Latest / Disguised Coverage / Inside Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs: X's & O's, Scheme, & more | DC

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Inside Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs: X's & O's, Scheme, & more | DC · Disguised Coverage

• 0:00
  It's thirty eight. All bills can win in here, Wake puts it down.
• 0:03
  The kick is on the way and dock m the bell good one?
• 0:07
  How the hell that one home? How one? They were a party one
• 0:14
  not party way? Incredible? Why not combat by my bell? Jacksonville's perfect
• 0:21
  record on the line right here, quick kicking, look excited. Touchdown Kyle
• 0:43
  Williams touchdound amazing, unbelievable. They puttied william Who's hats to full back and
• 0:56
  he scores a touchdown. It's wealthier to face tackle. What's good? Folks,
• 1:15
  family, friends, loved ones, enemies, friend of meies, wizards,
• 1:19
  which is Muggles, mud bloods, people of Middle Earth. To a
• 1:22
  special Wednesday edition of Disguised Coverage. Normally the cover one film Room is here
• 1:26
  in this slot, but no film room this week. And then life came
• 1:29
  at me fast yesterday on Tuesday for the regularly schedule time of Disguised Coverage.
• 1:33
  So here we sit on this Wednesday edition of Disguised Coverage, the only podcast
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  in existence that gives you an equal amount of blueberries in each muffin and is
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  presented by the best Pizza in Buffalo, New York, and that is One
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  Pipe Pizza find me online menu in the episode show notes, whether here on
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  YouTube or whichever podcasting Apple platform you were listening to this show on. One
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  Pipe Pizza is also doing their annual Toys for Tots drive, So stop in,
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  do a donation. You get a chance at some awesome prizes. So
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  whether you want to donate because you're kind in general, or because you're selfish
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  and you want the opportunity to win a prize, the children don't care.
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  Donate toys for the children, get some all some pizza and food while you
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  are there. In this episode of Disguise Coverage hosted by myself Anthony Prohaska,
• 2:12
  find me on Twitter at pro Underscore Underscore, and we will be diving into
• 2:16
  one of the favorite, maybe not so favorite pastimes for Bills fans and the
• 2:21
  Buffalo Bills. It is Chiefs Week here on this show, but a little
• 2:24
  bit of a different feel with how the Bills come into this game and how
• 2:27
  the Chiefs come into this game. So we'll be diving into anything and everything
• 2:31
  related to that game and the first portion of the show, the x's and
• 2:34
  O scheme and structure, personnel groupings, anything and everything that will matter in
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  terms of breaking down how and why this game or the house and why is
• 2:42
  behind the what's of how this game will be decided, and then the back
• 2:45
  end we're going to dive into some questions from the live chat and some other
• 2:47
  topics specifically related to the Buffalo Bills moving forward and all that. But without
• 2:53
  further ado, first part of the show, like I said, talking Bills,
• 2:55
  talking Chiefs, the matchups, the pieces, and I brought back a
• 2:59
  regular for that week. I think it's the last twos. I think the
• 3:04
  last three times the Bills have played the Chiefs. This next person coming on
• 3:07
  has been my guest. I hate him, can't stand him. He's a
• 3:09
  horrible person, don't like his analysis, don't really like his face. But
• 3:15
  you know you got to dance with the girl that probably, And without further
• 3:17
  ado, I bring to the stage Matt Lane from Casey Sports Network. In
• 3:23
  all seriousness, you are one of my favorite people. I love every time
• 3:25
  you come on the show. I enjoy dming with you. You know,
• 3:29
  we talk a lot come draft time. You're just a good old dude and
• 3:30
  I enjoy hanging out with you. And I appreciate your schedule to accommodate me
• 3:36
  for this week, and yeah, I wish we didn't have to always talk
• 3:39
  in such a high stressful, high leverage week, but nonetheless, here we
• 3:44
  are, and I appreciate you taking the time and welcome to the show.
• 3:46
  Oh, I mean, hey one, thanks for having me back. Dude,
• 3:50
  you brought me on and I forgot i'd accidentally muted myself. Must talking.
• 3:53
  You're being mean, You're being so mean, you're hurting my feelings,
• 3:55
  and so you know, you turned it around. But I did see that
• 3:58
  you muted yourself, and I was like, is he to realize or am
• 4:00
  I gonna tell him? Then you realize on your own. I was like,
• 4:01
  oh, he did it, well done. Yeah, no, I
• 4:02
  got there. You know. It's it's a tradition for me to mute myself
• 4:05
  and forget about it when I'm recording. I do anytime i'm with Like when
• 4:09
  I do the film with Eric, I always mute myself when he's speaking,
• 4:13
  like I'll take a drink of water if I cough. I forget all the
• 4:15
  time and I'll have a good point. He's like, you're on mute,
• 4:16
  brother, and I'm like, damn it. Yeah, I got an old
• 4:19
  house, I got kids that run around dogs, like it gets loud,
• 4:23
  so I mute myself a lot. I forget, I forget it frequently.
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  But no, I'm happy to be back. You know, it's always we
• 4:29
  say, it's always fun. The Chiefs have lost what the last two in
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  the last three that I've been on here, you know, so like,
• 4:34
  yeah, but not the onest's play The playoffs are the ones that matter.
• 4:36
  And listen, yeah, yeah that one, you know that that one was
• 4:41
  a good one from my side of the year. That was stupid. So
• 4:46
  but yeah, no, anyway, I'm happy to come back. This is
• 4:47
  one of my favorite favorite shows that get to come on to you, get
• 4:49
  a talk fall with you. I love to sit here and get to do
• 4:53
  it. So I'm excited. I'm excited for this. Yeah, you mentioned
• 4:57
  the stakes. There's definitely steaks, but they're different. They feel it entirely
• 5:00
  different than years past. Usually it's like, yeah, here's a good matchup.
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  Realistically, we're both gonna play again later. Though, this one just
• 5:05
  feels a tiny bit different. Huhuh. Yeah, it's you know, last
• 5:10
  year we went into the Bills Chiefs week talking about, yeah, like how
• 5:15
  important this game would be for playoff seating, and then talking about like I
• 5:18
  remember your big question to me was like, if the Bills win this game,
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  how confident do you feel this means like things change going forward. I
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  was like, no, it's still has to be done in the playoffs.
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  And we were just very much like looking forward in like an anticipatory fashion,
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  thinking like, well, they're going to be a gain in the playoffs and
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  we'll see what happened. And it did not work out for the Buffalo Bills.
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  They got housed by the Cincinnati Bengals in the division round of the playoffs.
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  And you know, with that feel like it's obviously different from a Bill's
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  perspective, like they're sitting here at six and six and this is a game
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  that isn't about playoffs seating. This is a game for them just thinking like
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  we have to win and stay alive for the playoff race because they have dug
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  themselves not a huge hole, but definitely less than ideal hole sitting there at
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  six and six. But the Chiefs come into this game at eight and four,
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  coming off I'll say, like an ugly loss against a Green Bay Packers
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  team that has suddenly gotten hot, you know, you know, to to
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  their credit, but give me a state of the Kansas City Chiefs coming into
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  this game right now. You know, there's been their defense has been playing
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  well. The offense has had their issues and struggles and ups and downs.
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  But you know, again, coming off of a loss that I think may
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  have been surprising to most from my national perspective, maybe from a Chiefs perspective
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  as well. Just give me the current state of the Kansas City Chiefs coming
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  into this game. Yeah, that's I don't want to say it's a hard
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  spot because at the end of the day, the Chiefs are still the raigning
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  Super Bowl champions. They still have Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelcey
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  and realistically, besides the Packers game, the defense has been phenomenal this year
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  and so it's hard to say you feel really bad about them. But at
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  the same time, over the past six years now, we have seen an
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  offense it's just flying, it's doing everything they can do whenever they want.
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  You always have one hundred percent confidence they're gonna win the game. That's not
• 7:00
  there amongst fans this year. Like there's been multiple games now where the Chiefs
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  have had the ball at the end of the game, would they chance to
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  go in and they haven't, and they really start starting from Week one against
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  the Lions, Lions, Broncos, uh, last week the Packers now Eagles
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  even but now, okay, this gets you to the bigger point. Two
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  of those games, three of those games have involved drops on the final drive
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  from wide receivers that kind of hit them right where they needed to right.
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  So like, there's definitely there's definitely some issues going on there with the receivers.
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  Like I guess, ultimately that's gonna overshadow everything. This offense just looks
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  clunky. It's not the offense we are used to seeing. So we hope
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  there's hope that you get back to it. But man, it's it's been
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  a tough ride for the Chiefs, Chiefs fans to watch this offense operate the
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  way it has this year, even though the defense has obviously been fantastic.
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  So that's one of like my and it the tin and one of my points
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  later like what Kansas City, I've always had somewhat of then affinity for the
• 7:59
  chief defense with what Steve Spagnolo has done, Like he's just been one of
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  those guys. It doesn't matter in the Chiefs defense usually statistically is fine enough
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  find a good but even when they're like poor, you just know, come
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  playoff time or come big gay moments, like he coaches well, like you
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  know, if you're in some third down in the playoffs, he's gonna bring
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  something like sketchy. He's gonna bring some designer that you haven't seen. And
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  I really put him in there with it. Those like those veteran coaches on
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  that side of the ball that can kind of like own their silo that allows
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  you know, Andy Reid I always you know, juxtaposed that the Chiefs and
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  Bengals, and really because they've been like the top two teams in the AFC
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  the past couple of years. But you know, with the Chiefs, you've
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  got Andy Reid and he's able to run that offensive side of the ball and
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  he oversees everything. But knowing that you've got a Steve Spagnolo on the defensive
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  side, knowing that he can kind of police everything himself, similar to what
• 8:48
  Zach Taylor does with Cincinnati. Like Zach Taylor runs the offense and he's got
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  lou An Arumo on the other side. And it's funny how those two coaches
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  with Spagnolo and Rumo. I also put them in that same category of big
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  games, big moments, like you know that they are coming for you,
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  and especially like at the end of the year or especially in the playoffs,
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  they know who you are to offensively, they know how to amplify your weaknesses
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  and mitigate your strengths. And this year, you know what Spagnolo has done.
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  It's not just being seen in a big game fashion, just more of
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  like a regular statistical fashion, Like the Chiefs have been one of the best
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  defenses week in and week out, like in the NFL, and it's funny
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  to sit there and think that and know that, like, well, the
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  offense has kind of held this team back because you'd be like that, that
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  doesn't make any sense. Yeah, that's exactly it. Every year, the
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  defense starts out and does whatever it does, and you know, come December,
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  come playoff time, Steve Spagnolo is at the very minimum, gonna have
• 9:43
  the situational stuff on point. There's gonna be fantastic third down plays. He's
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  gonna bring pressures that you can't see, make late rotations that you don't expect,
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  and that's shown up in the playoffs. That's a big part of how
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  they've won these two Super Bowls. How they're stay so consistently good is because
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  of what he does down the stretch this year, after you know, they've
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  invested in defense over and over again, he's finally, I think, got
• 10:05
  enough really high caliber players on the defensive side. And hey, they're very
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  young. So that's two thumbs up there that he can I think, not
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  just design stuff up. He can run a relatively I don't want to say
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  basics. His defense isn't basic, but the basic defensive calls right now are
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  still excellent because they have the guys that can go out there and win.
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  Chris Jones can still go win. The entire secondary can shut guys down on
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  just a typical first and ten if you want to drop back and throw the
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  ball, and that hasn't always been the case. So that's really opened up
• 10:33
  a lot of doors on the defensive side of the ball. And up until
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  this Packers game in which I shout out, you know, lafloor, he
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  he threw everything and the kitchen scene get that defense. And as soon as
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  the Chiefs lost their second Mike linebacker, like they just had a really difficult
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  time kind of deciphering it, getting their calls in and like ever just getting
• 10:50
  a leg up. But the defense has been great. I would imagine it'll
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  continue to be good. This week sounds like hopefully Nick Bolton is going to
• 10:56
  be back, and that's just going to help immediately. It's gonna help immediately
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  with the with the calls not to have a third string linebacker in there.
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  So we will see how the defense responds. They've been so good this year.
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  And then the offense. It's just the hard part of the offense is
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  it's really hard to foresee where they're going. It's hard to see where exactly
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  it's gonna get better. It seems like they're kind of treading water on the
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  offensive side, waiting for Mahomes to go into a superhero mode to save them,
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  and we just haven't got it yet, and so it's been frustrating.
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  I don't know if worries sim is the right word yet, but very frustrating
• 11:30
  so far. Yeah, it's just like all I think of all those like
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  proverbial phrases like sluggish or like stuck in neutral or can't get out of its
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  own way type of thing, and not to give like a blanket all or
• 11:41
  cure all statement or answer. But I feel like drops have been such a
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  huge part of it. Like if you literally, if you change I don't
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  know, like three or four drops throughout the entire course of the season,
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  this team is sitting there, I don't know, like ten and two potentially.
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  Like if you just change the MBS drop against the Eagles, that right
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  now there, in and of itself is probably a win. Then there's a
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  couple on that Lions game, Like I mean Kadarius Tony had like twenty four
• 12:05
  drops in that game. If you just change the right the pick six was
• 12:09
  the big one there, right, the gods that that went off as yeah,
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  yeah, so you pull that one out, even make it in complete,
• 12:15
  you pull that one out, that might be a win. But I
• 12:16
  can't even guarantee that one. But then you have Sky Moore in the Broncos
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  game where it's kind of a drop. He kind of loses it in the
• 12:22
  lights, but like it's a ball that you got to catch. You have
• 12:24
  mvs. Versus, Like you can change just three of their league leading drops.
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  I believe they were at least they were going into last week. You
• 12:31
  could just change three of those and you can flip three games potentially to wins.
• 12:35
  Like that's been a huge issue. But then still when you watch them,
• 12:39
  yeah, that's an issue, but there's so much more behind the curtain
• 12:41
  that's like that's part of the problem. It's just like you said, it
• 12:45
  seems like they're stuck in neutral and these past couple of weeks they figured out
• 12:48
  a little bit. Quit running routes and just throw a bunch of screens seems
• 12:52
  to be their answer. And like, hey, it's it's equated to better
• 12:54
  offensive performance the past two weeks. It's just still, where does that go
• 12:58
  for the long term? So like drops issue number one? Issue number two
• 13:01
  is Okay, what else do you have besides the screen game or the quick
• 13:05
  passing game? And like that's what we're all kind of waiting to see.
• 13:09
  Now, did it the struggles for the offense this year? How surprising has
• 13:13
  it been for you? Like and to ty in my perspective with it,
• 13:18
  Like last year when they traded Tyreek Hill, I wasn't really anticipating a huge
• 13:22
  drop off, Like I between my own research and then listening to people who
• 13:26
  I trust, the Chiefs had already started moving in a direction at the end
• 13:30
  of twenty twenty one that was going to make a Tyreek Hill less offense kind
• 13:35
  of make an easier transition into that world, and they did, Like they
• 13:39
  hit the ground running grind at Arizona sucks, but they opened up last year
• 13:41
  against Arizona boat raced them and then obviously like en route to a Super Bowl.
• 13:46
  But you bring back a lot of those pieces from that year. Last
• 13:48
  year, you still have this good offensive line. You have a second year
• 13:52
  Sky Moore, you have another year with MBS in the system. You Drafter
• 13:56
  she Rice, who I wasn't a huge fan of, but I recognized the
• 13:58
  skill set and how it fits. You've got a second year Isaiah Pacheco,
• 14:01
  like there wasn't You return a lot of pieces from this offense that transitioned so
• 14:07
  well. After they lost Tyreek kilm was still one of the best offenses by
• 14:11
  almost any metric you measure them with, and won a Super Bowl. You
• 14:13
  bring back like that whole squad and see these struggles. How surprising has it
• 14:18
  been for you to like see how much they've struggled this year, or maybe
• 14:20
  the kinds of struggles they've had. So I think a big part of last
• 14:24
  year why it worked was they brought on Juju Smith Schuster and he not that
• 14:30
  he was in a comply conentirely different skill set, but there was a reliability
• 14:33
  aspect there. There was consistency before he got hurt, you know, and
• 14:37
  down the stretch when he played the fast month of the season with his knee
• 14:41
  really messed up. I don't think everybody realized how bad the knee was till
• 14:43
  he got to New England and all of a sudden, every week it's something
• 14:46
  that's coming out of New England that his knee was pretty bad. So he
• 14:50
  got bad last year for Kansas City, but there was a consistency level.
• 14:52
  So you go into any single play, Travis Kelcey or Juju Smith Schuster are
• 14:58
  going to get open versus own covers like you can't take away both of them
• 15:01
  on any given play. And I think that let the rest of the offense
• 15:03
  play with confidence. And that goes from play calls to mahomes to the offensive
• 15:07
  line, like they just stopping their passing game by playing zone was nearly impossible.
• 15:11
  And then if you play man coverage, it made sense. Some teams
• 15:16
  had success with it, but then you have to deal with Andy Reid,
• 15:18
  and Andy Reid will throw mesh at you thirteen different ways in one game and
• 15:22
  like good Luck and Travis Kelcey and Juju Smith Schuster at times. I mean,
• 15:26
  Kerelsey number one all the time. If it's a single coverage can beat
• 15:28
  you. Juju Smith Schuster could in moments. So like, I think that
• 15:31
  played a huge amount. Losing him really hurt. And so now you replace
• 15:35
  him with somebody like Rashi Rice, who's a lot more athletic, a lot
• 15:37
  more explosive. He does some stuff definitely better, but it's not consistent.
• 15:41
  There's no reliability there. So now what you see his teams just go,
• 15:46
  well, we're gonna see who else can beat us besides eighty seven. And
• 15:48
  it's just so hit or miss right now. So I'm not surprised they're struggling,
• 15:52
  but I am surprised how much I also didn't have my Bengo card.
• 15:56
  MVS would go from like a very competent deep threat in the na to one
• 16:00
  of the worst wide receivers in the NFL in one offseason for whatever reason.
• 16:04
  I'm not I don't I don't know what the reason is. But the guy
• 16:07
  had seven hundred yards tough touchdowns last year, took over in the playoffs against
• 16:11
  the Bengals, and like, right now they can't. They cannot get him
• 16:15
  the football in a way that matters to this team. So some of it
• 16:18
  was foreseeable. The how far it's gone, Like how big the impact has
• 16:22
  been. I don't think anybody could have predicted it to be quite this bad.
• 16:26
  I'm still waiting for him to. Like the number that keeps sticking in
• 16:29
  my head. I don't know why, is in this game he's gonna have
• 16:30
  like three catches for one hundred and five yards and two touchdowns. I don't
• 16:33
  know why, Like I just kiss because he's been so bad. He's the
• 16:37
  one that's gonna have like a big play game. You're gonna be all fantastic.
• 16:40
  That's what all of our Packers friends thought. Oh sorry, that's it.
• 16:42
  That's what all the Packers friends said too. And then like he runs
• 16:45
  that little like seam route and just bends it right to the safety for absolutely
• 16:48
  no reason, and the balls are the wrong shoulders, Like well, like
• 16:52
  that was the chance, right, that was the chance to get it back.
• 16:53
  And it's just it seems like that's him every single week. Is when
• 16:56
  he finally does get that opportunity, You're like it's this close and he's dropping
• 17:02
  it. He's making some kind of odd route adjustment or sometimes it's happened Maholmes
• 17:06
  has made a bad throw on some of them too, But like it's just
• 17:08
  it's not clicking, and I don't know what the rationale is for it.
• 17:11
  Besides who maybe maybe the guy just lost the speed, maybe the vertical receiver
• 17:15
  lost a step, and now it's just getting a little bit tricky. I
• 17:18
  don't know for what his rationale is. The big the big drop late in
• 17:22
  the game is the one against the Eagles, right, yeah, that was
• 17:25
  yeah, that was an Eagles one. That was the one that I thought,
• 17:27
  O, yeah, okay, So I have so many like games and
• 17:30
  tape in my head, and like every once we get past week of like
• 17:33
  ten or eleven, once we get into double digits, everything in my brain
• 17:36
  every year is just mush and I can't remember, like what game is?
• 17:38
  What? That was the one when I saw like I saw the ball in
• 17:42
  the air and I saw him, I just immediately assumed like touchdown because I
• 17:47
  was like, of course it's Mahomes and of course MVS will get out of
• 17:51
  his slump with this huge play, And when he dropped it, I was
• 17:53
  just like, oh, like I just assumed like, and then saying,
• 17:57
  like you mentioned that Packers play like I just keep waiting, like you said,
• 18:00
  and I guess like for Chiefs fans who like, okay, this will
• 18:03
  be the week where he breaks out and does something big like and it just
• 18:06
  keeps not happening. I like this question from Chris here in the comments and
• 18:11
  when I said directly view so Chris says, you know, we're talking about
• 18:12
  the offensive struggles for the Chiefs, And he says, is this a reflection
• 18:15
  at all in the effect that Eric the enemy had? What are your thoughts?
• 18:21
  Yes, yes, and no No. I don't think Eric vienemy played
• 18:25
  a huge role in the scheme or what was happening in play calling or anything
• 18:29
  like that. Like, I don't believe that is where his impact was most
• 18:32
  felt. I do think that Eric vinemy On, in a different way than
• 18:34
  any other coach on the team, held guys accountable. He wasn't I don't
• 18:40
  want to say he wasn't liked, because he obviously was very well liked the
• 18:41
  players, but he wasn't a friend to the players. If you messed up,
• 18:45
  he wasn't like trying to tell you that it was okay. He was
• 18:48
  making you be accountable for it. He was getting after guys. I think
• 18:52
  that there is a lack of somebody doing that. I don't think there's anybody
• 18:56
  out there pressing the players when they are making mistakes or if they don't think
• 19:00
  they're making a mistake and it's not working out. There's not somebody there besides
• 19:03
  Andy Reid, who can't do it during every game. He's not always gonna
• 19:07
  be that guy. There isn't somebody that is just kind of providing that,
• 19:11
  just raw, straight up, here's one hundred percent honesty. You screwed up,
• 19:14
  you didn't screw up. This is why it's not working. I think
• 19:18
  the mentality aspect from what Eric bine Me brought is definitely missing. And I'm
• 19:22
  not one to pile on Matt Naggy. I really don't know how much of
• 19:25
  this offensive struggle is on his plate in terms of scheme, structure, execution,
• 19:30
  anything like that. However, he also don't foresee Matt Naggie getting after
• 19:34
  Travis Kelsey. I don't see Matt Naggy really getting after Patrick Mahomes saying you
• 19:38
  need to change this or that. It seems like a lot more of a
• 19:41
  friendship type vibe there and I just don't know if that's working with Andy Reid
• 19:47
  and a lot of the other assistant coaches that they have right now. I
• 19:49
  don't know why. I just get this feel of like Matt Naggy going up
• 19:52
  to Travis Kelce to like get at him to be better, and I just
• 19:55
  picture Travis Kelsey being like, shut up, Matt, like not even calling
• 19:57
  him coach, just calling him straight up by his first name, and Matt
• 20:00
  Naggy being like all right, like walking back to his place sheet. I
• 20:03
  just I don't know. Yeah, I just have such a hard I'm with
• 20:07
  you. I have such a hard time envisioning Mat like not telling somebody that
• 20:10
  they're wrong, but like doing so in a way that like drives the point
• 20:14
  home, I guess, like in like an authoritative fashion that yeah, oh
• 20:17
  I messed up, right, And it's like it's just and I feel like
• 20:21
  that's missing. And like there's the huge story two years ago when they the
• 20:23
  Chiefs lost the Bengals that Mahomes and b Enemy kind of got into it a
• 20:27
  little bit in the locker room with just a disagreement about what to do on
• 20:30
  a play call or something, and like it had people really going it was
• 20:33
  all speculation like it's never been confirmed or denied, really, but there was
• 20:38
  a guy doing that and you could see it. You could see guys getting
• 20:41
  frustrated and having shouting matches with the enemy on the sideline. I'm not saying
• 20:45
  that's good, but I do think that you could see it that held guys
• 20:48
  accountable. The Chiefs have made so many self inflicted errors this year and it
• 20:52
  hasn't got better at all. Yeah, they do this every year. They're
• 20:56
  always amongst the league leaders and penalties. But it's not the same kind of
• 20:59
  stuff. It's not perceived stuff over and over again. It's not the same
• 21:02
  thing over and over again like it is now. I just don't they don't.
• 21:04
  They don't have a hard ass coach to make them stop doing stuff,
• 21:07
  and I kind of feel like they need it and it's unfortunate. I don't.
• 21:11
  I look through the assistance. They're all guys that have been there,
• 21:15
  They're all guys that have come up with this team. How do you flip
• 21:18
  that switch when you got hired on as an intern as you got hired on
• 21:22
  as an assistant, and now you all of a sudden are supposed to be
• 21:25
  in charge, and so if Matt and Aggie's not doing it, and the
• 21:26
  guy that you know was getting all the coaches coffee four years ago is supposed
• 21:30
  to do it. Like I feel like that's kind of the issue they run
• 21:33
  into. That's what I like that point a lot, and it ties into
• 21:37
  uh, you know, Nikkia this comment down here saying it sounds like the
• 21:40
  bills under Dorsey. We talked about it so much on this show and in
• 21:45
  the film room that I do with Eric, Like when you become a coordinator,
• 21:49
  like when you step up to that level, like you obviously have to
• 21:52
  know like x's and o's and scheme instructure and all that, but so much
• 21:56
  of it is a people management piece, like knowing how to get guys going,
• 22:00
  when, how to correct them, How do you coach someone, How
• 22:02
  do you get the best out of someone, How do you hold them accountable?
• 22:04
  Like how do you get them ready? Like you're managing personalities and you're
• 22:08
  managing like people as much as you are coaching football and the actual like structure
• 22:15
  in the game of it. And it's a different thing going from a position
• 22:18
  coach to a coordinate coordinator, let alone like yeah, someone's been in the
• 22:22
  building that long, Like you were a gopher for coffee, or you weren't
• 22:25
  intern and you were like, you know, yucking it up and laughing as
• 22:27
  you would like hand Mahomes his binder after you made copies for everything they needed
• 22:32
  this week. And now like you're in a position like of authority where you
• 22:34
  have to be hey, Pat, you screwed up. Stop playing like crap
• 22:37
  and be like what, like weren't you weren't you just giving me coffee like
• 22:41
  three years ago, like give me my latte, Like don't forget like the
• 22:44
  whip cream on top that I want, Like it's just it's a it's a
• 22:47
  that's a real thing. Like and I feel like people think all the time
• 22:49
  like in day jobs, like in the real world, it's like, oh,
• 22:52
  you know a manager or a boss, and it's like, I think
• 22:55
  people understand that people management piece for people in the day world. It's very
• 22:57
  much that in sports, you're still managing people, and it might even be
• 23:02
  harder because the people you're managing make a gajillion dollars. Like how do you
• 23:07
  tell like Super Bowl MVPs and guys that drive Lamborghinis to work that hey,
• 23:11
  you're you're doing something wrong. You need to stop and be better. How
• 23:15
  do you do that, especially when they know they make way more than you
• 23:19
  right well, and like you know, you know, it's also pretty clear
• 23:22
  like when Mahomes messes up, he probably knows he messed up, right,
• 23:26
  And so like there's a right way and a wrong way to go about trying
• 23:29
  to tell that to him. And sometimes there's gonna need to be a it's
• 23:32
  got to be strict, and you got to be straight up, and you've
• 23:33
  got to command, like you know, like no, I'm kind of in
• 23:36
  charge about this here. It is other times you maybe just need to confirm
• 23:38
  that he did or did not know that. And it's like, I just
• 23:41
  think that's difficult when all the guys doing that right now have been there for
• 23:45
  you know, essentially the same amount that they've been with Mahomes the whole time.
• 23:48
  They've been the guy sitting there charting all the place they've been the guys
• 23:51
  that are going through watching all the film, collecting the data and being like,
• 23:53
  hey, Pat, what do you you know on this? On third
• 23:56
  downs? The team does this, so look out for it, and like,
• 24:00
  Okay, they're the guy that's giving you random stats and stuff. And
• 24:02
  now all of a sudden they are in control, and not that Naggi was
• 24:06
  that ever. It's just watching Naggie as a Bears head coach in both of
• 24:08
  his stints with Kansas City, I just don't foresee him as a guy that
• 24:12
  gets on top of people in that way. So yeah, I do think
• 24:15
  they missed. That is a great point for you know, Wyo to hear
• 24:18
  about Joe Colan for the defensive line, the defensive side coming in change,
• 24:22
  not even necessarily making Spags change things up, but providing his own level of
• 24:25
  intensity, kind of taking ownership of a position group in a different way than
• 24:29
  Steve Spagnola does. Chiefs offense, every single player or coach on that staff
• 24:33
  is an Andy Reid guy. They have had almost all of their coaching experience
• 24:37
  with Andy Reid. They all and this is you know, this is more
• 24:40
  of a my personal belief than like for sure fact everybody approaches the same problem
• 24:47
  the same way because they all learn from Andy Reid. They're all from the
• 24:49
  exact same system. They need to get somebody from out of the system.
• 24:52
  I'm not saying that like you need to fire Matt Naggie and hire a new
• 24:55
  OC, but bring in somebody that maybe approaches the same problem a little different,
• 25:00
  So it's not all the same voices creating an echo chamber because I think
• 25:03
  they've kind of run into that issue on the offensive side a little bit,
• 25:07
  so they have nobody else, Like they have nobody with an outside influence.
• 25:10
  It's all Andy Reid coaching guys. And that's a good point too, like
• 25:12
  when you all come from that same system and that same tree, like not
• 25:17
  not even like you're not only not having new ideas potentially presented, but you
• 25:22
  all kind of have, like you said, like the same answers to the
• 25:23
  same problem. Like all they're playing us with like cover one, what should
• 25:26
  we run? And everybody's like mesh, And it's like all right, well
• 25:29
  what if what if we can't do that? And everybody's like, oh,
• 25:32
  we don't. We all just runs, that's what we do. Like it
• 25:34
  then adding that new little flavor, that new little element, Man, it's
• 25:38
  it that I really like that point of you know, kind of the voice
• 25:41
  that the enemy potentially had, and yeah, that accountability piece because it's man,
• 25:47
  it's it's something that I depending on how the off season goes, like
• 25:52
  I really want to dive into a lot of chiefs tape because this is I
• 25:53
  mean, I I think Patrick Mahomes is just on this and you know this,
• 25:56
  like he's on this other tier when it comes to quarterback play, and
• 26:00
  you can there's people who want to make the legitimate conversation that he's in the
• 26:03
  greatest of all time conversation already or on track to be there with what he's
• 26:07
  done, and just to see him in this offense with granted, you know
• 26:10
  they lost some pieces, but him and Kelsey Andy Reid usually is and plus
• 26:14
  a really really good offensive line has been enough to get it done regularly,
• 26:17
  and they just, for whatever reason, don't seem right. And I know,
• 26:19
  saying that they're gonna hang like fifty this week or something inch, everyone's
• 26:23
  like, oh okay, everything's fine, all right, everything's okay. Hey
• 26:27
  listen, I'm hoping for it. I know you guys aren't. I'm hoping
• 26:30
  for it like I would even at this point, I would even take well
• 26:33
  maybe not this week, but at some point time I would even take a
• 26:37
  Chiefs loss if it meant the offense clearly figured some stuff out, oh right,
• 26:41
  because we just haven't got there yet, and like we're December now.
• 26:44
  I think this loss to the Packers. Was Patrick Mahomes like second loss in
• 26:48
  December or something like that, since he started like, they just don't they
• 26:51
  don't lose down the stretch, right, it's not what they do. They
• 26:53
  get hot here and so like, it's just it's a little rough. It's
• 26:59
  a little rough sitting here where we are looking at the offense and how they
• 27:00
  get better. However, I did hear from Packer's buddy Ross Uglum. He
• 27:06
  covers the Packers really good job at it, he said after the Chiefs game.
• 27:08
  In the Packers game, he's like, you know, it's like,
• 27:11
  I don't think the Chiefs really care about the regular season. Just watching them,
• 27:14
  He's like, I'm pretty sure they're just all a bunch of Jimmy Butler's
• 27:15
  out there just waiting for the playoffs to come around and then it's game time.
• 27:18
  Begainning. Like I said, I want nothing to be true more than
• 27:22
  that. As a lover of Jimmy Butler playing basketball in the playoffs, that
• 27:26
  would be phenomenal. But man, it's just it's a rough watch to get
• 27:29
  there. They look very they look lost, like they legitimately look lost on
• 27:33
  offense, and that's just a crazy spot to be in with an Andy Reid
• 27:36
  and Patrick Mahomes on your football team. That's a fair point. I remember
• 27:40
  always saying that for so much for those Warriors teams. Once Durant joined them,
• 27:44
  you could tell that they were just like, we don't care about the
• 27:45
  regular season. Can we just get to the playoffs? And yeah, maybe
• 27:48
  it is that thing and they're just waiting and once playoffs hit, they just
• 27:51
  hang. I went to statmus and looked it up. So Patrick, well,
• 27:55
  Jesus, Patrick Mahomes is twenty and not that wins are at QB stat.
• 28:00
  I want to say that right off the bit, firmly don't believe in
• 28:03
  attributing wins to quarterbacks, but for you know, that crowd or just that
• 28:07
  stat, because this is still nuts. Mahomes is twenty and four in the
• 28:11
  month of December in his career, and that includes this loss to Green Bay,
• 28:15
  but obviously you had and then at one point he had won fourteenth straight
• 28:18
  or the Chiefs had won fourteenth straight in games of them, and I remember
• 28:21
  I was I wanted to look that up because it was that stat and then
• 28:25
  the other one that was broken this year, which like he was undefeated on
• 28:27
  the road against the entire AFC West for like ever I believe or like somebody
• 28:32
  that casts out the AFC they early lost to the AFC West. Yeah,
• 28:36
  like that is that is true? Just ridiculousness. And because I'm even thinking
• 28:38
  like and then like the couple of losses they did have, like to the
• 28:41
  Raiders, like several years back. That was in Kansas City, like in
• 28:45
  the middle ish or earliest part of the year or something like that. Like
• 28:48
  and so I think his first road loss versus the AFC West was this year
• 28:52
  at Denver. But he also had the flu, so like whatever, It's
• 28:55
  just man, he had all these all this wonkiness and weirdness. But again
• 28:57
  I still think good. You know, at a certain point, good players
• 29:00
  play good, and good coaches coach good, and I anticipate them, you
• 29:03
  know, kind of right in the ship a little bit. Will it be
• 29:04
  this week? We'll see, Matt. Now, let's shift that conversation to
• 29:11
  going inside this week fourteen matchup Buffalo Bills versus Kansas City Chiefs. For those
• 29:14
  of you playing at home, and for those of who potentially don't know what
• 29:18
  we're about to do. What we are about to do. Myself and Matt,
• 29:21
  we're each going to give our top three matchup pieces that will decide bills
• 29:25
  versus chiefs, cheaps, chiefs, yikes, falling apart. It could be
• 29:29
  as large scale as possible, or it could be as granular as possible.
• 29:32
  It could be a certain play call. It could be a personnel grouping alignment,
• 29:36
  coach, position, group player. It could be anything an entire side
• 29:40
  of the ball, certain, something situational, anything as wide scale or as
• 29:42
  granular as you want. He doesn't know my answers, I don't know his,
• 29:45
  so we could be completely different. We could have the exact same answers.
• 29:48
  We have no idea, and in that chaos, fun and enjoyment come
• 29:52
  together and merge and just brings happiness. Matt, you are the guests.
• 29:57
  You will go first, and for everybody playing at home, those watching live,
• 30:00
  feel free to comment on each one of our answers here. Feel free
• 30:04
  to list your own. I'm gonna start anything that I find of value,
• 30:07
  or anything that I really can I'll bring up a bunch of it on the
• 30:10
  back end of the show as we get into the live chats, So feel
• 30:11
  free to put into the comments what you think of ours, list your own
• 30:15
  matchups. Whenever you got Matt, who are the guest you go first,
• 30:18
  Feel free to do it however you want. If you have them all equal,
• 30:22
  if you have them like this is one, this is two, this
• 30:25
  is three, you can set the board however you want. The floor is
• 30:27
  yours. I mean, let's set with the big ticket item. Well,
• 30:30
  let's get it cut. We talked a lot about you know, the chiefs
• 30:33
  little bit here, so let's go to the other side. Josh Allen's playing
• 30:36
  really good this year. I know there's been some weird talk about him throughout
• 30:40
  the end. I don't know exactly where your guys' opinion is on him.
• 30:41
  I know there was a stretch of turnovers that seemed excessive, but every time
• 30:45
  you still watch, he's playing the position of quarterback, probably better than anybody
• 30:49
  else this year. Overall, it's just been some unfortunate stuff, but specifically
• 30:55
  Josh Allen in the pocket versu getting out of the pocket versus actually getting him
• 30:57
  on the ground. It's all difficult to get the man on their ground.
• 31:02
  He's one, I think he's got the lowest sack rate in the NFL this
• 31:06
  year, and two he's the only person has a higher EPA per play on
• 31:10
  scrambles than Patrick mahomes Like. That's kind of been Patrick mahomes like stat and
• 31:14
  that's always what he does, whether it's running or throwing on the move,
• 31:17
  that's kind of been his thing. Josh Allen's clearly better than him at it.
• 31:21
  This year. He has been better than him doing that this year.
• 31:22
  That's an area for a Chiefs defense I think is very good this year.
• 31:26
  But if a quarterback starts to break that contain, starts to extend plays handling
• 31:30
  him, whether it's going to be running or throwing on the move, that's
• 31:33
  something they're going to have to have an answer for because in the past Josh
• 31:36
  Allen's legs or his ability to escape pressure get out on the move has hurt
• 31:40
  them, especially throwing the ball while doing so. And it's just it's one
• 31:42
  of those things that if he gets going, if he really gets going,
• 31:45
  because I do think eventually the Chiefs will get some pressure. They've been very
• 31:48
  good at getting pressure this year. Can they get him down or is he
• 31:52
  just going to escape? Jordan Love did a phenomenal job getting away from a
• 31:55
  lot of pressure, and you know, some of the balls maybe were a
• 31:57
  little bit more heave ho like, but some of them were very accurate and
• 32:00
  welthrow in footballs, and I know Josh Allen can do the exact same thing
• 32:04
  if the Chiefs aren't playing a little bit cleaner in terms of their pass rush,
• 32:07
  Like I think that's kind of where this has to start for the Chiefs
• 32:08
  defense. I love that stat. It's funny I have. I have it
• 32:14
  queued up just in like random notes I have. So there are thirty nine
• 32:19
  qualifying quarterbacks this year. Based on number of dropbacks, Josh Allen is tied
• 32:23
  for the lowest pressures converted to sacks percentage in the NFL this year at nine
• 32:29
  point four percent. Mahomes is just ahead of him, well below him technically,
• 32:35
  depend on how you want to look at it, at nine point eight
• 32:37
  percent. But this is the first So this is a stat that I've tracked
• 32:39
  like every single year because the Bills offensive line is much improved this year,
• 32:44
  both in the run and the past. But the previous years, the best
• 32:47
  pass protection element the Bills have had has been Josh Allen avoiding pressure and navigating
• 32:52
  the pocket and stiff arming a defensive lineman in the pocket and then rushing in
• 32:55
  doing something else like that. It's been him and his pocket navigation and manipulation
• 33:00
  in athleticism in the pocket. It's still present this year, but they've been
• 33:02
  much better. From just a general pass protection standpoint. Latavious Murray has been
• 33:07
  a good piece in the backfield in pass protection, and then the addition to
• 33:08
  Connor McGovern and Osirius Torrents upfront and Spencer Brown playing to an average or above
• 33:14
  average level at times at right tackle has really started to add some consistency.
• 33:17
  So the offensive line has been better. But I say all that to say,
• 33:22
  every year the past several years, I'm always tracking, tracking that pressure
• 33:25
  converted to sack percentage, and Allen is always one of the best in the
• 33:29
  league, one of the lowest, but he's never ahead of Mahomes. Just
• 33:32
  in that regard. Mahomes is always like lowesst It's always Mahomes. The It's
• 33:36
  always Mahomes. And then yeah, like your point, you add that EPA
• 33:38
  per scramble aspect, and everybody listening like you can immediately think that there's some
• 33:43
  third and fifteen and Mahomes scrambles and he does his little duck walk and he
• 33:46
  gets seventeen yards and he sticks the ball out in front it's the first down,
• 33:50
  and it always seems to come at some like backbreaking moment. It's some
• 33:54
  like third down where if the defense gets the stop, it's going to be
• 33:58
  a huge momentum swing for the other team, and Mahomes is like, Nope,
• 34:00
  I'm just gonna scramble and get the first down. And so the fact
• 34:04
  that Alan has started to close that gap this year with an from an EPA
• 34:07
  perspective in terms of scrambling but also that pressure converted to sack percentage, that's
• 34:12
  been like a big change. And I don't know who it speaks to,
• 34:15
  more Alan or Mahomes, but it's one of notes for me because Mahomes is
• 34:17
  always like usually head and shoulders above everyone in those regards. Yeah, and
• 34:22
  like that's what I noticed in Washingmen, and even more so than it just
• 34:25
  scrambling, Like Josh Allen on the move right now is throwing the football exceptionally.
• 34:30
  What That's again another thing that's always kind of been in Mahome staying once
• 34:32
  he's on the move, he's throwing the football almost better than he does from
• 34:36
  in the pocket. And it's a lot easier to make throws if you can
• 34:38
  do it on the move. Coverage gets a little bit wonkier on the move
• 34:42
  because now all of a sudden, the throwing angles changing where the pass is
• 34:45
  coming from. It leverages a shift. So Mahomes has always been great at
• 34:49
  that, It's been a little down this year, and I think a lot
• 34:51
  of that goes to the receiver problem we talked about the top of the show.
• 34:53
  I was just saying my point with that, like I wanted to get
• 34:55
  in there real quick, like sorry, Like I feel like normally, when
• 34:59
  you see Mahome scramble, he scrambles, it's like one Mississippi two fire.
• 35:02
  He scrambles and you can almost see him like bleeding it to the sideline to
• 35:07
  be like somebody get open. Somebody get open, somebody get open. I'm
• 35:09
  just gonna chuck it. Like guys aren't separating regularly, But even in the
• 35:14
  scramble drill, which is advantage offense, they're still not separating. I mean,
• 35:19
  yeah, like at all. And the amount of times like he's run
• 35:21
  out for Normally when he scrambles, it's usually been big games, Like you
• 35:23
  said, it's been in high leverage situations for big games. This year we've
• 35:27
  seen a lot more two three yard scrambles, just barely getting back to the
• 35:30
  line of scrimmage because no one gets open on that he can't find. The
• 35:32
  only person he really trusts is Travis Kelcey. Nobody else presents the at a
• 35:37
  routine wait way, and then you flip it Josh Allen right now. I
• 35:43
  don't know if the Bills scramble drills look quite as clean, but the fact
• 35:45
  that Josh Allen is throwing with so much confidence that he's gonna put the ball
• 35:49
  anywhere on the field when he's scrambling, like that ball can literally go anywhere,
• 35:52
  it can be right on the money. Like he has kind of taken
• 35:55
  that mantra of you know, throwing the football on the move better than Mame
• 36:00
  this year. And I don't know if it's gonna last forever like I have.
• 36:02
  I don't know if it's a short term issue for the Chiefs, if
• 36:06
  it's something that's kind of you know that that trophy has been handed over,
• 36:08
  But that's just when I see him. When Josh Allen breaks the pocket.
• 36:12
  Good stuff's happening far more often than it's not for the Bills, And like
• 36:15
  the Chiefs are gonna have to figure out a way to handle that and I
• 36:17
  don't know if this will come up later, So like I also have a
• 36:20
  little bit of a stat here. Three teams, four teams have blitzed the
• 36:22
  Bills over forty percent of their dropbacks. Those four games have been the Jags,
• 36:27
  the Patriots, the Bucks, and the Broncos. And judging by the
• 36:29
  look on your face, you kind of had an idea because those are some
• 36:31
  of the offensive performances that maybe weren't as clean as some of the others that
• 36:36
  Josh Allen in those games went thirty nine for sixty four on these blitz plays.
• 36:38
  Now there's some scrambles in here that I did not add up. I
• 36:42
  know I got a little easy there, but three touchdowns to two interceptions only
• 36:45
  six yards per attempt, Like that was he was not playing his best when
• 36:50
  he was getting blitzed in those games. I would kind of expect the Chiefs
• 36:52
  to turn up the pressure to avoid to get the ball one out of Allen's
• 36:55
  hand quicker, but to kind of avoid giving him more time back there to
• 37:00
  kind of run around make stuff happen. Hopefully, those teams kind of gave
• 37:04
  the blueprint for how you stop that a little bit I used, so I
• 37:07
  started nodding immediately because it especially the Jags game was the first one with like
• 37:12
  with how much they blitzed. It was a complete change of what defensees had
• 37:15
  done against Allen, and not to mention the effectiveness that they had within it,
• 37:20
  and what you really saw with the Jags game and the Patriots game,
• 37:22
  the Bills are just getting themselves into these third and long situations and not even
• 37:27
  third and long like oh, third and seven, No like third and nine,
• 37:29
  third and ten, third and ten, and specifically with the Jags Patriots
• 37:34
  a little bit, but more so the Jags. And it's funny because I
• 37:37
  almost made this one of my points of this game, but I ended up
• 37:39
  not. The Jags might called well coming from that Todd Bowl Street, like
• 37:45
  that creative designer pressure package type of thing on third down, and if you
• 37:50
  get into these third and longs, like, it's so hard to live against
• 37:52
  a team like the Jags. And the Bills played into that by being in
• 37:55
  these third and lungs, and the Jags started bringing pressures that either to one
• 38:00
  of two things. They either heat it up Allen and forced him to throw
• 38:04
  where they wanted him to throw, and then they rallied and made the tackle,
• 38:07
  or they took away his hot read because they manipulated the protection and the
• 38:12
  hot read off of it, took away his hot read, forced him to
• 38:15
  keep the ball and then he either had to scramble for his life to not
• 38:17
  a lot of success or he had to dump the ball down and again you
• 38:20
  were getting the stops. And I harken that to again a guy like Steve
• 38:24
  Spagnolo, who on third downs is usually this creative guy who will get in
• 38:29
  his bag. And if you're living on third and longs, third and lungs,
• 38:31
  third and logs, that is not where you want to be against this
• 38:35
  defensive coordinator who can game you up and get into his designer bag and really
• 38:39
  start to like confuse you a bit. And so that's why as soon as
• 38:43
  you mentioned I started nodding, because immediately went to my notes, I was
• 38:45
  like, oh, like I almost made that a point like it is,
• 38:47
  and then not only like can you manipulate the bill's protection plan, but then
• 38:52
  also if you do to tie into your point and you do get home,
• 38:57
  do you bring Josh Allen down like is he stiff army to the grind?
• 39:00
  Is he's shaking you? If he gets outside of the pocket. The Bills
• 39:02
  have been good on their scramble drill this year. He's he's soaked up with
• 39:05
  Shakir and Kincaid, the big one, no no surprises, Stefan Diggs.
• 39:08
  We went through a stretch, oh maybe like five or six weeks in a
• 39:13
  row where at least once a game there was some scramble drill between Alan and
• 39:17
  Diggs, and Digs would separate and create like ten yards of separation and it's
• 39:21
  a wide open play like he and Alan are just so in sync when it
• 39:23
  comes to that, you know, scramble drill piece and yeah, if he
• 39:28
  if he escapes, we'll see what kind of damage you can do. I
• 39:30
  like that point. I so you went with that. I don't know what
• 39:37
  to go with. I'll stick, I'll stick on that side of the ball.
• 39:40
  I'll stick on that side of the ball. So my first point,
• 39:45
  I never know how to title my points there. My titles are always terrible.
• 39:47
  It was big. I'm back in school. I never knew it,
• 39:49
  like to title papers and stuff like the paper would be going, my titles
• 39:52
  would be awful. Like I never same thing with episodes, Like I never
• 39:54
  know what the title things. So I just blanketed this one, how much
• 39:58
  of the Buffalo Bills lean to their run game. And this is where I
• 40:04
  started going down this rabbit hole for the Chiefs defense and a lot of situational
• 40:06
  stuff, and then I went into them as a whole. So a Kansas
• 40:09
  City Chiefs as on the whole tenth overall in EPA per play, ninth and
• 40:15
  DV away fifth in overall success rate. But versus the pass, they are
• 40:21
  tremendous. They're third in EPA per pass, their second in positive play percentage
• 40:25
  versus the pass. They're fifth in DVA versus the pass. They're fourth in
• 40:30
  dropback EPA and their second in drop back success rate. All very good things
• 40:35
  for a defense versus the run. Different story for the Chiefs defense. Thirty
• 40:39
  first in rushing EPA, twenty seventh in EPA per attempt, twenty first in
• 40:45
  rushing success rate, twenty eighth in DVA, the fifth highest yards per attempt
• 40:51
  allowed. Fun fact, the Bills have the fourth highest yards per attempt allowed
• 40:53
  on defense on the other side of the ball, and then last piece,
• 40:57
  twenty ninth in so toff percentage for the defense, which is the runs that
• 41:01
  go for zero or fewer yards. So over all, the good defense,
• 41:06
  very strong against the pass, but some vulnerability in the run. The Buffalo
• 41:09
  Bill's run game, they're thirteenth. Oh go ahead, you got some No,
• 41:13
  no, sorry, yeah, I'm agreeing with you so far. You
• 41:15
  keep riffing, You're killed right, No, God, I'm firing off the
• 41:17
  hip. Like Bill's run game. They're thirteenth in total attempts this year,
• 41:21
  but first in EPA per rush, third in rushing success rate, eighth in
• 41:27
  yards per attempt. These next two pieces are offensive line stats. Really for
• 41:31
  me, they're second. They have the second lowest percent of runs that get
• 41:35
  hit at the line of scrimmage because that offensive line is creating displacement vertically and
• 41:39
  or horizontally. Running backs are getting alleyways, they're getting runways, they have
• 41:43
  places to go. They have the fifth lowest stuff percentage. Again, runs
• 41:46
  that go for zero or fewer yards. We have seen this Bill's offense be
• 41:51
  successful with several concepts. They lean into duo, they lean into tackle,
• 41:54
  wrap, and dart at mid zone. Those are the three main concepts.
• 41:58
  Latavious Murray and James Cook are both in the top twenty for EPA per attempt
• 42:02
  out of sixty three qualifying running backs. Cook is twentieth, Murray is thirteenth.
• 42:07
  They they both had a successful year. We've see Ty Johnson emerge a
• 42:10
  little bit. And then what we also see when this Bills offense is really
• 42:14
  cooking, especially with the run game. We will see them tie their run
• 42:16
  concepts into RPOs or runs that have pass tags attached to them, especially that
• 42:22
  tackle wrap dart play. Then there's it's a two great you know plays to
• 42:27
  juxtapose against one another. With themselves against the Eagles end of the first half,
• 42:31
  they run tackle rap in the low red zone. James Cook gets stopped,
• 42:36
  but they had the pass tag attached to it. Allan decided to give
• 42:38
  it to Cook. Cook got tackled for the loss. They run the exact
• 42:42
  same thing later in the fourth quarter and that's the touchdown to Gabe Davis.
• 42:45
  So same exact look. They get rolling with their run concepts against specifically that
• 42:49
  tackle rap and dark play. If they get into it, then they start
• 42:52
  hitting those RPO looks off of it. They'll hit that glance and they will
• 42:54
  kill you with that glance. Or they'll run a little you know, two
• 42:58
  receiver set to the front side of that run. Maybe they'll run a little
• 43:01
  out with it a little free access option, so that run game in and
• 43:06
  of itself, it's a good run game for this Bill's team. My biggest
• 43:08
  criticism with Ken Dorsey, I don't subscribe to a ton of the Dorsey hate
• 43:13
  that a lot of people subscribe to. My biggest issue with him was his
• 43:16
  lack of commitment to the run game. The Bills down the stretch last year
• 43:20
  had a good run game, and especially with Allen's elbow injury, I wanted
• 43:22
  them to run the ball more. They did this year was very hit or
• 43:25
  miss, very roller coastery. We've seen that a little more commitment from Joe
• 43:30
  Brady, but not a ton. And I just think what this Bill's run
• 43:34
  game can do in a vacuum. It's a good run game. And then
• 43:37
  you add in the success that they can have off of the pass with directly
• 43:40
  RPOs and pass tags, let alone play action and all that stuff. And
• 43:44
  then the third element, which is it helps Josh Allen and makes him not
• 43:47
  have to do as much work. And then the fourth element, which is
• 43:50
  the Chiefs defense isn't that great against the run. And if you want to
• 43:52
  neutralize Chris Jones, run it right at him and don't let him, get
• 43:57
  into these pass roose situations, attack him, get downhill with the additional o
• 44:00
  Cyrus torents. This year, I've said it all year. They have this
• 44:02
  downhill element to their run game. They can displace you vertically while also displacing
• 44:07
  you horizontally with the athleticism that they have. So that's my first piece here.
• 44:12
  So, yeah, just how much do they lean into that run game
• 44:14
  to try and maximize their strengths while also mitigating the chief strengths on defense and
• 44:19
  kind of exposing some of their vulnerabilities. Yeah, it's interesting because in years
• 44:23
  past, De spek Nola's like entire style of defense has been stop the run,
• 44:29
  try to get it into third and long, and then we're gonna throw
• 44:30
  the kitchen sink and offenses and we will scheme our way into a pass,
• 44:35
  a pass a stop against the pass. This year it's almost backwards. They're
• 44:39
  like, hey, you can try to throw it as much as you want,
• 44:42
  because we're gonna have answers and we can shut guys down. We have
• 44:45
  the coverage players, we have the pass rush. I can also blitz you
• 44:47
  on first and ten by throwing a corner and getting a free rusher. Nine
• 44:52
  out of ten times, and it's like the past defense is phenomenal. He
• 44:55
  wins so much in the run game, it's been such a mixed back.
• 45:00
  Teams that are able to get downhill against the Chiefs can create a ton of
• 45:02
  movement. The defensive tackle position for the Chiefs is abysmal, especially against the
• 45:07
  run, because that's Chris Jones can make flashy plays versus the run, and
• 45:12
  especially if you're gonna work latterly, if you're gonna go with some outside zone
• 45:15
  or even like mid zone stuff, he will. He will beat guys or
• 45:17
  he'll beat guys across their face. He will backdoor play. He has no
• 45:21
  business back dooring and go chase down a running back. He can do a
• 45:23
  lot. But if you're just gonna run at him, or you're gonna run
• 45:27
  duo straight at this team over and over again, they are gonna give up
• 45:30
  ground, they are gonna give up space. Their best run defender, i
• 45:34
  mean Nick Bolton coming back does help. But their guy that makes the most
• 45:37
  stops in the line of scrimmage in the run game is Trent McDuffie, a
• 45:38
  slot cornerback, and like that's not the way he won. He's great,
• 45:42
  Like I'm not saying this in a bad way. He's phenomenal, but that's
• 45:45
  not great. That's not what you want as as a defense, right.
• 45:49
  And so if the Bills can find some success get running down hill a little
• 45:52
  bit, like, yeah, it's gonna be infinitely harder for this Chiefs team.
• 45:57
  In the past, teams have been afraid to try to sit on the
• 46:00
  run game. Besides, like the Raiders trying to shorten the game or something.
• 46:04
  Teams have been afraid to sit on the run game because you're not as
• 46:07
  likely to score. Right, It's a less efficient play to put up points.
• 46:10
  So teams know they have to score against the Chiefs, they've been hesitant
• 46:14
  to run the ball. We saw the Packers come out for their first two
• 46:16
  drives this past week and run downhill, run downhill, run downhill, and
• 46:20
  it opened up the pass game. I would not be surprised at all to
• 46:22
  see the Bills similar. And I don't know if the Chiefs have a ton
• 46:27
  of answers because their defensive tackle position is just so thin and just quite frankly,
• 46:31
  not very good. I'm glad you agree with my point. It makes
• 46:35
  me feel a lot better about it. Yeah, And I just that nature
• 46:37
  of what it does in a vacuum for moving the ball but helping open up
• 46:40
  the pass, and I do want it to shorten the game a little bit.
• 46:45
  This has been kind to one of my points later. I don't have
• 46:46
  a ton of faith in the Bills defense, just from where they are from
• 46:50
  a health perspective and some of the vulnerabilities that they have, So I would
• 46:53
  like to, you know, again, if you shorten the game, then
• 46:58
  it makes every offensive possession you have that much more important, and then you
• 47:00
  have to score on almost every single possession. If the Chiefs do score,
• 47:02
  then you kind of get into this pressure situation with yourself that you created.
• 47:06
  But I do kind of want to shorten that game to a degree like that.
• 47:09
  And I always give this example, like I thought for so many years
• 47:13
  the Ravens had like one of the best blueprints to beat, even though it
• 47:16
  was under Greg Roman, but to beat the Chiefs because I was like,
• 47:19
  the running game is so good. And if you're running the ball and scoring
• 47:21
  at a touchdown at the end of your drives, you and you're taking up
• 47:23
  eight minutes, guess what you scored a touchdown? And Patrick Mahomes has less
• 47:27
  chance to do anything because he's getting less possesions because you're eating up all this
• 47:30
  clock. But that is dependent upon you consistently putting points on the board,
• 47:35
  especially touchdowns. Yeah, I just think that run game, the Bills running
• 47:38
  game is It's always been important the past couple of years, but more as
• 47:42
  a pivot. I really think this year their run game is good enough to
• 47:45
  the point that it can be an identity for this team. It never will
• 47:47
  be because you have Josh Allen and the game is going to go through Josh
• 47:51
  Allen and his no I know it man, And but the Chiefs are a
• 47:54
  good example too. Like and I said it coming into the season this year,
• 47:59
  what happened last year when oh, they're in the playoffs against the Jags
• 48:02
  and Mahomes goes down And I had so many of my friends text me being
• 48:06
  like, bro, like the Chiefs are going to go down, And I
• 48:07
  was like, no, they have like a really good run game, and
• 48:09
  what do they do, Like Chad Henny makes this throw that from like the
• 48:14
  shadow of his own goal line that should have been intercepted and is not.
• 48:16
  But then they just lean on the run game and run it down. The
• 48:19
  Jags throw for the entire field. What happens in the Super Bowl against the
• 48:22
  Eagles. They come out in the second half, checkout checko, put checko.
• 48:24
  Downhill, run game, run game, run game, And yes,
• 48:28
  Mahomes in the passing game made a bunch of plays, but they were able
• 48:30
  to lean on that offensive line and run game and the Bill. The Bills
• 48:34
  have a run game to the point where they can throw the ball like nine
• 48:37
  times in a half and still put up like fourteen points or seventeen or something
• 48:42
  like that, because their run game can legitimately do things. And then if
• 48:45
  you get creative off of it, Now you're running some nakeds or some boots
• 48:47
  with Allen and everything you can do. Now you get his legs involved,
• 48:51
  and if you're moving pockets and you can create explosives downfield. There's so many
• 48:54
  schematic advantages built off of it. But just in a vacuum, it's a
• 48:59
  good ground game. They can move with it, and it just, yeah,
• 49:01
  it opens so much. I like that, and like I wish I
• 49:06
  could battle back more, but like I have nothing from the Chiefs perspective this
• 49:08
  year that says that they will be able to stop a run game that is
• 49:12
  actively attacking Downhill at them, right, That's why I beat up Chris Jones,
• 49:17
  Like get if he's lining up usually on the offenses right, defenses left,
• 49:23
  I'm just using osiris torns and I'm getting downhill and I'm just like,
• 49:25
  beat the hell out of Chris Jones. We're running right at him, We're
• 49:30
  running duo to his side. If not, we're running tackle, wrap and
• 49:32
  dark to his side, and I want you to pin him down, like
• 49:36
  physically knock him the hell off his spot. And like I don't I don't
• 49:39
  know why the Bills wouldn't lean more into it, because it's not like a
• 49:42
  negative run or a is you know, a run for no gain for the
• 49:45
  Bills. Tanks their offensive possession because Josh Allen's their quarterback. There's this is
• 49:50
  the thing about the Chiefs River. The Chiefs have been one of the most
• 49:52
  notorious first and ten run teams or second and long run teams in the NFL
• 49:57
  under Andy Reid and Patrick Malmes. But yet they've been the best team at
• 50:00
  converting first downs into new first or like converting for drives into first downs.
• 50:05
  Right, So like it's a team. These two teams have quarterbacks and offensive
• 50:08
  systems that second and long third and long. Aren't the end of the drive.
• 50:12
  It's not over immediately. There's nothing wrong with trying to lean on the
• 50:15
  run game, and the way this Chiefs defense looks a lot more bad things
• 50:20
  can happen when you try to throw the ball against them than when you try
• 50:22
  to run the ball against them right now, So like that, the Bills
• 50:23
  would be very smart to come out and do that and see where that gets
• 50:27
  them to open up the passing game later on, because I don't know what
• 50:30
  kind of answers the Chiefs will have other than to add more guys to the
• 50:32
  box. Once you do that, that opens up everything else. Like we
• 50:37
  will see how it starts out. I'm hoping fingers cross it they don't go
• 50:39
  down this route and they just say, hey, Josh Allen, go win
• 50:42
  the game for us. But coming out of the by, we'll see everybody
• 50:45
  always hates it. Every time I do it. I'm like, the bill
• 50:46
  should run the ball more, and they're like, that sucks. We have
• 50:49
  Josh Allen. I'm like, all right, cool to shut up over here.
• 50:52
  Like I just it just it does so much for this team, And
• 50:54
  like I think that's the part that people don't see, Like the levels that
• 50:58
  you can build and stack off off of it. But he again even just
• 51:01
  let alone, like I'll take the Tavious Murray just being a hammer and getting
• 51:05
  six yards of pop running down the throat, and like James Cook busts one
• 51:07
  off for twelve yards and you just move and you take chunks and you gouge
• 51:10
  little by little. Good start to this conversation. All right, your second
• 51:14
  point now, whatever you want, whatever you got floor is yours. What's
• 51:16
  your second point for? What will decide the flippers Chiefs? We're flipping sides.
• 51:21
  We're going Chiefs offense. How are the Bills going to defend? The
• 51:23
  Chiefs going twelve for thirteen personnel, going a little bit heavier. So it's
• 51:28
  been average. There's EPA per play. Again, the Bill's been average versus
• 51:30
  twelve personnel. They've been pretty poor verse thirteen personnel. This year. The
• 51:35
  Chiefs run the fifth most twelve personnel, the second most thirteen personnel. They're
• 51:39
  pretty good. The Chiefs been top six and EPA in both they run the
• 51:43
  ball. They passed the ball out of both of them. Like the Chiefs
• 51:45
  offense with the wide receiver issues, has had to lean into a little bit
• 51:49
  more heavier personnel to get plays going downfield. They have found success running When
• 51:52
  they go twelve personnel, they can actually run gap stuff and that's where they
• 51:57
  can run the football very well. When they get to eleven, they've tried
• 52:00
  to get more. They've done a lot more one back power. They've done
• 52:02
  a lot more counter stuff out of eleven personnel lately, but they really can
• 52:06
  get into a lot of their different stuff when they go twelve They like to
• 52:08
  take their shot plays out of thirteen personnel. Try to push Kelsey down the
• 52:12
  field, try to keep Nds or Justin Watson, whoever's out there. It's
• 52:15
  like the Chiefs will go heavy a lot. The Bills, with the injuries
• 52:19
  that they've had this year, seem like they have struggled to kind of match
• 52:21
  these teams with their base personnel out there. Right now, I think this
• 52:23
  is an area the Chiefs could exploit a little bit. We've seen them leaning
• 52:28
  more and more into this heavier personnel. Try to pull the Bills out there,
• 52:30
  make them play a little bit out of that comfort zone of wanting to
• 52:34
  be a nickel as much as possible. Defend this Chiefs running game, which
• 52:37
  can be good when they allow it. To be. That's I mean,
• 52:40
  you talked a lot about the Bills running game. He's the Chiefs running game.
• 52:44
  If you get a zone rushing attack from the Chiefs, you're gonna stop
• 52:45
  them because it's bad. If you get the Chiefs running gap at you,
• 52:49
  whether it's power, whether they want to go into duo, whether they want
• 52:52
  to run counter stuff that week, it's really good. So it depends on
• 52:54
  which offensive game plan you're getting that week. Against NFC teams, it seems
• 52:59
  to be gap every time. Against AFC teams, they just like to sit
• 53:01
  the me inside zone, inside zone, wide zone, have fun. Oh
• 53:06
  and we're averaging two yards per carry and getting stuffed on every other run because
• 53:09
  it's just not working. So we'll see how that goes. But I do
• 53:13
  think the Chiefs going into heavier personnel is going to help that. Noah,
• 53:16
  Gray, Blake Bell aren't significant receiving threats, but they do do a good
• 53:21
  enough job of getting open to the right spots where Mahomes has a little bit
• 53:23
  more trust in them than some of the receivers. So like, I think
• 53:27
  that allows the offense as a whole to play a little bit more confidently.
• 53:30
  If the Bills can't prove that they are able to slow it down, stop
• 53:34
  it. I would not be surprised at all to see a lot of multiple
• 53:37
  tight end sets coming out there for the Chiefs, even if it doesn't look
• 53:39
  particularly scary. Like I said with Noah Graham Blake Bell, the Chiefs just
• 53:44
  seem to operate a little bit cleaner when they're playing out a heavier personnel.
• 53:46
  I love that point, Like that's tremendous, and not just because I talked
• 53:52
  about this offseason once the Bills drafted Dalton Kincaid. I talk so much about
• 53:55
  what like a good what a true versatile or strong twelve personnel personnel? Oh,
• 54:00
  I don't know why I said personnel twice, what a strong twelve personnel
• 54:04
  package can do for an offense and what it can open up for you.
• 54:07
  And so many people were like, no, that means you have to run
• 54:09
  the ball and run the ball, and I was like, no, Like,
• 54:12
  you should watch the twenty twenty two Chiefs and see what they did out
• 54:15
  of their twelve and thirteen personnel packages. Granted, one of those tight ends
• 54:17
  is Travis Kelcey, and you know, YadA YadA and all the pieces you
• 54:20
  talked about, But what's very interesting with that is recently when when teams have
• 54:23
  done that, you know, for so many years it didn't matter what you
• 54:28
  did. The Bills are staying in nickel. You could come out with seventy
• 54:30
  five tight ends on the field and they would be like, no, we're
• 54:34
  running nickel, Like that's what we're staying in. What they've done a little
• 54:36
  bit more this year, even with the injury to Matt Milano, they'll go
• 54:39
  into base. And so you have Terrell Bernard and Tyrell Dodson and then Dorian
• 54:44
  Williams as that third linebacker problem is Tyrell Dodson in the in that in that
• 54:52
  good and Dory Williams also in that good for different reasons. Tyrell Dodson,
• 54:58
  he's he's actually been good as a run stopping linebacker this year. Like he's
• 55:02
  had some plus plays. The Cincinnati game was really good. He's had some
• 55:05
  good flashes this year, especially for a guy who, again, these guys
• 55:08
  are in the NFL, like they're obviously good at football, but he should
• 55:12
  be nowhere near a starting lineup ever, like he is a special teams linebacker,
• 55:15
  maybe like a low end two third string linebacker, like he should not
• 55:20
  be seeing starting reps, and so it's nice that he's played decently well and
• 55:23
  had some strong flashes. He's very limited in coverage, like, he's not
• 55:28
  athletic. He's not that person that you're gonna be able to play match coverage
• 55:32
  with. He's not walling guys off, he's not carrying guys vertical like.
• 55:36
  He just has a lot of athletic limitations. Dorian Williams, rookie linebacker from
• 55:40
  Tulane. Extremely athletic, long arms, fast, twitchy, has burst all
• 55:45
  these things that are like ooh, like look at the measurables and look how
• 55:47
  fast he runs all this stuff. It's awesome. He'll play sideline to sideline,
• 55:52
  but he's extremely green. Comes from a defense at Tulane that was very
• 55:55
  spot drop heavy, like literally just playing Madden coverages out there. There isn't
• 56:00
  a ton of matching. There isn't a lot of sophistication on that side of
• 56:04
  the ball. So from a mental standpoint, he gets lost. And it's
• 56:07
  not because he's dumb or he can't process. He's just not used to seeing
• 56:12
  what he's seeing out there. So he'll blow plays in the run because you
• 56:16
  know he's getting lost in the sauce or he's getting misled by the misdirection,
• 56:20
  or he fits the or he fits the wrong gap, or he fits the
• 56:22
  wrong piece. Terroll Dodson will make plays against the run, sometimes he won't
• 56:25
  because he'll make the wrong read. And then in coverage, Dodson is making
• 56:30
  poor plays in coverage because he's not athletic. Dorrian Williams is making poor plays
• 56:34
  in coverage because he just doesn't know what to read at times, and he's
• 56:37
  not processing correctly. He's either not processing fast enough or he's processing incorrectly.
• 56:43
  He had some reps where they were really trying to do like a platoon,
• 56:45
  but leading towards Dorriyan Williams and the Jags game and the Giants game. They're
• 56:51
  literally just running like you know, play action and like running the leak concepts
• 56:54
  and things, and he's just going with that misdirection and completely avoiding and vacating
• 57:00
  his side of the field. I like this comment from Carl that says aunt
• 57:02
  PFF disagrees Tyrol Dodson as an overall grade of eighty nine point nine. PFF
• 57:07
  grades me nothing to me. They are subjective and they hold no weight to
• 57:09
  me. And I love PFF. They have a ton of awesome advanced metrics
• 57:13
  grades me nothing. I know Carl's being sarcastic, but I wanted to put
• 57:15
  that out there. Their Yeah. And so when you go base cool,
• 57:22
  now you're forcing Tyrell Dodson to have to consistently fit the run appropriately sometimes like
• 57:27
  again, he's physical, he's a thumper coming downhill when he's like when things
• 57:30
  are really going good for him, but he'll undercut a gap or he'll be
• 57:34
  in the same gap as his defensive lineman and he'll just give up a big
• 57:37
  run because he's not filling correctly. And then you've got Dorny and Williams who
• 57:40
  is still learning how to properly process and see what's happening. So if you
• 57:45
  go with those heavier personnel packages, you were forcing the Bills, from a
• 57:49
  like depth perspective and roster perspective, to play into one of their weaknesses,
• 57:52
  Like they didn't have a lot of good linebacker depth. And we had questions
• 57:55
  coming into the year of what Terrell Bernard could be. And he's playing really
• 58:00
  well next to Matt Mlano, and then Milano goes down and Bernard has played
• 58:05
  well, but he's still an undersized linebacker who I don't think this is really
• 58:08
  like his fall necessarily, but there's a lot of clips like where if you
• 58:12
  get to the second level, like against the Eagles, like Cam Jurgens is
• 58:15
  chucking him out of the club left and right. Like on just so many
• 58:17
  of their their wide zone play where Kelsey comes around on the full block and
• 58:23
  Jurgens climbs to the second level. Quinn Minors from Denver is chuckinghim out of
• 58:28
  the club left and right, Like if you can get a big body or
• 58:30
  get to the second level, he's got an undercut and avoid to make a
• 58:34
  play because he's he's playing middle linebacker and he's like two hundred and twenty one
• 58:37
  pounds, Like he's just very, very very undersized. And then you're pairing
• 58:42
  him with an unathletic Tyrell Dodson and a very green and raw Dorny and Williams
• 58:46
  leaning into that and making them have to play against the run or the pass
• 58:52
  let alone both. I think that's a very strong recipe for success, especially
• 58:54
  when you're pairing it with you know, the inconsistency the Chiefs have had at
• 58:59
  the wide receiver position, like why not force the Bills into this schematic disadvantage
• 59:02
  and also potentially mitigate some of the inconsistencies that you've had as an offense.
• 59:07
  It's yeah, so the Chiefs like to do it like That's kind of what
• 59:10
  I saw when I was going back, is like the linebacker play obviously lost
• 59:14
  a lot with with Milano going out, and I think we talked about a
• 59:16
  little bit last year. Edmunds, I know, got a lot of flak
• 59:19
  from sub Bills fans, but I always thought he was a very imperative.
• 59:22
  I thought he was very imperative to what they did before. Now obviously Milano
• 59:25
  replaced him. It was better than him. I'm not trying to say that.
• 59:29
  I just thought having the two together mattered a lot. And Edmunds,
• 59:32
  while against the Chiefs in particular, always had a rough go. He was
• 59:36
  the guy that was kind of in the position that allowed him to be in
• 59:39
  a spot to look like he had a rough go. So away the linebacker
• 59:42
  spot looks like in area that can be targeted. And what the Chiefs likes
• 59:45
  to do when they get to twelve and thirteen personnel, they still I mean
• 59:47
  in thirteen personnel they still throw it fifty percent of the time, and twelve
• 59:52
  personnel they still throw it almost seventy percent of the time. That's a great
• 59:54
  recipe because again, like you can create matchup advantages because Dodson doesn't have the
• 59:59
  athletic says, they'll go with your tight ends. And then Dorry and Williams
• 1:00:01
  like you just throw a little jet motion or throw some kind of misdirection.
• 1:00:06
  It could be anything my same misdirection. I mean literally like anything in the
• 1:00:10
  bucket of like play action, jet motion, orbit, a leak concept,
• 1:00:15
  anything. But you can get him lost in traffic and lost with his eyes
• 1:00:19
  very easily. And that's how the Chiefs have protected Kelsey this year because he's
• 1:00:22
  getting so many doubles and stuff like that. So they'll put him in here
• 1:00:24
  with this twelve thirteen personnel and you're just gonna get Blake Bell or Noah Gray
• 1:00:29
  are gonna run of some kind of vertical They're just trying to draw attention,
• 1:00:31
  right, They're trying to pull somebody with them. But them running through first
• 1:00:36
  allows Kelsey from this like condensed location right behind him to just kind of hide
• 1:00:39
  and then break inside outside wherever his route takes him. But it's a lot
• 1:00:43
  harder now when you have base persona, you have three linebackers out there.
• 1:00:46
  It's kind of a lot harder to double team. It's hard to get two
• 1:00:49
  bodies to go chase Travis Kelcey out of this personnel grouping. So if you
• 1:00:52
  can pull whether it's a Dodson or Williams, like, just pull them a
• 1:00:57
  little bit out of the way, and now you're giving Kelsey more space because
• 1:01:00
  they are taking the bait on something that you probably don't want them to be
• 1:01:02
  iding just because it's running in front of their face. I think that's what
• 1:01:07
  the Chiefs have gone to when they need to get some stuff started. When
• 1:01:08
  the offense stalls, they've gone heavier. We'll go protect Kelsey. We'll let
• 1:01:13
  him go get an option route underneath what we're running from somebody else, another
• 1:01:16
  tight end downfield. It's kind of been a comfort zone for them, so
• 1:01:20
  I wouldn't be surprised to see them lean into it. And then, like
• 1:01:22
  I said, I really do think their power run game, their gap stuff
• 1:01:25
  works really well out of twelve personnel. Right now, They've done a lot
• 1:01:29
  of really cool stuff with some of their tight ends they've been using. They'll
• 1:01:32
  line, you know, with the tight ends opposite sides. They'll run like
• 1:01:35
  a split zone action, but then the tight end to the play side will
• 1:01:38
  just leave at the end go up to the second level. They'll let the
• 1:01:42
  pulling tight end come across and take them. Then they'll mix that up and
• 1:01:45
  then run a zone insert play to where the tight end HPAC that's pulling is
• 1:01:47
  now running through. Like. They've done a lot of cool stuff when they
• 1:01:52
  have multiple tight ends on there. It's just they usually don't do it against
• 1:01:54
  AFC teams. So I don't know if we're going to get the super basic
• 1:01:58
  Chiefs run game or not. Andy he doesn't like to show teams that he's
• 1:02:00
  gonna play again his good stuff until the playoffs. He really does keep it
• 1:02:05
  as basic as he can. I don't know what you're gonna see in this
• 1:02:07
  game against the Bills here because it's not an NFC team. But like the
• 1:02:10
  Eagles and the Packers, the Chiefs ran the ball great, and if you
• 1:02:14
  go watch, it's a lot of pulling linemen. It's a lot of two
• 1:02:16
  tight end stuff and guys doing different it's so many different things. Earlier this
• 1:02:21
  year they ran a double zone insert run with one tight end coming from like
• 1:02:25
  lined up as a split back. The other one is an h back and
• 1:02:29
  they both inserted through the line. I don't know, it didn't work very
• 1:02:31
  well. They put it out there on tape twice, and I'm like,
• 1:02:34
  this is the weirdest thing I have now ever seen. But like, I
• 1:02:37
  don't know, We'll see where it goes. I do think we see a
• 1:02:39
  lot of heavy personnel though, trying to pull the Bills into base. You
• 1:02:43
  can correct me if I'm wrong. It seems like also Poyer and Hyde have
• 1:02:46
  maybe lost a little bit of a step from where they have been a little
• 1:02:50
  bit earlier. They might not be able to cover for some you know,
• 1:02:52
  less they instellar linebacker play the way they could have, you know three years
• 1:02:57
  ago when this kind of rivalry really got going. Yeah. Absolutely, they
• 1:03:00
  each have had moments this year where they look a little long in the tooth
• 1:03:06
  and like they've lost a step. You know. It's part of the reason
• 1:03:08
  why I'm very excited for the safety class coming into this draft, like Tyler
• 1:03:13
  Nuban out of Minnesota and Camp Kitchens from Miami. This conversation for another time,
• 1:03:15
  but there's some guys that can be had that you know, it's been
• 1:03:20
  such a position of strength of this Bill's team and they're showing some vulnerability this
• 1:03:23
  year, and especially coming from trying to fit the run from depth when if
• 1:03:30
  you're slow or your angle is off and you're in higher employed. Neither of
• 1:03:34
  them, even in their prime, neither of them have been like speed merchants
• 1:03:37
  or the most fleet of foot. The thing is they're processing is so good
• 1:03:40
  and their angles are the football have been so good that it makes up for
• 1:03:45
  like lack of foot speed. And the issue with now is they've each slowed
• 1:03:47
  down a little bit and their angles aren't as always pristine. And when you've
• 1:03:52
  slowed down that much, you have to be on point coming from depth because
• 1:03:55
  you don't have the speed or the athleticism to make up for improper angle fitting
• 1:04:00
  from depth. And so that's hurt the Bills from a run defense standpoint.
• 1:04:03
  And I also to add to your gap point, I would run gap all
• 1:04:06
  day against the Buffalo Bills. One. There's still this one there as a
• 1:04:12
  defense are a one gap penetrating front in terms of trying to like get up
• 1:04:17
  field and cause havoc and really attack and try and cause issues in the backfield.
• 1:04:23
  It's the reason they're one of like they're a really good defense from a
• 1:04:27
  tough percentage standpoint, Like, they get gouged, they give up yards after
• 1:04:30
  contact, they give up a lot of yards per attempt. They'll misstackles,
• 1:04:33
  but then they'll knock you down on first down and put you in second and
• 1:04:36
  thirteen second and fourteen second and twelve and get you behind the sticks. That's
• 1:04:40
  their whole piece. But if you can catch them at the right moment,
• 1:04:43
  you can gouge them with a gap run. And that combined with their vulnerability
• 1:04:47
  at linebacker, I'm pulling linemen all day. I am adding and removing gaps,
• 1:04:51
  and I am making Dorian Williams process that I am making safeties have to
• 1:04:56
  fit from the second level or the third level. To try and figure that
• 1:04:59
  out. I am testing, you know, Tyrrell Dodson's integrity from a run
• 1:05:02
  fit standpoint. And all of that, coupled with Daikwon Jones being out for
• 1:05:06
  this Bill's team, they've had to walk a safety down more in terms of
• 1:05:11
  putting another man in the box to regularly fit the run. They've had to
• 1:05:14
  gap out more than they've been able to just regularly sit with their light boxes
• 1:05:16
  or nickel defense pieces. So I like that point. I like that.
• 1:05:19
  My next one is short and sweet and very niche, not too niche,
• 1:05:25
  but who wins on third down? So there are a lot of fun third
• 1:05:29
  down pieces for both of these offense. Both offenses, Bills and Chiefs,
• 1:05:32
  are tremendous in a third down capacity. Bill's offenses first in third down conversion
• 1:05:39
  percentage at forty nine point six' eight, so almost fifty percent. The
• 1:05:42
  Chiefs are at fourth at forty seven point zero two, so almost at fifty
• 1:05:46
  percent themselves. But when you look at the numbers, so start with the
• 1:05:50
  Chiefs third down defense, they are thirteenth in conversion percentage allowed at thirty eight
• 1:05:56
  percent. They're a very good third down defense over all. Those seventh and
• 1:06:00
  EPA per play, second in EPA per play versus the path, tenth versus
• 1:06:05
  the past tenth, and overall success rate. But here's where where it differs,
• 1:06:10
  so versus the pass and the run. Similar to what they are overall
• 1:06:12
  as a defense on third downs, their seventh in drop back EPA and their
• 1:06:16
  third in drop back success rate versus the run, they're twenty eighth in the
• 1:06:20
  EPA and thirty first in run success rate. You jux suppose that with the
• 1:06:25
  Bills offense on third downs, they crush everything. They're second in EPA per
• 1:06:29
  play, second in success rate, fifth and drop back EPA fourth and drop
• 1:06:32
  back success rate, but then fourth and rushing EPA and third in rushing success
• 1:06:38
  rate. So if you are the Bills offense, it's a bit of a
• 1:06:40
  strength versus strength when it comes to your pass game versus the Chiefs pass defense
• 1:06:44
  on third down, much as it is the overall battle on that side of
• 1:06:47
  the ball, but they have a big advantage on the ground versus the Chiefs
• 1:06:50
  run defense when it comes to third down, and then flip to the Kansas
• 1:06:55
  City third down offense again. Fourth and third down conversion percentage of forty seven
• 1:06:59
  per overall is an offense. They do everything very well on third down.
• 1:07:02
  They're fifth and EPA per play, fifth and success rate sixth and drop back
• 1:07:05
  EPA tenth and drop back success rate, second in rushing EPA, second in
• 1:07:12
  rushing success rate, So they're a good running team on third down. JUX
• 1:07:15
  suppose that with the Bills third down defense, they're very good against the run
• 1:07:19
  on third down first in rushing success rate, second in rushing EPA, but
• 1:07:25
  twenty seventh in drop back success rate, nineteenth in drop back EPA. So
• 1:07:29
  on the other side of the ball, with the Chiefs offense instead of with
• 1:07:31
  the Bills offense verus Chiefs defense. It's strength for strength pass versus pass Chiefs
• 1:07:35
  offense Bills defense. It's strengths ver strength run versus the run on third downs,
• 1:07:41
  but the Chiefs had the advantage with the passing attack. Both of them,
• 1:07:44
  obviously are two very good third down offenses, and situational football matters so
• 1:07:48
  much so I look at that third down battle. Who can extend drives,
• 1:07:51
  who can add drives and add possessions with both of these offenses that are trying
• 1:07:57
  to find their footing, trying to find their way and do all these things.
• 1:08:00
  If you have more possessions, obviously it goes a longer way. And
• 1:08:02
  then both defenses having some vulnerability. So I think who wins that third down
• 1:08:05
  battle goes a very long way before this game in this conversation that makes sense.
• 1:08:11
  I'm surprised because I hadn't looked it up. I'm surprised that Chiefs have
• 1:08:14
  been so good this year on third down conversions because it really seems like a
• 1:08:17
  slog for them, Like it seems difficult for them to convert them. Everything's
• 1:08:21
  tricky, and I wonder how much of it has just become Patrick homes scrambles
• 1:08:26
  at times. I wonder how much of it is playing from when they can't
• 1:08:29
  get ahead of the sticks, Like against the Packers this past week, there
• 1:08:32
  was the first two times that I can recall in a month to where they
• 1:08:35
  had a significant negative play that they were able to overcome and convert. You
• 1:08:40
  set it downs like. They have been really bad at that this year,
• 1:08:43
  despite being so good at it throughout, you know, the past couple of
• 1:08:46
  seasons. So I'm very surprised that that was the case. But it's good
• 1:08:50
  news there. The Chiefs really struggle to run on third and short. It's
• 1:08:54
  been these past couple games where it's really gotten a lot better, and so
• 1:08:57
  like the stats there bared out that they've been pretty good at it. But
• 1:08:59
  to start the year they're rushing EPA on just about any down and distance.
• 1:09:02
  It was really bad. They've gotten back into some straightforward, you know,
• 1:09:06
  getting downhill behind Trey Smith to run the football. That's where their success comes
• 1:09:10
  in on third and short when they have to run it, when they have
• 1:09:13
  to throw, it's all about finding Travis Kelce or Patrick Mahomes scrambling right,
• 1:09:16
  and so the Bills have to make sure they find eighty seven, then contain
• 1:09:20
  fifteen. If you do that, you live with anybody else picking up a
• 1:09:24
  first down for the Chiefs. You were more than happy to see anybody else
• 1:09:27
  pick up that first down. If you can contain fifteen, if you can
• 1:09:30
  get guys with eyes on eighty seven, you have a really good chance.
• 1:09:33
  And flip side. I mean, like I said, flip side on that.
• 1:09:36
  The Bills versus the Chiefs on third down, that's where I think this
• 1:09:40
  game comes down to. I think the Chiefs defense will need stops. The
• 1:09:43
  Chiefs offense a don't feel like puts up a ton of points. They just
• 1:09:45
  haven't this year. That hasn't been their goal. They're gonna need stops.
• 1:09:48
  This defense is going to have to play a big role. They will have
• 1:09:51
  to force some third and longs and then get off the field in those situations.
• 1:09:56
  And the Bills are very good at converting down, Like you said that
• 1:09:58
  the best in the NFL. That down right there, Chiefs defense, Bill's
• 1:10:01
  offense third downs, that's probably where this game gets decided. And I tie
• 1:10:05
  it back a little bit too. You know, the points you brought up
• 1:10:08
  earlier with the blitz pieces when you talked about Jacksonville in New England and Denver
• 1:10:11
  and what those defenses did, like when the Bills struggled in those games on
• 1:10:14
  third downs. Again, that's why I brought up that Jags point. They
• 1:10:17
  went in third and longs and Mike Caldwell got creative with his blitz packages and
• 1:10:21
  what he was doing, and the Chiefs defense. If you get into third
• 1:10:25
  and lungs and you get into predictable, known passing situations and you allow Steve
• 1:10:29
  Spagnola to be like, oh sweet, like it's third and nine again,
• 1:10:32
  cool, I'm gonna bring a look that you have no idea what's happening.
• 1:10:34
  Oh, you think it's like single high and you think we're rushing four.
• 1:10:39
  Oh, we're rushing five and it's a five you did not think. And
• 1:10:42
  we're also spinning too something else on the back end, and it's just like,
• 1:10:44
  ah, crap. And then you're trying to diagnose it, you're caught
• 1:10:46
  like it just plays into their ability even further let alone, like again,
• 1:10:51
  third downs in a vacuum and the statistical pieces we talked about from a schematic
• 1:10:56
  piece, like we've said like you just cannot allow Spags to get cooking in
• 1:10:59
  that way. We've seen defenses give on and this offense problems when they get
• 1:11:03
  into those third and longs and known situations and allow these creative, design minded
• 1:11:08
  defensive coordinators to get into these pressure and or coverage packages where they are disguising
• 1:11:14
  looks and just making you hold the ball and add beats or get in to
• 1:11:16
  you. And when you talk about spags, they're getting in his bag.
• 1:11:20
  You can go watch the Chiefs versus the Eagles. The Chiefs reduce the Eagles
• 1:11:24
  offense to QB draws and screen games, like that's literally all they They had
• 1:11:28
  zero answer for how to block up the triefs pressure, whether it was simulated,
• 1:11:32
  whether they brought people actually, okay, let's be taking back. The
• 1:11:34
  Chiefs brought Trip McDuffie what felt like seventy five percent of plays against the Eagles,
• 1:11:40
  and they've never had a run for free runner everything. For all these
• 1:11:43
  This is Jason Kelsey, who's the best singer in the league. He could
• 1:11:45
  not figure out how to get this stuff called up right to have somebody,
• 1:11:48
  you know, to get it blocked up, Like if Steve Spagnol is rolling
• 1:11:51
  if they are getting good looks, if he is not having to go out
• 1:11:56
  of his way to defend the run to make sure it can happen, and
• 1:11:58
  he does get rolling. He has put so many offenses so far on their
• 1:12:01
  heels that their offense can't function. So yeah, you get third and long.
• 1:12:05
  I know you had said earlier the Bills offensive line have been playing better.
• 1:12:08
  They definitely have been, but it doesn't matter if you can't get the
• 1:12:12
  right guys blocked up. And more than a couple of games this year,
• 1:12:15
  there's been multiple offensive lines that have had zero prayer on figuring out how to
• 1:12:19
  account for all of the Chiefs guys coming on the pressure. Trent McDuffie's been
• 1:12:24
  the guy that's like excelled the most, that's made the most waves doing that.
• 1:12:27
  It'll be interesting to see how he has a very small corner can get
• 1:12:30
  Josh Allen to the ground. He's one of the better tacklers in the league.
• 1:12:33
  He's phenomenal at it. But Josh Allen's a big dude, and Trim
• 1:12:38
  mcdubmy is not a big dude. So even if as a free run,
• 1:12:41
  there's no guarantee he gets out into the ground. But like yeah, can't.
• 1:12:44
  You can't let spags get rolling, especially if you want to win on
• 1:12:46
  third downs, because he will make it very difficult on his own. And
• 1:12:49
  that right side of the ball, the Spencer Brown Osirius Torrens pairing at right
• 1:12:54
  tackle and right guard, respectively, that is the side that you can game
• 1:12:57
  up. It could be as simple as a two man game and you tackle,
• 1:13:00
  or you're bringing a delayed blitz or it's a simulated or a creeper,
• 1:13:02
  and you let that free runner come. But then your point. Yet,
• 1:13:04
  if defree runner gets into the backfield, can they bring down Josh Allen,
• 1:13:09
  I like it. I like it all right, your last point to bring
• 1:13:12
  it all home, Matt. The floor is yours. Godspeed, This is
• 1:13:15
  not this one is not technical and whatsoever. This game every year has a
• 1:13:20
  lot of meaning to both these teams, right, it matters. I would
• 1:13:24
  push back, and I don't mean to diminish it. But when the Chiefs
• 1:13:27
  play the Bills in the regular season, they just they don't care that much.
• 1:13:30
  They want to win the game, but they don't care if they lose
• 1:13:33
  because they know they're going to see them again and they're gonna have an entirely
• 1:13:36
  different game plan because, like I said, Andy Reid keeps it pretty vanilla
• 1:13:40
  verse teams he expects to see. Again. I know, I'm not saying
• 1:13:43
  the game doesn't matter, but those regular season wins against the Chiefs, from
• 1:13:46
  Bengals, from Bills, from anybody they have see, it's just kind of
• 1:13:50
  a shrug of the shoulder. I don't know about this year. The Chiefs
• 1:13:54
  need something to start clicking. They're sending four losses. They are out of
• 1:13:58
  the first seed. The race in the AFC West isn't close, but it's
• 1:14:01
  not locked up like it usually is by this point in time. They could
• 1:14:05
  really use a win. They could get something roll. They probably need a
• 1:14:10
  good showing here to feel really confident heading into the playoff push flip side,
• 1:14:14
  the Bills are playing for a playoff spot again coming out of the bye week.
• 1:14:17
  Right, It's gonna be hard to drop this game and still see a
• 1:14:20
  path to get to the playoffs without you know, having to play lights out
• 1:14:24
  football the rest of the way. Right, So both these teams need this
• 1:14:28
  game for a different reason. I wonder how that plays out on the field.
• 1:14:31
  The loser of this game is gonna go one and two in their last
• 1:14:34
  three games. At the you know, like around Thanksgiving into December. That's
• 1:14:39
  not a stretch that you expect out of two teams that were probably top four
• 1:14:43
  Super Bowl favorites coming into the year. So like it's just this game means
• 1:14:46
  a lot from both sides. I'm interesting to see how it plays it out.
• 1:14:49
  Will I be completely shocked if the Chiefs come out and just run all
• 1:14:54
  their basic you know, day one, day two install stuff on offense Ormandy,
• 1:14:57
  No, I won't be shocked. I just don't know if I expect
• 1:15:00
  this year like I have in years past. I love that point, like
• 1:15:02
  we talked about in the lead in coming in, like there's a different feel
• 1:15:05
  to this game. And it's different because again, usually it's about playoff seating
• 1:15:11
  and competing, you know for that top spot in the AFC home field advantage.
• 1:15:14
  Now it's more for the Bills, it's survival and for the Chiefs it's
• 1:15:17
  about like, well we have to get right and kind of like see what's
• 1:15:20
  going on. Like it's just so funny how the nature of the conversation of
• 1:15:25
  this game has changed, but the importance is still there, just in a
• 1:15:28
  different way, Like it's just shifted a little bit. For what you're looking
• 1:15:30
  for. I love that point. It's something like I've just been thinking about
• 1:15:33
  all week and didn't officially not it, but I love that. I like
• 1:15:35
  that a lot. Yeah, we'll see the Bills having that bye week is
• 1:15:40
  also like an interesting nugget that like really could be talked about in and of
• 1:15:43
  itself, like what have they done with that extra week of preparation against a
• 1:15:46
  team that last year and that Week five matchup or whatever it was. They
• 1:15:50
  came out and they ran that odd mirror package, that three man rush with
• 1:15:55
  that aggressive spy in Matt Milanal that Georgia does a bunch of different version or
• 1:15:58
  variation of it. They used it close out the game. They mixed it
• 1:16:01
  with split field coverages to get that interception on Mahomes to end the game.
• 1:16:05
  Like they came out with a very tailor made game plan for the Kansas City
• 1:16:11
  Chiefs, like they pulled things out that are not in their defensive repertoire.
• 1:16:15
  They also had the advantage of having Von Miller at that time, who is
• 1:16:17
  a I don't even want to say shell of himself, and also off the
• 1:16:20
  field things aside, like even when he's on the field just is not impactful
• 1:16:26
  in any way, shape or form at this point, so that alters things.
• 1:16:29
  But they had a very game plan specific matchup for the Chiefs this year,
• 1:16:32
  and I wonder, so, you know, you're talking about from a
• 1:16:34
  Kansas City perspective, what do they bust out. I'm also wondering that a
• 1:16:36
  little bit from the Bills perspective as well, because they had a very this
• 1:16:41
  is the game plan for the Chiefs. This isn't what we do every week.
• 1:16:44
  This is what we're doing for Kansas City. I wonder how much of
• 1:16:46
  that do we see? How many you know, different formational calls alignments on
• 1:16:50
  either side of the all, but especially defensively, what do they pull out
• 1:16:54
  that they've been saving or keeping in the holster for Kansas City week? Because
• 1:16:57
  again, you got to empty to clip at this point, you can't keep
• 1:17:00
  anything in Kansas City is in the same spot, like you want that playoff
• 1:17:02
  seating piece. That's another one too. Mahomes has never played in a road
• 1:17:06
  playoff game, which is ridiculous. And right now I can't believe Miami's in
• 1:17:12
  first, like they have not beaten any good at all. It's a whole
• 1:17:14
  other conversation. But yeah, you're sitting there and if you go down to
• 1:17:17
  eight and five, is Baltimore ahead of you? Buy? How many games
• 1:17:20
  is Miami ahead of you? Buy? How many games? Jacksonville looks like
• 1:17:24
  they may have avoided disaster with Trevor Lawrence being made a rubber, but still
• 1:17:28
  like what happens with them? Like now you're looking at are we the three
• 1:17:30
  seed? Or are we the four seed? Can we get to the two?
• 1:17:32
  Can we get to the one? Like I would rather have that conversation
• 1:17:35
  that what the Bills are having, But still it's an important piece. Oh
• 1:17:40
  all right, Yeah, it's like what you said there too, and that's
• 1:17:42
  a big part. Like in years past I can always rely on as a
• 1:17:45
  Chiefs fan, like when they if they lose a specially again, especially AFC
• 1:17:47
  teams, a lot of teams do curate a game specific game plan against the
• 1:17:51
  Chiefs because they've been at the top for a while. And this isn't like
• 1:17:54
  making excuses, but you can tell when teams come out with a lot of
• 1:17:58
  stuff specifically designed to attack the Chiefs, and that's where they find success.
• 1:18:01
  And the Chiefs just kind of go out there and do their thing. And
• 1:18:03
  then you get to the playoffs and Andy Reid cooks up so much stuff that
• 1:18:08
  is designed entirely. You can just tell. There's such a stark difference between
• 1:18:11
  the regular season Chiefs game plan that's like, this is what we do here
• 1:18:14
  it is, and the playoffs of this is designed to beat you. And
• 1:18:17
  the Bills don't get that version of the Chiefs in the regular season because the
• 1:18:20
  Chiefs expect to play them again. The Bengals don't get it. The Jaguars
• 1:18:25
  don't get it from them, like they're not giving that game plan in the
• 1:18:28
  regular season. However, sitting here at eight and four, at the risk
• 1:18:30
  of going, you know, two games down to the number one seed,
• 1:18:33
  at the risk of letting the Broncos if they win, pull with an at
• 1:18:36
  least striking distance in the AFC West after already splitting with them, I wonder
• 1:18:41
  if you see it narrow little bit. I wonder if you see them kind
• 1:18:43
  of open it back, peel back the curtain a little bit, try to
• 1:18:46
  do more because they're basic, this is what we do. Offense doesn't score
• 1:18:50
  points this year, like they can't even expect to score points really with what
• 1:18:55
  they've done so far. This is so I really do wonder if you get
• 1:18:57
  a different regular season chiefs look or not maybe not. Maybe it's the same
• 1:19:00
  old, same old, and it's like, well, we'll get them in
• 1:19:03
  the playoff time. But I just I really wonder if they try to open
• 1:19:06
  it up, and that would be very abnormal and for Andy Reid, I
• 1:19:11
  love that point. I wanted one comment on and then I'm gonna move to
• 1:19:14
  mind like that talking about what Kansas City does in the playoffs of like having
• 1:19:17
  specific game plan teams specific game plans that are different from the regular season.
• 1:19:21
  It's been the opposite for the Bills. The Bills have gotten in the playoffs
• 1:19:25
  have been like, well, we are who we are, let's go out
• 1:19:28
  and do it. And it's cost them, like they've been gamed up and
• 1:19:30
  attacked by Cincinnati, by Kansas City at different points, like because teams have
• 1:19:35
  their entire season on tape and they know who they are and they're able to
• 1:19:39
  attack them and get them. And so it's funny seeing like the kind of
• 1:19:41
  difference in you know, philosophy, and also how that's led to you know,
• 1:19:44
  potentially one team maybe having some super Bowls and the other one still not
• 1:19:47
  conversation for another time. My last point here, my third matchup piece very
• 1:19:51
  niche, well not too niche, but again, horrible title. But can
• 1:19:57
  the Bills defense stop their lack of second half adjustments? So the Bills defense
• 1:20:02
  has been basically a tail of two halves for the majority of the season.
• 1:20:06
  So oh, just so, I'm gonna give first half numbers versus second half
• 1:20:12
  numbers. And again, I don't mean half of the season. I mean
• 1:20:14
  quarters one and two versus quarters three and four. Just I put that.
• 1:20:16
  I put something on Twitter like that earlier today and people got a little confused
• 1:20:19
  by the verbage. So again, first half quarters one and two versus second
• 1:20:23
  half quarters three and four. The first number I'm going to give is for
• 1:20:26
  the first half. The second number I'm gonna give us for the second half.
• 1:20:29
  So first, still, we'll start here. First half. Bills are
• 1:20:31
  sixth overall at defensively sixth in overall success rate. Second half they're twenty seventh.
• 1:20:38
  First half. They're second in rushing EPA. Second half they're twenty ninth.
• 1:20:44
  First half. They're first in rushing success rate. Second half they're twenty
• 1:20:47
  seventh. First half. They are first in EPA per rush. Second half
• 1:20:53
  they are twenty sixth. First half they are first in positive play percentage versus
• 1:20:58
  the run. Second half they are nine nineteenth in positive play percentage versus the
• 1:21:01
  run. So overall defensive success rate they drop from sixth to twenty seventh in
• 1:21:06
  the second half, and then the rush stats are crazy from second to twenty
• 1:21:10
  ninth in rushing EPA from first to twenty seventh, and rushing success rate.
• 1:21:14
  It's been terrible. The Eagles numbers speak to it hugely. The Eagles just
• 1:21:17
  ran the ball down the Bill's throat in the second half in that game,
• 1:21:19
  really turned the tide. But now I say that to bring to another piece
• 1:21:24
  because you think, oh, man, like, what did the Chiefs second
• 1:21:27
  half numbers look like on offense? Oh, I would love to tell you.
• 1:21:30
  So it's kind of a bit of like the uh, unstoppable force versus
• 1:21:35
  the immovable object. But both are bad. So again, these are just
• 1:21:40
  second half numbers for both both teams. Bills again twenty seventh in overall success
• 1:21:45
  rate on defense, Chiefs offense twenty first, Bill's defense twenty ninth, and
• 1:21:49
  rushing EPA in the second half Chiefs offense twenty seventh, Bill's defense twenty seventh.
• 1:21:56
  In rushing success rate in the second half, Chiefs offense twenty ninth,
• 1:22:00
  Bill's defense twenty sixth, in EPA per rush, Chiefs offense eleventh in EPA
• 1:22:06
  per rush not bad, Bill's defense nineteenth, and positive play percentage versus the
• 1:22:12
  run Chiefs offense twentieth, Other Chiefs offensive metrics in the second half seventeenth in
• 1:22:17
  EPA per play sixteenth, and drop back EPA twelfth in drop back success rate.
• 1:22:23
  Overall, the Chiefs have been mad to black in the second half,
• 1:22:27
  and the area in the Bills yeah, not great. And the area in
• 1:22:30
  which the Bills have struggled the most in the second half i e. Versus
• 1:22:33
  the run that the Chiefs are bad there too, So it's bad versus bad
• 1:22:38
  because the Chiefs have struggled to run the ball in the second half. And
• 1:22:41
  in a game where everyone keeps you know, not even everyone, but like
• 1:22:46
  a story of the season, like you keep harping on this Chief's offense,
• 1:22:48
  and who do do they have besides Mahomes and Kelsey? Who else can be
• 1:22:53
  something for a game? It cannot be Mbs? Can it be Skymore?
• 1:22:56
  Is it you know the run game with Pacheco? Or does McKinnon do something
• 1:22:59
  or you know who it is? The offensive line. I'm just and all
• 1:23:01
  this talk is about the past game. I'm sitting here saying, well,
• 1:23:04
  just run the ball in the second half and you'll be fine, Like,
• 1:23:06
  don't even worry about the past. Lean on your offensive line, play to
• 1:23:09
  a weakness of the Bills and gouge them. But that weakness for the Bills
• 1:23:13
  is also a weakness for the Chiefs. So which one gives? Do either
• 1:23:16
  of them give? Do the Chiefs just lean into their pass and lean into
• 1:23:21
  the Bill what the Bills do on defense? Because the Bills also drop a
• 1:23:25
  bit from a metric perspective in the past and the second half, but nowhere
• 1:23:28
  close to what they do against the run. The Bills defense has failed to
• 1:23:31
  make second half adjustments. We broke this down with tape last week in the
• 1:23:35
  film room. I've talked about it on the show before. They have not
• 1:23:38
  been a good second half adjustment team. Andy Reid obviously a very good in
• 1:23:42
  game adjusting coach. On that side of the ball, Where do they adjust,
• 1:23:46
  how do they adjust? How do the Bills answer? Do they answer?
• 1:23:50
  What do they do? And again, all wrapped up in that is
• 1:23:55
  I just I really want everybody to grasp, like to go from sixth in
• 1:23:59
  success rate to twenty seventh and then second in rushing EPA to twenty ninth,
• 1:24:03
  first in rushing success rate to then twenty seventh. That is awful. But
• 1:24:08
  the Chiefs's crazy, it's awful. It's really horrible, like they literally fall
• 1:24:12
  on a cliff. But the Chiefs can't run the ball in the second half,
• 1:24:15
  so it doesn't really matter anyway. And this isn't just volume stats or
• 1:24:17
  numbers like this is representative of who these teams are on each side of the
• 1:24:20
  ball. So does one of those things give? Do neither give? Is
• 1:24:25
  it just everybody button heads against the brick wall and then turnover makes the difference.
• 1:24:30
  It's this sneaky little play or sneaky little niche aspect wrapped up in the
• 1:24:33
  bigger conversation of adjustments and philosophy and identity and all that. Oh, you're
• 1:24:39
  way better than niche. For Chiefs fans, there was a stretch there where
• 1:24:42
  the Chiefs literally could it had scored, hadn't scored in the second half,
• 1:24:45
  like three straight games, they had scored less points in the second half of
• 1:24:48
  games than they were and like almost every single game that was coming up,
• 1:24:53
  like first half like they had been terrible for a stretch in the second half
• 1:24:56
  and there was no rhyme or reason. Their best quarter in terms of score
• 1:25:00
  or EPA per play has been the second quarter. So it's not even the
• 1:25:01
  scripted play the Andy that was lighting it up in the first half. It
• 1:25:05
  was coming out of that. It was their first series, it was their
• 1:25:08
  first two series. After the scripted plays, they made the adjustments to what
• 1:25:12
  they saw or they saw what they needed. Then they went out and scored
• 1:25:15
  and then coming out of halftime flat on their face, flat on their face,
• 1:25:18
  flat on their face. The past two weeks, both weeks they've scored
• 1:25:21
  fourteen seventeen points in the second half. I know, it's just you know,
• 1:25:25
  points, it's not as detailed, but like they have slightly found some
• 1:25:29
  rhythm in the second half. They have found a way to put points up
• 1:25:31
  in the second half these last two games that they hadn't really done. I
• 1:25:34
  actually they probably went back to the Eagles game a little bit too. So
• 1:25:38
  they're slowly figuring it out. But it's not the same in the past.
• 1:25:41
  Like in the past when the Chiefs didn't score in the second half, it's
• 1:25:44
  because they were coasting and taking their foot off the gas. They didn't need
• 1:25:46
  to. Now this year they need to score and they can't very often.
• 1:25:50
  They can't run a you know, functional in rhythm offense. So it's it's
• 1:25:55
  interesting to see hear those Bill splits, and like you said, it's a
• 1:25:58
  very movable object, you know, coming up against the most stoppable force here,
• 1:26:01
  and we'll see what happens. The thing is, at the end of
• 1:26:04
  the day, good offense usually beats good defense. I think the Bills can
• 1:26:10
  play a good offense. So the Chiefs are gonna have to put up points
• 1:26:12
  that you can't sit back and say your defense is gonna win this game.
• 1:26:15
  You can't go in with the Eagles game plan and think you're gonna shut them
• 1:26:18
  down for the most part or slow them down enough that a bad offense or
• 1:26:23
  bad, you know, marginal offensive performance is going to keep pace. That
• 1:26:27
  just can't be the expectation. They're gonna have to have some answers. They're
• 1:26:30
  gonna have to continue to score points from the first quarter to the fourth.
• 1:26:33
  Thankfully, the Bills might try to help them. It's just they can't get
• 1:26:36
  out of their own way sometimes in the second half. So it's kind of
• 1:26:39
  like who's gonna break out of their shell in the good way there, because
• 1:26:43
  that that is a that is a good one to watch. It's not easy
• 1:26:45
  and it's also funny too, like because whoever, like if they win one
• 1:26:48
  in that way, like like if the Chiefs do well in the second half,
• 1:26:51
  like, don't sit there and be like everything is fixed. It's like,
• 1:26:54
  no, the Bills suck in the second half. And then the same
• 1:26:57
  for the Bills that the Bills defense does really well on the second half,
• 1:26:59
  everybody gonna be like mcdermoy fixed it, We're good. It's like, no,
• 1:27:01
  the Chiefs are awful in the second half too, so you got to
• 1:27:03
  like see more going for it. Yeah, it's an interesting little niche piece
• 1:27:08
  again tying to that bigger picture and overall aspect of where both of these teams
• 1:27:11
  are again coming in the Chiefs eight and four the Bills six and six.
• 1:27:15
  Matt, I sincerely apologize for keeping you way, way, way too long.
• 1:27:18
  You got excited in the conversation early. You are tremendous. Go live
• 1:27:21
  your life, but before you do, tell everybody who we are, what
• 1:27:25
  you do, where they can find you in case you know they're new to
• 1:27:28
  earth or whatever. Get the floor. Well, thank you. I always
• 1:27:31
  enjoy coming to talk ball. Yeah, so I got you know, got
• 1:27:34
  to slip out of here a little bit, or i'd keep going here so
• 1:27:36
  you can get mad at me for cutting this one short people listening about this
• 1:27:40
  matchup. But you know, I work for a company called k CS in
• 1:27:43
  case Sports Company. We cover all Kansas City based sports. I pretty much
• 1:27:47
  focus on just the Chiefs and college. I do some college stuff for them.
• 1:27:50
  But you can find everything if you go to our YouTube page Casey Sports
• 1:27:56
  Network, or you can check out our substack if you know, if you
• 1:27:58
  want to come support us, read film reviews, stuff like that, do
• 1:28:00
  all the fun stuff, or you can just check all the podcasts, all
• 1:28:03
  the shows we do. We really have a lot of fun talk in football.
• 1:28:06
  We try to range everywhere from you know, analytics all the way out
• 1:28:11
  to the film reviews, the x's and o's. We have a bunch of
• 1:28:14
  different hosts to come on and talk to you guys about it. I love
• 1:28:16
  to come on here with it and talk to you guys like this is what
• 1:28:18
  I like to do. This is very much what I appreciate, and so
• 1:28:21
  I love it. Every time he has me come on and you guys are,
• 1:28:24
  without a doubt, my favorite non Chiefs fan base in the world.
• 1:28:28
  I do appreciate you guys. Yeah, you're awesome, Matt. I tell
• 1:28:30
  everybody all the time, like, even if you're just a Bills fan and
• 1:28:33
  not a big like football fan, it's always important to stay up on every
• 1:28:36
  other team in the league. And you and your whole crew there at Casey
• 1:28:42
  Sports Network, like, you guys do a tremendous job covering the Chiefs.
• 1:28:44
  And it's not just surface level data or surface level like talking. It is
• 1:28:48
  legitimate, in depth conversation. It's x's and o's, it's scheme and structure.
• 1:28:53
  Again, those are the that's the type of content I gravitate towards.
• 1:28:56
  It's the reason I bring you on the show. You know, Ball,
• 1:28:58
  I love talking paull with you. It's the reason we got lost in conversation
• 1:29:00
  for about an hour and a half here. But again, I apologize,
• 1:29:03
  thank you for accommodating and you know, moving your schedule from last night to
• 1:29:06
  tonight. Godspeed, enjoy the rest of your Wednesday. I'm sure I'll see
• 1:29:11
  you over on Twitter and the DMS and everything. I appreciate the hell out
• 1:29:13
  of you and enjoy the rest of your Wednesday night. Oh, thank you,
• 1:29:15
  thank you very much. Appreciated. Thirteen seconds on the signe out.
• 1:29:18
  Oh you're awful? How dare you? How dare you? Oh? Man,
• 1:29:23
  what a horrible person? Oh damn, well played, well played,
• 1:29:29
  a huge you know again, Thank you to again Matt for joining He's I
• 1:29:33
  appreciate you all showing some love for him and the Chay. Yeah, he's
• 1:29:38
  awesome, Like he just he's He's a really insightful dude and their team is
• 1:29:43
  great over there at the Casey Sports Network. I know Greg and Aaron have
• 1:29:45
  Ken Swanson on from Casey Sports Network later tonight. I believe or I'm just
• 1:29:48
  actually I'm assuming that. Yeah, I know he just snuck that thirteen seconds
• 1:29:55
  and man, what a jerk. That was well played though I respect him
• 1:29:58
  for it. Yeah, absolutely tremendous do tremendous brand that they got going on
• 1:30:00
  over there. They're awesome and he had a lot of insight into this matchup.
• 1:30:04
  I want to grab some questions from the chat that I started throughout the
• 1:30:09
  episode that I want to get to now is kind of wrap up here from
• 1:30:13
  that conversation piece and move towards more just the questions from the chat. I
• 1:30:16
  want to grab this one from Steve. Steve says the Chiefs that run single
• 1:30:19
  high safety sixty nine percent of the time this year. Do you guys agree
• 1:30:23
  that we will see that? We will not see much of that this weekend.
• 1:30:27
  I think a lot of it's going to be tied to I think box
• 1:30:30
  counts and coverages is going to be tied to what we see from the Bills
• 1:30:31
  run game. If the Chiefs think that the Bills run game is a threat,
• 1:30:35
  they're going to have to walk a safety down. We know, again
• 1:30:39
  just from what myself and Matt we're talking about, like what the Chiefs are
• 1:30:42
  from a box perspective. Again, Nick Bolton, if he does play and
• 1:30:45
  comes back, that helps a lot what they do from a front perspective against
• 1:30:47
  the run. But the Chiefs defensive line, you know, you have Carl
• 1:30:51
  Loftis and you've got a mena who and the guys up front, but they
• 1:30:55
  they're weaker on the interior in that spine, especially a Bolton is out at
• 1:30:58
  linebacker, but they're weak on the interior of the defensive line. And Chris
• 1:31:00
  Jones, for as all world as he is, his strength is not as
• 1:31:05
  a run defender, and when he does make plays against the run, it's
• 1:31:08
  him you know, knife into the backfield or beating a blocker. He is
• 1:31:11
  in this person to kind of standing strong and hold at the point of attack
• 1:31:14
  and make a play or eat a double team, so they are vulnerable from
• 1:31:17
  that run perspective, you know, again point going back to one of my
• 1:31:20
  points earlier. So I think if the Bills run game is a threat,
• 1:31:26
  they will tie that single high safety piece in and actually want to grab I'm
• 1:31:30
  going to go to the tendency report page here that I have to see some
• 1:31:33
  more numbers of what they do from a coverage perspective pre snap versus post snap,
• 1:31:38
  because that's also a key piece to right you Also, you always want
• 1:31:41
  to see, you know, are they showing single high alignments pre snap or
• 1:31:45
  are they rotating to them post snap? You know, are they showing too
• 1:31:49
  high pre snap versus you know what they're actually rolling on the back end post
• 1:31:56
  snap? Is it a shell initially versus an actual coverge once to play happens.
• 1:32:00
  And that's part of what you get with that Chiefs defense, just in
• 1:32:04
  terms of never knowing really what they're going to do or who they're going to
• 1:32:08
  be or where they're going to go. They just throw a lot at you,
• 1:32:10
  and a lot of it is a testament to again Steve Spagnolo and what
• 1:32:14
  he does. Let me pull some numbers here, So from a so I
• 1:32:19
  don't have Steve, I don't know where those numbers came from. I have
• 1:32:23
  somewhat different numbers here that I'm pulling up from SIS. So pre snap,
• 1:32:30
  single high coverages or single high alignment pre snap that one high shell I have
• 1:32:34
  that thirty five percent of the time, and then single high coverages post snap
• 1:32:39
  I have that as thirty one percent of the time. For the Chiefs defense,
• 1:32:43
  they're actually one of the leaders in two high safety looks, so middle
• 1:32:46
  of the field open coverages, your cover two, your cover four, your
• 1:32:49
  cover six's man in zone, you know, could be cover two man,
• 1:32:53
  cover two zone whatever. Fifty one percent of the time they are in those
• 1:32:57
  two high safety looks post snap, which is the second most. I thought
• 1:33:00
  that sixty nine percent seemed a little high, but we'll see what they do
• 1:33:04
  in this game. And comment here from Iota saying, also, if Bolton
• 1:33:08
  doesn't play with tranquil out and cook out, it'll most likely hamstring. What
• 1:33:12
  Spags is comfortable calling. Yeah, we'll see you know how comfortable he is
• 1:33:15
  with whoever is able to step up potentially. There Like that comment and thank
• 1:33:19
  you for the comment, Steve, appreciate it. Carl's comment, Well,
• 1:33:24
  the game hinge upon whether James Cook or Isaia Pacheco has the better game or
• 1:33:28
  will we see a battle of the qbs. I like this one because it
• 1:33:30
  tied to again my point or one of my points earlier. I just think
• 1:33:35
  it's going to come down to the quarterbacks. Right at the end of the
• 1:33:38
  day. It'll come down to Alm make him play or Mahomes making a play
• 1:33:41
  potentially large scale, but I think more in a vacuum for me, I
• 1:33:45
  really think the team that wins this game is the team that's able to run
• 1:33:47
  the ball. Now, again, that doesn't mean that they're going to run
• 1:33:50
  it thirty times and only past a ten or something like that. But I
• 1:33:54
  think the team that wins this game is the team that has more consistency and
• 1:33:57
  success on the ground, because what does for each of these quarterbacks. If
• 1:34:00
  the Chiefs can run the ball, it opens up so much for Patrick Mahomes
• 1:34:04
  and their offense, and an offense that is struggling from a rhythm standpoint,
• 1:34:10
  from a consistency standpoint, again, everything that we got into with Matt earlier.
• 1:34:13
  And if the Bills can run the ball, it just adds this layer
• 1:34:16
  that they're able to stack and build upon that ties into their passing attack in
• 1:34:20
  a different way. That leads to just so much ease and explosivity for this
• 1:34:25
  offense. So I do think, I don't think it necessarily. It doesn't
• 1:34:29
  have to necessarily be James Cook for the Bills or Pacheco for the Chiefs,
• 1:34:32
  although it probably will be Pacheco if they're running the ball successfully, could be
• 1:34:36
  mcinnon or cy maybe Ceh you know, finally becomes who he was destined to
• 1:34:40
  be. I guess, But I do think whoever has the better run game
• 1:34:44
  is the team that will win this game, Chiefs or Bills. Whoever has
• 1:34:47
  the better run game will win this game. This comment earlier from Wyota saying
• 1:34:53
  ant always kin Kaid lived up to his draft position to you really enjoying watching
• 1:34:59
  him play. I'm enjoying watching him play. I don't know. I never
• 1:35:02
  judge anybody on their first year, any rookie. I always I do the
• 1:35:08
  three year rule, Like you really have to wait three years until you make
• 1:35:11
  a concrete decision, no matter how good they look early on or how bad
• 1:35:14
  they look early on. I always give that three year rule late first round
• 1:35:17
  picks. I know they're still a first rounder, but I never know what
• 1:35:20
  to make of immediate impact, especially depending on position. I will say,
• 1:35:25
  just from a look standpoint, I think King Kaid has been impressive, right.
• 1:35:29
  I think he's been, you know, arguably the second or third most
• 1:35:34
  dangerous weapon from a weekend and week out standpoint on this Bill's offense from a
• 1:35:39
  pass standpoint, after Stefan Diggs, you know Diggs, and then the emergence
• 1:35:43
  of Kincaid and Secure this year has been a really nice piece from an overall
• 1:35:45
  like weapons standpoint for this offense. I think so. In terms of his
• 1:35:49
  production, I think, yeah, like I'm seeing a lot of value from
• 1:35:54
  him coming at the end of that first round. I mean with the path
• 1:35:56
  that he's on, he's on path to you know, set a bunch of
• 1:35:58
  records for Bills tight ends as a rookie. And you know not that the
• 1:36:01
  Bills have had a ton of great no tight ends in their history. No
• 1:36:03
  dispect anybody that's played tight end for the Bills. But I think he's lived
• 1:36:08
  up to expectation thus far and again as a rookie, Like it's a hard
• 1:36:11
  position to break into and make an impact as a rookie tight end. There's
• 1:36:14
  so much this asked of you from the pass game and from the run game.
• 1:36:16
  So there's a lot mentally in addition to the physical element of the game
• 1:36:20
  and adjusting to the NFL. But you know, like you, I'm enjoying
• 1:36:25
  watching him play and I do think, I do think he's lived up to
• 1:36:28
  the to the draft position. Again, this is somebody who immediately saw snaps
• 1:36:30
  out of the gate and then Dawson Knox went down with injury and he kind
• 1:36:34
  of seamlessly stepped in and added another element and layer to this passing attack.
• 1:36:39
  So yeah, I think as a late round or a late round, as
• 1:36:42
  a late first round pick, yeah, I think he's lived up to the
• 1:36:45
  draft position in somebody that you can, you know, expect good things for
• 1:36:47
  weekend and week out. And again saying that he's arguably been the second or
• 1:36:53
  third, you know, best option in the passing attack since he's really became
• 1:36:56
  like the tight end one with Knox being out, being second or third.
• 1:37:00
  It's not because the bills are devoid of you know, weapons at one or
• 1:37:04
  two. It's because Digs is digs and Shakira is played well at times like
• 1:37:08
  it's so Kinka being in that conversation isn't by default because there's no one ahead
• 1:37:13
  of him. It's more a testament to what he's done and how he's played.
• 1:37:15
  So Yeah, I think he's lived up to his draft position thus far.
• 1:37:19
  I like what he's done. I think it was again a good pick
• 1:37:23
  in the moment. I think it's a good pick down or a good pick
• 1:37:26
  now. Ooh comment from Rush Diard Chiefs forty two bill seven Oof. That
• 1:37:32
  would be quite the That would be quite the moment, quite the game.
• 1:37:36
  Man, That would be absolutely terrible. I want to show out the sponsor
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  or friends whoever, a tremendous service and get some illegitimately the best pizza in
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  Buffalo, New York with one PI pizza. But you can also find it
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  in your heart. You know they're doing their Toys for Tots initiative, you
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  have an option to win a ton of prizes. They do like Sabers memorabilia
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  packages, free pizza for a year, they do bills prizes, There's like
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  autographed helmets and different things. They had a ton of different levels and prizes
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  last year for their Toys for Tots initiative. And you know, even if
• 1:38:35
  you know so if you want to drop a toy off to potentially get a
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  prize, that's awesome, or if you just want to do another kindness of
• 1:38:40
  your heart. I mentioned it on Twitter. I mentioned on the show,
• 1:38:43
  like I love Christmas, It's my favorite holiday. I love this time of
• 1:38:45
  year. I know that you know is a set is a sentiment that's echoed
• 1:38:48
  by a lot of people, but it's not always echoed by everyone. Sometimes
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  the holidays are really tough for people, and Christmas can be tough for people
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  as well. So if you can find it in your heart to donate,
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  help some families, help some kids out, whatever, it's awesome to try
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  and do that. And again you're also getting some awesome pizza at the same
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  time. So get yourself some one PI pizza. Bring a toy or more
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  than one or two or three or four. You get you know, tickets
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  entered into the raffle for all the different prizes for each toy that you bring.
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  So we'll get some one PI pizza. They do breakfast pizzas well.
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  Now to open it at nine am, So breakfast pizza, regular pizza,
• 1:39:20
  whatever have you. Whatever, you got, toys for tots, all of
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  that, please please season, thank you, you know, do some good
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  for the community, and do some good for your taste buds while you are
• 1:39:30
  at it. Yeah, I keep feeling this RJ setate here. You know
• 1:39:32
  that casey wide receiver group of making saying catches and not drop a single pass
• 1:39:35
  because it's the bills. I mentioned it earlier with Matt how much like MVS
• 1:39:40
  has struggle. I could see this being a game, yeah, where he
• 1:39:42
  has three catches for one hundred and five yards and two touchdowns, or just
• 1:39:45
  balls out somewhere, or sky Moore has like nine catches for like one hundred
• 1:39:48
  and twenty one yards, or just somebody comes out of the woodwork that has
• 1:39:53
  has been struggling. And you know that's all that gets talked about on the
• 1:39:56
  broadcast is man like Timmy came into this game with only five career catches and
• 1:40:01
  he's got seventy two catches in the first quarter, or just something. You're
• 1:40:04
  just like, dude, really like, why is this happening in this game?
• 1:40:08
  I know the chief struggles, you know, you see him on tape,
• 1:40:10
  you see him in the metrics. From an offensive standpoint, you know,
• 1:40:13
  this defense is still very much, you know, not to be trifled
• 1:40:16
  with at all. But you know, for as much as they've had their
• 1:40:19
  struggles and had their woes as an offense and as a football team, you
• 1:40:23
  know that potential is there. And again we talked about it as much with
• 1:40:25
  Matt earlier. You know, you have Mahomes, you have Kelsey, you
• 1:40:28
  have a really good offensive line, you have Andy Reid and even though the
• 1:40:31
  complimentary pieces or the ancillary pieces, auxiliary pieces, whatever have you, reverbage
• 1:40:36
  you want to use. Even though they haven't been up to snuff this year,
• 1:40:39
  you know that potential is still there in some degree even with just something
• 1:40:43
  as simple as you know, Rashi Rice and is really good straight line vertical
• 1:40:46
  speed. I don't know, do they run like a little tunnel screen or
• 1:40:48
  smoke screen to them and the Bills get caught in a blitz or get caught
• 1:40:53
  out over pursuing and all Rashie Rice has to do is use is really fast
• 1:40:56
  straight line vertical speed and get up field and house one for like sixty yards.
• 1:41:00
  Like there's all these little elements that they have. And with the way
• 1:41:02
  this Bill season has gone from a snake bit perspective, I hate to kind
• 1:41:05
  of lean into that, but yeah, it just seems like, man,
• 1:41:09
  somebody could easily, you know, break out for an offense that's been stuck
• 1:41:12
  in neutral and stuck in the mud. Like I could see somebody just balling
• 1:41:15
  out and doing a lot of craziness in this game. But we will see
• 1:41:18
  what happens as we go forward in this game. With that being said,
• 1:41:21
  and throw out the banner and there's tootles, folks, So we're going to
• 1:41:24
  wrap up here before any of you watching lively. Please please, please,
• 1:41:26
  thank you. If you have not already, please drop a like on this
• 1:41:30
  video. Again, it goes a sincerely long way towards helping myself in the
• 1:41:32
  entire team to track and trend in front of more eyes and ears. So
• 1:41:35
  if you haven't already, please please please and think you drop ake on this
• 1:41:39
  video. But that'll do it for us here on the show. I got
• 1:41:43
  a jet so I appreciate everybody dropping by watching live. If you are not
• 1:41:48
  watching live and you are watching later, thank you very much for your post
• 1:41:50
  live view. Please drop ake on this video. If you are listening on
• 1:41:54
  one of the podcasting apps or platforms, that's cool too. Please rate and
• 1:41:57
  review and subscribe to Disguise coverage on whatever podcasting app or platform we are listening
• 1:42:02
  to this show on. Subscribe to dis Guy's coverage here on YouTube as well,
• 1:42:06
  and subscribe to the cover one channel. As a whope, we have
• 1:42:09
  you covered every single day of the week with anything and everything Buffalo Bills varying
• 1:42:13
  levels of content and depth. You know, surface stuff, entertainment stuff,
• 1:42:16
  x's and o's whatever you're looking for, we have you covered here at cover
• 1:42:20
  one. I appreciate everybody who wrote with me live here on this episode.
• 1:42:24
  Thank you very much for tuning in, especially again I know things get wonky.
• 1:42:27
  The show is usually on Tuesday nights at nine, and the film rooms
• 1:42:30
  usually in this slot. We didn't do a film room this week. I
• 1:42:31
  moved to Sky's coverage at the last minute. I had a lot of chaos
• 1:42:35
  going on yesterday, not necessarily in a bad way, but just the life
• 1:42:39
  comes at you fast happened yesterday. It's coming at me fast again today,
• 1:42:41
  which is the reason I got a jet now. But I appreciate you folks
• 1:42:44
  dropping by live and watching this episode tonight. Thank you very much to Matt
• 1:42:46
  again, mister Matt Lane from the Casey Sports Network for riding with me on
• 1:42:50
  this episode and giving us a ton of insight and talking ball for Bill's chiefs
• 1:42:54
  and having a really fun conversation. And I appreciate all you folks. Thank
• 1:42:57
  you to anyone who watched this episode live. Thank you to anyone who watched
• 1:43:00
  later listen later, whether you download watch on YouTube, podcasting apps or platforms,
• 1:43:06
  whatever have you. Thank you very much for your listen, your view,
• 1:43:09
  your download. I greatly appreciate it. Thank you very much for Sophia
• 1:43:13
  for your super chat. Thank you very much to Cordero. Cordaro, I
• 1:43:16
  don't know how to pronounce it. I apologize if I'm mispronouncing it for your
• 1:43:20
  super chat as well, So thank you very much for those two superchats.
• 1:43:23
  And again, thank get everybody for riding with us Live. Greatly appreciate it.
• 1:43:27
  If you enjoyed this episode, drop alike and tell your family and friends
• 1:43:30
  and loved ones about how awesome this show is. If you thought this show
• 1:43:31
  was terrible, tell your enemies and try and ruin their night with this show.
• 1:43:36
  I greatly appreciate you folks. Holiday season. Hope it's going well for
• 1:43:41
  you. Get some one PI pizza, drop off a toy for tots.
• 1:43:45
  Yeah, I appreciate you, folks. I hope you and your family and
• 1:43:46
  friends and loved ones are all doing well and staying safe. Be kind to
• 1:43:50
  one another, take care of one another. I will see you next Tuesday,
• 1:43:54
  nine pm Eastern for another episode of Disguised Coverage, and then next Wednesday,
• 1:43:58
  seven pm Eastern for another episode of the film, when we will be
• 1:44:00
  back to our regularly scheduled programming and next week. Appreciate you all for bearing
• 1:44:04
  with me with the schedule change and the wonkiness. Thank you again, godspeed,
• 1:44:10
  and as always go Bills.