Latest / Buckeyes TomOrrow Morning / College Football Week 8 Preview: Top Teams Facing Big Rivals
Transcript
- 0:00Hey, guys, it's Tom So funny story about this episode. Sometimes Tony
- 0:05Gerderman and I record these Saturday morning episodes where we're kind of previewing the week
- 0:09of college football games. We'll record those a day or two early. Sometimes
- 0:13we can get the stuff done on Thursday morning early Thursday afternoon, and then
- 0:17it's done, and you know they're not going to change the schedule of games
- 0:19or anything like that, so you can get the gate get your work done
- 0:22done a little bit earlier in the week. So that's what we did this
- 0:25week. And then right after we recorded this, then some news broke about
- 0:29the Michigan scignceealing allegations, So Tony and I recorded a whole separate show just
- 0:34about that that dropped on the Buckeyes Tomorrow morning feed a few hours before this
- 0:38show is going to drop. So you're not going to hear us refer to
- 0:41that at all, because that news had not broken at the time we recorded
- 0:44this show. But pretty much everything else in this show is going to still
- 0:47be accurate and still the same stuff we would be saying now. So just
- 0:50wanted to address that. Why we hadn't mentioned that in this show, why
- 0:54we are releasing this a little bit later. Just want to give you.
- 0:56We're going to give you as much content as we can. It is quite
- 0:58a week of college football. Giving you as much content as we can here.
- 1:02So there you go. Here is part two of the Saturday, October
- 1:06twenty first episodes of Buckeyes Tomorrow Morning. Welcome to buck Eyes Tomorrow Morning for
- 1:11Saturday October twenty, first time your host Tom Or. The Penn State game
- 1:15is today, the game against Michigan thirty five days. Yes, just five
- 1:19weeks away college football season, already past the halfway point. I don't care
- 1:26for that at all. We've got we will get to talk about some of
- 1:30the games coming up this week, really five of them of any significant note
- 1:34that could potentially impact the Buckeyes in one way or another, not including obviously
- 1:38the Ohio State Penn State game. You're going to be going through those with
- 1:42our buddy, Tony Gerdeman. Ifuckaheadle dot Com. Tony. The first one,
- 1:45I'm I'm gonna say, and you're going to say, how is this
- 1:48potentially related to Ohio State. Let's just talk about the game first before we
- 1:52get to that Air Force at Navy. The first leg of the Commander in
- 1:55Chiefs Trophy Noon on CBS. Air Force a ten point favorite on the road.
- 2:00This is not a great Navy team. This could be a very very
- 2:02good Air Force team. They are six and zero, one of the three
- 2:07unbeaten group of five teams still left over under on this one. Tony a
- 2:14forends ask thirty four points and as always in Air Force, Air Force,
- 2:19Navy, Air Force, Army, Army, Navy games, my vice you
- 2:23friends is bet the under Tony. What are you seeing here with air Force
- 2:27and Navy. I wonder what the over under on possessions is. Is it
- 2:30like six and a half for each side, because it's going to be low.
- 2:35I do think air Force stops to run pretty well. They got a
- 2:38good win last week against Wyoming and so they were blowing everybody out and then
- 2:44they won a tough one against Wyoming. And like you said, Navy's offense
- 2:49this year is just not very good. Is not what we've come to expect.
- 2:53And even though air Force isn't trotting out d Dallas from back in the
- 2:57day, they're doing quite well themselves and defensively, offensively they're doing what they
- 3:01need to do. Obviously, you're not going to see much passing in this
- 3:04one. And Tom the Ohio State Michigan thing. Whoever runs the ball better
- 3:08wins. I think whoever throws the ball more is the loser in most of
- 3:13these games. Yeah, and whoever throws the ball more might be like eight
- 3:16attempts in this game. Navy. Here's the rest of Air Forces regular season
- 3:22schedule. They're at Navy today at Colorado State. That should be a win.
- 3:25They have Army at home. They're at Navy UNLV at home. You
- 3:30U NLV actually not a bad team this year, honestly, might be you
- 3:36know, the team that finishes of Michigan's first nine regular season opponents might be
- 3:40the team that finishes with the best record, which is a statement in and
- 3:44of itself. And then at Boise which, if you have been following Boise
- 3:47at all, the Brian Harson to Auburn thing has not really worked out for
- 3:53any of the parties involved in that. Not Brian Harson, not Auburn,
- 3:58not Andy Avolos, not Boise State. Boise State is like three and four
- 4:01right now. They have more losses than they had in multiple seasons under Chris
- 4:05Peterson. So yeah, a twelve to zero Air Force very much a possibility
- 4:10which brings us Tony to so is why would Ohio State care friends? Let
- 4:14me paint you a picture? And this is really friends of a very specific
- 4:16age. You know, if air Force goes unbeaten and they're the group of
- 4:21five representative and Ohio State plays and loses to Michigan and or Penn State and
- 4:28somehow misses out in the college football playoff. The Rose Bowl is a college
- 4:31football playoff location, so the Big Ten. You know, if you are
- 4:35a non college football playoff team from the Big Ten, you're not going to
- 4:38the Rose Bowl. So you might go somewhere like, oh, the Peach
- 4:41Bowl, the Cotton Bowl, somewhere like that. We're you might face the
- 4:44Group of five Representative, Tony, we could have a somewhat disinterested Ohio State
- 4:48team facing air Force in a bowl game in the South Ken. Ohio State
- 4:54put up exactly eleven points in that scenario. Again, boy, not that
- 5:00not that anyone will listening to this podcast today didn't have a rooting interest already,
- 5:02but oh boy, Ohio State should really beat Penn State today to avoid
- 5:05having air Force Bowl game. Part two. I thought you were going to
- 5:10say people should be rooting for Navy. That should be the main focus root
- 5:14for Navy. But Tom, this would be an opportunity. It could be
- 5:16an opportunity you turn a bad thing into a good thing, an opportunity for
- 5:21revenge against air Force, an opportunity to even the rivalry the series between the
- 5:28two teams. Air Force has been one to know against Ohio State since nineteen
- 5:31ninety. I don't know. Does that calls on Buckeye fans daily? I
- 5:35would assume, And so you say that people wouldn't be interested. I say,
- 5:40this would be an opportunity to right some wrongs. It's like a quantum
- 5:44leap if you will, for Ohio State. And also, I don't even
- 5:47want to hear you say defensive linemen are going to opt out of that game
- 5:49rather than face all the cut blocks from air Force's triple option, because I
- 5:55disagree wholeheartedly. I might opt out from that game if that happens. That
- 5:59is Yeah, that is sort of the spiritual successor to the time that Michigan
- 6:03scheduled app State again and everyone kind of went, why why would you do
- 6:09that? You're just going to bring up the memories of the last time.
- 6:12Just go ahead and have that be the fun fact is that you have a
- 6:14losing record against app State, but it worked out for Michigan, so who
- 6:16knows. That's just one of those thoughts that it has been sort of been
- 6:19pingponging around on my head after I looked at the remaining schedule for Air Force,
- 6:24so I figured, you know what, I'm going to share this with
- 6:26the rest of the world because I shouldn't. I shouldn't be experiencing this spectrum
- 6:30of emotions by myself. All right, Speaking of spectrums of emotions, it
- 6:33is the third Saturday in October. That means it is time for Tennessee and
- 6:36Alabama to play. The spectrum of emotions in this series has been pretty much
- 6:42all role tied for about twenty years now. Tennessee got them last year in
- 6:46Knoxville in a rather memorable finish three point thirty on CBS Alabama minus nine.
- 6:51It just Tony feels like this is just a Tennessee team that is kind of
- 6:56they're not quite back to the pre last year Tennessee team, but it's also
- 7:00kind of back to I am not expecting Tennessee to win this football game.
- 7:05No, I'm not either, And it's interesting that Tennessee's running the ball better.
- 7:11Like last week, they ran it better than they threw it. Joe
- 7:14Milton, the biggest arm in the world, is almost He's like a second
- 7:17to last in terms of yards per attempt in the SEC amongst starting quarterbacks.
- 7:23He's down towards the bottom and pass efficiency. Jalen Milroe meanwhile, second in
- 7:28the SEC and yards per attempt, second in the SEC in passer rating and
- 7:34runs the ball very well. So it's great that Tennessee is running the ball,
- 7:40but they only threw it for like one hundred yards against Texas A and
- 7:43M, and they should do better than that against Alabama. But I have
- 7:49all of our suspicions about Joe Milton have been kind of confirmed throughout the season.
- 7:55The downfield stuff just isn't there, The accuracy isn't there, and I
- 7:58don't I don't think he's had a game this year where he's averaged nine yards
- 8:01in attempt. I think he's stopped out at like eight. It's pretty bad.
- 8:05Yeah, it's pretty bad. Hendon Hooker is not walking through that door,
- 8:09but some of the wide receivers from last year are not walking through that
- 8:11door either. It just feels like that was it wasn't quite a one off
- 8:16because they haven't completely fallen off the table, but it just feels like it's
- 8:20a step back kind of year for them. Speaking of teams taking an offensive
- 8:24step back, Minnesota. Also speaking of teams taking a offensive step back,
- 8:30Iowa. They're playing in Iowa City today three thirty on NBC. Get your
- 8:33eclipse viewing glasses ready. If you're going to be watching this one, do
- 8:37not look directly at the television. Iowa a three and a half point favorite,
- 8:41Tony, the first time. The last time I looked at this over
- 8:43under number, it was thirty two and a half, which is the lowest
- 8:46number I can ever remember seeing that over under number now down to thirty one
- 8:52and a half because the lowest number ever seen was getting beat down by a
- 8:56full point. Oh, Tony, have you looked at the rest of Iowa's
- 9:01schedule like they are almost a lock to win the Big Ten West because there's
- 9:07no one left on that schedule And even though they're just a three and a
- 9:11half point favorite against Minnesota, I don't really see Minnesota being able to You
- 9:15know, this feels like an Iowa blowout, which means, you know,
- 9:18ten to three, that's the problem because all of these teams, Iowa is
- 9:22not significantly better than any of these teams. They've got Minnesota this week,
- 9:26then they host or Northwestern, then they host Rutgers, then they host Illinois,
- 9:31and then they go to Nebraska. Like I wouldn't be shocked if any
- 9:35of those teams beat them, but you can't expect any of those teams to
- 9:39play well. The only expectation you have in any of these games is for
- 9:45Iowa's defense to play well, and anything else that happens outside of that is
- 9:50almost happenstance or just luck of the draw. But in terms of the lowest
- 9:54lines, I did see earlier in the week the lowest line ever recorded thirty
- 10:00one and a half, and so they were watching this one, you see
- 10:01if it would get to it, because like you said, it started at
- 10:03thirty two and a half. I believe three of the four lowest have all
- 10:07involved Iowa recently, and in that thirty one and a half may as well.
- 10:11It may have been a bowl game, if I recall. So I'm
- 10:18not going to touch I'm not touching the over under, but it sure feels
- 10:20as I'm thinking about it now and saying I'm not gonna mess with it.
- 10:24It seems kind of high, which is crazy. Well, last week it
- 10:26was thirty six in the Iowa Wisconsin game, and it was like, boy,
- 10:31that's that's such a low number. I don't know if they can And
- 10:33then they went and they missed. You know, we're two touchdowns more than
- 10:37more than two touchdowns under that they finished fifteen to six. So they finished
- 10:41with a total of twenty one last last week under the incredibly low over under
- 10:46by fifteen points. And now it's thirty one and a half. And yeah,
- 10:50I don't I don't feel at all comfortable looking at the over there.
- 10:54So yeah, man, and they're going to be in your life they get
- 11:00upset. They are going to be a part of the narrative around every Big
- 11:03ten game for the rest of the season, Tony. People are paying lots
- 11:07of money to put Big ten games on TV. Can you believe it?
- 11:11I can't believe it. Speaking of games, it probably shouldn't be on TV.
- 11:13Michigan Michigan State seven point thirty NBC Michigan favored by twenty four. Okay,
- 11:20Tony, unless Michigan State comes down with COVID and cancels this game,
- 11:24talk me out. Of Michigan minus twenty four because this feels like, after
- 11:28the postgame stuff last year, with Michigan being what Michigan is this year,
- 11:33with Michigan State being what Michigan State is this year, this feels like it's
- 11:37just going to be a snuff film. Well yeah, and I wouldn't be
- 11:41shocked if things go both ways in this because you've got a Michigan State program
- 11:46that everything is going to change next year with new coach. You know,
- 11:50who knows how many people are going to be sticking around. This could be
- 11:54a situation where some of these players are no they are going to be back,
- 11:56but they want to get a shot in on Michigan and there could be
- 12:00some Shenanigans going on there. I think the refs are going to really,
- 12:05really really have to dial this one in and be on it and be out.
- 12:09I'm not saying I have a police presence, but if you want to
- 12:13have some support staff on hand to just make sure that these teams never touch
- 12:18until they're actually on the field and the ball is snapped, because this is
- 12:22going to be one with the Michigan is going to want to put a score
- 12:26up because they know they can and the more they do that, the more
- 12:31testy Michigan State is going to get. And they're already going to be testy
- 12:33coming into this one. They have nothing to lose, and they know they're
- 12:37going to lose, so you have even less to lose at that point.
- 12:43So I think, just be careful with this one and it could get ugly
- 12:46in a number of ways. All right, And last up, Duke at
- 12:50Florida State seven thirty on ABC. These are two of the three remaining teams
- 12:56in the ACC that are unbeaten in conference play, the other one being North
- 12:58Carol. Duke a fourteen and a half point underdog at Florida State. Riley
- 13:05Leonard, the quarterback for Duke, sounded like it was a possibility that he
- 13:07could play. That his status is still a little bit up in the air
- 13:11as at the time we're talking. We'll see how that shakes out. If
- 13:13he's banged up, he's not super mobile. I don't know how much it
- 13:18really helps Duke to have him back, but this is one definitely where Ohio
- 13:24where Florida State could really buy and large lock up a spot in the ACC
- 13:30championship game. Because Duke, of course still has to play North Carolina.
- 13:31So even if Duke wins this game, they still have another tough one coming
- 13:35up against North Carolina. What are you see in here? Yeah, and
- 13:39Duke has to go to Louisville as well next week, so like this is
- 13:43going to be a tough some tough sledding for them. So yeah, I'm
- 13:48with you. Florida State seems to be just coasting along right now, no
- 13:52reason to have any concern. I don't think we all got a good look
- 13:54at Riley Leonard against Clemson, and that's probably the last time we looked at
- 14:00Duke, and so that's not the same team going right now. Like you
- 14:03said, if Leonard isn't one hundred percent, like he's the kind of guy
- 14:07that if he is one hundred percent, he can will something to happen,
- 14:11or at least be in the fourth quarter. Without him, I'm not really
- 14:15expecting anything, especially with the way Florida State is playing right now. So
- 14:18I think this one I don't know about two touchdowns, but also I you
- 14:22know, I wouldn't be surprised if this one gets ugly as well. Yeah,
- 14:26it feels like, I mean, Mike Elko has done a heck of
- 14:30a job at Duke. Mike Elko might be doing a heck of a job
- 14:33at Texas A and M this time next year, if some of the current
- 14:37rumors in scuttle butt around college football are correct. But yeah, it feels
- 14:41it feels like you're probably going to run out of you know, you're going
- 14:46to run out of talent at some point at Duke, because it's just Florida
- 14:48State is pretty darn good. Duke is playing probably a little over their heads
- 14:52right now. So yeah, I think I think that's a you know,
- 14:56I am thinking we're going to be having a lot more Florida State conversations when
- 14:58we start the the college Football playoff selection show or ranking show shows in boy,
- 15:05just a week and a half. I cannot believe we're almost almost there.
- 15:09First one of those is going to be on Tuesday, October thirty first,
- 15:13but then a couple a couple of weeks of football before then. So
- 15:16I should be an eventful day today as the Buckeyes take on Penn State at
- 15:22noon in the Horseshoe. That game will be on Fox. We will be
- 15:24there. We'll have the availability report coming out for you on YouTube at YouTube
- 15:28dot com. Slash Buckey Huddle at ten am. We'll have that college game
- 15:31day on campus at Ohios Date to be a very big, very exciting weekend
- 15:37in Columbus. We'll be there for all of it, and then after the
- 15:39game win or lose, I bet there's going to be a lot to talk
- 15:41about for the buck Eyes and the Nitny Lions both no matter how this game
- 15:45shakes out, we will be there after the game YouTube dot com slash Bucke
- 15:48Huddle for our usual postgame show and then another road trip next week out on
- 15:54the road to Wisconsin. So a couple eventful weeks coming up for the Ohio
- 15:58Date FOOTBA program. You might want to consider might you might consider this be
- 16:02a good time to join buckey Huddle dot com as we're talking about Nitney Lyons
- 16:06and then Badgers and then headed into November. When November of course Tony for
- 16:11contenders. We will find out if about how how contending the Bucky Buckeyes are
- 16:17Saturday, and then heading into head into the wisconcent trip after that. So
- 16:22check us out at bucke huddle dot com. Lots of coverage of the team,
- 16:23lots of coverage of recruiting, big recruiting weekend. This weekend as well,
- 16:26lots of coverage of Exis and O's making you a smarter football fan all
- 16:30at Buckeye huddle dot com. That will do it for today. Thank you
- 16:33guys all for joining us. Have a great day. We'll talk to you
- 16:34a little later on