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Rams vs Bears NFL DFS Showdown _ Divisional Round SNF _ Picks_ Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:08
Speaker 1: All systems. Go clear the lift on. What is going on?
0:41
Speaker 2: Shiping Nation YouTube station. It's me Neate's back with the
0:46
Speaker 2: divisional breakdown here. We got a fun one on tap
0:49
Speaker 2: five point thirty Central Time in the Lords times out
0:53
Speaker 2: time zone with PGA back, have to hit the old
0:56
Speaker 2: Lord's time zone.
0:57
Speaker 1: Shut up too.
0:58
Speaker 2: I got DJ seventy five guy in the sky watching
1:01
Speaker 2: down over all of us. Hopefully you got some nice
1:03
Speaker 2: PGA sweats going on on the Sunday. Hopefully you got
1:05
Speaker 2: some nice main slate sweats going on for the two
1:08
Speaker 2: the two day four game overall divisional rounds had some
1:12
Speaker 2: good football yesterday. Rest in peace to bow Knicks out there.
1:16
Speaker 2: Very very hurtful to see. Uh sucks. Sucks to see that.
1:19
Speaker 2: I mean, we get Jared Stidham next week. I mean
1:22
Speaker 2: Patriots end up winning today. What what a easy schedule
1:25
Speaker 2: they had and what a what a run to to
1:27
Speaker 2: the super Bowl. Now with bo Nix getting injured there,
1:29
Speaker 2: I was really excited to see. Hopefully Drake May and
1:33
Speaker 2: bo Knicks next week go at it, but it'll be
1:35
Speaker 2: Jared Sidham after Bonnicks fractured a bone in his ankle
1:38
Speaker 2: and need some surgery.
1:39
Speaker 1: So that's pretty tough to see.
1:41
Speaker 2: And then while Seahawks man just put the put the
1:44
Speaker 2: old belt to the to the behind for the forty
1:47
Speaker 2: nine ers, there, forty nine ers just man injury, real
1:50
Speaker 2: team left and right all all season long. Kittle goes down,
1:54
Speaker 2: McCaffrey gets injured mid game, some of their stuff happens there,
1:58
Speaker 2: and uh hey, Seattle, their defense just rains, and we're
2:02
Speaker 2: gonna have probably potentially sam donold in the player in
2:06
Speaker 2: the super Bowl again.
2:07
Speaker 1: So it should be fun to see there.
2:09
Speaker 2: Vikings fans are probably kicking themselves in the foot there
2:11
Speaker 2: for mister Sammy d just letting him walk and starting
2:15
Speaker 2: mister nine didn't didn't work out the head great so far,
2:18
Speaker 2: but time will tell overall. But in in regard to
2:21
Speaker 2: this game, we got the Rams. We got the Bears
2:24
Speaker 2: tonight here forty eight and a half point total. I
2:27
Speaker 2: believe the total opened at forty five, forty five and
2:29
Speaker 2: a half. Somewhere up there it is up to forty
2:31
Speaker 2: eight and a half. Rams are three point three and
2:34
Speaker 2: a half point favorites on the road here. In terms
2:37
Speaker 2: of weather, I'm seeing about ten to fifteen mile hours
2:40
Speaker 2: sustained wins through through the duration of the game, temperatures
2:44
Speaker 2: in the twenties, but the field like temperatures gonna be
2:46
Speaker 2: in the single digit So what does that do for
2:49
Speaker 2: the team front from the West, come coming out here
2:51
Speaker 2: to the Midwest, coming to Chicago to play at Soldier
2:55
Speaker 2: Field there, could be could be interesting, right, It is
2:59
Speaker 2: freezing cold. That was just outside myself here driving back
3:02
Speaker 2: from Chicago this morning, and man, it's it's pretty windy
3:06
Speaker 2: and it's freezing cold out there. So it's definitely gonna
3:09
Speaker 2: be cold. How that how much that affects the game,
3:11
Speaker 2: I'm not really sure how much it affects too much.
3:14
Speaker 2: Both of these teams really really lacking defense in general.
3:18
Speaker 2: I expect this game to to be back and forth
3:20
Speaker 2: to to go pretty crazy. In regard to the injury report,
3:24
Speaker 2: Roman Dunda looks like he's gonna play. He is questionable still,
3:28
Speaker 2: but uh with with that foot injury, does plan to play.
3:31
Speaker 2: So expect the Bears to be pretty fully healthy on
3:34
Speaker 2: offense there, and then they're also getting CJ. Gardner Johnson
3:37
Speaker 2: back in the in the secondary on the defensive side
3:42
Speaker 2: of the ball. But Nick McCleod is still out for
3:45
Speaker 2: for Chicago. The dB there Rams basically fully fully healthy.
3:49
Speaker 2: Ferguson is good to go all their O linemen and
3:53
Speaker 2: Witherspoon is also back as well from from the I
3:56
Speaker 2: R there, so rams fully healthy bears healthy as well
4:00
Speaker 2: should be a fun one. Overall, both these teams, like
4:02
Speaker 2: I've talked about, their defenses have have struggled, and I
4:06
Speaker 2: expect points. I think Vegas expects points forty eight and
4:09
Speaker 2: a half point totalt pretty big total in general going
4:13
Speaker 2: into this game again game in Chicago. So let me
4:17
Speaker 2: go ahead and end to pull up Saber sim here
4:20
Speaker 2: with the one man booth. Apologized for that Ham had
4:24
Speaker 2: some stuff come up there, So jumping on here to
4:28
Speaker 2: break it down for you guys the best I can
4:30
Speaker 2: as a one man show here.
4:32
Speaker 1: I have the dry run here up on the screen.
4:34
Speaker 2: I ran one hundred and fifty teams right over here,
4:37
Speaker 2: just with an average of our projections and Saber Sims.
4:41
Speaker 2: No surprise, right, Pukakua gonna lead the charge in terms
4:44
Speaker 2: of captain ownership. He is all the way up at
4:47
Speaker 2: eighteen K. And what that's gonna do because value overall
4:50
Speaker 2: is pretty weak on the slate. If I jump over
4:53
Speaker 2: to the flax, you're gonna see the common value plays
4:54
Speaker 2: Kaman Young Guy in it in a split with DeAndre
4:57
Speaker 2: Swift there, but mcnong Guy at four thousand cheaper than
5:00
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift. Very easy click for people just to go
5:03
Speaker 2: in and click Manongai. They're basically in like a fifty
5:07
Speaker 2: five to forty five split, sixty forty split in terms
5:09
Speaker 2: of rush share, but in terms of route participation and
5:12
Speaker 2: overall the snaps out of the backfield things like that.
5:14
Speaker 2: Manungay is pretty much a fifty to fifty split and
5:17
Speaker 2: and does get some of that too, uh, that hurry
5:20
Speaker 2: up offense type role and the down and distance or
5:23
Speaker 2: the short shortened distance type settings there. So Manong Guy
5:28
Speaker 2: basically this split for the Bear's backfield is very similar
5:32
Speaker 2: right to the rams on the other side of the
5:34
Speaker 2: ball between Blake Korum and.
5:38
Speaker 1: Kyra and Williams Kyra Williams.
5:40
Speaker 2: Ninety two hundred, Korum at forty two hundred, So you've
5:42
Speaker 2: got five thousand dollars between those two, and then you've
5:45
Speaker 2: got four thousand dollars between the bears. So naturally that's
5:47
Speaker 2: going to push a lot of people tonight going into
5:50
Speaker 2: these value running backs. Right these RB two's or one
5:53
Speaker 2: a one B type roles that that, however you want
5:57
Speaker 2: to word it right in Manungai getting a ton of
5:59
Speaker 2: Ownershi as a value play, Higbee's gonna be very popular,
6:02
Speaker 2: and then Blake Korum because of the value overall, it's
6:06
Speaker 2: it's very very tricky. With DeVante Adams coming back for
6:09
Speaker 2: the rams last week that obviously shot Munfield pretty much
6:13
Speaker 2: in the foot. Xavier Smith ran the majority of the
6:16
Speaker 2: three receiver sets got got about fifty or sixty percent
6:20
Speaker 2: of the stamp somewhere in that ballpark there overall, so.
6:25
Speaker 1: Man makes makes the value pretty tough in general.
6:27
Speaker 2: So obviously it's you're gonna have to make a choice,
6:30
Speaker 2: right with Pooka up top. Let me go ahead and
6:33
Speaker 2: put a filter on here so we can talk through
6:35
Speaker 2: it a little bit easier and get rid of some
6:36
Speaker 2: of these some of these donkeys down at the bottom.
6:39
Speaker 2: But yeah, like I said, Puoka, interesting thing that I
6:42
Speaker 2: like to do here is even if I go to
6:44
Speaker 2: one unique here and just see true projections, obviously Pooka
6:47
Speaker 2: right naturally all the way up at the top, sixty
6:49
Speaker 2: percent the common roster construction tonight is definitely gonna be
6:53
Speaker 2: four two rams overall. As you can see here, but
6:55
Speaker 2: forty of the one hundred and fifty bilds over on
6:58
Speaker 2: the right hand side. In terms of projected score our
7:01
Speaker 2: four to two Rams with with Pooka up top, and
7:03
Speaker 2: that's where again look at this common young guy Blake
7:06
Speaker 2: Korum second to third in terms of ownership in the flex.
7:09
Speaker 2: No surprise at four K forty two hundred. You're still
7:11
Speaker 2: allowed to get You're still able to get the quarterbacks
7:14
Speaker 2: in there. And then basically the tight ends is next
7:17
Speaker 2: Coaston Lovelin. Right now, it looks like peak Trey McBride
7:21
Speaker 2: in this offense has really kind of emerged down the
7:23
Speaker 2: stretch here of the season. So he's gonna be a
7:25
Speaker 2: really really good play in general, it's and he's seventy
7:28
Speaker 2: six hundred. So again, what I do all this to
7:31
Speaker 2: say that the value on the slate is pretty tough
7:34
Speaker 2: and you're gonna you're gonna find yourself in very very
7:36
Speaker 2: similar roster construction as the field. If you do go
7:40
Speaker 2: Pooka up top, I get it right. Pooka is clear
7:42
Speaker 2: far and away. The Rams offense runs through Pooka. I
7:46
Speaker 2: get Devanta Adams right, gets the gets the goal line,
7:48
Speaker 2: and he's kind of the merchant in the in the
7:50
Speaker 2: red zone there. So when we get into the captain
7:53
Speaker 2: talk here in in a second, I'll talk through that
7:55
Speaker 2: a little bit. But if you are going Pooka up top,
7:57
Speaker 2: like projections indicate like the field wants to you, Pooka
8:00
Speaker 2: projected right around twenty five to thirty percent ownership up top.
8:04
Speaker 2: The next closest is down at DeVante Adams at ten
8:06
Speaker 2: percent right to leverage that, and then it's pretty much
8:09
Speaker 2: spread out. So I'm tonight probably gonna take an underweight
8:14
Speaker 2: approach on Pooka Nakula. The reason being is I just
8:16
Speaker 2: don't think the value is very great in general, I
8:18
Speaker 2: think the rosters are gonna be very similar to the
8:22
Speaker 2: rest of the field when you take a look at
8:23
Speaker 2: this value play these values over here. I mean you
8:26
Speaker 2: got Parkinson at thirty six hundred, and then you got
8:28
Speaker 2: the Bears defense. I mean, yeah, they can force some turnovers,
8:32
Speaker 2: it's going to be cold, Stafford can make some could
8:34
Speaker 2: make some mistakes things like that.
8:36
Speaker 1: They're fine, but they're still thirty four hundred. And then
8:38
Speaker 1: you got Higbe at thirty two hundred.
8:39
Speaker 2: That's where people are really going to round out their
8:41
Speaker 2: teams because after that I mean you got Comet Zakias
8:45
Speaker 2: Ferguson Munfield who barely ran any snaps last week with
8:48
Speaker 2: DeVonta Adams back to to at well, same thing, David Allen,
8:51
Speaker 2: I mean, the best value down here is gonna be
8:54
Speaker 2: Xavier Smith. In my opinion, He's going to be probably
8:57
Speaker 2: five to ten percent on, which isn't anything crazy, but
9:00
Speaker 2: you're trying to strike lightning in a bottle with him.
9:02
Speaker 2: He ran at a lot of routes and got majority
9:04
Speaker 2: of the three wide receiver snaps. But again the Rams
9:07
Speaker 2: do like to run a lot of thirteen personnel with
9:09
Speaker 2: the tight ends, So again twelve hundred dollars. He's probably
9:13
Speaker 2: my favorite value in general if you're going down below
9:17
Speaker 2: like that three K thirty two hundred range. But again
9:21
Speaker 2: overall the value is pretty weak. So that takes me
9:23
Speaker 2: back to the captain position here. Talking about the captains
9:25
Speaker 2: on the SLATEE Pook and the cool can't really say
9:27
Speaker 2: much about him. I'm gonna probably be underweight on the
9:29
Speaker 2: field just because I'm not playing one hundred and fifty team.
9:31
Speaker 2: I'm playing twenty max and then a couple in the
9:34
Speaker 2: main Lotto contest, and it's just you're gonna have to
9:38
Speaker 2: get the kind of bum right, or just build Pooka
9:41
Speaker 2: rosters differently and avoid the common roster Pooka captain team.
9:46
Speaker 2: So if I filter here, right and filter to the
9:48
Speaker 2: common Poka teams, you're gonna look at the exposure, right,
9:51
Speaker 2: it's gonna be Stafford in the flex. So maybe you
9:53
Speaker 2: play Pooka up top and you play a Kelb Williams
9:56
Speaker 2: over Matt Stafford in the flex, because you're you're saying
9:59
Speaker 2: Pooka can get there on PPR volume alone, and maybe
10:02
Speaker 2: Caleb with his rushing upside just oh, does Matt Stafford
10:06
Speaker 2: right in general?
10:07
Speaker 1: So that's one way to get different.
10:08
Speaker 2: As you see, only about thirty five percent of the
10:10
Speaker 2: Pooka teams are coming with Caleb Williams instead of Matt Stafford.
10:14
Speaker 2: So if I take Matt Stafford away, you see right there,
10:17
Speaker 2: only twelve lineups of the Puka teams come with Caleb
10:23
Speaker 2: Williams in the flex and not Matt Stafford. So I
10:27
Speaker 2: think that's one way to get unique there. But another
10:30
Speaker 2: way is just to avoid the monong guys in Blake Korms,
10:33
Speaker 2: which does feel pretty gross in general, but that will
10:36
Speaker 2: make you different as well. So when you're playing Pooka
10:38
Speaker 2: up top, be weary on how you play him, right,
10:41
Speaker 2: get different in the flex, get different with some of
10:43
Speaker 2: these value plays in general, just because you're gonna fall
10:46
Speaker 2: into very similar roster constructions and the one hundred and
10:49
Speaker 2: fifty max ers are definitely going to get probably an
10:51
Speaker 2: overweight stance on Pooka, and have you covered in majority
10:54
Speaker 2: of those angle, especially if you're playing less than one
10:57
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty teams, twenty max sing Blant Tree, things
10:59
Speaker 2: like that. I just played a win and I see clear,
11:02
Speaker 2: clear avenues for some leverage opportunities.
11:06
Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with Matt Stafford.
11:07
Speaker 2: I think Matt Stafford's a really really good option up
11:09
Speaker 2: top getting DeVante Adams back. That adds another guy he
11:12
Speaker 2: can spread it out to, Xavier Smith, like I talked about,
11:14
Speaker 2: still running a ton of getting getting a bunch of
11:17
Speaker 2: snaps over fifty percent of the snaps and he's still
11:21
Speaker 2: running route so he still got to the opportunity out there.
11:23
Speaker 1: So I like Matt Stafford up top.
11:25
Speaker 2: I think he's he's a pretty good leverage option up
11:28
Speaker 2: top in the Captain, so don't I don't mind him.
11:31
Speaker 2: I like Kill Williams up top for sure. On the
11:34
Speaker 2: other side, we've seen what Caleb can do, especially in
11:36
Speaker 2: trail scripts. I mean they were trailing twenty four to
11:39
Speaker 2: to six, right or twenty one to six, twenty four
11:41
Speaker 2: to six at halftime at that Packers game, and Cale
11:45
Speaker 2: Williams in the second half just absolutely went nuclear. And
11:48
Speaker 2: he's got upside with his legs there in terms of
11:52
Speaker 2: the rushing prop. Looking at cal Williams there, he's got
11:55
Speaker 2: a nineteen and a half rushing prop. So Vegas thinks
11:57
Speaker 2: he's gonna have to use his legs. That's what he's
11:59
Speaker 2: back scrambling outside of the pocket. So I think Cal
12:01
Speaker 2: Williams has a lot of upside in the captain position.
12:04
Speaker 2: He's gonna be around ten percent, maybe maybe under with
12:07
Speaker 2: Puka coming probably I can probably see this just based
12:10
Speaker 2: on projection wise, Puoka getting to that thirty to thirty
12:13
Speaker 2: two percent range somewhere in that ballpark and these other
12:16
Speaker 2: guys capping out at probably ten to twelve percent maxed.
12:19
Speaker 2: Just just due to the nature of Stafford's going to
12:22
Speaker 2: garner some call. Williams is going to garner some right.
12:25
Speaker 2: DeVante Adams is going to get some as a leverage
12:27
Speaker 2: off of Puka. So these guys are gonna get held
12:29
Speaker 2: in check. And I like both quarterbacks for sure. Up top,
12:32
Speaker 2: I'll start with them. I do like Devanta Adams, and
12:37
Speaker 2: if I'm playing Devanta Adams, I'm probably not gonna play
12:39
Speaker 2: Pooka in the Flex, just because I'm saying DeVante is
12:42
Speaker 2: just gonna get there. And maybe he gets the two
12:46
Speaker 2: one yard touchdowns two three yard touchdowns right in the
12:48
Speaker 2: red zone at that that back shoulder fade jump ball
12:51
Speaker 2: that that Stafford likes to throw them. He does own
12:54
Speaker 2: the red zone compared to to Puka, So maybe it's
12:57
Speaker 2: DeVante Adams and Puka just has maybe a middle game,
13:00
Speaker 2: right he goes like six for one hundred and twelve
13:03
Speaker 2: and no touchdown or something, and at his salary in
13:06
Speaker 2: the flex at twelve K, maybe that's not enough. So
13:09
Speaker 2: I think DeVante Adams up top is very interesting. And
13:12
Speaker 2: then some of the other guys Coaston Lovelin I think
13:16
Speaker 2: is playable up top as well, just because it gets
13:18
Speaker 2: you on that more middling captain type build at eleven
13:20
Speaker 2: to four. He's the what seventh highest priced guy, so
13:25
Speaker 2: he gets you off of some of those chalky value
13:26
Speaker 2: options in general, So I think.
13:28
Speaker 1: Coaston Loveland up top is is pretty interesting there.
13:32
Speaker 2: And then the other two guys I'll mention are both
13:34
Speaker 2: the running back ones in my opinion, Kyron Williams and
13:37
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift just because so much of the field is
13:40
Speaker 2: gonna go with Blake Carman. Thenung guy who I think
13:42
Speaker 2: are good plays in the flex for sure. However, what
13:46
Speaker 2: if it is just the Kieron Williams. It's not DeVante
13:49
Speaker 2: Adams in the red zone, right, maybe it is Kieron
13:51
Speaker 2: Williams passing interference whatever, Right, we saw, we saw these
13:53
Speaker 2: Zebras so so far all season, right making these plays.
13:57
Speaker 2: I mean they did in the Bills, in the Broncos games.
14:00
Speaker 2: Say what you want about that. I had no horse
14:02
Speaker 2: in the race, and I thought some of those calls
14:04
Speaker 2: were tik taky. I mean, you could call a holding
14:06
Speaker 2: play every single play in the NFL football in the NFL,
14:10
Speaker 2: and you get to the you get to uh to
14:14
Speaker 2: overtime there, and then you start calling stuff that's been
14:18
Speaker 2: you bet lent and slide all week or all game,
14:20
Speaker 2: excuse me.
14:21
Speaker 1: So things like that.
14:22
Speaker 2: I think Kyron and DeAndre Swift would be the other
14:25
Speaker 2: two captains that I would look at just as sheer
14:27
Speaker 2: leverages off the field. I mean DeAndre Swift, I think
14:30
Speaker 2: he's pretty high upside. We got him around a seven
14:33
Speaker 2: seven percent captain optimal rate right right now, and I
14:36
Speaker 2: think he's pretty interesting. I mean, fifty six and a
14:38
Speaker 2: half rushing prop is right there with with Kyron Williams,
14:42
Speaker 2: I get. You look at Kamen Nunguy thirty six and
14:44
Speaker 2: a half, Blake carm at forty six and a half.
14:46
Speaker 2: So overall, I think they're they're interesting and just put
14:49
Speaker 2: you on a different script, right Maybe you go like
14:52
Speaker 2: a DeAndre Swift up top and do a four four
14:54
Speaker 2: two bears build instead of the popular pooka captain with
14:58
Speaker 2: with four with with four rams. So I think little
15:01
Speaker 2: things like that are interesting as well. You look at
15:04
Speaker 2: swift thirteen and a half receiving prop, which isn't great
15:06
Speaker 2: by any means, but again does still have some receiving
15:09
Speaker 2: up there, and his rushing prop is right in line there.
15:12
Speaker 2: You look at anytime touchdown scores Kyron plus one fifteen,
15:17
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift plus one fifty, they're right there. The only
15:20
Speaker 2: two guys favorite to score in this game are Puka
15:23
Speaker 2: and Devanta Adams. Devanta Adams actually has the best touch
15:26
Speaker 2: on prop on the slate there. So for me to
15:28
Speaker 2: summarize at captain, I'm gonna be under the field on Pooka.
15:32
Speaker 2: He's a great play by all means, go ahead and
15:34
Speaker 2: play Pooka, but I'm just going to take a stand
15:36
Speaker 2: be underweight on him and be over on guys like Stafford,
15:39
Speaker 2: Caleb Williams, Devanta Adams for sure, and then Loveland and
15:42
Speaker 2: then my kind of down the board guys would be
15:45
Speaker 2: Swift and Kyron Williams probably not going to navigate too much.
15:50
Speaker 2: Outside of those, I think you could potentially flirt with
15:52
Speaker 2: with the Luther burden there, but with Rome coming back,
15:56
Speaker 2: there's just a lot of miles defeat in this off
15:58
Speaker 2: one offense, especially with.
16:01
Speaker 1: Especially with what you.
16:03
Speaker 2: Would call it the emergency of Loveland. If I were
16:07
Speaker 2: to take another shot on a pass catcher, I'd probably
16:09
Speaker 2: just go to Rome and Duneesday. At ten to five,
16:11
Speaker 2: everyone's kind of sold this guy off. So at ten
16:13
Speaker 2: to five, Roma dunsay if you if you're looking for
16:15
Speaker 2: some more guys, I think him at ten five. He
16:18
Speaker 2: kind of fits that same build as the Loveland type
16:21
Speaker 2: captain right where you can get on a different roster
16:23
Speaker 2: construction than what the field is, so if I were
16:25
Speaker 2: to take a shot on them, I'd probably go to
16:27
Speaker 2: a Roma doonsay. He was obviously very very involved early
16:30
Speaker 2: on in the season in this offense, kind of taking
16:33
Speaker 2: a back seat lately dealing with injuries in and out
16:35
Speaker 2: of the lineup, things like that.
16:36
Speaker 1: But no better time than to showcase them.
16:38
Speaker 2: Here against uh in offense or against the defense that
16:42
Speaker 2: is porous as well. And I think the Bears are
16:46
Speaker 2: gonna have to chuck the ball in general here, so
16:48
Speaker 2: I don't.
16:49
Speaker 1: Mind taking a shot on him.
16:50
Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna click that name Roma Dunsay, especially if he
16:52
Speaker 2: is good to go right with with the questionable take
16:55
Speaker 2: coming in jumping over talking some of the flex here
17:00
Speaker 2: by no surprise, right, it's gonna be in the flex.
17:04
Speaker 2: In terms of quarterbacks, Stafford is gonna get played in
17:05
Speaker 2: a much higher clip in my opinion than Caleb Williams,
17:08
Speaker 2: especially with that Puka captain type. So I like the
17:11
Speaker 2: idea of if you arguing Puka captain, definitely take a
17:15
Speaker 2: take a look at thinking about Cale Williams over Stafford
17:17
Speaker 2: in the flax.
17:18
Speaker 1: Both are great options for sure. I want min one
17:21
Speaker 1: of these quarterbacks.
17:22
Speaker 2: I like the rosters with two quarterbacks as well, especially
17:25
Speaker 2: in flex builds where you're fading Puka in the captain
17:28
Speaker 2: and the flax right, getting both quarterbacks and just saying, hey,
17:31
Speaker 2: this is just gonna be spread it out. Maybe some
17:33
Speaker 2: of these wide receiver twos threes, tight ends twos and
17:35
Speaker 2: threes get get mixed in more, the running backs get
17:38
Speaker 2: some receiving seven work, and these quarterbacks are just just
17:41
Speaker 2: do more points per dollar wise than what Puka Puka does,
17:46
Speaker 2: which is scary, but again it's it's a one game
17:49
Speaker 2: that that you're trying to win all the money, right,
17:51
Speaker 2: So I don't mind that in regard to uh to
17:55
Speaker 2: the running backs here, very very clear in this one,
18:00
Speaker 2: the field's gonna flock to Manungai and Blake Koram for
18:03
Speaker 2: a good reason.
18:03
Speaker 1: Right.
18:04
Speaker 2: I'll bring up the props talk again. The rushing props
18:07
Speaker 2: are basically right there with both of these guys. I mean,
18:10
Speaker 2: Kyron Williams sixty one and a half, Blake korm forty
18:13
Speaker 2: six and a half, and you're looking at a five
18:15
Speaker 2: thousand dollars price difference, right. That's why their ownership is
18:17
Speaker 2: up there, and that's why Blake korm is gonna get played,
18:21
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift fifty four and a half, Mnungay thirty six
18:24
Speaker 2: and a half. But again four thousand dollars price difference,
18:27
Speaker 2: and people want to play poka these step stud uh
18:30
Speaker 2: spind up wide receivers and captain options. Right, you have
18:34
Speaker 2: to play these guys as value plays, right, So I
18:37
Speaker 2: think they're both good value plays. But when you play
18:39
Speaker 2: when when playing these guys, maybe playing with their other
18:43
Speaker 2: running back, right, and just build a different script or
18:46
Speaker 2: like I talked about, playing these guys with one of
18:48
Speaker 2: those mid tier one of those mid tier coptain captains
18:51
Speaker 2: like a Roma Dunes Aekah Lovelan and get different that way,
18:56
Speaker 2: or play them with the quarterback captain something like that, Right,
18:59
Speaker 2: just use these differently.
19:00
Speaker 1: What the field is.
19:01
Speaker 2: They're both great plays, for sure. The leverage is actually
19:04
Speaker 2: gonna be going to the starters here Kyron Williams and
19:06
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift. Nobody's gonna want to click these guys at
19:08
Speaker 2: ninety two hundred and eight k over the receiving games
19:11
Speaker 2: and the quarterbacks and even Loveland in that similar price point.
19:14
Speaker 1: So I think that's a great option.
19:17
Speaker 2: Is both these running backs are are gonna get overlooked
19:20
Speaker 2: in the flex, probably.
19:21
Speaker 1: For a good reason.
19:22
Speaker 2: But again, we don't know what's gonna happen in this game.
19:25
Speaker 2: It's a one game sample, and I'm just playing with
19:27
Speaker 2: the field is doing. And I think Kyron Williams and
19:30
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift they're both great options in the flex, and
19:35
Speaker 2: I think the field is just gonna kind of bypass
19:37
Speaker 2: them a little bit just due to roster construction wise,
19:39
Speaker 2: So I like all four running backs definitely. Manungai and
19:42
Speaker 2: Blake korm are two of the most popular guys in
19:44
Speaker 2: the state for good reasons. Their props aligned, their projections
19:47
Speaker 2: are there, and the prices differences compared to the starters there.
19:51
Speaker 2: So again, you could could flip it and just see
19:54
Speaker 2: go with more of Kyron and DeAndre Swift and get
19:58
Speaker 2: get different that way, because I think they're gonna come
20:00
Speaker 2: in under own to potentially what their upside could be here.
20:04
Speaker 1: So don't don't have much more to say about that.
20:07
Speaker 2: Jumping over to the wide receivers here, Pooka DeVante Adams
20:10
Speaker 2: obviously great options. Davante Adams had three thousand dollars cheaper
20:15
Speaker 2: in the flex than Pooka nakua I don't love that,
20:18
Speaker 2: to be honest.
20:19
Speaker 1: In the flex.
20:20
Speaker 2: Outside of Stafford type captain builds, I'd probably rather just play.
20:26
Speaker 1: It's tough with both of these guys. I mean, Pooka
20:28
Speaker 1: can get there on the floor alone.
20:30
Speaker 2: Davante seems like TD or bust, and if he is
20:33
Speaker 2: getting the touchdowns, I probably prefer him more up in
20:35
Speaker 2: the captain and just say he's getting all the way there,
20:37
Speaker 2: he's gonna get two touchdowns, pick up whatever else he does,
20:41
Speaker 2: and that's enough. Up top. Pooka I think is fine
20:44
Speaker 2: in both obviously, just with the floor that he displays.
20:47
Speaker 2: His props are off the chart here in this game
20:49
Speaker 2: for sure. Obviously it's a great matchup against Chicago. I
20:52
Speaker 2: mean he's got a ninety six and a half receiving
20:54
Speaker 2: prop that's forty yards forty yards higher than anyone else
20:57
Speaker 2: on this forty three yards excuse me, higher than Adams
21:00
Speaker 2: and then Lovelin's sitting there at fifty five and a half,
21:02
Speaker 2: so I mean he's forty yards clear of anyone else.
21:06
Speaker 1: Reception, same thing. I mean he's got a seven and
21:08
Speaker 1: a half reception prop juice to the over in this game.
21:11
Speaker 1: So I'm not saying anything you guys don't know right.
21:14
Speaker 2: Pooka is a great option, but Devanta Adams at nine
21:17
Speaker 2: k does feel a little steep. Both these guys are
21:19
Speaker 2: are great. I want to talk about the Bears, Roma
21:23
Speaker 2: Dunday and Dj Moore are gonna get overlooked here for
21:26
Speaker 2: for sure. Everyone's just gonna click that fifty six hundred
21:28
Speaker 2: dollars Luther Burden or click the coastin Lovelin in that
21:33
Speaker 2: same range at seventy two hundred over Roalma Doonsday and
21:36
Speaker 2: Dj Moore. Dj Moore is having a hell of a
21:38
Speaker 2: hell of a postseason here. I get it, he is
21:41
Speaker 2: boom or bust.
21:42
Speaker 1: But I think my.
21:44
Speaker 2: Biggest, biggest leverage play on the slate it's gonna be Romadonsay.
21:49
Speaker 2: I think he's just gonna come in. He's gonna be.
21:52
Speaker 1: Good to go, and why not lean on on your
21:55
Speaker 1: highly highly.
21:58
Speaker 2: Valuable right rookie here in the Duneesa overall, so he's
22:03
Speaker 2: sandwich like I talked about, right between Loveland and Burden,
22:07
Speaker 2: who's gonna be more popular? And I mean we've seen
22:10
Speaker 2: Rome have have crazy games, It's been some time since
22:12
Speaker 2: he has. But at seven k, especially in Caleb captain
22:15
Speaker 2: builds or just as a different roster constructions. I mean,
22:18
Speaker 2: the dude's gonna be ten, ten to twelve percent owned.
22:20
Speaker 2: I'll take a chance and be overweight on that. With
22:23
Speaker 2: the talent and the upside he displays. DJ Moore kind
22:25
Speaker 2: of fits that same same script there. I mean, look
22:28
Speaker 2: at their projections seven point six, seven point nine. You
22:30
Speaker 2: got Luther Burden projected for a full point point in
22:33
Speaker 2: some change higher than both of them, and he's fifty
22:36
Speaker 2: six hundred, So not much more to say with with
22:39
Speaker 2: the With the receivers there, my favorite value play is
22:42
Speaker 2: gonna be Zavier Smith if I'm taking a shot on
22:45
Speaker 2: one of them, just because he's running the third three
22:48
Speaker 2: wide receiver sets for the Rams for majority of those
22:53
Speaker 2: when he's out there. He ran round on fifty percent
22:56
Speaker 2: of the dropbacks last week. Didn't get a target, but
22:58
Speaker 2: again he's gonna be on the field and all it
23:01
Speaker 2: takes is one one shot, So I don't mind some
23:03
Speaker 2: some Xavier Smith down there. In terms of the ancillary
23:06
Speaker 2: guys for for the the Bears, I'm not really dabbling
23:10
Speaker 2: outside of Burden, Dj Moore and Roma Donde. I mean,
23:13
Speaker 2: if you want to take a stab at Sakia is
23:14
Speaker 2: just because he's twenty eight hundred, he's gonna be unowned.
23:17
Speaker 2: I'd probably rather prefer that in like Cale Williams type
23:20
Speaker 2: captain builds as a way to boost Caleb overall point
23:24
Speaker 2: production with with a guy like that, because because he's
23:27
Speaker 2: gonna be under own, not really gonna mess with with
23:29
Speaker 2: any of these other guys. So let's jump over talk
23:32
Speaker 2: tight Ends here. Let me get receivers off the screen.
23:36
Speaker 2: Tight Ends Loveland fantastic play prop suggests he's got the
23:40
Speaker 2: best receiving prop on the slate for the Bears. He's
23:43
Speaker 2: got a five receptions prop again, fifty six and a
23:47
Speaker 2: half receiving prop. Heavily been been heavily involved down the
23:50
Speaker 2: stretch the last I don't know, four or five weeks
23:53
Speaker 2: plus plus the playoffs so far, Loveland great options, seventy
23:57
Speaker 2: six hundred.
23:57
Speaker 1: He's gonna be played as such.
23:58
Speaker 2: That's why I'm talking about the last verge with guys
24:01
Speaker 2: like DJ Moore and Roma Dunese there but Loveland.
24:03
Speaker 1: Not much more to say about him. Parkinson and Higbee Parkinson.
24:10
Speaker 1: I think it's good. I just I don't know how
24:14
Speaker 1: much I love these guys.
24:15
Speaker 2: I prefer more in kind of captain type builds with
24:20
Speaker 2: with the quarterbacks or just taking a stand with with
24:23
Speaker 2: the lower own guys, which are both gonna be I
24:26
Speaker 2: mean they're both gonna be right around that twenty percent range.
24:29
Speaker 2: The one guy I think that nobody really wants to
24:32
Speaker 2: click on at all is Cole Comett. We've seen Cole
24:35
Speaker 2: Comett still be involved in this offense again, kill Williams
24:38
Speaker 2: type captain bills.
24:39
Speaker 1: Cole Comet's another guy that fits that script.
24:41
Speaker 2: I prefer him more so than a guy like Zakias,
24:44
Speaker 2: but I think he's fine as well.
24:48
Speaker 1: This is where the value is gonna come from outside
24:49
Speaker 1: of Loveland.
24:50
Speaker 2: I mean, Parkinson Higbee are thirty six and thirty two
24:53
Speaker 2: hundred and three K for Comet, twenty six hundred for Ferguson.
24:56
Speaker 2: Don't really love Ferguson a ton, but again I think
24:59
Speaker 2: he's he He's fine. Much prefer Higbee of all of
25:02
Speaker 2: them over there over the rest, and then uh Loveland,
25:06
Speaker 2: but I think Comet would be my third favorite tight
25:08
Speaker 2: end in general, behind.
25:11
Speaker 1: Loveland and Higbee.
25:14
Speaker 2: The four I really want to play are Higbee, Parkinson, Loveland,
25:17
Speaker 2: and Comett. Not messing with the other guys too much
25:20
Speaker 2: takes us to kickers and defenses here Meavis great kicker,
25:26
Speaker 2: Santos great kicker. Bears are more than willing.
25:28
Speaker 1: To kick field goal. Same thing with the with the Rams.
25:31
Speaker 2: Here, I think both kickers are good and provide a
25:33
Speaker 2: nice floor overall, and you can avoid uh some some
25:37
Speaker 2: of that.
25:39
Speaker 1: Some some of that value range.
25:40
Speaker 2: They're both gonna be owned as such twenty five and
25:44
Speaker 2: in playoffs you can see teams take the points more
25:46
Speaker 2: so a lot of times right than go for it.
25:49
Speaker 2: So I think both kickers have a good floor here
25:50
Speaker 2: five K forty eight hundred. They're both fine for me
25:54
Speaker 2: defenses that don't love a ton, but neither does the
25:56
Speaker 2: field right. They're gonna be sub ten percent out on
25:58
Speaker 2: the slate. I think if I wanted to play one,
26:01
Speaker 2: I'd lean more so on the Bear side, just because
26:03
Speaker 2: the Bears have forced a bunch of turnovers all year.
26:07
Speaker 2: I think they lead the league in forced in turnovers, interceptions, fumbles,
26:11
Speaker 2: things like that.
26:12
Speaker 1: And not only that the field is going so.
26:14
Speaker 2: Heavy on four to two RAMS type builds taking a
26:17
Speaker 2: shot on a thirty four hundred dollars Bears defense over
26:20
Speaker 2: all of those tight ends and all that ownership in
26:22
Speaker 2: that range that Parkinson Higbee, those guys are all gonna
26:25
Speaker 2: get played significantly higher clip than the Bears defense here.
26:29
Speaker 2: I think the Bears defense is a little bit sneaky here.
26:33
Speaker 2: Rams defense is fine, but forty four hundred is much
26:36
Speaker 2: much harder pill to swallow than thirty four dollars defense.
26:40
Speaker 2: So defenses don't really have a strong stand one way
26:44
Speaker 2: or the other. I'm not gonna take much to get
26:46
Speaker 2: over the field that I think the Bears defense are
26:48
Speaker 2: is pretty sneaky here.
26:49
Speaker 1: Overall, that's pretty much the slate here. Again, did my
26:54
Speaker 1: best to walk through it here.
26:56
Speaker 2: It's at a little tricky on a one man booth,
26:58
Speaker 2: but again it's pretty pretty cut and dry on how
27:02
Speaker 2: this how the field is going to build. At least
27:04
Speaker 2: projections wise, it's gonna be Pooka up top four to
27:06
Speaker 2: two rams heavy. Stafford is gonna lead the flex over
27:10
Speaker 2: Caleb for sure.
27:11
Speaker 1: So like all the things I.
27:13
Speaker 2: Talked about earlier, right, going Pooka up top with Caleb
27:16
Speaker 2: over Stafford in the flex, things like that, or avoiding
27:19
Speaker 2: the Manung guys and the Blake Korums and just building
27:23
Speaker 2: a different roster construction if that means you have to
27:26
Speaker 2: get off one of the quarterbacks and not play both quarterbacks.
27:29
Speaker 2: Things like that, little things that get different. I think
27:31
Speaker 2: is gonna be the way to the top here tonight.
27:33
Speaker 2: But overall, hoping for some more good football here, hoping
27:36
Speaker 2: for a good game, good back and forth. I like
27:39
Speaker 2: both these teams offensive wise. Both the teams defenses are
27:42
Speaker 2: pretty poor, so I think we see points regardless of
27:45
Speaker 2: the cold weather here. I don't think it affects it
27:46
Speaker 2: too much. I'm not really too afraid of the wins.
27:49
Speaker 2: Ten to fifteen min hours sustained is not great. Gust
27:52
Speaker 2: are probably gonna be twenty plus, but again not too worrid.
27:55
Speaker 2: In general, I think both of these teams are are
27:59
Speaker 2: very well capable to move the ball at will, and
28:02
Speaker 2: overall I think broke it down pretty good.
28:04
Speaker 1: Good luck tonight in those contests.
28:06
Speaker 2: Hope to see those shipping nation logos up at the
28:09
Speaker 2: top and end this divisional weekend with with a little
28:13
Speaker 2: shipper here, so without further ado, we're out of here.
28:16
Speaker 1: Good luck tonight.
28:17
Speaker 2: Hope again, let's uh, let's ship all the money and
28:21
Speaker 2: hopefully you're having a good, good four game slate as well,
28:24
Speaker 2: and uh a good PGA sweat down the stretch love
28:26
Speaker 2: this time of the year for sports. I will be back,
28:29
Speaker 2: I believe next Sunday as well to break down the
28:33
Speaker 2: the Showdown game. Whether it is going to be the
28:35
Speaker 2: winner of the Patriots and the Texans versus the the
28:40
Speaker 2: Broncos in the late window, or the winner of this
28:43
Speaker 2: game versus the Seahawks and the late game one way
28:45
Speaker 2: or the other. Well, we'll be back to break down
28:47
Speaker 2: that as well.
28:49
Speaker 1: But that's it. I'm out here.
28:51
Speaker 2: Good luck like I talked about, and uh again, hope
28:53
Speaker 2: everyone ships all the money, peace
29:06
Speaker 1: And