Latest / Dollars In The Dirt / #032 - Full Stock From Day One or Build Slowly? I Ran The Numbers.
Transcript
- 0:00When you buy a new property, the biggest mistake you can make isn't paying too
- 0:03much for the land. It's failing to fund the production. And
- 0:07most producers think that taking on the maximum debt on day one is
- 0:10too risky, so they slowly build their herd over time. The
- 0:13truth is, buying a multi-million dollar asset and leaving it half empty
- 0:17is the fastest way to bleed your cash flow dry. After
- 0:20helping hundreds of farmers secure over a billion dollars in finance, I
- 0:24can tell you that the best operators, they don't fear debt. They
- 0:27fear unproductive assets. So in this video, I'm going to
- 0:30break down the exact numbers between fully stocking a property on day one
- 0:34versus building slowly, the hidden costs of running under capacity, and
- 0:37show you how to structure the finance so you don't cripple your business. So
- 0:40let's look at the first option. fully stocking the property from
- 0:43the moment you take the keys. In this scenario, you've just spent
- 0:47$5 million on the land. To fully stock it, you need to borrow an additional $1 million
- 0:51to buy the cattle immediately. This means maximum debt, maximum
- 0:55interest, maximum perceived risk. Most conservative operators
- 0:59look at this nail bork. They don't want the stress of the $6 million total
- 1:02dead load right out of the gate. They worry about what happens if
- 1:05the season turns dry or if commodity prices take a sudden hit. But
- 1:09let's look at the production side. Because the property is fully stocked, it's generating
- 1:13maximum revenue from day one. Every hectare of grass has been
- 1:16converted into beef. Yes, your interest bill is higher, but your
- 1:19gross margin is also at absolute peak. When cattle
- 1:23prices are strong, the revenue generated by that fully stocked
- 1:26herd will almost outpace the additional interest cost of
- 1:29the $1 million livestock loan. You're using the bank's money
- 1:33to generate an immediate return rather than letting the grass go to waste. The
- 1:36key to making the first scenario work is having the right finance structure.
- 1:40If you don't want the $1 million livestock loan sitting
- 1:44on your standard overdraft rate, and you certainly don't want an amortising
- 1:47of a short term that chokes your cash flow. You need a dedicated livestock
- 1:51facility or a structured line of credit that aligns with your sales cycle. When
- 1:55the finance is structured correctly, the debt services itself through
- 1:59increased production, and you reach peak profitability years
- 2:02ahead of the conservative operator. You establish a strong cash flow
- 2:06immediately, which makes the bank more comfortable with the overall debt
- 2:09level. So let's run through the second scenario of building slowly. In
- 2:13this scenario, you've still got a $5 million land debt, but
- 2:16you can only borrow $300,000 to start the herd. Your
- 2:19plan to retain your heifers slowly, breed your way up to full capacity.
- 2:23On paper, this looks safer and your total debt's lower, your
- 2:27monthly interest bill's significantly reduced. The bank manager probably
- 2:30loves this plan because it looks conservative, minimises their exposure
- 2:34to market fluctuations. But there's a hidden cost. You're
- 2:38paying interest on $5 million asset that's only running at 30% capacity.
- 2:42The grass is growing. You don't have the mouths to eat it. You're
- 2:45essentially subsidising the property out of your own pocket or
- 2:48from other operations. The opportunity cost of the ungrazed grass
- 2:52is massive. Over three years, the revenue you lose by
- 2:55running under capacity will almost exceed the interest you save
- 2:59by keeping your debt low. You're paying for the factory, but
- 3:02you're running on one shift. Furthermore, you're building a herd slowly,
- 3:06exposes you to different kinds of risks. The market turning, and
- 3:09if you spend three years breading up to full capacity and then the market crashes
- 3:13just as you finally hit your numbers, you've absorbed all the holding costs without
- 3:17capturing the upside. By fully stocking on day one,
- 3:20you immediately align your production with your current market conditions, allowing
- 3:24you to generate cash flow, while prices are known, and
- 3:27you take the market risk up front, but you also capture the immediate reward.
- 3:31Quick one, before we look at the other side of this, if you're in the process of purchasing
- 3:35a new property, or you want to make sure the loan is structured so you can hit
- 3:38the ground running from day one, that's exactly where I'll help you. Book
- 3:42a free call and we'll work out the right structure for your deal. Free, 20 minutes,
- 3:46and the link's in the description. There's also the operational inefficiency to
- 3:50consider. You have 300 head herd or 1,000 head on that property.
- 3:54Many of your fixed costs remain exactly the same, and you still have to maintain
- 3:57the fences, have to check the waters, pay the rates. When
- 4:01you're running under capacity, your cost of production per kilogram of beef produced
- 4:05skyrockets. you're spreading these costs over a
- 4:08much smaller revenue base, which crushes the net margin. So
- 4:12the decision between the two scenarios shouldn't be based on fear, it
- 4:15should be based on how you structure your facilities. If you try
- 4:18to fully stock a property using a standard overdraft, the bank will
- 4:22likely reject it, or the interest rate will kill your margin. You
- 4:25need a specific livestock funding facility. These
- 4:28facilities are designed to fund the purchase of trade or breeding stock,
- 4:32use the livestock themselves as security, and this keeps your core
- 4:36property equity free and ensures the interest cost is directly
- 4:39tied to the revenue-generating asset. It separates the
- 4:43long-term land debt from the short-term working capital required to
- 4:46run the business. As a broker, my
- 4:49job is to show the bank the maths. We present the cashflow projection that
- 4:53clearly demonstrates how to fully stock the property and service
- 4:57the high debt load better than an understocked property that
- 5:00serves a lower debt load. We show them the real
- 5:03market risk isn't the extra $1 million debt. The real risk
- 5:07is the $5 million asset sitting idle. When you structure the debt
- 5:10correctly, you give yourself the best possible chance of
- 5:14success from day one. and we build the narrative that
- 5:17proves you're a sophisticated operator who understands the relationship
- 5:21between leverage and production. It's also crucial to build a
- 5:24flexibility into the facility. Agriculture is unpredictable and
- 5:27you need a loan structure that allows you to draw down capital quickly when
- 5:31cattle prices are favourable and pay down debt without penalty
- 5:35when you sell. A rigid traditional term loan won't give
- 5:38you that agility. You need to trade effectively. We
- 5:41negotiate facilities that act as a tool for your business. rather than
- 5:45a constraint. And we ensure you have a headroom to
- 5:48make the commercial decisions without having to go back to the bank for
- 5:51permission every time you want to buy a deck of steers. So
- 5:55remember guys, buying land is half the battle. Funding the
- 5:58production is what actually makes you the money. And don't let the fear of
- 6:01debt force you into running an unproductive asset. The most
- 6:04successful graziers understand that well-structured debt is
- 6:08the fuel that drives expansion. And if you're looking at buying a
- 6:11new block and if you want to make sure you've got the capital to fully stock it from day one,
- 6:15reach out to Season Finance. As a broker, this is exactly what
- 6:19Thanks for tuning in to Dollars in the Dirt. If you've got value from today's episode,
- 6:23make sure to subscribe so you never miss the insights you need to grow your
- 6:27business. And if you're ready to stop being just another number to the banks, visit
- 6:30Season Finance via the link in the show notes. Remember to follow