Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 251 - 4/7/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 251 - 4/7/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 251 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Monday, a new week begins. Hope everyone had a fantastic
0:41
weekend and usually you have some sleepy Mondays here and
0:44
there. Not tonight, guys.
0:45
We got a locked and loaded slate.
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We have the final March Madness game of the NCAA Tournament, of
0:51
course, the championship game between Houston and Florida.
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Did want to give a shout out of course, to the Cougs for coming
0:57
through getting plus 5 1/2 and the Final Four against the Duke
1:01
Blue Devils. And any of you who've been
1:03
watching a White Lotus, there's a great meme going on right now
1:06
where, again, I'm a huge White Lotus fan.
1:08
We just saw the season finale last night.
1:09
No spoilers. There's a great photo of the dad
1:13
who got, you know, involved in some financial issues and that
1:16
was kind of his his plot line. But he had a gun to the head
1:18
with a Duke shirt on. So that went a little bit viral.
1:21
I didn't know that. I didn't expect Houston to win,
1:24
but I liked him covering. They closed 4 1/2.
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So nice hit there with some CLV with the Cougars in the in the
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final four. But Speaking of the Cougars, can
1:32
they do it again? Can they cover, Can they win?
1:34
It's a very short number tonight, guys.
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I actually have two plays for the final March Madness
1:39
championship game here tonight. I got a play on the side and a
1:42
play on the total and then we're going to get right back to Major
1:45
League Baseball. 3 MLB plays for you guys tonight.
1:49
So overall, we got a 5 pack. You guys know the drill. 5
1:51
plays. Let's try to go three and two
1:53
eke out a winning night. Now before we get to the
1:57
national championship game here for tonight, I want to mention a
1:59
couple things. One, we do have a kind of a
2:02
surprise impromptu rhythm live stream today.
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It's going to be 6:00 Eastern Time.
2:07
So hopefully everyone will be, you know, out of work and ready
2:09
to tune in. But usually, you know, you know,
2:11
I do the Tuesdays at 4:00 live streams.
2:13
Well, because of the championship game, I'm doing 1
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tonight at 6:00 PM Eastern Time. So if you're free, you're
2:18
available. You want to talk some
2:20
championship game as well as we'll get into some MLB and some
2:23
other rhythm, rhythm topics, of course.
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But you can just go to my Twitter account at Josh under
2:27
Score Insights and we'll be going live there at 6:00 to
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breakdown the championship game. The other note that I wanted to
2:34
mention is I'm loving Major League Baseball returning.
2:36
Just the just the flow, the feel, the routine of waking up
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every day to MLB. We're off to a pretty decent
2:43
start with our plays. But I want to give a shout out
2:45
in particular to B Golf, who was an avid listener on Spotify.
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He left a great comment on the pod from Friday, which by the
2:52
way bust out the brooms 3 and all that was nice to see, but B
2:56
golf commented quote love the grind of baseball betting.
2:59
I highly recommend this spot and can't wait till your new book is
3:01
released in August. The next time you're in Kentucky
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I'll buy you a bourbon or six. Thanks for all the sharp info
3:06
over the years. So B golf I love you buddy.
3:09
Very much appreciate that I did get down to Nashville over the
3:13
fall so I got to get I got to get to Kentucky next.
3:16
I really like that part of the country, so B golf first one's
3:19
on me next one's on you, as you always like to say, but I think
3:22
B golf hit the nail on the head just having baseball back in our
3:24
lives on a daily basis with the rhythm models again, it's a it's
3:28
a great addition to our daily betting grind.
3:31
Now that being said, without further ado, let's talk about
3:34
the biggest game of the night. But as you guys know, every play
3:37
is flat flat betting risking 1 unit.
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So I call it the biggest game because of course it is a
3:41
championship game. But Florida and Houston, let's
3:45
set the stage. Talk about what's going on in
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the betting market, the splits, the system matches, the rhythm
3:49
predictions here as well as where the sharp mush indicators
3:52
from Juice Reel are leaning. So going into the championship
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game, 8:50 PM Eastern Time tonight, we got Florida coming
3:58
in one seed 35 and four just held off.
4:01
Auburn 73 to 79 to 73 in the final four, covered as a 2 1/2
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point neutral site favorite. Meanwhile, Houston, another one
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seed 35 and four on the year, same record, just took down
4:13
Duke. As we mentioned at the start of
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the pod, 70 to 67 in the final four went out right as a 4 1/2
4:19
point neutral site dog. So what are we seeing across the
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market here? Will this game open with the
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Gators around A1 or 1 1/2 point neutral site favorite?
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So basically a basically a toss up.
4:30
Very slight shade here. One 1 1/2 points toward Florida
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neutral court, of course. So hey, pretty even match up
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here for tonight. Now it's notable to me or I
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guess it's not notable. It's obvious, but the public is
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all over the Gators. Gators right now at DraftKings
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are getting around 70% of spread bets, so they're a very popular
4:48
play tonight. And I get it, March Madness
4:50
favorites. It's been a very chalky March
4:52
Madness. In fact, if Florida does manage
4:55
to win the game as a favorite, that'll set the record for the
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most the chalkiest. How do I phrase this?
5:00
The chalkiest or a most favorite driven March Madness of all time
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since it expanded in 1985. There was one year, 2007, when
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favorites won 51 game straight up.
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All right now you're sitting at 20, 2024-2025 right now, 51 and
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14 for favorites. Straight up 78%.
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So favorites have done well. It's been an extremely chalky
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March Madness. I get it.
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The public likes to chalk what the Gators are saying.
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This line's way too short. Yeah, Gators should be favored
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by three or four. However, this is what I like in
5:31
favor of Houston. Tonight, I'm going Cougs, guys,
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make sure you get the 1 1/2. This is what I like about
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Houston. Number one, they are just an
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epic contrarian play. Right now you're getting 70% of
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tickets on Florida. It's a championship game.
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It's 850 nationally televised. It's going to be the most
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heavily bet game in the entire college basketball season.
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So therefore drunk guys at the bar are all in Florida.
5:52
I want to be on the opposite side on Houston.
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So even if we don't even get to the line freeze RLM, just from a
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bet against the public standpoint, you're in a really
6:00
good undervalued contrarian spot to take the unpopular dog here
6:03
with Houston. Now, as we always talk about on
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the pod, it's not enough to just be contrarian.
6:07
That's a starting point. It's a foundational pillar.
6:10
We also want to apply some evidence of smart money so that
6:13
we know that we're not just against the public for
6:15
contrarian sake, but also with the sharp betters who win at a
6:18
high rate. It looks to me like the sharps
6:20
run Houston, and the reason for that is a line freeze or reverse
6:23
line move. So any book that open Florida -1
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1/2. A lot of books are juicing up
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Houston plus 1 1/2 - 115 - 120. So liability is not on the
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Florida side. And this line never went up to 2
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or 2 1/2. If a team's opening one 1 1/2
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getting 70%, you would think they'd get up to 2 or 2 1/2.
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So that hasn't happened. The 1 1/2's are juiced toward
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Houston, and a lot of books are even down to 1.
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So all movement liability appears to be on the side of
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Houston, the unpopular side, not the Gators, who are the popular
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side. So line freeze would be, again,
6:55
open 1 1/2, still 1 1/2 open one, still one.
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Reverse Line movement would be plus 1 1/2 down to one or at
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least heavily juiced there toward the Houston side.
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Now, here's where it gets even better.
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Ken Palm. How fitting is it the final game
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of the year that we have a Ken Palm?
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Sound the alarm. Maureen Chase, where you at?
7:13
Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa. Ken Palm actually has Houston
7:17
winning this game straight up. He's got Houston winning 72 to
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71, so we can shop around and get the Hook plus 1 1/2, and it
7:24
is available at quite a few shops right now.
7:26
I think ESPN, Bet Bet, MGM, FanDuel, all still at 1 1/2.
7:29
That's my play. Cougars plus 1 1/2.
7:32
But the fact that we're getting 1 1/2 and Ken Poms got him
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winning by 1, it's a nice little 2 1/2 point edge right there.
7:37
Ken Pom does have Houston ranked higher, second versus third in
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the country. This is a small sample size, but
7:43
we have seen short dogs getting two points or less go three and
7:47
one against the spread in March Madness this year.
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And if we're building a case, hopefully if Houston, you know,
7:52
win this game basically or or cover lose by one, but hopefully
7:55
they just win it so we can all cash instead of getting a + 1
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and you know, lose by 1 and you push if you can't find the hook,
8:01
even though you should be able to find the hook.
8:04
But building a case here. First thing thing is Houston and
8:06
their defense. We saw what they did to Duke.
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They're really tough. They're incredibly fundamental
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and disciplined. They are the number one
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defensive efficiency team in the country.
8:16
Now Florida isn't that bad either.
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They're 9th overall but that is an edge towards Houston.
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This was surprising I remember cuz I was writing about the
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final four-game. But Houston, believe it or not,
8:26
is the number 13 point shooting team in the country.
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Nearly 40%. Florida is 70th.
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They also are better slightly at free throw shooting 60 or 110th
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in the country versus 165th, basically 74% versus 73%.
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And they take better care of the ball.
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They ranked 20th best in turnover percentage.
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Florida ranked 75th. Now, he mentioned this in our
8:49
game in the Final Four. But another little, little angle
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here for Houston is that basically is a home game.
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You know, this is going to be played at the Alamodome that's
8:57
in San Antonio. It's only about 3 hours away
9:00
from the Houston campus. So you saw when you know the
9:03
Cougars were mounting that comeback against Duke out just
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crazy and insane that arena got maybe get a little juice there
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and Kelvin Sampson can play the crowd and also the you know,
9:12
they don't believe in us Angle being a dog here tonight.
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But then also if we look at our friends at rhythm, I have a
9:19
couple models on this game. One model says it should be
9:22
Houston plus 0.7. So basically Houston, Houston
9:26
should be getting like 1/2 point.
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And again, you can't lose by half point, win by half points
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either one or more. But whole point being is a lot
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of my rhythm models say this is basically a coin flip game.
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So if you're giving me a coin flip game and I can get the dog
9:39
getting 1 1/2 and a sharp contrarian possibility angle
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with a Ken Palm edge saying they should actually win the game,
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that's good enough for me. Guys, I'm on Houston here.
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I got Houston plus 1 1/2 at -115 I believe that was at ESPN bet.
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Now it's not just Houston. I'm playing the under here too.
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Give me the under now. It opened 142.
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I got under 141 1/2. A lot of books are now to are
10:03
now down to 140 1/2 so you might be able to still find a
10:06
straggler there. 141 maybe 141 1/2, although I don't see a ton
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of of of, you know, opportunities there.
10:13
Little shameless plug to follow and get those best bets on the
10:16
juice real app because they'll get posted as soon as I bet
10:19
them. You sync up your sports books.
10:21
If you're following, you would have gotten the alert that you
10:23
know, I took the under 141 1/2. Now I hope it sails under and
10:26
doesn't matter, but shameless plug if you want to support the
10:28
pod, 5 bucks a week. You'll get those plays early and
10:31
hopefully beat some closing lines.
10:33
But open at 1:42. Got down to 141 1/2.
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It's down to 140 1/2 at most shops.
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This is a sharp move here because the public is slightly
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leaning over about 52% of bets. Nothing crazy but 60% of dollars
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are on the under. Also, if you look at, you know,
10:49
maybe a recipe for a lower scoring game, you currently have
10:53
both teams top nine in the country in defensive efficiency.
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They're top five in limiting their opponents affected field
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goal percentage. We all know Houston is very,
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very slow, 360th in college basketball and tempo 5th slowest
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in the entire nation. Then we Anglo put in some other
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angles here historically. Now if you look just this year,
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even though it's been really chalky with the favorites
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winning basically 8 out of 10 games, possibly setting a
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record, although I hope they don't get the record tonight.
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That would mean Florida would win.
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But unders this year in the NCAA tournament are 37 and 2956%.
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But here's another one I was able to dial up in my database.
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OK, how did championship games do toward the total?
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Well, since 2010, the under in championship games 10 and 471%.
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So I would liken that a little bit to NBANHL Game 7 unders.
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You know, obviously it's a championship game.
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You don't want to take too many chances.
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You want to lock down on defense.
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You want to use the shot clock and make sure you get off a good
11:50
shot. Also, is there a bit of a tired
11:52
leg situation here because both teams played on Saturday?
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You've played a whole season, a whole March Madness, you know,
11:58
hopefully we get that Game 7 under trend, championship game
12:01
trend. So I'm playing under 141 1/2.
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That's in pocket now. If you can only get 140 1/2 and
12:07
you want to play the under, here are a couple good things for
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you. I have two rhythm models.
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Total should be 139.7 and 138.1, so lower than the current
12:17
number. And I did notice on Juice Reel a
12:20
25% sharp mush edge toward the under.
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So 25% more of the sharper winning betters on the under as
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opposed to the more losing betters who are playing the
12:29
over. Yeah, we want some points, play
12:30
the OVA, but I got to play this this under.
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I was actually kicking myself because I had already in pocket
12:38
Houston plus 5 1/2 against Duke. But I was like, man, that under
12:41
short too. I should probably the under
12:43
sharp too. I should play the under.
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Obviously I didn't. And actually did it land right
12:48
there? I think it actually landed right
12:49
on the #137 but either way, you know this will play to me.
12:53
I don't love playing both side and total in the same game
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because you can go one and one and still lose a little bit of
12:58
juice. But they're both sharp, so I got
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to play them. So I am on Houston plus 1 1/2
13:03
and the under. I got 141 1/2 under.
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Again, probably 140 1/2 might be your best number here.
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So aside from some college hoops in the championship game, now
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let's talk about some Major League Baseball because as our
13:16
Buddy B Golf commented on the Spotify rate and review page, we
13:21
love Major League Baseball back in our lives.
13:23
So first one for you, let's go to a 6:45 PM Eastern Time.
13:26
First pitch a little bit early, so get this one in if you want
13:29
to play it. Dodgers and the Washington
13:31
Nationals. Now Dodgers come in nine and
13:33
two, but they did just drop 2 out of three against the Phils
13:36
on the road. Nationals, 3:00 and 6:00, but
13:38
they did just take two out of three against Arizona.
13:41
So what have we seen across the market here?
13:43
Well, of course, baseball, you always start in my opinion, with
13:45
the pitching matchup. We have Dustin May, the righty
13:48
going for the Dodgers. Remember, he was a great young
13:51
kid. He had Tommy John, he's back.
13:53
He looked pretty good in his first start.
13:54
O&OERA of 0. Mackenzie Gore, left-handed
13:58
pitcher. He was a part of that big
14:00
package for Juan Soto back in the day.
14:02
He's O and one 2.45 ERA. So what have you seen across the
14:05
market? Well, it's chalky, it's obvious,
14:08
but I'm going with the Dodgers here guys.
14:10
Good sharp steam in favor of LA, especially after losing 2 out of
14:13
three. I think they want to hopefully
14:15
get back on track here. Added motivation.
14:17
But number one, line movement toward the Dodgers.
14:20
Dodgers open this game as low as -145 Dodgers are now up to -170
14:25
some shops even as high as like -180 now I got -170 at Caesar's.
14:29
So shop around. That's the best price overall.
14:32
But a lot of system matches here on the Los Angeles Dodgers.
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So this is one of those one of those angles here where we're
14:38
just lighting up the board in terms of system matches.
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So first one that jumped out to me.
14:42
Favorites off a loss, bounce back spot.
14:44
You're favored to win, you're off a loss, extra motivation to
14:47
get back in the green. 32 and 18 this year, 64 percent, 9% ROI.
14:53
Non division favorite was Steam $0.10 or more. 33 and 13 this
14:57
year. 72 percent, 20% ROI. Road favorite with Steam $0.10
15:01
or more against the team who missed the playoffs the previous
15:03
year. 11 and 665 percent. 7% ROI.
15:08
Rd. favorites with Steam generic system $0.10 or more. 14 and
15:11
961% with a 2% ROI. So all those systems are
15:15
lighting up on the Dodgers. Dig a little deeper here.
15:18
I really like the Dodgers as a correlative betting play because
15:21
they're kind of a bigger favorite now -170 upwards of
15:24
-180 but the total in this game is 8.
15:27
It's juiced up to the under. Some shops are down to 7 1/2.
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So if your amount of expected runs scored, more likely to come
15:32
from again, quote UN quote, that better team.
15:34
I was reading about how the Dodgers have pretty good numbers
15:37
against Mackenzie Gore historically, and they got a lot
15:40
of good hitters who can really match against left-handed
15:43
pitchers. Dodgers have a great record
15:45
against everyone, but especially lefties.
15:47
Over the last three or four years, they've scored 57 runs.
15:50
This year on the opposite side, Washington's only scored 34
15:54
runs. And then lastly, in our Juice
15:57
Reel app, I found a, nothing crazy, but an 8% sharp mush edge
16:01
in favor of the Dodgers. 8% more of the winning betters are
16:04
playing LA as opposed to losing betters, leaning more toward the
16:07
Nats. So it's a steam move.
16:09
It's a, it's a larger number here, guys.
16:11
But I got a lot of system matches like the Dodgers to
16:14
bounce back today. Shop around.
16:16
I got dodgers -170 again, that's at Caesar's.
16:19
Get the best price. Have those multiple outs.
16:22
Some books are closer to -180 next one for you, Texas Rangers
16:27
and the Chicago Cubbies. Now, first thing I got to tell
16:30
you here is if you are going in this game, you better bring a
16:32
sweatshirt. This one is going to be very
16:34
cold, like 32°. The wind is blowing in, which is
16:37
why you see such a very low total here.
16:39
Total, this one is 6 in the Windy City, but we know the
16:43
Rangers coming in eight and two. So good for our over 85 1/2 win
16:47
total. Those who played the Rangers
16:48
with me, the Rangers just I think they've won like six in a
16:51
row. They just swept Tampa Bay Cubs
16:54
come in seven and five. They just took two or three
16:56
against the Padres. Now a pitching match up here, we
16:58
got Nathan Ovaldi going for Texas one and O ERA of 1.2 O,
17:03
he'll be opposed by Justin Steele, the lefty for the Cubs
17:05
two and one 6.89 ERA. Now, what have we seen across
17:09
the market here? Well, pretty good one way steam
17:12
in favor of the Cubbies. Cubs open around -115 -, 120
17:16
relatively short chalk favorite. Then they've now been bet up to
17:19
around -130 so about 10-15 cents of steam in their favor.
17:23
You'll get DraftKings around 60% of bets, but nearly 70% of the
17:28
money is on the Cubs. So good low bets, higher dollar
17:30
split. A lot of system matches on
17:33
Chicago favorites off a loss. Same one that we had there with
17:36
the Dodgers. 32 and 1864 percent, 9% ROI interleague home
17:41
favorite. 32 and 1174 percent 26% ROI Home favorites in
17:47
general, the obvious chalk but has come through system 65 and
17:51
2969 percent 16% ROI. Then here's another weird one
17:56
for you. But Monday home favorites with
17:58
Steam $0.10 or more. Three and one this year.
18:01
Small sample 39 and 1671 percent 9% ROI since the start of last
18:06
year. Correlative betting favorite
18:09
very low total total. This one is 6.
18:11
I'm going to bank on hopefully the offense of Chicago to show
18:13
up 13246 on the year doesn't sound great, but they've scored
18:17
77 runs. On the flip side, Texas is only
18:20
hitting $1.92. They've scored 33 runs.
18:23
Cubs have been pretty good at home hitting three O 8.
18:25
Texas only hitting 216 on the road.
18:27
And when I mentioned the joke about, you know, bring your
18:29
sweatshirt tonight, it's going to be freezing at Wrigley Field.
18:32
But I would give that as an advantage hopefully to the Cubs.
18:34
They are used to it, the cold, the wind.
18:37
You look at the Rangers, they play in Texas where it's hot and
18:41
they play in a, you know, Dome, close roof stadium, retractable
18:44
roof there at globe light fields.
18:46
Hopefully that's a benefit to the Cubs.
18:48
But a lot of system matches good short number, relative betting
18:52
favorite, low total. I'm playing the Cubbies here
18:54
tonight, guys. Let's go.
18:55
Cubs. I got them at -130 last bit of
18:59
the night, Cincinnati Red Legs, San Francisco G Ben.
19:04
So this one caught my eye as a late night sweat.
19:07
I made the joke earlier that, you know, I watched the White
19:10
Lotus season finale with the wife last night, but we still
19:14
have the Severance season finale that we got to watch tonight.
19:17
So with the championship game, you know, Severance, this is
19:20
probably going to be an iPad game for me.
19:21
But either way, found an edge here, hopefully on the G men.
19:26
Give me the Giants in this one, guys.
19:28
Cincinnati comes in to this game three and seven on the year.
19:31
Just dropped three of four against Milwaukee.
19:34
San Francisco 8 and 1. Great start to the year.
19:37
They've won I think six or seven in a row and they just swept the
19:40
Seattle Mariners. Now pitching matchup.
19:42
We got hunter green, the righty going for the the Reds O and one
19:46
2.25 ERA. He'll be opposed by Logan Webb.
19:49
He's one and O ERA of three. What are we seeing here?
19:53
Well, system matches line movement toward the San
19:56
Francisco G men. Giants open this game around
19:58
-135 they've now been bet up to around -150.
20:02
Even as high as -155 I got giants -148 at FanDuel, pretty
20:07
good splits at both DraftKings and Circa. 82% bets 85% dollars
20:11
at DraftKings at Circa 91% bets 95% dollars on the G men.
20:17
A lot of system matches here. Home favorites as you mentioned,
20:21
69% this season. Non division favorites with
20:24
steam. 72% this year. Non division home favorite off a
20:27
win with steam. This one's crazy 25 and three
20:30
this year, 89 percent, 47% ROI and also that Monday home
20:35
favorite with steam system 71% since the start of last year.
20:39
Another correlative betting favorite low total looks like it
20:42
could be a low scoring game here.
20:43
Total is falling 7 down to 6 1/2 at some shops.
20:47
We have the line moving towards San Fran as well.
20:49
So hopefully we have that, you know, line move toward the
20:51
favorite and toward the under. Does that mean hopefully a, you
20:55
know, 4 to 1 Giants win something like that?
20:58
But we're lighting up with system matches.
21:00
We got good sharp line movement. I'm playing the G man here, the
21:03
baseball G man. I got him at -148 So San
21:07
Francisco, Chicago Cubbies, the Dodgers, Houston plus 1 1/2 and
21:12
the Houston Florida championship under.
21:15
I would, I would love it if you also got the under 141 1/2
21:18
there. So that about does it for
21:20
episode 251 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
21:24
powered by Rhythm championship game MLB.
21:27
I'll be honest with you guys. I could have added probably two
21:29
more MLB bets, but I try not to force it too much.
21:32
But there were a few that were kind of catching my eye there.
21:35
But anyway, see if we can post a winning night.
21:37
That is always the goal. Now this is the part of the pod,
21:40
of course, where we wrap things up and I start first by saying
21:42
thank you. Thank you for taking the time
21:44
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
21:47
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdown.
21:50
To me, if you do enjoy this pod, if win, lose or draw, you value
21:54
the insights, the information, the tips, the strategies.
21:56
Maybe you've learned a thing or two since listening or it's
21:59
become maybe part of your routine.
22:01
Maybe you have plays that you're you've already bet or you're
22:03
thinking about and you're here to tail fade or do whatever you
22:07
want. But hopefully you enjoy the
22:08
insights. If that is the case, could you
22:10
please do me a solid and give this podcast a five star review?
22:14
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, rate and review five
22:18
stars. Leave a nice comment like my Guy
22:20
B Golf did the other day. I appreciate you man.
22:23
If you'll also want to click the follow button that way you get
22:24
alerted as soon as it drops each day.
22:27
That'll be great as well. Next, if you enjoy this style of
22:30
betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
22:33
reading the market, trying to pick up on the context clues,
22:35
trying to be with the smart money against the public, trying
22:38
to be closing lines, taking a contrarian approach.
22:41
If this style of betting, you know, has you hooked, has you
22:44
interested and you want to learn more, or you know someone in
22:46
your life who could use a you know, this blueprint in their in
22:49
their betting routine, or you want to let me know you
22:51
appreciate the pod. I would very much be honored if
22:55
you wanted to go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide
22:59
to sports betting. It's my baby, first book I ever
23:02
wrote. Very proud of it.
23:03
But that is available on Amazon. It's got everything I've learned
23:06
in the industry, really teaches the data-driven blueprint really
23:09
for brand new betters. People are new in a newly
23:12
legalized state who really don't know the rules of the road,
23:14
don't have a a blueprint and how do I how to make a smart bet.
23:18
But it's also great for intermediate betters because I
23:20
get into a lot of nitty gritty betting systems in there as
23:22
well. But also I have another book
23:24
coming out it's called the NFL sharp betting playbook.
23:27
I would love it if you guys could pre-order a copy, make the
23:30
publishers happy, continue to generate some buzz.
23:33
We continue to rise up the the charts there for Amazon for for
23:37
top gambling, new releases and and books.
23:39
So I'm very honored and proud of that.
23:41
But it's all about how to bet the NFL from a data-driven
23:43
perspective. So if you want to support the
23:45
pod, let me know you appreciate the the pod each day.
23:48
Please go pre-order a copy. Just go to Amazon.com and type
23:52
in again the NFL sharp betting playbook.
23:54
Those of you who have already bought one or both of my books,
23:57
I love you. I appreciate you.
23:58
Thank you so much. Bring them to the sports book.
24:01
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
24:03
ale or we'll get some some nachos together.
24:06
How about that next, if you haven't done it yet, what are
24:09
you waiting for? Go download Rhythm and Juice
24:11
Reel, my two favorite sports betting apps Rhythm fantastic
24:14
for their AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
24:17
player props. Pretty much all the sports now
24:20
with MLB Live as well as NBA. We'll have our again 6:00 PM
24:24
live stream tonight on Twitter for Rhythm.
24:26
So looking forward to seeing you guys there.
24:28
And then also Juice Reel fantastic for a multitude of
24:31
reasons. Juice Reel has really got you
24:33
covered everywhere you can follow the all systems go best
24:35
bet picks for $4.99 a week. I always make the joke.
24:39
You tip your bartender, you tip your server, tip your podcast
24:42
host. This pods free.
24:44
If you feel like I can give you $4.99 worth of insights each
24:48
week, then please go sign up for those best bet picks on
24:51
Juicereal. You can just click that link
24:52
that I tweet out each day late afternoon.
24:55
Also, you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the
24:58
AI driven plays, which by the way, I should mention there's
25:01
one tonight on Houston plus 1 1/2.
25:03
So I love seeing us overlap with Robo.
25:05
We also get the sharp mush indicators, arbitrage plays.
25:09
Shop for the best line futures as well as syncing up your
25:11
sports books, which makes it fully transparent in terms of
25:15
your record. And those of you who want to,
25:18
you know, put your plays up for people to follow, you can do
25:20
that as well and charge whatever you want, $1.99, four, 99999,
25:24
whatever. It's really, really my buddy
25:27
Ricky Gold. He calls it revolutionizing and
25:29
making transparent. And this is a bad connotation,
25:32
but the picks selling process, which you know, picks selling to
25:36
me and it's kind of gross, but I think the whole point is if you
25:40
are proud of yourself, you're confident or you know someone
25:43
who's really good and you just want to tell their plays, boom,
25:45
you can set the price and you know that it's real.
25:47
People won't delete their results.
25:49
Once you sync your sports books up, there's no faking.
25:51
You can't erase it. You can't tweak it.
25:53
It's up there forever. But you also get, of course, all
25:56
the breakdowns, bets and dollars for spread total and money line
26:00
for all the different games based on who has synced up their
26:02
books to the app. So download rhythm, download
26:05
Juice Reel, give them five star reviews in the App Store.
26:08
Next, if you don't have a live odds page in your life, I don't
26:12
know what you're doing #1 I don't know how you're betting on
26:14
sports. Because if you don't know what a
26:15
game opened at, let's even take a step back.
26:18
If you don't know all the games available to that day, that's
26:20
the best part of the live odds page or one of the best parts.
26:22
It just gives you all your options, all your games listed,
26:25
the times, but more importantly, the opening number, all the
26:29
current numbers. You can quickly see the
26:30
direction that the lines moving look at, pull up the complete
26:33
line history, look at all the moves in between the nuances and
26:36
signals and buyback plays. And then also shop for the best
26:40
line, get the best number all available to you with a live
26:43
odds page. But I want you to try out Odds
26:45
Logic. It's the best live odds page
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around for the best value. And if you go to
26:50
oddslogic.com/josh 123, make sure it's slash Josh 123 at the
26:55
end. You'll get a 7 day free trial of
26:57
odds logic and you also get 50% off your first month.
27:01
So it'll be about 50 bucks. Usually it's 99 bucks a month.
27:04
Again, seems like a lot, but comparatively, a lot of live
27:07
odds pages are double, triple, quadruple that amount.
27:10
But give it a shot. Odds logic.com/josh 123.
27:15
So that about does it for episode 251 of the ASG Pod.
27:19
As always, I'm leave with a couple things.
27:20
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
27:24
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
27:26
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
27:29
Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the
27:32
Nash in Nashville, New Hampshire in my neck of the woods.
27:35
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
27:37
down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
27:39
runners with low as 2 as possible is found at the South
27:41
Point or sweat and sharp and train plays jumping in the
27:44
stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
27:46
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
27:49
You're going to show me a beautiful clean sweep 3 and O
27:53
from our MLB plays on Friday. Or how about a Houston plus 5
27:56
1/2 play over the weekend Guess what?
27:58
First one's on me, next one's on you.
28:00
We'll post about the book. So at the championship game here
28:03
together tonight as always, guys 3 and OO and three, one and two,
28:07
two and one. Hot, cold, somewhere in the
28:09
middle. You know grinding.
28:11
I feel like we're always grinding.
28:12
Sports betting is never easy, but regardless of the previous
28:15
results, we're always sticking to the model.
28:17
Stick in the blueprint when we're hot, we're never getting
28:19
cocky or arrogant because we're never as good as we think when
28:21
we're hot. But when we're cold, we're not
28:23
going to be suicidal and, you know, depressed and you know, I
28:26
know these are all, you know, average human emotions when
28:29
things aren't going your way. But never get too low when
28:31
you're down because you're never as bad as you think either.
28:33
You're always somewhere in the middle.
28:35
So we can stay true to the model in the blueprint bet games with
28:38
our head and not our heart against the public, with the
28:40
house, with the pros flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
28:44
If we can do that, we're going to be successful better as long
28:46
term. So enjoy the sweats, everyone.
28:49
Let's hope the Cougars can can claw, scratch and claw tonight.
28:52
Hopefully a lower scoring game, maybe we can find a way to get
28:55
two out of these three MLB plays, but win, lose or draw,
28:58
we'll be right back at it tomorrow for episode 252 of the
29:03
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
29:06
Good luck everybody and hope to see you 6 O clock tonight for
29:09
the Rhythm Championship Game live stream.
29:12
Take care everybody and good luck.