
NERC risk: when an AI dispatch call is confidently wrong
What happens when a grid dispatch model is wrong but sounds exactly as certain as when it is right? The position here is that accuracy is not the problem worth solving. A model that is correct 98% of the time is still dangerous if it gives no signal during the other 2%. The stakes in power operations cross a legal line, with NERC reliability standards carrying fines up to a million dollars per day per violation, and cascade risk of the kind seen in the 2003 Northeast blackout. You leave with a two-layer deployment pattern: AI advises while a human dispatches, and hard-coded thermal limits…
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