Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 201 - 1/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 201 - 1/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Hello, and welcome to episode 201 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Monday, a new week begins. We got a lot to catch up on to
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talk about the weekend and of course turn the page for a great
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sports betting night here for tonight with a lot of big games
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on tap, including the biggest of them all Ohio State Notre Dame
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national championship game. I got a play for you.
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I got a side. So I'll give you my my breakdown
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here and what I will be sweating in the championship game as well
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as a lean when it comes to the total.
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But then also I'm going to have a play for you in college hoops.
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We have a buy low over opportunity.
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A total fell quite a bit and we got a good rhythm and Ken palm
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edge to play the over and then also a play in the NHL with a
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ton of system matches here in their favor.
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So a three pack overall. Let's see if we can find our way
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to scratch and call and get at least two out of three and eek
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out a winning night now looking back toward the weekend guys
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hope everyone had a great weekend.
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Want to thank everyone for tuning into the special Saturday
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sweats. Normally it was Sunday sweats
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all season long, but we had Saturday sweats, which was a lot
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of fun on Saturday. Myself and James Santor breaking
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down games, talking about all the all the big playoff games
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over the weekend. But what I liked is that there
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were some dogs barking over the weekend.
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Guys ended up playing the Commanders plus 9 1/2 that
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closed 8 1/2. So some good closing line value.
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And wouldn't you know it, not only do the Commanders cover the
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number, but they win the game. So I was pretty fantastic to see
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covering that with Jay and Daniels, the Rams plus 6 1/2 + 7
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backdoor cover. That was a beautiful one to see.
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There was a miss kick at one point, Saquan RIP ones, rips one
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off, but luckily they were able to score late and cash that
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ticket. And then also the Texans, Thank
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you to the Lord. There was a late safety that
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saved us There I was. I was going to cry into my into
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my drink because Kyuri Fairbain, the the kicker, who was by the
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way from I believe it's from Hawaii, so probably didn't like
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the the snow in the cold weather in that game.
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But Texans, they're down 11, got the 9 1/2, saw that thing go
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from an 11 point win to a nine point win.
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And then you go to Twitter and everyone says, oh, the NFL is
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rigged. But I would just say in terms of
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that Texans play favorites early, dogs late, getting the
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getting the best of the number, it is so critical, so important
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because if you remember, you have the Kansas City Chiefs open
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that game -8 1/2. They closed -9 1/2.
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So again, if you had bet the favorite early with KC, you
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cover, you know that that last, that last second safety didn't
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hurt you. But if you were again, savvy and
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waited it out and I think that's so important in sports betting.
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We all want to put in our bets and get ready and sweat them.
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But you got to be patient. You got to look out for the best
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price. And I'm glad that when I put it
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in the app and I want to thank everyone for following all the
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plays in the Juice Reel app for all systems.
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Gopod, you can always see the best bets there.
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But we're able to cash with Texans plus 9 1/2.
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The disappointing ones were the Ravens.
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I took the Ravens on the money line.
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I like that dog to fave line move.
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I like the fact that they end up closing pretty much 1 1/2.
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Good bet splits line move. Rhythm told me it was a 2 point
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edge there for Baltimore. Unfortunately, Mr. Andrews
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there, Mr. Butterfingers fumble the ball, drop the two point
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conversion. You know, let's let's give a
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golf clap to the bills fans. They deserve that win.
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But I was rooting for Baltimore there and then John Mahal Hill
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in the UFCI did not open up the wall and pay for the
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pay-per-view. But I did see that unfortunately
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our play in the UFC ended up losing with that sharp line
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move. But either way, guys,
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commanders, Rams, Texans, not a bad weekend for dogs in the
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postseason. So turning the page for today,
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guys, let's get after it. I want to start off with
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obviously the big one here, we got the national championship
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game. And by the way, once you do our
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three breakdowns for today, I do want to talk a little bit about
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early thoughts on the AFC and NFC championship games because
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lines are out, lines are moving. We got system matches, we got
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interesting bet splits. So stay tuned for some early
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thoughts for Eagles and Commanders as well as Buffalo
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and Kansas City. Now the national championship
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game tonight, the natty, the big one.
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Let's set the stage. Let's talk about how this line
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has evolved. Let's try to try to locate where
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the smart money's AT. And I'm going to give you my
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play for the game. So national championship game,
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last college football game of the year until we have the long
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wait until college football returns next summer, late
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summer, early, early fall. But anyway, this game will be
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played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, home of
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the Falcons. Now Ohio State comes in 13 and
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two. Remember, they're the eighth
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seed. Just took down Texas 28 to 14
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and the semis. They cover it as a six and half
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point neutral site favorite. I got still a PTSD from Mr. Mr.
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Brilliant Sarkeesian pitching the ball backwards instead of
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running it up the middle and scoring with Arch Manning.
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You can tell I did. I never forget about my losses.
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You forget about your wins unless they're huge wins.
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You never forget about your losses.
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But anyway, Notre Dame 14 and one seven seed just edge Penn
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State. Luckily they did cover for me in
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that 1/27/24 in the semis. They won out right as a 1 1/2
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point neutral site dog. So what do we see across the
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market here? Well, this game opened Ohio
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State listed as a nine and a half point neutral site
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favorite. Now the first thing I was about
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this game, which kind of got me a little disappointed is that
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the public split down the middle.
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So as a contrarian better, you know, I would love to see one
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team getting 80%, the other team getting 20%.
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That would automatically, you know, get my juices flowing as
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they bet against the public. data-driven better because I
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want to bet against the drunk guys at the bar.
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Now you pull the drunk guys at the bar, they don't know where
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to go. Here.
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It's basically 5050 down the middle.
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So if you look at DraftKings, 52% of spread bets are laying
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the points of Ohio State. You look at Circa Sharp Book out
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in Vegas, 55% of spread bets are taking the points with Notre
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Dame. So all intents and purposes, we
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have no contrarian value. We got a public that is
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undecided but one. What's one thing that we like to
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look toward when it's a 5050 bet split is look for a line move.
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If you can't add any contrarian value because the tickets are
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too, you know, right down the middle, then what is the line
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doing? Well, the line has moved toward
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the Irish. Remember Ohio State open as a
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nine and a half point favorite. The line is down to 8 1/2 now.
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Most shops are 8 1/2. I do see one book right now at
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9, which would be ESPN bet between now and kick off.
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This is a 730 game. So we'll see how this thing
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develops. Think it is important to see,
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hey, do we creep back down to not do to 8?
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Does it rise back up to 9? You are starting to see maybe a
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little bit of Ohio State money come in here.
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So I do see one book at 9. A couple books are juiced up.
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But what I do like in the spot would be the 5050 line move.
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Even if this thing gets up to 9, remember open 9 1/2.
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So from the open to current, this line has never gotten to 10
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and in fact it's moved down toward Notre Dame.
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So 5050. Theoretically a line shouldn't
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move at all. Bets are split.
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You know, the odds makers have balanced action.
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No need to adjust the price yet. You're seeing this line at least
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open to current move toward Notre Dame.
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If you continue to look at this spot for Notre Dame, I'm going
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to take the points. I'm going Irish plus 8 1/2.
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I bet this thing earlier today. Again, you can shop around and
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maybe find a nine here, but there's a couple things I like
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in Notre Dame's favor. Number one is the 5050 line.
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Move 9 1/2 down to 8 1/2 or 9 at this point.
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The other angle here would be a correlative betting value play.
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You are getting a Notre Dame squad getting 8 1/2 points and a
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relatively low total game 45 and a half, 45 even.
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We'll get to the total here in a second because I do lean under a
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bit. But when you think about it, you
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know, unless I Ohio State rolls and pretty much pitches a shut
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out if the total, if the point combined total points are going
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to be low 40s, it's going to be a little bit difficult to cover
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that big number that 8 1/2. Like if Ohio State was -2 1/2,
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you know, then it wouldn't be much of much of an issue.
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But with points at a premium and we'll get to these great
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defenses here in a second, which is part of the the lean for me
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toward the under. I think when you're looking at a
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dog, if you're playing a dog, again, big points, low total,
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always a good thing because the few amount of expected point
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score makes it harder for the favorite to cover.
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But also you got to think about, you know, if you're playing a
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dog in a spread sport, what's the path to covering?
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To me, it's it's either you're good on both sides of the ball
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and you just play well and you cover the number or you got a
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really good offense. You can put up points, keep pace
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back to our cover. Or you have a really good
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defense, you keep the other team down a bit, which makes it
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harder for them to cover the number.
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So that correlative betting value of Notre Dame.
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We also have Notre Dame, nothing huge here, but a one day rest
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advantage. They last played on January 9th.
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Ohio State played on January 10th.
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So both teams are rested, but one extra day for Notre Dame and
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here's the big system match that I'm going to put some stock
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into. When you get to the national
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championship game, the obviously the the Super Bowl of college
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football line moves toward dogs have been very profitable.
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Now it's relatively small sample, but over the last decade
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there have been 5 instances in the championship game where the
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line move toward the dog. So maybe it's the dog +7 down to
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plus 6 1/2 + 3 down to plus 2 1/2.
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In this case you have a full point move which would be 9 1/2
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down to 8 1/2. This system only requires 1/2
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point line move, so as long as the line moves in your direction
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toward the dog, those teams are four and one against the spread
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since 2015. So add it all up here guys.
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5050, no contrarian, but the line went to Notre Dame.
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Correlative betting dog, low total rest advantage.
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Good system match. I like Marcus Freeman hopefully
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to devise a game plan here where maybe they don't win the game,
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but can you keep it close? Can you lose by 8 or less?
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I'm taking I'm taking the Irish and the points and I would
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mention our friends at rhythm. They have basically right, right
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on the number 8.4. So not much of an edge there.
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Now in terms of the total, if you like the under, I really
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can't argue with you. It open as high as 46 1/2.
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It's down to 45 1/2 or even seeing some books can now get
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down to 45. So it's been pretty consistent
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one way move downward bet splits look pretty good on the under at
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DraftKings. 31% bets 49% dollars on the under, and at Circa, 38%
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bets 54% dollars on the under. So both books, the big public
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book, DraftKings in the Sharp book in Vegas circa, both have a
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good split there. Sharp contrarian toward the
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under and then mentioned a second ago.
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But two great defenses. Ohio State number one in the
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country only giving up 12.2 points per game.
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Notre Dame second in the country only giving up 14.3 points per
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game. So 2 good defenses, Publix on
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the ovary at the total fell. If you can still find a hook
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under 45 1/2, I'm not going to argue there.
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That's my lean, but I'm going to take the Irish in the points.
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I played them quite a bit here when it comes to these playoff
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games. And hey, you're giving me a not
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a contrarian dog, but a 5050 dog line move with some extra rest
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and the correlative betting. Also, again, Freeman can can
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you. He's been pretty innovative,
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pretty impressive. Can you can you work your magic
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here and keep this thing close? That is my goal.
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So I'm going Irish. Let's do it for Rudy.
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Play like a champion. I got Notre Dame plus 8 1/2.
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Now over to some college basketball.
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Got some college hoops for you guys as well as some NHLI.
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Want to focus on a kind of early evening game.
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This is Georgetown and Villanova, so this is a 6:00
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game here tonight on Fox Sports 1.
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And if you look at the side, we've seen the line go toward
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Villanova, they're as opening as low as -7 now they're up to
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around -8 1/2. But I'm going to focus on this
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total here because one thing jumped out to me, the fact that
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this total has really fallen quite a bit.
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And now I'm thinking, has it fallen so much to that creates
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an opportunity to buy low and go over?
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That's that's my goal. So this Nova Georgetown total,
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it opened as high as 137 1/2. It is now down to 135 1/2 and
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some shops including FanDuel down to 134 1/2.
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And this is again always the importance of shopping for the
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best line, having multiple outs because most of the markets 135
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1/2. I was able to buy low and go
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over 134 1/2 at FanDuel. Now this is a what I wouldn't
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call a sharp play, but I would call a buy low value play
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because if we look at rhythm, they're predicting a final score
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of our final total of 136. Nothing crazy, you know, 135 and
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a half, 134 1/2 in the market. You know, 136 would technically
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win just by the skin of your teeth.
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But what I do like quite a bit is that Ken Pom as a predicted
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final total of 141. So if you're able to get that
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over 134 1/2 at FanDuel, I mean, you're looking at, you know, 6
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1/2 points of a pretty good edge there toward a higher scoring
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game. I like both these teams in terms
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of their offense. Georgetown's averaging 73 points
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a game. Nova averaging 78 points a game.
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Their effective field goal percentages are pretty
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impressive. Georgetown is 52%, Nova is 57%.
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Nova. I remember with the J right
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days, it would be like great defense if they're kind of
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opposite. Now.
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Their defensive efficiency is 178 in the country, but they're
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#9 overall 9th best offensive efficiency.
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Both teams can shoot the 332% from Georgetown and 40% for Nova
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and hopefully they can hit their free throws.
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Georgetown 72% from the line, Nova 80% from the line.
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And again, both these teams are rested and ready to go.
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They last played on Friday night, so they've had the full
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weekend off. So have to fully admit, when
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this thing first opened, 137 1/2, you had some respect to
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money hit that under. But now that it's falling all
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the way to 134 1/2 at FanDuel, again, providing a bylaw
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opportunity, let's just say this thing lands one 35136, even 137,
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those early under 137 half betters when you play the, you
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know, the under 135 and half, 134 and half, you lose that bet.
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So I'm going to buy low. I'm going to root for points.
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Give me Nova Georgetown over 134 1/2.
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Very important. That's at FanDuel.
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So shop around, make sure you get those multiple outs.
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Last bit of the night before. We have some initial thoughts
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here that I'm excited to share about the conference
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championship games. Let's talk about a match up here
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tonight. 9:30 PM On the ice, the Winnipeg Jets visiting the Utah
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Hockey club. He asked me they got they got a
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change to the Yeti, Utah Yeti. It makes too much sense, but I
14:32
get it. You just moved.
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Hey, I'll wait till next year anyway.
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The Jets come in playing fantastic 3113 and three that
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might be the best or one of the best.
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I know for sure Our records in the NHL Utah 519 nineteen and
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seven. Now if we get The Jets, they
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just had a three-game win streak snap.
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They lost to the Calgary Flames 3 to one kind of the opposite.
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The hockey club had lost three in a row and they just beat
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Saint Louis 4:00 to 2:00. What have we seen across the
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market here? Extreme one sided steam in favor
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of The Jets this game open Winnipeg listed as low as a -,
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135 -, 140 Rd. favorite. We've now seen The Jets get all
15:09
the way up to -175 some shops even higher -185 S right off the
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bat, big steam on Winnipeg, great bet splits at Circa.
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Again, when it comes to hockey, I'm not a huge bet splits guy
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just because I want to be with the sharp money.
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But you know, bet splits in hockey, there's really no
15:27
contrarian value. It's just not heavily bet enough
15:30
of a game or a sport in general. But I did notice 76% of bets,
15:34
but over 90% of money is on Winnipeg.
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So the sharps out in Vegas, you know, walking up to the book at
15:40
Circa, they're they're laying the chalk here with Winnipeg.
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And that's what I'm doing. Give me The Jets here, guys.
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I really like the advantage in net.
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Connor Hellebuck has been great. Knock on wood.
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Hope he plays well tonight. 1.97 goals against, 929 save
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percentage. He's been even better in six
15:56
January starts. 1.8 three goals against and he'll be facing the
16:00
backup goaltender for Utah. That's that's why you saw this
16:03
huge move here. Hellebuck, they until he was
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announced, you saw it. You know, obviously the great
16:09
goalie Winnipeg in and then Utah, not Vermilka, who's been
16:12
good, but Connor Ingram, expected to be a net.
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He's got a 3.38 goals against average, only an 879 say
16:20
percentage. Home Rd. splits favor Winnipeg
16:23
13 and eight on the road. Utah just 7-11 and four at home.
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Offensively, Winnipeg averaging 3.5 goals a game versus 2.8 for
16:32
Utah and better defensively averaging or allowing 2.4 goals
16:37
per game versus 3 for the Utah Hockey Club.
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Power play. Really.
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You've seen a great power play from Winnipeg this year, 32%
16:45
versus 21% for Utah. Then the cherry on top, I have a
16:49
lot of system matches here in Winnipeg.
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One is one of our favorite, our favorite system matches of all
16:55
time. Rd. favorite off a loss opponent
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versus an opponent off a win. That's 35 and 23 this year, 60%
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since the start of last year at 65%, 9% ROI.
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Also another system sweet spot Rd. favorite with Steam.
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If you are a road favorite, $0.10 of steam or more, you're
17:12
between, I think it's -150 and -200 you're 44 and 2564% and a
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road favorite with steam playing an opponent who missed the
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playoffs the previous year. That's 51 and 30 this year, 63%
17:25
with a 4% ROI. So a lot of shops right now are
17:28
at -185 but as always, try to stress on the pod the importance
17:32
of having multiple outs getting the best price.
17:35
Currently The Jets are only -175 at ESPN bet.
17:39
So I played The Jets to win the damn game -175 S Jets to win
17:45
Nova Georgetown over 134 1/2 and the Irish plus 8 1/2.
17:50
Now want to mention a few things about the AFC and NFC
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Championship games because obviously Sunday's going to be a
17:58
great day with the double header.
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I'm going to miss the Saturday doubleheaders as well.
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But some early thoughts on these games.
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Let's start off with the early 1, Washington and Philadelphia.
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Now, we've seen a move toward Philly early.
18:10
Philly open this game as low as -4 1/2 -, 5 at home.
18:15
Now Philly's up to -5 1/2 and they're juiced up like they may
18:18
even be going to six. Now, the splits look pretty good
18:21
on Philly. Nothing crazy, but 48% of bets,
18:25
61% money on Philly at DraftKings at Circa 46% bets,
18:29
68% dollars. But as always, favorites early,
18:34
dogs late. Like this looks very similar to
18:35
the Rams Philly game where again, you could have gotten
18:38
Philly -5 1/2. Then up closing -7 the people
18:42
who got Philly early cover that number because they won by 6.
18:45
If you laid it late, you lost. So what I'm looking at here is,
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you know, because the lines already moved toward Philly
18:51
quite a bit, we're very close to the key number of 6 guys I'm
18:55
looking at right now, holding out for the Commanders plus 6.
18:59
Jane Daniels have been fantastic.
19:00
Obviously, there's also a rare divisional game.
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So Philly, Washington, the third time they've matched up this
19:06
year. Washington won one of them,
19:08
Philly won the other. But now your third time around.
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So a lot of familiarity should hopefully level the playing
19:14
field, benefit the team getting points, playoff dogs who missed
19:18
the playoffs the previous year. Jane Daniels has covered in the
19:21
spot both times this postseason and those teams overall are 41
19:25
and 2166% ATS, 28% ROI since 2017.
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So I'm looking toward toward waiting on the six for
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Washington and we'll see if there's been any, if there's any
19:36
buyback and it comes back down. But this is going to be again,
19:39
favorites early, dogs late. I'm holding out for Washington
19:43
right now at +6. The big one though, Buffalo,
19:47
Kansas City, this one should be absolutely fantastic and it's a
19:51
very, very short number, but it is moving toward the Kansas City
19:55
Chiefs. Now.
19:57
Couple things going on here. 1 Kansas City open this game very
20:00
short 1 or 1 1/2 point home favorite you've seen now the
20:04
entire market go to 1 1/2 and even some shops now going to -2
20:08
for Kansas City. So early move here obviously
20:12
toward the Chiefs and I'm wondering if this is going to be
20:15
a fade the trendy dog in terms of playing Kansas City right.
20:18
My lean right now is Kansas City money line.
20:20
I'll give you a lot of. Angles here to consider but one
20:25
is the fact that right now Buffalo is getting 65% of spread
20:30
bets at DraftKings. So public is thinking hey take
20:33
the points of the bills circa though really good splits here
20:36
in Kansas City 57% bets, 79% dollars, 47% bets, 62% dollars
20:42
on the money line. Now, one thing we have seen when
20:45
it comes to these home favorites, they're covering 53%
20:49
of the time over the last 20 years, they're 19 and 17 ATS.
20:53
But if you're a home fave with a line move in your favor, which
20:56
would also match with Philly, those teams are 10 and six ATS,
21:00
63% since 2004. But here's what I like about
21:04
Kansas City in terms of the chalk, just playing the money
21:07
line straight up. If you look at these conference
21:09
championship games over the last 20 years, favorites are 29 and
21:14
13, straight up 69%. Home favorites are 26 and 10,
21:19
straight up 72%. So you know, Philly, you know,
21:23
they're too high the money line, in my opinion, they're like -265
21:26
-, 270. But again, if you want to tease
21:29
down Philly, that would match, just win the game.
21:32
But the Chiefs would match that home favorite.
21:35
They also have a one day rest advantage.
21:37
I forgot to mention the Commanders also have a one day
21:39
rest advantage. Maybe I did, I forgot.
21:42
But Chiefs played on Saturday, and that was the early game
21:45
versus Buffalo, who played on Sunday, the lake game.
21:48
I'm also going to put some stock into kind of rest.
21:50
First tired. You know, Kansas City sat their
21:53
starters Week 18. Then they had the bye week.
21:55
So, you know, you look at Travis, Kelsey Mahomes, they're
21:57
fresh as lettuce. Buffalo, you know, played
22:00
throughout the season, played Week 18.
22:03
And they also just played two playoff games, a tough one
22:06
against the Ravens. So maybe there's a little more
22:08
juice for Kansas City in the spot now.
22:11
The granddaddy of them all, Patrick Mahomes winning straight
22:14
up at home. Mahomes at home in his career,
22:17
54 and 12, straight up, 82 percent, 43 and 10 straight up
22:22
in the regular season, 11 and two straight up in the
22:24
postseason. So I don't really think there's
22:27
a huge reason to money line the Chiefs right now.
22:30
Let's wait it out. I want to make sure that this
22:32
line doesn't creep back down toward a pick, which would be a
22:34
very good sign for Buffalo. But as right now we got low
22:38
bets, higher dollars, bit of a fade, the trendy dog, great
22:41
angles here, Mahomes and favorites at home in the
22:43
division in the championship round.
22:45
I'm looking toward the Chiefs money line at this point.
22:48
I will mention to the under looks pretty decent.
22:51
Open 48 1/2. It's down to 47 1/2.
22:53
You can still find 48 really good bets.
22:56
What's to the under? 37% bets, 66% money at
22:59
DraftKings, circa 75% bets, 97% money.
23:04
And one angle that has been really good this year,
23:07
especially in in, you know, outdoor games.
23:10
But if there's a big split, like overall dogs have been great,
23:14
you know, this postseason, which I was hoping for after a really
23:17
bad dog year, regular season about playoff dogs now seven and
23:21
three against the spread this postseason.
23:23
And you'll get the unders 6 and 4.
23:25
But big difference between games and a Dome and games outside
23:30
outdoor playoff unders are six and two.
23:32
Those only two losses were Dome games, which was the Texans game
23:36
and the commanders game. So those those those outdoor
23:42
unders 75% this postseason 6 and two, they're 57% since 2017 and
23:48
high total 47 or more take the under 62% since 2017.
23:53
Now, obviously we saw weather play a big role when I was
23:58
freaking out because Stafford and Kyron Williams and all those
24:01
all those Rams guys were dropping the ball fumble in it
24:04
in the snow. But as right now I'm not seeing
24:07
much in the way of snow. Like the early forecast for the
24:10
Eagles game is actually not bad, like 35° seven mile per hour
24:14
winds, Kansas City 25° Six Mile per hour winds.
24:19
So we'll see. Weather can obviously change.
24:21
But as right now I'm leaning Kansas City money line and
24:24
Washington holding out for a + 6.
24:27
So that about does it for Episode 2 O one of the all
24:30
systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
24:33
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
24:36
And I first start by saying thank you.
24:38
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
24:40
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
24:43
sharp betting breakdowns with me means a lot that we've kind of
24:46
built this community win, lose or draw.
24:48
This is a lifestyle data-driven contrarian betting.
24:51
You're not going to become a millionaire overnight.
24:52
There's going to be ups and downs.
24:54
Sports betting is hard, but the data-driven style provides a
24:57
blueprint for you to hopefully kind of change from a a better
25:01
to an investor. What do you think of that?
25:04
But also after I thank you. Now I'm going to ask you a
25:06
favor. Could you please give this
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podcast a five star review? If you're listening on Spotify
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or iTunes, click rate and review, click five stars.
25:14
It'll mean a ton to me. Help us to continue to grow the
25:17
pod. If you want to click the follow
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button or recommend it to a friend, that would also be
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amazing. Next, if you enjoy this style of
25:24
betting breakdown or you enjoy the pod, you want to learn more
25:27
about data-driven betting. Or maybe there's someone in your
25:30
life, your friend, your colleague, your family member,
25:32
Co worker. Maybe they like to bet on sports
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or they're in a newly legalized state.
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They're looking to get into sports betting but have no
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freaking clue how it works. You know you should do you
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should buy my book. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
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the everything guide to sports betting.
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Pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
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It's got everything I've learned in the industry, guys.
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How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
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movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place the bet in
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person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
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a bankroll management plan, how to go contrarian.
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All included in the everything guide to sports betting.
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So buy a copy, bring it to the book, I'll sign it for you, and
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I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale next.
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Have you taken advantage of a 7 day free trial of Juice Reel or
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Rhythm yet? My two favorite sports betting
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apps on the market? Rhythm obviously great for their
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AI backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
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Rhythm where you can find all of the all systems go best bet
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picks from the social tab for $4.99 a week.
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Again, I would I would like to thank my my insights are worthy
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of a dollar a day per week. But anyway, and actually it's
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it's including weekend play. So I guess it's less than that.
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But anyway, you also get the robo Jackson best bet picks,
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juice reel app. So wherever you get your apps,
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the App Store, iTunes, whatever it's called, Google Play, Google
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store. I'm not an Android guy.
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I'm an iPhone guy, but go download rhythm, go download
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Juice reel. Then you'll be able to add those
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tools to your data-driven toolkit and hopefully make
27:08
smarter bets. So that about does it for
27:11
today's pod on a big Monday. Getting back into the swing of
27:13
things. As always, I'm gonna leave you
27:15
with a couple things. One, whether I see you at the
27:18
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
27:21
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
27:23
Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
27:26
Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
27:29
Massachusetts or out in the desert where the true grinders
27:32
get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
27:34
runners with lowest juice possible is found at the South
27:36
Point or sweating sharp contrain plays jumping in the stadium
27:40
swimming pool when he cashed a big ticket at Circa.
27:43
Wherever it may be. You're going to walk up to me
27:45
and you're going to show me a Commander's plus 9 1/2, a Rams
27:48
plus 6 1/2, a Texans plus 9 1/2. No Ravens and no Jamal Hill.
27:55
Come on Hill, that was a let down.
27:56
But anyway, glad to see dogs bark this weekend, guys.
27:59
First one's on me, next one's on you.
28:01
We're going to post about the book Sweatshop Contrarian plays
28:03
all night long, so wish you the best of luck everyone.
28:06
Always remember hot, cold, winning, losing, grinding,
28:12
whatever the case may be, stick to the model.
28:14
Stick to the blueprint. data-driven contrarian betting
28:17
if we can put ourselves in that sweet spot.
28:19
Identify the games that fit our model, bypass the ones that
28:22
don't. Against the public with the
28:24
house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays.
28:27
Get that closing line value. If we can do that, we're going
28:30
to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Monday,
28:32
everyone. And what do you say?
28:34
Let's let's cover this one. Let's cover for Rudy.
28:38
Let's go Irish baby. Have a great Monday night,
28:40
everybody, and I'll see you tomorrow on a big Tuesday for
28:43
episode 2 O two of the all systems go sports betting
28:46
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
28:49
great night.