Latest / Financial Survival Network / Think Small, Win Big Globally - Ryan Floyd #6296
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The legacy dinosaur companies are the ones in exchange traded
- 0:04Speaker 1: funds are sometimes huge, huge, huge mutual funds in many cases,
- 0:10Speaker 1: in general, a lot of them haven't really gone anywhere
- 0:12Speaker 1: in a decade or two or three decades, if you
- 0:15Speaker 1: can believe this, So a lot of people, I think
- 0:18Speaker 1: the standard investment advice in the United States to do
- 0:22Speaker 1: this or that thing doesn't always apply in other places.
- 0:26Speaker 2: You are listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, where
- 0:30Speaker 2: you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else
- 0:34Speaker 2: to thrive in today's trying times. You need the Financial
- 0:38Speaker 2: Survival Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork
- 0:43Speaker 2: dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial
- 0:47Speaker 2: Survival Network now more than ever.
- 0:53Speaker 3: And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial
- 0:58Speaker 3: Survival Network.
- 0:59Speaker 4: I'm your host Carrie.
- 1:00Speaker 3: With us today is Ryan Floyd, who runs an investment
- 1:04Speaker 3: fund out of Boston. Interesting where he's investing these days,
- 1:10Speaker 3: rather surprising to hear, but makes complete sense. He's in
- 1:14Speaker 3: India checking things out there, and evidently there's some great
- 1:18Speaker 3: opportunities there. If you got a question for Ryan myself,
- 1:23Speaker 3: shoot me an email. Klatkerrielets dot com. Ryan, it's great
- 1:28Speaker 3: to have you on the show. So what tell us
- 1:31Speaker 3: first about you? You've been investing for a long time
- 1:35Speaker 3: running funds.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Sure. Great to be on the show, Kerry, thanks for
- 1:39Speaker 1: having me. I love your podcast, lots of interesting guests,
- 1:43Speaker 1: a great breadth of information. So I've been managing this
- 1:48Speaker 1: investment advisor for almost twenty years. Actually I got into
- 1:53Speaker 1: the business without knowing too much about modeling. I was
- 1:58Speaker 1: working on the cell side and launch this business in
- 2:02Speaker 1: two thousand and eight, if you can believe it. It
- 2:04Speaker 1: was a crazy time to start a financial services firm.
- 2:08Speaker 1: But it's gone. I think it's gone pretty well. Of course,
- 2:12Speaker 1: this compliance wise is not an offer to buy or sell,
- 2:16Speaker 1: but it's been nice being able to do this for
- 2:18Speaker 1: so long. Really, we focus outside the United States, primarily
- 2:23Speaker 1: with an eyeball on all kinds of different countries, trying
- 2:26Speaker 1: to invest in things that a lot of people aren't
- 2:27Speaker 1: paying attention.
- 2:28Speaker 4: To, and so what aren't they paying attention to?
- 2:33Speaker 1: It's kind of you could flip it on its side
- 2:35Speaker 1: and say what are people paying attention to? You could
- 2:38Speaker 1: sort of guess, like large, big American companies that have
- 2:42Speaker 1: hundreds and hundreds of cell side, analysts covering them. They're
- 2:47Speaker 1: always in the cover of the newspaper. People are texting
- 2:50Speaker 1: to them all the time. I think what I found
- 2:52Speaker 1: over my time in the market is that a lot
- 2:55Speaker 1: of people don't look at small companies. And with the
- 2:58Speaker 1: United States really being a big portion of investable assets globally,
- 3:02Speaker 1: there's a tremendous home market bias. And you kind of
- 3:06Speaker 1: couple those things together with some difficulties investing outside the country,
- 3:10Speaker 1: and it means sometimes smaller, more unusual companies are the
- 3:15Speaker 1: ones that folks are not really looking at. And I
- 3:19Speaker 1: think I've traveled to something like one hundred countries every
- 3:23Speaker 1: continent but Antarctica, turning over all kinds of stones to
- 3:28Speaker 1: look for interesting opportunities.
- 3:30Speaker 3: He Antarctica, h well, maybe not one hundred. A lot
- 3:33Speaker 3: of frozen opportunities there, huh.
- 3:37Speaker 1: Yeah, hopefully not. Hopefully not mining companies in our lifetime
- 3:41Speaker 1: with all the snowmounting, but I guess so. But yeah,
- 3:48Speaker 1: all the other continents, you know, it's been a great
- 3:51Speaker 1: breadth of investment experiencially.
- 3:55Speaker 3: So India, you know, it's kind of it's always had
- 4:00Speaker 3: tremendous promise, largest population in the world, but systems really
- 4:07Speaker 3: seemed to be holding it back. Their judicial system makes
- 4:11Speaker 3: ours look efficient, public services, all these things.
- 4:16Speaker 4: How is it changing?
- 4:18Speaker 1: It's a good question. So I lived in Bombay or
- 4:21Speaker 1: Mumbai a little less than two years. This is right
- 4:24Speaker 1: out of college. I wanted an adventure and to do
- 4:27Speaker 1: something very different from what other people were doing. This
- 4:31Speaker 1: was the early two thousands, I think. At the time,
- 4:36Speaker 1: then and even now, the general perception of India was
- 4:41Speaker 1: something like this, that the bureaucracy was not the best,
- 4:45Speaker 1: and gosh, there's so many different languages and different states
- 4:49Speaker 1: and regulatory systems, how does it work. But beneath all
- 4:52Speaker 1: of this was an incredibly it was true then and
- 4:55Speaker 1: true now too, an incredibly hard working population, a real
- 4:59Speaker 1: respect for entrepreneurial spirits, many many different companies doing all
- 5:05Speaker 1: kinds of different things, a sophisticated manager, a fairly good
- 5:10Speaker 1: regulatory framework. And as you said, it went from having
- 5:15Speaker 1: large households to smaller households, which means a real explosion,
- 5:19Speaker 1: and an explosion a number of households, and that means
- 5:23Speaker 1: people buying things like furniture and household goods and all
- 5:27Speaker 1: kinds of things because they're not having many children like
- 5:30Speaker 1: many parts of the world, and it's been a lot
- 5:34Speaker 1: of fun having lived there. I speak a little bit
- 5:37Speaker 1: of Hindi, although it's kind of faded away, But as
- 5:40Speaker 1: a guy raised in suburban Baltimore knowing a little bit
- 5:44Speaker 1: of Hindi, having traveled to some thirty cities, it's a
- 5:48Speaker 1: lot of fun poking around India and visiting here and
- 5:51Speaker 1: there and staying in touch with the country and the
- 5:54Speaker 1: capital markets. I would say I can't really call make
- 5:59Speaker 1: a call visual country, but just in terms of demographics
- 6:03Speaker 1: in general economic growth prospects, it's probably one of the
- 6:08Speaker 1: better stories because it has a large rural population and
- 6:12Speaker 1: people become more productive when they move from rural to
- 6:15Speaker 1: urban areas. The funny thing, I guess is that in
- 6:19Speaker 1: the eighteenth and nineteenth century in the United States, we
- 6:21Speaker 1: had similar problems with our judicial system and believe it
- 6:27Speaker 1: or not, bureaucracy ability to do things. Yeah, we still do, right.
- 6:33Speaker 1: I think kind of each place has to be understood
- 6:35Speaker 1: in its own terms, and in many cases the results
- 6:39Speaker 1: speak for themselves. It's need going back and seeing giant,
- 6:42Speaker 1: giant bridges and a lot more material progress and also
- 6:49Speaker 1: honestly warm and fuzzy things like infant mortality dropping and
- 6:52Speaker 1: longer life spans, and it's a great fout women's rights
- 6:56Speaker 1: and such. But no place is perfect, of course, as
- 6:59Speaker 1: any human knows.
- 7:00Speaker 3: And so we're yeah, of course, So what do you
- 7:05Speaker 3: think the greatest promise of India is here? Your most
- 7:10Speaker 3: optimistic put on your most optimistic pah. If I were
- 7:14Speaker 3: talking to an AI system right now, would it tell me?
- 7:19Speaker 1: Well, it's an interesting point. I mean, different countries have
- 7:22Speaker 1: different challenges depending on their historical trade, their historical regulatory environment,
- 7:29Speaker 1: who generally runs the show and why. I've found that
- 7:33Speaker 1: the political system, as noisy as it is in India
- 7:37Speaker 1: is one of the most interesting in the world because
- 7:40Speaker 1: it's so vibrant. It's pluralistic. It's not perfect, it's really
- 7:45Speaker 1: not perfect, but people really get to vote and express
- 7:49Speaker 1: their preferences across many different dimensions, classes, languages, religions. It's
- 7:55Speaker 1: like a giant quilt that somehow comes together and it works. Really,
- 8:00Speaker 1: the thing I find just most inspiring and encouraging is
- 8:05Speaker 1: this demographic issue that the working population continues to grow
- 8:10Speaker 1: and productivity increases as people move from rural to urban areas.
- 8:16Speaker 1: There are other countries where you would say well, the
- 8:19Speaker 1: per capita GDP is kind of similar, but it's much
- 8:22Speaker 1: more urban. It's a lot harder to drive productivity growth
- 8:26Speaker 1: and income growth and GDP growth. Frankly, when people are
- 8:30Speaker 1: already all connected to the internet, they're all connected to
- 8:36Speaker 1: I don't know, urban transportation networks. They all have high
- 8:39Speaker 1: speed internet, not all of them, but they largely have
- 8:42Speaker 1: high speed Internet. So then it's a different game. You
- 8:45Speaker 1: have to be able to export much more sophisticated goods
- 8:48Speaker 1: in order to grow more rapidly, which is more difficult.
- 8:51Speaker 1: So I think for India to grow more rapidly economically
- 8:56Speaker 1: is just lower hanging fruit. I think countries like Vietnam
- 8:59Speaker 1: and Bangladesh a somewhat similar to Even though that might
- 9:03Speaker 1: sound funny to an American ear, I think it's sort
- 9:05Speaker 1: of real that people really do become much more productive,
- 9:08Speaker 1: just like they did in the United States. It's nothing
- 9:10Speaker 1: against farmers. I have ancestors who were farmers, in great
- 9:14Speaker 1: respect for farmers also, but when you're selling your agricultural
- 9:19Speaker 1: goods on a small plot of land to one market,
- 9:23Speaker 1: it's very risky, challenging existence. When I was living in Bombay,
- 9:29Speaker 1: you could see people who were first generation people living
- 9:33Speaker 1: in cities with tremendous energy and vibrancy. They wanted so
- 9:38Speaker 1: much more from life. Now that puts pressure on the
- 9:42Speaker 1: political environment. That's great from an economic perspective because suddenly
- 9:46Speaker 1: they're these consumers, but politically also it puts pressure on
- 9:51Speaker 1: the political system because they ask more. When you're not
- 9:56Speaker 1: connected necessarily you live in a far rural area, you
- 10:00Speaker 1: have certain political demands. But suddenly when you're much more connected,
- 10:04Speaker 1: you might ask for much more, which is great in
- 10:07Speaker 1: many cases. And then that's the real test of a
- 10:09Speaker 1: country is whether it can filter these increased demands in
- 10:13Speaker 1: some relatively productive way without I don't know, earthquakes. It's
- 10:17Speaker 1: easier said than done. But yeah, well, okay.
- 10:21Speaker 3: Change comes slowly. It's come slowly to India. But once
- 10:25Speaker 3: it starts, there's really nothing that can stop it, is there.
- 10:30Speaker 1: That's a good that's a good insight. I would say,
- 10:34Speaker 1: there are some things that can stop this kind of progress.
- 10:37Speaker 1: It's not unique to India, but it goes for lots
- 10:40Speaker 1: of different countries. Tremendous debt can make it very difficult
- 10:45Speaker 1: or not anywhere near there. But when no one has
- 10:49Speaker 1: a mortgage, just having a mortgage to buy some properties
- 10:53Speaker 1: suddenly unlocks all kinds of economic opportunity. When the reverse
- 10:58Speaker 1: is the case, like maybe the United States in two
- 11:00Speaker 1: thousand and seven, when everybody has two or three or
- 11:03Speaker 1: four mortgages, then that could really make for a challenging
- 11:10Speaker 1: decade or two. India and other you know, lots of
- 11:12Speaker 1: other countries are nowhere near there, but that could be
- 11:15Speaker 1: a risk, right as if everyone suddenly takes on tremendous
- 11:19Speaker 1: amount of leverage. Instead of helping to fund your cousin's business,
- 11:25Speaker 1: you're spending a decade paying down debt. Of course, governments
- 11:30Speaker 1: throughout centuries and millennia can also just I call it
- 11:34Speaker 1: like own goals or maybe like getting a safety in
- 11:37Speaker 1: football American football, And this happens more than you would think.
- 11:42Speaker 1: Of course Americans know this too, but there are hard challenges,
- 11:47Speaker 1: hard decisions to make, and believe it or not, having
- 11:50Speaker 1: traveled to so many different places around the world, sometimes
- 11:55Speaker 1: officials don't you know, they don't make the right decisions.
- 11:59Speaker 1: That can be bad. At least in my experience. It
- 12:02Speaker 1: doesn't happen as often as would happen, but as maybe
- 12:05Speaker 1: you would think. But certainly things can happen like this,
- 12:08Speaker 1: they're not so good.
- 12:10Speaker 3: Well, you know, I've learned in my brief time on
- 12:13Speaker 3: the planet never never ever underestimate the ability of politicians
- 12:22Speaker 3: to screw everything up right.
- 12:25Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a good, wise comment. Yeah, it's helpful in
- 12:30Speaker 1: investing in different countries around the world, where it's very
- 12:34Speaker 1: important to know the political system and what's going on
- 12:39Speaker 1: in different countries and have some sense of humility that
- 12:43Speaker 1: different countries can operate in different ways, and they can
- 12:48Speaker 1: operate in ways that maybe are different than the United
- 12:50Speaker 1: States or different than one's home country. Sometimes that might
- 12:54Speaker 1: be charring or uncomfortable, but in other cases it might
- 12:57Speaker 1: be a humbling I suppose that. Well, it kind of
- 13:01Speaker 1: works there, even though the system is slightly different, and
- 13:05Speaker 1: I have to kind of put some of my let's
- 13:08Speaker 1: call it, I don't know if bias is a word,
- 13:09Speaker 1: but I have to put some of my experience on
- 13:12Speaker 1: one side and understand this local culture and system on
- 13:16Speaker 1: the other. And of course you can't do that exactly.
- 13:19Speaker 1: They have to interact with one another. But this is
- 13:21Speaker 1: kind of the great fun of looking for investments in
- 13:23Speaker 1: different parts of the world.
- 13:25Speaker 4: Fascinating, fascinating times.
- 13:27Speaker 3: We're living in that it is you can actually learn
- 13:31Speaker 3: a lot, way more than you used to be able
- 13:34Speaker 3: to and actually do your due diligence all the way
- 13:38Speaker 3: on the other side of the world. So, for a
- 13:41Speaker 3: little piece of advice to individuals looking to invest in
- 13:44Speaker 3: different places, what do you tell them?
- 13:48Speaker 1: It's a good question. I don't know. I don't have
- 13:51Speaker 1: the best advice. I would say, be humble and not
- 13:55Speaker 1: so aggressive. I kind of worry about the world of
- 13:58Speaker 1: day traders looking for this or that hot thing, And
- 14:02Speaker 1: of course this is just for informational purposes, and I
- 14:06Speaker 1: recommending my fund in the United States. The world of
- 14:09Speaker 1: et aps is pretty interesting because there are lots of
- 14:13Speaker 1: new companies each decade that populate them and so many
- 14:17Speaker 1: other places, I believe it or not, the legacy dinosaur
- 14:22Speaker 1: companies are the ones in exchange traded funds or sometimes huge, huge,
- 14:26Speaker 1: huge mutual funds. In many cases, in general, a lot
- 14:31Speaker 1: of them haven't really gone anywhere in a decade or
- 14:33Speaker 1: two or three decades, if you can believe this. So
- 14:36Speaker 1: a lot of people, I think the standard investment advice
- 14:41Speaker 1: in the United States to do this or that thing
- 14:43Speaker 1: doesn't always apply in other places. And this makes it
- 14:47Speaker 1: a little challenging, so I always say that my it's
- 14:51Speaker 1: like to my kids. I think saving is very good,
- 14:55Speaker 1: you know, personally, saving is a very good process, and
- 14:57Speaker 1: being diversified certain only helps. But not, let's say, not
- 15:02Speaker 1: with the kind of knee jerk dra knee jerk. I
- 15:06Speaker 1: must be in this place, or I must own this,
- 15:08Speaker 1: or I must have this type of investment. I guess,
- 15:13Speaker 1: for better or for worse, Investing out side of the
- 15:15Speaker 1: hugest markets of the world just requires a lot of discernment.
- 15:19Speaker 4: Let's say, all right, I'll buy that.
- 15:21Speaker 3: Hey, how do we find you and how do we
- 15:24Speaker 3: connect with you on the web?
- 15:25Speaker 4: There, Ryan, thanks for asking.
- 15:27Speaker 1: My firm is Barka Capital, so the website is www
- 15:32Speaker 1: dot Barkocapital dot com. Feel free to sign up for
- 15:35Speaker 1: a newsletter and I am linked in. My name is
- 15:39Speaker 1: Ryan Floyd like Pink Floyd, and the firm is Barker Capital.
- 15:43Speaker 1: Feel free to reach out. I know that reference dates
- 15:45Speaker 1: me now a lot of people. I have to say
- 15:47Speaker 1: Floyd Merriweather. Maybe for some people because a lot of
- 15:50Speaker 1: people don't know the Pink Floyd reference. But I feel
- 15:52Speaker 1: free to reach out. And I always like book recommendations
- 15:55Speaker 1: and suggestions of interesting data sets or news sources or
- 15:59Speaker 1: anything like that.
- 16:00Speaker 4: All right, Hey, well, we really appreciate you coming on. Ryan.
- 16:03Speaker 3: Thatn's good lightning, very interesting. If you got any questions
- 16:07Speaker 3: for Ryan myself, shoot an email to Klatcarrieluts dot com.
- 16:12Speaker 3: Link is in the show notes to this interview on
- 16:15Speaker 3: Financial Survival Network dot com. We just ask if you
- 16:18Speaker 3: go there, please sign up for your free newsletter like
- 16:21Speaker 3: seventy five thousand, eighty actually it's over eighty thousand, but
- 16:24Speaker 3: seventy five thousand Cramp subscribers, and you get a lot
- 16:28Speaker 3: of interesting info that you're just never going to find
- 16:31Speaker 3: anywhere else.
- 16:32Speaker 4: Ryan. Good luck, we'll talk to you again soon.
- 16:34Speaker 1: Sounds good. Thanks, Gerry, appreciate it.
- 16:36Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your
- 16:40Speaker 2: solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to
- 16:44Speaker 2: Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than
- 16:50Speaker 2: ever