Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 284 - 5/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 284 - 5/22/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 284 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:36
Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week is coming to an
0:40
end. Just got today, tomorrow and
0:42
then the weekend. And I am now one day closer to
0:44
my bachelor party. Not my bachelor party, but good
0:47
buddy of mine. So shout out to my guy Lars, who
0:50
I grew up with, live down the street for me, played baseball
0:53
with my whole life, got our first apartment in Boston
0:56
together after we graduated college.
0:58
But he's all grown up and he's getting married later this year
1:01
and we are going to a cabin in the middle of nowhere in
1:05
Vermont. So wish me luck.
1:07
I don't think they'll be any humans, but there could be some
1:09
bears. Unfortunately, it's going to be
1:11
rainy. Not a not a great time to be out
1:13
and about cuz we had all these plans for having some fires and
1:17
outdoor games, long game stuff like that.
1:19
But we'll make the most of it. But anyway guys, that's enough
1:22
about me. We got a lot of sports betting
1:24
to get to today. As always, we're going to talk
1:26
some sharp data-driven plays. I have a four pack of sweats for
1:29
you and we're going to stick with Major League Baseball.
1:31
I have 4 bets overall, three sides.
1:34
I do have a total, a total jumped out to me.
1:36
I don't bet a lot of totals because feels like when you're
1:39
on an under, the bullpen can blow for you.
1:41
When you're on an over, you know, the, the the bats go ice
1:44
cold. But this is a game for me where
1:45
everything was lining up almost perfectly.
1:48
So hey, hopefully we can get a winner with that one.
1:50
And then there's also a game tonight that I really like that
1:52
super sharp. But I mentioned it's rainy here,
1:55
or at least it is in New England.
1:57
I don't know if the Red Sox game will be played tonight.
1:59
So I do have a play on that, but that's looking like a pretty
2:01
rainy night at Fenway Park. So 4 pack, maybe 1 gets rained
2:05
out if it's a three pack. Let's try to go 2 and one or
2:08
better eek out a winning night. Now looking back to our last
2:11
night guys, that's exactly what we did.
2:12
Eeked out a winning night, 2 and 1 + 0.41 units.
2:17
Got a couple good wins there with the cubbies earlier in the
2:19
day. Had to scratch and claw, but I
2:21
got a run there late to win a 2 to one game.
2:23
And luckily our guy Palacios who throws like 100 was able to shut
2:27
the door because he blew the save for us earlier in the week
2:30
or that series. And then late night winner with
2:32
the Dodgers. Dodgers came through, they're
2:34
down 1. Nothing.
2:35
It looked like Corbin Burns was pretty much unstoppable,
2:38
unhittable. And then T Oscar Hernandez
2:40
absolutely crushed A3 run Homer to center field and he was like
2:44
6 or 7th inning. So I know my guy King Nebuchad
2:46
Netsar, I like that one. But Dodgers came through, Cubs
2:49
came through. Only loser was the Astros.
2:52
I really like the Stro's. And this is, This is why
2:54
baseball can be somewhat frustrating.
2:56
I was kind of hyping up Hunter Brown, who has incredible
3:00
numbers, and I saw him absolutely just light it up in a
3:03
one nothing loss to the Rangers. Wouldn't you know, Hunter Brown
3:06
gets lit up by the Rays. So what are you going to do?
3:09
But either way, guys, 2 and 1 + 0.41 units, a winning night.
3:13
We'll take that every time and we'll reinvest that into our
3:16
bankroll and try to have another winning day for today.
3:19
So that being said, let's get right after it.
3:21
Let's not waste any more time. Again, I know there's
3:24
WNBANHLNBA, but I don't want to force something in a sport that
3:28
haven't been getting breaks in lately.
3:30
So let's stick to a sport that's treated us pretty well this
3:32
season, which is MLB now. First game on the board for me.
3:36
I want to hit on a little bit of an afternoon sweat here. 3:35 PM
3:39
Eastern Time, we got the Angels facing the the Oakland Athletics
3:44
there. I did it again.
3:44
The Sacramento is now coming in this one.
3:47
We got the Angels, who are not going to lie red hot right now.
3:50
What do they want? Like six straight, they're 23
3:52
and 25 athletics. Meanwhile, 22 and 28, they're
3:56
going the other way. They've lost like six or seven
3:58
straight. So it seems like an obvious play
4:00
here. You know, just just take the
4:02
Angels in the spot. Now we have seen the line dip a
4:04
little bit to the Angels because the Athletics opened as high as
4:08
-150 they're now down to around -135 I didn't love the splits on
4:13
the Angels. So if you take a look at the
4:15
splits right now, if you're forcing me, you know, here,
4:17
here's the thing, I got to play here on the total.
4:19
But if you're looking at this game, I would lean toward the
4:22
Angels just because the line has moved in their direction again.
4:25
They were getting it one point like plus 135.
4:28
Now they're down to like plus 115.
4:30
But the splits worried me a little bit.
4:32
They're only getting half the tickets, but the A's are getting
4:35
2/3 of the money at DraftKings. And that circa you have 38%
4:39
bets, 69% bets, 69% dollars on the A's.
4:42
So the splits did not look good, even though the line look good
4:45
to the A's or toward the Angels, I should say.
4:48
But one thing that I kind of always look toward as if I see a
4:52
line move, I want the low bets, higher dollars to be moving
4:55
toward the team with a line move.
4:56
In this case, the splits look sharp on the A's, but yet the
4:59
line is going toward the Angels. So that's a layoff for me.
5:02
But I do again have a play on the total.
5:04
So I forgot to mention this. Let's talk about the pitching
5:07
match up here. The Angels are going to go with
5:09
the lefty Tyler Anderson. He's two and one three-point O 4
5:13
ERA this year. He'll be opposed by Luis
5:15
Severino, the righty. He's one and four 4.22 ERA this
5:19
year. Now split say A's line move
5:22
says, says Angels. But pretty consistently seen
5:26
some movement here and some liability and some sharp
5:29
movement toward the OVA. I'm room for some runs in this
5:32
one, guys. This total opens with the A's in
5:34
the athletics at 10. And we've seen the 10 get juiced
5:38
up over 10 -, 115 -, 120. And a lot of shops are even up
5:42
to 10 1/2. So the first thing jumped out to
5:44
me is, hey, we got line movement, juice liability toward
5:48
the over. Here's what I do like these
5:51
splits are all saying over. So if you'll get DraftKings,
5:54
only 44% bets, but 62% dollars are on the over.
5:58
And then at circa 75% bets, 97% dollars are on the over.
6:03
So mention the side the line says angels split, say A's.
6:08
To me, if they're not in the same direction, it's a layoff.
6:11
But in this case, juice movement as well as just overall
6:14
movement, 10s up to 10 and a halfs on the over and low bets,
6:18
higher dollar splits at both DraftKings and Circa on the
6:21
over. So now we're starting to build a
6:22
case here. Now if you dig into these
6:24
pictures a little bit, Andersons been good at home 2.51 era, but
6:28
on the road 3.74 era. Also, Severino, 6.75 ERA and
6:35
three May starts and he's been incredible.
6:37
Weirdly enough, he's been incredible.
6:39
On the road, 0.72 ERA, but at home 6.75 ERA.
6:44
So basically, Anderson's been worse on the road, Severino's
6:48
been bad in May and bad at home. Then we layer in some bullpen
6:52
stats here. Did you guys know these are two
6:54
of the three worst bullpens in baseball?
6:57
The Angels have a bullpen ERA of 6.66 that is dead last, the
7:01
worst in baseball. The A's have an ERA and the pen
7:05
of 5.69. That's the third worst.
7:07
So we got 2 pens here. Hopefully that will give up some
7:09
runs. We have two teams that are good
7:12
over teams. The Angels are actually the
7:14
third best over team in baseball.
7:15
They're 27 and 20 to the over 57% and the A's are 26 and 20 to
7:21
the over 56%. The 5th best over team.
7:25
And then little cherry on top here.
7:28
Remember, this is a kind of AI don't know a spot that we've
7:31
isolated earlier in the year and I kind of tailed off and I
7:34
didn't start playing it. I probably should have stuck
7:36
with it. But the Sacramento A's AAA
7:39
stadium overs, remember, this is not in Oakland.
7:43
This is in Sacramento. It's a AAA stadium as they wait
7:45
for their Las Vegas stadium to get built.
7:48
But did you know the 8 the overs in A's home games in this AAA
7:52
stadium, 16 and eight this year, 67 percent, 28% ROI.
7:58
And then again, another cherry on top, you're getting 2
8:01
cherries on the top of this Sunday.
8:03
We have weather that looks really good toward the over
8:06
because if you look at the weather in this one, it is going
8:11
to be wind blowing out around 10 miles an hour to dead center.
8:15
So this is always important to me.
8:18
And again, it's temperatures in like the mid 80s, so it's warm
8:21
and the winds blowing out. And I want to give a shout out
8:23
to Roto Grinders. They've always done a really
8:25
good job with their weather. If you just search Roto Grinders
8:28
weather, you'll get basically their their homepage and you can
8:32
just go to MLB. But this is what the write up
8:35
for the game is. And I like how they do a
8:37
color-coded forecast like, you know, red is really bad weather,
8:42
green looks good, yellow is kind of in the middle caution.
8:45
But the write up for this game, it says Angels at athletics
8:48
quote temperature in the 80s, winds blowing out at 10 mph.
8:53
We know weather matters in these AAA parks.
8:55
This is a bump for the bats. So I feel like we've built a
9:00
pretty strong case here, guys, to go over 10 now, it's very
9:03
important. There's some 10 and a halfs out
9:04
there, but there are some 10s. I was able to get over 10 -, 115
9:08
at FanDuel. But we got good splits to the
9:11
over. We got juice, liability and
9:13
overall movement to the over. 2 pitchers who have struggled a
9:16
bit home Rd. and they're in the month of May 2 bad bullpens, 2
9:20
over teams and over stadium, AAA stadium and wind blowing out.
9:24
So Long story short, I'm going to root for some runs.
9:27
I got the Angels and the A's over 10 at -115 Next one on the
9:33
board for you. Let's go to a 6:45 PM Eastern
9:35
Time. First pitch between the Atlanta
9:38
Braves and the Washington Nationals.
9:40
Now going into this one, this is the final game of a three-game
9:43
series. The Nats who are 22 and 27, they
9:46
won the opener 5 to 3, cashed as a + 145 home dog.
9:50
Then yesterday's game got rained out.
9:52
So this is actually the final game with three-game series, but
9:54
only the second game overall because of the rain out
9:57
yesterday. Now pitching match up here, the
9:59
Braves who are 524 and 24 waiting for Ronald Acuna to
10:03
rejoin the lineup, but they're going to go with the ready AJ
10:06
Smith Shauver. He's been good three and two
10:09
2.33 ERA this year. You know, all the Nats are going
10:12
to counter with fellow ready Trevor Williams.
10:15
He's two and five 5.91 ERA. What do we see across the
10:18
market? Well, some sharp money on
10:21
Atlanta to bounce back with a win and get a series split.
10:24
We've seen the Braves get steamed up around -145 -, 150
10:28
now up to around -160 I was able to get -154 with the Braves at
10:33
FanDuel. I still believe that might be
10:36
available to you guys if you want to play it.
10:37
So of course, shop around. But the splits look pretty good
10:41
on the Braves at DraftKings in particular. 79% of money line
10:45
bets, 86% of money line dollars on Atlanta.
10:48
So good low bets, higher dollars.
10:50
Pro and Joe split. I have 5 system matches lit up
10:53
on the Braves here. First one that jumped out to me
10:56
rested favorites coming off a day off.
10:58
So if you're favored and you didn't play yesterday, those
11:01
teams like the Brave spot here are 73 and 4065 percent. 5% ROI
11:06
this year when both teams are coming off a day off, which is
11:09
also the case here because of the rain out.
11:11
Take the favorite. That system is 49 and 2566% with
11:16
a 7% ROI. And then this one also matched
11:19
as well, favorites off a loss who made the playoffs the
11:22
previous year. Those teams are 95 and 5464%
11:27
with a 5% ROI. Dig a little deeper into these
11:29
pitchers. Smith, Shover, get this, let's
11:33
go. I hope it continues.
11:34
But he's got a 0.46 ERA and three May starts.
11:37
He's only given up one run in 19.2 innings pitched and the
11:41
Braves are five and O in his last five starts.
11:44
So I want to back Smith Shauver and I want to fade Trevor
11:47
Williams. Trevor Williams has a 6.32 ERA
11:50
and three May starts. He's given up eleven runs and
11:53
15.2 innings pitched. So a little bit of movement here
11:56
toward Atlanta. We have some good bet splits.
11:59
We got a bunch of system matches.
12:01
Looks like we have an advantage here.
12:02
Hopefully on the bump. I laid it with the Braves, let's
12:05
go Braves. I got him at -154 at FanDuel.
12:09
Next one for you. Another 6:45 PM Eastern Time,
12:12
first pitch. I'm worried this one's going to
12:14
get rained out, so maybe this is all for Naughty, but who knows,
12:17
maybe it clears up and gets better.
12:19
Let's go to Fenway Park, not too far from me and I got to tell
12:21
you, I'm looking out the window. My work from home, home studio
12:25
and it is pouring in. New England here, which I'm
12:27
happy about because I laid some grass seed down and my, my, my
12:30
yard's looking pretty green. So selfishly, I like the rain,
12:33
but I don't like it for tonight's game because this
12:35
could get rained out. But anyway, let's just talk
12:37
about this one and see if it gets played or not.
12:41
But anyway, we got the Orioles coming in 16 and 32.
12:44
Just a God awful start to their year.
12:46
Already fired their manager. Lost two or three against the
12:49
Brewers, but did avoid the sweep.
12:51
They won eight to four and yesterday's series finale cashed
12:54
as a - 1 O 5 Rd. dog. Meanwhile, the Red Sox 25 and
12:57
26. They just can't get to seem to
13:00
get any traction here, but they did take two or three again
13:02
against the Mets. Lost though, yesterday with
13:04
crochet on the bump, which is frustrating. 5 to 1 as a -, 150
13:08
home favorite. So pitching match up here for
13:11
tonight. Orioles are going to go with the
13:13
lefty Cade Povich. He's one and three 5.23 ERA.
13:17
Meanwhile, the Sox are going to go with the righty Lucas G Alito
13:20
one and one seven point O 8 ERA. He has not been great coming off
13:25
of Tommy John. What does the market told us?
13:28
Well, line movement toward Boston.
13:29
This game opened Red Sox on a -. 120 home favorite.
13:32
Baltimore around a plus one O 5 Rd. dog.
13:35
And we've seen the Red Sox now get steamed up to round -130 I
13:40
was able to pick off Boston at -126 at FanDuel.
13:43
So that's the number that I'll be sweating.
13:46
But I do like the splits on Boston.
13:48
At DraftKings, 81% bets, 82% dollars on the Red Sox.
13:52
At Circa, 73% bets 75% dollars on Boston.
13:56
So nothing huge, but both are kind of one way.
13:59
Pro and Joe Low bets higher dollar splits in favor of the
14:02
Red Sox. And then I have 6 system matches
14:05
on Boston when both teams are below 500, which is the case
14:08
here. Just take the favorites.
14:10
Very simple. But it's 55 and 29 this year. 66
14:13
percent, 6% ROI. Home favorites in the opening
14:18
game of a new series, they're 95 and or sorry, 94 and 5065
14:23
percent, 5% ROI. And then sweet spot home
14:26
favorites -130 to -150 playing an opponent who missed the
14:30
playoffs the previous year. Those teams are 33 and 1470%,
14:35
21% ROI. Red Sox do have some correlative
14:38
betting value. This is a low total game.
14:41
Partly is the weather. It's rainy, it's gross.
14:43
The wind's blowing in that total open.
14:45
I believe as high as 9 1/2 or 9. It's all the way down to 8 at
14:48
this point. But that would now qualify the
14:50
Red Sox as a favorite low total. So if your amount of expected
14:54
run scored more likely to come from quote UN quote, that
14:56
favorite better team that's expected to win.
14:59
Red Sox do have the better bats. They're hitting 252 this year,
15:02
62 homers, 240 runs scored. Orioles only hitting 232 with 56
15:08
homers and 183 runs scored. Now the Red Sox at home have
15:12
been good hitting wise. They're hitting 255.
15:15
That's 13th best in baseball. Orioles are only hitting 223 on
15:18
the road. That ranks 26th.
15:20
And the Red Sox are hitting 273 against lefties this year.
15:23
Facing Povich. That's the second best in
15:26
baseball. Home Rd. splits Red Sox 14 and
15:29
12 at Fenway. Nothing crazy, but above 500.
15:32
Baltimore's been really bad on the road, 8 and 17.
15:35
So again, maybe this handicap is for naughty because it's raining
15:38
and it looks like this might get rained out tonight, but it
15:40
hasn't gotten rained out yet. Shock socks look pretty sharp
15:44
with some good bet. Splits line movement system
15:46
matches, and I want to fade Baltimore on the road
15:49
especially. So I took Boston, got him at
15:51
-126 Last bit of the night, 8:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch
15:57
battle in the AL West. Let's go out to Houston where
16:00
the Astros are hosting the Seattle Mariners.
16:03
Now. The Mariners come in 28 and 20.
16:06
Just took two or three against the White Sox.
16:08
They won yesterday's series finale 6 to 5 as a -, 145 Rd.
16:11
favorite. Meanwhile, the Stroh's 25 and 24
16:14
Just dropped two or three against the Rays.
16:16
Don't remind me. I played them yesterday.
16:18
They lost 8 to 4 as a - 165 Rd. favorite.
16:21
Also beat the closing line yesterday.
16:24
I'm not Houston and again, that's just a insult to injury
16:27
there. But anyway, let's turn the page
16:29
today we have the series opener of this series with the Mariners
16:32
going with George Kirby, the righty.
16:34
He's actually making his season debut.
16:37
He was hurt, but he's been really good first three years in
16:40
the league. Last year he went 14 and 11 with
16:43
a 3.53 ERA. You know all the Strohs are
16:46
going to go with the righty Lance Mccullers, who struggled.
16:49
He's ON one 7.8 ERA. So what have you seen across the
16:53
market? Well, this game opens Seattle
16:55
around a - 120 - 125 Rd. favorite Houston around a + 110
17:00
+ 115 home dog. And we've seen nothing but
17:03
movement in favor of Seattle. Seattle open -125 ish.
17:08
Now they're up to -135. Some shops even as high as -140.
17:13
I got Seattle at -134 at FanDuel, but I really like the
17:17
splits on Seattle. Mariners are getting 62% bets,
17:21
63% dollars at DraftKings, which is basically just very slight
17:25
public support, but in particular at circa 67% bets,
17:29
99% dollars. So a really sharp low bets
17:33
higher dollar split out in Vegas on on Seattle.
17:37
It's also notable to me that again, you got Kirby coming out
17:40
for his first start. You know, you would say, oh, is
17:42
he rusty? Is he not ready?
17:43
No looks like sharps are actually banking on him or
17:46
backing him in the spot now. Sweet spot favorites -130 to
17:50
-150 playing an opponent who missed the playoffs, which would
17:53
match with the Mariners here. They're 40 and sorry to made the
17:57
playoffs. I don't know if I said that.
17:59
They're 40 and 2562 percent, 6% ROI this year.
18:04
Mariners do have the more explosive bats.
18:06
Let's hope Cal rally and you know, Julio Rodriguez and the
18:09
crew can get two Mccullers. But they've hit 66 homers,
18:13
scored 227 runs. Astros have only hit 45 homers
18:17
and scored 195 runs. Seattle's been good as a road
18:21
favorite this year, 8 and 373 percent, 28% ROI.
18:25
And maybe This is why we've seen some movement toward Kirby.
18:28
But he faced the Astros four times last year.
18:30
Remember, they're in the division In all four of those
18:33
starts, he only gave up one run. So literally four starts gave up
18:36
four runs. So he hopefully has their number
18:38
here tonight. But Kirby's back, we got good
18:41
sharp steam. Great bet.
18:43
Splits out at Circa. Couple good system matches.
18:46
I'm going to back Kirby in this spot, so give me Seattle again.
18:49
Shop around. Some books are as high as -140 I
18:52
got Seattle at -134 so that about does it for episode 284 of
18:58
the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by
19:01
Rhythm. Of course.
19:02
This is the part of the pod where you wrap things up and I
19:05
start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
19:08
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
19:10
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
19:13
with me. As always, if you enjoy this
19:16
pod, win, lose or draw, you value the insights because
19:19
again, you can tell you can fade.
19:20
Hope you know there's a play I talked about.
19:22
I personally have vetted myself. I would never recommend a play
19:25
that I personally don't have skin in the game on.
19:29
But if you do enjoy the pod, do me a favor, give it a five star
19:32
review on Spotify or iTunes. That would go a long way to
19:35
helping us grow the pod. If there's a review opportunity
19:38
where you want to leave a nice comment, hey, I'll take that.
19:40
If you want to recommend the pod to a friend, word of mouth
19:43
always carries a lot of weight. And if there's a a button that
19:46
says follow on Spotify or iTunes, click that.
19:49
That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
19:52
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, you notice we
19:55
don't talk parlays, we don't talk.
19:57
Oh, I think I hope I I bet this will happen.
19:59
No, it's not about opinion because again, everyone's got
20:03
opinions, but they usually they're wrong and they're made
20:06
out, you know coming from biases.
20:08
But if you if you want to learn more about data-driven betting
20:10
and you've kind of seen. Some of the hopefully the
20:13
positive results of leaving your bias at the door and going off
20:16
of what the market is telling you, the numbers, the money, the
20:19
movement, and you want to learn more about data-driven betting.
20:22
Well, guess what? I wrote a book I'd love for you
20:24
guys. I've actually written two books,
20:26
believe it or not, but one is available to buy right now at
20:29
Amazon.com. Just type in the Everything
20:32
Guide to Sports Betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
20:34
friend. First book ever wrote.
20:36
Very proud of it and it's really geared toward brand new betters,
20:39
but especially intermediate betters.
20:41
Are people looking to break in the industry or maybe we're
20:44
betting but really don't have any blueprint or kind of, you
20:47
know, way or or line of attack. But it's got everything I've
20:50
learned in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they
20:53
move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how
20:56
to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
20:58
line, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
21:01
It's all included in the Everything Guide to sports
21:03
betting. So pick up the Everything Guide
21:05
and while you're at it, stay on Amazon.com and then type in the
21:08
NFL Sharp Betting Playbook. It's my new book.
21:12
My new baby comes out August 12th.
21:15
Cannot wait for that because I've been putting a lot of work
21:18
into it over three years at this point.
21:20
And if you guys would be kind enough to order a pre-order copy
21:24
of the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook, you would make me very
21:26
happy. You would make my publisher
21:28
triumph books very happy. But bring the everything guide
21:31
and the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook to the sports book.
21:34
I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
21:37
ale or truly or Diet Coke, whatever you want and I'll sweat
21:40
some games together. Get some nachos.
21:43
With that being said, also, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice
21:47
Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
21:48
apps because they're all about data.
21:50
No opinion, all about the numbers, which is right up my
21:53
alley. But if you haven't done it yet,
21:55
go to the App Store and type in Rhythm RITHMM.
21:59
They do a great job of powering this pod as well as giving us AI
22:02
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props
22:06
across the market. WNBA is live in the app.
22:08
Of course baseball's in the app NBA playoffs is in there.
22:12
Hopefully next year I'll have some NHL which would be even
22:14
better. But also you want to go download
22:17
juice reel while you're at it if you enjoy this pod.
22:20
I'm going to hold off the hat the tip jar.
22:22
This pod is free. It cost you nothing.
22:25
I would like to think this pod is worth a dollar a day to you.
22:28
If so, I would love for you guys to sign up to get the all
22:31
systems go best bet picks exclusively and only available
22:35
on Juice Reel. You can go to the buy sell tab,
22:38
bottom right corner of the app and click search and you just
22:41
search ASG under score podcast. Then you can sign up to get
22:44
those plays for $4.99 a week. Or you can just click the link
22:50
that I put out each day. I tweet it at Josh under score
22:52
Insights. You can get them there as well.
22:54
But after the all systems go official best bets available on
22:58
Juice Reel and I always appreciate that when you guys
23:00
sign up for that because again, hopefully you can beat some
23:03
closing numbers, but also you're going to get the robo Jackson
23:06
best bet picks, the official best bets that come from juice
23:08
rail. You get the sharp mush
23:10
indicators, the arbitrage plays shop for the best line futures.
23:13
You can sync up your sports books, get a running report card
23:16
of your action, keep you honest. You can also identify your
23:19
strengths and weaknesses. Also, you'll get those real
23:22
dollar breakdowns, actual dollars and bets for every game
23:26
spread money line and total based on people have synced up
23:29
their books with juice rail. So that's always pretty cool as
23:32
well. But download Rhythm, download
23:34
Juice Reel again, 2 great apps that help me win.
23:37
I'm pretty confident they're going to help you win next.
23:39
Do you have a live odds page? You need one if you're betting
23:43
on sports. You got to know all the games
23:44
available to you that day. You got to know the start times,
23:47
the live scoring. The live lines pop up once the
23:50
game gets going, but really importantly, before the game
23:53
starts to get the opening number for every game, the current
23:56
numbers across the market. You can see which direction the
23:58
line is moving. You can pull up the line
24:00
history, you can check out market setting books that move
24:03
and get highlighted in red, and then you can go bet the game at
24:06
a slow moving book that hasn't adjusted.
24:08
So live odds page, It really is the number one resource or a
24:12
piece of information or data that you need.
24:14
And I know there's a lot of live odds pages out there.
24:16
You hear me say it every pod, but the best one is odds logic.
24:20
You got to give odds logic a shot.
24:22
Odds logic is a clip clear, crisp interface updates in real
24:27
time. Again, I just love how simple is
24:30
kind of a bad words. It sounds like it through to
24:32
mentoring. No, it's just got everything
24:33
easy clean with all the best books.
24:36
You know, there's a lot of live odds pages that are maybe free,
24:39
but they're delayed and you don't know where the date is
24:41
coming from. They're offshores or The Who
24:43
knows where the bet splits are coming from.
24:45
But with with odds logic, you're going to get all the major
24:48
books, Pinnacle Circa Chris, you know, bet online, all the big
24:52
ones that you bet at as well. And I really don't know any
24:55
other live odds pages that give you the selection of books.
24:58
So give it a shot whether you need a live odds page or you
25:01
have one, but you know, maybe it's too expensive or it's
25:04
delayed. I would love for you guys to go
25:06
to this website oddslogic.com/josh 123.
25:12
Make sure you do the slash Josh 123 at the end.
25:14
That'll give you a 7 day free trial and then 50% off your
25:17
first month of service. So that about does it for
25:21
episode 284 of the ASG Pod Powered by Rhythm.
25:24
As always, I'm going to leave you with two things.
25:26
One whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
25:30
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods
25:32
or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
25:35
Boston or Plain Rich Park Casino or MGM Springfield are the Nash
25:39
and National New Hampshire in my neck of the woods, my local
25:41
sports book. Or of course, out in the desert
25:43
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends
25:46
his number runners with lowest juice possible is found at the
25:49
South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
25:52
stadium swimming pool. When you cash a big ticket at
25:55
Circa wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
25:57
You're going to show me a beautiful to Oscar Hernandez
26:00
three run bomb Dodgers ticket, a Cubbies ticket.
26:04
Guess what First one's on me. Next one's on you will post
26:06
about the book Sweat sharp contrarian plays all night long
26:10
as always, guys two and one one and two three and OO and three
26:14
great night, terrible night, winning night, losing night
26:16
grinding again previous day should never talk us into or out
26:20
of a good bet and we're always making plays based on our head
26:24
and not our heart based on what the market is telling us.
26:27
So we can stick to that model net blueprint, find games that
26:30
fit that philosophy against the public with the house with the
26:33
pros flat bet avoid parlays. Get that COV.
26:36
If we can do that, we're going to be successful better as long
26:39
term. So have a great thirsty
26:41
Thursday, everybody. See if we can get some winners
26:44
on the diamond. We'll see if the Red Sox game
26:45
gets rained out or not. Looking for some runs in the A's
26:48
game. Go Braves, go Mariners and guess
26:51
what? No what, no matter what happens,
26:54
hopefully it's a winning night. But regardless, we'll be right
26:57
back at it tomorrow for a big Friday edition.
26:59
That'll be episode 285 of the All Systems Go sports betting
27:03
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
27:07
great Thursday night.