Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Full Episode - Hegseth’s Purges At The Pentagon Are A Five-Alarm Fire + Will The Progressives Or The Center-Left Define The Democrats?
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- 1:35Speaker 1: so use that code. Hello there, welcome to another episode
- 1:41Speaker 1: of the Chuck Podcast. A little programming note, this is
- 1:44Speaker 1: of course our Thursday episode, and you know our rhythm
- 1:47Speaker 1: here Mondays, Wednesdays, Thursdays, three podcasts a week. Well for summer,
- 1:53Speaker 1: for essentially the months of July and August, I'm gonna
- 1:58Speaker 1: go down to updating two days a week. Mondays and
- 2:01Speaker 1: Thursdays will be my two drops. Look, there's still going
- 2:05Speaker 1: to be my weekly conversation with Crystaliza that appears in
- 2:09Speaker 1: Chrystaliza's podcast, but we have some big news about that
- 2:12Speaker 1: that's coming up soon, So that's still going to be
- 2:16Speaker 1: happening weekly throughout the rest of the summer and I'll
- 2:20Speaker 1: quickly go back to three days a week at the
- 2:23Speaker 1: end of August early September, but a little bit of Frankly,
- 2:27Speaker 1: you know, there's only so many people who will you
- 2:33Speaker 1: can find who are willing to be booked in the
- 2:35Speaker 1: middle of the summer sometimes, so you know, figure it
- 2:39Speaker 1: gives you, gives everybody a little bit of time to
- 2:42Speaker 1: catch up, maybe do what I like to do, a
- 2:45Speaker 1: little bit of which is read I feel like. And
- 2:50Speaker 1: sometimes I've been so focused on the content side of things,
- 2:56Speaker 1: whether it's Chuck todcast, new sphere, dynastic, that just having
- 3:03Speaker 1: one extra day just to essentially ingest is always helpful.
- 3:10Speaker 1: In summer is a wonderful time to do that. LUs
- 3:12Speaker 1: you know, a little confession. It gives me a little
- 3:14Speaker 1: extra time with the fam. But look, it's not like
- 3:20Speaker 1: things are going to be that slow this summer. One
- 3:22Speaker 1: thing we've all learned in the Trump era, you never know,
- 3:25Speaker 1: there's never really a slow news month, news week, or
- 3:29Speaker 1: news day. It is all about not scheduling your life
- 3:36Speaker 1: around the news, but essentially just scheduling this in a
- 3:42Speaker 1: in an easier to digest format. So with that said,
- 3:46Speaker 1: I know why you're here. You're here to understand what
- 3:49Speaker 1: the hell is going on politically? Where are we going?
- 3:52Speaker 1: We've had about forty eight hours to digest what is
- 3:55Speaker 1: a what I'm going to call a mild earthquake political earthquake.
- 3:58Speaker 1: I say mild political earthquake because it's not clear how
- 4:03Speaker 1: big this is going to be Mom Donnie's success. I mean,
- 4:09Speaker 1: you know, I've been sitting on this, obviously for twenty
- 4:11Speaker 1: four hours, and I think a lot of political commentators,
- 4:15Speaker 1: you know, have a bad habit. And I tried to
- 4:16Speaker 1: say this last night, let's is this the beginning of
- 4:19Speaker 1: a left wing tea party or is what happens in
- 4:23Speaker 1: New York going to stay in New York? And look
- 4:27Speaker 1: the extra twenty four hours, I have accumulated more evidence
- 4:30Speaker 1: that says this stays in New York. And I've accumulated
- 4:33Speaker 1: more evidence that indicates there's certainly going to be a
- 4:36Speaker 1: pretty a pretty big fight in the Democratic Party essentially
- 4:43Speaker 1: for the soul of the party in twenty seven and
- 4:45Speaker 1: twenty eight, between at least two factions and possibly three factions.
- 4:52Speaker 1: And we'll get to that also a little bit. And
- 4:58Speaker 1: I want to talk specifically first about the evidence that
- 5:02Speaker 1: indicates this this is every chance of being a very
- 5:07Speaker 1: New York City phenomenon and it may not go anywhere else.
- 5:12Speaker 1: And why do I say that, Well, there's been some
- 5:15Speaker 1: digging in, particularly the the the race with Esplot and
- 5:20Speaker 1: Chevrolet Chevalier, who is quickly going to become I think,
- 5:27Speaker 1: the the face of the mam Danni congressional movement, if
- 5:32Speaker 1: you will. What was interesting is Espaalot seemed to do
- 5:36Speaker 1: better in precincts that had more African American and Latino voters,
- 5:42Speaker 1: and Chevalier did better in the precincts that had that
- 5:46Speaker 1: were less diverse, that had the younger, whiter voters. So
- 5:51Speaker 1: it is a very frankly similar thing that we saw
- 5:56Speaker 1: that we've seen in previous primaries, where the progressive where
- 6:01Speaker 1: sort of the stereotype of who's the Democratic Party, The
- 6:06Speaker 1: more diverse parts of the electorate are more moderate or
- 6:10Speaker 1: more sort of sticking with the establishment wing of the party,
- 6:15Speaker 1: and it is younger and whiter progressives that are powering
- 6:21Speaker 1: this movement, particularly in New York City. One other thing
- 6:25Speaker 1: that's worth noting there's been some analysis that sort of
- 6:28Speaker 1: overlaid Mamdani versus Cuomo's performance on last night and essentially
- 6:35Speaker 1: the three congressional districts. I mean, Mamdani was very smart
- 6:38Speaker 1: about where he spent his political capital and where he didn't. Right,
- 6:45Speaker 1: you know, he didn't endorse in every congressional race that
- 6:47Speaker 1: was taking place in New York City, but the three
- 6:49Speaker 1: he picked were parts of the parts of New York
- 6:52Speaker 1: City he did best. So it was It's an important
- 6:58Speaker 1: point to note because it's not as if Mom Donnie
- 7:01Speaker 1: has expanded his base or that the Democratic Socialists have
- 7:06Speaker 1: expanded their influence in New York City. It's you know,
- 7:13Speaker 1: they've it's it's sort of they've concentrated on where they're already,
- 7:18Speaker 1: where they already had the numbers, and they already have
- 7:20Speaker 1: the ability to win. So in that sense, he's being
- 7:23Speaker 1: very shrewd obviously about what he's picking. He's not over
- 7:26Speaker 1: extending himself. He's not wish casting there there there, He's
- 7:31Speaker 1: he's being very strategic but where he's going. And so look, look,
- 7:35Speaker 1: winning begets momentum and you can go from there. But
- 7:39Speaker 1: it is important to note there isn't. This is because
- 7:42Speaker 1: the question is are there more people that are suddenly
- 7:47Speaker 1: open to socialism? And I don't think that's the case
- 7:50Speaker 1: at least that's I think a second day reading of
- 7:55Speaker 1: this indicates that. But so I think that that's one
- 8:00Speaker 1: big sort of piece of information that I've absorbed over
- 8:05Speaker 1: the last twenty four hours that at least puts me
- 8:08Speaker 1: in the look this is going to be a faction
- 8:11Speaker 1: of the party. The question is is it going to spread?
- 8:14Speaker 1: Is it going to go beyond here? Now, when you
- 8:17Speaker 1: go back to circa twenty ten, twenty eleven, twenty twelve,
- 8:20Speaker 1: twenty thirteen, sort of when the Tea Party movement was
- 8:26Speaker 1: getting more and more traction inside the Republican Party, there
- 8:30Speaker 1: were plenty of establishment Republicans who were saying, ah, this
- 8:33Speaker 1: is just a small faction of the party. Yes, there
- 8:35Speaker 1: are certain places that you're going to see that faction
- 8:38Speaker 1: overperform in Idaho and Wyoming and parts of Texas, but
- 8:43Speaker 1: this isn't going to spread more than that. Of course,
- 8:48Speaker 1: that turned out to be. It turned out to me
- 8:50Speaker 1: not true. And you know, the Maga coalition that began
- 8:55Speaker 1: with the Tea Party movement, it's still in some ways
- 8:58Speaker 1: a minority faction even of the Republican Party, but it
- 9:03Speaker 1: is in charge of the Republican Party. And I think
- 9:05Speaker 1: that that's the open question here and my guest today
- 9:07Speaker 1: Matt Bennett of Third Way, who sort of you could say,
- 9:11Speaker 1: is the in this, in this particular conversation that I
- 9:14Speaker 1: have with him, essentially the spokesperson for the establishment wing
- 9:17Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party. And you know, this is where
- 9:24Speaker 1: I think that you know, we we get animated about this.
- 9:27Speaker 1: You know, is this left wing tea party? Are you
- 9:30Speaker 1: whistling past graveguard? Because one of the arguments he makes is, oh,
- 9:33Speaker 1: I think this, I think this can be contained. Well,
- 9:38Speaker 1: you know, John Bayner thought that the Freedom Caucus could
- 9:41Speaker 1: be contained, and you know, let's see what happens when
- 9:45Speaker 1: you start governing. But still, I do want to also
- 9:55Speaker 1: make one more point that I kind of made yesterday,
- 9:57Speaker 1: but I want to reinforce it, and that is sort
- 9:58Speaker 1: of got traction. In twenty twenty five, in Mamdani's victory,
- 10:04Speaker 1: it was clear it was his focus on affordability that
- 10:08Speaker 1: truly was galvanizing. It did allow him to build a
- 10:13Speaker 1: very large coalition and it is why he won. As
- 10:17Speaker 1: much as it continues to be he wants to always
- 10:21Speaker 1: be seen that he has focused on these issues. He
- 10:23Speaker 1: certainly tries to lead with him. That was not the
- 10:27Speaker 1: case with these congressional races. Okay, this was not about affordability.
- 10:32Speaker 1: These weren't campaigns that were run on affordability, because affordability
- 10:37Speaker 1: doesn't explain how the actions of a small country halfway
- 10:40Speaker 1: around the world became one of the defining organizing principles
- 10:45Speaker 1: for a political movement here at home. And it doesn't
- 10:48Speaker 1: explain why Israel has become, for some on the American left,
- 10:51Speaker 1: a litmus test of belonging. And that's where I want
- 10:55Speaker 1: to get to here for a few minutes, because that's
- 10:58Speaker 1: something I've been personally wrestling with, something bigger than just
- 11:02Speaker 1: one set of results from a primary net. As you
- 11:07Speaker 1: know you've been following this. This week, I had a
- 11:09Speaker 1: terrific conversation with the Mary of Oklahoma City, David Hold
- 11:12Speaker 1: on pluralism. I've been spending a lot of time over
- 11:14Speaker 1: the last few months talking about pluralism because frankly, I
- 11:17Speaker 1: think I think essentially the Mega movement has no idea
- 11:23Speaker 1: what it means and doesn't care about it. And I'm
- 11:25Speaker 1: increasingly believing that the progressive left does not accept the
- 11:29Speaker 1: premise of pluralism either, which is going to just have
- 11:35Speaker 1: me talking more and more about it, right because Pluralism
- 11:40Speaker 1: isn't about agreement. It's the exact opposite. It's about accepting
- 11:45Speaker 1: that people with different histories, religions, identities, and worldviews all
- 11:51Speaker 1: belong in the same democracy. This is the fucking American experiment, people, Okay,
- 11:58Speaker 1: this is what makes us different. It's this all right, America,
- 12:04Speaker 1: and the American democracy hasn't lasted for two hundred and
- 12:07Speaker 1: fifty years because we agreed. America's worked because generation after
- 12:12Speaker 1: generation accepted the premise that we had to figure out
- 12:16Speaker 1: how to live with people that we profoundly disagreed with.
- 12:20Speaker 1: It's been the genius of this experiment. And it's also
- 12:24Speaker 1: why absolutism, whether it's on the left or the right,
- 12:28Speaker 1: has made a lot of folks nervous, including myself, because
- 12:33Speaker 1: once every issue becomes a morality based litmus test, disagreement
- 12:40Speaker 1: stops being something to debate and it becomes something to punish.
- 12:47Speaker 1: As you know, I don't spend I've never been comfortable
- 12:54Speaker 1: publicly saying, you know, here is my religious identity, but
- 13:00Speaker 1: because I don't think, you know, because it you know,
- 13:03Speaker 1: for a long time in this in this world of
- 13:06Speaker 1: political analysis, I traded really hard to be as opaque
- 13:11Speaker 1: as possible about some of my personal politics, my identities,
- 13:16Speaker 1: the political identity identities of my parents and of my
- 13:20Speaker 1: spouse and all this stuff, because all of that can
- 13:23Speaker 1: color analysis, and I didn't want it to. I wanted
- 13:26Speaker 1: my analysis to speak for itself. I wanted as as
- 13:30Speaker 1: few filters as possible. Look, this is not the world
- 13:33Speaker 1: we live in, and there's no doubt there is, you know,
- 13:35Speaker 1: every there are political hacks, left wing political hacks, and
- 13:39Speaker 1: right wing political hacks that have consistently wanted to politicize
- 13:44Speaker 1: members of the press, politicize those people like myself dinner
- 13:48Speaker 1: in this space. And so they've they've you know, wanted
- 13:52Speaker 1: to force this and you're like, okay, and I'm happy
- 13:55Speaker 1: to discuss it. Right. So I'm Jewish and I've you know,
- 13:58Speaker 1: not hidden from it, but it's not something I've intended
- 14:01Speaker 1: to wear on my sleeve because I you know, as
- 14:07Speaker 1: I've I've shared this with others. I was raised a
- 14:09Speaker 1: quiet Jew. I was in a mixed family, and one
- 14:14Speaker 1: side of my family was Jewish and another side of
- 14:16Speaker 1: my family was not. And there were many members of
- 14:19Speaker 1: my non Jewish side of the family. They didn't know
- 14:22Speaker 1: a lot about Judaism, or Jews, and my mother might
- 14:25Speaker 1: have been among the first Jews they had ever met,
- 14:29Speaker 1: so there was always a little bit of eggshell walking,
- 14:33Speaker 1: you know. And my I was basically raised to, hey,
- 14:37Speaker 1: walk around eggshells on religion a little bit. Be careful,
- 14:41Speaker 1: don't you know. It's not something to be done in public.
- 14:44Speaker 1: I joke all the time. I was raised with that
- 14:46Speaker 1: advice that parents gave a lot in the fifties, sixties
- 14:50Speaker 1: and seventies that said, hey, you know, the two things
- 14:52Speaker 1: you don't talk about in public are politics and religion.
- 14:58Speaker 1: That is, shall we say, that's a very a Methodist
- 15:00Speaker 1: way of thinking sometimes on that front. My father was
- 15:04Speaker 1: raised a Methodist, which his joke was it just meant
- 15:08Speaker 1: we agreed we believed in God when you want to
- 15:10Speaker 1: talk about anything else, the type of thing. But I'm
- 15:14Speaker 1: saying this because I'm not going to sit here and
- 15:17Speaker 1: pretend I experienced Tuesday simply watching through the through the
- 15:22Speaker 1: lens of a political analyst. It was hard not to
- 15:27Speaker 1: experience it personally. And over the last twenty four hours,
- 15:34Speaker 1: I've heard from enough family and friends who are Jewish
- 15:37Speaker 1: to know that I'm not alone and feeling just unsettled
- 15:41Speaker 1: and It's not because anti Semitism suddenly appeared on Tuesday. Please,
- 15:45Speaker 1: I know it's existed for a long time. But it's
- 15:48Speaker 1: that many Jews woke up asking themselves a different question,
- 15:52Speaker 1: particularly many Jews in New York City. How much larger
- 15:55Speaker 1: is this? And is this much larger than I thought?
- 15:59Speaker 1: And that's a differ. It's the feeling that many Americans
- 16:03Speaker 1: have had at different moments over the last decade. In particular,
- 16:08Speaker 1: the moment when you realize an idea you considered to
- 16:11Speaker 1: be on the fringe may have more political support than
- 16:14Speaker 1: you believe, and you start to like, you know, it's
- 16:16Speaker 1: like you move your eyes, you shift your right, start
- 16:18Speaker 1: looking around wondering, You look at people differently. I know
- 16:22Speaker 1: there's some you know, I know Gay Americans have had
- 16:26Speaker 1: moments like this over the last decade. Latino Americans have
- 16:30Speaker 1: had moments like this. African Americans. You know, I'm not
- 16:36Speaker 1: going to sit here and pretend the Jews are the
- 16:37Speaker 1: only marginalized group. Trust me. In some ways, I feel
- 16:40Speaker 1: like we're the only the Jews are the only marginalized
- 16:43Speaker 1: group that is not fully embraced sometimes on the victim
- 16:48Speaker 1: side of things. But whether you're right or wrong about
- 16:54Speaker 1: the magnitude. The feeling itself does change how you see
- 16:58Speaker 1: your country, and that's why I don't think Democrats should
- 17:01Speaker 1: dismiss what happened in New York as just another primary
- 17:05Speaker 1: that just took place in one city. You know, Republicans
- 17:10Speaker 1: spent fifteen years watching a faction become the center of
- 17:13Speaker 1: gravity inside their party, and at first each election looked
- 17:17Speaker 1: like an isolated event, and eventually it became clear that
- 17:21Speaker 1: it wasn't. And I'm not saying that's what's happening to
- 17:24Speaker 1: the Democrats just yet. I think there's a few things,
- 17:29Speaker 1: and Matt Bennett and I get into it sort of,
- 17:31Speaker 1: there's a few ways this could be different for the
- 17:34Speaker 1: Democrats than it was for the Republicans as they dealt
- 17:37Speaker 1: with Trump and Mega. I'm just simply saying it's a
- 17:41Speaker 1: question Democrats have to ask themselves. Is this one city's
- 17:45Speaker 1: moment or is this the beginning of a broader ideological realignment,
- 17:50Speaker 1: because at the future of either political party depends less
- 17:53Speaker 1: on persuading people and accepting the premise of pluralism that
- 17:58Speaker 1: you're just looking to build a coalition of people that
- 18:02Speaker 1: you agree with sixty percent of the time. Right, then
- 18:05Speaker 1: on deciding who no longer gets to belong in your party,
- 18:09Speaker 1: then we're moving away from pluralism. We're moving away from
- 18:12Speaker 1: something that exists everywhere else on this earth, but not
- 18:15Speaker 1: here in America. And once pluralism starts to disappear in
- 18:19Speaker 1: this country, democracy will be incredibly hard to sustain here.
- 18:26Speaker 1: And that's you know, there is a sense that the
- 18:30Speaker 1: DSA right, they want to take over the Democratic Party
- 18:34Speaker 1: and they're going to decide who gets to belong and
- 18:37Speaker 1: if you disagree on the issue of Israel, you don't belong. Right.
- 18:42Speaker 1: It's like Donald Trump if you cannot look at what
- 18:45Speaker 1: he did to Derek Dooley, right, if you don't accept
- 18:48Speaker 1: his reality about twenty twenty versus the actual reality about
- 18:51Speaker 1: twenty twenty, you don't belong in that movement. You get
- 18:55Speaker 1: purged from that movement. And if you really look carefully
- 19:00Speaker 1: with him, right, that's that's who he reserves his harshest
- 19:06Speaker 1: treatment for. Are the people that will not humor him
- 19:10Speaker 1: on the big lie of twenty twenty. And that's what's
- 19:15Speaker 1: dangerous here is that you have two factions now who
- 19:20Speaker 1: are are not only interested in taking over parties right
- 19:25Speaker 1: Mega on the Republican side the DSA. He essentially wented
- 19:29Speaker 1: to infiltrate the Democratic Party and take it, take it over.
- 19:35Speaker 1: But they're you know, political, the two political parties you know,
- 19:38Speaker 1: used to be looking for more people to join. And
- 19:42Speaker 1: in this case, you've got two factions that are on
- 19:45Speaker 1: the march, that are filled with litmus tests and purity tests,
- 19:51Speaker 1: and anybody that doesn't fit a certain that doesn't check
- 19:56Speaker 1: certain boxes is out. This episode of the Chuck Toddcast
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- 22:25Speaker 1: is I think especially problematic for the Democrats, but it's
- 22:29Speaker 1: potentially problematic for the Republicans. And you could argue over
- 22:32Speaker 1: the last one hundred years both parties have traded places
- 22:36Speaker 1: of when you know, one party's had the bigger base
- 22:40Speaker 1: and needed fewer swing voters and the other party has
- 22:42Speaker 1: had the small you know, smaller base, and this goes
- 22:45Speaker 1: back and forth. Right, Republicans didn't have a big enough
- 22:49Speaker 1: base to sustain majorities in Congress, so they were the
- 22:53Speaker 1: party that tried to tack towards the center over the
- 22:57Speaker 1: last twenty five is basically since since the debacle of
- 23:03Speaker 1: seventy two, the McGovern revolution inside the party where they
- 23:07Speaker 1: went through this essentially a near twenty year drought of
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- 23:43Speaker 1: going to essentially create a similar discomfort for that same
- 23:48Speaker 1: set of voters about the Democratic Party. And then there's
- 23:54Speaker 1: a sense of this either party even want the support
- 24:00Speaker 1: these mushy voters in the middle. Now they need it
- 24:04Speaker 1: in order to attain power, But how much do they
- 24:06Speaker 1: want this support? How much does that compromise worth? So, look,
- 24:13Speaker 1: I think that's the question you got to sit with here.
- 24:17Speaker 1: Do we now have two political parties who are moving
- 24:20Speaker 1: away from pluralism, moving away from the core premise of
- 24:25Speaker 1: what the American experiment was supposed to be. And I
- 24:27Speaker 1: know I sound like you know, old guy political science y,
- 24:30Speaker 1: you know, historian type trying to you. It's like, you know,
- 24:34Speaker 1: it's it's it's frustrating to watch something you know that
- 24:41Speaker 1: isn't going to work. And then when it's when it ends,
- 24:44Speaker 1: it's going to end, it's going to be as spectacular
- 24:47Speaker 1: and I don't say that as a positive word disaster.
- 24:52Speaker 1: And the question is what pieces are going to be
- 24:54Speaker 1: left to pick up? How many people have to get
- 24:56Speaker 1: hurt in the process before you know, basically the two
- 25:00Speaker 1: parties sober up, And I'm I'm not sure of that.
- 25:09Speaker 1: But I want to touch on a couple other things
- 25:11Speaker 1: on this one is I think the real test of
- 25:18Speaker 1: whether the progressive left does have you know, is on
- 25:22Speaker 1: the march, does have the momentum here is going to
- 25:26Speaker 1: The next big test is Michigan. And I'll do I'll
- 25:28Speaker 1: say yet, right, if he wins that primary and not
- 25:30Speaker 1: just wins the primary, but wins the general election, I
- 25:33Speaker 1: think you know those that are I sort of did
- 25:38Speaker 1: it myself right a little bit last night. But I
- 25:42Speaker 1: think when you look at what the Democratic presidential primary,
- 25:50Speaker 1: you know where the sort of energy of the presidential
- 25:52Speaker 1: primary would be. The left is going to feel very
- 25:56Speaker 1: emboldened and you will see a lot of presidential candidates
- 25:59Speaker 1: attack further to the left. If Platner and all Duel
- 26:04Speaker 1: Sayet are part are both win and it leads to
- 26:09Speaker 1: a Democratic majority, because if that happens, it erases the
- 26:14Speaker 1: best talking point the establishment has over the progressives, which is, hey,
- 26:18Speaker 1: you can't win in swing states and you're gonna have
- 26:23Speaker 1: a hard time knocking off incumbents. Now, the progressive movement
- 26:27Speaker 1: also has a lot on the line with Graham Platner
- 26:29Speaker 1: and Abduel Sayet. If Democrats come up short and don't
- 26:32Speaker 1: win the Senate like the Tea Party did to the
- 26:35Speaker 1: Republicans in twenty ten and in twenty twelve, two times
- 26:40Speaker 1: where they had the numbers were on the Republican side
- 26:44Speaker 1: to be able to pick up the Senate and they
- 26:45Speaker 1: came up short. It was Tea Party nominees that were
- 26:48Speaker 1: simply too extreme for those voters, and it cost them
- 26:53Speaker 1: some Senate seats that it never should have cost the Republicans.
- 26:58Speaker 1: That's the risk that the progress have here without abdulah
- 27:01Speaker 1: Siat and Gham Plattner, right, if they both lose, well,
- 27:04Speaker 1: then that becomes sort of a different way things are absorbed.
- 27:08Speaker 1: So I put all that out there to just remind
- 27:11Speaker 1: folks we've got a lot, We've got a lot of
- 27:14Speaker 1: elections we haven't held yet in this midterm. That will,
- 27:18Speaker 1: I think paint the fuller picture. And as Matt Bennett
- 27:21Speaker 1: may point he made to me, he said, Hey, early
- 27:24Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, there was the same AOC defeats Joe Crawley. Hey,
- 27:28Speaker 1: look this is a rise at the left. By the
- 27:29Speaker 1: time you get to November, the story is about, Hey,
- 27:32Speaker 1: look at all these center left candidates that won in
- 27:34Speaker 1: red districts. Right, you're Abigail Spamberger Slotkins, you're Mikey Sheryl's.
- 27:39Speaker 1: So that is probably the best advice here if you're
- 27:45Speaker 1: trying to figure out what does Tuesday mean. In short,
- 27:50Speaker 1: Mamdani is smart and is an incredibly impressive leader of
- 27:56Speaker 1: the Democratic Socialist movement. He's careful about he knows how
- 28:02Speaker 1: to pick his spots. He went all in in three
- 28:06Speaker 1: congressional races where he knew his political capital was already
- 28:12Speaker 1: worth the most. He didn't test his political capital, for instance,
- 28:17Speaker 1: in the Upper West slash East Side seat there that
- 28:21Speaker 1: last year one the one that became all about AI,
- 28:26Speaker 1: the race that that was that many Washington d C.
- 28:30Speaker 1: Folks wanted to make about George Conway and Jack Slashburg.
- 28:33Speaker 1: The voters themselves, of course, weren't that interested in that.
- 28:38Speaker 1: It says a lot that Mom Donnie chose not to
- 28:40Speaker 1: get involved in that one and didn't try to recruit
- 28:43Speaker 1: and find a candidate there.
- 28:44Speaker 2: So.
- 28:47Speaker 1: You know it is I will say this, I think
- 28:50Speaker 1: that I've been I was extremely disappointed in how he
- 28:55Speaker 1: reacted to what happened to Dan Goldman and at the
- 28:58Speaker 1: coffee shop, and I do think how he handles this
- 29:06Speaker 1: growing anti Semitic rhetoric that is happening with some of
- 29:12Speaker 1: his supporters. Right This is the uncomfortable question that I
- 29:18Speaker 1: remember Andrew Gillen once asked Ron De Santis. But I
- 29:20Speaker 1: think the same question can be asked to both parties.
- 29:23Speaker 1: I'm not saying you're a racist, was the famous Andrew
- 29:25Speaker 1: Gillim debate quote to R. I'm just saying racists think
- 29:29Speaker 1: you're a racist. That you know. And I don't think
- 29:34Speaker 1: every Democratic Socialist is an anti semi, but they seem
- 29:39Speaker 1: to be comfortable if there are anti Semites in their
- 29:42Speaker 1: mist just like the MAGA movement seems to be not
- 29:46Speaker 1: interested in purging itself of racist elements inside the movement.
- 29:52Speaker 1: And that's where this is where I get back to pluralism.
- 29:59Speaker 1: The Republican Party, he chose not to fight MEGA, they
- 30:03Speaker 1: tried to co opt it, and instead MEGA co opted it.
- 30:06Speaker 1: The Democratic Party's instinct is not going to be to
- 30:08Speaker 1: fight the socialists. It is going to be to try
- 30:11Speaker 1: to bring them in and co opt them. You sort
- 30:13Speaker 1: of heard Corey book. All I would say is good
- 30:17Speaker 1: luck that didn't work out well there. It doesn't usually
- 30:22Speaker 1: because I will I think that the DSA is more organized,
- 30:25Speaker 1: at least in New York they are, and I think
- 30:28Speaker 1: you'll see in the same way. You know, MAGA was
- 30:31Speaker 1: powered by the Ron Paul movement from twenty twelve because
- 30:34Speaker 1: Ron Paul was sort of the DSA of the right,
- 30:38Speaker 1: meaning Ron Paul was the organized one. Ron Paul's forces
- 30:42Speaker 1: are the ones that took over the State Party, and
- 30:44Speaker 1: they basically got absorbed by the MEGA movement and they
- 30:48Speaker 1: quickly left the Paul's and went to Trump. I've had
- 30:52Speaker 1: this conversation with Rand Paul and he, I mean he
- 30:55Speaker 1: saw it himself. He had a big chunk of support.
- 30:58Speaker 1: Trump comes in literally first one that to lose all
- 31:00Speaker 1: of his support in that Republican primary in twenty fifteen
- 31:04Speaker 1: was ran Paul. And the thing about that is the establishment, didn't.
- 31:12Speaker 1: I remember Ben Ginsberg telling me this back in twenty
- 31:15Speaker 1: twelve how alarmed he was after Romney had basically already
- 31:19Speaker 1: won the nomination, they had to make sure they elected
- 31:22Speaker 1: Romney delegates and all of these different state parties, and
- 31:26Speaker 1: he was telling me these stories about these Paul folks
- 31:30Speaker 1: were basically had out organized the establishment wings of these
- 31:35Speaker 1: state Republican parties and had basically orchestrated where they ran
- 31:40Speaker 1: as Romney delegates, and the Romney folks were trying to
- 31:43Speaker 1: prevent them from being delegates, but basically they were trying
- 31:45Speaker 1: to embed themselves into the inner workings of the Republican parties,
- 31:50Speaker 1: onto the state central committees and things like this. And
- 31:54Speaker 1: so by the time Trump comes along in fifteen and sixteen,
- 32:00Speaker 1: he already he already has an infrastructure within the establishment
- 32:05Speaker 1: in sort of the the grassroots mechanics of the Republican Party. Well,
- 32:10Speaker 1: that's what Bernie's been doing. And in some ways between
- 32:14Speaker 1: the DSA, which had its own organization on the outside,
- 32:17Speaker 1: and what Bernie had been doing he's got the sort
- 32:20Speaker 1: of grassroots mechanics on the left. So and if you
- 32:27Speaker 1: have a movement that really doesn't embrace pluralism, you can
- 32:32Speaker 1: see how quickly this becomes a purification test what we've
- 32:36Speaker 1: seen on the right. You either get co opted, you know,
- 32:40Speaker 1: you either acquiesce or you become Liz Cheney and John
- 32:48Speaker 1: You sort of end up where Liz Cheney, John Kasik,
- 32:50Speaker 1: Bob Gorker are Jeff Flake. And perhaps that turns into
- 32:56Speaker 1: a fledgling third party and independent movement. We'll see, and
- 33:00Speaker 1: we're going to get to that in a few minutes,
- 33:04Speaker 1: but I think that's right now. This is we're in
- 33:08Speaker 1: the middle of the chapter on twenty twenty six, and
- 33:12Speaker 1: at the moment it looks like the less on the March.
- 33:16Speaker 1: Let's finish the chapter. Let's see what happens in Michigan.
- 33:19Speaker 1: Let's see what happens in November in both Michigan in Maine,
- 33:23Speaker 1: and then we can finish this story. Quick little note
- 33:28Speaker 1: on Donald Trump in his meeting with Senate Republicans, talk
- 33:36Speaker 1: about a wasted political opportunity for Donald Trump and the
- 33:40Speaker 1: Republican Party. Here's a party that has just had an
- 33:44Speaker 1: near impossible time, even though they have the majorities in
- 33:47Speaker 1: both the House and the Senate, they don't seem to
- 33:49Speaker 1: get anything done beyond their tax cuts. Right. That was
- 33:51Speaker 1: sort of the hallmark of the first term, and it
- 33:54Speaker 1: was looking like the hallmark of this one. And lo
- 33:57Speaker 1: and behold there's this bipartisan housing bill, and you know
- 34:02Speaker 1: it is. It is a bill that frankly, probably should
- 34:05Speaker 1: have been a past five years ago, ten years ago,
- 34:08Speaker 1: but it finally is. It's sort of like that infrastructure
- 34:10Speaker 1: bill that Biden finally got passed. You know, it was
- 34:13Speaker 1: a bill that should have been passed ten years earlier.
- 34:17Speaker 1: But we know Trump just completely failed at sort of
- 34:21Speaker 1: politicking there in that first term, and that's why we
- 34:23Speaker 1: didn't get it. So here we are, and the opportunity
- 34:27Speaker 1: Donald Trump and the Republican Party had on Wednesday morning
- 34:30Speaker 1: to be able to show them caring about affordability signing
- 34:35Speaker 1: this housing bill, Republicans were getting ready to take credit.
- 34:38Speaker 1: He could have done a little bit of dancing on
- 34:42Speaker 1: the socialist you know victory, you know, dancing on the
- 34:45Speaker 1: Democrats grave by promoting the socialist victories in New York.
- 34:48Speaker 1: And I think a lot of Republicans at Capitol Hill
- 34:52Speaker 1: woke up on Wednesday morning thinking, hey, this is going
- 34:54Speaker 1: to be a good day for them politically, and what
- 34:56Speaker 1: does Trump do. He shows up to their lunch and
- 34:59Speaker 1: he turned it into a Festivus meeting. I got a
- 35:02Speaker 1: lot of problems with you people, and he does the
- 35:06Speaker 1: airing of grievances. I mean, I had to check the calendar.
- 35:09Speaker 1: It's June twenty fourth. It's not December twenty third that
- 35:13Speaker 1: he chose to air his grievances. So I guess we will.
- 35:16Speaker 1: We will call June twenty fourth Trump Festivus Day because
- 35:21Speaker 1: he decided to go into that meeting and just talk
- 35:23Speaker 1: about all of his problems. And then Bill Cassidy admitted
- 35:27Speaker 1: he got his own Irish up and the two of
- 35:28Speaker 1: them apparently had a screaming match about the Iran MoU.
- 35:33Speaker 1: But apparently this lunch did nothing right. There was no
- 35:37Speaker 1: meaningful back and forth according to Thune, about the filipbuster
- 35:40Speaker 1: about the Save of It was just Trump ranting, and
- 35:43Speaker 1: he decided not to do the signing ceremony in the
- 35:45Speaker 1: housing bill, saying until he gets the Save America Act.
- 35:48Speaker 1: The irony to this housing bill is it's got a
- 35:50Speaker 1: veto proof majorities, meaning if he vetos it, it could
- 35:53Speaker 1: get overridden, or if he doesn't do anything, it will
- 35:57Speaker 1: just become law in ten days. And maybe that's what
- 36:00Speaker 1: he's going to do. But what a just dumb political
- 36:05Speaker 1: move for his own party, right, And this tells you
- 36:09Speaker 1: it sort of almost reinforces this point that I'm trying
- 36:12Speaker 1: to make here is the leading movement inside the Republican
- 36:17Speaker 1: Party is not interested in pluralism and is not interested
- 36:21Speaker 1: in setting up the Republican Party for success if it
- 36:25Speaker 1: is not a Trump success. And this is not what
- 36:27Speaker 1: Trump wants. He thinks that's all a failure. He is
- 36:31Speaker 1: not a party leader. He is just out for himself politically.
- 36:36Speaker 1: We know, financially, I mean, you know, I don't know.
- 36:39Speaker 1: I don't know if you need me to tell you
- 36:41Speaker 1: that Donald Trump's out for himself. I think he makes
- 36:43Speaker 1: it pretty obvious, and sometimes he says it out loud.
- 36:49Speaker 1: But if you're a Republican who cares about the Republican
- 36:53Speaker 1: Party having a future beyond Donald Trump, just like he
- 36:57Speaker 1: did in his twenty twenty temper tantrum that essentially handed
- 37:01Speaker 1: control of the United States Senate to the Democrats because
- 37:03Speaker 1: of those Georgia runoffs where he does a rally for them,
- 37:07Speaker 1: and he essentially says, I don't care if they lose.
- 37:12Speaker 1: He's now doing the same thing right now. I mean
- 37:14Speaker 1: he is trying. He essentially did it. Looks it's it's
- 37:19Speaker 1: one day and Donald Trump's stepping on his own. You
- 37:22Speaker 1: know what on a given day politically is It's not news.
- 37:25Speaker 1: It's just a Wednesday. But my word, just a total
- 37:33Speaker 1: debacle for congressional Republicans. And it's like, you know, I
- 37:38Speaker 1: don't if the Democrats only get narrow, you know, narrow
- 37:43Speaker 1: majorities here, that's it's they may end up having the
- 37:47Speaker 1: same governing challenges and problems that the Republicans had. But
- 37:50Speaker 1: my word, does Trump make it almost possible for the
- 37:54Speaker 1: congressional Republican majorities to do anything that is at all
- 37:58Speaker 1: remotely what the public wants? Or is it all politically
- 38:01Speaker 1: in tune with where the public is? It just isn't there?
- 38:07Speaker 1: So uh it is if you're if you're the Democrats today,
- 38:12Speaker 1: you're kind of released in Washington. You're kind of relieved
- 38:16Speaker 1: that you know, Trump essentially said no, no, no, no, look
- 38:20Speaker 1: at me, look at me. I'm gonna I'm going to prove,
- 38:25Speaker 1: you know, instead of letting the Democrats look like they're
- 38:29Speaker 1: dysfunctional and can't and is the gang that can't get along,
- 38:33Speaker 1: can't shoot straight, and all this stuff. Donald Trump wants
- 38:35Speaker 1: to basically say, hold my non alcoholic beer, let me
- 38:38Speaker 1: show you how it's really done. And that's what he
- 38:41Speaker 1: pulled off. I have to tell you. I you know,
- 38:47Speaker 1: John Cornyn said it last week. It's going to be
- 38:49Speaker 1: a miserable couple of years for Donald Trump. And he
- 38:53Speaker 1: only has him self deployed. He has created all that.
- 38:56Speaker 1: He went in there to air his grievances at people
- 38:58Speaker 1: that weren't loyal to him. Again, he does not see
- 39:01Speaker 1: the party as a collection of people who may agree
- 39:08Speaker 1: sixty to seventy percent of the time but don't agree
- 39:13Speaker 1: on some stuff. But you know, for decades they accepted
- 39:19Speaker 1: the premise. Donald Trump doesn't accept the premise. Donald Trump
- 39:23Speaker 1: does not believe in the American experiment. Donald Trump does
- 39:27Speaker 1: not believe in pluralism. And of course my fear is
- 39:31Speaker 1: I don't know if the progressive left believes and any.
- 39:33Speaker 2: Of that either.
- 39:38Speaker 1: This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you
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- 41:31Speaker 1: quints dot com slash chuck. Use that code. One more
- 41:41Speaker 1: story before we get to my interview with Matt Bennett,
- 41:44Speaker 1: and wherever you fall in this fight inside the Democratic Party,
- 41:47Speaker 1: all right, left center, mainstream liberal, wherever you fit, I
- 41:54Speaker 1: do think you're going to be intrigued by the conversation.
- 41:58Speaker 1: I want to highlight one other important story that happened
- 42:02Speaker 1: this week, and it's it's about what's happening inside the
- 42:06Speaker 1: Pentagon and what's happening to our military and what Pete
- 42:08Speaker 1: hag Seth is attempting to do to the military and
- 42:10Speaker 1: the overt politicization of the military. I think it's one
- 42:14Speaker 1: of the harder stories that we in the press have
- 42:18Speaker 1: to convey. Without giving away any any of my sources,
- 42:23Speaker 1: I can tell you there's quite a few soldiers that
- 42:25Speaker 1: would be loving to speak out, but it is just,
- 42:29Speaker 1: you know, these are people who are trained in not
- 42:32Speaker 1: going outside the chain of command by following protocol, and
- 42:37Speaker 1: that many of these soldiers don't want to behave like
- 42:40Speaker 1: Donald Trump or Pete hag Seth and do something and
- 42:43Speaker 1: sort of gain them an excuse to essentially shame them
- 42:48Speaker 1: for trying to speak out. And so they've had a
- 42:50Speaker 1: hard time and they've you know, I've talked to quite
- 42:54Speaker 1: a few members of the military who have given me
- 42:59Speaker 1: a lot of troubling and foe off the record, but
- 43:02Speaker 1: it's been hard to verify. And it's also been it's
- 43:06Speaker 1: you know, it's tough to ask them to go public.
- 43:11Speaker 1: And that's a you know, that's a that's a that's
- 43:14Speaker 1: what hag Seth is taking advantage of here. He's taking
- 43:16Speaker 1: advantage of the fact that these soldiers are loyal to
- 43:20Speaker 1: the military, and he's almost using it against them, But
- 43:27Speaker 1: I like to I'm obsessed with these folks he's purging
- 43:30Speaker 1: because I'm convinced that one of these generals that he
- 43:34Speaker 1: is forced into retirement or fired, however you want to
- 43:37Speaker 1: characterize it, might be our next president the United States.
- 43:43Speaker 1: I think we are in a moment like that, right.
- 43:46Speaker 1: I think we are in a moment where there's going
- 43:47Speaker 1: to be a desire for But I think the most
- 43:51Speaker 1: effective anti you know, the most effective person to sell
- 44:00Speaker 1: uralism and the American democracy could very well be a
- 44:05Speaker 1: retired three or four star. So let me tell you
- 44:08Speaker 1: this latest story, because the person that he forced out
- 44:14Speaker 1: here has is quite the backstory. There's a photograph from
- 44:19Speaker 1: just before midnight August thirtieth, twenty twenty one, the night
- 44:24Speaker 1: that Americans were withdrawing from Afghanistan. Not a great night.
- 44:31Speaker 1: And this photograph is a bit grainy. It's green, it's
- 44:33Speaker 1: shot through a night vision lens, and it's a soldier
- 44:37Speaker 1: in full uniform walking up the ramp of the last
- 44:40Speaker 1: C seventeen on the tarmac at Kubble Airport. He is
- 44:45Speaker 1: literally the last American boot to leave Afghanistan twenty years
- 44:51Speaker 1: of war. And he was the man who essentially turned
- 44:55Speaker 1: out the lights eleven fifty nine pm, one minute before
- 44:58Speaker 1: the deadline that Donald Trump agreed to that Joe Biden executed.
- 45:06Speaker 1: The soldier is Chris done Hill c d to the
- 45:09Speaker 1: people who served under him, and if you wanted, if
- 45:14Speaker 1: you wanted a design in a lab the kind of
- 45:16Speaker 1: officer Pete Hegseth says he wants. Donahue is the prototype
- 45:22Speaker 1: west Point, Pennsylvania kid career Army ranger Delta Force. He
- 45:31Speaker 1: led Delta Commandos commandos against Isis, Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, two
- 45:39Speaker 1: decades of some of the hardest counter terrorism fighting that
- 45:44Speaker 1: the military asked our soldiers to do. He commanded the
- 45:49Speaker 1: eighty second Airborne and most recently, he was in charge
- 45:54Speaker 1: of US Army forces in Europe and Africa. At the
- 45:59Speaker 1: Exaust moment that that job mattered, turning the lessons of
- 46:04Speaker 1: Ukraine into how the Army plans to fight the next war.
- 46:08Speaker 1: He was seen as a rising star. People inside the
- 46:12Speaker 1: building had penciled him as a future Chairman of the
- 46:16Speaker 1: Joint Chiefs, certainly a future Army Chief of Staff. Well,
- 46:21Speaker 1: Donahue was back in the news because he submitted his
- 46:25Speaker 1: retirement papers basically at gunpoint at the Pentagon's request. Yeah,
- 46:32Speaker 1: I'm being dramatic here. Nobody actually put it gun to
- 46:35Speaker 1: his head. But he was forced into retirement. He's going
- 46:38Speaker 1: to relinquish a four star command at a ceremony in Germany.
- 46:42Speaker 1: His tour cut short in the middle of his assignment,
- 46:46Speaker 1: and his old job is being downgraded four stars, knocked
- 46:49Speaker 1: down to three. The warrior, the warrior ethos guy should
- 46:56Speaker 1: have wanted to keep. He decides to push out. And
- 47:01Speaker 1: here's the thing, Donahue's not the story. Dona Hue is
- 47:04Speaker 1: the latest story. So I'm going to be fair here
- 47:07Speaker 1: for a minute before I get extra critical of hag Seth,
- 47:11Speaker 1: who I think is just right. The single biggest black
- 47:17Speaker 1: eye on Tom Tillis's Senate record is going to be
- 47:20Speaker 1: this into his credit. I think he knows it. Every
- 47:26Speaker 1: Defense secretary reshuffles brass. Okay, that's not new, that's part
- 47:31Speaker 1: of the job. A new administration is entitled to having
- 47:33Speaker 1: their own commanders. Presidents fire generals. Truman fired MacArthur, Obama
- 47:38Speaker 1: fired Stanley McCrystal. Firing an officer for cause is not
- 47:41Speaker 1: a scandal. It's a Tuesday, and the General Officer Corps
- 47:47Speaker 1: is a bit bloated. You can make an honest case
- 47:50Speaker 1: for thinning it, which hag Seth has been making less
- 47:53Speaker 1: generals more gis it's not insane. And if this were
- 47:59Speaker 1: a norm trimming, I wouldn't be doing this segment. But
- 48:04Speaker 1: this isn't. And this is how you can tell and
- 48:08Speaker 1: the way to understand this, This purge that hag set
- 48:11Speaker 1: this conducting of the Pentagon isn't chronologically. It's by category
- 48:15Speaker 1: because these officers weren't removed for one reason. They were
- 48:18Speaker 1: removed for a multiple reasons. And it's the third reason
- 48:24Speaker 1: is the one that it should worry you the most.
- 48:27Speaker 1: So reason one that some of these officers were removed
- 48:29Speaker 1: was for simply for who they are. Right. The first
- 48:33Speaker 1: big night was February twenty first, twenty twenty five. Folks
- 48:38Speaker 1: at the Pentagon call it the Friday Night Massacre. In
- 48:41Speaker 1: a single evening, the Chairman of the Joint then Chairman
- 48:43Speaker 1: of the Joint Chiefs C. Q. Brown, first African American
- 48:48Speaker 1: Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, fired, pushed out, replaced by
- 48:52Speaker 1: a retired three star named Dan Kine, who had to
- 48:55Speaker 1: be rushed back to four stars to take the job.
- 48:58Speaker 1: Same night, you had Admiral Lisa Franchetti, chief of Naval Operations,
- 49:03Speaker 1: first woman ever to run the Navy, pushed out, gone,
- 49:07Speaker 1: same night, General Jim Slife, the Air Force Vice Chief gone.
- 49:12Speaker 1: Then Admiral Linda Fagan coming down to the Coast Guard,
- 49:14Speaker 1: first woman to lead any branch of the US military,
- 49:18Speaker 1: relieved right after the inauguration. The reason all given was
- 49:22Speaker 1: leadership deficiencies. Well, obviously there's kind of a pattern here,
- 49:28Speaker 1: and who keeps getting picked off? The Senate noticed there's
- 49:31Speaker 1: a pattern Jack Reid, who is not a partisan guy.
- 49:35Speaker 1: Jack reads a Democrat, don't get me wrong, but he's
- 49:38Speaker 1: not a partisan A hole okay. He pointed out that
- 49:43Speaker 1: nearly sixty percent of the senior officers haig Seth has
- 49:46Speaker 1: fired are either women or black, in a corps where
- 49:50Speaker 1: women and minorities are about twenty percent of all the
- 49:53Speaker 1: generals and admirals. That it it's clear none of those
- 50:01Speaker 1: people were fired for costs. They were fired simply because
- 50:04Speaker 1: of who they were. Reason two, he's been firing people
- 50:12Speaker 1: for either what they knew or what they'd take General
- 50:16Speaker 1: Timothy Haw, he ran the National Security Agency and Cyber Command.
- 50:20Speaker 1: Lieutenant General Jeffrey Cruz the head of the Defense Intelligence Agency.
- 50:24Speaker 1: He also was pushed out after his agency's early assessment
- 50:27Speaker 1: of the Iran nuclear strikes leaked out and became politically inconvenient.
- 50:32Speaker 1: He's the one that said and hadn't been totally destroyed.
- 50:36Speaker 1: Vice Admiral Shoshanna Chatfield, the US rep to NATO's Military Committee,
- 50:41Speaker 1: removed for quote loss of confidence again, both of them
- 50:46Speaker 1: serving and perhaps just not sharing a set of beliefs
- 50:53Speaker 1: that Haig said has. And then, of course there's the
- 50:56Speaker 1: third reason for how he purses people out, and it's
- 51:00Speaker 1: this is the one that should really alarm you. It's
- 51:02Speaker 1: for when officers push back on an order. On the
- 51:06Speaker 1: same February night that c Q. Brown and Franchetti, Haigseth
- 51:09Speaker 1: also fired the top uniformed lawyers of the Army and
- 51:13Speaker 1: the Air Force, the people that give the council to
- 51:17Speaker 1: the generals about whether orders are illegal or not. The
- 51:22Speaker 1: judge advocates general right the JAG Corps. Their entire job
- 51:28Speaker 1: is to interpret whether an order is legal. Now, Haig
- 51:33Speaker 1: sth did an allege misconduct. He just said on the
- 51:36Speaker 1: record that he didn't want lawyers to become roadblocks. That
- 51:43Speaker 1: pesky constitution. We don't want that to get in the way.
- 51:49Speaker 1: A roadblock. Think about that. A roadblock is a thing
- 51:53Speaker 1: in the way of where you were already going. And
- 51:57Speaker 1: then there's the cleanest case of all, and it's the
- 51:59Speaker 1: one I'd build the whole segment around if I had
- 52:00Speaker 1: to pick one. Dadmirll Alvin Halsey and I've talked. I've
- 52:04Speaker 1: talked about him before. He was the head of the
- 52:07Speaker 1: US Southern Command Southcomb and that's the command that's been
- 52:10Speaker 1: running the boat strikes in the Caribbean. Well Holsey raised
- 52:14Speaker 1: concerns about whether these strikes were legal. He went to
- 52:17Speaker 1: his jag officer to ask. There were some questions strikes
- 52:21Speaker 1: that many war of law experts say may amount to
- 52:25Speaker 1: war crimes. Well haig Seth, according to reporting, thought he
- 52:29Speaker 1: wasn't being aggressive enough. The relationship came apart in a
- 52:33Speaker 1: Pentagon meeting late last year. Two months later, Holsey retired
- 52:38Speaker 1: two plus years. Early combatant commanders normally served three years.
- 52:44Speaker 1: He got one. Holsey didn't fail. Holsey objected, and that
- 52:50Speaker 1: was his firing offense. He questioned in order that his
- 52:54Speaker 1: own lawyer jag officer wasn't sure could pass legal muster.
- 53:01Speaker 1: And that's The biggest category that scare you here, not
- 53:03Speaker 1: the culture war firings, the conscious firings. A military where
- 53:07Speaker 1: the price of saying I'm not sure that's legal is
- 53:11Speaker 1: your career. Is a military that will eventually stop worrying
- 53:14Speaker 1: about whether something is legal and will simply follow orders
- 53:19Speaker 1: whatever order is given. And then, of course you've had
- 53:22Speaker 1: a wartime wave of officers relieved of duty this past spring.
- 53:26Speaker 1: Country's at warwith Iran. And what does haig Seth do?
- 53:29Speaker 1: He fires the Army stop officer General Randy George. George
- 53:32Speaker 1: apparently had balked at an order to strike four officers,
- 53:35Speaker 1: two black men, and two women, off of a promotion list.
- 53:38Speaker 1: Same day, he took out General David Hodney, running the
- 53:41Speaker 1: Army's Modernization Command, and the Army's Chief of Chaplain's Major
- 53:45Speaker 1: General William Green. Hegsas has some weird religious beliefs, and
- 53:48Speaker 1: he's trying to force those beliefs on an entire military.
- 53:53Speaker 1: George's deputy, General James Mingus, had already taken a sudden retirement.
- 53:58Speaker 1: It sounds like I'm describing the Kremlin, isn't it. One
- 54:02Speaker 1: officials reaction to firing a four star during a shooting
- 54:05Speaker 1: war was one word insane and to keep the tally running.
- 54:11Speaker 1: While I say all this because the number is the
- 54:12Speaker 1: argument by the guardians count it's roughly two dozen generals
- 54:17Speaker 1: and senior commanders that have been fired or forced out
- 54:19Speaker 1: since January of twenty twenty five. A retired four star,
- 54:22Speaker 1: the kind of person who'd normally never say a word,
- 54:25Speaker 1: put it like this, This isn't a war on woke,
- 54:27Speaker 1: it's a war on warriors. So I've been digging in
- 54:34Speaker 1: to see have we ever had a comparable moment like
- 54:36Speaker 1: this as the Secretary of Defense ever rearranged the top
- 54:38Speaker 1: of the US military? This dramatically, Well, Haig sith they
- 54:43Speaker 1: answered it himself under oath right in April, in front
- 54:46Speaker 1: of the House Armed Services Committee, he got pressed on
- 54:47Speaker 1: exactly this question, and he had a comeback ready. He said,
- 54:50Speaker 1: under Barack Obama, one hundred ninety seven general officers were removed.
- 54:53Speaker 1: So this is nothing new. One hundred ninety seven specific number.
- 54:56Speaker 1: It sounds authoritative, right, It's fake. It's been traced. The
- 55:00Speaker 1: number comes from a twenty eighteen newspaper editorial which got
- 55:04Speaker 1: it from a Facebook page. There's no real list. He
- 55:09Speaker 1: made the case for precedent by inventing a precedent. By
- 55:14Speaker 1: the way, the Pentagon would have had the facts if
- 55:16Speaker 1: he chose to actually use Pentagon resources. Instead, he did
- 55:22Speaker 1: some Google search looking for some bullshit crap ass editorial
- 55:28Speaker 1: who didn't do any fact check, which tells you something,
- 55:32Speaker 1: because if there were a real example the Secretary of
- 55:34Speaker 1: Defense under Oath, with that huge research staff Pentagon, they
- 55:38Speaker 1: would have used it. They didn't have it. So in
- 55:46Speaker 1: my own research here the closest thing history offers is
- 55:49Speaker 1: nineteen forty nine, The Revolt of the Admirals. Truman's Defense
- 55:52Speaker 1: secretary cancels the navy new supercarrier to fund the Air
- 55:56Speaker 1: Force's bombers. The admirals go to war public in front
- 56:00Speaker 1: of Congress, and the chief of Naval Operations, an Admiral
- 56:03Speaker 1: Lewis Denfield, got up and testified against his own civilian bosses.
- 56:08Speaker 1: For that, Denfield was removed as the chief Naval officer.
- 56:12Speaker 1: The report applies what was plain and simple. Congress said
- 56:14Speaker 1: so in writing called it a challenge to representative government.
- 56:18Speaker 1: And that's the great precedent. That's the one the history
- 56:21Speaker 1: books will we'd reach for and look at how small
- 56:25Speaker 1: it is next to what hag Seth has done. What
- 56:28Speaker 1: hag Seth has done spanned every single service it is.
- 56:33Speaker 1: It has no single issue, its identity, in some cases intelligence,
- 56:37Speaker 1: in some cases lawyers who might stand in his way
- 56:40Speaker 1: of illegal orders, and commanders who might have raised their
- 56:45Speaker 1: hand because they actually care about the constitution. Two dozen.
- 56:50Speaker 1: It's been done quietly on Friday nights by social media post.
- 56:55Speaker 1: No explanation offered, no hearing held. That's why they got
- 56:58Speaker 1: rid of a corps at the Pentagon. Right, they don't
- 57:01Speaker 1: want any reporters nosing around on this. They don't want
- 57:06Speaker 1: staff at the Pentagon talking to the press. So instead, right,
- 57:10Speaker 1: they've they've got their sort of propaganda. Propaganda's that they've
- 57:15Speaker 1: that they call their press corp. This is, this is.
- 57:25Speaker 1: This should be as big of a scandal as any
- 57:28Speaker 1: that has happened in this administration. This should be extraordinarily alarming.
- 57:38Speaker 1: And I'm really interested in meeting ced Donahue. I think
- 57:42Speaker 1: one of these twenty four people, I don't know who,
- 57:46Speaker 1: I don't know which one it is, one, two, three,
- 57:50Speaker 1: but I think I know all I know when you
- 57:53Speaker 1: have spent multiple decades and you've worked your way up
- 57:58Speaker 1: for these promotions you love this country, and you love
- 58:01Speaker 1: public service, and you certainly believe in the Constitution. If
- 58:10Speaker 1: I were looking for the next leaders of America, I'd
- 58:13Speaker 1: be looking at the folks that whoever Pete Hegseth has
- 58:18Speaker 1: decided shouldn't be in his Pentagon is who I'd be
- 58:22Speaker 1: interested in seeing elected the public office in my country.
- 58:28Speaker 2: All Right.
- 58:29Speaker 1: I just I really get frustrated with what we're seeing
- 58:35Speaker 1: at the Pentagon because I think this is a this
- 58:39Speaker 1: is a five alarm fire, and this is a case
- 58:46Speaker 1: where the systematic purging of the press, systematic purging of
- 58:50Speaker 1: the of the officer corps, everything that has been done
- 58:56Speaker 1: inside the Pentagon could leave us imagine two terms of this,
- 59:05Speaker 1: and the military could get turned into some sort of
- 59:09Speaker 1: political force that should scare the Jesus out of every
- 59:15Speaker 1: single American. Our military is the best, it's the least
- 59:21Speaker 1: political of any major military in the world. And what
- 59:25Speaker 1: Pete Hegseth is doing is right out of the authoritarian playbook,
- 59:30Speaker 1: trying to purge the military of anybody that puts the
- 59:33Speaker 1: country ahead of politics and replacing those folks with the
- 59:39Speaker 1: most partisan or the most pliant people that he can find.
- 59:45Speaker 1: This dish between what's happening at the Pentagon and what's
- 59:49Speaker 1: happening at the Justice Department are the two biggest things
- 59:54Speaker 1: that have that are that that Trump is damaged that
- 59:59Speaker 1: will not get fixed in one term, and the after
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: action report in both places is going to be necessary
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: if we're going to get them both back on track.
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: All right, with that, let's sneak in a break when
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: we come back. My fascinating conversation about the future of
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: the Democratic Party with Matt Bennett, who represents arguably represents
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: the establishment wing of the party these days. Enjoyed them,
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: so joining me now for more on this, frankly, fight
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: for the soul of the Democratic Party and where it's headed.
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: Matt Bennett of Third Way. And look, I'll let Matt
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: correct me when I say this, but I think the
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: way I have viewed the Third Way Democrats, this is
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: sort of remnants of the old DLC wing of the
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: Democratic Party. This sort of you might call it the
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: pro business wing, you might call it the pragmatic wing.
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: It depends on how you want to brand it, but
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: it is definitely more on the center left versus if
- 1:01:10Speaker 1: we're we've've got the three buckets right now. Democratic Primary voters,
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: your center left, your progressive capitalists, I guess we'll call them.
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: But this is a conversation I want to continue to have.
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: And then the socialist wing. Let's just say I think
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: the third way wing feels on the run, and Matt
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: Bennett joins me. Now, so, Matt, do you accept my description.
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: Mostly? Yeah, I mean we are some corrections in there. Yeah.
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: Well, you know, look, we definitely are. We called it
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: solose third way, which was a term that Bill Clinton
- 1:01:44Speaker 3: and Tony Blair used back from the nineties. The DLC
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: kind of came up with that, So we accept that,
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: and we're certainly center left, we're moderates, and we believe
- 1:01:55Speaker 3: that mainstream pragmatism is still the way to govern and
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: the way to win in competitive places and nationally.
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: So yeah, I would I'll take that, Moniker.
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: So need let's just say we're talking on Wednesday, the
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: day after the Mom Donnie primary night, which I think
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: June twenty third will be known as it was an
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: impressive showing for Mom Donnie and his political machine in
- 1:02:19Speaker 1: New York City. And obviously the question is whether is
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: this the start of is this the Ted Cruz defeat
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: of David Dewhurst, David Bratt's defeat of Eric Canter, what
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: was it Richard Murdock's defeat of Dick Lueger, which would
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: turn out to be more significant at the time inside
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: the right and what was happening in the Republican Party.
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: Is that the moment we're looking at, or is what
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: happens in New York City stay in New York City?
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: I really hope not.
- 1:02:48Speaker 3: I mean, if this is a Tea Party moment, that
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: is very scary for my party.
- 1:02:53Speaker 2: I don't think it is, as I'll get.
- 1:02:55Speaker 3: To in a second, but to your point, that's it
- 1:02:59Speaker 3: could be a real problem. I mean the Tea Party
- 1:03:01Speaker 3: cost Republicans at least half a dozen Senate seats by
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: nominating total twenty.
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: Ten and twenty eighteen. I think, yeah, yeah, probably, I
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: mean you could come up with six. I mean I
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: have a consultant friend of mine was still sort of
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: whines about Nevada in twenty ten and and Mike Castle
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: in Delaware. I think also was a twenty ten race. Yeah,
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: with the with the you know, Chris Coons, the accidental
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: senator you know back exactly.
- 1:03:32Speaker 3: I mean, who could forget the greatest out of all
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: time I'm not a witch.
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: I'm new so right, I mean, and and.
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: Look by the way that ad would have worked today,
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: totally yes and either party right, sorry.
- 1:03:47Speaker 3: But like I mean, that was in a competitive race
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: in a Delaware used to be kind of a purple place.
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: And these are not all the districts that you just
- 1:03:58Speaker 3: the three districts were mum and he had big wins
- 1:04:00Speaker 3: last night, have a combined average of D plus thirty
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: six partisan voter indeck. So these are very very very
- 1:04:08Speaker 3: blue places. We're not gonna win. We're not going to
- 1:04:10Speaker 3: lose any of these seats obviously. So at the moment,
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: the kind of tea party moment for Democrats is not
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: really threatening to fumble away winnable places, with a couple
- 1:04:22Speaker 3: of exceptions. So for example, we're really worried about the
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: Michigan Center primary. If abdill say Ed wins that three
- 1:04:30Speaker 3: way primary, I think he loses to Mike Rogers in
- 1:04:34Speaker 3: a you know, basically purple Michigan. Alissa Slakan, who ran
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: a brilliant campaign last night, barely beat Rogers. And I've
- 1:04:41Speaker 3: will said it's way too far left. So we're worried
- 1:04:45Speaker 3: about losing winnable races, but the races last night were
- 1:04:49Speaker 3: not that. Those were examples where very very radical people
- 1:04:55Speaker 3: like a village Chavier is I don't know if I'm
- 1:04:58Speaker 3: pronouncing her name, right is the farthest left person elected
- 1:05:03Speaker 3: in my lifetime to Congress by far. And we're just
- 1:05:07Speaker 3: worried that those ideas can be really weaponized against Democrats elsewhere.
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: Well, it's interesting, you know, I characterized Tuesday night in
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: New York City is a really bad night from King Jefferies,
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: meaning that if he is the next Speaker of the House,
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: he is going to be dealing with his own version
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: of a Freedom Caucus.
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: Yep.
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: And it does feel as if that the progressive left
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: here the DSA has learned a thing or two from
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: the right in sort of how do you extract concessions
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: when you're in the minority right, you're in the minority
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: of the majority right. And this is was the brilliance
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: of the Freedom Caucus, but it's been terrible for governing. Right,
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: like the Trump era is not known for big policy
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: wins because they can't really govern. They've had some control
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: role a couple of times, but this faction inside their
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: own party essentially, I mean Chip Roy has done more
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: to prevent republic and legislation from passing than any Democrat has.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: That's what strikes me is more plausible of how this
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: becomes a disruptive force inside the party.
- 1:06:19Speaker 3: I think that's exactly right now. There's a couple of
- 1:06:21Speaker 3: things keep in mind. One is the Freedom Caucus, as
- 1:06:24Speaker 3: a percentage of the House republic Conference was larger than
- 1:06:28Speaker 3: I think the DSA faction will be. The Progressive Caucus
- 1:06:32Speaker 3: is quite large, but you know, the those folks Promila,
- 1:06:37Speaker 3: Jaya Paul and Mark Pocan who run the Progressive Caucus,
- 1:06:41Speaker 3: they're not out to disrupt the way that the Freedom
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: Caucus has been with Mike Johnson.
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: The other thing is, I'm.
- 1:06:47Speaker 3: Hoping we don't have as narrow a majority as Johnson
- 1:06:50Speaker 3: had because that you know.
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: Three votes, right, but you know King Jefferies needs to
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: do it in thirty five House seats. You get to five,
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: then you can you can overcome. Look, this is what
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: the fact is. There was no Freedom Caucus problems for
- 1:07:07Speaker 1: the George W. Bush era because they usually had somewhere
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: between two hundred and thirty five and two hundred and
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: forty five House members on the Republican majority. You know
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: that that seems to be the sweet spot of keeping
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: your your factional politics at back exactly.
- 1:07:23Speaker 3: And look, so make no mistakes, these people really don't
- 1:07:26Speaker 3: like KAKEM. Jeffreys at the militia the victory party lest
- 1:07:30Speaker 3: they were chanting your next at the TV when Hakim
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: came on. This is the first presumably the first black
- 1:07:37Speaker 3: speaker of the House, and they're trying to get.
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: Rid of them. Well, they just ousted the first undocumented
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: immigrant to make his way to Congress. True enough, Yeah, okay,
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: I mean this is and it's really all over, you know,
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: in him the I you know, I was told the
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: fireable offense for Espalot was supporting CMO.
- 1:07:56Speaker 2: Yeah, and and I think and I.
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: Love, I understand and is and of course, well Cuomo
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: was sort of it is sometimes a good word. It
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: can be the same thing for that. And so let's
- 1:08:07Speaker 1: talk about that a little bit. Because I accept the
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: premise that mom Donnie won on affordability in twenty twenty five, right,
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: And I think that is a fact, okay. And I
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: think he won because he made a great point about
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: the price of falaffel on the street vendors. Okay, I
- 1:08:24Speaker 1: genuinely believe that this is a he was talented in
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: connecting those dots right. That is, this was not an
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: affordability primary sweep in New York.
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: City, wasn't it?
- 1:08:36Speaker 3: There? Though it wasn't falafel, it was halal chicken. Quite
- 1:08:38Speaker 3: different politically.
- 1:08:40Speaker 1: Well, he was also talking about falaffel, but he made
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: the falafel bender. But yes, he also had Look, they
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: were both brilliant. Those things went viral. I mean, you know,
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: you and I both have seen them. And I'm not
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: exactly a purveyor of street food in New York City.
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: But.
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: Tuesday night there was these were one This was a
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: one issue litmus test, and it's I have never felt
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: more outherized as a Jewish American than I do this morning.
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: Same.
- 1:09:13Speaker 1: And it is a bizarre feeling because this is stuff
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: my mother told me about and I didn't, you know, Yeah, yeah,
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: that's the fifties, mom, And this feels like a different situation.
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: And what's frustrating is, you know, I'm old enough to
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: remember when there was people on the left were criticizing
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: Donald Trump for otherizing people. I don't see how to
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: you know, this is the goal to chase Jewish Democrats
- 1:09:40Speaker 1: out of the party.
- 1:09:42Speaker 3: It appears to be for some of these people, and
- 1:09:45Speaker 3: it's pretty effective.
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: I mean, I heard by this morning.
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: I don't I believe just the same way I don't
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: believe every MEGA supporter is a racist. I don't believe
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: every is an anti semi right. But they seem to
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: be make common cause with some of these folks.
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, look, the President had dinner with Nick
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: foint Is. He's a Nazi. You know that's bad.
- 1:10:08Speaker 3: So there's they are making common cause on that side.
- 1:10:10Speaker 3: But on our side things are getting pretty ugly. And
- 1:10:15Speaker 3: the stuff that was happening to Dan Goldman, I'm sure
- 1:10:18Speaker 3: you read about that New York coffee shop. That was,
- 1:10:22Speaker 3: I mean, just the grossest anti semitism.
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: I imagine if somebody did that to somebody who was
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: wearing a hit job, there'd be a lot more outrage
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: from the.
- 1:10:36Speaker 2: From space.
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: I appreciate that Mom, Donnie said something, but it was
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: pretty pretty. It was sort of like, you know, you
- 1:10:45Speaker 1: shouldn't have gotten caught doing it. It felt exactly rather
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: than a it was wrong, and it's wrong.
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: But truly yeah.
- 1:10:52Speaker 3: I mean, you and I both grew up in in America,
- 1:10:55Speaker 3: where antisemitism basically didn't exist for a long time. It
- 1:10:58Speaker 3: was like the only period in human history since Abraham
- 1:11:01Speaker 3: in the West that there has been none, and we
- 1:11:05Speaker 3: got used to it. And it's very hard to see
- 1:11:07Speaker 3: this and look to your point. There's a lot of
- 1:11:10Speaker 3: people on the left who are a lot of Jews
- 1:11:13Speaker 3: who are deeply and genuinely of the view that Israel
- 1:11:18Speaker 3: has been acting horribly, and I am among them. But
- 1:11:22Speaker 3: the way that gets expressed by the farthest left reaches
- 1:11:25Speaker 3: of the of the party and of the DSA really
- 1:11:29Speaker 3: does move into anti Semitism, and it's causing an enormous rupture.
- 1:11:35Speaker 3: The number of Jews this morning who were texting me
- 1:11:39Speaker 3: saying the same thing you said, You know.
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: It's a lot.
- 1:11:43Speaker 3: I believe ultimately that we can contain this. I don't
- 1:11:49Speaker 3: think that anti Semitism is going to kind of eat
- 1:11:52Speaker 3: the Democratic Party the way they meet the Labor Party
- 1:11:54Speaker 3: for many years under Jeremy Corbyn in Britain. But I
- 1:11:58Speaker 3: think we have to address aggressively.
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: John Bayner said the same thing. Mitch McConnell said the
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: same thing. True when you see I want to unpack
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: this in three different buckets. First, let's unpack why is
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: there an appetite for this. Well, there's an appetite because
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: there's a bunch of fed up Democrats that think the
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: Democratic Party has been feckless. Yes, they're not wrong, Matt.
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: So it is the reason the DSA is getting traction
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: is because the establishment wing of the Democratic Party has
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: really screwed this up, right, And it goes back arguably
- 1:12:40Speaker 1: to the decision to rally around Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen.
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: And I say this in that I think a faction
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party thought that the Obama victory meant
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: that Clinton wing was dormant and dead, and then he
- 1:12:55Speaker 1: came in and went quote unquote establishment. It opened the
- 1:12:58Speaker 1: door for Ernie and of course the way Ron Paul
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: remade the Republican Party before people realized it, and then
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: Mega came in and essentially took it to another level.
- 1:13:12Speaker 1: That's what's been happening at state central committees, right. And
- 1:13:16Speaker 1: this is the thing I'm hearing what you're saying. I
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: think we can contain it. I heard this before, but
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: guess what, by the time you realize this has taken place,
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: it was Ron Paul forces who became MAGA that were
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: already in charge of the state parties, and so Donald
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: Trump already had a network, and the same thing's been
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: happening with the DSA and the progressive left. They have
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: done the hard work of getting onto local party committees,
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: getting onto the state central committee. I'm not sure this
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: is as easy to contain as you say.
- 1:13:52Speaker 2: Well, I don't think it's easy at all. I just
- 1:13:54Speaker 2: want to be clear about this.
- 1:13:55Speaker 3: This is a real problem, and there have been efforts
- 1:13:59Speaker 3: the local level in cities all over the country, in
- 1:14:01Speaker 3: Pittsburgh and Chicago and New York and San Francisco to
- 1:14:06Speaker 3: kind of combat the rise of the DSA. I think
- 1:14:09Speaker 3: a few things are different than what happened with Paul
- 1:14:13Speaker 3: and the Tea Party and ultimately with Trump. First of all,
- 1:14:16Speaker 3: in places where the far left is governing, they become
- 1:14:19Speaker 3: deeply unpopular really fast. So this happened in San Francisco,
- 1:14:23Speaker 3: where they elected a very far left mayor and DJA
- 1:14:27Speaker 3: they basically decriminalized shoplifting. Not surprisingly, the city kind of
- 1:14:33Speaker 3: fell apart, and then both of them were recalled, along
- 1:14:37Speaker 3: with a bunch of crazy school board members that were
- 1:14:39Speaker 3: trying to rename Abraham Lincoln Elementary School. And now the
- 1:14:42Speaker 3: city's doing much better and what you saw this cycle
- 1:14:46Speaker 3: in San Francisco was a very far left guy Chalker
- 1:14:50Speaker 3: Party lost pretty big in a congressional race to replace
- 1:14:55Speaker 3: Nancy Pelosi to much more mainstream Democrats. So there has
- 1:14:59Speaker 3: been a reaction even in a place like San Francisco
- 1:15:02Speaker 3: to their bad governance. That's happening in Chicago, where the
- 1:15:05Speaker 3: mayor who's very far left is like a twenty percent
- 1:15:08Speaker 3: approval rating.
- 1:15:09Speaker 2: And so I think Chicago.
- 1:15:11Speaker 1: Is an interesting example because you know, Lauri Lightfoot was
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: elected as a left wing alternative to Ram and then
- 1:15:19Speaker 1: the left said, no, you're too mainstream, and.
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: Wait for even further right.
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: And you know, I remember Rom saying to me, he goes,
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: I think they'll miss me eventually. And the irony is,
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: I think he's right, you know, totally. But it is
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: one of those I believe. And this is why I
- 1:15:38Speaker 1: think we're headed for probably two or three more one
- 1:15:42Speaker 1: term presidents. Is I think the progressive left looks at
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: the maga ighte and says, God damn it, they got
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: a chance to govern. We want our chance to govern.
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: And rather than just being part of a winning coalition
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: like they were with Obama right, they were part of
- 1:15:56Speaker 1: the coalition, but they weren't the governing force of the coalition,
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: and I think they look at what Mega happened and said,
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: you know, why compromise.
- 1:16:06Speaker 3: I'm sure they do. But let me give you two
- 1:16:08Speaker 3: other reasons why I think they're not going to achieve that.
- 1:16:10Speaker 3: One is, our electorate is different than theirs.
- 1:16:14Speaker 2: At the national level.
- 1:16:15Speaker 3: Obviously, in places like you know, New York City, the
- 1:16:19Speaker 3: electorate gets pretty far left. But if you look at
- 1:16:22Speaker 3: the people that we have nominated for presidence is nineteen
- 1:16:25Speaker 3: ninety two. I mean every single one of them. You
- 1:16:28Speaker 3: can quibble about John Kerry, but every one of them
- 1:16:31Speaker 3: have been mainstream, very kind of moderate center left candidates.
- 1:16:37Speaker 3: So and our electorate always is looking to see, like
- 1:16:41Speaker 3: we're very pundent oriented voters. When it comes to nomination,
- 1:16:46Speaker 3: it's like, which of these guys beats the Republicans?
- 1:16:48Speaker 2: I want that.
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: I know. I've always said Democrats care about electability, but
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: they don't know. I always say, well, what's electability? Well,
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: whatever whoever I think can win. But it is sort
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: of very subjective. There is no objective.
- 1:17:02Speaker 3: In fact, I once watched a focus group in Iowa
- 1:17:04Speaker 3: where guys like, well, I think the average voter thinks
- 1:17:07Speaker 3: this way. I was like, dude, you're in a focus
- 1:17:08Speaker 3: group in Iowa, like you are it.
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: You're supposed to be the telly, you're average voter. Right.
- 1:17:14Speaker 3: And then the other difference, and this is technical but important,
- 1:17:17Speaker 3: is the way that we nominate people is very different
- 1:17:20Speaker 3: than the way the Republicans do. They've got winner take
- 1:17:23Speaker 3: all primaries, and so this is actually what could screw
- 1:17:27Speaker 3: us in Michigan and Michigan Senate race, which is obviously
- 1:17:29Speaker 3: a winner take all.
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: Forty right, thirty eight to forty percent can win.
- 1:17:33Speaker 3: Yeah, a plurality, and that's what Trump did, he wrote
- 1:17:37Speaker 3: a thirty five percent plurality to victory. In our presidential
- 1:17:40Speaker 3: primaries doesn't work that way. It's it's proportional, and you've
- 1:17:44Speaker 3: got to win fifteen percent of a given speed to
- 1:17:47Speaker 3: get any delegates. And that matters a lot. And now
- 1:17:51Speaker 3: that we've gotten rid of all of our caucuses. And
- 1:17:53Speaker 3: by the way, Bernie when he ran both times, he
- 1:17:56Speaker 3: won all the caucuses and lost most of the primaries
- 1:18:00Speaker 3: because caucuses are good for activist candidates who people come
- 1:18:06Speaker 3: out and vote for four hours. But with our primary
- 1:18:09Speaker 3: system and the proportional delegate allocation. You've got to be
- 1:18:13Speaker 3: much broader, and it's the imperative is to appeal to
- 1:18:17Speaker 3: a much broader set of voters. And so I think
- 1:18:19Speaker 3: it's just really hard to hijack the Democratic collector the
- 1:18:23Speaker 3: way that Trump did.
- 1:18:35Speaker 1: I think I agree with you here, and I say
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: I think because I go back to the other aspect
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: of this, and that is that the insider you know,
- 1:18:46Speaker 1: the insider lane of the Democratic Party I think has
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: gotten a lot more progressive. And I think that you
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: have a lot You're going to have people on central
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: committees that are much further to the left than what
- 1:19:01Speaker 1: we've seen over the last twenty five thirty years. We'll see,
- 1:19:06Speaker 1: you know. I mean, look, I go back, You and
- 1:19:10Speaker 1: I are both too young for this. But the last
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: time the Democratic Party at a moment like this was
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: the McGovern sort of revolution, if you will. And I
- 1:19:19Speaker 1: can make an argument, right, and the McGovern revolution takes
- 1:19:22Speaker 1: over the party in seventy two, and essentially the Democrats
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: are flailing from seventy two to ninety two. Right, They
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: win one national election, Yeah, they hold on to the
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: House that entire time, but it was watching, you know,
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: essentially the Southern Caucus become basically Reagan Democrats. You know,
- 1:19:46Speaker 1: it essentially took a generation before the party recovered from
- 1:19:53Speaker 1: this sort of liberal revolution, the McGovern liberal revolution. You know,
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: you know, I I accept the premise that eventually governing
- 1:20:03Speaker 1: will get in, that will probably be the thing that
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: eventually stops this moment. But it took twenty years the
- 1:20:11Speaker 1: last time this happened for the Democrats to recover.
- 1:20:14Speaker 3: And look, as you know, much depends on whether a
- 1:20:17Speaker 3: charismatic leader comes along or doesn't. So in those twenty years,
- 1:20:22Speaker 3: we had no charismatic leaders. I mean, Jimmy Carter had
- 1:20:25Speaker 3: a certain weirdo charisma in seventy six, but then it
- 1:20:28Speaker 3: was gone. And then we had Mondale and Decaucus where
- 1:20:33Speaker 3: my first boss in politics.
- 1:20:36Speaker 1: And yeah, I think we all wonder what a Gary
- 1:20:38Speaker 1: Hart would have been like in eighty four exactly. I mean,
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: it would have probably been certainly more competitive.
- 1:20:45Speaker 3: Totally, and parties are forged in the image of their nominees.
- 1:20:50Speaker 3: At the moment, we have no leader, and we're not
- 1:20:51Speaker 3: going to have a leader for a long time. But
- 1:20:54Speaker 3: just think about what happened to the Republicans after twenty
- 1:20:56Speaker 3: twelve Ronnie loses. They do their autopsy. They're like, we
- 1:21:01Speaker 3: need to be nicer to immigrants. Steve Bannon's like, no,
- 1:21:04Speaker 3: we need to go to the exact opposite direction he got.
- 1:21:07Speaker 3: Trump comes along, and then the party goes one hundred
- 1:21:11Speaker 3: and eighty degrees the opposite way. And now no one
- 1:21:15Speaker 3: has ever forged a party in their images as dramatically
- 1:21:18Speaker 3: as he has, at least not modern times. But every
- 1:21:21Speaker 3: party is defined by their nominee, and ours will be too.
- 1:21:26Speaker 3: And if we nominate the right person and they have
- 1:21:29Speaker 3: a degree of charisma that you know, we really need,
- 1:21:33Speaker 3: then I really don't think the mcgovernment thing is going
- 1:21:35Speaker 3: to happen to us. But if we don't and nominate
- 1:21:39Speaker 3: somebody without it, then it could.
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: Why is this getting so much traction in New York City?
- 1:21:44Speaker 1: In New York City, yeah, why is this anti Israel
- 1:21:48Speaker 1: litmus test? Which clearly is the most animating issue? You know,
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: when AOC won't beat Joe Crawley the Green New Deal,
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: it was a climate focus then, yes, affordability, but it
- 1:21:59Speaker 1: was really climate right driven. You know, I don't hear
- 1:22:02Speaker 1: climate anymore. Right. It is one issue that seems to
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: unite the progressive left in New York, which is bashing Israel,
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: which quickly bashing Israel quickly becomes to bashing Jews pretty fast.
- 1:22:15Speaker 3: Does Yeah, I mean to your point, the Sunrise movement
- 1:22:18Speaker 3: now only cares about Israel like that is their only thing,
- 1:22:22Speaker 3: and they're like a climate change group. But I think
- 1:22:25Speaker 3: the reason, there's two big reasons. One is the people
- 1:22:29Speaker 3: that voted for these candidates are tend to be And
- 1:22:32Speaker 3: the data on this from exepols yesterday was very clear.
- 1:22:36Speaker 3: Like in the Cheblier race, she won young white, more
- 1:22:44Speaker 3: educated and higher income people, and she lost black and
- 1:22:47Speaker 3: Hispanic folks without college degrees and with lower incomes. So
- 1:22:52Speaker 3: the young white people are kind of animated by this
- 1:22:57Speaker 3: unicause which is gaza uh, and that has become a
- 1:23:04Speaker 3: virtue signaling device. If you are in favor of Israel,
- 1:23:10Speaker 3: you are bad, and if you are in favor of
- 1:23:11Speaker 3: the Palestinian.
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: Why isn't this Why isn't the leaguers the cause?
- 1:23:16Speaker 2: Celeb That's a great question. There are a million.
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: Why isn't it the right? Why isn't it in Africa?
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: Why is it just this cause? I don't you know
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: where where I'm I would love a better explanation.
- 1:23:33Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, what they say, is because they are
- 1:23:36Speaker 3: a US ally. We give them three billion dollars a
- 1:23:38Speaker 3: year in military aid. They are our closest ally in
- 1:23:42Speaker 3: the region, and there we should expect that they act
- 1:23:47Speaker 3: in ways that are consistent with our values. And China
- 1:23:50Speaker 3: is not an ally, and now there is you know,
- 1:23:53Speaker 3: Burma or down or at these other places. Uh, it's
- 1:23:56Speaker 3: not an insane argument. And I would I would positive
- 1:23:59Speaker 3: that is is acting really really badly, but and she
- 1:24:03Speaker 3: would agree with this. I loathe the current US government,
- 1:24:07Speaker 3: but I do not do not load the United States.
- 1:24:09Speaker 3: I love the United States. I load the net and
- 1:24:11Speaker 3: Yahoo government, but I do not load Israel. I think
- 1:24:14Speaker 3: the problem is a lot of these young people tend
- 1:24:17Speaker 3: not to be able to see that distinction.
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: Well, and this gets and I don't want to sound
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: like an old guy ranting at cloud, but I you know,
- 1:24:26Speaker 1: it's interesting. I had an interview that's on my podcast
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: right now with the mayor of Oklahoma City, David Hole.
- 1:24:35Speaker 1: And he's a friend, and he he is a big
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: advocate of non partisan primaries. And you know, obviously, you
- 1:24:44Speaker 1: know a mayor. Most mayors get elected in non partisan primaries,
- 1:24:48Speaker 1: and those that do get elected in non partisan primaries
- 1:24:50Speaker 1: tend to get more shit done. That's just, you know,
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: because they have a larger constent. I mean, I've always
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: said I saw it in my own carloson Meenez is
- 1:24:57Speaker 1: a congressman from from Miami, was the mayor of the
- 1:25:00Speaker 1: county before he was a member of Congress. And he
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: was a mayor of the county, I knew he was Republican,
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: but he didn't. He didn't govern his politics didn't govern him.
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: Let he knew what his constituency was pretty purple, and
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: he governed that way. When he became a member of Congress,
- 1:25:15Speaker 1: he was He didn't certify that the twenty twenty election,
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: and it shocked me because I was like, wow, that
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: that isn't the way he governed as mayor. But he
- 1:25:23Speaker 1: had run in a very partisan Republican primary, right, So
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: I do think sometimes you govern towards the constituents that
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: elect you and how you get elected. Which is why
- 1:25:33Speaker 1: I think open primaries, you know, if we want to
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: get rid of polarization, I think primaries are start. But
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: here's the issue that I was speaking with Mayor Holt about.
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: He did an entire speech about pluralism, and it struck
- 1:25:48Speaker 1: me that here's a word that I'm guessing a lot
- 1:25:51Speaker 1: of people under the age of forty a half have
- 1:25:52Speaker 1: to look up. Yep. And it's because we have allowed
- 1:25:56Speaker 1: we do not you know, when we talk about yelling,
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: you know, And again I know this is going to
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: it's not that we don't teach civics. We don't teach
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: the American political system, yes, and the history of it.
- 1:26:11Speaker 1: And and it's I think there's two reasons for it.
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: One is I accept I think that to graduate high
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: school or to get into college, we have said there's
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: only two skills that matter are English and math. And
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: so if you're and then in fact you get funding
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: at local schools based on how well your kids perform
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: on a test that's mostly about English and math. There
- 1:26:42Speaker 1: is no requirement you know, on civics to either get
- 1:26:47Speaker 1: into college or to graduate high school. So what do
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: you think ends up happening? Right, Your incentive structure is
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: your best teachers. You're if you're a principal, If your
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: best teacher is a government teacher, you're like, man, I'm
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: wasting that teacher because my funding is based on how
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: well these students do on this test. So should we
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: be surprised that the first generation where we stopped teaching
- 1:27:09Speaker 1: civics and prioritizing it in our schools, which was essentially
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: the kids that started going to grade school from nineteen
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: ninety two forward, is powering this revolution and doesn't fully
- 1:27:21Speaker 1: understand democratic pluralism and that the American system is different
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: for a reason.
- 1:27:28Speaker 3: Oh, one hundred percent. And obviously this is the generation
- 1:27:33Speaker 3: that's been raised on social media, where you live in
- 1:27:37Speaker 3: your own epistemic bubble. All you're hearing are people that
- 1:27:40Speaker 3: agree with you absolutely start doing anything at all about news.
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: And it's all absolutees.
- 1:27:45Speaker 3: It's one hundred percent, and if you are outside of that,
- 1:27:48Speaker 3: you are bad. Last week I did Brett bear Shaw
- 1:27:53Speaker 3: and Fox, and just before us was Fred Ryan from
- 1:27:57Speaker 3: the Reagan Center and he was talking about this new thing.
- 1:28:00Speaker 3: They have the Civility Handbook, which is how to talk
- 1:28:02Speaker 3: to people with whom you disagree, and I actually ordered
- 1:28:05Speaker 3: a bunch of them for us because we have got
- 1:28:08Speaker 3: to figure out how to do this again, and it
- 1:28:11Speaker 3: has to become a bipartisan effort to figure out how
- 1:28:15Speaker 3: to talk to people with whom we disagree.
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: No, you can't, and it sounds you know the problem
- 1:28:21Speaker 1: is every time someone and you know, you got both
- 1:28:23Speaker 1: of us are now in we're middle aged, so we
- 1:28:25Speaker 1: just sound like cranky old people, and you know it is.
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: But we did let this lapse, right, you know, and
- 1:28:33Speaker 1: with it again, it was with good intentions, right, well, like,
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: look the thing you the most important skills you need
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: to get a good job and get into college or this.
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: You know, every other country around the world teaches their
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: political system in a more mandatory way than we do. Yeah,
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: and you know, I feel like when we had you know,
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: it's funny again, you and I grew up at the
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: late stage Cold War, so there was an ideological fight
- 1:29:03Speaker 1: we were having. So that's why there was an emphasis
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: on democracy and pluralism in this country. When we won
- 1:29:11Speaker 1: the fight, we kind of said, all right, we don't
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: need to do this anymore. And I wonder if that
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: is why we have that, and it looked I think
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: it explains why Latino voters are for the most part,
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: are not going down this socialism path. And we've seen
- 1:29:26Speaker 1: it because of what socialism is represented in Latin America.
- 1:29:32Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:29:33Speaker 3: In fact, to that point, one of the groups that
- 1:29:35Speaker 3: I was talking about earlier, the local groups, is a
- 1:29:39Speaker 3: group in Pittsburgh called the Beacon Coalition and they are
- 1:29:42Speaker 3: a group of Jews that are fighting back against what
- 1:29:44Speaker 3: the citizen anti semitism on the city council there in
- 1:29:48Speaker 3: the mayor and they got rid of a couple of
- 1:29:49Speaker 3: those folks and they have a great line. They said,
- 1:29:51Speaker 3: when you think about the DSA and socialism of that type,
- 1:29:55Speaker 3: don't think Norway, think Cuba, you know, like that is
- 1:29:59Speaker 3: what they are are. The Norwegian kind of type of
- 1:30:04Speaker 3: Nordic socialism is basically high tax is they get you good.
- 1:30:08Speaker 2: Serve public.
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: So it's European liberalism. It's not socialism, right because it
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: is still capitalism, totally capitalism.
- 1:30:17Speaker 3: Rather, what these guys are saying is seize the means
- 1:30:20Speaker 3: of production. And more importantly, to your point, be illiberal.
- 1:30:26Speaker 3: Do not but I liberal in the classical sense, do
- 1:30:29Speaker 3: not allow debate. If you cannot come into their space
- 1:30:35Speaker 3: and say we should have a discussion about Israel, if
- 1:30:38Speaker 3: you are not wholly on their page, you are excluded
- 1:30:43Speaker 3: from the debate. And that is deeply a liberal point
- 1:30:46Speaker 3: of view.
- 1:30:48Speaker 1: So let me go back to why the Democratic Party
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: is so vulnerable to this movement. It has been the leader,
- 1:30:56Speaker 1: it has been a failure since twenty sixteen. Right, it
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: is not successfully stood up to Trump. And you know,
- 1:31:03Speaker 1: I you know, I'm gonna try to put my head
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: in where the progresses are. We accepted the premise that
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: Biden was the best idea, So we accepted the premise
- 1:31:16Speaker 1: we compromise. Right, It's the same thing I heard from
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: the right about John McCain and m Romney and you lost.
- 1:31:23Speaker 1: And now it's like, you know, so, you know, do
- 1:31:30Speaker 1: you really think this is all about an inability to
- 1:31:33Speaker 1: have a good messenger?
- 1:31:36Speaker 3: Look, there is real truth to the idea that we
- 1:31:39Speaker 3: have failed as a party, and I think there's a
- 1:31:42Speaker 3: lot of blame to go around, including I mean Senator
- 1:31:46Speaker 3: Luck Donald.
- 1:31:47Speaker 1: The fact that the voters decided a second term of
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: Donald Trump was preferable is to me the most damning
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: aspect of the legacy of Joe Biden. Right. For me,
- 1:31:59Speaker 1: Joe Biden's leg see will forever be defined by his
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: inability to help the country a better president turns the page.
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: We don't go backwards in this country unless you're a
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: total and complete failure as a president. And I'm sorry
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: the country chose to go backward. We never go backward
- 1:32:18Speaker 1: to a president we fired and the fact that we did.
- 1:32:22Speaker 1: How is this not an indictment of the establishment wing
- 1:32:26Speaker 1: of the party.
- 1:32:27Speaker 2: Well, it's an indictment of Bidenism. But let's talk about
- 1:32:31Speaker 2: what that means.
- 1:32:33Speaker 3: I think two big things to keep in mind about
- 1:32:36Speaker 3: what Americans were rejecting three around Bidenism. One will I
- 1:32:40Speaker 3: will accept the establishment wing's failure around his age. Obviously
- 1:32:45Speaker 3: you've talked about that animlessly.
- 1:32:46Speaker 2: That's obvious.
- 1:32:47Speaker 3: There's two others. One is Joe Biden bragged and Bernie
- 1:32:52Speaker 3: Sanders touted the idea that he was the most progressive
- 1:32:55Speaker 3: president since FDR.
- 1:32:57Speaker 1: Now, the joke was, Biden beat Elizabeth Warren for the
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: nomination and she won the staff one.
- 1:33:03Speaker 3: Hundred percent, and she did, and that meant she was
- 1:33:07Speaker 3: Dave the one he signed an EO on the first
- 1:33:10Speaker 3: day that said we are not going to enforce the
- 1:33:12Speaker 3: immigration laws inside the country, and it took two and
- 1:33:14Speaker 3: a half years to control the border. And he did
- 1:33:16Speaker 3: a bunch of things like student loan forgiveness that were
- 1:33:18Speaker 3: driven by the left and were terrible politics. And so
- 1:33:22Speaker 3: that's number one. That they rejected his kind of progressivism,
- 1:33:26Speaker 3: that they didn't that voters didn't like and number two
- 1:33:29Speaker 3: is this kind of woke caricature. I'm not blaming this
- 1:33:35Speaker 3: entirely on Joe Biden himself, but the party shifted so
- 1:33:39Speaker 3: sharply in that direction on culture issues after twenty twenty
- 1:33:44Speaker 3: that rather than you know, Tim Wallace trying to make
- 1:33:48Speaker 3: the case that they were the weird ones, they thought
- 1:33:50Speaker 3: we were the weird ones. I mean, the exit polls
- 1:33:52Speaker 3: showed that more people thought that Harris was an extremist
- 1:33:55Speaker 3: than they thought Donald Trump was an extremist. And that
- 1:33:59Speaker 3: was in part because a broader brand problem with the
- 1:34:02Speaker 3: dumb crack Party, but it was also a bunch of
- 1:34:04Speaker 3: things that she didn't said when she ran for president
- 1:34:06Speaker 3: in twenty nineteen.
- 1:34:08Speaker 2: Obviously, the well.
- 1:34:09Speaker 1: That was Look, I've always you know, it's so funny
- 1:34:12Speaker 1: about you know, the Democratic Party, you know, was sort
- 1:34:15Speaker 1: of high on its own supply starting at that June debate,
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: right it is, it is the nightmare debate. I hated it.
- 1:34:22Speaker 1: I had to moderate, you know, two days back. I mean,
- 1:34:25Speaker 1: the dumbest formats we could have come up with, and
- 1:34:29Speaker 1: it was the best version of the dumb format. But
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: you know, I had a few other I had a
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: few other better ideas to try to create bite sized formats,
- 1:34:38Speaker 1: but you couldn't get the candidates to agree. Logistically, I
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: wanted to do a little like fifteen minute for candidate
- 1:34:46Speaker 1: you know buckets essentially, so that you had an opportunity
- 1:34:51Speaker 1: to get to know everybody in a smaller setting. But
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: you know that that was too cifix minded, right, not
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: for television, right, But either way, that six month period
- 1:35:02Speaker 1: and you can actually extend it right, June of nineteen
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: through June of twenty twenty five to twenty twenty, the
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: Democratic Party went really far left in its way. He
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: left in its in its rhetoric, not necessarily in its
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: actual you know actions. The platform wasn't super lefty and
- 1:35:24Speaker 1: all of that, but rhetorically the party did go pretty left.
- 1:35:28Speaker 2: I mean the famous hand raising that was, I mean,
- 1:35:31Speaker 2: I think criminalized.
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: The border and the irony is I don't. I actually
- 1:35:35Speaker 1: think Joe Biden didn't hear the question, which is the
- 1:35:37Speaker 1: only reason why he didn't raise his hand.
- 1:35:39Speaker 2: But maybe it worked out for him.
- 1:35:42Speaker 3: But yeah, there was all this performative crap and all
- 1:35:47Speaker 3: of it was very left coded, and that mattered and
- 1:35:51Speaker 3: it changed the way people thought about the party. Biden
- 1:35:54Speaker 3: obercame it for the general election, and he basically was like,
- 1:36:00Speaker 3: do you think I'm a lefty? And that worked in
- 1:36:02Speaker 3: twenty twenty, but then he immediately became a lefty and
- 1:36:05Speaker 3: so all this doctor original question. I mean, I just
- 1:36:09Speaker 3: don't think that Harris's loss can be attributed to the
- 1:36:14Speaker 3: kind of center left. She did try to modify her
- 1:36:18Speaker 3: moderate herself when she ran for those one hundred and
- 1:36:20Speaker 3: seven days. And look, I liked her speech at convention.
- 1:36:23Speaker 3: I think she did a pretty good job, or she
- 1:36:25Speaker 3: did the best she could, but she was carrying a
- 1:36:27Speaker 3: lot of baggage from the administration and from her own run.
- 1:36:39Speaker 1: Look, Hubert Humphrey was one of the more talented politicians
- 1:36:42Speaker 1: in the history of the Democratic Party. But you know
- 1:36:45Speaker 1: he lost for the same reason Kamala Harra law. Kamala
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: Harris lost. The president that he served was unpopular. The
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: president that she served was unpopular. You know what we
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: don't do in this country elect vice presidents of unpopular
- 1:36:59Speaker 1: president That we've never doalet to my knowledge.
- 1:37:03Speaker 2: I mean, I worked for al Gore. He was a
- 1:37:05Speaker 2: vice president to a popular president.
- 1:37:07Speaker 1: Right, but he got punished. He got punished for the
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: character issues. You know, like, sure, there's no doubt that
- 1:37:14Speaker 1: five hundred and thirty eight votes, we're get a hold votes. Yeah.
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: But yeah, but for Lewinsky, you know, you know, so
- 1:37:25Speaker 1: it is it is really hard to win as a
- 1:37:27Speaker 1: sitting vice president if your president doesn't have an approval
- 1:37:30Speaker 1: rating over sixty percent.
- 1:37:32Speaker 3: Absolutely, So she probably had like nine fatal wounds going
- 1:37:38Speaker 3: into that election, but one of them was that she
- 1:37:41Speaker 3: went too far left herself in twenty nineteen. So all
- 1:37:44Speaker 3: this is to say, we've got to make sure that
- 1:37:48Speaker 3: our field does not impete that mistake.
- 1:37:51Speaker 1: Okay, but you know, it's funny now, and I guess
- 1:37:53Speaker 1: that's the question. Michigan Senate primary is a great example
- 1:37:55Speaker 1: of this. Yeah, so it's funny how this primary has
- 1:38:01Speaker 1: sort of already been a roller coaster and we still
- 1:38:06Speaker 1: got about six weeks before voting. Yes, So it first
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: starts in Hailey Stevens looks like she's going to be
- 1:38:12Speaker 1: you know, she starts out as the heavy favorite. It's
- 1:38:14Speaker 1: Alyssa's slock and two points. Oh okay, we think we
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: know where this is going. And Mallory McMorrow had her
- 1:38:21Speaker 1: viral moment and all this stuff, So at first it
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: looked like Hailey Stevens. Then you saw the sort of
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: you know, the pylon on her, the establishment anger, the
- 1:38:30Speaker 1: apac anger, and it's like, okay, you saw and then
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: it became this interesting three way race, and you had
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: three candidates that perhaps we're representing three distinct factions of
- 1:38:41Speaker 1: the party at the moment. You had your progressive Bernie
- 1:38:44Speaker 1: Sanders wing. You had your establishment call it the Chuck
- 1:38:48Speaker 1: Schumer leadership wing, and then you had what Mallory McMorrow
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: was trying to do, which is straddle the two sides.
- 1:38:55Speaker 1: And for a bit of time it looked like the
- 1:38:59Speaker 1: establishing was going you know what, Stevens can't win, screw it,
- 1:39:02Speaker 1: Let's go with McMorrow. And there was a little bit
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: of flirtation with her. She had her own I think
- 1:39:09Speaker 1: my guess is some APO people dropped some of that
- 1:39:11Speaker 1: stuff and from the Stephens world and McMorrow, right, McMorrow
- 1:39:15Speaker 1: suddenly became looked less attractive to that wing of the party.
- 1:39:19Speaker 1: So now you see McMorrow, the person trying to straddle
- 1:39:22Speaker 1: the two wings is the one that's shrinking and the
- 1:39:26Speaker 1: two that are growing. Really Bill say it is growing
- 1:39:29Speaker 1: more is that if you're a changed candidate, here's Staley
- 1:39:34Speaker 1: Stephens problem. She's on the wrong side of change, perhaps
- 1:39:40Speaker 1: a duel site. She's running to be Gary Peters heir
- 1:39:43Speaker 1: apparent right, it is not a change, and I think
- 1:39:48Speaker 1: that's what makes this extraordinarily difficult where at least, and
- 1:39:52Speaker 1: that's why for a while I thought McMorrow frankly was
- 1:39:55Speaker 1: the best. If you were concerned about Abdul al Sayeed,
- 1:39:58Speaker 1: I would have been like, you're better off supporting McMorrow
- 1:40:01Speaker 1: because she might be able to win some progressives. But
- 1:40:03Speaker 1: what is going to be you know, Kamala Harris is
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: going to look twenty nineteen is going to look moderate
- 1:40:09Speaker 1: compared to what the democract and Cratic electorate may be
- 1:40:12Speaker 1: demanding come twenty twenty seven and twenty twenty eight.
- 1:40:15Speaker 2: Depends on what you mean by the Democratic electorate.
- 1:40:17Speaker 3: So first of all, much will depend on the map
- 1:40:20Speaker 3: that we don't know yet, but presumably it'll be some
- 1:40:23Speaker 3: version of New Hampshire.
- 1:40:25Speaker 1: Michigan goes first. Do you think you want that? Now?
- 1:40:28Speaker 1: I don't think it will go first, but yeah, you
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: want Michigan in the early window. You think this is
- 1:40:32Speaker 1: a good idea for the Democratic It's a good question.
- 1:40:36Speaker 1: And look, what's happening there is scary. I will say
- 1:40:40Speaker 1: the three way nature of the race is helping. I'll
- 1:40:44Speaker 1: they'll say buy a you know, a lot, and there's
- 1:40:47Speaker 1: still a lot undersided. So I don't if one of
- 1:40:49Speaker 1: them drops out, and I think, by the way, if
- 1:40:51Speaker 1: by July first one of them is seriously trailing that
- 1:40:54Speaker 1: they have an obligation to do what Pete and Amy
- 1:40:57Speaker 1: did in twenty twenty, which is to bet.
- 1:41:00Speaker 2: I'm I have.
- 1:41:04Speaker 1: It's interesting you bring that up because like three weeks ago,
- 1:41:08Speaker 1: the pressure looked like it was going to be on Stevens,
- 1:41:09Speaker 1: and now it looks like the pressure is going to be.
- 1:41:11Speaker 3: On my flipt Yeah, and look, I'd be fine with
- 1:41:15Speaker 3: either room. But the polling does show that Stevens is
- 1:41:17Speaker 3: doing better now, so and that may be driven by money,
- 1:41:21Speaker 3: but that's how politics works, you know, and you just
- 1:41:24Speaker 3: I think we have to be pretty bloodless about this.
- 1:41:27Speaker 3: So I don't know what's going to happen in that race.
- 1:41:29Speaker 3: I don't think they'll say it's lead at the moment,
- 1:41:32Speaker 3: which is a plurality, is an indication that the Michigan
- 1:41:36Speaker 3: Democratic elector.
- 1:41:37Speaker 2: Has gone completely mad. I don't think that that's necessarily
- 1:41:40Speaker 2: the case.
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: No, I think he represents change though, and I don't
- 1:41:42Speaker 1: know if Hailey Stevens does. It's I mean, I understand
- 1:41:46Speaker 1: why his message. Look, I had him on the pod.
- 1:41:49Speaker 1: He's a very charismatic oh candidate, he's you know, we
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: had a very thoughtful debate about the use of the
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: word genocide. I just find it just like, this is
- 1:41:58Speaker 1: not it, you know, as I said to him, the
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: minute you say it, I no longer hear anything else
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: you're saying. Right, it doesn't feel like a rational debate.
- 1:42:07Speaker 1: You know, it's like screaming Nazi at somebody, right, Like
- 1:42:09Speaker 1: you know, it's the Godwin's law. Right. The minute you
- 1:42:11Speaker 1: start comparing somebody to Hitler, you know, everybody gets their
- 1:42:14Speaker 1: defense mechanisms up and you no longer have a You're
- 1:42:18Speaker 1: no longer having reasonable debate. The minute you drop the left,
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: drops the G word, it is not to me a
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: serious accusation. It is more of a a siren song
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: to you know, go after the Jews. And I know
- 1:42:33Speaker 1: I don't believe that is what Abdul sai Ed believes.
- 1:42:35Speaker 1: I really don't, Okay, I don't, but that is what
- 1:42:40Speaker 1: happens when you virtue signal with that word. But the
- 1:42:43Speaker 1: point is he's you know, I I I think he
- 1:42:46Speaker 1: can win it to a race possibly.
- 1:42:49Speaker 3: Look, you know, he's very good, obviously a very charasmatic
- 1:42:52Speaker 3: guy like Mamdani was was dominant figure.
- 1:42:56Speaker 2: Being charismatic matters in politics. We'll see.
- 1:43:00Speaker 3: I don't know, however, I think all of this is
- 1:43:05Speaker 3: quite different than presidential races, where first of all, you've
- 1:43:08Speaker 3: got to get through South Carolina, which is the wall
- 1:43:11Speaker 3: that Bernie ran into headfirst in twenty twenty. And South
- 1:43:16Speaker 3: Carolina voters are predominantly African American and they are very,
- 1:43:21Speaker 3: very moderate. And by the way, after South Carolina, as
- 1:43:26Speaker 3: you know, they went on a Super Tuesday and then
- 1:43:28Speaker 3: they went to Massachusetts and elsewhere and Joe Biden crushed
- 1:43:32Speaker 3: Sanders and.
- 1:43:33Speaker 1: Then I don't I mean, Matt, I know what the data.
- 1:43:37Speaker 1: I take your point. In the data, I think there
- 1:43:41Speaker 1: is nothing to learn from twenty twenty primary season because
- 1:43:45Speaker 1: I don't accept the premise that Biden wins that nomination
- 1:43:49Speaker 1: without COVID and COVID total nomination or the general the nomination,
- 1:43:55Speaker 1: and I believe that in the general, but the nomination,
- 1:43:58Speaker 1: you know, it is COVID was in the ether. It
- 1:44:02Speaker 1: was at that point when Amy and Pete dropped out,
- 1:44:06Speaker 1: and it was this sense of, oh my god, South
- 1:44:08Speaker 1: Carolina is going to probably be the whole ballgame. What
- 1:44:10Speaker 1: if this is the last primary? And so it became
- 1:44:13Speaker 1: this and so look, I think in Earth too, with
- 1:44:16Speaker 1: no COVID, Bernie doesn't get out. Bernie got out out
- 1:44:20Speaker 1: of because COVID was happening. If there's no COVID, Bernie
- 1:44:23Speaker 1: doesn't get out, and that's a that's a knife fight convention,
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: and it might be at a you know, look, I
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: believe that without COVID it's Pete and Bernie all the
- 1:44:34Speaker 1: way to the convention, not.
- 1:44:36Speaker 3: Probably be no way of knowing. The point is, presidential
- 1:44:40Speaker 3: primaries are completely suey generous every time. This kind of
- 1:44:45Speaker 3: confirms your point, like who the hell knows? Like the
- 1:44:49Speaker 3: data set is small, it's very unique, the moment is
- 1:44:53Speaker 3: unique every time. My deep belief is that there will
- 1:44:59Speaker 3: be so many probably a charismatic person in the super
- 1:45:03Speaker 3: far left lane. The question is can the person in
- 1:45:07Speaker 3: the more mainstream lane. And I don't think that means
- 1:45:09Speaker 3: they're going to be a self identified moderate. They're not
- 1:45:11Speaker 3: going to have moderate on their yard side, just a
- 1:45:14Speaker 3: mainstream candidate. Will that person be able to run as
- 1:45:17Speaker 3: a change candidate, because I think you're totally right. If
- 1:45:20Speaker 3: you're running as like status qua, you're dead. Which is
- 1:45:23Speaker 3: why I think it's going to be super hard for
- 1:45:25Speaker 3: you know, senators in particular to do this. But if
- 1:45:30Speaker 3: you're a governor, you know, and if you're Jos Shapiro,
- 1:45:34Speaker 3: at leave aside the Israel thing for a second.
- 1:45:35Speaker 1: But if you're Josh Biyhill, I leave that aside.
- 1:45:37Speaker 2: Okay, okay, but just for a second.
- 1:45:40Speaker 3: I just kicked ass and the most important general elections
- 1:45:43Speaker 3: state in the nation, I get shipped done. I fixed
- 1:45:46Speaker 3: ninety five and you know, six minutes that and I'm
- 1:45:51Speaker 3: going to come into Washington and do what I did
- 1:45:54Speaker 3: in the ninety five thing, which is you know, they
- 1:45:56Speaker 3: told me it was going to take three months, and
- 1:45:58Speaker 3: I said, you have three days. That's going to be
- 1:46:01Speaker 3: a pretty powerful message. Now, Shapiro himself, UH does have
- 1:46:06Speaker 3: to grapple with the Israel question, and we don't know
- 1:46:08Speaker 3: what that will look like. But I will say this,
- 1:46:10Speaker 3: remember that God willing men, Yahoo will be gone by
- 1:46:14Speaker 3: that UH, and that could change the dynamic.
- 1:46:18Speaker 1: That is an important point I agree with that I think. Look,
- 1:46:23Speaker 1: I've always said, you know, the reason the Democratic parties
- 1:46:26Speaker 1: divided on Israel is because bb net now who hated
- 1:46:30Speaker 1: Barack Obama, and he played politics and he essentially destroyed
- 1:46:37Speaker 1: the bipartisan goodwill that Israel had engendered in this country
- 1:46:42Speaker 1: utterly by deciding to become a partisan hack. Right, Bibie
- 1:46:46Speaker 1: became a partisan hack because he got convinced by one
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: major donor that it was the right move and you know,
- 1:46:54Speaker 1: the Agelsn's, and it was. It has been. What they
- 1:46:59Speaker 1: have what they have done is successfully isolated Israel around
- 1:47:02Speaker 1: the world. It is been the biggest political strategic mistake
- 1:47:06Speaker 1: in the history of Israel was BB's decision to become
- 1:47:10Speaker 1: a partisan warrior on behalf of the Republican Party back
- 1:47:14Speaker 1: and during the Obama And I think it for a
- 1:47:18Speaker 1: generation of Democrats of a certain age. This is why
- 1:47:23Speaker 1: it is not lost on me that essentially you look
- 1:47:26Speaker 1: among Democratic primary voters under the age of forty five
- 1:47:29Speaker 1: and frankly it's all voters under the age of thirty
- 1:47:31Speaker 1: five these days, and their views of Israel. It is
- 1:47:34Speaker 1: I you know, I absolutely believe BB uniquely has polarized
- 1:47:41Speaker 1: this issue in this country. By playing the politics that
- 1:47:45Speaker 1: he played and doing the bitty of his major donors.
- 1:47:48Speaker 1: So I do think if he goes, it might be
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: the relief valve that is necessary.
- 1:47:55Speaker 2: Yeah, not for the octopus base. Now for I am worried.
- 1:47:58Speaker 1: I am worried that frankly, Donald Trump has actually become
- 1:48:05Speaker 1: so unpopular that Bbe might be able to do what
- 1:48:08Speaker 1: he does best, which is play the fear card to survive. Well,
- 1:48:11Speaker 1: nobody else will be tough enough to take on the Iranians.
- 1:48:13Speaker 1: You know, I'm the crazy SOB that will bomb the Iranians,
- 1:48:17Speaker 1: and you you know the next prime minister won't. And
- 1:48:19Speaker 1: I worry now that Trump's actually made that political messaging
- 1:48:24Speaker 1: more potentially more successful for b become the fall.
- 1:48:29Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, if you think our political system is
- 1:48:31Speaker 2: a mess.
- 1:48:32Speaker 1: So I know, I joke. I don't know whether we've
- 1:48:34Speaker 1: exported Israel's political medal, we exported it to them, or
- 1:48:38Speaker 1: they we've imported. I mean, you know, they are hopelessly divided.
- 1:48:42Speaker 1: I mean, think about their system. Here's a guy who's
- 1:48:45Speaker 1: got what thirty five percent job approval right right, who's
- 1:48:49Speaker 1: been able to have a stranglehold. Sounds familiar, right.
- 1:48:52Speaker 2: Very familiar.
- 1:48:53Speaker 3: And by the way, in addition to all the things
- 1:48:55Speaker 3: you just mentioned, which I very much agree with, I
- 1:48:57Speaker 3: traveled in nineteen ninety eight with the Vice President Gore
- 1:49:01Speaker 3: to Israel where we met the Prime minister and it
- 1:49:03Speaker 3: was BB Net and Yahoo in nineteen ninety eight, like
- 1:49:07Speaker 3: the guy has just been there to goddamn long and
- 1:49:10Speaker 3: by kids, they yeah.
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: The already is. Every American president gets to the point
- 1:49:14Speaker 1: where they tell BB to f off, and it is
- 1:49:16Speaker 1: exactly like clockwork, w Bush, Bill Clinton, w Obama, if
- 1:49:24Speaker 1: Trump right by like the If there is one thing
- 1:49:28Speaker 1: that all of these presidents have in common is they
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: think BB's an SOB they do.
- 1:49:33Speaker 2: Yeah, it does. It's the only thing that unites them.
- 1:49:36Speaker 3: But and now even Trump, uh so, Look, I think
- 1:49:41Speaker 3: if the Israelis can get their act together and get
- 1:49:44Speaker 3: rid of him, even Look, the next Prime Minister is
- 1:49:46Speaker 3: not going to be a liberal. It'll be somebody like
- 1:49:48Speaker 3: Taly Bennett or no, and somebody I thought was pretty
- 1:49:52Speaker 3: far right, like you know, not long ago. But if
- 1:49:56Speaker 3: it's not Yahoo, I do think to use the relief
- 1:49:59Speaker 3: oult could be significant for Democrats.
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: What can you learn from the DSA? What should the
- 1:50:07Speaker 1: democratic establishment learn from the DSA.
- 1:50:11Speaker 3: I think you've made this point already, which is they
- 1:50:15Speaker 3: are right that the status quo is deeply broken. If
- 1:50:19Speaker 3: you are running to preserve a restore of status quo
- 1:50:23Speaker 3: ante before Trump, you're insane. This country is not working
- 1:50:29Speaker 3: for working people at all. They've been screwed and we
- 1:50:34Speaker 3: all own a piece of this, and we have got
- 1:50:37Speaker 3: to figure out a way to offer ideas that are
- 1:50:40Speaker 3: to scale and that feel like they can make a
- 1:50:42Speaker 3: difference in people's lives.
- 1:50:44Speaker 1: You know, what does it say about the brand of
- 1:50:46Speaker 1: the Democratic Party that Dan Osborne thinks he has a
- 1:50:48Speaker 1: better chance to win as an independent.
- 1:50:51Speaker 2: That it's really crappy in places are in this century.
- 1:50:56Speaker 1: Nebraska had two US senators at the beginning of the center.
- 1:51:00Speaker 3: Rosca South Dakota and North Dakota, Louisiana, Arkansas. I mean,
- 1:51:04Speaker 3: we have had senators and places that are now unthinkable
- 1:51:07Speaker 3: to have senators within like recent memory. So we have
- 1:51:14Speaker 3: We're in bad shape. Our party has become much too small.
- 1:51:19Speaker 3: I will say, I want to give it one glimmer
- 1:51:21Speaker 3: of hope, and that's Iowa. Iowa could be turning around.
- 1:51:26Speaker 3: Rob sand is going to win the governor's race.
- 1:51:28Speaker 2: There.
- 1:51:28Speaker 3: We have a shot at winning the Senate race. We
- 1:51:30Speaker 3: have a shot at winning three of the House races. Iowa,
- 1:51:33Speaker 3: which went very sharply towards Trump, is coming back.
- 1:51:37Speaker 1: No. I it's interesting and I'm curious that there's a
- 1:51:43Speaker 1: there's an interesting experiment that I'm comparing in Texas and
- 1:51:46Speaker 1: Florida because I think ultimately, if the Democratic Party doesn't
- 1:51:51Speaker 1: figure out it, but one of those two Sun Belt
- 1:51:52Speaker 1: states in play, they're going to have a mass problems
- 1:51:55Speaker 1: for a long time. You know, it's always going to
- 1:51:57Speaker 1: have to be these inside straights in order to pull this. Uh,
- 1:52:02Speaker 1: it's interesting me that the Democratic ticket in Texas is
- 1:52:05Speaker 1: decidedly progressive and the Democratic ticket in Florida is decidedly
- 1:52:10Speaker 1: third way. Yes, right, you know, is that a fair
- 1:52:17Speaker 1: barometer to test which which is the better direction for
- 1:52:20Speaker 1: the party to go?
- 1:52:21Speaker 3: Well, I mean the problem is the very different states,
- 1:52:24Speaker 3: and they both have, you know, obviously trended pretty far
- 1:52:26Speaker 3: to the right recently. But I don't think and look,
- 1:52:30Speaker 3: candidate quality matters. James tal Rico is a very good candidate.
- 1:52:33Speaker 1: And although Tim Wallas was a good candidate and quickly
- 1:52:37Speaker 1: got turned into weird, and I do think tall Rico
- 1:52:41Speaker 1: has a real challenge on his hands on on sort
- 1:52:46Speaker 1: of being turned into that that he's not the mainstream guy.
- 1:52:50Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure.
- 1:52:51Speaker 3: I mean, and they're they're doing their damndest with AI
- 1:52:53Speaker 3: videos and all this other crap. But and look, I
- 1:52:57Speaker 3: think he's still got a very very uphill battle in Texas.
- 1:53:01Speaker 3: But he's a good candidate. You know, our candidates in
- 1:53:04Speaker 3: Florida are pretty good. But so comparing them as apples apples,
- 1:53:09Speaker 3: I think is very hard.
- 1:53:10Speaker 1: Well, it is interesting that you know, tall Rico and
- 1:53:13Speaker 1: to a lesser extent, though, I've spent some time with Geenae.
- 1:53:15Speaker 1: You know, she's very compelling and I think she's going
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: to be have I think, you know, she's my surprise
- 1:53:23Speaker 1: showing of the Night on November, Like I don't buy,
- 1:53:25Speaker 1: but I think, you know, voters, voters rarely enjoy electing
- 1:53:29Speaker 1: a governor to a fourth term, and so there's always
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: a lot more she's going to get in the high forties.
- 1:53:35Speaker 1: I'm pretty convinced. The question is is it forty six
- 1:53:37Speaker 1: or is it forty eight or forty nine? And then
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: David Jolly at Florida and in some ways to a
- 1:53:42Speaker 1: lesser extent, Vindman are both going basically running as generic moderates,
- 1:53:47Speaker 1: and they're kind of saying, hey, we're not We're not
- 1:53:49Speaker 1: the charismatic team. Yes, right, I don't know if boring works.
- 1:53:55Speaker 3: No, boring doesn't work. I mean Bill Clinton wasn't boring.
- 1:53:58Speaker 3: Bill Clinton was interesting and exciting and also moderate. You
- 1:54:03Speaker 3: can be both things, and it's important that you do.
- 1:54:08Speaker 2: And we've got.
- 1:54:09Speaker 3: Interesting, compelling, exciting people running as moderates in page cognity,
- 1:54:14Speaker 3: running for the house in Pennsylvania. We've got a whole
- 1:54:18Speaker 3: bunch of them, Rebecca Bennett in New Jersey. There are plenty,
- 1:54:23Speaker 3: but they don't get as much attention as these kind
- 1:54:28Speaker 3: of loons in New York are getting. And that's too bad.
- 1:54:32Speaker 3: And I'm hoping this is what happened twenty eighteen. Twenty eighteen,
- 1:54:35Speaker 3: the initial storyline was like, oh my god, look at
- 1:54:37Speaker 3: AOC and the squad and holy and then it was
- 1:54:39Speaker 3: like wait, no, thirty four.
- 1:54:41Speaker 1: House Stamburger and yeah right, and you got no, no, no, no,
- 1:54:45Speaker 1: and then you know, the lion's share of these new
- 1:54:49Speaker 1: I hear you. But you know, the moderates are never
- 1:54:53Speaker 1: in leadership. I mean, like that's the issue in both
- 1:54:58Speaker 1: parties these days. You know, I think you want to
- 1:55:01Speaker 1: talk about my frustration and why I think that we Frankly,
- 1:55:06Speaker 1: both parties need a scare from a third party or
- 1:55:09Speaker 1: an independent in order to sober up. And that is
- 1:55:14Speaker 1: the swing voters are only cared about for elections. They're
- 1:55:17Speaker 1: not cared about for governing. And the first entity that
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: figures out how to make that connection is suddenly going
- 1:55:23Speaker 1: to have a constituency of swing voters that can become
- 1:55:26Speaker 1: a base. And I just think both parties are flirting
- 1:55:29Speaker 1: with disaster here if they're not careful.
- 1:55:31Speaker 3: I couldn't agree more, which is why your thing about Warren.
- 1:55:35Speaker 3: You know, ultimately winning the staffing was a catastrophe for Democrats.
- 1:55:40Speaker 3: And by the way, on the other side, I will
- 1:55:43Speaker 3: never forget Trump and Trump won. Like in the third
- 1:55:47Speaker 3: week he was in the White House, he held a
- 1:55:48Speaker 3: meeting in the Roosevelt Room with all the labor leaders
- 1:55:51Speaker 3: and I thought.
- 1:55:52Speaker 2: Oh my god, we are screwed, Like if he's got.
- 1:55:58Speaker 3: Yeah, but he's going to co opt our higher coalition.
- 1:56:02Speaker 3: And then he just you know, spun out.
- 1:56:03Speaker 2: But if he had, if he had been more disciplined,
- 1:56:06Speaker 2: we would have been in real trouble.
- 1:56:08Speaker 1: No, it's a it's a but for you know, discipline.
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: But then again there's thankfully there's a lot of authoritarians
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: where their narcissism got in the way for sure to succeed.
- 1:56:20Speaker 1: So it is with there, So let me try to
- 1:56:24Speaker 1: land this plane. Okay, what does success look like for
- 1:56:30Speaker 1: your wing of the Democratic Party come November?
- 1:56:34Speaker 3: Very similar to twenty eighteen, which is, we can't stop
- 1:56:37Speaker 3: the storyline about look at the exciting lefties. But what
- 1:56:42Speaker 3: we can do is say the majority was made by
- 1:56:46Speaker 3: the moderates, the check on Trump was provided by moderates,
- 1:56:51Speaker 3: and that is where our party needs to go in
- 1:56:55Speaker 3: twenty twenty eight.
- 1:56:56Speaker 1: And if Graham, Plattner and Abdul say Ed are part
- 1:56:58Speaker 1: of a Democratic Senate majority, that it's hard. Does that
- 1:57:02Speaker 1: mean you've lost?
- 1:57:03Speaker 2: Yeah, No, it means it's harder.
- 1:57:06Speaker 3: First of all, I am deeply skeptical that I'll say
- 1:57:09Speaker 3: I could beat Mike Rogers, but you know, we'll see Trump's.
- 1:57:13Speaker 1: Pretty unpopular, you know, you know what I mean? Like
- 1:57:16Speaker 1: this is how you know, It's sort of like how
- 1:57:18Speaker 1: did Matt you know the Tea Party won in twenty
- 1:57:20Speaker 1: fourteen and twenty ten because the Democrats were unpopular in
- 1:57:24Speaker 1: that moment, right, you know, so a lot of people
- 1:57:26Speaker 1: who normally couldn't win generals did so it's true.
- 1:57:29Speaker 3: That so look, it's if those guys both win, I
- 1:57:32Speaker 3: will stipulate that our job has gotten harder, there is
- 1:57:35Speaker 3: no doubt. But there's going to be a whole bunch
- 1:57:39Speaker 3: more moderates who have won that have made the House
- 1:57:42Speaker 3: majority that may be making the Senate majority.
- 1:57:45Speaker 2: I mean, Josh Turuk is not grand Platiner.
- 1:57:48Speaker 3: And so if Mary Poltola and Turuk and some of
- 1:57:51Speaker 3: these people are able to win, that's going to be
- 1:57:53Speaker 3: a countervailing storyline. And both sides are going to have
- 1:57:56Speaker 3: cases to make going into twenty eight.
- 1:57:59Speaker 1: And what would you do if you were Chuck Schumer
- 1:58:02Speaker 1: right now?
- 1:58:03Speaker 3: Oh man, I would make clear that I'm not running
- 1:58:07Speaker 3: in twenty eight and that I would make sure.
- 1:58:11Speaker 2: Would you do it now? Would you?
- 1:58:12Speaker 1: Would you do it like before November?
- 1:58:16Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 1:58:16Speaker 3: Probably I would. I mean, Brian Shotts is waiting in
- 1:58:20Speaker 3: the wings. He's in the position Chuck was in with
- 1:58:22Speaker 3: Red where he's very lug.
- 1:58:24Speaker 1: But Brian, but he's got to be careful here. If
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: he looks too close to Schumer, I know, it becomes
- 1:58:29Speaker 1: a litman, he becomes a litmus test and a negative
- 1:58:32Speaker 1: right right.
- 1:58:33Speaker 3: But you know, Elizabeth Warren should not be the majority
- 1:58:38Speaker 3: leader or the leader of the Democrats.
- 1:58:40Speaker 2: On said what about Chris Murphy.
- 1:58:42Speaker 3: I mean, I think both of them are too far left,
- 1:58:46Speaker 3: a too left code of First of all, Warren's too old,
- 1:58:49Speaker 3: like you know, we're not going to replace a seventy
- 1:58:51Speaker 3: eight year old with a seventy six year old or
- 1:58:53Speaker 3: whatever she is. And Murphy has thrown in his lot
- 1:58:57Speaker 3: with the left in a fairly aggressive way in ways
- 1:59:00Speaker 3: that Shots, who has credibility on the left, has not.
- 1:59:03Speaker 3: And I think you need somebody that can manage the
- 1:59:07Speaker 3: Senate coalition is broad, and we just discussed the only
- 1:59:11Speaker 3: way to win majorities is to win in tough places.
- 1:59:14Speaker 3: And I don't think we want Chris Murphy being the
- 1:59:16Speaker 3: face of the Democrats on the set.
- 1:59:17Speaker 1: No, I mean, I I am a I am A.
- 1:59:20Speaker 1: I think Shots is I sort of see him as
- 1:59:23Speaker 1: sort of what John Thune is for the Republicans. He's
- 1:59:25Speaker 1: kind of this guy that that that is everybody likes,
- 1:59:30Speaker 1: nobody dislikes, right, It's sort of it is a Goldilocks thing.
- 1:59:36Speaker 1: But that doesn't mean it's easy to govern, right show,
- 1:59:39Speaker 1: that's pretty hard.
- 1:59:40Speaker 2: It's super hard for everybody.
- 1:59:41Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, Well, Matt, it's a uh is the mom
- 1:59:46Speaker 1: Donnie Tuesday? Is it an earthquake or we don't know
- 1:59:50Speaker 1: yet a minor one.
- 1:59:52Speaker 2: I don't think it's a I don't think it's a
- 1:59:54Speaker 2: split the earth earthquake. But it's a it's it should
- 1:59:57Speaker 2: shake us up for sure.
- 2:00:00Speaker 1: Well, this was a fascinating conversation. Appreciate the time.
- 2:00:03Speaker 2: Great talk here.
- 2:00:12Speaker 1: Well as you can say, I thought it would be
- 2:00:14Speaker 1: important to hear from sort of stage center, if you will,
- 2:00:17Speaker 1: on the center left wing of the of the Democratic Party.
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: What are they thinking after Mom Donnie. I think Matt
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: Bennett in many ways is sort of speaks for that. Again,
- 2:00:31Speaker 1: some will call it mainstream, but I understand those that
- 2:00:33Speaker 1: find that offensive by calling that mainstream versus something else.
- 2:00:36Speaker 1: But the essentially I probably would call it the more
- 2:00:41Speaker 1: business friendly wing of the Democratic Party. I think they
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: would call themselves mainstream, they would call themselves the pragmatist,
- 2:00:49Speaker 1: but really, you know, the broad sort of Clinton Obama
- 2:00:55Speaker 1: wing of the party, which I would have said was
- 2:00:57Speaker 1: there was a distinction between the Clinton wing and the
- 2:00:59Speaker 1: opening fifteen years ago. I think there's less of that
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: distinction today as the party has shifted a bit to
- 2:01:06Speaker 1: the left. But as you can hear, it's interesting. I
- 2:01:12Speaker 1: will say this. I think if Matt Bennett is speaking
- 2:01:20Speaker 1: for the establishment wing of the party, they seemed to
- 2:01:25Speaker 1: be willing to fight this growing base inside their party
- 2:01:29Speaker 1: harder than for instance, the Thune, McConnell, Bush, whatever you
- 2:01:33Speaker 1: want to call it. The Bush Romney wing seemed to
- 2:01:36Speaker 1: have less fight in them, you know, to a point.
- 2:01:42Speaker 1: You know, there was a real fight in twenty sixteen,
- 2:01:44Speaker 1: but they they didn't, you know, they sort of they
- 2:01:48Speaker 1: didn't go all the way at the convention right ted
- 2:01:50Speaker 1: Cruise wanted to, and nobody followed. And I think part
- 2:01:55Speaker 1: of that problem is the mainstream wing of the party
- 2:01:57Speaker 1: didn't trust Cruise. They didn't trust Cruise is their vehicle.
- 2:02:02Speaker 1: I think if Cruise had been more trusted by the
- 2:02:04Speaker 1: McConnell wing and the McConnell Bush Romney world broadly, perhaps
- 2:02:11Speaker 1: they get more enthusiastically behind Cruise. So that's going to
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: be what's intriguing to me about watching where of these
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: three buckets of Democrats, socialist progressives, the sort of mainstream
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: progressives and you know, sort of the progressive capitalists and
- 2:02:33Speaker 1: then this sort of Obama Clinton wing, which one of
- 2:02:37Speaker 1: them has to capitulate? Right? Where does the coalition leader
- 2:02:43Speaker 1: come from? Which wing of that party? And that's why
- 2:02:49Speaker 1: I'm I think you can see the energy at the
- 2:02:52Speaker 1: moment feels like it's coming more from the left than
- 2:02:55Speaker 1: it will be coming from the Obama Clinton wing. But
- 2:02:58Speaker 1: as he said, a charismatic candidate can change a lot
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: of things. But right now, chrismas all on the progressive left.
- 2:03:06Speaker 1: All right, let's do some questions ask Chuck. Matt from
- 2:03:12Speaker 1: Florida writes, Hey, I really enjoyed a recent episode on
- 2:03:14Speaker 1: the baby fee boomer generation. My dad, a boomer, watches
- 2:03:17Speaker 1: Fox News every night and often acknowledges Trump's flaws but
- 2:03:20Speaker 1: still see them as less significant than those of the Democrats.
- 2:03:23Speaker 1: How much do you think outlets like Fox News have
- 2:03:25Speaker 1: shaped political attitudes among boomers versus broader generational or cultural factors.
- 2:03:30Speaker 1: Thanks Matt and Florida. Well, look, I think that honestly.
- 2:03:36Speaker 1: You know, I've got family members who you know, sort
- 2:03:39Speaker 1: of over index on MS, and I've got family members
- 2:03:42Speaker 1: that over index on Fox. And I can tell that
- 2:03:45Speaker 1: they both over index you know, over indexing on political
- 2:03:50Speaker 1: content is what I would argue in them and and
- 2:03:53Speaker 1: what it is, it's it's you know, this gets it
- 2:03:57Speaker 1: to this the larger point I was making about how
- 2:04:00Speaker 1: OJ created the conditions for Donald Trump, and I think
- 2:04:03Speaker 1: we will say for Zoon, Mom, Donnie and Donald Trump
- 2:04:07Speaker 1: in that it you know it it sort of made
- 2:04:16Speaker 1: the algorithm. You know, the algorithms of today were sort
- 2:04:21Speaker 1: of created by cable news in the nineties in the
- 2:04:24Speaker 1: serialization of the news business. Way do you come back tomorrow?
- 2:04:29Speaker 1: We're going to see what happens tomorrow on the Lewinsky scandal,
- 2:04:32Speaker 1: what happens tomorrow on the Florida vote, Watch what happens
- 2:04:36Speaker 1: tomorrow on the war in Iraq? Right when as we
- 2:04:39Speaker 1: took this sort of taking what was the daytime soap
- 2:04:43Speaker 1: opera mindset and layering it over the information consumption world,
- 2:04:53Speaker 1: I guess you know, it's like first it was just
- 2:04:58Speaker 1: what keeps you interested, you know, and then you know what,
- 2:05:02Speaker 1: what what the Internet was able to do was refine
- 2:05:04Speaker 1: it even further than cable news did.
- 2:05:07Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:05:07Speaker 1: It took what cable news was doing and refined it further.
- 2:05:10Speaker 1: So then you got sort of political agreement, but you
- 2:05:13Speaker 1: also got other cultural agreement. You had these different sort
- 2:05:16Speaker 1: of silos, right, some of the silos overlap. But but
- 2:05:20Speaker 1: we we see this and so look, I think both
- 2:05:27Speaker 1: MS and Fox and CNN, frankly, I think it is
- 2:05:31Speaker 1: certainly they both have this habit of but let me
- 2:05:36Speaker 1: tell you how bad the other side is. You know,
- 2:05:38Speaker 1: there's always an acknowledgement that the that that the side
- 2:05:44Speaker 1: that they may have more sympathy for is flawed. Right,
- 2:05:47Speaker 1: Foxes regularly, you know, Brett Behar will be get real
- 2:05:50Speaker 1: defensive about this, and he's not wrong. Brett Behar will
- 2:05:54Speaker 1: you know, you know, do the to be sure paragraph.
- 2:05:58Speaker 1: But then it'll also, you know, spend five minutes on
- 2:06:01Speaker 1: the Save America Act claiming it's just a voter ID
- 2:06:04Speaker 1: bill when it's not a voter ide bill. Right, it's
- 2:06:06Speaker 1: something much more dramatic, drastic than that. It's essentially make
- 2:06:10Speaker 1: make it nearly impossible for married women to vote bill,
- 2:06:14Speaker 1: you know, with with sort of it's not a voter id, it'
- 2:06:17Speaker 1: says a it goes to another level that that frankly,
- 2:06:21Speaker 1: is intentionally disruptive to the voting system. And and it's
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: sort of the point being is that it's it's not
- 2:06:31Speaker 1: it's not an nobody's you know, the right's not selling
- 2:06:34Speaker 1: this honestly, and and you know Fox isn't going to
- 2:06:38Speaker 1: portray that honestly. But then they'll acknowledge, yes, there is
- 2:06:41Speaker 1: some support, for instance, for regular actual voter ID right
- 2:06:45Speaker 1: if this were, for instance, voter idea, it would it
- 2:06:47Speaker 1: would pass. But it's not a voter id bill, you know,
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: even though it's being portrayed as that, it is not
- 2:06:53Speaker 1: that and so, but that's how you know this is.
- 2:06:58Speaker 1: And then you'll have an they'll you know, acknowledge the flaws,
- 2:07:02Speaker 1: you know, maybe of a Biden or something like this,
- 2:07:04Speaker 1: but then say, but look at how awful and outrageousness
- 2:07:07Speaker 1: is on the other side, which is why you get
- 2:07:11Speaker 1: the conversation that you get with your father. And it's
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: a conversation I get with whether it's I'm talking with
- 2:07:16Speaker 1: my MS relatives or my Fox relatives, which they will
- 2:07:20Speaker 1: and some of this I always feel like, and you,
- 2:07:23Speaker 1: I would ask you to ask yourself this question. Maybe
- 2:07:25Speaker 1: your father understands where your politics is and certainly doesn't
- 2:07:29Speaker 1: want who alienates you, and so is a bit more
- 2:07:32Speaker 1: accommodating and you're being a bit more accommodating I am,
- 2:07:35Speaker 1: and vice versa. I think you know, some of my
- 2:07:37Speaker 1: loved ones you know where, know where I come down
- 2:07:40Speaker 1: on this, because I'm they see it all the time,
- 2:07:44Speaker 1: and I certainly don't want to be alienated from any
- 2:07:47Speaker 1: wing of my family. I love my left winger relatives
- 2:07:50Speaker 1: and my right wing relatives. And so the good news
- 2:07:54Speaker 1: is we've all figured out how to talk about the
- 2:07:59Speaker 1: things that we have in common, about what we don't
- 2:08:01Speaker 1: like about politics, like, yeah, this is you know, and
- 2:08:05Speaker 1: you know what I'll get from a Fox relative watching
- 2:08:07Speaker 1: relative will say, look, I'm no fan of Trump's behavior.
- 2:08:10Speaker 1: I think that guy's got terrible character, but my god,
- 2:08:13Speaker 1: look at what they're doing over here. And then I'll hear,
- 2:08:16Speaker 1: you know, on the mside, I know the Democrats aren't
- 2:08:18Speaker 1: very good at this, but my god, you've got to
- 2:08:20Speaker 1: stand up to this crazy man in the Oval office.
- 2:08:24Speaker 1: And so I just think it's the way, it's the
- 2:08:30Speaker 1: way the incentive structure works in media that has created
- 2:08:35Speaker 1: this formula for broadcasting, because it's all about just keeping
- 2:08:41Speaker 1: your core viewer coming back. Right. If this were a
- 2:08:45Speaker 1: political campaign, It's like all they're doing is tending to
- 2:08:47Speaker 1: the base voter, and if they can get the base
- 2:08:50Speaker 1: voter to come back, then there's always money in the
- 2:08:52Speaker 1: banana stan, right, there's enough money to be made. And
- 2:08:55Speaker 1: I do fear that what cable news figured out, what
- 2:08:59Speaker 1: OJ taught cable news in the nineties got sort of
- 2:09:02Speaker 1: perfected by the Internet algorithms of the early aughts and
- 2:09:06Speaker 1: then social media, and then this is how we've got
- 2:09:09Speaker 1: this broken information ecosystem where where even though there really
- 2:09:14Speaker 1: is individually and we see it all the time, we
- 2:09:18Speaker 1: have a lot of agreement that, yeah, characters should be
- 2:09:21Speaker 1: you know, emphasized again in politics, and you know, we
- 2:09:24Speaker 1: have these agreements, but we don't really have a shared
- 2:09:26Speaker 1: information eco where we can acknowledge you know, I mean
- 2:09:32Speaker 1: trust me is i'd like to and you know, some
- 2:09:35Speaker 1: of you may disagree with this. I'd like to think.
- 2:09:36Speaker 1: I did my best to try to like point out
- 2:09:38Speaker 1: the flaws left and right, and I got simultaneously accused
- 2:09:42Speaker 1: of both ciderisms and for being either a closet liberal
- 2:09:45Speaker 1: or a closet conservative. And because that but now that
- 2:09:49Speaker 1: was an intentional attack. Because what the Wings don't with
- 2:09:52Speaker 1: these professional sort of activist media people, they don't want
- 2:09:57Speaker 1: to screw up their audience, right, and so anybody that
- 2:09:59Speaker 1: is telling them, hey, those businesses are misleading you the voter, well,
- 2:10:06Speaker 1: you know, people like me and anybody else that's sort
- 2:10:09Speaker 1: of in this sort of rational I don't like even
- 2:10:14Speaker 1: calling it the middle. It's just sort of the rational.
- 2:10:17Speaker 1: But where most of us live, we're a threat to
- 2:10:20Speaker 1: that business model a little bit. And certainly, you know
- 2:10:26Speaker 1: it is it is not you know, this style of
- 2:10:32Speaker 1: political content is not something the algorithms have been programmed
- 2:10:38Speaker 1: to celebrate. And I think that that's that's sort of
- 2:10:41Speaker 1: It's a bit chicken and egg here that I did there,
- 2:10:43Speaker 1: And I know I went off a bit on a
- 2:10:45Speaker 1: tangent there, but I think some of this is you know,
- 2:10:48Speaker 1: we want to simply say, oh, this is Murdoch, or
- 2:10:50Speaker 1: this is MS, or you know, this is the Comcast.
- 2:10:56Speaker 1: This is a business model that was learned from OJ
- 2:11:00Speaker 1: that was not done through a political lens. It is
- 2:11:03Speaker 1: ended up doing serious damage to our politics, but it
- 2:11:07Speaker 1: didn't begin intentionally as a way to polarize this politically,
- 2:11:12Speaker 1: but it has all Right, Ben right Spend from Colorado's
- 2:11:15Speaker 1: fourth district, Thank you for giving me your fourth district
- 2:11:19Speaker 1: tells me generally where you are, which I believe means Greeley, Colorado,
- 2:11:23Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. Appreciate all the work you put
- 2:11:25Speaker 1: into the podcast. I'm curious, do you think there's a
- 2:11:27Speaker 1: future where large pack spending could burn itself out due
- 2:11:30Speaker 1: to voter backlash? Could outside spending from big groups eventually
- 2:11:33Speaker 1: become a negative for candidates, reducing the incentive to invest.
- 2:11:36Speaker 1: So heavily appreciate the show. Thanks, Ben Boy. I was
- 2:11:40Speaker 1: very curious if that would happen on Tuesday, And in fact,
- 2:11:42Speaker 1: I have a friend in New York who told.
- 2:11:45Speaker 2: Me that the more.
- 2:11:48Speaker 1: The AI folks were doing attack ads on Boris, the
- 2:11:51Speaker 1: ores the candidate that came in second in in the
- 2:11:56Speaker 1: Upper west Side Upper east Side Congressional district, the west Side,
- 2:11:59Speaker 1: I guess we call it now just the west Side,
- 2:12:01Speaker 1: the Upper Upper Manhattan Congressional district. That's both Upper West
- 2:12:05Speaker 1: and Upper East the old Gerry Nabler district. She told
- 2:12:13Speaker 1: me that's what drove her into voting for the guy
- 2:12:16Speaker 1: that was being attacked, which I thought was was interesting.
- 2:12:25Speaker 1: I do think there's a point where you're too associated,
- 2:12:30Speaker 1: and this is where you know I I We're not
- 2:12:34Speaker 1: there yet. As I've said multiple times, it's hard to
- 2:12:38Speaker 1: find a campaign where the issue of money was what
- 2:12:46Speaker 1: was used to defeat somebody. But there's now a growing
- 2:12:52Speaker 1: mountain of evidence this cycle that candidates with the most
- 2:12:56Speaker 1: financial backing aren't automatic.
- 2:12:59Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:12:59Speaker 1: It's making some voters ask more questions. Whether it's Tom
- 2:13:03Speaker 1: Steyer trying to buy a place and he couldn't buy
- 2:13:05Speaker 1: a place in that fractured gubernatorial feel no matter how
- 2:13:10Speaker 1: much money he threw at it, And it almost was
- 2:13:13Speaker 1: like the more money he threw at it, there was
- 2:13:15Speaker 1: a point where it became actually a nons you know,
- 2:13:19Speaker 1: that became more of a non starter for people. I
- 2:13:21Speaker 1: think locally in DC, we had a congressional race with
- 2:13:25Speaker 1: the founder of Total Beverage, David Tron and he just
- 2:13:29Speaker 1: threw an enormous amount of money at trying to win
- 2:13:32Speaker 1: his old congressional seatback and he gets rejected. So I
- 2:13:36Speaker 1: think that there is a growing, at least in primaries,
- 2:13:41Speaker 1: a voter skepticism. I think it's more likely to show
- 2:13:43Speaker 1: up in a primary than it is a general. Right general,
- 2:13:46Speaker 1: you have more casual voters who are not paying attention
- 2:13:48Speaker 1: to who's funding one primary voters, you have a better
- 2:13:53Speaker 1: shot at having an elector that's paying a slightly bit
- 2:13:57Speaker 1: more attention and might be a little bit more. But
- 2:14:00Speaker 1: I don't think we're quite there. But like I said,
- 2:14:02Speaker 1: there's there's some green shoots of evidence that say this
- 2:14:07Speaker 1: that that, you know, as we become more skeptical of
- 2:14:12Speaker 1: the wealthy in this country collectively as a as a
- 2:14:15Speaker 1: political electorate, that will translate itself into anybody that's financially
- 2:14:21Speaker 1: associating with them in politics. So I think this is
- 2:14:28Speaker 1: the cycle where we're seeing, put it this way, APAC
- 2:14:31Speaker 1: is learning to diversify its investments and not put it
- 2:14:34Speaker 1: all in one super pac. And I think that the
- 2:14:38Speaker 1: smarter entities that are trying to certainly use their ability
- 2:14:43Speaker 1: to influence on pieces of legislation are going to be
- 2:14:46Speaker 1: more are going to be smarter to diversify their investments
- 2:14:50Speaker 1: in political persuasion rather than pilot into one big super pac.
- 2:14:56Speaker 1: It is, you know, the super pacification of paigns has
- 2:15:01Speaker 1: really sort of warped. You know, if you wonder why,
- 2:15:06Speaker 1: you know what, why Take the conversation I had with
- 2:15:10Speaker 1: David Holt about how he said that the gubernatorial race.
- 2:15:13Speaker 1: He said the actual issues that face the next Oklahoma
- 2:15:17Speaker 1: governor were not discussed once in the Republican primary for governor. Instead,
- 2:15:23Speaker 1: they were arguing over things that are not really part
- 2:15:25Speaker 1: of the job, whether it's trans that Oklahoma governor is
- 2:15:29Speaker 1: not really going to have anything about, and so it was.
- 2:15:34Speaker 1: You know, I do think you see these super PACs
- 2:15:37Speaker 1: can hijack the conversation in a campaign, which then can
- 2:15:41Speaker 1: steer it in directions that that are pretty anti voter.
- 2:15:46Speaker 1: But I don't think we're fully at the backlash there.
- 2:15:48Speaker 1: But I think you're starting to see in certain places
- 2:15:53Speaker 1: and it's where you have the most you know, sort
- 2:15:56Speaker 1: of attentive electorate. Hey Eric from Austin, Right, I hope
- 2:16:12Speaker 1: you're having a good week. Could you talk a bit
- 2:16:13Speaker 1: about Kere Starmer and Labour's recent struggles. Are they more
- 2:16:16Speaker 1: of a result of his decisions or broader global conditions
- 2:16:19Speaker 1: and are there any lessons here for the Democratic Party?
- 2:16:21Speaker 1: Thanks for your work. Well, that's interesting. I mean, look,
- 2:16:25Speaker 1: I view what's been happening in the UK is less
- 2:16:27Speaker 1: about one party or the other, although right, like you know,
- 2:16:30Speaker 1: I then what you have is a frustration with the
- 2:16:37Speaker 1: larger political establishment. Well in the UK, the political establishment
- 2:16:42Speaker 1: were both the Tories and Labor right, both Tony Blair
- 2:16:46Speaker 1: and David Cameron. You know, to be to just pick
- 2:16:49Speaker 1: two former prime ministers as avatars here, right, one a
- 2:16:52Speaker 1: Tory one of them, or Gordon Brown, you know, another
- 2:16:55Speaker 1: Labor prime minister. But the fact is that Tony Blair
- 2:16:58Speaker 1: wing of the Labor which also produced Gordon Brown and
- 2:17:03Speaker 1: arguably Kure Starmer is more probably is more and more
- 2:17:06Speaker 1: more in line with a Tony Blair than say Jeremy Corbyn,
- 2:17:09Speaker 1: who could not win by the way right when he
- 2:17:12Speaker 1: was the standard bearer for Labor. Is Jeremy Corbyn the
- 2:17:16Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders of the UK labor movement. You can there's
- 2:17:20Speaker 1: certainly some parallels there. And then you see what's happening
- 2:17:26Speaker 1: with the Nigel Farage and the Reform Party, which is
- 2:17:29Speaker 1: essentially on the verge of replacing the Tories as the
- 2:17:33Speaker 1: Conservative party, uh or the right wing party of the UK.
- 2:17:39Speaker 1: So I look, I've been obsessed with this because I
- 2:17:42Speaker 1: I you know, it feels like the UK has been
- 2:17:44Speaker 1: slightly ahead of where but you know, is Starmer Biden
- 2:17:52Speaker 1: and unlike and and and unlike Biden because there actually
- 2:17:58Speaker 1: was a special election for the person and for Burnham,
- 2:18:01Speaker 1: who actually ended up replacing him, you know, but he
- 2:18:03Speaker 1: actually had to win a seat in parliament first, So
- 2:18:06Speaker 1: there was some at some vetting that happened. It was
- 2:18:09Speaker 1: almost like they had a bit of a you know,
- 2:18:12Speaker 1: a primary and one one district. But you know, and
- 2:18:18Speaker 1: so you know, I think that's a that's an open question.
- 2:18:21Speaker 1: But I do think what is similar. I think there
- 2:18:24Speaker 1: are more things that we have in common with what's
- 2:18:27Speaker 1: been happening in the UK. They just have a political
- 2:18:30Speaker 1: system that can express it the outrage easier. Right, We've
- 2:18:34Speaker 1: had two impeachments, They've had seven prime ministers. Right, They've
- 2:18:38Speaker 1: had these these essentially no confidence votes within their party.
- 2:18:42Speaker 1: You could argue we've kind of have the same thing.
- 2:18:44Speaker 1: We just didn't have the system to allow for the
- 2:18:47Speaker 1: easy replacement of the party leaders, right, be it Trump,
- 2:18:50Speaker 1: be it Pelosi, be it McCarthy, be it you know.
- 2:18:52Speaker 1: But look, I mean we had we've had multiple speakers.
- 2:18:55Speaker 1: It took all the you know, so in our system,
- 2:18:58Speaker 1: we've had the same level of disrupt that their system
- 2:19:01Speaker 1: just simply allows for more. Now, you could argue that
- 2:19:05Speaker 1: our system is designed in such a way that it
- 2:19:08Speaker 1: actually prevents total disruption from like paralyzing the government versus
- 2:19:16Speaker 1: the UK has these paralysis moments from their disruption. But
- 2:19:21Speaker 1: there's no doubt this is the same large forces are
- 2:19:25Speaker 1: sort of creating this. You know, they had massive migration,
- 2:19:29Speaker 1: We had massive migration. This is fear of globalization. They've
- 2:19:33Speaker 1: had fear of globalization. So in that sense, the larger
- 2:19:38Speaker 1: sort of you know, identity crisis that both political parties
- 2:19:42Speaker 1: in this country have had. So of the two major
- 2:19:45Speaker 1: parties of the UK who are no longer argued might
- 2:19:47Speaker 1: not be the two major parties a year from now
- 2:19:50Speaker 1: after their next election. So I think there's a ton
- 2:19:53Speaker 1: to learn here. You know, David Cameron, I was recently
- 2:19:56Speaker 1: with him and we had this discussion and he thinks
- 2:20:00Speaker 1: that the number one thing Democrats, and you know, he's
- 2:20:04Speaker 1: sort of politically is probably closer to being Bill Clinton,
- 2:20:09Speaker 1: a Bill Clinton Democrat, than he essay a Mett Romney Republican.
- 2:20:12Speaker 1: That's kind of the politics of the UK, you know,
- 2:20:16Speaker 1: I think Cameron was definitely Cameron and Obama were really tight,
- 2:20:19Speaker 1: and I think their politics are actually pretty similar, even
- 2:20:23Speaker 1: though one was from the Conservative Party of their country
- 2:20:25Speaker 1: and one was from the Liberal party of the other country.
- 2:20:29Speaker 1: But Cameron, you know, the one thing he will say is,
- 2:20:34Speaker 1: you know, tighten up your borders. Just tighten up your borders.
- 2:20:39Speaker 1: This is universal. Do that first, and then everything else
- 2:20:44Speaker 1: is persuadable after that. But that, the migration, the fear
- 2:20:49Speaker 1: of the other ring and all of that is really
- 2:20:53Speaker 1: that's what he would say, has been the sort of
- 2:20:56Speaker 1: the tipping point of this. And so he's been a
- 2:21:00Speaker 1: advity of getting Democrats to be a bit more conscious
- 2:21:04Speaker 1: of the border, a bit tougher on the border, and
- 2:21:06Speaker 1: you've seen there are more Democrats opening open to having
- 2:21:09Speaker 1: a you know, the saying no, no, no, no, we
- 2:21:11Speaker 1: got to have a we got to have a functioning
- 2:21:13Speaker 1: border here, and we've got to manage immigration better. It
- 2:21:18Speaker 1: doesn't mean you don't have to be an anti immigrant party,
- 2:21:21Speaker 1: but you've got to be a sort of you got
- 2:21:26Speaker 1: to be a law and order party, reasonable law and
- 2:21:30Speaker 1: order mindset on that. So but look, you then there's
- 2:21:37Speaker 1: then there's the charisma part, right. You know, Corbin was
- 2:21:41Speaker 1: kind of meely mouth. Starmer wasn't great at this. You know,
- 2:21:48Speaker 1: would Labor have been in better? I mean, they won
- 2:21:50Speaker 1: this huge victory, right, it's very similar to Starmer feels
- 2:21:52Speaker 1: like Biden. Right, Biden has this huge victory, most votes
- 2:21:55Speaker 1: that any Democratic president ever got. You know, it starts
- 2:21:58Speaker 1: out and even swings this which nobody expected and so
- 2:22:02Speaker 1: he had a huge opportunity in it. But it was
- 2:22:05Speaker 1: a reminder that Biden won because of who he was
- 2:22:08Speaker 1: it not because of who he was, And Labor Party
- 2:22:10Speaker 1: won because of who they weren't, not because of who
- 2:22:11Speaker 1: they were, and Labor's discovering that the hard way right now,
- 2:22:17Speaker 1: and it's likely. I think if you see a UK
- 2:22:23Speaker 1: election that has Reform and Green as the top two
- 2:22:27Speaker 1: vote getters over the Tories and Labor, I would read
- 2:22:31Speaker 1: that as a tea leaf that says take a third
- 2:22:35Speaker 1: party or independent candidacy in this country more seriously than
- 2:22:38Speaker 1: folks want to take it, because I do think in
- 2:22:41Speaker 1: that sense the frustration is similar and we don't have
- 2:22:47Speaker 1: another part right. I think that's why some on the
- 2:22:49Speaker 1: left are gravitating towards this DSA. Well, they're fighting, they're
- 2:22:52Speaker 1: doing something, and that's why I think the establishment wings
- 2:22:57Speaker 1: of both parties I think they need to get pressure
- 2:23:01Speaker 1: from the outside before they sort of get religion on this.
- 2:23:05Speaker 1: But we'll say I'm thinking, Look, David Hole is the
- 2:23:09Speaker 1: official mayor of the Check podcast. You know you went
- 2:23:12Speaker 1: to GW Big Revolutionaries guy, so you know we're gonna
- 2:23:15Speaker 1: I will give him that title. But the next is
- 2:23:17Speaker 1: probably the official mayor of ASCHUK. It's our friend John
- 2:23:23Speaker 1: IPII Ali. Here Harvey Seedars, the mayor of Harvey Seedars,
- 2:23:26Speaker 1: New Jersey. He has his third question that he has
- 2:23:29Speaker 1: asked me. So's he's getting closer to the five timers club.
- 2:23:32Speaker 1: And here's his question. I enjoyed your take on presidential blunders,
- 2:23:36Speaker 1: but I'm more curious about the opposite. What would you
- 2:23:38Speaker 1: consider the top five presidential actions? It simply worked moments
- 2:23:41Speaker 1: where leadership decisions paid off in a big way, and
- 2:23:45Speaker 1: so you know it's a This is not I spent
- 2:23:50Speaker 1: a little bit of research time on this. So the
- 2:23:52Speaker 1: first things that came to mind, you know, I was
- 2:23:56Speaker 1: thinking of decisions that weren't easy for their own political party.
- 2:24:04Speaker 1: Bill Clinton and NAFTA. Now we can debate whether that
- 2:24:08Speaker 1: was a success or not. Right, I think NAFTA financially
- 2:24:12Speaker 1: was an enormous success. What it did for Mexico's economy
- 2:24:17Speaker 1: was incredible, and it really did financially benefit a lot
- 2:24:24Speaker 1: of Americans, but it really blew up our politics and
- 2:24:27Speaker 1: arguably is still blown up our politics. So I don't
- 2:24:30Speaker 1: know if I will, but you know, there is a
- 2:24:32Speaker 1: case for NAFTA in Bill Clinton. I'll give you another one,
- 2:24:37Speaker 1: George HW. Bush's decision to back the nineteen ninety budget
- 2:24:41Speaker 1: agreement that essentially was the beginning of the sort of
- 2:24:47Speaker 1: the Bush Clinton era of getting our fiscal house in order.
- 2:24:51Speaker 1: We got to a balanced budget by the late nineties
- 2:24:53Speaker 1: thanks to a decision by a Republican president to accept
- 2:24:57Speaker 1: raising taxes with a Democratic congres. Then a Democratic president
- 2:25:02Speaker 1: with a Republican Congress did a bit more tightening, a
- 2:25:06Speaker 1: little bit on spending and a little bit more in taxes,
- 2:25:09Speaker 1: and lo and behold, we had a budget surplus going
- 2:25:12Speaker 1: into the turn of the century. So, you know, I
- 2:25:15Speaker 1: think that whether it was Bill Clinton's decision to back
- 2:25:19Speaker 1: another tax hike in nineteen ninety three, George H. W. Bushes,
- 2:25:22Speaker 1: so both of those turned out to be really good
- 2:25:25Speaker 1: for the American economy and really supercharged the economy arguably
- 2:25:31Speaker 1: going in and certainly put us on a path. Now
- 2:25:34Speaker 1: those were positive decisions that some of the decisions on
- 2:25:38Speaker 1: China less. So I'll give you another one in the
- 2:25:41Speaker 1: Reagan era, Reagan's decision to sign the amnesty for the
- 2:25:47Speaker 1: undocumented immigrants that were in this country in eighty six.
- 2:25:50Speaker 1: That also was not the easiest bill for a Republican
- 2:25:54Speaker 1: to sign, and it worked.
- 2:25:58Speaker 3: It was.
- 2:26:01Speaker 1: Now there will be some on the right that say
- 2:26:04Speaker 1: it is why the next wave of immigrants still kept
- 2:26:06Speaker 1: coming because they knew that we had a history of
- 2:26:09Speaker 1: amnesty in this country. Yes, we're a nation of immigrants.
- 2:26:13Speaker 1: Every immigrant knows that eventually there is room for them here.
- 2:26:17Speaker 1: That just may take a generation. But that at the
- 2:26:20Speaker 1: time was a brave decision and it certainly helped solve
- 2:26:25Speaker 1: an immigration problem that sort of was created in the sixties,
- 2:26:29Speaker 1: and we can I'm not going to go deep into that,
- 2:26:32Speaker 1: but that was trying to right or wrong there. I
- 2:26:36Speaker 1: think Harry Truman recognizing Israel wasn't an easy call that
- 2:26:40Speaker 1: he was getting a lot of pushback to, saying, if
- 2:26:42Speaker 1: you do this, it could be a permanent split with
- 2:26:46Speaker 1: the Arab world, have a huge impact. We were at
- 2:26:49Speaker 1: the time really relying on Middle East oil in the
- 2:26:51Speaker 1: late forties, and it wasn't an easy political decision. It
- 2:26:56Speaker 1: turned out that those fears were wrong on that in
- 2:27:02Speaker 1: the air world was going to learn to live with
- 2:27:07Speaker 1: a Jewish state in their neighborhood, and that turned out
- 2:27:14Speaker 1: the Cuban missile crisis. It's a huge test for Kennedy.
- 2:27:19Speaker 1: It was a huge gamble and it paid off. You know,
- 2:27:22Speaker 1: you could argue that we were able to you know,
- 2:27:25Speaker 1: basically from there we create the Red Phone and.
- 2:27:31Speaker 2: We start.
- 2:27:33Speaker 1: Some arms negotiations that essentially, over time allows us to
- 2:27:38Speaker 1: win the spending fight of the Cold War and sort
- 2:27:41Speaker 1: of sucker the Soviets into bankrupting themselves. But I think
- 2:27:47Speaker 1: Kennedy's decision to sort of call the bluff of the
- 2:27:54Speaker 1: Soviets there in Cuba and doing the quarantine or the blockade,
- 2:27:59Speaker 1: however you want to discribe, was a big one too.
- 2:28:03Speaker 1: So it is right Nixon to China. Was that good
- 2:28:10Speaker 1: or bad. It was a good strategy at the time.
- 2:28:13Speaker 1: It made a lot of sense. It was risky, probably
- 2:28:20Speaker 1: has been a net benefit for the globe, even if
- 2:28:23Speaker 1: it hasn't been a net you know, and even arguably
- 2:28:25Speaker 1: for the financial power of the United States. But that
- 2:28:29Speaker 1: was so that's how I defined it. So, mister Mayor,
- 2:28:33Speaker 1: I'm curious whether you see those, so that that's how
- 2:28:37Speaker 1: I was trying to defind it what I would call
- 2:28:39Speaker 1: political close calls that aged really well. But I love
- 2:28:49Speaker 1: the question and I want to keep I want to
- 2:28:52Speaker 1: keep diving in on that. I think there's more more
- 2:28:54Speaker 1: to do there, and who knows, we may It's possible
- 2:29:00Speaker 1: the Iran nuclear deal will suddenly age really well for
- 2:29:04Speaker 1: Barack Obama, and we may someday put that on the list.
- 2:29:08Speaker 1: All right. Bill s in Newberg, Oregon, a frequent emailer.
- 2:29:12Speaker 1: I wonder, Bill, if you've made it to five yet.
- 2:29:15Speaker 1: I've heard you to refer to some voters as being trumpy.
- 2:29:18Speaker 1: What characteristics to find a Trumpet voter? In your view?
- 2:29:20Speaker 1: It's not what I mean. Trumpy is basically being supportive
- 2:29:23Speaker 1: of not just Donald Trump because he's the Republican nominee,
- 2:29:27Speaker 1: but supportive of the cause, Supportive of the you know,
- 2:29:31Speaker 1: sort of the isolationists policy, supportive of a little bit
- 2:29:35Speaker 1: of it. Is supporting the culture of maga sort of almost.
- 2:29:41Speaker 1: It's my shorthand for being this person isn't just a
- 2:29:44Speaker 1: Trump supporter. They're culturally mega, you know, this is where
- 2:29:46Speaker 1: they're comfortable type of thing, you know, And I think
- 2:29:52Speaker 1: of trumpy. Right, I think of Eric Schmidt, the senator
- 2:29:55Speaker 1: from Missouri, or I think of of Jim b of Indiana,
- 2:30:01Speaker 1: Bernie Marino, Right, I think that they Rick Scott. I
- 2:30:07Speaker 1: don't think they got into politics being but they have
- 2:30:09Speaker 1: become comfortably. I think they're more comfortable there. Mike Lee, right,
- 2:30:14Speaker 1: based I guess you would say based Mike Lee, not
- 2:30:17Speaker 1: twenty sixteen Mike Lee, which I guess he himself by
- 2:30:21Speaker 1: creating an account that says based Mike Lee sort of
- 2:30:25Speaker 1: admits that he's was politically bipolar there for a time.
- 2:30:28Speaker 1: I guess.
- 2:30:31Speaker 2: So.
- 2:30:32Speaker 1: But that's what I mean, right, that it's that uh
- 2:30:36Speaker 1: that you know, sort of a true believer versus where
- 2:30:42Speaker 1: i'd put your John Thunees, your David McCormick's, which are Look,
- 2:30:48Speaker 1: he's the president, he's the leader. That they're not comfortable
- 2:30:51Speaker 1: in that wing of the party, but they're not going
- 2:30:53Speaker 1: to fight it, right. I wouldn't refer McCormick as trumpy,
- 2:30:58Speaker 1: but I would refer to like an archmid ap. I
- 2:31:00Speaker 1: hope that helps in telling you sort of how I
- 2:31:03Speaker 1: distinct how the shorthand I've created here, but that that's
- 2:31:07Speaker 1: that's the that's how I'm defining that short. My last
- 2:31:19Speaker 1: question for the Hey Scott from p A ten again.
- 2:31:21Speaker 1: All right again, man, I got two of you. Keep
- 2:31:24Speaker 1: them coming. Tell me your congressional district. Right, this is
- 2:31:27Speaker 1: how how we how we all want to learn where
- 2:31:29Speaker 1: everybody's coming from. I love this Pennsylvania ten h. I
- 2:31:34Speaker 1: love uh York County. Had a good uh good friend
- 2:31:38Speaker 1: from college from York and it always blew me away
- 2:31:41Speaker 1: that that they said it was closer to flat out
- 2:31:43Speaker 1: of Baltimore than it was the flat to Philadelphia. I'm
- 2:31:46Speaker 1: curious how often you choose Baltimore versus Philadelphia. I guess
- 2:31:52Speaker 1: if you're on the Harrisburg side of things, that may
- 2:31:55Speaker 1: that may be the case. But anyway, Scott, let me
- 2:31:58Speaker 1: get your question. You said after your recent discussion Democratic
- 2:32:00Speaker 1: party divisions, I'm wondering, do you think there's a simple
- 2:32:02Speaker 1: messaging strategy establishment Democrats could use to align more closely
- 2:32:06Speaker 1: with the left without fully embracing the label. Is framing
- 2:32:08Speaker 1: it around shared policy goals an effective way to walk
- 2:32:11Speaker 1: that line? Thanks as always, Scott. I don't know anymore.
- 2:32:16Speaker 1: I think that has been what has worked. I do
- 2:32:20Speaker 1: think the credibility of the establishment is in tatters because
- 2:32:24Speaker 1: of Joe Biden and the return of Donald Trump. I
- 2:32:27Speaker 1: go back to the conversation you just heard me have
- 2:32:30Speaker 1: with that Bennett, where I've got a bit animated about.
- 2:32:34Speaker 1: You know, I think why Joe Biden's presidency to me
- 2:32:37Speaker 1: will always be a failed presidency is he had one job.
- 2:32:41Speaker 1: His job wasn't just to defeat Donald Trump. It was
- 2:32:44Speaker 1: to lead the country away from Donald Trump his presidency.
- 2:32:50Speaker 1: A better leader would have made the lot the idea
- 2:32:55Speaker 1: of returning to Donald Trump napathy thought. Sorry.
- 2:33:02Speaker 3: The and.
- 2:33:05Speaker 1: That for me is you know that I that that's
- 2:33:09Speaker 1: the prison with which I judge. I think his his
- 2:33:13Speaker 1: the campaign promise he was essentially making to the skeptical
- 2:33:18Speaker 1: voter that may have decided to vote for Biden because
- 2:33:21Speaker 1: they saw Trumps you know, a health threat because of
- 2:33:24Speaker 1: COVID or whatever. I think the deal the voter thought
- 2:33:28Speaker 1: they were getting is this guy is a transitional guy.
- 2:33:31Speaker 1: He's just going to manage us out of this Trump
- 2:33:32Speaker 1: mess so we can get to the next generation of
- 2:33:35Speaker 1: politicians to lead this country. And he failed that. Okay,
- 2:33:40Speaker 1: so so you're the and the establishment let him fail, right,
- 2:33:45Speaker 1: They didn't fight him hard enough. They sort of let
- 2:33:47Speaker 1: it be, because again it was always turned into a look,
- 2:33:50Speaker 1: you you know, you're you're only helping Trump if you
- 2:33:53Speaker 1: somehow push back at what Biden was up to. And
- 2:33:57Speaker 1: of course Biden made this what I think was a
- 2:34:01Speaker 1: bad attempt at co opting the left, allowing the left
- 2:34:04Speaker 1: to sort of give them a little power, and it
- 2:34:07Speaker 1: really shifted him to the left. So I guess what
- 2:34:13Speaker 1: I would say is, I think that strategy was the
- 2:34:15Speaker 1: twenty twenty strategy and the twenty twenty four strategy, and
- 2:34:18Speaker 1: I think it's I don't think the left's going to
- 2:34:19Speaker 1: accept the strategy. If if I were advising a more
- 2:34:27Speaker 1: you know, the Corey Bookers of the world, I think
- 2:34:33Speaker 1: I would take on you know, I would sort of
- 2:34:36Speaker 1: borrow what Chris Murphy's been saying without becoming a progressive
- 2:34:42Speaker 1: like Chris Murphy has been speaking. Hey, the Democratic Party
- 2:34:46Speaker 1: failed at the job it said it was going to do,
- 2:34:49Speaker 1: which was to turn the page on the Trump err
- 2:34:52Speaker 1: I think until the establishment accepts that they failed here,
- 2:34:59Speaker 1: I think it it's been a mistake that it's the
- 2:35:02Speaker 1: left that's leading the charge to get rid of Schumer,
- 2:35:04Speaker 1: that it hasn't come from the center left. When Ultimately,
- 2:35:10Speaker 1: you know, they should be acknowledging the failure and want
- 2:35:14Speaker 1: new leadership. And yet it's the left that is the
- 2:35:17Speaker 1: one that has more credibility on this. So I feel
- 2:35:23Speaker 1: like that's the issue, is that the establishment had its
- 2:35:27Speaker 1: chance to co opt the left with that kind of messaging.
- 2:35:31Speaker 1: It worked in twenty it didn't work in twenty four.
- 2:35:36Speaker 1: And I certainly don't think the left is going to
- 2:35:39Speaker 1: allow capitulate to the quote electable ability wing of the
- 2:35:44Speaker 1: party again because they view it as it's sort of
- 2:35:48Speaker 1: not dissimilar to what turned into the Maga movement. How
- 2:35:53Speaker 1: they're like, we're not compromising again like we did with
- 2:35:56Speaker 1: Mett Romney. We're not looking for the most election the conservative,
- 2:36:00Speaker 1: We're just looking for the craziest so bit. And I
- 2:36:03Speaker 1: think the left is going we're not looking for the
- 2:36:05Speaker 1: most electable Democrat. We're looking for the most activist movement left, lefty, progressive.
- 2:36:14Speaker 1: And so, I I don't know if just if this
- 2:36:21Speaker 1: is a messaging thing. I know if I were Corey Booker,
- 2:36:27Speaker 1: I wouldn't I wouldn't be just trying to can't we
- 2:36:31Speaker 1: all just get along messaging? You know, I'd be fighting
- 2:36:35Speaker 1: a bit harder here for the main the quote unquote mainstream,
- 2:36:40Speaker 1: and I'd fight harder for it, and I'd be angrier
- 2:36:42Speaker 1: about it. I'd become the angry moderate. If you know,
- 2:36:47Speaker 1: I'm mad as Helen. I'm not going to take it anymore.
- 2:36:50Speaker 1: Get these I'm tired of these MF snakes on this
- 2:36:52Speaker 1: MF plane. And you don't see that coming from that
- 2:36:57Speaker 1: wing of the party. You see the emotion and anger
- 2:37:01Speaker 1: coming from the base. And I think sometimes the temperament
- 2:37:09Speaker 1: the moderate in temperament, which is something that a person
- 2:37:13Speaker 1: like me is looking for. But I'm not here to
- 2:37:17Speaker 1: move people right that in some ways that's the wrong
- 2:37:23Speaker 1: You know, you need to make a better case for
- 2:37:26Speaker 1: why this is the right way, and a proactive case
- 2:37:30Speaker 1: for what democratic pluralism is without having to use the
- 2:37:33Speaker 1: political sciences science e term like that, why this is.
- 2:37:39Speaker 1: You know, essentially the Democratic Party is a coalition, right,
- 2:37:44Speaker 1: It is not a litmus test party. And yet the
- 2:37:47Speaker 1: irony is that the rise of the left is turning
- 2:37:51Speaker 1: it into a litmus test party. And somehow Donald Trump
- 2:37:56Speaker 1: became the non litmus test even though there's a huge
- 2:37:59Speaker 1: litmus test in the on the Republican side too. Just
- 2:38:02Speaker 1: ask John corn or Bill Passick. I'm waiting. I'm waiting
- 2:38:11Speaker 1: for the for the angry, the angry pragmatist to show
- 2:38:15Speaker 1: up on the center left. You kind of see it
- 2:38:17Speaker 1: showing up on the center right, but it's in the
- 2:38:19Speaker 1: form of Tom Tillis, right or John Kasik? Who have
- 2:38:25Speaker 1: who have you know? Who have bowed out or who
- 2:38:28Speaker 1: sort of lost the battle? I think somebody needs to
- 2:38:33Speaker 1: get caught fighting before a battle has been lost. All right,
- 2:38:44Speaker 1: I'm really excited for a j Deboonson. This is going
- 2:38:47Speaker 1: to be interesting. I am hopeful on the tray Young signing.
- 2:38:56Speaker 1: I am willing to let's see, you know, if a
- 2:39:00Speaker 1: more mature Tray Young surrounded by more talent than he's
- 2:39:03Speaker 1: ever been surrounded by in Atlanta, if it's a healthy
- 2:39:06Speaker 1: Anthony Davis aj DEBONTSA, you got an interesting young team there.
- 2:39:14Speaker 1: The best thing I heard, you know, the Siico and
- 2:39:16Speaker 1: me after our election night live stream. You know what
- 2:39:18Speaker 1: I did, I went back to watch this is the
- 2:39:21Speaker 1: best ESPN sort of. I watched a replay of the draft,
- 2:39:24Speaker 1: at least the first thirty minutes, because I wanted to
- 2:39:27Speaker 1: get my fill of Wizards conversations here. It's rare that
- 2:39:30Speaker 1: the Wizards ever get national attention, and since they the
- 2:39:33Speaker 1: number one pick there, we're going to get some. And
- 2:39:35Speaker 1: one of the experts on the ESPN panel said something
- 2:39:38Speaker 1: that I think was quite fair, which is, the Wizards
- 2:39:41Speaker 1: have all this talent, do they know how to win?
- 2:39:44Speaker 1: And that's the hardest thing for a team that's been
- 2:39:46Speaker 1: loser team for a long time, right when you're in
- 2:39:49Speaker 1: when you it's and I remember feeling that with the
- 2:39:52Speaker 1: Wizards in twenty eighteen when they forced a game seven
- 2:39:55Speaker 1: on Boston and then they just got blown out? It
- 2:39:58Speaker 1: was like, do they know how to win? And it's
- 2:40:00Speaker 1: funny how a culture there's never been a winning culture
- 2:40:04Speaker 1: in two generations of basketball here in d C. Who's
- 2:40:09Speaker 1: going to be that culture changer? You know, for a
- 2:40:12Speaker 1: brief period at Gilbert Arenas was that guy. For a
- 2:40:15Speaker 1: brief period, we thought John Wall was that guy. For
- 2:40:17Speaker 1: a brief period, there was hope that Michael Jordan's owner
- 2:40:19Speaker 1: could be that guy. Really hasn't been there since west
- 2:40:22Speaker 1: Unsel and most of you are going, who's west Unsell,
- 2:40:26Speaker 1: And that's part of the problem. But there hasn't been
- 2:40:30Speaker 1: this much. I mean, this is the amount of hopium
- 2:40:37Speaker 1: that DC sports fans are smoking right now. Right there's
- 2:40:41Speaker 1: hopium about the Commanders, there's hopium about the Wizards. There's
- 2:40:46Speaker 1: hopingum always about the Caps, but they've actually been the
- 2:40:48Speaker 1: best performer of the major sports franchises over the last decade.
- 2:40:52Speaker 1: And boys, there is some hopium right now with the Nats.
- 2:40:58Speaker 1: You know. It's a I'm very nervous that the Nats
- 2:41:04Speaker 1: are not going to be buyers at the trade to
- 2:41:07Speaker 1: I understand. I hope they just aren't heavy sellers. I'd
- 2:41:13Speaker 1: rather see more youth be brought up. Don't get me wrong,
- 2:41:18Speaker 1: but hey, let's get a little play you know. So what,
- 2:41:21Speaker 1: let's make the run. A young team needs to get
- 2:41:24Speaker 1: some playoff experience before it has a chance to actually win.
- 2:41:28Speaker 1: You don't want to, you kind of, you know, if
- 2:41:32Speaker 1: you've got a shot at getting a little bit of
- 2:41:34Speaker 1: experience for a bunch of these twenty two and twenty
- 2:41:36Speaker 1: three year olds, it's worth the effort just to get
- 2:41:40Speaker 1: there so they get a taste and they again learn
- 2:41:43Speaker 1: how to win. To my friends at the Wizards, go
- 2:41:46Speaker 1: make the winning the NBA Cup your priority next year,
- 2:41:51Speaker 1: early on. Get this young team, get them to win something.
- 2:41:55Speaker 1: I think it mattered for the Knicks. I know, it's
- 2:41:58Speaker 1: a silly little the NBA Cup.
- 2:42:00Speaker 2: You know.
- 2:42:00Speaker 1: I think it's sort of like it gave them confidence
- 2:42:05Speaker 1: and it gave them something and it made them helped
- 2:42:08Speaker 1: form that team. I hope the Wizards take the NBA
- 2:42:11Speaker 1: Cup stuff. Seriously. I think it's a chance for a
- 2:42:13Speaker 1: young team with a couple of veterans to sort of
- 2:42:17Speaker 1: clamp down and do those Tuesday Friday games and build
- 2:42:22Speaker 1: something here. But man, I have to tell you the
- 2:42:24Speaker 1: hope me I've Three years ago, the sports world in
- 2:42:29Speaker 1: DC was just the Dumps, the Wizards, the Dumps, the Commanders,
- 2:42:35Speaker 1: Dan Schneyder's Commanders, the Dumps. The Nats were continuing to
- 2:42:39Speaker 1: sell off and sell off and sell off, and we
- 2:42:40Speaker 1: were waiting to see if James Wood was going to
- 2:42:42Speaker 1: be worth it.
- 2:42:45Speaker 2: All.
- 2:42:45Speaker 1: How things have changed in about eighteen months, which is
- 2:42:50Speaker 1: the beauty of sports, right. It's also the same thing
- 2:42:53Speaker 1: why we love and hate politics, right. A lot can
- 2:42:56Speaker 1: change in a short period of time. But it's fun
- 2:43:02Speaker 1: to smoke the sports opium of the d MB these days.
- 2:43:07Speaker 1: So with that, I hope you enjoy your weekend. Please
- 2:43:11Speaker 1: check out what I got. I'm got fascinating interview on
- 2:43:13Speaker 1: Newsphere this week, so be sure to check it out
- 2:43:17Speaker 1: on Sunday. Susan delban the head of the D Triple C.
- 2:43:21Speaker 1: We have seen. How hard will the D Triple C
- 2:43:23Speaker 1: fight the left in these primaries or are they going
- 2:43:26Speaker 1: to try to co opt the lefts. This is a
- 2:43:29Speaker 1: taste of how leadership plans to respond to the rise
- 2:43:34Speaker 1: of the mom Donnie lefts. And with that, I'll see
- 2:43:37Speaker 1: in seventy two hours