Latest / Great Houses / 34. Cursus Honorum of the AI Future Part 6
Transcript
- 0:00Gregory Treat: All right.
- 0:01Hello, everybody.
- 0:01Welcome to episode 34 of The Great Houses Forum.
- 0:04We're continuing, continuing our conversation of, uh, the, the
- 0:09cursus honorum of the AI future.
- 0:10So, uh, last time we talked about how the cursus honorum is, and, and systems like
- 0:16that, these intense people-driven systems where you, you progress through a series
- 0:22of kind of cultural challenges, uh, is an alternative to credentialing systems.
- 0:26It's, it's an alternative to having a big university where everyone comes
- 0:30and gathers and is issued a piece of paper saying, "Thou art entitled
- 0:34to do a certain thing," right?
- 0:36Um, and so one of the things I was trying to do was, was give you an
- 0:39idea of what would it look like in terms of the tiers for an I- AI cursus
- 0:43honorum to start forming in this, this future that we're about to enter.
- 0:47But as I, uh, as I reviewed the, the episode and took feedback from some
- 0:51people, it, I, I, it, one of the things that came across to people that was not
- 0:55exactly my intention, but we're gonna, we're gonna correct that here today, uh,
- 0:58was that, that e- everything came off very much as something that only a, a
- 1:03nation state, even something the scale of a modern nation state could run.
- 1:06You… The, the idea was, well, you need a senate, a foreign office, a navy, or at
- 1:10least, you know, a, a university before you can form elites, uh, in this way.
- 1:14And so the scale requirements that people had for starting, um, were
- 1:20much larger than I was wanting and hoping for and all of those things.
- 1:25And obviously, you know, Rome, Virginia, and Britain, they,
- 1:27they are imperial, right?
- 1:28They, they are, they, they look imperial.
- 1:30They are imperial because empires grew out of this system.
- 1:33This is, this is, you know, what they became.
- 1:35But the genius of their system, i- in my view, was that what, what they had
- 1:39worked really well, uh, at a local level.
- 1:42You didn't need the, the… You didn't need central processing centers
- 1:47at the scale of tens or tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands
- 1:50or millions of people for it to work.
- 1:52It could work really well and, and, and feed people through the lower
- 1:56levels, um, at, at, at something much, much smaller scales than, than
- 2:01let's call it the empire as a whole.
- 2:02Okay?
- 2:03So, uh, you know, one other thing.
- 2:05I, I, I want to present to you the idea that maybe you, you could do
- 2:09something o- on the scale of six houses within driving range, right?
- 2:13You, you, you do need, I mean, as, as is always true, right?
- 2:16I'm, I'm, I'm wanting people to understand that you can't do this as
- 2:20an individual or as a nuclear family.
- 2:22That scale is too small.
- 2:25But there's a big difference between the individual and the nation state, right?
- 2:30Or even, you know, a, a capital city, a state as, uh, uh, as in
- 2:34the modern, you know, federal states like California or Texas.
- 2:37Um, you need something where a neighbor can interact with you in
- 2:41an afternoon or a night, right?
- 2:43Something where it's, it's a day trip.
- 2:45Um, you know, you need your neighbors.
- 2:47You need the people around you to be able to see how your son is turning out.
- 2:50You know, what is, as, as, as Will Tanner likes to say, what is the
- 2:53quality of your tobacco leaf, right?
- 2:55H- how are the accounts managed?
- 2:57How, how does the militia behave themselves?
- 2:59You know, if you're, you know, the, the British system had a, uh, kind
- 3:02of the, the training method for its nobles was, well, we're gonna have
- 3:06all of our, all of our aristocrats are gonna i- issue private IOUs that, that
- 3:10operate similar to a private currency.
- 3:12Um, and, and, and what you need for these systems is for neighbors to be
- 3:18able to evaluate each other and, and to feel the, the right, to feel the
- 3:23responsibility in some way to, to do that evaluation and not defer that judgment.
- 3:28Not say, "Well, no, it's only the special people in the major credentialing centers
- 3:33that can, that can do this thing," right?
- 3:36So again, a, a cursus honorum is a household back sequence
- 3:40of, of, of real world tests.
- 3:42So each rung is an office or some kind of project which is watched and judged by the
- 3:47people whose lives are directly affected by the quality of the work put out.
- 3:50Not… You know, one of the things about that's just conceptually
- 3:54difficult about teachers is when a teacher gives a test, that, that
- 4:00teacher's world is in no way affected by the poor quality of your output.
- 4:04If you fail every test, in some, some abstract sense perhaps eventually and over
- 4:10time a teacher might lose their job if everyone that goes to their class fails.
- 4:14Uh, there's no consequences for teachers failing to teach or for students failing
- 4:20to learn on the people around them.
- 4:22This is all hyper-individual and there's, there… You know, this really
- 4:25is some kind of abstract fantasy land.
- 4:28There are no consequences.
- 4:29There is no skin in the game, right?
- 4:33So one, one of the things that, that, that I wanna distinguish from this is
- 4:37we, we want… One of the pro- the ways that we talk about this would be having,
- 4:42having like a graduation project, right?
- 4:44Or a, a, a portfolio project, things that you're building as
- 4:47we move through your education.
- 4:49And to some extent you can, you know, revamp, uh, your, your high school or your
- 4:53college experience around stuff like that.
- 4:56Um, but I think it's useful to think, well, what, what if we just did this?
- 5:00What if we just said, "Hey, education in the formal sense doesn't matter
- 5:04that much," or if it matters, it's not a substitute for, for
- 5:07getting out there and doing the work and building your reputation.
- 5:10And, and I really believe that, you know, this is how you solve a, a leadership
- 5:15shortage, uh, especially a, a high quality leadership shortage, right?
- 5:18In, uh, I don't think we're gonna get to it today, but, uh, you know,
- 5:21there's this con- idea of elite overproduction and, and as always i-
- 5:25in those, those contexts, it's, it's useful to ask, what do we mean by elite
- 5:29exactly in this, um- In this context.
- 5:34So most of the time, you know, in a credential-based system, an elite is
- 5:38someone who has elite credentials, right?
- 5:41Which again, the, the whole por- problem we're having here is that elite
- 5:44credentials do not line up, uh, neatly or accurately with actual elite performance.
- 5:49You know, having people that, that are able to manage major projects, deal with
- 5:53issues of life and death, deal with, you know, all of these problems that, that,
- 5:57that someone needs, someone needs help, uh, people need help dealing with, right?
- 6:02Uh, so if you have a leadership shortage, you have a, a, a, a
- 6:05shortage of high quality elites, uh, then I believe that, that the
- 6:08cursus honorum is the quickest way to generate a, a surplus of, of elites.
- 6:14Yes, uh, Robert, Robert Rowe says, uh, the, the question
- 6:17is, is whose elites, right?
- 6:19Uh, you know, uh, because pro- probably, uh, probably it's not just
- 6:24that they're, they're, they're not elites in, in some objective sense,
- 6:27but there's a, there's a directional, there's a directional issue there.
- 6:31Uh, because they, they, they're, they're elites embodying the values of some
- 6:35group of people w- whose interests might not be aligned with yours, right?
- 6:38Okay.
- 6:39So let's, uh, let's, let's take some time and do a deeper dive into Rome.
- 6:43Um, and, and again, one of the main things I want you to be paying attention
- 6:45to is the scale of all of this stuff, because the, the important thing about
- 6:49Rome, and the important thing about all of these things, is to notice these
- 6:54are attainable scales at something much smaller than a nation state.
- 6:58Okay?
- 6:59Um, that's, that's, that's the thing that I, I'm, I'm wanting you to, to,
- 7:02to keep in mind as we move forward.
- 7:04Okay?
- 7:05So in Rome, the, the, the climb of the cursus honorum opened
- 7:08with being a, a military tribune.
- 7:10Uh, you had to have command of the soldiers in the field.
- 7:12Um, so the way you got it was that people elected…
- 7:16You could either be elected, uh, the, the people famously elect the
- 7:19tribunes, the first four legions.
- 7:21Uh, as Rome developed and matured that, that very much became a minority.
- 7:25Um, but other tribunates were, were named by the commander.
- 7:27So if you had a commander of, of a unit or a legion, they would
- 7:30just appoint their own tribunes.
- 7:32Um, and, you know, e- either way, you're putting… Some- someone is putting
- 7:36that tribune over men i- in a situation where real violence is going to occur.
- 7:41At, at a minimum, uh, you know, clearing bandits, um, and frequently going
- 7:47out there and actually expanding or defending the territory of the empire.
- 7:50You know, Rome was basically always at war from probably 300, uh, BC on,
- 7:55uh, you know, as they're, as they're fighting the Punic Wars and then kind
- 7:58of consolidating their, their rule and, and bumping up into, um, bumping up into
- 8:02the, the Persians off, off to the east.
- 8:05Uh, so you, you had to have skill in leading men, um, i- through a violent,
- 8:09um- through a violent e- encounter.
- 8:12You had to have some level of respect, right?
- 8:14Military leadership in Rome, and, and we'll, we'll, we'll talk more
- 8:17about this later, was, was a, a, a very in-depth thing, right?
- 8:22If y- you had the right to tell someone to go on a suicide mission.
- 8:25You had the right to, to, to, to send people to their deaths.
- 8:30Um, and so they had to respect you, right?
- 8:32'Cause, 'cause the downside of them not respecting you… Like i- if, if, if
- 8:36you're gonna tell someone, "I need you to go on a suicide mission," and they've got
- 8:40courage, and they, and there's, there's something that they believe in, uh, many
- 8:42times they'll do it, especially in a, in a culture where that's the, that's the, the,
- 8:46the way that things are expected to go.
- 8:48But if they don't respect you, these guys are gonna find some way
- 8:53of, of, of taking you out, right?
- 8:55Uh, there, there were… Now, if you were of sufficient rank, maybe there'd
- 8:58be an inquiry, but what are you gonna do to guys that are, that are in, in,
- 9:03you know, leading the charge, right?
- 9:04There's, there's no effective way to threaten guys whose, whose casualty rates
- 9:09are, I think, above, you know, 25%, right?
- 9:11'Cause just the, the odds of them making it, you know, to
- 9:15the point where the inquiry was finished is, is effectively nil.
- 9:18So they don't care.
- 9:19If they don't respect you, you're not gonna make it out, okay?
- 9:23And Rome, of course, is doing this, um, you know, i- is making this the,
- 9:27the, the gate for their leadership track because it wants itself to
- 9:31be known as a city of soldiers.
- 9:32It conceives of itself as a city of soldiers, right?
- 9:35And, and formally you, uh, you had to serve 10 years as a tribune.
- 9:39Um, though, you know, there's a lot of evidence that that was
- 9:42not always exactly how it worked.
- 9:43People were… One of the, the, the methods that we think happened was,
- 9:48um, was that people would be listed as tribunes and then not actually
- 9:54join their unit in the field.
- 9:56But no matter… So that might happen for four or five,
- 10:00maybe as much as eight years.
- 10:01But you had to serve some time in the field, right?
- 10:05Um, that was, that was a big deal, and if you, if you kind of cheated
- 10:08your way through, people, people… without a really good reason,
- 10:11people thought less of you, right?
- 10:13Um, so for instance the, um, the Fabian family, the House Fabius, right,
- 10:18they, they g- they got knocked down to one member, a 13-year-old boy.
- 10:2210 years later he's serving… Uh, nine, uh, yeah, nine years later.
- 10:25So between 13 and 22 he, he climbs several ranks and is seated in the Senate.
- 10:30Um, he pr- he didn't serve, uh, right, by definition, he didn't
- 10:34serve 10 years as a tribune, right?
- 10:36Something else was going on there.
- 10:38Uh, but generally that was the rule, okay?
- 10:41So then next was the questor, someone who audited the public money, either
- 10:44figuring out how Rome's treasure was being spent in the capital or watching
- 10:47a pr- provincial governor's books.
- 10:48This was both to prevent the governor from being cheated by the locals and
- 10:52of course to prevent Rome from being cheated too much by the governor.
- 10:55Um, the, the, the questor was elected by, um, by the tribal
- 11:00assemblies, and, you know, this is, this is very interesting, right?
- 11:03And we start getting into these, these, the Roman tribes.
- 11:07So, you know, the, the, the Roman tribes are, are a fascinating, a fascinating
- 11:11thing to, to explore, um, because they, they very quickly just kind of
- 11:17became like, like pure associations.
- 11:20They didn't really hold any property.
- 11:21They weren't… Uh, there wasn't a, a relevance to them other than this was
- 11:25the tribe, and if you were de-listed from the tribe, like by the censors
- 11:28for instance, um, then, then that would cause you political problems.
- 11:32The, the quaestor, uh, uh, was, was elected by, by, by tribes,
- 11:37and the tribes, you know, started out as these geographic entities.
- 11:39By probably 100, 200 years into Rome's history, you know, the Roman Republican,
- 11:43uh, phase, they, they really had ceased to be any meaningful, uh, geographic
- 11:49limitation, 'cause property changed hands and people moved back and forth.
- 11:53They were just these pure, uh, kind of like historical associations.
- 11:57Uh, similar in many ways to kind of modern voluntary associations.
- 12:00Though, though, though, there was a, a clear bloodline component,
- 12:02but you could be adopted into a tribe, you could be listed.
- 12:05There were ways of kind of getting from one tribe to another.
- 12:08Um, it was, uh, it was an interesting sort of flexibility of these
- 12:13self-constituting, self-constituting.
- 12:15So, you know, one of the things is, you know, like a, a, a censor
- 12:18could ban you from the tribe, right?
- 12:20Could require you to be de-listed from your tribe, which would hurt you in
- 12:24a, in a variety of political contexts.
- 12:26But later, the tribe could, like, be, "Oh, well, you know, we, we really want
- 12:29this guy listed in our, in our, in our tribe. We think he belongs here." Um, and
- 12:33they could, they could put you back in, which is a kind of a, a fascinating thing.
- 12:37So.
- 12:39So then above the, uh, the aedile, uh, above the quaestor is, is the aedile.
- 12:44Uh, and they, they ran the, the city, the city of Rome's working order.
- 12:48They controlled the markets, water supply, you know, which involved aqueducts,
- 12:51and was a, you know, the, the… Rome was famous for the engineering
- 12:54that went into its, its aqueducts.
- 12:56Um, if you're not familiar with that, I, I encourage you to, to watch a…
- 13:00Well, I don't know if I encourage you to watch, but, uh, you could watch,
- 13:02uh, Life of Brian by Monty Python.
- 13:04There's some fascinating, fascinatingly historically accurate things in there
- 13:08about how Rome conducted itself.
- 13:10the tribal assemblies also a- a- elected the aediles, uh, the aediles.
- 13:15then you had the, the, the plebeian ideals, uh, and then you had the,
- 13:19uh, the, the standard, the, the, the, the cheral ideals, And you had
- 13:23to administer all of these things, especially for the, the curial aediles,
- 13:27the, the higher rank of aediles.
- 13:29Uh, they, they administered the games, and one of the things that
- 13:33you were expected to do as a, as an aedile was fund the games, uh, out,
- 13:37actually out of your, your pockets or out of the pockets of your house.
- 13:41Your, your, your household was expected to contribute to the games.
- 13:44So y- you know, technically you could run.
- 13:46There was, there was ways for, uh, for non-patricians to become, uh, the, the
- 13:52curial aediles, but it was very difficult to do unless you had a financial backer.
- 13:55So someone, someone with a lot of money had to back you, otherwise you wouldn't
- 14:00be able to function, um, as, as an aedile.
- 14:03So the, the … One of the famous stories, Julius Caesar, when he was serving as,
- 14:06as aedile, um, leveraged the assets of House Julius basically, like, to the
- 14:10brink, all, all the way up, um, in, in various stunts, including he, he had 320
- 14:16pairs of gladiators in silvered armor.
- 14:19He had the, the armor c- you know, plated in silver and was gonna march through.
- 14:23He actually apparently had more than that, and there was a, uh, there
- 14:26was an act of the Senate to restrict him so that he could only have 320
- 14:31guys marching in the silvered armor through the streets of Rome, right?
- 14:35Um, this is an extreme case of an unpaid office that, that, that cost a fortune.
- 14:40And the, and the point here was if you didn't have a substantial fortune behind
- 14:44you, either personally that you'd created somehow or, um, a, a, a household that
- 14:50could, that could back you, whether it was your own or some- some- some
- 14:53other household, um, then, then you were gonna be selected out of this.
- 14:57You weren't gonna be able to play this game, okay?
- 15:00Um, another, another thing to think about here is that, uh, many men would,
- 15:04would stop at the rank of aedile.
- 15:06this is the rank, this curial magistracy.
- 15:09You would gain the, the ius imaginum, the right to, the, the, the right of
- 15:13images, which is a, a Roman death mask, and I talked about the Roman death mask
- 15:16with these, these wax images cast, uh, at, at various times, including at death,
- 15:21and they were kept in the family atrium, um, so you could kind of walk through
- 15:24and see your ancestors, see their faces.
- 15:27It was a, it was apparently a very lifelike, uh, semblance of the faces.
- 15:30And then at certain times, uh, different rituals that a city would have, you
- 15:35could, you could have someone wear the mask, and it was like your ancestor was
- 15:38still walking around, you know, visible.
- 15:41Um, and, and this was, this was a pretty significant
- 15:43incentive for a lot of families.
- 15:45You know, in, in any given generation, not every family is gonna have a consult.
- 15:49Not every family is gonna rise to the highest heights of, of
- 15:53Roman, uh, you know, Roman virtue.
- 15:55But basically, if you were a family of means and your, your, your kids did well,
- 15:59you, you could expect if you have two or three sons, that at least one of them
- 16:03is gonna rise to the rank of, of, of the curial magistrate, the, the aedile.
- 16:08Um- And so that was kind of the, the, the thing that drew everyone in
- 16:12was this, was this, this third tier.
- 16:14This is actually, you know, three tiers from, from the, the top.
- 16:17Um, and that's, that was enough to, to kind of get people out of bed, um,
- 16:22in a way that I, I … You know, in our current setup, you have to win.
- 16:28You have
- 16:28You, you keep running, um, and you have to win at a, at a much,
- 16:32much higher level, uh, distinguish yourself, uh, from the crowd at a, at
- 16:35a much different level in order even really to be, to be able to survive.
- 16:38If you become an aedile, and then the next step was to be, to enter the Senate,
- 16:42um, you're, you're pretty much set.
- 16:44You're gonna be able to leverage that into wealth and power and s- and,
- 16:47at a minimum, sustain yourself for the rest of, of, of your life, so.
- 16:52So that brings me to the Senate, and after serving as an aedile, uh, induction
- 16:55into the Senate was traditionally treated as a matter of right.
- 16:58Again, the … If, if, if the censors, uh, didn't like you, uh, they, they
- 17:02could delay you, um, perhaps until y- after you'd served as praetor or
- 17:06otherwise distinguished yourself.
- 17:07But the assumption was that if you successfully served as an aedile, you
- 17:10conducted yourself well, you did a couple of games, people cheered your
- 17:13name, right, and your family's name, then that would mean that you were
- 17:16gonna reach the Senate at some point.
- 17:18And, and the Senate is, is interesting 'cause it was
- 17:20it's kind of this holding tank for all of the top guys in the
- 17:24emper- in the empire, right?
- 17:26Uh, trad- uh, before, there's, there's kind of two versions of the Senate.
- 17:29Prior to Sulla, it was about the top 300 men or so who had proved
- 17:32themselves loyal and capable in the service of the republic.
- 17:35Um, and then after, uh, after, uh, Sulla, who was, who was a dictator and a
- 17:39and he, he reframed certain things about Rome.
- 17:41He's kind of a, a precursor to Caesar.
- 17:43He was able to, um, get things to the point where when he stepped down, there,
- 17:48it wa- there wasn't an immediate, uh, civil war that, uh, that, that happened.
- 17:52There was a civil war within, I think, 10, 10 or 15 years
- 17:54of his death, but there wasn't
- 17:55It, you know, it didn't immediately collapse as soon as he died,
- 17:58as opposed to Caesar, right?
- 17:59As soon as Caesar dies, bam, people are, people are going hammer and
- 18:03tongs at this, uh, pretty quickly.
- 18:05So that was the Senate.
- 18:06Now, kind of alongside the Senate is this concept of the, the, the
- 18:10centuriate, uh, assembly, the, the, the Comitia Centuriata.
- 18:15And the two highest offices, the praetor and the consul, were
- 18:18both filled by that same body.
- 18:20And one of the interesting things about Rome was that, that every citizen
- 18:23voted, but they did not vote as equals.
- 18:26Men were sorted by property into classes, and each class was broken
- 18:29into voting units called centuries.
- 18:31Um, you know, precisely how many people were in these centuries kind
- 18:35of varies from, from point to point.
- 18:37Um, and then the political centuries, uh, so, you know, initially, presumably
- 18:41at some point in the, in the ancient past, a century was 100 men, and
- 18:45then traditionally in Rome, that got knocked down to about 80 men.
- 18:48Um- But then the political centuries had very flexible amounts of people in them.
- 18:54Sometimes they had, um, they had 100 people, sometimes they had way more.
- 18:58Uh, occasionally they would have way less.
- 19:00But, but the, the, the, the bulk of the 193 votes were distributed to men
- 19:04whose net worth would allow them to buy their own Roman soldier's kit.
- 19:08You know, like, like Paul talked about the, the, the Roman soldier's kit and
- 19:11the, the armor of God in Ephesians, right?
- 19:12The belt, the breastplate, the shoes, the shield, the sword, et cetera.
- 19:15Um, and interestingly, this was also… Like, the, the amount that it cost
- 19:19to buy a kit for one person, the full panoply, the full Roman panoply, uh,
- 19:24was also the amount that it would take to field, to, to, um, to, to
- 19:29feed 80 men in the field for a year.
- 19:32Uh, so, so there's, there's some really interesting, uh, parallels there.
- 19:37Um, and we'll, uh, and we'll, we'll, we'll, we'll come back to that in a
- 19:40second So, um, the, the, the, the next assumption, um, position and the next rung
- 19:49up from being, you know, kind of merely a successful senator was to become praetor.
- 19:53And, and the praetor was, um, was Rome's chief legal magistrate.
- 19:57So a citizen with a grievance brought that grievance before the praetor
- 20:00and, and the praetor would decide whether the claim would be heard.
- 20:03He, he would frame the exact question in dispute, and then he would kind
- 20:07of hand it to a private judge, uh, to, to try the, to try the facts.
- 20:12Um, though again, the, the judge, the praetor is serving in this context i- in
- 20:17the role that we in, in, in modern America would think that a judge serves, right?
- 20:22So the, the, the private judge that they talk about, that guy functions
- 20:26much more similarly to what we would, we would think in the modern day of
- 20:29that, that's the role of a jury, right?
- 20:31Determining the facts, figuring out what actually happened.
- 20:33But the praetor was the person who decided, you know,
- 20:35matters of law, as it were.
- 20:37Um, so, uh, his jurisdiction, yet there were two types.
- 20:40There was the, the, the, the praetor urbanus, which, um, which heard
- 20:43disputes between citizens, um, and, and the praetor peregrinus, which
- 20:47handled cases touching foreigners.
- 20:49Um, and then Rome, you know, kind of added more and more praetors, and
- 20:53they, and they, they would go out and, and serve in the provinces, uh,
- 20:56dealing with provincial governors.
- 20:58Um, and so they also, Sulla restructured them so that they would stay, they
- 21:03presided over the standing criminal courts for crimes like extortion,
- 21:06murder, treason, uh, electoral bribery.
- 21:09And, and the thing about the praetor was, uh, within his domain, um,
- 21:13he, he was responsible for seeing that the law was executed, right?
- 21:18Uh, you know, the, the, the deeper power of, of, of the praetor was that
- 21:21he could, he could issue edicts, right?
- 21:23Uh, so, uh, uh, when he took office, he would kind of publish… This is, this
- 21:27is early in, in the Roman Republic.
- 21:28He would publish the claims and defenses that he would recognize that
- 21:31year, and critically, where there was a problem that the, that the old law
- 21:35offered no remedy, he could create one.
- 21:38Um, he couldn't create an infinite amount, but one of the interesting
- 21:42things about Rome is there, there isn't, a lot of these things, there
- 21:45aren't hard and fast rules, right?
- 21:46It was, "Hey, you can solve problems within your ambit, but we're not gonna
- 21:51say you can only create one rule." Like, that's kinda how we would,
- 21:53it would be portrayed in, like, a modern historical, you know, fantasy.
- 21:56"Ah, you get, you become this, this position. You get to create one rule."
- 22:00Well, I mean, it typically was one rule, but a, but a praetor could,
- 22:03could, could solve the problems.
- 22:05A- a- and this is interesting because it, it- It solves a problem that we're
- 22:10having right now, which is that we have many, um, we have many district attorneys,
- 22:15we have many, you know, law enforcement officials that don't seem very concerned
- 22:21with actual law and order, right?
- 22:23Many of them and their, their promotions, their incentive structures
- 22:26are built around, uh, basically prosecution success rates, right?
- 22:31So there's a percentage of cases that they've tried and a percentage of
- 22:34cases that they've won, and they're trying to make that, that, you know,
- 22:37the, the percentage of cases they've won compared to how many they've tried
- 22:39as high as possible, which means not taking difficult cases, um, even when
- 22:45they're pretty sure that this was a, a, a bad dude that did a bad thing.
- 22:48And frequently, um, and more and more we're, we're seeing that taking technical
- 22:52cases, uh, against people who are kind of living their life in an ordinary fashion.
- 22:57And many, many of those things, uh, strike people that, that are involved with them
- 23:01as very unfair, deeply unfair, okay?
- 23:05And I'll note, you know, again, we're, we just hit, uh, this
- 23:08is, this is the, the 250th year of, of America by some accounts.
- 23:13And, um, and we're really struggling with how to solve this problem.
- 23:17We are really struggling to, you know, make sure that laws
- 23:20are actually being executed.
- 23:23Uh, right?
- 23:23The, the, the, one of the chief questions before the Supreme Court is, you know,
- 23:28the, the executive's, uh, m- mandate in the Constitution of the president is, you
- 23:33know, he shall, you know, take care that the laws be faithfully executed, right?
- 23:37Uh, we have a problem with that throughout our entire system.
- 23:40There really, uh, um, even though that's, that's the text of what he's supposed to
- 23:43do, the president really in many ways, his power to take care that the laws be
- 23:47faithfully executed is deeply constrained.
- 23:49Um, and, and it's causing a bunch of problems.
- 23:51Rome did not have many of those problems while its praetors were strong, okay?
- 23:57Um, so after the year of serving as a, as a, as a magistrate generally in Rome,
- 24:02uh, he would often be sent out to govern a province and command his legions.
- 24:06Uh, he wielded the power of imperium, um, over a whole province with the legal
- 24:11right to call Ro- Roman citizens to arms, to requisition, requisition property, and
- 24:16to command with anyone with a military rank under his own, which was basically
- 24:19anyone, uh, every w- every Roman that w- happened to be in his territory.
- 24:23It'd be very unusual for there to be somebody higher rank than the provisional
- 24:27governor in, in his, uh, in his province.
- 24:30So, uh, and again, you've, you've got that, that military command structure.
- 24:34You can tell somebody, "Hey, go out here and take a hill." And, uh, and if it's
- 24:38a valid cause and, and there's, there's any reason, you know, why, why this is
- 24:44a good idea, the, the, the laws of Rome are gonna land pretty hard on, on, on,
- 24:48hey, if a c- if the commander tells you to do something, you need to do it.
- 24:52Okay?
- 24:53Um, and you know, this is the point, this goes back to the point
- 24:55I, I made on, on Will's show.
- 24:57Rome had a, a unitary structure of, of, uh, of authority.
- 25:01You were not a full praetor unless you both judged and ruled, right?
- 25:05And so, and, and in addition to having the ability to tell someone, "Hey,
- 25:08you know, go, go take that hill," or, or, "Go, go, go, go accomplish
- 25:12this military objective," um, you were also the chief judge, right?
- 25:16So you retained your judicial powers and authority.
- 25:18So if he gives you an order and you don't obey it or you, you know, violate the
- 25:22laws of Rome in some way, he could charge you with a crime, and he would decide
- 25:26the law as, as applicable to the facts.
- 25:28Again, you know, there, there would be a, a private judge, which is, you
- 25:31know, more similar to our jury, but, but the praetor had immense power.
- 25:35Okay?
- 25:36So that's the praetor.
- 25:38Then, uh, the, the, the The top in, in terms of rank, the thing that
- 25:42people were trying to climb to i- in, in the normal track was the consul.
- 25:47And, and the consul was similar to the praetor except he was a judge and then a
- 25:50military official, except his jurisdiction included the entirety of Rome.
- 25:54Um, there, there tended to be two consuls unless some emergency was happening.
- 25:58Usually one of them died or, you know, the, the, the most common
- 26:01way for there to only be one consul is if one of them died in battle.
- 26:04And there were two, number one, so they could be a check on each other, but
- 26:06also so that one of them could go out into the field and one of them could
- 26:10stay home and, and govern Rome in the absence of the other consul, 'cause
- 26:14they wanted that, that authority.
- 26:16Okay?
- 26:17Um, you know, it's, and it's interesting to think about, you know, 20 men enter as
- 26:20questors, uh, each year for most of Rome's history, and only two would reach consul.
- 26:25Um, that, that's, that's, you know, over, over time, that's creating an
- 26:29enormous pool of guys that have some level of experience governing, um, and,
- 26:36and don't reach the top of their system.
- 26:37Okay?
- 26:38Um, so again, they, they would serve for a year, and then they would go back into
- 26:43the Senate and, and, and they would stay in the Senate for the rest of their days.
- 26:45So that was the, uh, the highest office that was regularly filled.
- 26:49Um, and yes, there was a lot of honor, there was a lot of, uh, there was a,
- 26:52there was a lot of sense that, that this guy represented Rome, right?
- 26:56Famously, there's the, uh, there's the, the, the line from, uh, from the
- 27:00series Rome, uh, where, where one of the consuls was killed by, by the Egyptians.
- 27:05Those t- terrible people, those Egyptians.
- 27:07Um, and, and his enemies are very upset that a consul was, was
- 27:16killed and, and especially that, that his body was dishonored.
- 27:18That was, that was seen as, um, as an offense against Rome itself.
- 27:22Not a good thing, right?
- 27:24So kind of in parallel and, and, and, and in a way that, that-
- 27:30was in some ways over the, the consuls and in some ways under
- 27:33them are the censors, right?
- 27:35So the censors are also elected by the centuriate assembly, um,
- 27:39and, and by the middle republic, they're, they're normally, uh,
- 27:42former con- for- former consuls.
- 27:44You don't, you don't really want someone who hasn't served
- 27:46as a consul to be the censor.
- 27:48Um, and so they, they would serve for 18 months, uh, once every five years,
- 27:53and they would, they would do a census.
- 27:55They would investigate the citizen body.
- 27:56They would add and remove names from the senate roll, and they had broad
- 27:59powers to censor citizens for a variety of, of poor conduct, right?
- 28:02This is obviously… This is where we get the English word to, to censor,
- 28:06like as in, as in censorship, right?
- 28:09So their main thing was what was called a nota censoria.
- 28:12Uh, so that, that, that nota censoria could force a guy to be
- 28:15dropped from the rolls of his tribe.
- 28:17It could make him an, an, it was called an orarius, make him
- 28:20tribeless if he was a knight who…
- 28:22Which mean- meant he'd been assigned a public horse by, by Rome, uh, 'cause,
- 28:26you know, early in Rome's history, horsemanship was a very new technology.
- 28:29It was very expensive.
- 28:30It was very hard to get, uh, breeding lines of horses that could
- 28:33carry a, a man in battle, um, even an unarmored man, uh, in battle.
- 28:38And, uh, so, so those things were restricted to, to, uh, to Rome, and
- 28:43then, um, then they were assigned out.
- 28:46There was 18 centuries, uh, so, so 1,800 men that were Knights of Rome at any
- 28:50given time for most of Rome's history.
- 28:52Um, later on, you know, horse lines that could carry knights in battle, carry
- 28:57men in battle became more and more and more common until basically if you were
- 29:00rich enough, you could just buy one.
- 29:02Um- But for, for a while there, they were kind of restricted assets
- 29:06that only the state could have, and the state kind of doled them out.
- 29:09Uh, but a censor could say, "Hey," a- a- and the censors would
- 29:12actually figure out, like, were you ta- taking care of your horse?
- 29:15And if you weren't taking care of your horse to their satisfaction, they, they'd
- 29:19strip you of your knighthood, and you'd, uh, you'd kind of have a bad time there.
- 29:22Um, now it w- it was public shaming rather than a criminal conviction,
- 29:25um, and the next pair of censors could, could reverse it, and it didn't
- 29:29always bar a, a later magistracy.
- 29:31But the main thing about the, the nota censoria was they, they would,
- 29:33they would publish their reasons.
- 29:35They'd go through, and they'd say, "Well, here's what we found out about this
- 29:38guy, and here's why we think he's a bad person, and y- he should not be trusted.
- 29:43we should not, as a city, give him power, and here is why." Now,
- 29:47the people could ultimately, you know, reject that over, over time.
- 29:51There were ways of kind of worming your way back into all of the rights
- 29:54that the censors could strip you of, except membership in the Senate.
- 29:56If the, if the censors stripped you of membership in the Senate, that
- 29:58was very difficult to come back from.
- 30:00I think only, um, only a couple people actually managed that.
- 30:05Um, but if, you know, if the evidence was severe, it could easily
- 30:08end a political career, right?
- 30:10Uh, now, m- m- a lot of this revolves around the, the, the story of Paulus
- 30:13Emilius, um, which, which I talked about in, in one of my early episode.
- 30:18S- uh, so the, the censors stripped him of his tribal identity
- 30:21because as dictator, he restricted heavily the powers of the censors.
- 30:25He made, he, he, he, he took away a lot of their, their,
- 30:29their abilities 'cause they were interfering in the governance of Rome.
- 30:33Um, so they cut him off, uh, from, from the tribal assembly and, and therefore
- 30:38from election as, as an ideal until, until the tribe was able to enroll him again.
- 30:42Um, there is some dispute about whether the censors had the power
- 30:45to strip a man of the right to hold, uh, any kind of office, um, with,
- 30:49with thinkers and writers in the late republican, early imperial period
- 30:52arguing persuasively against it, though I'll, I'll note that the context
- 30:56suggests that, that the earlier censors would have not agreed with that.
- 31:00The earlier censors would have said, "Nope, we, uh, we have the right to
- 31:03completely strip somebody of their ability to serve in Rome," okay?
- 31:08But regardless of the, the precise legal powers held by, by people that,
- 31:12that, that, that were called censors across five, uh, centuries, a notice
- 31:16censuria, uh, against a man while he was trying to be elected, uh, any,
- 31:20uh, uh, into any office higher than a questor would injure his, his tribe,
- 31:24his patrons, and the voters' confidence.
- 31:26Um, and, and this is particularly true when you understand what the
- 31:30censors were allowed to consider in wielding their vast powers, right?
- 31:33In, in the modern day, and, and this is typical, you know, most of the, the
- 31:36Greco-Roman, uh, world had this concept, well, you know, I mean, yeah, it matters.
- 31:40If, if you have a scandal, that's bad.
- 31:42But we really care about, like, public fitness.
- 31:45That was not Rome's opinion.
- 31:46They did not, they did not dis- draw a distinction between private
- 31:49actions and, and public actions.
- 31:51Uh, more than, than any other city in the Greco-Roman world, and arguably more than
- 31:55any other polity in history, uh, with the possible exception of, there were certain
- 31:59Chinese dynasties that, uh, that, that had a, a legal framework called legalism.
- 32:03Like, they, they, they o- they really heavily indexed on what is the
- 32:07law, what is the letter of the law.
- 32:08But they, they focused on this household, this household qualification.
- 32:13Greek observers treated this as Rome's distinctive oddis- oddity.
- 32:16Dionysius of Halicarnassus describes censors looking into people's
- 32:20private lives, and, and Plutarch says no household was free of them.
- 32:22'Cause I mean, these people, they could basically show up and demand to be taken
- 32:27through your house to observe how you behaved, how you treated your family.
- 32:31And, you know, the theory was, was pretty simple.
- 32:33Uh, private government was the, was the sample, the training
- 32:36ground for public government.
- 32:37A good paterfamilias was the working model of a magistrate 'cause you,
- 32:41you were judging your household.
- 32:43and positions within the house were, were constantly referred to.
- 32:47Uh, Cicero, uh, kind of alludes to this in, when he's talking about, he says
- 32:51that the, the statesman is the field superintendent and the, the household
- 32:54superintendent of the commonwealth, right?
- 32:56If we view the whole of, of, of the Roman state as one household, then learning
- 33:01how to serve your house, to manage disputes, to, to get people to work hard
- 33:07together, um, was, was, was critical.
- 33:10the other, uh, recorded grounds for, for, uh, a nota censoria in, in their private
- 33:14life included neglecting your land.
- 33:16Uh, if a man let his fields, orchard, or vineyard run to waste,
- 33:20uh, the censors would, would severely, severely, uh, punish him.
- 33:24Um, another one was luxury and waste.
- 33:26If you had, you know, silver plate, bl- uh, banquets, expenditures that
- 33:30showed a man could not keep his house in order, if you, if you engaged in
- 33:33too much conspicuous consumption, especially early in the republic, right?
- 33:37They, you know, this was, this was one of the values of, of
- 33:40guys like Cato the Elder, right?
- 33:42Cato was very much, "Hey, the problem with Rome is that there's
- 33:45too much money floating around and people are spending too much money.
- 33:48Um, if you, if you wanna spend money, do a public triumph, do a public feast,
- 33:51uh, invite all of Rome to celebrate.
- 33:53But if you're having private banquets where you're spending money, um,
- 33:57just to, just to benefit yourselves and to benefit your faction," that
- 34:01was, uh, that was frowned upon.
- 34:02Okay?
- 34:05So, uh, another interesting thing was celibacy, when a man ought to
- 34:08have been producing, uh, citizens.
- 34:10Um, so they, the people, there, there's this famous speech by a guy named, uh,
- 34:14uh, Metellus that, uh, "The city cannot be safe without frequent marriages."
- 34:19Uh, on the other hand, if you had a disreputable union, if you, um, if you
- 34:23worked as, as an actor, if you had a freed woman or a prostitute as a wife, uh, the-
- 34:28these were things that were not okay.
- 34:31Um, we didn't, th- th- they didn't like that.
- 34:33And the censors, again, would take note of that, and they would write up these
- 34:36things saying, "This is why we don't like this guy," But most of all, the, the, the
- 34:39main thing that the censors were concerned with was bad household government.
- 34:43Uh, so if you had an improper divorce or a broken betrothal, something that showed
- 34:47that you weren't, you weren't willing to carry out orders… Now, the critical
- 34:51thing about the betrothals, um, and, and marriages too for that matter, many
- 34:55of these were not, like, your choice.
- 34:57They were arranged by your father or by some, you know, elder male
- 35:00in your, in your clan or tribe.
- 35:02And so if you broke a betrothal, if you show you didn't have concern for the, for
- 35:07the wishes of your immediate ancestors, that was seen as, as being disrespectful,
- 35:11as something that indicated, hey, this guy is not going to, uh, not going to,
- 35:15to be respectful of, of the traditions of, of, of the ancestors of Rome, right?
- 35:19And, and, and everything that we're, that we're trying to do here, if you
- 35:22were too harsh or too indulgent with your wife and your children, if you put your,
- 35:25your sons in the wrong schools, right?
- 35:27There was a, there was an edict in 92 BC against, um, against putting your, your
- 35:33children in, in schools, uh, i- under tutors that would kind of stir up dissent.
- 35:38Uh, if you were cruel to slaves or clients.
- 35:40You know, it's, it's really interesting because we think of, you know, the,
- 35:43the paterfamilias, the power of life.
- 35:45He's got the power of life and death over everyone in his household.
- 35:49Yeah, but, right?
- 35:50Um, if he behaved in a way that, that showed that he was cruel,
- 35:56that showed that he was, um, he did not care about the people under
- 36:00him, um, then he would be shamed.
- 36:03He would be publicly stigmatized.
- 36:05Um- And I think that's, that's important.
- 36:09Now, there was a practical reason for this, right?
- 36:10In a, in a world where household loyalty is the core of morality, which, which it
- 36:14was in, in, in early Rome, a man could be expected to steal from his employer
- 36:18or from the state if his father or his father's patrimony was in need, okay?
- 36:22Um, and the solution to this was, well, let's… We're, we're gonna restrict some
- 36:25of these key offices, especially offices where somebody is handling money, to
- 36:29people whose households are rich, okay?
- 36:31Um, that's, that's why the, the, the idols had to, had to fund the
- 36:36public games out of their own purse.
- 36:37They weren't, they weren't given money from the state.
- 36:39Now, uh, higher ranks, obviously a praetor or a consul, they
- 36:43are dispersing public money.
- 36:44That's, that's how that works.
- 36:46but you, you need those guys to be people that their households are doing okay.
- 36:49They're not, they're not ever put in a position where they're
- 36:52tempted to take from the public household to, uh, from the…
- 36:56Sorry.
- 36:56From the, from the public funds to boost their, their private household.
- 37:00So… And, you know, one of the things is, y- formally, the censors hold the, the
- 37:05same power over, over everyone of rank.
- 37:07Um, the only office they could technically bar you from was the Senate.
- 37:11Uh, but for praetors and consuls, these higher ranks that held imperium, Rome
- 37:15relies really heavily on the judgment of the censors, both to reveal the state
- 37:18of a man's character and his purse.
- 37:20Rome was being asked to trust this man with a court, an army, a province.
- 37:24They were much less likely, To do that with a man that had been marked by the
- 37:27censor's disapproval, And obviously, um, you know, I, I mentioned this a little
- 37:31bit last week, Paul incorporates language that would have struck the original
- 37:35hearers as very similar to this, right?
- 37:36He talks about in the, the pastoral epistles, "An elder must preside over
- 37:40his own house well, must manage his household well. He must keep his children
- 37:43in submission with all dignity," right?
- 37:45Um, "If a man does not know how to preside over his household, how will he take
- 37:48care of the church of God?" Uh, you know, these, these things would have struck
- 37:53people as, as hitting similarities to taking on public responsibilities to the
- 38:00city, especially to the city of Rome.
- 38:01And, and, and my view, Paul is trying to communicate to, to the early
- 38:05Christians that they should view eldership as a high office, right?
- 38:09That, that, that… As equivalent to wielding the imperium of Rome even.
- 38:12Um, which, you know, kind of shifts the mindset, I think, that, that,
- 38:16that we have towards those, those, uh, those verses when you understand
- 38:19that, that this is the language.
- 38:21And I'm not saying that Paul was, was, was trying to draw a,
- 38:25a direct immediate comparison.
- 38:26Obviously, Paul views the, the kingdom of God and the kingdom of
- 38:29the world as very different, right?
- 38:31There's, there's, you know, there's a few bits on that in
- 38:32the Bible, in the New Testament.
- 38:34Uh, but, but in terms of if these are similar competing kingdoms,
- 38:38the elders had a, a rank.
- 38:40They, they were able to dispense the, the, the, the sword of
- 38:44Christ, if you will, right?
- 38:45All, all of that language is, is much more natural when you understand that
- 38:50Paul is drawing on kind of this rich heritage of people thinking publicly
- 38:54about what kind of person and what kind of household should a person, uh, that
- 38:58we entrust with the imperium have, okay?
- 39:01In, in the Roman, in the Roman context.
- 39:03And this is particularly true, uh, because, you know, these guys,
- 39:06the, the household has to serve while the main guy is away, right?
- 39:10Uh, so the household… A household that remains faithful while its head serves
- 39:13elsewhere shows that he formed people, delegated authority, and set habits that
- 39:18do not depend on his, you know, standing there, there making them happen, right?
- 39:21A prospective elder or prospective prater's house should show that his wife,
- 39:25his children, and the children he has entrusted can exercise real responsibility
- 39:28without disorder or concealment, that is a, a critical piece of, of what's going
- 39:34on in these, um, in these passages, right?
- 39:37We're, we're thinking about how do we get super high quality
- 39:40guys, super high quality guys.
- 39:42So we're gonna take a, a little bit of a deviation.
- 39:44Uh, at this point we're talking about the, the, the centuriate assembly.
- 39:47and again, I, I said, as I said earlier, every citizen of Rome
- 39:50voted in the centuriate assembly, but they did not vote as equals.
- 39:54Voting as equals is not really a thing that they did.
- 39:56Um, the Athenians flirted with, with some level of voting as equals,
- 40:01especially, especially as they moved into, uh, the, the, the hoplite or the,
- 40:05the, the… There was a period of time where, uh, Athens actually had citizens
- 40:09rowing in its, uh, in its, in its navy.
- 40:11They had, they had citizen rowers, and so they needed a huge amount of people to,
- 40:16to cooperate to make their navy dominant, and that, that drove, uh, demands
- 40:20for, for broader democratic rights.
- 40:23Rome did not do that.
- 40:24Rome, Rome needed… You know, Rome's navy was never super good, frankly.
- 40:28Um, they, they kinda were outmatched in, in, in most times and places.
- 40:32Their ar- their army, their, their, their military was pretty good as a whole.
- 40:36Um, but they, they did not do that.
- 40:39They, they always preserved this idea of, hey, the property that you have,
- 40:43the, the, the voice that you speak with, um, is, is mediated against
- 40:48how much you're managing and how successfully you're managing it, right?
- 40:51So to, to understand the centuriate assembly, uh, you have, you have
- 40:56the knights, um, and initially they had no property, uh, requirements.
- 41:00The knights later on, they would, come to a place where, they'd, they'd
- 41:04eventually assign the knights a income requirement or, or excuse me, a, a
- 41:07wealth requirement that was about two to three times, two to three times
- 41:11the, the requirement for class one.
- 41:13Uh, especially as, again, you know, being a knight, riding a horse became just a
- 41:16matter of can you, can you buy a horse, 'cause horses were no longer restricted.
- 41:20They had 18 votes, uh, for the centurions of, of the knights, and then, uh, 80 votes
- 41:25for, um, for the first class, which had, uh, 100,000 units of, of copper that…
- 41:32Then the unit of copper is pronounced asses, right?
- 41:34Or asses.
- 41:35Um, and that's… It, it's really interesting.
- 41:38That would be about $470,000 of copper today.
- 41:41And those two groups, the, the first class and the knights,
- 41:44constituted a flat majority of, of the centurion assembly, right?
- 41:47So they could, they could set policy, they could elect.
- 41:51They, they could elect the censors and the consuls and the, um, and the praetors.
- 41:54And if those people were unified, if they were all on the same page, which meant
- 41:58if there was a threat to their interest, a global threat to their interests, uh,
- 42:02then they could just, they could just pass policy Now one of the things, you know,
- 42:07obviously you're looking at, at, at vast historical differences, vast economic
- 42:11differences, but there's a real argument for, uh, pricing things in metals.
- 42:14Uh, so pricing things in metals creates, uh, possibilities
- 42:17for cross-cultural parallels.
- 42:19Gold is one example.
- 42:20So for instance, 200 silver dimes is one of my favorite statistics.
- 42:23200 silver dimes in, in 1962 or 1964, the last year they were issued,
- 42:28bought one hour of, of, of legal time, the, by the average billable hour.
- 42:32Um, interestingly, uh, those same 200 silver dimes in a weight of silver
- 42:37still buy about an hour of legal time.
- 42:39Um, you gotta have, you gotta have rolling averages of how you're
- 42:42counting the silver, but, uh, but, but that's, that's been a very durable
- 42:45relationship despite all of the, the games we play with currency.
- 42:48Um, so, uh, selected prices repeatedly return to recognizable
- 42:53gold and silver ranges even after decades of dollar inflation.
- 42:56So a good men's suit, uh, lo- you know, there's lo- lo- a lot of people that
- 43:00have said, you know, for an ounce of gold you can have a good bespoke suit.
- 43:03housing has, uh, the median American home has been near 200 ounces of
- 43:07gold for a lot of times, especially when you, when you understand that
- 43:11the, um- when you take it on, on like a five to 10-year rolling average.
- 43:14Um, a military equivalent personal weapon, um, is about, uh, one ounce of gold
- 43:19and, and you know, we've, we've recently had… Gold has recently increased
- 43:22massively in the last four to five years.
- 43:24Uh, but um, so we'll, we'll have to see if, if these things, uh,
- 43:29if these things come up, right?
- 43:31Uh, but, but a military-grade firearm is, is about an ounce of gold.
- 43:35Um, right now at this moment because we have this massive upswing it's,
- 43:39it's not, uh, but, uh, we'll see if, we'll see if it catches up.
- 43:42We'll see if it catches up.
- 43:44Uh, one of my favorite, uh, statistics in this vein is the, the
- 43:4844 ounce, uh, the 44 ounce metric.
- 43:50So, uh, it is a fact that, uh, in, in no year in our, in our history in which
- 43:55American workers were paid less on average, uh, than, than 44 ounces of gold,
- 43:59uh, has, uh, replacement fertility, right?
- 44:02A replacement fertility is, um, is, uh, 2.1 children per woman, um, and 44
- 44:07ounces of gold, uh, is about $200,000 a year at, at, at current gold prices.
- 44:12And, and you know, i- in, in modern surveys, this, this number has held fast.
- 44:16Uh, so that, that 44 ounce is drawn from similarities, uh, between how
- 44:21much Henry Ford paid his workers priced in gold and certain modern
- 44:25surveys that have said, "Well, kind of the middle class has low fertility.
- 44:29The, the poor have relatively high fertility," um, because they get paid
- 44:33for, for more children, kind of like the welfare queen, welfare baby type of thing.
- 44:36And then at the other end of the spectrum in, a K-shaped sort of a way, once
- 44:40you get above a certain number of your household income, then fertility
- 44:44also starts to, to tick up, and that number is about 44 ounces of gold,
- 44:49which is, which is really interesting.
- 44:50So anyway, I wanted to include that 'cause, 'cause that,
- 44:53that stuff fascinates me.
- 44:54But back to Rome.
- 44:55Livy's the, the, the, the copper units that Livy's talking about, these,
- 44:58this is liberal bronze, you know, and it's, it's really interesting.
- 45:01Um, you know, copper is the main ingredient in bronze,
- 45:04so this is about 33,000.
- 45:06So for a first class family you need about 33,000 kilograms of copper, which is
- 45:10about $470,000 in today's metal markets.
- 45:14Uh, it's about, uh, two semi-truck loads of copper, right?
- 45:18Uh, if you, if you wanted to think of what it would look like or, uh,
- 45:21an, an interesting statistic that the, uh, the AI suggested to me
- 45:24was, um, about 24,000 flock cameras.
- 45:28Uh, which, which is, you know, enough to blanket a small town.
- 45:31what I find fascinating was that, you know, in the ancient world, the, um,
- 45:36the first class fortune would feed about 80 men in the field for a year.
- 45:41And that same weight of copper, if sold, uh, would also feed about 80 men, uh, for
- 45:46a year in, in the modern context, right?
- 45:48If you're, if you're buying food.
- 45:49Um, so, so that, that, that number appears to have an
- 45:53interesting durable relationship.
- 45:54if you, if you price what it costs to deploy a company, it's also
- 45:58about, you know, $370,000 a year, to deploy on, on a per man basis.
- 46:02That now If you say you, you have to, you have to look at that, that number
- 46:06is drawn from what does it cost to deploy a company, not what does it
- 46:09cost to deploy an individual soldier.
- 46:11Um, and, and these figures don't include pay, but the Roman calculation
- 46:13didn't, didn't include pay either.
- 46:15one of the things that I wanna, I wanna make clear to people is that, that this
- 46:20is, this is something the size… This is not a nation-scale project, right?
- 46:24Uh, if you've got a mega church, you know, 2,000 people per weekend or a
- 46:29mid-sized RIA, you know, $2 to $5 billion under management, um, that is enough
- 46:36scale to build this machine, right?
- 46:39That is the size that you would need to have in order to, to play this game, which
- 46:46is a, again, that's, that's a lot more substantial than an individual household,
- 46:50but it's not, it's not unattainable.
- 46:52It's… And it's also not something that, that requires
- 46:55the scale of a nation, right?
- 46:56so I, I was, you know, going through, this is, again, this is the, the, the cursus
- 47:00honorum of an, of an AI, of the AI future.
- 47:02Uh, so what else could you buy?
- 47:04What, what, what could you buy in the AI space for, uh, 33,000
- 47:08kilograms of, of, of copper?
- 47:09And the answer is, one eight P GPU machine with, uh, 1.1 terabytes of fast
- 47:14memory, which is enough, um, over a… I, I think the, the way that I, uh,
- 47:19that the AI explained to me, Nothing, nothing probably that you can have in
- 47:22your house is gonna be as good, uh, on a one-shot level, as the frontier models.
- 47:28But if you're looking at, well, what would you need to compete in terms of
- 47:32coding or penetration testing or the other kinds of base- the basic things
- 47:36that you need to be able to do that people are using AI for, um, in the present,
- 47:39certainly any kind of content creation.
- 47:42Um, if you're doing a five-hour session, you can be competitive with local models
- 47:46and locally licensed models, um, at, at 1.1 terabytes of, of fast memory.
- 47:51Like, you, you, you can-- That can allow you to have one serious household
- 47:55operator or maybe a small practice sharing, sharing the machine, right?
- 47:59And again, that's priced right at about four hundred and seventy thousand
- 48:03dollars, um, which, which is interesting.
- 48:05Now, I mentioned earlier that the, the knights had, uh, later on… Initially,
- 48:08the knights didn't have a, a property requirement, but later on they were,
- 48:11they were given a property requirement.
- 48:13Um, and that property requirement, it was, was kind of a combination of
- 48:17copper and silver, but it was, it was ba- somewhere in the vicinity of eight
- 48:21hundred and twenty-five thousand to one point s- uh, uh, one point oh six million.
- 48:25Um, and then, and then senators, uh, after Augustus raised the qualification,
- 48:30had to show about four to five times the first class, which is, you
- 48:33know, two to two and a half million.
- 48:35it's fascinating to think about, well, well, what, what could you buy?
- 48:38Um, so you could buy two of those eight GPU machines in the knightly band, right?
- 48:43Um, or four of them, two of the, the newer eight GPU machines in the
- 48:46senatorial band in that, that, you know, one point eight to, to two
- 48:49point three million dollar range.
- 48:51Um, the other thing you could buy, we talked earlier, uh, in the
- 48:54series about the, the weede- the weeder, the, the laser-based weeder.
- 48:57The Carbon Robotics laser weeder is also in this, in this senatorial
- 49:02fortune class, I give you all of these things because I want us to understand,
- 49:08hey- You don't need something the size of a nation state to do, to do
- 49:12this type of cursus honorum stuff.
- 49:14Um, again, as, as I said at the beginning, I, I think six houses,
- 49:18um, coming together, maybe six to 10 houses, the, the, the Jewish minyan is
- 49:22famously 10 houses that come together.
- 49:25They, they are able to build something.
- 49:28That, that's the- they consider like that minimum household unit.
- 49:31That's the… Or the, excuse me, that, that minimum, uh, public unit that, uh,
- 49:34that allows them to start a synagogue and start playing these kinds of public games.
- 49:38That's the size that you need to, to, to foster children between houses.
- 49:42It's the size you need to, you know, start acquiring some of these properties.
- 49:46Um, that's a very doable size, right?
- 49:50And so that, that, that was kind of the point of this episode.
- 49:52I wanted to present all that to you guys and, and make sure that I was kind of on,
- 49:56on the record as the cursus honorum is a thing we can start and start producing
- 50:01and start producing high-quality people.
- 50:03Uh, it does take a certain scale, right?
- 50:06It's not something, uh, it'd be difficult for you to start with
- 50:09just your family living in like a, a prepper, you know, a prepper compound.
- 50:13But if you've got any kind of scale at all, even something the size of
- 50:17a small town by modern standards, you can play this game, right?
- 50:21A single, you know, mid-sized, uh, megachurch or mid-sized RIA
- 50:25firm is going to be able to, to provide the necessary structures.
- 50:29I mean, assuming everyone's on board or most people are on board, they're
- 50:32gonna be able to start doing this.
- 50:33They're gonna be able to start recognizing.
- 50:34You know, I, I know, um, pastors of local churches that, that de facto
- 50:38act as censors, that, that, that, that go in and they investigate.
- 50:42They know the, the condition of a guy's household, and people come to them and
- 50:46say, "Hey, should I invest in this guy? Should I go into business with this guy?"
- 50:50And the pastor, you know, will usually not, like, divulge exactly what he knows
- 50:54in, in kind of the way of the old censors.
- 50:56Though every now and then you find a pastor that does exactly that,
- 50:59which is, which is hilarious.
- 51:00Um, but, but they will say, you know, "Let's, let's, let's guide the community
- 51:04away from that." Um, there are, uh, you know, in, in, in many contexts,
- 51:08there are local investors that kind of serve this function of, of the senior
- 51:12statesman of the house kind of dr- saying, "Hey, let's, let's mentor some people.
- 51:17Let's, let's give some people a project," right?
- 51:19Um, if, if there's some folks that would say that the, the modern kind
- 51:22of aristocratic path is, uh, i- in our current culture is to, to do a startup
- 51:27and have an exit and maybe do an IPO, and that's kind of what gives you the
- 51:30wealth to, to play the higher level games.
- 51:33Um- You know, again, you don't need, you don't need a, a
- 51:38infinite scale to do that, right?
- 51:40Any, any mid-sized community that decided to throw its weight behind,
- 51:43especially in the age of AI, right?
- 51:44Where what you need are people that know what they want building, people
- 51:47that can describe the attributes that they're looking for building with AI.
- 51:52And the main cost is basically keeping those people working, keeping those
- 51:57people fed while they do something that has a long-term payout.
- 52:00A community of any size can accomplish that.
- 52:03there's, there's several communities that, that, that sponsor this, uh,
- 52:07or sponsor might not be the right word, but that, that I have, I have
- 52:10welcomed in, uh, to, to the forum.
- 52:12Exit Group, uh, Joshua Sheats' Radical Personal Finance Community,
- 52:15and the Classical Society.
- 52:16and all of those, I, I… are, are either at or very quickly approaching the scale
- 52:21where they could do this by themselves.
- 52:23If you consider, you know, the larger, maybe we might call it the liberty
- 52:26community, the conservative community, there are lots and lots of players who
- 52:30could do this, start doing this, start producing high-quality leaders, um,
- 52:35that would be, be able to participate in, in more interesting things
- 52:38at, at state and national scales.
- 52:41I don't know that that's like a magic bullet solution to our political process.
- 52:44Ag- again, one of the things I wanna distinguish is, is I don't want you to
- 52:47think of it as, well, we, we just need to produce high-quality people, we're
- 52:52gonna then be able to get them elected.
- 52:53Though, it would be great if we did that, and we got them elected.
- 52:56But I think more in terms of just basic competence, right?
- 52:59Can your government or can some local body get the roads paved and make
- 53:04sure that there's internet and make sure that there's, you know, housing
- 53:08and food and all of this stuff that, that, that we need to, to, to survive
- 53:11and thrive and, and move forward?
- 53:13And again, as I've said before, I think all of those are gonna be
- 53:16increasingly mediated by and through AI.
- 53:19So, um, all right, folks, that, uh, that concludes, uh, my prepared remarks.
- 53:24So thank you all for, for being here, and let's, let's move into the Q&A.
- 53:28All right