Latest / Financial Survival Network / Iran Flashpoint Goes Global - Todd Sheets #6389
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: He recognizes that Iran and not Israel, is the primary
- 0:06Speaker 1: cause of instability and terror and destruction and devastation in
- 0:13Speaker 1: the Middle East right now, and is the primary impediment
- 0:17Speaker 1: to the Middle East moving in a new direction.
- 0:20Speaker 2: You're listening to Carrie Let's's Financial Survival Network, where you
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- 0:47Speaker 3: And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial
- 0:51Speaker 3: Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Letz. Today with us
- 0:55Speaker 3: is Todd Sheets that on the show before. You know
- 0:59Speaker 3: him well, and Todd, it's great to have you back on.
- 1:03Speaker 3: And hey, the war is continuing, and what are we
- 1:08Speaker 3: doing here? You gotta wonder, like what is the real plan?
- 1:14Speaker 3: By the way, you find Todd on substack And yeah,
- 1:20Speaker 3: I read your stuff somewhat regularly, Todd. So the war,
- 1:25Speaker 3: what is going on here? Yeah?
- 1:27Speaker 1: Well, I think what's going on here, Carrie is we've
- 1:30Speaker 1: gone through a couple of different stages. I think many
- 1:32Speaker 1: people are asking the question why are we still here?
- 1:36Speaker 1: And I think to answer that you have to look
- 1:38Speaker 1: at why we went there in the first place, which
- 1:41Speaker 1: I believe is a result of a number of different
- 1:44Speaker 1: factors that kind of came together in a very unique
- 1:49Speaker 1: type of way. One of those factors are a series
- 1:55Speaker 1: of those factors has to do with, from a strategic perspective,
- 1:59Speaker 1: what's going on in the Middle East and recognizing the
- 2:02Speaker 1: situation in the Middle East. And I think the first
- 2:04Speaker 1: important point there, which was one of the factors leading
- 2:08Speaker 1: us into this war, was the fact that Trump, unlike
- 2:12Speaker 1: you know, almost everybody in the on the left, it
- 2:14Speaker 1: seems like at least among the prominent politicians on the left,
- 2:19Speaker 1: he recognizes that Iran and not Israel, is the primary
- 2:24Speaker 1: cause of instability and terror and destruction and devastation in
- 2:31Speaker 1: the Middle East right now, and is the primary impediment
- 2:35Speaker 1: to the Middle East moving in a new direction. And
- 2:39Speaker 1: so I think the second key point on the strategic
- 2:42Speaker 1: issues here is that this isn't you know, our father's
- 2:45Speaker 1: Middle East anymore. If we went back forty five to
- 2:49Speaker 1: fifty years when this Iranian regime first took power, there
- 2:53Speaker 1: was this movement and belief among the people of the
- 2:57Speaker 1: Middle East. You know that the US and Western values
- 3:01Speaker 1: they weren't the answer, they were the problem, and what
- 3:04Speaker 1: they needed to do was align themselves with government directed
- 3:09Speaker 1: collectivism in the pursuit of a better life. But you know,
- 3:14Speaker 1: so forty five fifty years ago this would not have
- 3:16Speaker 1: been a great idea. Today it is a very different world.
- 3:20Speaker 1: We see that within Iran, where I think a substantial
- 3:24Speaker 1: majority of the ninety million plus people would like to
- 3:27Speaker 1: move back towards American and Western style values and definitely
- 3:33Speaker 1: away from the imposed collectivism that they've been under for
- 3:38Speaker 1: the last fifty years, which has been devastating to them.
- 3:41Speaker 1: And we also see it from other countries in the
- 3:43Speaker 1: Middle East. You know, I think Saudi Arabia wants to
- 3:46Speaker 1: move in this direction and align with US in Israel,
- 3:50Speaker 1: but you've had Iran standing up to this. So these
- 3:54Speaker 1: were things that Trump recognized. In addition to that, it
- 3:59Speaker 1: took a significant change in the way we view our
- 4:04Speaker 1: military and our role in the world. So if we
- 4:07Speaker 1: go back, you know, maybe to when we were growing up.
- 4:11Speaker 1: I think most Americans, you know, after a century that
- 4:14Speaker 1: extended from the Civil War through the Two World Wars
- 4:20Speaker 1: and then the Cold War had a view that you know,
- 4:23Speaker 1: America was a force for good and promoting peace and
- 4:27Speaker 1: stability in the world around us. That all started to
- 4:30Speaker 1: change with the Vietnam War and then Iraq and Afghanistan.
- 4:33Speaker 1: And I think prior to Trump it had gotten to
- 4:36Speaker 1: the point where we had lost confidence in our ability
- 4:40Speaker 1: to play a positive role in the world around us,
- 4:43Speaker 1: and we had lost confidence in our military. And because
- 4:46Speaker 1: of the series of you know, highly successful operations he's
- 4:49Speaker 1: engaged in, that has changed.
- 4:52Speaker 3: Then.
- 4:52Speaker 1: I think the last final critical thing was, you know,
- 4:55Speaker 1: recognizing Israel made him you know, gave him the ability
- 4:59Speaker 1: to see how much they had accomplished in a positive
- 5:03Speaker 1: light after October seventh, twenty twenty three, how severely they
- 5:10Speaker 1: had graded Iran and their proxies, and that this was
- 5:14Speaker 1: really as we came into early this year, especially after
- 5:17Speaker 1: the protests this year, there was this incredible opportunity to
- 5:21Speaker 1: come in with a lightning quick strike and take out
- 5:26Speaker 1: so much of the regime and so much of their infrastructure,
- 5:30Speaker 1: you know, in a very quick and unannounced way. So
- 5:33Speaker 1: I think all those things came together and they put
- 5:35Speaker 1: us into the war in the first place. I think
- 5:37Speaker 1: those things are still valid, and if anything, we've learned
- 5:42Speaker 1: that there are the reasons to go in in the
- 5:44Speaker 1: first place are even more important than we probably thought
- 5:47Speaker 1: they were originally. Given what we've seen that Iran's been
- 5:50Speaker 1: able to do with the straight of hor moves.
- 5:52Speaker 3: Couldn't agree with you more. You know what else has
- 5:54Speaker 3: changed about the world from forty seven years ago? And honestly, look,
- 5:59Speaker 3: Iran's been at more with the United States for forty
- 6:02Speaker 3: seven years. We just refused to accept that fact. Same
- 6:07Speaker 3: arguably with China. But China is more weaponized trade than
- 6:12Speaker 3: actual terrorism. But the thing that's changed is air travel.
- 6:20Speaker 3: Air travel back forty seven years ago, people were flying locally,
- 6:25Speaker 3: but not as much international. All these very insular regimes
- 6:30Speaker 3: in the Middle East, there are people with their wealth
- 6:33Speaker 3: have traveled to other countries, Western countries all over, and
- 6:40Speaker 3: the world is a lot more different place. I mean,
- 6:43Speaker 3: when you go from airport to airport, I don't particularly
- 6:46Speaker 3: like our airport security, but that has become like the
- 6:51Speaker 3: standard of airport security. I'm not holding that as an
- 6:55Speaker 3: example as to like a really positive thing, but it's
- 6:59Speaker 3: the unification and of the planet has occurred over the
- 7:03Speaker 3: past forty seven years. And I think the interests are
- 7:07Speaker 3: more more understood, our common interests and our common goals
- 7:12Speaker 3: are more understood. And the you know, the Arab regimes
- 7:17Speaker 3: of the Middle East see that, you know, Aron is
- 7:21Speaker 3: a real threat to them, more so than they wanted
- 7:25Speaker 3: to perhaps come to terms with. And now we actually
- 7:28Speaker 3: have somebody in the White House who's willing to do
- 7:31Speaker 3: something about it.
- 7:33Speaker 1: Yeah. Look, I agree completely, and I think you're right.
- 7:36Speaker 1: Air travel was the first step in going down this
- 7:39Speaker 1: process that drastically changed people's perspective because it gave them
- 7:45Speaker 1: the opportunity to see other cultures and experience it firsthand,
- 7:49Speaker 1: you know. I mean I can remember growing up, and
- 7:51Speaker 1: you know, the thing was, you know, eat the food
- 7:53Speaker 1: on your plate because of all the starving kids in
- 7:56Speaker 1: China and at that time, you know, China and in
- 8:00Speaker 1: the Soviet Union, they really were behind either an iron
- 8:04Speaker 1: curtain or a great wall, not just physically but psychologically.
- 8:08Speaker 1: It was like these places you learn something about, but
- 8:12Speaker 1: you had no you know, ability to have any kind
- 8:16Speaker 1: of firsthand experience like being there or even as time
- 8:20Speaker 1: went on, you know, maybe through television and culture and
- 8:22Speaker 1: that type of thing. And then with the Internet, it
- 8:24Speaker 1: took it to another level. And one of the things
- 8:27Speaker 1: that that's done is I think it's made, you know,
- 8:30Speaker 1: what we might call the American dream even more tangible
- 8:35Speaker 1: to these societies. When they see the difference in living
- 8:38Speaker 1: standards and in freedoms and those kinds of things that
- 8:41Speaker 1: we enjoy, it makes them even more aware of how
- 8:46Speaker 1: repressed they have been by these government dominated, collectivist kind
- 8:51Speaker 1: of systems and how badly they have failed relative to
- 8:55Speaker 1: what life is like in systems that aren't like that. So, yeah,
- 8:58Speaker 1: I completely agree with you.
- 9:00Speaker 3: I guess I kind of went overboard. But the world's
- 9:03Speaker 3: become a lot smaller place when you travel you understand
- 9:07Speaker 3: other cultures that when you read about it in the newspaper,
- 9:10Speaker 3: on the internet or watch TV if anyone still does that,
- 9:14Speaker 3: you don't really grasp what you're observing as opposed to
- 9:20Speaker 3: going to that culture and seeing it yourself. So I think,
- 9:24Speaker 3: and then you know one thing about Trump his first term,
- 9:29Speaker 3: he knew he had the power, but he was much
- 9:32Speaker 3: more reluctant to use it this term, whether it was
- 9:37Speaker 3: from the near death experience he had in Pennsylvania. He's
- 9:41Speaker 3: not afraid to use the power to pull the levers
- 9:45Speaker 3: and that is perhaps the biggest difference of most presidents,
- 9:51Speaker 3: you know, going back to FDR or maybe to Truman
- 9:56Speaker 3: wouldn't have well maybe LBJ and he was restrained. But
- 10:02Speaker 3: really there's nothing restraining Trump now from exercising the powers
- 10:08Speaker 3: inherent in the presidency. And for instance, like I was
- 10:12Speaker 3: in Washington, D C. A few months ago, that city
- 10:16Speaker 3: is going through a renaissance right now. The crime has
- 10:20Speaker 3: been greatly diminished. But more important than that, a lot
- 10:23Speaker 3: of the government buildings were really crumbling. They were really
- 10:27Speaker 3: filthy exteriors, even the Supreme Court, it's all being renovated now.
- 10:33Speaker 3: So Trump's builder complex. He's brought it to DC, and
- 10:39Speaker 3: maybe from DC we'll see a renaissance in these other
- 10:42Speaker 3: declining cities as well. So you know the fact that
- 10:47Speaker 3: Washington it's safe to walk on the streets at night,
- 10:51Speaker 3: which it hasn't been for years, not since I can remember.
- 10:54Speaker 3: I used to have an office there and you got
- 10:57Speaker 3: off the street at like seven o'clock.
- 10:59Speaker 1: In that area.
- 11:00Speaker 3: You know, all of these things kind of figure in
- 11:03Speaker 3: together to what's going on.
- 11:06Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I think you're exactly right. I think you know,
- 11:10Speaker 1: the first time in Washington, D C. You know, he
- 11:13Speaker 1: was learning the ropes of the place. He did a
- 11:15Speaker 1: number of things that were incredibly positive on the economic side.
- 11:19Speaker 1: You know, if it had not been for Covid, I
- 11:21Speaker 1: think it's it's very clear that he probably would have won,
- 11:25Speaker 1: you know, you know, in a landslide type victory.
- 11:28Speaker 3: He didn't win in twenty twenty.
- 11:31Speaker 1: It certainly wasn't a landslide victory. I think it would
- 11:34Speaker 1: have been a landslide it's if it hadn't been for Covid.
- 11:39Speaker 1: And I think this time you're right, he's he's learned
- 11:42Speaker 1: the ropes. And in addition to that, you know, when
- 11:46Speaker 1: he saw the level of warfare that the Democrats and
- 11:53Speaker 1: the socialist wing of the Democratic Party imposed to try
- 11:57Speaker 1: and prevent him from running to discredit.
- 12:00Speaker 3: Him in office, yeah, I wasn't ready for that.
- 12:03Speaker 1: It made him realize, you know, this is not a
- 12:06Speaker 1: time to pull punches. We have got to step up
- 12:09Speaker 1: or we are going to lose the battle within our
- 12:11Speaker 1: own borders to the socialists who want to take us
- 12:14Speaker 1: in the direction of all of these You know that
- 12:18Speaker 1: all of these countries, for example, in the Middle East
- 12:20Speaker 1: or in Latin America have gone they've learned the lesson
- 12:23Speaker 1: over the last half century about how disastrous it is.
- 12:26Speaker 1: But we've still got a faction of the Democratic Party
- 12:30Speaker 1: that's trying to force us to learn it the hard way,
- 12:33Speaker 1: the way all the people in Iran, other parts of
- 12:36Speaker 1: the Middle East, in Venezuela and other parts of Latin
- 12:39Speaker 1: America have had to.
- 12:41Speaker 3: It's so true, like what you see here that you know,
- 12:46Speaker 3: we just how can we not learn the lessons? How
- 12:49Speaker 3: can anyone in this country who is alive during the
- 12:52Speaker 3: Iron Curtain and the fall of communism and watching what's
- 12:57Speaker 3: happening in Cuba, watching what's happened in Venezuela. You know,
- 13:01Speaker 3: That's what I say when Trump exercises power, I don't
- 13:05Speaker 3: think he can really separate the war in Iran from
- 13:09Speaker 3: what he's done in Venezuela and what's about to happen
- 13:13Speaker 3: in Cuba. Cuba has already collapsed. It's like now we're
- 13:16Speaker 3: just writing the future, but the past is gone. That
- 13:21Speaker 3: communist regime has gone oppression. I knew this was going
- 13:24Speaker 3: to happen when the first thing he did when he
- 13:27Speaker 3: came back into office was sending Marco Rubio down to
- 13:30Speaker 3: Panama and said, all right, the Chinese are done. We
- 13:35Speaker 3: want the canal back. You could do this the nice way,
- 13:39Speaker 3: or you could do it, you know, you could do
- 13:41Speaker 3: it the easy way, or you could do it the
- 13:44Speaker 3: hard way. And then he showed them that basically the
- 13:48Speaker 3: Chinese company was ripping them off, and they did it
- 13:53Speaker 3: the easy way. And now you know, now basically the
- 13:58Speaker 3: Panama Canal is back in the fold, right, Yeah, I mean.
- 14:02Speaker 1: I think he clearly understands the importance of these waterways.
- 14:06Speaker 1: And you know, there's no better indication of how important
- 14:11Speaker 1: that move was than what's going on in the Strait
- 14:15Speaker 1: of Hormoves right now and the need for us to
- 14:18Speaker 1: control those waterways so that we can keep them open
- 14:21Speaker 1: and not see control to China. Which I'm glad you
- 14:24Speaker 1: brought this up because this I agree with you completely.
- 14:27Speaker 1: What is going on in Iran is also part of
- 14:31Speaker 1: a much bigger strategic move to checkmate China. If there's
- 14:37Speaker 1: a possibility, you know, this is you know, far from done.
- 14:40Speaker 1: It's not going to be easy. There's a lot of
- 14:42Speaker 1: dangerous elements left in order to get there. But there's
- 14:45Speaker 1: a possibility we come out of this with Iran where
- 14:49Speaker 1: the regime is hopefully at least much closer to collapse,
- 14:53Speaker 1: if not fully collapsed. Where we are policing and controlling
- 14:57Speaker 1: the Strait of Hormves to make s sure that it
- 15:00Speaker 1: remains open, which means that one, we're making sure it's
- 15:04Speaker 1: open for our allies who are so dependent on that
- 15:07Speaker 1: and to a lesser extent, ourselves. But in addition to that,
- 15:11Speaker 1: we control the waterway in a manner that would allow
- 15:15Speaker 1: us to choke off China if they start to make
- 15:19Speaker 1: hostile and aggressive geopolitical moves, you know, like everybody eventually
- 15:23Speaker 1: expects them to. That totally resets the dynamics for China,
- 15:27Speaker 1: as did our moves with Venezuela and getting control of
- 15:31Speaker 1: the oil in Venezuela. So you know, if all of
- 15:34Speaker 1: these things continue to go successfully, we not only change
- 15:39Speaker 1: the dynamics of Latin America, change the dynamics of the
- 15:42Speaker 1: Middle East, but we also just totally reset the chessboard,
- 15:48Speaker 1: the geopolitical chess board with China, almost to the point
- 15:52Speaker 1: of having checkmated them. I think if we can be
- 15:55Speaker 1: successful here.
- 15:56Speaker 3: So totally totally, I mean they're already feeling it gas
- 16:01Speaker 3: lines and things like that. Yeah, I think there are
- 16:08Speaker 3: certain inflection points in history when they go back one
- 16:12Speaker 3: hundred years, they will look at Butler, Pennsylvania July thirteenth,
- 16:18Speaker 3: twenty twenty four is one of those inflection points where
- 16:22Speaker 3: history could have gone one way or the other. And
- 16:28Speaker 3: you know, I've been optimistic. I don't want to say
- 16:32Speaker 3: like I feel like everything that's happening is great and
- 16:35Speaker 3: for the better and all that. There's definitely risk reward
- 16:39Speaker 3: going on, but I feel like, for the first time,
- 16:41Speaker 3: we actually are addressing the issues that are existential to
- 16:46Speaker 3: the United States, to Western civilization. Before Trump, no one
- 16:51Speaker 3: was willing to defend Western civilization, which has brought us everything.
- 16:58Speaker 1: You know, Look, I absolutely agree with that. I think
- 17:03Speaker 1: to me, there's a couple of distinct periods here. One
- 17:07Speaker 1: was the beginning of Ronald Reagan's two terms in nineteen
- 17:12Speaker 1: eighty and winning the election beginning in eighty one, which
- 17:16Speaker 1: took us again out of a similar kind of but yes,
- 17:20Speaker 1: Jimmy Carter called it a malaise, which was the dysfunction
- 17:24Speaker 1: that resulted from lbj's disastrous Great Society programs that pushed
- 17:31Speaker 1: us into the deficits, along with the Vietnam War and
- 17:35Speaker 1: the spending and the monetization of that spending that came
- 17:39Speaker 1: from the FED, all of which created the disaster of
- 17:42Speaker 1: the nineteen seventies. Reagan turned that around, took us back
- 17:46Speaker 1: in a free market direction, had the similar kind of
- 17:50Speaker 1: strength to stand up to the Soviet Union in a
- 17:53Speaker 1: way that everybody was afraid to do, including prior Republicans,
- 17:57Speaker 1: all of who thought the way to do it was
- 18:00Speaker 1: to sign treaties, which, as Reagan pointed out, those were
- 18:04Speaker 1: treaties that we felt honor bound to adhere to. But
- 18:08Speaker 1: the Soviet Union only did it to the extent that
- 18:11Speaker 1: they felt it was necessary and in their interests, and
- 18:14Speaker 1: if it wasn't, then they just ignored it. And so
- 18:17Speaker 1: we had that period that extended all the way through
- 18:20Speaker 1: the nineties and the Clinton years. You know, Clinton, even
- 18:22Speaker 1: though it was a Democrat, essentially governed on the tales
- 18:26Speaker 1: of the Reagan Revolution, which is why that all continued
- 18:29Speaker 1: for so long. But since that time, starting in the
- 18:34Speaker 1: early two thousands, what we saw was some mistakes made
- 18:38Speaker 1: by Bush from the Republican side that Morgan just wars,
- 18:42Speaker 1: but also the spending and the deficits and those kinds
- 18:45Speaker 1: of things. And then we see on the left this
- 18:49Speaker 1: increasing aggressiveness of the far socialist left to push their
- 18:56Speaker 1: agenda further and further and more aggressively to where we
- 19:01Speaker 1: had the cancel culture kind of stuff, the dei initia view,
- 19:06Speaker 1: which was an attempt to override meritocracy. In those kinds
- 19:10Speaker 1: of things. These were an attempt to overturn those Western values,
- 19:15Speaker 1: including capitalism, which as you said, were the first thing
- 19:20Speaker 1: to really lift the mass of humanity, at least in
- 19:24Speaker 1: the United States and parts of Europe at that time,
- 19:28Speaker 1: up off the ash eep of history. This created the
- 19:31Speaker 1: middle class. And as it did that, it didn't just
- 19:35Speaker 1: benefit us. It also led to global trade and upward
- 19:39Speaker 1: mobility that benefited even those countries that weren't directly involved
- 19:46Speaker 1: in adopting those things. Their growth rates started to move
- 19:49Speaker 1: up and they started to experience a better life also.
- 19:52Speaker 1: But like you said, for the last let's just say,
- 19:55Speaker 1: from two thousand, the last twenty five years, with the
- 20:00Speaker 1: exception of the first Trump administration, we went in the
- 20:02Speaker 1: wrong direction. The far left became ever more aggressive in
- 20:07Speaker 1: trying to overturn those Western values which created all this
- 20:11Speaker 1: the first place, and gave them the opportunity to do
- 20:14Speaker 1: you to do what they're doing through speak, free speech
- 20:17Speaker 1: and that kind of stuff. But somebody, and it was Trump,
- 20:20Speaker 1: needed to step up and stand up to that to
- 20:24Speaker 1: get us back towards the kind of things that create
- 20:27Speaker 1: the greatest opportunity for everybody in the system.
- 20:32Speaker 3: All right, And I couldn't agree with you more. And
- 20:35Speaker 3: it's spreading across the world. I was in Vietnam six
- 20:38Speaker 3: months ago, and it was the most westernized communist country
- 20:43Speaker 3: you've ever seen. Like I would look at the flag
- 20:45Speaker 3: and I'd see the hammer and sickle and stars, and
- 20:47Speaker 3: I think this country doesn't feel communist anymore. You're not
- 20:51Speaker 3: allowed to talk politics there, fine, but economically capitalism is one.
- 20:58Speaker 3: It's not even a contest anymore. And when they talk
- 21:03Speaker 3: about the war, there is no anger or negativity towards Americans.
- 21:11Speaker 3: But anyway, Todd, just tell us again where we find you,
- 21:14Speaker 3: how we connect with you on the web and your substack.
- 21:17Speaker 1: Yeah, a couple different things. My web page is Toddsheets
- 21:21Speaker 1: Writer dot com, WRI t e R dot com. Or
- 21:25Speaker 1: you can go to substack and search Todd Sheets and
- 21:27Speaker 1: on Wealth and Progress. Or if people prefer, you know,
- 21:31Speaker 1: a podcast or videotype version of what I write each week,
- 21:35Speaker 1: they can get that from either YouTube or Spotify or
- 21:39Speaker 1: Apple Music by searching the same thing. Toddsheets on wealth
- 21:43Speaker 1: and Progress excellent.
- 21:46Speaker 3: If you've got any questions for Todd myself kl at
- 21:49Speaker 3: Carrie LUTs dot com. That's where you reach us Todd.
- 21:52Speaker 3: Always a pleasure. Thanks for stopping by.
- 21:54Speaker 1: Thank you Kery.
- 21:55Speaker 3: Great to be with you again.
- 21:56Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your
- 22:00Speaker 2: solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to
- 22:04Speaker 2: Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,