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Close to completion?

The downgrade of US government debt by a credit rating agency has been a big driver of this week’s financial market gyrations. The decision by the Bank of England to lift policy rates by 25bps (with hints of more to follow) coupled with firmer-than-expected private sector payrolls data from the US also served as a reminder that central banks may not yet have completed their tightening cycles. In our charts this week we look at:

· The central bank consensus

· US financial market conditions

· Service sector inflation in the euro area and US

· Global economic policy uncertainty

· World trade and…

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