Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 2/11/26

Transcript

NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 2/11/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: my browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch Haape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you with.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: Toadstool Sports Wednesday, February eleventh, three and Oh Sweep on
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: the show. Yesterday started out we had Miami with the win.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: They pretty much were leading for I don't know most
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: of the game. I think as far as I saw
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: I watched the end of it, they were able to
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: put it away.
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: Good win for Miami, and that one we got the win.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: The other college basketball game late, which got a little
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: bit dicey, and it probably shouldn't have because Pittsburgh I
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: think they almost had a wire to wire cover in
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: that one. I think they were only down five seven
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: points with less than ten minutes to go, and then
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, Duke was covering. I don't know
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: what was going on with that, and Pittsburgh did wind
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: up falling on the right side of it. You could
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: have found seventeen and a half when the game went
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: off on that, but they covered the sixteen and a
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: half too, losing by sixteen. I don't think it should
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: have even been that close to a failure like it should.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh should not have been even that close to failing
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to cover, is what I mean to say. That should
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: have been a much easier cover for them. Duke did
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: not put up that many points in the game. I
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: think it was the right side regardless. And then we
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: got an outright winm of the Indiana Pacers as a
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: huge underdog. The game wound up going to overtime, maybe
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: even double overtime, and they.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: Got they got to win.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I didn't care that much about the outright win, but
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: anytime you have one of these underdogsck commending, you know,
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: you put a little bit of money on the money line,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: and then that would have hit for a nice little
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: extra on that one. So we got that one right
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: as well. It was a bad spot for the Knicks.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: I have no voice. I don't know how I'm gonna
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: do this. It took me a while to handicap all
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: this stuff. I was just handicapping today for over an hour.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: We have a lot of college basketball. We have a
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: huge NBA board, today and NBA. I just I don't know,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: I find a higher percentage of spots. So I'm gonna
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: have three college basketball plays and four NBA plays, And
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: I was considering only having one college basketball play, but
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: I'm like, eh, I don't know. I guess maybe I'm
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: not being selective enough here, but we're gonna have seven
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: plays today, dirty sock?
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: What's up? Yes, thank you sir. All right, let's do it.
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: Let's get into this.
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I can get this show done and not take
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: that long with it. College Basketball Action starting at six pm,
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: Big ten Action, Fox Sports one. Iowa at Maryland. I
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: don't love this game Iowa. I mean it's a little
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: bit of a weird travel spot for Iowa and a
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: third road game in four games, which I don't love.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: But they are coming off a close call against Northwestern Northwestern.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: As I keep saying, they're a bit of an underrated team,
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: I don't.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: Think there're as bad as the record looks. Iowa does
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: play a lot of these slow paced, low scoring games,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: but you do have a situation where Iowa barely got
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: by Northwestern. So a lot of times the big favorite
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: that almost loses will actually show up with focus in
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: the next game. However, they already beat Maryland by nineteen
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: points in Iowa way back before official conference plays started,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: and they have Purdue a Nebraska on deck. So there
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: are some things to not like about this Iowa spot.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Although if you just look at what these teams did
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: in their prior game, than Iowa kind of makes sense
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: to the side, But if you expand out a little
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: bit and look at the schedule, I don't think that
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: it makes as much sense. Maryland just also well, actually, yeah,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Maryland just pulled off.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: An upset of Minnesota, but they.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Did break a losing streak, and this Maryland team, I
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: just don't really think they could really overlook anybody the
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: way that they're sitting right now, and that win did
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: break a losing streak for them, so that might actually
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: be a good thing and propel them forward. Although technically,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: like I was saying, yeah, Maryland is coming off a
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: pretty big upset, Iowa's coming off almost losing is a
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: big favorite.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: So just those two.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: Things alone, I'd be looking towards Iowa here, But everything
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: else else about the spot I can't do it because
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: Iowa might not take Maryland seriously. Weird travel spot again,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: they already beat Maryland, so that's why they might not
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: take them seriously. Another reason why they might not. And
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Iowa has bigger games on deck, so this is a game.
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: I can't do anything with the game from a side perspective.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Maryland to some extent,
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: Iowa down from eleven to ten and a half, fifty
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, fifty eight percent of the cash
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: on Maryland. It's expected to be slow because that's what
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: Iowa does total in the one forties low one forties.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: I guess I will agree and lean towards Maryland plus
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: the points. But it's like almost an impossible game to
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: look at from a side perspective, So I'm not doing
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: anything with that.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: Kyle, what's up? But oh, I thought you were just
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: calling me frog. Oh. I don't know how the emojis work.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't do much with the I'm usually not
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: in the comments section. I also realized I did not
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: have my like plus gain on on my mic yesterday,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: so my mic was really low. But I think that
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I might have to go, like, listen
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: to what my mic actually sounds like?
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: Am I too loud? Now?
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know, like turn it down slightly. I don't know,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: all right, spending too much time talking about one game
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: here man, all right, Colgate at holy Cross, this game,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: as I already talked about, with Navy the other day
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: and took a loss fading them, so that was great.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: Colgate could be looking ahead to Navy here man, that's
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be a big game. Colgate versus Navy is gonna
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: have some ramifications as far as who's leading the Patriot League.
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: It'll still be Navy, but Coldgate.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: They really needed that game against Navy to stay in
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: the regular season race, so that's gonna be a huge game,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: So they might look past holy Cross. However, Colgate did
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: not do They didn't do well against holy Cross the
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: other time they played, and that wasn't that long ago.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: They hosted holy Cross and holy Cross covered against them,
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: So sometimes that will take that that will make that
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: favorite actually take the team more seriously. So there is
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: that Colgate might take them more seriously. But I do
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: think they'll be looking ahead to Navy. They're playing a
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: third road game in four games, which isn't exactly great either,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: so I think I would probably have to lean towards
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Holy Cross in this game, all things being considered. Holy
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Cross just broke a long losing streak too. They had
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: a six game losing streak. They're staying at home for
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: a third game in a row, and they might have
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: some new momentum after ending the losing streak with a
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: non impressive win over Lehigh. So I think I would
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: lean to holy Cross in this one. Colgates up from
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: six and a half to eight and a half. I
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: would probably take the points, though the total is in
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: the low one forties.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: Oh all right, thank you, all right.
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: Citadel in Western Carolina, there are some interesting aspects of
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: Excuse me. Citadel just pulled off an.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Upset of Chattanooga. I know Chattanooga's not good. Citadel is
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: really not good. So this was an upset of a
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: nine and a half point variety. Big ups set for
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Citadel third straight road game now, so I think they're
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: gonna be in a letdown spot here, and they.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: Have Mercer on deck.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Mercer is close to the top of the conference here
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: in the Southern Conference, and Mercer absolutely embarrassed the Citadel
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: when they played at Mercer earlier this year. They lost
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: by almost forty points and gave up over one hundred,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: so they very well maybe looking ahead to that game.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: And they're playing Western Carolina here and they already beat
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina at home, but it was an overtime game.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina played them close, but Western Carolina was actually
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite in that game.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: So it was really Citadel that played them close.
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: So Western Carolina actually should take Citadel seriously after that
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: because they know Citadel came into their place and almost
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: embarrassed them. So and now Western Carolina they're on a
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: three game losing streak. They did lose a couple of
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: those games on the road, and one of them they
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: were in a pretty major letdown spot if they pulled
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: up a huge upset of East Tennessee State. So I
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: think that's why they lost to sam It was a
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: big letdown spot. Then they just lost two games on
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: the road. Now they're back at home, and I do
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: like when teams come back home and they lost their
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: last home game in college basketball, because I think.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: They're just more focused.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: In that case because they remember losing that last home
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: game and they want to redeem themselves from that too.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: This game has Western Carolina written all over it. Man,
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: and people might look at this and think, how is
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina link seven and a half points here when
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: they actually have the worst record. Well, the oddsbergs are
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: telling you they're the way better team. Anyway, Citadel socks
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: the Shitadel and this line being seven and a half
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: is kind of crazy considering that Western Carolina were six
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: and a half way favorites on the road.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: Now they're seven and a half at home.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Looks like a very cheap line on Western Carolina everything
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: about the situation. Am I going to add a play
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: on the fly here? I mean this one. I definitely
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: looked at this game and it was on my radar.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I think I kind of want to do it, man,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: I want to see what Ken.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: Palm says about this.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: Though Western Carolina, he does have them fairly unlucky. They're
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: in the bottom third of luck, which means that they've underperformed,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: so that's good.
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: They're horrible defensively, but.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Citadel is probably just about as bad on the defensive side.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: It's just Western Carolina is significantly better than they are offensively.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: Western Carolina a little bit of a faster paced team.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: Citadel wants to go slow.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: Citadel is indeed horrible defensively, but they're also horrible on offense,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: and ken Bomb as Citadel as a bit luckier as well.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: They've overperformed a bit, and if Western Carolina is able
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: to speed the game up, that will throw Citadel off
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: a bit too. Let me see what ken Bum has
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: for a number on this, and I will once again
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: recommend buying Kenbomb for whatever it is, thirty bucks a
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: year or whatever. Let me see Western Carolina, so I
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: might wind up with eight plays here. I'm gonna have
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: to do a lot of Instagram and Instagram action. Yeah,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: ken Bum has this being a nine point win.
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: Let's do it. We're gonna add Western Carolina.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: Everything pretty much adds up for me on this one
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: will lay the points, so we will have I think
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: I only have two favorites on the entire card today
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: and this will be one of them one and the
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: other one is in the NBA.
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: Let me see.
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, seven and a half is the best you can get.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: It's pretty abundant out there, although a lot of the
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: books are charging extra for it, so just be.
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: Aware of that.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: I see it at the the book that has a C.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: The C book has it at seven seven and a half.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Still all right, Stewart, there it is all right. That'll
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: be play number one, Western Carolina A minus seven and
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: a half. We will do that one. It's these second meetings, man.
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: You can find some interesting lines in some of these.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: And yeah, of course the books had to adjust a
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: little bit because the Citadel has been winning some games.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: But there's still the significant lesser of these two teams, man, regardless.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: Of what the records look like.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: So I do think this line is short changing Western
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Carolina a bit. Even if you agree that the six
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: and a half on the road is a little bit
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: too high, I think this line is still too short.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: So Western Carolina will be the first play.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: All right, Big ten Network.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: If you want me to talk about some of these
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: other games that I'm skipping, I can, but I'm trying
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: to obviously skip some of the less interesting games here
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: for time purposes, Big ten Network. I am talking about
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: all the TV games as I usually do. Six thirty
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: pm USC at Ohio State. USC having to play Ohio
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: State on the road a little bit of a weird
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: environment for them, of course, but USC is also coming
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: up barely getting by Penn State in their last game,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: so they might have been already looking ahead.
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: To this game.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I expect more focus out of USC in this game
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: against Ohio State, even if USC does have Illinois on deck.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Ohio State should show up with effort as well, though,
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: because they are a bubble team right now, so they
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: got to get some wins here. They're coming up a
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: big game over Michigan though, and they do a Virginia next,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: which I thought was an acc Big Ten challenge, but
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: it is not because they don't see any of the
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: other teams playing in that. It's a Nashville Hoops Classic
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: or something, I don't know what. That is very very strange,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: isolated out of conference game there, but for Ohio State
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: that is against a ranked Virginia team, and that would
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: be a chance for Ohio State to pad their resume
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: that way too, So there is the potential they start
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: looking ahead. Man, So I probably lean to USC in
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: this one. It's not really a strong opinion, but the
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: money seems like it agrees. I don't know why this
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: line moved up as much as it did from four
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: and a half to seven now in Ohio State Public
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: coming in on Ohio State for whatever reason, Even though
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: the records of these teams are pretty close.
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: Sixty eight percent of the tickets on.
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: The buck guys with seventy seven percent of the cash
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: on USC. Trojan Man, I gotta get that that drop
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: for playing any team named the Trojans, but the money
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: is coming in on USC. I would not disagree with it,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: but it's not a strong opinion for me. Next up,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: seven pm, ESPN two in the sec number fourteen, Georgia.
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, number fourteen. Cut Florida out. Excuse me. I
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: apologize Florida.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: Who I still think is under ranked by the rankings makers,
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: but I also think Georgia might be a little bit
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: under the radar at this point as well. It is
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: Florida at Georgia round two, and I gave out Florida
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: as a play minus the points in the first game. Well,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do the opposite this time. Yeah, we're gonna
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: go the opposite and we're gonna play Georgia this time.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I should do the opposite. If every instinct you
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right. Yes,
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: I will do the opposite. I used to sit here
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: and do nothing. I regret it for the rest of
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: the day, So now I will do the opposite. We'll
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: do something.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: We're doing the opposite, dude, Georgia Costanza, We're doing it.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: Man. Now, if you remember what that line was the first.
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: Time Florida played Georgia, Florida was very under the radar,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: and they're in a very good spot in that one.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: Florida was actually laying nine and a half at home.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: And now you're telling me that they are laying nine
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: and a half on the road. Yes, I know that.
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: Back then.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: Part of the reason why I laid the points of
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: Florida there, gave that out as a play was because
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: Florida was undervalued. Yes, they should have been laying probably
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: more points than that. But even if they were laying
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: like eleven and a half at home, should they really
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: be laying nine and a half on the road here,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: Say that they shouldn't be.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: So I do think there was some line value on
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: the Georgia side now, but we're also looking at the
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: spot here, and I think that you could make the
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: argument Florida's in a sandwich spot here if you look
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: at what Florida did the last two games. They pummeled
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: a ranked Alabama team at the time, putting up one
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: hundred points against them, winning by twenty three. Then right
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: after that they went to Texas A and M and
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: we're not gonna let dut spot and Texas A and
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: M was actually at the top of the SEC at
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: the time, so that game had a first place ramifications
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: to the SEC and Florida beat them on the road.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: I know Texas A and M is not as good
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: as they look.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: I think I might have even leaned Florida on that game,
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: minus the whatever they were laying. I think they were
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: laying about six points in that game. They easily just
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: took care of Texas A and M. They won by
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: almost twenty points in that game. Now they're playing a
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: second road game, a third road game in four games.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: The previous game prior.
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: To the Alabama game, they won ninety five to forty
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: eight against.
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: The weak South Carolina team.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: But after this run of games, man, I just think
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: maybe they're gonna be in a flat spot here. Georgia
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: is likely to show up because Georgia is now kind
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: of a tournament bubble team. They need to have a
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: good performance year. And again, Florida did already beat Georgia
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: at home ninety two to seventy seven. That game was
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: close for about a half or so, but Florida completely
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: pulled away in the second half. If I remember correctly,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: we got the win on that one with Florida. Florida
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: was coming up an ugly loss on the road at Missouri.
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: They're being pretty undervalued there. We got that one right.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: But now I think Florida might overlook Georgia a little
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: bit for that reason. I think it's Georgia. It's gonna
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: be playing with the chip on their shoulder. And Florida
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: has Kentucky up next. And yeah, by the way, Kentucky
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: is a half game behind them in the conference standing.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: So Florida's basically in an sec standing sandwich here where
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: they just took Texas A and M down a peg
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: and there's still only one game ahead of Texas A.
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: And M after that.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: But they have Kentucky right behind the man and the standings,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: and that's who they play next. Kentucky's ranked. Kentucky's playing
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: better again right now. I told you Kentucky was a
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: bit under the radar. Now they're starting to figure things out.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: So that is a big game on deck. So I
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: think Florida is in a sandwich spot here. It is
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: an in season revenge game for Georgia as well. I
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: think we're getting a line that's too hot on Florida.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we're gonna take the points with Georgia. The
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: money's all coming in on Florida, and I do not
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: agree with that at all.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know why that's the case.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Through up to nine and a half, ninety three percent
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Florida, fifty four percent of tickets
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: on Georgia. Oh no, we're taking Georgia is six six
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: six on the rotation.
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: That's not good.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Uh, you can walk up to the window and see,
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: give me six six six. We're gonna lose with the
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's actually good because maybe it's rigged towards the
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: team that's the number of the Beast.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know, but we'll go with Georgia on this one.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: Looking at Florida, yes, I know they're extremely good, and
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: yes they're still underrated. Right now Ken bomsm is the
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: fifth best team in the country. He actually has them
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: unlucky as well. Uh, and yes, I know they're better
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: than Georgia.
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: He's got Georgia thirty seventh, Florida better on both sides
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: of the ball.
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I get it, but that's why they're laying points on
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: the road. George is still not a bad team. I mean,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: they're still top forty according to ken Pop. They're somewhat
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: unlucky as well, so they're not one of these luckier teams.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: According to Kempbam, both teams play fast, so it will
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: be a fast paced game. I wouldn't necessarily disagree with
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: an over in this one either. The money looks like
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: it is coming in that way. Total up to one
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: sixty five. But again, I think this is a spot
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: to take Georgia.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: That's what we're gonna do in this one, and.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: I think that's pretty much what I had to say
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: about that. But yes, I know I worry a little
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: bit about taking points when it's gonna be a higher
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: scoring game, a faster paced game, but I think the spot.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: Dictates it, so we'll still do it.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, And for Georgia, they just ended a three
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: game losing streak with a win over LSU, so I
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: think that's a good thing. Now they're back home or
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: they lost the last two home games, so I expect
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: focus out of them. They've had some good wins at
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: home too. They beat an Arkansas at home by double digits.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: That was good.
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: They beat Auburn at home, that's fine as well. I
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: mean they've had some losses at home as well. But yeah, Georgia,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: I mean they're a bit high variants of a team,
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna do it.
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the market is doing in this one,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: but Georgia is the play for me and that one, Okay,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: ACC Network seven pm. Virginia Tech at number twenty Clemson.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech is on a two game losing streak. They
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: just got kind of blown out by North Carolina State
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: in their last game. It's a second straight road game,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: but I'm expecting Virginia Tech to show up with some
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: more focus here. They're a bubble team. They want to
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: try to play their way back onto the tournament picture here.
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: If they were able to beat Clemson, that would go
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: a long way for that. Clemson is coming back from
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast where they just beat Stamford and Cal
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: on the road, although I think Clemson was favored in
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: both games. But they're having a travel cross country and
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: they have Duke on deck in three days, so that
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big look. Ahead spot man Clemson could
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to do. Clemson is obviously sitting fairly
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: pretty right now, least as far as being in the
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: tournament or whatever. Obviously they'll be in the tournament, so
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: there might be more need on the side of Virginia Tech.
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: And you're gonna be getting a.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Decent amount of points with them as an underdog here.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: Clemson down from nine and a half to eight and
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: a half. It looks like they're getting the money for now,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if that will continue to be
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: the case. Seventy four percent of tickets, eighty four percent
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Clemson, but that may change. Clemson
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: may wind up being the public side Clemson. We know
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: what they do. They play slow, they focus on defense.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: The totals really low in the one thirties, so it
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: might make it more difficult for Clemson to cover the
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: number there. I would lean towards taking the points with
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech in that game. Okay, ESPN U seven pm
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: CAL at Syracuse. Cal just took a loss of Clemson.
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: I thought Cal would play closer in that game and
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: they didn't. And now they're having a fly cross country
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: to play Syracuse.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: Might not be that easy for them to do.
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Man, And if we look at this number, it looks crazy,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: right because CAL has the better record, But Syracuse is
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: laying five and a half in this game, So what gives? Right,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: Like the public, if they look at this game and
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: they want some TV action, they're gonna want to take
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: the points with Cal. Right, Oh my god, I'm getting
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: points to the team with the better record. It looks
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: so easy to do that. But I would say, do
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: not do that. It's a weird venue for Cal to
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: have to go to. They're new to the ACC as
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: of you know, last.
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: Year or whatever two years ago.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if they played at Syracuse since then.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: For the unacquainted, it's not that easy to go and
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: play in Syracuse. Syracuse is coming back home off two
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: road losses, so I expect Syracuse to show up in
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: this one. Syracuse has been a pretty good home team
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: this year. Actually, they almost be Clemson here at home.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: They lost to Miami, they lost close to Virginia attack.
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, those are not horrible losses at home, and
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: they beaten ore Dame.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: They really have not played that many conference home games
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: yet either, which is interesting. But yeah, I would lean
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: to Syracuse in this one, they're laying the five and
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: a half. Like I said, it is up from three
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: and a half, though we have lost some value on it,
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: which is a little bit worrisome because I think the
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: three and a half was probably closer to an accurate
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: line on this. Ken Bomb actually has these two teams
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: like one after the other in his standing, So he
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: has these teams very very close, and they're also very
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: similar teams, so it's like they're almost mirror images of
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: each other. Ken Bum has both them better defensively than offensively.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: They're both very close in both offense and defense. They're
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: similar tempo wise, kind of mid tempo. But he does
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: have Cal as the way luckier team, so that's the difference.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: So there are some statistics in there that ken Bomb
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: is evaluated to tell you that.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: Well, basically, I think.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: It's just because the teams are very similar statistically, yet
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: Cal has the way better record. I think that kind
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: of factors into the lucky index and the fact that
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: Cal probably should be a couple games worse than they
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: are in Syracuse should probably be a couple of games
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: better than they are, so like it would make a
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: lot more sense if both teams had like a fifteen
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: to nine record. But yeah, the three and a half
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: would probably make more sense given all that in this game,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: like basically just giving Syracuse the home court, but.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: They are up to five and a half.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: If I, if you forced me to give you an opinion,
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: I would still lay the points. Though sixty eight percent
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on cal eighty four percent of the
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: cash on Syracuse. The money does agree with that arcade.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: What's up, man, Thanks for hanging out. All right, next
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: game we're gonna talk about is I don't know some
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: of these We have a lot of mac action today, maction,
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: but most of the games are pretty uninteresting. All right,
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: let's go to the next best bet here. I've already
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: given out two I think right this is gonna be
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: the third of four college plays, and we're gonna go
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: against the team that treated us well on Super Bowl Sunday.
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: We're gonna take vm I plus eight and a half.
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: And I know how bad vm I is, but at
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: least we don't need them to win the game.
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: We only need them to cover.
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna fade our UNC Greensborough, who did us
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: did us some good on Sunday where they upset Furman
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: on the road outright win.
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: But that's why I want to fade them here. Man.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: The way that I do things, you know, I'm gonna
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: be on a team one game and against them the next,
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: and that's what we're doing here. I mean, you look
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: at what you UNC Greensboro did in this game. Come on, man,
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: they shot fifty three percent from three point range. I mean, yeah,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: they they definitely did enough to cover, but the fact
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: that they won the game was a little bit misleading.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: The game was definitely fairly close, but that three point
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: percentage outlier was pretty much what did it. And then
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Furhman was awful from three point range in the game
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: twenty six percent. That was kind of the main reason
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: why this happened. That and the fact that Furman actually
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: lost a turnover battle as well, so that could have
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: been a little bit fluky as well. But either way,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: you would see Greensborough was coming up of a big
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: upset of firm and now they're playing VMI, who they
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: did already beat on the road by seven, which I
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: believe was a cover.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: I think Greensboro is so bad.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: They weren't favored very heavily no, they're only two and
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites, which, by the way, if you're
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: now saying they're eight and a half at home, these
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: teams don't really get that much for home court advantage.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: It's not like there are gonna be people packing their
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: arena for UNC Greensboro game against VMI.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: That's not gonna happen.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: So I think giving them like three to three and
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: a half for home court is inaccurate. Giving VMI that
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: is also inaccurate. So this line does look a little
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: high based on what it was in that previous game.
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: UNC Greensboro made very well. Just not take VMI.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: Seriously whatsoever, because they're the worst team in the conference
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: by far. They have one win at least in the standings.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: That's the case again, Greensboro already beat them on the road.
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Greensboro is in a major letdown spot after a double
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: digit upset. I think there were what were they again,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: like twelve and a half point dogs in that game,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna be looking ahead, I think too, because
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: they have Wafford next, and Wafford already beat them by
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: double digits at Wafford. But Wafford's also second place in
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: the Southern Conference here and one game off of the
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: league in the conference. So that is a big game
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: to look ahead to, Man, And when you're UNC Greensborn,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: you're playing out the stretch a little bit here, you know,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: you're not really doing much here. I mean, yeah, UNC
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Greensboro will be in, you know, the play in the conference.
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: Tournament, of course. Like I don't think they're gonna drop
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: so far there.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: I think maybe the bottom couple of teams missed the
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: conference tournament in this conference. I'm not even sure if
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: that's actually true. I think it is possible every team
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: gets in. I'm not even entirely sure about that. But
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're in danger of that or anything
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: like that. So I think it's a it's an overlook
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: spot for them and for VM. I I think as
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: bad as they are, I think you'll at least get
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: effort out of them. They've lost a bunch of games
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: in a row since they had their one conference win,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: which was that home against Chattanooga. So yeah, I know
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: they've lost every road game, and they've lost some of
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: these games in some awful blowouts.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna do it anyway, man, Even though I
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: know again, they've lost most of these games in big
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: time blowouts on the road. The one to the Citadel
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: really doesn't look good. But this is what we're doing.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with it. It's a horrible spot for UNC Greensboro,
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: and Greensboro is not a good team, man like. I
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: just don't think a team. It's not even in the
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: top three hundred. I don't know if they should be
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: laying eight and a half like this. Ken bum Asam
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: is the forty first luckiest team in the country. They're
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: horrible defensively, so I don't know if they should really
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: be laying points in that respect either bottom twenty defensive
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: team basically, and they play a bit on the slower end,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: which is also strange. But if they're gonna slow the
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: pace down, that's also gonna make it more difficult for
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: them to cover this number. I think, And yes, I know,
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: vm I is the second worst defensive team in the
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: country and they're bottom seven overall.
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: I know they're atrocious. I get it.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: Both teams are better on offense, but I think it's
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be an ugly slow game. Vm I is also
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: unlucky according to Kenbom in the bottom third of lock,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: so we're going with it. We'll take vm I in
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: this one. The line did drop initially from nine and
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: a half to eight and a half. You might be
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: able to find a nine on this The total is
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: at one fifty, basically because both defenses are that bad.
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: But we're gonna do it anyway. Man, It's all about
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: the spot.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: VMI is the play in that one, and my favorite
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: college basketball play is the one that I have left,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: which I consider making my only college basketball player of
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: the day. But we're splashing the board here today, man,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: and hopefully we can at least come away with a
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: slight winning day.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Hopefully.
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Furman and Mercer is actually a good game in the
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Soacon here between the third and fourth place teams in
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: the conference who are actually tied in conference record. This
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: is a pretty good one. Furman beat Mercer by two
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: at home the first time they played. Furman was a
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite when that game went off,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: so it was very close to the line too. So
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: these teams are decently matched up. But it is Furman
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: who's coming off that horrible upset loss.
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: In UNC Greensboro.
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: And remember that was because they were in a sand
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: which they had come off playing really close against East
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State, who was in first place in the.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: Conference on the road.
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: That was a big game for Furman, and they had
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: this huge Mercer game on deck, so it was a
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: That was part of the reason why we went with
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: Greensboro there.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: Mercer coming into this game off of two straight losses
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: and having an ugly loss where they didn't even get
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: fifty points in their last game, both of those games
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: on the road, losing to Samford in the last game
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: coming back home. I think both teams are gonna show
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: up for this. Mercer is the small favorite in this one.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Furman is probably the slightly better team, which is what
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you.
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: But I don't know, man.
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: I think just the fact that Mercer has that ugly
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: tenth loss on their record, it might have the public
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: somewhat looking towards Furman and maybe they remember Furman pulling
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: off that up set in the tournament a couple of
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: years back against Virginia with that three the Furman Paladins.
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: Although of course you know it's a different firm and
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: team this year and whatever. But yeah, I mean, this
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: game is really, really difficult to figure out. I think
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: both teams are gonna show up. I think it's gonna
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: be a good game. The market read is saying Mercer
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: Furman is getting the public action. It looks like for now,
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of tickets fifty of the cash on Furman.
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: So it looks like one of those public underdogs, and
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I like to look to fade those teams.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much the public is really getting
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: involved in this game though, because it's not a TV game.
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: It is on ESPN Plus.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Though Mercer laying the two and a half, I would
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Mercer. That would probably be the
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: way I would lean in that game, would.
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Be Mercer in the SoCon on CBS Sports.
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: The team that does get the the TV game at
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: seven pm is East Tennessee and Chattanooga. I don't know
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: why they get another TV billing man, because this game
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: is a bit lopsided. East Tennessee is obviously the way
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: better team here Chattanooga. I believe when Chattanooga hosted them,
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: I believe that was a TV game too, So I
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on. Man, If there's money that
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: these schools are paying the TV stations or what's going on.
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know how they get two TV games, but
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: that's that is the case. And Chattanooga actually played East
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: Tennessee really well the other time. They played them back
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: several games ago. Pretty sure that was a TV game,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: and Chattanooga played them to within one point. Now, it's
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: a big match up for Chattanooga because I think they
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: consider themselves to be a little brother to East Tennessee
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: in the state of Tennessee. But they really showed up
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: for that game and they almost pulled off the upset
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: against East Tennessee. East Tennessee were not huge favorites the
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: only four and a half, but still East Tennessee barely
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: getting by them in that game might have them taking
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga more seriously. In this game, Chattanooga is coming off
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: a really ugly home loss to Citadel. Though, like I said,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga is a huge favorite in that one nine and
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: a half, so they were probably looking ahead to this game,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: and you know, and they were coming off a big
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: win over Mercer, so they were in a sandwich spot. Man,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: that was a good spot to look towards the Citadel.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: I probably talked about that game on the show It
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: wasn't one of my plays though. But yeah, when you
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: have a team like that, like Chattanooga coming off a
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: big upset loss like that, you do expect them to
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: be focused in the next game. But I do think
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee won't overlook Chattanooga this time, and East Tennessee's
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: coming up an easy win over Va. My they only
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: play Samford next, which is not that big, although Samford
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: is a team that almost beat them.
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: Earlier this year as well.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: What do we do with this game, well, besides stay
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: away from it? Of course, the money is the Margherita
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: is saying to lay it with East Tennessee.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga's eighty eight percent of tickets only eighty five percent
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, so they look like kind
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: of a public underdog here, and maybe the public is
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: gonna try to play this game and go, oh, well,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga almost beat East Tennessee before, so they can come
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: within this number, right, even though it is at East Tennessee.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee laying ten and a half this time, I
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: know it's a pretty low total in the one forties.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards laying it, though I know
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: Chattanoga is in a good bounced back spot. But if
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: you're getting the significantly better team showing up with focus,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: and I think East Tennessee might do that because Chattanooga
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: almost beat them before, then you'll probably get a good
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: effort out of East Tennessee State and maybe enough to
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: win that game by margin. But that's not anything I
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: want to touch at all. Alabama had Old Miss on
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: SEC Network at seven pm. Alabama has dropped from the rankings,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: although I think they're a little bit under the radar
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: at this point. Man Ken Bump still has them in
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: the top twenty. They're really good on offense and terrible
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: on defense, so well, not terrible, but by top twenty standards,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: they're pretty bad defensively. But Alabama's coming up a pretty
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: big win man in the.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: Iron Bowl.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: Or whatever it is, but basketball edition of a beating Auburn,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: So a nice rivalry win for Alabama there on the road. Now,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in four games, and
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: they're going to Ole Miss, which could be a frustrating
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: game for Alabama. Man, they could be in a letdown
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: spot after this, because they did have a decent win
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: over Texas A and M in the game before that
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: even though they actually didn't cover in that game, still
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: a big rivalry win for them. And now they're going
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: to Ole Miss and Ole Miss is gonna slow this
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: game way down, which might frustrate Alabama because Alabama wants
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: to go really really fast. So Ole Miss might actually
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: be able to come within this number. Just based on
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: the style of play. You gotta think they're gonna show
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: up for this game. They've lost five games in a row,
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: but four of them are on the road.
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss has had a very brutal schedule here. Man.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: They played six road games in the last seven games,
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: so I think they're to be happy now they're back
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: at home. They did lose their last home game to Auburn,
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: which people might look at that and think, oh, well,
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: of course, if Alabama beat Auburn and Auburn beat Old
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: missus is easy lay the points with Alabama here, right,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: But again, everybody knows Alabama is the better team here, right, Like,
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: that's not in question. That's the reason why if you
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: want Alabama, you're gonna have to lay a lot of
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: points here. But I would not do that. I would
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: lean to Ole Miss. Ole Miss has been okay at home.
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: If you look at what they've done at home this year. Uh,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: they only lost by seven to Arkansas, they beat Missouri.
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: They did have that loss to Auburn, though, but those
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: are their only three conference home games all seasons so far.
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: So I think Ole Miss, you know, they're they're not
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: that good this year, but their record looking so bad
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: as a product of them having so many conference road
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: games so far. They have not had it easy at all.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: They have they should have a beef with the schedule makers.
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: But I would take the points with Ole Miss in
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: this one. Alabama is a seven point favorite, down from
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, sixty five percent of tickets, eighty
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Ole Miss the Rebels. That's
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: the way I would go in that game, would be
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: taking the points. It looks too easy to lay seven
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: with Alabama. Man, So those are my thoughts on that.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: And I think with Old Miss, you may be getting
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: the better defense still too. Technically yes you are, although
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: it's not by that much, but you are getting the
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: better defense getting points at home with Old Miss.
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: Ole Miss has been extremely unlucky according.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: To kem Bomb, and they face the nineteenth most difficult schedules.
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: So that's what I've been saying, man, And they're like
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: bottom forty in luck as well, so they've been a
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: pretty unlucky team. And yes, they do slow the game
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: way down, but the Oddsburgers have this total quite high
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: in the one sixties because Alabama is the better team
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: and they played really fast. But I think Ole Miss
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: might be able to slow it down.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: Again, it's easier to slow the game down the home
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: team might be able to control the pace a little bit.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would take the points with the Rebels
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: in that one. All right, Austin P and Queens is
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: like the only really interesting game in the a Sun.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: These teams are near the top of the conference right now,
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: even though I would not count out Lipscomb though, even
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: though they've fallen it to fourth place, Austin P is
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: probably the best team in this conference at the moment.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: They won a bunch of games in a row, six
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: games in a row. They beat Lipscomb a couple of
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: games ago. They blew out North Alabama in the last game,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: which they're not a very good team. I mean, they
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: couldn't even they could not even get the win for
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: me the other day when they were basically winning the
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: entire game out right, they pushed on that number on
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: the seven.
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: That was a ridiculous man. But Austin P. Yeah, they're
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: not a bad team. They're better than Queens. I think
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: Queen's is a little bit overrated.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: I apologize to their coach, who hopefully still follows me
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: on Twitter.
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I haven't seen him for a while.
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: Queens, though they're at home, you know they're gonna show
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: up for this game.
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: Although I think both teams are going to show up.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: They're both coming off blowout wins over some of the
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: bad teams in the conference. Queens does have to play
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: lipscumb next, so they have to play the a couple
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in the conference.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: Back to back, which isn't that easy.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: But in this game, yeah, Queens is actually a two
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: point favorite here, and the oddsbigers are telling you that
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: there's not that much of a difference between these two teams.
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Like I think the public is probably gonna have a
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: tendency to want to grab the points. Oh, Austin p
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: getting points with the better record here, but the oddsbegers
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: are telling you they're not that much better than Queens.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: I would probably go Queens on this one, it would
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: probably be Yeah, I guess because they're two and a half.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: I guess it would be laying the points in that one.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: It drops still like two and you find like a
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: decent money line on it. The money line might make
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: sense in that one. Ken Bum, he only has Austin P.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: He has a pretty lucky top one hundred luck team
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: and he has them only at one hundred and fifty seconds,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: so that's not great. Queens is still lucky, but a
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: little bit less lucky. Queens is very lopsided though they're
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: good on offense and they're really bad on defense. So
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: I guess technically Austin P is the better defense getting
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: points in that game though, So that would be a
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: concerned if you do like Queens in that game.
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: But I don't have a good.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: A good way to analyze that game with the way
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: that I do think though, so uh TND True TV
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: seven to thirty PM, Number six Yukon at Butler.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: Of course I do.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: The Yukon is a little bit overrated by the rankingsmakers
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: right now, even though they did just take a loss
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: to Saint John's. Ken Bum does have Yukon eighth in
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: the country. They're not really that good offensively, though out
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: of the top ten, they're the second worst offensive team
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: besides Michigan State. Yukon and Michigan State both very gonna
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: defense but not that good on offense.
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: Yukon is coming up.
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: That lost to Saint John's and Yukon took their first
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: conference loss, and they hadn't lost since earlier in the season.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: They're actually Yukon's only other loss was.
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: To Arizona by four points really early in the season.
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: But I was saying that Yukon had not been battle
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: tested in the Big East yet, even though they're out
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: of conference. Schedule was difficult, so I don't know, they're
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: just kind of coasting. I thought Saint John's might catch them.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: That is what happened. But now when you're in a
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: position like Yukon and you hadn't lost since like probably December,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: and now you take a loss that could easily hang
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: you over into the next game.
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: Man, you could lose that game twice.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: And that was a big game against Saint John's too,
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: So you know, it's that's been a situation that's worked
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: a lot, and it worked again for us barely, but
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: it did work out with Pitt last night, they did
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: cover against Duke. Like it's been these teams have mostly
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: lost the next game outright, although most of them have
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: been small ish favorites in the next game. But these
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: teams that have lost long, long win streaks and taken
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: their first conference loss, I think pretty much every single
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: one of them has failed to cover in the next game.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're looking at with Yukon here. I
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: think they could lose the game twice if you will.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: It's a third road game of four games. It's a
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: weird travel spot if you look at the travel they've
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: had to do. They were, you know, Omaha, then they
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: came back to Connecticut, then they played it at Madison's
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Square against St. John's, and now they're going back out
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: to Indianapolis. And they already beat Butler by nineteen points
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: at home. So there's the potential they don't take Butler seriously,
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: and they do have Georgetown on deck. At Georgetown actually
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: gave them a run for their money when they played
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: at Georgetown. They only won by two, So there actually
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: is the potential they might even look ahead to Georgetown here.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: Butler might be a little bit under the radar at
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: this point.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: They lost four games in a row, so I think
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: a lot of people won't be paying attention to them.
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: But three of those games are on the road. They're
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: back home now, and they did lose their last home
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: game by double digits.
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about that too again.
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: Teams returning home from road trips like this in college basketball,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: when they come back home and they've lost the last home.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: Game, a lot of times they will show up with focus.
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: Butler kind of got embarrassed going to Marquet and playing
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: that game. They're back home now, they're getting Yukon in
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: what I think is a major hangover spot for Yukon.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: It's revenge, so Butler might be able to make the
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: adjustments here. I like Butler in this game, man, and
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Yukon's to be laying double digits here probably, and they're
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: slow paced team, so it's gonna make it difficult for
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: them to cover a number like this. Public will be
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: on Yukon, they'll expect, well, Yukon hadn't lost its December.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Of course they're gonna bounce back here, right. That's not
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: the way to look at this game, though, Man, I
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Butler uh ninety three percent
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety five percent of the cash on Yukon,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: they're up from ten and a half to eleven. Here,
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: the total is pretty low at one forty five. Butler
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: might try to speed the game up a bit because
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: I think they play significantly faster than Yukon does. But uh, Yukon,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: being the better team, probably will be able to slow
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: the game down. But even if they do, covering a
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: number like this is not gonna be easy, so we'll uh,
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be a play. But I will recommend
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: Butler in that game. And yes, Butler is close to
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: the top one hundred and tempo, but yeah, Butler would
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: be the way I would lean in that one in
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: the American at seven thirty, this is probably the best
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: game in the American Conference Tonight. South Florida and Wichita
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: State at Wichita State. These teams are both near the
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: top of the conference. They're both pretty good. But South
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: Florida is coming up a huge win over for Tulsa,
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: so they beat the top team in the conference at home.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: Big win could maybe be a letdown spotier. However, they
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: lost at home to Wichita, so they might not overlook
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Wichita at all.
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: Man but They're having to play at least two big.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Games in a row here and having to travel from
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: Florida out to Wichita, which is not gonna be that easy.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Wichita coming up an easy one over Tulane. They are
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: coming back from Tulane here. They do have Tulsa on deck,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: but I don't see them overlooking South Florida, even though
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: they did beat them on the road. I think the
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: spot is more difficult for South Florida on this one. Man,
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to Wichita in that game. But
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: I don't love the game by any means, But that's
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that one. South Florida
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: down from two to a pick them here, even though yes,
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: I think South Florida will up for the game again,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be difficult for them with the
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: travel plus having to play two huge effort games in
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: a row like that.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: So it would be Wichita. That would be the way
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: I would lean in that one.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: The shockers stopping me from adding Butler, I don't know, feeling,
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think.
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's strong enough.
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know, uh it would it would basically be
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: you're entirely pretty much just playing the Yukon like letdown
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: spot here like Duke was, was a stronger read for
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: me because it was a sandwich spot as well.
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: They had a huge game on deck. Yukon doesn't really
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. I yeah, I don't know. I
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: don't want it. Oh well, thank you. Yeah.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess it's it's close to me on
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: my card, But I don't know.
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: I don't like it enough.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: Sometimes I don't know about the way that I feel
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: about it, Like, I don't know.
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: I would rather have.
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: I'd rather have Butler being in a spot where they
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: were like a huge favorite or something and lost the
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: game or something like that coming off of that.
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: Like, the only thing about the spot is.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: That it's a It is a big negative with Yukon
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: coming up that big game, but that's really the only
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: factor in that game.
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: Like, I like, there gonna be more factors that line up.
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: The old me probably would play would play Butler though.
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: Peacock seven thirty pm, Providence at Seaton Hall, Providence. They're
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: on a little two game win streak here, so they
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: got some momentum coming into this one. They already lost
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: at home to Seaton Hall too, so I think they're
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for this game at Seaton Hall, even
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: though they do have Saint John's on deck. Seaton Hall
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: two straight losses, but they were just on the road
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: and they just had to go to Omaha, and they
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: played Creighton really close, as I presume an underdog in
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: that game on the road, So I think the spot
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: sets up a lot better for Providence. Creighton was actually
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: only a one and a half paint favorite in that game,
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: so Oddsmaker's telling you Seaton Hall actually better than Creyton.
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: But that was still a big game.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: Creighton hasn't done that badly this year Seton Hall with
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: the travel back home coming off of that. I don't
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: like the spot for Seaton Hall here. Man, it's a
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: revenge spot for Providence. Seen Hall does only a Butler next,
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: although Butler did beat them at Seton Hall, so there
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: is the potential they do look ahead to that game. Yeah,
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: to me, the spot sets up better for Providence here.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: Although Providence these two teams are complete opposites as far
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: as how they play. Like Providence could score, they can't defend.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall can only defend and they can't score. Seaton
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: Hall is way slow. Providence is way fast totals in
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: the middle there, because I think the oddsmakers are like,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: we don't know, we don't know which one is gonna
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: win out as far as the tempo is concerned, eighty
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: six percent of the tickets, only seventy percent of the
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: cash on Seaton Halls. There a public side with less
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: of the money on them, laying four points with Seaton Hall.
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: I know it's not even that many points, but Seaton
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: Hall is so deficient offensively that I mean, they're not
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: even a top one hundred defensive teams. So I don't know, man,
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: But yes, I like Providence in the game. If I
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it, I would take the points with
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: Providence in that one. Although I don't necessarily love and
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: this is part of the reason why, well I don't.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: I maybe don't love Butler as much there as I
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: don't know. I I do like the teams that are
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: better defensively, Like that's one thing, and that is certainly
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: Yukon in that game, and then in this game it
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: is Seaton Hall.
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't know.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: All right, we got eight PM Colorado at number sixteen.
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech should be a bit of a mismatch.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: Here. Obviously, Texas Tech is the better team. Did these
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: teams play already? Yes they did, and actually Colorado almost
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: upset Texas Tech at home. So Texas Tech might take
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: them seriously because they went into Colorado, which is kind
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: of a weird spot for Texas Tech going into Elevation.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: I think I believe Colorado.
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: Is getting blown out of that game, and they had.
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: A huge comeback late in the game.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: If I remember correctly, I think I gave out Colorado's
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: a play in that one. Yeah, because Texas Tech was
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: coming off a really close loss to Houston, So I
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: think I did give out Colorado's a play there. I
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: was a little bit dangerous, I guess. So Texas Tech
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: might show up because of that, because Colorado did play
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: them really close in the end in that game. Colorado's
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: coming off a win over Arizona State. That's fine, they
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: have some momentum, I guess coming into this one. It's
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: not a horrible spot for Colorado. But if you're getting
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: the better team into Texas Tech in a focused spot,
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: they might be able to just blow the team out.
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech just went to West Virginia.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: They were able to get the win there to bounce
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: back from a two game losing streaks, so maybe they
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: do have momentum again coming into this.
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: One issue with the.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech though, is they got Arizona on deck in
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: three days.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: That is a huge game coming up on.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: I believe that must be Saturday, because there are a
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: lot of games on Valentine's Day. That might be a
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: huge look ahead. But there is still the case that
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Colorado gave Texas Tech a real run for their money
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: man the other time they played them, so for that reason,
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech might actually come into this game with focus.
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it is on Texas Tech.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: They're up from fourteen to fifteen here, seventy nine percent
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on them.
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: I'll agree with it.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: I'll slightly lean that way towards laying it with Texas Tech,
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: but also not a game that I love.
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: Florida Atlantic at Rice. Florida Atlantic is coming off close
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: loss to Tulsa. Now they've lost four games in a row,
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: and usually teams.
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: Are going to just show up with focus against anyone
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: when they're on a four game losing stream. That was
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: a monster game against Tulsa, the top team in the
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: American Conference here in Florida Atlanta. FAU almost pulled off
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: the upset there, so I think they could be in
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: a bit of a hangover spot.
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: Off of that.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: They're playing at Rice now, who I don't think they've
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: played there this year, so they're having to go to
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: Houston to play this game, and they have a huge
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: game on deck two against South Florida, who's basically tied
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: with Tulsa in the conference now. So I think Florida
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: Atlantic is in a sandwich spot here. I would lean
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: towards Rice, although Rice is pretty bad. But the problem
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: I have with Rice in this spot is that they
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: just had a tough game too. They're big underdogs at
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: UAB and they played well and they almost pulled off
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: an upset as eight and a half point underdogs at UAB.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: So I just don't know what Rice will have left
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: in the tank for this, although they should.
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: Get up for the game at home against FAU.
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean it was a close call from
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: Rice against UAB, so I worry about that aspect of it.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: The money is actually coming in an FAU, which makes
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: no sense to me. Like if I was gonna play
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: this game, I would take the points with Rice, but
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be on my card. Fau up from
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: two and a half to three and a half, fighter
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Eighty two percent of the tickets
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: are on Rice. That makes no sense to me, Like,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: why would the public be playing Rice. They know the
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: name Fau from the.
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: Whatever is it.
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: Dusty May from those days the guy who's the coach
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: of Michigan now, so they remember the name Fau. So
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know an Fau has the better record. It
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: looks like they're laying too few points too, So I
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: don't really see the public being on Rice here. I
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: don't get those percentages of yes, I would lean to
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: Rice there. Next game up is my last play in
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: college basketball.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: And we were going to go.
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: We're in the Americans still, and we're gonna go with
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: UAB plus the points against. This is the one that
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: I thought was this. I think this is my favorite
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: play out of all of these. We're gonna fade Tulsa
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: in this one. Tulsa they just lost a long win streak,
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: so I talk about that they'd won seven games in
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: a row. I think, and when teams lose long win
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: streaks like that, that can be a hangover spot in
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: of itself. But it was a huge game that they
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: lost at South Florida. It was a pretty competitive game.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: I watched the end of it. It was a good game
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: at the end of it. It was pretty close. South Florida.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: I think hit some free throws at the end. Whatever,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: it was a close game, huge game. Tulsa took the
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: loss in that game. I think they might be hung over.
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: They're playing UAB now, who's not near the top of
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: the conference standings, though they're not a bad team, and
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: Tulsa already beat UAB on the road by twenty two points,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: so I think Tulsa might overlook UAB here.
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: If you look at what the line was in this game,
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: UAB was a one and a half point favorite in
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: this game, yet now they're nine and a half point.
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: Underdogs on the roads. That seems like too much.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: Of a shift coming into this one, man, Like, I
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: think we've shifted the line just too much here. Like,
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: I don't think these teams get that much for home
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: court in these smaller conferences, So this line I think
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: is over adjusted towards Tulsa.
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: Though.
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah, back then we didn't know exactly what these teams
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: were back then, but I don't think UAB has really
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: proven themselves to be like way worse than we thought
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: they were or anything like that. I think Tulsa, yeah,
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: they've looked better than we thought, but still I think
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: we're getting some value with UAB in this one. Although
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: I think ken Bum does have this line right around
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: the ten as well. But whatever, Tulsa does have Wichitan
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: deck and they might be looking ahead to that because
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Wichita has only one game behind them in the standings,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: whereas UAB is two. So still, I know these teams
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: are all pretty close to each other, but Wichita just
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: might grab more of their attention. They played Wichita a
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: little bit closer at home a couple of games ago,
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I see this being a spot where you
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: want to play UAB.
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: And the other thing that lines up for UAB is
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: the other thing I just talked about.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: UAB just had a bad game against Rice, and I
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: think they were looking ahead to this game, and they
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: were also coming off a tough game against Memphis where
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: they lost, So I think UAB was looking ahead to
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: this one. Man, So I like UAB. I know it's
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a weird travelspot. Here having to
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: go to Oklahoma to play this one. But uh, these
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: teams have been in this conference for a while. Now
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do it. You actually might be able to
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: get ten on this now. Sixty percent of tickets, seventy
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: one percent of the.
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: Cash on UAB.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: And I know it's a high total. I know Tulsa
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: is a good offensive team and they do play fast.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: I get that, But if we look at ken b
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: on the other thing I like about this is that
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: we're actually getting the better defense with UAB as well.
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: Tulsa they're a top twenty five offense top they're in
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: the their fifty fifth overall according to Kempbum, So yeah,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: they're legit, but their defense is not that legit. Their
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: defense is in the middle of the pack one sixty six,
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: and they're lucky according to Kempbum's.
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: Seventy seventh in lucks. They've overperformed a bit.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: They play a little bit on the faster side, but
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: not ridiculously fast. UAB actually plays faster, so that might
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: be part of the reason why the total is that high.
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: But UAB won't be thrown off by the tempo.
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be both teams will be okay, playing
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: fast here, but UAB is more of a balanced team
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: at the very least.
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: They're not top one hundred and anything.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: They're in the one thirties and everything, but they're very
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: close on both the offense and deepense, and they're better
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: on defense than Tulsa is. So you are getting the
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: better defense getting points of this one as well. So
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of things do line up for me in
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: this one, and UAB is the less lucky team according
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: to Kembom as well. So UAB plus the points is
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: what it'll be in that one, and that looks. I
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: think the only market read that's opposing me is the
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: Florida Georgia game, So I don't know. North Dakota South
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Dakota in the summit's kind of an interesting one. North
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: Dakota just took an ugly loss at home to Denver. However,
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: I could see it going two ways here because North
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: Dakota lost a five game win streak, and you know, again,
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: I'll say when a team loses a win streak sometimes
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: that they will be hung over into the next game.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: But because they lost as a big favorite, maybe they'll
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: bounce back from that law from that law, so I
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: could see it going both ways, but they actually weren't
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: that big of a favorite, believe it or not. They're
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: only three and a half, even though Denver's not good
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: and North Dakota does have a big game on deck
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: against North Dakota State. So overall, I actually think this
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot for North Dakota here. I think
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: they may be looking ahead and they already beat South
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: Dakota at home by sixteen, so they might overlook South
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: Dakota for that reason too. South Dakota coming into this
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: game off of beating South Dakota.
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: State on the road, though that was a big win.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: For South Dakota, man, and that was part of my
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: handicap with South Dakota and Kansas City UMKC, which wound
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: up being a stupid loss for me, even though umk
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: C almost had the outright win there, it was not
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: to be. But I knew South Dakota is gonna be
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to their bigger brother in South Dakota State.
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: And even though South Dakota State had the lesser record,
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: they were a double digit favorite in this game eleven
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: and a half, and South Dakota still.
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: Pulled off the upset, which is insane.
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: So They're coming off of a monster upset there, and yeah,
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: this is revenge, but this is a pretty bad spot
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: for Soult Dakota. Man, So it's like, which which team
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: is in the worst spot? Really is the question? Celt
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: Dakota dropped from one to a pick them here. I
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: guess I'll agree with that, send him in and go
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: with North Dakota here because it's still the case that
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: North Dakota's coming off losing.
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: As a favorite and Celt.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Dakota is coming off a monster upset in like their
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: primary rivalry. So I guess I'll need to North Dakota
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: plus the one point in that one. It's an interesting game, though, Alexander,
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: what's up on No Yukon? I pretty emphatically said I
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Butler against Yukon. I do
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: not think the Yukon rolls. I think there might be
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: the potential that Yukon loses that game. To be honest,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: I think they're in a pretty horrible spot. Texas Tech.
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: I have a slight lean towards Texas Tech laying the
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: points in that one, but I don't love that one really.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: I could see Texas Tech winning that game by margin
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: and it's the way that I lean, but it's not.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: A huge opinion for me.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: Troy at Texas State's kind of an interesting when Troy
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: had probably the most impressive win in the Sun Belt
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: MAC Challenge. They had, of course, the Sun Belt teams
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: all at home games this year, but Troy beat Acrons.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: That was a big win.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: Acrons legit best team in the MAC. Still I don't
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: care about Miami Ohio Acrods still better Troy. Nice win
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: from Troy, gotta give him credit for that. Now they're
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: playing Texas State, who they already beat by twenty at
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: home and put up one hundred against them, so I
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: could maybe see Troy being a little bit of.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: A letdown spot. You're having to go to Texas State.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: Troy only as Southern Miss up next though, which isn't
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: a huge game, and they already embarrassed Southern Miss as well,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: so not really a look ahead or anything. Texas Tech
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: may get up for this one or Texas State, excuse me,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: make it up for this one. They've won four in
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: a row, winning their game against the MAC as well
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: against a bad Western Michigan team.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: So yeah, Texas State.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: They only have one really good win in this run
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: of wins that they have against Marshall, but it seems
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: like it gave them some new momentum. They're coming into
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: this with momentum. I would look towards Texas State in
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: I think you could make the.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: Argument it's a letdown for Troy, a bit of revenge
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: motive for Texas State, or the better way to look
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: at it is Troy just might not take them.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Seriously.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: Troy's lank five points, eighty one percent of the tickets
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: are on Troy, seventy percent of the cash on Texas State,
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: So there is a pretty big pros versus Joe split.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Looking it's looking like that in the market right now,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: at least I agree with that. I would take the
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: points of Texas State and that one because Yukon is
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: coming off a huge game against Saint John's and that
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: was their first loss since like December. So when teams
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: take a loss and they haven't lost like basically all season,
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: like almost every time it's happened.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: This year, that team has been horrible in the next game.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: And I played a pit in that against a duke
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: in that spot last night and got the cover with
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: pit It should have been an easier cover though, but
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: most of the teams in that spot have lost the
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: game outright.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: It's a horrible, horrible spot when.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: You are just coasting through the season, you haven't lost
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: for months, and then you lose a game in a
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: huge game against the only team that could compete with
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: you in the conference. And they already crushed Butler the
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: first time they played them, so all of that makes
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: it a terrible spot for them.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: And it's probably a.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: Positive spot for Butler because they've lost multiple games in
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: a row, including getting blown out by Marquette in the
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: last game. So yeah, that spot, it has Butler written
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: all over it. If I was gonna add another play
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: to my card here, it would be Butler plus the points.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: That in laying points with Yukon might.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: Not be the greatest idea either, because they're a slow paced,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: defensive team laying a shit ton of points on the road,
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: also in a bad spot. None of that looks good
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: to me at all. I'm pretty emphatic about that one.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: Butler is the right side in that game as far
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: as I'm concerned. What else we got here, Michigan number
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: two in the country at Northwestern. We'll see if Michigan
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: jumps up to number one after Arizona loss. I'm not
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: sure if they will, but I don't know. We'll see
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: man Michigan. Though Michigan is very, very formidable. There is
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: the potential that Michigan winds up being my champion pick
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: in my bracket.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: But we got to see.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: Like, you know me, I do game theory, so I
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: have to try to fade like I'm not gonna be
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: on the most popular team, you know what I mean,
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: the most popular selection.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it's gonna be Michigan or not.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: But Michigan plays a style that I like where they're
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: a paint presence team. They have a bunch of size
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: in the paint and they don't rely on three pointers,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: which is the more variable thing. So I like teams
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: that focus down low and they just dominate in the
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: more predictable stats, and that is Michigan. But we got
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: a handicapped mission at Northwestern here, Big ten Network, eight
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: thirty pm. Michigan coming into this game off of beating
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. They beat them down by twenty one points
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: on the road, beat them by more than they did
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: at home. That is still kind of a rivalry in Michigan,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Ohio State whatever. And Michigan does have UCLA on deck.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: There is the potential they're looking ahead to them, and
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: they got purduing Duke on deck. After that Duke might
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: be yet Oh no, I was gonna say Duke is.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: In that Nashville thing. It's not.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: It's in the Ed Jones Edward Jones Capital Showcase, whatever
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: the fuck that is.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: I have no idea.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: But there is the potential that Michigan just doesn't take
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: Northwestern that seriously here. They did not play them this
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: year at all, I don't think. But it's they have
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: it surrounded by games against potential tournament teams, which Northwestern
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: is not. And as I've been showing you with ken
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: Bombs numbers, Northwestern is like the second or third unluckiest
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: team in the entire country or something like that, according
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: to ken Bombs. So they have met assively underperform what
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: their actual talent level is.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: They've had a lot of competitive losses.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: Uh So Northwestern is not a team to overlook, but
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: teams will overlook them so and this might be a
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: spot where Michigan does just that. And it's a third
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: road game in four games for them, as well, Northwestern.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: The problem I have with Northwestern is they're coming off
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: a close game against Iowa. So Northwestern played well after
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: getting blown out by Illinois an embarrassing fashion. They had
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: a nice bounce back game, and they played really well
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: against Iowa. Covering is a big underdog. So that's what
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: worries me. When a team covers as a big underdog.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: I don't really love how that sets up for them
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: in the next game. But I don't know, man, in
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: this game, I think I probably would lean towards Northwestern.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: I think the money was coming in on Michigan though. Yeah,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: well Michigan did drop from fifteen and a half to fifteen.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: They will be a public.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: Side, but it looks like sixty four percent of tickets
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on Michigan looks like
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: more of the money than the tickets are on Michigan
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: for now, so which kind of makes them not totally
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: public really, though the public ticket percentage I think I'm
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: sure will be on them. You know, Northwestern is in
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: a tough spot for sure, because they're gonna have to
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: play two big.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: Games in a row. But there is the potential that Michigan.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: Just looks right past them, and I think line value wise,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: you're probably getting some on Northwestern just because they're so
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: undervalued just in general. I fine Northwestern here if I can,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: if I can type, Yeah, ken Bum.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: Has them sixty eighth, which isn't really that bad.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: He has the sixth unluckiest team in the country right
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: now and they've played the twenty fourth most difficult schedule.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, they're not a horrible team.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: They're top one hundred in both offense and deepfense, and
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: they're gonna try to slow the game down. If they're
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: able to do that, it could muddy it up a
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: little bit and maybe they'll be able to cover.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 2: Not a game that I want anything to do with,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: really though.
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports nine pm Cincinnati at Kansas State in dressing
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: Big twelve matchup where Cincinnati, like the oddsmakers keep telling
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: you that Cincinnati is not as bad as their record looks.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be a road.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: Favored in this game, I think, but they are coming
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: up a nice win over UCF, who is at the
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: at the moment likely to be a tournament team, although
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: I think UCF is not really that good. Nice win
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: for Cincinnati that was a revenge spot as well, because
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: they lost at UCF before they beat.
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: Them at home.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to they gotta go to Manhattan, Kansas,
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: but they may still focus on Kansas State.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: They may show up for this game. I don't believe
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: they played them this year. Kansas State.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: They're down, way down, not having a good season, and
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: they're coming up a pretty difficult game against TCU where
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: they were nine and a half point underdogs, and they
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: almost upset TCU, and in fact, they were pretty much
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: I think they're winning like the entire game for the
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: most part.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: Yeah, they were.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: Blowing TCU out of this game, and TCU came back
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: and won right.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: At the end after Kansas State had the lead all game.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: That sets up a pretty brutal spot for Kansas State here, man,
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: to be honest, and they have Houston on deck. So
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you're Kansas State and everything's going wrong
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: for you, I mean, ideally, yeah, you're gonna want to
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: try to get a conference win, But coming off a
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: monster effort like that and having another monster game on deck,
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: the spot looks pretty bad to me for Kansas State. Man,
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: So I think I would have to lean towards Cincinnati here.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: Kansas State is a public side to it looks like
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of tickets fifty four percent of the
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: cash on them in Cincinnati up from two to two
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: and a half year as a road favorite, which I
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: told you they would be, and I think the public
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: is not gonna want anything to do with that side.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: Well you could see that they probably don't based on
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: those percentages I just showed you.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I would lean to Cincinnati in this one.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: Although Cincinnati has trouble scoring, so if you're wanting to
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: lay points with them on the road, it's a little
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: bit iffy. I mean, you could go money line on
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: this if you really want to, or you're not having
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: to lay a ton of points with them in this one.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I like Cincinnati and this one. They're the
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: better defense as well in the game. Cincinnati actually eleventh defense,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: but they're pathetic on offense. Kansas State is the better offenses.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: They are the way worse defense. Although Kansas State is
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: extremely unlucky according to Kembomb, they're like a bottom twenty
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: something team in luck, but so is Cincinnati in fact,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: so which is why I was saying a little while
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: ago that the oddsmakers seem to respect Cincinnati quite a bit.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I like Cincinnati, and that one of those
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati You know, I hesitate a little bit.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: Because they are coming off a pretty nice win over.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: UCF, who is a tournament team at this point. Likely
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: so although you see, I mean, they have the potential
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: to fall apart down the stretch too. But anyway, yeah,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: I think Kansas State is in the much more brutal
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: spot there. Creighton at DePaul on Peacock nine PM. I
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: don't think these teams have played yet, Am I wrong
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: about that? No? They play again later in February. Creighton
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: just beats Seaton Hall. Nice win for Creighton, but it
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: broke a losing streak as well, so sometimes you break
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: out of the losing streak and will.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: Give you momentum.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: But they got Villanova and ukunt in Saint John's all
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: on deck in their next three games, So you could
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: make the argument this is a sandwich spot for Creighton
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: because they're coming off beating a decent Seaton Hall team
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: that is a tournament bubble team, and then they got
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: three tournament teams on deck, the top three teams in
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: the Big East. So yeah, there are definitely some concerns
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: about Creighton in this one. As far as the schedule
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: is concerned. De Paul's lost three games in a row,
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: four games in a row excerusually three of them on
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: the road, and the home one was against Saint John's,
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if you can really blame them
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: for those losses. Now they're back at home where they
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: did have that loss back at home against Saint John's.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: But De Paul's been okay at home.
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: They beat Seton Hall at home, which I think was
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: a winner I gave out on the show. I think
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: they did catch Seaton hauled in a bad spot there.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: But you look at DePaul, They've won a bunch of
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: home games in the conference. They beat Seton Hall, Marquette, Georgetown, Xavier.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: They lost the Yukon at home and Saint John's at home,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: like I said, but you can't blame them for that.
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: So they've been able to beat like the more well
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: they've they've beaten the bad teams.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: We don't know if if they can beat.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: A mediocre Creighton team here, but I would lean to
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: Paul in this game. But the market Reid seems to
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: be completely disagreeing with me on this, but I would
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: only look towards DePaul in this one. They're out from
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: Pickham to one. I would go money line on it
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna do it. Sixty two percent tickets
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: are on too, Paul seventy two percent of the cash
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: on Creighton, so the money is saying Creighton. But yeah, again,
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that. I would lean to Paul.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: Acc Network Nine pm. Wake Forest at Georgia Tech. I
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: think Wake is in a bit of a difficult spot
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: here because they just played Louisville pretty close at home.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: That game.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: They lost by eight, but they were in that game
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: almost right to the end, so that was a big
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: performance from Wake against the ranked Woisville team. Now they're
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: going to go back out on the road. Seems like
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot to me. They do have Stanford up next,
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: which isn't really a huge deal, but at the very least,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: I think it's kind of a hangover spot for Wake here.
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech come to this game of a blowout loss,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: but they are having a travel cross country here. They
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: got blown out at Stanford, they played two games in California.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home from that, so I don't
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: love jumping on teams that are traveling cross country like that,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: but I think Wake is in the worst spot. You're
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: off that huge performance. So I would lean towards Georgia
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: Tech in this one. But the money again looks like
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: it's not agreeing with me. Eighty six percent of tickets,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: only fifty percent of the cash on Georgia Tech. They
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: look like a public side, a dreaded public home underdog.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: But I lean towards them in this game. Man, I
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: just don't I don't understand the market percentages in that one.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: To be honest, I would take the points to Georgia Tech.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: Market seems to totally disagree. Do with that what you want?
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: ESPN you At nine pm we have Stanford at BC.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: This is a really strange game. Stanford is having a
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: travel cross country and go to an unfamiliar venue, which
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: is not the greatest situation to be in for a
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: team like Stanford. They're coming off a blowout win over
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech, but that was an easy win. Georgia Tech
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: kind of sucks and Stanford had lost five games in
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: a row prior to that, so they do a momentum
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: now coming into this one. So that's a positive for them,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: and BC is coming off of a tough game member
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: they almost pulled off an upset against Miami at home,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: only losing by six as big underdogs, so BC I
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: think is in the worst spot here, even though they're
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: staying at home. So yeah, BC does have a travel
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: advantage here and a familiarity edge.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: With the venue. But spot wise, I think Stanford is
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: probably the way to look in this one. Stanford's only
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: laying two and a half though, so it.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: Does look too easy to play Stanford in this game,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: but I probably lean to Stanford based on the spot
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: on nine tickets ninety four percent of the cash on aford.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: Not a game I want to get involved in it
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: all though, could be ugly. It's a low scoring game too.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: At ESPN two to nine pm. Tennessee at Mississippi State.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: Tennessee just lost again to Kentucky. Brutal, brutal loss for Tennessee.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: Man they had Kentucky completely on the ropes. I thought
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: Tennessee would bounce back and win that game after they
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: lost at.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: Home as a pretty big favorite to Kentucky.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: Seemed like it was gonna be a spot where Tennessee
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: was gonna show up and win that game, and it
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: looked like they had the game won and they blew it.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: So now they're coming off a big rivalry game where
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: they lost the game, lost a four game win streak
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: as well, second straight road game, going to play a
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: pretty weak Mississippi State team. I don't like the spot
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: for Tennessee here. Mississippi State coming off a blowout loss,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: staying at home, got blown up by a pretty decent
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Arkansas team in their last game.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: I think I would have to lean towards Mississippi State.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: In this one, even though I don't believe Tennessee has
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: a big game up next or anything.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: They're a public side.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: They're laying seven and a half down, well down to
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: seven now, tickets only an eighty six percent of the
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: cash excuse me on Tennessee, so they look like a
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: very public side with less of the money on them.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: I would take the points in Mississippi State and that one,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: like I said, total fairly low in the one forties
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: as well. Uh Tennessee, and we know they play slow,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: they focus on deep and so laying points on the
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: road not really something you usually want to do with them.
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: So that's what I think about that game. SEC Network
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: at nine pm. Missouri at Texas A and M.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: Missouri.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: They're a tournament bubble team. Man, I forgot to put
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: them in my bracketology. I should have put them on
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: the first four out, I believe, and I completely forgot
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: about them, So I apologize. I'll have to fix that.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: Missouri.
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: They're coming off an easy win over South Carolina. They're
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: playing a third road game in four games. But I
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Texas A and M though,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: so they're coming into this with momentum. The travel spot's
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: a little difficult for them. But it's interesting because both
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: of these teams are actually former Big twelve health teams.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: This is for me, I'm a little bit old.
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: This is like a Big twelve matchup to me. But
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up. Because Texas A and
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: M has been leading the SEC standing wise most of
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: the season. Texas A and M may show up as well.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're staying at home. They got blown out
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: in the last game by Florida, but maybe that game
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: kind of gave them a little bit of a reality check,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: and they do have Vandy coming up on Saturday, so
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: maybe a bit of a look ahead there. I probably
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: lean to Missouri in this one, but not really a
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: strong opinion. It does look like the market does agree
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: with that. Eighty three percent of tickets only seventy seven
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on A and M, so they're
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: a pretty public side. And again, I think you're probably
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: not getting much line value with Texas A and M
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: because everybody thinks they're better than they are based on
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: the record. They're not as good as the record makes
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: them appear. Six and a half point favorite for Texas
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: A and M in that one, but I probably lean
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: to Missouri.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: Liberty at New Mexico's. The thing that jumps out.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: About this one is Liberty has this great record, three
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: losses on the season, undefeated in conference. New Mexico State's
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: not even at five hundred and have a horrible conference record,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: and yet they're only a three and a half point
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: underdog in this game. This game looks so easy to
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: play Liberty, man, But I keep pointing out how New
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: Mexico State is an unbelievably unlucky team.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: For some reason. They I don't know, they foul a
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: lot or they get charged with a lot of fouls,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: like they're one of the teams that's close to the
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 2: top in the country and opponents opponent free throw attempts
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: against them.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the deal is, but I think
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to New Mexico State in
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: this one because it looks so easy to play Liberty,
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: but there just isn't really a spot for it. And
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: if Liberty wins this conference and has a really pretty record,
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be a public darling in the tournament.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: But this conference is assd like Liberty. They got absolutely
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: wasted in the first round of the tournament last year
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: and happen again this year.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: If and when that does happen, we'll see.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: Liberty is coming up a decent win over Missouri State,
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: who is close.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: To the top of the conference.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: There playing New Mexico State here, I don't believe they
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: played yet this year.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: I know they did, my mistake.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: Liberty actually only beat them by two, so that is interesting.
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: So Liberty might actually take them seriously because Liberty was
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: an eight and a half point favorite at home against
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: them and only beat them by two, So there is that.
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: So situationally, maybe Liberty will show up for the game,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: but they are playing a third road game in four games.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: Liberty is a Virginia school, though they're having to go
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: to New Mexico for this. The Conference USA sets up
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: some weird travel spotsmen, and New Mexico State's coming up
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: a pretty gross loss in a third straight road game
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: against UTEP was not good at all. New Mexico State
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: is better than UTEP, even though the records don't really
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: make it look that way. Now, New Mexico State back home,
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: in the last couple of times they were at home,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: they had some embarrassing losses. They've been all home, so
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we really want to jump into
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State at home, but they're getting points, and yeah,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: it just looks way too easy to play Liberties, So yeah,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: I would lead to New Mexico State. Liberty is up
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: from three to three and a half. With juice, you
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: might even get four on this. Sixty percent of tickets
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash on New Mexico State
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: total in the one forties is pretty low as well,
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: So I like New.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: Mexico State in that one.
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: In the West Coast Conference as we get into the
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: degenerate hours, and I still have to do a ton
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: of NBA. Man oh, Man Seattle at Santa Clara. This
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: is a good game, although Santa Clara is a significantly
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: better team of the Seattle's played okay uh in the conference.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: Seattle's coming off kind of an ugly loss where I
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: gave it a loser on that one. I thought it
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: made sense to fade Portland off their monumental upset of Gonzaga.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: Seattle blew the game. They had the game in hand
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: and they blew it. Very low scoring game. Now a
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: fourth road game in five games for Seattle going to
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara. They should show up for the game, but
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly the greatest spot for them. Seattle is
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: a very imbalanced team. By the way, they have a
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: horrible offense and a really good defense. Santa Clara, I
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: believe is the more balanced team and they are the
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: better team. They're coming back home off of not playing
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: that well at Washington State. The big problem for Santa
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: Clara is they got Gonzaga on decks, so they may
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to that game, and I don't believe
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: they play Seattle otherwise this year. I think this is
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: their only game against Seattle this year. But the problem
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: with Santa Clara that Gonzaga game is a huge look
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: ahead because they're tied with Gonzaga atop the standings. That's
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: the worry with Santa Clara coming into this one and
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: Seattle is coming up a disgusting loss, So you know,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: I would probably actually take the points with Seattle in
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: this one. Santa Clara laying thirteen points is pretty wild.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: Man. The Santa Clara team, they're for real.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: I think they might even actually be better than Saint Mary's,
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: although we'll see. But I would like to see Santa
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: Clara get into the tournament, man, because it hasn't happened,
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: and who knows how long. Probably the Steve Nash Days
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Eighty five percent of the tickets around Seattle
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: though in seventy nine percent of the cash on Santa Clara,
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: So the market Reid is saying Santa Clara pretty strongly there,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: but I kind of disagree with it. Then we have
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: a couple of TV games late in the Mountain West.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: One of them on New Mexico at Grand Canyon on
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one. This is a bit of a revenge
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: spot because New Mexico already beat Grand Canyon at home
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: by twenty three, so they might not take Grand Canyon
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: that seriously. And New Mexico is coming off a big
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: game against Boise, although New Mexico did lose at home
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: and they were like a five five and a halfway
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: favorite probably in that one, but they lost the game
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: to a decent Boise team. But Grand Canyon is still
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: above Boise in the standing, so I don't know. Maybe
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: they pay attention to Grand Canyon, but it will be
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: a weird venue because New Mexico, these teams in the
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: Mountain West are not used to playing at Great Canyon
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: because they're new to the conference.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: Grand Canyon has been pretty good at home. I believe.
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: They might be undefeated at home in conference, though they
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: lost to Colorado State. That's weird, but I think that's
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: their only conference home loss. I think they've won all
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: their other conference home games. They're coming up an ugly
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: loss at UNLV. They're not a great team UNLV. Grant
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: Canyon coming back home here where they've had a pretty
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: significant home advantage this year, might be better for them
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: in the revenge spot.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Grand Canyon in this game.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play it, it would probably be
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: money line Grant Canyon. They're off from one to one
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: with juice here eighty nine percent of tickets ninety six
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Grand Canyon.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: So the money is saying Grand Canyon. I don't disagree
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: with it.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: And then finally Big ten Network Penn State at Washington,
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: and then I gotta take a little bit of a
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: break and then do the NBA Huge Basketball Board today. Man,
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: this game is not that interesting. Penn State is coming
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: off a close call against USC. Now they're having to
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: go to the West Coast for the first and probably
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: the only time this year. Weird travel spot for Penn
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: State and coming up a big performance against USC. Don't
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: know what they're going to have left going on the
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: road to Washington, having across time zones. Washington's coming up
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: a big game themselves, although they're staying in the Pacific
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: time zone, but they had a big game against UCLA
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: so and fell just short against UCLA. So the spot's
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: not exactly great for Washington either. But I think it
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: is a pretty bad spot for Penn State, though i'd
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Washington in this game. Public usually
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: doesn't love laying points with teams that are sitting at
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: five hundred and have ugly records like that, but that's
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: probably what I would do in this one.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: Washington is up.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: From twelve to twelve and a half, sixty seven percent
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: of tickets, sixty to nine percent of the cash on Washington.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: It looks like some of the real money might be
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: coming in on Washington in that game. It looks very
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: difficult to do it, but I do think Washington's a
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: bit of an underrated team right now, and Penn State
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: is ass and with both teams being in kind of
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: questionable spots, Washington does have the location edge here and
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: travel edge, of course, so I'd probably lay it with Washington.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna have four NBA plays.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: We have I think fourteen NBA games on the board today,
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: which is insane. It's before we go into the All
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: Star break. There are three more NBA games tomorrow, but
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: we have the All Star break.
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be dude. It's gonna be a nice break
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 2: for me.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: During the All Star break, when we're also in the
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: hockey Olympic break, it's gonna be all college basketball for me.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: So it'll be a nice break for me. But I
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: gotta come back.
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about NBA hopefully it won't take that long.
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: But this is a shit ton of NBA games, man,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: so I will.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: Be back in a second. I don't know you can
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: see the board.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: I can't really show the whole board unless I can
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: zoom out again if you want. If you want to
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: try to see the whole NBA board, Yeah, there we go.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: Squinch your eyes, all right, but I will be back
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: in a second. You try to guess which games I'm on,
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: unl V.
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: What's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: I'll be right back and I'll talk about NBA and
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: then my show's gonna end right at the time room
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: and have lunch. So I'm gonna get some more water
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: real quick too. I'll be back in a second. All right,
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: let's do this NBA. I'm gonna have four plays in
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: the NBA here. Maybe I'm spreading myself too thin, but
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know. We have fourteen games. NBA has been
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: one of my best sports, so you know I'm doing it.
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we're gonna get some wins out of it.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: Man, we're gonna be on the first game up, so
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: let's do this. Best bets, we're gonna be on uh
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: the Atlanta Hawks.
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: I almost said the Falcons. The Hawks plus five and
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: a half against Charlotte.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: I know we're gonna face Charlotte here, but Charlotte, their
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: win streak has ended, Man, And what have I been
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: saying when teams lose wind streaks like this? Charlotte had
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: won I don't know what this was eight games in
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: a row, maybe nine, whatever it was. They lost a
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: huge win streak, and a lot of times when the
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: team lose a wind streak like that, they're gonna be
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: hung over into the next game. We gotta keep in
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: mind that we do have the All Star Break coming up,
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: so the look ahead spots don't matter as much. They
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: do have Houston on deck, which would be a huge
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: look ahead But I don't know if I think the
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: look aheads matter less in a spot like this. But
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: I still like the spot because Charlotte lost a huge
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: win streak, so again, you can essentially lose the same
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: game twice when that happens, and they lost it in
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: a big game against Detroit, man where Charlotte played pretty
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: competitively against a really good Detroit team.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: And lost the game.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: Still, so I think they're gonna be hungover coming into
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: this game and it's a quick road revenge angle for
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: Atlanta because Atlanta lost at home to Charlotte the game
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: before that. And yes, I know I gave out a
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: loser on Atlanta in that game, and Atlanta did play
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: Charlotte close and almost won the game. The seven point
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: final wasn't exactly indicative of what happened in that game.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: The game was within one or two points I think
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: pretty late in that game. I'm kind of pissed about it.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: But Charlotte was in a bad spot in that one.
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: They'd beaten Houston on the road. Prior to that, they
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: had Detroit on deck. I thought it was a sandwich spot.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: But now that they beat Atlanta in that game, then
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: they took that really difficult loss.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: To Detroit in a close game. Yeah, I just see
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: them not having it coming into this game. Man.
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: I think Atlanta will be the team to make the
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: adjustments here. The five and a half line, it seems
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: a little I don't know. I guess it's about right
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: because it was two on the road. You don't get
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: a whole lot for home court in NBA. You get
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: like one and a half maybe probably, so I think
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: the line is I guess probably about right for a
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: Charlotte home game here, but I expect that Lanta to
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: be the team that makes the adjustments off of that.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: So this is kind of a zigzag spot.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: Plus the fact that it's a big hangover spot for
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Charlotte and Atlanta's coming off a blowout loss. They were
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: in Minnesota and they got absolutely drilled at Minnesota.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna show up.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: They they do not want to go into the All
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: Star Break on a note like that, man, And we'll
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: talk about teams coming out of the All Star break.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: You know, teams usually do better or coming out of
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: a break like that if they went into the break
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: doing poorly, But teams still don't want to you know
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: what I mean, Like, you want to get that win,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: try to at least before you go into the All
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: Star break.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: So we will be on Atlanta in this one.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: If we look at what happened in this game where
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: they lost that other time to Charlotte, I mean, both
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: teams shot really well in the game from three at
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: the very least, so.
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: That kind of was kind of a wash.
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: Charlotte did massively out rebound Atlanta, so that does warring
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: me a little bit. That Charlotte was way better on
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: the rebounding side. But all that being said, I think
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: it's a spot to grab the Hawks here. Hornets did
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: drop a little bit from the five and a half
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: to a five. Now, although we see fifty nine percent
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: of tickets seventy eight percent of the cash on the Hornets,
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the market read is gonna wind
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: up looking like that or not. We'll I guess we'll
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: find out, but it looks like there was some initial
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: drop on the Hornets here and this one. I haven't
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: really looked at the personnel because these teams, like, I
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: don't even know if it matters that much who's in
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: and who's out in some of these games.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: And I don't know, but we'll see.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, Kobe White just still hasn't played for the Hornets,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: so I don't think that's a big deal. I know
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: the Hawks are kind of in flux right now, dealing
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: a maybe some deals towards the deadline as well, But yeah,
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: I like the Hawks and that one. To make the
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: adjustments and cover in that one, that's the first play.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: Next game up is another play for me, And yeah,
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: we're getting real ugly with this one, but we're gonna
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: take the Washington Wizards.
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: Again plus eighteen.
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: I believe they went one to one when we tried
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: to take them as huge underdogs the last couple of times.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: We're doing it again.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: Washington's coming off a blowout loss at home to Miami
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: one hundred thirty two to one hundred and one. And
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, what happened the last time they lost one
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: hundred thirty two to one hundred and one at home,
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: which I know that one was a loser for me
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: against the Knicks.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: What happened after that? Though?
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: I gave out a play on them against Detroit and
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: what did they do? They went to Detroit in one outright.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: So this Washington Wizards team has been zigzagging all over
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: the place, but it's been kind of a predictable zig
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: zagg where they get their ass handed to them one
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: game and then they played really well in the next game.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: So if that trend kind of continues, losing by the
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: exact same score at home again going out on the road,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: and and just like they did against Detroit, Cleveland also
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: pretty close to Detroit. This looks like a very very
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: similar spot to that. Yeah, and I think we were
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: actually getting fewer points against Detroit too, which is insane
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: to think about. We were getting sixteen and a half
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: in that when we're getting eighteen against Cleveland. And I'm
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: not sure that Cleveland is the better team over Detroit, man,
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: I know I've been saying I don't think Detroit is
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: necessarily the best.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: Team in the East.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: But we're getting more points in this one in a
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: similar spot against a team that's questionable, like that's debatably
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: not even as good. So I think we're definitely getting
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: some line value here as well. And for Cleveland, the
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: spot is awful. Cleveland's are turning over from a road trip,
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: and what I always say, I love fading teams are
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: turning on from road trips. They've been on the road
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: since January thirtieth. And when teams have been on a
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: long road trip like this and they return home, especially
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: when they were about to go into a break and
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: they're playing a horrible Washington team, I don't really see
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: them having much focus at all.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 2: Man. Generally, when a team returns home from a.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: Road trip, they don't have a lot of focus because
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: they got to get back to family life and whatever.
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: When you're playing total ass team and you're about to
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: go into the All Star Break. I could see this
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: being a spot where they really just don't pay attention.
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: And they're coming up a big win on Monday Night
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: against Denver, where I said I liked Cleveland in that game.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: They were able to come back and win that game.
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: Denver was a small favorite in that one as well.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: But yeah, if you look at how this game went,
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: Denver was winning the majority of the game and Cleveland
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: made a huge comeback and won the game. That was
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: a big win in elevation for Cleveland. Now they're coming
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: out of that, this is a horrible, horrible spot for Cleveland.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's a spot where you will get an
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: effort out of the Wizards.
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens with the new pieces that the
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: Wizards have after the trade deadline. Don't know if it's
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: really gonna matter. I don't really care who's in there
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: for the Wizards. So fifty nine percent of the tickets
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: are on the Caves, fifty three percent of the cash
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: coming back on the side of the Wizards.
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: I agree with it, even though I know we got a.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: Really high total here at two forty, really high for
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: an NBA game. Expecting not a lot of defense this one,
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: but again I still like it. Man, I think horrible
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: spot for Cleveland will take the Wizards in that one.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: Now, we'll get to some games where I don't have
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: as strong of an opinion Milwaukee at Orlando, and keeping
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: in mind, there are a couple of teams that are
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: playing tomorrow and Milwaukee is one of them. Milwaukee, Portland,
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: and Utah I believe all played today and they're all
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: playing tomorrow as well.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: So just something to keep in mind.
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: But this is also a potential zigzag spot that we
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: have to be aware of. Orlando just beat Milwaukee on
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: Monday in the same place in Orlando, and they beat
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: them by almost twenty points. So when that happens, usually
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: there's a bit of an outlier situation going on. A
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: lot of times, the team on the losing end of
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: it will have some positive regression in the next game,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: although in this game there wasn't. Well Orlando got to
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: the free throw line where yeah, Milwaukee had twenty turnovers.
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah Orlando won the rebounding bad, but really that turnover
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: margin is a big reason why the game was the
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: way that it was. So if Milwaukee could clean up
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: the turnovers, they might be able to zigzag into this one. Orlando,
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: you know, they might not care about beating Milwaukee again.
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: I think you're getting more line value on.
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: The Bucks down.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: But I think part of it is because I think
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: Franz Wagner is actually gonna come back. He's not on
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: the injury report and he didn't play in the other
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: game against Milwaukee, so I think he is coming back
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: in this game, which is he's the second best player
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: for Orlando, So I think that might be the reason
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: why Orlando is a ten point favorite when I think
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: they were eight eight and a half in the prior game.
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: But you know what, I talk about the reverse injured
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: players spot as well, So when that comes to play
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: and you have one of your best players come back,
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: sometimes the line over adjusts to it and the team
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: has to adjust to him being back. Team has to
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: fit into their new roles again whatever he has to
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: adjust to being back out there in a real game.
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: So sometimes it doesn't work right away. So there are
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: a lot of reasons to look towards Milwaukee in this game,
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: in my opinion, and that is probably the way I lean.
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: I think I would take the points of the Milwaukee.
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: But Milwaukee does have that game tomorrow against Oklahoma City
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: on Amazon Prime. And you know, if Milwaukee's kind of
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: a dead team now and they're paying attention to any games,
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: you know, that might be the game that they've paid
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: more attention to than this one. So that's one concern
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: that I have and the market Reid is saying that
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: Orlando here, but I would probably still need to taking
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: the points with Milwaukee here. Seventy one percent of tickets
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash on the Magic, so
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: it doesn't look like the money is on that side.
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: But I think I lean to the Bucks there that
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: that one not a play for me. Chicago at Boston.
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: Chicago just beat Boston not that long ago. My Boston Celtics.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: They lost in Chicago back on January twenty fourth, So
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: the Celtics, I think they're likely to take this game seriously, man,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: because I know the Celtics and what they do with
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: Joe Mizzoulam. They bounce back well against seems to beat
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: them in the prior game usually, and they bounce back
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: well from disgusting losses pretty well. And the Celtics are
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: in both of those spots here Chicago.
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be looking for a win, sure.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: I mean they'll be looking to try to play in
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: this game at Boston, for sure. But the Celtics are
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: clearly the better team, and if you're gonna get the
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: better team actually with focus, I think the Celtics are
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: probably the right side here.
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: Celtics are staying at home.
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they got absolutely embarrassed at home by
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: the Knicks.
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: It broke a five game losing streak for them. And
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: sometimes if you lose a five game winning streak, excuse me,
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: if you lose a winning streak, yeah, sometimes it'll hang
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: you over into the next game. But because they just
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: lost to Chicago, because that loss was so bad against
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: the Knicks, losing by whatever that was, I think it was.
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: I thought it was.
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: Almost twenty but it was actually twenty two, I think
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: I would have to lead to the Celtics here in
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: this one. Hopefully I wind up. Hopefully the Celics just
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: win the game. Up for my rooting purposes, they're a
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: huge favorite, up from twelve and a half to thirteen
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: It looks like the money's disagreeing with me, though.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: Fifty nine percent of tickets and fifty four percent of
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Celtics. But I would lean Celtics
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: in that game, knowing how they respond to losses. But
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: it's not a play for me, and the market seems
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: to disagree. Next game, more best bets. This one, yeah,
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean, we're gonna try to nets whisper here,
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: but this in this one, we're gonna lay points with
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: the nets. When would we ever think that that would
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: be the case, But laying boys with the nets was
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: the right side the other night. Man, These nets, I mean,
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: they can cover as a favorite against some of the
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: worst teams. Indiana is a really bad team, and Indiana
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: is terrible on the road. They only have three road wins.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: And Indiana's in a god awful spot here. And I
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: know that probably is jacking the lineup a little bit
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: on Brooklyn. I understand that, but I don't even know
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: if it's enough. Man, We're gonna play the spot here
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: on this one, you know me, I'm all about the spot.
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: You gotta pay attention to the number a little bit.
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: But in this one, yeah, I still think it's worth doing.
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we can get there with this one, but the
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: spot is horrible And yes, I know because of the
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: spot because Indiana played a huge game last night. Yeah,
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: that's jacking the number up a little bit. On the
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: side of the nets are up from three and a
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: half to five. Year now you might be able to
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: get four and a half on this. It looks like
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: some of the money's coming back on the Pacers. So
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: I think I would probably wait on this game and
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: see if you can get a better number on the
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: nets here. I know it's a low total too, I mean,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: these teams are just ass so whatever, but it's still
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: an NBA game. I mean, laying this many points is
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: not that many. Fifty tickets seventy five percent of the
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: cash on the Pacers, but I don't agree with it.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: I don't see how you could be on the side
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: of the Pacers here after what they just did last night.
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: That was a monster win against the Knicks last night. Man,
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: you saw my analysis. That was one of the plays
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: on my car last night. A horrible spot for the
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: Knicks after that really really good win against the Celtics,
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: and the Knicks had the what do they have?
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: I believe they had the seventy six ers on deck?
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: Is that what it was? Yeah, which is tonight.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so the Knicks were in a a major sandwich spot,
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: so yeah, Indiana caught them, but Indiana had to go
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: into overtime and pulled off the huge upset. So I
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: just don't know what they're gonna have left here, man.
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: I know they're staying in New York City, so technically
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: it's not a third game in four days or fifth
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: game in six fifth game in excuse a fourth game
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: in six days, all in different cities because they're staying
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: in New York.
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 2: But it is still a back to back in two
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: different arenas. It is still a major letdown spot.
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: It is still a third game in four days in
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: different arenas, a fourth game in six days in different arenas.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: So it's still pretty similar to that, man, and Brooklyn's
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: staying at home with a little bit of momentum here, man.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: They covered as a favorite against Washington, who is ass
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: which you know, Indiana I don't think is that much
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: better than Washington. So Brooklyn, I think we're like six
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: point favorites of that game and one and then they
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: beat Chicago on Monday, so Brooklyn, you know, they got
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a momentum here, man. I think
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: they might continue to play all right, coming into the
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: break here, they're trying to play better here.
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: I like it.
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: Horrible spot for the Pacers mostly, so we'll be on
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn minus the points in that one. I don't like
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: fading the market read man, which we're doing in a
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: couple of these games, but three of them so far today.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 2: But that's the way that it is. ESPN doubleheader.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: The first game up is a pretty interesting one with
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: the Knicks and Philadelphia. The Knicks are on a back
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: to back and played overtime last night, which isn't exactly
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: the greatest thing. Although Anonobe didn't play, and I believe
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: Robinson didn't play either, so Anonobe at least got rest,
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: and I assume he will play in this game against Philly.
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: I'm assuming Embiid.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: Is gonna play too, although of course Embiid, you know,
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 1: he's game time decision every single game. But this is
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: a huge ESPN game against the Knicks, so I expect
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: Embiid to be out there. And of course Paul George
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: is suspended for the Sixers right now. Knicks coming off
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: that gross loss yesterday, they aren't a back to back.
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: They are having to travel too to Philly not a
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: huge travel leg, but still they're having to travel. But Philadelphia,
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: they're probably in the worst spot here, man, even though
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are on the back to back and have
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a travel spot.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: Look at Philadelphia.
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: They've been on the road since February second, so over
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: a week, and they went out to the Pacific Coast.
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: They had a winning road trip out there, went three
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: and two on the road trip. Yeah, they got absolutely
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: torched in their last game at Portland, which was a
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: win for me on Portland on Monday. But still they're
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: returning on from a road trip. And you know, I
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: talk about him. When a team returns on from a
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: road trip, they gotta cross all these time zones. It
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: can take a lot out of them. They can get
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: distracted by having to get back to home life. They
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: sure they should be focused when they're hosting an ESPN
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: game against the Knicks, But I never want to be
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: on a team returning on from a road trip, man.
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: That's just the way that it is.
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: So I think I have to lean to the Knicks
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: in this game for those reasons. The money is not
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me. The Sixers flip from a two point
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: dog to a two point favorite here, and I don't
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: know exactly what caused that line move. It's still pretty
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: much in the range of picking the winner. But I
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: don't know if that's because Antonobe. It's announced that no
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: Anonobe is playing, so I don't know why why would
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: the line move towards the Sixers unless it was just
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: some announcement that Embiid is playing.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't get it.
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: But we have sixty one percent of tickets on the Knicks,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on the Sixers. I
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: don't really like it, man. I know the Knicks are
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: on the back to back. Maybe the line is skewed
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: a little bit towards the Sixers because the Knicks are
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: on the back to back. I think the Knicks are
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: certainly the better of these two teams, so the Sixers
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: basically being lined like they're almost equal with the Knicks.
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: You know, there's probably a little bit of live value
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks, but again some of it is because.
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: Of the situation.
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: But they did have a horrible loss yesterday, so that
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: plus the Sixers are turning over from a road trip,
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean Knicks in that game.
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: But not a play for me. Detroit at Toronto.
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: Detroit coming up beating Charlotte off of beating the Knicks too,
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: So a couple of decent wins there.
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: Now they're having to go up to Toronto.
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: They have the Knicks again, but that's not until after
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: the break, so I don't know if that's really a
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot there. But coming off ending Charlotte's long
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: run like that man there, it could be a situation
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: where it's a little bit tricky for Detroit coming into
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: this one of the line. Know Toronto's not a very good
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: home team. Though Toronto is staying at home. I think here,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: yeah they are. They've been at home for a long time.
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: They're playing a fifth straight home game. Don't see them
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: overlooking Detroit here. They have a couple of days of
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: rest here, which maybe sometimes isn't good when you're winning games.
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: But I think i'd have to lean to the Raptors
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: in this one. You're getting them as an underdog at
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: home as well. I know they're not good at home,
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: but at least they're an underdog here. Pistons are a
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite sixty nine percent takets
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on the Raptors, I'll
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: agree with it, but not a strong opinion for me
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: on that one. Clippers at Houston, this is a potential
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: zigzag spot, but maybe less of one than maybe the
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: Bucks game, because the game wasn't an outlier. They played
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday at the same team, same location in Houston. I
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: believe Houston were seven and a half point favorites in
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: this one. No, they were nine and a half my mistake,
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: and the Clippers lost by seven, so the game did
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: land right near the number in this one, so it
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: wasn't really an.
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: Outlier as far as the score.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: Looking at what happened in the game though, that's where
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: it gets a little bit more interesting, because the Clippers
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: were horrible from the free throw a live But the
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: real outlier here is Houston was fifty percent from three
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: point range, which is crazy, so there should be some
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: regression there. They had an edge of fifty percent to
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: twenty seven percent from three point range.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: That is a.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: Big disparity, man, and the Clippers actually had more field
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: goal attempts in the game and actually outrebounded Houston. Houston
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: actually lost the turnover battle too, so really the threes
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: are the reason why Houston won that game, So that
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: actually was an outline higher. So maybe there actually is
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: some potential to zigzag this thing because the Clippers are
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: actually better in that game that it appears, and because
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: of that result, they're actually I think they're actually getting
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: a couple more points in this one.
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 2: Maybe where's where's this game? Where are we at? Rockets?
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 2: Where are you?
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: No, it's about the same, it's up a little bit,
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: it's at nine. I think, well, yeah, it's nine to
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. It's about the same as yesterday.
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: cash on the Rockets. It's a crazy, crazy low total
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: at two to eight and a half, very low for
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: an NBA game, money coming in on the Rockets. But
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: I don't agree. I would lean Clippers in this game
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it, because I think there
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: is that room for that three point variance to just
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: completely change coming into this game. So I would lean
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: to the Clippers in this one. Man, I don't get
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: what's going on with that number. Always have to look
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: at the personnel in these basketball games. Sometimes I forget
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: to do. So there isn't really a whole lot going on.
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: The injuries are all just kind of what we already
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: knew for those two teams, So there's not much going
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: on there.
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 2: Portland at Minnesota.
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: Portland's on a nice run here, but they are having
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: to travel across time zones here to Minnesota and then
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: they have to go back and play Utah tomorrow. That
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: spot is gonna be a weird spot.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: If Portland plays really well tonight, you might be looking.
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: We might be looking at fading them tomorrow and going
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: with Utah tomorrow, because that's gonna be a weird spot,
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: having to go from Minnesota to Utah. Although I think
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: Utah is playing tonight as well, but that is gonna
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: be a weird spot. Portland, you gotta think, will show
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: up for a big game against Minnesota. But they are
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: coming off a very satisfying win against Philadelphia. But sometimes
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: when you go out on the road, you carry that
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: momentum with you. Minnesota is coming off a big blowout,
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: well not a big win, but a blowout win over
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: Atlanta staying at home. Don't know if they're really gonna
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: overlook Portland or not.
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: This is a difficult game to Handicaph's is not a
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: strong situation really for me to figure out in this game,
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: there isn't one. I mean, t Wolves drop from seven
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: to five for some reason though, so they they're not
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: laying that many points.
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: That actually looks way too easy.
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: To lay the points with the t Wolves here, seventy
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: four percent tickets, seventy five percent of the cash on
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: the t Wolves. They're gonna be a public side. That
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: difference of one percent. I don't think really matters that
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: much in the market read there. I think I would
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: probably lean to taking the points with Portland in this one,
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: But I don't know what's going on with why the
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: number dropped like that. Let me see, what are the
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: injuries that got going on here? Anthony Edwards is a
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: game time decision. He's got an illness, so I don't
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna let him rast going into the
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: All Star Break or not. So that's something you got
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: to pay attention to. Whether Edwards plays or not will
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: actually have an impact on the game. Of course, everything
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: else seems like it's not really a big deal as
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: far as the personnel in that game.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 2: Miami at New Orleans. First of all, this line.
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: Looks really ridiculous, like how could New Orleans to be
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: a favorite against the Heat, right, Well, the Heater are
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: bad on the road, They're below five hundred on the
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: road at least. But New Orleans having such a hideous record,
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: them being a favorite looks crazy.
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: In this game.
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: They're down from one and a half to one, sixty
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets and seventy nine percent of the
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: cash on the Heat, so they Heat looked like they're
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: getting the money, although I think you know they're gonna
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: be a public side too. Maybe the Heat will show
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: up here though, because they did lose to Utah on Monday,
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: which was a bad loss for Miami.
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 2: They were Miami was not a heavy favorite in that game.
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: I think they'd dropped to about a five and a
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: half point favorite when the game went off. I don't
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: know why they dropped like that because out of Bio
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: definitely still played in that game. I don't know if
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: Hero was in and then out of the lineup. I
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened in that game, but Miami was
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be like a nine point favorite and they wound
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: up going off five and a half either way. It
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: was a pretty bad home loss though to Utah. Now
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: they are playing a third game in four days, all
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: in different cities, though in a fourth game in six days,
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: all in different cities, which doesn't make it that easy.
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: And I don't know if they're really gonna have a
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: ton of attention here in this game against New Orleans,
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: but coming off home loss to Utah might make you
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: more focus than you normally would be. New Orleans were
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: turned over from a road trip in their last game
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: and they won anyway, and a blowout against Sacramento.
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: Now they're just staying at home off of that.
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know what we want to do with this game,
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: to be honest, man, I mean, it looks way too
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: easy to play Miami, although the situation, I mean, if
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get the better team and they're actually gonna
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: show up, which Miami is certainly the better team, and
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: they might show up because they had that loss to Utah,
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: I guess I might have to slightly lean to Miami
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 1: in this one, but I don't want.
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: Anything to do with it.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: It looks like Hero is still out until after the break.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if he actually even came back, man,
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: he did not, so he's still been out for a
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: long time. So they're gonna wait until after the All
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: Star break with him. We're gonna see what happens with
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: everything that's going on here, man.
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: But I guess I would still slightly lean to the
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: heat there though.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City at Phoenix, I just have one more play
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: in one of the later games here. It's not this one.
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City just upset the Lakers on the road.
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: Wasn't enough, No, it wasn't. What am I saying? That's
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: not an upset?
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? They beat the Lakers on the road.
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 1: I thought Oklahoma City would win and cover, and they
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: actually did. Oklahoma City, I think it was about a
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: seven point favorite in that game. It was a weird
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: game though, because it was no SGA for Okay C
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: and no Luca for La. Oklahoma City got the win.
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: Still a big win when you beat the Lakers, though,
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: Will they overlook Phoenix though?
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, they got Milwaukee tomorrow, but
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 2: that's not a big deal.
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 1: So Oklahoma City, I forgot. There's the other team playing
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: today that plays tomorrow.
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: I think.
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: So I guess there are four teams playing today that
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: play tomorrow, and they're playing each other in Milwaukee, Okay,
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: see Portland and Utah anyway. I don't think okay See
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: will be looking ahead to that though. It's just a
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: matter of are they gonna Are they gonna be in
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: a letdown off of beating the Lakers, And maybe they
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: won't be because the Suns have been a pretty good
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: team this year. Two, maybe the Suns will attract their attention.
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: The Suns are on a back to back, but they
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: had a kind of easy win yesterday against Dallas. Not
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: traveling anywhere, they're staying at home. They've been at home
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: for a long time, so the spot's not exactly bad
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: for the Suns.
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: Let's see, where's the game. The money is coming in
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: on the Suns. The Thunder up for six and a
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: half to seven and a half here, fifty four percent
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the Thunder. Sga is not playing in
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: this game, by the way. They're holding them out through
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: the All Star break here, which probably means he's not
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: gonna play in the All Star Game either, or even
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 1: though I'm sure he is named the All Star team
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: or whatever, he's probably gonna sit it out. Sixty percent
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on the Suns, I'll agree
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: with it.
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Suns in that game.
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: I think it's still there is that let down component
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: of Oklahoma City there. Phoenix has had a couple of
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: injuries to maybe be aware of too. Grayson Allen has
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 1: been out. He's gonna be out, I guess, and through
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: the All Star Break as well.
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: He is a gray Sun at this point. I mean
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: he's he's an old dude at this point. So I
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: don't know how big that really is for Phoenix. Sacramento
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: at Utah. So many NBA games today, man.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 2: Utah did play. Excuse me. Utah is playing tomorrow.
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: Sacramento is and Sacramento's on this awful losing street man.
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: They've lost thirteen games in a row. Things are not
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: going well for Sacramento.
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: I think Sibonis has been hurt. Levine I think has
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: been hurt. So we got to look and see who's
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: even playing for Sacramento here. Levine is out, Russell Westbrook
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: is out. Yeah, they're gonna be out through the All
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 1: Star break. Monk is out, Sabonis is out, Hunter dude,
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: like all the best players for the the Kings are out.
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 2: It's just crazy crazy.
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: How many other players are out right now. Through the
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: All Star breaks, So Sacramento is basically playing with nobody
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: in this game. They'll try to bounce back from an
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: absolute blowout loss, though, and Utah is coming off a
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: nice upset of Miami and they're returning home from a
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: road trip. So the spot is not good for Utah.
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 2: Utah has been on the road since February first, and
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 2: they're coming back.
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: Home from that and pulling off an upset at Miami
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: in the last game. And they play Portland tomorrow, and
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: Portland might draw more of your attention than Sacramento will.
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: Are you really gonna pay attention to this Sacramento team
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: with literally nobody in their lineup playing a bunch of
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: nobody's Sacramento. No, I think I have to lean to
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: Sacramento in this game.
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 2: Man. That's just yeah, the way that it is.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: Utah's returning on from a road trip, yeah, and Sacramento's
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: coming off all these blowout losses.
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 2: Here the return home spot.
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: You know what I always say, teams get distracted when
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: they return home from the road.
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 2: They just pulled off an upset in their last game.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's any way they're going to pay
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 1: attention to a Kings team with nobody in the lineup,
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Kings. We have
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: the Jazz down from seven to six here. I don't
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 1: think we're gonna see the key number seven here though.
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: Sixty six percent of tickets on the Jazz, fifty eight
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Kings. Money is coming
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: in on the Kings. I agree with the Kings. Oh actually,
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: this was my other play. Should it actually be a
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: play though, now that I know that Sacramento has nobody
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: in their lineup?
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: Hold on how many of these games?
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: How many of these guys played in the last game
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: for almost said, how many of these gays? Nope, that's
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: not what I was trying to say. How many of
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: these guys even played for the Kings in the last game.
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: None of them did.
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: Oh no, Westbrook did, but he only played twenty one minutes,
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: but the rest of the guys didn't. So the rest
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: of these guys were already out for Sacramento in that game.
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 2: So it's not a huge difference. Yeah, Like Murray, Sabonis, Monk, and.
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: Levigne all were out anyway for that game and they
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: got blown out. Fuck it, whoops, let's do it. Sacrimental
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: plus the points in this game. Maybe spreading myself a
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: thin tonight, man, but that's the way that it is.
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: We'll be on Sacramento plus the points in that one.
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: I know how ugly that one looks, but that's what
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do. Memphis at Denver. Memphis coming off of
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: a nice sup performance. So they fell just short at
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: Golden State, although it might have been Golden State without Curry,
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: but still, if you're this Memphis team, it's in rebuild mode.
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: You go into Golden State and you play competitively. Good
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: performance from Memphis. Man, Now they have to go into
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: Elevation and play Denver. Don't love how that sets up
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: for Memphis, although I guess they should at least show
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: up with some effort for Denver here, Denver's coming up
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: a more difficult game where they had Cleveland pretty much.
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: I think they had the game pretty much won against Cleveland,
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: and Cleveland came back and.
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 2: Won the game.
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 1: So the spot might be a little bit worse for
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: Denver maybe coming off of that, because that was a
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: big game for Denver. Both teams are in bad spots
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: in this one, so I want nothing to really do
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: with this one. The Nuggets are laying thirteen and a
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: half the seventy percent of tickets and eighty percent of
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. I don't know, man, this is
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: a game that I will completely stay away from. But
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: the money's saying to lay the points of the Nuggets.
• 1:57:11
  Speaker 2: I kind of.
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't even know. I don't even know
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: if I want to say I agree with that. I mean,
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: Memphis did almost pull off that upset. How big of
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: an upset would that have been at Golden State? Let
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: me see nine and a half? Yeah, that's pretty significant. Yeah,
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I'll agree and lean towards Denver
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: in that one, but I have no read on that.
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: And then the ten PM game on ESPN is San
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: Antonio at Golden State. Here we got to see who's
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: playing in this game. Golden State's had a lot of
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: injuries to look at. Curry is still out, he's not
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: coming back through the All Star breaks, so and of
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: course we know Butler's out for the season. So we
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: have those injuries to look at for the Golden State side,
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: which is part of the reason why the Spurs are
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: laying a ton of points here. The Spurs coming into
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: this one off a nice win on the road against
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: the Akers yesterday, and they pummeled the Lakers yesterday, So
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, having to travel up to
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: the Bay Area off a very satisfying blowout win over
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: the Lakers. I think Luca was still out of that
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: game though, let me make sure of that. Still, it's
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: a big deal when you beat the Lakers either way
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: though yeah, Luca did not play in that game. Still
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: a huge deal though, when you beat the Lakers like
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: that and you absolutely crushed them. So san Antonio might
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: not pay attention to this Golden State mash unit here
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, coming off that and Golden
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 1: State just almost lost to Memphis is big favorite. So
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: the only way that I could look at this game
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: is to look at Golden State.
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 2: In this one, the Spurs are off from five and
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 2: a half to eight.
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: I think because of the Warriors' injuries eighty per tickets
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash on the Spurs. I
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: could only grab the points of the Warriors in this one,
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: and I think if I was gonna play a game,
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 1: it might be that one.
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 2: Grabbing the points of the Warriors. But that's gonna do it. Man,
• 1:58:57
  Speaker 2: Finally show ending my plays today one.
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: More time college basketball Western Carolina minus the points, Georgia
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: plus the points, vm I plus the points, UAB plus
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: the points, NBA Atlanta plus the points, Washington plus the points,
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn minus the points, and Sacramento plus the points.
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 2: That's gonna be a real, real hideous one. Man.
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Learn it Tone on Twitter. You
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: can subscribe to me there too.
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 2: Learn it Tone on Instagram, like subscribe.
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: Give me good comments on the channel here on toadstool
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: Sports of course, listen on audio. Give me good reviews
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: on audio on Apple and Spotify. Gotta boost this thing up.
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: Covered in Yuca is my yuke channel on YouTube. You
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: can check that out Paedreon dot com, slash learned it
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 1: Tone if you wanna throw me some support to get
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: some bonus yuke stuff there.
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 1: I gotta get the other yuke stuff that I've done
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: recently up there.
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 2: Gonna do it.
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: Gotta update the YouTube once again as well with my
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: latest cover the Three Doors down at Tribute that I did.
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 2: Loser Cast. We had a new episode last night. You
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 2: go check out. I think it was a pretty funny episode.
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 2: You go check that.
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: Ou out my Loser of Choice this week was a
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: bit off the beaten path, though it was a recent
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: news story.
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 2: It was a dude who has not even been named I.
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: We're calling him French artillery shell butt plug guy is
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: my loser.
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 2: Of the week.
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: So you can go check out. If you don't know
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: what I'm talking about, go watch the episode.
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it.
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: I'll be back tomorrow, which it'll be a much lighter
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 1: board tomorrow. We see there's not much NBA going on,
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 1: there's no NHL and it's the junk college basketball board
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: on Thursday with the small conferences being played. But that's
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Some big games tonight. Hopefully we can
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: get some wins tonight too. We have a lot of
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: plays tonight. Peace for now, man,