Latest / The Central Indiana Sports Report / College Football Report with Eric & Ryan Robinson: First Round Previews & Predictions (2.117.1)
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: You are listening to the college football report with Eric and Ryan Robinson, and it's only on the Central Indian sports report.
- 0:12[SPEAKER_00]: Welcome back to the Central Indian sports report college football fans for.
- 0:17[SPEAKER_00]: a special addition of the college football report with Eric and Ryan Robinson here to preview and predict the four college football playoff games this weekend.
- 0:28[SPEAKER_00]: The first round games went on Friday, four on Saturday.
- 0:32[SPEAKER_00]: And we do it as part of a contest.
- 0:36[SPEAKER_00]: We're going to talk about the contest a little bit.
- 0:38[SPEAKER_00]: We'll talk more about the games in depth.
- 0:40[SPEAKER_00]: And we normally do, but real fast before we go on.
- 0:45[SPEAKER_00]: The way it works is every game is worth 10 points.
- 0:47[SPEAKER_00]: The more a team is favored, if your points they are worth.
- 0:53[SPEAKER_00]: Through 15 weeks, Grant Shows has a, has 417 points.
- 0:57[SPEAKER_00]: Ryan Robinson still in second place with 402.
- 1:00[SPEAKER_00]: We'll rather have heard 398.
- 1:03[SPEAKER_00]: So right behind you, you guys still all have a pretty good chance of winning this.
- 1:09[SPEAKER_00]: My Grinch 385, I have 380 Michelle Garmin 379.
- 1:15[SPEAKER_00]: And there we go on this week, and the first one is Friday, and it might be the best of all of them.
- 1:21[SPEAKER_00]: It is 8c, Oklahoma, at home against 9c, Alabama.
- 1:27[SPEAKER_00]: The Sooners are 10 and 2, Alabama, 10 and 3, of course, controversially the only team in the playoffs with three losses.
- 1:36[SPEAKER_00]: Alabama is however favored by a point and a half on the road.
- 1:42[SPEAKER_00]: and the crimson tides, odds to win the national championship 22 to 1, Oklahoma is just 45 to 1 even though they're starting at home.
- 1:50[SPEAKER_00]: They're the eight seed.
- 1:51[SPEAKER_00]: The winner will face number 1 Indiana and the Rose Bowl.
- 1:56[SPEAKER_00]: I have both teams worth five, Eric.
- 1:58[SPEAKER_01]: This, this is the only game on Friday night.
- 2:02[SPEAKER_01]: I think this is going to be an ugly game.
- 2:05[SPEAKER_01]: There's no offense to either one of these teams.
- 2:08[SPEAKER_01]: It's crazy the narrative on Alabama, how it's changed so much in a month.
- 2:13[SPEAKER_01]: We were also high on them and they look like the team to beat four or five weeks ago but I've lost all confidence in them.
- 2:22[SPEAKER_01]: I don't like him on the road.
- 2:23[SPEAKER_01]: They went to Oklahoma last year and just got blown out by a mediocre Oklahoma team.
- 2:29[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to take Oklahoma at home in this because I just don't have any faith in Alabama anymore.
- 2:38[SPEAKER_01]: I think Alabama's offense is really struggling the last three or four weeks and Ty Simpson.
- 2:44[SPEAKER_01]: We talked about him heavily middle the season for Heisman and he's just
- 2:50[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
- 2:51[SPEAKER_01]: They've just seemed like they've hit a wall in this Oklahoma defense.
- 2:55[SPEAKER_01]: It's really, really good.
- 2:56[SPEAKER_01]: They're playing at home.
- 2:57[SPEAKER_01]: I just, I don't think Alabama's going to be able to get it going.
- 3:01[SPEAKER_01]: Am I going to be shocked if Simpson comes out throws for 300?
- 3:05[SPEAKER_01]: I'd be shocked.
- 3:06[SPEAKER_01]: Could it happen possibly, but I don't think it's going to.
- 3:08[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going with Oklahoma in this one.
- 3:13[SPEAKER_00]: I'll play Devils Advocate here.
- 3:15[SPEAKER_00]: I'm taking Alabama.
- 3:21[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to take Alabama to win this one.
- 3:24[SPEAKER_00]: It's strange as it is to say the winner of Alabama, Oklahoma is going to lose the Indiana anyway.
- 3:32[SPEAKER_01]: That's what it's funny the way this bracket winds up compared to last year's bracket.
- 3:39[SPEAKER_01]: I think this year's bracket, the top four teams, hands down.
- 3:44[SPEAKER_01]: they got it right those are the best four teams right now college football the teams on the buy last year every team that had the buy got beat so all these first round games that we're going to talk about tonight those winners went on and beat the teams that had the buy last year right they did the feeding differently this year so I don't give and I
- 4:06[SPEAKER_01]: just me looking at these matchups.
- 4:10[SPEAKER_01]: I don't give anyone on this in this first round, any chance to win the second round.
- 4:15[SPEAKER_01]: I think those top four teams go 4 and 0.
- 4:18[SPEAKER_01]: Next week, and you're going to see Indiana Ohio State, Texas Tech, and Georgia, and the semi-finals.
- 4:26[SPEAKER_01]: That's my opinion.
- 4:26[SPEAKER_01]: I don't see any of these teams beating any of those four teams.
- 4:37[SPEAKER_00]: I already know where you're going to go.
- 4:39[SPEAKER_00]: Of course you do.
- 4:39[SPEAKER_00]: I've been talking about them all year.
- 4:42[SPEAKER_00]: Known on ABC and ESPN.
- 4:45[SPEAKER_00]: It's 10 seed Miami at 70 seed Texas A&M Miami is 10 and 2.
- 4:52[SPEAKER_00]: A&M is 11 and 1.
- 4:53[SPEAKER_00]: The hurricanes are 25 to 1 to win the national championship.
- 4:58[SPEAKER_00]: Texas A&M comes into this game a three and a half point favorite and seven team to one odds to win the national championship, the winner will face number two Ohio State in the cotton ball next Friday.
- 5:10[SPEAKER_00]: Guys, I have Miami worth six A&M worth four.
- 5:13[SPEAKER_00]: I know who Eric's victim.
- 5:15[SPEAKER_01]: A&M all day and just to keep talking a little bit about the the bracket.
- 5:21[SPEAKER_01]: So if no other thing would have got
- 5:25[SPEAKER_01]: over Miami, you would have Notre Dame A and then that's a re-match.
- 5:29[SPEAKER_01]: You already have Ole Miss playing Tune Lane in the first round, that's a re-match.
- 5:35[SPEAKER_01]: You have Alabama, Oklahoma playing again, that's a re-match.
- 5:40[SPEAKER_01]: So I don't think this tournament is lining up with like any type of excitement like classiers did.
- 5:46[SPEAKER_01]: And I thought it was going to be different.
- 5:49[SPEAKER_01]: You know, we
- 5:54[SPEAKER_01]: player in the last few weeks, like who was really the top teams?
- 5:58[SPEAKER_01]: This first round is, outside of the A&M and Miami game, I don't know how much attention I'm going to pay to the other games.
- 6:06[SPEAKER_01]: Games Madison, Oregon, that's going to be terrible, Ole Miss to laying terrible.
- 6:10[SPEAKER_01]: And like I said, Friday night, Alabama, Oklahoma, probably an ugly game, no offense.
- 6:16[SPEAKER_01]: But the A&M is only game I want to watch because I want to watch my A&M just get their
- 6:24[SPEAKER_01]: huge over Miami.
- 6:27[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I'm taking the Aggies to give me the four points in a big win against Miami.
- 6:32[SPEAKER_01]: I hope this was just a route.
- 6:34[SPEAKER_01]: Just to help me get through the offseason better.
- 6:38[SPEAKER_01]: And I've really loved the matchup against Ohio State and the second round Texas A&M in Ohio State.
- 6:45[SPEAKER_01]: I think
- 6:54[SPEAKER_00]: 330 on TMT and HBO Max, it is 11C2 Lane at 6C to Ole Miss, to Lane's 11 and 2 Ole Miss 11 and 1.
- 7:04[SPEAKER_00]: To Lane's odds to win the national championship, the longest of any team in the tournament 500 to 1, Ole Miss is a 17 and a half point favorite in this game, 22 to 1 odds to win the national championship, the winner faces number 3 Georgia in the sugar bowl.
- 7:22[SPEAKER_00]: If you want to lay in and the Upsidots worked seven points to the Rebels' worth rear home.
- 7:28[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, God put me down for three points.
- 7:30[SPEAKER_01]: This will be my three-point lock.
- 7:33[SPEAKER_01]: There's no way.
- 7:35[SPEAKER_01]: There's no way to lay in lands.
- 7:38[SPEAKER_01]: Worst case scenario Ole Miss comes out and doesn't even look organized as a team since they had lost their head coach, but I think they're going to come out for pairs with the chip.
- 7:47[SPEAKER_01]: I think Ole Miss is ready to get back on the field.
- 7:51[SPEAKER_01]: I think they've been up by 30 already this year, and that Trinidad Jam was applying so much better than he was early in this season.
- 8:00[SPEAKER_01]: This is going to be this is going to get ugly.
- 8:02[SPEAKER_01]: Ole mess huge.
- 8:04[SPEAKER_01]: We don't need to spend a lot of time on this one with me because I think this is going to be over by halftime Ole mess.
- 8:09[SPEAKER_01]: I think Eric's right.
- 8:10[SPEAKER_01]: They got something approved with Lane Kiff and moving on and got Charlie White's junior now heading up the duties as head coach and offensive coordinator.
- 8:21[SPEAKER_01]: for that program.
- 8:22[SPEAKER_01]: I think he'll hold the four down.
- 8:23[SPEAKER_01]: They'll win comfortably.
- 8:25[SPEAKER_01]: And then the winner of this game goes to the torch.
- 8:27[SPEAKER_01]: I think you're going to be seeing a Ole Miss Georgia matchup next weekend.
- 8:35[SPEAKER_01]: That'll be good.
- 8:40[SPEAKER_00]: And the final game, 730 Saturday on TNT and HBO Max.
- 8:45[SPEAKER_00]: It is 12 seed James Madison.
- 8:47[SPEAKER_00]: It
- 8:49[SPEAKER_00]: James Madison, great year, 12 and one, they are 350 to one to win the national championship.
- 8:57[SPEAKER_00]: Oregon 11 and one, they're only lost by just a couple of points.
- 9:02[SPEAKER_00]: The number one Indiana, the five team, they are 21 and a half point favorite in this game.
- 9:08[SPEAKER_00]: And the ducks are eight to one, odd to win the national championship.
- 9:11[SPEAKER_00]: The best of any team playing this weekend, the winner will face number four Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl and Eric.
- 9:20[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
- 9:20[SPEAKER_00]: And Eric has Oregon in this one.
- 9:23[SPEAKER_00]: Why would you say I have a Oregon?
- 9:28[SPEAKER_01]: But I'm right.
- 9:28[SPEAKER_01]: The Oregon's who you're going to say has a chance to win the whole thing, right?
- 9:32[SPEAKER_01]: Not the whole thing.
- 9:33[SPEAKER_01]: They have a chance to win next week.
- 9:36[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
- 9:37[SPEAKER_01]: I get you.
- 9:37[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
- 9:38[SPEAKER_01]: I don't disagree.
- 9:40[SPEAKER_01]: But obviously, I'm Oregon this week.
- 9:42[SPEAKER_01]: But I will say this
- 9:46[SPEAKER_01]: I give James Madison of way better chance to win, even though the spread is higher at Oregon, then I give two lane against Mississippi, um, James Madison's got a defense.
- 9:56[SPEAKER_01]: They got the number two decent in America, they're, this could, this could be closer than you think.
- 10:03[SPEAKER_01]: I give a no chance to win, but they might make it interesting for a little bit.
- 10:10[SPEAKER_00]: Ryan, I think so much crap is being talked about too lame and James Madison.
- 10:15[SPEAKER_00]: I wouldn't be surprised to see either one of them be competitive.
- 10:18[SPEAKER_00]: I'd be shocked to see either one of them win it.
- 10:21[SPEAKER_01]: Well, the two games, this one might be the most competitive, just because of James Madison's defense.
- 10:26[SPEAKER_01]: I think they might be able to cover the 21 point spread.
- 10:30[SPEAKER_01]: But I clearly know what's going to give them a shot at winning the games.
- 10:33[SPEAKER_01]: I'm taking the the ducks in this one.
- 10:35[SPEAKER_01]: How many points did you say Oregon was worth?
- 10:38[SPEAKER_01]: I didn't say it.
- 10:40[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you for reminding me.
- 10:41[SPEAKER_01]: James Madison's worth eight Oregon worth two I'll take the lay up.
- 10:46[SPEAKER_01]: I'll take the two points and Oregon, but James Madison may cover the spread and this one, and then we'll have the Oregon moving on to play.
- 11:06[SPEAKER_01]: competitive and interesting.
- 11:07[SPEAKER_01]: I think there'll be more storylines with those games.
- 11:10[SPEAKER_01]: And then this Friday and Saturday.
- 11:13[SPEAKER_01]: So, but I do think of all the 18s playing this weekend, Oregon might have the best shot at getting two wins in the tournament.
- 11:22[SPEAKER_01]: We'll keep an eye on them.
- 11:23[SPEAKER_00]: And the answer is yes, I do think Oregon can win it all.
- 11:27[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think that they will.
- 11:28[SPEAKER_00]: I probably put them forth.
- 11:31[SPEAKER_00]: I would put him ahead of Texas Tech obviously in my mind.
- 11:34[SPEAKER_00]: I put him slightly behind Georgia, but not very far.
- 11:37[SPEAKER_00]: And I think they're just right there.
- 11:39[SPEAKER_00]: I think any of those four teams could win it.
- 11:41[SPEAKER_01]: I would also want to put Notre Dame on that list, but I know the third best odds to win the national championship.
- 11:50[SPEAKER_01]: And they're not even playing at it.
- 11:52[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah.
- 11:54[SPEAKER_00]: For the record Ohio State is the bedding favorite to repeat at 2 to 1, and the Anna second at plus 250, just behind the buck guys, and then Georgia is 7 to 1, Texas Tech 9 to 1, which is actually worse than Oregon, which is 8 to 1.
- 12:09[SPEAKER_01]: So when we did our first podcast this season, and we talked about Greg, you had the question, you asked each one of us, who's this year's, and the Anna, do you remember what my answer was?
- 12:21[SPEAKER_01]: might be in the end and might be in the end.
- 12:26[SPEAKER_00]: Sure was.
- 12:28[SPEAKER_00]: And then some and we all said we thought that they wouldn't be as good as last year, but there was a chance they'd be better.
- 12:37[SPEAKER_00]: Cause that a lot of guys coming back.
- 12:43[SPEAKER_01]: We've got our picks now, just real quick.
- 12:45[SPEAKER_01]: Let's just talk about Indiana and what's happening in Bloomington and the reaction and where they go from here.
- 12:54[SPEAKER_01]: First big ten, championships in the 67, first outright, I think in 80 years.
- 13:01[SPEAKER_01]: And then Saturday night, Mendoza getting the Heismantro fee.
- 13:05[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, what's next?
- 13:06[SPEAKER_01]: Is it the National Championship?
- 13:13[SPEAKER_01]: It just really could be.
- 13:14[SPEAKER_01]: I know.
- 13:15[SPEAKER_01]: After that big 10 game, I'm like, wow.
- 13:19[SPEAKER_00]: They look like they did.
- 13:20[SPEAKER_00]: And it's because of their defense, I know Mendoza won the high's been trophy, but they are where they are because of that defense.
- 13:29[SPEAKER_01]: Well, let me start talking about defense.
- 13:32[SPEAKER_01]: So I always take defense until it wins championships.
- 13:35[SPEAKER_01]: Nine of the 12 playoff teams in the top 13 in the country on defense.
- 13:43[SPEAKER_01]: Um, the teams who are not, you got Ole Miss A&M and two laying out of further on the list.
- 13:49[SPEAKER_01]: That's why I don't give those teams any chance, but James Madison, there number two, Ohio State number one overall.
- 13:56[SPEAKER_01]: The puck is going to be hard out.
- 13:58[SPEAKER_01]: We've seen Indiana beat them once already, but yeah, I like Indiana.
- 14:03[SPEAKER_01]: So it's all Oregon rule in last year.
- 14:06[SPEAKER_01]: My odds to win the whole thing, I would have, Indiana, Ohio State, the same.
- 14:12[SPEAKER_01]: then I would have Texas Tech, and then I'd have Georgia, source, that's who I think could win the whole thing.
- 14:21[SPEAKER_01]: And in my order, I'd have, I'd have the same 14s, but I'd flip flop Texas Tech in Georgia.
- 14:30[SPEAKER_01]: I think Georgia would have the second best odds behind IU and Ohio State.
- 14:36[SPEAKER_01]: And I'd take this Tech deep into better.
- 14:41[SPEAKER_01]: Well, we're going to find out and we're going to get to watch it play out.
- 14:44[SPEAKER_00]: So this we are, I'll take Oregon against Texas tech.
- 14:49[SPEAKER_00]: I know you guys and everybody's talking up Texas tech.
- 14:53[SPEAKER_00]: I think this Oregon team is better than you think.
- 14:56[SPEAKER_01]: Well, they're now in the top 10.
- 14:57[SPEAKER_01]: They got to number four defense right now.
- 14:59[SPEAKER_01]: They're kind of quietly just been building up this kind of two-headed monster out there with all fence and defense.
- 15:07[SPEAKER_01]: So I don't disagree with you, Greg.
- 15:12[SPEAKER_01]: Not totally on board with Oregon all year.
- 15:16[SPEAKER_01]: They're playing and peeking at the right time, and they're going to be rested up.
- 15:27[SPEAKER_00]: Before we go, guys, let's talk about the FCS, a couple of bonus games here on our picks.
- 15:33[SPEAKER_00]: The semi-finals are this weekend, and both games are essentially toss ups.
- 15:38[SPEAKER_00]: I have both games worth five points.
- 15:42[SPEAKER_00]: Let's start with 730 on Saturday, ESPN2, it's 11 and 417 seed Illinois State at 12 and 2, 5 seed Villanova, despite the seedings Illinois State comes into the game as a 1 and 1.5 point favorite in Philadelphia, they've won as the underdog of the last 2 weeks, 29 to 28.
- 16:05[SPEAKER_00]: Over top seed North Dakota State, then 42 to 31 last week over UC Davis, the team that eliminated
- 16:12[SPEAKER_00]: in the sweet 16 all after following to the 17 seed because of an ugly 37 to seven lost to rival southern Illinois, the regular season finale, which made them have to play in the first round and might have gotten a momentum going.
- 16:27[SPEAKER_00]: They found a way, even without their star running back winkers right who promised me if they win this game, they will join us on next week's podcast to preview the National Championship.
- 16:36[SPEAKER_00]: And guys, Daniel Sapkowitz has been a one-man wrecking crew in this postseason and he's going to be playing on Sunday's next year.
- 16:44[SPEAKER_00]: He leads the nation with 16 touchdowns, including two in the upset against North Dakota State and 150 yards and three more touchdowns.
- 16:54[SPEAKER_00]: And last week's win over UC Davis, Villanova, as I mentioned is the five seed.
- 16:59[SPEAKER_00]: They upset Tarleton last week on the road to advance to the final four.
- 17:07[SPEAKER_00]: They lead the nation and rushing as a team led by the seventh leading Russia in the nation.
- 17:12[SPEAKER_00]: Eli Gilman, as I mentioned, Eric both get both teams were five points.
- 17:19[SPEAKER_01]: You'll never get to them too.
- 17:21[SPEAKER_01]: That's a lot to take in Greg.
- 17:22[SPEAKER_01]: If I ever need the phone a friend on FCS football, I'm not who I'm calling.
- 17:29[SPEAKER_01]: You're my lifeline Greg.
- 17:31[SPEAKER_01]: I've only gone against them one time.
- 17:33[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to stick with the red bird red bird.
- 17:36[SPEAKER_01]: Even on the road.
- 17:37[SPEAKER_01]: I hated these playoff games.
- 17:39[SPEAKER_01]: It's so hard to go against the home team.
- 17:41[SPEAKER_01]: But I'm going to stick with Illinois State to get it done.
- 17:45[SPEAKER_01]: And obviously what's going to be a close ball game.
- 17:50[SPEAKER_01]: We need to Illinois State to win because I missed the podcast with Winkers last time, so I need him to join us next week, so I get to meet that young man and they've got to represent the Missouri Valley.
- 18:02[SPEAKER_00]: I want to just say real fast to Victor Dawson in place of Winkers right has been fantastic.
- 18:07[SPEAKER_00]: There is very little drop off to the second string running back.
- 18:11[SPEAKER_00]: If any, the problem is they used to have both of them and they only have one of them.
- 18:21[SPEAKER_00]: And for a clock on ABC is the big one.
- 18:24[SPEAKER_00]: The two teams are now the favorites to win the national championship.
- 18:28[SPEAKER_00]: It's 13 and one Montana, the three seed at 12 and to Montana State, the two seed.
- 18:35[SPEAKER_00]: Montana's only loss was 31 to 28 to Montana State in the regular season finale.
- 18:41[SPEAKER_00]: This is the hundred and twenty fifth meeting between the Bobcats and Grizzlies.
- 18:46[SPEAKER_00]: Montana State.
- 18:47[SPEAKER_00]: is a four and a half-point favorite.
- 18:49[SPEAKER_00]: They're only two losses.
- 18:51[SPEAKER_00]: We're the first few weeks of the season, if that sounds familiar.
- 18:54[SPEAKER_00]: 59 to 13 at Oregon, and then double overtime at South Dakota State.
- 18:59[SPEAKER_00]: In Boseman, where this game is being played guys, the Grizzlies and Bobcat's both worth five points so you take him.
- 19:07[SPEAKER_01]: I'm taking the home team, and that's only the only reason I'm picking it.
- 19:12[SPEAKER_01]: Home team, play off football.
- 19:14[SPEAKER_01]: These two teams are so easy, and the home filter's only thing that can really the difference between the two.
- 19:21[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll take Montana State at home.
- 19:27[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to go the opposite direction because I think it's hard to beat a team twice in the same season.
- 19:33[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm going to take Montana in this, but I think it's going to be another tight one, but I think Montana gets revenge.
- 19:39[SPEAKER_01]: And this one, and they moved to the title Championship of FCS against Illinois State.
- 19:49[SPEAKER_00]: And next week, guys, we'll talk about the National Quarter Finals and the Cotton Bowl, the Orange Bowl, the Sugar Bowl, and of course the Rose Bowl, the one we're most interested in.
- 19:57[SPEAKER_00]: Around here, always appreciate your time and we'll talk to you next week, guys.
- 20:04[SPEAKER_01]: All right, thank you, Greg.
- 20:53[SPEAKER_00]: Central Indiana Sports Report is a product of ITG media, and L.O.C.