Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Tariff Chaos OVER!?🚨Crypto Technical Analysis📈 with Evan Aldo
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: You heard it right, guys.
- 0:01Speaker 2: The Supreme Court's hearing and result is now going against
- 0:05Speaker 2: Donald Trump. This is a big one because it is
- 0:07Speaker 2: going to have some impact on the markets. Let's get
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- 0:54Speaker 2: The one I would go with Chinese New Year, the
- 0:57Speaker 2: Year of the Horse.
- 0:58Speaker 1: Speaking of that, we got us talk about.
- 1:01Speaker 2: The Year of the Horse, because the things might get
- 1:04Speaker 2: pretty dicey here in terms of how the market is
- 1:06Speaker 2: going to be brewing.
- 1:07Speaker 1: So I thought, let's bring in one of our expert traders.
- 1:10Speaker 1: That is mister Evan Aldo, coming in from who knows
- 1:13Speaker 1: where today. Evan, how are you man?
- 1:15Speaker 3: Doing a wild doing? Will always great to be on.
- 1:17Speaker 3: Paul enjoying Peru.
- 1:20Speaker 1: I love it Peru. I love it man. What food
- 1:23Speaker 1: food in Peru?
- 1:24Speaker 3: It's still in Peru is incredible.
- 1:26Speaker 1: It's yeah, it's fantastic.
- 1:28Speaker 2: So lim Lima one of the best restaurant cities in
- 1:31Speaker 2: the world.
- 1:32Speaker 1: Listen.
- 1:32Speaker 2: If you guys are not following Evanaldo, jump over to
- 1:34Speaker 2: his YouTube channel right now and hit.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Subscribe right there.
- 1:39Speaker 2: You guys can too be part of the Evan Aldo
- 1:43Speaker 2: group out there. Very easy to jump in, So visit
- 1:47Speaker 2: evan Aldo over on YouTube. He's doing crypto trading market
- 1:50Speaker 2: cipher tutorials. If you don't know what market cipher is,
- 1:52Speaker 2: it's a great trading endacy that helps you make better trades,
- 1:57Speaker 2: whether you're long short, how you want to play the market,
- 2:00Speaker 2: it's getting into it.
- 2:00Speaker 1: So cool stuff.
- 2:02Speaker 2: Hey, Evan we had to talk about a few things
- 2:04Speaker 2: right now. One of the biggest issues, of course, one
- 2:06Speaker 2: of the most anticipated rulings in decades. The US Supreme
- 2:10Speaker 2: Court now has ruled President Trump's emergency tariffs are illegal,
- 2:14Speaker 2: and that means eight months of chaos completely reversing out this,
- 2:19Speaker 2: of course, is the amount of money that the US
- 2:23Speaker 2: could possibly face in potential tariff refunds. I have no
- 2:28Speaker 2: idea how this is going to unwind, Evan, but this
- 2:31Speaker 2: is going to get crazy because the refund process is
- 2:35Speaker 2: going to be a mess. As you can kind of
- 2:37Speaker 2: see as acknowledged at an oral argument, the refund process
- 2:40Speaker 2: is likely to be a mess. How does this First
- 2:43Speaker 2: of all, when you look at this news, you would
- 2:45Speaker 2: think that bitcoin and the markets might have actually moved.
- 2:50Speaker 2: But Bitcoin trading at sixty seven too right now as
- 2:53Speaker 2: we record this.
- 2:54Speaker 1: What do you think?
- 2:55Speaker 4: So?
- 2:56Speaker 3: I think that this is not a surprise. Betting odds
- 2:58Speaker 3: were always that this court would not rule in favor
- 3:01Speaker 3: of Trump. So I think a lot of this has
- 3:03Speaker 3: kind of already been factored into a certain extent if
- 3:06Speaker 3: you look at the betting odds. I think for the
- 3:07Speaker 3: actual refunds, if this will actually happen, I don't think
- 3:11Speaker 3: the majority of those refunds will not be happening. I mean,
- 3:14Speaker 3: think about how the government, how inefficient the government is
- 3:16Speaker 3: to begin with. You know, it's not going to the
- 3:18Speaker 3: majority of that money ain't going back. So you know,
- 3:21Speaker 3: I think some of the tariffs are going to remain.
- 3:23Speaker 3: Trump already hinted that he's got some more tricks up
- 3:25Speaker 3: his sleeves, so you're still going to see tariffs. I
- 3:27Speaker 3: think a little bit less though, So you know, I
- 3:30Speaker 3: don't think this has any net positive or negative for
- 3:34Speaker 3: the market really in my view.
- 3:37Speaker 2: Okay, so let's look at the bitcoin chart because I
- 3:39Speaker 2: want to know how it compares to other charts that
- 3:43Speaker 2: are out there. If you look at bitcoin where it
- 3:45Speaker 2: is right now, and I know you just did a
- 3:46Speaker 2: video on your channel a little bit more bullish on
- 3:49Speaker 2: bitcoin going up. Some people still pointing that bitcoin might
- 3:53Speaker 2: slip under sixty K. What is your position right now?
- 3:57Speaker 3: I think, in all likelihood, the bear market rallies early
- 4:00Speaker 3: last a little bit longer than many would suspect. And
- 4:03Speaker 3: if you look at my spitcoin screen right here, I
- 4:05Speaker 3: think we're in this range right here, and we could
- 4:08Speaker 3: be in this big range, you know, kind of this
- 4:10Speaker 3: volume range between like sixty six five, although we up
- 4:13Speaker 3: to seventy one K into the end of this month,
- 4:15Speaker 3: maybe a week to more weeks. And I think in
- 4:17Speaker 3: March what happens a lot in bear market rallies is
- 4:20Speaker 3: you get a fake out, you break up ward, you
- 4:22Speaker 3: hit this point potentially seventy three K, and that's a
- 4:25Speaker 3: typical bear market rally number, about twenty three percent, you know,
- 4:29Speaker 3: something with a two in front of it, usually as
- 4:30Speaker 3: a bear market rally. I don't think you're gonna go
- 4:32Speaker 3: all the way up to eighty four. Those areas are
- 4:34Speaker 3: eighty K. Probably a fake out right here. Get everybody
- 4:37Speaker 3: excited at seventy three. Then you break back downward and
- 4:41Speaker 3: retest these lows and potentially March or April. And this
- 4:45Speaker 3: is always where I've been thinking, March April May, you're
- 4:47Speaker 3: gonna see your bear market low something like this, probably
- 4:51Speaker 3: around forty eight K. I think things would have to
- 4:53Speaker 3: get pretty crazy for us to substantially lose like forty
- 4:56Speaker 3: eight K and go below there. But I think if
- 4:58Speaker 3: I had to really put a guess on it, for
- 5:00Speaker 3: fifty K is probably going to be your bear market
- 5:03Speaker 3: low for the very short term. It's a scalpers market.
- 5:06Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, it's just this area. If you go
- 5:08Speaker 3: scalp long, you got a good shot of winning, you know,
- 5:10Speaker 3: and then if you go sculp short at these highs,
- 5:12Speaker 3: you got a good shot of winning. It's just back
- 5:13Speaker 3: and forth. It's a range bound scalpers market and probably
- 5:16Speaker 3: will be for at least another week if we look
- 5:19Speaker 3: at the daily though. This is pretty good in the
- 5:21Speaker 3: daily though. You got a bulld it right here. So
- 5:23Speaker 3: this is what I think will eventually bring you up
- 5:25Speaker 3: wint the catalyst to eventually bring you up to seventy
- 5:28Speaker 3: three seventy four K right here, I think you have
- 5:30Speaker 3: to substantially like hold strength at seventy four k and
- 5:34Speaker 3: then before we can talk about you know, eighty four
- 5:36Speaker 3: k or those areas. I don't think it's going to happen, though.
- 5:38Speaker 3: I think you'll see something along the lines of this
- 5:40Speaker 3: and then come back down.
- 5:41Speaker 2: So yeah, all right, So you're looking at a short
- 5:45Speaker 2: term run on bitcoin slowly bleeding into possibly the market
- 5:51Speaker 2: low overall, and I think that would be probably timing
- 5:55Speaker 2: is going to be the factor here, of course, hitting
- 5:57Speaker 2: that bottom. You don't think Clarity has any potential of
- 6:01Speaker 2: causing a bottom to occur at that point it does.
- 6:05Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, I mean I don't know when it'll pass exactly,
- 6:09Speaker 3: but I think if that does pass, that will help.
- 6:11Speaker 3: You know, that could mark a bottom. I think that
- 6:14Speaker 3: you know, it's it's sell the news when things are
- 6:16Speaker 3: good and it passes, but it's by the rumor when
- 6:19Speaker 3: things are bad and it passes. So regulation is normally
- 6:22Speaker 3: a bottom signal when things are bad, when things are down.
- 6:25Speaker 3: So absolutely that can mark a bottom whenever that may happen.
- 6:29Speaker 2: Hey, y had Peter Schiff hitting it right here. Supreme
- 6:31Speaker 2: Court got a ride. They also did Trump a huge
- 6:34Speaker 2: favor if you believe this, because his tariffs basically are
- 6:37Speaker 2: were harming they believe to the US economy. If they
- 6:41Speaker 2: pull these back and he's not able to execute these,
- 6:44Speaker 2: this is essentially or potentially could correct the US economy
- 6:49Speaker 2: or they have to do some other things like actually
- 6:52Speaker 2: print money and increase the deficit even more so, gold
- 6:56Speaker 2: in the debasement trade could be back on right now.
- 6:59Speaker 1: What do you think about is but there do you
- 7:00Speaker 1: agree or disagree?
- 7:02Speaker 3: So I think that you're I It depends how you
- 7:04Speaker 3: look at it. That's a tough situation. There's smart people
- 7:07Speaker 3: on both sides that will tell you tariffs are good,
- 7:08Speaker 3: people will tell you tariffs are bad. I think tariffs
- 7:10Speaker 3: and moderation are pretty good. And I think that even
- 7:12Speaker 3: the Biden administration showed that they agree with that because
- 7:15Speaker 3: they kept in the tariffs on China. So I think
- 7:17Speaker 3: if you keep that in and you have it in moderation,
- 7:20Speaker 3: it probably would be good. I would say in the
- 7:22Speaker 3: long term, taking away some tariffs probably will help the
- 7:26Speaker 3: US economy. And you know, I think there's still gonna
- 7:29Speaker 3: be QE, but nothing create obviously, nothing nearly what we
- 7:32Speaker 3: saw in twenty twenty, twenty twenty one.
- 7:34Speaker 1: So interesting.
- 7:35Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Peter is partially right, but not definitely,
- 7:38Speaker 3: not completely. Are you.
- 7:39Speaker 2: Are you investing any in whether it's tokenized gold or
- 7:42Speaker 2: in physical.
- 7:44Speaker 3: I've held gold for a bit, you know, kind of
- 7:46Speaker 3: since October. I think gold is a pretty good long
- 7:49Speaker 3: term investment. Again, at least against the S and P
- 7:51Speaker 3: five hundred. I think gold is going to peak out
- 7:53Speaker 3: against bitcoin by the summer or something that could be
- 7:56Speaker 3: a good conversion. Yeah, just like normal bear market.
- 7:59Speaker 2: Years rotate in at that point, which is I think
- 8:03Speaker 2: that's what Peter is trying to defend against right now
- 8:05Speaker 2: as the mass rotation. Eventually that would take place into
- 8:09Speaker 2: risk assets off of metals, which is and has been
- 8:12Speaker 2: the case many times before.
- 8:15Speaker 1: Hey, I want to play a clip for you.
- 8:16Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg talking about what this might mean for
- 8:19Speaker 2: and I'm talking about the tariff ruling what it might
- 8:22Speaker 2: mean for stocks.
- 8:23Speaker 1: Take a look.
- 8:24Speaker 4: This has to be baked in and then considered what
- 8:27Speaker 4: will actually happen. As you all mentioned, it will take
- 8:31Speaker 4: a while for this to take effect. Essentially, this is
- 8:34Speaker 4: near term drama for short term players, some excitement on
- 8:37Speaker 4: the trading floor for some people and for others. If anything,
- 8:42Speaker 4: look for any babies that get thrown out with the bathwater.
- 8:45Speaker 4: Most certainly much too soon to make assumptions on that,
- 8:49Speaker 4: but I think that's why initially you saw consumer discretionary
- 8:52Speaker 4: popped right away. They thought, of all those items that
- 8:56Speaker 4: were imported, the tariffs have been already paid for money
- 8:59Speaker 4: coming back. What recalibration would that have to do related
- 9:02Speaker 4: to earnings and revenue growth and moving forward? It most
- 9:06Speaker 4: certainly is important, But in terms of the market intermediate
- 9:09Speaker 4: to long term players, this is more of if anything,
- 9:12Speaker 4: it's an opportunity to either stay put continue the diversification
- 9:16Speaker 4: process away from overconcentration.
- 9:20Speaker 2: All right, So there you go, stay put or continue diversification.
- 9:25Speaker 2: Diversification and overconcentration. Those are two polar opposites that have
- 9:29Speaker 2: been talked about quite a bit, and I think I'm
- 9:32Speaker 2: playing it that way right now. All right, So, Evan,
- 9:34Speaker 2: I want to jump over to a clip here by
- 9:36Speaker 2: Tom Lee.
- 9:36Speaker 1: This is basically him.
- 9:37Speaker 2: Talking about the chaos level that we're dealing with right
- 9:40Speaker 2: now across markets. Does this have an impact on stocks
- 9:44Speaker 2: and crypto? Let's see what he has to say, and
- 9:46Speaker 2: then I want to get your opinion to take a look.
- 9:48Speaker 5: But there is one scenario where gold will do well
- 9:53Speaker 5: but crypto will do poorly, okay, And that's if the
- 9:57Speaker 5: entire currency system itself is questioned, Meaning if there is
- 10:04Speaker 5: a point where we say we're so concerned about chaos
- 10:09Speaker 5: that I don't care about the dollar. I don't even
- 10:12Speaker 5: want to own anything that's dollar denominated, and especially if
- 10:15Speaker 5: it's a digital dollar, right because bitcoin is digital money.
- 10:19Speaker 5: In that scenario, gold would do well, but stocks and
- 10:23Speaker 5: crypto would go down. So if we look back at
- 10:25Speaker 5: the history of gold, I think it's about fifteen percent
- 10:27Speaker 5: of the time, Gold's had a negative rolling three year return.
- 10:32Speaker 5: So in some ways both are stores of value, but
- 10:35Speaker 5: they're just going to be working at different times, so.
- 10:39Speaker 1: Bother stores of value.
- 10:40Speaker 2: Talking about digital assets gold obviously layering into that. To
- 10:44Speaker 2: your point that we've kind of alluded to, do you
- 10:47Speaker 2: think this is the time right now that people would
- 10:50Speaker 2: say gold is the route to take?
- 10:52Speaker 3: No, Well, I think history. I mean, you know, you
- 10:55Speaker 3: could speculate that's the fundamentals like that, like he's talking about.
- 10:58Speaker 3: But I think when you look at the and you
- 11:00Speaker 3: look at normal patterns for gold, I think unless the
- 11:03Speaker 3: US goes into a recession this year or next year,
- 11:06Speaker 3: gold is probably going to consolidate for two or three years.
- 11:09Speaker 3: A typical gold bear market lasts two or three years,
- 11:12Speaker 3: a bit longer than a stock market bear market. So
- 11:14Speaker 3: I would say gold is not the play for two
- 11:17Speaker 3: or three more years. End of decade that could be
- 11:20Speaker 3: a goodbye, And I think you'll see gold show some
- 11:21Speaker 3: strength in the twenty thirties, but I think you need
- 11:24Speaker 3: two or three years to cool off after everything that's
- 11:27Speaker 3: that's happened. So I think S and P. Five hundred
- 11:30Speaker 3: would be a bit more attractive than gold right now.
- 11:32Speaker 3: Even bitcoin, you know, if you're willing to wait a
- 11:34Speaker 3: few years, a bit more attractive than gold. But I
- 11:36Speaker 3: think I think after the next Bitcoin Bowl run, you know,
- 11:39Speaker 3: towards the end of this decade, twenty twenty eight, twenty
- 11:41Speaker 3: twenty nine, that's where you're gonna see gold hit a
- 11:44Speaker 3: lot of bottoms against probably the S and P five
- 11:46Speaker 3: hundred bitcoin riskier things, and then gold will see you know,
- 11:50Speaker 3: maybe another two, three, four or five year run in
- 11:53Speaker 3: the twenty thirties, maybe into the mid twenty thirties. I
- 11:55Speaker 3: would I would.
- 11:56Speaker 2: Guess, Well, the point he's getting out, I think is
- 12:00Speaker 2: the issue of are we in short term rotation opportunity
- 12:05Speaker 2: here on gold?
- 12:06Speaker 1: Your point is is that we might be before we
- 12:09Speaker 1: see rotation.
- 12:10Speaker 2: Into some of the risk assets later this year. So
- 12:13Speaker 2: I do think that when you look at that, along
- 12:15Speaker 2: with what's happening right now with ethereum, this is a
- 12:19Speaker 2: very intriguing time because it kind of brings up the
- 12:21Speaker 2: we kind of know where the potential around bitcoin is going.
- 12:25Speaker 1: But let's take a look at eth.
- 12:26Speaker 2: Eth is set to close its six consecutive month in red.
- 12:31Speaker 2: In the last fourteen months, ETH has also closed eleven
- 12:34Speaker 2: in red, so very disappointing in terms of overall I
- 12:37Speaker 2: think a lot of people on our channel big ETH holders,
- 12:41Speaker 2: long term eath holders like myself. But at the same time,
- 12:45Speaker 2: many people also took profits from the recent run.
- 12:48Speaker 1: Up in ETH. Where would you be at right now?
- 12:51Speaker 1: Could ETH hit one thousand dollars? What's your position?
- 12:54Speaker 3: I don't really think one thousand anything's possible. But when
- 12:57Speaker 3: you look at the ETH chart, you know, the first
- 12:59Speaker 3: thing that I want to show you that's actually really
- 13:01Speaker 3: interesting is this is the two week two hundred SMA.
- 13:05Speaker 3: That's kind of where you bottomed in March of or
- 13:07Speaker 3: March or April twenty twenty five. You bounced off of
- 13:09Speaker 3: it right here, So I think based on that a
- 13:11Speaker 3: lot of the damage already has been done. Now. The
- 13:14Speaker 3: other thing too, you got to realize you've hit a
- 13:17Speaker 3: bottom last bear market in June. Bitcoin didn't bottom until November.
- 13:21Speaker 3: It could theoretically bottom before Bitcoin too, so that's not
- 13:25Speaker 3: impossible to be about seventeen hundred now. I kind of
- 13:28Speaker 3: think that's maybe being a little bit too optimistic. So
- 13:31Speaker 3: if I would I would fathom that if bitcoin went
- 13:34Speaker 3: down to forty eight to fifty k this is going
- 13:36Speaker 3: to bottom somewhere between like thirteen to fifteen hundred. So
- 13:39Speaker 3: it would probably look something like this over the next
- 13:43Speaker 3: few months, and then you'd see a bottom around these
- 13:45Speaker 3: areas right here. That's what I would really, that's what
- 13:48Speaker 3: I'd be looking at right here.
- 13:50Speaker 2: Yeah, you look at the strategy that has been out
- 13:53Speaker 2: there around these dats. Sharplink is doubling down on its
- 13:57Speaker 2: eighth as an institutional.
- 13:58Speaker 1: Ownership is surge.
- 14:00Speaker 2: You look at the fact that Tom Lee is charging
- 14:04Speaker 2: toward a five percent target. And the potential now is
- 14:09Speaker 2: that if someone like Sharplink can't get corrected here, maybe
- 14:14Speaker 2: a bmn R could do an acquisition and snipe some
- 14:19Speaker 2: ether under m nav Man that could pop BM and R.
- 14:24Speaker 2: Where are you at on BM and R as a So.
- 14:26Speaker 3: I'm going to show you this is I should charge
- 14:28Speaker 3: money for this. This is a top secret strategy. We
- 14:31Speaker 3: look at the BMNR chart right here, came down a lot,
- 14:34Speaker 3: you know, it's it's in a lot of ways. It's
- 14:37Speaker 3: kind of like what micro strategy was in twenty twenty two,
- 14:39Speaker 3: about a ninety percent correction and then a nice bounce
- 14:42Speaker 3: off of this level right here. So what you can do,
- 14:44Speaker 3: and what I think is really important here, you would
- 14:47Speaker 3: set some type of stop loss below this low and
- 14:50Speaker 3: then convert to probably bitcoin. This would invalidate this. You
- 14:53Speaker 3: would convert to either bitcoin or ethereum, because those are
- 14:56Speaker 3: the better options.
- 14:57Speaker 1: If this makes a low, where would that stop loss
- 14:59Speaker 1: be though?
- 15:00Speaker 3: Right below this point? Right below seventeen twenty nine, I'd
- 15:04Speaker 3: probably just go sixteen point ninety nine, make it.
- 15:06Speaker 2: Each Yeah, for audio listeners right now where bmin R
- 15:10Speaker 2: is trading at twenty bucks right now as we record this,
- 15:13Speaker 2: so around seventeen so another seventeen ninety is that would
- 15:17Speaker 2: it looks like No, seventeen.
- 15:18Speaker 3: Thirteen ninety, I would go, it's fifteen percent down, let's
- 15:20Speaker 3: make it any fifteeneen all right.
- 15:22Speaker 2: So then if there's a that's a potential play there
- 15:26Speaker 2: if this, if this does fall into a scenario where
- 15:30Speaker 2: BMINR sucks up some of these companies because this is
- 15:33Speaker 2: going to increase their ETH holdings dramatically, m NAV could alter.
- 15:37Speaker 2: That's where it could actually outperform ETH, especially if we
- 15:40Speaker 2: see ETH moving down. Now, if you look at the
- 15:42Speaker 2: eighth chart back to your point earlier, where would be
- 15:47Speaker 2: your position if bmin R let's just kind of play
- 15:51Speaker 2: a scenario. If BM and R actually gets to acquire
- 15:54Speaker 2: somebody a couple other dats, they soak up more eth
- 15:58Speaker 2: ETH right now is host clarity, which looks like it's
- 16:01Speaker 2: going to go through, Well, where would you be BM
- 16:04Speaker 2: and R ETH A little of both hedging?
- 16:07Speaker 3: So would I would be more? I would do the
- 16:10Speaker 3: trade where I would be a lot of BM and
- 16:13Speaker 3: R unless it makes that lower low. I would keep
- 16:15Speaker 3: that lower low because I think if that news plays
- 16:18Speaker 3: out the way that we're hoping it does, Like you mentioned,
- 16:21Speaker 3: I don't see a scenario where BM and R makes
- 16:23Speaker 3: a lower low. Wouldn't make sense to me. Yeah, yeah,
- 16:25Speaker 3: it would shoot up a lot, I think.
- 16:28Speaker 2: Which gets back to the point of I mean, if
- 16:29Speaker 2: you get another scenario like where BM and R took
- 16:32Speaker 2: off originally when it was first brought out in comparison
- 16:36Speaker 2: to ETH, it actually did outperform. Tom Lee said that
- 16:38Speaker 2: a couple of times that the performance has been greater
- 16:41Speaker 2: if you look long term of where EAT has in general. Hey,
- 16:45Speaker 2: let's jump over to AVE because AVE is interesting. Is
- 16:49Speaker 2: this a by opportunity. There's a little bit of a
- 16:51Speaker 2: crisis crew brewing over there right now. And if you
- 16:54Speaker 2: look further into article, there's a couple of points I
- 16:56Speaker 2: want to hit on BDG Labs. This is the decision
- 16:59Speaker 2: to leave is reportedly driven by organizational the governess changes
- 17:03Speaker 2: that have been out there keep part of the process
- 17:05Speaker 2: on ave's prep to take more central role in the
- 17:08Speaker 2: AVE four development, simply meaning that one hundred percent of
- 17:11Speaker 2: the protocol revenue now is going to be directed toward
- 17:13Speaker 2: the Doubt treasury.
- 17:14Speaker 1: So that's the.
- 17:15Speaker 2: Big news, you know, coming out of AVE. But it
- 17:17Speaker 2: does create a little bit of static, you know, for
- 17:21Speaker 2: the for what's happening with an AVE in general, and
- 17:24Speaker 2: it's very depressed as a token right now? Would you
- 17:27Speaker 2: buy this one as it is right now?
- 17:30Speaker 3: You know, it's a little concerning. Let's take a look
- 17:32Speaker 3: at the chart. I mean that's obviously it's a tough question, Paul.
- 17:34Speaker 3: I mean it's come down. I mean, if it could
- 17:37Speaker 3: hold one sixteen, that would be good. If it could
- 17:39Speaker 3: hold one sixteen these areas, that would be good. What
- 17:43Speaker 3: you can do, I mean it's right around there right now.
- 17:44Speaker 3: We want it to jump here. I mean you can
- 17:47Speaker 3: do something with a stop loss, you know, one oh
- 17:49Speaker 3: three some of these areas, but honestly, I would give
- 17:52Speaker 3: it a few more months and just see, you know,
- 17:54Speaker 3: see what it does here, okay, and see if it
- 17:56Speaker 3: can kind of hold these lows. I think it's kind
- 17:58Speaker 3: of a weight scenario. I would be more attracted to
- 18:01Speaker 3: ETH right now than.
- 18:02Speaker 1: This, all right, I like it more attracted to ETH
- 18:05Speaker 1: versus Ave. What about jupe? If you were to play
- 18:07Speaker 1: an alternative to this to ave.
- 18:10Speaker 3: It's interesting, you know, let's look at this is interesting, tart.
- 18:13Speaker 3: This is jupe versus AVE, and what you could do here,
- 18:17Speaker 3: you know, not everybody's looking at this chart, but you
- 18:18Speaker 3: could set a notification if you do make a lower
- 18:21Speaker 3: low kind of against AVE right here, so you could
- 18:24Speaker 3: convert back to hobby. But I think as long as
- 18:26Speaker 3: you hold this area on the AVE chart, it's bled
- 18:29Speaker 3: a lot against AVE. But it could you know, very
- 18:32Speaker 3: low risk, high reward. It could jump and then you
- 18:34Speaker 3: would just you get out of it if it makes
- 18:36Speaker 3: a lower low against So it's a good gamble I
- 18:40Speaker 3: think potentially.
- 18:40Speaker 2: Yeah, that would be a good gamble and one that
- 18:43Speaker 2: you could where you could kind of hedge versus what's
- 18:45Speaker 2: going on with the AVE scenario right now? Because I
- 18:48Speaker 2: think long term AVE is going to win just because
- 18:51Speaker 2: of its ability to be able to really generate some
- 18:53Speaker 2: utility across a lot of these platforms. Hey, I want
- 18:56Speaker 2: to talk about Solana for a second. Right now, the
- 19:00Speaker 2: charts account here ahead at seventy four to eleven and
- 19:02Speaker 2: fifty eighteen or the next key levels for Solana. Do
- 19:06Speaker 2: you agree with those numbers?
- 19:09Speaker 1: Seven? Basically seventy four bucks and fifty bucks. Where do
- 19:11Speaker 1: you stand Solana?
- 19:13Speaker 3: I wouldn't get overly scared about it. You know, this
- 19:18Speaker 3: is a huge area right here, and you came down
- 19:20Speaker 3: and let's be real, you know you came down already
- 19:22Speaker 3: almost close to eighty percent, seventy seven percent. This could
- 19:26Speaker 3: hold up well against bigcoins, so it doesn't have to
- 19:29Speaker 3: go down to that forty seven range. It can It
- 19:32Speaker 3: absolutely can go down to that range. I mean that
- 19:34Speaker 3: would be your full you know, bear market. Eighty three
- 19:37Speaker 3: percent kind of typical for a lot of all coins.
- 19:39Speaker 3: But there's always some shining night while everything else goes
- 19:43Speaker 3: down lower. And I mean keep in mind each bottom
- 19:46Speaker 3: out before Bitcoin. Last time we're in a state where
- 19:48Speaker 3: Qt has ended, this could have hit a bottom. This
- 19:50Speaker 3: absolutely could continue sideways while Bitcoin goes lower. So just
- 19:54Speaker 3: keep that in mind. So I do think I think
- 19:56Speaker 3: it's a pretty good gamble, you know, I think it's
- 19:58Speaker 3: a pretty good I don't even want to say gamble.
- 19:59Speaker 3: I think it's a pretty good long term potential play here.
- 20:02Speaker 3: Can it go down to that fifty? Absolutely? The other
- 20:05Speaker 3: thing I would look at here for those who like
- 20:07Speaker 3: to compare things to bitcoin, hitting a big place against
- 20:09Speaker 3: bitcoin right here. However, if it loses this low, similar
- 20:13Speaker 3: technique to like bmn R and a lot of other
- 20:15Speaker 3: people loses this low, I would convert back to bitcoin
- 20:18Speaker 3: because I would think that you're probably going to go lower,
- 20:21Speaker 3: So make it a good Yeah, it's a good trade
- 20:23Speaker 3: right there. You just got to be careful.
- 20:25Speaker 2: I like it good stuff today, man Evan. Obviously, we
- 20:29Speaker 2: put out a big video yesterday and it was in
- 20:31Speaker 2: reference to coinbase killing off optimism, and then this is
- 20:35Speaker 2: a big deal because coinbase and the base chain spent
- 20:38Speaker 2: a lot of time working in optimism as part of
- 20:42Speaker 2: the base chain. This of course affected all l twos
- 20:46Speaker 2: you look at. Of course, the new launch with robin
- 20:48Speaker 2: Hood that has been out there. The like I'm not
- 20:51Speaker 2: going to say it, but the likelihood is they're probably
- 20:53Speaker 2: going to affect the next L two out there, and
- 20:55Speaker 2: that would be arbitrum. So there are some problems here
- 20:59Speaker 2: and could be. The question I have though, is when
- 21:02Speaker 2: you take a look at that strategy from the major
- 21:05Speaker 2: exchanges like coinbase on robin Hood, the likelihood is almost
- 21:09Speaker 2: every you know, major institution probably going to follow suit here,
- 21:13Speaker 2: meaning building their own chain Ethereum wins. But someone else
- 21:17Speaker 2: that might win is guess who Avalanche. What do you
- 21:21Speaker 2: think about Avalanche on the chart right now? Because this
- 21:24Speaker 2: thing is way down in terms of market.
- 21:27Speaker 3: It's scary, man, I mean it would be it would
- 21:29Speaker 3: be like it would it would kind of like I
- 21:31Speaker 3: would say, it would break a lot of TA rules
- 21:34Speaker 3: if this was to really you know, run here because
- 21:37Speaker 3: you made a lower low than here, You made a
- 21:38Speaker 3: lower low than June to twenty one based on a
- 21:41Speaker 3: longer like you need really really good news to bring
- 21:45Speaker 3: this back from oblivion at this point like this, this
- 21:47Speaker 3: doesn't look too good at the moment. I think it's
- 21:49Speaker 3: a high risk, but you could try with a tight stop,
- 21:53Speaker 3: you know, below this low, you could try and write
- 21:55Speaker 3: it up very low risk, high reward. The other thing
- 21:57Speaker 3: I like to always look at, like on all of
- 21:59Speaker 3: these you know against bitcoin, So you know what you
- 22:01Speaker 3: could try against bitcoin? Do you know a notification right
- 22:05Speaker 3: there and then go back to bitcoin if it makes
- 22:07Speaker 3: a lower low rotate when you zoom out here like
- 22:11Speaker 3: ah man, well, it's hitting somewhat of a big point.
- 22:13Speaker 3: I don't know, you know, it could come back, but
- 22:16Speaker 3: I feel like you know, these charts normally don't like
- 22:19Speaker 3: when you look at charts like this, the odds are
- 22:21Speaker 3: usually less than fifty percent that they do come back.
- 22:23Speaker 2: Interesting there right now, big statement as this could come
- 22:28Speaker 2: back or not is the question probably the most high
- 22:31Speaker 2: risk right now that we have seen, at least in
- 22:33Speaker 2: today's show in terms of tokens. Again, this is not
- 22:36Speaker 2: investment advice, guys. This is Kevin and I kind of
- 22:38Speaker 2: you know, hashing it out on what we are doing internally,
- 22:42Speaker 2: how we're kind of looking at the market in general.
- 22:44Speaker 2: Macro has a huge impact on where this is going
- 22:48Speaker 2: in the future.
- 22:48Speaker 1: We're gonna be doing more.
- 22:49Speaker 2: Shows like this always. We try to do our trading
- 22:51Speaker 2: shows every Friday. Make sure and to like and subscribe
- 22:55Speaker 2: on the channel. Right now, we'll hit you next week,
- 22:57Speaker 2: hopefully with news on clarity. Evan, thanks for coming in today.
- 23:01Speaker 2: We appreciate it.
- 23:02Speaker 3: Oh Azona to talk to you, Paul. Thanks so much.
- 23:11Speaker 2: If you like this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
- 23:13Speaker 2: a comment down below, and also join our free private
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- 23:17Speaker 1: The link is in the description.