Latest / International Flavor: Where the Truth Tastes Better / Risk vs Diplomacy: Putin on Gas, Khazin on Bretton Woods, and Why Insurance Decides the Iran War’s Cost

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Risk vs Diplomacy: Putin on Gas, Khazin on Bretton Woods, and Why Insurance Decides the Iran War’s Cost · International Flavor: Where the Truth Tastes Better

0:00
Hello, good morning, welcome.
0:01
I'm Samuel Trapp.
0:02
This is International Flavor.
0:04
You are listening to damradio.com.
0:08
Very glad to have you this morning.
0:10
I actually got some sleep last night.
0:14
So, you know, there's a switch.
0:17
Pretty crazy.
0:19
But it's pretty sad because I never sleep.
0:22
And on the days that I do sleep,
0:23
it's like, yeah, I'm ready to go and
0:24
some kind of lunatic.
0:26
And all I do is work.
0:28
I wanted to let you know, before I
0:29
get started on my topic today, that tomorrow
0:33
is Civic Outlaws Day here on Dam Radio
0:39
in our program.
0:42
Why does it always, why does something feel
0:43
echoey in here?
0:44
I don't know what's going on.
0:46
But it is.
0:47
It is echoey.
0:48
And I don't like it.
0:50
At any rate, tomorrow is Civic Outlaws Day.
0:54
And I have another analysis, another bit of
0:57
an article.
0:58
As you know, our focus for the last,
1:03
oh, gee, several months, and then a couple
1:06
of, we have several topics that we're working
1:08
on.
1:08
The two most important, well, there's three.
1:13
One is licensing in general, issues that I
1:15
spoke about here.
1:16
The other one is legislative action to expand
1:22
the police state, in my view.
1:25
I noticed that in my email this morning,
1:29
when I checked it, I got a response
1:33
to the Sunshine request that I sent out
1:36
to Representative Benny Cook.
1:41
I haven't read it yet.
1:42
I haven't uploaded anything.
1:43
I haven't checked out any of the documents
1:45
he sent me or what the answer is.
1:47
Nothing.
1:48
I chose, since I didn't have the time
1:50
to look at it and give it any
1:51
respect, I chose not to.
1:54
And, but I will after the show.
1:56
And I'll go dig in.
1:58
I've already written another article regarding one of
2:01
his, one of his, another sponsored bill that
2:05
he has done.
2:09
Where's this echoing coming from?
2:11
It's driving me crazy.
2:13
Anyway, the, I've written this article.
2:17
And this one is, with the help of
2:19
glasses, I can tell you what it is.
2:23
And so for tomorrow's show, I'll be going
2:26
through my fifth article.
2:28
And this one's kind of a combination.
2:31
There's two, there's a Senate bill and a
2:34
House bill.
2:35
The Senate bill's the companion of the House
2:37
bill.
2:38
And it's about ATC.
2:39
The House bill is 3154.
2:41
The Senate bill is 1407.
2:43
And basically it's, it's really interesting to me.
2:48
And I don't have any concrete convictions.
2:50
I have my first impressions of it.
2:53
And my first impressions are, I don't like
2:55
it.
2:56
I think anything, and if you get to
2:58
know me, you will know that I don't
3:00
like the expansion of state power.
3:02
I just don't like it.
3:03
I believe they have enough power.
3:04
They don't need any more.
3:06
I believe the bureaucrat needs to tone it
3:09
down a little bit and turn into an
3:11
administrator like they're supposed to be.
3:13
And not a, not, geez, I'm God's gift
3:16
to the planet because I happen to run
3:18
an agency.
3:19
You know, hell with you.
3:20
No offense, but who cares?
3:25
What makes you God's gift to the planet?
3:28
You're not.
3:29
None of us are.
3:31
It's live and let live.
3:33
You need to work with people and allow
3:36
people to expand their own dreams, not just
3:39
you and yours.
3:40
And if you're in the bureaucrat position because
3:42
it's the easy route, well, I don't have
3:45
as much respect for you as I would
3:46
have somebody else.
3:47
You know, when I look at a bureaucrat,
3:49
the sad truth is, is I see a
3:51
person who's learned how to kiss ass or
3:54
has had people kiss ass up to them.
3:56
That's how you get there.
3:58
Truthfully, there's no other.
4:00
You get your positions because you're connected.
4:04
That's why people that aren't connected, we get
4:07
a bitch from the sidelines.
4:08
And that's how it works.
4:11
That's America.
4:12
That's mostly every other country on the planet,
4:15
too.
4:16
It doesn't matter the form of government.
4:18
The government is not your friend.
4:21
Very seldom is that the case.
4:24
And the government, just because they're not out
4:27
to get you, doesn't mean you shouldn't be
4:30
paranoid.
4:33
It's a simple equation.
4:35
And I'm telling you, things that expand the
4:38
power of the police state drive me crazy.
4:42
But that is not my topic for today.
4:44
But tomorrow's article will be.
4:46
It's called, and I've already written it.
4:48
It's done.
4:48
It's Civic Outlaws Series, Article No.
4:51
5, House Bill 3154, Senate Bill 1407, the
4:56
10% owner drag net and the return
4:59
of discretionary licensing policy.
5:02
This is B.S. This is not.
5:04
This is.
5:05
These are not good bills.
5:07
And you should be sending things to your
5:10
representatives and saying, look, anything that expands the
5:14
power of the state, I'm not for it.
5:16
And, you know, the only thing they listen
5:18
to is losing their position, unfortunately.
5:22
But that means you got to participate.
5:25
And I don't claim to be the greatest
5:27
of participants in my life, but I make
5:30
my opinions known.
5:31
But most of the time for me, it's
5:33
more of a, well, there you go.
5:35
I've understood this ever since I served in
5:38
the military and watched the B.S. that
5:40
went on at the very high levels as
5:43
a diplomatic interpreter.
5:44
I'm telling you, I got some stories about
5:46
those.
5:47
I have some horror stories about those times.
5:50
I had fun in it.
5:51
I enjoyed it.
5:52
But boy, they made it difficult.
5:55
And that's the problem is a government made
5:59
up of sycophantic a-holes who just want
6:05
to improve their power and get to the
6:08
next level.
6:08
And they're lifelong bureaucrats with no ambition except
6:13
to be a lifelong bureaucrat.
6:16
Now, a lifelong administrator, that I can respect.
6:20
But a lifelong, I am more important than
6:23
the system, I'm against.
6:26
And so I will call it out if
6:29
I see it that way, because I don't
6:32
like it.
6:34
And so that's what I will do anyway.
6:35
But that is not my topic for today.
6:37
My topic for today is back on the
6:39
international thing.
6:40
I watched some pretty cool, several of them,
6:43
and I'm going to share them with you
6:45
because it's important.
6:47
Everybody knows that I watch religiously, just like
6:51
I do watch news and events and stories
6:57
and YouTube and telegram and things like that
7:01
from the Western point of view.
7:03
I also watch it from different points of
7:07
view, Al Jazeera, Times of India, Moscow Times,
7:13
that I participated and watch.
7:17
I watch especially Russian language programming news channels.
7:22
They have a 60 minutes, which is a
7:24
good one that's really longer than 60 minutes.
7:26
It was like two, three hours.
7:28
And so it's hard to get through the
7:30
60 minutes when it's really not 60 minutes.
7:33
I read Russian newspapers.
7:34
I'm kind of partial to Ukraina.ru and
7:38
RT, because RT you can do in Russian
7:42
and in English.
7:43
The Russian version is better.
7:44
And if you do the Russian Ukraina.ru,
7:48
one of the reasons I like them is
7:49
because they publish my articles.
7:51
And they've published four or five of them
7:53
in Russian over there.
7:55
And so I'm kind of impartial to them.
7:59
And they have opinions, which I like.
8:01
And I met those people when I was
8:02
at Kazan for the BRICS conference a couple
8:04
of years ago, a year and a half.
8:06
So anyway, I follow, I try to get
8:09
it as much as possible from the horse's
8:11
mouth.
8:12
I don't like, I listen to other interpretations
8:16
and I like doing it.
8:18
But it's mostly to say, oh, this is
8:20
some of the topics that people are talking
8:22
about.
8:23
I've picked three things for today to go
8:25
over with you.
8:26
And they're all war related, but not from
8:30
the war point of view or from the
8:32
war issue, but from the effects of the
8:35
war, the economics of it all.
8:37
And Vladimir Putin yesterday gave an interview to
8:42
one of the Russian channels.
8:45
I think it was Channel One, Peter V.
8:48
Kannel, and I think, but I'm not positive.
8:51
I know I've seen that reporter before.
8:53
And he, you know, he's a young man
8:57
and he's pretty good.
8:58
So I'm telling you, I'm looking, and I
9:01
want to take this from the point of
9:02
view, this, in order to begin the show
9:05
and begin this topic anyway, I want to
9:07
say the following that, you know, and I've
9:09
sort of kind of used this before as
9:12
an analogy, but I'm going to try it
9:14
again.
9:14
When I was a young man, I used
9:15
to play, especially at home, you know, I've
9:18
grew up with 10 siblings, would have been
9:22
11, but one passed away.
9:23
And so when I was younger, I was
9:25
right in the middle of this, you know,
9:26
five younger than me, five older.
9:29
And when I was younger, we used to
9:31
play a lot of board games, a lot
9:32
of sports outside too.
9:33
And one of the most famous games that
9:35
we played all the time is Risk.
9:38
It's a classic, you know, Milton Bradley world
9:41
domination game.
9:42
Risk is simple.
9:43
It's an easy game, an easy concept.
9:46
Once you understand the mechanics and the limitations,
9:50
there's essentially only one optimal way to play
9:54
it.
9:54
Trouble is we all knew it.
9:56
So it got boring pretty quickly.
9:58
And if you, you know, you'd either, and
9:59
the only way to win is all risk
10:02
right now and take whatever little chunk of
10:04
either the South American portal or the Australian
10:07
portal, they've changed the rules.
10:09
Christmas time, I played it at my son's
10:11
house and they've changed some of the rules
10:13
and some of the connections probably to get
10:15
rid of this particular avenue.
10:18
But if you didn't pick one of those
10:20
two options, you weren't going to win.
10:22
That's all there is to it.
10:24
You can't defend Europe.
10:25
Nobody ever starts a land war in Asia.
10:28
You're not gonna win.
10:30
And so it's nonsense.
10:31
But if you start in Australia, you can
10:33
slowly build and take over the world.
10:35
It's an economic concept.
10:37
If you start in South America, you have
10:39
a fairly good chance, but when's the last
10:41
time Australia in reality started a war.
10:45
I mean, seriously, when, when's the last time
10:48
in South America, other than the United States,
10:51
when, when did they have war down there?
10:53
Seriously.
10:54
I mean, ask yourself that question.
10:56
We've been involved in all kinds of wars.
10:58
Wonder who the aggressor is.
11:00
Who's the aggressive person on the planet?
11:03
We're protected by two oceans and two allies
11:06
that we control.
11:07
Okay.
11:08
And so the, the, the fact is nobody
11:11
really, it's, it's not going to be easy
11:13
for somebody to bring the war to us.
11:15
So we take it to them because our
11:18
defensive measures are so powerful that, that, that
11:20
things have come up and that's what we're
11:22
doing right now.
11:23
So, but risk assumes something very convenient.
11:26
And here's the problem.
11:27
The, you know, if you don't play one
11:29
of the, on the actual board game, if
11:31
you don't pick one of those two strategies,
11:32
the chances of winning are virtually non-existent.
11:37
They're very, very tiny.
11:38
You can still do it, but you got
11:40
to have somebody who doesn't know what the
11:41
hell they're doing, or more importantly, luck has
11:44
to be with you because it's nothing but
11:46
a dice game.
11:48
And so the, the, the, but the chances,
11:50
once you understand the chances of, of rolling
11:54
a particular number, you know that as well.
11:57
So sometimes the cards are with you.
11:59
Sometimes they're not.
12:00
Anyway, the, there's risk assumes something convenient that
12:05
the board stays identical.
12:06
The rules stay identical and every move happens
12:11
in sequence, meaning not everybody's attacking at once.
12:16
It's only one, one movement.
12:19
That's it, but we're in a world.
12:22
So the net you take in risk, you
12:24
attack.
12:25
Next player takes turn.
12:26
Next player attacks.
12:27
It's neat.
12:28
It's orderly and completely unrealistic.
12:31
There was another war game that I enjoyed
12:33
much more.
12:35
I don't remember who did this one.
12:37
Something Hill.
12:38
I think I don't remember, but it's called
12:41
diplomacy and diplomacy was a very different game
12:43
in diplomacy.
12:44
All the moves happened simultaneously.
12:47
Nobody knows what the other players are going
12:49
to do until the movement of everything, you
12:53
know, everybody moves at the same time.
12:55
You have a negotiation phase and you have
12:56
a moving phase.
12:57
And so every day you make a move
13:00
and, and during the day you meet with
13:02
other players or phone and talk to other
13:04
players and try to make, make deals or
13:08
say, you know, what if I did this?
13:10
What if I did that?
13:11
And you, you learn, you can negotiate, you
13:13
can make alliances and you can betray those
13:17
alliances.
13:18
And that one is a little bit more
13:21
interesting for sure.
13:23
And especially if somebody is prone to saying
13:27
something, but not following through, you learn that
13:30
pretty quickly.
13:31
And you know, but it's a game.
13:33
You have to kind of leave that out.
13:35
And the consequences ripple across the whole board
13:38
all at the same time.
13:39
That game is much closer to how real
13:42
world domination actually works.
13:46
And then, so I watched something pretty, pretty
13:49
critical last night, this interview of Vladimir Putin,
13:51
which I'm going to share with you.
13:53
It's short, five, five, 10 minutes.
13:55
I think the whole thing that I transcribed
13:58
is, is eight minutes and I'm as close
14:02
as possible to the original translation as to
14:05
the original intent.
14:07
But something is always lost in translation anyway,
14:12
the tiny nuances, but I'm trying to get
14:14
it as close to the way he said
14:16
it.
14:16
Okay.
14:16
Because I watched it, I saw it, I
14:18
know what he means.
14:19
And I'm trying to get very close because
14:21
this is how the world actually works.
14:23
And this is where there was a second
14:25
interview I watched with an economist that I
14:28
follow.
14:28
And this economist, his name is Mikhail Khazin
14:31
and he's from Moscow.
14:34
I think he's a Moscow based economist and
14:38
very, very, very smart.
14:40
And remember a lot of these people that
14:43
are my age who grew up and went
14:45
to college, went to economic school during the
14:49
Soviet Union, which was a very, very, very
14:51
different econ, well, economics degree.
14:55
I have an economics focus in my degree,
14:59
which means I took enough to be dangerous
15:01
of economics, but it's not a full economics.
15:04
Mine is economics and Russian.
15:07
And so I'm, I have Russian studies, you
15:09
know, which is Russian history, Russian culture, Russian
15:11
stuff like that and university of Illinois.
15:14
So it's not like I went to God's
15:15
gift of universities, you know, and then I
15:18
have a law degree afterward, but economics was
15:20
basically my base.
15:23
And so, uh, I like watching how these
15:27
people think and how Khazin especially thinks.
15:30
And Mikhail, I'd love to have him on
15:31
the show.
15:31
His English sucks, but, uh, I'd like to
15:34
have him on the show where I thought
15:35
about interviewing him in Russian and getting something
15:37
interesting because he's very interesting guy.
15:39
And he was interviewed by, uh, Vladimir Solovyov.
15:44
And that's another, I think the interview went
15:47
forever, but I got a 10, 15 minute
15:49
segment that I want to share with you
15:50
because that's important.
15:51
And, uh, and, and, and I want to
15:53
talk about the focus.
15:54
So, uh, because he explained that in the
15:57
Soviet Union economics was not taught as it
16:00
is in the West.
16:01
And he's absolutely right.
16:03
And it was taught in, in the West
16:05
economics is all math.
16:09
Okay.
16:09
But it's taught as a, in the Soviet
16:12
Union, it was taught as a political economic
16:16
model because the state is important in those
16:20
types of models.
16:20
And virtually the rest of the world follows
16:23
those kinds of things in the U S
16:25
some of Europe, little bit, these Western models
16:28
of only mathematics presume all these other things
16:33
that don't necessarily exist.
16:35
And you have imperfect data because the data
16:38
only comes if you presume production systems are,
16:44
are not going to be bothered.
16:47
Logistics aren't going to be bothered, you know,
16:49
or a stable model, because you have to,
16:52
you put it in there, assuming the very
16:54
first thing you say when building an economic
16:56
model is assuming all the facts are unchanged,
17:01
assuming these facts, then we can project the
17:05
following model, assuming that, uh, the, the spring
17:12
comes on March 23rd, like it normally does.
17:16
We, you know, can predict that, uh, you
17:21
know, when people are able to start their
17:23
planting in Minnesota of whatever it is they
17:26
choose to grow or corn in Iowa, you
17:29
know, that they're going to grow, they plant
17:31
that assuming they can plant between March 23rd
17:34
and April 15, the crops will be blah,
17:38
but the world's imperfect.
17:40
You get tornadoes, you get, you get craziness,
17:42
you get these other things and they all
17:44
affect.
17:45
That's why economic models are so difficult to
17:47
do.
17:47
And in America and in Western, uh, capitalistic
17:52
sorts of governments, there is no, there is
17:55
government modeling, but there it's like assuming your
17:58
government doesn't turn into some raging, bureaucratic nonsense.
18:01
And, and they, they try to destroy your
18:04
mode of life because that's what they do.
18:06
They're bureaucrats.
18:07
They have nothing else to do, but assuming
18:10
they leave you alone and don't create new
18:12
rules, my, uh, shell oil platforms in the
18:16
Gulf will perform as blah, you know, but
18:19
the model has to be stable.
18:21
So real economics, how it functioned in practice
18:24
in the West is far different than the
18:26
stable models that they used in the Soviet
18:29
practice, because there, the means of production were
18:32
all controlled by the state.
18:33
Okay.
18:34
And so there they had a far more
18:36
stable set of models.
18:37
And so they did learn the mathematical things,
18:39
but they also learned other impacts that, uh,
18:43
maybe weren't so stable.
18:45
They learned about sanctions.
18:47
They learned about, uh, targeting of their markets
18:50
by other people.
18:51
The, the, the world isn't stable.
18:54
Okay.
18:54
And every time Donald Trump or a president
18:57
opens his mouth, the world changes.
18:59
And this is what we were talking about
19:02
because our models always assume rational actors, right?
19:07
Perfect information, a balanced market, and most important
19:12
of all stable logistics, but real economics do
19:16
not behave that way.
19:18
Real economics behave like the game diplomacy, not
19:21
like risk.
19:22
Everything moves at the same time.
19:24
Supply chains are moving.
19:26
Military forces, moving energy markets are moving.
19:28
Financial markets are moving.
19:31
Okay.
19:32
So with that in mind, I want to
19:34
get to, if I can find it real
19:36
quick, I have to find the translation of,
19:40
uh, Vladimir Vladimirovich and it's coming.
19:46
I'm almost there.
19:47
I, I went through a lot today.
19:49
I got to get all the way back
19:50
to where I was that I have my
19:53
interpretation because that Iran and Dubai and oil
19:57
with Kazin was very interesting.
19:59
And I definitely want to share that.
20:02
So we're going to talk about this interview.
20:06
It's pretty short.
20:08
And basically it's, uh, this is a very
20:11
close English translation of his entire interview, which
20:14
wasn't more than seven, eight minutes.
20:16
So I'm going to read the question to
20:17
you.
20:17
And then I'm going to follow up with
20:19
the answer by Vladimir Putin and then give
20:22
you my own opinion on it.
20:23
So basically the journalist says, we watched your
20:26
meetings this morning.
20:27
May I question right off the bat, you
20:30
yourself just said what is happening in global
20:33
gas markets and many countries are already practically
20:38
in a panic over what is happening.
20:40
Prices have skyrocketed and it is unclear what
20:44
will happen next with prices.
20:46
It is unclear what will happen next with
20:48
supply.
20:49
And of course it inevitably comes to mind
20:51
that Europe keeps banning our gas, banning it,
20:55
banning it.
20:56
And new bands are approaching in April bands
21:00
on short term delivery of liquefied Russian gas
21:03
are supposed to enter into force.
21:05
Then there will be some other bands as
21:07
well that they are talking about on the
21:10
European side.
21:11
Vladimir Putin says, yes.
21:14
And this is under contracts that were concluded
21:17
sometime around the summer of last year.
21:20
So they entered into contracts last year in
21:22
the summer.
21:23
And the journalist says, yes.
21:24
And then there are more bands.
21:26
And today they've already begun to say that
21:27
maybe the date for the bands should be
21:30
shifted, pushed back.
21:32
Europeans are asking that the dates for these
21:34
bands get pushed back because the U.S.
21:38
invaded with Israel.
21:40
Well, the U.S. backed Israel.
21:42
Israel invaded.
21:43
We're just the lapdog of Israel.
21:46
And so we're in, you know, we're in
21:50
all the way.
21:50
And so given what is happening in the
21:53
world today, I've begun to say that these
21:55
dates should be shifted.
21:58
Thoughts, please.
21:59
And then Vladimir Putin says, first of all,
22:02
and this is a direct translation.
22:04
And he says, first of all, Russia has
22:07
always been and remains a reliable supplier of
22:11
energy resources for all of our partners, including,
22:15
by the way, European ones.
22:17
And we will continue to work in exactly
22:20
this mode with those of our partners who
22:22
themselves are reliable counterparts, for example, such as
22:27
those in Eastern Europe, Slovakia and Hungary.
22:30
We supply our energy resources there, both oil
22:35
and gas.
22:36
And we intend to continue doing this in
22:38
the future.
22:39
If, of course, the leadership of these countries
22:42
continue to pursue the same policy as today,
22:46
namely that they remain a reliable partner for
22:49
us.
22:50
As for Europe, what is happening today on
22:53
the European market is, of course, first and
22:56
foremost, the results of the erroneous policy of
23:01
European authorities in the fields of energy.
23:04
This is an abuse of the green agenda.
23:07
This is the use of all of these
23:09
instruments for domestic political activity and for achieving
23:13
some sort of party or some group objective.
23:20
Such policy has nothing in common with the
23:24
interests of the people of these countries.
23:28
Now, indeed, prices have risen both for oil
23:31
and for gas across the board.
23:34
As for oil, that is understandable.
23:37
This is connected, among other things, with restrictions
23:40
on Russian oil and additionally everything that is
23:43
happening now in the Middle East with the
23:45
aggression against Iran.
23:47
All of this overlaps, one on top of
23:50
the other, and leads to difficult and frankly
23:53
very serious results for consumers.
23:57
As for gas, the surge in prices on
24:00
the European market is not even directly connected
24:03
today with restrictions on gas supplies to the
24:06
European market.
24:07
After all, the main gas suppliers to Europe
24:10
have not reduced their volume.
24:12
And who are the main suppliers today?
24:17
Algeria, the U.S., Norway, and to some
24:21
extent Russia.
24:22
No one has reduced supply and prices have
24:25
already jumped to 700.
24:28
Why?
24:29
Because the general situation on the world market,
24:32
including the oil market and in this case
24:34
the gas market, because buyers have appeared who
24:39
are ready to purchase the same natural gas
24:42
at a higher price, in this case due
24:45
to the events in the Middle East, due
24:47
to the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz,
24:49
and so on.
24:50
If such premium buyers appear, then from the
24:53
European market, I think, some traditional suppliers, including
24:57
Americans and American companies, will, of course, move
25:01
their resources there where they pay more.
25:04
This is natural.
25:06
There is nothing political about it.
25:08
It's only business.
25:09
That's all.
25:10
Therefore, I repeat once again, this is the
25:13
result of the mistaken policy of European authorities
25:17
over the course of many years.
25:19
And in this regard, I think about the
25:21
following, as you just said, and this is
25:24
serious, what he says right here.
25:26
This is how Vladimir Putin thinks, okay?
25:30
And that's why it's important to provide for
25:32
you the whole thing.
25:33
This is how he thinks.
25:34
And this is not uncommon.
25:36
This is a very Russian thought process.
25:38
And by the way, this is a very
25:40
American thought process at the same time.
25:42
Those people who understand the world and understand
25:45
what they're doing are pretty blunt about what
25:47
they can do.
25:48
And here he continues this.
25:50
As you just said, Europe plans in a
25:54
month, the 24th is the last day, from
25:57
the 25th on, March, he's talking about, to
26:00
introduce restrictions on the purchase of Russian gas,
26:04
including liquefied gas.
26:06
And then in a year, in 2027, even
26:09
more restrictions up to a full ban of
26:12
gas from Russia.
26:14
But now other markets are open to us.
26:18
And perhaps for us, it's more profitable for
26:21
us right now to stop supplying the European
26:25
market and move those markets that are opening
26:28
and secure ourselves there, which they've already done,
26:31
by the way.
26:32
And here too, I want this to be
26:34
clear.
26:34
There is no political background, no political agenda.
26:37
But if in a month or two, they're
26:40
going to close us anyway, then perhaps it
26:42
would be better for us to stop right
26:44
now and move to where the countries that
26:47
are reliable, move toward reliable partners instead and
26:52
strengthen our positions there.
26:54
But this is not a decision.
26:56
This is as, meaning, he says, this isn't
26:58
a decision right now.
26:59
I am just thinking out loud.
27:02
But I will certainly instruct the government so
27:05
that together with our companies, we will work
27:07
together through this issue.
27:10
Now, in the West, all you'll get is
27:12
a little blurb about, you know, oh, Putin
27:15
said he's cutting us off.
27:16
No, that's not what he said.
27:18
He said, I'm considering cutting it off because,
27:21
hell, you're going to cut us off in
27:22
a year anyway.
27:23
And on the 24th, there's some serious restrictions
27:26
coming up this month.
27:27
You don't want us here.
27:28
We've already been making counter plans.
27:34
You know, we're going to go somewhere else.
27:35
This is what he's talking about.
27:37
This is how the world thinks, right?
27:39
And the journalist says to him, says, well,
27:41
today, there's another important piece of news, our
27:44
gas tanker.
27:46
So I don't know if you're aware of
27:47
this or not, but I'll give you the
27:49
short question.
27:49
Then I'll give you some stuff.
27:50
One of our gas tankers has been attacked
27:53
in the Mediterranean Sea.
27:55
Now, we're not talking in the Black Sea.
27:57
We're talking in the Mediterranean.
27:59
And the Mediterranean is wide open, right?
28:03
And it was seriously attacked.
28:05
So Ukraine did what the US did outside
28:08
of Sri Lanka and sent a missile.
28:12
Well, this one was drones because Ukraine doesn't
28:14
have any sea-based missile capability.
28:16
All they got is drone.
28:18
And Russia blew up their only ship is
28:20
what I understand.
28:22
But I could be mistaken on that.
28:24
But I know that this action was with
28:26
drones and some pretty serious drones because they,
28:29
I don't know that the ship actually sank,
28:33
but its cargo was destroyed, never got to
28:35
where it was going.
28:35
So the war is expanding, friends and neighbors.
28:38
The war is expanding.
28:40
And now the Russian ship was targeted.
28:44
And the US in Sri Lanka in open
28:48
international waters blew up an Iranian ship and
28:51
just to say, look what we can do.
28:55
Okay.
28:55
And then, you know, we can do this.
28:57
Well, we knew you could do that.
28:58
That hasn't happened since World War II.
29:01
And now it's happened.
29:02
And, you know, all the guys on the
29:05
submarine will get new rewards and get awards
29:08
to pin on their uniforms to say, hey,
29:11
this is a great thing.
29:12
We blew up the first boat since World
29:14
War II.
29:15
No, this is the first salvo.
29:18
Unfortunately, well, it's not really the first.
29:21
This is the first sea-based salvo against
29:24
another ship that is going to lead to,
29:29
we are being dragged in to a world
29:33
war.
29:34
That's my belief.
29:35
And each step will become more and more
29:39
like a dice roll in risk because you
29:42
have nothing else that you can do.
29:45
But don't think that the Iranians are giving
29:47
up because they're not gonna.
29:49
And we've created a religious martyrdom over there
29:54
by the decapitation strike.
29:56
And that's what I think.
29:57
But anyway, this guy, the journalist asked a
29:59
question.
30:00
What do you think about Putin?
30:02
What do you think about our ship getting
30:04
blown up in the Ukraine?
30:12
Ukraine can't win on the ground.
30:14
So the Ukraine is hard pushing to get
30:18
the U.S. and NATO involved against Russia.
30:21
And I think the U.S. and Israel
30:23
are in the same boat, you know, with
30:25
the Iranian thing.
30:26
And so Zelensky is trying to get the
30:30
attention back on him.
30:31
Look what we can do.
30:32
Hey, we can send our Ukrainian experts.
30:36
Yeah, they're really experts.
30:37
If they were experts, Russia wouldn't have advanced
30:40
as far as they're getting.
30:42
And oh, gee, we can attack deep inside
30:44
of Russia.
30:44
Well, good for you.
30:45
What are you going to do to defend
30:47
yourself against the attacks that are going on
30:49
deep inside of your territory?
30:51
So now the Ukrainian people are being sent
30:53
as experts to the Middle East to say,
30:57
here's how you beat Russian drones.
30:59
Well, you aren't beating Russian drones now.
31:02
Anyway, this ship blew up.
31:04
The Ukrainians attacked a ship in the escalation.
31:09
And Vladimir Putin's answer to this is the
31:11
guy says, what do you think of this?
31:12
He said, well, we think this is a
31:15
terrorist attack.
31:17
We have encountered things of this kind more
31:19
than once.
31:20
What is surprising is that this only worsens
31:24
the situation in the global energy market, including
31:28
the gas market, and in this case, primarily
31:31
for Europe.
31:33
It turns out that the Kiev regime is
31:36
actually biting the hand that feeds it, namely
31:39
the hand of the European Union.
31:43
The European Union provides the Kiev regime with
31:47
endless assistance, both weapons and money, and the
31:49
Kiev regime creates nothing but problems for the
31:52
European Union one after another.
31:55
Vladimir Putin's very blunt.
31:57
As for the general behavior, this behavior is
32:00
quite aggressive on the parts of the Kiev
32:02
regime and very dangerous because, as I've already
32:05
said, according to the information available to our
32:08
special services, just as in the Nord Stream
32:11
pipelines, they were once blown up with Kiev
32:15
with the support of certain Western intelligence services.
32:18
An operation is being prepared to blow up
32:21
the Blue Stream and Turk Stream gas pipelines.
32:25
We have already informed our Turkish friends about
32:28
this matter.
32:29
We will see what happens in this sphere,
32:32
but this is a very dangerous game, especially
32:35
in today's world.
32:38
End of the interview.
32:40
And it was only, well, it's not the
32:41
end of the interview.
32:42
The interview went on for a while, but
32:43
that was only two questions that I took
32:45
out of the interview because I think the
32:48
analysis of the world gas and oil market
32:51
is important, okay?
32:53
And because we're not insulated from it, even
32:56
ourselves, okay?
32:57
I told you yesterday, went to the gas
33:00
station and I paid two, I was all
33:04
happy about paying $2.60, $2.59 a
33:09
month ago, you know?
33:10
And I only fill up a couple times
33:12
a month.
33:13
I don't go anywhere.
33:14
And so I filled it up.
33:17
It didn't cost anything.
33:18
The difference was $12, I think, this time
33:22
when I filled it up.
33:23
Overall, it's only a 25-gallon tank, you
33:26
know, and 12 bucks over 20, that's 50
33:28
cents a gallon.
33:29
And we're not done.
33:30
It's on the way up.
33:31
It's going to be worse.
33:33
You know, it's going to get worse.
33:35
And that is why I wanted to include
33:38
this Russian guy, Mikhail Khazin, in his interview
33:43
with Solovyov.
33:45
And this is from something called, well, it
33:49
was Vladimir Solovyov's radio program.
33:52
He has a morning radio program.
33:53
This guy works and works and works.
33:55
I mean, he's got his show every night
33:57
is like three hours.
33:59
And then he has a radio program that's
34:01
like two hours or three.
34:03
And it goes on.
34:03
And I forgot.
34:04
I forget what that's covered.
34:07
Open something with Solovyov.
34:08
I forget what it's called.
34:10
But he's got also the news, well, his
34:13
awesome format where he has all these political
34:18
and economics and professors and artists and people
34:22
that talk about the views.
34:25
And he has a show of evenings with
34:27
Vladimir Solovyov.
34:28
And I try to watch the Sunday one.
34:30
You know, the Sunday one is kind of
34:33
a big deal.
34:34
And I try to watch that one and
34:35
get as much out of it as I
34:36
can.
34:37
But it's three hours long.
34:38
And so I usually only get in the
34:40
first couple hours, you know.
34:43
But this is a radio interview.
34:47
This was not with Mikhail Khazin, who sometimes
34:50
is a commentator on the Solovyov show, but
34:53
he was being interviewed on the radio program
34:57
this time.
34:57
Khazin has his own channel on YouTube as
35:00
well and Telegram.
35:02
And I've watched him on that, too.
35:03
He's an interesting cat.
35:05
And he knows some stuff.
35:07
He's an economics guru.
35:10
And he understands the world quite well.
35:13
So Vladimir Solovyov, he says, Mikhail Leonidovich, Iran
35:17
is delivering asymmetric strikes against the world economy.
35:21
And it is happening in a harsh manner.
35:24
And Khazin says, not so much against the
35:27
American economy as against the British-American infrastructure
35:32
in the Middle East.
35:34
Now, he pointed immediately Solovyov in the right
35:40
direction, in what is critical here.
35:43
And this is important.
35:44
He says, moreover, there are questions here.
35:47
I mean, it was so interesting to watch.
35:48
I was glued to this guy.
35:51
And the portion I'm reading to is only
35:54
like 10, 15 minutes of it.
35:56
And I got time to get us there
35:58
for sure.
35:59
And he says, moreover, they're taking out British
36:04
-American infrastructure in the region, not American economy,
36:07
British-American.
36:09
Moreover, there are also questions here because information
36:12
is already circulating.
36:14
Tucker Carlson even spoke about it, that Iran
36:16
did not strike these economic facilities in Saudi
36:20
Arabia, that it was actually a diversionary operation
36:24
carried out by Israel to get Saudi Arabia
36:28
involved.
36:29
So this talk is out there, that these
36:32
strikes against infrastructure in other countries.
36:36
And he says, as for the strikes on
36:38
Bahrain and Dubai, yes, those are strikes against
36:40
American infrastructure.
36:42
But considering that they have partially blocked the
36:44
Strait of Hormuz, then yes, this is going
36:46
to be a huge blow to the global
36:48
economy.
36:49
And as we can see, at least regarding
36:52
oil prices, this is instantly visible to the
36:56
naked eye.
36:57
However, if we look at markets, we see
36:59
that there is no serious panic yet.
37:02
That is, everyone thinks that this will end
37:05
quickly now and everything will return to normal.
37:09
And then get this key sentence.
37:10
He says, I, by the way, do not
37:13
believe this.
37:15
But I hope, but hope does sustain the
37:19
young.
37:20
I mean, this guy's slick.
37:22
And Solovyov says to him, what do you
37:24
mean you don't really believe it?
37:25
What do you believe?
37:27
And Hazin says, I think this is the
37:30
beginning.
37:30
And this, unfortunately, is also what I believe.
37:33
And so I suppose this is kind of
37:36
a self-validation thing, because this is what
37:39
I believe.
37:40
And what he is saying is different economic
37:43
models, different everything like that.
37:45
But this is exactly how I think.
37:47
OK.
37:48
And he said, I think this is the
37:49
beginning of the fundamental destruction of the economic
37:52
model itself.
37:53
The whole model is now changing, the whole
37:56
model.
37:57
And this is me commenting on that.
37:59
I should read his entire thing first and
38:00
then comment.
38:01
But I can't do it.
38:04
But this is the beginning of the destruction
38:05
of the fundamental economic models.
38:08
And people aren't paying attention to this, except
38:10
for people like Jeffrey Sachs, people like Mikhail
38:13
Hazin, and me.
38:15
OK.
38:15
And I'm no genius.
38:16
Those two are.
38:18
But I believe the same basic principles, OK,
38:23
on the economic sphere, regardless of what these
38:25
idiots do, you know, trying to show who's
38:28
got the biggest weenie.
38:29
You know, I got the bigger weenie.
38:31
Look at all these missiles I can throw
38:33
your way.
38:33
We shouldn't be involved in this war anyway.
38:35
This is why you can't play risk and
38:39
you got to play diplomacy, because risk, who
38:43
is the unstable partner?
38:45
It's always America out creating wars somewhere or
38:49
Israel creating wars on America's behalf somewhere.
38:52
I'm telling you, it's an unstable world.
38:55
But where does the instability come from?
38:58
When's the last time China ever started a
39:01
war?
39:01
When's the last time India ever started a
39:04
war?
39:07
When is the last time that Russia ever
39:09
started a war?
39:13
Think about those things.
39:15
Think about them and then answer these questions.
39:18
Because Mikhail Hazin says, I think this is
39:21
the beginning of the fundamental destruction of our
39:24
economic model, the world economic model.
39:26
And he's talking about, the very next sentence,
39:29
the very same Bretton Woods model, the dollar
39:33
system, and so forth.
39:35
The Western model is what he's talking about.
39:37
It has been cracking, cracking, cracking for many
39:40
years, but it has held.
39:42
But now the collapse is beginning even more
39:46
quickly.
39:46
And the main reason is not even the
39:49
strikes that still may occur.
39:51
The main reason is logistics.
39:54
The fact is that when the first tankers
39:57
began to be attacked in the Straits of
40:00
Hormuz, notice Iran announced that oil tankers, if
40:05
they are not American, may calmly pass through
40:08
the Straits of Hormuz.
40:09
But the other ships are not moving.
40:12
Why?
40:13
And here I can expose my own hypothesis,
40:17
this is Hazin.
40:18
But it seems to me to be the
40:20
answer.
40:21
The fact is, and this is what I
40:22
believe, and he says it exactly why I
40:26
think it this way.
40:27
The fact is that no tanker will go
40:30
anywhere if it cannot be insured.
40:34
All insurance policies were withdrawn as soon as
40:38
the operation began.
40:40
New insurance is required.
40:42
Now notice, I'm going to take a break
40:44
here because Qatar stopped supplying natural gas immediately.
40:48
And they're like number three in the world
40:50
of natural gas supplies.
40:51
And they shut down.
40:53
Now Iran did bomb one of their production
40:55
facilities right on the Straits, but Qatar shut
41:00
down right away.
41:02
And why?
41:03
Because of the insurance issue.
41:05
Because we're not going to do this and
41:07
take the risk.
41:08
We're not idiots.
41:09
We don't just send new tankers out and
41:12
wait for somebody to blow them up.
41:13
Look at the Mediterranean's not even safe.
41:16
You got these idiots in Kiev blowing shit
41:18
up.
41:19
We got the US blowing shit up in
41:22
Sri Lanka.
41:23
And we have Iran blowing shit up.
41:25
People are constricting.
41:29
They are sucking them back into their own.
41:33
Russia, Putin just said what?
41:35
He said, well, hell with them.
41:37
We'll just cut them off ourselves.
41:39
We've tried the route of let's figure this
41:42
out.
41:42
There's no reason to hate us.
41:44
And obviously, they're going to still hate us.
41:47
So screw them.
41:48
We'll send our gas somewhere else.
41:51
And he said, it's only a hypothesis.
41:52
But damn, they're definitely leaning that way.
41:57
If the European communities are restricting, why in
42:04
the world would you want to do business
42:05
with them anyway?
42:06
Hell with you.
42:07
I'll fine.
42:08
I'll sell my stuff to Pakistan.
42:10
So what?
42:11
You're still going to sell it.
42:13
He's still going to make money.
42:15
And then he can continue to swat at
42:18
the fly of Ukraine.
42:20
Right.
42:20
And that's it.
42:22
And so let's continue with Kazim.
42:23
He says neither insurance companies nor reinsurance companies.
42:28
And it is the reinsurance companies to actually
42:31
pay the money in the case of an
42:33
emergency have calculated their new rates going forward.
42:39
So and moreover, that is difficult to do
42:42
because they don't know what's going to happen
42:44
next.
42:45
Nobody does.
42:46
You think the insurance companies are going to
42:49
insure your tanker so you can say, oh,
42:51
the U.S. is going to escort your
42:53
tanker.
42:54
That doesn't mean it ain't going to get
42:55
blown up.
42:57
It's like your chances might go down, but
43:00
an actuarial table isn't going to change because
43:03
there's a boat next to you.
43:05
It's not going to happen.
43:06
And so for these.
43:07
Moreover, this is difficult to do.
43:09
And for this reason, everything economically in these
43:13
markets has simply stopped when the situation settles
43:17
down and it's unclear how long that will
43:19
take.
43:20
It won't be two weeks.
43:21
In my view, it will become clear that
43:23
the cost of logistics has increased dramatically and
43:28
it will affect everyone.
43:29
And if the cost of logistics sharply increases,
43:32
then small carriers are going to be forced
43:35
out of the market and large carriers will
43:37
begin significantly raising prices to cover the cost
43:40
of insurance and transit.
43:43
And this is a much stronger blow to
43:45
the world economy than bombs being thrown somewhere.
43:50
Now, that's a direct quote of everything that
43:53
Mikhail Khazin answered in response to that question
43:56
with some little Dubovitsky additions from Samuel.
44:01
And that's me.
44:02
And so Solovyov says, well, then what's the
44:06
price of oil going to be?
44:09
And Khazin says, well, what kind of question
44:11
are you asking?
44:13
Solovyov, because he's, you know, he thinks it's
44:15
going to go back over a hundred dollars
44:17
barrel.
44:17
And he says, these are not questions I'm
44:19
asking personally.
44:20
He said, the Israelis say the conflict could
44:23
last till August.
44:24
Bloomberg writes that the price will go above
44:26
100.
44:27
And Khazin says it will go above 100.
44:30
But the point isn't even that.
44:32
Here's what he says.
44:33
The point isn't even that.
44:34
The point is that if logistics collapse, the
44:37
cost of everything will rise sharply.
44:42
And that's the problem.
44:44
And then inflation will rise everywhere.
44:48
Moreover, this inflation will not be monetary inflation
44:52
where central banks can just print more money.
44:56
It will be structural inflation when prices rise,
45:00
because the real cost of moving everything rises.
45:05
And this is a much more serious global
45:08
problem.
45:09
This guy's extremely smart, friends and neighbors.
45:13
And this is what I, you know, some
45:14
of the things I tried to express and
45:15
can't do it as well as this guy.
45:17
Because with monetary inflation, you can at least
45:20
try to do something through interest rates at
45:23
your national bank.
45:25
But with structural inflation, there is nothing you
45:29
can do.
45:29
You just have to rebuild the entire economic
45:33
model itself.
45:35
Solovyov says, do you mean the entire global
45:38
system?
45:39
And Khazin says, yes, the global system, because
45:43
the entire system is built on cheap, stable
45:47
logistics, cheap oil, cheap transportation, cheap money.
45:53
And now all of that is ending.
45:56
And Vladimir Solovyov says, but then this means
45:58
it will be a completely different world.
46:01
Khazin says, that's of course.
46:03
And this is exactly what we are entering
46:05
right now.
46:07
And Solovyov says, but this means the destruction
46:09
of the previous model.
46:11
And Mikhail Khazin says, yes, I've been saying
46:14
this for 20 years.
46:15
The Bretton Woods system cannot last forever.
46:18
And it is ending.
46:21
Now I've been saying that for two years.
46:22
I haven't been saying it for 20.
46:24
I've been worried about it for 20.
46:26
And Solovyov says to him, you once told
46:28
an interesting story.
46:30
And this is where he gets into the
46:31
interesting story on economics.
46:32
And to me, this is very interesting.
46:34
I hope it is to you, because here's
46:35
what he said.
46:36
He said, you once told me an interesting
46:38
story about how economics was taught in the
46:40
Soviet Union and how it is taught now.
46:44
And he said, yes.
46:45
And this is an interesting story.
46:47
And he's a global level economist, right?
46:49
He says, in the Soviet Union, economics was
46:52
not taught as a separate science.
46:54
It was taught as part of a political
46:56
economics class, which meant the study of real
47:00
economic processes, how production works, how resources move,
47:05
how the balance between sectors function, and so
47:09
forth.
47:10
But after the collapse of the Soviet Union,
47:12
we began to copy the Western model of
47:15
economics education.
47:17
And Western economic education is not the study
47:20
of the economy.
47:23
That's true.
47:24
It's the study of mathematics and mathematical models.
47:28
And as an economist myself, not anywhere near
47:32
his level, I still remember the supply-demand
47:35
curves and how you take time and function
47:38
it in and all those things.
47:39
I can still do it.
47:40
That's not what I do for a living.
47:42
But I still understand it, for the most
47:45
part.
47:46
But these guys live it every day.
47:49
And he says, economists today study models that
47:52
have nothing to do with real life.
47:56
They're studying mathematics.
47:58
And Solovyov says, meaning they study formulas instead
48:02
of reality?
48:03
It's actually true.
48:05
And Hazin says, exactly.
48:07
They study models.
48:08
But these models are built on assumptions that
48:11
are completely unrealistic.
48:13
For example, that markets are balanced, that participants
48:16
behave rationally, that information is the same for
48:21
everyone.
48:22
But in real life, none of this is
48:24
true.
48:24
So when a crisis begins, all these models
48:28
collapse, because they simply do not describe reality.
48:33
This is classic stuff.
48:36
I love this.
48:37
But of course, I like economics.
48:38
And Solovyov says, meaning economists have been taught
48:41
something that doesn't work?
48:43
And Hazin says, yes.
48:45
Basically, saying Soviet learning about market inputs, instead
48:52
of mathematical equations that might be able to
48:57
explain why something happened after the fact, or
49:01
even something that you can predict in the
49:03
future, it has nothing to do with reality.
49:07
Economics is basically at a point in time,
49:09
and you've got to understand all these other
49:11
things.
49:11
And you've got to assume that, well, assuming
49:13
supply and demand are equal, assume there's nothing
49:16
impacting supply, assume there's nothing impacting demand.
49:19
But right now, they're impacting both supply and
49:22
demand.
49:22
And economists are going, well, I don't know.
49:24
My model doesn't say anything about that.
49:27
What in the hell am I going to
49:28
predict now?
49:30
Instability exists, which is why actuarial tables don't
49:34
tell you how much you're going to pay
49:35
for insurance on your next load of gas,
49:39
liquid gas through the Straits of Hormuz.
49:42
And so Qatar's not gonna ship it until
49:46
things stable down, and they can't get insurance.
49:48
And that's why Trump yesterday, might've been day
49:51
before, he made some comment about, well, we're
49:54
going to guarantee all insurance, because he knows
49:56
this.
49:57
Do you remember that quote?
49:58
I wasn't able to find the exact quote,
50:00
but he said something about it the other
50:01
day.
50:01
He said, well, I'm going to insure everything.
50:04
Oh, here's a good plan.
50:05
He'll insure everything.
50:07
What are we going to do?
50:07
Print more dollars?
50:09
That's why Mikhail Khazin says that this is
50:12
the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, if
50:14
we keep doing it.
50:14
And I'm telling you, Pete Hegg says that
50:16
these generals and even Lindsey Graham out there
50:20
thumping the drum for more war against people
50:24
that aren't going to give up.
50:25
They're going to fight to the death.
50:27
That's it.
50:28
And if that means they die, well, you
50:30
know what?
50:31
They will too become martyrs.
50:32
We've created a generation of martyrs, another generation
50:37
of martyrs.
50:38
So if you think this is going to
50:39
end in two weeks, you better think again.
50:42
I believe differently and it might calm down
50:45
in two weeks, but this ain't over and
50:48
it never will be.
50:49
And it hasn't been over in the Middle
50:51
East in the last 3000 years.
50:53
Seriously.
50:55
It won't be over anytime soon.
50:57
The Persian culture has been around for 2
51:00
,500 years.
51:03
They've seen people like us come and go.
51:05
They've seen things come and go.
51:09
This is just the beginning, sadly, friends and
51:14
neighbors.
51:16
So Mikhail Khazin says, yes, they're learning something
51:20
that doesn't work.
51:21
We're entering a new era economically.
51:24
Khazin says, yes.
51:25
And the main thing that will determine this
51:28
era will be the destruction of the previous
51:31
financial architecture, the dollar system, the logistics chain,
51:36
which, by the way, he was talking about
51:37
this logistics chain is Lloyd's of London, the
51:43
global supply system, all of it will be
51:46
rebuilt, he says.
51:48
And that's the last of his commentary.
51:54
I then reviewed one more.
51:58
And this one has to do with the
52:01
U.S. now funding Kurdish land troops, supplying
52:07
them to take the mountainous areas.
52:11
Now, okay.
52:12
Anybody who knows even a remote little bit
52:16
about what happened in Afghanistan over the last
52:18
20 years knows that it's a mountainous region
52:21
that, you know, we don't want.
52:24
I mean, we didn't go there because we
52:27
wanted it.
52:27
We went there allegedly to get rid of
52:30
terror cells and the Taliban and ISIS and
52:34
all those things that are still in power
52:36
after we gave up 20 years later and
52:40
ran away, like in Monty Python, run away,
52:44
run away.
52:46
How many do we lose?
52:48
Gawain, Edgar and Borg.
52:50
That's five.
52:51
Three, sir.
52:52
Three.
52:53
Anyway, sorry, my Monty Python slipped in yet
52:57
again.
52:58
Sorry about that.
52:59
So there are reports that of this.
53:05
So here's what I want to discuss this
53:08
next portion.
53:11
Let me roll down to where it is.
53:13
The troops crossing the border.
53:15
Okay.
53:17
Troops have broken through Iran's border and NATO
53:21
is really entering the combat, just like we
53:23
fund Ukraine and NATO is really funding Ukraine.
53:27
This is NATO and the U.S.'s next
53:29
forever war on behalf of Israel.
53:32
That's what this is.
53:33
And it's really the U.S. and not
53:35
NATO in this instance.
53:37
But Israel, I mean, I'm sorry, Ukraine was
53:40
all the United States too.
53:41
So here's our next forever war from our
53:44
peace president, right?
53:48
So let's see.
53:50
Troops are crossing the border.
53:51
Military offensive against Iran has begun and new
53:55
emergency measures from Tehran are appearing.
53:58
Putin has announced evacuation of Russians from the
54:03
embassies and stuff like that.
54:04
He went through a whole list of people
54:06
and how they are able to get out.
54:08
Maria Zakharova gave her report yesterday from Ministry
54:12
of Defense and that was very, very interesting.
54:14
I was hoping to include a bunch of
54:16
that, but it's too much.
54:18
I won't get to it.
54:19
But she had a really good, she was
54:21
talking about giving specific instructions for how the
54:26
people are supposed to get out through Tajikistan,
54:31
through wherever else is connected, former Soviet Republic.
54:36
She says they have methods in place and
54:40
partnerships with the countries surrounding Iran and Russians
54:44
who work at the embassy or have private
54:47
corporations that they work for.
54:49
They need to go to the consulate or
54:51
to the mission, the Russian mission, get their
54:54
passport stuff, and then they will receive instructions
54:56
on how to get through.
54:58
And then they will be escorted basically through
55:01
the systems in Tajikistan, couple other places that
55:04
they can cross.
55:05
And she listed out the places of crossing
55:07
where they can go and stuff like that.
55:09
It was an interesting broadcast for how they
55:11
plan to assist the Russians in getting out
55:14
of harm's way.
55:16
And so that's how they're doing.
55:17
The U.S. has announced leaving, get your
55:21
poop in a group and get out of
55:22
these countries.
55:25
Let's get you out of there.
55:26
And here's how we do it.
55:27
I don't know if it's as formal, but
55:29
I saw some steps in that for going
55:33
to the embassy and whatnot, at least in
55:35
places like Qatar, Bahrain, places like that, because
55:40
what's going on in the air and in
55:42
Saudi Arabia.
55:43
So at any rate, will Article 5 on
55:47
collective defense be invoked?
55:51
Will everybody in Europe get involved?
55:55
Will the U.S. now be pushing what
55:57
Europe has been trying to push about Ukraine?
56:02
We don't know what these decisions will be.
56:04
If we know anything, we know that it's
56:05
completely unstable, that you don't know what Trump's
56:08
going to do today, tomorrow, next day.
56:10
Nobody knows.
56:11
There's talk.
56:13
Marjorie Taylor Greene was saying she thinks he's
56:15
going senile now.
56:16
So that stuff's going to start.
56:18
People are going to be asking about, what
56:19
in the hell is he trying to do?
56:21
Frankly, I want to know what in the
56:22
hell is he trying to do.
56:24
This is bullshit.
56:25
Pardon my French.
56:26
This is just stupidity.
56:27
All the way down the line, this is
56:30
moronic and we shouldn't be involved.
56:33
Not at all.
56:34
I'm one of the 60% who say
56:36
that he's absolutely wrong and this isn't what
56:39
we voted for you for, Mr. Peace President.
56:41
But again, I think that internationally, the guy's
56:47
a mess.
56:48
And so the policies are crap that we've
56:52
been putting in internationally.
56:55
Now we've gone to the other extreme from
56:57
the idiocy of the Democrat Party and Hillary
57:01
Clinton days, idiocy, and corruption, corrupt, corrupt, corrupt.
57:07
Now it's the opposite.
57:09
I'm king of the world and this is
57:11
what you're going to do.
57:13
There's no negotiation.
57:14
There's no discussion.
57:15
There's only power.
57:16
That's it.
57:17
And that is not a world that I
57:19
appreciate.
57:20
I just don't appreciate a bully in a
57:23
sandbox.
57:24
I don't appreciate it.
57:27
But will Article 5 on collective defense be
57:29
invoked?
57:30
Iran doesn't intend to raise the white flag.
57:33
Trump has been warned about a heavy price
57:36
for starting this war in a very sharp
57:39
statement.
57:40
The Pentagon has launched an investigation after a
57:43
strike at the girl's school in Iran.
57:45
Now that girl's school has been all over
57:47
the news.
57:49
160 to 165 middle school age girls in
57:53
school, 14 teachers blown up by an Israeli
57:58
or American missile.
58:01
And they show it in the dig in
58:03
the graves.
58:04
And this is in the first day as
58:08
part of the first strikes with the decapitation
58:12
strike, took out the, what do you call
58:17
it?
58:18
The Ayatollah.
58:21
It's not the Ayatollah.
58:23
But anyway, took out the leader, the supreme
58:25
leader.
58:26
And the fact is, that is exactly when
58:32
the same time period, another strike hit.
58:36
And that strike took out this school, 14
58:39
teachers, 106 students, parents holding backpacks of their
58:44
girls at school and stuff like that.
58:46
It was an all-girls school.
58:47
So it's all girls that were blown up.
58:50
And bits and pieces, they can't, they haven't
58:53
even identified all the bodies yet.
58:55
It was so destructive.
58:57
You don't hear a damn thing about it
58:58
over here.
58:59
But trust me, you're hearing about it in
59:00
other sources.
59:02
And the Pentagon itself has said it's going
59:05
to launch an investigation after the strike to
59:07
find out what happened.
59:09
And nothing will ever happen because nothing ever
59:11
does.
59:12
But there you have it.
59:14
And war sucks, war is safe.
59:16
But these are not pretty things.
59:18
That's why they don't want you to see
59:20
them.
59:21
And Republicans and Democrats are sounding the alarm.
59:24
Representatives of Tehran are speaking of sacrifice.
59:28
They're already doing it.
59:30
Death to America chants don't go down after
59:32
this, they go up.
59:35
Questions are being raised about Trump's psychological state,
59:38
Marjorie Taylor Greene.
59:40
Republicans and Democrats sound the alarm, emphasizing the
59:43
age of the president.
59:45
Fear inside America.
59:46
Russian strikes against Europe, they're afraid of that.
59:50
The Kremlin decides to get ahead of Brussels.
59:54
Moscow's move after negotiations that he had with
59:57
the Hungarian minister.
1:00:00
Zelensky sends specialists from the Armed Forces of
1:00:02
Ukraine to the Middle East.
1:00:05
A decision has already been made.
1:00:07
And at the same time, the Russians massively
1:00:10
support negotiation between Kiev and Moscow.
1:00:14
But how many support the war and how
1:00:17
many?
1:00:17
It has just become background noise, poll results
1:00:21
and all of this noise.
1:00:24
The U.S. has unleashed war that has
1:00:27
undermined the security of all America's partners in
1:00:30
the Middle East.
1:00:32
And it is beginning to strike the entire
1:00:34
global economy.
1:00:36
And it is not only about oil.
1:00:39
Iran is striking not only military targets of
1:00:42
the United States and Israel, but also the
1:00:45
infrastructure of Persian Gulf countries, oil platforms, ports,
1:00:50
airports, commercial ships.
1:00:52
And this is from a magazine called Foreign
1:00:56
Policy.
1:00:56
And the consequences of these attacks go far
1:01:00
beyond just the Middle East region.
1:01:03
About a third of the world's oil and
1:01:06
enormous volumes of gas, fertilizer and chemicals pass
1:01:10
through the Strait of Hormuz.
1:01:13
Any disruption immediately hits prices and markets.
1:01:17
In addition, the ports and airports of Gulf
1:01:20
countries handling key routes of global trade, aviation
1:01:24
transport, financial flow, and money transfers.
1:01:28
I've told you this before.
1:01:29
When you fly into, when you try to
1:01:32
get to Russia or you try to get
1:01:33
to India from America, you try to, where
1:01:36
do you go?
1:01:37
Your choices.
1:01:38
Frankfurt, Amman, which is a pretty good one
1:01:41
if you're going to the northern part.
1:01:42
But in the southern part, where do you
1:01:44
go?
1:01:44
You end up usually in Dubai.
1:01:47
You end up in Doha, Qatar.
1:01:49
You end up in Riyadh.
1:01:54
You end up in one of those three
1:01:56
places.
1:01:56
Or Istanbul.
1:01:57
I've spent a lot of time in Istanbul
1:01:59
on connecting flights.
1:02:00
But you have to connect through the Middle
1:02:02
East somewhere or the Persian area somewhere.
1:02:05
You have to do it if you're going
1:02:08
to get anywhere east to west.
1:02:10
That's how it works.
1:02:11
And all of that is effectively paralyzed.
1:02:14
And already, the movement of ships through Hormuz
1:02:17
is sharply decreased.
1:02:19
Flights in the region are canceled.
1:02:21
Exchanges and markets, including the gold market in
1:02:24
Dubai, this is going to be frightening to
1:02:27
everybody.
1:02:28
And all the people hoarding gold are going
1:02:29
to be happy.
1:02:30
All of them are paralyzed because trade's not
1:02:33
happening.
1:02:34
Experts interviewed warn that a prolonged war will
1:02:37
cause a global economic shock.
1:02:40
The consequence of which will be far more
1:02:43
serious than a simple rise in oil prices.
1:02:47
And here they recall the famous words of
1:02:50
U.S. President Woodrow Wilson.
1:02:53
Now, I have a book of quotes, and
1:02:56
I forgot to bring it.
1:02:57
But I was going to look it up
1:02:58
and see if I could find the actual
1:02:59
quote, because this is just a paraphrase.
1:03:04
Woodrow Wilson 100 years ago warned that in
1:03:08
the modern world, the consequences of war are
1:03:12
not limited to the battlefield.
1:03:15
They affect the life of the entire planet.
1:03:19
That's Woodrow Wilson, 100 years ago, talking about
1:03:22
planet.
1:03:23
And if you want to know the truth,
1:03:25
it's far worse today.
1:03:28
You think there's something that blowing up or
1:03:32
stealing a leader in Venezuela didn't cause problems?
1:03:37
You think that, oh, gee, we're going to
1:03:39
take over Cuba, even if you never do,
1:03:42
even if you just threaten it and your
1:03:43
saber rattling doesn't affect markets?
1:03:46
So you think that I'm going to steal
1:03:48
Greenland too?
1:03:49
And now we're stealing Iran.
1:03:51
We're not against ground troops.
1:03:53
Who's we?
1:03:55
You a-holes.
1:03:56
Who's we?
1:03:57
We're against it.
1:03:58
The American public spoke pretty strongly that we
1:04:02
don't want 20 more years like Afghanistan, Iraq.
1:04:07
We don't want Syria.
1:04:09
We don't want those Libyans.
1:04:11
We don't want to fight with the Houthis.
1:04:14
We don't want anything to do with that
1:04:15
crap.
1:04:16
But now here we are again.
1:04:19
And so we elected the guy on the
1:04:22
fact that he was not going to do
1:04:23
this.
1:04:24
He was the peace president.
1:04:25
He can make a deal.
1:04:26
Well, he can't make a deal.
1:04:28
He just blows people up.
1:04:30
But that's not him.
1:04:31
We're doing it on behalf of the only
1:04:33
people we can't control or refuse.
1:04:37
And we must join in.
1:04:38
We're doing it for Israel.
1:04:40
And that's that.
1:04:42
And Trump, you know, this is why people
1:04:44
think he might be losing it because anybody
1:04:45
normally would have told Netanyahu, screw you.
1:04:49
I'm not doing that.
1:04:50
Americans aren't for it.
1:04:52
And we're not.
1:04:54
So more against than for.
1:04:57
That's for sure.
1:04:58
The number is growing, by the way.
1:05:01
So it appears that today's American politicians have
1:05:04
forgotten Wilson's warnings.
1:05:07
And by starting this war, Trump has exposed
1:05:09
his partners in the Gulf to unprecedented attack.
1:05:13
Qatar isn't going to supply gas.
1:05:15
No way.
1:05:16
They're disrupting the flow that serves as the
1:05:19
life system of financially and life of the
1:05:23
global economy.
1:05:25
And a war with Iran will become a
1:05:28
new problem for Ukraine as well.
1:05:31
While the attention of the U.S. and
1:05:33
Europe ships to the Middle East, Kiev is
1:05:35
losing its own military and political support.
1:05:38
That is why it's blowing crap up in
1:05:40
the Mediterranean.
1:05:41
Hey, we're still here.
1:05:43
Look at us.
1:05:45
We can help you take out those Iranians.
1:05:47
Just send us more money, more arms.
1:05:52
We can't win.
1:05:53
They're not going to win anyway.
1:05:55
The whole thing is a waste.
1:05:57
And we are going to win long term
1:06:00
in Iran any more than we won long
1:06:03
term in any conflict started since freaking Vietnam,
1:06:07
Korea and before we haven't won any of
1:06:10
these.
1:06:11
And this is going to be the same.
1:06:14
And Lindsey Graham is out there doing the
1:06:16
exact same thing he's been doing for 25
1:06:18
years.
1:06:20
It's the exact same thing.
1:06:21
Oh, we're going to kick the crap out
1:06:23
of these guys.
1:06:24
Yep.
1:06:24
Next, next, next.
1:06:28
I'll tell you what.
1:06:29
The Telegraph said that if the conflict continues,
1:06:33
the U.S. and its allies will send
1:06:35
air defense systems and missiles, including Patriots, to
1:06:38
protect their own bases in the region of
1:06:41
the Middle East instead of Ukraine.
1:06:43
That's already happening, by the way.
1:06:45
And this will seriously weaken even further Ukrainian
1:06:49
air defense, which barely exists right now.
1:06:53
And it already has a severe shortage of
1:06:55
missiles.
1:06:56
And it's already sending up a million for
1:06:59
defense Patriot missile to defend against 30 drones
1:07:05
that cost 5000 bucks apiece.
1:07:09
And, you know, so the lopsidedness of Patriots
1:07:13
with drones originally manufactured by Iran for the
1:07:18
Russians, well, for themselves, but for the Russians
1:07:21
to Patriots aren't going to help him against
1:07:25
those.
1:07:26
And they're not helping against those.
1:07:29
So it'll seriously weaken Ukraine.
1:07:32
This is also a risk of getting rid
1:07:36
of any sort of diplomacy.
1:07:38
Diplomacy is dead.
1:07:39
You're not going to bring the Iranians back
1:07:40
to the table.
1:07:41
That's not going to happen.
1:07:43
Negotiations between Kiev, Moscow and Washington are also
1:07:47
impacted.
1:07:48
They might stop, you know, they are stopped
1:07:51
because of Trump's focus on the Middle East.
1:07:54
So it is in Ukraine's interest that the
1:07:56
operation in Iran doesn't drag on because they
1:07:59
need to bring attention back to themselves.
1:08:01
And they want to punish if they can
1:08:04
help.
1:08:04
They want to jump in to another fear
1:08:07
is that the crisis in the Middle East
1:08:09
will will, you know, be prolonged.
1:08:12
There's no significant process in either event anyway.
1:08:17
Zelensky is trying with all his might to
1:08:19
turn Trump back toward Ukraine, says the Telegraph.
1:08:23
And they emphasize that Kiev has offered Ukraine
1:08:25
Ukrainian assistance in repelling Iranian drones in the
1:08:31
Middle East.
1:08:33
The day before it was confirmed that negotiations
1:08:37
are on pause.
1:08:38
Russia, U.S. and Ukraine and specialists from
1:08:43
Ukraine will still be sent to the Middle
1:08:45
East.
1:08:46
And that's not going to hurt Ukraine at
1:08:48
all.
1:08:49
Of course, Ukrainian specialists are going to work.
1:08:54
They're going to be ready to help protect
1:08:55
civilians.
1:08:56
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
1:08:57
Same old crap.
1:08:58
The military offensive against Iran is begun.
1:09:01
Troops have crossed the border.
1:09:03
Kurdish forces have begun a ground operation.
1:09:05
Thousands of fighters from the U.S. funded
1:09:09
Kurdistan Free Life Party are already on Iranian
1:09:13
territory and have taken positions inside the country.
1:09:16
Now, this is a pro-Kurdish, pro-Ukraine
1:09:20
source that I got this from.
1:09:23
So it will be twisted into their effect.
1:09:26
So thousands of fighters from Kurdistan units are
1:09:29
advancing in the mountainous areas in western Iran.
1:09:33
We don't want any of that either, just
1:09:35
like nobody wanted any of the stuff in.
1:09:40
What do you call it?
1:09:42
Afghanistan.
1:09:43
Nobody's interested.
1:09:45
It is reported and they've lived there for
1:09:47
centuries.
1:09:48
You know, the Kurds have as well, you
1:09:50
know, so we'll claim, you know, we took
1:09:52
a little chunk of Iran and look at
1:09:55
this and our Kurds are there and we
1:09:57
support the Kurds and the Turks hate the
1:09:59
Kurds and the Kurds hate the Turks and
1:10:02
it's and they all hate Israel and it'll
1:10:05
be just the next iteration of the same
1:10:08
old crap.
1:10:10
Then the U.S. gets sucked into it
1:10:12
and it has nothing to do with us.
1:10:15
It has everything to do with Israel and
1:10:17
if we're their lapdog, which it appears to
1:10:20
me, especially in this instance, then, you know,
1:10:24
it's really not in our favor and people
1:10:26
aren't for this.
1:10:26
According to representative of the coalition of the
1:10:29
political forces of Iran, Iranian Kurdistan, fighters of
1:10:34
the Kurdistan Free Life Party have taken positions
1:10:36
in the area of the southern mountains in
1:10:38
the city of Marivan in western Iran and
1:10:43
he said thousands of fighters have been deployed
1:10:45
in the mountainous region.
1:10:46
At the same time, the Iranian media denied
1:10:49
the Kurdish offensive.
1:10:51
The U.S. and Israel continue to strike
1:10:53
Iran.
1:10:54
Number of high-profile statements have been made,
1:10:56
of course, by the minister of war.
1:10:58
We're gonna kick the crap out of everybody.
1:11:01
Yep, Iran is doomed and will never obtain
1:11:04
a nuclear bomb and the force of Washington
1:11:06
and Jerusalem, the holy, will soon gain full
1:11:10
air control over the entire territory of Iran.
1:11:13
Well, good for you.
1:11:15
So what?
1:11:17
It ain't gonna end the war.
1:11:19
It ain't gonna end what happens on the
1:11:20
ground.
1:11:21
The statement was made by Pete Hegseth.
1:11:23
He also said the operation is only in
1:11:25
its beginning phases and the U.S. is
1:11:28
ready to continue.
1:11:29
Here are the words that you need to
1:11:30
fear, Americans, as long as necessary.
1:11:33
In addition, the U.S. published video footage
1:11:37
of a strike against the Iranian warship in
1:11:40
Sri Lanka.
1:11:41
U.S. Navy carried out strike.
1:11:42
So now instead of boats outside of Venezuela
1:11:48
that had nothing to do with the seizure
1:11:50
of Maduro and the stealing of oil from
1:11:53
Venezuela, the U.S. Navy's gonna blow up
1:11:57
boats and a submarine did it.
1:12:00
Yesterday in the Indian Ocean, an American submarine
1:12:04
sank an Iranian warship that felt it was
1:12:07
safe.
1:12:07
Instead, it was sunk by a torpedo, the
1:12:10
first sinking of an enemy ship by torpedo
1:12:13
since the Second World War.
1:12:17
We are fighting to win.
1:12:19
Yeah, we've fought everything to win and we've
1:12:21
never won.
1:12:23
Iran, however, does not intend to raise the
1:12:25
white flag.
1:12:26
In Tehran, they described and declared that Trump
1:12:29
will pay a heavy price for his actions.
1:12:32
And the statement came from the Secretary of
1:12:34
the National Security Council.
1:12:36
Here's the quote.
1:12:37
Trump has dragged the American people into an
1:12:40
unjust war with Iran because of Netanyahu's impulsiveness
1:12:46
and absurd actions.
1:12:48
Now he himself will answer after the death
1:12:51
of more than 500 American servicemen in recent
1:12:54
days.
1:12:55
Now that's a obviously inflated number.
1:12:58
Does the slogan America first still remain?
1:13:02
That slogan is long gone.
1:13:05
I mean, I don't support him with the
1:13:07
500.
1:13:08
That's not truthful.
1:13:09
But America first that this is definitely not
1:13:12
America first.
1:13:13
The Trump administration is running out of time
1:13:16
to explain the war with Iran to Americans
1:13:20
rights political and emphasize the contradictory statements of
1:13:24
U.S. officials.
1:13:26
The publication claims that dissatisfaction is growing within
1:13:29
the MAGA movement.
1:13:32
I read this, too, as it was interesting.
1:13:34
Trump supporters fear a prolonged war, rising gas
1:13:38
prices and a new foreign conflict that contradicts
1:13:41
his own promises and America first.
1:13:45
The danger for the Trump administration is that
1:13:47
it may lose control when the war ends.
1:13:51
I think this is going to result in
1:13:53
the loss of the House and the Senate.
1:13:56
That's what I believe.
1:13:57
And Iran also has its own words to
1:14:01
say.
1:14:02
Now, its attacks are forcing the U.S.
1:14:05
to close embassies in the region, evacuate American
1:14:08
citizens and insure all oil tankers because Lloyd's
1:14:14
of London will not.
1:14:17
This affects the global economy.
1:14:19
So what's the easy answer for Trump?
1:14:21
Well, hell with it.
1:14:21
We'll pay for it.
1:14:22
You know, we'll charge insurance.
1:14:24
We'll pay your insurance and they don't.
1:14:25
We'll pay.
1:14:27
So we're the global reinsurance policy because we
1:14:31
started the war once again.
1:14:32
Who's going to fund it with no explanation?
1:14:35
The U.S. taxpayers.
1:14:37
Right.
1:14:39
So difficulties also been caused by the words
1:14:43
of Trump's former supporter, Miss Marjorie Taylor Greene,
1:14:46
who asked whether Trump's psychological condition is stable.
1:14:50
She said, and I had the quote somewhere,
1:14:53
but this is not this is a paraphrase.
1:14:55
Donald Trump has repeatedly said on camera and
1:14:58
in interviews that he does not think he
1:15:00
will go to heaven.
1:15:03
What does that have to do with anything?
1:15:06
And I want to ask a serious question.
1:15:08
What's in his head?
1:15:10
What psychological condition is he in?
1:15:13
If he himself believes he's not going to
1:15:15
go to heaven and he's already a man
1:15:17
at the end of his life's path, what
1:15:19
does that mean?
1:15:20
And how will it affect all of us?
1:15:22
He's already said he doesn't care about his
1:15:25
own ratings.
1:15:26
Representatives of the Democrats are demanding answers and
1:15:29
say Trump doesn't have a clear plan.
1:15:32
I agree.
1:15:33
He doesn't.
1:15:34
I just left a close briefing on Iran.
1:15:37
And here is what I can say.
1:15:39
Everything is much worse than you thought.
1:15:42
You have every reason to be concerned.
1:15:45
The Trump administration has no plan for Iran.
1:15:49
Oh, yeah.
1:15:50
Let's fund the Kurds.
1:15:51
There's a good plan.
1:15:53
No, it's not.
1:15:55
It is.
1:15:56
They say anyway, this is more commentary from
1:15:58
that article.
1:15:59
This illegal war is based on lies started
1:16:02
about any immediate threat to the United States.
1:16:05
How do you not agree with that?
1:16:07
There is no threat to us at all,
1:16:09
even if Iran has a nuclear weapon.
1:16:12
Well, give a crap.
1:16:13
What do we care?
1:16:14
Pakistan has them.
1:16:17
Pakistan's got nuclear weapons.
1:16:19
North Korea has them.
1:16:20
Who's going to attack North Korea?
1:16:22
Nobody.
1:16:23
Why?
1:16:23
Because they have weapons.
1:16:24
Why does Ukraine want them?
1:16:26
You think Vladimir Zelensky is not a moron
1:16:28
or not a nutcase?
1:16:30
He's a nutcase.
1:16:32
And if we gave him nuclear weapons, he'd
1:16:34
lob them out into Russia somewhere.
1:16:36
I'm afraid Netanyahu is going to do that.
1:16:38
I really am.
1:16:38
I don't think that guy's stable at all.
1:16:40
He's chosen by God.
1:16:41
You want to say that you're going to
1:16:43
bitch here about Trump not going to heaven
1:16:45
or thinking he's not going to heaven so
1:16:47
he can still do whatever he wants?
1:16:49
The worst scenario if he can do whatever
1:16:51
he wants is Netanyahu.
1:16:53
He's worse.
1:16:54
He thinks he's already in heaven.
1:16:56
He thinks he's there.
1:16:58
He is the chosen one, period.
1:17:01
End of sentence.
1:17:02
He gets to control the United States, and
1:17:05
he does, at least as far as this
1:17:07
goes.
1:17:08
So anyway, I'm ranting a little bit after
1:17:10
that.
1:17:11
Donald Trump has not presented one single clear
1:17:15
reason for this war, and apparently he has
1:17:18
no plan to end it either.
1:17:20
Instead, he has to show who's got the
1:17:22
bigger weenie by going, oh, we got endless
1:17:25
weapons.
1:17:25
We got them everywhere.
1:17:26
You know what I'm going to do?
1:17:27
I'm going to send out that Hegseth.
1:17:28
He was in the army before.
1:17:30
Let's have him root rah-rah troops.
1:17:33
You know, let's have him do it, and
1:17:34
that's all he's doing.
1:17:35
That's it.
1:17:36
Meanwhile, NATO has opened fire on an Iranian
1:17:39
missile flying toward Turkey.
1:17:41
According to Turkish Ministry of Defense, the ballistic
1:17:43
missile launched from Iran flew through Iraq and
1:17:46
Syria and headed toward Turkish border, intercepted by
1:17:49
a NATO air defense system.
1:17:51
This is the first case since the beginning
1:17:53
of the current war when Iranian missiles were
1:17:55
directed toward a NATO country.
1:17:56
The alliance condemns this attack.
1:17:59
However, the Pentagon stated there are no grounds
1:18:02
for activating Article 5 on collective defense.
1:18:05
Turkey summoned the Iranian ambassador.
1:18:08
Ankara stated it may respond in kind.
1:18:11
You know, Ankara, Turkey, that means for those
1:18:13
of you that don't understand where the capital
1:18:14
of Turkey is, all necessary steps to defend
1:18:17
our territory and airspace will be taken decisively
1:18:19
and without hesitation, say the Turkish Foreign Ministry.
1:18:24
So now we're going to suck Turkey into
1:18:25
a war.
1:18:26
We remind everyone that we reserve the right
1:18:29
to respond to any hostile action against our
1:18:32
country.
1:18:32
The U.S. Ministry of War, Department of
1:18:35
War, has announced the beginning of an investigation
1:18:40
into the circumstance of the strike on the
1:18:42
girls' school in southern Iran.
1:18:44
According to Tehran, more than 160 people were
1:18:46
killed.
1:18:46
The victims were all schoolgirls.
1:18:48
Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth said, while answering journalist
1:18:53
questions, can you provide updated information about what
1:18:56
the administration knows regarding reports of strikes on
1:19:00
girls' school in southern Iran on Saturday?
1:19:02
All I can say is we are investigating.
1:19:05
We, of course, never strike civilian targets.
1:19:07
Yeah, right.
1:19:08
But we are studying this incident and conducting
1:19:10
an investigation.
1:19:11
The issue has caused a major reaction.
1:19:15
Iranian authorities claim the strike occurred on February
1:19:17
28th in the city of Minab, and among
1:19:19
the victims were students of primary and secondary
1:19:22
school.
1:19:22
Al-Jazeera says the school probably educated the
1:19:27
daughters of members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard
1:19:30
Corps.
1:19:30
So these are important girls.
1:19:33
Yeah, let's cause harm.
1:19:36
You know, I am so cynical.
1:19:40
We're killing.
1:19:41
We're decapitating.
1:19:42
Why not kill their whole families?
1:19:44
What if you think that somebody important's kid
1:19:47
was in there and you can take care
1:19:49
of him by killing one of his family?
1:19:52
Hegseth's not above that.
1:19:54
Neither is Trump.
1:19:56
Netanyahu definitely isn't above that.
1:19:58
In fact, this is the preferred method.
1:20:01
We targeted individuals, leaders of countries.
1:20:07
And why?
1:20:07
Because we have the biggest wiener.
1:20:09
That is why.
1:20:10
And that's the only reason that we did
1:20:13
it.
1:20:13
We're not doing it to encourage them.
1:20:15
We're doing it to dominate.
1:20:17
Period.
1:20:17
We're going to be world dominant.
1:20:19
And the world is not going to like
1:20:22
it.
1:20:22
And now we are probably in the very
1:20:25
beginnings of people realizing that we got three
1:20:28
more years of this shit.
1:20:30
And it's going to keep on coming.
1:20:33
I don't believe in the stability of any
1:20:37
of these people.
1:20:39
Netanyahu especially.
1:20:41
That guy needs to be examined.
1:20:43
I don't know about Trump.
1:20:45
I don't know.
1:20:45
But I'm seriously questioning these latest actions.
1:20:49
And when you watch Hegseth, I've seen a
1:20:51
million sergeants like him.
1:20:52
He just gets to get up, commanders, whatever.
1:20:55
Oh, rip, rip, rip.
1:20:56
We got them, boys.
1:20:59
We're going to go kill us.
1:21:01
And so he's going to hang us.
1:21:04
He's one of those people.
1:21:05
More war, more war.
1:21:07
He's a cheerleader.
1:21:08
That's it.
1:21:10
And it's not good.
1:21:11
So anyway, I'm ranting again.
1:21:14
At the same time, Iran's ambassador.
1:21:18
Oh, by the way, I meant to finish
1:21:20
this last thing, that the daughters of the
1:21:23
members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, but
1:21:25
next to that facility, a military facility is
1:21:29
located near that school.
1:21:31
And this building previously was part of the
1:21:35
infrastructure.
1:21:36
At the same time, Iran's ambassador to Belarus,
1:21:40
his name is Saneh, connected the strike with
1:21:44
a sacrifice made for the success of the
1:21:46
armies of Israel in the United States.
1:21:49
And they're turning these people, I'm telling you,
1:21:52
into martyrs everywhere.
1:21:54
And that is the danger.
1:21:57
You can't convince a martyr.
1:21:59
It won't happen.
1:22:02
And at a press conference in Minsk, Belarus,
1:22:04
after a meeting with Lukashenko, the following statement
1:22:07
was made.
1:22:09
This may be connected with the Epstein cult.
1:22:13
Perhaps they carried out a ritual there for
1:22:16
sacrificing children.
1:22:17
For some, it is war.
1:22:19
For others, it is profit against the background
1:22:21
of the situation in the Middle East.
1:22:23
Now, I think that comment was nothing but
1:22:26
inflammatory.
1:22:27
But entrepreneurial people in Dubai are making money
1:22:30
off of this.
1:22:31
Tourists and expats are willing to pay enormous
1:22:35
sums to leave the city.
1:22:37
Prices have soared, airline prices.
1:22:40
For evacuation from Dubai, families are paying up
1:22:45
to $250,000.
1:22:49
This has been reported in the Financial Times,
1:22:52
because you can't get out of Dubai.
1:22:54
You can't get out of Egypt.
1:22:57
You can't get out of any place there.
1:23:00
You're not getting out.
1:23:02
You're there, you're trapped.
1:23:04
That's why the Russians are trying to come
1:23:05
up with ways to get their people out
1:23:07
of Iran and out of these other countries.
1:23:10
And, you know, interesting times.
1:23:14
This is also reported by the Financial Times.
1:23:17
According to insurance companies that deal with crisis
1:23:20
assistance, evacuating one family of two adults and
1:23:25
two children can cost up to a quarter
1:23:28
of a million dollars if a private jet
1:23:30
has to be used.
1:23:31
Commercial air is certainly unreliable.
1:23:34
Prices for charter flights doubled in the last
1:23:37
few days.
1:23:38
Even ground evacuation is extremely expensive.
1:23:42
A taxi or minibus from Dubai to Muscat,
1:23:45
the most popular escape destination, now costs thousands
1:23:49
of dollars instead of several hundred.
1:23:51
Some flights from Dubai and Abu Dhabi are
1:23:54
gradually resuming, but most regular flights remain canceled,
1:23:58
and tens of thousands of passengers are stranded
1:24:01
in the largest airports in the region.
1:24:03
That was another Solovyov commentary.
1:24:05
It was pretty damn funny.
1:24:07
Actually, when he was talking to Khazin, they
1:24:12
were saying that the people couldn't get in
1:24:13
and out of Dubai, and Russians couldn't get
1:24:16
out.
1:24:16
And Vladimir Solovyov says, well, because Dubai is
1:24:20
full of Russian escorts.
1:24:23
I mean, everywhere.
1:24:24
They all go there and just start selling,
1:24:26
and they get incredibly wealthy because you know
1:24:29
how good looking they are.
1:24:31
And all the young girls are in Dubai
1:24:33
and in Abu Dhabi, and, you know, they
1:24:35
fly there from all over the world.
1:24:37
And Solovyov says something like, well, that's going
1:24:41
to cause a rise in the prices of
1:24:43
an escort.
1:24:45
The price of an escort is going to
1:24:47
triple, you know, overnight too.
1:24:49
And so that's not going to be good.
1:24:51
And so anyway, most flights remain canceled.
1:24:54
Tens of thousands are stranded.
1:24:56
European countries have already begun repatriation flights for
1:25:00
their own citizens.
1:25:01
So, you know, they're sending their own planes.
1:25:03
And Putin has announced evacuation measures for Russians.
1:25:07
Russians stranded in the Middle East are evacuated
1:25:10
by the Ministry of Emergency and the Ministry
1:25:12
of Defense.
1:25:13
Financial Times says we're seeing taxis starting from
1:25:17
$5,000 and higher, said one insurance executive.
1:25:21
The main problems, the U.S. State Department
1:25:23
recommends leaving the region using available commercial flights.
1:25:27
But right now, such flights are non-existent.
1:25:30
Although companies in the region are asking employees
1:25:33
to work remotely, more and more residents, tourists,
1:25:36
expats are trying to leave because the conflict
1:25:38
shows no sign of ending soon.
1:25:41
U.S. is preparing to indefinitely remove the
1:25:45
German subsidiary of Rosneft from sanctions.
1:25:50
So because of the U.S. creating problems
1:25:54
in the gas and oil industry, they are
1:25:57
talking removing Rosneft, which is the Russian oil
1:26:01
company that has been sanctioned individually, taking and
1:26:05
Lukoil, which has a lot of Russian stuff.
1:26:07
I've talked about it a little bit on
1:26:09
here, removing them from the list of sanctions
1:26:12
so that they can sell gas and oil
1:26:14
in eastern Russia.
1:26:15
This will be a serious diplomatic victory after
1:26:19
tense negotiations with Washington, says Bloomberg, because Germany
1:26:23
wants to work with Rosneft.
1:26:28
It's a messed up, muddled up, shook up
1:26:32
world, except for Lola.
1:26:34
The decision is expected to be announced by
1:26:37
the Office of Foreign Assets Control of the
1:26:39
U.S. Treasury soon.
1:26:41
The issue concerns Rosneft Germany, whose assets Berlin
1:26:44
took control of after the start of the
1:26:47
war in Ukraine in 2022.
1:26:49
Since then, they remain under state administration in
1:26:52
legal uncertainty.
1:26:53
Rosneft Germany owns three major German oil refineries
1:26:58
that provide 12 percent of the country's oil
1:27:00
refining.
1:27:02
Mangnem is the refinery in Schwett near Berlin
1:27:04
as a stake in Transalpine pipeline through which
1:27:07
oil enters Central Europe.
1:27:10
Putin decided to get ahead of Europe and
1:27:11
instructed his government to study the possibility of
1:27:15
stopping European or Russian gas supplies to the
1:27:18
European Union, as I described to you earlier.
1:27:20
He described the statement not of the decision,
1:27:23
but as thinking aloud.
1:27:24
And I shared the full statement with you.
1:27:26
He noted Moscow's will consider such step because
1:27:30
European countries are nuts.
1:27:31
The Kremlin is going to consider leaving.
1:27:34
The statement came after his meeting with the
1:27:36
Hungarian foreign minister.
1:27:38
So Russians are massively supporting peace negotiations as
1:27:44
well as let's see where the latest numbers,
1:27:47
according to Bloomberg, 67 percent support negotiation, 24
1:27:52
percent support continuing the war.
1:27:55
Now that's Bloomberg reporting that.
1:27:57
And I'm not sure.
1:27:59
I haven't seen the actual report yet.
1:28:02
This is a report of a report.
1:28:04
And that's all for today on international flavor.
1:28:07
I'm very glad you are with me.
1:28:10
Tomorrow is Civic Outlaws.
1:28:12
I'm going to share with you my latest
1:28:15
article on H.B. House Bill 3154 and
1:28:20
its companion bill, Senate Bill 1407.
1:28:24
More government bureaucratic overreach, in my humble opinion,
1:28:30
which we at Civic Outlaws take very seriously
1:28:33
and wish to inform people about.
1:28:37
That show will go from 730 tomorrow morning
1:28:40
to approximately 830.
1:28:43
And that is it.
1:28:46
That'll be my last show for the week.
1:28:47
This is my last international flavor for the
1:28:49
week.
1:28:50
I'm very glad you showed up at the
1:28:53
Lake Ozark Real Estate of the Art Studio.
1:28:56
You can listen live at damradio.com to
1:28:58
fantastic music all through the day, except when
1:29:02
wonderful talk radio is on board.
1:29:06
And we hope you do.
1:29:09
You can find all former shows from damradio
1:29:13
at damradio.com forward slash podcast.
1:29:18
My show, International Flavor, you can always find
1:29:21
it at internationalflavor.com.
1:29:24
All of my prior programs are safely tucked
1:29:28
away out there.
1:29:30
We hope you join Civic Outlaws tomorrow morning
1:29:34
and continue listening to Dam Radio each and
1:29:37
every day where you can get the truth
1:29:41
only here on International Flavor.
1:29:44
It just tastes better.
1:29:47
Have a nice day.