Latest / Uncomfortable Conversations with Josh Szeps / Peter McCormack: Digital Currencies & Spy States
Transcript
- 0:00G'day, humans, welcome to the safe space for dangerous ideas, digital currencies, super-states
- 0:08spying on your every move, your every purchase, controlling you by controlling your purse strings.
- 0:16Whatever happened to Bitcoin? Was Bitcoin a fad, a pyramid scheme, a Ponzi scheme, or does
- 0:23it still provide a way for individual human beings to extricate themselves from the arms
- 0:29of the state, the arms of big finance, and pursue a freer future? That's the worldview of Peter McCormack,
- 0:36who knows as much as anybody about Bitcoin. He has not been in the least bit dejected by the
- 0:44travails of cryptocurrencies over the past year or two. He has a podcast called What Bitcoin Did,
- 0:51and he reached out to me after seeing me online and invited me on that podcast. I guess it would
- 0:56be a couple of years ago. And we hit it off. He's a very smart thinker. He's not just a tech
- 1:02bro with his head in the clouds. He thinks a lot about politics, about the relationship of the
- 1:07state and the individual, and he's still bullish about a future in which Bitcoin untathers us
- 1:14from the ties that constrain us and provides a future that's brighter than the one that we currently
- 1:20have. And the flip side of that is that there is a dystopian future without Bitcoin that he's
- 1:25keen to articulate. I think I'm the fascinating. I hope you do too. Enjoy the one and only,
- 1:29Peter McCormack.
- 1:41Are you still on the old Twitter?
- 1:44X. X. On and off. I go in, I go in little spells. I don't know. It's just, it's a bit like smoking.
- 1:53Right. Like I like it, but I feel shit afterwards. Yeah. So I'm not even sure that I like it,
- 2:00but in that way, maybe it's like smoking as well. You just sort of think you like it,
- 2:03but if you actually pay attention, you don't. Well, I overall, I'm like, I always question,
- 2:09what's it adding to the world? And I buy that argument like during the hour of spring,
- 2:14it was amazing to find out exactly what's happening. And even now, something happens if you hear of
- 2:18like a playing crash or a volcano, you can just search on Twitter and you find out exactly
- 2:23what's happening straight away. But apart from that, you know, when I bring up my phone,
- 2:28I have a look. It's just people being digs. Yeah. It's funny, isn't it? Yeah. Do you understand
- 2:33why? Well, you see, I mean, the algorithms designed in a way to make us argue and stay on the
- 2:40platform. I was just looking at it. And I'll put it Weinstein. It's a block by Elon. He's
- 2:48got. Yeah, I like that you're so online that you already know that that's happened. Yeah,
- 2:54Brett's in a half. Did you see that? So Brett Weinstein's been blocked by Elon, which I thought
- 2:58it's weird because I didn't think Elon blocked people. No, well, I don't mean I would have assumed
- 3:02that he did, but not people like Brett Weinstein. He says, Brett says, my account seems to be
- 3:07specially restricted on X slash Twitter, high engagement tweets stay well below the fold on trends,
- 3:13not the case under previous management. I brought this to Musk's attention. He asked for more
- 3:17info. Then blocked me when I provided it. Perhaps that's on me. It says, but increasingly, I just
- 3:22feel like it's a bunch of wankers in a circle, jerk, trying to like, winging about why they're not
- 3:29more popular and why the algorithm's not favoring them more. Yeah. Well, so they had that recent
- 3:33thing where everyone started to get their payouts. Remember their payouts? No. Oh, so you can now
- 3:39get a payout. What's that mean? So if you're verified. Yeah. And you over a certain level engagement,
- 3:48you get a payout Twitter will say the ad revenue with them. Yeah. Some people were sharing like
- 3:52tens of thousands of dollars right, Danny. Like tens of like some people can like 20,000 dollars.
- 3:57Producer Danny is also in the room, but he's off my color Danny. Welcome to the show. It's gonna
- 4:01be weird and awkward with him just sitting in the corner like a schoolboy who's in trouble.
- 4:05Now a lot of people now listen to the show just for Danny. Do they? They're gonna be disappointed.
- 4:09Should Danny be on mic? I mean, he doesn't want Danny his own camera. Danny's getting big for his
- 4:13boots. So watch out. Watch out, Peter. He's gonna come up and knock you off your perch. He's got
- 4:19careful. He's got a stalker called Derek. Oh, that's nice. An online stalker. Have we met Derek? No,
- 4:24we don't know who Derek is. Hi, Derek. Did you listen to Derek S coming to our then?
- 4:30Oh, he's already done a background check to make sure he's got security onto it. Excellent.
- 4:36So on these payouts, the other it was like a few weeks ago, people were moaning about how much their
- 4:41payout was. And I was thinking hold on a second two months ago, you didn't get anything. That's
- 4:44right. Exactly. How fast we forget. And now you're bitching because you got a thousand dollars
- 4:49and not two thousand dollars. It is funny. Isn't that the yeah, the fact that we've set up and
- 4:53I mean, this is I'm not the first to make this point, but the fact that you know, in a night to
- 4:58create an ideal society, you would want to make all the incentives to be aligned so that ordinary
- 5:05people going about their ordinary business responding to ordinary human emotions and human instincts
- 5:12would be kind of channeled towards the better angels of their nature. And we've created exactly
- 5:17the reverse with social media where things that inflame us or outrage us or pander to us or demonize
- 5:24things that we disagree with or you know, feed our worst insecurities or create bogeyman
- 5:32or make us feel good about ourselves like for irrational reasons, all of those things the
- 5:36dial has turned up on. And now so now we you have to be a really good person just not to be a dick
- 5:43on Twitter. So I've got so many things to say about this. So we've got time, baby. So many
- 5:50things to say about this. Got even even where to start firstly, when you described about the
- 5:56incentives, what drives incentives and what would be fair. Interestingly, the whole time you're
- 6:04saying that and thinking back into my world, a Bitcoin because we do have this system that is
- 6:08designed based around incentives as a system you can't cheat, blah, blah, blah. That's one point
- 6:13book. Secondly, I recently, so we're out last nine, Danny said, oh, you've had a couple of tweets
- 6:22recently that done quite well, but I haven't really tweeted that much recently. I think what it is
- 6:26is I've stopped, you know, me a tweet for the sequence, I shit, I should tweet something today.
- 6:30And then increasingly, I don't know that feeling, but I remember it. While I was looking through
- 6:35your Twitter and you promote the show and it's basically automated now in complain of airlines.
- 6:42That would have been a while ago though. I don't even think I would have tweeted anything in
- 6:47six months, eight months, maybe. No, but because of that, you will probably notice if you had a look,
- 6:53things won't do as well anymore. Right. You kind of have to stay in the bun fight. Yeah, you've got
- 6:58to feed the beast to feed the beast. And I increasingly don't want to be part of that. No,
- 7:04because I think ultimately it's a better, it's a set of bad incentives that conditions you to
- 7:12let me put it a different way. I can, like, I consider myself a centrist. Now,
- 7:17there's some people in America who think I'm woke lefty. There's people in the UK who think I'm
- 7:22Alex Jones. That's because all British people are communist, right? Exactly. I consider myself
- 7:28kind of a centrist, but like I will, I will veer into any end of the political spectrum where I,
- 7:34yeah, what I think is right. I'll just say what I think. I don't think Twitter is good for a centrist.
- 7:40No, of course not. Or a reasonable person. No. It's good if you're, like, even today I went on
- 7:46today and I saw all I saw today all day long was Tucker Carlson has interviewed some guy who
- 7:52apparently smoked crack and had sex with Barack Obama. Good to know that Tucker's coming up in the
- 7:56world. Yeah. I was just like, what the fuck is this trash? Yeah. This is, I mean, by definition,
- 8:02if you use, I was talking to a brilliant guy, Toby Walsh, who if people haven't listened to my
- 8:07episode of uncomfortable conversations with Toby, they should. He's Australia's leading AI expert
- 8:12and one of the world's leaders in artificial intelligence. And he is reflecting on social media
- 8:17and saying Zuckerberg created social media to foster meaningful connection between people.
- 8:25That was his catchphrase. He wanted to create meaningful connection. You can't measure
- 8:31meaningful connection. So instead he created proxies for meaningful connection, which were the like
- 8:37button sharing content, commenting on things. Turns out those are terrible proxies because meaningful
- 8:45connection or centrism or nuance and not is not necessarily stuff that you actually want to engage
- 8:52with. Stuff that you want to engage with. Stuff that you want to either thumbs up or thumbs down
- 8:58or comment on or share is often stuff that just riles you up emotionally. It's often stuff that
- 9:05either aggravates you or pandas to you. So you're right. Why would anyone bother to write an
- 9:12angry screen in the comments section and then forward a post about something that was reasonable?
- 9:17Yeah. I think there's a difference between Facebook and Twitter though. Like what Zuckerberg did
- 9:23with Facebook is essentially create a community for you and your friends and your family.
- 9:27And so I don't tend to see, I don't really use Facebook much anymore, but when I did, it was kind
- 9:32of like baby photos or we went out last night. Here's some photos or you know, I'm traveling here
- 9:38and that's cool. I'm there as well. Like I find it. I've not used it since 2008, Peter. No.
- 9:43It hasn't been that for a while. If I go to people I think. Really? Yeah. You get more and more of
- 9:49the person who knows the person who's in a group with somebody else on Facebook who's shouting
- 9:53loudly about Boris Johnson. I see less of that, but I don't use it so much. But it's not as bad as
- 10:01Twitter, but that's a low fucking bar. Well, I just I always felt like Twitter was when that was
- 10:07happening. Twitter was that kind of like reasonable place originally where you could go and have a
- 10:10conversation about things that interested you to do with work. And then just over the last six,
- 10:15seven years, he's gone just crazy with politics. And people focusing on their career using Twitter
- 10:22for their career. And the problem with Twitter for your career is it rewards being a dick or it
- 10:28rewards partisan opinions. I always I always use Tim Paul as my reference point. I used to really
- 10:36like his films. He made a long time ago. And I know you're called him a dumb dumb. I did call him a
- 10:40dumb dumb. You can stand by that. Yeah. The man is technically a dumb dumb. Yeah. I feel like
- 10:48he has been audience captured. And now he knows how to monetize being a dick. And I feel like
- 10:56he's left behind who he who he was because he found a way of monetizing right wing anger.
- 11:04And it doesn't like being called right wing. I don't think I mean, I don't pay attention to him,
- 11:08but that was what also caused Umbridge when I said that he was right wing. He's a he's a champion
- 11:15of the left. What does left and right main in that context? You're an anti-establishment populist
- 11:22slash conspiracy theorist and you can be from either end of politics. Yeah. No, you can be. So
- 11:27he called himself what is a disaffected liberal or disenfranchised. I don't pay much attention to
- 11:32the man. I mean, he doesn't have to be right wing to monetize the anger of the right wing.
- 11:40Right. And I just found like he was increasingly just just being inflammatory. Yeah, I mean,
- 11:46I think he's more than a dumb dumb now. He was a dumb dumb when I said that on Joe Rogan's show,
- 11:51which was 18 months ago now. Now I think I'd up from what I can see of him. He's actually a dick
- 11:56or a dick dick as well. It's probably a dumb dumb end a dick dick because like, you know, he's not
- 12:00just an idiot peddling that spacious, you know, chaff to to people who who want to lap it up. He's
- 12:08also just a mean and nasty person that seems because the things, the types of things that that
- 12:12universe of, I don't want to throw Tim pool under the bus, although I do, but you know, there's
- 12:17it is not the only person in this universe that has gone down the rabbit hole of cherry picking
- 12:23things to get outraged about and then misrepresenting them to millions of people. Yeah. But he,
- 12:31that to me is the perfect example of somebody who's, as I said, is captured by his audience.
- 12:37He's learned a way to monetize it. He's learned a way to
- 12:41rile people up to get his likes, to get his retweets, whatever. And I think it's sad because I
- 12:49thought it was a good journalist. Do you worry about that in your line of work?
- 12:54What worry about it broadly or for myself? For yourself. No, it's hard for me to get captured
- 13:02because in our little Bitcoin world, I'm probably considered by,
- 13:10ah, this is where Danny needs a mic because Danny would be a better person to ask, but
- 13:15there is a lot of people who are, I would say the Bitcoin world is predominantly people from
- 13:20the right or libertarian camps. And obviously there's a big crossover between the two.
- 13:25There's very small left progressive Bitcoin movement but growing. And I think
- 13:32if you ask people to put me on the spectrum, they'll put me more towards the left. Right.
- 13:36No, but I mean, you can be captured by audience in any number of ways, right? You could pander
- 13:40towards preconceptions and misconceptions that people who tend to be keen on Bitcoin hold,
- 13:44even if they're not political. No, I think I, I think I'm probably one of the people who
- 13:50has done their best to avoid that because I actually realized, you know, in the world of podcast,
- 13:56in the podcast game, most important thing is authenticity, like being you. And it's better to have
- 14:01people dislike you, but believe you believe what you're saying. Yeah. Then try, then pander to
- 14:11the audience. Yeah. So, you know, there's a lot of, I say a lot of things that consider
- 14:14controversial in the world of Bitcoin and have a lot of people call me an idiot, but like my show
- 14:18is probably the biggest one about Bitcoin. And then I think that's happened because I won't,
- 14:23I can't get captured. Yeah. Yeah. That's not to say, ah, look, it's a slippery slope that you
- 14:29can easily fall into sometimes. Yeah. I think it's, I don't think people do it intentionally.
- 14:32Yeah. And it just, they just see what works and see what gets clicked and what doesn't.
- 14:36It is something they have to be mindful of. I have to be mindful of it as well. And the price is
- 14:40probably that we have a smaller audience than, well, I have a smaller audience than I could have
- 14:44if I were corrupt. I think you're buying, I think you're buying time and longevity over kind of,
- 14:50like these short term gains. Yeah. And like, I don't, I don't want to be a dumb, dumb or
- 14:54addicted, you know, like, so there's, there is a value in being neither of those things. What
- 14:58about respect, you know, what about having respect, being respected, having credibility? These are
- 15:03things that I value more than sheer brute numbers. Yeah. It is, it is, and it can be a tricky one.
- 15:10I think for some people, because I think some of these people perhaps go through a period where
- 15:13they're trying to make this career in this world of content. And it can be hard to make money.
- 15:20You know, I, I think making money of my podcast for two years. And then you do. And if something
- 15:25you're doing is getting more downloads, whether it's like a clickbait title or, you know, an extreme
- 15:31guest of some kind, like I give a good example. There was a whole period where Andrew tape was doing
- 15:35the rounds. And I wouldn't have them in my show because I think he's a fucking idiot. But I could
- 15:39have. And I know that show would probably be probably the biggest show I would have had.
- 15:44But I just, I think that was a short term play, because you're kind of, you're given up part
- 15:51of your soul to get that, you know, show that does one, two million on YouTube, whatever. And I just,
- 15:56I didn't want that. So I think you're treating time and longevity.
- 16:02There probably is a way of doing Andrew tape, but you'd probably need to spend a long time
- 16:06doing a lot of research and come armed with a lot of facts and take them down.
- 16:12Yeah, I just, I just don't want it. That may not be your M.O.
- 16:16Yeah, right. It may, it could be the right person. I just, I don't know, I just zero, it's
- 16:21something I have zero interest in. And so I like, I won't talk to that person. And I've had some
- 16:25controversial people on my show. I mean, at Nigel Farage, I'm recently in, you know, sharing that
- 16:30show up on Facebook and what's my close social circle. I know there's a lot of people who would
- 16:36just be horrified. They even spoke to them. So I'm not, I won't avoid controversial people,
- 16:42but it has to be relevant. I'm not, I'm not going to trade, I'm not going to trade longevity.
- 16:48Yeah, I mean, it depends how you do it as well. It just does depend. I mean, you know, there's
- 16:52this weird phenomenon at the moment of the Lex Friedman style podcast where you just get someone
- 16:57on and then you just basically let them talk and you have almost no skill in wrangling the conversation
- 17:02or pushing back on them whatsoever. God bless Lex. I mean, but and I've never seen a man do more
- 17:07with so little than Lex Friedman. Like he just sits there and then asks like one, the next question
- 17:13that he's written down on his piece of paper without listening to the guest and then they talk for
- 17:16a while and then he just asks the next question. And if you go on Lex Friedman show, you are definitely
- 17:22not going to get pushed back. Have you known Lex Friedman? But I have not. No, but I mean, I would not,
- 17:26I would not be worried or scared going into that room being like, wow, this ferocious intellect is
- 17:30going to come come at me with everything he's got. He listens and asks polite questions.
- 17:35Well, he blocked me on Twitter. How do you get blocked by a, you know, by a limp wet fish?
- 17:42What is that? What do you have to do? I don't know. He blocked a lot of Bitcoin people on one
- 17:46point. Did he? Yeah. But he did it with love and yeah. Yeah. So he did it with love. Yeah,
- 17:53I'm sure he did it with love. He just wants to understand everybody wants everybody to be able to
- 17:56talk to each other. Yeah. Well, go on. Well, just going to say, and then if you are doing critical
- 18:02or journalistic interviews or trying to have uncomfortable conversations and dig into what makes,
- 18:07really makes people tick the other odd thing about having controversial guests is that it does
- 18:11seem there's a kind of an uncanny valley here where if they're a bit bad, you'll get more pushback
- 18:19than if they're genuinely horrendous. Like I'd get more pushback from having Nigel Farage
- 18:27on the show than I would a serial killer. You know why, right, though? Why? Because I think at the
- 18:34more extreme ends, you will bring out their fans into, like how do you judge it? Do you judge it by
- 18:42the YouTube comments or tweets? Well, I just think I would be more likely, I would be less likely to
- 18:47be cancelled. If I interviewed the Christchurch shooter, then if I interviewed, I'm trying to think
- 18:56of normal Australian examples, Nigel Farage would be a good one. Yeah, I tend to find the most
- 19:02extreme people have a really hardcore group of fans. And so when I judge it, say by YouTube
- 19:09comments, it's mainly positive that you've had it once. Thanks for having me on. Yeah, Nigel's
- 19:14great. Nigel's absolutely amazing. So that's why I think that maybe happens.
- 19:19No, but I'm saying the reverse. I'm saying it would be more blowback. There is more blowback
- 19:23from a Nigel Farage than he is from a serial killer. Okay. In other words, you interview someone
- 19:31who's a bit bad and I feel the blowback is worse than you in interviewing someone who's really,
- 19:36really bad. My only assumption is that if I interview a serial killer, everybody knows that I'm
- 19:41not sympathetic to serial killers, but I find interviewer white supremacist, for example,
- 19:44I'm not saying Nigel Farage is one, but we're either interviewer white supremacist and people
- 19:48like, well, why are you platforming white supremacists? They wouldn't say why are you platforming
- 19:52a serial killer? Yeah, that platform. I hate that platform. Okay, let me ask you then. So
- 19:56uncomfortable conversations is your podcast. Yes. You did used to work. You don't still work
- 20:02at the ABC. I do still work at the ABC as well. Yes. But okay, what is the crossover between the two?
- 20:09There is none. No, but is it, but what I mean is, is there a chance that you have, just by having
- 20:15a conversation on your podcast, you'll put it at risk what you do with the ABC. Yes, definitely.
- 20:20Okay. Yeah. And if that happens, so be it. That's fine. It's a big world. There are other opportunities.
- 20:25But are you under any pressure? No. And the reason I've wrote it down here is this morning,
- 20:30I was listening to Uberman's podcast. Yeah. He needs to be blown up at the moment. Yeah.
- 20:34Good for him. Yeah. He's not a lecturer. He's an actual human being with ideas and thoughts
- 20:39and understanding and knowledge expertise. He had Mark Andrewson on. And it's a really good one.
- 20:44Oh, great. I like both of them. Yeah, I can listen to Ralph. But he was saying he has a list of
- 20:49things now. He keeps this list of things he knows he can't talk about. Who? Hubey? Yeah. Well,
- 20:55Hubey. Hubey's got a list. A band list. Yeah, he's got a list of things. I have to drop Hubey
- 21:00a line. I mean, you can hear it. He says the list of things he can't talk about.
- 21:04We won't talk about because he said it the way it may get caught for different box pops.
- 21:09Oh, come on. But these should be in a pussy. I mean, who? Who's who? You can't take down the
- 21:14hubs. The hubster. Hey, listen, I'm just I'm just he doesn't even work for anyone else. He works
- 21:18for himself. I'm repeating the message. He said it's a growing list. This is part of the problem.
- 21:23We've got to grow a pair. Yeah. But so with your podcast, are you seeking? Are you essentially
- 21:31seeking his list? You want in a way, in a way, in a way, I think that we need to
- 21:41to the if we end up in a better situation culturally and politically than where we are.
- 21:48If we avoid a scenario in which we are more and more divided into more extreme camps that
- 21:54understand each other less, if we are to head off the threats posed by the far right and the far
- 22:02left and grapple with the challenges that humankind faces like pandemics and climate chaos and
- 22:09nukes and whatever, then it will be because we are less anxious about tiptoeing around subjects,
- 22:19less keen to jump down each other's throats, less eager to demonize other people's points of
- 22:25you, more keen to be as generous as possible towards other people's ideas and more keen to have
- 22:30conversations that are uncomfortable. That's my general philosophy. So to the extent that prominent
- 22:36people like Hubertman refrain from touching issues that they regard as being toxic, that is
- 22:44not a contribution. Yeah. So I found it disappointed. Like when I heard it, I was like, well hold on a second,
- 22:51that there is self-sensorant, but there's publicly admitting your self-sensorant
- 22:57and saying you've got a list and it's a big growing list, did make me think, huh,
- 23:01I, there's a chance I avoid your podcast now. Because I know some people were self-sensorant to
- 23:07accept, I mean, you know, do I self-sensor possibly on certain, very specific, extreme issues I
- 23:16just don't want to get into because I just, it's not in my world. What are those? What are the things
- 23:24I would potentially self-sensorant? Okay. I own a football team. It has a man's and ladies team.
- 23:32I self-sensor getting into when any, like I feel like sometimes people when I'm asking me about
- 23:38the football club, they're trying to get me into conversations about maybe gender. Right.
- 23:43I don't want to get into because I'm trying to run a football club. Right. I avoid having that
- 23:48because I think it's a trap. Yeah. I think someone's lame me a trap and they're trying to get me
- 23:55to a position where I can be cancelled. Right. But isn't that, it doesn't matter where that conversation
- 23:59takes place. If it takes place on your terrain, on your podcast, for a duration as long as you want
- 24:05it to. I think it wouldn't be able to do that. I think it's different when I'm being questioned,
- 24:10when I'm doing it on the podcast, which is that weird world of like part media, part journalism,
- 24:16to be in the chairman of a football club where I'm running a business. Yeah. Yeah. I see.
- 24:19Let me just run that business. I'm going to focus on that business. I think that's like the only
- 24:24place. I might not talk about things because I think it's boring. Yeah. Well, there's lots of
- 24:29course that I don't talk about because I think it's boring or because I think it's worth
- 24:35focusing on or there's an opportunity cost in talking about that when we could be talking about
- 24:39other things. Yeah. But I agree with you. I'm not going to wade into the precise nature of
- 24:45biological differences between men and women. If I'm being asked a question on a panel show or
- 24:51something like that, which might be the equivalent of you acting in your capacity as the chairman
- 24:55of a football club, like there's a time and a place for everything. But I think there is no
- 24:59better time or place than on one's own podcast to to to bridge sensitive issues. If we can't do
- 25:06it there, then we can't do it anywhere. And if we don't model those conversations for lay people
- 25:11who don't have the luxury of having podcasts with large audiences, then people don't get to see
- 25:15that actually you can try to wrestle with things in a constructive way without demonizing other
- 25:22people and ending up in fisticuffs. And so I do think it would be a shame if more and more people
- 25:27followed the hubam and root of having lists of things that I don't talk about. You can't talk
- 25:32about on social media because it's impossible to have nuance there, right? And we've established
- 25:38that. But I think you can and should talk about it in forums where if you were to get misrepresented,
- 25:45you could just say, look, go back and listen to the whole hour and a half or two hours and then come
- 25:49to me and get angry about that clip that you just extracted. Yeah, I can completely agree with the
- 25:57you kind of get to the nuance of a discussion on Twitter. Plus also, I don't feel like people
- 26:03are trying to have a fair back and forth on Twitter. They're trying to score points. Yeah,
- 26:08they're trying to win at any cost. I think it's much easier in a podcast. Like if we were in a
- 26:12difficult topic, I'd feel, you know, feel quite comfortable going, you know what, Josh, maybe
- 26:17rethink that. Yeah. Yeah. Perhaps I was wrong. I think that's an easier forum for it. I do though
- 26:23that did kind of like that hubam and thing this morning. Yeah. Yeah. That's really tricky,
- 26:29like do I do I trust you on any of your answers, but I do then I think back and I think you know
- 26:36what it is uncomfortable conversations that you're doing. We are in a place where like our mainstream
- 26:41media will not have the uncomfortable conversations. Is this like the resistance? I mean, one thing,
- 26:48one benefit that I have is that I had this podcast before the public broadcaster offered me a show.
- 26:53And so I was able to say I just have to be able to continue doing the podcast without any interference.
- 26:57And so that is the norm, right? That is the standard under which I'm employed. If I had had my
- 27:04public broadcasting show and had wanted to launch a podcast like this, there's no way that I would
- 27:08have gotten clearance to do it. I imagine. So that's the status quo. Will there come a day when
- 27:14someone mischievous who wants to take me down extracts a whole bunch of things that I've said in
- 27:18various episodes of this podcast and puts together a mashup that makes me seem either wildly
- 27:23left wing or wildly right wing or bigger than in some way or a delusional in some way.
- 27:29Probably, right? And maybe then I'll lose my job and that will be fine. I mean, it won't be fine,
- 27:34but that will be a price that is worth paying to try to continue fighting the fight of allowing
- 27:40civilization to flourish and human beings to have reasonable conversations with with each other.
- 27:45I would not I would feel corrupted if I had to curtail the kinds of things that we talk about on
- 27:51this podcast for fear that someone is going to get into mischief.
- 27:57But is it the resistance? Is this, you know, it's the success of your show,
- 28:02Rogan, people who are pushing the envelope of conversations? Is this like the resistance response
- 28:07to the fact that the mainstream won't deal with that? I wish the mainstream would and I try to,
- 28:11as much as I can. And to be honest, I have fairly free reign. I think a lot of this is self-imposed.
- 28:16I think a lot of the behavior of journalists in mainstream media institutions is self-imposed
- 28:23fear. And just, you know, not wanting to go through the hassle of, you know, speaking about gender,
- 28:28there was, I did one story on my ABC radio show about the closure of the tapestock gender clinic
- 28:34in the UK, which was a big deal in the UK. This was the leading gender clinic in the UK.
- 28:41And it was found to have not been serving the interests of young people, especially who were
- 28:46coming in to get gender care. And the Australian media was silent on it. And I thought that was
- 28:53odd because doesn't what the UK does have some bearing. Wouldn't that cause some reflection on
- 28:58the way that we do things here? Wouldn't that be just a little part of the media cycle?
- 29:03And so I interviewed the head of the Australian Psychiatric Association who also had concerns
- 29:10about pediatric gender policy in the medical establishment. His concern was that if a 15-year-old
- 29:19girl presents with gender dysphoria and claims that she's actually a boy, and that she wants
- 29:26to transition, that for a psychiatrist to ask about other underlying psychological conditions
- 29:31that might be going on, for example, whether she has autism or depression or anxiety is sort of
- 29:37taboo now. That's regarded as being de-affirming care or unaffirming care, whereas the model is
- 29:45that you're supposed to affirm. So his point is it sort of deprives psychiatrists of some of our
- 29:51toolkit if we're mandated to take at face value every claim that every young person makes regarding
- 29:59their own gender identity. These are complex things and there can be a social contagion,
- 30:04there can be other things that are going on that are worth interrogating. So I had him on my show
- 30:10and needless to say, then had to spend a half day responding to complaints that come in.
- 30:17And their clever, like extreme activists know how to read the charter of the public broadcaster
- 30:23and compare it to everything that you've said and nitpick, the precise number of people who I
- 30:28said were involved in the class action suit against Tabestock, you know, where the number was
- 30:34estimated by a law firm, but actually ended up being a slightly different number. So you have to go
- 30:39back through all the reams of research, where did I get that information from, where did I get
- 30:43that information from, it ended up being cleared. But the point is not whether it gets cleared or not
- 30:47or whether I did anything wrong, which I hadn't. The point is that they know that there's attacks
- 30:52on your time and your attention. And so a lot of journalists I think it's just like not worth
- 30:57the hassle. Why would you, why would you wait into this? So I don't think it's an institute.
- 31:01When you say the resistance, I don't think it's like resistance against the dark force of like
- 31:06the mainstream media, which is in the pocket of corporations or like in cooots to push a
- 31:12particular narrative. I think it's more insidious than that. It's just the, the accretion of millions
- 31:18of little decisions made by individual journalists and editors who come from a particular worldview and
- 31:24are doing things the way they think they should be done. That text is interesting because
- 31:33you have to be well prepared in advance. Because you know, it's like sometimes like,
- 31:39you don't know what we're going to talk about today. No, that's right. So you might wait into a
- 31:43topic and go, well, I'm kind of aware that like the data tells me something along these kind of
- 31:48lines, but you would have to be accurate up front prepared for that challenge. Yes, it's
- 31:55difficult. I mean, especially when you're doing a three hour talkback radio show, like I'm not
- 31:59putting together a news bulletin, which is five minutes long where I can check everything. It's
- 32:03off the cuff. So, but there is as a result, a certain amount of lenience on my show that there
- 32:09wouldn't be if it was a BBC news report. Yeah. It is fascinating to follow, though, because I don't
- 32:18know. I mean, I don't really watch or listen to much mainstream content anymore,
- 32:23more just because I buy more into the authenticity of an independent publisher, whether it's yourself
- 32:29or Joe or I haven't even listened to Lex a few times. I'll have to give you not not for a while.
- 32:36But I feel there's like a more authentic conversation happening there. They are diving into
- 32:43important issues. They are open themselves up a bit more to risk, yeah, to the risk of the
- 32:51council crowd coming up to the coming for them. And then after that, like I think also because
- 32:57you make a show when you go back to something like the BBC, which by the way, I don't think all
- 33:02that bad. Yeah, they do some on certain topics. They do some great reporting on other things. You know,
- 33:07they've been to the need to the, well, sometimes even the government. But I kind of find myself
- 33:17in a world where I'm noticing the questions they're not asking. You know what I mean? Yes, I do.
- 33:24Why aren't you asking that question? Why aren't you pushing here? And then I know why they're not
- 33:28because they want to stay in this kind of like awful narrow lane. I mean, the problem is that
- 33:34Joe and me and you and Lex, we're not newsgatherers. So there is still a, a keen need for mainstream
- 33:43news. And you're like, as AI gets better and as the bullshit fire hose gets stronger and stronger
- 33:50and more and more convincing, it's going to become increasingly necessary, I think, for us to
- 33:55rely on certain gatekeepers of information like the BBC and the ABC because you're not going to be
- 34:00able to go on Twitter when there's a volcano erupting and rely on what you see there because so
- 34:06much of it is going to be produced by artificially intelligent bots. You've come quite down that AI
- 34:12rubber hole. Yeah, it's starting to worry me. Okay, interesting. Okay. And there's lots of
- 34:17opportunities, but I don't think we're grappling with the threats. Are you using yourself at all?
- 34:24Not much. No, only as a novelty. Right. Okay. So I use it on a daily basis. What for?
- 34:31Writing, press releases and artwork, concepting, design, work, and mid-journey. I mean,
- 34:38I can get a design concept put together in 10, 15 minutes and take it to a designer, say,
- 34:44is it brief? Right. I find it very useful, but I'm also very consciously aware of what this
- 34:53potentially means. Let's say the softest level in the jobs market as somebody with two kids
- 34:59thinking about their future. I'm probably not as aware as I should be of the potential threat.
- 35:08I can see now how I can see the AI bots on Twitter. I've got one specific one that responds to
- 35:14every tweet I write. Right. Just summarizes it. And I think it's like an interesting window to
- 35:20what's coming. Yeah. But I think there's a really cool thing that might come out of this,
- 35:25that AI might destroy Twitter. Make it completely unusable. Yeah. I mean, it may just
- 35:31throw the internet. I've interviewed one expert and she thinks that within 18 months, potentially,
- 35:3990% of the internet will be produced by machines and that really the worldwide web as we know,
- 35:46it may end up only having a lifespan of a few decades from when it began until now,
- 35:51as a place where human beings communicate things with other human beings, because the AI is
- 35:58going to be indistinguishable from people and they'll be able to use websites and click on things
- 36:03and enter information and sign up for things. And we may have to create walled gardens for humans
- 36:10where you need human verification to get in and there'll be little intranets where we can,
- 36:15which we can use as if it were the worldwide web, but the actual internet as a place where you can
- 36:20comment on things and stuff like that is about to be washed away because so many of the commenters
- 36:25will be computers. Isn't that part of you that thinks actually that might be a good thing?
- 36:31Yeah. Possibly. Possibly. I mean, comments, threads, see ya, Twitter. Later.
- 36:37You must be a similar age to me. Yeah, I'm 45, I don't know.
- 36:40I'm 45 and October. There you go. See, you remember a world of no internet?
- 36:44Oh, absolutely. It's extraordinary. Yeah. No mobile phones, no web ads. Yeah.
- 36:48Just went outside and did things. Yeah. My daughter is addicted to TikTok like every other girl,
- 36:54and as much as I try to stop her, I can't be there all the time. No.
- 37:01I see a different childhood to the one I had, one where I have a childhood that's much more controlled
- 37:08by screens and less running around in the fields. It just naturally exists. Also that fear that you
- 37:12have, if you could spit out there in the fields and do the fuck. But like, I can kind of romanticize
- 37:19about the internet being destroyed. Right. In a weird way. Yeah. But I don't think it's going to
- 37:25be replaced by running around in a failed paper. No, but you know what I mean? Better human
- 37:28interactions. No, you don't, you don't see the thing. Well, if I were convinced that human
- 37:35interaction was going to replace the demise of the internet, I would be hardened by that,
- 37:39but I think it'll just be interactions with more sophisticated machines and with people who are
- 37:47mediated by increasingly sophisticated prisms and portals that we engage with each other through.
- 37:54I don't see a de-escalation of the sophistication of algorithms and social media.
- 38:00So, what is it you're saying? The internet function is today will be destroyed,
- 38:05but we still use it. Yeah, that it'll be replaced by, yeah, by a
- 38:09hodgepodge of other things. But I mean, I'm not talking, when I say the internet, I don't mean
- 38:13TikTok. I mean, TikTok will still be TikTok, right? You may need to be verified as a human being
- 38:18to use TikTok. But it'll still exist. I mean, what's amazing to me is that there's also what's
- 38:24happening to your daughters. Just attention and capacity for a depth of focus. Like, that's
- 38:30the thing that I miss. Like, it's amazing. I was thinking about when I was 15, say, and you
- 38:38made plans to go to the movies with a mate, and you know, you would show up at the movie theater
- 38:44on time. On time. And if they weren't there, you had no way of contacting them, and you had nothing
- 38:51to do. You didn't have to, you didn't have a supercomputer in your pocket to pull out and
- 38:55look at other people who were presenting photos of themselves or videos of themselves to, you know,
- 39:01that were algorithmically selected to around you in some way, not sexually, but like just to
- 39:06engage you in some way. You didn't have Twitter to look at other people arguing on the other side
- 39:11of the world. You just stood there and you like looked at other people's faces as they walked past
- 39:16and you looked at the clouds until eventually when they didn't show up, you just wandered off
- 39:21and went home. Well, you had a walkman, maybe. Maybe. Or a Discman, possibly.
- 39:26With a bit of Bon Jovi. And it's amazing to me that it's amazing to me that that's how we lived.
- 39:32You know, it shouldn't be amazing to me that that's how we lived, but it is amazing to me to
- 39:36imagine that you couldn't fill every spare second of time with something that was going to
- 39:43capture your attention. And you actually just have to sit and ponder, okay, generally. It's
- 39:49funny you raise that because I tell my kids this. I was like, yeah, I saved me. Go to the cinema,
- 39:55you go to town, you say, well, meet there, we'll be there at two o'clock. And usually that'd be
- 40:00there within five minutes either side of that. But you had to be there. You had to turn up. People
- 40:06would puncture. There's no phone call. I'll be there in 20 minutes and they'll go off and do something.
- 40:10There isn't even a phone call anymore. There's just a text message. You know, you don't even plan
- 40:14for what movie session you're going to see. You don't even plan for when you're going to,
- 40:17you know, we'll catch up tonight or tomorrow. Oh, text me. You even watching the movie?
- 40:21Yeah, that's right. Watching something else on your phone. So where is Crypto going to come
- 40:27into all this? I want to get your thoughts about how your thinking has changed if at all over
- 40:32the past couple of years about the role of crypto currencies. Well, it's all Bitcoin. Everything
- 40:39else is bullshit. Okay. It's just be quite frank about that. And the only use for Crypto outside
- 40:46of Bitcoin is we have these things called stable coins, digital dollars that exist on certain
- 40:52networks. I've just been out to Argentina ramp and high inflation. If you've got access to the
- 40:58tools, you know, converting your local dying Argentinian pesos into a digital dollar is useful
- 41:06to protect you, especially with 10% monthly inflation. Unless the, unless the link snaps as it
- 41:11did with one of the tethered coins, didn't it? I don't know what you mean by that.
- 41:16Didn't during the crash last year, it wasn't one of the USDTs or something like that. I mean,
- 41:22it was supposed to be tethered to a dollar, but it turned out not to have stocks. Everyone lost
- 41:26their share. Luna. Yeah. Luna went down. So then it was. Yeah, but but that wouldn't be the one
- 41:32I would use. I don't. Tether is the one I would use. And that exists. There's some multiple
- 41:38different protocols. That's drawn. It's on a theorem. Yeah, it's platform agnostic. But
- 41:43but generally speaking, that's the only use for Crypto. I see outside of Bitcoin. What about the
- 41:48boosters of ether and Ethereum and smart networks and whatnot? I just think smart contracts.
- 41:54Yeah, I just think people, I think these people believe in something. I don't think they're seeing
- 42:00the bigger picture. They're believing in something that's becoming more centralized. And they don't
- 42:05fully understand Bitcoin. So the power Bitcoin is very simple. It's decentralized. That's it.
- 42:12And because it's decentralized, I can send Bitcoin to you from anywhere in the world at any point,
- 42:17no one can stop me. There's no middle man. Government can't switch it off. And it's decentralization
- 42:23makes it a very powerful tool. But the full concept that you've got this one thing in the world
- 42:28that the government cannot switch off, no government, even China banner, they've not managed to switch
- 42:32it off. It's super powerful. The fact it also then has value is even more powerful.
- 42:37Like I'm off to Lebanon next week to make a documentary. And I have to pay for a service up front.
- 42:43I had to use Western Union. And I hit a Western Union limit. So I could only send a certain
- 42:48amount. So I've got to take cash next week. It would be much easier if that person was a Bitcoin.
- 42:52I could just send them the Bitcoin than it would be done. So this power of decentralized money,
- 42:58that is censorship-resistant, peer-to-peer, is super useful for me. I think the people who have
- 43:05born into the other cryptocurrencies, the other platforms they promote, they just not see
- 43:12in the big picture. So what about the skeptics who say that all of that sounds great with the
- 43:17exception of the fact that the value of your money with Bitcoin when you translate it into
- 43:22Fiat currencies is so volatile. It might as well be the Argentinian peso because now it's worth
- 43:27half of what it was 12 months ago. And it's very hard to do business when there's something that
- 43:31goes up and down that much. Yeah, I mean, it's a very good point. And the two points I would make
- 43:39on that. Firstly, the volatility you're paying for now is the price of risk for investing early.
- 43:45You cannot take a asset. Are we still early? Yeah, very early, I would say. I'd say we're very early.
- 43:52I mean, think about it like this. You know, somebody has managed to invent a decentralized currency.
- 43:56Nobody knows who they are. It can be used globally on any electronic device in the world.
- 44:02And there is an exchange rate value in nearly every country nor that's a pretty big achievement.
- 44:07But to go from, you can't go from zero. I mean, if we want to match gold, if you want to get to
- 44:1110 trillion, I think we're at 500 billion right now, you can't go from zero to a trillion without
- 44:16some volatility. Because what happens is, as the price shoots up, some people are highly crap.
- 44:21I've got like a bunch of money here now. I can buy a house or a car or whatever. So they sell a
- 44:24bit. So you're going to get volatility. And that's why most Bitcoiners would say to most people
- 44:31coming into Bitcoin is do not put much money into this. It's volatile. It's risky. You're essentially
- 44:37making a bet. It's an investment in the future of money. Now, for me, volatility doesn't worry me
- 44:44in the short, sorry, in the long term, what worries me is the debatement of currencies,
- 44:52of fear, currencies like my, so if you think in terms of savings, I can say with a pretty
- 44:58confidently any Bitcoin that I buy today in five years will be more valuable than it's today.
- 45:06That has been true. I think even on a four year period, almost any period in Bitcoin,
- 45:12like every Bitcoin ever bought has been worth more after four years. So in my head, I'm like, well,
- 45:17if I'm earning pounds and I want to save that, I want to save for the future, I know at the moment
- 45:23I'm losing five to 10% a year value. So you can pound that over four years. I'm losing a lot
- 45:30there with inflation. Right, but I've never understood this argument, Peter, because nobody does invest
- 45:33in fear currencies. Nobody, nobody invests in pounds sterling. They put that, they buy other things
- 45:40with it. They buy, you know, shares, which also go up every four years, fairly reliably.
- 45:47So you don't, you've never had a savings account like I have... Well, for walking around money,
- 45:51you do. But I mean, nobody, nobody expects to get long-term value out of fear currencies,
- 45:56because of inflation. Yeah, but that's the point. We've been conditioned to accept inflation,
- 46:01which is itself theft. Inflation is... But if we talk about investments,
- 46:06then we don't invest in fear currencies. We just use them as a means of temporary exchange.
- 46:11So saving savings? I mean, my parents always had savings.
- 46:14Right, but they probably, if they're not going to use it for four years,
- 46:17then they're putting it in a term deposit, which is going to outstrip inflation.
- 46:21But that's the point at the moment. It's not outstripping inflation.
- 46:23Well, right now we're in a high inflation environment, but it hasn't for a long time now.
- 46:30Like, you know, that we're talking... Since the probably 2008 financial crisis,
- 46:37down very much. Yeah, if you're incredibly cautious, and all you're doing is investing
- 46:42in term deposits and like something that's cash, a cash management account,
- 46:47then you're probably a little bit less than inflation. But if you're that cautious,
- 46:50then I wouldn't recommend that you buy Bitcoin, because the volatility is huge. If you're
- 46:53willing to put up with the risk of Bitcoin, then you're willing to put up with the risk of
- 46:58putting it in an exchange-traded fund that tracks the FTSE 500. And in that case,
- 47:02you are getting returns that fire outstrip inflation. Yeah, it depends. I mean,
- 47:07I think I probably just want to go a little bit more nuanced in this, just so I get my point clear.
- 47:13When I talk about, there's another example. Let's take my business. I operate a business.
- 47:19You know, with a business with a team of eight, you have to have a high level of cash flow. So
- 47:23I have to operate always with six figures in the bank. I have to always have that money there.
- 47:28I can't invest that money. I can't put that elsewhere, but that also is getting debased month
- 47:33on month. And so there, I'm losing value just by the fact I have to have cash flow. I have to hold
- 47:39I have to hold money back to pay my taxability. Yeah, right. So that is being debased. But there
- 47:44is no reason for us to be debased apart from the fact that governments print too much money.
- 47:49It is a monetary phenomenon inflation. So for me, there are alternatives. Now I can't,
- 47:55as a business, put into Bitcoin because of the short term volatility, but I do have to constantly
- 48:00think about this. And it reminds me of the fact that inflation is a theft from us that we shouldn't
- 48:06have to go through and we don't have to go through. But the bigger point is when you look at something
- 48:11like the inflation we're dealing with here, I'm going out to Lebanon next week. I've been out
- 48:16to Argentina. I've been to Venezuela. I've been to countries with very high inflation.
- 48:20For them, holding Bitcoin is a real alternative and a valuable alternative even in the short term.
- 48:26Yeah. So if you had up on there, if you had the Bitcoin chart against the US dollar,
- 48:30you would see we had a spike in the price and the peak was probably a year and a half ago.
- 48:35If you go to Argentina, it's now. Right. Like the highest price is now. So
- 48:41I don't, or when I talk about these things, I don't always talk about just from the perspective
- 48:45of me, somebody living in, you know, someone like the UK, where even though we've got kind of high
- 48:51inflation, there are places where it's much worse and it's a much more useful tool. That's why
- 48:55when I travel for the job, I go to these places because this is the true story of inflation,
- 49:00the real serious side of inflation. But we do have the potential of having those levels of
- 49:06inflation happen in Australia, UK, US, we could have high double digit inflation over the next
- 49:1310, 20 years. It's entirely possible. And so for me, it's just like Bitcoin makes a lot more
- 49:18sense. I know long term, that's just a good place. I can put my money. It can't be stolen from me.
- 49:26I can spend it how I want. I can use it how I want. And any money I put there for the long term,
- 49:31I'm pretty sure it's going to protect my spending. I mean, pretty sure, not certain. I mean,
- 49:37it doesn't have the duration, for example, that a property investment or the stock market has.
- 49:43As investments, you know, not as tools of exchange, as long term investments.
- 49:47Yeah, but you have to just weigh up these things that you understand where you want to put money.
- 49:51I own a property. Would I put all my money in property? No. The two times I bought property,
- 49:57properties one was at the 2008. It literally bought it in June 2000. I think it was a month before
- 50:03the global financial crisis. And I've just bought one six months ago.
- 50:09I bet the 2008 property is worth a ton more than you bought it for now.
- 50:14I tell you, I bought it for 285,000. I sold it 16 years later for 475. So not bad.
- 50:21Yeah, pretty good. I mean, so I mean, I have heard people say, even who are Bitcoin skeptics,
- 50:26yeah, this might be great in basket case countries like Argentina and Lebanon. But what you need
- 50:32is a central bank that knows what it's doing. And I mean, you say that inflation is theft,
- 50:37it is managed theft that we all sort of collectively agree on as being the price that the price to pay,
- 50:44for example, right now for certain outcomes. And you hope that you have a central bank that's
- 50:50good enough to be able to bring it under control by raising interest rates until until the inflation
- 50:55comes down to its target zone. Yeah, I don't quite understand. I still don't quite understand why one,
- 51:03what what the transition point is where if we don't become Argentina or Lebanon,
- 51:11why we're all going to want to take this shift. Well, okay, I mean, again, there's a lot to unpack
- 51:19there. You talk about could invest in property. Let me ask you a simple way. If you're if I'm
- 51:25in Argentina and my currency is being devaced by a huge inflation and physical mismanagement by
- 51:32the government, then if I could invest in the S&P like in the American stock market, if I let's
- 51:40suppose I have 100,000 US dollars in savings in pesos, if I could just transfer it into US dollars
- 51:46and put it in an in an exchange traded fund that just maps the top, you know, 100 biggest companies
- 51:53on the US stock market or on the NASDAQ. Then in the long term, would you recommend that I do that
- 52:00or buy Bitcoin? Depends on your timescale. Like if you're saying to hold something for 10 years,
- 52:05absolutely, I'd say Bitcoin because Bitcoin, my expectation is Bitcoin will massively outperform
- 52:11the ETF that tracks those companies. And let's be honest though, I mean, over the last year or two,
- 52:15the stock market has been super volatile. If you look at the Netflix and Facebook's, you could put
- 52:21your money in there and lost 60, 70% easily. So the stock market can be a hyper volatile itself as
- 52:26well. And so I mean, realistically, if you're advising someone to put their money, you just say,
- 52:31put a few plays, have a bit of property, have a bit of gold, have a bit of Bitcoin, have an ETF
- 52:36that tracks, you know, and we have this guy on our show called Color Roach. And I think his
- 52:40view is it's like 25% cash, 25% property, 25% gold, was it? 25% equities. He has a lot of gold,
- 52:50but sure. But his view is like, if you always hold 25% of each, what happens is that as markets move,
- 52:56people jump between one or the other, that kind of balance means that you will protect yourself
- 53:01long term. Right. And so Bitcoin is just one of those that sits alongside gold. It's kind of like
- 53:06gold. And so I wouldn't tell anyone to put all their money in Bitcoin. That's crazy. Yeah,
- 53:11absolutely stupid because Bitcoin is kind of linked to the S&P. The prices are kind of linked.
- 53:19But I would say, have a bit of Bitcoin, but have a property, have equities, have just a mix of
- 53:26things, but a mix of things you understand. Right. I'm not here to say Bitcoin is going to replace
- 53:31everything. You should put all your money in there. Honestly, it's too risky, especially in the
- 53:35short term. But you never know, if you put a hundred pound a buy, a hundred dollars a month by
- 53:41for the next 20, I mean, I've just, my kids were born. I put 50 pounds a month by in their
- 53:46bank accounts when they turned 18, they're 12,000 pounds. If my son now puts 50 pound a month by
- 53:52and puts it into Bitcoin every month, maybe in 20 years, that will be worth significantly better
- 53:57than put it in any other market. If you were not worried about governments controlling our money
- 54:04or companies like Western Union or PayPal or something like that, controlling our money and
- 54:09potentially censoring people from being able to exchange money for controversial ideas or
- 54:15something like that, then would the use case for Bitcoin be significantly diminished?
- 54:21Hell yeah, yeah. I mean, there's a guy called Safedin, he wrote a book called The Bitcoin Standard,
- 54:26and I asked him what's the biggest threat to Bitcoin and he said, good government.
- 54:29Right. We only have or need Bitcoin because of bad government. We only have it because
- 54:36I want to send money to Lebanon and Western Union has a limit. Or I'm suffering from high inflation
- 54:42because I live in a country with a high inflation. Or I've increasingly got government
- 54:47having banks run surveillance on what I'm spending my money on and invading my privacy.
- 54:51All Bitcoin is a reaction to large intrusive government and intrusive government policies
- 54:59and bad central bank policy. That's what it is. It's a response to that.
- 55:05Are you worried about like a growth in I guess authoritarian surveillance and
- 55:11there's this whole school of thought which I don't, I mean, obviously it's sometimes paranoid
- 55:18and delusional, but at the edges, I don't know how much credence to give it, which is that
- 55:24we're sort of on a path towards digital currencies that will be created by central banks,
- 55:34and we'll give them the ability to track what we spend, spy on us in my detail, prevent us from
- 55:42buying things, maybe even dock our pay or our assets if we do the wrong thing, if we talk about
- 55:48the wrong things, you know, have kind of social credit scores where we all have to be good work
- 55:52abys in order to be able to have access to our assets. Is that? Yeah, CBDCs. Yeah, I think there's
- 55:59a lot to be concerned about with CBDCs, I think, which are central bank digital currencies,
- 56:05and has any country done this yet? I mean, there's active tests. China has one. I'm not sure how far
- 56:11long they are. I'm not sure if technically it can be done the way governments think it can be
- 56:18done, but maybe it can be, but the thread is real. Why do they need a digital currency? I mean,
- 56:22wouldn't they, I've no quite understood why digital currency is a component of that authoritarian
- 56:27state. I mean, if the North Koreans or the Chinese want everyone to use a particular banking app
- 56:32in order to pay for things in yuan, then they can. I think the idea of a central bank digital currency
- 56:40is what it allows you to do alongside what it allows you to link to the currency, the full control
- 56:46in that. At the moment, our money is, there's levels of decentralization. Bitcoin is a fully
- 56:52decentralized money, but we still have elements of decentralization. I've got some pounds in my pocket.
- 56:58I have a credit card. No, good here, mate. Take your pounds back to bloody. I'm not going to accept
- 57:03them here. Danny will take them. But the fragmented system is an element of decentralization, a bit of
- 57:10cash, a credit card. I've got different pools of cash that I can use or money I can use with
- 57:16different technologies or just with cash. But when you move to a world of a CBDC, you're essentially
- 57:21eliminating all of that. You're essentially heading towards a single database for the money.
- 57:25So cash is gone, which by the way, I think is a terrible idea. I think cash is important for a
- 57:31number of reasons, privacy being one of them. But this idea that you have, there's one central
- 57:37database of money who has what, who spent with who. I think it just hands too much over to
- 57:46governments when we know what the risks are with government for the overreach, the potential overreach.
- 57:53And what about private industry? Apparently Google buys 70% of American credit card transactions
- 57:59from vendors and credit card companies and then uses that to cross-reference those transactions to
- 58:06your avatar that they have for you. So they know what you've been spending and they can target
- 58:10advertising to you. That's a trade and privacy. I mean, that's a different level of privacy
- 58:16invasion. That's an invasion of privacy to so you put ads in front of you to convince you to buy
- 58:21shit that you probably don't need. But I think we should stay on the central bank digital currency
- 58:27and the risks that come with this. I always felt like what happened with the trucker protest was
- 58:35an interest inside to the potential of what can happen. I think this is in Canada.
- 58:41Yeah, I think you can forget whether you agree or disagree with the protest. But just look what
- 58:46happened. I think the ability to protest is a bought part of democracy. I think we'd
- 58:52align on that. And just to remind people, this was during the pandemic when truck drivers were
- 58:59angry at the Canadian government, they're locked down policies and they're bored of policies.
- 59:05It was their border policies. And these were people who've been essentially being coerced into
- 59:10being vaccinated. But again, I don't need to get into the whole, I was vaccinated. But the idea
- 59:16that you should have a certain amount of liberty. But the big concern in part of it was this was a
- 59:23protest. Protesters were looking to raise funds to support their protests. And there was a five,
- 59:3110, whatever a million raised on GoFundMe, the Canadian government blocked that. And they actually
- 59:36started to close down bank accounts of people who are supporting protesters. Now that's concerning
- 59:42because if you suddenly get frozen from your bank account, you can't pay your mortgage, your
- 59:46credit rating can be affected. You can use your house. If you can't get money out of the bank,
- 59:50you can't feed yourself. So being financially frozen is I think a terrifying prospect. And given
- 59:57that tool and that ability to do the government, I think is super scary, especially in a
- 1:00:03world where if you eliminated cash and you only had the CVDC, you can switch people off. You can
- 1:00:07switch people off from society. And I just, I accept government and I do support the idea of
- 1:00:17democracy. But I don't support the idea of giving government so much power that they can essentially
- 1:00:22coerce your vote or coerce your decision making based on blocking you from being able to make
- 1:00:27financial transactions. Yeah, that's crazy. But they can do that. They're really tools. I mean,
- 1:00:32it happens in China. You can be stopped from being able to buy plain tickets. You can stop from
- 1:00:39being able to get on trains just by saying the wrong thing on WeChat. That is something that
- 1:00:45happens. And you know, we're a long way from China. But we are seeing the types of things that
- 1:00:51can say, I mean, another example, we have these ultra low emissions zone in London. You were
- 1:00:56this. Yeah, I saw actually you tweeting about this. Yeah, explain the ultra low emissions zone.
- 1:01:01So it's just that I think it's just another misguided green policy. And I'm not, yeah, I support,
- 1:01:08I support smart, intelligent green policies, not those that end up becoming attacks on the poor.
- 1:01:15This is essentially attacks on the older cars. It's a congestion charge in London. Is that
- 1:01:20right? But only for cars that aren't. Yeah, so we already have a congestion charge, which is
- 1:01:25essentially 50 pounds to enter London. This is an additional charge whereby if your car is not
- 1:01:31compliant with the ultra low emission grading, whichever whatever that is, I don't actually know
- 1:01:34what it is that you can be charged. But essentially what the mayor of London has done is he's put
- 1:01:40cameras up all around London, which track your number place, contract where you go, track where you've
- 1:01:45been. And then they can charge you for traveling to parts of London. Now,
- 1:01:54if you link that to a CBDC, you can automatically be deducted. And this to me is the kind of policy
- 1:02:01that's come through, which I think is an unfair tax on the poor. I think that the vandalization rate
- 1:02:07of these ULS cameras, which I think is something ridiculous, like 75% have been vandalized.
- 1:02:14I think that's you're at the point where the government needs to listen these to go, hold on,
- 1:02:18people really hate this policy. Maybe we've got this one wrong. And so I just think,
- 1:02:24giving the government cameras everywhere to contract everything, money that they controlled,
- 1:02:29the trajectory of where we had in this is too much control in the hands of people that I think
- 1:02:34have proven that they can't be trusted. Yeah. Do you not worry about it? I do worry about it.
- 1:02:40I do worry about it, especially since each step along the way seems to have its own internal logic,
- 1:02:45like, well, you know, here's his camera instead of, you know, finding lots of take a speed camera,
- 1:02:51which is an example that more people and more places would be familiar with instead of sending you
- 1:02:56a speeding fine. And then if you don't pay it, you know, we send you another speeding fine
- 1:03:00that's higher. And then if you don't pay that, then we send you a court summit. We can see a driver's
- 1:03:04license. And if you still drive, then we send you a court summons. And then like that all sounds
- 1:03:08complicated. Why don't we just dock the fine from your bank account when you get snapped by the
- 1:03:13speeding camera? Like that seems a lot more efficient for everybody. But of course, then you're
- 1:03:17going down the path of what you're talking about. And that would worry me. I mean, I already live in
- 1:03:24what I regard as being an extremely nanny state country and state in particular. I've lived most
- 1:03:31of my adult life in New York where there is a, you know, there are some things that are bizarrely
- 1:03:37dictatorial in New York City, like not being able to drink a beer in a park and stuff like that
- 1:03:42and being bothered, you know, about, about little ordinances and things like that. But in general,
- 1:03:48you can drive faster on the freeways and you're not going to get snapped by some hidden speed camera.
- 1:03:54You can do, you can generally get your funk on more than you can hear. Here we are an obedient
- 1:04:00people. We saw it during the pandemic, you know, a high level of what sociologist called vertical
- 1:04:06trust, which is the kind of trust in institutions and authority that you see a lot across East Asia,
- 1:04:13for example, and not so much at all in countries like the UK and the US. And that was a really
- 1:04:17interesting, I think sociological experiment where Australia and New Zealand seem to have developed
- 1:04:25this almost Asian style vertical trust in a way that is unusual in the Western world. You know,
- 1:04:32there are countries that have a lot of horizontal trust, meaning trust between people and not a lot
- 1:04:38of vertical trust. So, you know, Greece or Italy might be countries like that where neighbours trust
- 1:04:44each other that you trust strangers, but you don't trust that the government is going to do anything
- 1:04:48right. And then there are the countries that might be Japan where there's a lot of trust in
- 1:04:53government and in authority, but not a lot of suspicion about whether your fellow man is going
- 1:04:57to do the right thing. And you tend to see more horizontal trust and less vertical trust in Western
- 1:05:04democracies except for Australia. Why do you think that is? Because I remember in the pandemic,
- 1:05:11and you know, the pandemic screwed me up a lot. It shifted my whole world quite significantly
- 1:05:18because I started out as I didn't interview with a doctor early on, friend of mine, and he was
- 1:05:23talking about the influx of patients suddenly coming into the hospital and he said it was a trickle
- 1:05:30and then it was a stream and then they didn't know what the hell they were dealing with.
- 1:05:35And when the first lockdown happened, I was like, yeah, this makes sense. We should be doing this.
- 1:05:39And now I look back at embarrassment on that because it wasn't even a two-week lockdown,
- 1:05:43and it'll be months of lockdown. I've looked at how we were lied to by
- 1:05:48yeah, all the text messages came out from man, how can God be talking about? We need to scare people.
- 1:05:53You know, I've seen all that stuff. I got vaccinated. I don't know if I made the right decision
- 1:05:58anymore because I don't know where to find the truth anymore. My whole world has been shifted
- 1:06:03to a place of not trusting the government, but not knowing who to trust instead.
- 1:06:08I mean, I don't think you should trust the government, but I do still trust scientists,
- 1:06:12and I do still trust the medical establishment and the vast bulk of medical evidence,
- 1:06:18and it's not just from drug companies, which some people say, oh, you can't trust Pfizer,
- 1:06:21I don't trust Pfizer, but I trust a lot of very, very well-educated people who have gone over
- 1:06:27this a bazillion times by now and who find no long-term negative effects from the vaccines to speak
- 1:06:35of and who say that it has, it's very, very good at preventing hospitalization and death. So,
- 1:06:41it was probably the right thing to do to get it. And then I agree with you that where we fall
- 1:06:50on things like lockdowns, in countries where the virus was running rampant, it's hard to understand
- 1:06:58what the point of a lockdown is. I think in 2020 and throughout most of 2021, there was a lot of
- 1:07:05reason for lockdowns in places where there was no social contagion, like here in Australia.
- 1:07:13And I think we can misremember the harshness of the Australian lockdown. I'm not making any
- 1:07:18apologies for isolated instances of police overreach or silly laws, like not allowing someone
- 1:07:25to lie on the beach, you know, and being able to make them go home. But the reality is that in February
- 1:07:33of 2021, when the entire world was on fire with Delta and, you know, people were not locked down
- 1:07:39in the US and UK necessarily, but they were huddled inside and sheltering in place because of the
- 1:07:45the wave of increasing infectiousness. I went to see Hamilton in Sydney in a packed
- 1:07:53theater, like that was that there was no COVID. And so a succession of moderate lockdowns in
- 1:08:00New South Wales managed to keep raining it back in because we invested in contact tracing.
- 1:08:06And we checked in everywhere with QR codes and we had this quasi-authoritarian system where
- 1:08:12every single place that you went to, you scanned a QR code. And then when a case would escape
- 1:08:18from hotel quarantine because every single person coming into the country was locked in a hotel
- 1:08:22for two weeks before they were allowed back out into the community, then, you know, you had thousands
- 1:08:28of contact traces working around the clock and tracing it back and getting those people to isolate
- 1:08:34and at home. And we did manage to rein it in again and again and again. And then once,
- 1:08:41actually, that was pre-delta of February of 2021. Then when Delta hit in June, July of 2021,
- 1:08:49it was too infectious and the contact traces were unable to get it under control. And then we had
- 1:08:53the bad lockdown, which was like 100 days in New South Wales. Melbourne had had much, much worse
- 1:08:57because they had a more incompetent contact tracing. They had different demographics. They had an
- 1:09:02inferior health system. So that was where you saw those really gnarly, you know, videos of,
- 1:09:07you know, people just relentlessly locked down. And there were horrible examples of police going
- 1:09:11to people's houses because they'd posted on the Facebook page that they were going to join a
- 1:09:15protest in the city or something. And it's reminiscent of the Canadian truckers thing. Like, why would
- 1:09:21a person be, ultimately, most of these things got overturned. So, you know, sanity prevailed,
- 1:09:27but why would a person even feel that they were under threat initially of being arrested and punished
- 1:09:32for saying that they were going to go to a rally during a lockdown? Nonetheless, it's hard to, you
- 1:09:39know, at the hindsight of 2020, we didn't know what it was at the time. Mistakes were certainly made,
- 1:09:47but, you know, I don't spend a lot of time. I don't stay up at night thinking that we were
- 1:09:53hoodwinked into a, a pandemic. No, I've never, I've never thought it was a dress rehearsal for
- 1:09:59authoritarianism or something. No, I think one of these things just comes down to incentives,
- 1:10:05human behaviour. And I just think it's mainly a series of unfortunate things, sometimes giving
- 1:10:13too much power to idiots. And I think there were a good example, I say, good examples, but actually
- 1:10:20really, they're terrible examples of police in the UK, Australia, America being given too much
- 1:10:26authority and being, I mean, I think I seem to remember one, it might have been in the UK where it
- 1:10:31goes, it's actually been strangled by a police officer. And I remember seeing things like that,
- 1:10:36they were just terrible, but I didn't really want to get into a COVID debate, but more the point
- 1:10:41was, I think the whole period has just made me a lot more critical where that we can be lied to
- 1:10:50by, it's significant lies from people of power and authority, Matt Hancock, all the text messages
- 1:10:58came out, they lied, they just lied to us. Matt Hancock was the, he was the, was the,
- 1:11:02position, the health secretary. Yeah. And I can't remember if he was, with position was afterwards,
- 1:11:09but he was the health secretary, but things can, it can't things also be just taken out of context,
- 1:11:13like I vaguely remember those tweets. So if you're saying that we need to scare the shit out of
- 1:11:16everybody, then can't the generous interpretation of that be like, fuck, we need to get people to
- 1:11:20take this seriously because it's going to be really bad. I think it's very generous. I think I
- 1:11:26would have to have the tweets in front of me to like, sorry, the, the text to show them. Right.
- 1:11:30But this is a time, you've got to remember, you've got to couple this with parties,
- 1:11:36parties within government when they're trying to tell us to scare the shit out of home. I'd
- 1:11:39just saying there's, there's a mix of bad and misinformation and disinformation. And it, you
- 1:11:45know, and I think if you, if you look at the government, you treat them as what they are,
- 1:11:49is part of the elite, who can tell us that we have to stay at home, destroy businesses,
- 1:11:54whilst they're having bodies getting drunk within the, the, the, the offices of government,
- 1:12:01and when you expand this to more power, how, how can it be misused? And so I'm not a
- 1:12:07no government person. I'm not an anarchist. It's just this check and balance. And I just think
- 1:12:11we've gone too far. There's too much overreach. So the idea of, you know, you couple a pandemic
- 1:12:17with a central bank digital currency. You couple a lockdown with the CBDC. I mean, how scary
- 1:12:23could that get? There's only things they could do. Okay. Well, we're in a pandemic. You
- 1:12:27shouldn't be by an alcohol. You cannot buy alcohol. Right. That kind of weird, scary. Yeah.
- 1:12:31I just, or you can imagine like it needs to see that you're, there was a period where you could
- 1:12:36only get in your Uber. If you took a photo of yourself wearing a mask and Uber had an AI to check
- 1:12:40that you're wearing a mask, right? You can imagine that technology being like before you leave
- 1:12:45your house, you have to be wearing a mask or if you're going to go into a cafe, you have to be
- 1:12:48wearing a mask. It wouldn't be a pretty world where you're micromanaged by bureaucrats.
- 1:12:54Yeah. So I think we have to push back. So for me, I think it's an important to people to fully
- 1:12:59understand what a CBDC is and push back because I think people could be easily hoodwinked
- 1:13:03into thinking, this is great. I mean, Richie Suneck branded it brick coin. Right. But again,
- 1:13:10even without the digital currency, there's something I'm not getting about this. Why couldn't they
- 1:13:13just do that to us already? I mean, yes, you could use cash for everything, right? But we don't.
- 1:13:20It would still be devastating. I don't have the cash on hand. If they wanted to punish me
- 1:13:25for having this conversation, they could just raise my bank accounts. They did it with the
- 1:13:29truckers and assuming that we're not all using Bitcoin, we don't need the digital currency. They
- 1:13:33can do it already. Yeah. So in terms of freezing bank accounts, they can. Okay. Like I said, look,
- 1:13:38but you still might have a credit card. They would have to go through every financial institution,
- 1:13:42every bank and have you block band by everyone, which I don't most of us probably don't
- 1:13:46deal with two or three financial institutions at the most. But maybe you can just go and get a new
- 1:13:50credit card the next day from somewhere else or the fact is you do also have cash. I mean,
- 1:13:56it's a lot of effort to block your account. But when you go to a CVDC, it's not just blocking your
- 1:14:00account. It's actually deciding what you can spend your money on. I put blocks on. You cannot spend
- 1:14:06your money on this auto deducting from your account. So the speeding ticket was a great example.
- 1:14:11What if they auto deduct on the last day of the month and you were right on your limit and
- 1:14:15to push you over your overdraft and then you get a fine from the bank? What if you wanted to
- 1:14:19appeal it? Are you less likely to appeal because you can't be bothered because you've already had
- 1:14:22it deducted? Yeah. Where else made what new fines might they introduce? Yeah. I don't think the
- 1:14:29ultra low emissions zone is a green policy. I just think it's a tax. That's right. I think it is.
- 1:14:33I don't think it's going to make one eye to eye to a difference to global emissions.
- 1:14:39Well, I don't think I'll make a relevant change. Yeah. It's statistically significant change.
- 1:14:44To me, it's just a tax, but it's a tax on the poor. And so when you start to just,
- 1:14:48you start to look at all these different pieces, more surveillance, more control over the money,
- 1:14:55massive growth in government debt, you start to realize like as much of the money tree system I
- 1:15:01can get away from the government, the better. It's a bit like separation of church and state. I
- 1:15:06think the separation of money and state would be a good thing. Personally, I quite like the idea of
- 1:15:09getting rid of central banks. I quite like the idea of having a fragmented financial system,
- 1:15:14different currency, different currency options. So when they fail, the failures are localized.
- 1:15:19Right. Right. Rather than global as we have now. And this is the other thing about Bitcoin.
- 1:15:26Going back to Bitcoin, to me, I think it's a mistake to think of Bitcoin as perfect functioning
- 1:15:33money today because it isn't what it is is the potential to be the best money there is on a
- 1:15:40number of different factors. You know, when you compare it to fiat money and you look at the
- 1:15:47the pros and cons, okay, where does it lose? Yes, it's volatile. Yes, there is enough physical
- 1:15:51cash equivalent, but where is it better? Well, it cannot be debased. Yeah. The government cannot
- 1:15:56spot transactions. They cannot send stop me sending money to you. So in a scenario where there is a
- 1:16:02lockdown or you you can't access your money, I can send you Bitcoin. Nobody can stop that.
- 1:16:06I can send it globally wherever I want. So it has all these other factors that make it an
- 1:16:11interesting alternative to the current financial system, the current money. And so
- 1:16:19nobody should really be putting all their money in it now, but they should be learning about it
- 1:16:22and considering maybe I should put a small amount in. And maybe that small amount I'm putting in
- 1:16:28isn't even an investment. It is a it is a vote is a vote for resistance against the government
- 1:16:35is to say there's this thing you don't have control. There's this one thing you can't stop.
- 1:16:39It's really that's that's a super important idea. That said, Bitcoin's gone from nowhere to be in
- 1:16:46the eighth biggest currency in the world. You know, it will eventually take the seventh slot and
- 1:16:50the sixth and the fifth. It will keep growing. It is a beast like that. And so for me, it makes
- 1:16:57sense to have a sort of my money in there. So it's both a protest and a sensible place to
- 1:17:04store some money. Yeah, and a hedge, I guess, right? I mean a hedge, but money out of the pillar.
- 1:17:10So what's everything? There's a really interesting chart where if you look at the rise in the price
- 1:17:15of Bitcoin, it correlates quite quite close to the periods of government printing, massive expansion
- 1:17:24of the government's balance sheet. And that's a quite interesting point is that people say,
- 1:17:29oh, I was told this is hedge against inflation is dropped 50%. You have to be ahead of the curve.
- 1:17:34Yeah, I don't mean a hedge against inflation. I mean a hedge against against the government,
- 1:17:38the kinds of policies that we're talking about or the sort of dystopian future that could be
- 1:17:43ushered in because it's very hard to argue against these things as well. You know, there's a language
- 1:17:46game that gets played where, you know, you argue against the ultra low emission vehicle zone and
- 1:17:54people say, well, why don't you want to do anything about the climate or you argue against speed
- 1:17:58cameras? And you say, do you want the roads to be more dangerous and more people to die on the roads?
- 1:18:04You know, there's always a compelling reason for the people who want greater intrusion into our
- 1:18:09lives to justify it. You know, you argue against the person being prosecuted for putting up on
- 1:18:16Facebook that they were going to attend a rally and you say, what do you want, you know, old people
- 1:18:19to be dying of, more people to be dying of COVID? No, of course not. But if you follow that logic,
- 1:18:25you end up in quite a dark place. If you're doing, if you're deploying the tools of the state
- 1:18:31to be maximally intrusive in order to protect us all from ourselves, I don't want to live in that
- 1:18:37society. No, I don't. I think it was quite, I find quite interesting about you, Josh, and why I wanted
- 1:18:41to talk to you is, you know, I don't, I would certainly place you, you might not want to be
- 1:18:48placed and you might find there's a massive insult. But I think you are, I feel like there's some
- 1:18:53alignment in our thinking. I feel like you're probably a bit more to the left than the kind of
- 1:18:58people I get on my podcast. But I, but I don't feel like you're becoming one of these captured
- 1:19:04crazy left people who will just accept living in government. Much more rational, reasonable person.
- 1:19:08I'm an anti-authoritarian and I'm an anti-establishment person. I mean, I just think we have
- 1:19:13all have to be independent. I mean, to whatever enhances the greatest amount of human flourishing,
- 1:19:18I am for, I would say that is my guiding light. And if you can achieve, if you can use the state
- 1:19:23to help with that, then that's great. But I don't want people to be tied down by bureaucracy or
- 1:19:29intrusions into their lives because that doesn't enhance human flourishing. I like independent
- 1:19:34people. I, uh, we didn't feel this morning with the guy where he's like a financial advisor
- 1:19:40in a family office and he works on a state plan and he said that I think his number was the
- 1:19:47Australian government says that is it now or it's we're heading towards, they're heading towards
- 1:19:5450% of GDP will be generated by the government. Yeah, which is firstly, I, you know,
- 1:20:01funny that the government would say that because the government doesn't,
- 1:20:03right? How is that even possible? I think it really means that 50% of all, uh, uh,
- 1:20:1250% of the country will be working for the government.
- 1:20:16Did you say what time period it was? That can't be right.
- 1:20:21I think that must be like extrapolating from if the, if the government continued to grow at the
- 1:20:25rate that it's been growing over the past 10 years or something. But I think it's 50 years.
- 1:20:29I think something along those lines, but the point being I think what's more,
- 1:20:32more interesting is that this constant growth in the size of the government. So even during the
- 1:20:37pandemic in the UK when, uh, businesses were closed or had to close or couldn't open, I mean,
- 1:20:43I know people lost their businesses. The UK government grew by 90,000 employees. Right.
- 1:20:49It's, it's a constant growing business constantly needs to be fed. And again, this is why Bitcoin
- 1:20:55is an interesting pushback on that. The idea that you cannot just constantly print your way out
- 1:21:00mistakes. I mean, when I was a kid, I did economics of school, there was always this idea of a
- 1:21:06surplus and a deficit. It would never have a surplus anymore. It's just a constant growing deficit.
- 1:21:12Yeah. You know, if you look at where our government spending money at the moment, I mean,
- 1:21:17it's unbelievable. The amount of money which is just going into the bottom as pit, which is the
- 1:21:22NHS and don't get me wrong. I love the idea of our health service, but it, but it doesn't work
- 1:21:28anymore. You know, social care. Doesn't not work anymore. Doesn't not work anymore because
- 1:21:34conservative governments have ripped money out of it for no, it's not decades. No, it's not
- 1:21:38that. But I think if you're going to, if you're going to be fair about the problems of the NHS,
- 1:21:43you would recognize this is, uh, this has been something, this has been a growing problem for
- 1:21:48decades, which has gone through successive conservative and labor governments.
- 1:21:54Because if, oh, yeah, I mean, I don't mean to throw conservatives exclusively under the
- 1:21:56bus because you've got, you had new labor, which were also fairly conservative, small-sea conservative.
- 1:22:02But I mean, I think if you actually look at the bang for the buck that the UK gets, it doesn't
- 1:22:06spend very much on the NHS in comparison to other public systems and it gets a lot, quite a lot
- 1:22:11out of it. It's like, it's a lot more efficient than the US system. The US spends like twice as
- 1:22:14much on healthcare as the US does, as the UK does and gets slightly better outcomes.
- 1:22:20So 220 billion and I think our tax receipts are a trillion. So it's like 22% of the government's
- 1:22:28funding of the tax receipts going to the NHS. So I mean, I don't know more. I think it's smaller
- 1:22:34as a share of GDP than it used to be the NHS. I don't think it is. I actually think it's higher.
- 1:22:40We've looked at the fact that we've had the chance, haven't we, Danny?
- 1:22:45Yeah, I'm almost certain it has. See, what percentage of GDP that the NHS was in like the year 2000
- 1:22:50or 1995? The point is, to me, it is a broken system and the signals of how broken it is,
- 1:22:58just the size of the weightiness is just going up and up and up. Right, but wouldn't more money fix
- 1:23:02that? You say that, but constantly the weightiness go up and constantly every government promises
- 1:23:08more money and more money. But they don't really deliver much more money, yeah? Yeah, they do.
- 1:23:11I mean, it's gone up. What has it gone up? 100 billion in the last?
- 1:23:21Interesting. Yeah, I'm still not very much at the US is 18 or something.
- 1:23:26I'm surprised not higher because I'm pretty sure when we did the Dan tab interview,
- 1:23:31can you gone the office for budget responsibility? I mean, without getting into the weeds about the NHS,
- 1:23:35I take your broad point because he's saying that's a percentage of GDP. I'm saying a percentage
- 1:23:39of tax receipts. Yes, I understand that. But I think GDP is the fairer measure because
- 1:23:47economy's grow and different governments decide to tax differently and sometimes there's
- 1:23:52a huge amount of hypocrisy amongst conservatives who say that they want surpluses but actually cut
- 1:23:56taxes in the right ways that deliver deficits. I mean, I have a lot of sympathy for a broadly
- 1:24:03libertarian worldview which is like people should be allowed to do what they want to do and there
- 1:24:08shouldn't be huge bureaucratic systems for wanting their aspirations. I think you should be able
- 1:24:14to set up a company very quickly. I think you should be, you know, things should be nimble and
- 1:24:18government should be easy to work with. My only caution is that sometimes people who talk that talk
- 1:24:24will vote for policies or be parts of parties like the current Republican party in the United States
- 1:24:31which will actually systematically make life harder because, I mean, as Al Franken, the former
- 1:24:37sailing like live comic and sometimes Senator said, you know, Republicans run on the platform
- 1:24:43that government doesn't work and then they get elected and prove it. So, you know, there are
- 1:24:48things in the US like doing your taxes every single year which could easily be undone. In other
- 1:24:54countries like Australia, the taxes just get done for you because the government, the tax
- 1:24:58office already has all of the information or everyone who's employed you has had to send in forms
- 1:25:03that say that you're being employed. They could just do it and you could just not have to worry
- 1:25:07about it but because Republicans are in bed with H&R block and the tax, you know, accounting people
- 1:25:14that don't want things to be easy and really they don't want it to be easy to pay taxes because they
- 1:25:17want taxes to be a monumental pain in the ass so that the party that campaigns on lower taxes gets
- 1:25:23more votes, right? I mean, so there are these, you go to a country like Denmark which, or
- 1:25:28which I lived in for a semester and went to school in Copenhagen, went to university in Copenhagen
- 1:25:33and it's so easy working dealing with the government that there are no lines in the post office,
- 1:25:39you know, things function easily in the US. My god, tries going into the post office and sending
- 1:25:44a package takes you three hours trying to get your license renewed at the Department of Motor Vehicles
- 1:25:49to nightmare. That is because of a lack of funding. I mean, maybe it's partly because of unions
- 1:25:56as well but it's largely because of a lack of funding and a certain lack of kind of nimbleness
- 1:26:01and adeptness from government. So I think there, I think you could have a situation that would
- 1:26:08please libertarians and also lefties alike just by having governments that are efficient and
- 1:26:16lean but also well-funded so they can do, they can actually help you to achieve your aspirations
- 1:26:22instead of thwarting them. What would make them more nimble and efficient though? Because I think
- 1:26:29that's kind of one of the main challenges that that government has that businesses don't, like
- 1:26:35the free market kind of works, kind of works. Yeah, let's avoid arguments about, you know, a full
- 1:26:44free market would lead to lots of pollution, like just companies that are shit lose their customers
- 1:26:49and they fail and good companies rise at the top. That kind of kind of works, you know, you make a
- 1:26:54good show, you're going to get more listeners and if you'll show you guys a bit shit, you'll get,
- 1:26:57like it just kind of works. Well, you hope that in a democracy that the voters are the people who
- 1:27:02decide on what's working and what's not and if things get too sclerotic and hard to deal with,
- 1:27:05then voters vote in a different government. But when they're both not working, when the
- 1:27:10when the institutional government isn't working, there isn't a problem. Yeah, that's, but hopefully
- 1:27:14there are people who come along and say this whole thing is not working. I mean, you know, sometimes
- 1:27:18people vote for such people. Margaret Thatcher ran on that platform, Ronald Reagan ran on that
- 1:27:22platform and they got in and they did make things much more lean and efficient and that had
- 1:27:26downsides and it had upsides and, you know, we see in that in Argentina, I just said to you I was
- 1:27:31out in Argentina and Millay, I don't know if you know much about this guy, but he won the primaries.
- 1:27:36He is Libertarian. Right. He is campaigning on a, his campaign is to get rid of the central bank
- 1:27:43to dollar house the country and reduce the size of government. He's a Libertarian. And he let the
- 1:27:49primaries and there's a very high chance he'll become president of Argentina that will be a
- 1:27:54drastic and radical change. But that's taken decades of, you know, inflation. That's taken
- 1:28:01decades of people having their, you know, the country is kind of systematically destroyed by
- 1:28:06government to get to that point. And how bad does it have to get for? Well, hopefully you have
- 1:28:11responsive systems of government that are more nimble at reacting to popular will. But I don't
- 1:28:19think we do. That's, I think that's the problem at the moment. It's like right now, I just,
- 1:28:22UK is a great example. We essentially have two parties with this kind of like,
- 1:28:28yeah, champagne, socialists in the middle to kind of separate the two. But there's nobody to vote
- 1:28:35for anymore. There's no kind of vote for Richardson. Absolutely not. But I've over here. So I'm
- 1:28:39absolutely not. Yeah. Do I think the conservatives stand for anything conservative anymore? No, I
- 1:28:44don't. Do I think the labor offering anything different? That's interesting. No, I don't. There's
- 1:28:49nothing of interest. There's nothing positive there at all. Like I just, there's no one to vote for.
- 1:28:54All right. We need to get Lex Friedman and Andrew Huberman to run for a power parliament in
- 1:28:58the United Kingdom and change the country. I'm going to let you out of this swerver. It's getting
- 1:29:04hot and it's getting late. Look, thank you so much. Well, I don't know if you should be
- 1:29:08hanging me on me because it's across over podcast, but it doesn't feel like it was uncomfortable
- 1:29:14enough for you. I can make it more uncomfortable. Stick around for the bonus segment. No, I'm
- 1:29:20kidding. Okay. If next time, if the government ever tries to deduct money from my account for
- 1:29:26speeding, and I'll buy some Bitcoin, okay? Yeah. You should deal. So do you not own any Bitcoin?
- 1:29:31I got rid of it during the crash. Does the boss you told at the bottom? Yeah.
- 1:29:36I actually needed to liquid. I needed to be a bit more liquid anyway. Okay.
- 1:29:41Fair enough. By the way, I'm much prefer asking questions and answering them. I'm never usually
- 1:29:46good. I think some people are going to do both. I think you do both. I never tend to be in
- 1:29:51this. I get out of town. Thanks, Peter. Thanks, man.