Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Trump Cabinet Picks, Disney Earnings
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- 0:00Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.
- 0:08Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
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- 0:22Speaker 3: Boy, the appointments John are coming fast and furious from
- 0:26Speaker 3: the Trump group here in terms of his appointments to
- 0:29Speaker 3: his cabinet naming some I guess zar is the term
- 0:32Speaker 3: for some of these people. But he's certainly wasting no
- 0:36Speaker 3: time this time around to setting things up for his team.
- 0:39Speaker 3: And if you want to get the inside skinny on
- 0:41Speaker 3: kind of what's happening with the Trump group, mister Trump himself,
- 0:45Speaker 3: President Like Trump. Tim O'Brien's the best guy, right, I mean,
- 0:49Speaker 3: he's senior executive editor Bloomberg Opinion.
- 0:51Speaker 4: He has a very long history with Donald Trump.
- 0:56Speaker 3: You can google that and see the history there, so
- 0:58Speaker 3: he knows what he's talking about. President Like Trump has
- 1:01Speaker 3: been very busy for the last three or four days
- 1:04Speaker 3: filling out his cabinet. What's your takeaway because there's some
- 1:07Speaker 3: unusual choices.
- 1:09Speaker 5: Well, you know, the thinking had been during his first
- 1:11Speaker 5: visit in the White House that he had this mix
- 1:13Speaker 5: of advisors that were people there who were loyalists. There
- 1:17Speaker 5: were people there who were public servants who wanted to
- 1:21Speaker 5: just fill portin rolls, people like Mattis, for example, and
- 1:25Speaker 5: then there were other people who were like hangars on
- 1:27Speaker 5: and in there running their own agenda. But it was
- 1:30Speaker 5: a mixed bag, and I think from his view, I
- 1:34Speaker 5: think he walked away from his first experience in the
- 1:36Speaker 5: Oval Office feeling like not everybody was on board with
- 1:40Speaker 5: his agenda. He wasn't sure everyone was loyal to him,
- 1:43Speaker 5: and the thinking was coming into this round he would
- 1:46Speaker 5: appoint more loyalists and people who were more deft at
- 1:50Speaker 5: sort of manipulating the wheels of government in order to
- 1:53Speaker 5: help him push his agenda through. And I think what
- 1:55Speaker 5: you've found in this recent spurt of appointments is you
- 1:58Speaker 5: certainly have loyalists, there's no doubt. But whether or not
- 2:01Speaker 5: they're competent is another matter, and they're certainly controversial. Matt
- 2:05Speaker 5: Gates is sort of front and center as an exhibit
- 2:07Speaker 5: of he's been named Attorney General. He's someone who has
- 2:11Speaker 5: been under investigation by the FBI and the DOJ for
- 2:14Speaker 5: sex trafficking by the House Ethics Committee for a similar
- 2:18Speaker 5: range of charges. He is the most unlikely person imaginable
- 2:22Speaker 5: for a role like this. Republicans came out strongly against him.
- 2:25Speaker 5: Susan Collins said she was shocked by it. He has
- 2:28Speaker 5: to go through the vetting process with the Senate, so
- 2:30Speaker 5: we may not make it through. But he's not necessarily
- 2:34Speaker 5: someone you would put in the Justice Department because he
- 2:37Speaker 5: is technically proficient, you know. On the other hand, Marco
- 2:41Speaker 5: Rubio got appointed to be Secretary of State. He has
- 2:44Speaker 5: very strong national security credentials, He's got a diplomatic experience.
- 2:49Speaker 5: He is a serious person for a role like this.
- 2:51Speaker 5: And so you know this array of people, you know,
- 2:54Speaker 5: Christy Nomant Homeland Security, Tulsea Gabbard at DNI. Neither of
- 2:59Speaker 5: them have any experience that would recommend them to those jobs,
- 3:03Speaker 5: particularly management or subject expertise. But the common thread binding
- 3:07Speaker 5: all of these people's loyalty to Trump.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Now Congress of course is now Republican controlled, or will
- 3:13Speaker 1: be under President Trump. Does anybody there can they still
- 3:18Speaker 1: get through the process having Do they still face hurdles
- 3:22Speaker 1: in the process?
- 3:24Speaker 5: Yes, I think they do, and I think you know,
- 3:25Speaker 5: the interesting sort of barometer of that was the battle
- 3:29Speaker 5: to be Senate majority leader. There was a lot of
- 3:32Speaker 5: push from the Maga wing of the party to have
- 3:35Speaker 5: Rick Scott appointed his majority leader, and it ended up
- 3:38Speaker 5: being John Thune, Senator John Thune, and I think he
- 3:41Speaker 5: represents the wing of the Senate that prizes the institutional
- 3:47Speaker 5: independence of the Senate and the role it plays as
- 3:51Speaker 5: a as a check on presidential power. And there was
- 3:55Speaker 5: a big push from Tucker Carlson in that wing of
- 3:57Speaker 5: people you have to name Rick Scott the Senate, and
- 4:00Speaker 5: it asserted itself. John Thune is in there. And I
- 4:02Speaker 5: think some of the commentary you got from Republican members
- 4:05Speaker 5: of the Senate yesterday about Matt Gates's appointment, you know,
- 4:09Speaker 5: they all said he's still got to get through the
- 4:11Speaker 5: nomination process, and so I do think you're going to
- 4:13Speaker 5: see some of that.
- 4:14Speaker 3: Tracy Alloway from Bloomberg News just mentioned from some of
- 4:17Speaker 3: her sources that maybe one of the strategies of nominating
- 4:20Speaker 3: Matt Gates is it will allow President look Trump to
- 4:23Speaker 3: see who's with him and who's not with them in
- 4:26Speaker 3: the Senate by just looking at the votes.
- 4:27Speaker 4: It's gonna be pup public votes. That kind of makes
- 4:30Speaker 4: some sense to me.
- 4:31Speaker 5: It does, and he may get a lesson that even
- 4:33Speaker 5: though he got elected president by a healthy margin, not
- 4:37Speaker 5: everyone in his party is one hundred percent with him
- 4:39Speaker 5: on his agenda, even within his own party. The other
- 4:42Speaker 5: way to interpret what might be going on with Gates
- 4:44Speaker 5: is Gates is just sort of a sacrificial lamb, and
- 4:47Speaker 5: Trump will put him in there, it will soften the
- 4:50Speaker 5: Senate up, and then he'll come back with someone else
- 4:52Speaker 5: who maybe even more extreme or more capable, or whatever
- 4:56Speaker 5: you want to define it, which is a comment has
- 4:59Speaker 5: been a Supreme Court nominee strategy at different times in
- 5:02Speaker 5: the past.
- 5:02Speaker 1: There was a movie years ago, I don't know if
- 5:04Speaker 1: you remember, with Albert Brooks Broadcast News, and there was
- 5:08Speaker 1: a great scene in there where he's talking about his rival.
- 5:10Speaker 1: I think he's the devil, not really, but you know,
- 5:14Speaker 1: nobody's going to follow somebody with horns and goes. He says,
- 5:17Speaker 1: just little by little, that person is somebody who is
- 5:21Speaker 1: going to lower our standards. Where are our standards right
- 5:24Speaker 1: now with these nominees.
- 5:28Speaker 5: Well, they're Donald Trump's standards right now. And I think
- 5:31Speaker 5: I think the moment that we're in now is where
- 5:33Speaker 5: is that balance between the thing he wants as an
- 5:36Speaker 5: individual and what our institutions and our laws and our
- 5:39Speaker 5: democracy needs in a nonpartisan way to simply function in
- 5:43Speaker 5: a healthy and constructive way. And I think it's really
- 5:47Speaker 5: you know, the Republicans control Congress. Now, Trump has a
- 5:50Speaker 5: tri fact that he has an unusual amount of power.
- 5:53Speaker 6: And.
- 5:55Speaker 5: I think it's really going to be on the members
- 5:57Speaker 5: of his own party to check his behavior for the
- 5:59Speaker 5: time being. If it goes beyond that, it may go
- 6:01Speaker 5: to the courts. But right now it's really in Congress's hands,
- 6:05Speaker 5: and we'll have to see. I'm you know, I don't
- 6:08Speaker 5: have a crystal ball, so I'm not sure how that's
- 6:10Speaker 5: going to play out. I do think there's going to
- 6:11Speaker 5: be pushback against Gates, for example. I think there will
- 6:14Speaker 5: be pushed back against Christino. I think they will be
- 6:17Speaker 5: pushed back against Tulsey Gabbert, like she has no intelligence experience.
- 6:21Speaker 5: She was a member of the Waiian National Guard. And
- 6:25Speaker 5: you know, the thing to remember though, is Trump thinks
- 6:27Speaker 5: cinematically about himself and he likes surrounding himself with people
- 6:31Speaker 5: he as he's always said, look like they're out of
- 6:33Speaker 5: central casting and they look like they play the part.
- 6:36Speaker 5: Square chins, flowing locks. They look good on the poster.
- 6:39Speaker 5: That doesn't necessarily mean they're good at management. As we
- 6:42Speaker 5: all know from any organizations we've been in over the years,
- 6:45Speaker 5: good looking people often that doesn't equate with great management
- 6:48Speaker 5: or great expertise.
- 6:49Speaker 1: We were talking about Elon must before, and I think
- 6:51Speaker 1: you mentioned in your column is he getting too taking
- 6:55Speaker 1: too much attention away from Donald Trump? And how's that
- 6:57Speaker 1: going to play out?
- 6:58Speaker 5: Well, that's a really interesting observation because it's injuring to
- 7:04Speaker 5: watch jd Vance, I think, who has very much presented
- 7:07Speaker 5: himself as the number two following mister Trump's lead. He
- 7:11Speaker 5: phrases everything that way. Elon is a force of nature
- 7:14Speaker 5: and and loves the spotlight as much as Trump does.
- 7:17Speaker 5: And historically Trump doesn't share the spotlight very long with anyone.
- 7:21Speaker 5: You may remember the first term, I don't know how
- 7:23Speaker 5: many weeks, and I think it was weeks after Steve
- 7:26Speaker 5: Bannon appeared on the cover of Time magazine, as you know,
- 7:29Speaker 5: the sort of wise man puppeteer guiding Trump along, and boom,
- 7:33Speaker 5: in short order, he was gone. You know, Trump understands
- 7:37Speaker 5: the value of having Elon Musk the world's richest man
- 7:40Speaker 5: with him. You know, that was a big factor I
- 7:44Speaker 5: think in how his candidacy was perceived. You Knowltra ultra mail,
- 7:49Speaker 5: ultra successful, ultra capable, and Trump likes to live in
- 7:54Speaker 5: that glow. But the second people start saying that Elon
- 7:57Speaker 5: Musk is telling Donald Trump what to do, Alon is
- 8:00Speaker 5: probably have to pack up and go back to Austin.
- 8:03Speaker 4: Is president? Like Trump? Is he a lane duck president today?
- 8:07Speaker 5: Like that's like, why do you ask that? That's an
- 8:09Speaker 5: interesting question, Like what suggests that to you? I mean,
- 8:11Speaker 5: you know it's I would say no, but I don't.
- 8:14Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 8:14Speaker 4: I kind of feel like he can't run for another term.
- 8:16Speaker 3: So I kind of feel like, unless he repeals the
- 8:19Speaker 3: twenty second Amendment, well okay, and maybe you can factor
- 8:22Speaker 3: that in.
- 8:23Speaker 4: But if I'm a senator, I'm like, do I have
- 8:25Speaker 4: to really worry about this guy? I know it's four years,
- 8:28Speaker 4: but it's just four years.
- 8:29Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I do think there's a strong faction
- 8:31Speaker 5: in the Senate that's that are They are traditional conservative Republicans,
- 8:35Speaker 5: they're not maga, and they're worried about the own future
- 8:38Speaker 5: of the party. It's it's character, what it stands for,
- 8:41Speaker 5: what kind of a force it is in US politics?
- 8:43Speaker 5: And I think they see Trump as a useful blunt
- 8:46Speaker 5: force to win an election, to dismantle parts of the
- 8:50Speaker 5: administrative state, bring taxes down, uh, you know, revisit some
- 8:56Speaker 5: other Republican policies that are familiar from years and while
- 9:01Speaker 5: also dispensing with all of the cartoonish, buffoonish and dangerous things.
- 9:07Speaker 5: Trump also likes to stick his feet in more often than.
- 9:10Speaker 1: Not in the election, sort of the post mortem. One aspect,
- 9:16Speaker 1: I was thinking, did people go into the polls and say,
- 9:20Speaker 1: I can vote number one on the economy and number two,
- 9:25Speaker 1: there's a state ballot initiative on reproductive rights, and I
- 9:29Speaker 1: can vote on that. Separate, Keep those two things separate.
- 9:34Speaker 1: Is that kind of what happened in some cases?
- 9:36Speaker 5: Well, I certainly think that was truth. With white women. Yeah,
- 9:40Speaker 5: you know, the three cohorts that you see in exit polls,
- 9:42Speaker 5: and we got to wait for more data to come in.
- 9:44Speaker 5: These are not highly exact, but I think I think
- 9:48Speaker 5: I think he moved Trump moved up like four or
- 9:50Speaker 5: five percentage points with white women between twenty sixteen and
- 9:54Speaker 5: twenty twenty four. He moved up something like I think
- 9:58Speaker 5: eight points with black men, and with Latino men it
- 10:01Speaker 5: was more than twenty points, and with Latino women it
- 10:04Speaker 5: was substantial. I think Latino men there's a huge Catholic
- 10:10Speaker 5: cohort there. They are anti abortion. I think that informed
- 10:15Speaker 5: their vote. I think you know what you're asking, Michael
- 10:18Speaker 5: about the splitting the abortion ballot. I do think there
- 10:24Speaker 5: was a number of women who were turned up by
- 10:26Speaker 5: Trump's history as a sexual predator. He had been convicted
- 10:29Speaker 5: of sexual assault, were found liabel for sexual assault, and
- 10:32Speaker 5: it was anti abortion. But they felt they were traditional
- 10:36Speaker 5: Republicans and they wanted to stay in the party, and
- 10:38Speaker 5: ballot measures gave their ability to split their vote.
- 10:40Speaker 3: YEP, fascinating, fascinating days we live in here again to
- 10:44Speaker 3: President elect Trump nominating or putting up a lot of
- 10:47Speaker 3: folks for to fill out his cabinets. So we'll see
- 10:49Speaker 3: how that plays out over the next couple of days.
- 10:50Speaker 3: Tim O'Brien's senior executive editor for Bloomberg Opinion.
- 10:54Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
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- 11:08Speaker 2: Just say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.
- 11:12Speaker 3: All right, we got John Tucker here in for Alex
- 11:14Speaker 3: steel On. Paul Sweeney. You're live here in our Bloomberg
- 11:16Speaker 3: Interactive Brokers studio. We're streaming live on YouTube as well.
- 11:20Speaker 3: YouTube dot Com. Just search Bloomberg Podcast and that's where
- 11:23Speaker 3: you'll find us. That's where the advertisers going. Advertisers are
- 11:26Speaker 3: going to advertise. The digital media. Think Facebook, think, you know, Google,
- 11:32Speaker 3: think even YouTube is huge business in terms of advertising spend.
- 11:38Speaker 3: And we're there, which is good things.
- 11:39Speaker 1: So let's just daring to know. What counts as innovation
- 11:42Speaker 1: in the airs space these days is the short term
- 11:44Speaker 1: videos that the videos that I see.
- 11:47Speaker 3: I think that better targeting. That's kind of always the
- 11:50Speaker 3: holy grail. So you want to be you want somebody
- 11:53Speaker 3: advertising grills to a guy like you, right, you're the
- 11:56Speaker 3: grill guy.
- 11:56Speaker 1: And or videos where the most effect for me the
- 12:00Speaker 1: things that I'm interested like woodworking, where it's a show
- 12:04Speaker 1: and they're using a piece of equipment and giving it
- 12:07Speaker 1: the run through, and I'm like.
- 12:08Speaker 4: You know what, I gotta have that I gotta have that.
- 12:10Speaker 4: That's how it works.
- 12:11Speaker 3: Marked August, president and CEO of Mountain. He joins us
- 12:15Speaker 3: from Miami via zoom thing. Hey, Mark, we actually had
- 12:19Speaker 3: a really interesting data point on the global media, global
- 12:22Speaker 3: advertising space today last night with Disney. Their streaming business
- 12:28Speaker 3: is turning profitable and like really profitable. What do you
- 12:31Speaker 3: take away from the Disney numbers.
- 12:33Speaker 7: Well, I'm not surprised. I think what you're seeing happen
- 12:37Speaker 7: is the second half of twenty twenty four and now
- 12:40Speaker 7: going into twenty twenty five, essentially all of the streaming
- 12:44Speaker 7: networks have reached the largely reached the tipping point of
- 12:49Speaker 7: being like streaming first, Like that's where they're all a
- 12:53Speaker 7: sales effort is focused, they're focused and advertising as you
- 12:57Speaker 7: guys were mentioning the innovation and things like that, And
- 13:00Speaker 7: I think Disney is right there at the you know,
- 13:04Speaker 7: head of that pack, really focusing a business on streaming
- 13:08Speaker 7: and advertisers are responding and basically the growth and profitability
- 13:13Speaker 7: that's resulting from it is a direct result of that.
- 13:16Speaker 7: So they're at the head of the pack right now
- 13:18Speaker 7: in terms of that kind of growth.
- 13:20Speaker 1: Mark, are they hanging on to linear TV? To satisfy
- 13:23Speaker 1: old people like me.
- 13:25Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, obviously they still own the assets. But
- 13:28Speaker 7: I every conversation I have with every streaming network, they
- 13:32Speaker 7: just want to talk about streaming. I think they see
- 13:35Speaker 7: linear is obviously it's a revenue stream for it, but
- 13:38Speaker 7: it's not it's not the meetings they're having as to
- 13:42Speaker 7: how do they better monetize linear. It's all about, you know,
- 13:46Speaker 7: audience first, which you know, the what we're taking AI
- 13:50Speaker 7: to help identify the right consumers and making all of
- 13:54Speaker 7: that available to brands and doing it on the biggest screen,
- 13:56Speaker 7: on fifty five in screen, sixty five in screen as
- 14:00Speaker 7: opposed to a phone, which is like a five point
- 14:02Speaker 7: five industry.
- 14:03Speaker 4: You know, it's interesting.
- 14:04Speaker 3: I was reading some research on the Walt Disney Company
- 14:06Speaker 3: this morning from Lar Martinette Needham and Company. What she does,
- 14:10Speaker 3: and she says, investors just think this way. It's just
- 14:11Speaker 3: kind of mushed together the digital streaming UH business as
- 14:16Speaker 3: with their linear And what's going to happen over time
- 14:18Speaker 3: is the digital business is going become a bigger, bigger,
- 14:20Speaker 3: bigger percentage of that you know, streaming of that business
- 14:25Speaker 3: of the video business. And you can see the growth
- 14:27Speaker 3: rates just accelerate over time as linear gets smaller and smaller.
- 14:30Speaker 3: Who else out there, Mark, do you think is going
- 14:33Speaker 3: to be a really viable player out there? I'm not
- 14:35Speaker 3: sure everybody who's out there in the marketplace can survive here.
- 14:39Speaker 3: How do you think it's going to shake out in
- 14:40Speaker 3: the streaming wars?
- 14:41Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean we've talked about this before. I mean
- 14:44Speaker 7: it's really easy to figure out who's gonna survive and thrive,
- 14:49Speaker 7: which is you just play a game where you know,
- 14:51Speaker 7: one person names the network and another person tells you
- 14:54Speaker 7: why they would go there and watch. So I say
- 14:57Speaker 7: ESPN and you say sports. If I say Netflix, you
- 15:00Speaker 7: would say, you know, comedy documentaries, new shows every Tuesday.
- 15:05Speaker 7: If you know, if I say CBS, there's probably applause
- 15:08Speaker 7: in the conversation. Doesn't mean CBS is going to go away,
- 15:11Speaker 7: but it's certainly going to be more challenging for them
- 15:13Speaker 7: and their number of networks like that. And so I mean,
- 15:17Speaker 7: the people with a brand with a clear reason to
- 15:19Speaker 7: want to go and watch content there and be entertained
- 15:22Speaker 7: there are going to thrive, and the others are going
- 15:25Speaker 7: to be challenged and probably ultimately become part of some
- 15:29Speaker 7: of those other brands, and I think in terms of
- 15:32Speaker 7: the advertise and extend the question there. I think Netflix
- 15:36Speaker 7: is I don't think people fully realize how big a
- 15:39Speaker 7: backlog they're building right now. So half of all new
- 15:41Speaker 7: subs are for their cheapest package, which is ad supported,
- 15:46Speaker 7: but in they're not really serving that many ads relative
- 15:50Speaker 7: to the number of subscribers. So they're building a huge
- 15:53Speaker 7: revenue backlog that's going to get unlocked as they get
- 15:56Speaker 7: as good as everyone else and monetizing, and I think
- 15:59Speaker 7: that's going to you know, like like I'm super long
- 16:03Speaker 7: on Netflix right now, meaning like if there was any
- 16:06Speaker 7: stock I would want to invest in, it would be Netflix.
- 16:08Speaker 7: And I'm not that far behind on Disney, although you know,
- 16:12Speaker 7: Disney has parks and other things that make it a
- 16:14Speaker 7: bit harder to you know, bet on the future.
- 16:16Speaker 1: Can you close out real quick? What is the state
- 16:19Speaker 1: of the digital ad business right now for your perspective.
- 16:22Speaker 7: Yeah, it's very healthy. I think overall the best part
- 16:26Speaker 7: of digital advertising is the long tail, mid size and
- 16:29Speaker 7: small companies that you know my own company, that's what
- 16:32Speaker 7: we focus on is bringing long those small, mid sized
- 16:36Speaker 7: advertisers into the streaming television world. Advertising for the first time,
- 16:40Speaker 7: I think all these streaming networks have really woken up
- 16:43Speaker 7: to how that's an opportunity. I always like to say,
- 16:45Speaker 7: it's really easy. The two ways to grow a business.
- 16:47Speaker 7: You can grow the number of customers or the revenue
- 16:50Speaker 7: per customer, and the TV industry for a lot of
- 16:52Speaker 7: years in neither of those things. And so now I
- 16:54Speaker 7: think they're waking up. They've woken up to we need
- 16:57Speaker 7: to grow the number of customers, and in streaming there
- 17:01Speaker 7: actually are some ways to grow the revenue for customers.
- 17:03Speaker 7: So that's why I think it's media world is actually
- 17:06Speaker 7: getting reinvigorated with growth right now.
- 17:09Speaker 3: Mark, thanks so much for joining us. Always appreciate getting
- 17:11Speaker 3: a few minutes of your time. Mark Douglas, President and
- 17:13Speaker 3: CEO of Mountain. He's based in California, but he's done
- 17:16Speaker 3: in Miami. How come all the smart young folks are
- 17:18Speaker 3: down in Miami, John and they're not in Sheboygan.
- 17:21Speaker 4: They're in Miami. Either in LA and He'll.
- 17:23Speaker 1: Be are stuck in a hermetically sealed both with each other.
- 17:26Speaker 4: Exactly right.
- 17:27Speaker 3: That's what the smart people do, Mike mclowan. They're all done.
- 17:30Speaker 3: And I guess Florida that's where the smart kids are. John,
- 17:32Speaker 3: thank you so much for sitting yesterday.
- 17:36Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 17:40Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple car Playing and
- 17:43Speaker 2: Broun Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand
- 17:46Speaker 2: wherever you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 17:51Speaker 3: John Tucker sitting in for Alex Steel on Paul Sweeney
- 17:53Speaker 3: We live here on our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio, or
- 17:55Speaker 3: streaming live on YouTube as well. John Lisa was just
- 17:59Speaker 3: talking about, you know, some technicals on yes ANDP five hundred,
- 18:02Speaker 3: So I type in S and P five hundred, you know,
- 18:04Speaker 3: SPX index, and then it hit our SI for relative
- 18:07Speaker 3: Strength index, and it kind of says, you know, it
- 18:09Speaker 3: got a nice little chart there, and it shows you,
- 18:11Speaker 3: you know, when you're at an indext level of seventy,
- 18:13Speaker 3: maybe it's a little overbought, and if it's down at thirty,
- 18:16Speaker 3: maybe a little bit over sold. We're sitting here at
- 18:18Speaker 3: sixty four point five and we bounced or it came
- 18:21Speaker 3: off of that seventy level just a few days ago.
- 18:23Speaker 3: So from a technical perspective, maybe a little bit in
- 18:26Speaker 3: the short term, a little bit expensive.
- 18:27Speaker 1: But also twenty three times projected earnings at this point.
- 18:31Speaker 3: Maybe that's the photography sold out that Magne it was
- 18:34Speaker 3: in seven it's only you know, eighteen times.
- 18:36Speaker 4: So let's see what the professionals are doing there.
- 18:38Speaker 3: Margie Pttel joins that she's the senior portfolio manager at
- 18:41Speaker 3: All Spring Global Investments. She's up there in Boston. Margie,
- 18:45Speaker 3: you woke up a week ago today a Republican in
- 18:50Speaker 3: the White House, Republican in the Senate, and now we
- 18:52Speaker 3: learned today Republican control of the house. Here, your folks
- 18:57Speaker 3: at All Springs, you change your outlook at all for
- 19:00Speaker 3: think about allocating capital?
- 19:03Speaker 8: No, I think we're still looking for continued economic growth,
- 19:07Speaker 8: maybe more modest, say one and a half to two
- 19:09Speaker 8: and a half percent in real growth. And we'll have
- 19:12Speaker 8: to see if any of these plans Republicans have announced,
- 19:16Speaker 8: how soon they will actually be enacted, how much of
- 19:19Speaker 8: a positive they'll go to the real economy. The market's
- 19:22Speaker 8: like it so far, but we'll have to see. So
- 19:23Speaker 8: we're leaking more towards modest growth, same themes as we've
- 19:28Speaker 8: had all year.
- 19:29Speaker 1: Well, stocks don't operate in a bubble. How closely should
- 19:33Speaker 1: we follow what's happening in the bond market as we
- 19:35Speaker 1: look at equities.
- 19:37Speaker 8: Well, I think it's interesting because you've actually had the
- 19:42Speaker 8: bond market, looking at treasuries actually move up. You know,
- 19:45Speaker 8: the FED made a cut of fifty basis points in
- 19:47Speaker 8: the funds er eate and instead of bringing yields down,
- 19:50Speaker 8: we had the ten year treasury actually go up by
- 19:52Speaker 8: six to five basis points. Today is even higher, say
- 19:55Speaker 8: around four point four percent. But I think with inflation,
- 19:59Speaker 8: say two and a half three percent, I don't think
- 20:01Speaker 8: a four and a half is percent yield on treasuries
- 20:04Speaker 8: is really enough to be a negative or slow down
- 20:07Speaker 8: economic growth. I think it's really a neutral factor. And
- 20:10Speaker 8: maybe it says more we have a huge supply of treasuries,
- 20:13Speaker 8: and so that is really dragging down the relative relationships
- 20:17Speaker 8: between say treasuries and stocks or high yield bonds or
- 20:20Speaker 8: corporate bonds, making traderes look relatively cheap just because there's
- 20:25Speaker 8: too much supply.
- 20:27Speaker 3: Argue on in the equity side of the business here,
- 20:30Speaker 3: if you believe the Republicans they are going to be
- 20:31Speaker 3: pro growth, pro economy, do I does that suggest I
- 20:36Speaker 3: can invest along those lines? Maybe think about more economically
- 20:39Speaker 3: sensitive stock speed industrials or maybe even energy yea.
- 20:44Speaker 8: And actually industrials have been leading the market all year,
- 20:47Speaker 8: which to me has been telegraphing that the market is
- 20:50Speaker 8: not worried about economic growth or even the scene. A
- 20:52Speaker 8: sector like industrials besides tech, be so strong. And we've
- 20:56Speaker 8: actually seen an energy look like it says it's filing
- 20:58Speaker 8: on a little bit of life here. Whether that's in
- 21:00Speaker 8: reaction to growth or prospective new rules relating to US
- 21:05Speaker 8: exploration and development left to see, but I think those
- 21:08Speaker 8: are continuations. Industrials are one of the best sectors year
- 21:10Speaker 8: to date. They look like that's going to continue next year.
- 21:14Speaker 1: Is any of this priced in right now, like a
- 21:16Speaker 1: proposed fifteen percent corporate tax rate.
- 21:20Speaker 6: No.
- 21:21Speaker 8: I just think that if you look at how much
- 21:22Speaker 8: the market has moved since the election, maybe we really
- 21:26Speaker 8: need a breather. Plus, we pretty much finished with third
- 21:28Speaker 8: quarter earnings, which once again we're pretty good say earnings
- 21:32Speaker 8: or up say average average about nine percent, So that
- 21:35Speaker 8: certainly supports higher stock levels through the fourth quarter. And
- 21:39Speaker 8: really December is always a good month for stock so
- 21:42Speaker 8: it looks like we may have some short term modeling
- 21:44Speaker 8: here and then have a strong finish to the year.
- 21:47Speaker 3: Fixing comes actually back in the green here, just broadly
- 21:50Speaker 3: defined MARGIE and best performing sector and fixed that come
- 21:54Speaker 3: has been US corporate high yield like really outperforming. Where
- 21:58Speaker 3: do you see opportunities in the credit markets.
- 22:01Speaker 8: Well, you know that's been the trend. High yield was
- 22:03Speaker 8: the best performer in twenty two when the had began
- 22:06Speaker 8: grates twenty three and so far year to date, and
- 22:10Speaker 8: in fact, the yield spreads have actually narrowed as treasures
- 22:13Speaker 8: have backed up, so highield bond prices have held firm,
- 22:17Speaker 8: yields have held firm while treasuries went up. So that's
- 22:20Speaker 8: for example, double bs now yield less than two percentage
- 22:23Speaker 8: points over the same maturity treasury. So that says to
- 22:26Speaker 8: me the market is not worried about defaults. In fact,
- 22:29Speaker 8: corporate defaults in high yield next year twenty five should
- 22:33Speaker 8: probably be under two percent. So basically you actually could
- 22:36Speaker 8: see yield spreads narrow even from these historic narrow levels.
- 22:41Speaker 1: And what's the panther head for the FED twenty five
- 22:43Speaker 1: at the December meeting and maybe appalls in January.
- 22:48Speaker 8: Well that's what's priced in, but you know you can
- 22:50Speaker 8: see it really the Fed's actions at the margin, haven't
- 22:53Speaker 8: had a lot of influence on the equity markets or
- 22:55Speaker 8: frankly on the economy as a whole. The economy is
- 22:58Speaker 8: chugged along, and so I don't think the market will
- 23:01Speaker 8: react to another twenty five basis point. It's pretty much
- 23:04Speaker 8: a big deal, I think for the outlook. And then
- 23:06Speaker 8: and then said, taking a.
- 23:07Speaker 3: Pause, MARKI thank you so much for joining us. Really
- 23:10Speaker 3: appreciate it, always getting a chance to chat with you.
- 23:12Speaker 3: Margy Pateel, She's a senior portfolio managered all Spring Global
- 23:15Speaker 3: Investments up there in Boston.
- 23:19Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 23:23Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android
- 23:26Speaker 2: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen
- 23:29Speaker 2: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station
- 23:33Speaker 2: Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.
- 23:37Speaker 3: Our good friends Meta find seven hundred and ninety eight
- 23:41Speaker 3: million euros eight hundred and forty million US dollars by
- 23:45Speaker 3: the European Union over classified ads dominance.
- 23:48Speaker 4: I look at the stock unched on the day, no
- 23:51Speaker 4: real change.
- 23:52Speaker 3: It's up sixty percent year to date, so I'm kind
- 23:54Speaker 3: of thinking it's not that big a deal. But let's
- 23:56Speaker 3: go to an expert on that, Man Deep saying, senior
- 23:58Speaker 3: tech analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence Joints is here in our
- 24:00Speaker 3: Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio because he remembers the way to
- 24:03Speaker 3: New York City, unlike his managers. Man Deep, thank you
- 24:06Speaker 3: so much for joining us here. What does it mean
- 24:09Speaker 3: for Meta here?
- 24:11Speaker 6: I mean this could be a harbinger of more fines
- 24:15Speaker 6: simply because even though this particular fine is like a
- 24:19Speaker 6: zero point five percent of their total revenue, so really
- 24:22Speaker 6: not a big deal. But in the grand scheme of things,
- 24:25Speaker 6: what the EU is doing is saying their Digital Markets Act,
- 24:29Speaker 6: which really prevents the gatekeeper companies, and Meta is deemed
- 24:33Speaker 6: as a gatekeeper along with Alphabet and Microsoft and Amazon
- 24:37Speaker 6: and Apple. These companies can give preferential treatment to their services.
- 24:43Speaker 6: So in this case, Meta was fine because they show
- 24:46Speaker 6: you ads on Facebook marketplace when people are browsing their
- 24:50Speaker 6: social media platform. And one could argue, you know, I mean,
- 24:55Speaker 6: they do it because they have this marketplace. It fits well,
- 24:58Speaker 6: it improves the user experience. But clearly EU doesn't want
- 25:04Speaker 6: that to happen, especially with these gatekeeper platforms and the
- 25:07Speaker 6: same logic applies, you know, with Apple giving preference to
- 25:11Speaker 6: their Safari browser or their maps, or Alphabet giving preference
- 25:16Speaker 6: to their maps or flights product. So that's the kind
- 25:19Speaker 6: of the really the focus that EU regulations have when
- 25:24Speaker 6: it comes to these gatekeeper companies. And we'll probably see
- 25:27Speaker 6: more finds in our view.
- 25:28Speaker 1: How many regulatory speed bumps are there out there for
- 25:32Speaker 1: this the digital ad business. It just seems to generate
- 25:36Speaker 1: all this work for regulators.
- 25:39Speaker 6: I mean, there are two ways to look at it.
- 25:40Speaker 6: One is clearly there are you know, so many kind
- 25:45Speaker 6: of regulations that are focused on these companies the ad
- 25:49Speaker 6: businesses that generates you know, one hundred and fifty billion
- 25:52Speaker 6: dollars plus in the case of Meta, in the case
- 25:55Speaker 6: of Alphabet over two hundred billion dollars. So clearly the
- 25:58Speaker 6: focus is on the scale here. But the other side
- 26:02Speaker 6: of it is it actually prevents more competition because why
- 26:06Speaker 6: would an Oracle or some other tech company get into
- 26:10Speaker 6: an ads business where you are at the risk of
- 26:13Speaker 6: paying over a billion dollar fines, Like, it's just not
- 26:15Speaker 6: worth it anymore, you know, because of the scale of fines,
- 26:18Speaker 6: I mean eight hundred and forty million dollars. It's it's
- 26:22Speaker 6: a lot of money, but it's an It's not a
- 26:24Speaker 6: lot for a company that's generating over one hundred and
- 26:27Speaker 6: fifty billion dollars in revenue. So that's where I do
- 26:30Speaker 6: think it has an unintended consequence in terms of limiting competition.
- 26:35Speaker 6: But at the same time, I mean, it's very clear
- 26:37Speaker 6: what the EU wants to do is they want more
- 26:40Speaker 6: third party products. Apple can't just say you have to
- 26:43Speaker 6: use Safari browser. They want more choice screens. So that's
- 26:47Speaker 6: the same concept that's applicable to all these gatekeeper companies.
- 26:52Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 26:52Speaker 3: I was back in the day when Microsoft is getting
- 26:55Speaker 3: fined by the opinion twenty five years ago.
- 26:58Speaker 4: How did that work out?
- 26:59Speaker 6: I mean beast Yeah, Well, all these companies have to
- 27:04Speaker 6: make some remedies. That's what Microsoft did. Is you can't
- 27:07Speaker 6: just bundle, you know, Internet Explorer with everything and be
- 27:10Speaker 6: able to get away with it. So I think there
- 27:14Speaker 6: are some things that they can do on their own,
- 27:17Speaker 6: but clearly when it comes to paying these fines, and
- 27:20Speaker 6: the finds could range anywhere from you know, low single
- 27:24Speaker 6: digit to high single digit off their global revenue. So
- 27:27Speaker 6: in the case of Meta, the finds could be as
- 27:30Speaker 6: big as you know, ten billion dollars. I wouldn't be
- 27:33Speaker 6: surprised if if it keeps happening and EU thinks they're
- 27:37Speaker 6: not in compliance, we're talking about potentially a ten billion
- 27:41Speaker 6: dollar fine here.
- 27:41Speaker 1: The regulatory lineup is changing in your rank the faces
- 27:46Speaker 1: and in the United States, does it matter that we're
- 27:49Speaker 1: going might be going toward regulatory light.
- 27:53Speaker 6: I don't know for Meta and Alphabet it will be
- 27:55Speaker 6: regulatory light given a lot of these anti trust cases
- 28:00Speaker 6: were started in Trump's first term, so and there is
- 28:04Speaker 6: no indication whatsoever that says you know, these companies are
- 28:09Speaker 6: likely to get away with it. I mean, we know
- 28:11Speaker 6: the stance of Vice President Electate events in terms of
- 28:15Speaker 6: what he thinks about the big tech companies. So I
- 28:18Speaker 6: don't think the regulatory scrutiny is going away anytime.
- 28:21Speaker 3: But here's the big wildcard I think, which is Elon Musk.
- 28:24Speaker 3: We had Dan I haves on from what bust security
- 28:26Speaker 3: is on and he says as rites to electric vehicles,
- 28:31Speaker 3: he thinks this could really accelerate electric vehicles adoption.
- 28:37Speaker 4: But it's you know, the conflict of interests. Who knows
- 28:39Speaker 4: they'll figure it out a guess, but he could be
- 28:43Speaker 4: positive for big tech.
- 28:44Speaker 6: It could be I think on the electric vehicle side
- 28:48Speaker 6: or robotaxis, probably lesser regulation. But when it comes to
- 28:51Speaker 6: these giant AD businesses, I think that's where every regulator
- 28:57Speaker 6: kind of agrees upon the fact that these companies have
- 29:00Speaker 6: too much power when it comes to the AD revenue
- 29:02Speaker 6: and the dollars they generate.
- 29:04Speaker 1: I know this is just tangential, but Tim O'Brien's coming up,
- 29:06Speaker 1: and I want to ask him that question about Elon Musk.
- 29:09Speaker 1: Elon generates right now a little more attention than is good,
- 29:14Speaker 1: buddy the president of the elect and you've got to
- 29:16Speaker 1: wonder how that's going to play into the dynamics go.
- 29:19Speaker 4: That it's going to be amazing.
- 29:20Speaker 3: What are the tech Have the tech companies said anything
- 29:23Speaker 3: about this election? Here? Have you heard anything from the
- 29:25Speaker 3: tim Cooks of the world or anybody else there about
- 29:28Speaker 3: this election?
- 29:29Speaker 6: I think again our view is out of the mag seven.
- 29:33Speaker 6: Probably Alphabet and Meta will have to contend with more
- 29:38Speaker 6: scrutiny than the rest of the mag seven, simply because
- 29:41Speaker 6: I think Apple has done a good job and it
- 29:44Speaker 6: comes to building the relationship with Trump and Amazon as well.
- 29:48Speaker 6: So in this case, clearly you're going to see more
- 29:53Speaker 6: pressure on alphabet and Meta.
- 29:55Speaker 1: What's the big story that you're following right now? What
- 29:58Speaker 1: really captures your attention?
- 30:00Speaker 6: I've spoke you know when it comes to the Trump administration.
- 30:04Speaker 4: Tariffs is a big deal.
- 30:06Speaker 6: You know of what sort of export restrictions will come
- 30:10Speaker 6: into play given everyone is so focused on AI and
- 30:13Speaker 6: what impact does that have on the development and the
- 30:18Speaker 6: pace of AI. That to me is the biggest thing
- 30:20Speaker 6: out there.
- 30:21Speaker 4: Man Deep sing one of the best. We appreciated man
- 30:23Speaker 4: Deep Singh. He's a senior technology analyst.
- 30:25Speaker 3: He kind of runs all of our technology research on
- 30:27Speaker 3: a global scale because technology is a global business. Obviously,
- 30:30Speaker 3: Asia is a huge part of that, and we have
- 30:32Speaker 3: a big team in Asia covering the companies there. We've
- 30:36Speaker 3: got folks in Europe as well, but it's kind of
- 30:39Speaker 3: run right out of here from New York with Mandeep
- 30:42Speaker 3: Singh anarag Rana doing it all. And so technology big
- 30:46Speaker 3: big issue here again. Meta fined by the European Union
- 30:49Speaker 3: seven hundred ninety eight million euros about eight hundred and
- 30:52Speaker 3: forty million US dollars over the classified ADS dominance that
- 30:57Speaker 3: it has. So I have to see how these companies navigated.
- 31:02Speaker 2: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live
- 31:06Speaker 2: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android
- 31:09Speaker 2: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen
- 31:12Speaker 2: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station
- 31:16Speaker 2: Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.
- 31:20Speaker 3: All right, we got John Tucker sitting at Fralex Steel
- 31:22Speaker 3: on Paul Swhen. You're live here in our Bloomberg Interactive
- 31:24Speaker 3: Broker studio or streaming live on YouTube as well ashead
- 31:26Speaker 3: over YouTube dot com search Bloomberg Podcast and that's where
- 31:29Speaker 3: you find us Joe Wisenthal, Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots podcast
- 31:32Speaker 3: host there in our studio. John, you should talk with
- 31:35Speaker 3: Joe and Tracy. Big, big weighty issues today. This is
- 31:42Speaker 3: this could be big waity chickens the chicken industry. Do
- 31:46Speaker 3: you think of the chicken industry often?
- 31:47Speaker 2: John?
- 31:48Speaker 1: I love chicken.
- 31:49Speaker 4: I love chicken.
- 31:50Speaker 9: Everyone loves chicken. It's so good.
- 31:52Speaker 1: But I give the chicken roasters at the food town.
- 31:54Speaker 5: Do you there?
- 31:56Speaker 8: You go?
- 31:56Speaker 1: You know what? It ain't cheap.
- 31:58Speaker 4: It ain't cheap.
- 31:59Speaker 3: Didn't you know it's a big business behind here, Tracy Jia,
- 32:01Speaker 3: thanks so much for joining us here in our studio,
- 32:03Speaker 3: Tracy talk to us about how you guys look at
- 32:06Speaker 3: the US economy through the medium of chicken.
- 32:09Speaker 10: Yeah, that's right. So we're releasing a three part series
- 32:12Speaker 10: called Beat Capitalism, and it's all about chicken and what
- 32:15Speaker 10: it says about the structure and nature of the US
- 32:18Speaker 10: economy and things like consumer demand and inflation, also the
- 32:22Speaker 10: labor market and how we structure that, and then finally
- 32:26Speaker 10: how we think about the power of companies more broadly.
- 32:29Speaker 10: And the weird thing about this series is, I guess
- 32:32Speaker 10: it sounds a little bit random for us to be
- 32:34Speaker 10: doing a whole thing on chicken, but like eighty percent
- 32:38Speaker 10: of the guests that we have on in this series
- 32:40Speaker 10: have already been on all blots before talking, so it
- 32:43Speaker 10: seemed like a natural fit for us to do.
- 32:45Speaker 9: There's so much there in terms of looking at one
- 32:48Speaker 9: thing that people consume in myriad ways, chicken, and then
- 32:52Speaker 9: going back and figuring out how many interesting I guess
- 32:55Speaker 9: I would say macro questions that you can start to
- 32:59Speaker 9: pick at from looking at how you get from an
- 33:01Speaker 9: egg to a bird. So you know, there's the question
- 33:03Speaker 9: of just how pricing power works at the retail level.
- 33:07Speaker 9: There's obviously, as tracers talk about market competition and the
- 33:12Speaker 9: degree to which a handful of large, massive poultry companies
- 33:17Speaker 9: are this huge, you know, dominant player in the supply chain.
- 33:20Speaker 9: There's labor issues, which is, you know, we think of
- 33:24Speaker 9: like uber and we think about gig workers. A lot
- 33:27Speaker 9: of chicken is essentially grown the same way technically independent
- 33:29Speaker 9: contractors growing birds in their own farms, et cetera. There's
- 33:33Speaker 9: the pandemic and the health related issues when thinking about
- 33:36Speaker 9: bird flu and the effect that that had on egg
- 33:38Speaker 9: prices which were so salient, and then egg prices had
- 33:41Speaker 9: a effect on how people perceived inflation. So there's almost
- 33:44Speaker 9: no topic in the US economy over the last several
- 33:47Speaker 9: years that on some level can't be understood by this
- 33:51Speaker 9: one specific supply chain.
- 33:53Speaker 1: And it's not that the small producers were taken over
- 33:55Speaker 1: by the big guys. They just couldn't afford to compete
- 33:59Speaker 1: all anymore.
- 34:01Speaker 10: Yeah, what it is, it's actually really interesting the chicken
- 34:04Speaker 10: labor market. So you have these sort of small scale
- 34:07Speaker 10: chicken producers, but they're all contracted out to big they
- 34:11Speaker 10: call them integrators. So think about companies like Tyson or Purdue,
- 34:15Speaker 10: and Tyson will give you the baby chicks, then you
- 34:18Speaker 10: are responsible for raising them. But Tyson also gives you
- 34:21Speaker 10: the food, they give you the medicines, They tell you
- 34:24Speaker 10: exactly how you have to raise your chickens, but you,
- 34:28Speaker 10: as the farmer, are taking on basically all the risk
- 34:30Speaker 10: of actually doing that. So if Tyson says we want
- 34:33Speaker 10: a better barn for those chickens, you have to build it,
- 34:37Speaker 10: and that's pretty costly. And it kind of fits into
- 34:39Speaker 10: a broader criticism of the economy right now, which is
- 34:43Speaker 10: we have these really large, powerful companies that are dictating
- 34:46Speaker 10: terms not just on the pricing side, but potentially on
- 34:49Speaker 10: the labor side as well. And we also have more
- 34:53Speaker 10: and more money being made by intermediaries. And we spoke
- 34:57Speaker 10: to one person from the DOJ. She calls it the
- 34:59Speaker 10: tear any of the intermediary in this economy.
- 35:03Speaker 3: I'm going at Tyson's the stock. This is a big company.
- 35:06Speaker 3: It's twenty three billion dollars a market cap, nearly stocks
- 35:08Speaker 3: up eighteen percent a year to date. Joe, is the
- 35:13Speaker 3: chicken business a good business?
- 35:15Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 35:16Speaker 9: I mean, so you look at Tyson, but you know,
- 35:18Speaker 9: look at a stock like Wingstop, Okay, and that's I
- 35:21Speaker 9: don't know, what it's done over the last few months.
- 35:23Speaker 9: I haven't pulled it up in a while, but I mean,
- 35:25Speaker 9: that's one of the most extraordinary long term stocks you'll
- 35:29Speaker 9: see on the market. It's a it's a fantastic business.
- 35:33Speaker 6: You know.
- 35:33Speaker 9: One of the things that we get into as well
- 35:35Speaker 9: on this episode is you know the McNugget, Right, it's
- 35:38Speaker 9: just this like chunk. They're delicious. They are various versions
- 35:42Speaker 9: of some sort of part of the chicken meat than
- 35:45Speaker 9: deep fried everybody loves it and sandwiches, but like, this
- 35:48Speaker 9: is the emergence of an industrial process that emerged over time,
- 35:52Speaker 9: right because at some point, as you know, chickens were
- 35:55Speaker 9: grown in the backyard and the meat wasn't really that good,
- 35:58Speaker 9: et cetera. And then signs came to the rescue, made
- 36:01Speaker 9: the big birds bigger, made them fatter, made them juicier,
- 36:05Speaker 9: made them tastier. It found ways to process that meat
- 36:09Speaker 9: such that we can get a chicken tender or a
- 36:11Speaker 9: chicken finger or a McNugget, et cetera. So there's also
- 36:14Speaker 9: this sort of long term march of science story as
- 36:18Speaker 9: the chicken has become a more wonderful food to eat
- 36:21Speaker 9: in various forms and flavors a real quick trace.
- 36:23Speaker 1: I thought we had regulators who watched over this thing
- 36:26Speaker 1: and made sure there's competition. Especially, but the small business
- 36:29Speaker 1: owner guy raised with chickens wasn't going to get crushed.
- 36:32Speaker 10: That's an excellent point. They've done some stuff. So they
- 36:35Speaker 10: have done some things to sort of crack down on
- 36:37Speaker 10: the integrators and the terms that they can dictate to
- 36:41Speaker 10: small scale farmers. So, for instance, if you are a
- 36:44Speaker 10: small scale farmer and you want to switch your integrator,
- 36:47Speaker 10: you want to work with another big company, they used
- 36:49Speaker 10: to punish you. They could penalize you for doing that,
- 36:51Speaker 10: you know, charge you money. The DJ has cracked down
- 36:54Speaker 10: on that. But you know, there's clearly a lot more
- 36:57Speaker 10: to do here, and it's interesting one of the approaches
- 37:00Speaker 10: the DOJ is taking now again going back to that
- 37:03Speaker 10: intermediary point, they're not necessarily looking at Tyson and Purdue,
- 37:07Speaker 10: although they tried previously, but they're looking at a company
- 37:10Speaker 10: like Agrostats. Have you ever heard of that one?
- 37:13Speaker 2: Never?
- 37:13Speaker 1: But I'm sure it controls my life and.
- 37:15Speaker 6: Some Yeah, yeah, yes.
- 37:16Speaker 10: It's a pricing database for groceries basically, so if you
- 37:20Speaker 10: are selling a grocery product, this company will tell you
- 37:23Speaker 10: what it thinks you can sell that for and you
- 37:27Speaker 10: can guess what effect that has on the market. So
- 37:29Speaker 10: there's currently a suit going through on agrostats.
- 37:32Speaker 3: Hi Tracy Great Stuff, Great Story, Tracy Alloy, Joe Wisenthal,
- 37:36Speaker 3: Odd Lots podcast host.
- 37:38Speaker 4: Joining us here in our Bloomberg and Active Broker.
- 37:41Speaker 3: They've got a three part podcast coming out, Beak b
- 37:44Speaker 3: Eak Beak Capitalism, talking about the looking at some of
- 37:48Speaker 3: the issues in the US economy through the medium of
- 37:52Speaker 3: chicken and who doesn't like a good chicken sandwich.
- 37:55Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on apples, Spotify,
- 38:00Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each
- 38:03Speaker 2: weekday ten am to nooon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,
- 38:06Speaker 2: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app.
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