Latest / Investor Exchange / Oiltek Secures $350M Contract To Build Sustainable Aviation Fuel Plant In Sabah
Transcript
- 0:05Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally. Right now, somewhere in Malaysia,
- 0:10massive vats of leftover French fry oil and palm waste
- 0:15are literally being chemically engineered to fly commercial airliners.
- 0:19Yeah, it is a completely wild reality when you actually think about it. It really is.
- 0:23And, you know, because of that strange sort of science fiction reality,
- 0:27one relatively under the radar engineering firm just saw its project pipeline
- 0:31quintuple, like practically overnight.
- 0:34Right. So today on The Deep Dive, we're taking a very close look at a research
- 0:37report from Phillips Securities Research.
- 0:39The subject is an engineering company called OilTech International.
- 0:42And we are looking at them because they just secured a massive,
- 0:46potentially game-changing infrastructure contract.
- 0:48Exactly. And we really need to evaluate exactly what this means for investors.
- 0:51We are going to dig into the mechanics of their financial performance.
- 0:55Their valuation, and the very real risks hiding in the fine print.
- 1:00It is a phenomenal case study, really, in how macroeconomic shifts,
- 1:05like the global push for alternative energy, suddenly materialize on a single
- 1:10company's balance sheet. Okay, let's unpack this.
- 1:12I mean, it is not every day you see a company's order book spike by five times
- 1:16practically overnight.
- 1:18No, it is not. And the entire premise of this specific research update revolves
- 1:22around a single mega project.
- 1:24Yeah. So Oil Tech has just signed an agreement to construct a facility in Sabah,
- 1:28Malaysia, valued at 350 million United States dollars. Wow. Yeah.
- 1:34This facility is specifically designed to produce sustainable aviation fuel.
- 1:39If it is finalized, it sets the stage for a dramatic structural transformation
- 1:44in the company's financial trajectory over the next three years.
- 1:47Right. So to really grasp the financial buzz in this report,
- 1:50you first need to visualize the concrete and steel.
- 1:53Just reading, you know, a massive dollar amount on a page makes it easy to miss
- 1:57the physical reality of what they are actually building.
- 2:00Oh, absolutely. They have signed what is called a heads of agreement with a
- 2:03company named BioSiega Industries to construct this plant.
- 2:07And the scale here is, it is staggering.
- 2:09The output alone tells you how significant this is. The proposed facility is
- 2:13designed to produce 300 metric tons per day of sustainable aviation fuel. Which is huge.
- 2:19And to put the financial value into local context, that 350 million United States
- 2:25dollars translates to approximately 1.4 to 1.6 billion Malaysian ringgit. Exactly.
- 2:31This is not a moderate incremental addition to their existing pipeline.
- 2:36Once construction actually begins, it will take about two and a half years of
- 2:40continuous engineering to complete.
- 2:41On top of that, it will be only the third facility of its exact kind in all
- 2:46of Malaysia. And the research highlights that they are not just coming in to
- 2:50do the plumbing or pour the foundation.
- 2:52Oil Tech is the exclusive contractor for the entire project.
- 2:55They are doing everything.
- 2:56Yeah, everything from the pretreatment facilities to the actual production plant
- 3:00to the tank farms and even the complex logistics and partial blending infrastructure.
- 3:05Right. It is the difference between being a mechanic hired to fix a broken car
- 3:08engine and being hired to design the very first factory that builds a completely
- 3:13new type of engine from scratch.
- 3:15That is a great way to put it. I mean, imagine a successful local bakery suddenly
- 3:19getting an exclusive contract to supply every single supermarket in the country.
- 3:24How does a company actually digest a five-fold increase in their order book
- 3:28to 1.75 billion Malaysian ringgit?
- 3:32Well, what is fascinating here is that oil tech isn't just taking on a big job.
- 3:36They are strategically cementing themselves as the go-to engineers for a highly
- 3:41specialized future-facing infrastructure.
- 3:44Building a moat. Exactly.
- 3:46When a company takes on an exclusive contract of this magnitude covering the
- 3:50entire life cycle of a plant's construction, they are building a massive intellectual property moat.
- 3:56They are proving to the global market that they can handle the immense complexity
- 3:59of processing alternative fuels at an industrial scale.
- 4:03Right. Because turning cooking oil into jet fuel isn't just filtering out the stray French fries.
- 4:07What are they actually building the machinery to do? Mechanically,
- 4:11the plan has to execute a really rigorous, multi-step chemical process.
- 4:15First, the pre-treatment phase has to strip out all the water,
- 4:18the solids, and the metallic impurities from the raw waste oils.
- 4:22Okay, so cleaning it all up. Right.
- 4:24Then, the machinery has to perform hydroprocessing, which involves introducing
- 4:28hydrogen under extreme heat and pressure to break the molecular bonds of the waste oils.
- 4:34Oh, wow. Yeah. It essentially reshapes them into hydrocarbon chains that perfectly
- 4:39mimic traditional jet fuel.
- 4:41Building the pressurized reactors and safety systems to handle that volatile
- 4:44chemical process continuously at 300 metric tons a day. Well,
- 4:50it requires absolute engineering precision.
- 4:52Which completely explains the two-and-a-half-year construction timeline.
- 4:56But building intellectual property at this scale isn't cheap.
- 4:59And the financial expectations tied to this physical construction are honestly staggering.
- 5:04They really are. The projections from Philips Securities Research forecast that
- 5:07oil tech's revenues will jump from about 211 million Malaysian Ringgit in the
- 5:122025 financial year to nearly 909 million Malaysian Ringgit by 2027. That is massive growth.
- 5:19It is more than a fourfold increase in revenue in roughly 24 months.
- 5:22And importantly, the analysts expect that top-line revenue growth to translate
- 5:26directly to the bottom line.
- 5:28They project the earnings per share will grow from 2.7 Singapore cents to 11.3
- 5:33Singapore cents in that exact same time frame. Okay, let me piece something
- 5:37together here, because the report also forecasts their return on equity to hit 69.4% by 2027.
- 5:43For anyone tracking the heavy construction sector, a return on equity nearing
- 5:4770% is almost unheard of.
- 5:49That means for every dollar of shareholder money sitting in the business,
- 5:53they are generating an astonishing 70 cents of profit.
- 5:57Yes. They cannot possibly be funding a project this massive by issuing huge
- 6:01amounts of new stock or pouring in their own equity, right? Right.
- 6:05The mechanics of a return that high suggest they must be building this primarily
- 6:09with other people's money.
- 6:10You have hit on the exact financial mechanism driving that number.
- 6:13The reason their capital efficiency looks so explosive is because of how they
- 6:17structure their financing.
- 6:19They are funding this massive expansion largely through customer deposits and
- 6:22credit from their suppliers, rather than issuing new shares and diluting the equity pool. Oh, I see.
- 6:28Yeah, when you generate massive profits without having to expand the underlying
- 6:32equity base, your return on equity skyrockets.
- 6:36And the company already has a solid foundation before this project even starts.
- 6:39The report notes they're sitting on a 100 million Malaysian ringgit net cash balance.
- 6:47Which is a very healthy safety net. Right. And because of that cash buffer and
- 6:50these astronomical growth projections, analysts have more than doubled their
- 6:54target share price, moving it from 1.18 to 2.72 Singapore dollars.
- 6:58That is a huge jump. It is, but I have to play the skeptical investor here and
- 7:03push back on this valuation.
- 7:04Wait, analysts are pricing them at a 50% premium compared to similar listed
- 7:08engineering peers in Malaysia?
- 7:10Is that massive premium genuinely justified by the mechanics of this one deal.
- 7:14Or are investors just getting caught up in the green energy hype?
- 7:18Well, in the financial markets, a 50% premium means investors are actively willing
- 7:22to pay significantly more for every dollar of earnings this company generates
- 7:27compared to its direct competitors.
- 7:28But there is a strong, fundamental argument for why it is justified here.
- 7:33First, you have explosive revenue growth that is legally contracted,
- 7:37provided, of course, the final deal is executed.
- 7:39Right, right. Second, as you pointed out, a return on equity approaching 70%
- 7:43indicates supreme capital efficiency.
- 7:46And finally, that 100 million Malaysian ringgit cash balance acts as a vital safety net.
- 7:54Meaning they have the liquidity to mobilize work crews, order specialized materials,
- 7:58and begin the early stages of this giant project without immediately taking
- 8:02on suffocating high interest debt from the banks.
- 8:04Exactly. But, you know, that 50% premium is only justified long term if this
- 8:08isn't just a one-off project.
- 8:10Let's look at the macroeconomic forces driving this demand in the first place. Let's do it.
- 8:14Right now, sustainable aviation fuel currently makes up only 0.6% of global jet fuel consumption.
- 8:21On the surface, that sounds like a niche, almost irrelevant market share.
- 8:25It is tiny right now, but the trajectory is what matters to institutional investors.
- 8:29The research points out that demand is expected to grow at a massive 46% annual
- 8:34growth rate all the way through the year 2030.
- 8:37Yeah, going from 0.6% to broader global adoption requires a monumental structural
- 8:43shift in physical infrastructure.
- 8:45You need hundreds of these plants worldwide to meet that demand.
- 8:49And here's where it gets really interesting. We talked about the raw materials earlier.
- 8:52They are literally turning leftover french fry oil and palm oil mill waste into jet fuel.
- 8:57It is amazing chemistry. But once the fuel is chemically produced in Malaysia,
- 9:01the report notes it is going to be exported to Brunei.
- 9:04Why send it there instead straight to an airport?
- 9:06Well, Brunei has heavily established oil and gas infrastructure,
- 9:10particularly for refining, storing, and blending fuels.
- 9:13Due to that geographic proximity and existing logistical setup,
- 9:18the sustainable fuel will likely be blended with traditional jet fuel in Brunei
- 9:23and then exported to major aviation markets like Japan and South Korea.
- 9:27Because they have strict mandates to incorporate greener fuels but lack the
- 9:31domestic agricultural waste to produce it themselves.
- 9:33Precisely. It is a brilliant supply chain.
- 9:36But I have to ask, is this sudden global rush towards sustainable fuels driven
- 9:41purely by environmental mandates now?
- 9:44Or is it a strictly economic mission for airlines? If we connect this to the
- 9:48bigger picture, it is currently a perfect storm of both pressures colliding.
- 9:51The research highlights a massive economic driver.
- 9:55Traditional jet fuel prices have essentially doubled since the onset of the
- 9:58war in Iran. Doubled. Wow. Yes.
- 10:01When traditional fossil fuels become that wildly expensive, and when geopolitical
- 10:06conflicts constantly threaten supply chains, alternative fuels suddenly become
- 10:10highly competitive. Right.
- 10:12So it is no longer just an environmental public relations exercise for airlines.
- 10:15It is a desperate need for energy security and price stability.
- 10:19Exactly. The global airline commitments ensure the long-term demand is there,
- 10:23while the high cost of traditional fuel ensures the profit margins remain highly
- 10:28attractive for the producers.
- 10:29And it seems like oil tech realizes they have leverage here.
- 10:32They're trying to position themselves
- 10:34to do more than just build the factories and hand over the keys.
- 10:38Oh, absolutely. The research mentions they are actively exploring opportunities
- 10:42to build recurring income.
- 10:44Instead of just getting a one-time payout for the construction phase,
- 10:48they are looking at taking actual ownership stakes in these sustainable aviation
- 10:52fuel plants and securing long-term maintenance contracts.
- 10:55Which fundamentally changes how investors view the stability of the company.
- 10:59A traditional heavy construction firm typically suffers from notoriously lumpy
- 11:04revenue. Boom and bust. Exactly.
- 11:06They recognize a massive influx of cash when they hit milestones on a big project,
- 11:11but then revenue falls off a cliff until they secure the next bid.
- 11:14By taking ownership stakes and locking in maintenance contracts,
- 11:18oil tech is attempting to smooth out those revenue valleys.
- 11:21They are trying to create a steady, predictable stream of recurring income that
- 11:26pays dividends for decades after the concrete has dried. Precisely.
- 11:30That structural shift to recurring revenue is a huge positive. Right. But,
- 11:34Every smart investor knows to look for the catch.
- 11:38Let's pivot to how they are actually paying for this $350 million build right
- 11:44now, because the financing strategy exposes a massive vulnerability.
- 11:48Yes, we need a reality check here. This deal looks perfect on a spreadsheet,
- 11:51but the research is very clear that the current arrangement is just a heads
- 11:55of agreement. Yes, and the distinction is critical.
- 11:58A heads of agreement is essentially a formal document outlining the main terms
- 12:02of a proposed partnership.
- 12:04Okay. It demonstrates serious intent from both parties, but it is heavily conditional.
- 12:09It is not the final legally binding construction contract. Right.
- 12:13The report says a definitive agreement still needs to be signed within the next six months.
- 12:17And the conditions attached to finalizing this deal are not minor administrative hurdles.
- 12:21Not at all. The final execution relies on Biosega securing massive project financing,
- 12:27obtaining various complex regulatory approvals from the government,
- 12:30and confirming long-term land rights. And agreeing on the final technical specifications.
- 12:35Any one of those hurdles could delay the project or alter the economics.
- 12:39Exactly. And let's look at the cash flow tightrope oil tech has to walk on their end.
- 12:44The report notes they're relying on internal funds, customer deposits,
- 12:48and credit from their suppliers to finance the actual construction.
- 12:51Which is incredibly delicate. Yeah.
- 12:53So what does this all mean if the financing hits a snag?
- 12:57Relying on customer deposits and internal cash for a $350 million project sounds
- 13:03like a serious tightrope walk.
- 13:04What happens if a major supplier suddenly changes their terms and demands payment in 30 days instead of 90?
- 13:10Or what if a milestone payment from the customer is delayed by a month due to
- 13:14an inspection issue? Exactly.
- 13:16Relying on supplier credit and deposits for a project of this magnitude sounds incredibly risky.
- 13:21This raises an important question, and it is the single biggest execution risk on the board.
- 13:27When you are using supplier credit to fund operations, you are essentially borrowing time. Right.
- 13:33If there is a mismatch between when oil tech has to pay for raw steel and specialized
- 13:38machinery and when they actually receive the next deposit from the client,
- 13:42the entire construction timeline could stall.
- 13:45Oof. Furthermore, the report mentions there is talk of listing the company on
- 13:49the Malaysian Stock Exchange, but the timing is completely unclear.
- 13:52Which leaves lingering questions about potential share dilution for current
- 13:56investors if they suddenly decide they do need to raise capital by issuing more stock.
- 14:01Exactly. So until the final ink dries on that definitive agreement and the funding
- 14:06is fully secured in the bank, that massive 1.75 billion Malaysian ringgit order
- 14:11book is really just a highly educated promise.
- 14:14Precisely. The potential upside of this mega deal is enormous and the engineering
- 14:19capabilities are clearly there. But the execution phase over the next 6 to 12
- 14:24months is the critical factor investors most watch.
- 14:27Until the final ink dries, you cannot just assume the revenue is already in the bank.
- 14:33We have covered some fascinating ground today, from the chemical mechanics of
- 14:37turning used cooking oil into commercial jet fuel to dissecting how a single
- 14:41infrastructure contract can quintuple a company's financial pipeline.
- 14:46It is a lot to take in. It is.
- 14:48But before we wrap up, think about the wider landscape for a second.
- 14:51If one under-the-radar engineering firm can see its order book explode by five
- 14:56times just from designing and building a single sustainable aviation fuel plant.
- 15:01What happens to the broader construction sector as the world races to hit that
- 15:0546% annual growth rate? That is the real question.
- 15:08Right. This transition requires entirely new logistical networks,
- 15:11specialized refineries, and waste collection infrastructure.
- 15:14Who are the other companies out there right now quietly building the shovels for this new gold rush?
- 15:19It is a complex and highly lucrative space to keep an eye on.
- 15:22The ripples of this single contract really highlight a much larger industrial
- 15:26wave that will be felt across multiple sectors for years to come.
- 15:29Thank you so much for joining us for this deep dive into the underlying numbers,
- 15:34the engineering mechanics, and the economic future of aviation fuel.
- 15:38We hope it gave you a sharper perspective on what is actually driving these
- 15:42massive market valuations.
- 15:43This content is intended to serve strictly and only as an informational,
- 15:47independent, objective summary of recent events and should in no way be interpreted.