Latest / Earn Your Leisure / September Stock Market Moves: Buy the Dip, Hold Reserves & Key Strategies for the Fall

Transcript

September Stock Market Moves: Buy the Dip, Hold Reserves & Key Strategies for the Fall · Earn Your Leisure

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• 1:51
  Speaker 3: What is.
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: The market advice for September based off of historical data?
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: September We're gonna make everything real simple.
• 2:03
  Speaker 4: We need all the complicated answers when the market moves
• 2:06
  Speaker 4: three and a half standard deviations. No, if the market
• 2:09
  Speaker 4: drops in August and September, we're going to buy in
• 2:12
  Speaker 4: August and September. Wisht I guess well on the months
• 2:16
  Speaker 4: when it's up in April and January, what we're gonna do.
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: We're going to buy in April and January. We're going
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: to put in chat. We're going to buy every month.
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: We are going to buy every single month. Now if
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: we have a dip, which we had a little bit
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: of a pullback. Some people were worried about bitcoin. You
• 2:32
  Speaker 4: shouldn't be. But the biggest lesson is to be able
• 2:36
  Speaker 4: to buy a certain amount of shares every month, regardless
• 2:39
  Speaker 4: of what the market is doing. That includes crypto. We're
• 2:43
  Speaker 4: hovering at like the one hundred and nine and some change.
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  Speaker 4: We should hit one oh seven or one oh six
• 2:49
  Speaker 4: on bitcoin. But the key is to buy every month.
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: And also the ratio of execution of buying is more
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: important than the ratio of information that you take in.
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: It's great to know all the information in the world,
• 3:03
  Speaker 4: but some of the people I've seen have the biggest
• 3:05
  Speaker 4: returns and the most amount of shares. They just buy
• 3:09
  Speaker 4: and don't look at all the information to say, Okay,
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: I know these are the four I'm going to invest in.
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: Like I was talking earlier, if you're in media, Microsoft
• 3:17
  Speaker 4: and video, Netflix.
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: Google, are the only four you needed?
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: Media?
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: Well, what about paramount extra plus out of the equation?
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  Speaker 4: Disney love Disney the corporation shout to everybody on an
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: executive for YadA YadA, But those.
• 3:32
  Speaker 3: Are the Big four.
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: Make it simple by every month, and if we have
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: a great pullback in September, it's your time to execu.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I figured you was going to go that route.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: I had buy, but I switched minds up. I put
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: have reserves, right, so make sure I know people invest
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  Speaker 1: in every month, but make sure you have money to
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: invest in.
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  Speaker 2: And so having reserve is important.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: We talked about the interest rates, and we'll know about
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: that in the next couple of weeks in this month,
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: but I think something that gets looked over, especially in
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: the future market, definitely in the options market, is quadruple witching,
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: which is going to happen this month. So it happens
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: in the third month of each quarter, the third week,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: so September nineteen circle.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: That on your calendars.
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  Speaker 1: On your calendars, that is an expiration date where all
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: simultaneously will expire. So the options markets will have expiration
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: dates on that date, futures markets, etf indexes, they all
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: have it around that time. And what you'll see is
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: people will sell to take profits, all right, So you're
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: going to see sometimes a down trend or a nice correction.
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  Speaker 2: I'll pull back around that time.
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  Speaker 1: But that's all part of the game, right, You're in
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: this to make money, and so when people make money
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  Speaker 1: and they take profits, this is what happens. And so
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  Speaker 1: circle that date September nineteenth. Around that week you might
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: see some volatility and that will happen at the same
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: time presumably when we'll know about the interest rate hike
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  Speaker 1: or you know, maybe not a hike.
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  Speaker 2: So it should be an interesting time. There will be
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: some volatility here.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: But have some reserves in the event either way, because
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  Speaker 1: like you said, you want to make sure that you're
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: getting at the right price, which is why you're inside
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: of stock club. But you want to make sure that
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: you're getting it for the long term, and so you
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: can get some really generational prices and keep them for
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: the long term.
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  Speaker 2: So have reserves. That would be my two words.
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  Speaker 4: Yeah, Spy gets back to six thirty eight forty five,
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: I said area I would like to potentially enter. And
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  Speaker 4: then also with quiet which and coming up, you want
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: to be out three or four days before the expiration.
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  Speaker 3: You don't want to hold them into that actual date.
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  Speaker 4: And I know sometimes it can be fearful to hold
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: for a long period of time. But when everyone says
• 5:35
  Speaker 4: I want to buy the dip from a mathematical standpoint,
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  Speaker 4: September in August will give you those entries. If you're
• 5:42
  Speaker 4: looking to hold for a long term five years, like
• 5:45
  Speaker 4: you won't even remember any draw downs or pullbacks that
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: you have. But September is a definitely a great time,
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  Speaker 4: especially going into the fourth quarter and into the Christmas rally. Yeah,
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  Speaker 4: and into January, you're going to be okay, hold for
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  Speaker 4: the long term.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: So anybody that's been with us and watching some of
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  Speaker 1: these contracts, tomorrow, I would have did it today if
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: the market was open, But tomorrow I'm gonna have to
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: exercise some of these contracts. I'm probably not going to
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: exercise them to add more shares. We'll probably take capital
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: and reinvests. So either we're going to do that, you know,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: we're doing something special fo VPS. I'm actually going to
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: probably show that during the class so people can see
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: what it looks like to sell an options contract.
• 6:23
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