolve around how confident they
- 28:14Speaker 2: ultimately are in him, in him in his future.
- 28:20Speaker 3: Yeah, and.
- 28:22Speaker 1: Like you know, it's a big twelve guy, Like I'm
- 28:25Speaker 1: I'm rooting for the big twelve guys, you know, and
- 28:28Speaker 1: and so like I would like to think, like, all right,
- 28:31Speaker 1: here's you know, if he was the prospect of his brother,
- 28:33Speaker 1: you know, that'd be that would be awesome. But but
- 28:37Speaker 1: it we used to I'm not getting any real indications
- 28:40Speaker 1: here from that, And so you know, for the lefty
- 28:44Speaker 1: thing in with the like I just that's why, like
- 28:49Speaker 1: half jokingly, kind of serious said, like, you know, talk
- 28:53Speaker 1: about Jase Young like you know, winter meetings or whatever,
- 28:56Speaker 1: because like I wanted to get some better perspective on it.
- 29:02Speaker 1: And if you're not in love with Jay so young
- 29:05Speaker 1: and you have a playoff team that you want to
- 29:08Speaker 1: win the division that like the rest of the roster
- 29:10Speaker 1: is not strong enough.
- 29:12Speaker 3: Two with real stakes.
- 29:15Speaker 1: Just kind of hope for for ja Song, if that
- 29:18Speaker 1: makes sense, And so like, you know, I try to
- 29:23Speaker 1: find like some alternatives, and you know, like they're part
- 29:28Speaker 1: of why.
- 29:28Speaker 3: This is so hard.
- 29:29Speaker 1: There's just like not that many like options that you
- 29:32Speaker 1: the A that you like or B that you think
- 29:34Speaker 1: like the Tigers would like, you know, and and so
- 29:37Speaker 1: like I was looking at free agents, I was looking
- 29:39Speaker 1: at you know, and also if somebody placed their base,
- 29:42Speaker 1: then like you play like one ding at first base,
- 29:45Speaker 1: all of a sudden you're more of a first basement.
- 29:47Speaker 3: So it's like, how much is it really this that
- 29:48Speaker 3: other thing?
- 29:50Speaker 1: So, speaking of Big twelve, I'm just gonna go back
- 29:51Speaker 1: to the well there, I've mentioned them before, but Christian
- 29:54Speaker 1: and Incarnaci own Strand.
- 29:57Speaker 3: That's always hard for me to say that for some reason.
- 30:00Speaker 3: Uh okahma State guy, he hasn't really.
- 30:03Speaker 1: Gotten a lot of run in Cincinnati, and Cincinnati's another team.
- 30:08Speaker 1: I said this before that I'm just like ver, I'm
- 30:11Speaker 1: not really sure how they're trying to go about things.
- 30:14Speaker 1: Of Francona was just on like a podcast just speaking
- 30:17Speaker 1: generally about you know, you need a thousand at bats
- 30:20Speaker 1: to figure out, you know, a guy at the major
- 30:22Speaker 1: league level, and uh, Incarnacion Strand is at one sixteen.
- 30:27Speaker 1: So it's like, are you doing the are you giving
- 30:32Speaker 1: him the thousand? He won sixteen last year, one sixteen
- 30:37Speaker 1: last year, so like and he's been hurt. Uh the
- 30:41Speaker 1: numbers aren't great, but in the minor leagues in Triple
- 30:44Speaker 1: A he was four hundred on base, so like, like
- 30:49Speaker 1: there's a profile there that potentially makes sense. He's a
- 30:52Speaker 1: right hander, Like I didn't do like a deep die
- 30:54Speaker 1: because there's so many like, uh, you know, there's so
- 30:58Speaker 1: many stats for this that. The other thing, he hasn't
- 31:00Speaker 1: played a lot of third base at the major league level,
- 31:02Speaker 1: so they just gonna make him a first baseman. But
- 31:04Speaker 1: as of now, that at that bat is not a
- 31:06Speaker 1: first base bat, so he kind of has to play
- 31:08Speaker 1: third base if I were to be honest with him.
- 31:11Speaker 1: Uh So, like in theory, maybe he'll be going there
- 31:14Speaker 1: a little bit more.
- 31:17Speaker 3: I don't know.
- 31:17Speaker 1: The Rangers have a guy that seems kind of like
- 31:20Speaker 1: locked out. He's on their forty man, Jonathan or Nellis.
- 31:24Speaker 1: He's a it was a twenty eighteen draft pick, I believe,
- 31:28Speaker 1: a third round pick, but just says you can almost
- 31:32Speaker 1: get some Wentzel Perez vibes from him about like how
- 31:36Speaker 1: how long it's kind of taken. He hasn't really he
- 31:38Speaker 1: didn't have the year that Perez did. But how long
- 31:40Speaker 1: it's taken for him? And he's you know, they got
- 31:41Speaker 1: will Smith, they got the older young. There's not really
- 31:44Speaker 1: like a they got sime In and Seeger like infield's
- 31:47Speaker 1: kind of loaded in turn and they just got just
- 31:50Speaker 1: got Burger.
- 31:51Speaker 3: So not really a whole lot of spots for him.
- 31:53Speaker 3: Maybe he could.
- 31:53Speaker 1: He's a guy if you found like a trait that
- 31:55Speaker 1: you really like. But he hasn't had a lot of
- 31:56Speaker 1: major league experience. But uh, maybe you could get him
- 32:00Speaker 1: for you know, something on the cheap. But I just
- 32:02Speaker 1: don't like, I just didn't find a lot of names.
- 32:05Speaker 1: I thought, yes, this satisfies the boxes for me and
- 32:08Speaker 1: the Tigers.
- 32:09Speaker 2: Yeah, third base alternatives kind of on the low end
- 32:12Speaker 2: of the market do not move the needle. The needle
- 32:14Speaker 2: for me. We saw it last year with like Geo
- 32:16Speaker 2: or Schella. Like I would like to think the Tigers
- 32:18Speaker 2: are beyond a Geo Orchella type. Addition, you know, if
- 32:24Speaker 2: they don't get a Bregmant and they can't trade for Arnatto,
- 32:27Speaker 2: I would hope they go straight to Hassan Kim regardless
- 32:30Speaker 2: of how long he may be out. I think one
- 32:33Speaker 2: thing that's not fully being considered in the Kim discussion
- 32:36Speaker 2: is that, like he's a pretty good shortstop if and
- 32:40Speaker 2: we're all just assuming Trey Sweeney is going to be good,
- 32:42Speaker 2: what if Tray Sweeney doesn't hit hasng Kim if the
- 32:45Speaker 2: Tigers sign him, could be like their shortstop next year,
- 32:49Speaker 2: and then maybe you just roll with it with Young
- 32:51Speaker 2: and Vierling and Kim can play some third or some
- 32:54Speaker 2: second as well. So that's still like the alternative. I
- 32:58Speaker 2: like that may still cost you a little bit of
- 32:59Speaker 2: my me if we're just doing nothing, It's hard for
- 33:03Speaker 2: me to find a third base option that I'm in
- 33:06Speaker 2: love with. But another thing that's kind of been forgotten
- 33:11Speaker 2: is that right after the season, Scott Harris kind of
- 33:14Speaker 2: so we need right handed bat. It could be an
- 33:16Speaker 2: infielder or an outfielder. Speaking to Matt Vierling's versatility, the
- 33:20Speaker 2: name that hasn't really come up, I think because he
- 33:22Speaker 2: plays outfield is Randall Gritchick, right handed bat, great against lefties,
- 33:29Speaker 2: gets on base, a little bit of an older guy,
- 33:32Speaker 2: but he has some experience and just came across somes
- 33:36Speaker 2: like Paul Goldsman. It might be going to the Yankees,
- 33:39Speaker 2: so I thought that wasn't a reality. So, like, you know,
- 33:44Speaker 2: that would basically mean Matt Vierling playing a lot on
- 33:47Speaker 2: the dirt where he is not as good as he
- 33:49Speaker 2: is in the outfield, but you know, would probably be
- 33:52Speaker 2: a better boost to the offense than getting an unimproven
- 33:56Speaker 2: guy like in Karnassium's strand, which I don't think is like,
- 34:00Speaker 2: you know, to be clear, we're just throwing out names
- 34:02Speaker 2: when we say when we say that and some other guys.
- 34:05Speaker 2: Grit Chick's the name that I like. I don't think
- 34:07Speaker 2: I wouldn't want veering on the dirt that much, but
- 34:10Speaker 2: otherwise I think it would be a solid fit. So okay,
- 34:14Speaker 2: all right, hold on, if Goldschmith's going to New York,
- 34:17Speaker 2: and it's been reported that might make Ronado want to
- 34:20Speaker 2: go to New York a little bit twelve point five
- 34:22Speaker 2: million for Paul Goldschman' to the Yankees, John Nayman just
- 34:25Speaker 2: now put that out there live. Uh, that's not a
- 34:29Speaker 2: lot of money for gold Schmant. Does this mean Arnado
- 34:33Speaker 2: to the Yankees? If so, is it Red Sox Tigers
- 34:36Speaker 2: for Bregnant? Maybe we're getting somewhere maybe we're getting somewhere.
- 34:40Speaker 1: Could be And then you know, the Socks have been
- 34:43Speaker 1: like a little bit more active than they had been,
- 34:46Speaker 1: you know, the previous couple of years. And again you're
- 34:48Speaker 1: still trying to figure out what ownership is really wanting.
- 34:51Speaker 1: I know a lot of fans are out on this
- 34:54Speaker 1: ownership group for how they've been.
- 34:55Speaker 2: Yeah, there is a word on the street that one
- 34:58Speaker 2: theo Epstein has been encouraging Craig Breslo to be a
- 35:01Speaker 2: little more aggressive, to not be afraid of signing big contracts.
- 35:06Speaker 2: It makes me wonder, like Steve don't ever tell that
- 35:09Speaker 2: to his guys in Detroit, Like, yeah, the.
- 35:12Speaker 1: You know, there's there's other people from other historic baseball
- 35:15Speaker 1: towns that if you want to share some wisdom, I mean,
- 35:17Speaker 1: that'd be.
- 35:18Speaker 2: I mean maybe they've worked for you before.
- 35:20Speaker 3: I mean you made a meat cake or something like that.
- 35:24Speaker 3: All right, that's fun. Yeah, I mean, some some things
- 35:28Speaker 3: are happening.
- 35:29Speaker 1: We're not all at the same time, but but some.
- 35:33Speaker 3: Things are happening. So uh.
- 35:35Speaker 1: And again, this discourse can be like fun and frustrating
- 35:39Speaker 1: at the same time because you'd like to talk about
- 35:41Speaker 1: something more tangible, but sometimes you get into be like, well,
- 35:44Speaker 1: what about this, what about It's it's fine, it's it's
- 35:47Speaker 1: it's still it's still a good time talking about the
- 35:49Speaker 1: tigers here right before Christmas.
- 35:51Speaker 2: So and spar As they have a signer reliever that's
- 35:54Speaker 2: been a weird market. I expect them to ruin my
- 35:57Speaker 2: my Christmas pto by signing leader.
- 36:01Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 36:02Speaker 1: You know, if they probably won't pop on the podcast
- 36:06Speaker 1: for a reliever signing, but if they do, bragmant we might.
- 36:09Speaker 3: Have to figure it out.
- 36:10Speaker 1: So so there there's a there's another t so because
- 36:13Speaker 1: we say maybe it will happen. Now, I want to
- 36:16Speaker 1: thank everybody for listening, Apple, Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts,
- 36:20Speaker 1: and also on YouTube, be sure to subscribe to that.
- 36:23Speaker 1: We got things in the works for the new year
- 36:26Speaker 1: and the post Christmas holiday. Uh So, we appreciate everybody
- 36:30Speaker 1: sticking with us through this busy time of the year.
- 36:33Speaker 1: So for Cody Stavenhagen, I'm Karen Stickley. Everybody have a
- 36:38Speaker 1: great holiday.