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Gators TRUTH Most Are MISSING About UF vs Auburn Game! · SEC Football Addiction

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Speaking of hatred, two coaches that don't seem to like
• 0:02
  Speaker 1: each other very much this week, but are really good
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: friends off the field the other 51 weeks of the year.
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: John Summerall and Alex Golish, Florida at Auburn, the Plains
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: at Jordan-Hare Stadium. We are presented by PrizePix. We'll give
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: you a complete matchup guide for Auburn and Florida. The
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: We talked about the off-field storylines in LSU Ole Miss.
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  Speaker 2: They really exist here, too.
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  Speaker 1: The quarterback and the coach that beat you last year
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  Speaker 1: in a group of five school, you're now going to
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  Speaker 1: play them in an SEC stadium? The coach that Auburn
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  Speaker 1: seemed like they were about to land spurned them and
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  Speaker 1: goes to Florida. Alex Golish trying to prove that, hey,
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  Speaker 1: I'm not just second fiddle to that guy down there
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  Speaker 1: in Gainesville, and I am just as good, if not better,
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  Speaker 1: than him.
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  Speaker 2: And then Florida, all the questions that they had.
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  Speaker 1: You know, an extra wrinkle in this was Florida's former
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  Speaker 1: quarterback playing against Auburn in week one and what that
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: looked like. So the off field storylines here, not as dramatic,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: not as salacious. I think, you know, there's maybe a
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  Speaker 1: little less hatred going on in this one, but two
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: fan bases that man, I watching Florida and Auburn fans
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: go at it for the last three weeks because they
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  Speaker 1: vote well, two weeks because Auburn did have Baylor, but
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: watching them go at it because this game does mean
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: so much. And again, you know, I don't think either
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  Speaker 1: tenure is, you know, it's disaster if they don't win,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: but I do know that it gives the winner a
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: real leg up on the rest of the season. Cause
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I think both teams look at this as a game
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  Speaker 1: they can win. And both teams know if we don't
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: win this one, it gets a hell of a lot
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: harder here soon. So we probably need to go ahead
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: and get the wins where we can.
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: So thoughts.
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: I think it's disaster for all. I think it's disaster
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: for some role. If he doesn't win, I think you
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: can talk yourself out of it a little bit. If
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: you're Auburn and say, We've got, you know, we essentially
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: just imported a G5 program for year one as a foundation,
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: and things will get better. But if you're Florida and
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: you just went through what you went through with Billy
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: and you lose this game, man, the chatter will start.
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: You know that fan base. I know that fan base.
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: I'm not even trying to throw shade on them or
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: anything like that. But, like, you can see the tweets
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: on Saturday night of, like, They went and got another
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: Sunbelt coach and like, here I am, you know, like
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: Sunbelt Johnny or something like that is going to start.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: It makes it worse that it's literally the coach and
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: the quarterback. And we talked about Brian Brown for a
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: little bit. I'm not convinced that he's like, I mean,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: he's certainly not an sec level passer now sec level
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: quarterback and runner, you know, like maybe, maybe, maybe with
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: his legs, but like for, for, yeah, losing this would
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: not be great. Now they would have an opportunity to
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: come back and respond against Ole Miss the next week
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: in the swamp. And you know, if you can, if
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: that's how, if you split these games, it doesn't really
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: matter to me how you split them. I think you're
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: in good shape, but yeah, Florida has so what I
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: can't get over in this is how much talent Florida has.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: Like I liked, I like Florida as the slight favorite.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'll, I'll tell you, you know, not to
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: ruin the picks for the end of the segment, but
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I'm going to pick Florida in this game. I can't
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: get over the amount of talent they have. Now there
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: are questions there and they haven't played anybody yet. And
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: I understand all that. I think Florida is, I don't
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: trust Auburn having enough talent to beat this Florida team.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: I just think that they're Florida's too talented. And that's
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: kind of where I'm at with thinking about this game.
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  Speaker 1: But do you want to tell me I'm, I'm right
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  Speaker 1: or wrong on that?
• 3:26
  Speaker 3: No, I don't want to tell you you're wrong. I mean,
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: you know, the thing I would say is I do
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: think that what Auburn was able to keep on defense
• 3:35
  Speaker 3: was significant, and they've got some guys on that defense, right? Like,
• 3:41
  Speaker 3: they were– I know they lost some as well, but, like,
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: they kept Durkin. They do have, I think, some nice
• 3:47
  Speaker 3: pieces in that front seven, like, the way that some
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: of those linebackers play, what we saw with Eric Winters
• 3:55
  Speaker 3: obviously in that Baylor game. We talked about him before
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: that game. I do think that DJ Durkin has shown
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: that he's a high-level SEC defensive coordinator. There is a
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: subplot here, honestly, with the defensive coordinators that has given
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: me a little bit of pause on just rolling with Florida,
• 4:16
  Speaker 3: and that is Brad White, the Kentucky defensive coordinator that
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: Some are all hired to Florida. Like, he really, really
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: struggled against Tennessee offenses when he was at Kentucky. I mean,
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: just struggled a little bit. Like, there were some 40-point-plus outfit. Like,
• 4:42
  Speaker 3: this was a long run of Tennessee putting up. So,
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  Speaker 3: they put up 56– in Lexington last year, 28 and 2024,
• 4:54
  Speaker 3: not that bad. 33 and 23, like going, I mean,
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  Speaker 3: there's been a lot of it. And so I, I
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: do wonder about his ability to deal with the, the, the,
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: the pace and space and, and, you know, whatever you
• 5:13
  Speaker 3: want to call it, the blur, the Baylor offense that
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  Speaker 3: bullish comes from, you know, he's, I mean, he's in
• 5:19
  Speaker 3: that high tree and, And he is running that at Auburn. Like,
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: make no mistake, that is what they run with Byron Brown.
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  Speaker 3: And they will space Florida out. The question, you know,
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: to me comes down to, like, can Auburn's offensive line
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  Speaker 3: hold up better in this game than they did against Baylor? Which,
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: you know, when I'm saying that, it feels like it
• 5:44
  Speaker 3: might be a problem, right? But I do– think that
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: there is like a huge coordinator advantage between.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: Hey guys, I'll get right back to chatting with Graham.
• 5:57
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• 6:16
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• 6:31
  Speaker 1: back to Graham.
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: I guess goalish or, you know, the Auburn offensive side
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: of the ball and the Florida defensive side of the ball.
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  Speaker 3: But I also love Buster Faulkner, huge Buster Faulkner guy,
• 6:42
  Speaker 3: big believer in Buster Faulkner. So it's it's kind of
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: an interesting world because like Durkin comes from sort of
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: that must champ tree. Right. Defensively. And like Faulkner knows
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: that his experience that he's been around it. And there's
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: there's an opportunity there maybe for for some interesting chess match.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: Talk about the Florida defense up against the Auburn offense and, and,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: you know, Gullish is, you know, run in space and tempo.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: I know it's so hard to evaluate week one and
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: the more data points we get, the better idea we'll
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: get about these teams. Do you feel like Auburn has
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: enough offensively against Florida's defense? Like, you know, I, I,
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: I don't want to discredit Baylor fully, but I don't
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: know that Baylor is like a top defense in the
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  Speaker 1: big 12 and.
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  Speaker 2: And Auburn didn't look super sharp there.
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  Speaker 1: So I guess the question then becomes, all right, we
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: trust goalish and we trust that offense, but do they have.
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: The horses to burn Florida enough?
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  Speaker 1: Because I do, I think Florida can put up 24,
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  Speaker 1: 28 points in this game because of Faulkner, because of
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: what they've got out at wide receiver, because Jaden ball
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: might be the best back in the league.
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  Speaker 2: All those things. I feel good about Florida's offense.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: I wonder if Auburn, even if they do have a
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: good plan offensively, do they have the horses that can
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: get the job done?
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  Speaker 2: Get you across the goal line, I guess.
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: I mean, that's the question, right? Like, uh, at the
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: receiver position, you know, I mean, Singleton's done some nice
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: things this year, but yeah, you're talking Nimrod and some
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: of these guys that came over, uh, I guess the
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: counter to that would be they had enough horses to
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: get it done against Florida at USF last year, even
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: though that was a very defensive struggle football game. To me,
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  Speaker 3: that's probably what it needs to be again for Auburn
• 8:37
  Speaker 3: is lower scoring. If this gets out of the low 20s,
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: you're probably in trouble and you need to hope that
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  Speaker 3: Byron Brown is a willing runner who has a big
• 8:48
  Speaker 3: day with his legs. I think that is what I
• 8:52
  Speaker 3: would like to see Auburn do is, is like really
• 8:56
  Speaker 3: lean hard into incorporating some of those, those kinds of
• 9:00
  Speaker 3: read option run game principles off of this space and
• 9:04
  Speaker 3: hope that, hope that your tackles can, can block down
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  Speaker 3: on Florida's edges at times and let Byron Brown slip
• 9:11
  Speaker 3: out the back door for some big gains. And I
• 9:13
  Speaker 3: do think Jeremiah Cobb is a really good running back.
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  Speaker 3: I've always thought that like when you talk about horses and, he's,
• 9:20
  Speaker 3: he's a real one, you know, like he is a
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: sec caliber skill player for certain, but I, I don't know.
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  Speaker 3: They certainly do not have the firepower that like Florida
• 9:33
  Speaker 3: has at wide receiver. And I'm very interested to see
• 9:36
  Speaker 3: how Auburn's offensive line holds up in this game.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: Who has the Auburn's defense?
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Do you feel like this is a game that you,
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: obviously every offense wants to be balanced, right? But if
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: you're trying to stop Florida, are you, certainly your strategy
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: would be to make Aaron Philo beat you in his
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: first big time road start. Because if your strategy is
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: like make J. Bob beat you, I think Florida is
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: like deal boys. Like we will we will lean on
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: that guy and go to town. I mean, they've got
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: great weapons, so that is scary. It's kind of pick
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: your poison. But certainly the thought would be, OK, let's
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: hope that Philo was just really good at home against
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: bad competition and he can't bring it like that on
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: the road in the SEC.
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think that is the hope for sure.
• 10:24
  Speaker 3: I like Philo. I'm not totally there yet with him
• 10:31
  Speaker 3: doing big boy shit on the road under duress. I'm
• 10:34
  Speaker 3: not sure that Auburn is going to be the proper
• 10:37
  Speaker 3: test of that either. But my vibe on this is
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: that he's pretty good. And there's a obviously a trust
• 10:50
  Speaker 3: there that exists between Faulkner and Philo and, and they've
• 10:53
  Speaker 3: come over together from Georgia Tech. But I am interested,
• 10:57
  Speaker 3: like just, we haven't seen, like what I can tell
• 11:01
  Speaker 3: you about Auburn is they got into a close game
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: and there were things that went wrong. They did not
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: look great. The offense struggled at times, but they pulled
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: it out in the end and they won the football game.
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: And like, we have not seen Florida play any competition
• 11:14
  Speaker 3: with a pulse yet. So, what are they really? I
• 11:18
  Speaker 3: don't know, but like, they're not going to roll off 9.79
• 11:21
  Speaker 3: yards of play like they have so far this year. Right.
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: Like there's, that's probably not going to happen. So yeah,
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  Speaker 3: I mean, I, their average third down distances and stuff
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: like that, like is, is so skewed out of whack,
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: but I can tell you, you know, one thing that
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: was interesting about that Auburn defense, um, that could be
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: informative and helpful in this game is they, they so
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: far this year are averaging over like 10 yards on
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: third down. Like if they can get you to third down,
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: they are usually stuffing teams and kind of forcing them to,
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: to make throws downfield. And that's what you need to
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: do in this game, right? Is like force Philo to,
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: to live throwing past the sticks and, force him to
• 12:12
  Speaker 3: live with some, some real pass rush in his face
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: where you're pinning your ears back on third and long
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: and hope that he can maybe throw you one and
• 12:20
  Speaker 3: hope that your pass rush is able to penetrate enough
• 12:23
  Speaker 3: to not allow him to sit back there. But if
• 12:27
  Speaker 3: you are playing a Faulkner offense and you're stuck in
• 12:32
  Speaker 3: the loop of like mesh and, and just like little
• 12:35
  Speaker 3: underneath routes and, and dealing with the run after the
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: catch stuff or like the, the, long drag routes that
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: would that'll he'll run where that you like runs everybody
• 12:46
  Speaker 3: out of the play in one direction and run someone
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: back across the grain of the formation if you're dealing
• 12:51
  Speaker 3: with that against them man like it's going to be
• 12:53
  Speaker 3: a long night you've got to be able to stop
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: the run and then you got to stop jayden ball
• 13:00
  Speaker 3: to do that so good luck there i guess i
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: mean like i don't know the more we talk about
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: this the more i feel like i'm i'm leading florida in.
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: This matchup Yeah, well, let's do it. Florida, a two
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: and a half, three point favorite on the road at Auburn.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: You know, it's funny because that's the same spread as
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss and LSU. I've had a rule for a
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: long time that if a team is a three or
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: less favorite at home, you always take them. Like you
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: just like that. There's no, I haven't like studied, like
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: I haven't looked over it. Just think there's really good
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: value in that. Like just getting a team that they're saying, hey,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: this is within a coin flip, right?
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: Three points.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: And they get that home crowd. Now Vegas is making
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: that into, they're not stupid. That's just always been my role.
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: And I've, it's paid off for me more often than
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: it's not saying that I'm taking the road team in
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: this one too.
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: I think Florida wins and covers.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: I'm breaking my own rule for the second time today,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: because I took LSU as well. Go check that video out.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: If you haven't already, I will take Florida to win.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: I think they win. I do think this is lower scoring,
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: but I just, I need to see more from Auburn's
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: offense to, to have the faith. So, 24, 17, 21, 17,
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: somewhere in there.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: Maybe, you know, maybe it's even closer than that.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: I think this is a grinded out game, but I just,
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: I trust Florida's talent a little bit more. You said
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: this in our last one, good offense. A lot of
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: times beats good defense, especially in a one-off. So I'll
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: take the team that I think has the better offense
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: team that I think has the better offensive coordinator, better
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: quarterback too. I'm not like fully bought in on Philo,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: but like for a straight quarterback, not that, Brown can't
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: do things with his legs. I, again, better running back,
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: better wide receiver. Like I, I look at every, every
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: spot offensive line maybe is the question, but really probably
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: for both teams. So yeah, I think I'm leaning Florida here.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: I just think their offense is going to be too much.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: I can see Florida getting up to like 24, 28 or,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: or more if things kind of snowball, but yeah, 24, 17,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: somewhere in that range.
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: Give me the Gators. I, I, I'm.
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: On the Florida two and a half just because I, the,
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: The tape and the analysis that is available to me
• 15:09
  Speaker 3: to do tells me that Florida minus two and a
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: half is the right thing. My life experience as a
• 15:15
  Speaker 3: child with the SST and everything that I know about
• 15:19
  Speaker 3: dirt and hair and all that. And the times I've
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: been over there certainly does not. I mean, if your
• 15:25
  Speaker 3: rule about the home dog of three points, great rule.
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: I love that. Like I'm, I'm very much a fan
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: of it. I'm not going to go there. although I
• 15:37
  Speaker 3: will say like we have seen Auburn get into a
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: close game and make plays. And I don't think that
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: Florida is coming in there and blowing them out. That
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: would surprise me. I Auburn, both these teams will play hard.
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: I really liked the under in this game of 53
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: and a half, even with Faulkner involved. I think that
• 15:55
  Speaker 3: both these teams are going to try to run the
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: football a lot as they should with Jaden ball and
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: Byron Brown, Jeremiah Cobb on the other side. So yeah, Yeah,
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: I think that this will be kind of one of
• 16:06
  Speaker 3: those shortened games, and it'll come down to someone making
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: a play in the last 15 minutes. I'll go Florida
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: minus two and a half, because if there's a world
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: where one of these teams is going to win by
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: like 13 or something, I think that's certainly going to
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: be Florida. I don't see a world where Auburn's going
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: to walk them out of the stadium early, but I–
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: I will not bet this game with my own money.
• 16:33
  Speaker 3: I'll tell you that I will bet this under, but
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: I will not, I will not bet either side in
• 16:38
  Speaker 3: this game. Whatever.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: If Auburn, if I could have a dream scenario, it
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: would be for Auburn to take the opening kickback. And
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: then I get plus money, plus money on the Gators.
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: With like 18 seconds, you know, 13 seconds off the
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: clock or whatever it's going to be, you know, like
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: that is like, this is not gambling advice, but it is.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: if you can get the Gators at plus money at
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: any point in this game, I mean, outside of like
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: down 14 in the fourth quarter.
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: I that's, that's value I would take if it's within
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: one score. I like, I kind of like that.
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: So obviously we can't predict that, but if Florida would
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: like to give up a kick return touchdown to start
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: the game, I'd be thrilled with that.
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: Cause I'll take the Gators plus money at any point.
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: Yeah. I mean, I, I do. I love the strategy.
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: I'm with you. Yeah.
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: You're, you're needing some stuff to happen. Like I'm coming
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: up with theoreticals, but like you gotta be tuned in
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: to your TV. And we'll see what happens. Make sure
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: you're tuned in here and you're subscribed so that you
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: don't miss Graham and I breaking these games down every week.
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: Good segue there.