Latest / Simply Bitcoin / $5.9T GIANT Launches NEW Bitcoin Retirement Product! | EP 1215
Transcript
- 0:00Yo, this $5.9 trillion giant Fidelity just dropped a new
- 0:05retirement product based entirely around Bitcoin.
- 0:09And Fidelity did this only days after they dropped a new report
- 0:14saying that the Bitcoin bull run is not over.
- 0:17Today we're not only going to be explaining why the third largest
- 0:20asset manager in the world launched a Bitcoin retirement
- 0:23product, but also some new data reveals why you could retire on
- 0:28much less Bitcoin than you think by 20-30.
- 0:32We also have a. Very special guest joining us
- 0:34today. We got NVK in the house.
- 0:37NVK is the CEO of Coin Kite. We recently just partnered with
- 0:41them. They make the best Bitcoin
- 0:43harder wallets in the game. NVK thank you so much for
- 0:46joining us today, bro. Hey, thanks for having me guys.
- 0:50So guys, let's jump straight into today's news regarding
- 0:54Fidelity. Fidelity introduces retirement
- 0:57accounts with minimal fee crypto investing.
- 1:01I don't know what that means, but we'll find out in a second.
- 1:03Fidelity Financial Services Company, with $5.9 trillion in
- 1:07assets under management, has introduced new retirement
- 1:10accounts that that will allow Americans to invest in crypto
- 1:14nearly fee free. The crypto Iras are offered by
- 1:19Fidelity Digital Assets, a subsidiary of Fidelity that has
- 1:22traditionally offered institutional investors the
- 1:25opportunity to buy and sell crypto.
- 1:27The broadening of its client base may be another signal of
- 1:30the changing crypto landscape in the United States, which has
- 1:33seen the adoption of a strategic Bitcoin reserve and multiple
- 1:39companies, including stablecoin issuer Circle, filing for
- 1:42initial public offerings. Fidelity states that for
- 1:45security, it holds the majority of its crypto in cold storage,
- 1:50which consists of crypto wallets not connected to the Internet.
- 1:54I want to get NB, KS thoughts on this as the in house cold
- 2:00storage manufacturing expert Rodolfo thoughts.
- 2:10Well, I mean, you know, it's like not your not your keys, not
- 2:14your coins. But listen, you know, I have no
- 2:17issues with any of this financialized Bitcoin products.
- 2:20It's great. Everybody that you don't like is
- 2:22going to be buying Bitcoin, including Fidelity.
- 2:26Maybe you like them, you know, like maybe that works for you.
- 2:28I don't give a shit anymore. It's like, you know, people
- 2:31should just get Bitcoin however they can and, and like, tell
- 2:36people who tell them that they're doing it wrong to go
- 2:39take a go take a hike. Yeah, I I love that, love that
- 2:43take. Do you have a take before I
- 2:44continue with the article? Well, I just find it.
- 2:47I mean, no, not not on the cold storage set up.
- 2:49That's why MV KS here. So let's keep going on the.
- 2:51Article All right. While the direct purchases of
- 2:54cryptocurrencies in an IRA has never been strictly prohibited,
- 2:58few IRA providers have allowed such purchases, according to
- 3:02Investopedia. Therefore, Fidelity's new Iras
- 3:05may signal a change change in the environment.
- 3:07Still, for enthusiasts of BTC and ETH, there have been other
- 3:13There have been other options since 2024.
- 3:16If you are, this is. Maybe I'm a little bit biased
- 3:18here, but if you are saving for retirement and ETH, you will
- 3:21definitely have fun staying poor anyways.
- 3:24Since the debut of those ETFs, investors in the US have been
- 3:28able to gain exposure to crypto markets from their retirement
- 3:32accounts. Depending on the brokerage,
- 3:34there has also been the rise of Bitcoin Iras which are
- 3:37self-directed retirement accounts that offer tax
- 3:40advantages. Some crypto companies offer
- 3:43digital asset specific Iras like BIT.
- 3:46IRA. Where individuals can add
- 3:48altcoin. Oh my God, I didn't even want
- 3:49this. It hurts me saying this.
- 3:51Anyways, the other thing I want to talk about on today's show,
- 3:54which was Fidelity's bringing up this report, you know, saying,
- 3:57listen, you can now for whatever reason, you could buy Bitcoin or
- 4:02whatever through Fidelity. You can use that to save for
- 4:05retirement. But the thing that I wanted to
- 4:08focus on today, the thing I wanted to touch on, the thing
- 4:10that Opti has not let me speak about for many months now, is
- 4:15like the topic that a lot of people are questioning, which is
- 4:18how much Bitcoin do you need to retire, right?
- 4:21Let's let's leave all the shit coining aside, right?
- 4:23So how much Bitcoin do you need to retire?
- 4:26I think that's the question. There is this BlackRock report
- 4:29that was released a couple days ago is the actual annual letter
- 4:33by Larry Fink and he's making the case that you need
- 4:36$2,000,000 in Fiat to retire. I don't know what that
- 4:39translates to in Bitcoin terms at the moment.
- 4:42Opti, if you could do the math real quick, and I have this
- 4:45handy dandy calculator, the Bitcoin Retirement Calculator,
- 4:50and allows you to plug in all the numbers that you wish.
- 4:54And we're going to plug in some numbers because I know you guys
- 4:57absolutely love this type of content.
- 4:59And there's something that I know, Rodolfo, you've said in
- 5:02the past many, many times, you should be storing your Bitcoin
- 5:06as if it was worth 10 times what it's worth today.
- 5:09Is that correct? Yeah, I mean, I, I think I
- 5:11repeat that like every time the price moves, it's like, you
- 5:15know, if the price is down, buy the dip, store the hardware
- 5:18wallet. If the price is moving up, just
- 5:20remember it, you know, because it, because it does happen,
- 5:23right? I mean, people by BTC, they
- 5:26finally take custody of it and then they forget that BTC on a
- 5:31phone, you know, and then five years later that Bitcoin is
- 5:34worth 10 times more and then they freak out or they lost the
- 5:37Bitcoin. It's very common.
- 5:39So, so yeah. So you know, like I always
- 5:43accompanied that with the link with the bitcoinsecurity.org.
- 5:47I try to keep it very simple there, you know, just just get
- 5:51your shit together because the price will go up.
- 5:54I love that yeah get your shit together because the price will
- 5:57go up and I think one of the things that you guys say over
- 6:00there at Coinkite is sleep sounds at night technology that
- 6:04I butcher it something along those light something along
- 6:07those lines. Sleep at night technology.
- 6:10Here's the website that Rodolfo was talking about.
- 6:12We're going to put it in the live chat.
- 6:14Also shout out to the live stream 729 live viewers so far.
- 6:17If you guys are enjoying the show, make sure to smash that
- 6:20like button. You guys are listening to simply
- 6:21Bitcoin live. Our guest today is NVK from Coin
- 6:25Kite. We're going to be talking all
- 6:26things Coin Kite during the culture segment.
- 6:28We'll get to that in just a second.
- 6:30But first we're going to ask the question, how much Bitcoin do
- 6:34you need to retire by 20-30? And Opti was doing the maths in
- 6:38the backgrounds and if we were taking the numbers from Larry
- 6:42Fink, he says you need roughly $2,000,000 to retire.
- 6:45That equates to 24 Bitcoin in today's, you know, with an
- 6:5081,000 or $82,000 Bitcoin. So we're going to plug all of
- 6:54this into this and if you guys have some numbers as well, put
- 6:58it in the chat and we'll put it into the calculator.
- 7:01So it says amount of Bitcoin you huddle, we're going to go to
- 7:04what was it 24, right, Opti 24 and life expectancy, let's say
- 7:1285. We're going to keep it at 85
- 7:14current age, let's say 35 annual estimated buy, How much, how
- 7:21much Bitcoin is people buy? Let's say I'm not.
- 7:25Let's say $100. So you're not buying any?
- 7:27Let's say $100 a month, $100 a month.
- 7:30So what is that $1200, right? I'm going to, I'm going to ask
- 7:35this, I'm going to ask MBK this question.
- 7:37NBK What is the price annual growth of Bitcoin percentage
- 7:42wise? I think it's 30% year over year
- 7:45for the last 15 years or something.
- 7:47You think it'll be like that moving forward?
- 7:51OK, listen, you know if you want to, if you want to cut 30% off
- 7:55of that, just do 20%. OK.
- 7:58OK. We'll stick with 20% inflation
- 8:00rate. What is the inflation rate?
- 8:025%. Inflation rate in the US and
- 8:08Canada, what are we talking about here, 3%, five percent,
- 8:1010%? I, I think we should use the
- 8:13real stuff, not not what they say, because that's what affects
- 8:16people. So, so let's put to 7, seven to
- 8:1910%. All right, let's put 7% and then
- 8:22desired annual income. What are we putting here?
- 8:26I did. Did you put yours there?
- 8:30All of this was just there before I got there.
- 8:34What? What's that?
- 8:35What was the average average income in with 60?
- 8:38Yeah, 60. 1001 two three OK what was there before?
- 8:45Like let's put half a mil I. Think it was 50.
- 8:47Let's put half a mil. So 60,000.
- 8:51All right And what are we? OK, so the your retirement?
- 8:55Age would be 49. So 49.
- 8:58So if you had 20, that's that sounds, that sounds very
- 9:00depressing. You know what it is?
- 9:05It's the inflation rate, man. The inflation rate kills it.
- 9:09So let's move the inflation rate down to 3%.
- 9:13The inflate the retirement age to be 42.
- 9:16Inflation is so bad that like even Bitcoin might might not
- 9:20help you. Oh, man.
- 9:26OK, so. So with the 60, this is pretty
- 9:29depressing. This isn't that great.
- 9:33OK, let's say the price, the annual appreciation rate is 30%.
- 9:40Let's see. Does that fix anything?
- 9:42No, this has to be wrong, bro. This has to be wrong 40.
- 9:46Well. That's five years.
- 9:48That's 2030. Oh, that's right, because the
- 9:51person's 35. Oh, that's not that depressing.
- 9:54That's pretty. That's pretty awesome.
- 9:56Five years, yeah. That's pretty awesome.
- 9:57OK, All right, let's play around with this.
- 9:59So let's put 20%. Let's see what the chat is
- 10:02saying too. 20% annual growth. I don't know.
- 10:07We got 60%. I'm guessing that's annual
- 10:10growth. No way it's going to 60 bro.
- 10:12Clarify this Robert. What was the 60%?
- 10:17That's how we got. That's how we got.
- 10:18OK. All right.
- 10:19Well, Opti, I'm going to pass it on to you.
- 10:21Let's plug in some numbers. OK.
- 10:23Let's plug in some numbers here. We can keep those amount of
- 10:26Bitcoin you had all annual estimate buy we'll keep that
- 10:30price annual growth. What's the sailor been saying
- 10:324040% a year? I think he said 40%. 40% a year
- 10:35and I'm and I'm more of an extremist.
- 10:37So let's go on the high end of inflation.
- 10:39I let's do 10%. OK.
- 10:42High end of inflation 10%. All right, 4611 years not.
- 10:49We'll take that. Not bad Rodolfo, you want to
- 10:51plug in some numbers. Wait guys clarify what these
- 10:54numbers are? What's 26 mean?
- 10:56Like I I need clarification on what the what you want plugged
- 11:00in. Dude, I mean, what's #40% you
- 11:09guys are, hey. That's hey, that's sailors.
- 11:13That's what sailors been saying. So OK. 10.
- 11:17Percent output Output 25 which is the bear. 25 bear case all
- 11:23right if you have 24 Bitcoin. And then and then estimate by
- 11:26whatever, let's go annual retirement income, you're going
- 11:34to need more than 60 KA year due to retire.
- 11:37All right, so let's put. Like, let's put like, well, like
- 11:40100K. With inflation, because they're
- 11:42not calculating inflation on the final number, it's it's not like
- 11:45you guys need to upgrade that chart.
- 11:48That's true. You know by the time you're
- 11:50retiring, you know the number needs to be two 100K.
- 11:54Let's put 2. 100K There you go. Life expectancy.
- 11:59I mean, I don't know your drinking habits, but it's fine.
- 12:06I think. I think you guys are on to
- 12:08something there. There you go. 85 OK, So $1200
- 12:12estimated by price annual growth. 25 annual.
- 12:17Change the amount of Bitcoin to 615.
- 12:20I bet a lot of people really went into that. 6.15 All right,
- 12:26So if you started at 35 and you wanted to take out 200K and the
- 12:31annual inflation rate is 10% and Bitcoin grows by 25% a year,
- 12:36you'd be able to retire at age 63.
- 12:39So the only way to actually retire nowadays is by holding
- 12:43Bitcoin, apparently. Yeah, 'cause if you don't, I
- 12:45think you're absolutely screwed all.
- 12:46Right, Nico, 11 more number. We got a number in the chat.
- 12:49So Joshua says 55% growth and 12% inflation and then we got
- 12:53another number of 3.125 for the amount you hold. 3 point 1253.1.
- 13:00That's shrink flation. All right, so 53 it's better 53
- 13:06age. Bullet hard in the chat.
- 13:08Let's go say Larry. Fink's number was was was pretty
- 13:11close in terms of of the number what you'd be able to retire
- 13:16with. Anyways, if you guys are
- 13:17enjoying the show so far 1100 of you guys watching live between
- 13:21YouTube and X, make sure to smash that like button.
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- 13:30If you guys are enjoying the content so far, we have tons to
- 13:33talk about today. We have NVK in the House of
- 13:36Quaint Kite. We're going to be talking about
- 13:38all things Quaint Kite. We're talking about the MK4, the
- 13:41queue, the block clock, all those things.
- 13:43And we have we have a video of you guys of Jack Dorsey in a
- 13:46recent podcast that he went on and he said some interesting
- 13:49things and I'll get I want to get NB KS thoughts on them.
- 13:52So first thing he said, which is a billionaire Jack Dorsey says
- 13:55that BlackRock can't stop you from using Bitcoin.
- 13:58We don't need their permission. I think that one's an obvious
- 14:00one. And then the other one, which I
- 14:02think was a little bit more controversial, he says Bitcoin
- 14:05fails by being irrelevant. So we're going to check out
- 14:08those clips. We're going to talk about it
- 14:10guys. It's going to be a great show.
- 14:11In the meantime, smash that like button.
- 14:13Consider subscribing if you feel like what we're saying provides
- 14:16you value and we still got a jam packed show.
- 14:18We will be right back. I want to tell you guys about
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- 15:54All right everybody, we are back.
- 15:56At the time of recording, the Bitcoin price is $81,900.
- 16:00Block height 890,730 sats per dollar 1221 market cap 1.63
- 16:08trillion Bitcoin versus gold market cap 7.38% Percentage
- 16:14issued 94.5% Decline from all time high -24.9%.
- 16:21Realized monetary inflation .88% Bitcoin continues to take Fiat
- 16:27currencies to absolute school. Anyways, I have two clips for
- 16:31you guys from Jack Dorsey, founder of Twitter and I believe
- 16:37Square as well. Maybe I think it was blocked
- 16:39before, I don't know. Anyhow, he went on this recent
- 16:42podcast some interesting clips. I want to get NB KS thoughts on
- 16:45it. So let's check out this first
- 16:47clip and then we'll talk about it.
- 16:50What makes Bitcoin special? What makes things like nostril
- 16:53special? Is there a permission list?
- 16:56You don't need anyone's permission to build what you
- 17:00want to see. And, and that's just incredible
- 17:04like to to be able to work on a money transmission protocol
- 17:07that's entirely open, that has no one leader that has all this
- 17:11attention that has converted the likes of a Black Rock or these
- 17:18major institutions that were these things that we railed
- 17:21against in the past. And now they have to turn their
- 17:24attention to it. And yet you still don't need
- 17:27their permission to build on it or to change it or to better it.
- 17:32Where else can you find that? Like at that scale, not nowhere
- 17:35and in only 16 years. So imagine the next 16 years and
- 17:40how you can contribute to it. Again, only asking yourself
- 17:44permission like that. It's just an incredible thing to
- 17:48be a part of and it reminds me so much of the of the earlier
- 17:51that were you again, the default was you didn't need permission
- 17:54to do anything. We see more and more of that
- 17:57going away and Bitcoin and Noster and and hopefully
- 18:01something in intelligence will be the the antidote to that and
- 18:05bring us back to like what made the Internet special in the 1st
- 18:08place where I made it magic. So permissionless that that's
- 18:12the one the one thought one idea that's.
- 18:15A great. Very, very powerful by Jack
- 18:21Dorsey. NVKI know is part of your ethos,
- 18:25man. This is what you're all about,
- 18:27dude. You have any thoughts?
- 18:28Do you have any wisdom that you can drop on everybody watching
- 18:32the 1300 people watching live right now?
- 18:35What are your thoughts on what Mr. Dorsey had to say?
- 18:39I mean, he's right. Like, I mean, that's kind of the
- 18:41whole point of Bitcoin is no permissions, right?
- 18:45You you don't need permission to to buy transact Bitcoin.
- 18:49I mean, if you're going to buy Bitcoin through an exchange, you
- 18:52might need permission there, but you can still exchange cash to
- 18:55somebody else. Noster is the same way like you
- 18:59don't need permission to do anything.
- 19:02And that's that's sort of like what the value stems from.
- 19:06I think where we differ is I think store of value and anti
- 19:11debasement and the the replacement of central banking
- 19:17is the number one Bitcoin intent.
- 19:20So much so that was released in the 2008 crash like right after
- 19:25that. And I think the all other
- 19:30Bitcoin properties serve at the pleasure of store of value,
- 19:35right. So you know, you cannot have a
- 19:39insensible or or a store of value that is absent of
- 19:43governance, like a people governance without having a
- 19:49money that you can transmit without permission, right?
- 19:52Because if you can't transmit your Bitcoin without permission,
- 19:55it is no longer a good store of value, right, because it needs
- 19:59to be soluble. So so it's sort of like that
- 20:03that route, right? And and I don't think Bitcoin
- 20:06base layer is usable for. For small transactions in in the
- 20:11coming future, right, like right now it's still cool.
- 20:14You know, it's cheap to send and and it's all good and dandy, but
- 20:19realistically speaking, we only have 4 megabytes per block and
- 20:23you know Bitcoin is a terrible way for you to pay to feed
- 20:28chickens on the Internet, right? Like there's no privacy on
- 20:32chain, you know, pseudonymous, but like people can reverse it
- 20:36and it's really as bad for that. So I, I think we need to improve
- 20:42on how we find privacy between on chain and into layer twos,
- 20:47right. Lightning also does not scale
- 20:50for more than 200 million people at the current design of Bitcoin
- 20:53because it's still bound by block data, the block size.
- 20:58So lightning is a fantastic way for like custodians to clear
- 21:03between each other very fast or or semi custodian lightning
- 21:06solutions to do that too. And then what you need is a
- 21:10third layer, something like cashew or an E cash solution
- 21:13that that it really is pegged to Bitcoin depends on Bitcoin.
- 21:17Bitcoin is the ultimate arbitrator of truth, but it
- 21:21gives you much more, much better trade-offs for payments, right?
- 21:26You have a better, better token, you have full privacy and and
- 21:31you know, it sort of goes with that and it's not one or the
- 21:33other. It's sort of like I, I think
- 21:36Bitcoin for payments is like, you know, it's short lived and
- 21:40it's fun and all, but it's wasting your time.
- 21:42We should be really looking as you know, how can we improve
- 21:45vaulting on Bitcoin? How can we improve Bitcoin as a
- 21:48great store of value and clearance mechanism between
- 21:53other solutions that provide payments?
- 21:56Yeah, no. And, and I agree.
- 21:58And I think the the, the transaction aspect, I think a
- 22:04lot of the community hasn't completely swallowed that pill
- 22:07yet. This the Would it be
- 22:12controversial to say NVK that the base layer isn't for
- 22:16everybody? Oh, absolutely.
- 22:19Bitcoin is not for everybody. Bitcoin is available to to
- 22:21anybody. So it's like I when when one of
- 22:25the most annoying memes that there is is Bitcoin is for
- 22:28everyone. It's definitely not.
- 22:31It's available to everyone, right?
- 22:34First of all, I mean the dollar is for everyone because you're
- 22:37going to have the dollar even if you don't like it right like if
- 22:42and if you don't like it, you'll send the F the F30 fives and
- 22:47it's also like the dollar is a push mechanism in that sense.
- 22:51Bitcoin, on the other hand, is fully voluntary.
- 22:54I mean, you may find yourself without a choice but to, to buy
- 22:57it because you'll be debased. But you know, it's, yeah, it's
- 23:04not, it's not for everyone. And especially for underbanked
- 23:08poor people. Like, you know, like what poor
- 23:11people need is, is like unsensible dollars, not Bitcoin,
- 23:16right? Like they don't have savings.
- 23:18They, they don't have spare income at the end of the month
- 23:20to save. So if we can, if we can help
- 23:23them leverage Bitcoin as the rails to get other things they
- 23:28may need to transact because they can't survive volatility
- 23:32and, and then through that mechanism become a little
- 23:35wealthier and then be able to save in Bitcoin, then we're in a
- 23:38much better place. I, I think, I think that's a
- 23:42much better framework than just sort of like, Oh my God, you
- 23:46know, Bitcoin is for everyone. Yeah, I agree.
- 23:49And and it's, and it's more realistic, right?
- 23:51It's more realistic rather than selling this kind of utopian,
- 23:55you know, vision, Cuz the reality is that's, that ain't
- 23:58so, right? At least from the technical know
- 24:02how perspective, from the block size perspective, just from, if
- 24:06you've been a Bitcoin long enough, I think you, you really
- 24:08understand that. But it is a catchy slogan
- 24:10though. At VK, you can't deny that
- 24:12Bitcoin is for everyone. I mean, can we change it?
- 24:16Bitcoin is for anyone. I mean, really, it almost sounds
- 24:19the same. And then we don't have to be
- 24:21wrong. Yeah.
- 24:24Mr. Hoddle's been on that for a long time.
- 24:26Bitcoin is for anyone, not. Everyone Bitcoin is for anyone.
- 24:29We've been saying that for for years.
- 24:31We we got to, we got to, we got to, we got to move, we got to
- 24:34move that. We got to pivot it.
- 24:36Opti we got to pivot it anyway. I've been saying Bitcoin is for
- 24:38anyone, You've been saying Bitcoin is for everyone, and I
- 24:41think you thought we were saying the same thing.
- 24:42I think I think so. I think so.
- 24:44Anyways guys before we move on to the next Jack Dorsey video, I
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- 25:54has won two 210 SAT. You can use promo code Simply
- 25:57BTC again Simply BTC to sign up to bitcoinwell.com today and you
- 26:02get 3 tosses into the wishing well for an opportunity to win
- 26:04up to 1,000,000 SAT's every time you toss a coin.
- 26:08Anyways, toss a coin into the wishing well.
- 26:11So head over to bitcoinwell.com/simply today.
- 26:13All right, everybody. So next video I want to talk
- 26:16about is this one. Bitcoin fails by being
- 26:20irrelevant. I find that interesting.
- 26:22So I'm going to play the video and then we're going to get
- 26:24NVK's thoughts on it. Here we go.
- 26:25So. Let's Fast forward to the future
- 26:28and Bitcoin has failed. How did it fail?
- 26:33I think it fails through irrelevance, like it just it
- 26:38fails to be relevant to people on a daily basis.
- 26:43If it just ends up being store value and nothing more, I don't
- 26:47I don't think it gains relevance at all.
- 26:49Like I think it has to be payments for it to be relevant
- 26:53on the everyday. Otherwise it's just something
- 26:55you kind of buy and forget and only use in emergency situations
- 26:59or when you want to get liquid again.
- 27:04So I think if it doesn't transition to payments and find
- 27:09that everyday use case, it just it's increasingly irrelevant.
- 27:17Interesting. I mean, what do you think about
- 27:20that, Rodolfo? Bitcoin becomes irrelevant if it
- 27:24just stays as a store of value, if it doesn't completely migrate
- 27:28to payments. And it's quite interesting a
- 27:31little bit. I'll add a little bit of context
- 27:32to this because I think with the popularity of the ETFs and the
- 27:36popularity of some stocks that have been acting like Bitcoin
- 27:40leverage plays like, you know, strategy and, you know,
- 27:44metaplanet, all that, it seems like a lot of people have just
- 27:50forgot about self custody. I think I saw a, a, a tweet, a
- 27:53post by Plan B the other day, which was like, I'm selling all
- 27:56my Bitcoin and I'm buying the ETF, you know, and those
- 28:00bitcoiners are just like, what the what, what, what is, what is
- 28:02happening? I did that too.
- 28:04I sold all my BTC. And body too.
- 28:09So you guys heard it here first. Big breaking NVKCO of coin Kite.
- 28:14He sold all his Bitcoin. It's all in ETFs.
- 28:18So what? Do you think that as the clip
- 28:20for the show? OK, let's let's improve the
- 28:22object. Oh man.
- 28:25So NVK, let's talk about this man.
- 28:29Do you agree with what Dorsey was saying in terms of Bitcoin
- 28:32becoming irrelevant? If if it's if it's not used for
- 28:38more than something than store of value, it has to be used for
- 28:41transactions. What are your thoughts?
- 28:43I think it's, it's not agree or disagree.
- 28:45It's like, I think Jack is being a bit of a bear there.
- 28:50So I mean, Bitcoin is winning, right?
- 28:52And, and, and the first way Bitcoin is winning is by
- 28:55becoming a store of value in, in, in sort of like the
- 28:59developed Western world, right? And man, like we could only have
- 29:03dream. I still remember making the
- 29:05memes that PayPal is buying Bitcoin, you know, even though
- 29:08we all hated PayPal, you know, and it's very early.
- 29:14Like, you know, Fiat has over 100 years, gold had 5000.
- 29:18They're quite 16 years old, right?
- 29:20So like, give it a fucking break.
- 29:22So first of all, yes, we, we are becoming a store of value first.
- 29:29I don't, I don't think Bitcoin is becoming any irrelevant.
- 29:34I think the problem is, see, in the Western developed world,
- 29:41people are overstretched and the existing payment solutions are
- 29:45very good, right? Like if you're not like doing
- 29:49stuff that the state doesn't like, you know, you can have an
- 29:52Amex and you can, you know, have a high limit and you can go tap
- 29:57anywhere you want for payments and pay later.
- 29:59And that's on a charge card. You have net 30 on a charge
- 30:03card, right? And then if you have a, an
- 30:05actual credit card like Visa or MasterCard, now you have like
- 30:09net forever plus interest, you know, so, so like people just
- 30:14don't have money, right? So they want to pay later and
- 30:17Bitcoin does not provide credit. And, and you know, and that's
- 30:21why I like, you know, that there is affinity links.
- 30:23There's all this stuff on every store offering people to pay
- 30:26later, right? In Brazil it's the same.
- 30:28You can pay anything in 24 months with some credit.
- 30:33So with some interest already pre calculated.
- 30:36So you know, when people, just when people don't have enough
- 30:40savings to buy what they need, they need credit.
- 30:43So that's the Western problem. Western people are going to use
- 30:47Bitcoin for savings and as an investment for now, they may
- 30:54start getting paid in Bitcoin. There is a lot of people getting
- 30:56paid in Bitcoin for their salary, but it's very unlikely
- 31:01they're going to be interested in buying, you know, feeding
- 31:04chickens on the Internet with, you know, their, their
- 31:08generational wealth, right? And and that's what people are
- 31:12interested in a much lower time preference.
- 31:15Now when you move out of the Western developed world, the
- 31:20situation is much different, right?
- 31:22People don't have access to credit.
- 31:24Like it's like, you know, duty center of America, like you
- 31:27know, he doesn't have a Visa card, right?
- 31:30All that they have is phone payment systems that the
- 31:33government sort of like has a very hands on participation on
- 31:38right or cash. So for them to use BTCS
- 31:43payments, say Bitcoin jungle in Costa Rica or the Chivo in El
- 31:47Salvador, or I forgot the solutions.
- 31:50Now that they have in, in, in some of Africa, you know, it
- 31:54makes sense and people do use it.
- 31:56So it's just that like Bitcoin is different things for
- 32:00different people in their different financial economic
- 32:04journey, right? I, I, I totally dislike shitting
- 32:09and being a bear on Bitcoin because you don't like the way
- 32:15people are using Bitcoin. I, I often take offense to that.
- 32:20I think it's like it's, you know, it's like Bitcoin is none
- 32:22of your business money. If people want to use it for
- 32:24savings, it's their fucking problem.
- 32:28Yeah, absolutely. I mean, to each their own right?
- 32:30To each their own and I agree. I think that's a that's a very
- 32:34good take. It it really, it really depends
- 32:36where you're, where you're from and that that aspect about the
- 32:38credit cards. It's, it's so true.
- 32:41And the convenience of Apple Pay, I mean, with a little
- 32:44haptic feedback, like it, it's great.
- 32:46But again, as, as NVK pointed out, like, you know, not
- 32:50everyone has that convenience, like everyone, you know, not
- 32:54everyone, Alex Godstein, I think coined the term financial
- 32:57privilege, right? Like not everyone lives in, you
- 33:00know, in in a country that has Fiat currency where the
- 33:04inflation rate isn't big enough for you to realize that you're
- 33:06being stolen from. And then the payment methods are
- 33:10very efficient. They're very effective as well,
- 33:12right? So I completely agree.
- 33:14I think it's a really good take from NBK Opti, what's your take
- 33:17on this? I mean 22 hot takes from from
- 33:20Mr. Dorsey. Yeah, I mean, I, I don't think I
- 33:23have much to add to this combo. You guys clearly nailed it.
- 33:26But I do want to ask MVK one question because we've been
- 33:28hanging out with Dante this last week, and he's making the case.
- 33:31And This is why I'm going to ask MVK.
- 33:33We were all, we were having this huge argument the other day.
- 33:35We're like, no, you're wrong. So I want Jack, I want MVK's
- 33:38take on this. Dante is almost fully convinced
- 33:41that Jack Dorsey is Satoshi. What's your thoughts on this
- 33:44MVK? Take a walk with him.
- 33:48You'll be convinced that he's not.
- 33:55Yeah, I said something similar. OK so can I, can I?
- 34:02I want to give a shout out to the stream 1800 of you guys
- 34:05watching live between YouTube and X and we are we're about to
- 34:09break our goal. We're gonna raise the goal. 200
- 34:11likes within the first hour, almost 500 live viewers on
- 34:14YouTube alone. Of course, shout out to the
- 34:16Rumble audience, the most hardcore audience that just
- 34:19continuously shits on me and Opti every live stream.
- 34:22If you guys are enjoying the show, make sure to smash that
- 34:24like button. We still have a ton of content
- 34:26to get to. We're gonna be talking about
- 34:28markets in general. This whole thing that's going
- 34:31on. We're we're gonna be talking
- 34:32about that during the news and then they're in the culture
- 34:34segment, which we're about to hit.
- 34:36We have the CEO of coin Kite on on the show today NVK we're
- 34:41going to be talking all things cold card where it's the the
- 34:44block clock, the cold card Q or the MK4 and just we're going to
- 34:49have any questions you guys might have drop it in the chat
- 34:52and NVK will will will answer them.
- 34:54So anyways, guys, we're going to get to the culture.
- 34:57We will be right back. I want to give a shout out to
- 35:00our partner Hive Digital Technologies as the first ever
- 35:04public miner Hive's position to quadruple their global footprint
- 35:09in 2025. And as the. 1st with an AI
- 35:13strategy, Hive continues to make moves in sustainable high
- 35:18performance computing. They consistently topped the
- 35:21industry in Bitcoin mine per Exahash, and now they're
- 35:26headquartered in the USA. They're leaning me, they're
- 35:29green and clean and they're changing the game.
- 35:32You can. Catch the latest buzz by
- 35:34following them at Hive Digital Tech or check out their website
- 35:38at Hive digitaltech.com. I want to give a shout out to
- 35:52our partner coin kite. If you take your Bitcoin
- 35:56security seriously, you'll need the best Bitcoin hardware wallet
- 36:00on the market to take self custody.
- 36:02That's where cold card comes in The cold card Q is the most
- 36:06advanced Bitcoin signing device ever made.
- 36:09It's got a full keyboard, larger screen and NFC support, making
- 36:13air gap signing easier than ever.
- 36:15It's built for power users who want the ultimate security
- 36:19without sacrificing usability. And if if you're looking for a
- 36:22battle tested on compromising cold storage, the Cold Card MK4
- 36:28is your go to. With PSBT signing an industrial
- 36:32grade secure element and USBC, it's the perfect blend of
- 36:35security and convenience. Both devices are of course 100%
- 36:40Bitcoin, only open source and built by Bitcoiners for
- 36:44Bitcoiners. Secure your Bitcoin the right
- 36:47way with the Cold Card queue and the MK4.
- 36:50Head over to coldcard.com. Today and use promo code simply
- 36:54to get 5% off anything on the store.
- 37:00All right, everybody, this is Opti and Opti's holding.
- 37:03You're holding it upside down, bro.
- 37:06Opti's holding the cold card queue.
- 37:08You can use five. You can use promo code simply to
- 37:11get 5% off not Opti but at 5% off anything on the Coin Kite
- 37:15store. So scan the QR code or check the
- 37:17link in the video description again.
- 37:19Joining us today we have NVK from Coinkite, CEO of Coinkite.
- 37:23Before we do, we did get a super chat vac.
- 37:26Appreciate the $5 Opti stole my girlfriend.
- 37:29I'm jealous but gotta set aside feelings and admit he's the.
- 37:34It's true. Sorry Vac, my bad bro.
- 37:37Anyways, NVK, it's an honor. Thank you so much for joining us
- 37:41today man we re recently partnered up with with cold
- 37:46card. They make the best Bitcoin
- 37:48harder wall in the game and here we have the CEO man so NVK
- 37:52welcome. Hey.
- 38:04Everyday talk to us a little bit about the queue man.
- 38:07What makes it special, What makes it dope?
- 38:10Why should people part with their precious sats to get this
- 38:14Bitcoin hardware wallet? I I mean like there really is no
- 38:18second Bast. And, and you know, for anybody
- 38:20that has one, it becomes very obvious this, this device is
- 38:26sort of like a product of many, many, many, many years of, of
- 38:33Bitcoin understanding and Bitcoin security.
- 38:36We, we've been in this market since, since the paper came out
- 38:41and we needed devices for ourselves.
- 38:44This is sort of like a product of passion and sort of like we
- 38:50went to know what this fool autism looks like developing a
- 38:54product. And this is this is as secure as
- 38:58it gets. It is as verifiable as it gets.
- 39:02And and it's surprisingly easy to use.
- 39:05I was just describing to Nico that, you know, if you have push
- 39:09TX enabled, it is, it is stupid easy.
- 39:13You'll scan Sparrow on the screen of the computer and then
- 39:16you tap your phone and the transaction broadcast like you
- 39:19don't need an app, you don't need anything.
- 39:22It's it's pretty amazing. So and let and yeah, so can we
- 39:26walk through that process NVK, because I don't think people
- 39:31are, are fully aware. And I'm, I'm going to try to
- 39:34like act it out while you talk about this.
- 39:37So essentially, let's say you're, you're building up a
- 39:40transaction, right? You build it up on Sparrow on
- 39:43your computer, you take the queue and then you scan the QR
- 39:48code from Sparrow, right? The queue signs it on the device
- 39:54and then what you do is you take the queue and you just tap it
- 39:59onto your phone and. Then.
- 40:02And then it just broadcast it out is that is.
- 40:05That correct. That's it.
- 40:06That's it. It's like it.
- 40:07It takes just a few seconds and you're done.
- 40:09Like it. Really nothing like that exists
- 40:11in the market right now and we did it in a way that's fairly
- 40:15secure. And best yet it's like cold card
- 40:18is probably the Q is probably one of the only harder walls
- 40:21that actually scans. The other ones kind of try to
- 40:25scan the Q scans. So it so it becomes a very
- 40:29pleasant quick experience. And why is that?
- 40:33Like is it the camera that is so?
- 40:35So we don't use a general purpose camera because that's
- 40:38also insecure. What we do is we have a a bar
- 40:43scanner module, right, that does QRS and bar scans, kind of like
- 40:47the supermarket. When you go to the supermarket,
- 40:50the lady goes beep, beep, same idea.
- 40:54We use a proper module for scanning.
- 40:57And then we actually have like a nice little firewall between the
- 41:01scanner and the device as well. So we don't ingest any kind of
- 41:05data and it gets processed. And then you can, you know, you
- 41:09can scan any kind of data really.
- 41:11And you can transform that into passwords in the password
- 41:14manager. You can scan seeds.
- 41:17You know you can scan barcodes from a bottle of booze if you
- 41:20want. Really.
- 41:22Will it? What if Will it show if you do
- 41:26that? You just show the number that is
- 41:29scanned. But, but it's kind of cool like
- 41:31because there is people out there playing with seeds being
- 41:35stored and other data being stored in different formats than
- 41:38just QRS. So we, there's a lot of
- 41:41experimentation happening in the world right now.
- 41:44This this is this is preparing for a lot of that genuine stuff,
- 41:48kind of like the BBQR standard BBQ R.
- 41:53There's a BE qr.org I think where we created a super simple
- 42:01way for you to to scan seeds, to scan transactions that is that
- 42:07is very secure and and very efficient.
- 42:11And we are going to have a few other features coming on that
- 42:15will leverage that very soon. So Rudolph on, we're getting
- 42:18some questions in the chat regarding this.
- 42:20What makes the Cold Card the best hardware wallet in the
- 42:26industry? I I think it's, it's like it's
- 42:30the only device in the market that's made by real bitcoiners
- 42:33that are not trying to shit coin with some other technology as
- 42:36well. So most of the other hardware
- 42:39wallets in the market are designed to be general purpose
- 42:42for other shit coins or they're trying to do side change shit or
- 42:46they're trying to do, you know, like other things that are
- 42:50unrelated to Bitcoin And cold card was the only reason why
- 42:54cold card exists is because PSBT exists.
- 42:59Cold card doesn't even know how to talk about other things.
- 43:03He only knows how to talk about Bitcoin and some plain text data
- 43:08for passwords and and and other notes.
- 43:12But so so we created this whole architecture around that, right?
- 43:18It only does Bitcoin. It's Bitcoin native.
- 43:20Everything inside the cold card works.
- 43:22Trying to understand Bitcoin and then because we are actually
- 43:25Bitcoiners, we don't have our coins on Coinbase.
- 43:29You know, we, we sort of like went into the deep dive of like,
- 43:32how can we make this thing actually secure?
- 43:35And now it's, you know, it's the mark for architecture.
- 43:37It's one side, the queue as well.
- 43:39You know, he uses 2 secure elements plus a secure MCU and
- 43:44then he does a dance with all of that so that, you know, the
- 43:47Ledger Don Jon can spend $1,000,000.
- 43:49It's still not get the the seat out.
- 43:52Somebody asks what compares the Jade.
- 43:53I mean, the the jade is very cool, but it's a toy, you know,
- 43:56uses ESP 32. I think it's a great 50 bucks
- 44:01device if you don't have money to use or if you want to use it
- 44:05a liquid. But but it's not on the same
- 44:07category. It's it's a whole different sort
- 44:09of ball game. Gotcha, gotcha.
- 44:12And then what is the main difference between the Q and the
- 44:15MK4? Like like let's say people are
- 44:18looking at the website, they say, oh wow, the Q, the MK4 is
- 44:21you know, it's less expensive. The the Q is more expensive.
- 44:25Like will people be just as secure using the MK4 versus the
- 44:30the Q? They're the same security
- 44:32architecture, almost the same. The difference is that the Q has
- 44:37NFC, it has QR scanner and batteries.
- 44:41I might be forgetting one more thing but and two micro SD
- 44:45cards. Gotcha.
- 44:46So essentially the the the the the the security infrastructure
- 44:51architecture is exactly the same, but the queue just has
- 44:54more functionality in. Terms of how you get the bigger
- 44:57screen, you know, you get the keyboard, all that stuff.
- 44:59Gotcha. So like the, it's like the, you
- 45:02know, what's the there's like the iPhone and the iPhone Pro.
- 45:07So it'd be like the Pro version maybe?
- 45:11Yeah, kind of exactly. It's like the the pro the the
- 45:15fuck, man? Steve Jobs died and they ruined
- 45:17all the names. But it's like it's like the the
- 45:20Pro and the Pro Max same difference.
- 45:23Like it's like the same device. It's just you get a bit more
- 45:26stuff but it's same architecture.
- 45:28Gotcha, gotcha. OK.
- 45:30And we have a question from the chat from Andrew.
- 45:33Andrew says. I really like my cue, but I do
- 45:35wish it showed the total BTC balance somewhere.
- 45:39I don't know if I don't know how you'd be able to do that, but.
- 45:41It's not possible the the harder wallets don't have chain state
- 45:46data, right? I mean, there is some work being
- 45:48done on that. Who knows, maybe, maybe in a
- 45:50year or so, maybe we have something.
- 45:53But you'd never be believable because the device cannot double
- 45:57check that you didn't spend that coin somewhere else, right?
- 46:01So it's a very, it's like a hard problem.
- 46:03The in order for you to have a balance, you need to have access
- 46:06to the Internet and the devices are gapped.
- 46:08So the whole point is that it doesn't have access to the
- 46:11Internet. Gotcha.
- 46:13We got a suggestion for the name from Senor Gringo Papi, he says.
- 46:17MK, Supra. I think that's a different show.
- 46:22It's the guy who likes the the Supra Toyotas and has moved on
- 46:28to share coins. But but yes, I, I, I take the
- 46:34consideration. So Opti, could you pull up the
- 46:36the block clock up on your screen?
- 46:39Because that's a huge favor in the Bitcoin community.
- 46:42I think, you know, I I'm we're travelling right now.
- 46:44We're in, we're in Dallas for bit block boom.
- 46:47But normally I have it behind me.
- 46:50It's super awesome. It's like a fit for how do I
- 46:53describe it? It's like a physical device the
- 46:56length of like a shoe box and essentially it it show it you
- 47:01can customize it. So you could put the block high
- 47:04the price, you know? The.
- 47:08Moscow, Moscow time, yeah, you could put a variety of different
- 47:12things. So can you talk a little bit
- 47:15about the block clock and MVK? This was already answered right?
- 47:19Because everyone was wondering like what's what was going to
- 47:22happen when Bitcoin hit 100K? And it seems like you guys just
- 47:26got rid of one of the price things, but what happens when
- 47:28Bitcoin hits 1,000,000? Well, we're going to have a
- 47:33great problem to have. I can't wait to have those
- 47:37problems. But but yeah, like the this,
- 47:43this device was a product of like we, we wanted something to
- 47:47display block data and other information around the house and
- 47:51the office, but we didn't want just like a big screen.
- 47:56So we created the original clock, the OG clock, which was
- 47:59some flip numbers like train stations.
- 48:04And then, and then we sort of like try to play around more
- 48:06and, and we came up with this one.
- 48:08It's if you go to blockclockmini.com, you can see
- 48:12a live demo of it and you know, it has like multiple E Ink
- 48:19display digits. The idea is that like even
- 48:22though we have some lights that can shine on the back, it's
- 48:25like, the idea is that like it's kind of like art in the house.
- 48:27It doesn't have illumination like a screen.
- 48:30So all the the Jack Krause fans would love this if it predates
- 48:35him. The the idea is just this.
- 48:39It's like a very beautiful display for block data around
- 48:46you. But we we put actual amounts of
- 48:49proper gold on the PCB so that it looks pretty where gold
- 48:54belongs. We have you know that the back
- 48:57of the device is like nice too. And it has this very thick
- 49:01acrylic clear a cleric, a cleric on the front and on the back as
- 49:06well. So it just stands.
- 49:09It's it's just a cool device to have around.
- 49:10It's it's our sort of like fun thing.
- 49:13I love it too. It it it's a it's a good like to
- 49:17to have in a home. You know, it looks good like
- 49:19it's aesthetically pleasing, right?
- 49:22So yeah, go check out the block clock scan the QR code again.
- 49:26If you use promo code simply you get 5% off anything on the coin
- 49:30Kite store Super thrilled to partner with these guys.
- 49:35A big fan of their products for many, many years now and go
- 49:38check out their their hardware wallets.
- 49:40But last question for you, NVK is yeah, what are what are what
- 49:47are the future plans of, of Quinn Kite of Cold Card like
- 49:50anything that you are excited about, you know, next four
- 49:53years? I know the cycles are completely
- 49:55different now. I think bitcoins growing up,
- 49:58it's you know, it's it's it's it's in its teenage years.
- 50:01It's maturing, right? The the kind of Wild West days
- 50:05of, you know, many, many years ago.
- 50:07I feel like those days are are coming to an end, but what has
- 50:11you the most excited about your company?
- 50:15I mean, you know, it's a we have a lot of fun with like the
- 50:19feedback that we get and sort of like building new products.
- 50:22Like most, most of all we do comes from that.
- 50:25It's just like what, what other insane shit can we come up with
- 50:28and and go try to develop it? We're working on this protocol
- 50:32now called Key Teleport so that he can send keys and PSP TS over
- 50:35video calls securely. And we're also working on on a
- 50:40cosine system for the device itself.
- 50:42So you can travel with some BTC the device and use it to cosine
- 50:48and, you know, new versions of things and, you know, just just
- 50:52play more like the design space. It's just so early.
- 50:55We're still in the Nokia days, right of, of Bitcoin.
- 50:59You know, it's, I think I think a lot of what we see today is
- 51:02now what we're going to see in a few years.
- 51:05So that there's a lot, a lot to be made.
- 51:08And, you know, we want to make sure that people don't lose
- 51:10their Sats between now and the time that they move to something
- 51:14else. Yeah, absolutely.
- 51:17And and the one of the things this is the second time you've
- 51:20said this NBK during the show, which is the idea that this is
- 51:24still early days. Like, do you really believe that
- 51:26like with, with the US government saying that the SBR,
- 51:30you know, the Wall Street? How much did they buy?
- 51:35OK, this is true. OK, touché fine, but but it it's
- 51:39not early, early days. It's very early days.
- 51:43See, like our goal is that 400 trillion market, right?
- 51:48Like we, we, we, we, we're one 400th of it.
- 51:52So you know, it's very early like a, a normal person should
- 51:57not have to buy equities in order to save.
- 52:02That should be the job of like a value investor who fucking reads
- 52:06the filings, right? Like you shouldn't have an
- 52:09investment. None of this shit should be how
- 52:11normal people do their life savings.
- 52:13Like they should go be able to go back to storing some money or
- 52:18some gold under the mattress. And and we want to get back to
- 52:21that mattress way of doing savings.
- 52:24Like you focus on your craft, go do your thing and stop worrying
- 52:29about like, you know, financial sort of complications.
- 52:33And we're very early on that. Yeah, I think I think you hit
- 52:37the nail on the head right. You shouldn't be forced to
- 52:39become a part time investor just to maintain your purchasing
- 52:41power. 1,000,000% agree with NVK guys, go check out the cold card
- 52:48NVK. It's been an honor to have you
- 52:50on today's show. Really, really appreciate it.
- 52:52Shout out to the 2000 of you guys watching live on the stream
- 52:55right now. Make sure to smash that like
- 52:57button. Check out coinkite.com.
- 52:59Use promo code simply you get 5% off anything on the store.
- 53:03NVK Thank you. Thank you guys.
- 53:05Thanks for having me. Take care.
- 53:07Appreciate it. All right, everybody, We still
- 53:09have a loaded show for you guys. We got the news.
- 53:12We're going to be talking about the current macro environment,
- 53:14which is absolutely crazy. We have a really cool article
- 53:17from Forbes. We're going to check it out.
- 53:19We will be right back. I want to.
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- 55:48Check out leaden dot IO today. All right, everybody, we are
- 55:55back. So what are we going to talk
- 55:57about today during the news? Let's pull it up.
- 55:59Forbes article Quote Flood the market Major Fed flip predicted
- 56:04to blow up the Bitcoin price and this was dropped this morning at
- 56:098:41 AM. Article on Forbes Bitcoin and
- 56:13crypto prices have dropped after U.S.
- 56:15President Donald Trump followed through with his threatened
- 56:18liberation day of global trade tariffs, dropping an atomic bomb
- 56:23on markets. The Bitcoin price has fallen
- 56:26back after climbing in the run up to Trump's tariff
- 56:29announcement as traders scramble to parse the so-called
- 56:32reciprocal tariffs. Now, as the chief executive of
- 56:36BlackRock warns Bitcoin could end the US dollar's world
- 56:40reserve currency status, traders are betting the Federal Reserve
- 56:43will be forced to cut interest rates to starve off AUS
- 56:47recession, something that could see the market flooded with
- 56:51dollars. Short term interest rate futures
- 56:54are showing a 70% chance of a Fed interest rate cut when it
- 56:58meets in June. Up from it about. 60.
- 57:00Percent before the tariffs were announced.
- 57:03The recession fears have seen traders have boost bets the Fed
- 57:06will restart its interest rate cutting cycle this summer and
- 57:10deliver a total of 3 three quarter point reductions to the
- 57:14policy rate by October. Trump's so-called Liberation Day
- 57:19barrage of trade tariffs have pushed the probability of AUS
- 57:23recession to over 50% on prediction markets like
- 57:28Polymarket and Kalishi. Remember, tariffs are dovish and
- 57:33big tariffs are very dovish. In a closely watched Wednesday
- 57:37announcement, Trump slapped 10% tariffs on most goods imported
- 57:41to the US, as well as even higher duties on a dozen a
- 57:46dozens of of countries last September.
- 57:49The Fed's surprise 50 basis point interest rate cut helped
- 57:54kick off the bottom the Bitcoin price rally that the Fed.
- 57:58I totally read that wrong. The Fed's surprise 50 base point
- 58:02interest rate cut helped kick off the Bitcoin price rally that
- 58:06the that fed into Donald Trump's election victory in November.
- 58:10Quote. I still believe Bitcoin could
- 58:12hit 250K by year end because now the US Treasury has put Powell
- 58:19in his place. This is by Arthur Hayes we read
- 58:21you guys that article yesterday. Highly recommended.
- 58:23Great article. The Fed will flood the markets
- 58:26with dollars if by analysis of amount analysis of the Fed's
- 58:31major pivot from quantitative tightening to quantitative
- 58:34easing where Treasuries is correct.
- 58:36Then Bitcoin hit a local low of 70. 6.5 K last month and now we
- 58:42begin the ascent to 250K by year end.
- 58:46Of course this is not an exact science, but using the gold
- 58:50example, if I had to place a bet on whether I thought Bitcoin
- 58:53would hit 76K or 110K first, I would bet on the latter.
- 58:58It seems like the Forbes author is watching Simply Bitcoin.
- 59:02Anyways, Opti, what are your thoughts on this, bro?
- 59:05I mean, I got to say, the pain is real, dude.
- 59:10The pain is. So we still got some time, so
- 59:12let's just shoot the shit. Essentially.
- 59:14The pain is real, dude. I mean, blood, blood on the
- 59:18markets, like just everything is just going to 0.
- 59:21Essentially just everything is losing its value.
- 59:24As soon as Trump put up that paper, that graphic, I don't
- 59:27know if we could pull it up of all the tariffs with all the
- 59:30countries, the market just just went down.
- 59:33I think a lot of people are not expecting this.
- 59:35I think a lot of people were expecting essentially number go
- 59:38up within the Trump administration.
- 59:40I mean, I think he did run on that.
- 59:42He ran on prosperity. He ran on, you know, America is
- 59:46back. The the comeback make America
- 59:49great again. You know, the golden age of
- 59:52America. I mean, I got to say this golden
- 59:54age, it doesn't feel very good. Like after he showed that, did
- 59:59he really hold this? Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:00:01This is a screenshot from the from the taking a nap yesterday
- 1:00:04but we were all sitting here watching.
- 1:00:05This is the actual screenshot from the the speech yesterday.
- 1:00:08So, yeah, exactly. People in the chat, freaking
- 1:00:12bloodbath. My wife's in the chat.
- 1:00:15The pain is painting. Yeah, exactly.
- 1:00:18Yeah. I mean, I, I don't know what
- 1:00:20else to tell you. I don't know what else to tell
- 1:00:22you guys, But yeah, like, clearly Bitcoin is behaving like
- 1:00:25a macro asset. It's going down with everything
- 1:00:28else. It is holding surprisingly well,
- 1:00:31right? I got to give.
- 1:00:33Maybe that's a cope. That's a cope.
- 1:00:38Bitcoins holding. Well, man, it's still, it's
- 1:00:40still down 22%, but it's still holding pretty well.
- 1:00:43What do you think of? Well, at first, you know, what
- 1:00:46was David Bailey saying when Trump got elected?
- 1:00:49Like we have to give Trump the credit for the Trump pump.
- 1:00:53Well, I think at the same point we got to give Trump the credit
- 1:00:55for the Trump dump Yesterday. We were watching this.
- 1:00:57We the whole simply Bitcoin house here.
- 1:00:59We're in Dallas waiting for a bitlock boom this weekend.
- 1:01:02And we were all sitting here watching the the speech
- 1:01:05yesterday and look, Trump first of all is hilarious, but like,
- 1:01:10he could have done that whole speech in probably like 2
- 1:01:12minutes, just like reciprocal tariffs.
- 1:01:13And it kind of dragged on a little bit, right?
- 1:01:15But we were sitting here and I'm trolling everyone that I just
- 1:01:18love to watch the one minute chart when things, you know,
- 1:01:21when really important economic news is, is on the television or
- 1:01:25it's like a live event. And we were sitting and it's
- 1:01:27like, OK, the, the price is pumping.
- 1:01:29Like here we go. We were like, oh, we're at 85,
- 1:01:32OK, we're at 86. We're 87.
- 1:01:34I'm like, oh, we're almost at 88.
- 1:01:35And then, you know, very pretty quickly the price just started
- 1:01:39dumping and now we're at what, 8281?
- 1:01:43So it is a pretty bloody day, at least in the Bitcoin terms.
- 1:01:47I mean, I mean, it's funny that we're saying it's bloody at 81
- 1:01:50K. But you know, this is what we're
- 1:01:52all feeling. As Soph just said, the pain is
- 1:01:54painting. But I think the bigger signal
- 1:01:56here is exactly what Arthur Hayes was saying yesterday.
- 1:01:59And a lot of Bitcoins have been saying for a long time, like
- 1:02:02this isn't just a Bitcoin phenomenon.
- 1:02:04If you're watching all the markets, you know US 10 year
- 1:02:06Treasury bond yield is down, the S&P 500 is down.
- 1:02:10Like everything that everything is getting wrecked.
- 1:02:13But I think the silver lining here, and I don't know if you
- 1:02:15guys caught this on Twitter, but Scott Besson, the new what's the
- 1:02:19Treasury Secretary? He basically said like, this is
- 1:02:23not a problem with MAGA. This is a problem with the
- 1:02:25magnificent 7, which is, you know, the top the top stocks in
- 1:02:28the market. And he's kind of making a
- 1:02:30gangster move right now. I'm not going to lie, like kind
- 1:02:33of shouts out to Scott Best. And I think the analysis that we
- 1:02:36were covering yesterday from Arthur Hayes and from other bit
- 1:02:38corners, you know, Nolan's been saying this, Tom Luongo has been
- 1:02:41saying this a lot. Marty, Ben's been saying this a
- 1:02:43lot of bit corners have been saying and I think very, very
- 1:02:47good predictions of what's going on.
- 1:02:49And again, it's essentially that the Trump administration, Scott
- 1:02:53Besson, is trying to corral and make Jay Powell subjugated to
- 1:02:58the Treasury. And it seems like we are in this
- 1:03:00position right now where we are trying to get Jay Powell, of
- 1:03:04course, head of the Fed, to lower interest rates.
- 1:03:07And I think they're doing a pretty good job in this manner.
- 1:03:10If this is what they're doing, if this is what they're
- 1:03:12projecting, I think it's working exactly as they they designed it
- 1:03:16to be. Now it's going to be very
- 1:03:18interesting though, if Trump really does follow through on
- 1:03:21this or the Trump administration follows through on this because
- 1:03:24if they just kind of bluff this and it goes away in a month or
- 1:03:27so, then that might, you know, let the markets rebound a little
- 1:03:31bit. But I think long term that would
- 1:03:33be very detrimental. So I hope that they, you know,
- 1:03:36really do continue on what they're doing.
- 1:03:38I think if we can rein in the Fed, we all remember what must
- 1:03:41just said the other day, I think it was Monday when we played
- 1:03:43that, you know, he's out there being super goofy and saying and
- 1:03:46the Fed now. And it looks like that's what
- 1:03:49the Trump administration is trying to do.
- 1:03:50They're trying to corral Jay Powell, head of the Fed and if
- 1:03:54they're able to put him in a headlock or you know, I don't
- 1:03:57think I can say what, what Arthur Hayes was saying in that
- 1:04:00analysis yesterday. But it is it's very interesting
- 1:04:05times. And of course everyone knows, or
- 1:04:07at least you should know if you're on this channel, what is
- 1:04:10going on right now. There's a lot of uncertainty in
- 1:04:12the market. So of course people go to what
- 1:04:14they think are the least risky assets, which of course for most
- 1:04:18people is either gold or treasury bond.
- 1:04:21Now, I think what what we're seeing is pretty soon we'll be
- 1:04:25seeing people start to flow into Bitcoin.
- 1:04:27Now, obviously most people still kind of don't think Bitcoin is
- 1:04:31mature enough, but we do no that eventually all roads lead to
- 1:04:35Bitcoin. At least that's our hypothesis,
- 1:04:37that's our thesis as Bitcoiners. So honestly, as much as the pain
- 1:04:42is painting right now and Bitcoin is kind of dumping, I
- 1:04:46think long term this isn't going to affect Bitcoin at all.
- 1:04:49I mean, I saw Saylor tweet this morning like there's no tariffs
- 1:04:51on Bitcoin. Obviously Arthur Hayes yesterday
- 1:04:54was essentially saying that these tariffs won't actually
- 1:04:56affect Bitcoin. Yes, in the short term, traders
- 1:04:59are dumping it, but I think long term this is going to be very
- 1:05:02healthy for the economy. Obviously, I'm an American, I'm
- 1:05:05an American centric person. Like I have a bias here.
- 1:05:08I, I'm, I'm definitely biased towards America and what we're
- 1:05:12doing. But I think it's a, it is a very
- 1:05:14interesting change to see. And also there was a very
- 1:05:18interesting moment, Nico and I, maybe I can pull it up here
- 1:05:22again, Nico. Nico took a nap after.
- 1:05:24But we were sitting here and the most interesting aspect of this
- 1:05:28speech that I think really kind of went under the radar was that
- 1:05:32Trump specific particularly pointed at a very interesting
- 1:05:35date in American history. Can you guess what date it what,
- 1:05:38what year it was? Nico did.
- 1:05:39Did he really say 1913? He said 1913 yes, let me let me
- 1:05:43try to find it. Nico rant a little bit about it
- 1:05:45and I'll try to find it. OK, well, if that's true, I did
- 1:05:48see, I, I saw a, a post essentially, I forget who it was
- 1:05:54from, but essentially like and it it was OK, hold on, hold on.
- 1:06:00So Opti has it. I have it.
- 1:06:02I'm pulling it up. So just keep going, Nico and I
- 1:06:04pull it up. Yeah, so essentially Howard
- 1:06:06Lopnik, commerce secretary, huge fan of Bitcoiner, when on Pops
- 1:06:11podcast, he's saying he's buying, you know, 10s of
- 1:06:13millions, hundreds of $1,000,000 worth of Bitcoin.
- 1:06:16He's now in a very influential part of government.
- 1:06:18He was the, he was the one next to Trump when they were signing
- 1:06:21the strategic Bitcoin reserve executive order.
- 1:06:24And he went on legacy media and he was basically saying the
- 1:06:28case. He was making the case.
- 1:06:29That like look like. Why not lower the income?
- 1:06:35Why not get rid of the income tax altogether for anyone who's
- 1:06:38making 150K? Like why are, if, if you're
- 1:06:42making under 150K, why are you paying income tax?
- 1:06:45And if you think about the logic behind that, the vast majority
- 1:06:50of the income tax that's paid in the US and it's, it's like this
- 1:06:54in most modern, you know, most modern countries, the majority
- 1:06:58of income tax is already being paid by the top tax bracket.
- 1:07:02If you, if you consider the middle class and the lower class
- 1:07:06in there, if you put it in there, the lower middle class is
- 1:07:10percentage wise, they don't pay that much of the overall income
- 1:07:15tax revenue for the government, But in terms of a percentage of
- 1:07:20the revenue that they're making for themselves, it's a huge cut.
- 1:07:25So like, why not get rid of the income tax altogether for people
- 1:07:29that are making under 150K and then that leads eventually that
- 1:07:33leads down the road of like, why not get rid of the income tax
- 1:07:36altogether, right? Because they, they would like
- 1:07:39you to believe that essentially the government would shut down
- 1:07:41if there's no income tax. So a lot.
- 1:07:44Sounds like a good thing. A lot of people are speculating
- 1:07:47that that is the end goal and the OR in, in order to get to
- 1:07:52that point, they essentially need to make up the revenue.
- 1:07:56And I think what Trump is trying to do is they're trying to make
- 1:08:00up the revenue via tariffs. I mean, that isn't me just
- 1:08:04speculating. That's what he said He.
- 1:08:06He said that before and now I'm like kind of connecting dots in
- 1:08:10my mind. Elon was asked about the Fed a
- 1:08:16couple days ago while he was camp, while he was campaigning,
- 1:08:19and he didn't answer. You know, he didn't give his
- 1:08:24direct, he didn't give his direct opinion about what he
- 1:08:27felt about the Federal Reserve. What he responded with was, you
- 1:08:32know, he was kind of trolling. He was like, and the Fed and the
- 1:08:34Fed, but he was like kind of joking about it.
- 1:08:36But what he really said was he started talking about waste.
- 1:08:43So how do you go from being asked a question about central
- 1:08:47banking and the Fed and you start talking about waste
- 1:08:51because the waste is enabled by the central bank's ability to
- 1:08:57just create money for free in the 1st place.
- 1:09:00So maybe Elon wasn't, again, this is speculation territory,
- 1:09:04but again, why would he say, why would he say like, it's like,
- 1:09:07Hey, what do you think about the Fed?
- 1:09:09And then you just end the conversation with like, dude,
- 1:09:11the federal government's wasting so much money.
- 1:09:13Like what? What does one have to do with
- 1:09:15the other? It has it has everything to it's
- 1:09:18completely connected, but you have to you have to be in the
- 1:09:21know. So maybe they're playing some
- 1:09:23type of political chess here. If he's if he really said 19
- 1:09:28thir. Can you play that video?
- 1:09:29Yeah, I got to get. My mind blown.
- 1:09:30I got you He. Really, said 1913.
- 1:09:33Yes, he really said it one second. 1789 to 1913, we were a
- 1:09:40tariff backed nation in the United States was
- 1:09:42proportionately the wealthiest it has ever been.
- 1:09:45So wealthy in fact, that in the 1880s they established a
- 1:09:50Commission to decide what they were going to do with the vast
- 1:09:53sums of money they were collecting.
- 1:09:55We were collecting so much money so fast we didn't know what to
- 1:09:58do with it. Isn't that a nice problem to
- 1:10:00have? What do you think Marco?
- 1:10:01Good problem. Marco would love that problem,
- 1:10:05but we don't have that problem anymore.
- 1:10:08But we're not going to have it very much longer, I will tell
- 1:10:10you. But they collected so much money
- 1:10:13they actually formed a Commission to determine what
- 1:10:15they were going to do with the money, who they were going to
- 1:10:17give it to and how much. Then in 1913, for reasons
- 1:10:21unknown to mankind, they established the income tax so
- 1:10:25that citizens rather than foreign countries would start
- 1:10:28paying the money necessary to run our government.
- 1:10:31Then in 1929 it all came to a very abrupt end with a Great
- 1:10:35Depression, and it would have never happened.
- 1:10:38If they had stayed with the tariff policy, it would have
- 1:10:41been a much different story. All right. 1913 for reasons
- 1:10:46unknown to humanity. A very interesting take there.
- 1:10:49Yo what? What?
- 1:10:52Who who's been on this? The Pepe guy man.
- 1:10:56Oh yeah, our boy. G Money.
- 1:10:58G Money's been on point, bro. Oh my.
- 1:11:00He must be. Could we?
- 1:11:01Could you check G Money's ex account?
- 1:11:03He's probably losing his mind. What?
- 1:11:10What's the saying? There's no conspiracies, but
- 1:11:12there's no coincidences. Like.
- 1:11:13I mean, he said it pure as day. I don't know what else to tell
- 1:11:17you. What?
- 1:11:18You know what else was established 1913?
- 1:11:20The Federal Reserve. You know what's established the
- 1:11:22in 1913? The income tax, right?
- 1:11:25And I love how he says for reasons unknown, for reasons
- 1:11:29unknown, it's like we all know the reasons, right?
- 1:11:32But this is interesting, Elon saying and the Fed, but he's not
- 1:11:36directly. I don't think they're showing
- 1:11:37their cards. I don't think they're showing
- 1:11:39their true intentions here. Man, this is interesting.
- 1:11:41So this is what I think is happening.
- 1:11:43I think they're trying to prove that the US government could
- 1:11:47still raise revenue in an alternative way.
- 1:11:52That's not income tax. And once they're able to prove
- 1:11:57that and show that, I think it's going to be a very easy sales
- 1:12:00pitch to people and basically say, listen, if you make under
- 1:12:04150K, you don't have to pay income tax at all.
- 1:12:07And I think that's the majority of the electorate, right?
- 1:12:10And again, from a numbers perspective, it doesn't make
- 1:12:14sense. Like I, I, I'm going to break
- 1:12:16down what the, what the actual opti.
- 1:12:19Could you just hold the mic for a second?
- 1:12:20While I mean our boy G money is doing queue drops.
- 1:12:24I cannot, I can't pull those up. Shout out the G money though he
- 1:12:30did. He did do an interesting tweet
- 1:12:32this morning or sorry, the morning of deliberation day,
- 1:12:35which which I was going to bring up yesterday, but we kind of
- 1:12:38kept going and he was saying that the, you know, Trump is
- 1:12:41superstitious. And the, and yesterday, April
- 1:12:432nd, Tariff Liberation Day actually also marks a historic
- 1:12:48declaration of economic sovereignty laid out by the
- 1:12:50Foundation for the US Monetary System.
- 1:12:52And that was the Coinage Act of 1792.
- 1:12:56And that was also on April 2nd. So I mean, look, our boy G money
- 1:12:59has been connecting some dots and sometimes we we're like,
- 1:13:03bro, you're on a, you're on something else, man.
- 1:13:05I got it. So, so here's here's the here's
- 1:13:08the essentially the, the, the breakdown of of, you know, the
- 1:13:14breakdown of, of like what percentage of you know, so the
- 1:13:21top, the top 1% of income earners paid about 45% of
- 1:13:29federal, federal income tax, right.
- 1:13:34So I mean, like, it's the lion's share, right?
- 1:13:40You know, it's the lion's share of, of, of taxes.
- 1:13:43So yeah, I mean, I don't know, man.
- 1:13:46I, I think there might be something there like he did.
- 1:13:51He did name drop 19. I wish I would have saw that
- 1:13:54clip. I would have posted it on.
- 1:13:55Yeah, I I would have. Posted it on.
- 1:13:57XI think the biggest signal here.
- 1:13:59Look, and I'm and I don't I'm not one of these like trust the
- 1:14:02plan. You know people, as you guys
- 1:14:05know, I I've probably been more critical of Trump and Elon Musk
- 1:14:09on this show then then I may should have been because he's in
- 1:14:13so so much good stuff for Bitcoin.
- 1:14:15But when you kind of realize, I mean, the fact that he dropped
- 1:14:18the 1913 and his framing up for reasons unknown to humanity,
- 1:14:24it's hard to look at that and not be like, he knows a lot more
- 1:14:27than what he's saying. And we were actually kind of
- 1:14:30talking about this at dinner the other night and about just, you
- 1:14:32know, here you guys are. It is a Thursday.
- 1:14:35I'm guessing it's 5:00 somewhere.
- 1:14:37So, you know, the Overton window here, the way you shift the
- 1:14:40Overton window is you don't go out there and say, you know, the
- 1:14:43crazy stuff out loud. You kind of start hinting at it
- 1:14:45and then people start moving in that direction and, you know,
- 1:14:48being less cynical than usual. It does seem like Trump is
- 1:14:52playing with the Overton window. We all know 1913, the year the
- 1:14:55Federal Reserve was created. He was framing this more as the
- 1:14:59year they dropped tariffs. It's just very interesting that
- 1:15:02he actually picked that year, especially as Bitcoiners, we
- 1:15:05understand how important that year is.
- 1:15:07So I don't know. I I'm going to have to hold
- 1:15:09reservation. Who knows what's coming down the
- 1:15:11pipeline. But it's very interesting that
- 1:15:13he dropped that specific year and then was very vague about,
- 1:15:16you know, what actually happened that year because obviously most
- 1:15:20people don't know what's happened that year unless you're
- 1:15:22a bitcoiner. It that's just like, yeah, who
- 1:15:24cares about 1913? That was over 100 years ago.
- 1:15:27Like, what's that have to do with now?
- 1:15:28It has everything to do with now.
- 1:15:30I think everything has everything to do with it.
- 1:15:32And I think it's what's interesting to me again is the
- 1:15:37it's like they're avoiding the subject.
- 1:15:39They're avoiding like the direct because again, like you talk
- 1:15:43about waste, right? Like Doge and like whatever, but
- 1:15:46what is not talked about is what is the cause of that waste?
- 1:15:51What is the root cause? What enables that waste to
- 1:15:54happen? And it's the ability for the
- 1:15:57government to print money and the ability for the government
- 1:16:01to print money. That really initiated with the
- 1:16:03establishment of the central bank in the United States, which
- 1:16:05is the Federal Reserve, which was in 1913, which
- 1:16:08coincidentally happened to be the same year that they
- 1:16:11established an income tax. I mean, like, and I remember
- 1:16:15this, this speech by Naimbu Kelly at C PAC, he's like, look
- 1:16:19like if the, and he said it with the the way he said it, he's
- 1:16:22like, look, if the government can just print money, why are
- 1:16:27you guys paying tax in the 1st place?
- 1:16:29Right? And I think it has to do with
- 1:16:34should I, I mean, are we, we're not here the Overton, we're
- 1:16:37going to shift the Overton window today, Opti.
- 1:16:40Yeah, we'll see about that. We're going to get ourselves
- 1:16:42canceled. No, no.
- 1:16:43This is my opinion, I could be wrong, but I don't think income
- 1:16:48tax has anything to do with revenue for the government.
- 1:16:51I think income tax has to do with social control.
- 1:16:56Oh, we've said that before. I think that's what it's about.
- 1:16:59Now. Look, it's still the law.
- 1:17:02It's you have to do it. You know, you have to do it.
- 1:17:04You have to follow the law, you have to whatever.
- 1:17:06But what I'm trying to say is like the, the reasons as to why
- 1:17:14they sold the public, I think are different than the actual
- 1:17:20motivations as to why they instituted it in the first
- 1:17:23place. Oh, now we're just connecting.
- 1:17:26Oh, now we're just connecting dots all over the place.
- 1:17:29And here, of course, is President Buchele and President
- 1:17:32Trump shaking hands. Trump wrote a letter to Buchele
- 1:17:37thanking him. Yeah, I mean, I'm.
- 1:17:41Pretty sure I was trying to find on his Twitter.
- 1:17:43I'm pretty sure Naibu Kele retweeted this but I I can't
- 1:17:46seem to find it. That's that's what I was seeing
- 1:17:47yesterday. I mean, dude, this is these are
- 1:17:51a lot of these are a lot of these are a lot of coincidences,
- 1:17:56man. We're coming full Charlie Day on
- 1:17:58today's show. I mean but how could you not
- 1:18:03point these out? These are like bro Trump said it
- 1:18:07and we didn't say it, he said it.
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